asterisk2a + precarious + code + sociology   5

Robert J. Shiller: "Are We Headed for Another Financial Crisis?" (final edition, as of MAR 8) - YouTube
3rd ed adds bond market. where richard koo explains bond prices are a symptom of the balance sheet recession as is "deflationary." // liquidity trap // predicting turning points is bad business - highlighting fundy skew is easy. // equity bubble BURST? no. bond bubble BURST? no. how abt unreasonable higher interest rates for businesses bc of Taper from Fed long dated bonds into illiquid market. like Koo argues as possibility, which would depress gdp growth further bc of higher capital cost than the economy fundy actually would demand. contributing 2 the secular stagnation. // Other case: Crash of China (too much of a good thing, irrational exuberance) & Western Central Banks have no means 2 ease further & Career Politicians have no guts 2 actually pull out the guns for once 4 intelligent fiscal stimulus w a long-term view (no white elephants & bridges 2 nowhere). // 19:30 status anxiety, Sozialer Abstieg, everyone for himself, austerity, inequality, Software, etc = secular stagnation
Robert  Shiller  financialcrisis  GFC  economic  history  book  recovery  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  credit  bubble  equity  bubble  property  bubble  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  psychology  confidence  irrational  exuberance  animal  spirit  austerity  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  ideology  dogma  economic  model  financial  crisis  housing  market  UK  USA  China  Japan  Richard  Koo  deflationary  hunt  for  yield  sustainable  sustainability  Richardkoo  balance  sheet  recession  deflation  secular  stagnation  negative  real  interest  rate  Taper  BOJ  BOE  Fed  ECB  sovereign  debt  crisis  monetary  policy  monetary  system  monetary  stimulus  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  theory  modern  monetary  theory  policy  stimulus  crony  capitalism  mainstreet.org  mainstreet  Wall  Street  exploitation  uncertainty  deleveraging  savings  rate  business  investment  Sozialer  Abstieg  inequality  income  inequality  tax  code  capital  gains  fairness  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  consumer  confidence  business  confidence  public  investment  productive  investment  personal  investment  underinvestment  infrastructure  investment  socioeconomic  status  status  anxiety  social  status  zombie  consumer  zombie  corporations  zombie  banks  Gesellschaft  solidarity  society  soziologie  sociology  worry  squeezed  middle  class  precariou 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Arbeitsmarkt: Prekäre Beschäftigung belastet Privatleben - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Leiharbeiter, Minijobber und Teilzeitbeschäftigte müssen nicht nur mit geringem Einkommen vorlieb nehmen. Die Berufssituation wirkt sich einer Studie zufolge auch negativ auf ihr Privatleben aus. Besonders bei Frauen. [...] Dabei betrachten die Forscher atypische Beschäftigung nicht pauschal als Teufelswerk, betonen aber den zwiespältigen Charakter: Während Arbeitnehmer befristete Stellen und Leiharbeit ganz überwiegend unfreiwillig und mangels alternativer Angebote übernähmen, sehe das bei Teilzeit- oder Minijobs auf den ersten Blick teilweise anders aus. Insbesondere Frauen entschieden sich häufig bewusst für einen solchen Job, um mehr Zeit für die Familie zu haben. Doch selbst wenn es sich "oberflächlich betrachtet" um eine freiwillige Wahl handele, steckten dahinter oftmals "strukturelle Zwänge", wie etwa fehlende Möglichkeiten der Kinderbetreuung oder die geringe Bereitschaft der Arbeitgeber, den Bedürfnissen von Familien Rechnung zu tragen.
precarious  work  Precariat  underemployed  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  Minijob  minimum  wage  living  wage  gender  inequality  Gesellschaft  Sozialer  Abstieg  squeezed  middle  class  uncertainty  Existenzangst  hartz-iv  liberal  economic  reform  labour  market  labour  economics  Universal  Basic  Income  happiness  index  social  safety  net  welfare  state  tax  credit  tax  code  tax  free  Public  Services  Services  Schuldenbremse  austerity  Fiscal  Pact  chronic  stress  poverty  child  poverty  food  poverty  poverty  in  old  age  social  mobility  mobility  vocational  education  Gini  coefficient  Germany  mental  health  mental  illness  Oxidative  stress  health  health  policy  child  care  atypical  employment  structural  unemployment  long-term  unemployment  unemployment  microeconomic  policy  burnout  sociology  class  warfare  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft 
june 2015 by asterisk2a
Child poverty measurement set to change - BBC News
"We are all in this together." // "In short - can a [Tory gov] that says it is governing for "One Nation" unpick the rules around measuring & cutting the # of poor children in Britain without being accused of cynicism? // &! bit.ly/1GySqhN "The plan sounds reasonable, but the purpose is to whip up confusion at a time when the poor are about to get poorer. [...] “blue-collar Conservatism”, appealing to working-class Tories who are not much interested in such abstractions as relative poverty, but can certainly be rallied against those who are felt to be living at the expense of hard-pressed taxpayers." [pitting them against each other]. &! bit.ly/1TNlpbz &! bit.ly/1x0Ghmu existential threat &! bit.ly/1BMOJtg &! bit.ly/1K9G3OE bit.ly/1QQvINd &! Scrapping £320m independent living fund - bit.ly/1SJO4wT &! bit.ly/1TFWHdg 'trickle-down doesnt work, says IMF [...] 1% & well off only buy 1 pair of jeans. power 2 implement reform? [= rebellion, not able with status quo ppl << Chris Hedges]'
KPI  measurement  child  poverty  social  mobility  education  policy  Public  Services  Services  austerity  income  mobility  UK  Gini  coefficient  IMF  OECD  David  Cameron  economic  history  Conservative  Party  George  Osborne  Iain  Duncan  Smith  DWP  Future  of  Work  No  Representation  Toff  Establishment  Privileged  fairness  gesellschaft  Zivilgesellschaft  Sozialer  Abstieg  food  poverty  poverty  precarious  Precariat  underemployed  working  poor  minimum  wage  child  tax  credit  working  tax  credit  inequality  downward  mobility  tax  free  income  opportunist  Opportunism  class  warfare  class-warfare  squeezed  middle  class  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  noise  pollution  political  economy  Career  Politicians  Tories  uncertainty  competitiveness  competitive  globalisation  globalization  civil  society  sociology  social  tension  social  cohesion  PR  relations  communication  Spin  Doctor  practical  skills  practical  skill  set  skill-biased  technological  change  vocational  education  psychology  chronic  stress  premature  ageing  health  crisis  mental  health  mental  illness  health  health  policy  democracy  minority  disability  Disabled  trickle-down  economics  bailout  recovery  toobigtofail  TBTF  too  big  to  jail  wage  growth  liberal  economic  reform  tax  tax  tax  consumeris 
june 2015 by asterisk2a
Bank of England says UK economy to grow by 2.5% in 2015 - BBC News
Mr Carney warned of "underlying weakness" as the Bank gave a gloomier picture for productivity growth. The Bank revised down its productivity forecast because it sees a disproportionate number of new jobs as low-skilled and low-output. Productivity growth is now expected to improve only modestly in the coming year before remaining below past average rates. 'Underinvestment' "Today's report should leave nobody in any doubt about the fundamental role of productivity growth in the UK economy's performance," said Aberdeen Asset Management chief economist Lucy O'Carroll. "The Bank of England has downgraded its growth outlook, and Mark Carney has put poor productivity right at the centre of the story. "He may have put part of the productivity disappointment of recent years down to a disproportionate pick-up in low-productivity jobs, but he has also admitted that underinvestment has played a role." [...] [+ EU&Global (China) headwinds] = in no rush to raise interest rates. &! bbc.in/1RIb9Ah
productivity  UK  job  creation  labour  market  labour  economics  Niedriglohn  Niedriglohnsektor  Services  Industry  service  industrial  policy  structural  imbalance  Impediments  output  gap  recovery  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  USA  precarious  work  Precariat  self-employment  contractor  Zero  Hour  Contract  outsourcing  borderless  flat  world  globalisation  globalization  competitiveness  competitive  competition  Manufacturing  Career  Politicians  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  economic  history  GFC  dot.com  productive  investment  hunt  for  yield  asset  allocation  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  unintended  consequences  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  ecosystem  education  policy  vocational  education  continual  education  underemployed  employability  long-term  unemployment  structural  unemployment  Revolution  2.0  entrepreneurial  entrepreneurship  Start-up  SME  SMB  Mittelstand  Software  Is  Eating  The  Share  Economy  service  Sector  Jobs  2015  sociology  trust  advice  psychology  anxiety  secular  stagnation  deflationary  digital  knowledge  sharing  shadow  1099  Economy  New  Economy  Venture  Capital  wantrepreneur  Year  of  Code  practical  skills  practical  skill  set  of  economics  of  apprenticesh 
may 2015 by asterisk2a
If Schools Don't Change, Robots Will Bring On a 'Permanent Underclass': Report | Motherboard
via http://www.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/2ct2xs/if_schools_dont_change_robots_will_bring_on_a/ The respondents overwhelmingly agree that this lovely future where robots do the work and humans design the robots and everyone has leisure time and lots of money only exists in a fantasy future where the school systems pump out a shitload of Elon Musks and Sergey Brins—or, at the very least, people who can reliably work at the companies those guys own. [...] only the best-educated humans will compete with machines [...] and education systems [around the world] are still sitting students in rows & columns, teaching them to keep quiet and memorize what is told to them, preparing them for life in a 20th century factory.” // Rise of Service Jobs (dominance) in USA, even post-GFC. // ADD: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/on-leadership/wp/2014/08/07/are-robots-coming-for-your-job/
Robotics  AI  Future  of  Work  Start-up  of  You  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  Year  of  Code  skill-biased  technological  change  practical  skills  practical  skill  set  capital  skills  knowledge  worker  White-collar  Blue-collar  human  capital  creativity  destruction  value  creation  Problem  Solving  complexity  unknown  unknowns  unintended  consequences  education  policy  Public  HR  human  resources  hiring  underemployed  structural  unemployment  employment  unemployment  leisure  time  disposable  income  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  flat  world  globalisation  globalization  competitive  advantage  comparative  advantage  competitiveness  Competition  competitive  Career  Politicians  Precariat  Proletariat  sociology  psychology  Universal  Basic  Grundeinkommen  precarious  precarious  employment  Services  Industry  service  income  mobility  social  mobility  income  inequality  Gini  coefficient  living  wage  standard  of  living  minimum  wage  wage  stagnation  workforce  labour  economics  labour  market  middle  class  status  quo  sector  Europe  USA  disruption  knowledge  economy  domain  knowledge  domain  expertise  expertise 
august 2014 by asterisk2a

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