asterisk2a + restructuring   67

Brexit und Italien-Krise: Euro-Gruppen-Chef schließt neue Bankenrettung aus
[ EXPOSURE TO ITALY BANKS ] Euro-Gruppen-Chef Jeroen Dijsselbloem lehnt ein neues Bankenrettungsprogramm ab. "Die Probleme müssen in den Banken geregelt werden", sagte der Niederländer beim Treffen der Eurofinanzminister am Montag in Brüssel. Die Einfachheit, mit der einige Banker mehr öffentliche Gelder forderten, um ihre Probleme zu lösen, sei problematisch. "Das muss ein Ende haben." // http://www.welt.de/finanzen/article156924408/Deutsche-Bank-Chefoekonom-fordert-150-Milliarden.html - Der Kursrückgang bei Bankaktien sei nur das Symptom eines viel größeren Problems, nämlich einer fatalen Kombination aus schwachem Wachstum, hohen Staatsschulden und einer Nähe zur gefährlichen Deflation.
contagion  European  integration  banking  union  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Italy  Germany  repo  Brexit  secular  stagnation  austerity  ECB  European  bank  bailout  systemic  risk  systemicrisk  systemrelevant  systemrelevanz  European  Supervision  reflate  reflation  bank  restructuring  Oversight  MarioDraghi  Mark  Carney  trust  interbank  lending  interbank  market  overnight  deposit  facility  deflation  deflationary  sovereign  debt  crisis  PIGS  Greece  Angela  Merkel  UK  economic  history 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Future of Steel - Ken Clarke & Paul Mason - BBC Newsnight
[TORIES CRISIS: bedroom tax, JSA sanctions killing people, Food Banks, redefining child poverty and fuel poverty, Independent Living Fund closed, Housing Crisis, tax cut defeat in Lords, mental health, NHS strikes, Hinkley Point C, energy prices, London Airport expansion/3rd runway, ESA cut, PIP cut and resignation of IDS, Brexit splitting the Party, shit world economy, can't touch triple-lock pensions, Academy plans, Panama Papers (British Territory: Bahamas, Cayman & Co).] Now - Tories are victims to their own policy of underinvestment since 2010 of a future-proof economy "long-term predictability" [BREXIT & austerity not predictable]. Energy prices too high, not competitive. Manufacturing never recovered. Monetary policy has run its course (sedative + Chinas credit bubble). policy folly now wholly exposed! AND now they tinker with the idea of picking winners! LOL! nationalising or part-nationalising through guarantees or subsidies on energy price. & youtu.be/QJw24Z-cEoQ
underinvestment  austerity  Smart  Grid  energy  policy  energy  price  competitive  advantage  competitive  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  budget2010  budget2015  Budget2016  Manufacturing  current  account  deficit  budget  deficit  trade  deficit  TPP  AIIB  World  Bank  China  BRIC  commodity  prices  heavy  industry  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomic  policy  macroprudential  policy  Mark  Carney  education  policy  skills  gap  skill  gap  skill  investment  apprenticeship  further  education  immigration  migration  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  NIRP  ZIRP  QE  recovery  output  gap  productivity  productivity  gap  Service  Sector  Jobs  job  creation  labour  market  job  market  DWP  Iain  Duncan  Smith  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  Manifesto  corporate  restructuring  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  corporate  subsidies  Privatisation  Nationalization  Nationalisation  constituency  Party  Funding  general  election  2020  IMF  OECD  policy  folly  policy  error  global  economy  credit  bubble  Germany  Hinkley  Point  C  renewable  energy  energy  storage  job  creation  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Mark  Carney  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  property  bubble  rent-seeking  rentier  liquidity-trap  liquidity  trap  Housing  Crisis  Help  to  Save  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Right  to  Buy  Buy-to-Let 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
The new European Union | Credit Writedowns
[ EU banking system was too big to bail in case Greece and else would default even in parts on some of its debt and or make no or delay repayment with interest in full ] In conclusion, the conditions asked of Greece are not likely to be met, because they cannot be met. Greece will be blamed for not living up to its commitments, as it has been this time around. Yet, somehow, the notion of asking for the impossible from a country that has no choice but to sign is fundamentally perverse. [...] The mistake was to break the no-bailout clause that was designed to make sure the Eurozone would not find itself in this position. For selfish reasons (i.e. preventing a bank crisis in Europe and the US), Greece was convinced to accept the first bailout in 2010.
Greece  bank  bailout  banking  crisis  bank  crisis  investment  banking  retail  banking  TBTF  too  big  to  jail  too  big  to  bail  European  Union  Positioning  ECB  Career  Politicians  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  crony  capitalism  corporate  scandal  austerity  accounting  scandal  bailout  bail-in  Cyprus  of  Cyprus  deposit  haircut  deposit  levy  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  economic  history  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Basel3  banking  fractional  reserve  banking  EuropeanSystemicRiskBoard  GFC  recovery  Debt  Super  Cycle  Privatisation  ideology  dogma  PIIGSFB  PIGS  PIIGS  France  Germany  Bundesbank  trichet  Jens  Weidmann  Angela  Merkel  Peer  Steinbrück  corruption  blackmail  josefackermann  ackermann  Deutsche  subsidies  subsidizing  Mark  Blyth  social  contract  social  tension  social  cohesion  constituency  Nationalizing  badbank  badbanks  restructuring  monetary 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Volkswagen: Konzernchef Müller erklärt Kurs aus der Abgasaffäre - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Der neue VW-Chef Matthias Müller will die Krise nutzen, um den Autokonzern umzubauen. In Leipzig schwört er seine Top-Manager auf den neuen Kurs ein und stichelt gegen seinen Vorgänger.
Abgas-Affäre  VW  Volkswagen  corporate  scandal  change  management  corporate  restructuring 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Volkswagen announces £750m spending cuts to fund product revamp | Business | The Guardian
VW division head promises to focus on electric and hybrid vehicles and revamp diesel cars and vans following emissions scandal
corporate  strategy  electric  car  VW  conglomerate  Volkswagen  corporate  scandal  Abgas-Affäre  restructuring  corporate  culture  status  quo  corporate  values  Leadership  vision  mission  Tesla  Motors  Toyota 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
▶ How The Economic Machine Works by Ray Dalio
credit great 4 productive investments 4 the future that will benefit u/me/gov/biz like infrastructure/edu/skills. but waste 4 pure consumption that dont increase productivity in the long run. Like consumer credit spend 2 replace a 2yr old flat screen. vs consumer credit 4 vocational/professional further edu 2 get a higher earning job (future higher income 2 repay the then debt liability & have some more/left over). Bad if u dont have later higher earnings from higher education 2 repay debt & just work in an underemployed placement that any college dropout could do. Thing is, college dropout doesnt have that debt liability that the higher education person has (reduced disposable income bc debt repayment + interest payments.) Women are hit double (gender pay gap) & triple (childcare long-term earnings loss). // min16 income growth important 2 keep up with debt repayment beyond interest. if not, we reached peak long-term debt cycle! // doesnt include globalisation's deflationary effects
credit  bubble  austerity  business  cycle  debt  cycle  financial  cycle  Super  economic  cycle  productivity  income  growth  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  output  gap  economics  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  economic  history  living  standard  standard  of  living  gender  pay  gap  reflate  reflation  asset  bubble  equity  bubble  China  USA  2015  speculative  bubbles  secular  stagnation  stagnation  deflationary  deflation  household  debt  government  debt  public  debt  debt  servitude  student  loan  debt  consumer  debt  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  sovereign  debt  crisis  debt  bubble  student  debt  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  private  debt  GFC  recovery  Richard  Koo  liquidity  trap  NPL  excess  reserves  zombie  banks  zombie  consumer  debt  restructuring  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  debt  jubilee  greatrecession  Great  Depression  budget  deficit  Super  Rich  Polarisation  Thomas  Piketty  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  fairness  inequality  Gini  coefficient  social  cohesion  social  tension  social  contract  Career  Politicians  Joseph  Stiglitz  Paul  Krugman  Robert  Reich  Mark  Blyth  income  redistribution  income  inequality  income  mobility  social  mobility  capital  gains  tax  tax  code  corporate  tax  rate  lost  decade  lost  generation  neoliberalism  neoliberal  globalization  globalisation  western  world  developed  world  Europe  competitiveness  competition  competitive  flat  world 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Krise ǀ Weimar reloaded — der Freitag
Das Land befindet sich schon mitten in der Depression und schuld daran sind hohe Lohnkosten und üppige Sozialpolitik. Helfen können dagegen nur Lohn-, Preis- und Budgetkürzungen. Was sich liest wie eine Mainstream-Diagnose des heutigen Europas, ist tatsächlich der Inhalt eines Artikels aus dem März 1929. Er erschien im Deutschen Volkswirt, einem damaligen Fachblatt der liberalen Ökonomie. Der Autor war kein Geringerer als Joseph Schumpeter. Was er vorschlug, ist später als die berüchtigte Deflationspolitik des bis Mai 1932 amtierenden Reichskanzlers Heinrich Brüning bekannt geworden. [ can solve debt overhang w austerity, >> is deflationary, stagnant balance sheet or shrinking, thus increases debt 2 gdp/asset ratio ] [...] den „Ruin Mitteleuropas“ zu verantworten.
austerity  economic  history  Weimar  Treaty  of  Versailles  deflationary  deflation  debtoverhang  Debt  Super  Cycle  Greece  Richard  Koo  Germany  Wolfgang  Schäuble  GroKo  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  balance  sheet  recession  neoliberalism  neoliberal  sovereign  crisis  Europe  George  Osborne  UK  IMF  Weimarer  Republik  Troika  Umschuldung  jubilee  restructuring  PIGS  PIIGS  PIIGSFB  European  Union  Eurogroup  technocrat  John  Maynard  Keynes  carmenreinhart  KennethRogoff  Thomas  Piketty  Yanis  Varoufakis  Joseph  Stiglitz  Paul  Krugman  Weimar  Republic  European 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Griechenland: Warum ein Schuldenschnitt jetzt richtig ist - SPIEGEL ONLINE
[ nennt es doch schuldumschreibung!? longer dated lower interest rates. es wurden ja unsere banken in europa gerettet in 2009/10/11. ] Es ist die richtige Ankündigung zur rechten Zeit: Griechenland wird einen Schuldenschnitt bekommen - auch wenn die Kanzlerin das nicht so aussprechen will. Klingt seltsam, aber so funktioniert Europa nun einmal. // &! bit.ly/1No5spK - Griechenland-Hilfe: Merkels Schneeballsystem - Am Mittwoch stimmt der Bundestag über das dritte Hilfspaket für Griechenland ab. Das Risiko für die deutschen Steuerzahler: ein dreistelliger Milliardenbetrag. Doch die Kanzlerin verschleiert das - die Folgen werden fatal sein.
debt  restructuring  Greece  IMF  bailout  2015  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Career  Politicians  PR  spin  doctor  EFSF  ESM  Troika  Germany  bank  bailout  economic  history  Leadership  manufactured  consent  propaganda  populism  corporate  state  Lügenpresse  public  perception  public  awareness  smoking  gun  smoke  mirror  public  discourse  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  ChristineLagarde  European  Union  fiscal  political  theory  social  contract  debtoverhang  policy  error  policy  folly  lost  generation  lost  decade  GFC  recovery  trust  distrust  trustagent  voter  turnout 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Europe's economic challenge not just about Greece - BBC News
IMF, Christine Lagarde, said: "I remain firmly of the view that Greece's debt has become unsustainable." [...] Greek debt will reach 201% of GDP some time next year. [...] It is unlikely a portion of the debt will be written off but there may well be an agreement to extend current loans and to lower the rates of interest. [...] [ the overall health of Europe as a whole and its individual parts in question] [...] the eurozone economy splutters. There is a recovery - the eurozone is growing at an annual rate of 1.3% - but it is patchy. In the [Q2'15] France and Italy, which account for 40% of the eurozone economy, flat-lined. Italy which had only recently emerged from recession fell back, managing growth of just 0.2%. [...] [ ECB: on balance, outlook remains on the downside ] The eurozone economy is still smaller than it was in 2008. [...] The fundamental challenges to the European economy remain - how to innovate [...] modernise [...] [ EU project living up to its potential ]
Europe  Germany  France  PIIGSFB  Greece  recovery  2015  bailout  bank  bailout  IMF  debt  restructuring  debt  jubilee  Insolvenzverschleppung  insolvent  insolvency  sovereign  debt  crisis  greatrecession  austerity  ChristineLagarde  Troika  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  Leadership  economic  history  unemployment  long-term  unemployment  structural  unemployment  youth  unemployment  Impediments  faultlines  structural  imbalance  European  Union  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  GFC  sovereignty  lost  decade  lost  generation  EuropeanSystemicRiskBoard  European  Parliament  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  policy  folly  policy  error  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  Opportunism  opportunist  smoking  gun  smoke  mirror  corporate  media  manufactured  consent  propaganda  populism  European  Election  2014  Lügenpresse  industrial  policy  STEM  PR  spin  doctor  economic  damage  social  tension  social  contract  social  cohesion  competitive  competition  competitiveness  differentiate  differentiation  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  skill-biased  technological  change  technological  progress  Smart  Grid  political  political  theory  political  economy  political  error  political  folly  Politics  Ego  interest  groups 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Die ungehörten Warnungen des IWF | Report Mainz | Das Erste - YouTube
Schon vor fünf Jahren sollte ein Hilfsprogramm Griechenland vor der Pleite retten. Doch führende Ökonomen des IWF waren schon damals mehr als skeptisch. // it's not a bailout for Greece. it's a bank bailout for France, Belgium, Germany and co. Its was always a bank bailout. // no debt restructuring, no debt haircut = no long-term solution.
Greece  bailout  IMF  economic  history  2015  sovereign  debt  crisis  ESM  EFSF  austerity  Troika  bank  bailout  zombie  banks  TBTF  toobigtofail  Angela  Merkel  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  European  Union  Alternativlos  TINA  Wolfgang  Schäuble  ChristineLagarde  debt  servitude  debt  jubilee  debt  restructuring 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Lagarde beharrt auf Schuldenentlastung für Griechenland - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Der Internationale Währungsfonds ist in Athen verhasst. Ausgerechnet IWF-Chefin Lagarde unterstützt Griechenlands Premier Tsipras nun erneut bei seiner Forderung nach einer erheblichen Schuldenerleichterung. [...] "Wir sehen im Moment eine Situation, in der wir die Schuldenlast als nicht tragfähig beurteilen", sagte IWF-Chefin Christine Lagarde. "Es muss eine signifikante Schulden-Restrukturierung geben", forderte Lagarde mit Blick auf die Schuldenquote Griechenlands von rund 170 Prozent der Wirtschaftsleistung. Die Quote könne sogar in Richtung 200 Prozent steigen: Diese Einschätzung setze sich mehr und mehr durch, sagte Lagarde. // Compromise must be found, a pause for debt repaymen (EFSF, ESM, ECB) for ~15-20 years. With a slow start in repayments without interest coupon there after, coupled with economic / budget feasibility assessment of repayments in view of long-term sustainability. // &! bit.ly/1JUGCbF - IMF will refuse to join Greek bailout until debt relief demands are met
Greece  debtoverhang  sovereign  debt  crisis  economic  history  IMF  ChristineLagarde  debt  jubilee  debt  restructuring  Super  Cycle  debt  bubble  public  debt  European  Union  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  common  sense  dogma  ideology  Troika  austerity  propaganda  Zivilgesellschaft  Gesellschaft  Zivilcourage  Eurogroup  society  economic  damage  economic  model  academia  academics  Alexis  Tsipras  Yanis  Varoufakis 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Former Greek finance minister Yanis Varoufakis says EU deal is a 'new Treaty of Versailles’ | News | The National
THE bailout deal forced upon Greece by its eurozone creditors was dubbed “a new treaty of Versailles” last night by the country’s former finance minister. [...] the deal comes with years of enforced austerity and privatisation of state assets. Yanis Varoufakis, who quit last week after falling out with his European counterparts, spoke of the “politics of humiliation”. He said the lenders were taking revenge on prime minister Alexis Tsipras. “It is an impossible deal,” he added. “A deal that is simply not viable.” [...] “This has nothing to do with economics. It has nothing to do with putting Greece back on the rails towards recovery. This is a new Versailles Treaty that is haunting Europe again, and the prime minister knows it. He knows that he’s damned if he does and he’s damned if he doesn’t.” [...] “It’s not that it didn’t go down well – there was point-blank refusal to engage in economic arguments. Point blank.
Yanis  Varoufakis  2015  Alexis  Tsipras  Syriza  Greece  Troika  Eurogroup  austerity  ideology  dogma  Angela  Merkel  IMF  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Career  Politicians  political  economy  political  science  political  theory  political  folly  political  error  economic  history  ChristineLagarde  MarioDraghi  ECB  No  Representation  European  European  Union  fiscal  policy  sovereign  debt  crisis  debt  restructuring  debt  jubilee  debtoverhang  sustainability  sustainable  bailout  zombie  banks  greatdepression  Great  Depression  Leadership  humility  Failure  insanity 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
The Coming Crash & The Recession That Never Ended - Part 1 - YouTube
Part 2 youtu.be/SpJ4L2QGNI4 [ min 2:00 post WW2 german debt jubilee - American & Britain needed Germany as bulwark against USSR! thus Germany had leverage because it was systemic. Greece is not systemic, nor needed. Thus they openly talk, relaxed, abt Grexit. Grexit was systemic risk in the first ~3 years post GFC, because of underfunded German, Frensh and Belgian zombie banks. 6:00 PIGS generation will be disillusioned about claims of European Union unity! 7:30 austerity ] // &! Part 3 - youtu.be/FWulzJy2oXc Bernie Sanders on inequality &! social mobility, skills gap, ... make-up of USA economy is a impediment to future growth (output gap, no more 3% annually) & also part-cause of inequality ... &! Part 4 youtu.be/8wzDwU1pzpY - China may tumble bc they dont have the internal & global demand for the infrasturcture/economy they have build (debtoverhang, debt servitude) &or social uprising &! USA overreach // Forget QE, Wall Street’s new drug is the stock buyback - on.mktw.net/1HDtdUR
Richard  Wolff  Taper  equity  bubble  China  irrational  exuberance  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  asset  bubble  hunt  for  yield  stock  buyback  fundamentals  economic  growth  recovery  UK  USA  balance  sheet  recession  Europe  Richard  Koo  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  labour  market  participation  rate  underemployed  structural  unemployment  structural  imbalance  Impediments  unemployment  youth  unemployment  long-term  unemployment  Gini  coefficient  income  growth  disposable  income  low  income  income  distribution  income  inequality  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  employment  self-employment  squeezed  middle  class  precarious  work  working  poor  social  mobility  income  mobility  Robert  Shiller  robertshiller  part-time  Contractor  Zero  Hour  Contract  uncertainty  Niedriglohnsektor  minimum  wage  Niedriglohn  Lohnzurückhaltung  lohndumping  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  deleveraging  debtoverhang  savings  rate  debt  servitude  Super  Cycle  behavioral  economics  behavioral  finance  skills  gap  education  policy  vocational  education  economic  history  economic  model  trickle-down  economics  discretionary  spending  dogma  ideology  austerity  neoliberal  neoliberalism  democracy  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  debt  monetisation  debt  stagnation  inequality  history  debt  debt  debt  m 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Why Greece’s European Agreement Is Not a Bailout - YouTube
'Tsipras was digging his own grave.' That he goes home now with that deal that has to be passed by Parliament, this deal after the referendum no on bailout terms less harsh, that is tough. Demuetigung by Eurogroup and Co. To go home with even more stricter terms, the people that elected him on an anti-austerity platform and gave a resounding 61% no to the bailout terms given February 2015 after the election of Syriza.
Greece  Alexis  Tsipras  Yanis  Varoufakis  Syriza  referendum  democracy  bailout  2015  Eurogroup  Angela  Merkel  creditor  Politics  economic  history  IMF  Troika  Great  Depression  Career  Politicians  Wolfgang  Schäuble  ECB  Germany  FrancoisHollande  France  Grexit  austerity  Privatisation  debt  restructuring  haircut  sovereign  debt  crisis  debt  jubilee  common  sense  common  good  solidarity  BIS  World  Bank  ChristineLagarde  Jean-Claude  Juncker  MarioDraghi  European  Union 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Killing the European Project - The New York Times
[3rd Bailout, post-referendum, even more austerity requests and liberal economic reforms and selling of state assets and privatisation - than Syriza had on its plate after it got elected on an anti-austerity platform, tried to negotioate, Eurogroup didnt budge, referendum was called and corralito/capital controls/bank holiday for now over 2 weeks, ... just to get money to pay off EFSF, IMF and ECB, ... ] Paul Krugman geht in der "New York Times" hart mit der Euro-Gruppe ins Gericht. Deren Forderungen gegenüber Griechenland seien verrückt. "Der Hashtag #ThisIsACoup bringt es genau auf den Punkt", so Krugman. Besonders Deutschland sei dabei, das europäische Projekt zu töten.
Paul  Krugman  European  Union  Grexit  Greece  2015  Syriza  Troika  Eurogroup  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  Jean-Claude  Juncker  IMF  ECB  MarioDraghi  ChristineLagarde  Germany  FrancoisHollande  France  Leadership  vision  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  compromise  political  error  policy  folly  austerity  dogma  ideology  haircut  debt  jubilee  debt  restructuring  propaganda  populism  manufactured  consent  corporate  state  media  conglomerate  economic  history  common  sense  Great  Depression  lost  decade  lost  generation  European 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Greece debt crisis puts Germany's Merkel under pressure - BBC News
Of all of its creditors, Greece owes Germany the most - €68bn (£49bn; $75bn). // should compromise and change Germany internal debate whether we want to see 70% of our money or non at all in case of a Grexit in the next 5 years because Greece can no get back to economic growth and a real nationalistic and populistic elected gov that make Syriza look pale in comparison does elect to exit Euro voluntarily. Short sighted ideological national interest will bring worse than they can imagine - destroying the european dream and damaging europe as a whole as economy long-term (ie deflationary pressures ECB fights with more money, instead with political long-term resolution in the interest of THE EUROPEAN UNION, SOLIDARITY, they already did since GFC with their dither strategy, putting plasters on fault lines. Angela Merkel could have become the true Queen of Europe history would have remembered her. But she can only be national career politician & a lab worker (has science degree).
Career  Politicians  compromise  Grexit  bailout  debt  restructuring  haircut  EFSF  IMF  ECB  ESM  Greece  sustainable  sustainability  economic  history  austerity  national  interest  European  Union  policy  folly  policy  error  Angela  Merkel  Sigmar  Gabriel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Troika  ChristineLagarde  Eurogroup  MarioDraghi  common  sense  common  good  Great  Depression  lost  decade  lost  generation  zombie  banks  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  ideology  dogma  populism  propaganda  Nationalism  media  conglomerate  Lügenpresse  No  Representation  faultlines  structural  imbalance  GFC  recovery  solidarity  manufactured  consent  corporate  state  Gesellschaft  European  fiscal  transferunion  Eurobond  Leadership  vision 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Athens capitulates to creditors - BBC News
"Greece: Prior Actions - Policy Commitments and Actions to be taken in consultation with the EC/ECB/IMF staff", it feels very familiar. That familiarity stems from its great similarity to the bailout proposals put to Greece by the creditors - the eurozone governments, the European Central Bank and the IMF - last month. Pretty much everything wanted by the creditors is there - with the odd tweak or softening, but nothing which looks as though it ought to be noxious to them. So there is a pledge for budget surpluses rising in steps to 3.5% of GDP or national income by 2018 [< in their dreams only]. // The referendum was a last ditch effort by Syriza to get better deal. Eurogroup, Troika, IMF, ECB called it a bluff and accepted a possible Grexit and according to Juncker did prepare for it. No we are where we were when Syriza was elected and had to negotiate for a new bailout tranche, to pay off other bailout tranches re-payment coming up (IMF, EFSF, ECB) &! bbc.in/1INY5Gu MPs to deceide
Grexit  referendum  Career  Politicians  Alexis  Tsipras  Yanis  Varoufakis  Syriza  Troika  Eurogroup  ECB  IMF  Jean-Claude  Juncker  European  Union  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  MarioDraghi  EFSF  ChristineLagarde  Jeroen  Dijsselbloemm  Germany  France  FrancoisHollande  No  Representation  economic  history  austerity  dogma  bailout  ELA  ideology  Great  Depression  lost  decade  lost  generation  ESM  debt  jubilee  debt  restructuring  European  bullying  transparency  accountability  Principle  haircut  creditor  sovereign  debt  crisis  sustainable  sustainability  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  zombie  banks  Bank  of  Greece  insolvent  Insolvenzverschleppung  insolvency 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Germany won’t spare Greek pain – it has an interest in breaking us | Yanis Varoufakis | Comment is free | The Guardian
Debt restructuring has always been our aim in negotiations – but for some eurozone leaders Grexit is the goal [...] To frame the cynical transfer of irretrievable private losses on to the shoulders of taxpayers as an exercise in “tough love”, record austerity was imposed on Greece, whose national income, in turn – from which new and old debts had to be repaid – diminished by more than a quarter. It takes the mathematical expertise of a smart eight-year-old to know that this process could not end well. [...] In my first week as minister for finance I was visited by Jeroen Dijsselbloem, president of the Eurogroup (the eurozone finance ministers), who put a stark choice to me: accept the bailout’s “logic” and drop any demands for debt restructuring or your loan agreement will “crash” – the unsaid repercussion being that Greece’s banks would be boarded up. [...] Wolfgang Schäuble, decided that Grexit’s costs were a worthwhile “investment” as a way of disciplining France et al,
Yanis  Varoufakis  debt  restructuring  debt  jubilee  Super  Cycle  sustainable  sustainability  Great  Depression  Greece  Grexit  lost  decade  lost  generation  PIGS  Troika  Germany  France  IMF  Angela  Merkel  ChristineLagarde  European  History  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Thomas  Piketty  ECB  MarioDraghi  Leadership  European  Union  Insolvenzverschleppung  insolvent  insolvency  austerity  economic  policy  folly  policy  error  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  dogma  ideology  propaganda  Lügenpresse  bailout  zombie  banks  populism  manufactured  consent  media  conglomerate  corporate  state  Jeroen  Dijsselbloem  Jean-Claude  Juncker  Eurogroup  EFSF  ELA  EuropeanSystemicRiskBoard  systemicrisk  toobigtofail  TBTF  too  big  to  jail  referendum  PIIGSFB  PIIGS  FrancoisHollande  academia  academic  academics  carmenreinhart  kennethlewis  Alexis  Tsipras  Syriza  Wall  Street  crony  capitalism  Podemos  Indignants  Indignados  occupywallstreet  fairness  GFC  recovery  economic  model  trickle-down  economics  economic-thought  shared  economic  interest  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  economists  economic  damage  short-term  thinking  short-term  view 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
IMF Slams Germany, Says Greece "Needs Debt Restructuring" | Zero Hedge
on the ticker. IMF'S LAGARDE SAYS DEBT RESTRUCTURING NEEDED IN GREECE. IMF'S LAGARDE SAYS FUND REMAINS 'FULLY ENGAGED' WITH GREECE. IMF'S LAGARDE SAYS IMF CANNOT GIVE GREECE SPECIAL TREATMENT // Earlier today, confirming that Germany sternly refuses to change its tune about a Greek debt haircut or even a debt "reprofiling" of Greece and would not budge an inch on Tsipras tacit request for at least some debt leeway, we reported that "the German government does not see any reason to grant Greece either a classic debt haircut or any other measures that would slash the value of money on loan to the crisis-ridden country, a spokesman for the finance ministry said on Wednesday." // IMF has admitted it was wrong to advocate for austerity, now IMF admits it was wrong to hope that its approach (together with Troika) would help Greece. // an economic model is an economic model, not the real world and especially not able to predict the future. // "Alternativlos."
Grexit  sustainable  sustainability  Greece  PIGS  sovereign  debt  crisis  debt  jubilee  haircut  debt  restructuring  ChristineLagarde  economic  history  austerity  ideology  dogma  academia  KennethRogoff  carmenreinhart  academic  economic  model  economist  economics  economic  damage  neoliberal  neoliberalism  liberal  economic  reform  Troika  IMF  ECB  MarioDraghi  BuBa  Jens  Weidmann  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Germany  France  FrancoisHollande  European  Union  Yanis  Varoufakis  Alexis  Tsipras  referendum  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  society  bailout  zombie  banks  Gesellschaft  fairness  GFC  recovery  European  Syriza  Podemos  Indignants  Indignados  lost  generation  lost  decade  trust  trustagent  Protest  Partei  Protest  Party  symptom  voter  turnout 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Greece’s fight is for democracy in Europe. That’s why we must support it | Owen Jones | Comment is free | The Guardian
The EU powers told Greeks their world would cave in unless they acquiesced by voting yes. The no vote has raised the political stakes even higher (by Owen Jones, author) The referendum was, of course, a rejection of an austerity programme that has unleashed what is commonly described in Greece as a humanitarian crisis. Since Lehman Brothers crashed in 2008, austerity has always relied on the displacement of blame from elites to elsewhere. It was Goldman Sachs who helped the then Greek government to cook the countrys books to win entry into the euro. It was German & French banks who profitably and recklessly lent to Greece, just as US banks disastrously showered subprime mortgages on low-paid Americans. It was Germany who benefited from being able to export its consumer goods to peripheral European countries such as Greece. [transfer of debt/risk, plunging people & welfare state downward spiral with little growth to pay off new debt = unsustainable by Wall Street] &! bit.ly/1G3v9ns
democracy  referendum  Grexit  Greece  Europe  technocrat  austerity  economic  history  GFC  Career  Politicians  IMF  World  Bank  ECB  Troika  crony  capitalism  bailout  zombie  banks  too  big  to  jail  TBTF  toobigtofail  banking  crisis  sovereign  debt  crisis  Wall  Street  capitalism  neoliberal  neoliberalism  liberal  economic  reform  Yanis  Varoufakis  Owen  Jones  Thomas  Piketty  debt  jubilee  haircut  Leadership  No  Representation  Super  Cycle  debtoverhang  debt  restructuring  dogma  ideology  propaganda  Lügenpresse  manufactured  consent  history  European  solidarity  Germany  Angela  Merkel  corporate  state  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Jean-Claude  Juncker  ChristineLagarde  MarioDraghi  academia  academics 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Münchau: Merkel zwischen Schuldenkonferenz und Grexit - SPIEGEL ONLINE
[ Groesste feigheit und intelectual cynicism of EU history. "Alternativlos." BIS warned, time was wasted. ] Mit ideologischer Verbohrtheit beharren die Deutschen darauf, dass Griechenland all seine Kredite zurückzahlen muss - was so oder so nicht geschehen wird. Höchste Zeit also für eine Schuldenkonferenz! // Case of history - Treaty of Versailles = Nationalism (Nazi) and Rechtsruck! Happened in Greece and Co. and in Germany. // People learned and after WW2 and came together to give Europe a chance! >> London Debt Agreement (German: Londoner Schuldenabkommen) "An important term of the agreement was that repayments were only due while West Germany ran a trade surplus, and that repayments were limited to 3% of export earnings. This gave Germany’s creditors a powerful incentive to import German goods, assisting reconstruction." - bit.ly/1exF0vY bit.ly/1ep1dvW - also periphery countries like France, Italy, Spain and Portugal were encouraged by Allies not to demand war reparations.
Greece  Grexit  PIIGS  PIGS  sovereign  debt  crisis  debtoverhang  ideology  propaganda  WW1  WW2  Treaty  of  Versailles  debt  jubilee  European  History  London  Agreement  Londoner  Schuldenabkommen  common  good  common  sense  Gesellschaft  dogma  populism  economic  society  austerity  trickle-down  economics  long-term  view  long-term  thinking  solidarity  Angela  Merkel  IMF  Troika  Wolfgang  Schäuble  World  Bank  Jean-Claude  Juncker  ChristineLagarde  academia  academics  sustainable  sustainability  Super  Cycle  debt  restructuring  haircut  debt  bubble  TBTF  too  big  to  jail  toobigtofail  crony  capitalism  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  Leadership  Legacy  vision  European  Union  fiscal  transferunion  Eurobond  lost  decade  lost  generation  GroKo  Sigmar  Gabriel  manufactured  consent  corporate  state  democracy  Lügenpresse  political  theory  political  error  political  economy  political  folly  policy  folly  policy  error  ECB  MarioDraghi  Makers  Great  Depression  GFC  recovery  output  gap  bailout  zombie  banks  banking  EuropeanSystemicRiskBoard  BIS 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Greek economy close to collapse as food and medicine run short | World news | The Guardian
Banks said they had a €1bn cash buffer to see them through the weekend – equal to just €90 (£64) a head for the 11 million-strong population – and would require immediate help from the European Central Bank on Monday whatever the result of the referendum, in which the two sides are running neck and neck. Alexis Tsipras, Greece’s prime minister, was fighting for his political life on Friday night, using a rally to say that a no vote would enable him to negotiate a reform-for-debt-relief deal with the country’s creditors. [ Greece needs debt jubilee (and Allies urged also to forgo reparations) like post-WW2/Nazi Germany got that enabled it to economically succeed, but Greece (and its people) is not seen as too big to fail and not critical for European stability. A 20 year debt repayment pause that IMF last week brought in, is not enough. It is just a delay. It's economically not sound. Just opportunism to show to the public 'we do something.' ]
debt  jubilee  Germany  history  WW2  haircut  sustainable  sustainability  sovereign  debt  crisis  Grexit  PIGS  contagion  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  monetary  union  Leadership  IMF  ChristineLagarde  Angela  Merkel  Jean-Claude  Juncker  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Career  Politicians  European  solidarity  Gesellschaft  Greece  debt  bubble  debt  restructuring  Opportunism  opportunist  Wirtschaftswunder  economic  history  zombie  banks  bailout  Troika  EFSF  Syriza  ECB  MarioDraghi  ELA  austerity  ideology 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
IMF heads must roll over shameful Greek failings - Telegraph
Whatever the eventual outcome of the Greek debt talks, there are a number of judgments can already be made; one is that a large part of the blame for this ever deepening debacle lies at the doors of the International Monetary Fund, which from the very beginning has had both its priorities and its analysis of the situation hopelessly wrong. [...] By any standards, however, the IMF’s entanglement with the eurozone crisis is a whopper of a screw-up. Nor is it something in which the IMF should have got involved in the first place. Europe, one of the richest regions in the world, should have been left to sort out its own affairs. [...] This is more particularly the case as the Greek debt crisis is almost entirely one of the eurozone’s own making. And yet unforgivably, Greece is now the IMF’s biggest bailout ever – $35bn for a population of just 11 million. [ after all it was an EU (&international) bank bailout through the backdoor. at a times where banks were not able to cope ]
IMF  ChristineLagarde  Grexit  austerity  economic  history  Leadership  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  ECB  Troika  MarioDraghi  European  Union  monetary  Europe  GFC  democracy  Career  Politicians  unintended  consequences  incomplete  information  unknown  unkown  No  Representation  fairness  Great  Depression  lost  decade  lost  generation  PIGS  bailout  EFSF  haircut  debt  jubilee  debt  restructuring 
june 2015 by asterisk2a
Griechenland: Varoufakis sagt Wahrheit über Schuldenschnitt - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Gebärden sich die Griechen bei den Verhandlungen mit ihren Gläubigern als rücksichtslose Zocker? Nein, im Gegenteil, sie argumentieren bewundernswert stringent: Ohne Schuldenschnitt kann es keine sinnvolle Einigung geben. [...] Was erklärt diese Irrationalität? Aus meiner Sicht sind es die Lügenmärchen, die wir uns seit Jahren immer wieder erzählen: dass der Euro so stark ist wie die Mark, dass eine Währungsunion auch ohne einen gemeinsamen Haushalt funktionieren kann und dass die Griechen ihre Kredite zurückzahlen. Wir hängen jetzt im Netz unserer eigenen Märchen fest. Die eine Wahrheit ist, dass die Währungsunion zerbricht oder eine Fiskalunion erzwingt. Die andere Wahrheit ist, dass die Griechen pleite sind. Und eine dritte Wahrheit ist, dass der Schuldenschnitt kommt, so oder so.
haircut  Grexit  Greece  sovereign  debt  crisis  zombie  banks  bailout  economic  history  debt  jubilee  Super  Cycle  debt  bubble  debt  restructuring  IMF  Troika  ECB  monetary  union  fiscal  union  Pact  Schuldenbremse  banking  union  Euro 
june 2015 by asterisk2a
Eurozone still in denial about Greece - BBC News
In the highly unlikely event that Greece could generate a 2% or 3% surplus year-in and year-out without its economy shrinking further (which few economists would anticipate), it would take around half a century for Greek public sector debt to fall to a level regarded as sustainable. A half century of austerity? In what modern democracy would that be regarded as a realistic option? So all these fraught talks about a release of the last 7.2bn of cash from the current rescue facility can probably be seen as displacement activity. And if there is agreement in the next day or so on a framework to release that cash, this should be seen as no more than a short-term temporary fix. [...] Or to put it another way, it is all about whether the IMF and eurozone can keep up the pretence that Greece is a sound and solvent debtor. [...] relatively small and weak private sector will ever have the capacity to pay it back.
Grexit  economic  history  PIGS  austerity  Fiscal  Pact  sovereign  debt  crisis  Super  Cycle  Europe  bailout  zombie  banks  Troika  IMF  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Germany  bank  jog  bank  run  ECB  European  Union  banking  solvency  insolvency  insolvent  Insolvenzverschleppung  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  Greece  debt  jubilee  haircut  debt  bubble  bond  bubble  debt  restructuring  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  monetary  policy  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  system  monetary  transmission  mechanism  Great  Depression  2015  lost  decade  lost  generation  liquidity  trap  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  debtoverhang  GFC  GoldmanSachs 
june 2015 by asterisk2a
John Ralston Saul: Moving Beyond Globalism - YouTube
Deregulators & the people behind intellectual cleansing (ie Larry Summers vs Elizabeth Warren back in deregulation time of Clinton&Bush No. 2), have to be held responsible; economic thought; model, thinking, trickle-down, globalisation, no oversight & consumer protection // capitalism & globalisation are not self limiting // GFC is a symptom, Oil crisis in 70/80s, dot.com, world com, enron // globalisation (trade) doesnt solve growth problem // London banking is soufflé with no hard items (no real wealth creation within economy (income growth)) // shift money to who will spend it (re:bailout) // banks & rootless tax evaders global corps have no shared economic interest // "the globalist model" will work everywhere else, according to the IMF/World Bank, democracy will work in the Middle East. said the same people from the same school of thought // globalisation created oligopolies, not more competition! // climate change=investment w ROI // AfD=symptom // added value, no comp on price
GFC  recovery  Wall  Street  crony  capitalism  corporate  culture  corporate  governance  corporatism  trickle-down  economics  globalisation  globalization  economic  model  economic-thought  economic  history  economic  cycle  economic  growth  income  growth  Super  Rich  1%  Gini  coefficient  western  world  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  bailout  gesellschaft  social  tension  social  cohesion  Bank  IMF  austerity  neoliberal  neoliberalism  neoconservatism  neoconservatives  duopoly  oligarchy  oligopoly  oligopol  policy  folly  policy  error  Makers  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  revolving  door  populism  propaganda  AfD  UKIP  Protest  Partei  Protest  Party  European  Election  2014  society  Debt  Super  bubble  bond  bubble  jubilee  restructuring  haircut  sovereign  crisis  monetisation  monetization  consumer  household  debtoverhang  private  public  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  intellectual  honesty  climate  change  pollution  value  creation  added  value  middle  class  income  distribution  disposable  income  income  mobility  social  mobility  education  policy  vocational  education  practical  skills  practical  skill  set  differentiate  differentiation 
may 2015 by asterisk2a
The Ashcroft Interviews: Money, Blood & Revolution - YouTube
George Cooper - broken economics << is in crisis. is not offering useful guidance for policy makers because of so much conflicting views that are taken at time and voiced at times very violently. "economics is akin to astrology." ... QE will create bigger future recession. &! neoclassical = trickle-down/trickle-through &! economics teaches you a wrong view / looking glass &! neoclassical view - getting richer and richer. is that really true? &! maintaining status quo &! self-interest &! Marx says capitalism is polarising
book  economics  economist  GFC  academia  academics  centralbanks  equilibrium  disequilibrium  QE  debt  monetization  debt  monetisation  monetary  policy  unconventional  monetary  policy  debt  bubble  sovereign  debt  crisis  Super  Cycle  debt  jubilee  debt  restructuring  balance  sheet  recession  debtoverhang  debt  overhang  Gini  coefficient  income  inequality  inequality  social  cohesion  trickle-down  economics  liquidity  trap  Philosophy  LTRO  TLTRO  education  policy  social  mobility  income  mobility  fairness  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  downward  mobility  social  safety  net  austerity  Makers  policy  folly  policy  error  Career  Politicians  Lobbying  lobbyist  lobby  Super  Rich  1%  Wall  Street  crony  capitalism 
march 2015 by asterisk2a
Another economic crash is coming. How did this happen? – video | Comment is free | The Guardian
David Cameron says a second financial crash is imminent. If he's right, it's because the government bailed out the wrong industry, argues Renegade Economist host Ross Ashcroft. He says the last recession was brought on by too much debt. Today private debt is at the greatest level in recorded human history. By ignoring this and instead focusing on the banks, we are heading for economic armageddon. &! &! &! Global debts rise $57tn since crash - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-31136707 &! &! &! The Dirty Little Debt Secret - http://youtu.be/0ptn-jCDizo "Richard Vague - author of The Next Economic Disaster - about his insights into private debt and why this seems to be forbidden knowledge."
debt  bubble  bond  bubble  sovereign  debt  crisis  debt  monetization  private  debt  Super  Cycle  consumer  debt  debt  jubilee  debt  restructuring  debt  monetisation  household  debt  debtoverhang  public  debt  GFC  ZIRP  NIRP  hunt  for  yield  monetary  transmission  mechanism  liquidity  trap  Bailout  TBTF  toobigtofail  too  big  to  jail  fiat  currency  trust  trustagent  confidence  haircut  OECD  lost  decade  lost  generation  Abenomics  QE  Japan  western  world  UK  USA  book 
february 2015 by asterisk2a
BBC News - ECB unveils massive QE boost for eurozone
The European Central Bank (ECB) says it will inject at least €1.1 trillion into the ailing eurozone economy. The ECB will buy bonds worth €60bn per month until the end of September 2016 and possibly longer, in what is known as quantitative easing (QE). The ECB has also said eurozone interest rates are being held at the record low of 0.05%, where they have been since September 2014. ECB president Mario Draghi said the programme would begin in March. The eurozone is flagging and the ECB is seeking ways to stimulate spending. Mr Draghi said the programme would be conducted "until we see a sustained adjustment in the path of inflation", which the ECB has pledged to maintain at close to 2%. + bit.ly/1GCvd40 &! bit.ly/1Ci5DgR &! bit.ly/1unR0lf &! bit.ly/1JnpsDm
ECB  QE  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  policy  deflation  deflationary  recovery  Europe  debt  monetization  debt  monetisation  GFC  deleveraging  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  liquidity  trap  sovereign  debt  crisis  Grexit  consumer  debt  private  debt  Super  Cycle  debt  bubble  household  debt  debt  restructuring  haircut  public  debt  zombie  banks  monetary  transmission  mechanism  fiat  currency  fiat  money  monetary  stimulus  monetary  theory  monetary  system  Japan  economic  history  global  economy  2015  faultlines  PIGS  output  gap  productivity  Euro  currency  war  NIRP  ZIRP  hunt  for  yield  unintended  consequences  exit  strategy  MarioDraghi  Wall  Street 
january 2015 by asterisk2a
Anleihekäufe führen nicht zu Inflation: Kolumne von Wolfgang Münchau - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Wenn Sie sich jetzt die Anleihenkäufe der englischen oder der japanischen Zentralbank anschauen, dann ist genau das passiert, was ich gerade beschrieben habe. In beiden Fällen wurde die Geldbasis massiv erhöht. Die Geldmenge bewegte sich nicht. Warum kaufen Zentralbanken die Wertpapiere dann überhaupt? Sie hoffen auf indirekte Effekte, die am Ende einer langen Kette vielleicht doch auf die Geldmenge wirken. [...] Nur leider hat das in Japan zwei Jahrzehnte lang nicht funktioniert. Und bei uns bislang auch nicht. Dafür gibt es verschiedene Gründe: [...] [... overarching trend; a flattening of the curves (of disparity) across the world concerning economic ?pillars?: work type (more advanced work in the supplychain in china & not just labour intensive stuff only. more & more added value done in BRIC, East Europe, ...) #labourmarket, #consumption, #demographics, #edu, savings, social safety net, western style democracy et al) ... fall of Iron Curtain was beginning of process Angleichung]
liquidity  trap  Japan  BOJ  Fed  BOE  ECB  quantitative-easing  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  OMT  TLTRO  LTRO  TARP  POMO  equity  bubble  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  hunt  for  yield  sovereign  debt  crisis  Richard  Koo  lost  decade  economic  history  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  theory  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  zombie  consumer  zombie  banks  business  investment  trust  trustagent  fiscal  policy  austerity  IMF  BIS  centralbanks  confidence  deleveraging  debtoverhang  Super  Cycle  consumer  debt  debt  bubble  debt  monetization  debt  monetisation  debt  restructuring  haircut  monetary  policy  monetary  system  fiat  currency  deflation  deflationary  inflation  targeting  inflation  expectation  flat  world  globalization  globalisation  faultlines  infrastructure  investment  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  competitive  competitiveness  China  BRIC  Frontier  Markets  Developing  global  trade  macroeconomics  microeconomics  labour  market  labour  economics  21stcentury  Software  Is  Eating  The  algorithm  Robotics  automation  Niedriglohnsektor  lohndumping  Lohnzurückhaltung  disposable  income  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives 
november 2014 by asterisk2a
Eurokrise: Angela Merkel betreibt riskante Rettung - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Es sind die inneren Widersprüche einer Währungsunion, die nur das sein will, aber nicht mehr, die uns jetzt einholen. Anstatt die Schuldenkrise durch eine Schuldenkonferenz zu lösen, verlagern wir das Problem, indem wir komplizierte Auffangschirme schaffen, die die Schulden lediglich von einer Ecke des Systems in die andere hinüberschieben. Das sieht gut aus, ändert aber an der Überschuldung von Griechenland und Portugal nicht einen Deut.
debt  jubilee  Super  Cycle  sovereign  debt  crisis  haircut  PIGS  Europe  Politics  Career  Politicians  policy  folly  policy  error  lost  generation  lost  decade  secular  stagnation  debtoverhang  deleveraging  NPL  balance  sheet  recession  greatrecession  greatdepression  2014  Germany  divergence  faultlines  global  imbalances  structural  imbalance  Impediments  structural  deficit  debt  restructuring  restructuring  infrastructure  investment  Leadership 
august 2014 by asterisk2a
Konjunktur in EU: Analyse des ersten Halbjahrs 2014 - SPIEGEL ONLINE
In anderen Euroländern dagegen ist die Lage bedenklich. Vor allem Frankreich und Italien, die nach Deutschland größten Volkswirtschaften des Währungsraums, haben große strukturelle Probleme. Und in Krisenstaaten wie Griechenland, Spanien und Portugal geht es dank schmerzhafter Spar- und Reformprogramme zwar inzwischen wieder leicht bergauf mit der Wirtschaft. Doch die Gefahr eines Rückfalls in die Krise ist noch immer groß. || http://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/unternehmen/eurostat-inflation-in-euro-laendern-sinkt-auf-rekordtief-a-986068.html - Neue Zahlen von der europäischen Statistikbehörde Eurostat: Die Inflation in den 18 Ländern im Euroraum ist so niedrig wie seit fast fünf Jahren nicht mehr. Das Wirtschaftswachstum kommt zum Stillstand. || + http://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/soziales/bip-deutsche-wirtschaft-schrumpft-um-0-2-prozent-a-986028.html + http://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/unternehmen/diw-chef-fratzscher-hoehere-loehne-und-konjunktur-a-986124.html "Investitionen!"
France  Germany  PIGS  Eurpope  sovereign  debt  crisis  2014  stagflation  secular  stagnation  stagnation  ECB  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  liquidity  trap  monetary  transmission  mechanism  creditcrunch  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  debtoverhang  Richard  Koo  economic  history  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  deficit  budget  deficit  liberal  economic  reform  NPL  zombie  banks  Career  Politicians  policy  folly  policy  error  monetary  policy  unconventional  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  austerity  faultlines  divergence  Super  Cycle  lost  generation  lost  decade  debt  bubble  bond  bubble  hunt  for  yield  infrastructure  investment  investment  debt  monetization  debt  monetisation  haircut  debt  jubilee  debt  restructuring  public  debt  productivity  output  gap  corporatism  crony  capitalism  coward  risk  sentiment  risk  taking  creditrating  creditrisk  working  poor  Gini  coefficient  income  inequality  squeezed  middle  class  social  mobility  income  mobility  inequality 
august 2014 by asterisk2a
Live chart: The low countries - YouTube
Timothy Geithner says no risk of U.S. losing it's AAA credit rating - http://youtu.be/0HDCvqgxrrE || Geithner: Japan's 'Lost Decade' Not America's Fate - http://youtu.be/fax8BIPKcP8 "the hope it's gonna heal itself, to hope you can grow yourself out of it" growing your way out of it" || +!!! Timothy Geithner Fired Robert Shiller? http://youtu.be/bIwBEYoSqKY >> economics has no humans in it !!! no real world example. Conventional wisdom so strong. "We've got too scientific." And anybody who is 'flaky' gets pushed out [Robert Schiller]. >>Wenn du dich auf andere verlaesst, bist du verlassen.<< || Robert Shiller: Speculative Asset Prices - http://youtu.be/oBXPOWytDMs "present value". google.co.uk/search?q=present+value+Robert+Schiller || + Robert Shiller: Nobel Prize Winning Economist - http://youtu.be/ABvtKGrIDUs "it can't be an exact science (forecasting) because of the complexity, mass data; uncertain, certain, and data that can't be put in numbers, storystelling -> feedback loops ...
bond  bubble  Japan  USA  UK  Europe  Germany  hunt  for  yield  lost  decade  lost  generation  deflation  deflationary  liquidity  trap  financial  repression  economic  history  Tim  Geithner  Timothy  Geithner  austerity  balance  sheet  recession  Richardkoo  Richard  Koo  creditrating  creditrisk  debt  monetization  debt  monetisation  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  theory  Super  Cycle  debt  jubilee  GFC  deleveraging  debtoverhang  Career  Politicians  Makers  policy  folly  policy  error  toobigtofail  TBTF  systemrelevanz  Lobbying  lobbyist  lobby  fiscal  stimulus  fiscal  sovereignty  PIGS  sovereign  debt  crisis  Thomas  Piketty  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  flat  world  globalisation  globalization  savings  glut  faultlines  Structural  Impediments  unemployment  deficit  imbalance  GDP  economic  model  Robert  Skidelsky  Robert  Reich  Paul  Krugman  consumer  debt  public  debt  debt  restructuring  household  debt  zombie  banks  creditcrunch  creditcrisis  ECB  BOE  BOJ  Abenomics  Fed  BuBa  leadership  Democratic  Process  democracy  trust  trustagent  confidence  greatrecession  greatdepression  history  evolution  Why  Software  Is  Eating  the  Software  Is  Eating  skill-biased  techn 
june 2014 by asterisk2a
BBC News - When will the UK pay its way in the world?
In absolute terms it has been impossible for UK debts to fall. >> Now what was a little worrying was that the deficit on the current account reached 5.6% of GDP, or economic output, in the third quarter of 2013 and fell to just a little bit lower, 5.4%, in the fourth quarter. That 5.6% was - ahem - something of a milestone: it was the biggest quarterly deficit since records began in 1955. And it explains why the record aggregate indebtedness of the UK has been falling so slowly, and is still not much below 500% of GDP on the Mckinsey measure (though see my previous blog). [...] UK's - limp trading performance - for YEARS! ... COMPETING against BRICs, Europe, G8, ... now and in the future competing with MINT countries too ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MINT_countries ). [...] "We have not got forever to reconstruct our economy and become a bit more like the European export emperor, Germany."
UK  Debt  Super  Cycle  zombie  corporations  zombie  banks  zombie  consumer  sovereign  crisis  private  consumer  bubble  jubilee  monetization  household  public  debtoverhang  monetisation  restructuring  austerity  current  account  deficit  economic  history  2014  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Mark  Carney  davidcameron  GeorgeOsborne  public  policy  financial  repression  New  Normal  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  hunt  for  yield  deflationary  productivity  output  gap  competitiveness  knowledge  worker  skill-biased  technological  change  skill  capital  skills  London  White-collar  Blue-collar  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  value  creation  Industrial  globalisation  globalization  competitive  advantage  comparative  advantage  21stcentury  BRIC  MINT  Europe  free  trade  Germany  exports  export 
may 2014 by asterisk2a
Wie Europa Schulden loswerden kann - SPIEGEL ONLINE
[Rogoff & Reinhart advocating financial repression] [...] [Because Austerity didn't work.] Tatsächlich habe die europäische Wirtschaftspolitik - die Haushaltsdefizite senkt und Strukturreformen für mehr Wachstum durchführt - recht wenig getan, um den Schuldenberg wirklich zu verringern. Die Politik könnte die Last für die nächsten Jahre sogar verschlimmert haben, sagen viele Volkswirte. Die Sparpolitik hat das Wachstum überraschend stark beeinträchtigt. Während die Hinweise darauf, dass die Strukturreformen tatsächlich die Wirtschaft beflügeln, eher überschaubar ausfallen. Stattdessen sinken Einkommen, Gewinne und Steuereinnahmen, was die Schuldenlast immer schwerer erträglich macht.
debt  servicing  sovereign  debt  crisis  consumer  debt  Super  Cycle  Europe  zombie  consumer  zombie  corporations  ZIRP  liquidity-trap  QE  KennethRogoff  liberal  economic  reform  economic  history  MarioDraghi  ECB  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  theory  monetary  transmission  mechanism  deflation  deflationary  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  GFC  greatrecession  greatdepression  lostdecade  lostgeneration  youth  unemployment  austerity  IMF  Japan  UK  USA  budget  deficit  France  financial  repression  hunt  for  yield  asset  bubble  speculative  bubbles  New  Normal  PIMCO  Mohamed  El-Erian  debt  jubilee  debt  bubble  debt  monetization  debt  monetisation  debt  restructuring  private  debt  public  debt  household  debt  carmenreinhart  WallStreet  inflation  targeting  inflation  expectation  communication  babyboomers  haircut  PIGS  toobigtofail  TBTF  Richardkoo 
january 2014 by asterisk2a
www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/Documents/speeches/2013/speech670.pdf
UK’s King Last Speech: UK needs more Bank of England stimulus as recovery is not assured. >> UK's future still uncertain. Reflective in Cable (GBPUSD). While others do much better. >> "Despite this encouraging picture, growth is not yet strong enough to reduce the considerable margin of spare capacity in the economy. Nor is recovery at an adequate rate fully assured. The weakness of the euro area and the problems of the UK banking system continue to act as a drag on growth. So the need to support the recovery remains. [...] unemployment remains unnecessarily high. [...] Both nominal and real interest rates are at unsustainably low levels. There is an understandable yearning for a return to normality [...] Monetary policy cannot provide the answer. [... Banking > ...] It is insufficient capital that restricts lending [+ holding not enough liquid assets]. And, without a resilient banking system, it will be difficult to sustain a recovery."
unemployment  monetary  policy  currency  war  Mark  Carney  reflation  zombie  banks  capital  monetary  transmission  mechanism  BOE  banking  crisis  Structural  Impediments  creditcrisis  Discount  Window  Facility  policy  folly  Recapitalisation  liquidity  QE  price  stability  inflation  targeting  fiscal  policy  UK  debt  monetisation  devaluation  political  error  imbalance  creditcrunch  Recapitalization  trustagent  hunt  for  yield  austerity  greatdepression  zombie  consumer  deleveraging  global  imbalances  inflation  debt  monetization  governance  balance  sheet  recession  Leverage  GFC  complexity  output-gap  unintended  consequences  liquidity-trap  debt  restructuring  monetary  system  too  big  to  jail  political  folly  bank  crisis  greatrecession  policy  error  debtoverhang  Special  Scheme  NIRP  trust  economic  history  confidence  youth  unemployment  unconventional  monetary  policy  ZIRP  MervynKing  toobigtofail  Funding  for  Lending  Scheme  corporate  governance 
june 2013 by asterisk2a
IMF Warns Spanish Debt-Load Is Unsustainable | Zero Hedge
The IMF warns Spain "will need to undertake unprecedented fiscal efforts to bring their debt ratios to traditional norms," as most countries have never experienced debt levels similar to current ones; and seemed to think a debt restructuring is more likely and will "entail substantial and long-lasting economic and social costs."
2013  lostgeneration  Spain  deposit  haircut  economic  history  haircut  European  Commission  sovereign  debt  crisis  austerity  Troika  greatdepression  debt  restructuring  deposit  levy  lostdecade  greatrecession  IMF 
april 2013 by asterisk2a
El-Erian's Summary: "Virtually Every Market Is Trading At Very Artificial Levels" | Zero Hedge
http://live.wsj.com/public/page/embed-85F75B51_F954_46E1_861D_EC47CC278296.html >> "if these levels aren’t validated by the fundamentals, then investors will get hurt." WORTH LISTENING EVERY MINUTE. > http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-04-16/not-what-low-volatility-environment-looks > http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-04-16/margin-clerks-were-working " Long experience in the markets will inform you that this kind of massive sell-off is indicative of someone or perhaps a numbers of someones with serious problems. " [...] The markets can turn on a dime and the move can be severe and painful. [...] The cash provided by the Central Banks has been leveraged to the nines as indicated by the severity of the sell-off in both gold and equities. > Europe lost out on design and execution to overcome crisis. > Rating Agencies have monopoly. With monopoly comes problems. > Trust, but verify.
unemployment  monetary  policy  bond  bubble  asset  bubble  modern  monetary  theory  Europe  zombie  banks  New  Normal  BOE  BOJ  Gold  Structural  Impediments  Equity  QE  2013  UK  debt  monetisation  creditcrunch  imbalance  debt  bubble  Error  trustagent  austerity  bubble  greatdepression  zombie  consumer  deleveraging  ratingagencies  debt  monetization  balance  sheet  recession  PIMCO  Politics  GFC  monetary  theory  unintended  consequences  liquidity-trap  ECB  debt  restructuring  monetary  system  political  folly  income  growth  China  greatrecession  uncertainty  lostdecade  monopoly  debtoverhang  Fed  trust  economic  history  financial  repression  bubbles  income-growth  sovereign  debt  crisis  unconventional  monetary  policy  ZIRP  USA  PIIGS  Japan 
april 2013 by asterisk2a
Carmen Reinhart: "No Doubt. Our Pensions Are Screwed." | Zero Hedge
Only when inflation picks up, which is ultimately going to happen, will it become obvious that central banks have become subservient to governments." [...] Nations "seldom just grow themselves out of debt," as so many believe is possible, "you need a combination of austerity, so that you don't add further to the pile of debt, and higher inflation, which is effectively a subtle form of taxation," with the consequence that people are going to lose their savings. Reinhart succinctly summarizes, "no doubt, our pensions are screwed." [...] http://www.spiegel.de/international/business/interview-with-harvard-economist-carmen-reinhart-on-financial-repression-a-893213.html / http://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/how-central-banks-are-threatening-the-savings-of-normal-germans-a-860021.html
monetization  unemployment  monetary  policy  deposit  haircut  modern  monetary  theory  transferring-wealth  reflation  academia  zombie  banks  New  Normal  BOE  carmenreinhart  banking  crisis  deflation  BOJ  deposit  levy  creditcrisis  QE  2013  moralhazard  debt  monetisation  debt  bubble  creditcrunch  bail-in  austerity  greatdepression  zombie  consumer  deleveraging  inflation  centralbanks  debt  monetization  balance  sheet  recession  GFC  debt  jubilee  haircut  unintended  consequences  Troika  negative  real  interest  rate  ECB  debt  restructuring  bank  crisis  Abenomics  greatrecession  debtoverhang  Fed  economic  history  financial  repression  sovereign  debt  crisis  ZIRP  bailout 
april 2013 by asterisk2a
Keep A Close Eye On This FX Pair | Zero Hedge
Wondering why the Euro is losing steam so quickly this morning after the Eurogroup 'saved' Cyprus? Perhaps this FX cross is the reason... >> unintended consequences :: Russian Oligarchs pulling money out of Europe.   Perhaps this is why Italian and Spanish financials and bonds are weaker... >> http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-03-25/european-markets-sliding-fast >> http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-03-25/word-out-place-sends-europe-tumbling "" accounts with more than 100,000 euros, face losses of 4.2 billion euros. "" And now, the scramble to pull uninsured deposits out of banks everywhere begins. "" !!!
Laiki  ESM  EFSF  trust  bank  restructuring  haircut  confidence  unintended  consequences  European  Commission  zombie  banks  trustagent  bail-in  Troika  ELA  ECB  restructuring  Cyprus  of  Cyprus  bank  crisis  toobigtofail  Russia  zombi  banks  bailout 
march 2013 by asterisk2a
For Everyone Shocked By What Just Happened... And Why This Is Just The Beginning | Zero Hedge
Today, lots of people woke up in shock and horror to what happened in Cyprus: a forced capital reallocation mandated by political elites under the guise of an "equity investment" in insolvent banks, which is really code for a "coercive, mandatory wealth tax." If less concerned about political correctness, one could say that what just happened was daylight robbery from savers to banks and the status quo. These same people may be even more shocked to learn that today's Cypriot "resolution" is merely the first of many such coercive interventions into personal wealth, first in Europe, and then everywhere else. [...] And with inflation woefully late in appearing and "inflating away" said debt overhang, Europe first is finally moving to Plan B, and is using Cyrprus as its Guniea Pig. http://www.scribd.com/doc/130778664/BCG-Back-to-Mesopotamia
debtoverhang  ESM  2013  Politics  debt  jubilee  financial  repression  economic  history  Europe  reflation  debt  bubble  sovereign  debt  crisis  PIIGS  greatdepression  deflation  debt  restructuring  Cyprus  inflation  greatrecession  bailout  IMF  balance  sheet  recession 
march 2013 by asterisk2a
Greece’s default: The wait is over | The Economist
The biggest sovereign-debt restructuring in history allowed Greece to wipe some €100 billion ($130 billion) from its debts of around €350 billion. It will also be the first test of the resilience of the financial system to the payment on sovereign bonds of credit-default swaps (CDSs), a form of insurance against bad debts.

The threat of coercion might explain why big holders like banks and pension funds chose not to contest the terms of the swap. But Greece needed to achieve close to 100% participation in the bond-swap to unlock its second bail-out package from international lenders. That meant it had to force the small group of malcontents to swallow the deal, which in turn meant it could no longer be seen as voluntary. That triggered a “credit event” and started a process that will lead to a payout of CDS insurance on Greek bonds later this month.
ECB  restructuring  sovereign  debt  crisis  2012  haircut  Greece  ISDA  CDS 
march 2012 by asterisk2a
Quantum Finanzas's Marx Discusses Greece, Argentina
Quantum Finanzas's Marx Discusses Greece, Argentina (Audio)

Feb 7, 2012

Daniel Marx, executive director of Quantum Finanzas in Argentina and a former finance secretary, discusses similarities and differences between Argentina and Greece. Marx talks with Bloomberg's Sara Eisen and Michael McKee on "Bloomberg On the Economy."

- debt overhang and not being competitive in global economy is not the same ailment of Greece (PIIGS) economy. Greece has not primary surplus (and debt overhang), no competitiveness, and a deep recession and massive shadow economy.

Default and deep restructuring, plus liberal economic reforms (and fiscal policy) seem the only way out, as they don't have one tool - monetary policy.
2012  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  economic-thought  debtoverhang  competitiveness  sovereign  debt  crisis  economic  history  history  restructuring  default  Greece  Argentina 
february 2012 by asterisk2a
Capturing the ECB - Joseph E. Stiglitz - Project Syndicate
Moreover, “innovation” in financial markets has made it possible for securities owners to be insured, meaning that they have a seat at the table, but no “skin in the game.” They do have interests: they want to collect on their insurance, and that means that the restructuring must be a “credit event” – tantamount to a default. The ECB’s insistence on “voluntary” restructuring – that is, avoidance of a credit event – has placed the two sides at loggerheads. The irony is that the regulators have allowed the creation of this dysfunctional system.

.... involuntary restructuring vs voluntary restructuring

The ECB’s behavior should not be surprising: as we have seen elsewhere, institutions that are not democratically accountable tend to be captured by special interests. That was true before 2008; unfortunately for Europe – and for the global economy – the problem has not been adequately addressed since then.
lobby  accountability  democracy  politics  Europe  contagion  credit  event  ISDA  CDS  restructuring  regulation  banking  transparency  2012  default  Greece  ECB 
february 2012 by asterisk2a
PIMCO | Viewpoints - The Eurozone Needs a Plan B, as 'Quarantining' the Weak Is Too Costly
Greece and Ireland are on programs that are neither working in terms of restoring stable debt dynamics, nor in keeping current investors engaged or attracting new ones. Portugal is now following the same approach.There is a fat, political tail-risk that the Greek political system will not be able to deliver on the demands to “do more,” ending in disorderly default.The better and more realistic approach for the eurozone as a whole might be to acknowledge the Greek plan is not working and move to Plan B – address the need for a restructuring of Greece’s public debt and perhaps that of other countries too.
PIIGS  2011  default  restructuring  debt  sovereign  crisis 
june 2011 by asterisk2a
When Austerity Fails - NYTimes.com
Realistically, then, Europe needs to prepare for some kind of debt reduction, involving a combination of aid from stronger economies and “haircuts” imposed on private creditors, who will have to accept less than full repayment. Realism, however, appears to be in short supply.
On one side, Germany is taking a hard line against anything resembling aid to its troubled neighbors, even though one important motivation for the current rescue program was an attempt to shield German banks from losses.
On the other side, the E.C.B. is acting as if it is determined to provoke a financial crisis.
austerity  PIIGS  greece  paulkrugman  default  restructuring 
may 2011 by asterisk2a
Greece Has Options to Fix Debt Woes, but All Lead to Misery - NYTimes.com
extending the maturity of Greece’s debt appears to be the most likely and politically palatable. The European Union can claim that it is still paying Greece’s obligations in full while also showing to Germany and other Northern European nations that there is pain for the bondholders.
If these debt maturities are extended a few years, the European Union would not have to cover the looming private financing gap Greece faces. In such a case, the accountants may still allow European banks that hold billions in Greek debt to still value it at 100 cents on the dollar, allowing them to avoid their own solvency issues and allow time to build up reserves. The European Central Bank can thus avoid haircuts or defaults that might affect the other troubled European countries or European banks.

 And the extension is likely to last for decades to allow the debt’s value to be eaten away by inflation.
Greece  default  restructuring  accounting  finance  banking  2011 
may 2011 by asterisk2a
World on course for next crisis, warns Gordon Brown - Telegraph
Mr Brown said the "resolve" to act seen immediately after the crisis has been replaced by indecision and vested interest. He urged politicians at the next G20 summit, which takes place in Cannes in November, to take control of a globalised financial system which is still "perilously" unregulated.

They fear "with good cause" that if Greece has to restructure its debt - effectively default - it could unravel a chain of trades based on the problematic debt and lay bare the interconnectedness of institutions around the world, said Stephen Lewis, an analyst at Monument Securities.
gordonbrown  2011  PIIGS  default  restructuring  greece  banking  EMU  lehmanbrothers  finance  financialcrisis  FinancialCrisisInquiryCommission  toobigtofail 
may 2011 by asterisk2a
Special report: Europe's Greek tragedy | Reuters
In Europe, by contrast, the banks holding Greek debt are gradually being bought out by European governments in what former Argentine central bank governor Mario Biejer has likened to a "giant Ponzi scheme".
"If the sword of a debt restructuring must eventually fall in order to render Greece's debt stock manageable, that sword will fall principally on the neck of the official sector lenders," wrote Lee Buchheit, a lawyer at Cleary Gottlieb Steen & Hamilton in New York who helped negotiate Uruguay's 2003 debt restructuring, in a paper on Greece's options last month.
"The original creditors will have swapped place in the tumbrel with official lenders quite literally in the shadow of the guillotine."
Reuters calculations, based on a conservative estimate that official lenders -- EU governments, the IMF and ECB -- will hold about 160 billion euros in Greek debt two years from now,  ...
Greece  default  economy  PIIGS  2011  restructuring  bailout  EFSF  ESM  ECB 
may 2011 by asterisk2a
Head Of Eurogroup Admits To Lying About "Secret Greek Meeting" Out Of Fears For Market Collapse - "When It Becomes Serious, You Have To Lie" | zero hedge
On the tape, Mr. Juncker says he has “had to lie” and, speaking about touchy economic topics, “When it becomes serious, you have to lie.”
EMU  Europe  Euro  PIIGS  greece  2011  sovereign  debt  politics  economics  default  restructuring  ireland  portugal  EFSF  ESM  ECB  Fed  fraud 
may 2011 by asterisk2a
Griechen-Umschuldung: Chef von Euro-Rettungsfonds unterstelltBanken Gier - SPIEGEL ONLINE - Nachrichten - Wirtschaft
"In den achtziger und neunziger Jahren haben die Banken für die Restrukturierung von Staatsschulden in Lateinamerika und Asien sehr hohe Honorare kassiert. Das würden sie in Europa gerne wiederholen."
Zwar würde eine Teilentschuldung des Landes einige Banken dazu zwingen, griechische Staatspapiere in ihrer Bilanz teilweise abzuschreiben, räumte Regling ein. Die dabei entstehenden Verluste würden sich aber "in Grenzen halten". Dagegen wären die mit einer Restrukturierung verbundenen Provisionen vielversprechend.Der Präsident der Europäischen Zentralbank (EZB), Jean-Claude Trichet, glaubt ebenfalls, dass die Banken den Schuldenschnitt Griechenlands bewusst herbeireden wollen. Nach "Handelsblatt"-Informationen hat Trichet die Finanzminister der Euro-Zone explizit davor gewarnt, sich im Hinblick auf Griechenland von den Instituten beeinflussen zu lassen.
EFSF  default  restructuring  greece  PIIGS  2011  trichet  banking  fees  ECB  europe  history 
may 2011 by asterisk2a
Less Educated Men Face Brutal Job Market - WSJ.com
Even more alarming, the jobs that many of these men, or those like them, once had in construction, factories and offices aren't coming back. "A good guess…is that when the economy recovers five years from now, one in six men who are 25 to 54 will not be working," Lawrence Summers, the president's economic adviser, said the other day.

This is not one of the many things that can be blamed on subprime lending, inept regulators or Goldman Sachs. "The Great Recession has reinforced prevailing labor market trends that were under way long before the recession," David Autor, a Massachusetts Institute of Technology economist, observed in a recent paper commissioned by two Democratic-leaning think tanks, the Center for American Progress and the Hamilton Project.

In the middle, there will be some jobs for workers without much education, for the plumbers, electricians and software technicians. But not enough to go around.

David Wessel
unemployment  men  women  mencessions  recession  greatrecession  economics  restructuring  economy  recovery  2009  2010  unintended  consequences  usa 
may 2010 by asterisk2a
Angst vor Dominoeffekt: Griechenland-Krise weckt Lehman-Erinnerungen | FTD.de
Bundeskanzlerin Angela Merkel sprach von einem "Krieg" der Regierungen gegen die Märkte. EU-Währungskommissar Olli Rehn verglich die hellenische Schuldenkrise mit der Pleite der US-Investmentbank Lehman Brothers im September 2008. "Die Institutionen der USA konnten damals nicht ermessen, was der Bankrott von Lehman auslösen würde", schrieb Rehn in einem finnischen Magazin. Das Finanzsystem sei so paralysiert gewesen wie zur Zeiten der Großen Depression in den 30er-Jahren. "Sollte Griechenland pleite gehen, wären die Konsequenzen ähnlich gravierend, wenn nicht sogar schlimmer."
greece  bailout  may  germany  ECB  Fed  usa  default  banking  systemicrisk  restructuring  2010 
may 2010 by asterisk2a
John Taylor: "Dead Man Walking...The Euro Is Finished" | zero hedge
Our pencil pushers and Excel experts have made lots of projections on the Greek situation and can find almost no possibility of success. The EU/IMF team projects Greek debt at 149% of GDP when this rescue ends, but their nominal GDP estimates are incredibly optimistic when salaries and jobs are cut dramatically. We see a 20% decline over the three years as a good outcome, the debt would stay the same, and the ratio goes to 186% of GDP. Almost like Japan, but foreigners own the Greek debt – no way! This rescue reminds us of Bob Rubin’s rescue of Russia in July 1998, which lasted about one month before the whole house of cards collapsed. We knew that one couldn’t work, and this one can’t either. It might take longer, but the euro is finished.
EMU  greece  bailout  euro  currency  sovereign  debt  germany  may  2010  default  restructuring  2011  hisotry  BobRubin  russia  outlook 
may 2010 by asterisk2a
What A Difference A Day Made! - Credit Writedowns
Highly respected US economist and Harvard University Professor Martin Feldstein went even further, saying that in his opinion Greece will eventually default on its bonds and he feared other euro-area nations may follow, most probably Portugal. “Greece is going to default despite all the talk, despite the liquidity package,” he said. Portugal’s name is mentioned frequently these days, since although the government deficit and debt levels are lower in Portugal than in Greece and the Portuguese government has much more fiscal credibility than its Greek counterpart, when you add private sector debt to the public part the number is not far short of 300% of GDP, and in fact the underlying problems are very similar.

Read more: http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2010/05/what-a-difference-a-day-made.html#ixzz0mjup7XJK
PIIGS  greece  bailout  germany  ECB  IMF  hungary  April  2010  default  restructuring  EMU 
may 2010 by asterisk2a
Mehr als Geld und gute Worte — die bank - Zeitschrift für Bankpolitik und Praxis
Denn über den Unternehmen hängt wie eine Gewitterwolke der Megatrend „Demographischer Wandel“. Was Bundesministern und Rentenversicherern graue Haare beschert, ist längst auch Aufgabe für die Human Resources Bereiche. Weil in vielen Industrieländern der Zahl junger Menschen schrumpft sowie der Anteil Älterer und Alter dramatisch zunimmt, verschärft sich die Konkurrenz der Arbeitgeber um die besten Talente.
.
Mitarbeiterentwicklung und Talent-Management sind längst strategische Aufgaben, um die Prosperität des Unternehmens in der Zukunft zu sichern, junge Talente zu finden, zu entwickeln und zu binden.
.
Schon seit Anfang der 1990er Jahre lassen Globalisierung und Industrialisierung mit ihren Zwillingsgeschwistern Outsourcing und Restrukturierung erahnen, dass die Banklehre nicht mehr in jedem Fall eine lebenslange Job-Garantie bietet.
war-for-talent  talent  globalisation  outsourcing  restructuring  industrial  industrialisation  banking  demographics  trend  patterns  management  people  recruiting  Recruitment 
january 2010 by asterisk2a
The Cost Of The Upcoming Second Bailout: Democracy Itself | zero hedge
Mr Strauss-Khan said that the old paradigm of growth generation based on households in the US was dead. The future sources of growth and the recovery will "depend on a new balance between the US and deficit countries on one hand and emerging markets and surplus countries on the other".
deficit  tradedeficit  usa  2009  2010  economy  structure  restructuring  recession  debt  bailout  mainstreet 
november 2009 by asterisk2a
The price of U.S. recession is paid in jobs | Reuters
The economy of America needs a restructuring! A fundamental one! Starting from the bottom! With higher education (universities), research and innovation (universities and companies together in partnerships), employment costs and structures.
.
Unless Obama figures out how to repair the job market, the can-do attitude sparked by his election may be replaced by despair, leaving deep economic and social scars that undermine his political goals.
.
In the current recession, economists say high unemployment is likely to persist at least another four years. In Michigan, home to the battered U.S. auto industry, nearly 13 percent of jobs may be wiped out, according to research firm IHS Global Insight, and the state's labor market probably won't return to its pre-recession strength until after 2015.
"I see long-term unemployment as a real, treacherous disease. And it kills. It kills,"
unemployment  restructuring  USA  barackobama  recession  2009 
august 2009 by asterisk2a

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