asterisk2a + export   27

UK growth forecast upgraded amid warning over inflation | Business | The Guardian
NIESR said it remained convinced that the economy would slow this year as higher inflation reduced consumer spending power. “We expect the composition of growth to rebalance towards net trade, as the headwinds facing households from the erosion of their real incomes weigh on consumer spending while the depreciation of sterling supports net trade,” said Simon Kirby, NIESR’s head of macroeconomic forecasting. [...] The thinktank said its economic modelling showed that the benefits of the free-trade deals the government hopes to sign with the US, Canada and leading emerging economies would be dwarfed by the damage caused to exports of both goods and services to the EU.
Brexit  inflation  £  British  Pound  export  import  economic  damage  history  free  trade  deal  USA  EU  living  standard 
february 2017 by asterisk2a
Weak UK productivity spurs warnings of living standards squeeze | Business | The Guardian
The north of England and Midlands ranged between 10% and 15% below the UK average. [...] Sluggish productivity growth will intensify the pressure on workers as they face rising living costs, [...] “These are disappointing figures overall, with little sign that the persistent underperformance on productivity is coming to an end. Many organisations will be unable to offer higher wages as a result, meaning significant numbers of workers will feel poorer in 2017 if inflation continues to rise as anticipated,” he said.
UK  Productivity  wage  growth  income  inflation  living  standard  disposable  discretionary  spending  Brexit  working  poor  poverty  squeezed  middle  class  Austerity  underinvestment  export  skills  gap  education  policy 
january 2017 by asterisk2a
Frankreich verliert Status als Deutschlands wichtigstes Exportland - SPIEGEL ONLINE
IMF rechnet für 2015 mit einem Anstieg des BIP US um 2,5 Prozent und für 2016 mit 3 Prozent. "Wir sehen zudem eine Reindustrialisierung in den USA: Dort werden wegen der niedrigen Energiekosten viele neue Fabriken und Produktionsstätten hochgezogen", sagte Treier. "Dafür werden Maschinen und Ausrüstungen aus deutscher Produktion benötigt." Hilfreich sei zudem der schwächelnde Euro, [...] "Die Amerikaner sind relativ preissensible Käufer, auch wenn es um Luxusprodukte wie deutsche Autos geht", // Germany & UK are energy dependent, especially after Desert Storm Energy project failed. UK need the bet on STEM and digital economy and knowledge economy, added value services that can be exported & leverage "British" brand. It can not compete against cheap energy fuelled China and USA! But it did nothing, UK has to even import Nurses and Doctors now! Thanks to short-sighted ideological dogmatic austerity & policy for established businesses. low corp tax & deregulation to compete w price only.
USA  warrenbuffet  2015  fracking  energy  price  Oil  price  energy  policy  shale  gas  shalegas  tarsand  Canada  Exportweltmeister  China  global  trade  Europe  Germany  industrial  policy  UK  global  economy  recovery  Makers  Career  Politicians  competitive  advantage  competitive  competitiveness  competition  energy  dependence  Manufacturing  policy  error  policy  folly  renewable  energy  wind  energy  energy  efficiency  Conservative  Party  budget2015  Tories  austerity  corporate  tax  rate  capital  gains  tax  income  tax  tax  free  income  David  Cameron  George  Osborne  Iain  Duncan  Smith  deregulation  Workers  Union  self-regulation  regulation  regulators  neoliberalism  neoliberal  differentiate  differentiation  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  digital  economy  economic  history  trickle-down  economics  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  export  exports  current  account  deficit  budget  deficit  trade  deficit  fiscal  deficit  fiscal  policy  fiscal  stimulus  STEM  research  knowledge  economy  knowledge  worker  economics  of  abundance  marginal  cost  economic  damage  shared  economic  interest  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  DWP  education  policy  inequality  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  poverty  trap  child  poverty  income  mobility  creative  destruction  Future  of  Work  Mobile  Creatives  Mobile  White-collar  Blue-collar  squeezed  middle  class  Sozialer  Abstieg  working  poor 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
BBC iPlayer - Newsnight - 08/07/2015
"Comprehensive analysis of the Budget with Evan Davis and guests." // During the election David Cameron said child tax credit/benefit was off the list of welfare spending cuts. - broken election campaign promise // --- SHOULD BE (Labour Party Policy for next election):: make work pay and eliminate child poverty AND help people (everyone) w education and support to find better and more gainful work that lift them and the economy by producing added value products. // no path to higher wages, no path to higher productivity, no path to added value British Products export increase (manufacturing, research, STEM, ...) // low wage jobs have no to very little economic multiplier ... take into account tax credits etc and it is net-negative for state and the council //
election  campaign  promises  David  Cameron  budget2015  living  wage  minimum  wage  George  Osborne  Tories  Conservative  Party  working  poor  precarious  work  Precariat  underemployed  part-time  social  mobility  income  mobility  downward  mobility  poverty  trap  added  value  Manufacturing  Public  Policy  industrial  solidarity  society  class  warfare  austerity  dogma  ideology  trickle-down  economics  economic  model  corporate  tax  rate  STEM  education  vocational  education  practical  skill  set  practical  skills  skills  gap  democracy  Future  of  productivity  output  gap  economic  growth  Niedriglohn  Niedriglohnsektor  Service  Sector  Jobs  competitiveness  competitive  borderless  flat  world  working  tax  credit  tax  credit  child  tax  credit  neoliberal  neoliberalism  liberal  economic  reform  welfare  state  Public  Services  Services  childcare  employability  self-employment  long-term  unemployment  child  poverty  food  poverty  poverty  Student  Maintenance  Grant  exports  current  account  deficit  export  Higher  gender  inequality  single  mum  teenage  pregnancy  economic  multiplier  labour  economics  labour  market  job  creation  recovery  GFC  bailout  fairness  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  Gini  coefficient  inequality  social  cohesion  social  tension  Gesell 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Wirtschaftskrise: Deutsche Wirtschaft mit starkem Export ist anfällig - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Typischerweise produzieren dominante ökonomische Narrative zuerst Illusionen und dann große Probleme. Wo eine Geschichte von Marktteilnehmern, Regulierern und Beobachtern vorbehaltlos akzeptiert wird, ist der Boden bereitet für Irrtümer, die uns am Ende Kopf und Kragen kosten können, wie ich meinem neuen Buch argumentiere. >> Die Politik des billigen Geldes verzerrt die Wirtschaftsstrukturen .... - die deutsche Wirtschaft unterfinanziert & Dass die Politik des ultrabilligen Geldes die Wirtschaftsstrukturen verzerrt, auch hierzulande. [CreditCrunch/transmission mechanism broken/hunt for yield/betongold/no-investments] +++ die Digitalisierung auch die produktionslastige deutsche Wirtschaft fundamental durcheinanderwirbeln wird. [Year of Code/Education Policy/Human Capital - high ed imigrants/Mobile Creatives/Share Economy] +++ Spiegel 37/2014 "Deutschland der Scheinriese" Cover Story
GFC  bubble  property  bubble  bubbles  economic  history  economics  society  storytelling  narrative  journalism  journalismus  PIGS  UK  USA  Germany  Exportweltmeister  flat  world  globalisation  globalization  exports  export  Europe  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  faultlines  competitiveness  competitive  competitive  advantage  comparative  advantage  2014  Career  Politicians  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  long-term  thinking  long-term  view  Policy  Makers  error  folly  trust  trustagent  confidence  accountability  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  ECB  monetary  fiscal  LTRO  OMT  ABS  unconventional  monetary  monetary  transmission  mechanism  business  investment  infrastructure  investment  distortion  Wall  Street  centralbanks  IMF  IBS  liquidity  trap  creditcrunch  unintended  consequences  complexity  unknown  unkown  unknown  unknowns  blackswan  Black  Swan  Betongold  Beton  Gold  Future  of  Work  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  Year  of  Code  education  Public  Policy  hunt  for  yield  human  capital  immigration  demographics  demographic  bubble  demography 
september 2014 by asterisk2a
BBC News - When will the UK pay its way in the world?
In absolute terms it has been impossible for UK debts to fall. >> Now what was a little worrying was that the deficit on the current account reached 5.6% of GDP, or economic output, in the third quarter of 2013 and fell to just a little bit lower, 5.4%, in the fourth quarter. That 5.6% was - ahem - something of a milestone: it was the biggest quarterly deficit since records began in 1955. And it explains why the record aggregate indebtedness of the UK has been falling so slowly, and is still not much below 500% of GDP on the Mckinsey measure (though see my previous blog). [...] UK's - limp trading performance - for YEARS! ... COMPETING against BRICs, Europe, G8, ... now and in the future competing with MINT countries too ( ). [...] "We have not got forever to reconstruct our economy and become a bit more like the European export emperor, Germany."
UK  Debt  Super  Cycle  zombie  corporations  zombie  banks  zombie  consumer  sovereign  crisis  private  consumer  bubble  jubilee  monetization  household  public  debtoverhang  monetisation  restructuring  austerity  current  account  deficit  economic  history  2014  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Mark  Carney  davidcameron  GeorgeOsborne  public  policy  financial  repression  New  Normal  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  hunt  for  yield  deflationary  productivity  output  gap  competitiveness  knowledge  worker  skill-biased  technological  change  skill  capital  skills  London  White-collar  Blue-collar  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  value  creation  Industrial  globalisation  globalization  competitive  advantage  comparative  advantage  21stcentury  BRIC  MINT  Europe  free  trade  Germany  exports  export 
may 2014 by asterisk2a
Why Germany must exit the euro - Telegraph
German policymakers should take a pragmatic look at the situation. On the one hand the only way to save the euro (without forcing out the Mediterraneans) is to make it a transfer union. They would have to absorb enormous long-term costs to support their weaker siblings – either in terms of inflation or simple cash transfers. It would be a slow-motion long-term bail-out of even greater scale than the recent emergency infusions. And even this does not rule out the short-term prospect of default.

The sticking point is politics, but even there the debate is shifting. German politicians are loath to be portrayed as the destroyers of the European project, but this could easily be outweighed by the public reaction when Germans realise what they will have to pony up to keep the ship afloat. The French would be dismayed at the idea – after all the raison d’etre of the euro project was to feed off the German economic “miracle”. And if Germany leaves, does France stay or go?
PIIGS  EMU  EU  sovereign  debt  ECB  IMF  germany  economics  economy  2011  bailout  Greece  competitiveness  competitive  export  angelamerkel 
june 2011 by asterisk2a
YouTube - The Dragon in the Room
China the rising power house, making their investments speak for them self.

Needs to secure its future - commodities, agriculture.

Latin America not diversifying, relying for much of the growth solely on Commodities export.
China  latin-amarica  2010  2011  2012  commodities  agriculture  brasil  argentina  copper  mining  export  BRIC  Next-11 
november 2010 by asterisk2a
Geologists And Tech Industry Leaders Fear Mineral Trade Wars Imminent
“China is preparing to build 330 giga-watts worth of wind generators. That will require about 59,000 tons of neodymium to make high-strength magnets — more than that country’s annual output of neodymium. China supplies the world with a lot of those rare earth elements, like neodymium, and will have little or none to export if it moves ahead with its wind power plans…So the source for the West is problematical.”

Earlier this month, during the East Asia Summit, Chinese officials told U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton that Beijing aims to be a reliable minerals supplier and would not impose bans on exports of industrial minerals for political purposes.
rare-earths  foreignaffairs  China  Japan  G20  politics  tradewar  commodities  2010  export  manufacturing 
november 2010 by asterisk2a
Chinas Rare Earth Embargo Changes Incentive for Toxic Work -
China currently controls almost all of the world’s supply of rare earths, for which demand is soaring.

the undeclared embargo looked like a pure power play - with little regard for the conventions of international trade. The export quotas China continues to impose on rare earths,

From the Chinese perspective, though, the issue looks very different.

China feels entitled to call the shots because of a brutally simple environmental reckoning: It currently controls most of the globe’s rare earths supply not just because of geologic good fortune, although there is some of that, but because the country has been willing to do dirty, toxic and often radioactive work that the rest of the world has long shunned.

Despite producing 95 percent of the world’s rare earths, China has only 37 percent of the world’s proven reserves. Sizable deposits are known to exist in the United States, Canada, Australia, India and Brazil, among other places.
China  export  exports  rare-earths  manufacturing  2010  WTO  worldtrade  environment  USA  commodities  speculation  Japan  foreignaffairs 
october 2010 by asterisk2a
TV Pricing Bloodbath Threatens Already Razor-Thin Retailer Margins, Will Send Japanese FX Interventions Into Overdrive | zero hedge
“Combining these with a possible appreciation of the won, we expect the overall fourth-quarter business conditions to be difficult.”

“The Christmas season makes or breaks you and this year you’ve got unemployment and deflation,” said Yamada of Securities.
JPY  yen  japan  export  2010  currency  currencies  rare-earths 
october 2010 by asterisk2a
Boomland Brasilien: Die neue Weltmacht wackelt - SPIEGEL ONLINE - Nachrichten - Wirtschaft
Brasiliens Boom wird oft dem seit acht Jahren amtierenden Präsidenten Lula zugerechnet, dessen zweite Amtszeit nun zu Ende geht und der nicht wiedergewählt werden kann. Dabei hat nicht er die Grundlagen geschaffen, sondern sein Vorgänger Henrique Cardoso.

Er besiegte die Hyperinflation. Er sanierte den Haushalt. Er entwarf eines der weltweit größten Sozialprogramme, um Millionen Menschen aus der Armut zu befreien. Die Ernte dieser Saat fuhr Lula ein. Heute ist Cardoso einer der letzten Politiker, die den Präsidenten noch kritisieren. "Lula hat das Land betäubt", sagte er kürzlich. Brasilien befinde sich auf dem Weg in den Staatskapitalismus.

Doch nur wenige wollen solche Sätze hören. Vier von fünf Brasilianern unterstützen Lula, der sein Amt zum 1. Januar 2011 abgibt. Seine wahrscheinliche Nachfolgerin Dilma Rousseff, die an diesem Sonntag aller Voraussicht nach gewählt wird, wäre ohne Lulas Unterstützung chancenlos gewesen.

Rohstoffexporte statt Industrieaufbau
brazil  2010  election  economy  BRIC  export  exports  commodities  infrastructure  outlook  critics  politics 
october 2010 by asterisk2a
Konkurrenz zu China: Deutsche Industrie warnt vor Rohstoff-Engpass - SPIEGEL ONLINE - Nachrichten - Wirtschaft
China startet einen weltweiten Wettlauf um Rohstoffe. Die Volksrepublik bunkert seltene Materialien und sichert sich Vorkommen in Afrika. Nun schlägt die deutsche Industrie Alarm: Kämpft Europa nicht um die knappen Ressourcen, droht vielen Wirtschaftszweigen Existenznot.

Hamburg - Die Liste liest sich wie eine Übung für das Große Latinum: Gallium, Germanium, Beryllium, Indium, Magnesium, Platin, usw. Die Aufzählung ist eine Art Artenschutzliste der Europäischen Union für Rohstoffe. Die aufgeführten Materialien, so die Idee der EU, sind unverzichtbar bei der Herstellung von Hightech-Produkten. Deshalb soll der Zugang europäischer Produzenten zu diesen Stoffen besonders geschützt werden.

In der Tat sind viele dieser und weiterer Materialien aus dem Wirtschaftsleben nicht mehr wegzudenken.
rare-earths  china  economy  germany  africa  export  europe  industrial  production  resources  resource  2010  trend  outlook 
august 2010 by asterisk2a
Chinas Textilindustrie: Am seidenen Faden - Wirtschaftspolitik - Wirtschaft - FAZ.NET
„Wir hören von den Chinesen immer öfter: Für euch im Westen machen wir doch nicht mehr den billigen Jakob“, „Jeder in der Branche versucht im Moment, Produktion aus China in Länder wie Indonesien, Vietnam oder Bangladesch zu verlagern“, fügt er an.

Die deutsche Industrie habe an den Handel schon das Signal gesendet, dass die Preise spätestens zum Frühjahr 2011 um 10 Prozent steigen werden. Da der Handel gewöhnlich mit einem Faktor von 1,5 bis 1,8 kalkuliere, müsse der Anzug- oder Hemdenkäufer also spätestens im Frühjahr knapp 20 Prozent mehr bezahlen.

„Zieht man aber heute einen Auftrag zurück, scheint das hier keinen mehr zu scheren: Die Hersteller antworten nur, dass sie dann eben für heimischen Kunden arbeiten“, sagt Bezner.

Ökonomen Streiks und die stark steigenden Preise in der Textilfertigung als Ausdruck eines tiefgreifenden Strukturwandels China
china  export  economy  2010  2011  change  structure  usa  2012  trends  future 
july 2010 by asterisk2a
Merkel Rejects Call for Germans to Spend -
Chancellor Angela Merkel roundly rebuffed U.S. President Barack Obama's call for Germans to aid the global recovery by spending more and relying less on exports, even as she warned that Europe's own financial crisis is far from over.

In an interview with The Wall Street Journal an unapologetic Ms. Merkel said the nations that share the beleaguered euro have merely bought some time to fix the flaws in their monetary union. She called the G20 meeting in Toronto this weekend to send a signal that tougher financial-market regulation is on its way to dispel the impression that momentum is fading amid resistance by big banks.

She took aim at an idea voiced by France, the U.S. and others that Germany should help global producers by spurring its persistently weak consumer demand and ending its dependence on unsustainable spending elsewhere. a letter last Friday Obama to the G20, in which he asked big exporters to rebalance global demand by boosting consumer spending.
export  Germany  Japan  China  spending  USA  G20  Toronto  2010  angelamerkel  policy  barackobama  global  rebalancing  economy 
june 2010 by asterisk2a
G-20 Clash Over Recovery Risks ’Sub-Potential’ Growth (Update1) -
At a meeting of Group of 20 finance chiefs in Busan, South Korea, June 4-5, Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner said the world cannot again bank on the cash-strapped U.S. consumer to drive growth and urged other nations to stimulate their own demand. European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet said fiscal tightening in “old industrialized economies” would aid the expansion by shoring up investor confidence.

Each strategy carries threats for the global rebound that the G-20 said faces “significant challenges.” Continued stimulus risks bondholder revolt over rising debt burdens, while spending cutbacks could worsen unemployment. Relying on exports leaves the world prone to trade wars and competitive currency devaluations as countries seek to give their companies an edge.

Each strategy carries threats for the global rebound that the G-20 said faces “significant challenges.” Continued stimulus risks bondholder revolt over rising debt burdens, while spending cutbacks coul
G20  june  fiscal  monetary  policy  greatrecession  tobin-tax  banking  recession  2010  recovery  demand  growth  Europe  timgeithner  germany  USA  PIIGS  austerity  capital  liquidity  basel2  export  exports  currency  currencies  euro  yen  dollar  yuan  protectionism  economics 
june 2010 by asterisk2a
Schuldenkrise: Warum Deutschland Europas größter Krisenprofiteur ist - SPIEGEL ONLINE - Nachrichten - Wirtschaft
Kein Euro-Land ist so stark von seinen Ausfuhren abhängig wie Deutschland. Der Export sorgt für 45 Prozent der deutschen Wirtschaftsleistung. Zwar gehen rund 60 Prozent der deutschen Exporte in die Euro-Zone. Doch Firmen, die ihre Waren etwa in Asien oder USA anbieten, können dies nun zu günstigeren Preisen tun.

"Wettbewerbsfähig sind die meisten deutschen Unternehmen ohnehin, so dass die jüngste Abwertung des Euro für echte Preisvorteile im außereuropäischen Ausland sorgt", sagt Stefan Schilbe, Chefvolkswirt bei HSBC Trinkaus. Durch jahrelange Lohnzurückhaltung habe Deutschland die Wettbewerbsfähigkeit zurückgewonnen, die es seinerzeit durch eine zu harte Währung eingebüßt hatte.
Germany  recession  Euro  EMU  PIIGS  may  2010  economy  Europe  competitiveness  competitive  export  double-dip  outlook  forecast  stockmarket 
may 2010 by asterisk2a
Kolumne: Fricke - Und jetzt mal Deutschland |
Seit ein paar Tagen gibt es leichte Unruhe an den Finanzmärkten. Die große Steuerreform, die Angela Merkels angeschlagene schwarz-gelbe Regierung fürs Wahljahr noch durchgeboxt hat, brockt dem Finanzminister größere Einnahmeausfälle ein als vermutet. Kurz danach meldet das Statistikamt, das Staatsdefizit habe nach Revision 2012 doch über vier Prozent des Bruttoinlandsprodukts gelegen. Ein kleiner Schock.
Die Kanzlerin gibt sich gelassen. Das werde durch die gute Konjunktur wettgemacht. Experten sagen, Deutschland sei noch gut aufgestellt. Am nächsten Tag heißt es, das Geschäftsklima habe sich eingetrübt. Aktien geben nach, der Zins auf deutsche Staatsanleihen steigt.
germany  tax  taxes  reform  politics  angelamerkel  election2009  FDP  2010  2012  budget2010  budget  deficit  sovereign  debt  economy  economics  recovery  greatrecession  export  exports 
may 2010 by asterisk2a
A special report on America's economy: Export or die | The Economist
The notion that exports can lead American growth strikes many, especially on the left, as fanciful. They point out that America’s manufacturing base has been cut down by years of competition from China and other lower-cost countries. Even if the economic climate improves, America may not benefit: it simply does not make the products the rest of the world wants to buy. Flat-screen televisions and mobile phones are made in Asia. “There are just too many products that we no longer make and too many foreign links in the industrial supply chain,” Robert Kuttner recently wrote in the American Prospect.
usa  growth  exports  export  globalization  economics  economy  2010  greatrecession  recession  recovery  tradedeficit  import 
april 2010 by asterisk2a

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