petej + meaningfulvote   176

PM concedes lack of support for deal as MPs seek to take control | Politics | The Guardian
May also came as close as she has done to ruling out a no-deal Brexit, stressing the damage it would do to the union – a message she also delivered to cabinet, according to government sources. “Unless this house agrees to it, no deal will not happen,” May said.
UK  EU  Brexit  politics  HouseOfCommons  MayTheresa  withdrawalAgreement  politicalDeclaration  meaningfulVote  noDeal  indicativeVote  LetwinOliver 
march 2019 by petej
All the Brexit you can eat | Richard Seymour on Patreon
To get a parliamentary majority, she and everyone else knows perfectly well that she must drop Tory 'red lines'. She must negotiate seriously with Labour MPs and unions, make real concessions on workers' rights, and offer serious investment to Leave-voting constituencies.

Yes, that means fucking over her own headbanger backbenchers and the DUP. Yes, it risks a schism. Yes, her parliamentary situation is precarious enough. Yes, it means giving something to Jeremy Corbyn. But consider the results of actually securing a deal. Currently, businesses are hoarding a lot of capital. In the last year, we've seen the longest downswing in business investment outside of a recession for fifteen yeas. On top of that, almost a trillion pounds in assets and investments has been withdrawn from the City in fear of a "no deal" Brexit. (They call this 'Brexodus', because of course they do.)

In the event of a deal, even May's dismal deal, all that investment comes flooding back in. Unless the inevitable recession hits before then, it means a significant bump in economic growth in an otherwise weak economy, a bonus for Treasury receipts and a chance for Philip Hammond to relax the purse strings. All that money being set aside for 'no deal' preparations could be handed out to government departments. The Tories would have delivered on an historic mission, the Remoaners would be temporarily marginalised, Labour would be weakened, and May would get quite a lot of cachet from affluent centre-ground voters for standing up to her nutters. I would expect the Conservatives to start polling in the mid-Forties if they achieved that. Given the degree of fragmentation of public opinion on Brexit, any definite resolution would likely be welcomed. That would surely weaken the hand of right-wing splitters.
UK  EU  Brexit  withdrawalAgreement  meaningfulVote  MayTheresa  politics  ERG  ToryParty  redLines  strategy  dctagged  dc:creator=SeymourRichard 
march 2019 by petej
« earlier      
per page:    204080120160

related tags

1922Committee  amendments  anger  anti-Semitism  arrogance  Article50  austerity  backstop  BakerSteve  BarclayStephen  BarnierMichel  BennHilary  BercowJohn  betrayal  blame  BolesNick  BradyGraham  Brexit  BryantChris  Cabinet  CameronDavid  CampbellAlastair  Canada  centrism  Chequers  citizensAssembly  CivilService  ClarkGreg  CollinsDamian  CommonMarket2.0  commonRulebook  compromise  concessions  confirmation  constitution  CooperYvette  CorbynJeremy  CoxGeoffrey  credibility  crisis  customsArrangement  customsUnion  DavisDavid  dc:contributor=MasonPaul  dc:contributor=WalkerMichael  dc:creator=BehrRafael  dc:creator=BonePeter  dc:creator=CampbellAlastair  dc:creator=d'AnconaMatthew  dc:creator=FlintCaroline  dc:creator=FreedlandJonathan  dc:creator=KibasiTom  dc:creator=KuenssbergLaura  dc:creator=LeslieChris  dc:creator=Long-BaileyRebecca  dc:creator=MasonPaul  dc:creator=MillerGina  dc:creator=MorganNicky  dc:creator=PestonRobert  dc:creator=PowellLucy  dc:creator=RawnsleyAndrew  dc:creator=RuncimanDavid  dc:creator=SeymourRichard  dc:creator=StarmerKeir  dc:creator=ToynbeePolly  dc:creator=YoungeGary  dctagged  defeat  delay  delays  delusion  democracy  discussion  division  DoddsNigel  DowningStreet  DuncanSmithIain  DUP  duration  editorial  EEA  EFTA  election  electoralReform  employment  ERG  ErskineMay  EU  EU27  Europe  EuropeanCommission  EuropeanCouncil  EuropeanParliament  Euroscepticism  EvansNigel  extension  factions  failure  FieldMark  FlintCaroline  FosterArlene  FoxLiam  FPTP  France  freedomOfMovement  FreemanGeorge  ge2017  generalElection  GoveMichael  government  GrieveDominic  Grimsby  Guardian  GyimahSam  HammondPhilip  hardBrexit  health  HeseltineMichael  history  HouseOfCommons  HouseOfLords  humiliation  HuntJeremy  immigration  imperialism  incompetence  IndependentGroup  indicativeVote  intransigence  Ireland  JohnsonBoris  JunckerJean-Claude  KwartengKwasi  KylePeter  LabourParty  LancasterHouse  leadership  LeadsomAndrea  Leave  LeDrianJean-Yves  legal  LetwinOliver  LewisBrandon  LewisClive  liberalism  LidingtonDavid  Long-BaileyRebecca  LRB  MacronEmmanuel  manifesto  MayPhilip  MayTheresa  McDonnellJohn  McVeyEsther  meaningfulVote  MEPs  migration  Momentum  MorganNicky  MPs  NandyLisa  nationalism  negotiations  neoliberalism  noConfidence  noDeal  NorthernIreland  Norway  NorwayPlus  Novara  Parliament  PeoplesVote  PlanB  politicalDeclaration  politics  populism  postponement  pregnancy  procedure  RaabDominic  ratification  redLines  Rees-MoggJacob  referendum  reform  regulatoryAlignment  Remain  resignation  revocation  rights  RobbinsOlly  RuddAmber  secrecy  SelmayrMartin  SiddiqTulip  singleMarket  SmithJulian  SnellGareth  softBrexit  speech  springStatement  StarmerKeir  Strasbourg  strategy  Suez  summit  tactics  talks  timetable  TimothyNick  ToryParty  tradeUnions  transition  trust  TuskDonald  UK  uncertainty  VaradkarLeo  VerhofstadtGuy  video  visualisation  war  wikipedia  wikipediaPage  WilkinsChris  WilliamsonGavin  WilsonPhil  withdrawal  withdrawalAgreement  WollastonSarah  xenophobia 

Copy this bookmark: