asterisk2a + productivity + middle   97

(1487) LSE III | Professor Joan C. Williams | Why Did Trump Win? Overcoming Class Cluelessness in America - YouTube
admire the rich, resent the professionals ie politiciansm doctors and academics. ... sold over and over the american dream/self-employment self-made and become rich yourself (but like to stay in their class and neighbourhood - see Shaytards back in Idaho). not becoming academic, politician, writer, traveller. ... becoming order makers, from order takers. // white feel condescended every day, ordered around, not listened to, not considered, not represented, // no connection to Rich! But everyday professionals! //
DonaldTrump  Donald  Trump  post-racial  LGBT  political  correctness  PC  Super  Rich  1%  Plutocracy  inequality  Oligarchy  Sociology  race  gini  Coefficient  white  middle  class  Precariat  working  poor  No  Representation  Elite  Psychology  Brexit  American  Dream  Trickle-down  professionals  academic  social  income  mobility  underemployed  unemployment  Structural  skills  skill  vocational  education  policy  college  Productivity  output  gap 
june 2017 by asterisk2a
Budget 2017: Hammond to tell us the Brexit vote could have been worse | Business | The Guardian
consumers carried on spending and businesses continued to expand.

The picture for the public finances is also looking rosier compared with Hammond’s maiden autumn statement in November. [...] But here’s what the chancellor will not tell you: living costs have gone up and will continue to do so. The poorest will be hit hardest as the cost of essentials such as food and heating take a growing chunk out of already tight family budgets. Wages will struggle to match rises in inflation and the government’s benefit cuts mean that incomes will fall for the poorest people in Britain. In short, unless the government does something significant to improve living standards this week, inequality will start rising again.
UK  JAM  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  Precariat  Theresa  May  Philip  Hammond  Austerity  DWP  HMRC  inflation  wage  growth  social  mobility  inequality  income  Tories  Productivity  child  poverty  trap  output  gap  recovery  GFC  bank  bailout  nasty  party  Conservative  Generationengerechtigkeit  babyboomers  Millennials  generation  rent  living  standard  discretionary  spending  disposable  credit  taxation  household  debt  mortgage  housing  crisis  Consumer  Consumerism  economic  history  neoliberalism  interventionism  crony  capitalism  tax  evasion  avoidance  corporatism  Exploitation  zero  hour  contract  part-time  minimum  generational  divide  Triple  Lock  Pension 
march 2017 by asterisk2a
Government looks for new spending cuts of up to 6% - BBC News
[ fallacy of Austerity, just Austerity to balance the budget, living off the body, no investment (ROI) to balance future butget by increased tax income. debt does not come down, bc the economy stupid. and imf has backtracked its austerity advice, and latest from imf - investment in health and edu grows economy, got an ROI! ] The Institute for Fiscal Studies has said meeting this target by 2025 would require up to £34bn in further spending cuts and tax rises. &! http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-38894023 - To meet his target of eliminating the deficit during the next parliament, which is from 2020 to 2025, Mr Hammond will probably have to find a further £34bn in tax rises and spending cuts, extending austerity.
The report said £17bn of tax rises could be needed to contribute to closing the gap for government between outgoings and income.
UK  Austerity  NHS  STP  rationing  education  policy  Tories  nasty  party  Conservative  Theresa  May  Philip  Hammond  George  Osborne  fiscal  ROI  underinvestment  working  poor  Precariat  self-employment  gig  economy  squeezed  middle  class  Productivity  output  gap  GFC  recovery  bank  bailout  technological  unemployment  zero  hour  contract  DWP  HMRC  tax  evasion  avoidance  public  health  2020 
february 2017 by asterisk2a
'It feels like a wilfully ignored secret': how commentators painted Stoke-on-Trent all wrong | UK news | The Guardian
(career) politician placards and journalists (headline grabbing) can only tell one-line slogan stories. ... for "ordinary people" there is just no space. and they can't make space for them. [...] Not many of these accounts left any room for complexity, nor any recognition of Stoke’s collective push for regeneration and revival, and plenty of local people greeted them with a mixture of anger and anxiety. [ also sold out to professional class, the ascendent as on the other side of the pond ]
Brexit  complexity  DonaldTrump  Donald  Trump  AfD  PEGIDA  economic  history  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  Precariat  globalisation  globalization  underinvestment  Austerity  Storytelling  GFC  bank  bailout  trickle-down  inequality  social  mobility  structural  unemployment  underemployment  part-time  minimum  wage  living  standard  technological  Career  Politicians  book  Redaktionsschluss  Labour  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  NHS  Professional  London  Productivity  Services  Journalism  Journalismus 
february 2017 by asterisk2a
UK faces return to inequality of Thatcher years, says report | Business | The Guardian
Pressure on the government to help struggling Britons has intensified after a leading thinktank warned that falling living standards for the poor threatened the biggest rise in inequality since Margaret Thatcher was prime minister.

The Resolution Foundation said Theresa May would need to make good on her pledge to support “just about managing” households as it released a report showing that rising inflation and an end to recent strong jobs growth would hit the least well-off hardest.
UK  Brexit  Austerity  tax  credit  Tories  JAM  nasty  party  Conservative  poverty  fuel  working  poor  Precariat  zero  hour  contract  Contractor  Self-Employment  gig  Economy  1099  part-time  social  mobility  income  distribution  redistribution  squeezed  middle  class  technological  unemployment  underemployed  underemployment  trap  education  policy  public  health  inequality  Food  Bank  gini  Coefficient  Triple  Lock  Pension  JSA  ESA  DWP  minimum  wage  taxation  evasion  avoidance  HMRC  NHS  inflation  living  standard  disposable  discretionary  spending  Card  consumer  debt  household  underinvestment  skills  skill-biased  Productivity  output  gap  downward  upward  Theresa  May  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Philip  Hammond 
february 2017 by asterisk2a
UK inflation: now it's the pound in your pocket being devalued | Business | The Guardian
According to the National Institute for Economic & Social Research inflation is heading towards 4% as the effect of Brexit uncertainty keeps the pound low and imports expensive. [...] The government has pledged to double down on austerity from April, with cuts to tax credits and other benefits as well as the savings made over the last five years.

Such a sharp spike in prices will strain household finances, especially when wages growth is expected to remain at around 2.5%.

Bank of England policymaker Michael Saunders said last week that developments in the labour market such as zero-hour contracts and agency working meant wages were unlikely to take off any time soon. [...] [ rise in unsecured credit 2008 levels, and personal bankruptcies not easier (online) to do and 2016 personal bankruptcies were up ~16% ]
UK  Brexit  living  standard  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  wage  growth  GDP  recovery  GFC  inflation  £  British  Pound  Precariat  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  technological  unemployment  Productivity  output  gap  part-time  zero  hour  contract  Contractor  Self-Employment  gig  economy  1099  economic  history  Austerity  tax  credit  consumer  debt  household  Card  BOE  bankruptcies  bankruptcy  underinvestment 
january 2017 by asterisk2a
How Trump Could Cause the Economic Meltdown - YouTube
Trump not addressing working poor, tech unemployment all unemployment and poor pay, growth of service sector jobs not caused by globalisation only. [...] Skidelsky promised leisure time is not in sight!!! bc tech put in place for profitmaximisation. more productivity, but worker retrained using robot paid same as before. not better. // Institutionalize Redistribution via Co-Ops (ie profit sharing, not CEO pay excess, no Wall Street shareholder dividends, but workers dividends (13th monthly payment), // Repeal ACA/Obamacare, is tax cut for 200k (250k as couple) households (10-1%)! canceling their progressive taxes on healthcare, to subsidize the poor and those without. what Obamacare enabled, insuring millions of uninsured, bc could not afford it. // Capitalism does not provide security to working class. bc taken over by neolib, crony, two rules, corruption, 1% fouvourism // do not reform, institutionalise from bottom and top redistribution ie co-op, progressive taxation (w investment tax free brackets), no tax evasion/avoidance harsher sentences, universal basic income w edu reform (Richard David Precht), ...
DonaldTrump  Donald  Trump  Co-Op  wealth  redistribution  Precariat  working  poor  Service  Sector  USA  income  growth  wage  CEO  pay  WallStreet  shareholder  stakeholder  GFC  squeezed  middle  class  poverty  trap  Consumer  Debt  household  debtoverhang  discretionary  spending  disposable  AI  Robotics  Skidelsky  technological  Productivity  leisure  time  part-time  Obamacare  ACA  neoliberal  neoliberalism  crony  Capitalism  Exploitation 
january 2017 by asterisk2a
Weak UK productivity spurs warnings of living standards squeeze | Business | The Guardian
The north of England and Midlands ranged between 10% and 15% below the UK average. [...] Sluggish productivity growth will intensify the pressure on workers as they face rising living costs, [...] “These are disappointing figures overall, with little sign that the persistent underperformance on productivity is coming to an end. Many organisations will be unable to offer higher wages as a result, meaning significant numbers of workers will feel poorer in 2017 if inflation continues to rise as anticipated,” he said.
UK  Productivity  wage  growth  income  inflation  living  standard  disposable  discretionary  spending  Brexit  working  poor  poverty  squeezed  middle  class  Austerity  underinvestment  export  skills  gap  education  policy 
january 2017 by asterisk2a
Oh for the 1960s! People earned less but could afford more | Money | The Guardian
[ fetish of GDP ] Economic growth since the 1960s has been real, but the link between growth and personal prosperity has broken down, probably since the 1990s. We can carry on pushing for increases in GDP, but it’s meaningless unless it translates into a recovery in living standards. If any government really wants to help the left-behinds, then cutting house prices and rents must be their first priority.
GDP  wage  growth  income  distribution  economic  history  profit  maximisation  capitalism  crony  oligopoly  monopoly  Platform  Self-Employment  Productivity  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  globalisation  Competition  liberal  reform  competitiveness  disposable  discretionary  spending  investment  creditcard  credit  GFC  recovery  Austerity  secular  stagnation  taxation  1%  Super  Rich  Plutocracy  10%  20%  bank  bailout  Privatisation  outsourcing  offshore  banking  tax  evasion  avoidance  child 
december 2016 by asterisk2a
BREAKING First Interview: Bernie Sanders On Donald Trump Winning the Election - Nov 10th 2016 - YouTube
minimum wage, gender wage gap, infrastructure, trade deals, ... tax evasion & avoidance! - will he tackle it? // don't take anger out on minorities and poor (help by language of government, ie deserving poor and undeserving poor) - what the tories did successfully.
DonaldTrump  Donald  Trump  presidency  Super  Rich  1%  10%  20%  Plutocracy  tax  evasion  avoidance  minimum  wage  working  poor  productivity  output  gap  value  creation  added  job  education  policy  squeezed  middle  class  GFC  bank  bailout  poverty  Demagogue  Populism  Racism  Bernie  Sanders  UK  underinvestment  underemployed  underemployment  Manufacturing  technological  unemployment  inequality  income  growth  gini  Coefficient 
november 2016 by asterisk2a
Are we heading for another slump? - Michael Roberts, John Bellamy Foster and Joseph Choonara - YouTube
Michael Roberts book // lack of profit, due to lack of growth (outlook), thus lack of investment. ... less competition. +++ winner take all/globalisation/conglomerate +++ erosion of purchasing power +++ no to little wage (income) growth, if at all due to credit card, car load, mortgage, student loan, ... === less demand. === deflation pressures // less profits = more profit maximisation = lay-offs and destruction of union, bogus contracts via forced self-employment (thus saving on social security payments). = and outsourcing in next cheaper country.
ouput  gap  productivity  secular  stagnation  UK  USA  underemployed  underinvestment  recovery  austerity  bank  bailout  banking  crisis  economic  history  capitalism  in  crony  GFC  Sovereign  debt  wage  growth  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  neoliberal  neoliberalism  deflation  deflationary  monetary  policy  fiscal 
september 2016 by asterisk2a
Keiser Report: Gold & World’s Debt Problems (Summer Solutions series E940) - YouTube
deflationary trap/liquidity trap - orthodox monetary policy w austerity = stagnation. & west is exporting deflation. // if it is good for consumers ... break up banks. // hedging is BS ... you double the system you double the risk. [...] banks are now bigger! ... ban most derivatives, and reintroduce glass stegall // Black-Schoeles - there is no such think as risk free rate and no such thing as the past reflect the future. risk is not equally distributed. [...] VAR is flawed. //
deflation  deflationary  NIRP  currency  war  currency  debasement  ZIRP  QE  Helicopter  Money  secular  stagnation  western  world  Abenomics  BOE  BOJ  Fed  ECB  economic  history  Richard  Koo  liquidity  trap  debt  overhang  balance  sheet  recession  consumer  debt  household  debt  mortgage  mortgage  market  mortgage  rates  distortion  hunt  for  yield  credit  boom  credit  bubble  PBOC  China  reflate  reflation  squeezed  middle  class  wage  growth  income  growth  income  distribution  income  disparity  working  poor  Precariat  Brexit  GFC  too  big  to  jail  productive  investment  underinvestment  austerity  history  productivity  gap  financial  instruments  investment  banking  global  economy  globalisation  globalization  derivatives  output  gap  productivity  recovery  neoliberal  neoliberalism  Chicago  School  neoclassical  economics  deregulation  Wall  Street  speculative  bubble  property  bubble  Beton  Gold  Betongold  stagnation  aggregate  demand  aggregate  demand  short-fall  too  big  to  bail  too  big  to  fail  TBTF  complexity  systemic  risk  systemrelevant  systemicrisk  systemrelevanz  zombie  bank  zombie  banks  non-performing  loan  leverage  hedge  Glass-Steagall  Black-Scholes  Equation 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
A hard truth for Leave voters: Brexit means big government
Britain has seen a renaissance in jobs since 2013, of that there is no doubt. But most of those extra jobs were among the self-employed or fell into categories that can only be described as insecure and low-paid. When companies finally took the plunge and advertised full-time jobs from 2014 onwards, around a third went to migrants. [...] It is this mostly older group of workers across the developed world, worried about their pay, pensions and conditions of employment, that want to slam the brakes on globalisation and reject the remedy proposed by big business: greater labour-market flexibility and only limited job protections. [ Globalisation as a great rebalancing of the world economy between the west and the rest (BRIC and co) ] [...] Only government can provide the cure, with a commitment to invest where the private sector cannot or will not go.
globalisation  globalization  squeezed  middle  class  Precariat  working  poor  job  security  job  insecurity  self-employment  neoliberal  neoliberalism  liberal  economic  reform  Agenda  2010  Zero  Hour  Contract  OECD  BRIC  USA  UK  Germany  France  economic  history  capitalism  capitalism  in  crisis  protectionism  Brexit  exploitation  crony  capitalism  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  immigration  migration  Philip  Hammond  austerity  Workers  Union  Workers  Rights  Trade  Union  Theresa  May  Conservative  Party  nasty  Tories  budget  deficit  neoclassical  economics  Chicago  School  deflation  deflationary  aggregate  demand  aggregate  demand  short-fall  Richard  Koo  free  free  agreement  underinvestment  business  confidence  productivity  productivity  gap  productive  investment  output  output  gap  technological  unemployment  skills  economy  skills  gap  skill  gap  industrial  policy  Manufacturing 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Behind the Bond-Stock Divide Is a Big and Risky Bet on Central Banks - WSJ
The idea is that if stocks are rising, bond yields should be climbing too. Here's how to reconcile it. The answer is central banks. If rates are going to stay lower for longer; if more rounds of quantitative easing are coming; if new ways of easing are coming -- the rates should be going down and stocks moving higher. [...] It's about dividends paying more than bonds. 90% of the bond market universe is near 2% or lower. //&! http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-12/germany-about-sell-zero-coupon-10-year-bonds-first-time-ever //&! http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-13/we-just-found-out-who-has-been-buying-all-these-record-low-yielding-bonds - When your nation's bonds are trading with a record low 28bps negative yield (10Y JGBs), everything else in the world (aside from Swiss 10Y) is a relative 'value'...
bond  bubble  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  equity  bubble  hunt  for  yield  central  banks  BIS  Fed  BOE  ECB  BOJ  PBOC  secular  stagnation  wage  growth  output  gap  productivity  gap  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  Precariat  inequality  Gini  coefficient  western  world  rising  middleclass  Asia  BRIC  income  distribution  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  crony  capitalism  capitalism  in  crisis  capitalism  neoliberal  neoliberalism  globalisation  global  economy  globalization  free  trade  dividends  underinvestment  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  student  debt  consumer  debt  car  loan  property  bubble  speculative  bubble  speculative  bubbles  distortion  asset  allocation  austerity  AI  Robotics  automation  augmented  intelligence  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  unemployment  long-term  unemployment  skills  gap  skill-biased  technological  change  skills  shortage  economic  history  Brexit  technological  history  underemployed  underemployment  part-time  deflation  deflationary  JGB 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Alan Greenspan on Brexit, U.S. Economy, and Inflation (Full Interview) - YouTube
UK out of Euro Currency but part of free trade single market was best option on table. // lack of leadership for political union and fiscal union aka ever closer union. not just currency and trade union (free trade). // GET AT THE ROOT ISSUE; productivity, ageing population (entitlement crisis), stagnant wages, secular stagnation = desperate population // European banks some still burdened by sov debt crisis/NPL (= zombie banks) & NIRP & QE & lack of uptake in business & consumer loans. // no back-up to the ECB (balance sheet) yet. what happens if the EURO stops being a hard currency? get Greece out, is a liability. // EU can not go on in Status Quo indefinitely. ie funding southern states. States have to get on course of economic harmony! everyone has to give up something! // Precariat/Squeezed Middle Class/Social Mobility = creates desperate people. // Entitlements are a legal issues. Productivity and Growth Rates can't fund entitlements. = There will be a crisis. // Career Politicians won't touch it. // History (look at M2) this environment ends up in inflation. not time or data.
European  Union  Brexit  fiscal  Political  Union  ECB  Alan  Greenspan  Fed  Yanis  Varoufakis  Janet  Yellen  PIGS  sovereign  debt  crisis  secular  stagnation  productivity  gap  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  ageing  population  current  account  deficit  budget  deficit  GFC  entitlement  spending  Abenomics  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  pension  obligation  babyboomers  Baby  Boomers  immigration  NIRP  ZIRP  QE  economic  history  Germany  Angela  Merkel  BOE  Mark  Carney  rising  middleclass  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  Precariat  populism  demagogue  demagogy  Donald  Trump  western  world  savings  rate  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  triple-lock  pension  pension  fund  pension  scheme  democracy  Career  Politicians  politician  output  gap  M2  inflation  targeting  M3  commodity  prices  global  economy 
june 2016 by asterisk2a
Martin Lewis conforonts Osborne over his living wage con
companies cut back on perks, lunch breaks, and paid overtime arrangements. or change work arrangement; change to being self-employed contractor. //&! As predicted Osborne's national living wage is a con - youtu.be/MQfEWTN5hR4 - cut of overtime and weekend pay bonus. - ALSO THERE COMES AGE DISCRIMINATION. BECAUSE starts not for students!/<25years old! //&! bbc.co.uk/news/business-36082247 - Osborne warns firms not to cut perks on back of National Living Wage
living  wage  self-regulation  working  poor  Greed  profit  maximisation  profit  maximization  George  Osborne  Iain  Duncan  Smith  budget2015  minimum  wage  low  pay  low  income  self-employment  Contractor  Zero  Hour  Contract  HMRC  income  tax  receipts  Precariat  precarious  employment  precarious  work  tax  credit  poverty  working  tax  credit  working  condition  working  class  squeezed  middle  class  Trade  Union  Workers  Union  Service  Sector  Jobs  job  creation  shareholder  capitalism  crony  capitalism  regulation  regulators  capitalism  shareholder  value  productivity  output  gap 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Tyler Cowen: "The Great Stagnation", Michael Vassar & Cowen Debate at Singularity Summit 2011
gains are harder to come by! low hanging fruit gone. [...] VISION IS NEEDED TO GET THE JOB DONE.
secular  stagnation  western  world  underinvestment  R&D  R&D  innovation  Innovators  Dilemma  rentier  rent-seeking  oligopol  oligopoly  winner  take  all  babyboomers  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  austerity  triple-lock  pension  pension  obligation  recovery  Super  Rich  1%  plutocracy  oligarchy  No  Representation  lobby  Career  Politicians  OAP  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  sick  population  health  crisis  economic  damage  climate  crisis  climate  change  global  warming  productivity  gap  output  gap  GDP  measurement  GNP  nominal  GDP  targeting  inflation  targeting  BRIC  creative  destruction  Mobile  Debt  Super  Cycle  servitude  servicing  service  income  tax  receipts  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Moore's  Law  COP21  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  OECD  IMF  crony  capitalism  Privileged  Establishment  shareholder  capitalism  profit  maximisation  profit  maximization  shareholder  value  revolving  door  Wall  Street  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  disposable  income  trickle-down  economics  neoliberal  neoliberalism  discretionary  spending  renewable  energy  infrastructure  investment  Smart  Grid  AI  artificial  intelligence  augmented  intelligence  Autonomous  Cars  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  New  stagnation 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Waiters And Bartenders Rise To Record, As Manufacturing Workers Drop Most Since 2009
On the surface, the March jobs reported was better than expected... except for manufacturing workers. As shown in the chart below, in the past month, a disturbing 29,000 manufacturing jobs were lost. This was the single biggest monthly drop in the series going back to December 2009. But not all is lost: as has been the case for virtually every month during the "recovery", virtually every laid off manufacturing worker could find a job as a waiter: in March, the workers in the "Food services and drinking places" category, aka waiters, bartenders and minimum wage line cooks, rose again to a new record high of 11,307,000 workers, an increase of 25K in the month, offsetting virtually all lost manufacturing jobs. This is how the two job series have looked since the start of 2015: 24k manufacturing jobs have been lost in the past 14 months compared to an increas of 365K food service workers.
UK  USA  job  creation  Manufacturing  industrial  policy  competitiveness  competitive  Service  Sector  Jobs  minimum  wage  low  pay  low  income  productivity  productivity  gap  recovery  economic  history  budget  deficit  income  tax  receipts  IRS  HMRC  trade  deficit  current  account  deficit  precarious  work  Precariat  squeezed  middle  class  job  loss  job  security  job  insecurity  working  poor  Contractor  Zero  Hour  Contract  Budget2016  George  Osborne  STEM  skills  gap  apprenticeships  2015  2016  China  BRIC  global  economy  global  trade  globalisation  globalization  outsourcing  self-employment  tax  free  income  tax  credit  social  safety  net  welfare  state  output  gap  participation  rate  babyboomers  western  world  secular  stagnation  Support  income  growth  wage  stagnation  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  student  debt  Generation  Rent  Generationengerechtigkeit  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  tax  amnesty  crony  capitalism  shareholder  capitalism  profit  maximisation  profit  maximization  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  multiplier-effect  austerity 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Budget 2016: Four key numbers - BBC Newsnight
weaker outlook for income tax receipts & economy/global economy >> OBR has done 'no projections' on impact of Brexit: Robert Chote - BBC Newsnight - youtu.be/A0jvIUKTU1U //&! Budget 2016: Evan Davis grills Sajid Javid on the numbers - BBC Newsnight - youtu.be/L0TBTbfNgCw - "WE HAD THE BIGGEST BANK BAILOUT" //&! NICKY MORGAN ON TORY WELFARE ROW - BBC Newsnight - youtu.be/IC_Yhggk62o
Budget2016  OBR  secular  stagnation  income  tax  receipts  productivity  gap  recovery  economic  history  Richard  Koo  Brexit  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  general  election  2020  austerity  underinvestment  business  confidence  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  low  pay  low  income  working  poor  tax  credit  Zero  Hour  Contract  wage  stagnation  squeezed  middle  class  self-employment  part-time  Contractor  Zero  Hour  Contract  recovery  economic  history  UK  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  pension  obligation  triple-lock  pension  bank  bailout  trickle-down  economics  dogma  ideology  Richard  Koo  Privatisation  free  market  demographic  bubble  poverty  child  poverty  food  poverty  ESA  Disabled  vulnerable  DLA  PIP  DWP  Iain  Duncan  Smith  sanctions  JSA  social  housing  affordable  housing  Crisis  property  bubble  welfare  state  welfare  reform  Universal  housing  benefit  social  safety  net 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Budget 2016 shows Osborne's failure on debt, surplus, GDP
// higher in-work poverty
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march 2016 by asterisk2a
Budget 2016: the productivity and prosperity puzzle
It wasn't so much "here's a rabbit from the hat" but more: "look over there - a squirrel!" [...] [Productivity] turned out disappointingly again. And that's knocked back the growth estimates for the economy, as well as for pay, for tax revenue, and for company profits over the rest of the decade.
Britain's not alone in that. But keeping company with the USA on such numbers is not that reassuring. [...] And as that is the main, long-term driver of real pay, it means Britain's standard of living will improve from the recession, but at only two thirds of the rate we've come to expect. [ Recovery ] average year saw only 0.1% per year.
budget2016  OBR  forecast  secular  stagnation  austerity  George  Osborne  Brexit  general  election  2020  Tories  nasty  party  Conservative  Positioning  constituency  Funding  Toff  Career  Politicians  Establishment  Privileged  PIP  tax  code  HMRC  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  industrial  policy  productivity  gap  productivity  output  gap  income  tax  receipts  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  working  poor  tax  credit  low  income  working  tax  credit  low  pay  wage  stagnation  squeezed  middle  class  self-employment  part-time  Contractor  Zero  Hour  Contract  recovery  economic  history  UK 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Central bankers on the defensive as weird policy becomes even weirder | Business | The Guardian
Growth is tepid, productivity is poor, and inflation is too low: all is not going according to policymakers’ masterplans [...] As far as the OECD is concerned, monetary policy is being forced to take too much of the strain. Its chief economist Catherine Mann made the point that lasting recovery required three things: stimulative monetary policy; activist fiscal policy; and structural reform. The OECD wants the second of these ingredients to be added to the recipe in the form of increased spending on public infrastructure, something it says would more than pay for itself at a time when governments can borrow so cheaply.
monetary  policy  G20  fiscal  policy  monetary  stimulus  monetary  system  monetary  transmission  mechanism  liquidity  trap  UK  western  world  USA  Japan  Abenomics  George  Osborne  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Pact  Schuldenbremse  economic  history  recovery  secular  stagnation  productivity  underinvestment  MarioDraghi  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  ECB  BOE  Fed  Taper  deflationary  deflation  nominal  GDP  targeting  inflation  targeting  zombie  banks  MervynKing  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  Richard  Koo  Gini  coefficient  inequality  squeezed  middle  class  wage  stagnation  discretionary  spending  distortion  property  bubble  disposable  income  productive  investment  austerity  business  confidence  foreign  direct  investment  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  student  loan  debt  student  loan  policy  folly  policy  error  short-termism  Career  Politicians  neoliberalism  neoliberal  trickle-down  economics  self-regulation  City  of  London  investment  banking  retail  banking  OECD  IMF  KennethRogoff  hot-money  hunt  for  yield  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  reflate  reflation  financial  repression  New  Normal  trust 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Weltwirtschaft: Ökonomen halten Ende des Wachstums für unvermeidlich - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Weltwirtschaft: Ökonomen halten Ende des Wachstums für unvermeidlich [...] Ein Beispiel: Wenn das Bruttosozialprodukt eines Landes 10 Milliarden Euro beträgt und um eine Milliarde Euro wächst, dann entspricht das einer Steigerung von zehn Prozent. Wenn das BIP aber 1000 Milliarden Euro beträgt, dann müsste die Wirtschaft schon um 100 Milliarden Euro wachsen, um ein Wachstum von zehn Prozent zu schaffen. Wächst das BIP wie vorher um eine Milliarde Euro, entspricht das nur noch einer Steigerung von 0,1 Prozent. Die Wirtschaft wäre dann sozusagen ausgewachsen. Die alten Zeiten kehren nicht mehr zurück [...] Sollten die Ökonomen recht haben, hätte das für Staat und Sozialsysteme einschneidende Folgen: Die Planung von Bundeshaushalt oder Rentenkasse geht von einem Wachstum irgendwo zwischen ein und zwei Prozent pro Jahr aus. [...] Die Wirtschaft "unabhängiger vom Wachstum gestalten"
G20  George  Osborne  UK  austerity  Europe  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  Germany  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  secular  stagnation  Richard  Koo  aggregate  demand  budget  deficit  economic  history  finite  resources  resource  depletion  economic  growth  global  economy  policy  monetary  policy  policy  error  policy  folly  Japan  Abenomics  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  AI  artificial  intelligence  Robotics  self-driving  cars  autonomous  car  structural  unemployment  unemployment  long-term  unemployment  youth  unemployment  productivity  output  gap  squeezed  middle  class  Precariat  working  poor  low  pay  low  income  precarious  work  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  underinvestment  marginal  cost  competitiveness  energy  policy  energy  price  flat  world  borderless  globalization  globalisation  economics  of  abundance  post-capitalism  Larry  Summers  Gini  coefficient  inequality  Super  Rich  1%  plutocracy  oligarchy  democracy  social  democracy  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  trickle-down  economics  dogma  ideology  free  market  self-regulation  neoliberalism  neoliberal  education  policy  income  inequality  GDP  nominal  GDP  targeting  inflation  targeting  liquidity  trap  credit  bubble  distortion  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  USA 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Five issues that will shape the Northern Powerhouse - BBC News
[ white elephant! lol & the double standard of Google paying 2% tax vs small businesses full 18%+ and not getting investment, R&D loans ] Will Hull thrive or suffer if transport is radically improved to the eastern fringe of the Powerhouse? There's no way of telling. Some people think investment in skills, education and training would be a more certain way of improving productivity - and business leaders are keen to ensure that these key elements are not forgotten in the rush for steel and tarmac. I asked former CBI director-general John Cridland, who is now head of Transport for the North, if there was any certainty that spending billions on infrastructure would improve productivity. He agreed there was no proof, but urged people to take a leap of faith - like the Victorian engineers.
STEM  skills  gap  practical  skills  apprenticeships  underinvestment  productive  investment  Northern  Powerhouse  UK  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  productivity  output  gap  recovery  carbon  tax  renewable  energy  competitiveness  competitive  industrial  policy  Germany  corporate  tax  rate  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  conglomerate  multinational  HMRC  budget  deficit  dogma  ideology  austerity  squeezed  middle  class  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  added  value  value  creation  economic  history  property  bubble  distortion  HS2  Hinkley  Point  C  HS3  infrastructure  investment  infrastructure  macroeconomic  policy  macroprudential  policy  zombie  banks  BOE  Funding  for  Lending  Scheme  Mark  Carney 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
What Really Caused the Crisis and What to Do About It - YouTube
"There are not perfect markets, and there is no perfect planner. [...] we will never arrive at perfect solutions. [...] market will never allocate perfectly ... [...] market will always tend to lend to property and land, and less into productive means (businesses = risk of 100 loss, land or property ... you have a loss when you sell it. << China, UK ) [...] not all credit is good credit. [...] need for macroprudential policy to dampen bubbles bc rate hikes could dampen normal non-speculative area of economy. ie loan to value limits [...] interest rate setting is blunt hammer that people though is the magic wand along the line of self-regulation, free market, neoliberalism and trickle-down [...] GFC can be traced back to the 60-70's - macroecon + micro with absurd assumptions (ie rational expectations, equilibriums, no bubbles) & math & pure theoretical base (no empirical analysis ie of what banks really do ie greed) = makes job of economist as policy advisor real easy.
bank  crisis  JohnMaynardKeynes  keynes  Keynesianism  book  Richard  Koo  aggregate  demand  austerity  liquidity  trap  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  debtoverhang  GFC  recovery  secular  stagnation  western  world  dogma  ideology  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  monetary  policy  monetary  theory  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  budget  deficit  economic  history  credit  bubble  output  gap  productivity  inflation  targeting  nominal  GDP  targeting  asset  allocation  economics  investment  banking  zombie  banks  retail  banking  financial  product  CDS  CDO  hunt  for  yield  VAR  risk  aversion  deflationary  deflation  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  Glass-Steagall  self-regulation  regulators  regulation  leverage  margin  trading  property  bubble  arbitrage  speculative  bubbles  asset  bubble  UK  USA  Europe  ECB  Fed  BOE  zombie  consumer  squeezed  middle  class  zombie  corporations  NPL  junk  bond  realestate  macroprudential  policy  mortgage  market  equilibrium  disequilibrium  Economist  economists  Adair  Turner  hayek 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Beware the Minuses of Negative Interest Rates
Whether sub-zero interest rates actually work is open to debate, however. So says Richard Koo, the chief economist of the Nomura Research Institute. “In my view,” he writes, “the adoption of negative interest rates is an act of desperation born out of despair over the inability of quantitative easing and inflation targeting to produce the desired results.” The failure of the BOJ and the ECB to meet their inflation and growth goals is shared by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England. None of these central banks understand that their textbook solutions don’t fit the real economy, Koo asserts. [...] And on a more practical level, why corporations sit on record hoards of cash (taxes aside). [<< macro prudential policy ] //&! “When no one is borrowing money, monetary policy is largely useless.” [...] Keynes was right and (Milton) Freidman was wrong. - bit.ly/1Kl07Ri & There is no Confidence Fairy //&! fam.ag/1ogOOiM & bit.ly/1LpJL4W & bit.ly/1VgSjAB & bit.ly/214Icm3 & bit.ly/1Kl228n
secular  stagnation  emerging  middle  class  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  western  world  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion  liquidity  trap  New  Normal  financial  repression  GFC  economic  history  Richard  Koo  consumer  debt  squeezed  middle  class  household  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  student  loan  debt  student  loan  Super  Cycle  debt  servitude  mortgage  market  asset  bubble  speculative  bubbles  hunt  for  yield  hot-money  equity  bubble  bond  bubble  property  bubble  credit  bubble  BRIC  China  student  debt  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  Frontier  Markets  emerging  market  UK  USA  Europe  Japan  Abenomics  Niall  Ferguson  Paul  Krugman  Joseph  Stiglitz  Gini  coefficient  inequality  income  inequality  income  distribution  income  mobility  wage  stagnation  income  growth  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  underinvestment  austerity  productivity  output  gap  public  investment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  business  investment  STEM  R&D  competitiveness  Robert  Reich  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  debtoverhang  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  macroprudential  policy  miltonfriedman  JohnMaynardKeynes  keynes  Keynesianism  Fiscal  Pact  policy  monetary  policy  Schuldenbremse  unconventional  monetary  policy  QT  Taper  money  supply  money  ve 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
What's holding back the world economy? | Business | The Guardian
[ continued financialisation of economy / faustian pact ] QE and low interest rates have disproportionately created wealth in the financial sector and inflated asset bubbles. It has done little for the real economy. The rules of the market need to be rewritten [...] dominant policies during the post-crisis period – fiscal retrenchment and quantitative easing (QE) by major central banks – have offered little support to stimulate household consumption, investment, and growth. On the contrary, they have tended to make matters worse. In the US, quantitative easing did not boost consumption and investment partly because most of the additional liquidity returned to central banks’ coffers in the form of excess reserves. [...] private investment did not grow [...] [ QE supported only financial sector and zombie banks and corporations, little to nothing went into the real economy for investment in western world ] [ which leads us to say we are still in a banking crisis per se ]
Joseph  Stiglitz  secular  stagnation  reflate  reflation  austerity  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  TARP  TLTRO  LTRO  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  Richard  Koo  consumer  debt  household  debt  car  loan  credit  card  debt  Student  Bubble  loan  debt  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  squeezed  middle  class  Precariat  low  pay  low  income  wage  stagnation  income  growth  USA  UK  Europe  western  world  mortgage  market  NPL  debt  servitude  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  economic  history  policy  folly  policy  error  corporate  welfare  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Gini  coefficient  income  distribution  social  mobility  income  mobility  poverty  trap  inequality  recovery  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  distortion  financial  repression  speculative  bubbles  hunt  for  yield  asset  equity  VIX  volatility  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  monetary  policy  liquidity  trap  fiscal  policy  debtoverhang  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  consumer  confidence  business  confidence  business  investment  productivity  output  gap  aggregate  demand  income  redistribution  repo  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  system  financial  market  GFC  banking  crisis  retail  banking  investment  banking  hot-money  Frontier  Markets  emerging  market  BRIC  rent-seeking  rentier  carbon  tax  economic  damage 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Christine Lagarde: Housing is key issue for security of UK economy - BBC News
The UK's recent growth, employment progress and deficit reduction have been "strong", the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has said. Underlying economic vulnerabilities, including the supply and demand for housing, have been addressed and steady growth looks set to continue, it said. The IMF's Christine Lagarde said there were still some risks.
UK  Housing  Crisis  property  bubble  generation  rent  speculative  bubbles  Buy  to  macroprudential  policy  fiscal  policy  planning  law  monetary  policy  mortgage  market  austerity  budget  deficit  neoliberalism  IMF  OECD  neoliberal  trickle-down  economics  economic  history  ChristineLagarde  Privatisation  affordable  social  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  secular  stagnation  wage  stagnation  squeezed  middle  class  Precariat  working  poor  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  low  pay  minimum  wage  low  income  Zero  Hour  Contract  part-time  Contractor  recovery  productivity  output  gap  credit  bubble  debt  servitude  debtoverhang  liquidity  trap  Richard  Koo 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Amid market turmoil and confusion, there are four key economic trends shaping society
The UK economy currently gets nowhere near its target of 2%. Inflation would decrease the value of current debts, making them less of a burden. In a world without much inflation, it is hard to get wages up. The worse case scenario is that debt costs increase, as prices and wages stagnate. [ ignoring debt and income growth - stagnation at their peril - youtu.be/KIaXVntqlUE - gov is no household budget, Steve Keen + Richard Koo ] [...] And in this age of austerity, these factors will work against governments seeking to reduce the welfare bill. Recent data shows that, in UK cities, growing numbers of low paid jobs have led to rising claims for welfare such as housing benefits, defeating the government’s aims to reduce spending.
economic  history  secular  stagnation  inflation  targeting  nominal  GDP  targeting  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  inflation  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  squeezed  middle  class  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  low  pay  low  income  minimum  wage  UK  Mark  Carney  austerity  tax  credit  housing  benefit  working  tax  credit  debt  servitude  Super  Cycle  Richard  Koo  liquidity  trap  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  stimulus  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  western  world  GDP  wage  inflation  income  growth  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  income  distribution  Gini  coefficient  Super  Rich  1%  inequality  income  inequality  income  redistribution  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  monetary  system  monetary  theory  student  debt  student  loan  debt  student  loan  Bubble  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  zombie  banks  monetary  velocity  Niall  Ferguson  NPL  junk  bond  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Taper  China  credit  BRIC  output  gap  productivity  industrial  policy  public  investment  productive  investment  business  investment  infrastructure  investment  property  financial  repression  speculative  bubbles  asset  allocation  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  money  supply  faultlines  global  imbalances  recovery  working  poor  Precariat 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
David Cay Johnston; How The One Percent Enrich Themselves at Government Expense, part 1 - YouTube
min 10 - gov sets the rules and rule define the civilisation and the quality of lives. // min14 - people don't want you to see and know what they are doing [...[ you need journalist who are sceptical about what the gov is saying and telling you what they do, but what the gov is actually doing >> truth tends to lead to better policy << [...] you publish when you have it, not when its good timing. // 23:40 - moral point of Super Rich and tax evasion/avoidance.Andrew Mellon. Adam Smith and the Bible: taking from the poor and giving it to the rich. is a denounced evil. you society will come to ruins. AND HERE COMES DAVID CAMERON in his christmas/new years message with CHRISTIAN VALUES! What a liar, what a hypocrite. - ind.pn/1ZqA8eh - David Cameron says Christian values make Britain successful. Why? - bit.ly/1WTGAJd &! bit.ly/1JwfUqp &! bbc.in/1ZqpPqG - << DWP Sanctions //32:40 flawed policy by flawed public understanding how the economy works and politics - disconnected from reality! -
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january 2016 by asterisk2a
James Galbraith, Kate Pickett, Branko Milanovic - Consequences of Inequality and Wealth Distribution - YouTube
free education / land value tax / higher inheritance tax / abolition of private education / more progressive taxation / combat tax avoidance and tax evasion / ... Universal Basic Income //&! New Theoretical Perspectives on the Distribution of Income and Wealth Among Individuals - youtu.be/RO8KWTb2iPM - w Joseph Stiglitz and Paul Krugman --- distinguishing between wealth and capital. ignore land (free yourself from Ricardo). land. credit. //&! David Cay Johnston: The Perils Of Our Growing Inequality - David Cay Johnston about his new book, Divided: The Perils of Our Growing Inequality. - youtu.be/ok7ZJ8mS19Y
inequality  income  inequality  Gini  coefficient  education  policy  income  distribution  income  redistribution  tax  free  income  income  mobility  social  mobility  health  inequality  gender  inequality  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  welfare  state  social  safety  net  progressive  tax  code  Super  Rich  1%  oligarchy  plutocracy  social  democracy  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  democracy  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Universal  Basic  inheritance  tax  financial  literacy  wealth  distribution  wealth-distribution  transferring-wealth  Thomas  Piketty  Joseph  Stiglitz  Robert  Reich  squeezed  middle  class  globalization  globalisation  Paul  Krugman  Elizabeth  Warren  austerity  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  fiscal  policy  economic  growth  Supply  and  Demand  Demand  and  Supply  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  credit  bubble  GFC  recovery  monetary  policy  debt  servitude  consumer  debt  household  debt  Student  Loan  debt  debt  credit  card  debt  credit  card  economic  history  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  competitiveness  productivity  knowledge  worker  book  monopoly  oligopoly  oligopol  American  Dream  meritocracy  meritocratic  post-racial  America  free  market  freemarkets  dogma  ideology 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Carney: No need for interest rate rises now - BBC News
Carney said that collapsing oil prices and an "unforgiving" global environment meant that tighter monetary policy was not yet necessary. [...] He pointed out that the Fed's rate rise had only brought the US interest rate to the same "lofty level" as the Bank of England's. The Governor said that three factors would be the strongest guide to when interest rates might rise. First, that economic growth in the UK would be higher than the average trend. He said that growth at an average quarterly rate of 0.5% in 2015 had "disappointed". Second, that wage growth strengthens and productivity improves. And, third, that core inflation starts to approach the target rate of 2%. //&! Rate rise pause till early 2017? - bbc.in/1T1Qrge - [ global risks are building, global imbalances, faultlines. ] There's a frying pan - the global growth slowdown - and a fire - high levels of indebtedness - out there. &! bbc.in/1S5N7ks
Fed  BOE  2016  Taper  UK  USA  monetary  policy  Mark  Carney  Fed  mandate  productivity  output  gap  inflation  expectation  inflation  targeting  nominal  GDP  targeting  deflationary  deflation  Oil  price  commodity  prices  wage  inflation  GDP  secular  stagnation  economic  history  austerity  fiscal  policy  property  bubble  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  mortgage  market  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  private  debt  corporate  debt  Europe  ECB  China  credit  bubble  2015  global  economy  BRIC  OPEC  aggregate  demand  Richard  Koo  overcapacity  Supply  and  and  Supply  liquidity  trap  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  stimulus  monetary  theory  unconventional  monetary  policy  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  zombie  consumer  zombie  corporations  zombie  banks  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  margin  trading  speculative  bubbles  equity  bubble  Super  Cycle  debt  servitude  leverage  George  Osborne  dogma  ideology  neoliberalism  neoliberal  faultlines  global  imbalances  distortion  emerging  middle  class  emerging  market  Frontier  Markets  sovereign  debt  crisis  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  QT  financial  repression  New  Normal 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Committee warns of decline in Scottish employment standards - BBC News
[ always announcing new jobs created #, but not the wage ] Members said there had been a "decline in job quality" in recent years, with an increase in low-paid zero-hours contract jobs since the 2008 recession. Their report said public money could be better used to support workers. The committee heard evidence from scores of organisations and took submissions from more than 600 people. Convener Murdo Fraser said the evidence from firms and workers suggested there had been a decline in job quality and an increase in low-paid jobs on "exploitative" zero-hours contracts in recent years. He said: "Whilst employment statistics point to an increase to those in work, if we look beyond the figures, we have uncovered a worrying trend in poor quality employment. [...] "We heard during our inquiry that poor quality work has a significant impact on people's health and wellbeing.
job  creation  Zero  Hour  Contract  Service  Sector  Jobs  recovery  GFC  precarious  work  Precariat  low  income  minimum  wage  working  poor  tax  credit  squeezed  middle  class  UK  USA  part-time  poverty  trap  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  poverty  child  poverty  working  tax  credit  child  tax  credit  education  policy  skills  gap  job  market  job  security  output  gap  productivity  living  wage  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  Positioning  PR  spin  doctor  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  income  growth  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  credit  card  car  loan  austerity  consumer  confidence  business  confidence  subsidies  subsidizing  corporate  welfare  well  being  happiness  happiness  index  mental  health  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomic  policy  corporate  tax  rate  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  neoliberalism  neoliberal  dogma  ideology  corporate  scandal  CSR  corporate  social  responsibility  philanthropy  underinvestment  STEM  public  investment  business  investment  Foreign  Direct  investment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  fiscal  policy  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Progress on social mobility 'too slow' - BBC News
Progress on closing the gap between rich and poor pupils has not moved fast or far enough to tackle the gulf within a divided Britain, a report says. [...] 'Stronger economy' A government spokesman said it was committed to an "all-out assault on poverty". "Our investment in childcare is helping parents get into work and give their children the best start in life, while the pupil premium and school reforms are ensuring every child gets a good education." The spokesman said work was the best way out of poverty, adding that the number of workless households was at a record low.
education  policy  Gini  coefficient  inequality  social  mobility  UK  income  mobility  Public  squeezed  middle  class  Precariat  working  poor  poverty  child  poverty  poverty  trap  Super  Rich  1%  austerity  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  neoliberalism  neoliberal  trickle-down  economics  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  Makers  policy  error  policy  folly  corporate  tax  rate  working  tax  credit  child  tax  credit  tax  credit  tax  free  income  budget2015  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  budget  deficit  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  underinvestment  Public  Services  health  inequality  post  code  lottery  Services  Council  class  warfare  working  class  consumer  debt  household  debt  recovery  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  GFC  productivity  output  gap 
december 2015 by asterisk2a
George Osborne vs John McDonnell - Treasury Questions - YouTube
"economic security for the country (& working people)" out of the mouth of Mr "Judgement Call" (that is what the tax credit cuts are, according to him, in front of select committee in house of commons hearing on the matter. // As if 12bn have no multiplier. 12bn for the corporate sharing it amongst their shareholders who have already bns, there is no multiplier at all. it just moves the digit after the comma. For the poop it is about paying for heating and new shoes. stupid. could afford welfare bill if corporates were to pay their fair share of taxes and not avoid and evade and no corporate welfare like for the steel industry (picking winners). = Show of Career Politician with some ideoligy and dogma and no principles. HE IS A MERCENARY. NOT A VISIONARY. A Career Politician. Calculated. Opportunistic. No long-term view. // IFS did say, in case of austerity, private sector has to pick up the slack. And it did since 2010. And new figures in household debt/credit card debt shows that.
George  Osborne  tax  credit  child  tax  credit  working  tax  credit  general  election  2020  Policy  Makers  error  renewable  energy  Hinkley  Point  C  TBTF  property  bubble  generation  rent  Housing  Crisis  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  infrastructure  investment  underinvestment  industrial  energy  price  energy  productivity  output  gap  job  creation  Research  R&D  STEM  gender  inequality  gender  pay  gap  education  social  mobility  income  mobility  downward  mobility  Gini  coefficient  Super  Rich  1%  Toff  constituency  Establishment  election  campaign  promises  general  election  2015  babyboomers  Privileged  Entitlement  corporate  welfare  fossil  fuel  big  pharma  sick  population  Sugar  food  industry  obesity  epidemic  obesity  childhood  obesity  folly  nasty  party  Opportunism  opportunist  minority  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  David  Cameron  Conservative  Tories  capital  gains  tax  corporate  tax  rate  competitive  competitiveness  zombie  consumer  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  credit  card  budget  deficit  Super  Cycle  austerity  low  pay  low  income  Niedriglohn  Niedriglohnsektor  Service  Sector  Jobs  secular  stagnation  wage  stagnation  income  growth  squeezed  middle  class  income  distribution  income  redistribution  income  inequality  wage  growth  lost  generation  House  of  Lords  UK  Parliam 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Perhaps austerity didn't choke off UK recovery - BBC News
But, as I mentioned, the disclosure that we were a bit richer in the last parliament than we thought is not all fabulous news for the chancellor. He and his Treasury colleagues should probably be anxious that the faster growth did not translate into higher tax revenues. In case you need reminding, George Osborne singularly failed to hit the deficit reduction targets he set himself. But the explanation can no longer be that the economy flatlined, because that's not what happened. So if the higher-than-thought growth in the last parliament left the gap between government revenues and expenditures tens of billions of pounds greater than George Osborne hoped, it also suggests that his aspiration of eliminating the deficit in this parliament may prove equally elusive. //&! Despite strong employment growth, wage growth remained historically weak - the usual link between falling unemployment and rising wages seemed to have been broken. - bbc.in/1OEffcS
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october 2015 by asterisk2a
The new right to buy is solving 1979’s problems at today’s expense | Gaby Hinsliff | Comment is free | The Guardian
This Thatcherite policy revival fails to recognise that the main cause of the housing crisis is affordability //&! Housing bill needs radical, long-term measures to reform the market. As well as increasing supply, the government needs to use the tax system to make buy-to-let less attractive as an investment - bit.ly/1PDxWe3
Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Buy  to  Rent  Right  to  Buy  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Supply  and  Demand  Demand  and  Supply  Tories  Conservative  Party  austerity  David  Cameron  George  Osborne  dogma  ideology  affordable  housing  social  housing  UK  2015  budget2015  Generationengerechtigkeit  generation  bank  bailout  banking  crisis  bank  crisis  trickle-down  economics  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  shared  economic  interest  infrastructure  investment  underinvestment  general  election  2020  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  productive  investment  productivity  output  gap  commuting  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  income  growth  low  income  job  creation  labour  market  job  market  labour  economics  Niedriglohnsektor  squeezed  middle  class  generationy  Millennials  sovereign  debt  crisis  recovery  economic  history  household  debt  consumer  debt  debt  servitude  credit  bubble  NPL  mortgage  market  BOE  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  macroprudential  policy  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  Mark  Carney  financial  incentive  tax  code  distortion  Buy-to-Let 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Brazil's downgrade | Authers' Note - YouTube
- 6 killer apps not yet properly installed. - // and still dependent on western world demand! aggregate demand via western consumer. // credit bubble and ZIRP/NIRP/QE has run its way largely // private sector could not pick up recovery. no appetite. same for SME SMB mittelstand. excess reserves not lend out because the horse has to drink by itself, can't make the drink. // especially when it has no means to served future credit interest payment coupons and principal repayment with no income growth! for decades. // inequality huts, middle class destoryed. - Career Politicans, Fear, polarisation, inequality, gini coefficient, zeit arbeit, leiharbeit, self-employment, working conditions, ...sozialer abstieg, squeezed middle class, ... insecurity, cloudy future, richard koo: austerity isn't helping!
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Why did Japan stop growing? Professor Takeo Hoshi at ANU - YouTube
Blyth argued its culture/society & structural. TPP trade deal might help productivity growth & opening Japan further 2 global trade. & encourage immigration reform. Regulatory reform; stop protection of zombies (gov guarantees, contracts, subsidies), corporate governance. Oversight. Transparency. Also Start-up rate (bottom-up disruption) needs reform (reduce red tape, create start-up/business hubs) // &! What is Abenomics? - youtu.be/_UafzhHzmwE //&! Noriko Hama & Yukio Noguchi "Abenomics and What comes After" - youtu.be/a29FTJXYev0 'unable to share affluence' - income redistribution << marginal propensity to consume, 16% left out of society (poverty), lack of empathy & compassion. BOJ is single lender 2 gov. Career Politicians! Companies have no need 2 borrow/cant force banks 2 lend. //&! min52 Problem of rising long-term interest rates solved w BOJ debt monetisation = inflation (probable near future scenario). &! youtu.be/ArnLHTE0e1g &! youtu.be/wYtJ7Fyn9NA &! youtu.be/AbKeTeb-I_M
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Thom Hartmann "The Crash of 2016" - YouTube
7:10 American Dream not abt being Super Rich, part of 1%, self-made millionaire. American Dream is abt live a good life, meaningful work. Launch children into world. Edu. Vacation. & Left over 4 retirement. having a voice; Workers Union. Health Care. Some little savings. Retirement Fund. // Wages did not keep up with productivity gains, if they had, minimum wage would be about $22! - bit.ly/1NZLVwc // 1trn$ in student loans/debt! that is what post-war gen had in assets! // (neoliberalism and neoconservative) Think Tanks; like Kato Institute, produce papers that are pushed to media 'getting our message across' (control media), also control over our justice system, & control over our education (our story, ie X Prof and read Ayan Rand). // Middle Class once invested in college & university. Was seen as intellectual class, society pillar. Till the last 32 years. // cites Fourth Turning book! // re-peat of 1929, = GFC // &! youtu.be/nUWaXZWhnqA &! youtu.be/polYrI4Us84
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Paul Mason: what they aren't telling you about work - YouTube
hollowing out // automation - vs - skill & problem solving (figuring out how to automate/put something together/create new) - vs - end of the chain work (low end, manual, repetitive, service...) // within the next 20 years, 47% of jobs in developed world could be replaced by robots/automation/machines // Future of Work is about problem solving, not putting (end of the chain) things together. figuring out the new, making the new, making something better, more efficient, faster, better quality, ... // and as it stands now, those who reap the rewards will be few. and gov policy, ie tax evasion, tax avoidance, tax code, fairness, --- gains have to be shared.
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august 2015 by asterisk2a
El-Erian: This Is Not 1998 or 2008 - YouTube
it is a repricing. a correction. prices got too far away (reflation of equity & co through ZIRP, NIRP, QE, speeches, plus hunt for yield & FOMO). It just happened to be China being the trigger, the wake-up call - very loud wake-up call - bc of its economic size and heft. (taper talks 2015 that made equity already nervous, and bond holders too, was too timid). Reality check. // Was it justified, yes. // In the long-run, we are all dead. And in the long-run things will, eventually, correct itself. // People may take now into account a new normal, lower interest rate environment, lower global growth, lower yields, lower inflationary pressures, lower dividend payments, more work that corporates (crony capitalism) need to do to squeeze out that earnings growth especially in the western world. inequality - low wage growth/stagnation - less discretionary spending on non-essential items (in the western world). & "realization that policy tools were less effective". &! bv.ms/1NFsFUn
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august 2015 by asterisk2a
Will Advances in Technology Create a Jobless Future? | MIT Technology Review
Who Will Own the Robots? - We’re in the midst of a jobs crisis, and rapid advances in AI and other technologies may be one culprit. How can we get better at sharing the wealth that technology creates? // BY MARTIN FORD - The Great Divide: Unequal Societies and What We Can Do About Them BY JOSEPH E. STIGLITZ &! Inequality: What Can Be Done? BY ANTHONY B. ATKINSON &! The Second Machine Age: Work, Progress, and Prosperity in a Time of Brilliant Technologies BY ERIK BRYNJOLFSSON AND ANDREW MCAFEE // &! Paul Krugman - “A lot of what’s happening [in income inequality] is not just the gods of technology telling us what must happen but is in fact [due to] social constructs that could be different.” - gov policy, corporate policy (ie 4-day work week and 6-hour days because productivity and profit margin do allow for that, and more brings diminished returns etc etc but will that go down well with Wall Street?)
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august 2015 by asterisk2a
Global economic growth to slow, NIESR predicts - BBC News
'Domestic risk' While NIESR was generally upbeat about the UK economy, it believed that weak productivity would remain a challenge. Simon Kirby, an economist at the institute, said: "It's the major domestic risk." NIESR expects inflation to remain about zero until the end of the year due to low oil prices and the strong pound, but that it will return to the Bank of England's target of about 2% a year by 2017. The think-tank expects the Bank of England to finally raise interest rates in February next year. Economists polled by Reuters last month mostly expect the Bank to raise rates in the first quarter of 2016.
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august 2015 by asterisk2a
Yellen: There's Still Slack in Labor Markets - YouTube
>> signs that a debt fuelled recovery doesn't fix the long standing (since 90's 2000's post dot.com) underlying fundamentals of an economy. // low wage low productivity jobs especially part-time and minimum wage - doe not have an economic multiplier as a whole, they cost the economy or are at least net-net 0. // it is the same in UK. and signs show in Germany as well. // &! subprime was one of many predatory lending practices to financial illiterate ppl and exploitation of the underbanked/unbanked, and banks also choose to charge minorities higher interest rates - youtu.be/CbW9mH7p_8E + and add also practices of Payday Loans. Those things are a symptoms of the system at large. Resulting in the Poverty Trap.
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july 2015 by asterisk2a
Richard Koo: "Out of the Balance Sheet Recession and into QE 'Trap'" - YouTube
Released new book end of 2014. // Banks unable to lend money 2 unwilling (eligible) customers. Money remains on the private banks (&Central Banks in form of bonds) balance sheets/books & mostly allocated towards parking it overnight @Central Banks deposit facility (thus ECB put up a deposit levy, late into the game) or liquid fairly un(der)productive investment classes like gov bonds. // Companies (& people ie 4 education/housing) borrowing & investing (into the future, that is uncertain, unknown, deflationary)!? // 19:30 Even Abenomics is not working. Bc trauma towards Debt! behavioural economics: experience of debt servitude on less income, additional uncertainty & distrust! // Lowering corporate tax rate (like George Osborne) does not help. // Persistent low inflation expectations. // Taper extremely difficult: 2.5trn excess in long bonds. Unknown territory. Possibly future higher interest rates than fnd economic growth does warrant - adding to output gap & new normal.
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july 2015 by asterisk2a
Davos 2015: Nouriel Roubini says Income Inequality Creates U.S. Plutocracy - YouTube
- shown hurting growth. US growth is dependent on consumer spending. stupid. hacking off the only leg one has is not smart. // established economic truth ! Paul Krugman: Inequality Actually Bad for Growth - youtu.be/cRMi8_M681U &! Paul Krugman & Tony Atkinson in Conversation | Inequality and Economic Growth - youtu.be/3l6E3mUNW70 &! &! What's Really Driving Income Inequality: Orszag - youtu.be/XJ_raBX7oq8 ( only added value jobs STEM - pays for work and shows wage growth, not so in service sector jobs. UK recovery showed it; lots of service sector job creation than any other type of job + Lohnzurueckhalting (no leverage to demand higher wage than just minimum wage or little above bc outside the door waits the one who will replace you) = no wage growth in the first couple of years of recovery and no productivity growth and persistent output gap (below potential) )
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july 2015 by asterisk2a
UK's inflation rate falls to 0% - BBC News
bit.ly/1IXuomp >> Carney: Current account deficit is a risk highlighted by FPC. UK is relying on the kindness of strangers to finance current account deficit. Household borrowing isn't driving the deficit Tighter fiscal policy is needed. Tighter macroeconomic policy is needed also. Deficit highlights importance of maintaining the attractiveness of the UK for foreign investment // &! bit.ly/1I07olT - BOE's Miles doesn't see secular stagnation in the UK [...] Carney - Health of the financial system is likely to boost productivity [really?] [...] McCafferty: Low income jobs have kept productivity low &! bit.ly/1JfaSxr - Bank is looking at the household sensitivity to rate rises [ mortgage bubble will prevent BOE to raise rates faster as demand stokes as more disposable income is spend on serving interest payments thus depressing GDP growth bc 70% of it is consumer spending ] &! bit.ly/1HtySg1
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july 2015 by asterisk2a
Who Will Pay? Austerity vs. Bailouts | Greece, Europe and The Euro! - YouTube
have to be held accountable >> bankers! but have not, just transfered private debt/losses onto public balance sheet which no has to paid down by the weakest of society and collectively by less public investment for the future (output gap/lower productivity) ie into infrastructure and education // stealing from the young // policy making by comfort and trinkets - George Osborne // moral hazard - the options they choose - paulson geithner summers and co made the tbtf and jail even worse! instead should have chosen partial privatization // sold off our future for keeping the gangsters "private" - get out of jail free card for what reason? because it would be not American? American means to be WALL STREET crony capitalistic greed with tax evasion and lobbying to the tunes of millions - your judge - that judges on you whether you get a free out of jail card?! // who will suffer in the end? the public and the weakest of society and unborn! period. long-term. // &! youtu.be/EmHYeGI0b_U
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july 2015 by asterisk2a
Employers warn of 'skills emergency' - BBC News
More than half of employers fear they will not be able to recruit enough high-skilled workers, according to a survey by the CBI. The employers' organisation is warning that a skills shortage is "threatening to starve economic growth". [...] "The government has set out its stall to create a high-skilled economy, but firms are facing a skills emergency now, threatening to starve economic growth," said Ms Hall. "Worryingly, it's those high-growth, high-value sectors with the most potential which are the ones under most pressure. That includes construction, manufacturing, science, engineering and technology. [...] The survey also highlighted concerns about the need for better careers advice to help young people understand more about the jobs likely to be available. [ &! scrapping GCSEs ! ] // education cost in UK are disenfranchising those who can not afford and are put off by the debt burden they will have to server // &! bit.ly/1IUkBxo
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july 2015 by asterisk2a
Can we ever really expect to see the growth of the past again? - Telegraph
>> what kind of jobs have been created since 2009? no high productivity/output jobs with marginal costs for each additional unit produced. those just fill in some gap. but do not add to above par economic output (blue ocean) // dot.com recovery was debt fuelled. GFC recovery was debt fuelled. // monetary policy might have saved the world momentarily, but fiscal policy did not put logs and pillars under the world, their respective economies - being prudent - looking long-term raising competitiveness with skilled workforce. things are now as a whole, as wobbily as they were 2009/10. Period.
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june 2015 by asterisk2a
If People Understood This One Thing, We Would Have Revolution Overnight - YouTube
Martin Luther King, Jr. was working towards a guaranteed basic income for all when he was killed. Wealth inequality, neoliberalism, the actions of the Federal Reserve, along with the greed and theft of the global elite have made the call for a guaranteed basic income for all even more urgent in 2014 than in the 1960s. [...] In his new book, The Economics of Revolution, DeGraw writes: “Having that much wealth consolidated within a mere 1% of the population, while a record number of people toil in poverty and debt, is a crime against humanity. For example, it would only cost 0.5% of the 1%’s wealth to eliminate poverty nationwide. Also consider that at least 40% of the 1%’s accounted for wealth is sitting idle. That’s an astonishing $13 trillion in wealth hoarded away, unused.” In this clip from the full 30-minute interview, DeGraw points out that the Federal Reserve is already printing money and giving it away to the financial elite.
Universal  Basic  Income  book  MLK  QE  bailout  TARP  USA  tax  code  tax  free  economic  history  Middle  Class  fairness  Super  Rich  1%  recovery  labour  market  labour  economics  happiness  index  incentive  work  life  balance  productivity  output  gap  participation  rate  GFC  POMO  wealth  distribution  poverty  policy  folly  policy  error  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  post-racial  America  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  mobility  Future  of  neoliberal  neoliberalism  No  Representation  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  revolving  door  trickle-down  economics  crony  capitalism  toobigtofail  TBTF  too  big  to  jail  Justice  System  prison–industrial  complex  Bail  American  Dream  meritocracy  meritocratic  UK  equity  bubble  Wall  Street  consumer  confidence  business  confidence  corporate  state  shared  economic  interest  stakeholder  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  Supply  and  Demand  Demand  and  Supply 
june 2015 by asterisk2a
What Explains the Persistent Lack of Inflation? - YouTube
world is flattening, technology impact, low hanging fruits picked, lack of income growth (lack of disposable income, discretionary spending - squeezed middle class), inequality (Super Rich, 1% and corporations not paying fair share of tax), austerity, austerity (underinvestment, no productive investment for long-term growth), business (underinvestment and no productive investment), low to negative savings rate!, a demographic bubble,
secular  stagnation  western  world  disinflation  deflationary  2015  economic  history  economic  model  economics  of  abundance  marginal  cost  Lohnzurückhaltung  Niedriglohnsektor  income  growth  squeezed  middle  class  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  fiscal  policy  austerity  monetary  policy  liquidity  trap  Abenomics  demographic  bubble  complexity  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  western  society  productivity  UK  USA  Europe  Japan  OECD  output  gap  participation  rate  labour  market  labour  economics  Fed  BOE  ECB  BOJ  IMF  recovery  GFC  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  Super  Rich  1%  crony  capitalism  bailout  inequality  income  inequality  Gini  coefficient  trickle-down  economics  economic  damage  macroeconomics  economic  growth  microeconomics  neoliberal  neoliberalism  Schuldenbremse  Pact  PIGS  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer 
may 2015 by asterisk2a
Extreme austerity a political choice not economic necessity (UK)
has lots of papers on // "Extreme austerity a political choice not economic necessity." (UK) // "We are all in this together." Conservatives and LibDems >> &! http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/may/05/uk-living-standards-fell-for-all-but-the-richest-under-coalition-analysis &! http://www.theguardian.com/news/datablog/2012/may/22/social-mobility-data-charts &! http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/education-24566926 //
austerity  UK  Conservative  Party  David  Cameron  Nick  Clegg  George  Osborne  underinvestment  productivity  output  gap  infrastructure  investment  management  fiscal  policy  IMF  economic  history  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  policy  error  policy  folly  social  mobility  Gini  coefficient  income  mobility  downward  mobility  labour  market  labour  economics  vocational  education  education  policy  continual  education  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  globalisation  globalization  competitiveness  competitive  competition  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  precarious  work  Precariat  Proletariat  working  class  middle  class  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  trickle-down  economics  Super  Rich  1%  crony  capitalism  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  Wall  Street  Toff  Privileged  Establishment  John  Van  Reenen 
may 2015 by asterisk2a
Britain needs a real manifesto for growth | Business | The Guardian
There is a chronic shortage of supply in transport, energy and housing. Roads, rails and airports are clogged; we are in danger of the lights going out due to low electricity capacity and pathetic rates of house building have generated stratospheric prices. Building infrastructure produces permanent economic gain, but provokes temporary political pain. Nimbies object to disruption and we have been reluctant to compensate them properly. So it’s no surprise that people use the archaic planning system to block and delay investment projects. Politicians find it easier to prevaricate and reverse their predecessors’ decisions and set up ad hoc celebrity reviews (e.g. the coalition’s bottling out of Heathrow expansion). When the time comes for spending cuts, investment is first on the chopping block because the economic bruises only come out years later. Political short-termism is mirrored by corporate myopia which holds back innovation. There remains a lack of competition in banking. ...
UK  productive  investment  underinvestment  austerity  IMF  recovery  infrastructure  investment  2015  David  Cameron  George  Osborne  Conservative  Party  education  policy  labour  market  labour  economics  productivity  output  gap  social  mobility  income  mobility  Gini  coefficient  inequality  income  inequality  income  growth  squeezed  middle  class  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  vocational  education  continual  education  tax  avoidance  tax  evasion  fairness  welfare  state  Services  Public  Services  social  safety  net  apprenticeships  tax  credit  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  fiscal  policy  fiscal  stimulus  neoliberalism  neoliberal  globalisation  globalization  competitiveness  competitive  competition  precarious  work  Precariat  working  poor  working  class  Zero  Hour  Contract  contractor  outsourcing  opportunist  Opportunism  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  Career  Politicians  investment  banking  1%  Privileged  Establishment  Toff  No  Representation  policy  error  policy  folly  Germany  Schuldenbremse  Pact  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  retraining  on  job  training  John  Van  Reenen 
may 2015 by asterisk2a
Macroeconomics Causes of Inequality - YouTube
"consumption drives much of the economy" // free up disposable income >> free child care, health care, limit exploitation of financial illiterate people (% interest on pay day loans, overdraft charges, dispo), public services, social services, pension contribution by state (preventing poverty at old age), tax credits for low income and children and carers, free education and vocational education/continual education - enabling to move up the ladder, // min11 - secular stagnation post GFC compared to previous recessions in terms of real household demand (balance sheet recession, debt overhang, deleveraging (debt repayment), and lack of new issuance of consumer credit I guess, too + rising income equality! lower redistribution from top to bottom (fair taxation) reduces recycling of income (freed up by policy items above) into demand. // min 18 - top 5% society (luxury, vanity, status) takes over bottom 80% society in aggregate terms of consumption. Economy driven by WHOM?! Affluent!
income  inequality  inequality  social  mobility  income  mobility  vocational  education  education  policy  Gini  coefficient  Makers  squeezed  middle  class  middle  class  working  poor  precarious  work  Precariat  savings  Proletariat  economic  model  trickle-down  economics  macroeconomic  policy  economic  growth  Super  Rich  1%  tax  free  income  Universal  Basic  tax  credit  tax  code  tax  avoidance  tax  evasion  consumption  consumerist  consumer  credit  creation  budget  deficit  exploitation  shareholder  value  Niedriglohn  Niedriglohnsektor  Lohnzurückhaltung  lohndumping  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  Zero  Hour  Contract  productivity  Werkvertrag  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  contractor  outsourcing  fairness  unrecht  bailout  Career  Politicians  gender  pay  gap  policy  folly  policy  error  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  working  class  Blue-collar  Worker  White-collar  Worker  knowledge  GFC  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  liquidity  trap  deleveraging  secular  stagnation  austerity  UK  USA  economic  history  recovery  fiscal  policy  fiscal  stimulus  Schuldenbremse  Pact  Western  World  Europe  deflationary  consumer  debt  consumer  confidence  dot.com  Privileged  Establishment  convenience  on-demand  innovation  Silicon  Valley  wealth  distribution  income  distribution  income  growth  income  gap  redistrib 
may 2015 by asterisk2a
Bank of England says UK economy to grow by 2.5% in 2015 - BBC News
Mr Carney warned of "underlying weakness" as the Bank gave a gloomier picture for productivity growth. The Bank revised down its productivity forecast because it sees a disproportionate number of new jobs as low-skilled and low-output. Productivity growth is now expected to improve only modestly in the coming year before remaining below past average rates. 'Underinvestment' "Today's report should leave nobody in any doubt about the fundamental role of productivity growth in the UK economy's performance," said Aberdeen Asset Management chief economist Lucy O'Carroll. "The Bank of England has downgraded its growth outlook, and Mark Carney has put poor productivity right at the centre of the story. "He may have put part of the productivity disappointment of recent years down to a disproportionate pick-up in low-productivity jobs, but he has also admitted that underinvestment has played a role." [...] [+ EU&Global (China) headwinds] = in no rush to raise interest rates. &! bbc.in/1RIb9Ah
productivity  UK  job  creation  labour  market  labour  economics  Niedriglohn  Niedriglohnsektor  Services  Industry  service  industrial  policy  structural  imbalance  Impediments  output  gap  recovery  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  USA  precarious  work  Precariat  self-employment  contractor  Zero  Hour  Contract  outsourcing  borderless  flat  world  globalisation  globalization  competitiveness  competitive  competition  Manufacturing  Career  Politicians  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  economic  history  GFC  dot.com  productive  investment  hunt  for  yield  asset  allocation  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  unintended  consequences  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  ecosystem  education  policy  vocational  education  continual  education  underemployed  employability  long-term  unemployment  structural  unemployment  Revolution  2.0  entrepreneurial  entrepreneurship  Start-up  SME  SMB  Mittelstand  Software  Is  Eating  The  Share  Economy  service  Sector  Jobs  2015  sociology  trust  advice  psychology  anxiety  secular  stagnation  deflationary  digital  knowledge  sharing  shadow  1099  Economy  New  Economy  Venture  Capital  wantrepreneur  Year  of  Code  practical  skills  practical  skill  set  of  economics  of  apprenticesh 
may 2015 by asterisk2a
Larry Summers: I'm Concerned U.S. Growth Won't Pick Up - YouTube
Not enough investment in productive entities that create living wage & middle class jobs. // credit induced growth & exhaustion of easy growth (China) // Debt Fueled Growth ends rarely gently. (GFC) // western world >> too little internal demand, its deflation and inflation
secular  stagnation  output  gap  productivity  Western  World  lost  decade  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Wall  Street  precarious  work  Precariat  USA  UK  Europe  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  ROI  hunt  for  yield  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  lost  generation  living  wage  structural  imbalance  Impediments  globalisation  globalization  borderless  competitiveness  competitive  competition  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  Service  Sector  Jobs  Niedriglohnsektor  Services  Industry  economy  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  economic  history  Germany  middle  class  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  Werkvertrag  exploitation  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  deflationary  productive  investment  Food  Stamps  Aufstocker  ALG2  hartz-iv  austerity  Larry  Summers 
may 2015 by asterisk2a
An election that really matters - BBC News
Naturally, wearing my economic editor's hat, I can be sad that there hasn't been more explicit debate on the wealth-creating imperatives of boosting lacklustre productivity, reducing record personal debts and re-engineering our corporate sector to cope with the Ubers and the indomitable new sharing economy. But the issues that are on the table are huge, arguably the most important of my political lifetime. The choice between whether to have a referendum on membership of the European Union (EU) - offered by Tories and UKIP, declined by Labour, LibDem and SNP - is massive. // &! http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2015-32605228 Conservatives and Labour are Crossdressing
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may 2015 by asterisk2a
Eurokrise ǀ Die ökonomischen Irrwege der Angela M. — der Freitag
Die Agenda 2010 - ein Name wie Donnerhall - ist bis heute eines der umstrittensten Projekte der rot-grünen Bundesregierung, denn sie war faktisch ein flächendeckendes Lohnsenkungsprogramm, indem die Lohnansprüche der Arbeitnehmer durch Hartz IV, Leiharbeit, Werkverträge u.ä. rapide gedrückt wurden. Und es ist geglückt: bis 2013 sind die Reallöhne bundesweit gesunken oder stagnierten trotz positiver Produktivitätsentwicklung. Angela Merkel versucht nun schon seit 5 Jahren, um jeden Preis das deutsche Modell der Lohnsenkung durch die Agenda 2010 auf ganz Europa zu übertragen, passender Weise mit der SPD. Sie wird scheitern. Aber nicht auf ihre Kosten, sondern auf de Kosten anderer, denn es gilt ein einfacher ökonomischer Mechanismus: Keine Nachfrage und Investitionen - Keine Wirtschaftsleistung - Keine Steuereinnahmen - Kein Schuldendienst. Diese Logik ist einfacher als eine schriftliche Division, zur Kenntnis scheint sie in Deutschland trotzdem nicht genommen zu werden.
Leiharbeit  Werkvertrag  Zeitarbeit  Agenda  2010  GroKo  hartz-iv  Lohnzurückhaltung  Niedriglohn  Niedriglohnsektor  contractor  self-employment  subsidies  subsidizing  ALG2  Aufstocker  labour  market  labour  economics  Exportweltmeister  Germany  China  competitive  advantage  competitiveness  competitive  competition  flat  world  borderless  industrial  policy  productivity  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  Workers  Union  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  austerity  sovereign  debt  crisis  secular  stagnation  consumer  confidence  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  precarious  work  Precariat  Proletariat  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  Europe  PIGS  microeconomics  microeconomic  policy  policy  Makers  policy  error  policy  folly  Revolution  2.0  working  class  middle  class  disposable  income  budget  deficit  social  cohesion  democracy  Protest  Partei  Protest  Party  Sozialer  Abstieg  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  lohndumping  living  wage  minimum  wage  Service  Sector  Jobs  wage  stagnation  sticky  wages  economic  history 
may 2015 by asterisk2a
We Are All Venture Capitalists Now | TechCrunch
In Mediocristan, you work fixed hours for a fixed wage. In Extremistan, success is enormously lucrative, but failure is far more common … and, for artists, condemns you to a life of grinding poverty and/or working outside of your chosen field. Of course tech startups also live in Extremistan. So too does venture capital itself, a meta-tournament of picking winners, in which enough money is (hopefully) made from the few big hits to outweigh the inevitable failures– –and so too will we all, soon enough. I’ve argued before that, because software is eating the world, “technology is slowly dragging us all, economically, away from Mediocristan and into Extremistan.” The power of software is such that it gives ever-smaller numbers of people ever-greater leverage. Meanwhile, much of yesterday’s rote Mediocristan work can and will be automated tomorrow. As a result, our economies are moving (slowly, in fits and starts) to a power-law Extremistan future. [ Seth Godin "be remarkable" ]
Venture  Capital  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  Future  of  Work  Mobile  Creatives  Mobile  Creative  Robotics  automation  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  precarious  Precariat  3D  printing  algorithm  marketplace  marketplace  efficiencies  Share  Economy  shareholder  value  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  Services  Industry  Niedriglohnsektor  service  service  Sector  Jobs  on-demand  convenience  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  Universal  Basic  meritocracy  meritocratic  American  Dream  self-employment  contractor  Zero  Hour  Contract  Zeitarbeit  STEM  Germany  Western  World  secular  stagnation  globalisation  globalization  flat  borderless  freelancing  freelance  competitive  competitiveness  competition  education  policy  Career  Politicians  protectionism  Makers  policy  folly  policy  error  No  Representation  volatility  complexity  uncertainty  Super  Rich  1%  Extremistan  tournament  ivyleague  Privileged  Establishment  welfare  welfare  state  social  safety  net  USA  UK  productivity  output  gap  GFC  Silicon  Valley  Angel  Investor  Seth  Godin  sethgodin  differentiate  differentiation  entrepreneurial  entrepreneurship  entrepr 
april 2015 by asterisk2a
Mark Hatch & Thomas Kalil | Studio SX | SXSW ON - YouTube
min 8:30 // by 2030, 50% of the employment will be self-employed, contractors, freelancers, consultants ... including on the manufacturing side. not just knowledge workers and the services industry. // western world's middle class and affluence gets hollowed out by the rise of the rest, loss of competitive advantage, and the 2nd industrial revolution. taking greater share of the growth of the global economy, compared to western world.
labour  market  labour  economics  Future  of  Work  self-employment  employment  precarious  working  poor  uncertainty  Zeitarbeit  freelancing  freelance  contractor  Zero  Hour  Contract  consulting  Share  Economy  Services  Industry  service  Niedriglohnsektor  knowledge  worker  knowledge  3D  printing  on-demand  marketplace  marketplace  efficiencies  SME  SMB  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  algorithm  Manufacturing  Robotics  automation  flat  borderless  globalisation  globalization  competitive  Western  World  secular  stagnation  Industrial  Revolution  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  economic  history  protection  protectionism  GFC  output  gap  productivity  recovery  sovereign  debt  crisis  Super  Cycle  squeezed  middle  class  standard  of  living 
april 2015 by asterisk2a
Solving the productivity puzzle - BBC News
UK productivity growth (as measured by output per hour worked) has been exceptionally weak since 2008. Productivity growth has actually been weak across the developed economies since the Great Recession but especially so in the UK. Beyond those facts though, there is little agreement. The talk is instead of a "productivity puzzle": solving that puzzle is the key to both a lower government deficit and to higher living standards. [...] [I]t could be that the nature of Britain's recovery explains the low productivity growth. Rather than lower productivity leading to lower real wages (as companies cannot afford to increase pay), it may be that lower real wages have encouraged firms to hire workers rather than investing in new equipment. This could have lowered productivity. [...] Much of it feels more traditionally "sociological" than "economic". // 2nd Industrial Revolution - Software is Eating the World, Self-Employment, contractors, Zero Hour Contracts, etc. &! bit.ly/1aRi7Bw
productivity  output  gap  recovery  GFC  Western  World  UK  Service  Sector  Jobs  Services  Industry  Share  Economy  STEM  Niedriglohnsektor  Manufacturing  Industrial  Revolution  policy  Robotics  deflationary  secular  stagnation  OECD  economic  history  equity  bubble  bond  bubble  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  business  investment  business  confidence  austerity  fiscal  policy  sovereign  debt  crisis  monetary  policy  algorithm  automation  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  borderless  flat  globalisation  globalization  competitive  Europe  USA  China  Asia  BRIC  Russia  Latin  America  digital  precarious  work  working  poor  poverty  squeezed  middle  class  coldprogression  cold  progression  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Super  Rich  productive  investment  1%  speculative  bubbles  liquidity  trap  debtoverhang  zombie  corporations  zombie  banks  zombie  consumer  property  bubble  demographic  bubble  complexity  incomplete  information  lost  decade  lost  generation  Abenomics  Japan  uncertainty  distrust  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  trust  trustagent  policy  folly  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  academia  sociology  sentiment  consumer  confidence  fear  anxiety  status  anxiety  crony  capitalism  social  co 
april 2015 by asterisk2a
Deutschlands Handelsbilanz: Die Probleme einer Exportnation - SPIEGEL ONLINE
In Deutschland wird zu wenig investiert, zugleich spielen wir bei den Exporten bald in unserer eigenen Liga. Die Unternehmenslobby fordert eine Senkung der Lohnkosten. Doch genau das Gegenteil wäre die richtige Lösung. // &! Müllers Memo: Der Kapitalismus funktioniert nicht mehr - Die Weltwirtschaft leidet immer noch stark unter den Folgen der Krise von 2008. Der Hauptgrund: Die Unternehmen investieren viel weniger als früher.
business  confidence  trustagent  trust  GFC  recovery  deleveraging  global  imbalances  balance  sheet  recession  debtoverhang  sovereign  debt  crisis  PIGS  Europe  ECB  economic  history  IMF  austerity  OECD  business  investment  productive  investment  productivity  output  gap  UK  Wall  Street  Germany  France  infrastructure  investment  BRIC  Asia  Latin  America  borderless  globalisation  flat  world  globalization  savings  glut  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  hunt  for  yield  bond  bubble  debt  bubble  unintended  consequences  Taper  USA  Fed  BOE  Abenomics  BOJ  lost  decade  lost  generation  youth  unemployment  precarious  work  Precariat  Service  Sector  Jobs  Share  Economy  Services  Industry  Industrial  Revolution  Future  of  Software  Is  Eating  The  automation  Robotics  AI  artificial  intelligence  augmented  intelligence  algorithm  Super  Rich  1%  middle  class  squeezed  middle  class  living  wage  working  poor  Exportweltmeister  crony  capitalism  exploitation  lobby  Lobbying  lobbyist  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  consumer  confidence  demographic  bubble  zombie  corporations  zombie  banks  zombie  consumer  secular  stagnation  structural  imbalance  Impediments  faultlines 
april 2015 by asterisk2a
BBC News - UK unemployment falls to 1.86m
The number of young people out of work, however, has stayed stubbornly high. The ONS said the number of 16 to 24-year-olds out of work fell by just 12,000 in the three months to January, to 743,000 - a rate of 16.2%. [...] Elsewhere within the figures, the number of self-employed people rose by 33,000 to reach 4.53 million. // If they were jobs for the future, productivity would start to climb, but that is not the case! http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-31928641 [ + ] The tax-free personal allowance to rise from £10,600 in 2015-6 to £10,800 in 2016-7 and £11,000 in 2017-8. The threshold at which people start paying 40p income tax to rise by above inflation from £42,385 in 2014-5 to £43,300 in 2017-8 [...] Annual savings limit for ISA increased to £15,240. [...] Tax on "diverted profits" to come into effect next month, aimed at multinational firms moving profits "artificially offshore" >> http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-31942639
youth  unemployment  self-employment  UK  labour  market  labour  economics  recovery  austerity  Services  Industry  service  economy  service  Sector  Jobs  productivity  output  gap  Share  manufacturing  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  tax  free  income  Google  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  2015 
march 2015 by asterisk2a
Jahresbericht: OECD warnt vor lang anhaltender Stagnation - SPIEGEL ONLINE
OECD-weit setzten die Regierungen vor allem auf bildungs- und arbeitsmarktpolitische Maßnahmen. Sichtbare Erfolge konstatiert der Bericht bei der Reform von Programmen zur Arbeitslosenunterstützung, im Umbau der Rentensysteme und bei der Produktmarktregulierung. Die Steigerung der Arbeitsproduktivität bleibe eine der wichtigsten Voraussetzungen für langfristiges Wachstum. Daher sollten weiterhin vor allem jene Reformen im Fokus stehen, die Fähigkeiten und Qualifikationen fördern, auf denen wissensbasierte Gesellschaften aufbauen, empfehlen die Studienautoren. Ebenso wichtig sei es, die Bildungssysteme so zu gestalten, dass niemand außen vor bleibt.
OECD  liberal  economic  reform  education  policy  Future  of  Work  productivity  output  gap  GFC  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  Robotics  automation  algorithm  Share  Economy  marketplace  efficiencies  marketplace  Universal  Basic  Income  hartz-iv  poverty  in  old  age  child  poverty  poverty  food  poverty  inequality  inequality  social  mobility  mobility  downward  mobility  Gini  coefficient  Super  Rich  1%  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  fairness  Europe  UK  USA  Germany  borderless  globalization  globalisation  competitive  advantage  competitiveness  competition  competitive  youth  unemployment  lost  decade  lost  generation  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  Precariat  precarious  Proletariat  democracy  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  Lobbying  lobbyist  lobby  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  policy  folly  policy  error  secular  stagnation  stagnation  stagflation  sovereign  debt  crisis  austerity  economic  history  Industrial  Revolution  underemployed  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft 
february 2015 by asterisk2a
Autumn Statement 2014: Osborne's Cuts 'Will See Public Spending Fall To Lowest Level In 80 Years'
Tony Dolphin, senior economist at the Institute for Public Policy and Research, warned that Osborne's planned cuts were "implausible". "Given the scale of cuts in the public sector, [the OBR] can only make its growth forecast add up by assuming that consumer demand is boosted by households taking on more debt - and at an unprecedented pace. "Extraordinarily, the OBR thinks that by 2019 the household sector will have a financial deficit twice as big as in 2007 and 2008 when the financial crisis hit. As result, the household debt-to-income ratio is forecast 2 rise beyond its pre-crisis peak 2 over 180%. "This is pretty implausible. If the next government tries 2 follow the deficit reduction path set out in the Autumn Statement, it can only succeed in the short-term because the household sector takes on debt @ a faster pace than it did before the financial crisis. [this warning was heeded some years ago alrdy that consumer&corp would have to take on debt to spend to keep GDP # up!!!]
austerity  UK  George  Osborne  economic  history  David  Cameron  general  election  2015  fairness  Liberal  Democrats  Conservative  Party  Labour  Party  Super  Rich  1%  Privileged  Establishment  No  Representation  Toff  fiscal  policy  Democratic  Process  democracy  tax  free  income  Budget  Gerechtigkeit  Gini  coefficient  income  inequality  compromise  Career  Politicians  Debt  Super  Cycle  sovereign  crisis  recovery  GFC  Lohnzurückhaltung  working  poor  Services  Industry  service  economy  service  squeezed  middle  class  wage  growth  sticky  wages  Niedriglohn  Niedriglohnsektor  minimum  wage  productivity  output  gap  liquidity  trap  monetary  transmission  mechanism  zombie  banks  zombie  consumer  mortgage  market  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Funding  for  Lending  Scheme  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  monetary  policy  Future  of  Work  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  flat  world  globalisation  globalization  Year  of  Code  industrial  policy  job  creation  disposable  income  Precariat  precarious  Zero  Hour  Contract  economics  market  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  GDP  economic  growth  zombie  corporations 
december 2014 by asterisk2a
BBC News - Long, long slog to mend public finances
So the job of mending the public finances is a long way from over. The best performing, big developed economy in the world - that's us by the way, as assessed by speed of GDP growth - is generating far less tax than expected. So this year, the Office for Budget Responsibility expects the harvest for the Exchequer from taxation to be £7.8bn less than it predicted in March. And by 2017-18, it says the shortfall will be an eye-watering £21bn. & the biggest shortfall, roughly half of it, is in income tax, which reflects the creation of lots of new low wage jobs & the absence of meaningful pay rises for millions. [...] reflecting a change in the structure of the economy, rather than a passing phenomenon. [AUSTERITY] The OBR calculates that spending per head in real terms in 2019/20 on the public sector minus health and schools would be £1,290, or 57% less than in 2009/10. [... edu & industrial policy not straight ahead towards econ of the future ...] [in this together?] &! bbc.in/1tqUjGz
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december 2014 by asterisk2a
Google to Make Security Guards Employees, Rather Than Contractors - Digits - WSJ
In a move that could reverberate around Silicon Valley, Google plans to hire more than 200 security guards as its own employees, rather than through an outside contractor. The guards will be eligible for the same benefits as other Googlers, including health insurance, retirement benefits, on-site medical services, leave for new parents and more. The move comes amid rising concerns about income disparities in the San Francisco Bay Area. A think tank with ties to organized labor issued a report in August highlighting the differences in pay, benefits and working conditions between tech-company employees and service workers such as security guards, janitors and landscapers who primarily work for outside contractors. [...] The August think tank report found that the median hourly wage is $14 an hour for security guards in Santa Clara County – home to Google and scores of other tech companies. By contrast, the median wage for software developers is roughly $63 an hour.
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october 2014 by asterisk2a
News Roundtable: [...] deconstructing employment - YouTube
min 34 + https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=8406358 "The article doesn't really examine productivity, it is examining wages." - Digital revolution has yet to fulfil its promise of productivity and better jobs (economist.com) +!+ http://www.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/2i5nse/the_economist_labour_is_steadily_losing_out_to/ - http://www.economist.com/news/special-report/21621160-labour-steadily-losing-out-capital-those-have-shall-be-given 'It's The Economist making a case for wealth redistribution!' +!+ How computers threaten the jobs of mid-skilled workers (economist.com) - youtu.be/PR8OkkfvnT8 'few benefiters + we need substantial skill upgrading and change in education policy' +!+ Is A.I. the problem or the solution? youtu.be/lge-dl2JUAM - Automation, Robotics, mid-skilled jobs, routine jobs, lessons from Industrial Revolution, need investment in practical skills for the future, infrastructure investment, education policy, Universal Basic Income - so that no one is left behind
convenience  service  economy  Uber  HomeJoy  Lyft  Share  sharing  economy  Services  Industry  service  minimum  wage  mindestlohn  workforce  6-hour  work  day  4-day  work  week  leisure  time  Robert  Skidelsky  Google  Apple  Amazon  commoditization  commodity  business  Larry  Page  Future  of  Robotics  AI  algo  algorithm  algorithms  productivity  Mobile  Creative  Postmates  Mobile  Creatives  Washio  GrubHub  Big  Data  Why  Software  Is  Eating  the  World  Software  Is  Eating  World  middleman  self-employment  contractor  marketplace  efficiencies  marketplace  plurality  marketplace  inefficiencies  marketplace  labour  economics  labour  market  education  policy  Public  Year  of  Code  middle  class  squeezed  middle  class  underemployed  structural  unemployment  employment  unemployment  flat  globalization  globalisation  comparative  advantage  competitive  advantage  competitiveness  competitive  Germany  USA  UK  Europe  BRIC  MINT  added  value  self-driving  cars  transportation  transportation  protectionism  population  automation  social  capital  Non-Profit  GDP  happieness  happiness  index  freelance  freelancing  rat  race  differentiation  differentiate  social  entrepreneurship  entrepreneurship  technological  history  economic  history  history  Industrial  Revolution  Software  Revolution  computing  Gini  coefficient  living  wage  living 
october 2014 by asterisk2a
BBC News - UK jobless rate falls to lowest level since 2008
avg weekly earnings still lagged way behind inflation. Excluding bonuses, avg earnings in the May to July period rose by 0.7% from a year earlier; including bonuses, they rose by 0.6%. The current rate of inflation is 1.5%. Last month, the Bank of England halved its forecast for average wage growth in 2014 to 1.25%, leading some commentators to believe it is under little pressure to raise interest rates any time soon. [...] Labour's shadow employment minister Stephen Timms said: "Today's fall in overall unemployment is welcome, but the new figures have shown working people are seeing their pay falling far behind the cost of living. "Pay excluding bonuses today is the lowest on record. Under this government wages after inflation have already fallen by over £1,600 a year since 2010 and by next year working people will have seen the biggest fall in wages of any Parliament since 1874." +due 2lack of job security, people arnt asking 4 meaningful raise. service econ jobs dominate recovery!
UK  recovery  slack  labour  market  wage  growth  living  wage  wage  stagnation  inflation  disposable  income  living  standard  cost  of  living  standard  of  living  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  minimum  wage  2014  economic  history  output  gap  productivity  Lohnzurückhaltung  fear  GFC  job  security  precarious  work  Precariat  Services  Industry  service  economy  service  Public  Policy  industrial  manufacturing 
september 2014 by asterisk2a
BBC News - Farewell to the mother of all depressions
[ THE RECOVERY, THE GLASS IS HALF FULL. PERIOD. ]But nonetheless many will be slightly depressed that although the service economy is now just under 3% bigger than it was at the peak, manufacturing is still more than 7% smaller, and the production industries as a whole have been diminished by 11%. As I have bored on about for a while, although it is heart-warming to see UK manufacturing growing right now, there has been no rebalancing of the economy back towards the makers. Also, within services, the contribution of shoppers to the recovery remains immense - and the retail trade made the biggest contribution to the latest quarter's services surge. That suggests we may be at a premature end to households' attempts to strengthen their finances and pay down debts - and shows that growth in the economy remains perilously sensitive to the cost of money.
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september 2014 by asterisk2a
David Blanchflower: Do not be fooled – growth and living standards under the Coalition have still been abysmal - David Blanchflower - Business Comment - The Independent
Over the entire six-year period [ 2009 - 2013] real earnings in the UK fell by 6.5 per cent, and by 5.9 per cent between 2010 and 2012, and only Greece (minus 23 per cent) was lower. Real earnings growth was positive over this entire period in France (+5 per cent); Germany (+4 per cent); Japan (+1 per cent) and the US (+1 per cent).
greatrecession  UK  GFC  output  gap  productivity  stagflation  secular  stagnation  austerity  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Funding  for  Lending  Scheme  monetary  transmission  mechanism  property  bubble  indusrty  London  finance  zombie  banks  zombie  consumer  sovereign  debt  crisis  debtoverhang  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  lost  decade  lost  generation  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  No  Representation  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Supply  and  Demand  Demand  and  Supply  living  standard  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  class  warfare  Toff  private  education  OECD  BOE  unconventional  monetary  policy  macroprudential  policy  education  policy  Public  economies  of  agglomeration  economic  history  Mark  Carney 
september 2014 by asterisk2a
Stephanie Hare on the UK economy - Newsnight - YouTube
>> how many jobs have been lost regarding to banking in london and adjoining businesses ... thousands. thousands of hours of productivity gone (high charges for the hours). forever. = productivity and output gap || and how many times had osborne now moved forward expected savings and targets in time ... every year. || it will not get better as they travel (still) on the same path that leads to nowhere safe. still heading to the cliff. same direction. same speed.
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august 2014 by asterisk2a
Konjunktur in EU: Analyse des ersten Halbjahrs 2014 - SPIEGEL ONLINE
In anderen Euroländern dagegen ist die Lage bedenklich. Vor allem Frankreich und Italien, die nach Deutschland größten Volkswirtschaften des Währungsraums, haben große strukturelle Probleme. Und in Krisenstaaten wie Griechenland, Spanien und Portugal geht es dank schmerzhafter Spar- und Reformprogramme zwar inzwischen wieder leicht bergauf mit der Wirtschaft. Doch die Gefahr eines Rückfalls in die Krise ist noch immer groß. || http://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/unternehmen/eurostat-inflation-in-euro-laendern-sinkt-auf-rekordtief-a-986068.html - Neue Zahlen von der europäischen Statistikbehörde Eurostat: Die Inflation in den 18 Ländern im Euroraum ist so niedrig wie seit fast fünf Jahren nicht mehr. Das Wirtschaftswachstum kommt zum Stillstand. || + http://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/soziales/bip-deutsche-wirtschaft-schrumpft-um-0-2-prozent-a-986028.html + http://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/unternehmen/diw-chef-fratzscher-hoehere-loehne-und-konjunktur-a-986124.html "Investitionen!"
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august 2014 by asterisk2a
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