asterisk2a + unknown   250

Donald Trump's success reveals a frightening weakness in American democracy - YouTube
liquid times by Zygmunt, globalization - accelerated times, inequality, 1%, poverty trap, weak institutions being fleeced (latest and biggest - GFC, one rule for the one TBTF and other for the many, many have to suffer what they must (varoufakis)), same w broken promise of globalisation benefits everyone, same w failed military interventions ... STRUCTURAL REASONS - DEMOCRACY ELECTED REPRESENTATION does no more exist! its lobbied $$$ vested interest pork barrels corruption abuse get rich quick schemes. Longing for past greatness eg case Brexit. //&! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5YU9djt_CQM - Authoritarianism: The political science that explains Trump &! https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/F-Skala_(Autorit%C3%A4re_Pers%C3%B6nlichkeit) &! Democratic Backsliding (salami tactic) - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pF-Tdsvk0tI - The decline of American democracy won't be televised
DonaldTrump  Donald  Trump  Brexit  UKIP  Authoritarianism  GOP  LGBT  Transgender  gay  marriage  immigration  Culture  Identity  politics  inequality  unknown  foreign  different  AfD  uncertainty  No  Representation  book  globalisation  Super  Rich  1%  tax  evasion  avoidance  globalization  Institutions  revolving  door  lobby  vested  interest  Plutocracy  Oligarchy  Technocracy  Monopoly  poverty  trap  working  poor  post-racial  America  UK  Germany  American  Dream  democracy  history  neoliberal  neoliberalism  economic  Austerity  GFC  trust  trustagent  Sociology  Psychology  Philosophy  gini  Coefficient  corruption  White-collar  crime  war  on  drugs  Military–industrial  Privatisation  profit  maximisation  food–industrial  big  Pharma  TBTF  bailout  recovery  China  Russia 
january 2018 by asterisk2a
RBS to charge major financial institutions for holding their cash | Business | The Guardian
Royal Bank of Scotland is to start charging major financial institutions for any cash it holds on their behalf for trading purposes, in the latest illustration of the impact of Mark Carney’s post-Brexit vote stimulus package.
ZIRP  NIRP  QE  UK  USA  Germany  unintended  consequences  unknown  economic  history  BOE  FED  ECB  BOJ  monetary  policy  distortion 
august 2016 by asterisk2a
Martin Wolf on Brexit fears | FT Comment
significant reduction in output, and unknowns and unknown unknowns time after vote, delayed investment into UK. Businesses like certainty! [...] We will be small off-shore island [...] UK relationship w USA was important to EU. [...] Weaker Europe, weaker UK. [...] //&! UK Treasury's analysis of Brexit - youtu.be/iT7Z4Kzb53I - Econ risk and immigration huge pillar of voting-decision especially for swing voters. [...] £4300 over next 14 years, the assumption/basis of this is lower economic growth (6%) ... attack is that this is not a fact. [...] Leave campaign argues the world will queue up to do quickly trade deals with you, which is not fact. [...] Stay campaign says this is not the case, and USA has hinted at that that you can't fall back on us to arrage quick trade deal negotiations with other countries, just because of our past relations.
Brexit  underinvestment  FDI  foreign  direct  investment  uncertainty  output  gap  productivity  productivity  gap  TTIP  unknown  unknown  unknowns  foreign  relations  business  confidence 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Sustainability or Prosperity? Why Not Both? | PolicyCast
describes the rapidly growing field of sustainability science, which combines a variety of disciplines in both the hard and social sciences to find paths towards a sustainable future. //&! Book Pursuing Sustainability: A Guide to the Science and Practice – (2016) by Pamela Matson, William C. Clark, Krister Andersson. //&! http://www.hks.harvard.edu/news-events/publications/insight/international/william-clark &! https://scholar.google.co.uk/citations?user=LkLCmQwAAAAJ&hl=en &! http://earthsky.org/human-world/william-c-clark-defines-sustainable-development &! Jeffrey Sachs - Global Cooperation and Sustainable Development - youtu.be/cRWtRh3yLI0 &! "Common Wealth: Economics for a Crowded Planet." - youtu.be/n3kzzVP2c7w &! Jeffrey Sachs: "The Price of Civilization" - youtu.be/_G6SYmQ0swg - profoundly underestimated globalization's long-term effects: jobs, incomes, poverty, and the environment.
sustainability  sustainable  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  underinvestment  public  health  global  warming  economic  damage  GDP  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  extreme  weather  weather  extreme  unknown  unknowns  unintended  consequences  crony  capitalism  shareholder  capitalism  Wall  Street  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  air  pollution  water  pollution  noise  pollution  pollution  mass  extinction  ecological  damage  environmental  damage  livestock  farming  industrial  agriculture  policy  folly  short-term  thinking  short-termism  short-term  view  social  value  policy  error  ecological  footprint  carbonfootprint  deforestation  soil  erosion  climate  change  climate  crisis  book  society  Wertegesellschaft  Wegwerfgesellschaft  Jeffrey  Sachs  Movement  environmental  disaster  environment  environmentalism  resource  depletion  finite  resources  Pesticides  fungicide  herbicide  colony  collapse  disorder  Great  Pacific  Garbage  Patch  Great  Barrier  Reef  drought  Ozone  politician  Fossil  fuel  industry  Food  Politics  carbon  tax  COP21  planning  law  building  code  renewable  energy  energy  policy 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Climate stirring change beneath the waves - BBC News
Human-induced climate change is triggering changes beneath the waves that could have a long-term effect on marine food webs, a study suggests. An assessment of phytoplankton in the North Atlantic found the microscopic organisms' pole-ward shift was faster than previously reported. It observed that the ocean's tiny plant community was "poised for marked shift and shuffle". [...] "The main results of the study were that we found that when the climate changes it was not just the temperature that was changing and impacting phytoplankton but it was also all the ocean circulation and the conditions in the ocean surface, such as nutrients and light, that have an ecological impact," Dr Barton observed. "Generally, the whole physical environment is altered; in some cases, quite substantially."
ocean  warming  climate  change  environmental  disaster  ecological  disaster  global  warming  climate  crisis  mass  extinction  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  science  complexity  nature 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Meeresspiegel-Prognose: Nordsee flutet Norddeutschland - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Hamburg, weite Teile Schleswig-Holsteins und der Niederlande versinken im Meer, Brüssel wird Hafenstadt, ein Arm der Nordsee reicht bis Berlin - in 10.000 Jahren könnte das Meer weite Teile Mitteleuropas geflutet haben, sollten neueste Prognosen tatsächlich eintreten. Ursache wäre der ungebremste Ausstoß von Treibhausgasen aus Fabriken, Kraftwerken und Autos. [...] Knapp einen Millimeter pro Jahr könnte sich das Land senken, haben die Forscher aufgrund aktueller Messungen angenommen. Aufgrund des Zusammenwirkens von Meeresspiegelanstieg und Landsenkung würde die Nordsee an der deutschen Küste nach 10.000 Jahren um 35 Meter steigen, folgert Reicherter. [...] Die Klimaschutz-Debatte konzentriere sich zu sehr auf die nahe Zukunft, allzu leicht würde vergessen, dass der Klimawandel Jahrtausende andauern könnte, schreiben die Forscher in "Nature". Treibhausgase blieben noch lange in der Luft, selbst wenn ihr Ausstoß gestoppt würde.
climate  change  global  warming  Generationengerechtigkeit  ocean  warming  rising  sea  levels  soil  erosion  climate  refugees  climate  crisis  climate  science  COP21  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  science  carbon  tax 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Climate change 'to make transatlantic flights longer' - BBC News
Previous studies have shown that climate change is likely to increase turbulence on these transatlantic flights. In this new study researchers modelled how atmospheric winds would change given a doubling of atmospheric CO2. They fed the results into the same route algorithms that airlines routinely use to plan their transatlantic journeys. They found that the winds on the New York to London route will become 15% faster on average. Flights from London will become twice as likely to take over seven hours while flights from New York will speed up and will become twice as likely to take under five hours and 20 minutes. While on average, flights will only gain and lose a few minutes each way, the cumulative impact is "significant" says the study.
climate  change  jet  stream  global  warming  economic  damage  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  climate  science  climate  system 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Narcolepsy boy wins £120k swine flu vaccine damages - BBC News
Families are entitled to £120,000 through the Vaccine Damage Payments Scheme, but only if they can prove "severe" disability. Josh's narcolepsy was triggered after he was given the H1N1 2009 influenza vaccine, known as Pandemrix, made by GlaxoSmithKline, in January 2010. He also suffers from cataplexy, which affects muscle control, but he had shown no symptoms of the illness before being vaccinated. [...] The vaccine, which is no longer used, has also been linked to narcolepsy in children from Finland, Sweden and Ireland.
vaccination  vaccine  Polio  H1N1  swineflu  unknown  unkown  pandemic  epidemic  Zoonotic  Diseases  zoonosis 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Scientists get 'gene editing' go-ahead - BBC News
UK scientists have been given the go-ahead by the fertility regulator to genetically modify human embryos. It is the first time a country has considered the DNA-altering technique in embryos and approved it. The research will take place at the Francis Crick Institute in London and aims to provide a deeper understanding of the earliest moments of human life. It will be illegal for the scientists to implant the modified embryos into a woman. But the field is attracting controversy over concerns it is opening the door to designer - or GM - babies.
DNA  genes  geneticallyengineered  genetics  gene  editing  gene  expression  complexity  unknown  unkown  ethics  Religion 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Why is the pound falling so sharply? - BBC News
Weak economic data is casting doubt on the future performance of the UK economy, with inflation persistently well below the Bank of England's 2% target and earnings growth slowing down from a six-year high. Earlier this month, figures for November showed that UK industrial output had suffered its sharpest decline since 2013. Looking further ahead, investors are worried about the outcome of a referendum on the UK's continued membership of the EU. As Andy Scott of foreign exchange services firm HiFX put it: "Concerns over the UK economy and the risk of a Brexit look likely to continue to haunt sterling." Traders are also generally more risk-averse in the light of the global turmoil caused by Chinese market problems and falling oil prices, which makes them reluctant to buck sterling's downward trend.
UK  BOE  Taper  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  liquidity  trap  debtoverhang  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  mortgage  market  industrial  policy  austerity  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  Richard  Koo  zombie  consumer  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  theory  unconventional  monetary  policy  Mark  Carney  MPC  energy  policy  energy  price  competitive  competitiveness  STEM  underinvestment  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  corporate  welfare  corporate  tax  rate  subsidies  subsidizing  secular  stagnation  immigration  migration  job  creation  low  income  Service  Sector  Jobs  recovery  GFC  bank  bailout  budget  deficit  London  Scottish  Independence  Scottish  referendum  Devolution  Brexit  uncertainty  unknown  unkown  global  economy  credit  bubble  debt  servitude  Super  Cycle  student  loan  debt  student  debt  baddebt  NPL  private  debt  economic  history  Niall  Ferguson  democracy  Super  Rich  1%  oligarchy  plutocracy  Gini  coefficient  inequality  social  mobility  income  mobility  Precariat  Zero  Hour  Contract  precarious  work  Contractor  low  pay  minimum  wage  George  Osborne  Tories  dogma  ideology  Conservative  Party  neoliberal 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Carney: No need for interest rate rises now - BBC News
Carney said that collapsing oil prices and an "unforgiving" global environment meant that tighter monetary policy was not yet necessary. [...] He pointed out that the Fed's rate rise had only brought the US interest rate to the same "lofty level" as the Bank of England's. The Governor said that three factors would be the strongest guide to when interest rates might rise. First, that economic growth in the UK would be higher than the average trend. He said that growth at an average quarterly rate of 0.5% in 2015 had "disappointed". Second, that wage growth strengthens and productivity improves. And, third, that core inflation starts to approach the target rate of 2%. //&! Rate rise pause till early 2017? - bbc.in/1T1Qrge - [ global risks are building, global imbalances, faultlines. ] There's a frying pan - the global growth slowdown - and a fire - high levels of indebtedness - out there. &! bbc.in/1S5N7ks
Fed  BOE  2016  Taper  UK  USA  monetary  policy  Mark  Carney  Fed  mandate  productivity  output  gap  inflation  expectation  inflation  targeting  nominal  GDP  targeting  deflationary  deflation  Oil  price  commodity  prices  wage  inflation  GDP  secular  stagnation  economic  history  austerity  fiscal  policy  property  bubble  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  mortgage  market  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  private  debt  corporate  debt  Europe  ECB  China  credit  bubble  2015  global  economy  BRIC  OPEC  aggregate  demand  Richard  Koo  overcapacity  Supply  and  and  Supply  liquidity  trap  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  stimulus  monetary  theory  unconventional  monetary  policy  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  zombie  consumer  zombie  corporations  zombie  banks  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  margin  trading  speculative  bubbles  equity  bubble  Super  Cycle  debt  servitude  leverage  George  Osborne  dogma  ideology  neoliberalism  neoliberal  faultlines  global  imbalances  distortion  emerging  middle  class  emerging  market  Frontier  Markets  sovereign  debt  crisis  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  QT  financial  repression  New  Normal 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Hawking: Humans at risk of lethal 'own goal' - BBC News
Humanity is at risk from a series of dangers of our own making, according to Prof Stephen Hawking. Nuclear war, global warming and genetically-engineered viruses are among the scenarios which he singles out. And he says that further progress in science and technology will create "new ways things can go wrong". Prof Hawking is giving this year's BBC Reith Lectures, which explore research into black holes, and his warning came in answer to audience questions. He says that assuming humanity eventually establishes colonies on other worlds, it will be able to survive. "Although the chance of a disaster to planet Earth in a given year may be quite low, it adds up over time, and becomes a near certainty in the next thousand or ten thousand years. [...] But he also said that future generations of researchers should be aware of how scientific and technological progress is changing the world, and to help the wider public understand it. //&! bit.ly/1RwS7yA
humanity  blackswan  GFC  self-regulation  humanitarian  crisis  human  tragedy  geneticallyengineered  genetics  gene  editing  global  warming  climate  crisis  climate  change  food  security  National  health  crisis  antibiotics  antibiotic  resistance  post-antibiotic  era  sick  population  nuclear  power  nuclear  waste  nuclear  war  climate  science  climate  system  water  scarcity  watersupply  water  rights  water  supply  water  pollution  water  security  drinking  water  inequality  Super  Rich  1%  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  shared  economic  interest  Stephen  Hawking  ecological  disaster  environmental  disaster  mass  extinction  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  Fukushima  extreme  weather  weather  extreme  economic  damage  AI  artificial  intelligence  Elon  Musk 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
BBC Radio 4 - Radio 4 in Four, What’s going on with our weather right now?
Strom Desmond, Strom Eva, Storm Frank // Adam Rutherford and Roland Pease explain the science behind why we have been experiencing all this rainfall recently, and it's not just because of El Niño. // weather system tangled, forecasted was wet winter, ... the warmth of tropical pacific changes location (over to central to west pacific) like a bouncy castle - changes stratosphere, still to understand all the dynamics of changes due to El Nino and global warming, see also Polar Vortex and Jet Stream (which is cutting edge of climate science). El Nino was not the only thing that changed the Jet Stream but also the Atlantic temperature. // Cumbria: floods - made worse by "atmospheric river" long ribbon of moisture = long periods of rainfall over one particular place. // Global warming will make winters more extreme. More water vapour in atmosphere due to global warming. + Unusual weather pattern (El Nino + Atlantic temps) = double whammy for extreme and unusual weather.
flooding  flash  floods  UK  weather  system  global  warming  El  Nino  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  extreme  weather  weather  extreme  climate  change  jet  stream  weather  ocean  warming 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
A glut of crude politics - BBC News
It turns out US unconventional oil and gas production is more resilient, at a lower price, than the Saudis and others had predicted. Break-even for the new Texas and Dakota wells is higher than current prices (US West Texas Intermediate is below $37.50). So there is some expectation that supply from that American source will fall away in the next few months, as fracked wells lose pressure. But given the technology, it takes not much time to crank it back up again - once the price rises. [...] But the word from Oil and Gas UK is that there is now a "sustained fear" that prices will stay low for a long time. One of the trade body's senior managers told BBC radio on Wednesday that fields are losing money at current prices, and some aren't even covering their production costs. The consequence, says, Mike Tholen, will be fewer fields producing by the end of 2016. And with exploration all but dried up, there won't be fields to replace them. //&! bbc.in/1O0Rj4d
OPEC  Oil  price  commodity  prices  commodities  recovery  global  economy  Saudi  Arabia  unintended  consequences  energy  price  energy  policy  short-termism  unknown  unkown 
december 2015 by asterisk2a
An increase in the water temperature of the world's oceans of around 6 °C could stop oxygen production by phytoplankton : Futurology
To get an idea of what lower temperatures will bring us: "A 4 degrees C future is incompatible with an organized global community, is likely to be beyond 'adaptation', is devastating to the majority of ecosystems, and has a high probability of not being stable. "
climate  change  climate  crisis  mass  extinction  COP21  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  crony  capitalism  capitalism  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  Wall  Street  neoliberalism  neoliberal  self-regulation  ocean  warming  acidification  ecological  disaster  environmental  disaster  COP15  food  security  National  food  prices  economic  damage  extreme  weather  weather  extreme  global  warming  climate  science  climate  system  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences 
december 2015 by asterisk2a
Future of human gene editing to be decided at landmark summit | Science | The Guardian
Jennifer Doudna, an inventor of a gene editing tool called Crispr-Cas9, said Asilomar was much in mind when the summit was organised. “I think it’s this generation’s version of Asilomar,” she says. “It’s a very exciting time, but as with any powerful technology, there is always the risk that something will be done either intentionally or unintentionally that somehow has ill effects.”
DNA  genetics  gene  doping  humanity  ethics  gene  editing  medical  profession  medical  advances  medical  research  GMO  evolution  complexity  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences 
november 2015 by asterisk2a
Atomausstieg und Finanzierung: Beschwichtigen und bezichtigen - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Gut 38 Milliarden Euro haben E.on , RWE , EnBW und Vattenfall dafür zurückgelegt. Doch die Milliarden liegen nicht auf irgendwelchen Konten, sondern müssen teils von den Kraftwerken der Konzerne noch erwirtschaftet werden. Die aber verkaufen aufgrund des Booms der erneuerbaren Energien immer weniger Strom zu immer schlechteren Preisen. Obendrein drohen die Kosten für den Atomausstieg immer weiter zu steigen, weil die Suche nach einem Endlager für die strahlenden Überreste des Nuklearzeitalters komplizierter und langwieriger ist als geplant. Die Regierung sorgt sich, dass die Rückstellungen nicht reichen und die Steuerzahler am Ende auf Milliardenkosten sitzen bleiben - obwohl die Energieriesen mit den AKW zuvor gewaltige Gewinne gemacht haben.
corporate  scandal  white-collar  crime  nuclear  power  renewable  energy  fairness  crony  capitalism  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  Wall  Street  energy  policy  energy  price  EEG  Umlage  spin  doctor  reframing  framing  Positioning  fossil  fuel  climate  change  global  warming  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  Fukushima 
november 2015 by asterisk2a
COP21 primer: A brief history of climate talks - BBC News
Inside Bonn climate change talks - bbc.in/1W8KaTh //&! COP21: Malawi's battle to hold on to forests - bbc.in/1Lywt4t //&! COP21: Why does Paris climate change conference matter? - bbc.in/1WrtGpl //&! Paris climate summit: Major oil producers back 'effective' deal - bbc.in/1MQtJRZ - define effective. as if they (aka money) has a they in this. the only people who should have a say in this, attending COP21 are millenials. - should make a video "COP21 run by Scottish Millenials." //&! UN: Climate plans must go further to prevent dangerous warming - bbc.in/21f4Qci //&! World must reach agreement over climate change, says Obama - bbc.in/1NOnWfy //&! Obama: Climate change is 'greatest threat' - bbc.in/21f56rN & bbc.in/1P7QgiX & bbc.in/1Ncd66I (obamas target: coal) //&! Can Obama persuade India to act on climate change? - bbc.in/1T2kfqp //&! Climate change: Poorest most vulnerable - bbc.in/1N774A3 - food price = national security - IPPC Report - bbc.in/1rYSZ0r & bbc.in/1gfw2ws //&!
COP21  climate  change  global  warming  Kyoto  COP15  mass  extinction  extreme  weather  weather  extreme  climate  crisis  economic  damage  National  Security  food  prices  China  India  air  pollution  public  health  IPCC  complexity  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  NGO  Non-Profit  courage  capitalism  crony  capitalism  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value 
november 2015 by asterisk2a
TTIP und Gentechnik: US-Behörden lassen Gen-Lachs zu - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Erstmals hat die Lebensmittelbehörde FDA ein genetisch verändertes Tier zum Verzehr freigegeben: In den Vereinigten Staaten darf künftig besonders schnell wachsender Lachs verkauft werden - ohne besondere Kenntlichmachung. [...] Was heißt das für die TTIP-Debatte? Es handelt sich um das erste genetisch veränderte Tier, das die FDA zum Verzehr freigibt. Zahlreiche Verbraucherorganisationen kritisierten die Entscheidung und kündigten an, dagegen vorzugehen. Ob und gegebenenfalls wann modifizierter Lachs tatsächlich in Läden und Restaurants kommen könnte, war zunächst nicht klar. [...] In Deutschland hatte die Bundesregierung jedoch die Pläne für eine Kennzeichnungspflicht genetisch veränderter Lebensmittel verschleppt. Verschiedene Gutachten hatten zudem davor gewarnt, dass TTIP und Ceta dieses Vorhaben gefährdeten. So erwartet der Wissenschaftliche Dienst des Bundestags sogar Klagen der USA, sollte die EU eine entsprechende Kennzeichnungspflicht einführen. //&! bbc.in/1X133Ih
Fish  Industry  Livestock  farming  Factory  Industrial  food  GMO  Consumer  Protection  GMO  crop  TTIP  TPP  CETA  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  Wall  Street  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences 
november 2015 by asterisk2a
Bees and pesticides 'missing link' found - BBC News
they just die quicker, just like any other livestock animal you know. like cows living max 5 years vs 20-25 years normally.
colony  collapse  disorder  Honey  Bee  pesticide  fungicide  herbicide  neonicotinoid  Industrial  Farming  Livestock  Factory  Farming  food  industry  climate  change  animal  rights  animal  cruelty  wildlife  mass  extinction  complexity  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences 
november 2015 by asterisk2a
Britain set for white Christmas? 36 days of snow forecast after 'coldest Atlantic for 80 years' - Mirror Online
Experts blamed the record cold ocean temperatures on the melting of the Greenland ice sheet, also feared to be slowing the Gulf Stream, which pushes warm currents towards Britain. The US Government's National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration weather department said: "The area of ocean had its coldest January to August in at least 80 years of records." //&! [Stronger than ever El Nino may exacerbate Winter conditions] The knock-on effects around the globe, which include unusually cold winters in Britain, could be catastrophic. The last El Nino, six years ago, saw the UK crippled by the worst winter for decades with widespread harsh frosts, sub-zero temperatures and heavy snow setting in from early December and lasting until March. - bit.ly/1PuF8fr - UK forecasters are also bracing themselves for the worst with all the ingredients in place for a lengthy and savagely cold and snowy season. [...] unprecedented sequence of events
climate  change  greenland  iceshield  greenland  climate  science  climate  system  climate  crisis  economic  damage  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  Gulf  Stream  ocean  warming  El  Nino  complexity 
november 2015 by asterisk2a
Farming News - Pesticides have bigger impact on invertebrates than climate change new study reports
This is one of the first studies to investigate the impact such factors have on farmland invertebrates in the UK and it is hoped that the findings will encourage the creation of new measures to mitigate the loss of these organisms. Results suggest that increasing pesticide use has had more of a direct effect on abundance of some invertebrates than temperature change, with the main driver of change in an agricultural environment being human behaviour. Climate change will, in the long term, cause changes in certain groups of organisms, some of which are cereal pests whose abundance may increase. Any subsequent increase in the use of insecticides will negatively affect the abundance of all invertebrate groups, many of which are beneficial.
pesticide  fungicide  herbicide  mass  extinction  Honey  Bee  colony  collapse  disorder  Industrial  Farming  mono  agriculture  monocrop  monoculture  agriculture  food  industry  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  shared  economic  interest  economic  damage  climate  change  GMO  crop  GMO  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  ecological  disaster  ecology  environmental  disaster  environment  morality  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
How Soviet pollution destroyed the Aral Sea - BBC News
[ one example. doesn't mean its the last one ] In October 1990 Western scientists confirmed the virtual disappearance of the Aral Sea in Soviet Central Asia, formerly the fourth largest inland sea in the world.The loss of sea water was the result of 60 years of intensive agriculture and pollution by the Soviet authorities. It is considered the biggest manmade loss of water in recorded history. The surrounding areas were devastated. Local fisherman watched as the shore gradually receded and fish stocks ran out. Local children fell victim to respiratory illnesses. Professor Denys Brunsden, of London's King's College, was one of the first Western scientists to visit the Aral Sea in 1990. //&! Volunteers map UK coastline for industrial damage - bbc.in/1GSy6ZT - science led management; new artificial strip on coast changed things and beach stripped itself of sand ... //&! Beach litter 'increasing', says Marine Conservation Society - bbc.in/1xat2Q6
Aral  Sea  regulation  pollution  ecological  disaster  environmental  disaster  self-regulation  industrial  agriculture  agriculture  industry  agriculture  policy  Desertification  soil  erosion  coastal  erosion  deforestation  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  complexity  mass  extinction  global  warming  climate  change  sustainability  sustainable  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  Aquifer  water  rights  water  scarcity  water  supply  water  security  drinking  water  water  pollution  plastic  nation  recycling  Great  Pacific  Garbage  Patch  Ocean  acidification  warming  heavy  metal  pollution  crony  capitalism  capitalism  exploitation 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
UK's most expensive city facing 'catastrophe' - BBC News
shortage of supply = unaffordable = nobody can afford to live there, work there, study there. or have to commute from out of town for 1 hour or more. // this is not only a problem in Oxford. NHS Grampian has problems of recruiting because unaffordable house prices and rents pushed up by Oil Industry and the lack of new housing. Same for teaching jobs. // all the while building companies make pumper profits and even skirt around the edges to lower the ratio of social and affordable housing they have to provide with each new big project. its in their interest, if prices were to fell, they would make less money. so they build not enough to keep up with demand at all. and not enough so each new builds profit rises because of risen demand and people willing to pay more for the same house or flat from previous year or two or three despite no real improvement in the build technically/energy efficiency wise/or architecture wise - modern, wide open, big windows. //
UK  Housing  Crisis  green  belt  Supply  and  Demand  Demand  and  Supply  property  bubble  speculative  bubbles  generation  rent  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  babyboomers  vested  interest  interest  groups  mortgage  market  shared  economic  interest  commuting  quality  of  life  standard  of  living  cost  of  living  city  living  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  underinvestment  productive  investment  NHS  Grampian  Public  Services  Social  Services  Tories  nasty  party  Conservative  distortion  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  hot-money  credit  bubble  China  capitalism  collusion  Policy  Makers  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  affordable  cost  of  entry  cost  center  cost  of  ownership  cost  of  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  democracy  interest  minority  folly  error  competitive  competitiveness  macroprudential  Buy  to  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Right  to  Buy  fiscal  austerity  deprivation  urbanisation  urban  planning  monetary  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  general  election  2020  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Toff  Privileged  Establishment  Entitlement  Millennials  generationy 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
IMF warns of new financial crisis if interest rates rise | Business | The Guardian
Fund says governments in emerging markets should prepare now for a new credit crunch because of a 10-year corporate borrowing binge [...] “Shocks to the corporate sector could quickly spill over to the financial sector and generate a vicious cycle as banks curtail lending. Decreased loan supply would then lower aggregate demand and collateral values, further reducing access to finance and thereby economic activity, and in turn, increasing losses to the financial sector,” the IMF warns. [...] “Emerging markets must prepare for the adverse domestic stability implications of global financial tightening,” the IMF says.
credit  bubble  2015  Taper  centralbanks  IMF  OECD  Frontier  Markets  Developing  World  Richard  Koo  Debt  Super  Cycle  BRIC  AIIB  World  Bank  recovery  global  economy  global  trade  globalization  globalisation  flat  borderless  currency-war  currency  debasement  currency  war  BOE  BOJ  Abenomics  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  FOMO  asset  allocation  capital  allocation  malinvestment  speculative  bubbles  property  bubble  China  Brazil  commodity  prices  Oil  price  OPEC  reflate  reflation  equity  bubble  emerging  middle  class  demographic  bubble  secular  stagnation  western  UK  USA  Europe  Germany  austerity  divergence  faultlines  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  Niall  Ferguson  Fed  mandate  monetary  policy  unconventional  monetary  policy  zombie  consumer  zombie  banks  bailout  banking  crisis  crisis  fiscal  policy  fiscal  stimulus  economic  history  trickle-down  economics  tax  avoidance  tax  evasion  inequality  Gini  coefficient  NPL  shadow  banking  zombie  corporations  junk  bond  creditrating  distortion  financial  financial  crisis  GFC 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Borrowing up amid interest rates speculation - BBC News
Mortgage brokers said that the relatively low mortgage rates on offer could be a response to a mismatch of supply and demand. "The mortgage market remains over supplied with lenders having more money to lend than there are people looking for home loans. This means criteria will have to loosen and rates will have to remain low to ensure lenders hit their volume targets," said Mark Harris, chief executive of SPF Private Clients. "For many, the main issue is not so much finding a cheap mortgage rate but being able to prove affordability to satisfy the lender and meet [the regulator's] tighter criteria."
property  bubble  mortgage  market  distortion  affordable  housing  housing  market  Crisis  UK  social  housing  generation  rent  Supply  and  Demand  Demand  and  Supply  debtoverhang  household  debt  consumer  debt  debt  servitude  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  private  debt  2015  Taper  BOE  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Funding  for  Lending  Scheme  excess  reserves  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  subprime  macroprudential  policy 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
▶ BBC Radio 4 - Radio 4 in Four, 3 ways to improve mood with food
There are certain types of foods that have a detrimental effect on behaviour and mood. // preservatives & additives impair concentration ... // + sugar & refined carbohydrates! spike up & down, yoyo! = metabolic syndrome/pre diabetic even if normal weight range! // oats! non-refined (processed) carbs! low glycemic load! // trans fat linked to impaired function // PERFECT STORM! of basic inequality and child poverty, add food poverty. PERFECT STORM FOR inequality. there is no such thing as meritocracy. you either have luck and exploit it or you don't have luck and drew the shortest straw. = CHILD ABUSE!!! youtu.be/cCGk1g5lhqc - Childhood obesity, overweight, pre-diabetic, metabolic syndrome. mental impairment. chronic stress! //&! Little Sugar Addicts by Kathleen Desmaisons &! Potatoes Not Prozac by Kathleen Desmaisons (last one mentioned by durianrider) - youtu.be/V9nSbcff6hc //&! Ad Targeting to Children (food industry) << has to be outlawed! no kids/adolescent
fast  food  processed  food  mental  health  mental  illness  food  industry  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  well  being  public  health  policy  public  health  self-regulation  regulators  regulation  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  Big  Sugar  food  poverty  Whole  Plant  Foods  junk  food  carnism  omnivore  childhood  childhood  development  parenting  parenthood  trans  fat  WHO  obesity  epidemic  obesity  metabolic  syndrome  diabetes  chronic  diseases  chronic  low-grade  inflammation  chronic  stress  overweight  sedentary  lifestyle  western  world  pattern  diet  Standard  American  diet  dietary  cholesterol  western  diet  dieting  child  poverty  inequality  Gini  coefficient  meritocracy  meritocratic  gender  inequality  education  policy  health  care  budget  health  care  spending  health  crisis  sick  population  Glycemic  Load  Desert  western  society  western  lifestyle  book  insulin  resistance  non-alcoholic  fatty  liver  disease  child  abuse  neglect  Services  Social  Services  NHS  prevention  health  policy  health  science  medical  profession  medical  research  medical  advances  child  care 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
What Pisses Me Off About The European Migrant Crisis - YouTube
// germany has already bad record of integration and assimilation of 1st and 2nd gen of immigration/migrants into western society at large. thus the hotspots of trouble, deprivation, youth unemployment (NEET), crime, anti-social behaviour, ... in suburbs, outer city boroughs, ... not just Germany, also France (banlieues). Niall Ferguson talked about it as a big big big fucking problem! //&! And Schauble even asks his departments to make savings (public and social services and investment cuts) to pay for cost. - bit.ly/1WeQHZf //&! The Death of Germany | European Migrant Crisis - youtu.be/-30gF6WB-GY ... "you can judge ideology" - Sharia Law. Islamic Radicalism. Honor Killing. Quran. vs western values.
refugee  crisis  European  Union  Germany  2015  Middle  East  migration  immigration  Syrien  Syria  ISIS  al-Qaida  Taliban  Boko  Haram  Nigeria  Lybia  Iraq  Afghanistan  Eritrea  Asylbewerber  Asylum  Balkan  Roma  economic  refugee  refugee  political  refugee  war  refugee  East  Europe  Jordan  Islamic  Law  radicalism  Islamic  State  Muslim  Separation  of  powers  Religion  extremism  welfare  social  safety  net  personal  values  values  culture  society  integration  assimilation  philosophy  western  world  history  Gesellschaft  Zivilgesellschaft  Zivilcourage  civil  courage  civil  society  ethnic  minority  democracy  France  Rechtsextremismus  Rechtsruck  fairness  hartz-iv  bank  bailout  austerity  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  Career  Politicians  western  society  pluralistic  society  civic  society  corporate  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  Polarisation  manufactured  consent  USA  UK  foreign  affairs  Aid  foreign  policy  globalization  globalisation  flat  world  borderless  foreign  relations  Iraq  WMD  presidency  barackobama  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  Lebanon  Arab  League  Police  Russia  Iran  Neonazi  Neo-Nazi  Nazi  Turkey  public  debate  public  perception 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Weltwirtschaft: BIZ warnt vor Krediten in Schwellenländern - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Die Bank für Internationalen Zahlungsausgleich sieht Alarmzeichen für Banken in vielen Schwellenländern. Die Kreditvergabe in China, Brasilien oder der Türkei habe ein bedrohliches Verhältnis angenommen, warnt die Notenbank. // &! Die Welt steuert auf den Bankrott zu (QE trap): Eine vorläufige Antwort: Das tieferliegende Problem besteht darin, dass sich die Weltwirtschaft insgesamt auf den Bankrott zubewegt - und das wird umso schneller gehen, je höher die Zinsen sind und je niedriger die Preissteigerungsraten.
BIS  credit  bubble  2015  China  BRIC  NPL  shadow  banking  junk  bond  creditrating  banking  crisis  excess  reserves  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  hot-money  currency-war  currency  debasement  currency  war  centralbanks  economic  history  hunt  for  yield  FOMO  speculative  bubbles  FX  reserves  Turkey  Brazil  Developing  World  Fed  distortion  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  Raghuram  Rajan  BOE  BOJ  Abenomics  PBOC  ECB  emerging  market  emerging  middle  class  AIIB  Asia  South  Africa  Latin  America  deflationary  deflation  secular  stagnation  western  Niall  Ferguson  globalization  globalisation  wage  stagnation  disposable  income  income  distribution  income  inequality  income  growth  income  mobility  income  gap  wage  growth  GFC  recovery  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  austerity  Pact  European  Union  UK  USA  Richard  Koo  Joseph  Stiglitz  Paul  Krugman  dogma  ideology  Fed  mandate  inflation  targeting  New  Normal  bond  bubble  QE  trap  liquidity  trap  reflate  reflation  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  property  bubble  capital  allocation  QT  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  trickle-down  economics  marginal  cost  economics  of  abundance  digital  economy  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  World  Bank  IMF  savings  glut  faultlines  structural  imbalance  Impediments  Super  Cycle  debt  ser 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
The Fed has to deal with its own zombie apocalypse
"However, there are pockets of greater weakness like these zombie companies. These pockets are likely to see some more turbulence than overall conditions. Some companies definitely will go out of business." It isn't just the zombies, though, that should worry about higher rates. Corporate America overall has been piling on the debt, which grew 8.3 percent in the second quarter, according to figures the Fed released Friday. [...] Michael Contopoulos, high-yield strategist at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, said the high-yield space is a mess no matter what the Fed does. Global economic weakness and deteriorating fundamentals are making it increasingly harder for the Fed to underwrite junk debt through a zero funds rate. [...] Earnings for junk companies have been "incredibly weak," [...] "leverage is at all-time highs" while "defaults and downgrades are creeping into the market." [...] the issues with high-yield could be more secular in nature.
zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  Junk  Bond  Taper  Fed  Fed  mandate  USA  Richard  Koo  interest  payments  bubble  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  unconventional  monetary  policy  unintended  consequences  distortion  unknown  unkown  complexity  QT  2015  China  credit  bubble  BRIC  monetary  policy  monetary  transmission  mechanism  liquidity  trap  liquidity  squeeze  credit  ratings  secular  stagnation  western  world  refinancing  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  corporate  debt  leverage  margin  trading  reflate  reflation  productivity  UK  Europe  output  gap  competitive  competition  globalization  globalisation  borderless  flat  world  New  Normal  economic  history  trickle-down  economics  marginal  cost  economics  of  abundance 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
World Bank warns on US rate rise - BBC News
[ game of chicken ] [ can private sector carry forward the little bit of recovery/growth the western world got in a rising interest rate world, that will eat away spending bc of higher repayment rates amid little to no wage growth !!! ] [W]arned developing countries to brace themselves for possible financial turbulence when the US Federal Reserve starts to raise interest rates. It could come as early as Thursday when the Fed concludes a policy meeting. A new report from the World Bank says there will probably be a modest impact on developing countries. But it also warns there is some risk that it could be worse. The Bank says it is possible that there would be sufficient disruption to capital flows into developing countries to harm economic growth and financial stability. //&! bit.ly/1QhP6Of //&! youtu.be/G8lCqhCbrA4 //&! youtu.be/KH1UlvgXqTE = bond sell-off move in anticipation of Taper. //&! strength of dollar added already 25bps - youtu.be/zWrxFszwrsQ &! youtu.be/lpTkQqEQmE4
Taper  Fed  BOE  2015  BIS  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Richard  Koo  reflate  reflation  asset  bubble  hunt  for  yield  FOMO  frothy  World  Bank  distortion  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  capital  allocation  asset  allocation  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  monetary  policy  monetary  transmission  mechanism  liquidity  trap  monetary  theory  GFC  recovery  credit  bubble  China  BRIC  Brazil  India  South  Africa  Russia  Europe  UK  BOJ  Abenomics  liquidity  credit  squeeze  excess  reserves  PBOC  economic  history  creditcrunch  credit  crunch  ECB  commodity  prices  energy  price  Oil  price  OPEC  petrodollar  QT  FX  reserves  global  trade  New  Normal  secular  stagnation  faultlines  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  western  deflationary  deflation  austerity  fiscal  policy  monetary  stimulus  monetary  system  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  unconventional  monetary  policy  debtoverhang  refinancing  creditrating  creditrisk  deleveraging  private  debt  household  debt  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  income  growth  income  distribution  low  income  inequality  Gini  coefficient  squeezed  middle  class  downward  mobility  working  poor  precarious  work  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  self-employment  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  Sozialer  Abstieg  j 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Pando: Good news! B rounds have doubled in value over five years!
B Round! doubling down on (to a certain point) proven ideas as they move to make themselves solid/viable (building business model & continued growth if not even putting some more gasoline on the fire with a B Round - allocation of resources). thus there is competition thus bidding up in a private market. BUT BUT also reflects the rising cost! Rising cost to grow, the war for talent to scale, and the cost in said hubs/ecosystems where the talent are already working on scaling other companies, where rent is sky high and space rare to expand office, ops, ramp up head count, ... // why, on a side note!, ? because global ZIRP, NIRP, QE, hunt for yield, FOMO, property speculation, alternative asset management and allocation (newly minted paper millionaers) have bid up prices in metropolitan and hot cities by credit bubbles around the world. bc financial markets are global, thus your allocation/diversification is global, not limited where ur home addr is. adding to volatiliy too bc of froth!
Silicon  Valley  Seed  Round  Party  Round  SPV  Venture  Capital  Private  Market  FOMO  hunt  for  yield  B  Round  A  Round  growth  Private  Equity  Hedge  Fund  Angel  Investor  Micro  VC  2015  cost  of  living  credit  bubble  cost  of  entry  aspirational  leverage  margin  trading  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  distortion  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  BOE  BOJ  Abenomics  PBOC  Fed  unintended  consequences  burn  rate  runway  ECB  Mutual  Fund  unknown  unkown  inflation  targeting  Fed  mandate  inflation  expectation  secular  stagnation  deflationary  deflation  economic  growth  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  reflate  reflation  monetary  policy  unconventional  monetary  policy  financial  financial  repression  western  world  Developing  BRIC  emerging  complexity  incomplete  information 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Raghuram Rajan - One-on-One: an investigative interview - 44th St. Gallen Symposium - YouTube
Relying too much on the wrong instrument, monetary policy, unconventional QE2 & 3 >> little domestic positive impact but spilled over much across the world! // consequences now seen (1) taper tantrum late 2014 & then summer 2015; china slow-down/equity crash & taper anticipation moves followed up by pulling money out of emerging/developing markets! financial market are divergent from domestic business market. cycles shifted apart slightly. investor, business, financial market & consumer confidence are not linked as tightly before! // financial markets are now global, business markets itself not as much! money can be pulled out digitally in an instance. // no net-positive 4 whole world. selfishness. long-run danger. unintended consequences, unknown unknowns. // global sub-optimal monetary policy // global system (monetary system) broke // uncertainty, unknown of taper. timing debate. game of chicken. volatility bc of lots of froth, distortion! // &! youtu.be/SZe3issLIb8
Raghuram  Rajan  BIS  centralbanks  hot-money  currency-war  currency  debasement  currency  war  GFC  recovery  monetary  policy  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  excess  reserves  speculative  bubbles  reflate  reflation  economic  history  faultlines  credit  bubble  BRIC  2015  emerging  market  Developing  World  western  secular  stagnation  BOJ  Abenomics  PBOC  globalization  globalisation  financial  market  zombie  banks  savings  glut  business  confidence  business  investment  USA  UK  Europe  China  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  FOMO  hunt  for  yield  speculative  speculation  Super  Rich  1%  property  bubble  unconventional  monetary  policy  Fed  BOE  ECB  inflation  expectation  inflation  targeting  Fed  mandate  deflationary  deflation  fiscal  policy  irrational  exuberance  panic  hubris  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  Taper  book  structural  imbalance  Impediments  reserve  currency  fiat  currency  current  account  deficit  trade  deficit  structural  deficit  fiscal  deficit  fiscal  stimulus  Germany  austerity  dogma  ideology  credibility  Career  Politicians  Pact  Schuldenbremse  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  stimulus  monetary  theory  monetary  system  complexity  incomplete  information  shadow  banking  uncertainty  volatility  distortion  financial  repression  governance 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Consumed: How We Buy Class in Modern Britain: Amazon.co.uk: Harry Wallop: 9780007457106: Books
[ abuse of human condition, evolution ] he argues that our social standing in today's society is no longer determined by the accent you speak with, the school you attended, or your parents. Rather, it is determined by the food we eat, our choice of holiday destination, the clothes we wear, the size of the TV we sit in front of, and whether you use a plug-in air freshener or a smelly candle. // &! Enough: Breaking Free from the World of Excess Paperback (2009) by John Naish // &! No Logo by Naomi Klein //&! The Tyranny of Choice - Renata Salecl //&! The Paradox of Choice: Why More Is Less - Barry Schwartz //&! The Art Of Choosing: The Decisions We Make Everyday of our Lives, What They Say About Us and How We Can Improve Them - Sheena Iyengar // &! Essentialism: The Disciplined Pursuit of Less (Greg McKeown) // &! September 2015 Wish list // &! essentialism, simplicity, minimalism, minimalismus, and tim ferriss >> decision fatigue
status  anxiety  status  symbol  status  quo  socioeconomic  status  social  status  identity  visual  identity  labels  label  boxes  snap  judgement  Alain  de  Botton  book  materialism  consumer  choice  consumerism  consumerist  consumer  zombie  consumer  closetphile  marketing  reframing  framing  Apple  aspirational  aspirational  product  advertisement  advertising  childhood  development  childhood  prejudice  judgement  society  Gesellschaft  Wegwerfgesellschaft  short-term  substance  abuse  climate  change  global  warming  long-term  view  long-term  thinking  counter  culture  Silicon  Valley  social  entrepreneurship  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  Opportunism  opportunist  crony  capitalism  post-capitalism  capitalism  Share  Economy  marginal  propensity  to  consume  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  finite  resources  ecological  disaster  plastic  nation  plastic  bag  environmental  disaster  Millennials  generationy  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  shared  economic  interest  climate  crisis  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  Polarisation  manufactured  consent  corporate  media  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  Career  Politicians  nanny  state  revolving  door  propaganda  CSR  corporate  social  responsibility  corporate  state  corporate  culture  corporate  values  character  personal  values  PR  spin  doctor  media  social  change  con 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
China's impossible trinity - BBC News
At the heart of China's problem is the "impossible trinity" of international macroeconomics. The impossible trinity - or trilemma - is the idea that it is impossible for a country to have three things at the same time: a stable currency, the free movement of capital (i.e. the absence of capital controls) and independent monetary policy. A country can instead choose just two of the options from this policy suite. The UK, in common with most developed economies, has free capital movement and an independent monetary policy - but not a controlled exchange rate. The Bank of England sets interest rates at a level it thinks is right for the UK economy and - as capital can flow into and out of the UK at will - the exchange rate is determined by the market. [...] But the bigger criticism is usually over the nature of the post-2009 stimulus package [...] But, for all the criticism, the counterfactual is rarely stated. What would global growth have looked like without it? [//+ deflation factors]
China  liberal  economic  reform  2015  credit  bubble  devaluation  currency  debasement  Yuan  RMB  PBOC  IMF  SDR  macroeconomics  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  QE  recovery  GFC  economic  history  banking  crisis  shadow  banking  NPL  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  property  bubble  hot-money  BRIC  western  world  global  trade  global  economy  deflationary  deflation  reflate  reflation  equity  bubble  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  distortion  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  Fed  BOE  BOJ  Abenomics  currency  war  currency-war  aggregate  demand  short-fall  aggregate  demand  Richard  Koo  consumer  debt  household  debt  student  loan  debt  debt  servitude  sovereign  debt  crisis  debt  bubble  Super  Cycle  student  debt  public  debt  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  private  debt  globalisation  globalization  technological  progress  flat  world  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  secular  stagnation  borderless  global  imbalances  faultlines  structural  imbalance  savings  glut  Impediments  inequality  squeezed  middle  class  Europe  UK  OECD  marginal  propensity  to  consume  Sozialer  Abstieg  working  poor  precarious  work  income  growth  deregulation  self-regulation  Workers  Union  wage  pressure  disposable  income  income  distribution  income  redistribution  low  income  income  inequality  American  Dream  USA  Gini  Super  coe 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Flüchtlings-Drama: Europa trägt Mitschuld - Kommentar - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Europa hält sich von Kriegen lieber fern, beutet arme Länder aus, spart an Entwicklungshilfe - und trägt dadurch eine Mitverantwortung für das Flüchtlingsdrama.
Europe  western  world  Middle  East  economic  refugee  refugee  political  refugee  war  refugee  UK  USA  foreign  policy  foreign  affairs  foreign  relations  Iraq  ISIS  neoliberalism  neoliberal  free  trade  exploitation  trade  deal  Africa  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  policy  folly  policy  error  Police  al-Qaida  Saudi  Arabia 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Banks Are Perilously Exposed to China - Bloomberg View
International banks, however, don't appear to be heavily exposed to China, at first glance anyway. Bank of International Settlements data show that their claims on Chinese banks, companies, consumers and public sector are quite manageable, though Australian and U.K. banks have extended a lot of credit in China in proportion to their total foreign assets: [...] U.K. banks' $198 billion in Chinese assets at the end of last year looks particularly threatening, especially given that HSBC and Standard Chartered both derive a significant portion of their revenue from China. This exposure is particularly problematic because a debt overhang is one of the Chinese economy's biggest problems.
exposure  China  banking  crisis  investment  banking  UK  USA  2015  credit  bubble  equity  bubble  speculative  bubbles  bond  bubble  property  bubble  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  distortion  ZIRP  PBOC  NIRP  QE  QT  2016  balance  sheet  recession  underwater  debtoverhang  VAR  excess  reserves  shadow  banking  fractional  reserve  banking  banking  Fed  BOE  London  Bank  Oversight  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Mark  Carney  liquidity  trap  Taper  monetary  transmission  mechanism  M3  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  system  monetary  theory  austerity  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  deregulation  self-regulation  regulation  regulators  Westminster  Toff  Conservative  Party  Tories  Establishment  Privileged  speculative  speculation  derivatives  financial  repression  financial  market  financial  cycle  financial  literacy  financial  crisis  HSBC  Standard  Chartered  NPL  correction  overcapacity  AIIB  Asia  FX  reserves  centralbank  reserves  margin  trading  leverage  irrational  exuberance  hubris  panic  petrodollar  Oil  price  OPEC  global  trade  global  economy  global  growth  global  imbalances  faultlines  structural  imbalance  Impediments  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  BIS  Germany  Japan  Yuan  RMB  devaluation 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Alibaba Is the Canary in China's Coal Mine - Bloomberg View
It turns out investors were right about Alibaba: No company is more on the front lines of China's economic shifts than Jack Ma's juggernaut. And that's just where the problems begin. [...] After months of putting the entire weight of the government behind saving the market, Beijing appears to have given up. The fallout from that realization will have unpredictable effects on 1.3 billion people indoctrinated to believe Beijing can control any crisis or narrative. As markets swoon and gross domestic product slides, consumers are delaying nonessential purchases. [...] Mass austerity has only just begun. [...] it would be interesting to see how the government responds to "large and widespread investment losses that could lead to a notable negative wealth effect which could weaken consumption, as well as grievances against the authorities." [...] Macau's GDP -26.4% last quarter [...] Chinese gamblers stayed home. [...] Ma created a better quarterly GDP report than Beijing.
Alibaba  China  Jack  Ma  2015  credit  bubble  PBOC  equity  bubble  asset  bubble  property  bubble  speculative  bubbles  speculative  hunt  for  yield  speculation  Yuan  RMB  devaluation  distortion  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  margin  trading  leverage  discretionary  spending  Call  Taper  Fed  BOE  balance  sheet  recession  underwater  market  intervention  bond  bubble  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  hubris  irrational  exuberance  western  world  faultlines  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  savings  glut  correlation  excess  reserves  banking  crisis  shadow  banking  investment  banking  New  Normal  fractional  reserve  banking  banking  BIS  centralbanks  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  short-term  1%  Super  Rich  Privileged  Establishment  Toff  bank  bailout 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Easy Money Creates the Most Dangerous Bubbles - Bloomberg View
[Money has been slushing arnd in markets speculating, not investing in future & productive, added value goods. big companies are flush 2. easy credit is holding zombie corps of the last century over water. western world is persisting 2 put a banking bailout/crisis in the light of a sovereign debt crisis 2 push idealogical austerity. falling way being, never be able 2 catch up with productivity, output gap, STEM, research, future of work, smart grid & infrastructure, retooling their economy 21st century style.] // "speculation in property markets, amplified by mortgage financing, as a persistent central factor driving economic cycles." [...] the worst bubbles -- those that inflict the most economic pain -- tend to involve not just speculation, but a surge in easy lending and increasing leverage. [...] economic downturns following credit bubbles were generally worse and lasted longer. [...] danger of leverage cycle. // [ easy credit & debt fuelled recovery of assets, not fundamentals ]
book  credit  bubble  liquidity  trap  Richard  Koo  economic  history  zombie  banks  Mark  Blyth  Paul  Krugman  Joseph  Stiglitz  business  confidence  business  investment  economic  damage  2015  faultlines  structural  imbalance  structural  unemployment  skills  gap  skill-biased  technological  change  education  policy  austerity  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  recovery  western  world  USA  UK  Europe  Germany  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  Smart  Grid  Software  Is  Eating  The  GFC  Career  Politicians  status  quo  social  contract  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  banking  crisis  TBTF  too  big  to  bail  too  big  to  jail  toobigtofail  financial  market  leverage  margin  trading  property  bubble  mortgage  market  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Impediments  distortion  economic  model  economic  cycle  financial  cycle  financial  crisis  financial  incentive  financial  repression  financial  literacy  ECB  Abenomics  BOJ  BOE  Fed  monetary  stimulus  macroprudential  policy  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  debtoverhang  BIS  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  PBOC  China  equity  bubble  speculative  bubbles  bond  bubble  debt  bubble  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  academia  academics  economic-thought  behavioral  economics  behavioral  finance  hubris  panic  consumer  confidence  confidence  trust  banking  investment  banking  distr 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Forget China - Oil Price Is Main Driver Of Market Turmoil | Zero Hedge
For the moment we are expecting oil producers to start to minimize their loses by producing even more oil. The oil crisis has just begun. // // &! DeMark compares China to the start of the Great Depression in the US, and when applying the 38.2 Fib retracement levels which have been breached, now expects even more pain for Chinese stocks - bit.ly/1NJdISb // // &! THINGS WERE TOO FAR AWAY FROM REALITY - Many indicators confirm that last week was remarkable and historic. Record after record was set, including the largest daily move, the biggest intra-day reversal and the most harrowing intra-day air pocket. - bv.ms/1O45W2i - legitimate questions about the robustness of the global economy [ contagion & overshoot - hubris and panic alike, good news gets washed down w bad news, extreme volatility still break markets, contagion still real & ppl are leveraged again (were complacent, institutional! investors!) ] market craziness. [ irrational exuberance that were equities ]. &! bv.ms/1UnLeMV
Oil  price  energy  price  OPEC  2015  China  commodities  global  trade  global  economy  western  world  developed  world  BRIC  credit  bubble  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  PBOC  economic  slowdown  reflate  reflation  asset  allocation  asset  bubble  hunt  for  yield  liquidity  trap  Fed  BOE  BOJ  ECB  hot-money  currency-war  currency  debasement  currency  war  economic  history  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  contagion  VIX  volatility  uncertainty  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  margin  trading  deleveraging  Greed  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  share  buyback  hubris  panic  behavioral  finance  behavioral  economics  irrational  exuberance  economic  growth  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  unconventional  monetary  policy  zombie  banks  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  recovery  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  equity  bubble  bond  bubble  property  bubble  economic  damage 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
International Focus - A History of Austerity - YouTube
fallacy of composition problem // short-term profit seeking and rent-seeking behaviour, underinvestment, no productive investment - especially long-term. // this underinvestment - public and private sector + market forces and technological progess will level the world and the China/Asia/LatAm rises up to the western world level while western world stays stagnant (loss of standard/quality of living competitively) because of being behind - software is eating the world, 3D printing, uncompetitive manufacturing and heavy industry/goods because of higher energy prices because of lack of investment in energy storage systems that are realized right now and backing off in investment in renewable energy and energy efficiency schemes (especially UK budget2015), automation, robotics, lack knowledge workforce to fill future digital/STEM/knowledge jobs, because of low social mobility, student debt, cuts in education - vocational - professional, as well as giving up on child poverty targets.
rent-seeking  austerity  economic  history  recovery  GFC  secular  stagnation  ideology  dogma  European  Union  UK  USA  2015  underinvestment  productive  investment  asset  allocation  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  hunt  for  yield  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  asset  bubble  speculative  bubbles  equity  bubble  bond  bubble  public  investment  infrastructure  investment  long-term  view  long-term  thinking  Career  Politicians  neoliberalism  neoliberal  No  Representation  academia  academics  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Troika  IMF  OECD  ChristineLagarde  Richard  Koo  Paul  Krugman  Robert  Reich  Joseph  Stiglitz  sovereign  debt  crisis  zombie  banks  TBTF  too  big  to  jail  toobigtofail  bank  bailout  NPL  ECB  Fed  BOE  fiscal  policy  Pact  Schuldenbremse  manufactured  consent  corporate  state  propaganda  corporate  media  populism  PR  spin  doctor  Eurogroup  EuroFin  democracy  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  social  contract  crony  capitalism  deregulation  self-regulation  regulation  regulators  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  revolving  door  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  lost  decade  lost  generation  western  world  Developing  developed  world  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  policy  in 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Austerity: The History of a Dangerous Idea - YouTube
faith in capitalism can only be sustained, according to Adam Smith, if we can better ourself (vs winner takes all) & talent diversion into Finance, not Climate Change, STEM, education, sw, hw & rogoff/reinhart called 4 fiscal stimulus in 2014. &! its a banking problem, not overspend, its corporate state (Tories) PR and spin doctors, manufacturing consent, propaganda/populism! change conversation away from banks! // youtu.be/a-8ySh6nUsA // &! The Austerity Delusion - youtu.be/NQGCoiakycQ // &! Is Austerity a Dangerous Idea? - youtu.be/2v8m-J8sgik // &! youtu.be/JQuHSQXxsjM // &! Mackenzie Lecture 2015 - youtu.be/B6vV8_uQmxs // &! After the Financial Crisis: How to Tell the Forest from the Trees - youtu.be/V3FPmu2_J_0 // &! Book Panel 2013 - youtu.be/Xz4FW8GDwG4 - "debt gets cured by growth." & austerity is ideological war on welfare state & class // &! youtu.be/iM2cnMhJZyg // &! youtu.be/in5M65566iw // &! What I Learned and (Un-Learned) at the Financial Crisis - youtu.be/lhldDOp77QA /
austerity  economic  history  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  downward  mobility  inequality  apathy  voter  turnout  crony  capitalism  ideology  dogma  GFC  IMF  OECD  ChristineLagarde  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Angela  Merkel  Troika  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Conservative  Party  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  UK  Europe  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  lost  generation  lost  decade  Japan  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  unintended  consequences  asset  allocation  hunt  for  yield  speculative  bubbles  property  bubble  unknown  unkown  Taper  KennethRogoff  carmenreinhart  Thomas  Piketty  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  sovereign  debt  crisis  deleveraging  Richard  Koo  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Privatisation  industrial  policy  Revolution  2.0  deflationary  deflation  secular  stagnation  globalisation  globalization  Eurogroup  Paul  Krugman  Joseph  Stiglitz  reflate  recovery  reflation  bond  bubble  asset  bubble  faultlines  structural  imbalance  Impediments  BOE  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  short-term  Career  Politicians  political  theory  social  contract  Gesellschaft  No  Representation  Rechtsruck  stagnation  social 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
It's Official: China Confirms It Has Begun Liquidating Treasuries, Warns Washington | Zero Hedge
[ Richard Koo mentioned in a talk that Fed officials dont know abt extend/potential of upward pressure 4 long-dated bonds once Taper started & bond holdings have to be reduces - put on the market + this as a potential long-term trend! ] // we do have an idea of what foreign FX reserve liquidation means for USTs. "Suppose EM and developing countries, which hold $5491 bn in reserves, reduce holdings by 10% over one year - this amounts to 3.07% of US GDP and means 10yr Treasury yields rates rise by a mammoth 108bp ," Citi said, in a note dated earlier this week.  In other words, for every $500 billion in liquidated Chinese FX reserves, there's an attendant 108bps worth of upward pressure on the 10Y. Bear in mind here that thanks to the threat of a looming Fed rate hike and a litany of other factors including plunging commodity prices and idiosyncratic political risks, EM currencies are in free fall which means that it's not just China that's in the process of liquidating USD assets.
bond  bubble  USA  China  Forex  foreignexchange  treasuries  Fed  Taper  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  2015  2016  New  Normal  Richard  Koo  secular  stagnation  economic  history  recovery  emerging  market  emerging  middle  class  Developing  World  global  economy  flat  borderless 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Starker El Niño zieht auf: Wetter ändert sich - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Zusammengefasst: An der Oberfläche des Pazifiks breitet sich warmes Wasser aus, der Osten des Ozeans ist bereits zwei Grad wärmer als normal - ein starker El Niño stehe bevor, warnen Meteorologen. Das Wetterphänomen verändert die Witterung in vielen Teilen der Welt. Doch es gibt Verwirrung über unzutreffende El Niño-Prognosen.
El  Nino  climate  science  climate  system  complexity  unknown  unkown 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
How China's economic slowdown could weigh on the rest of the world | World news | The Guardian
[debt fuelled recovery ] // In the year to July, China's customs agency reports that imports from Australia are down by $15bn dollars on the same period last year - a loss which is already equal to 1% of Australia's GDP, and many other countries stand to lose out to similar degrees. China's imports overall are down by 14.6% over 2015. Find out what happens if this decline continues for the rest of the year - or worsens - and how that loss compares to each country's GDP
China  2015  Europe  USA  globalization  visualisation  visualization  global  trade  global  economy  global  imbalances  faultlines  IMF  OECD  Developing  World  emerging  middle  class  emerging  market  Frontier  Markets  trade  deficit  trade  balance  economic  history  GFC  reflate  reflation  recovery  economic  damage  economic  model  macroeconomic  policy  economic  growth  complexity  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  liquidity  trap  Richard  Koo  developed 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Crash bei Dax und Dow: Das war's mit Illusion Nummer drei - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Solange die Weltwirtschaft brummt, kann eine einzelne Volkswirtschaft ihre Währung so lange abwerten, bis sie wieder wettbewerbsfähig ist und der Aufschwung fast von alleine kommt. Globale Krisen funktionieren anders. Die Weltwirtschaft insgesamt kann nicht abwerten. Sie kann nur produktiver werden, aber nicht wettbewerbsfähiger. Da alle großen Wirtschaftsregionen der Welt - USA, Euroraum, Russland, China, Japan und Südostasien - ihre Mega-Krisen in den letzten zwei Jahrzehnten hatten, gibt es auch keinen Unversehrten mehr, der die Rolle einer weltwirtschaftlichen Lokomotive übernehmen könnte. Das Wachstum der Weltwirtschaft verlangsamt sich somit stetig. [...] Die fetten Jahre sind vorbei [...] [ Share buyback was hot in 2014/15 till now ] [...] Die Verschiebung der Macht von Arbeit zu Kapital schreitet nicht weiter fort. [ low interest rate environment bc low capital returns, new Millennials have to serve now this debt burden and can't hope to inflate it away. & stagnant wages! ]
IMF  OECD  global  economy  global  trade  globalisation  global  imbalances  globalization  borderless  flat  world  GFC  dot.com  recovery  reflate  reflation  secular  stagnation  Richard  Koo  economic  history  austerity  2015  China  USA  UK  Europe  savings  glut  structural  imbalance  distortion  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  underinvestment  productive  investment  output  gap  participation  rate  productivity  Great  Moderation  New  Normal  asset  bubble  equity  bubble  speculative  bubbles  bond  bubble  property  bubble  bubbles  hunt  for  yield  liquidity  trap  monetary  transmission  mechanism  debtoverhang  debt  servitude  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  inflation  expectation  deflationary  deflation  Oil  price  energy  price  OPEC  Makers  policy  error  policy  folly  unintended  consequences  complexity  unknown  unkown  share  buyback  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  public  investment  infrastructure  investment  business  investment  M&A  mainstreet.org  crony  capitalism  exploitation  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  capitalism  bank  bailout  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  social  contract  political  theory  structural  unemployment  Impediments  faultlines  policy  social  l 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Dawn timber-laundering raids cast doubt on 'sustainable' Brazilian wood | Environment | The Guardian
Police investigating suspected environmental scams swoop on state officials and businessmen in Amazon area known for woods used in furniture and decking // Kyoto protocol's carbon credit scheme ‘increased emissions by 600m tonnes’ - Major UNFCCC carbon trading scheme hit by serious corruption allegations involving organised crime in Russia and Ukraine - bit.ly/1ERfAA6 - &! bit.ly/1hDsjlm - Klimaschutz-Zertifikate: Die Gelddruckmaschine - Der Zertifikate-Handel war mal eine gute Idee: Das Klima sollte davon profitieren. Doch tatsächlich bereicherten sich oft nur Geschäftemacher. Eine Studie zeigt, wie dreist bei internationalen Klimaschutzprojekten getrickst wurde.
deforestation  Amazonas  climate  change  climate  science  climate  crisis  Latin  America  drought  unknown  unkown  complexity  unintended  consequences  soil  erosion  global  warming  extreme  weather  weather  extreme  weather  system  corruption  crony  capitalism  capitalism  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  Wall  Street  sustainability  sustainable  exploitation  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  carbonfootprint  CO2  carbonemission  kyoto  oversight  transparency  democracy  social  contract  political  theory  No  Representation  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  ecological  disaster  environmental  disaster  mass  extinction  Career  Politicians 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
US stocks nosedive in early trading amid collapse in global markets | Business | The Guardian
[ great reflation move since 09, finds another opportunity (this time because of China) to reflect. meaning to reassess reality. same with the collapse in emerging market, money going out of high yield & risk back to US/UK in hope of Taper and then came the hammer in form of China scare, people taking even more money out of emerging market/Chinas neighbours into the safe haven (perceived) that is the $/£/EUR market ] Dow dropped more than 1,000 points shortly after the markets opened, but it recovered slightly to be down 620 points, or 6%, shortly before 10am. Dow, which had suffered big falls last week, was trading below 16,000 at 10am – the first time it has been below that level since February 2014. The index is 14% below its record peak in May, putting the Dow firmly into “correction” territory – Wall Street jargon for a drop of 10% or more from a recent peak. &! bit.ly/1EQ31Fn &! bit.ly/1F1zPue - Summers argued for fiscal stimulus, debate about secular stagnation.
correction  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  emerging  market  hunt  for  yield  unintended  consequences  2015  unknown  unkown  hot-money  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  reflate  reflation  recovery  GFC  structural  imbalance  global  imbalances  China  USA  western  world  secular  stagnation  Developing  developed  world  Europe  UK  Singapore  Asia  global  economy  global  trade  energy  price  Oil  price  OPEC  economic  history  Taper  Abenomics  Japan  Fed  BOE  ECB  BOJ  Richard  Koo  equity  bubble  bond  bubble  deflationary  deflation  job  creation  job  market  participation  rate  industrial  policy  Makers  short-term  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  policy  folly  policy  error  PBOC  distortion  faultlines  Impediments  STEM  underinvestment  productive  investment  output  gap  productivity  Paul  Krugman  Larry  Summers  Ben  Bernanke  Janet  Yellen  Mark  Carney  MarioDraghi  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  austerity  fiscal  policy  Pact  Schuldenbremse  fiscal  stimulus  George  Osborne  dogma  IMF  OECD  ChristineLagarde  ideology 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
What is the 'gig' economy? | FT Comment - YouTube
human capital, HR - as cost center. // trading short-term competitiveness (kick ppl of the book according to demand) but trade it in aggregate with long-term social deprivation and skill gaps and underinvestment. because of dog eat dog mentality than you are incentivised to compete on price, because it is the easiest and you are able to to it with those neoliberal labour reforms in Europe. Don't compete with Amazon on price. Don't compete with China/Asia on price. Stupid.
Gig  Economy  1099  Economy  Zero  Hour  Contract  freelancing  freelance  part-time  Contractor  working  poor  precarious  work  uncertainty  squeezed  middle  class  Sozialer  Abstieg  neoliberalism  neoliberal  21stcentury  job  creation  job  market  labour  economics  labour  market  manual  labour  Service  Sector  Jobs  on-demand  convenience  western  world  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  Europe  UK  USA  Germany  capitalism  human  capital  conglomerate  social  safety  net  Universal  Basic  Income  self-employment  tax  credit  poverty  trap  poverty  in  old  age  savings  rate  Policy  Makers  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  folly  error  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  meritocracy  meritocratic  Alain  de  Botton  work  environment  philosophy  chronic  stress  Precariat  Future  of  Mobile  Creatives  Mobile  Creative  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  Workers  Union  Wall  Street  budget  deficit  OECD  IMF  lost  generation  lost  decade  professional  education  vocational  education  education  unintended  consequences  skills  gap  skill-biased  technological  change  Software  Is  Eating  The  Niedriglohnsektor  microeconomic  macroeconomic  deprivation  Perspective  hopelessness  voter  turnout  Career 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Japan Exports Its Way to Irrelevance - Bloomberg View
[ Politicians as always will react with reactionary unimaginative policy, competing for the same pie. instead of enabling, supporting new pies to be created. ] But Abe needs to recognize, as China already has, that this is only the latest sign of a broader reality: Asia's old export model of economic growth no longer works. [...] All the stimulus BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda can muster won't change the worsening trajectory of the region's most-populous nation. That's why Abe needs to take a page from Beijing and focus more on creating new industries at home. [ the base of home grown new market/category/vertical also includes sound middle class to buy those products. demand at home. social safety net (security). and less inequality. progressive taxation. fight tax evasion/avoidance, monopoles, monopsonies, bribery, corruption. and politicians making policy for lobby. ]
Germany  Exportweltmeister  Japan  China  India  Latin  America  competitive  competition  competitiveness  flat  world  borderless  globalization  globalisation  differentiate  differentiation  Abenomics  economic  history  IMF  OECD  global  economy  global  trade  Future  of  Work  Universal  Basic  Income  tax  free  Mobile  Creatives  Mobile  Creative  3D  printing  Software  Is  Eating  The  Robotics  automation  ownership  cost  of  ownership  Millennials  consumerist  consumerism  Frontier  Markets  Developing  western  world  UK  USA  Europe  secular  stagnation  developed  world  current  account  deficit  lohndumping  Lohnzurückhaltung  liberal  economic  reform  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  technological  progress  biotechnologie  biotechnology  on-demand  convenience  marketplace  efficiencies  commodity  business  commoditization  deflationary  deflation  21stcentury  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  policy  error  policy  folly  inequality  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  mobility  squeezed  middle  class  complexity  Supply  and  Demand  Demand  and  Supply  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  hunt  for  yield  currency  currency  policy  policy  w 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Wirtschaftslage: Ungebremst in die nächste Krise - SPIEGEL ONLINE
So instabil, wie die Lage ist, bedarf es womöglich nur eines vergleichsweise kleinen Anstoßes, um die nächste Krise auszulösen. Und was passiert dann? [...] Kaum noch Spielräume, nirgends. Weder die Finanzpolitik noch die Zinspolitik kann bei einem erneuten Abschwung viel ausrichten. Das gilt auch für die Schwellenländer: Russland & Brasilien mühen sich, ihre Zahlungsfähigkeit zu sichern. Sogar Saudi-Arabien muss sich im Ausland verschulden. China's [...] Kapitalmarktblase aufgebläht und leidet nun unter einer der höchsten privatwirtschaftlichen Verschuldungsquoten aller Emerging Markets. Die ernsten Schwierigkeiten, vor denen die Volksrepublik steht, zeichnen sich bereits seit Langem ab. [...] Japan ist dann überall. [debt fuelled recovery (fiscal stimulus) that always were. now we have austerity & the "recovery" reflects that. plus deflationary effects; further globalisation, flat borderless world, technology, commoditisation of XYZ, future consumer (growth) not in the west!, etc]
UK  USA  Europe  recovery  2015  Taper  economic  history  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  austerity  OECD  IMF  Richard  Koo  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  BIS  Japan  China  reflate  reflation  asset  bubble  equity  bubble  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  secular  stagnation  lost  decade  lost  generation  Abenomics  fiscal  stimulus  GFC  sovereign  debt  crisis  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  monetary  transmission  mechanism  Supply  and  Demand  Demand  and  Supply  Oil  price  OPEC  deflationary  deflation  currency  war  currency  debasement  hunt  for  yield  distortion  bank  bailout  EuropeanSystemicRiskBoard  globalization  globalisation  flat  world  borderless  inflation  expectation  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  western  world  Developing  Frontier  Markets 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Why I'm Moving My Business From San Francisco to St. Louis | Need/Want
// one VC/Angel said, its not that you run out of money, you run out of time to find the magic that makes things for your product work, MVP, Product/Market Fit, that kick up in net promoter score, that multiple in q/q growth, etc etc. // If you’re trying to bootstrap, being based in San Francisco is awful. [ Same with London and New York followed by LA and Seattle. ] Cheap cities are startup friendly. [ don't opt for Edinburgh, if go to Glasgow or Manchester (which got already a small start-up scene plus Media City, Salford) ] We’re an internet company. We don’t need to be tied to a specific location. Hiring remote and having a distributed work force is far cheaper than hiring locally and making everyone come into an office. // &! bit.ly/1EvpTcY
San  Francisco  Palo  Alto  Mountain  View  growth  round  Google  Facebook  Venture  Capital  hunt  for  yield  Silicon  Valley  barriers  to  entry  cost  of  living  cost  of  entry  burn  rate  runway  Start-Up  lesson  Start-Up  advice  Seed  Angel  Investor  Micro  VC  bootstraped  bootstrapping  bootstrapped  New  York  Start-Up  Scene  London  Scene  Los  Angeles  Start-Up  Scene  asset  allocation  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  Taper  Unicorn  Decacorn  2015 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Food production shocks 'will happen more often because of extreme weather' | Environment | The Guardian
Poorer countries will be hit most by falls in production for major crops but UK and and US will also be exposed to resulting instability, says taskforce [...] [ 5-7% of production shortfall of main staples ] Such a shortfall in production could leave people in developing countries in “an almost untenable position”, with the US and the UK “very much exposed” to the resulting instability and conflict, said co-author Rob Bailey, research director for energy, environment and resources at Chatham House. [...] “The food system is increasingly under pressure because demand is growing and our ability to supply it is much more constrained. On top of that we have climate change affecting where we can grow things. “If we are coping with demand increases by sustainable intensification but then suddenly we have a catastrophic year and lose a significant chunk of the world’s calories, everybody will feel it.” [ global and national security threat ] &! bbc.in/1IQl3ZS
instability  global  economy  global  trade  food  prices  food  poverty  food  security  extreme  weather  weather  extreme  climate  change  global  warming  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  WHO  food  industry  food  waste  inefficiencies  omnivore  Dairy  Meat  Developing  World  Frontier  Markets  UN  United  Nations  United  Nations  Council 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
China's currency devaluation could spark 'tidal wave of deflation' | Business | The Guardian
[3rd day in a row Yuan/RMB is devalued by PBOC (13/08/15)] “We’re all going to feel it: we’ll feel it through commodities; we’ll feel it through manufactured goods exports, not just from China but from everywhere that has to compete with it; and we’ll feel it through wages.” [...] China could be willing to let the yuan depreciate by as much as 25% over the next five years – “stone by stone, step by step” – in an attempt to restore the export-led growth that was such a winning formula [...] China [may be] trying to protect itself against the period of financial instability [following Taper by western central banks Fed/BOE] [or counter $ recent rise 21% & peg against $] [or fight home grown recession with kitchen sink] // &! bloom.bg/1gC8FFe &! bloom.bg/1WkMfZZ &! bloom.bg/1hy7O9l &! bloom.bg/1NpE4FI &! bv.ms/1IKB3fX // what is the new normal 4 growth in this global economy, competitive = keeping prices low = inflation & low interest rate pressure.
yuan  RMB  PBOC  China  devaluation  deflationary  deflation  UK  USA  Europe  Exportweltmeister  competition  competitive  competitiveness  Lohnzurückhaltung  lohndumping  secular  stagnation  western  world  globalisation  globalization  commodities  commodity  business  commoditization  Germany  Asia  Latin  America  borderless  flat  world  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  inflation  expectation  inflation  targeting  wage  pressure  productivity  output  gap  recovery  GFC  economic  history  New  Normal  hunt  for  yield  Great  Moderation  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  Taper  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  complexity  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  IMF  SDR  currency  war  disinflation  inflation  wage  inflation  Japan  Australia  Oil  price  energy  price  Developing  Frontier  Markets  Forex  USD  British  Pound  Euro  Yen  BOJ  BOE  Fed  ECB  Bank  of  Canada  asset  bubble  macroprudential  policy  asset  allocation  productive  investment  underinvestment  business  investment  2015 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
China devalues yuan currency to three-year low - BBC News
bbc.in/1WfUOFp // The weakening of the currency will also put the US Fed on the spot. In effect China is exporting deflation to the US - and so some will argue that the Fed should find an elegant way to back away from its recent signalling that September will see the first rise in interest rates since the Crash of 2008. Or to put it another way, in terms of US manufacturers and exporters, Beijing has done the monetary tightening that arguably the US economy needs. // &! tcrn.ch/1Tnj89s Apple shares reaction -5%, higher import costs. // &! bbc.in/1TrsssP - rattles the markets. // &! bit.ly/1JdPM8F - Der starke Verlust des Yuan deutete darauf hin, dass China einen Währungskrieg mit dem Westen provoziert. Doch tatsächlich spiegelt der niedrige Kurs die Schwäche der chinesischen Wirtschaft. // &! 3rd day, 3 devaluation move - bit.ly/1Ns1kmu &! Western central banks advised to resist [taper] & 2 prepare 2 ward off deflationary slump in face of cheaper Chinese exports - bit.ly/1DLIEy3
China  economic  growth  2015  yuan  currency  war  devaluation  PBOC  Taper  USA  UK  deflationary  deflation  RMB  Japan  Europe  Germany  disinflation  inflation  expectation  dis-inflation  inflation  inflation  targeting  western  world  BOE  Fed  ECB  BOJ  Brazil  Australia  commodities  IMF  SDR  Forex  Yen  USD  Euro  British  Pound  recovery  faultlines  global  trade  global  economy  globalisation  globalization  global  imbalances  savings  glut  hunt  for  yield  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  monetary  policy  Oil  price  energy  price 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Greenspan: Be Afraid of Pending Bubble in Bond Market - Bloomberg Business
what is the new normal interest rate? // 7min long bloom.bg/1gteMeO - UK and USA productivity (levels at rate of zero growth) and output gap, capital investment inadequate - into unproductive investment bc of hunt for yield, bc of outlook of secular stagnation for western world and structural impediments, imbalances, and faultlines, and also because of fiscal and political uncertainty, and demographic bubble and ageing population in western world. future customers/consumers are not in western world, they are to be found right now in the developing world and frontier markets. // we are currently in an environment where we don't know what the new normal interest rate is, because of distortions and incomplete information:
Taber  bond  bubble  2015  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  recovery  globalisation  globalization  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  competition  competitive  competitiveness  borderless  flat  deflationary  deflation  secular  stagnation  western  Richard  Koo  balance  sheet  recession  technological  progress  creative  destruction  deleveraging  debtoverhang  Career  Politicians  austerity  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  underinvestment  productive  investment  STEM  developed  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  Frontier  Markets  Developing  World  economic  history  hunt  for  yield  asset  allocation  Group  behaviour  behavioral  economics  behavioral  finance  financial  incentive  incentive  structural  imbalance  Impediments  faultlines  incomplete  information  complexity  OPEC  Europe 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
The Unseen Consequences of Zero-Interest-Rate Policy
distortion of asset allocation (mal-investment, investment in less productive areas for the economy) and risk appetite by pressure - hunt for yield. keeping zombie banks, consumers, and corporate alive by enabeling to rolling over their debt and even go further out on the time axis (long-term bonds/increase overall maturity of your debt - when it has to be repaid), incentive to buy on cheap credit, instead savings, delay of fiscal, economic, political reform by the given artificial time window (see lack of industrial, manufacturing, education, STEM policy/vision of UK) >> and false impression that austerity works great! // and as Richard Koo in one of his recent presentations (for his new book) said - Fed does not know how Taper will unfold, especially the problematic thing of long-dated bonds on their books and how to get them into the market.
ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Taper  Richard  Koo  economic  history  academia  academics  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  recovery  GFC  hunt  for  yield  asset  allocation  asset  bubble  2015  distortion  productive  investment  financial  repression  financial  literacy  economic  damage  Group  behaviour  behavioral  economics  savings  rate  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  savings  glut  structural  deficit  structural  imbalance  Impediments  faultlines  austerity  Makers  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  policy  folly  policy  error  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  UK  USA  Europe  ECB  Fed  Abenomics  lost  decade  lost  generation  BOE  liquidity  trap 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Study suggests safe alcohol guidance 'unrealistic' - BBC News
But the study found that the guidelines are largely ignored because most people do not drink every day. Instead they drink heavily at the weekend - in order to get drunk. [ as socially acceptable outlet, from a weeks worth of chronic stress and worry. legal high and stress relieve as is tobacco. ] // thus as food can be used/abused as emotionally compforting and stress-reliever, binge drinking on the weekend as well as the habit for 2-3 drinks during weekdays to relieve the stress, should this behavior be space made in the DSM for disorder!? abuse/coping mechanism!/being dependent on it!? which is socially acceptable!. but long-term harmful to your health, as well as short-term to ur disposable income/savings rate & alcohol related injuries A&E & police force has to deal with!? --- Eating Disorders - bbc.in/1JRg4fu - Gemma and Dr Radha are on hand to talk about eating disorders.
sick  population  alcohol  abuse  binge  drinking  public  health  policy  public  health  well  being  UK  happiness  index  philosophy  chronic  stress  stress  Oxidative  stress  premature  ageing  habit  sociology  complexity  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  exploitation  addiction  drug  abuse  alcohol-abuse  tobacco  leisure  time  crony  capitalism  workplace  beyond  workplace  drama  squeezed  middle  class  precarious  work  working  poor  nanny  state  NHS  society  human  capital  HR  human  resources  Alain  de  Botton  Psychology  Selbstfürsorge  well-being  long-term  view  long-term  thinking  eating  disorder  coping  mechanism  mental  health  mental  illness  dependence  Self-esteem  self-regulation  self-respect  self-awareness  beauty  standard  beauty  sickness  body  image  Fashion  Industry 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Royal Dutch Shell cuts 6,500 jobs - BBC News
Oil giant Royal Dutch Shell has announced it has shed 6,500 jobs as part of cost-cutting plans as it seeks to counter falling oil prices. // &! bbc.in/1OPYI2I - British Gas owner Centrica cuts 6,000 jobs [...] However, the strong performance at British Gas was offset by a collapse in profits at Centrica's oil and gas production division. Profits in this unit fell 78% to £116m as a result of lower oil prices. [...] Centrica appointed Iain Conn as chief executive at the start of this year. He has been conducting a strategic review of the business over the past five months, which has concluded Centrica should concentrate on the British Gas side of the business and reduce its activities in actual energy production, which takes major investment. That is a less attractive business currently, as raw energy costs, such as oil, are around $50-60 a barrel, half the levels of last year. Centrica said it was assuming the oil price would not move far from that for the foreseeable future.
energy  price  2015  Oil  price  recovery  global  economy  China  secular  stagnation  economic  growth  business  cycle  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  deflationary  deflation  disinflation  debtoverhang  sovereign  debt  crisis  Taper  balance  sheet  recession  Richard  Koo  energy  market  renewable  energy  green  energy  energy  security  wind  energy  energy  policy  energy  efficiency  competitive  competitiveness  OPEC  shale  gas  fracking  shalegas  UK  USA  Europe  Japan  debt-fuelled  recovery  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  austerity  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  productive  investment  asset  allocation  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  asset  bubble  speculative  bubbles  hunt  for  yield 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Poor sleeping patterns link to cancer - BBC News
// However, the link is uncertain because the type of person who works shifts may also be more likely to develop cancer due to factors such as social class, activity levels or the amount of vitamin D they get.
cancer  public  health  policy  public  health  sick  population  shift  work  nightshift  work  Sleep  hygiene  well  being  immune  system  chronic  stress  chronic  low-grade  inflammation  Oxidative  stress  health  crisis  western  lifestyle  capitalism  exploitation  crony  capitalism  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  shared  economic  interest  overweight  obesity  epidemic  obesity  body  clock  complexity  unknown  unkown  prevention  lifestyle  active  lifestyle  sedentary  lifestyle  western  diet  Standard  American  diet  pattern  diet  Fast  Food  Food  Chain  processed  animal  protein  junk  poverty 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Obesity: 'Slim chance' of return to normal weight - BBC News
[ its the environment & addiction component, stupid ] For severe obesity, shedding excess weight in a year is even more unlikely, a study of UK health records concluded. [...] [S]trategies for helping obese patients are failing. A team from King's College London is calling for "wider-reaching public health policies" to prevent people becoming obese in the first place. Lead researcher Dr Alison Fildes said the main treatment options offered to obese people in the UK - weight management programmes via their GP - were not working for the vast majority. "Treatment needs to focus on stopping people gaining more weight and maintaining even small levels of weight loss," she said. "Current strategies that focus on cutting calories and boosting physical activity aren't working for most patients to achieve weight loss and maintain that. "The greatest opportunity for fighting the obesity epidemic might be in public health policies to prevent it in the first place at a population level."
obesity  epidemic  obesity  overweight  diet  Standard  American  Western  pattern  diet  diet  Vegan  addiction  Big  Sugar  junk  food  Whole  Plant  Foods  food  industry  Fast  Chain  processed  food  food  poverty  public  health  policy  public  health  long-term  view  long-term  thinking  Makers  health  crisis  health  care  budget  health  care  spending  chronic  diseases  chronic  low-grade  inflammation  cancer  diabetes  high  blood  pressure  sedentary  lifestyle  identity  intrinsic  motivation  Dairy  Meat  health  policy  health  science  living  environment  exposure  Career  Politicians  nanny  state  complexity  No  Representation  education  policy  microeconomic  policy  economic  damage  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  productivity  sick  day  dietary  cholesterol  lifestyle  lifestyle  lifestyle  medicine  GP  NHS  prevention 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
The Coming Crash & The Recession That Never Ended - Part 1 - YouTube
Part 2 youtu.be/SpJ4L2QGNI4 [ min 2:00 post WW2 german debt jubilee - American & Britain needed Germany as bulwark against USSR! thus Germany had leverage because it was systemic. Greece is not systemic, nor needed. Thus they openly talk, relaxed, abt Grexit. Grexit was systemic risk in the first ~3 years post GFC, because of underfunded German, Frensh and Belgian zombie banks. 6:00 PIGS generation will be disillusioned about claims of European Union unity! 7:30 austerity ] // &! Part 3 - youtu.be/FWulzJy2oXc Bernie Sanders on inequality &! social mobility, skills gap, ... make-up of USA economy is a impediment to future growth (output gap, no more 3% annually) & also part-cause of inequality ... &! Part 4 youtu.be/8wzDwU1pzpY - China may tumble bc they dont have the internal & global demand for the infrasturcture/economy they have build (debtoverhang, debt servitude) &or social uprising &! USA overreach // Forget QE, Wall Street’s new drug is the stock buyback - on.mktw.net/1HDtdUR
Richard  Wolff  Taper  equity  bubble  China  irrational  exuberance  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  asset  bubble  hunt  for  yield  stock  buyback  fundamentals  economic  growth  recovery  UK  USA  balance  sheet  recession  Europe  Richard  Koo  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  labour  market  participation  rate  underemployed  structural  unemployment  structural  imbalance  Impediments  unemployment  youth  unemployment  long-term  unemployment  Gini  coefficient  income  growth  disposable  income  low  income  income  distribution  income  inequality  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  employment  self-employment  squeezed  middle  class  precarious  work  working  poor  social  mobility  income  mobility  Robert  Shiller  robertshiller  part-time  Contractor  Zero  Hour  Contract  uncertainty  Niedriglohnsektor  minimum  wage  Niedriglohn  Lohnzurückhaltung  lohndumping  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  deleveraging  debtoverhang  savings  rate  debt  servitude  Super  Cycle  behavioral  economics  behavioral  finance  skills  gap  education  policy  vocational  education  economic  history  economic  model  trickle-down  economics  discretionary  spending  dogma  ideology  austerity  neoliberal  neoliberalism  democracy  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  debt  monetisation  debt  stagnation  inequality  history  debt  debt  debt  m 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
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