tsuomela + polling   28

Explaining Nationalist Political Views: The Case of Donald Trump by Jonathan T. Rothwell :: SSRN
"The 2016 US presidential nominee Donald Trump has broken with the policies of previous Republican Party presidents on trade, immigration, and war, in favor of a more nationalist and populist platform. Using detailed Gallup survey data for a large number of American adults, I analyze the individual and geographic factors that predict a higher probability of viewing Trump favorably and contrast the results with those found for other candidates. The results show mixed evidence that economic distress has motivated Trump support. His supporters are less educated and more likely to work in blue collar occupations, but they earn relative high household incomes, and living in areas more exposed to trade or immigration does not increase Trump support. There is stronger evidence that racial isolation and less strictly economic measures of social status, namely health and intergenerational mobility, are robustly predictive of more favorable views toward Trump, and these factors predict support for him but not other Republican presidential candidates."
politics  america  campaign  2016  race  privilege  resentment  power  demography  economics  polling 
august 2016 by tsuomela
AAPOR | Home
American Association for Public Opinion Research
professional-association  surveys  polling  public-opinion 
june 2013 by tsuomela
From underwear to aircraft noise: logging 70 years of social change
The summer of 2011 marks the seventieth anniversary of the very first Government Social Survey.

In celebration, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) pays tribute to the thousands of interviewers who have asked the public questions on everything from underwear to aircraft noise. We have delved into the archives and picked surveys from 1941, 1951, etc to mark each decade.
country(GreatBritain)  state  survey  government  statistics  polling  social  from delicious
january 2012 by tsuomela
Tuning Out the Democrats - NYTimes.com
"It’s perplexing. When unemployment is high, and the rich are getting richer, you would think that voters of average means would flock to progressives, who are supposed to have their interests in mind — and who historically have delivered for them.

During the last half-century or so, when a Democratic president has led the country, people have tended to experience lower unemployment, less inequality and rising income compared with periods of Republican governance. There is a reason, however, that many voters in the developed world are turning away from Democrats, Socialists, liberals and progressives."
politics  political-science  polling  democrats  ideology  progressive 
august 2011 by tsuomela
Everyday Sociology Blog: American Values: Are We Really Divided?
"The purpose was to create a barometer of American values, and the target population was randomly-selected adults, 18 or older, living in the U.S.

These are guiding principles that are strongly and widely held, shared across demographic lines, and stable over time. Here we outline the Top 8 core values that Americans share:"
sociology  values  american  polling  surveys  public-opinion 
march 2011 by tsuomela
Labor Unions: Good for Workers, Not for U.S. Competitiveness - Pew Research Center
"The favorability ratings for labor unions remain at nearly their lowest level in a quarter century with 45% expressing a positive view. Yet the public expresses similar opinions about business corporations -- 47% have a favorable impression -- and this rating is also near a historic low."
public-opinion  polling  unions  business 
february 2011 by tsuomela
All Our Ideas - A Suggestion Box for the Digital Age
"All Our Ideas is a platform that enables groups to collect and prioritize ideas in a transparent, democratic, and bottom-up way. It’s a suggestion box for the digital age."
collaboration  ideas  crowdsourcing  tool  polling  internet  web2.0 
january 2011 by tsuomela
Michael Adams
Canadian pollster who uses social values research method.."measures fundamental values and worldviews and examines how they change over time. Probing beyond the opinions people express about the issues in the headlines, values research uncovers profound, long-term evolutions in the way people see themselves, each other, and the world."
people  research  canada  polling  surveys  values 
november 2010 by tsuomela
Americans Are of Two Minds on Trade - Pew Research Center
The public is of two minds when it comes to trade with other countries. Most Americans say that increased trade with Canada, Japan and European Union countries -- as well as India, Brazil and Mexico -- would be good for the United States. But reactions are mixed to increased trade with South Korea and China.

More generally, there is increased skepticism about the impact of trade agreements such as NAFTA and the policies of the World Trade Organization. Roughly a third (35%) say that free trade agreements have been good for the United States, while 44% say they have been bad for the U.S.
polling  poll  trade  international  free-trade  american 
november 2010 by tsuomela
Ezra Klein - Business confidence
What gets difficult in all this is separating things that are actually hurting businesses from things that Republican-leaning business owners, for reasons of ideology or personal self-interest, simply don't like. And because there's virtually no data on this question, there's really no way to tell the two apart.
business  confidence  economics  polling 
august 2010 by tsuomela
National Journal Online - How 'Independent' Are Independents?
As Sides point out, "the vast majority" of those who initially identify as independent will "lean" toward a political party, so the number of remaining "pure independents" is typically small -- only about 10 percent of the population.

Far more important, independents who lean to one party typically "act like partisans," as Sides puts it. They vote for their side's candidates as often as those who initially identify with a party but describe their attachment (on yet another follow-up question) as weak.
politcal-science  politics  independent  partisanship  party  polling 
july 2010 by tsuomela
FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right: Do Americans Really Hate Flying? Or Really Love Driving?
Still, I'd expect the numbers for most 875-mile trips to be slanted fairly heavily in favor of air travel -- but instead, Americans are just as likely to drive this distance as to fly.
transportation  flying  rail  train  automobile  travel  american  attitude  polling  survey  habit 
september 2009 by tsuomela
Americans Are Now More Closely Aligned With Progressive Ideas Than at Any Time in Memory [Voltaire]
The media still calls America a “center-right” nation, but “center-left” is closer to the truth. On issues ranging from health care to energy, the public is more progressive than people think. Demographic groups from youth to Hispanics are voting farther left and in larger numbers than ever before. The new report the Campaign for America’s Future is publishing with Media Matters for America— "America: A Center-Left Nation" —documents the trends and challenges the mainstream media to recognize reality
politics  american  trends  progressive  liberal  polling 
june 2009 by tsuomela
Open Left:: Education Rhetoric
2 notes: people have low opinions of education in general but high opinions of their personal experience of education (e.g. performance of their children's school)
education  reform  statistics  public  government  propaganda  polls  polling  bias 
march 2009 by tsuomela

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