asterisk2a + private   198

(94) Merkel, Springer und Pressefreiheit in China | ZAPP | NDR - YouTube
KKR steigt bei Springer ein mit 43%. Mit Bestandsgarantie fuer die grossen marken wie Bild die die Erbin und der CEO gefordert haben.
Print und Alte Stellen werden gestrichen weil kein Wachstum/ROI.
Fokus auf Anzeigenportal (mini/vertical Facebook). Order was halbes wie Bild - content (clickbait) um Anzeigen zu verkaufen.
Grosse Unsicherheit.
KKR  Private  Equity  Springer  Redaktionsschluss  Journalism  Journalismus  print  ROI  profit  maximisation  clickbait 
5 weeks ago by asterisk2a
British Steel's owners charging firm £20m a year in fees and interest | Business | The Guardian
Heuschrecken 2.0 - Loan Shark 2.0 // Meyohas has said he decided to set up Greybull in the wake of the financial crisis, when traditional banks withdrew lending, as he spotted an opportunity to charge higher fees. [...] The Scunthorpe steelworks is one of the last two left in Britain along with Port Talbot in south Wales, after the Redcar facility on Teesside closed in 2015. It supplies steel for customers including Network Rail and supports 22,000 jobs in its supply chain, on top of 4,500 direct employees.

==24hrs later==
British Steel staves off threat of collapse – without state help

[...] British Steel’s private equity owner, Greybull Capital, and its bank lenders are still understood to feel that the government must either agree a Brexit deal that dispels the cloud of uncertainty hanging over the business, or contribute some cash soon.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2019/may/16/british-steel-plans-at-present-to-pay-workers-as-normal-in-may

&! Theresa May departure could not come at a worse time. Gov taking their eyes off Steel Industry
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2019/may/25/british-steel-stricken-could-government-step-in
Heuschrecken  loan  shark  BritishSteel  Private  Equity  UK  bailout 
may 2019 by asterisk2a
Music school grants for poor students going to ‘comfortable middle class’ | Education | The Guardian
The money should be supporting music in state schools, says Robert Verkaik, the author of Posh Boys, How the English Public Schools Ruin Britain. “Taxpayers have the right to know why so much is being given to well-off families to pay the fees for their children to attend high-profile private schools like these. Is it any wonder that the world of dance and music is over-represented by performers who come from wealthy backgrounds?” he says.
UK  education  class  Austerity  private  privatisation  Elite  1%  middle-class  book 
october 2018 by asterisk2a
Couple scammed out of £57,000 fear being homeless at Christmas | Money | The Guardian
doesn't even need social engineering. just very targeted, knowing their business, hacking attack (eg phishing through password change see podesta) and remain undetected for a long time just listening in on the email inbox. and jumping in when the situation comes. // in the end encryption didn't help. would help if there were a 2-auth process for those transactions (business ops, business it security) if you cant be 100% sure that your employees fall for phishing, impersonation, or social engineering (there have been reports of secretaries and assistants falling for social engineering to transfer large amounts for bogus but believable business transactions)
phishing  fraud  scam  cyber  IT  security  private  end  user  social  engineering  crime  impersonation  identity 
november 2017 by asterisk2a
What Next tells us about shopkeepers' woes - BBC News
more online shopping, less high street (high street had to be profitably managed down). More spending on experience.
Brexit  inflation  High  Street  Amazon  on-demand  Mainstreet  HighStreet  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  wage  growth  household  debt  consumer  credit  card  creditcard  UK  private  borrowing 
march 2017 by asterisk2a
Rethink rates now or face retail disaster, shops tell chancellor | Business | The Guardian
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/mar/07/food-inflation-doubles-uk-shoppers-feel-pinch [ are there sensible consumers out there, and wait out the next 2 years?!!! reality of Brexit should be by now, has to be digested by consumer, as always the lag indicator of most. FDI and business investement is first, and was first to scale back! ] A report from the British Retail Consortium and KPMG found that the spurt in consumer spending seen in the run-up to Christmas had come to an abrupt halt, with the result that non-food sales are falling for the first time since the economy was flirting with a double-dip recession in November 2011.

Further evidence that consumers are becoming more cautious was provided by the the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders, which released figures on Monday showing a drop of more than 4% in private car sales last month.
inflation  Brexit  household  debt  Consumerism  Consumer  credit  card  creditcard  private  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  uncertainty  UK  underinvestment  Austerity  Tories  nasty  party  Conservative  BOE  Mark  Carney  Theresa  May  Philip  Hammond 
march 2017 by asterisk2a
STEVE KEEN on Private Debt - YouTube
the trick is up for tory austerity soon, when the private debt/household debt bubble bursts. and or the uk economy comes to a standstill. /// London has driven out the real wealth creators - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dyk1t4wEDAE - democracy by houses, bc renters have no rights, &! Money , banks, debt seems not to matter in status quo economics - Prof Steve Keen on Parasitic Banking Sector London School of Economics - https://youtu.be/Kh99jEE18KY GFC recovery is not recovery it is Japanese style stagnation! ex imigration¬!
UK  London  Margaret  Thatcher  private  debt  Consumer  household  mortgage  GFC  recovery  Brexit  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  reflate  reflation  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Austerity  service  sector  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  leverage  economic  history  living  standard  wage  growth  mobility  social  inequality  Gini  Coefficient  tax  evasion  avoidance  HMRC  payday  loan  trickle-down  Tories  nasty  party  Conservative  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  JAM  Theresa  May  Philip  Hammond  IMF  OECD  neoliberalism  crony  capitalism  Exploitation  corporatism  Consumerism  materialism  GDP  underinvestment  ROI  BOE  Mark  Carney  Steve  Keen  book 
march 2017 by asterisk2a
IFS: Growth in UK living standards worst in 60 years | Business | The Guardian
The Institute for Financial Studies is predicting that households will be almost 20% worse off by 2021 - IFS calculations show that average household incomes will be 18% lower in 2021-22 than could have been reasonably expected before the financial crisis in 2007-08 - “One of the biggest drivers of the rise in child poverty is policy choices, which is why it is essential that the prime minister and chancellor use the upcoming budget to put in place measures to stop this happening. An excellent start would be to ensure families can keep more of their earnings under the universal credit.”
IMF  UK  Austerity  OECD  living  standard  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Philip  Hammond  Theresa  May  GFC  recovery  Tories  nasty  party  bank  bailout  Labour  Ed  Miliband  Jeremy  Corbyn  Conservative  secular  stagnation  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  household  debt  credit  card  mortgage  private  Consumer  Consumerism  wage  growth  inflation  mobility  inequality  gini  Coefficient  poverty  trap  working  poor  gig  economy  zero  hour  contract  Self-Employment  part-time  Precariat  squeezed  middle  class  technological  unemployment  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  trickle-down  neoliberalism  crony  Capitalism  corporatism  tax  evasion  avoidance  GDP  Corporate  profit  maximisation  globalisation  globalization  welfare  underinvestment  child  taxation  taxcredit  UC  DWP  JSA  social  fuel  Brexit  neoconservatism  neoconservatives  JAM 
march 2017 by asterisk2a
Mario Draghi in der Kritik: "Die Geldpolitik macht den Kapitalismus kaputt" - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Danach kamen die Übertreibungen am US-Immobilienmarkt, im Süden der Eurozone und auf den Rohstoffmärkten. Wir haben es mit einer Kette wandernder Blasen zu tun, die von der Geldpolitik getrieben werden. Die neue Blase bildet sich nie dort, wo zuvor die alte geplatzt ist. Die Regierungen reagieren auf einen Crash mit schärferen Regeln, aber die Spekulation ist ihnen immer einen Schritt voraus.
GFC  recovery  economic  history  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  ECB  BOE  Fed  USA  UK  Europe  European  Union  PIGS  secular  stagnation  household  debt  consumer  car  loan  student  credit  card  private  Austerity  IMF  OECD  Dodd-Frank  self-regulation  Regulation  regulators  FSA  BaFin  speculation  speculative  ROI  productivity  output  gap  inflation  targeting  monetary  policy  fiscal  Schuldenbremse  Pact  inequality  capital  assets  gini  Coefficient  Super  Rich  1%  10%  Plutocracy  Oligarchy  bank  bailout  zombie  NPL 
february 2017 by asterisk2a
Day of change turns rules upside down
And almost the entire establishment's appeal to the electorate was rejected. One member of the cabinet pointed to the problem: "they don't believe us".
Right now, it is not at all inevitable that's a problem the current generation of politicians will ever be able to fix.
Brexit  Career  Politicians  politician  No  Representation  Precariat  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  poverty  UK  England  unitedkingdom  European  Union  Westminster  No.  10  disenfranchise  disenfranchised  immigration  structural  unemployment  long-term  unemployment  unemployment  election  campaign  promises  trust  babyboomers  Baby  Boomers  Establishment  Privileged  Toff  private  education 
june 2016 by asterisk2a
The Growth Trap
[ growing for growth sake! vs growing in a world/area that is not conducive to grow ] When Twitter went public in 2013, its stock soared and its value jumped to $25 billion. Its founders and early investors got rich. But since then, the company has been considered a failure, despite the fact that it boasts 320 million active users, because it's not growing fast enough. Douglas Rushkoff, author of "Throwing Rocks at the Google Bus: How Growth Became the Enemy of Prosperity," talks to Steve Paikin about why he sees the push for more growth as dangerous. // true capitalists (shareholder, crony, greedy) w/o self-regulation or governance extract all the value there is to extract and then leave, dispersing it to the few who already have [...] WE MUST REWRITE THE RULES OF THE GROWTH GAME ITSELF! [...] you want to optimise the economy based on velocity of money (circulation of money), not share price and value extraction [...]
Venture  Capital  Unicorn  shareholder  capitalism  Greed  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  profit  maximization  Wall  Street  Wall  Street  activists  Yahoo!  Google  Inc.  Alphabet  Inc.  Microsoft  IBM  Intel  Oracle  capitalism  exploitation  Super  Rich  short-termism  short-term  thinking  1%  plutocracy  oligarchy  M&A  economic  growth  growth  round  Mutual  Fund  macroeconomic  policy  secular  stagnation  Private  Equity  MBO  Pivot  IPO  dividends  prosperity  Start-Ups  Start-up  s&p500  pension  scheme  pension  finite  resources  resource  depletion  economic  history  creative  destruction  share  buyback  Apple  capitalism  in  crisis  capitalist  Uber  monopoly  oligopol  oligopoly  antitrust  corruption  western  world  squeezed  middle  class  emerging  middle  class  BRIC  business  cycle  company  book  cost  center  overhead  costcutting  operating  performance  operating  margin  globalisation  globalization  Universal  Basic  Income  artificial  intelligence  AI  augmented  intelligence  Robotics  automation  structural  unemployment  materialism  consumerism  status  anxiety  disenfranchise  disenfranchised  youth  unemployment  post-capitalism  Mobile  Banlieue  deprivation  poverty  trap  poverty  meritocracy  meritocratic  Gini  value  coefficie 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
British households doing less cleaning, DIY and gardening, says ONS
[80% of 2015 GDP growth was consumer related][home improvement is bell weather signal] [...] Over the past decade British waistlines have expanded with obesity reaching crisis levels. Yet the ONS estimates that, in the home at least, the number of calories consumed has been falling. [...] Another significant change is the value put on “transport services” provided by households. This week record car sales were reported, jumping to more than 500,000 in March alone, yet the number of miles driven by households – to go to work or the shops, collecting children from school, etc – remains significantly below the levels recorded a decade ago. [...] It attributed the fall to petrol costs and pressure on household budgets after the financial crash. [...] . Time spent on DIY is down the most – by 20% since 2005. ...
recovery  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  DIY  homeownership  UK  property  bubble  Housing  Crisis  Generation  Rent  squeezed  middle  class  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  mortgage  market  distortion  credit  payment  working  poor  low  pay  low  income  job  insecurity  private  debt  consumer  spending 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Börsenpläne von Spotify: Der Sound der Zocker
Eine Milliarde Dollar (880 Millionen Euro) leiht sich der Musikdienst laut "Wall Street Journal" bei Finanzinvestoren und der Großbank Goldman Sachs. Spotify verspricht den Geldgebern neben Zinszahlungen auch Anteile am Unternehmen. Wie viel Spotify zahlen muss und in welcher Größenordnung Anteile den Besitzer wechseln, hängt davon ab, wann die Schweden an die Börse gehen. Mit jedem Halbjahr, in dem das Start-up die Erstemission herauszögert, wird es jedenfalls teurer.

Das macht den Deal hochriskant für Spotify: Von Profitabilität ist der Dienst weit entfernt, 2014 fuhr der Dienst einen Verlust von 162 Millionen Euro ein. Die neuen Schulden könnten das Unternehmen in einen ruinösen Strudel von schrumpfenden Geldreserven, drückender Zinslast und immer mieseren Börsenaussichten reißen. [...] [ M&A out of question ] &! bit.ly/1MYHBK4 &! on.recode.net/1oo4GQ1
Spotify  IPO  growth  round  Private  Equity  Goldman  Sachs  liquidation  preferences  termsheet  Box  Aaron  Levie  Apple  Music  Apple  Google  Inc.  Google  Play  Music  Google  Play  Amazon  Prime  Amazon  M&A  Soundcloud  Deezer  Rdio  Pandora  Microsoft  Venture  Capital  Unicorn  business  model  subscription  model  freemium 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Ex-MPC member says rates will stay low until 2021 - BBC News
Blanchflower: Global economy "feels a little bit like 2008" Interest rates will likely fall further in Britain and remain at near record low levels until 2021, [...] Blanchflower described the backdrop to the committee's decision in March 2009 to cut rates to 0.5% as catastrophic. He said the MPC at the time had wished to avoid a death spiral. Britain was plunged into its deepest-ever recession in 2008 as confidence in banks collapsed and investment dried up. "We cut rates in November 2008 by 150 basis points (1.5%). It was clear that we should have cut by more but didn't because of the panic that it might have caused," he said. "It was absolutely clear that this (the financial crisis) was something we had not seen in a generation. We learned that the scale of the shock was enormous." [...] mortgage rates are 31% lower than before the crisis, while savers may have lost £106bn due to record low rates. //&! bbc.in/1YeqV87 &! bbc.in/1LGOxAf - central banks understated deflation pressure!
ZIRP  NIRP  QE  BOE  UK  global  economy  recovery  aggregate  demand  property  bubble  underinvestment  austerity  George  Osborne  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  mortgage  market  macroprudential  policy  Mark  Carney  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Help  to  Save  Right  to  Buy  Buy-to-Let  subprime  car  loan  credit  card  debt  zombie  consumer  zombie  corporations  zombie  banks  Richard  Koo  liquidity  trap  secular  stagnation  economic  history  GFC  household  debt  private  debt  consumer  debt  David  Blanchflower  Danny  Blanchflower  financial  repression  hunt  for  yield  asset  allocation  distortion  Super  Cycle  junk  bond  Gini  coefficient  deflationary  deflation  Taper  QT  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  Pact  Schuldenbremse  BIS  ECB  Fed  BOJ  credit  bubble  PBOC  hot-money 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Keiser Report: Sovietization of capitalism (E723) - YouTube
BIS 100% of private debt and finance sector larger than 3.9% of economy bad ... and siphoning off talent from more productive fields of work. And finance favours lending to property and land (low productivity). [...] financial products (derivatives) do not help economy. is just a financial product, fee collection. rentier! rent-seeking behaviour! fees fees fees. (JP Morgan, 89% of profits, see interview) [...] QE reflated asset prices/share prices! // In the second half, Max interviews David Graeber about his new book, The Utopia of Rules: On Technology, Stupidity and the Secret Joys of Bureaucracy.
private  debt  consumer  debt  household  debt  BIS  Wall  Street  recovery  zombie  banks  car  loan  credit  card  debt  student  loan  debt  student  loan  Bubble  student  debt  economic  history  GFC  secular  stagnation  UK  City  of  London  USA  investment  banking  retail  banking  BOE  Fed  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  property  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  productivity  output  gap  austerity  George  Osborne  dogma  ideology  constituency  Party  Funding  vested  interest  interest  groups  mortgage  market  Housing  Crisis  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Help  to  Save  Funding  for  Lending  Scheme  Right  to  Buy  Buy-to-Let  subsidies  subsidizing  derivatives  financial  product  rent-seeking  rentier  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  reflate  reflation  Mark  Carney  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Richard  Koo  book  David  Graeber  MervynKing 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
German Banks Told To Start Hoarding Cash | Zero Hedge
In order to generate artificial economic growth, the ECB wants banks to make as many loans as possible, no matter how stupid or idiotic. They believe that economic growth is simply a function of loans. The more money that’s loaned out, the more the economy will grow. This is the sort of theory that works really well in an economic textbook. But it doesn’t work so well in a history textbook. Cheap money encourages risky behavior. It gives banks an incentive to give ‘no money down’ loans to homeless people with no employment history. It creates bubbles (like the housing bubble from 10 years ago), and ultimately, financial panics (like the banking crisis from 8 years ago). Banks are supposed to be conservative, responsible managers of other people’s money. When central bank policies penalize that practice, bad things tend to happen.
Richard  Koo  aggregate  demand  austerity  fiscal  policy  Pact  Schuldenbremse  economic  history  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion  financial  repression  hunt  for  yield  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  Venture  Capital  Mutual  Fund  Private  Equity  reflate  reflation  recovery  GFC  debtoverhang  liquidity  trap  zombie  banks  deleveraging  Debt  Super  Cycle  secular  stagnation  consumer  wage  stagnation  squeezed  middle  class  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  marginal  propensity  to  consume  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  oligarchy  plutocracy  Super  Rich  1%  household  car  loan  credit  card  student  loan  student  loan  student  Bubble  generation  rent  OMT  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  working  poor  precarious  work  Precariat  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  Leiharbeit  Zeitarbeit  Agenda  2010  low  pay  low  income  TLTRO  LTRO  monetary  transmission  mechanism  velocity  of  money 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Pando: So we’ve all agreed: Zenefits will be the (guilty) scapegoat for all that went wrong in tech for the last five years
You don’t have to read everything Pando has written in the past few years to know some of the things we’re not big on. Bro-ish behavior, breaking laws, the cult of disruption, Silicon Valley companies hiring dangerous political operatives, and dictating your business strategy based on how much money you can raise. To name just a few. You only have to read Farhad Manjoo’s excellent piece on Zenefits last week that detailed how staff were told to turn their t-shirts inside out when they went to bars, or the Journal’s latest story about how Zenefits HR had to circulate a memo asking people not to have sex in the stairwells anymore to know this was a company right up there with “Boober” and the college emails of Evan Spiegel... //&! Zenefits: Were the Valley's kingmakers wrong, or did they just lie? - bit.ly/1SS6bDv //&! The Inside Story Of The Meltdown at $4.5 Billion Unicorn Zenefits - soundcloud.com/jay-yarow/zenefits - the sky is the limit! hyperbole. doubling every year... landgrab!
Zenefits  Uber  Silicon  Valley  Hype  Cycle  growth  round  hunt  for  yield  distortion  governance  corporate  governance  corporate  culture  culture  filter  bubble  bubble  Angel  Investor  Party  Seed  Incubator  Private  Market  FOMO 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Die Macht der Finanzkonzerne - Wie Blackrock mittels Geld die Welt regiert - YouTube
extraction of fat. no skin in the game. // Privatisation of housing stock - social and affordable, anglo saxon capitalism style; profit maximisation, dividends. // after Goldman Sachs the new vampiresquid // no skin in game; get money for speculation from pension funds, other investors, mutual funds. << that is the system! // nur wer geld hat, kann es vermehren. // nearly no governance, no guidelines regarding sustainability, ethics, transparency, morals. // no regulation = big profit and exploitation, corruption, bribery.
BlackRock  MBO  LBO  M&A  Private  Equity  financial  product  Hedge  Fund  Black  Swan  blackswan  Nassim  Taleb  self-regulation  Mutual  Fund  Venture  Capital  risk  governance  corporate  governance  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  activist  investor  Main  Street  accountability  transparency  mainstreet  arbitrage  squeezed  middle  class  wage  stagnation  bonuses  bonus  speculation  revolving  door  regulation  regulators  Career  Politicians  CEO  pay  dividends  Heuschrecken  ROI  speculative  sustainability  tax  code  ethics  corporate  scandal  accounting  scandal  oligarchy  plutocracy  Super  Rich  1%  GFC  sovereign  debt  crisis 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Matt Taibbi: Mitt Romney and the Looting of America (1/2) - YouTube
https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heuschreckendebatte // companies turned into financial instruments. // fictionalisation of economy // >> money spend (debt) on hostile takeover/LBO/MBO/M&A are tax deductible! << = invest in debt, rather than equity! & carried interest is only taxed at 15% max. still can reduce it w deductions xyz. // !!! NO SKIN IN THE GAME !!! Nassim Taleb //
Mitt  Romney  risk  capital  Venture  LBO  MBO  Wall  Street  M&A  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  multinational  conglomerate  Mafia  Private  Equity  oligarchy  plutocracy  Super  Rich  1%  activist  investor  share  buyback  Hedge  Fund  Heuschrecken  bankruptcy  public  sentiment  public  awareness  creative  destruction  financial  product  self-regulation  regulation  regulators  BlackRock  Bain  CEO  pay  bonuses  bonus  squeezed  middle  class  Blackstone  dividends  mainstream  Main  Street  hostile  takeover  USA  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  tax  code  Nassim  Taleb  vested  interest  interest  groups  Career  Politicians 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
More Evidence Supporting the House of Debt | House of Debt
Many have argued that we overstate the importance of housing and household debt in explaining the Great Recession and weak recovery. They point to the banking crisis, policy uncertainty, or excessive regulation as equally or even more important. The data released today by the BEA show pretty clearly that the arguments we make in House of Debt remain relevant for thinking about economic weakness today. In our view, the explanation we provide is the most consistent with the striking difference in consumption across states. // From Comments: Without real median income rising you can’t grow in an economy based on debt expansion
secular  stagnation  consumer  debt  mortgage  market  household  debt  USA  UK  recovery  GFC  credit  card  debt  debt  servitude  debtoverhang  Richard  Koo  student  loan  debt  Super  Cycle  student  debt  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  private  debt  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  book  marginal  propensity  to  consume  consumerist  consumerism  zombie  consumer  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  negative  equity  job  creation  precarious  work  Precariat  low  pay  low  income  Service  Sector  Jobs  job-creation  squeezed  middle  class  Elizabeth  Warren  income  distribution  inequality  Gini  coefficient  income  mobility  social  mobility  American  Dream  post-racial  America  Joseph  Stiglitz  Thomas  Piketty  Paul  Krugman  part-time  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  income  growth  income  inequality  economic  history  Super  Rich  1%  austerity  oligarchy  plutocracy  fiscal  stimulus  budget  deficit  corporate  welfare  tax  avoidance  tax  evasion  corporate  tax  rate  subsidies  subsidizing  welfare  state  social  safety  net  western  world  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Chicago  School  credit  bubble  liquidity  trap  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Pando: Two slides that could predict a worse quarter for venture capital is coming
All of 2015’s totals lived and died on mega-deals. Mega-deals were the reason that the total amount invested in the year was one of the highest on record, even though the actual number of deals fell. It’s the reason the fourth quarter’s venture capital total fell so sharply when mega deals declined some 45%. //&! As America faces the techpocalypse, how are things going in Europe? - bit.ly/1ndNFZt //&! If Doordash is struggling to close funding with Sequoia as a lead, how bad are things at your startup? - bit.ly/1njD8v9 - Doordash is a fundable company, just not at the prices originally discussed… and maybe not even at $600 million. //&! Asian venture capital in 2016: This could get ugly… - It has the farthest to fall, and the newest investors - bit.ly/1Pg8vla
growth  round  Venture  Capital  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion  Silicon  Valley  Private  Equity  Mutual  Fund  Angel  Investor  Seed  Party  Private  Market  Hype  Cycle  Unicorn  China  credit  bubble  monetary  policy  liquidity  trap  speculative  bubbles  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  QT  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  mobile  homescreen 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Why is the pound falling so sharply? - BBC News
Weak economic data is casting doubt on the future performance of the UK economy, with inflation persistently well below the Bank of England's 2% target and earnings growth slowing down from a six-year high. Earlier this month, figures for November showed that UK industrial output had suffered its sharpest decline since 2013. Looking further ahead, investors are worried about the outcome of a referendum on the UK's continued membership of the EU. As Andy Scott of foreign exchange services firm HiFX put it: "Concerns over the UK economy and the risk of a Brexit look likely to continue to haunt sterling." Traders are also generally more risk-averse in the light of the global turmoil caused by Chinese market problems and falling oil prices, which makes them reluctant to buck sterling's downward trend.
UK  BOE  Taper  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  liquidity  trap  debtoverhang  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  mortgage  market  industrial  policy  austerity  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  Richard  Koo  zombie  consumer  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  theory  unconventional  monetary  policy  Mark  Carney  MPC  energy  policy  energy  price  competitive  competitiveness  STEM  underinvestment  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  corporate  welfare  corporate  tax  rate  subsidies  subsidizing  secular  stagnation  immigration  migration  job  creation  low  income  Service  Sector  Jobs  recovery  GFC  bank  bailout  budget  deficit  London  Scottish  Independence  Scottish  referendum  Devolution  Brexit  uncertainty  unknown  unkown  global  economy  credit  bubble  debt  servitude  Super  Cycle  student  loan  debt  student  debt  baddebt  NPL  private  debt  economic  history  Niall  Ferguson  democracy  Super  Rich  1%  oligarchy  plutocracy  Gini  coefficient  inequality  social  mobility  income  mobility  Precariat  Zero  Hour  Contract  precarious  work  Contractor  low  pay  minimum  wage  George  Osborne  Tories  dogma  ideology  Conservative  Party  neoliberal 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Carney: No need for interest rate rises now - BBC News
Carney said that collapsing oil prices and an "unforgiving" global environment meant that tighter monetary policy was not yet necessary. [...] He pointed out that the Fed's rate rise had only brought the US interest rate to the same "lofty level" as the Bank of England's. The Governor said that three factors would be the strongest guide to when interest rates might rise. First, that economic growth in the UK would be higher than the average trend. He said that growth at an average quarterly rate of 0.5% in 2015 had "disappointed". Second, that wage growth strengthens and productivity improves. And, third, that core inflation starts to approach the target rate of 2%. //&! Rate rise pause till early 2017? - bbc.in/1T1Qrge - [ global risks are building, global imbalances, faultlines. ] There's a frying pan - the global growth slowdown - and a fire - high levels of indebtedness - out there. &! bbc.in/1S5N7ks
Fed  BOE  2016  Taper  UK  USA  monetary  policy  Mark  Carney  Fed  mandate  productivity  output  gap  inflation  expectation  inflation  targeting  nominal  GDP  targeting  deflationary  deflation  Oil  price  commodity  prices  wage  inflation  GDP  secular  stagnation  economic  history  austerity  fiscal  policy  property  bubble  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  mortgage  market  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  private  debt  corporate  debt  Europe  ECB  China  credit  bubble  2015  global  economy  BRIC  OPEC  aggregate  demand  Richard  Koo  overcapacity  Supply  and  and  Supply  liquidity  trap  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  stimulus  monetary  theory  unconventional  monetary  policy  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  zombie  consumer  zombie  corporations  zombie  banks  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  margin  trading  speculative  bubbles  equity  bubble  Super  Cycle  debt  servitude  leverage  George  Osborne  dogma  ideology  neoliberalism  neoliberal  faultlines  global  imbalances  distortion  emerging  middle  class  emerging  market  Frontier  Markets  sovereign  debt  crisis  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  QT  financial  repression  New  Normal 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Meet the Renegades Steve Keen - YouTube
[ chicago school of economics ] 17:25 - private debt // demand will never be again so starong as before GFC. growth of debt/credit is normal. but without growth and high debt is cancer. + current account deficit/trade deficit = means things for UK can not go in indefinitely. austerity will run its course, will not make things better. next is property bubble! and NPL as normalisation to 2% nears // China margin trading & leverage via credit bubble. property bubble. // 24:20 - there is still room to grow household/private debt. Tories treat gov budget like a household rather than a bank! UK will stumble along at lower rate than America. Will not get better! Just rearranging deck chairs of a painfully slowly sinking ship.
secular  stagnation  private  debt  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  UK  USA  Japan  economic  history  car  loan  GFC  credit  bubble  debt  servitude  consumer  confidence  junk  bond  NPL  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  Richard  Koo  student  debt  student  loan  debt  debtoverhang  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  mortgage  market  trade  deficit  current  account  deficit  austerity  dogma  neoclassical  economics  book  ideology  margin  trading  leverage  western  world  Hegemony  China  Super  Cycle 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
BBC Documentary - The Money Trap - How Banks Control the World Through Debt - YouTube
most profitable credit card debt customers are those making just the minimum payment. ... a credit card being a statement of status! retaining customers by upgrading them regularly w higher limits, new colors, new perks (they will never use). // unsecured lending - DEFINITION of 'Unsecured Loan' A loan that is issued and supported only by the borrower's creditworthiness, rather than by a type of collateral. An unsecured loan is one that is obtained without the use of property as collateral for the loan. // revolving debt // the higher your credit limit, the more you are likely to spend. // half of his income to just serve credit card fees and interest charges (no payments towards paying down) debt ... // banks lend irresponsibly bc they know they can get away with it, or somebody else will do it! because there is not regulation. no bank oversight. //&! The Truth about Payday Loans :Young, British and Broke - youtu.be/-yWxTvffbuE //&! Gambling/Betting Shops on Highstreet.
retail  banking  investment  banking  CDO  CDS  subprime  credit  card  debt  credit  card  financial  literacy  household  debt  mortgage  market  Payday  Loans  exploitation  debt  servitude  student  loan  debt  Bubble  property  ethics  moral  beliefs  revolving  debt  consumer  debt  debtoverhang  debt  Super  Cycle  student  debt  private  debt  status  symbol  instant  gratification  status  anxiety  socioeconomic  status  zombie  consumer  consumerist  consumerism  Protection  overdraft  materialism  crony  capitalism  capitalism  NPL  NINJA  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  bonuses  bonus  financial  incentive  incentive  creditrating  credit  creditrisk  credit  score  self-regulation  Bank  Oversight  financial  instruments  derivatives 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
The Deflation Monster Has Arrived | Zero Hedge
the world’s grand experiment with debt has come to an end. And it’s now unraveling. [...] The next thing is to give money to Main Street. [...] Either way, money will be printed out of thin air and given to you. That’s what’s coming next. Possibly after a failed attempt at demanding negative interest rates from the banks. But coming it is. [...] Once people lose faith in their currency all bets are off. The smart people will be those who take their fresh central bank money and spend it before the next guy.
deflationary  deflation  debt  servitude  credit  bubble  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  secular  stagnation  UK  USA  Europe  western  world  Precariat  precarious  work  household  debt  Richard  Koo  GFC  China  recovery  property  bubble  subprime  economic  history  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  capitalism  crony  capitalism  exploitation  Super  Cycle  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  student  loan  debt  debtoverhang  NPL  sovereign  debt  crisis  private  debt  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  bank  bailout  distortion  capital  allocation  asset  allocation  speculative  bubbles  financial  repression  2016  2015  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  fiat  money  fiat  currency  trust  distrust  trustagent 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
"Markets Crash When They're Oversold" | Zero Hedge
Technology Destroying Jobs + While the big driver of the decline in economic growth since the 1980’s has been a structural change from a manufacturing based economy (high multiplier effect) to a service based one (low multiplier effect), it has been exacerbated by the increase in household debt to offset the reduction in wage growth to maintain the standard of living. This is shown clearly in the chart below. [...] In fact, each job created in energy-related areas has had a “ripple effect” of creating 2.8 jobs elsewhere in the economy from piping to coatings, trucking and transportation, restaurants and retail. Simply put, lower oil and gasoline prices may have a bigger detraction on the economy than the “savings” provided to consumers.
Oil  price  shale  gas  fracking  job  creation  USA  2016  Service  Sector  Jobs  Manufacturing  globalization  globalisation  neoliberalism  neoliberal  borderless  flat  world  economic  history  UK  low  income  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  income  growth  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  consumer  debt  squeezed  middle  class  household  debt  property  bubble  working  poor  precarious  work  Precariat  job  security  job  market  jobcreation  job-creation  recovery  GFC  dogma  ideology  austerity  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  trade  agreement  TPP  TTIP  NAFTA  CETA  European  Union  sovereign  debt  crisis  credit  bubble  China  BRIC  structural  imbalance  global  imbalances  faultlines  2015  presidency  barackobama  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  George  Osborne  private  debt  debtoverhang  debt  servitude  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  liquidity  trap  Richard  Koo  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Börse: Warum Schwellenländer für die Kurskrise sorgen - Kolumne - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Chronisch überschüssige Leistungsbilanz [ & Over capacity for less/stagnant demand ... + biggest credit bubble (china) popped as the west can't afford more. QE and ZIRP has run it's way! ] [...] Der Grund, warum der deutsche Aktienindex weitaus mehr betroffen ist als andere europäische Indizes, liegt allein an der strukturellen Abhängigkeit der deutschen Industrie von Blasen in anderen Ländern. Anstatt auf bessere Stimmung zu hoffen, sind Anleger gut beraten, sich über den weiteren Verlauf der Schwellenländerkrise Gedanken zu machen. [...] [ Fed taper makes things more difficult to serve debt ] [...] Langfristig sind es die Gewinne und nicht die Zinsen, die die Aktienpreise treiben. //&! China (Asia/BRIC/Frontier Market) Corporate Bond Yields up - bit.ly/1Sme7fV & NPL probably too. //&! If property is biggest item of household wealth in a property bubble (UK, China, ... USA) - bit.ly/1Zpiy8M
trade  deficit  BRIC  credit  bubble  western  world  secular  stagnation  macroeconomic  policy  China  Japan  Germany  UK  USA  Brazil  commodity  prices  Oil  price  NPL  shadow  banking  shadow  economy  banking  crisis  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  QT  speculative  bubbles  property  bubble  mortgage  market  Fed  BOE  ECB  European  Union  sovereign  debt  crisis  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  private  debt  corporate  debt  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  austerity  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  Russia  OPEC  aggregate  demand  liquidity  trap  Richard  Koo  Richardkoo  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  debt  servitude  student  loan  debt  Super  Cycle  debt  bubble  student  debt  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  student  loan  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  squeezed  middle  class  precarious  work  Precariat  working  poor  neoliberalism  neoliberal  globalization  globalisation  borderless  flat  world  trade  agreement  Hegemony  TPP  TTIP  TISA  CETA  NAFTA  Africa  South  Africa  global  trade  trade  balance  current  account  deficit  Frontier  Markets  faultlines  structural  imbalance  global  imbalances  Taper  reflate  reflation  equity  bubble  Abenomics  economic  history  India  irrational  exuberance  Robert  Shiller  inequality  Gini  coefficient  deflationary 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Top judge says justice system is now unaffordable to most | Law | The Guardian
[ the budget a excel spreadsheet in No 10, with grades @ the end what upsets donors & what upsets the minimum of potential voters - is Career Politicans calculated approach. & shifting a public item off the balance sheet onto the private balance sheet! again! the debt is still there! & what does Tory gov support? Home Buyers! ] Civil justice is unaffordable for most people, more people are being forced to represent themselves, and judges – whose pensions have been cut – feel under-appreciated, according to the lord chief justice. [...] “Our system of justice has become unaffordable to most,” Thomas said in the introduction to his report. “In consequence there has been a considerable increase of litigants in person for whom our current court system is not really designed. //&! Court fees jeopardise Magna Carta principles, says lord chief justice. Mandatory court charges of up to £1,200 put justice beyond reach of majority, says Lord Thomas - bit.ly/1ZXfhAE &! bbc.in/1RmyLMD
injustice  inequality  economic  justice  System  justice  austerity  Tories  nasty  party  Conservative  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Westminster  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  Toff  Privileged  Establishment  democracy  social  democracy  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  GFC  white-collar  crime  bank  bailout  Gini  coefficient  revolving  door  Funding  constituency  babyboomers  working  poor  Precariat  tax  credit  budget2015  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  political  economy  political  theory  policy  folly  policy  error  household  debt  private  debt  budget  deficit  public  sentiment  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Right  to  Buy  property  bubble 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Student nurses and midwives protest over grants cut - BBC News
Student nurses and midwives have marched in protest at the government's decision to scrap their bursaries in England and replace them with loans. [...] The Royal College of Nursing said fear of debt would put people off training. // shifted another budget item off the publics balance sheet onto private balance sheet. //&! Spending Review: Grants for student nurses are being scrapped - bbc.in/1jk5kLW //&! NHS nursing levels: Nine in 10 hospitals missing targets - The vast majority of hospitals in England are struggling to recruit enough nurses, figures show. Some 92% of the 225 acute hospital trusts in England did not manage to run wards with their planned number of nurses during the day in August. The figures, published by the NHS, show that hospitals in England are falling short of their own targets for levels of safe staffing. - bbc.in/1Pfuzuq
budget2015  PR  Positioning  spin  doctor  George  Osborne  Jeremy  Hunt  austerity  NHS  staff  shortage  staff  morale  locum  staff  tories  nasty  party  Conservative  David  Cameron  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  constituency  babyboomers  Generationengerechtigkeit  education  policy  social  mobility  income  mobility  Gini  coefficient  student  loan  debt  student  loan  Bubble  Maintenance  Allowance  Maintenance  Grant  poverty  trap  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  debt  servitude  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  debtoverhang  student  debt  Super  Cycle  household  debt  private  debt  UK  output  gap  recovery  2015  2016  sovereign  debt  crisis  Privatisation 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Thomas Piketty on Capitalism, Corbyn and why Zuckerberg is getting it wrong - BBC Newsnight - YouTube
home ownership in UK is biggest item of UK's household wealth. 2/3rd of housing is owned. other 3rd is rented. that is why the property bubble/prices have to be kept afloat. otherwise balance sheet recession > deleveraging > debt servitude > lower consumption rate > cratering UK economy as ~70% of UK economy is based on consumption. // blaming others (ISIS) for radicalization. but who put them in this place to be radicalized, in the first place? inequality, youth unemployment. // COP21, western world do not face their historical obligation! // world wealth and income database - www.wid.world
philanthropy  Thomas  Piketty  Mark  Zuckerberg  Bill  Gates  social  mobility  income  mobility  Gini  coefficient  meritocracy  meritocratic  Alain  de  Botton  UK  George  Osborne  property  bubble  tax  code  progressive  taxation  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Buy  to  Rent  rent-seeking  rentier  generation  GFC  bank  bailout  austerity  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  Tories  Conservative  Party  David  Cameron  budget2015  inequality  income  inequality  youth  unemployment  radicalization  islamic  radicalism  radicalisation  Islamophobia  ISIS  disenfranchise  disenfranchised  Perspective  Perspektivlosigkeit  COP21  debt  servitude  Super  Cycle  household  debt  private  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  credit  card  consumer  debt  debtoverhang  2015  2016  fiscal  policy  Makers  vested  interest  interest  groups  monetary  policy  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion  Super  Rich  1%  plutocracy  democracy  No  Representation  social  democracy  Career  Politicians  constituency  babyboomers  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  Manifesto 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Pando: Unicorns on fire: Funding falls dramatically in the fourth quarter, along with exits of all kinds
I predicted the second quarter of 2015 had to be peak mega round. Turns out, I was three months off. But now it’s official: The shit is hitting the fan. [...] In the third quarter, venture funding hit dot com funding levels with 2008 deals and $38.7 billion raised. In the fourth quarter, we saw the lowest deal tally since 2013, with just 1743 deals raising some $27.3 billion.
IPO  Unicorn  growth  round  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion  Private  Market  Wall  Street  Fed  monetary  policy  USA  China  business  confidence  Silicon  Valley  Hype  Cycle  termsheet  liquidation  preferences  Private  Equity  Mutual  Fund  SPV  Venture  Capital  Angel  Investor  Seed  Oil  price  QT 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Osborne warns of 'dangerous cocktail' of economic risks - BBC News
[ repeat phrases - "strong economy", "strong economy, strong NHS" ] The UK faces a "cocktail" of serious threats from a slowing global economy as 2016 begins, Chancellor George Osborne has warned. Speaking in Cardiff, Mr Osborne said this year is likely to be one of the toughest since the financial crisis. He told business leaders that far from "mission accomplished" on the economy, "2016 is the year of mission critical". His message is in stark contrast to the positive tone of his Autumn Statement, when he said the UK was "growing fast". [...] that the Autumn Statement had put in place a four-year plan to restore the UK's public finances, and make the economy more productive, with businesses more competitive so they could create jobs. [...] Mr Osborne told the Today programme the UK's economic recovery was not "a debt-fuelled recovery", citing the support of the governor of the Bank of England in his assessment. [ not public, but private household debt! ]
George  Osborne  Career  Politicians  PR  spin  doctor  budget2015  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  austerity  underinvestment  productive  investment  productivity  output  gap  job  creation  wage  growth  consumer  debt  household  debt  Positioning  energy  policy  competitiveness  renewable  energy  corporate  welfare  corporate  tax  rate  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  subsidies  subsidizing  NHS  Jeremy  Hunt  David  Cameron  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  Manifesto  constituency  babyboomers  Opportunism  opportunist  Oil  price  bank  bailout  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Housing  Crisis  affordable  generation  rent  property  bubble  NPL  mortgage  market  car  loan  credit  card  debt  budget  deficit  balance  sheet  current  account  deficit  trade  deficit  borderless  flat  world  globalisation  globalization  debt  servitude  debtoverhang  student  loan  debt  private  debt  sovereign  debt  corporate  debt  student  debt  student  loan  Maintenance  Grant  Education  Maintenance  Allowance  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion  BOE  Buy-to-Let  Help  to  Buy  Scheme 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
When a Unicorn Start-Up Stumbles, Its Employees Get Hurt - The New York Times
Just how punishing that price was became clear in late September. In an investor document about the sale that was distributed to shareholders, employees discovered their Good stock was valued at 44 cents a share, down from $4.32 a year earlier. In contrast, preferred stock owned by Good’s venture capitalists was worth almost seven times as much, more than $3 a share. The paperwork also showed that Good’s board had turned down an $825 million cash offer just six months earlier, in March. // via https://redd.it/3yehai
Unicorn  liquidation  preferences  Venture  Capital  termsheet  Start-Up  advice  Start-Up  lesson  downround  Private  Equity 
december 2015 by asterisk2a
Economy concerns as household debt rises to £40bn in latest figures | Business | The Guardian
Families are expected to run up £40bn of debt this year, sparking fears about Britain’s economic recovery. [...] (OBR) forecasts have found that households have moved from a surplus of £67bn in 2010, the year the coalition took power, to a £40bn deficit this year. Unsustainable borrowing is on course to near the levels reached in the run-up to the 2008 financial crash, according to Labour. Seema Malhotra, the shadow chief secretary to the Treasury, said: “George Osborne is relying on millions of British families going further into debt to hit his growth targets. [ as projected by economists, that household had to take up debt, shifting debt burden off the public balance sheet, when austerity plans were revealed together with LibDems, to meet growth targets/estimates, back then. same w decistions to increase student loans, convert grants into loan ie for nursing, remove allowances and grants. same w the green bank. shifting items off the balance sheet. and underinvestment. ]
economic  growth  austerity  trickle-down  economics  underinvestment  George  Osborne  nasty  party  Tories  Conservative  neoliberalism  neoliberal  budget  deficit  Student  Maintenance  Grant  Education  Maintenance  Allowance  debt  loan  debt  loan  Student  Bubble  generation  rent  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  policy  Liberal  Democrats  household  debt  consumer  debt  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  credit  card  debt  credit  card  car  loan  Precariat  precarious  work  child  tax  credit  working  tax  credit  tax  credit  wage  stagnation  income  growth  inequality  Gini  coefficient  rat  race  status  anxiety  status  symbol  debt  servitude  debtoverhang  sovereign  debt  crisis  Super  Cycle  ZIRP  NIRP  mortgage  market  property  hunt  for  yield  QE  New  Normal  macroprudential  policy  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  debt  private  debt  Privatisation 
december 2015 by asterisk2a
Will scrapping nurse bursaries help or worsen NHS staffing crisis? | Healthcare Professionals Network | The Guardian
[ moving another item off the books/balance sheet onto others, in this case, the private purse. and when tories came to power together with lib dems - they did cut part of funding for places ] Plans to axe bursaries and replace them with loans have been condemned by unions, but universities say they will lead to more training places for nurses, midwives and allied health professionals [...] Unions fear a loan system will be an obstacle to people from poorer backgrounds and career changers. Midwifery in particular attracts a large number of mature students over 29 – many of whom bring with them vital existing experience of childbirth – but are already saddled with debt from a first degree. //&! bit.ly/1HNLIMj
NHS  budget  deficit  budget2015  student  debt  student  loan  debt  household  debt  education  policy  private  debt  consumer  debt  Bubble  Maintenance  Grant  Maintenance  Allowance  student  loan  UK  Gini  coefficient  income  mobility  social  mobility  inequality  debt  servitude  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  staff  shortage  locum  staff  ageing  population  demographic  nasty  party  Tories  Conservative  Toff  Privileged  Establishment  class  warfare  austerity  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  constituency  babyboomers  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  bank  bailout  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  corporate  welfare 
december 2015 by asterisk2a
The roof is being fixed but beware the house crashing beneath it | Business | The Guardian
Consumer spending is driving economic growth but household debt and the house price-income ratio is at a record high. Be afraid [...] It is worth recalling that when Osborne became chancellor five and a half years ago that he had two big objectives. The first was to repair the hole in the public finances, which is still very much a work in progress. The other was to shift the centre of gravity of the economy back towards making things for export. This remains a pipedream. [...] Despite the welcome pickup in business investment, the main driver of growth has been consumer spending, which has been boosted by low interest rates, the fall in inflation caused by lower oil prices, and a modest acceleration in earnings. [...] “not the ideal shape for the recovery” and it can say that again. The current recovery looks like all the previous recoveries. [...] “Fast-rising household debt is needed to maintain a reasonable rate of growth in consumers’ spending and GDP in a world of austerity ...
household  debt  consumer  debt  zombie  consumer  recovery  credit  card  debt  credit  card  materialism  status  anxiety  USA  UK  Super  Cycle  debtoverhang  mortgage  market  Housing  Crisis  debt  servitude  NPL  property  bubble  speculative  bubbles  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  BOE  Buy-to-Let  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Right  to  Buy  student  loan  debt  debt  bubble  student  debt  private  debt  economic  growth  GFC  fiscal  policy  austerity  industrial  policy  underinvestment  productive  investment  competitive  competitiveness  George  Osborne  dogma  ideology  neoliberalism  neoliberal  David  Cameron  Tories  nasty  party  Conservative  economic  history  energy  policy  energy  price  STEM  Manufacturing  diversity  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomic  policy  Amber  Rudd  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  secular  stagnation  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  consumerist  consumerism  trickle-down  economics  status  symbol  market  affordable  social  budget2015  marginal  propensity  to  consume  Precariat  tax  credit 
december 2015 by asterisk2a
Benchmark’s Venture Capitalist Gurley: ‘Private Valuations Are Fake’ | Re/code
“Unicorns have priced themselves out of the public market,” said Gurley, adding that the valuations are “all on paper. It’s all a myth.” He issued a call for startups to return to business fundamentals. “We need to refocus on building real businesses that are sustainable,” Gurley said. “I personally wish the market would bring them all down so that we could get to a more sane place.”
Unicorn  distortion  Private  Market  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  unintended  consequences  Silicon  Valley  valuation  Bill  Gurley  a16z  Marc  Andreessen 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Global Capitalism: October 2015 Monthly Update - YouTube
33:40 Price Increase 13.1% 2013/14. Big Pharma + Lobby + insurance company + letting itself being sugar-coated-medical profession = medical-industrial complex. A cosy relationship. // Big Sugar. Big Tobacco. Big Oil/Fossil Fuel. // US spends more % (18%) of GDP on medical related expenses than any other developed/western country. //&! 44:40 - VW! No.1 air polluter is private automobil. "we are not talking about more profits. but maximising profits while accepting the contribution to air pollution and death of the vulnerable (asthma). [...] fraud. that caused who know how many people. [...] example of what capitalism is. if there is more money to make. do it." [+ Zeitarbeit, Leiharbeit exploitation] "deadly behaviour of conglomerates (many recalls blamed on complexity of car) in a rational society, but no questions have been asked." [] [Underinvestment in public transportation in USA. 1/2 of Berlin citizens have no car. tell that LA.] "Decision to Deceive. Knowingly harm People."
USA  military–industrial  complex  Surveillance-Industrial  prison–industrial  complex  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  medical  profession  pharmaceutical  industry  pharma  big  pharma  tobacco  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  capitalism  crony  capitalism  food  industry  insurance  premium  private  medical  insurance  insurance  medical-industrial  complex  chronic  diseases  sick  population  medical  care  public  health  public  health  policy  corruption  bribery  morality  Positioning  corporate  state  corporate  media  propaganda  populism  Dairy  Meat  Poultry  Egg  Milk  Fish  VW  Volkswagen  revolving  door  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  Makers  nanny  state  oversight  transparency  democracy  policy  folly  policy  error  self-regulation  regulation  regulators  deregulation  corporate  scandal  accounting  scandal  corporate  culture  corporate  values  corporate  social  responsibility  corporate  welfare  corporate  governance  subsidies  subsidizing  fossil  fuel  air  pollution  carbon  tax  carbonfootprint  carbon  trading  scheme  carbonemission  emissions  public  transportation  transportation  neoliberalism  neoliberal  dogma  ideology  public  investment  TPP  TTIP  global  trade  interdependence  national  interest  trade  agreement  Workers  Union  Union 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Plastic bag charge in Scotland sees usage cut by 80% - BBC News
[ the plastic bag chage, 5p, is not enough, should be 50p and seen as penalty! thus it is the little brother of Sugar/Processed Food/junk food/fast food/and animal product taxation (extra levies) to show people every day when they show that they know this is more expensive now because this has to pay for my sick days in later life, like insurance premium for risky behavior, to fund NHS! Even seeing it as carbon tax and environmental levy because of how dirty animal products are! ]"It's now becoming second nature to shoppers to reuse their carrier bags and hopefully to think more about our impact on the environment." [...] Asda witnessing a drop of 90% and Sainsbury's 100% as it no longer offers them to shoppers. [...] The policy came into being in Scotland on 20 October last year and England introduced charging at the beginning of this month.
nanny  state  taxation  surcharge  convenience  public  awareness  public  perception  public  opinion  Policy  Makers  Group  behaviour  behavioral  economics  behavioral  finance  peer  pressure  peer  behavior  behaviour  consumer  choice  paradox  of  choice  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  sick  population  chronic  diseases  NHS  private  medical  insurance  insurance  premium  health  crisis  health  care  health  care  budget  public  health  health  self-regulation  regulation  regulators  revolving  door  vested  interest  interest  groups  Standard  American  Diet  Nudge  theory  Western  pattern  Whole-Food  Plant-Based  Diet  Vegan  plastic  nation  plastic  bag  Great  Pacific  Garbage  Patch  climate  change  global  warming  ecological  disaster  environmental  disaster  carbon  tax  carbon  trading  scheme  carbonfootprint  carbonemission  emissions 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
From Rehab to a Body Bag | Dying for Treatment: VICE Reports (Full Length) - YouTube
10:45 - offering things (therapy) that are gratifying. but addiction therapy is hard work and should be nothing else. even for the family member. all you have to do as family member to sit below while you watch your loved one on the high wire hoping he will not fall down from the wire up there high above. that will eventually end up in disaster. [ applies to food addiction, feeding your emotions, unable to normally regulate your emotions, coming with environment - like work and family, stressed out, ... ]
addiction  substance  abuse  drug  abuse  alcohol  abuse  mental  health  mental  illness  health  care  public  health  policy  public  health  USA  capitalism  Rehabilitation  sobriety  for-profit  snake  oil  profiteer  profit  maximisation  Greed  shareholder  value  Wall  Street  crony  capitalism  health  insurance  private  healthcare  private  medical  insurance  exploitation  sick  population  huckster  racket  instant  gratification  medical  profession  food  engineering  Dopamine  junk  food  fast  food  processed  food  Ghrelin  Leptin  evolution  overdose  society  Gesellschaft  Wertegesellschaft  sociology  psychology  Psychiatry  economic  damage  status  symbol  status  anxiety  zombie  consumer  materialism  corporatism  post-capitalism  democracy  social  safety  net  community  personal  values  values  morality  western  lifestyle  western  society  western  world  Standard  American  Diet 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Krieg ǀ Evolution der Gewalt — der Freitag
Krieg Die Geschichte der Kriege hört nicht auf, sie ändern nur ihre Form und ihre Gestalt: Herfried Münklers neuer Wälzer // Kriegssplitter: Die Evolution der Gewalt im 20. und 21. Jahrhundert Herfried Münkler Rowohlt 2015, 400 S., 24,95 €
cyber  war  Drone  Strike  Drone  Warfare  civil  war  private  military  company  Blackwater  Academi  CIA  FBI  corporate  espionage  industrial  espionage  cyber  espionage  Iraq  Lybia  arms  trade  military–industrial  complex  military  intervention  military  Surveillance-Industrial  surveillance  state  surveillance  self-censorship  Dictatorship  free  speech  freedom  of  expression  freedom  of  speech  Pressefreiheit  freedom  of  press  of  Information  Act  FOI  democracy  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  neoconservatism  neoconservatives  TTIP  NAFTA  crony  capitalism  corporate  state  corporate  media  Lügenpresse  manufactured  consent  Polarisation  Russia  vladimirputin  Putin  Crimea  Crimea  Crisis  economic  free  trade  trade  agreement  CETA  TPP  TISA  protectionism  sanctions  OPEC  China  commodity  prices  class  neoliberalism  neoliberal  profiteer  racket  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  human  rights  Internet  Privacy  Privacy  G  Zero  World  Police  USA  national  interest  Nationalism  corporate  scandal  book  Contractor  Contractor  outsourcing 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
SNP conference: John Swinney to give Scottish councils business rate powers - BBC News
[ so who is actually going to pay tax? to repair roads, winder service, replace street lights, clean the city, police, NHS, ... to fund councils budgets that are already deep in the red and are cut further over the next 5 years. Public libraries, pools, social care, etc etc. dismantling britian. framing it as job creator. as if tax cuts create demand! lol. its a race to the bottom. ] Colin Borland, the Federation of Small Businesses' (FSB) head of external affairs in Scotland, said it was good news that cutting the cost of doing business was "at the heart of the deputy first minister's message". He said: "If used appropriately, these powers could give local economies a welcome boost and it will be interesting to see how many hard-pressed councils will be able to take advantage of them." UK Chancellor George Osborne has promised local authorities in England more flexibility over business rates by 2020.
corporate  tax  rate  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Devolution  George  Osborne  SNP  Scotland  England  Wales  Northern  Ireland  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  austerity  Public  Services  Social  Services  budget2015  budget  deficit  elderly  care  Big  Society  deprivation  community  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  trickle-down  economics  economic  history  UK  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Richard  Koo  debtoverhang  household  debt  private  debt  consumer  debt  tax  code  tax  free  income  aggregate  demand  Supply  and  and  Supply  credit  card  debt  credit  card  mortgage  market  Super  Cycle  debt  servitude  PR  spin  doctor  Positioning  Tories  Conservative  Party  dogma  ideology  nasty  reframing  framing  academia  academics  Niall  Ferguson  secular  stagnation  western  world  fairness  GFC  Generationengerechtigkeit  babyboomers  constituency  vested  interest  interest  groups  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  Makers 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Profit mean reversion and recession | Credit Writedowns
We are now in the seventh year of a cyclical recovery and bull market. Shares have tripled in that time frame. I would say this means we are much closer to the end of the business cycle than the beginning. Moreover, as Jeremy Grantham is quoted in the Business Insider piece, profits are mean-reverting and right now they are reverting from a phase that is “wildly optimistic” according to Warren Buffett. All of this is taking place against the backdrop of an economy in which wage growth is weak, household debt is still relatively high on a historic basis as a percentage of income and we have no policy room on the monetary side, with limited political appetite for policy on the fiscal side. To me, the pre-conditions for this profits recession speak to downside risk, ....
recovery  business  cycle  financial  cycle  private  debt  household  debt  consumer  debt  Student  Loan  Bubble  car  credit  card  debt  deleveraging  Richard  Koo  debtoverhang  austerity  fiscal  policy  economic  history  monetary  policy  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  western  world  secular  stagnation  Niall  Ferguson  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  income  distribution  Gini  coefficient  inequality  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Wall  Street  bank  bailout  budget  deficit  UK  USA  Schuldenbremse  Pact  sovereign  debt  crisis  Positioning  mainstreet.org  Germany  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  income  growth  low  income  crony  capitalism  reflate  reflation  Career  Politicians  constituency  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  Niedriglohnsektor  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  corporate  welfare  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  income  inequality  social  mobility  social  contract  political  theory  income  mobility  Standard  American  Diet  equity  credit  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  BRIC  BOE  Fed  Fed  mandate  BOJ  PBOC  distortion  2015  ECB  Super  debt  servitude  zombie  consumer  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  junk  bond  Taper  QT  irrational  exuberance  asset  allocation  capital  allocation  speculative  bubbles  commodity  prices  Oil  price  inflation  expe 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
New Sheriff in Irontown - Slowtwitch.com
https://youtu.be/bxNB4-7QNYA - CEO of IRONMAN, Andrew Messick. Slightly talk about new owner Wanda Group.
Ironman  China  Private  Equity  business  of  sport  UCI  Cycling  Olympics  soccer  World  Cup  IOC  Entertainment 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Perhaps austerity didn't choke off UK recovery - BBC News
But, as I mentioned, the disclosure that we were a bit richer in the last parliament than we thought is not all fabulous news for the chancellor. He and his Treasury colleagues should probably be anxious that the faster growth did not translate into higher tax revenues. In case you need reminding, George Osborne singularly failed to hit the deficit reduction targets he set himself. But the explanation can no longer be that the economy flatlined, because that's not what happened. So if the higher-than-thought growth in the last parliament left the gap between government revenues and expenditures tens of billions of pounds greater than George Osborne hoped, it also suggests that his aspiration of eliminating the deficit in this parliament may prove equally elusive. //&! Despite strong employment growth, wage growth remained historically weak - the usual link between falling unemployment and rising wages seemed to have been broken. - bbc.in/1OEffcS
trickle-down  economics  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  self-employment  employment  working  poor  precarious  work  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  Niedriglohnsektor  George  Osborne  austerity  economic  history  recovery  budget  deficit  fiscal  policy  property  bubble  credit  bubble  mortgage  market  excess  reserves  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  Richard  Koo  academics  academia  IMF  Paul  Krugman  Gini  coefficient  inequality  underinvestment  Joseph  Stiglitz  private  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  credit  card  debt  servitude  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  income  growth  low  income  income  distribution  squeezed  middle  class  Sozialer  Abstieg  productivity  output  gap  Niall  Ferguson  secular  stagnation  underemployed  structural  unemployment  structural  imbalance  faultlines  Impediments  skills  gap 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Nomi Prins-Federal Reserve Transition to Destruction - YouTube
via - http://schiffgold.com/interviews/former-wall-street-insider-some-form-of-bank-bail-ins-will-come-to-us-video/ ||&! QE and ZIRP bad policy, bank and market cuddeling. no mainstreet recovery! trickle-down failed. Private sector can not carry existing minimal momentum forward. policy has not helped people on the ground. // many bubbles created: junk bond/zombie corps, car loans, student loans, property, ... // transition to destruction, volatility is first sign. // market manipulation! // inflated financial system // rise in NPL! where how will they cover that? another bailout? or bail-in. taking depositors haircut. FDIC can't cover that all.
ZIRP  NIRP  book  QE  reflate  reflation  equity  bubble  credit  bubble  Taper  Richard  Koo  BRIC  China  2015  junk  bond  trickle-down  economics  Super  Rich  1%  property  bubble  household  debt  UK  USA  BOE  Fed  mandate  Fed  Janet  Yellen  Mark  Carney  MPC  monetary  policy  monetary  transmission  mechanism  excess  reserves  retail  banking  secular  stagnation  wage  stagnation  disposable  income  income  distribution  income  inequality  Gini  coefficient  inequality  squeezed  middle  class  job  creation  job  market  labour  market  Niedriglohnsektor  Service  Sector  Jobs  recovery  GFC  benbernanke  alangreenspan  dot.com  speculative  bubbles  bank  bailout  banking  crisis  leverage  margin  trading  Super  Cycle  debt  servitude  private  debt  debt  monetization  debt  monetisation  fiscal  policy  austerity  consumer  debt  credit  card  credit  card  debt  car  loan  debtoverhang  economic  history  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  mainstreet.org  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  crony  capitalism  corporate  debt  bubbles  asset  bubble  correction  mortgage  market  libor  rigging  scandal  trust  Career  Politicians  neoliberalism  neoliberal  FX  reserves  hot-money  currency-war  currency  debasement  currency  war  balance  sheet  recession  Niall  Ferguson  financial  repression  distortion  Pr 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Huge pension shortfall facing UK's young adults | Money | The Guardian
[ has to put away 10% of disposable income/earnings ?pre-tax?, put it in equities, and open the envelope only after 60-70 years. ] The average 35-year-old has to save £660,000 into a pension plan if they have any hope of matching the standard of living enjoyed by today’s pensioners – but have so far managed to put aside just £14,000.
retirement  savings  savings  rate  savings  glut  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  pension  pension  scheme  squeezed  middle  class  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  income  growth  income  gap  income  distribution  income  inequality  low  income  Sozialer  Abstieg  working  poor  Precariat  precarious  work  financial  literacy  zombie  consumer  consumerism  consumerist  materialism  status  anxiety  babyboomers  generationy  Millennials  status  symbol  consumption  consumer  debt  household  debt  private  debt  student  loan  debt  Bubble  stagnation  secular  stagnation  competitive  competition  competitiveness  globalization  globalisation  flat  world  borderless 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Homelessness figures: Nearly 100,000 children in England 'homeless' - BBC News
Nearly 100,000 children in England are living in temporary accommodation after being made homeless, new figures show. // &! More & more student start work after graduation in low pay jobs not requiring a diploma, due to current job market/job creation situation in UK! Not hitting 21k repayment threshold - bbc.in/1OU0K3H - OBR show fewer are likely to start paying than was expected when the policy was introduced, [...] freezing the loan repayment threshold - alongside other changes such as replacing maintenance grants for poorer students with loans - will significantly increase the cost of going to university. It says this risks undermining pledges by successive governments to improve social mobility, as well as raising uncertainty in students' minds over the terms of their borrowing. //&! Higher education cuts 'risk NI being left behind' - bbc.in/1gZMrgj //&! Doctors warn Tories not to cut free school meals (child poverty, food poverty) bbc.in/1LewQrn
UK  property  bubble  Supply  and  Demand  Demand  and  Supply  affordable  housing  social  housing  Gini  coefficient  Generationengerechtigkeit  generation  rent  poverty  trap  child  poverty  food  poverty  austerity  Policy  Makers  dogma  ideology  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Tories  Conservative  Party  housing  market  Crisis  housing  benefit  benefits  welfare  state  social  safety  net  bank  bailout  fairness  social  cohesion  minority  constituency  error  folly  babyboomers  social  tension  Toff  Establishment  Privileged  Entitlement  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  excess  reserves  mortgage  market  Buy-to-Let  Right  to  Buy  Buy  to  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  inequality  Funding  for  Lending  Scheme  macroprudential  macroeconomic  microeconomics  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  debtoverhang  household  debt  recovery  2015  consumer  debt  debt  servitude  private  debt  Payday  Loans  Student  Loan  Millennials  generationy  secular  stagnation  low  income  prevention  job  security  job  market  labour  market  Niedriglohnsektor  Service  Sector  Jobs  job  creation  income  mobility  social  mobility  downward  mobility  precarious  work  Precariat  working  poor  University  vocational  education  professional  education  Maintenance  Student  Maintenance  child  Allowanc 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Fed chief Yellen says US rate rise still likely this year - BBC News
The US remains "on track" for an interest rate rise this year, Federal Reserve chief Janet Yellen has said. The central bank head said as long as inflation was stable and the US economy was strong enough to boost jobs, the conditions would be right for a rise. Despite expectations of a rise this month, the Fed held rates, in part due to fears about global economic growth. Ms Yellen, speaking at the University of Massachusetts, said US economic prospects "generally appear solid". Speaking a week after the Fed delayed that long-anticipated hike, she said she and other policymakers did not expect recent global economic and financial market developments to significantly affect the central bank's policy. Much recent inflationary weakness is due to special and likely temporary factors, such as a strong dollar and low oil prices, she said. //&! http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2015-09-25/janet-yellen-s-flip-flop-confuses-markets
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Borrowing up amid interest rates speculation - BBC News
Mortgage brokers said that the relatively low mortgage rates on offer could be a response to a mismatch of supply and demand. "The mortgage market remains over supplied with lenders having more money to lend than there are people looking for home loans. This means criteria will have to loosen and rates will have to remain low to ensure lenders hit their volume targets," said Mark Harris, chief executive of SPF Private Clients. "For many, the main issue is not so much finding a cheap mortgage rate but being able to prove affordability to satisfy the lender and meet [the regulator's] tighter criteria."
property  bubble  mortgage  market  distortion  affordable  housing  housing  market  Crisis  UK  social  housing  generation  rent  Supply  and  Demand  Demand  and  Supply  debtoverhang  household  debt  consumer  debt  debt  servitude  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  private  debt  2015  Taper  BOE  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Funding  for  Lending  Scheme  excess  reserves  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  subprime  macroprudential  policy 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
New US subprime boom - but this time it is for cars - BBC News
- zero hedge had chart w student loan bubble standing at 1trn, and some, as of about mid 2015, with car loans about to reach 1trn, and credit card debt. just google 'zero hedge car loan' - Blackstone says car loans are now in "untested" territory - bit.ly/1TO6Gxb - "The takeaway here is simple: under pressure to keep the US auto sales miracle alive and feed Wall Street's securitization machine (which is itself driven by demand from yield-starved investors) along the way, lenders are lowering their underwriting standards and extending loans to underqualified borrowers. [...] This cannot and will not end well." // July - With the US consumer hunkering down in 2015 and barely spending more than in the comparble period last year, the only silver lining had been auto sales driven almost entirely by access to cheap credit; - bit.ly/1QBIWc5
credit  bubble  car  loan  subprime  USA  credit  card  credit  card  debt  private  debt  household  debt  debt  servitude  debtoverhang  consumer  debt  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  Richard  Koo  zombie  consumer  status  symbol  status  anxiety  consumerist  consumerism  materialism  financial  market  financial  crisis  financial  engineering  ABS  CDS  excess  reserves  underinvestment  productive  investment  recovery  UK  western  world  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  revolving  credit  bank  bailout  bank  crisis  banking  crisis  investment  banking  retail  banking  London  2015  GFC 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Is Global Economic Doubt Behind the Unchanged Rate? - YouTube
youtu.be/f5_AGIMe32k // much higher $ already put ~25bps on US domestic market. // Fed is a risk manager now // labour market got a check mark, but not inflation bc of tech, stronger$ (taper anticipation), commodities lower, further deflationary pressures (retail price fighting 4 increase like4like sales), globalisation (competition), secular stagnation (continued low growth in western world, lower aggregate demand overall, lower baseline), consumer unable 2pickup where it threw in hat (deleveraging, no savings, debt overhang household, consumer). A new normal of growth of ~3% (give/take) globally aggregate & western wrld (2-2.5%, EU aggregate even lower). In this world, THERE WILL BE NO INFLATION PRESSURE (2% or higher, &3bn ppl free labour wrldwide) IN THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE AS THE REAL ECONOMY 4 EVERY DAY FOLK DOESNT REFLECT REFLATED ASSET PRICES via QE, ZIRP, credit bubbles arnd world enabled by central banks. &! youtu.be/NVa5fkz8X0o &! youtu.be/Ny3bbonX3d0 &! 1.usa.gov/1JdKZxp
Taper  Fed  Fed  mandate  2015  inflation  expectation  inflation  targeting  Janet  Yellen  participation  rate  employment  underemployed  full  employment  unemployment  structural  unemployment  USA  China  BRIC  credit  bubble  complexity  global  economy  New  Normal  hunt  for  yield  asset  allocation  asset  bubble  reflate  reflation  equity  bubble  property  bubble  BIS  centralbanks  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  distortion  secular  stagnation  western  world  Richard  Koo  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  debtoverhang  private  debt  household  debt  consumer  debt  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  debt  servitude  marginal  propensity  to  consume  Super  Rich  1%  faultlines  savings  glut  Impediments  structural  imbalance  inequality  Gini  coefficient  income  distribution  income  growth  low  income  disposable  income  income  inequality  income  mobility  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  UK  BOE  squeezed  middle  class  job  creation  job  security  labour  market  recovery  policy  response  fiscal  policy  austerity  Schuldenbremse  Pact  monetary  policy  monetary  transmission  mechanism  excess  reserves  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  business  investment  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
World Bank warns on US rate rise - BBC News
[ game of chicken ] [ can private sector carry forward the little bit of recovery/growth the western world got in a rising interest rate world, that will eat away spending bc of higher repayment rates amid little to no wage growth !!! ] [W]arned developing countries to brace themselves for possible financial turbulence when the US Federal Reserve starts to raise interest rates. It could come as early as Thursday when the Fed concludes a policy meeting. A new report from the World Bank says there will probably be a modest impact on developing countries. But it also warns there is some risk that it could be worse. The Bank says it is possible that there would be sufficient disruption to capital flows into developing countries to harm economic growth and financial stability. //&! bit.ly/1QhP6Of //&! youtu.be/G8lCqhCbrA4 //&! youtu.be/KH1UlvgXqTE = bond sell-off move in anticipation of Taper. //&! strength of dollar added already 25bps - youtu.be/zWrxFszwrsQ &! youtu.be/lpTkQqEQmE4
Taper  Fed  BOE  2015  BIS  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Richard  Koo  reflate  reflation  asset  bubble  hunt  for  yield  FOMO  frothy  World  Bank  distortion  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  capital  allocation  asset  allocation  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  monetary  policy  monetary  transmission  mechanism  liquidity  trap  monetary  theory  GFC  recovery  credit  bubble  China  BRIC  Brazil  India  South  Africa  Russia  Europe  UK  BOJ  Abenomics  liquidity  credit  squeeze  excess  reserves  PBOC  economic  history  creditcrunch  credit  crunch  ECB  commodity  prices  energy  price  Oil  price  OPEC  petrodollar  QT  FX  reserves  global  trade  New  Normal  secular  stagnation  faultlines  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  western  deflationary  deflation  austerity  fiscal  policy  monetary  stimulus  monetary  system  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  unconventional  monetary  policy  debtoverhang  refinancing  creditrating  creditrisk  deleveraging  private  debt  household  debt  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  income  growth  income  distribution  low  income  inequality  Gini  coefficient  squeezed  middle  class  downward  mobility  working  poor  precarious  work  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  self-employment  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  Sozialer  Abstieg  j 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Pando: Good news! B rounds have doubled in value over five years!
B Round! doubling down on (to a certain point) proven ideas as they move to make themselves solid/viable (building business model & continued growth if not even putting some more gasoline on the fire with a B Round - allocation of resources). thus there is competition thus bidding up in a private market. BUT BUT also reflects the rising cost! Rising cost to grow, the war for talent to scale, and the cost in said hubs/ecosystems where the talent are already working on scaling other companies, where rent is sky high and space rare to expand office, ops, ramp up head count, ... // why, on a side note!, ? because global ZIRP, NIRP, QE, hunt for yield, FOMO, property speculation, alternative asset management and allocation (newly minted paper millionaers) have bid up prices in metropolitan and hot cities by credit bubbles around the world. bc financial markets are global, thus your allocation/diversification is global, not limited where ur home addr is. adding to volatiliy too bc of froth!
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Public Lecture by Professor Niall Ferguson 2013-04-09 - YouTube
[6 Killer Apps - youtu.be/xpnFeyMGUs8 ] Degeneration and Regeneration after the GFC // interlude: Margaret Thatcher, the power of ideas in public office, in politics: Nature of freedom, economic freedom & other freedoms. Hayek & Adam Smith // The Great Degeneration (new Book 2013). Theme: The role of institutions in the creation and preservation of freedom. // GFC = "The slight depression." Avoided Great Depression like scenario by policy response (reflation) different to previous history. Talks abt equity market levels back 2 pre-2007 levels. EQUITY/(financial) ASSET PRICES. Bank Bailout! But NOT reached (real economy) escape velocity! Proper recovery! Under Keynes it should be an admission of defeat (bc lack of fiscal stimulus)! Is a sub-plot in the story of western decline! Great reconvergence of west & the rest of the world. // &! youtu.be/VVsP2X4kuA8 &! importance of civil institutions - youtu.be/8RB7Ah95RM4 bit.ly/1NqF7am &! youtu.be/kXTjj9NQKYo &! youtu.be/tyYTChxYAQ4
NiallFerguson  Niall  Ferguson  Margaret  Thatcher  economic  history  political  economy  GFC  recovery  credit  bubble  book  Adam  Smith  adamsmith  austerity  ideology  dogma  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  USA  UK  China  history  social  contract  social  cohesion  social  tension  socialism  capitalism  crony  capitalism  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Privatisation  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  hayek  reflate  reflation  Fed  ECB  BOJ  BOE  Makers  BIS  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  bank  bailout  sovereign  debt  crisis  banking  crisis  zombie  banks  excess  reserves  liquidity  trap  monetary  transmission  mechanism  M3  business  confidence  Taper  2015  secular  stagnation  stagnation  wage  growth  income  growth  economic  growth  global  trade  global  economy  globalization  global  imbalances  globalisation  flat  world  borderless  liquidity  JohnMaynardKeynes  keynes  Keynesianism  fiscal  stimulus  aggregate  demand  marginal  propensity  to  consume  zombie  consumer  consumer  debt  Richard  Koo  private  debt  debtoverhang  deleveraging  household  debt  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  developed  world  western  world  squeezed  middle  class  disposable  income  income  distribution  inequality  Gini  coefficient  BRIC  emerging  middle  class  emerging  market  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Developing  Frontier  Markets  inflation  inflation  business  targetin 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Millennials Can't Afford Cars, and Are Fine With That - Bloomberg View
As somebody who wondered in a column last week whether people in developed countries were perhaps learning that they no longer needed as much stuff as they used to, and whether this might lead to big shifts in the global economy, I read on with great interest. [...] The changes in young adults' consumption habits have clearly been influenced by economic forces. But economic forces shape societal attitudes, too. I also don't see much sign that these economic forces are about to reverse. Both these things can be true: The median 25-to-34-year-old has less to spend, and is less interested in spending it on a car.
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
China's impossible trinity - BBC News
At the heart of China's problem is the "impossible trinity" of international macroeconomics. The impossible trinity - or trilemma - is the idea that it is impossible for a country to have three things at the same time: a stable currency, the free movement of capital (i.e. the absence of capital controls) and independent monetary policy. A country can instead choose just two of the options from this policy suite. The UK, in common with most developed economies, has free capital movement and an independent monetary policy - but not a controlled exchange rate. The Bank of England sets interest rates at a level it thinks is right for the UK economy and - as capital can flow into and out of the UK at will - the exchange rate is determined by the market. [...] But the bigger criticism is usually over the nature of the post-2009 stimulus package [...] But, for all the criticism, the counterfactual is rarely stated. What would global growth have looked like without it? [//+ deflation factors]
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Labour leadership races can change fast; interest rates, not so much | Business | The Guardian
The fact of the matter is that, while George Osborne is obsessed with shrinking the size of the public sector and causing hardship and misery, the real crisis in this country concerns not the size of the budget deficit, but the record peacetime balance-of-payments deficit of a whopping 6% of GDP. With this in mind, John Llewellyn and Russell Jones of Llewellyn Consulting have been urging the Bank to encourage the overvalued pound to fall towards more realistic levels, to avoid an almighty sterling crisis when the markets finally wake up to the real crisis in the British economy.
balance  of  payments  2015  budget2015  austerity  output  gap  productivity  household  debt  public  debt  private  debt  consumer  debt  UK  George  Osborne  short-term  Mark  Carney  BOE  ZIRP  QE  NIRP  bond  bubble  current  account  deficit  trade  deficit  structural  deficit  industrial  policy  STEM  Research  Manufacturing  energy  policy  energy  price  renewable  energy  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  Tories  Conservative  Party  Toff  Establishment  Privileged  asset  bubble  equity  bubble  property  bubble  reflate  reflation  fiscal  stimulus  fiscal  policy  Richard  Koo  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  underinvestment  productive  investment  public  investment  business  investment  business  confidence  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  secular  stagnation  deflationary  deflation  competitive  competition  competitiveness  globalization  globalisation  global  trade  added  value  value  creation  corporate  tax  rate  capital  gains  tax  inequality  Gini  coefficient  poverty  trap  child  poverty  social  mobility  income  mobility  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  economic  history  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Privatisation  pound 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
▶ How The Economic Machine Works by Ray Dalio
credit great 4 productive investments 4 the future that will benefit u/me/gov/biz like infrastructure/edu/skills. but waste 4 pure consumption that dont increase productivity in the long run. Like consumer credit spend 2 replace a 2yr old flat screen. vs consumer credit 4 vocational/professional further edu 2 get a higher earning job (future higher income 2 repay the then debt liability & have some more/left over). Bad if u dont have later higher earnings from higher education 2 repay debt & just work in an underemployed placement that any college dropout could do. Thing is, college dropout doesnt have that debt liability that the higher education person has (reduced disposable income bc debt repayment + interest payments.) Women are hit double (gender pay gap) & triple (childcare long-term earnings loss). // min16 income growth important 2 keep up with debt repayment beyond interest. if not, we reached peak long-term debt cycle! // doesnt include globalisation's deflationary effects
credit  bubble  austerity  business  cycle  debt  cycle  financial  cycle  Super  economic  cycle  productivity  income  growth  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  output  gap  economics  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  economic  history  living  standard  standard  of  living  gender  pay  gap  reflate  reflation  asset  bubble  equity  bubble  China  USA  2015  speculative  bubbles  secular  stagnation  stagnation  deflationary  deflation  household  debt  government  debt  public  debt  debt  servitude  student  loan  debt  consumer  debt  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  sovereign  debt  crisis  debt  bubble  student  debt  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  private  debt  GFC  recovery  Richard  Koo  liquidity  trap  NPL  excess  reserves  zombie  banks  zombie  consumer  debt  restructuring  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  debt  jubilee  greatrecession  Great  Depression  budget  deficit  Super  Rich  Polarisation  Thomas  Piketty  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  fairness  inequality  Gini  coefficient  social  cohesion  social  tension  social  contract  Career  Politicians  Joseph  Stiglitz  Paul  Krugman  Robert  Reich  Mark  Blyth  income  redistribution  income  inequality  income  mobility  social  mobility  capital  gains  tax  tax  code  corporate  tax  rate  lost  decade  lost  generation  neoliberalism  neoliberal  globalization  globalisation  western  world  developed  world  Europe  competitiveness  competition  competitive  flat  world 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Movinga vs. Movago – wer ist hier das Copycat? | Gründerszene
German start-ups copy each other now ... It's not the Samwer Brothers anymore, they have already lots on their existing plate (made up of copycats). Add the credit bubble, public market distortions and free cash that is flushing around put into seed rounds, as enabler. #Facepalm // smart heads, small opportunist ideas, x for y locally here in z.
Berlin  Start-Up  Scene  Europe  Start-Up  Scene  copycat  Samwer  Brothers  2015  credit  bubble  hunt  for  yield  distortion  Private  Market  Silicon  Valley  Germany  culture  Failure  stigma  entrepreneurship  wantrepreneur  execution  creative  destruction  disruption  disrupting  markets  counter  culture 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
After the Crisis - Mark Blyth - YouTube
>> what if rise of the banks (deregulation, easy credit, global financial markets - arbitrage, and making money with money) fuelled the growth of the last ~25-30 years. // min 47 3 asset bubbles popped // USA - 40% of corporate profits came from 10% of corporate sector (banks) // 30% of MIT grads went to banks instead of real world engineering and manufacturing. // underwater private sector! via credit bubble: student loans (now 1trn and still rising in USA and UK, future disposable income/discretionary spending lower than babyboomers because of wage stagnation, no wage growth) credit cards, mortgages, heloc (home equity line of credit) --- all will have to focus on paying back debt. // 2015 - us student loans 1.25trn - bit.ly/1KJ29uc + auto loans << bubble to eventually pop when collateral is falling! ie stagnant wages for 10 more years. and more and more cant repay their student loans. // 1:12:00 Bubbles move on; dot.com, real estate (property) & commodities, China,
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Will Oil Cause the Next Recession? - Bloomberg View
[Private Sector could not drive recovery! Stupid. And rising (re-flating) asset prices like stocks did not inspire consumers. The reality on the ground is different than asset prices. Inflation targeting is a policy error in hindsight. Question is if policy makers (fiscal and monetary) as willing to admit this, or drag the world through another lost decade & generation!? ] Most forecasters believe consumers will spend the windfall, and thus boost the economy. But almost all of the savings from lower pump prices so far have been used to rebuild household assets and reduce debt. Consumers tend to increase their savings in tough times; they've been doing so during the six-year recovery, even as real wages and median household incomes remain flat. Lower oil prices, however, could come with a downside. As they work their way through the system, deflation could follow. Already, 10 of the 34 largest economies in the world have seen year-over-year declines in consumer prices. [
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Priceline's Lessons for Uber, Airbnb and Other Unicorns - Bloomberg View
But it was its market valuation that drove the fascination, and after the stock price collapsed from a high of $974.25 a share in April 1999 to $6.75 in December 2000, people mostly stopped talking about Priceline.com. [...] First, that the huge valuations being attached to today’s leading digital startups probably aren’t all crazy. Second, that those valuations may make it hard for late-round private investors, or the rest of us after the eventual IPOs, to make much money off the insight that Uber or Airbnb or Snapchat is in fact built to last. And finally, the big lesson for these companies may be to set aside a bunch of that investor cash for when times get tough -- and maybe hire a CEO, or at least a general counsel, who is really good at making acquisitions.
Uber  Private  Market  AirBnB  Unicorn  Decacorn  hunt  for  yield  growth  round  Private  Equity  Mutual  Fund  Silicon  Valley  dot.com  Snapchat  IPO  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  Twitter 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Richard Duncan: The Real Risk Of A Coming Multi-Decade Global Depression - YouTube
50 year long debt super cycle & credit bubble up-held. Put. // hasnt created inflation because of Globalisation = deflationary! [3bn ppl living on $2/day] Collapse of marginal cost of labour, offsetting inflation pressure of QE/NIRP/credit creation last decades. // Will eventually haunt people back once globalisation has run its way in ~100-75 years & the world is actually flat. energy cost 0, marginal cost 0, economics of abundance. // // min 23 AND because of this deflationary pressure of globalisation, excess capacity, etc lead to wage stagnation & or pressure to work 4 less (Contractor, Werkvertrag, Zeitarbeit, self-employment, Zero Hour Contract, outsourcing) and longer, in western world. Leads inevitably 2 being pushed into recession & avoiding that authorities always pushed button 4 more credit. Credit growth prevented western world not 2 be pushed into recession in last decades. 2010 Private Sector cant drive recovery! Massive Gov stimulus needed +10 years, not austerity!
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Pando: In the Valley, pre-seed is a meme. In New York, it’s a necessity
// cost of entry? // unable to make it happen? // Can't you write software from anywhere? // problem, heavily diluted early on approaching A/B, traditional shops don't like the cap table of pre-seed, angels, seed, accelerator & Micro VC's already owning ~+40% ... you come to a traditional A/B shop and not one of the existing investors is actually leading the round or committed in paper do double down? // // from a financial perspective/investment/math --- in the PRIVATE MARKET thrown under the bus by NIRP, QE, hunt for yield and FOMO (looking for their female unicorn or own Zuck) everyone can run 100 burger stands with unlimited/stellar returns in their spreadsheet model (bc cost of capital being 0 or negative). Despite the deflation of price of software & hosting (marginal cost, economics of abundance), Talent got bid up heavily (+200k/y in LA by Snapchat) in certain cities (SV, NY, London) // &! Steen Jakobsen - youtu.be/fnp5ETnKylU - min 16 avg guy does not have access to credit!
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Marc Faber: The Global Economy Is Entering An Epic Slump - YouTube
could see liquidity squeeze. have global credit bubble. Chinas own (2009-Put) did pop, probably just this Summer '15! // may lead 2 zombie banks, if they werent already if it werent 4 PBOC with huge amounts of NPL also within shadow banking system. bit.ly/1FaVAZt policy response could be 2 double down on usual mis-guided measures 2 keep status quo. extend & pretend. // World is still flush, thus currently moderate signs of impact of China slowdown - bit.ly/1EuMVXe - will take time. // &! leverage / margin trading was/is at new highs comparable to 2007 on both side of Pacific (USA/China) - bit.ly/1IxyRXD - so the hurt was/will be big! BIG! underwater. talk abt manufactured balance sheet recession // &! Willem Buiter: Only "Helicopter Money" Can Save The World Now - bit.ly/1Et5Bq5 - major blast of fiscal spending by PBOC in some months when the hurt cant be ignored any more. Will wait too long, will drag everyone else down. & bit.ly/1NYB5nQ &! youtu.be/3wvQDxJPhQ4 - Jim Rogers.
liquidity  trap  credit  bubble  2015  China  private  debt  household  debt  PBOC  equity  bubble  property  bubble  hunt  for  yield  speculative  bubbles  asset  allocation  asset  bubble  bond  bubble  distortion  margin  trading  NPL  zombie  banks  banking  crisis  shadow  banking  leverage  underwater  contagion  USA  UK  Europe  developed  world  IMF  OECD  QE  currency-war  currency  debasement  currency  war  fiscal  stimulus  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Jim  Rogers 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Why China Had To Crash - Forbes
Private Debt/household debt 2 GDP exceeding 1.5x/150% spells trouble. Chinas pace of Private Debt expansion through credit was unprecedented in % terms compared to any other recent credit bubble (China Put, 2009) on.ft.com/1Ixhw1a // Could now spell balance sheet recession (underwater, servicing debt for worth(less) asset ie stock (+margin trading) or property (inland or overseas)) thus deleveraging of private households. --- Metropolitan property markets across the world have been flooded with speculative money from China & BRIC! Just look at last chart of % of household debt increase bit.ly/1va3oaw Its Russia, China, Brazil, ... // And China banking system & shadow banking system could sit on a lot of NPL coming 2016. Zombie banks in China, ups! PBOC commanded to lend post-2009! // &! bit.ly/1KWkTQY // &! youtu.be/-3aBjFo2Fh4 - Steve Keen (Mar 29, 2015) 'with bad models you can't see shocks coming!'
China  2015  credit  bubble  margin  trading  property  bubble  equity  bubble  asset  allocation  hot-money  hunt  for  yield  PBOC  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  debtoverhang  underwater  devaluation  Yuan  RMB  BRIC  speculative  bubbles  asset  bubble  bond  bubble  NPL  zombie  banks  private  debt  household  debt  Steve  Keen 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
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