asterisk2a + prediction   9

Uno-Prognose: Weltbevölkerung im Jahr 2100 11,2 Milliarden - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Afrika wird seine Einwohnerzahl in den kommenden 85 Jahren fast vervierfachen. [...] Europa schrumpft. [...] Millionen ungewollter Schwangerschaften. Grund für den Anstieg der Weltbevölkerung ist unter anderem die Annahme, dass die Geburtenrate pro Frau weniger stark sinkt als noch vor einigen Jahren angenommen. Experten fordern deshalb einen besseren Zugang zu Aufklärung und freiwilliger Familienplanung für Frauen und Jugendliche in Entwicklungsländern. "Jedes Jahr werden nach wie vor 74 Millionen Frauen und Mädchen in Entwicklungsländern ungewollt schwanger - unter anderem weil sie nicht verhüten können", erklärte die Geschäftsführerin der Stiftung Weltbevölkerung, Renate Bähr. [...] Die Uno hatte in den vergangenen Jahren immer wieder ihre Bevölkerungsprognose nach oben korrigiert. Noch 2003 waren die Statistiker sogar davon ausgegangen, dass die Weltbevölkerung ab dem Jahr 2040 wieder zurückgeht.
population  Africa  demographic  bubble  Europe  Asia  statistics  prediction  predictions 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
The Shazam Effect - The Atlantic
"“Because the most-popular songs now stay on the charts for months, the relative value of a hit has exploded. The top 1 percent of bands and solo artists now earn 77 percent of all revenue from recorded music, media researchers report. And even though the amount of digital music sold has surged, the 10 best-selling tracks command 82 percent more of the market than they did a decade ago. The advent of do-it-yourself artists in the digital age may have grown music’s long tail, but its fat head keeps getting fatter.”" &! http://www.theatlantic.com/video/index/382837/who-made-pop-music-so-repetitive-you-did/ &! http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2014/11/24/revenue-streams?currentPage=all &! http://www.katinkahesselink.net/his/influence-theosophy.html &! http://ma.tt/2014/11/science-of-hits/
Music  Industry  Entertainment  Industry  Hollywood  Indie  Music  Big  Data  Spotify  analytics  prediction  filter  bubble  filters  filter  algorithm  content  curation  individuality  curation  curator  Tipping  Point  celebrity  culture  sociology  psychology  Fame  pageviews  business  model  influencer  influence  long-tail  longtail  ProAm  YouTube  Platform  Social  Media 
november 2014 by asterisk2a
2010 Predictions From Shiller, Blinder, Rajan and More - Real Time Economics - WSJ
Robert Shiller, Yale University:
“Strategic default on mortgages will grow substantially over the next year, among prime borrowers, and become identified as a serious problem. The sense that ‘everyone is doing it’ is already growing, and will continue to grow, to the detriment of mortgage holders. It will grow because of a building backlash against the financial sector, growing populist rhetoric and a declining sense of community with the business world. Some people will take another look at their mortgage contract, and note that nowhere did they swear on the bible that they would repay.”
mortage  default  2010  robertshiller  prediction  2011  2012 
january 2010 by asterisk2a
Economists See 1-in-3 Chance of Another Bubble - Real Time Economics - WSJ
Twenty respondents said commodities posed the biggest risk of another bubble, while 24 chose emerging markets — 13 pointed to equities in those nations and 11 said real estate was the most likely risk. Treasurys, high-yield bonds and U.S. equities were the top choices of less than five economists each.

Though the economists put odds of another bubble in the next 24 months at 36% on average, there was a wide variance of opinion, ranging from 0% to 100%. Even among economists who saw better than even chances, there was no clear agreement on where a bubble would materialize.
bubble  2009  2010  prediction  economists 
november 2009 by asterisk2a

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