asterisk2a + information + economic   23

Over 80% Of Jobs Added In January Were Minimum Wage Earners | Zero Hedge
most of the jobs that were created, if only on a goalseeked, seasonally adjusted basis, were of the lowest paying, worst possible quality as has been the case for the past 7 years as the BLS desperately seeks to "pad" its political mandate of providing proof in a recovery which however is impossible if it were to tell the truth. //&! https://www.reddit.com/r/Economics/comments/48xbro/jobs_report_242000_jobs_added_unemployment_rate/d0njzvb //&! http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-03-04/past-year-us-added-360000-waiters-and-only-12000-manufacturing-workers &! http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-03-04/president-obama-takes-economic-victory-lap-after-biggest-wage-drop-record
UK  USA  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  minimum  wage  low  pay  low  income  precarious  work  Precariat  BLS  HMRC  DWP  Iain  Duncan  Smith  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  aggregate  demand  Richard  Koo  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  secular  stagnation  recovery  GFC  austerity  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  living  wage  tax  credit  FOI  Freedom  of  Information  Act  free  market  social  safety  net  welfare  state  housing  benefit  working  poor  economic  history  squeezed  middle  class 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
An Alarm Goes Off Threatening The "Strong U.S. Jobs" Myth: Withheld Income Taxes Are Stalling | Zero Hedge
[#misrepresentation - FOI request to HMRC - job creation, ask for list of annual salary 2009 - till now - picture emerges of mostly low pay jobs. with more and more job qualifying for tax credits. ask also for numbers of tax credits during the "recovery" and also income based job seeker allowance, people just working 16hrs or less. - also housing benefit. / also the numbers and incomes for self-employed and their income development during the recovery, do they grow their income? or do they make ends meet? ] The best example of this is when looking at the growth of federal income and employment tax withholdings, the broadest and most timely read on the health of the job market, which as Jed Graham writes, "has been sinking at an alarming rate." While for most of 2015, tax withholdings rose at a rate of 5% or more from a year ago, on the back of job growth and gains in wages, commissions and other incentive pay, in recent months there has been a substantial dropoff in this key indicator.
FOI  UK  USA  recovery  Service  Sector  Jobs  economic  history  secular  stagnation  George  Osborne  wage  stagnation  low  pay  low  income  labour  market  precarious  work  Precariat  working  poor  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  income  growth  part-time  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  self-employment  HMRC  IRS  Freedom  of  Information  Act  austerity  David  Cameron  nasty  party  PR  spin  doctor  Positioning  misrepresentation 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Chris Hedges on What it Takes to be a Rebel in Modern Times - YouTube
If you care about the truth you eventually run into problems as the journalist who usually manipulates facts for a living. // neoliberalism sold to us through lies and manipulated facts. // 2/3rds of the country in poverty. // mania for hope is a political pacifier even for the liberals, keeping people hopeful - keeps people complacent. // moral imperative for civil disobedience. // but do not use the word hope! // game is fixed. // rebellion led by day class intellectuals. that band together with the underclass. // if you have whole-sale surveillance, you can't have investigative journalism // it's about ratings and money, they don't do journalism. << corporate media. // dismantling BBC by tories is a power play by tories (power elite) // &! redd.it/3x3kw7 - Most of the information we spread online is quantifiably “bullshit” - The internet encourages the spread of information that is emotionally resonant but factually untrue
journalismus  investigative  journalism  journalism  mainstream  media  Noam  Chomsky  Chris  Hedges  activists  activism  democracy  manufactured  consent  society  propaganda  newscorp  News  Corp.  News  Corporation  social  democracy  trust  trustagent  distrust  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Gini  coefficient  inequality  Super  Rich  1%  poverty  Revolution  Rebellion  Occupy  Central  occupywallstreet  crony  capitalism  corporate  state  corporate  media  Surveillance-Industrial  Complex  surveillance  state  populism  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  revolving  door  interest  groups  vested  interest  rat  race  status  anxiety  zombie  consumer  disenfranchise  disenfranchised  post-racial  America  economic  justice  #BlackLivesMatter  presidency  barackobama  abuse  of  power  political  theory  political  economy  CIA  NSA  FBI  surveillance  Hacktivism  FOI  Freedom  of  Information  Act  transparency  oversight  accountability  media  conglomerate  conglomerate  business  model  pageviews  BBC  British  Broadcasting  Company 
december 2015 by asterisk2a
Krieg ǀ Evolution der Gewalt — der Freitag
Krieg Die Geschichte der Kriege hört nicht auf, sie ändern nur ihre Form und ihre Gestalt: Herfried Münklers neuer Wälzer // Kriegssplitter: Die Evolution der Gewalt im 20. und 21. Jahrhundert Herfried Münkler Rowohlt 2015, 400 S., 24,95 €
cyber  war  Drone  Strike  Drone  Warfare  civil  war  private  military  company  Blackwater  Academi  CIA  FBI  corporate  espionage  industrial  espionage  cyber  espionage  Iraq  Lybia  arms  trade  military–industrial  complex  military  intervention  military  Surveillance-Industrial  surveillance  state  surveillance  self-censorship  Dictatorship  free  speech  freedom  of  expression  freedom  of  speech  Pressefreiheit  freedom  of  press  of  Information  Act  FOI  democracy  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  neoconservatism  neoconservatives  TTIP  NAFTA  crony  capitalism  corporate  state  corporate  media  Lügenpresse  manufactured  consent  Polarisation  Russia  vladimirputin  Putin  Crimea  Crimea  Crisis  economic  free  trade  trade  agreement  CETA  TPP  TISA  protectionism  sanctions  OPEC  China  commodity  prices  class  neoliberalism  neoliberal  profiteer  racket  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  human  rights  Internet  Privacy  Privacy  G  Zero  World  Police  USA  national  interest  Nationalism  corporate  scandal  book  Contractor  Contractor  outsourcing 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
MPs approve Osborne's spending rules after heated Commons debate - BBC News
MPs have backed the government's new spending rules by 320 to 258 votes after a heated debate in the Commons. [...] He accused Labour of being "profligate" and wanting "to spend money we don't have and borrow for ever". >> bank bailout profligate?
Schuldenbremse  austerity  Fiscal  Pact  dogma  ideology  UK  European  Union  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  Germany  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  recovery  Tories  Conservative  Party  Policy  Makers  constituency  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  bank  bailout  budget  deficit  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  economic  history  infrastructure  investment  underinvestment  globalization  globalisation  competitiveness  competitive  crony  capitalism  corporate  scandal  accounting  scandal  capitalism  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  subsidies  subsidizing  welfare  state  social  safety  net  Gini  coefficient  inequality  income  mobility  social  mobility  Labour  Party  Polarisation  Positioning  corporate  media  corporate  state  democracy  populism  Establishment  Entitlement  Privileged  Toff  Westminster  accountability  self-regulation  regulation  deregulation  regulators  transparency  oversight  Freedom  of  Information  Act  FOI  Lügenpresse  GFC  spin  doctor  PR 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
”Lobbyismen hotar demokratin” - EFN - Ekonomi- och FinansNyheterna
Owen Jones --- shared economic interest. politicians have to be servant to their people. seen as the greatest honor one can receive. and job. legacy. not money/riches (in future). should always aim to put yourself out of business so to speak, for means of progress and healing. // Brexit defense for London // TTIP // open and democratic = less angles for corruption and bribery
Owen  Jones  Establishment  book  Toff  Privileged  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  UK  neoliberalism  neoliberal  GFC  Super  Rich  1%  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  social  contract  political  theory  Entitlement  Policy  Makers  bank  crisis  banking  crisis  transparency  accountability  democracy  Noam  Chomsky  oversight  Freedom  of  Information  Act  Lügenpresse  corporate  state  corporate  media  manufactured  consent  PR  spin  doctor  populism  Polarisation  Conservative  Party  Tories  austerity  sovereign  debt  crisis  inequality  income  distribution  recovery  income  inequality  gender  pay  gap  gender  inequality  dot.com  corruption  bribery  society  Gesellschaft  voter  turnout  Jeremy  Corbyn  apathy  trickle-down  economics  neoconservatism  neoconservatives  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Network  nepotism  Party  Funding  Trade  Union  Workers  Union  gag  order  Secret  Courts  crony  capitalism  capitalism  Wall  Street  shared  economic  interest  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  election  campaign  promises  European  Union  USA  Monarchy  British  Empire  dogma  ideology  interest  groups  vested  interest  revolving  door  socialism  Labour  Party  majority  minority  constituency  faultlines  secular  election  stagna 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Pando: Good news! B rounds have doubled in value over five years!
B Round! doubling down on (to a certain point) proven ideas as they move to make themselves solid/viable (building business model & continued growth if not even putting some more gasoline on the fire with a B Round - allocation of resources). thus there is competition thus bidding up in a private market. BUT BUT also reflects the rising cost! Rising cost to grow, the war for talent to scale, and the cost in said hubs/ecosystems where the talent are already working on scaling other companies, where rent is sky high and space rare to expand office, ops, ramp up head count, ... // why, on a side note!, ? because global ZIRP, NIRP, QE, hunt for yield, FOMO, property speculation, alternative asset management and allocation (newly minted paper millionaers) have bid up prices in metropolitan and hot cities by credit bubbles around the world. bc financial markets are global, thus your allocation/diversification is global, not limited where ur home addr is. adding to volatiliy too bc of froth!
Silicon  Valley  Seed  Round  Party  Round  SPV  Venture  Capital  Private  Market  FOMO  hunt  for  yield  B  Round  A  Round  growth  Private  Equity  Hedge  Fund  Angel  Investor  Micro  VC  2015  cost  of  living  credit  bubble  cost  of  entry  aspirational  leverage  margin  trading  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  distortion  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  BOE  BOJ  Abenomics  PBOC  Fed  unintended  consequences  burn  rate  runway  ECB  Mutual  Fund  unknown  unkown  inflation  targeting  Fed  mandate  inflation  expectation  secular  stagnation  deflationary  deflation  economic  growth  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  reflate  reflation  monetary  policy  unconventional  monetary  policy  financial  financial  repression  western  world  Developing  BRIC  emerging  complexity  incomplete  information 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Raghuram Rajan - One-on-One: an investigative interview - 44th St. Gallen Symposium - YouTube
Relying too much on the wrong instrument, monetary policy, unconventional QE2 & 3 >> little domestic positive impact but spilled over much across the world! // consequences now seen (1) taper tantrum late 2014 & then summer 2015; china slow-down/equity crash & taper anticipation moves followed up by pulling money out of emerging/developing markets! financial market are divergent from domestic business market. cycles shifted apart slightly. investor, business, financial market & consumer confidence are not linked as tightly before! // financial markets are now global, business markets itself not as much! money can be pulled out digitally in an instance. // no net-positive 4 whole world. selfishness. long-run danger. unintended consequences, unknown unknowns. // global sub-optimal monetary policy // global system (monetary system) broke // uncertainty, unknown of taper. timing debate. game of chicken. volatility bc of lots of froth, distortion! // &! youtu.be/SZe3issLIb8
Raghuram  Rajan  BIS  centralbanks  hot-money  currency-war  currency  debasement  currency  war  GFC  recovery  monetary  policy  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  excess  reserves  speculative  bubbles  reflate  reflation  economic  history  faultlines  credit  bubble  BRIC  2015  emerging  market  Developing  World  western  secular  stagnation  BOJ  Abenomics  PBOC  globalization  globalisation  financial  market  zombie  banks  savings  glut  business  confidence  business  investment  USA  UK  Europe  China  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  FOMO  hunt  for  yield  speculative  speculation  Super  Rich  1%  property  bubble  unconventional  monetary  policy  Fed  BOE  ECB  inflation  expectation  inflation  targeting  Fed  mandate  deflationary  deflation  fiscal  policy  irrational  exuberance  panic  hubris  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  Taper  book  structural  imbalance  Impediments  reserve  currency  fiat  currency  current  account  deficit  trade  deficit  structural  deficit  fiscal  deficit  fiscal  stimulus  Germany  austerity  dogma  ideology  credibility  Career  Politicians  Pact  Schuldenbremse  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  stimulus  monetary  theory  monetary  system  complexity  incomplete  information  shadow  banking  uncertainty  volatility  distortion  financial  repression  governance 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Alternatives Management: Vertrauen als Ressource für Unternehmen - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Oft werben diejenigen am meisten darum, die unter Vertrauensverlust leiden. Denn tatsachlich sinkt das Vertrauen in die Wirtschaft und das Misstrauen steigt. Das ist das Ergebnis nahezu aller Studien zum Thema Verbrauchervertrauen // &! bit.ly/1Vd5jYF - Twitter just made it more difficult to hold politicians accountable // Same with the Conservative Party deleting all their speeches and documents after they won majority in election and partnered up with libdems - bit.ly/1c7hHG6 &! bit.ly/1Epl5va // Auch Geld funktioniert nur dank Vertrauen [...] Der Systemtheoretiker Niklas Luhmann beschrieb Vertrauen daher auch als "Mechanismus zur Reduktion sozialer Komplexität". Ständiges Misstrauen dagegen mache unser Zusammenleben deutlich schwieriger, sagt Martin Schweer. [...] Schnell zeigte sich: Hatte der eine das Geschäft fair und zum gegenseitigen Vorteil abgewickelt, erhöhte der andere in der nächsten Runde seinen Einsatz. // &! bit.ly/1ILzkZU - Does honesty matter ...
bank  bailout  GFC  Career  Politicians  Congress  No  Representation  social  contract  transparency  accountability  crony  capitalism  capitalism  post-capitalism  Buffer  Wall  Street  shared  economic  interest  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  banking  crisis  trust  distrust  trustagent  Start-Up  advice  Start-Up  lesson  Conservative  Party  DWP  David  Cameron  George  Osborne  spin  doctor  PR  public  relations  neoliberalism  neoliberal  algorithm  Page  Rank  monopoly  monopsony  oligopoly  oligopol  Iain  Duncan  Smith  Open  Data  Open  Source  NSA  GCHQ  Secret  Courts  Surveillance-Industrial  Complex  surveillance  state  Orwellian  military–industrial  Pentagon  WMD  False  Flag  FISA  Court  FISAAA  public  record  public  interest  Misstrauen  Lügenpresse  Freedom  of  Information  Act  BND  Angela  Merkel  GroKo  Eurogroup  election  campaign  promises  Internet  Archive.org  Google  Cache  political  theory  governance  corporate  governance  fiat  currency  inequality  Gini  coefficient  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  Gerechtigkeit  Justice  System  Jim  Crow  voter  turnout  apathy  indifference  TOS  EULA  win-win  partnerships  cooperation  Google  Data  of  of  public  of  public 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Greenspan: Be Afraid of Pending Bubble in Bond Market - Bloomberg Business
what is the new normal interest rate? // 7min long bloom.bg/1gteMeO - UK and USA productivity (levels at rate of zero growth) and output gap, capital investment inadequate - into unproductive investment bc of hunt for yield, bc of outlook of secular stagnation for western world and structural impediments, imbalances, and faultlines, and also because of fiscal and political uncertainty, and demographic bubble and ageing population in western world. future customers/consumers are not in western world, they are to be found right now in the developing world and frontier markets. // we are currently in an environment where we don't know what the new normal interest rate is, because of distortions and incomplete information:
Taber  bond  bubble  2015  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  recovery  globalisation  globalization  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  competition  competitive  competitiveness  borderless  flat  deflationary  deflation  secular  stagnation  western  Richard  Koo  balance  sheet  recession  technological  progress  creative  destruction  deleveraging  debtoverhang  Career  Politicians  austerity  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  underinvestment  productive  investment  STEM  developed  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  Frontier  Markets  Developing  World  economic  history  hunt  for  yield  asset  allocation  Group  behaviour  behavioral  economics  behavioral  finance  financial  incentive  incentive  structural  imbalance  Impediments  faultlines  incomplete  information  complexity  OPEC  Europe 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
The real truth about the 2008 financial crisis | Brian S. Wesbury | TEDxCountyLineRoad - YouTube
bankers are greedy & excess speculation, is the story. Fed controls short-term interest rate through interest rate setting/Fed meetings based on fundy of American economy, // NIRP (greenspan put) post dot.com, distorts market, decision makers decisions. housing bubble w help of NIRP after dot.com & home-ownership campaign in bush years (fiscal stimulus/subsidies) 2 push that "asset." Not "home" to live in. // banks got too big to fail (their balance sheet/lending book) as liabilities (toxic assets - real downside unknown (due to complexity and day to day changes during crisis years), like CDO/CDS etc) overtook book, overall, value. Banking being actually insolvent, but how insolvent one doesn't know. Thus bad bank idea. ACCOUNTING. // Paul Volker raised rates ... was able, because USA (private household, banks, corporates) were not in a balance sheet recession. Problem was endogenous. // Deregulation + Lax accounting contributed to GFC greatly, unable to value banks books.
GFC  economic  history  fractional  reserve  banking  financial  crisis  monetary  theory  systemicrisk  Greenspan-Put  NIRP  ZIRP  negative  real  interest  rate  interestrate  dot.com  reflation  reflate  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  debtoverhang  savings  rate  leverage  alangreenspan  greenspan  Ben  Bernanke  benbernanke  distortion  housing  market  accounting  too  big  to  jail  toobigtofail  TBTF  financial  market  financial  incentive  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  hunt  for  yield  asset  allocation  asset  bubble  TARP  subprime  QE  stresstest  timgeithner  henrypaulson  economic  model  economic  damage  macroeconomic  policy  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  history  paulvolcker  complexity  incomplete  information  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  confidence  banking  crisis  zombie  banks  mark-to-market  Janet  Yellen 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Robert J. Shiller: "Are We Headed for Another Financial Crisis?" (final edition, as of MAR 8) - YouTube
3rd ed adds bond market. where richard koo explains bond prices are a symptom of the balance sheet recession as is "deflationary." // liquidity trap // predicting turning points is bad business - highlighting fundy skew is easy. // equity bubble BURST? no. bond bubble BURST? no. how abt unreasonable higher interest rates for businesses bc of Taper from Fed long dated bonds into illiquid market. like Koo argues as possibility, which would depress gdp growth further bc of higher capital cost than the economy fundy actually would demand. contributing 2 the secular stagnation. // Other case: Crash of China (too much of a good thing, irrational exuberance) & Western Central Banks have no means 2 ease further & Career Politicians have no guts 2 actually pull out the guns for once 4 intelligent fiscal stimulus w a long-term view (no white elephants & bridges 2 nowhere). // 19:30 status anxiety, Sozialer Abstieg, everyone for himself, austerity, inequality, Software, etc = secular stagnation
Robert  Shiller  financialcrisis  GFC  economic  history  book  recovery  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  credit  bubble  equity  bubble  property  bubble  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  psychology  confidence  irrational  exuberance  animal  spirit  austerity  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  ideology  dogma  economic  model  financial  crisis  housing  market  UK  USA  China  Japan  Richard  Koo  deflationary  hunt  for  yield  sustainable  sustainability  Richardkoo  balance  sheet  recession  deflation  secular  stagnation  negative  real  interest  rate  Taper  BOJ  BOE  Fed  ECB  sovereign  debt  crisis  monetary  policy  monetary  system  monetary  stimulus  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  theory  modern  monetary  theory  policy  stimulus  crony  capitalism  mainstreet.org  mainstreet  Wall  Street  exploitation  uncertainty  deleveraging  savings  rate  business  investment  Sozialer  Abstieg  inequality  income  inequality  tax  code  capital  gains  fairness  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  consumer  confidence  business  confidence  public  investment  productive  investment  personal  investment  underinvestment  infrastructure  investment  socioeconomic  status  status  anxiety  social  status  zombie  consumer  zombie  corporations  zombie  banks  Gesellschaft  solidarity  society  soziologie  sociology  worry  squeezed  middle  class  precariou 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Credit Booms & Credit Busts - YouTube
// financial cycle twice as long as business cycles (which is on top, like an inverted pyramid). // financial markets are not self-stabilising // better make policy on caution, that if you don't act you will cause more long-lasting economic damage by curbing one obvious bubble not in (ie uk property bubble - people who have difficulty serving their interest payment) // QE does not facilitate loan growth in times of balance sheet recession - Richard Koo // QE is reflationary and currency war, downside size unknown - look Richard Koo, state has to pick-up shortfall of demand // // There is now a growing consensus among policymakers and academics that a key element to improve safeguards against financial instability is to strengthen the “macroprudential” orientation of regulatory and supervisory frameworks. [Dr. Claudio Borio @ BIS], one could even say that “we are all macroprudentialists now”. And yet, a decade ago, the term was hardly used. What does it mean?
BIS  equity  bubble  speculative  bubbles  credit  bubble  asset  bubble  property  bubble  macroprudential  policy  macroeconomic  policy  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Taper  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  complexity  bond  bubble  Student  Loan  debt  debt  regulation  oversight  governance  BOE  simplicity  incomplete  information  academia  academics  economist  behavioral  economics  behavioral  finance  economic  history  systemicrisk  EuropeanSystemicRiskBoard  financial  market  sustainable  sustainability  mortgage  market  UK  USA  China  speculative  speculation  contagion  monetary  policy  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  theory  modern  monetary  theory  credit  boom  financial  cycle  Makers  policy  folly  policy  error  Career  Politicians  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  political  economy  political  theory  centralbanks  economic  damage  economic  model  Richard  Koo  animal  spirit  austerity  monetary  transmission  mechanism  robertshiller  Robert  Shiller  ideology  dogma  sovereign  debt  crisis  populism  corporate  state  manufactured  consent  Lügenpresse  BOJ  Fed  currency  war  currency  debasement  ECB  negative  real  interest  rate  Japan  hunt  for  yield  irrational  exuberance 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
IMF heads must roll over shameful Greek failings - Telegraph
Whatever the eventual outcome of the Greek debt talks, there are a number of judgments can already be made; one is that a large part of the blame for this ever deepening debacle lies at the doors of the International Monetary Fund, which from the very beginning has had both its priorities and its analysis of the situation hopelessly wrong. [...] By any standards, however, the IMF’s entanglement with the eurozone crisis is a whopper of a screw-up. Nor is it something in which the IMF should have got involved in the first place. Europe, one of the richest regions in the world, should have been left to sort out its own affairs. [...] This is more particularly the case as the Greek debt crisis is almost entirely one of the eurozone’s own making. And yet unforgivably, Greece is now the IMF’s biggest bailout ever – $35bn for a population of just 11 million. [ after all it was an EU (&international) bank bailout through the backdoor. at a times where banks were not able to cope ]
IMF  ChristineLagarde  Grexit  austerity  economic  history  Leadership  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  ECB  Troika  MarioDraghi  European  Union  monetary  Europe  GFC  democracy  Career  Politicians  unintended  consequences  incomplete  information  unknown  unkown  No  Representation  fairness  Great  Depression  lost  decade  lost  generation  PIGS  bailout  EFSF  haircut  debt  jubilee  debt  restructuring 
june 2015 by asterisk2a
Solving the productivity puzzle - BBC News
UK productivity growth (as measured by output per hour worked) has been exceptionally weak since 2008. Productivity growth has actually been weak across the developed economies since the Great Recession but especially so in the UK. Beyond those facts though, there is little agreement. The talk is instead of a "productivity puzzle": solving that puzzle is the key to both a lower government deficit and to higher living standards. [...] [I]t could be that the nature of Britain's recovery explains the low productivity growth. Rather than lower productivity leading to lower real wages (as companies cannot afford to increase pay), it may be that lower real wages have encouraged firms to hire workers rather than investing in new equipment. This could have lowered productivity. [...] Much of it feels more traditionally "sociological" than "economic". // 2nd Industrial Revolution - Software is Eating the World, Self-Employment, contractors, Zero Hour Contracts, etc. &! bit.ly/1aRi7Bw
productivity  output  gap  recovery  GFC  Western  World  UK  Service  Sector  Jobs  Services  Industry  Share  Economy  STEM  Niedriglohnsektor  Manufacturing  Industrial  Revolution  policy  Robotics  deflationary  secular  stagnation  OECD  economic  history  equity  bubble  bond  bubble  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  business  investment  business  confidence  austerity  fiscal  policy  sovereign  debt  crisis  monetary  policy  algorithm  automation  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  borderless  flat  globalisation  globalization  competitive  Europe  USA  China  Asia  BRIC  Russia  Latin  America  digital  precarious  work  working  poor  poverty  squeezed  middle  class  coldprogression  cold  progression  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Super  Rich  productive  investment  1%  speculative  bubbles  liquidity  trap  debtoverhang  zombie  corporations  zombie  banks  zombie  consumer  property  bubble  demographic  bubble  complexity  incomplete  information  lost  decade  lost  generation  Abenomics  Japan  uncertainty  distrust  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  trust  trustagent  policy  folly  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  academia  sociology  sentiment  consumer  confidence  fear  anxiety  status  anxiety  crony  capitalism  social  co 
april 2015 by asterisk2a
Gillmor Gang: Money for Nothing - Gillmor Gang | TechCrunch TV
min 42 // A Round is now a "post-traction" investment aka proven product & business model. A Round is an investment to scale it up, put it up a bunch of gears. // Keith Teare from chat.center (tcrn.ch/1IWFQ1X) people now doing pre-seed, seed, seed prime & bridge funding via existing investors; figuring out Product/Market fit, traction, funnel, etc. Now more than ever a hits driven business. // see also tcrn.ch/1c54UpN // Complexity of phenomenon - symptoms, causes and tangents; biases, selection bias, pattern matching, bidding up hot deals in the private market where the highest bidder will get the deal - irrationality of accepting those valuations and the founders Unicorn-status need, hunt for yield, trendy - the future, when doing 'hard things' becomes fashionable (ie Reality TV, TV Series & a shallow Channel 4's How To Be A Young Billionaire) then beware, negative yields for secure investments (bonds and corp debt), perceived 'conservative' value vs private bid up bubble potential.
Seed  Round  A  Round  traction  hunt  for  yield  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  unintended  consequences  Silicon  Valley  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  behavioral  finance  bond  bubble  bubbles  equity  bubble  demographic  bubble  secular  stagnation  complexity  growth  Start-Up  lesson  Start-Up  advice  pattern  matching  selection  bias  confirmation  bias  bias  Unicorn  Wall  Street  Private  Mutual  Fund  Hedge  Fund  Venture  Capital  savings  glut  productive  investment  business  model  Snapchat  WhatsApp  Instagram  Slack  Uber  productivity  output  gap  STEM  Share  Economy  Services  Industry  Niedriglohnsektor  incomplete  information  economic  history  marginal  cost  liquidity  trap  sovereign  debt  crisis  debt  bubble  zombie  banks  zombie  consumer  zombie  corporations  structural  imbalance  global  imbalances  faultlines  Product/Market  Fit  value  creation  1000  True  Fans  Core  Product  Proposition  differentiate  differentiation 
april 2015 by asterisk2a
NEA Raises North Of $3B For Its New Fund | TechCrunch
I consistently hear that venture groups raising capital are oversubscribed. That directly implies that the firehose of cash fueling the venture capital and technology markets has yet to abate in any meaningful sense, if at all. The music is still playing, and at a furious pace. But with interest rates at zero and NASDAQ 5,000 back in our norm, who can be surprised? Regardless of how the technology industry apportions the risk created by that level of spend, we can feel secure in the fact that the same risk is concentrated in the private sector. This helps to protect the average person from investing in something more ephemeral than a Snapchat ad. So if it all goes to hell, it’s mostly the rich kids who will take it in the gut. Viva la tech.
hunt  for  yield  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion  incomplete  information  unintended  consequences  bond  bubble  equity  bubble  Private  growth  round  Mutual  Fund  Hedge  Fund  Silicon  Valley  burn  rate  economic  history  savings  glut  productive  investment  Super  Rich  1%  Wall  Street  liquidity  trap  complexity  recovery  GFC  speculative  bubbles  asset  bubble  secular  stagnation  borderless  flat  world  globalisation  globalization  Software  Is  Eating  The  output  gap  Western  productivity  STEM  Robotics  automation  algorithm  AI  artificial  intelligence  marginal  cost  3D  printing  augmented  intelligence  Share  Economy  Services  Industry  service  monetary  policy  austerity  IMF  OECD  debt  bubble  sovereign  debt  crisis  Gini  coefficient  inequality  Career  Politicians  Makers 
april 2015 by asterisk2a
Inside Out London - The Great Property Race
London, one of the most expensive places on earth to live. // Inside Out London - The Great Property Race - Mark Jordan joins first-time buyers and cash-rich Chinese investors as they race to buy homes in the capital's fast, furious and often cruel market. >> London-mania, speculation, ASIAN individual investors leave flats empty & sell them again after 12-18m after much appreciation of value. Buying just based on the prospect & not one stone put down or even speculating on green fields planning permission 5 years down the road. Insane. // &! Existing owners building owners are in a Millionaire Basement Wars - bbc.co.uk/programmes/b05r86yg // Think about all that money being invested long-term into productive investments (STEM) creating current & future opportunity. Lowering the output & productivity gap of UK! Once, a high rise is finished, there are no jobs there that generate tax income from revenue/profit generation - that of a worker or company of the 21st century.
speculative  bubbles  Super  Rich  1%  London  London  Start-up  Scene  distortion  ZIRP  NIRP  hunt  for  yield  QE  secular  stagnation  savings  glut  incomplete  information  economic  history  liquidity  trap  asset  bubble  Wall  Street  ASIA  affordable  housing  property  bubble  UK  Betongold  Beton  Gold  bond  bubble  debt  bubble  zombie  corporations  zombie  banks  productive  investment  macroprudential  policy  BOE  BOJ  Private  Equity  symptom  unintended  consequences  recovery  productivity  output  gap  STEM  Future  of  Work  Mobile  Creatives  Mobile  Creative  Makers  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  policy  folly  policy  error  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  borderless  globalisation  globalization  flat  world  job  creation  research  human  progress  Philosophy  status  anxiety  superficial 
april 2015 by asterisk2a
Why 'secular stagnation' matters - BBC News
The question at stake is the issue of "secular stagnation", which is probably the biggest and most important controversy in macroeconomics today. This is not though a debate for the ivory tower, it's an issue with significant real world implications. [...] So what is secular stagnation? It's an idea that originated in the late 1930s with the US Keynesian economist Alvin Hansen. He worried that growth was fundamentally slowing and emphasised demographic factors (such as slowing population growth) as a driver of this. [ western world needs immigration as reproduction level is below 1, capitalism and our economics is fundy based on econ growth, but that is, on the horizon, not possible (excl inflation). what if population is stable!? ] [...] In a nutshell secular stagnation is an attempt to explain the weakness of the global recovery in advanced economies since the 2008 crisis. [ decelerating, debt overhang, balancesheet recession, sov debt crisis ] [...]
secular  stagnation  Europe  Japan  economic  history  lost  decade  global  imbalances  rebalancing  demographic  bubble  demographics  demography  immigration  western  world  economic  growth  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  liquidity  trap  sovereign  debt  crisis  Super  Cycle  debt  bubble  bond  bubble  QE  debt  monetization  debt  monetisation  stagflation  deflation  deflationary  zombie  banks  zombie  consumer  austerity  full  employment  Larry  Summers  Paul  Krugman  Ben  Bernanke  savings  glut  complexity  incomplete  information  productivity  output  gap  productive  investment  unintended  consequences  ZIRP  NIRP  hunt  for  yield 
april 2015 by asterisk2a
BBC News - ECB cuts rates and launches stimulus programme
1-Day Before: http://youtu.be/_6D_xVeoIXs "ECB faces crunch on deflation threat" +++ The ECB has cut its benchmark interest rate to 0.05%, and introduced new stimulus measures. The ECB had earlier cut its rate from 0.25% to 0.15% in June, and also became the first major central bank to introduce negative interest rates. It will also launch an asset purchase programme, which will buy debt products from banks. It is hoped this move will add liquidity to the financial system and revive lending. [...] "[A] last roll of the dice". "The ECB has now almost exhausted its ammunition for preventing the Eurozone sliding into a devastating deflationary, contractionary spiral," +++ Analysis: http://youtu.be/IErml4SmKmE "European banks – Work those ABS" +++ bit.ly/1A6pmLU - France and Friends: Merkel Increasingly Isolated on Austerity "Europe ... is threatened with lasting weak growth should the deficit rules continue to be strictly interpreted. [ BuBa demands higher wages, ECB fiscal stimulus ]."
ABS  OMT  LTRO  ECB  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  policy  unconventional  monetary  policy  austerity  PIGS  faultlines  Structural  Impediments  IMF  Germany  BuBa  deflation  deflationary  communication  zombie  banks  confidence  trustagent  trust  balance  sheet  recession  fiscal  policy  QE  bond  bubble  deleveraging  lost  decade  lost  generation  SME  SMB  Mittelstand  creditcrunch  creditcrisis  economic  history  debtoverhang  NPL  EuropeanSystemicRiskBoard  riskaversion  ZIRP  NIRP  negative  real  interest  rate  secular  stagnation  Makers  policy  error  policy  folly  Career  Politicians  inflation  expectation  stagnation  Betongold  Beton  Gold  hunt  for  yield  unintended  consequences  complexity  incomplete  information  France  liberal  economic  reform  Stability  Pact  Italy  academics  academia  deficit  budget  deficit  fiscal  deficit  wage  growth  wage  inflation  fiscal  stimulus  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  Sick  Man  of  Europe  infrastructure  investment  investment  business  investment  labor  market  reform  recovery 
september 2014 by asterisk2a
Stephanie Hare on the UK economy - Newsnight - YouTube
>> how many jobs have been lost regarding to banking in london and adjoining businesses ... thousands. thousands of hours of productivity gone (high charges for the hours). forever. = productivity and output gap || and how many times had osborne now moved forward expected savings and targets in time ... every year. || it will not get better as they travel (still) on the same path that leads to nowhere safe. still heading to the cliff. same direction. same speed.
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august 2014 by asterisk2a

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