asterisk2a + dogma + europe   25

Weltwirtschaft: Ökonomen halten Ende des Wachstums für unvermeidlich - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Weltwirtschaft: Ökonomen halten Ende des Wachstums für unvermeidlich [...] Ein Beispiel: Wenn das Bruttosozialprodukt eines Landes 10 Milliarden Euro beträgt und um eine Milliarde Euro wächst, dann entspricht das einer Steigerung von zehn Prozent. Wenn das BIP aber 1000 Milliarden Euro beträgt, dann müsste die Wirtschaft schon um 100 Milliarden Euro wachsen, um ein Wachstum von zehn Prozent zu schaffen. Wächst das BIP wie vorher um eine Milliarde Euro, entspricht das nur noch einer Steigerung von 0,1 Prozent. Die Wirtschaft wäre dann sozusagen ausgewachsen. Die alten Zeiten kehren nicht mehr zurück [...] Sollten die Ökonomen recht haben, hätte das für Staat und Sozialsysteme einschneidende Folgen: Die Planung von Bundeshaushalt oder Rentenkasse geht von einem Wachstum irgendwo zwischen ein und zwei Prozent pro Jahr aus. [...] Die Wirtschaft "unabhängiger vom Wachstum gestalten"
G20  George  Osborne  UK  austerity  Europe  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  Germany  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  secular  stagnation  Richard  Koo  aggregate  demand  budget  deficit  economic  history  finite  resources  resource  depletion  economic  growth  global  economy  policy  monetary  policy  policy  error  policy  folly  Japan  Abenomics  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  AI  artificial  intelligence  Robotics  self-driving  cars  autonomous  car  structural  unemployment  unemployment  long-term  unemployment  youth  unemployment  productivity  output  gap  squeezed  middle  class  Precariat  working  poor  low  pay  low  income  precarious  work  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  underinvestment  marginal  cost  competitiveness  energy  policy  energy  price  flat  world  borderless  globalization  globalisation  economics  of  abundance  post-capitalism  Larry  Summers  Gini  coefficient  inequality  Super  Rich  1%  plutocracy  oligarchy  democracy  social  democracy  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  trickle-down  economics  dogma  ideology  free  market  self-regulation  neoliberalism  neoliberal  education  policy  income  inequality  GDP  nominal  GDP  targeting  inflation  targeting  liquidity  trap  credit  bubble  distortion  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  USA 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
What Really Caused the Crisis and What to Do About It - YouTube
"There are not perfect markets, and there is no perfect planner. [...] we will never arrive at perfect solutions. [...] market will never allocate perfectly ... [...] market will always tend to lend to property and land, and less into productive means (businesses = risk of 100 loss, land or property ... you have a loss when you sell it. << China, UK ) [...] not all credit is good credit. [...] need for macroprudential policy to dampen bubbles bc rate hikes could dampen normal non-speculative area of economy. ie loan to value limits [...] interest rate setting is blunt hammer that people though is the magic wand along the line of self-regulation, free market, neoliberalism and trickle-down [...] GFC can be traced back to the 60-70's - macroecon + micro with absurd assumptions (ie rational expectations, equilibriums, no bubbles) & math & pure theoretical base (no empirical analysis ie of what banks really do ie greed) = makes job of economist as policy advisor real easy.
bank  crisis  JohnMaynardKeynes  keynes  Keynesianism  book  Richard  Koo  aggregate  demand  austerity  liquidity  trap  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  debtoverhang  GFC  recovery  secular  stagnation  western  world  dogma  ideology  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  monetary  policy  monetary  theory  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  budget  deficit  economic  history  credit  bubble  output  gap  productivity  inflation  targeting  nominal  GDP  targeting  asset  allocation  economics  investment  banking  zombie  banks  retail  banking  financial  product  CDS  CDO  hunt  for  yield  VAR  risk  aversion  deflationary  deflation  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  Glass-Steagall  self-regulation  regulators  regulation  leverage  margin  trading  property  bubble  arbitrage  speculative  bubbles  asset  bubble  UK  USA  Europe  ECB  Fed  BOE  zombie  consumer  squeezed  middle  class  zombie  corporations  NPL  junk  bond  realestate  macroprudential  policy  mortgage  market  equilibrium  disequilibrium  Economist  economists  Adair  Turner  hayek 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Carney: No need for interest rate rises now - BBC News
Carney said that collapsing oil prices and an "unforgiving" global environment meant that tighter monetary policy was not yet necessary. [...] He pointed out that the Fed's rate rise had only brought the US interest rate to the same "lofty level" as the Bank of England's. The Governor said that three factors would be the strongest guide to when interest rates might rise. First, that economic growth in the UK would be higher than the average trend. He said that growth at an average quarterly rate of 0.5% in 2015 had "disappointed". Second, that wage growth strengthens and productivity improves. And, third, that core inflation starts to approach the target rate of 2%. //&! Rate rise pause till early 2017? - bbc.in/1T1Qrge - [ global risks are building, global imbalances, faultlines. ] There's a frying pan - the global growth slowdown - and a fire - high levels of indebtedness - out there. &! bbc.in/1S5N7ks
Fed  BOE  2016  Taper  UK  USA  monetary  policy  Mark  Carney  Fed  mandate  productivity  output  gap  inflation  expectation  inflation  targeting  nominal  GDP  targeting  deflationary  deflation  Oil  price  commodity  prices  wage  inflation  GDP  secular  stagnation  economic  history  austerity  fiscal  policy  property  bubble  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  mortgage  market  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  private  debt  corporate  debt  Europe  ECB  China  credit  bubble  2015  global  economy  BRIC  OPEC  aggregate  demand  Richard  Koo  overcapacity  Supply  and  and  Supply  liquidity  trap  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  stimulus  monetary  theory  unconventional  monetary  policy  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  zombie  consumer  zombie  corporations  zombie  banks  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  margin  trading  speculative  bubbles  equity  bubble  Super  Cycle  debt  servitude  leverage  George  Osborne  dogma  ideology  neoliberalism  neoliberal  faultlines  global  imbalances  distortion  emerging  middle  class  emerging  market  Frontier  Markets  sovereign  debt  crisis  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  QT  financial  repression  New  Normal 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Europe is becoming an undemocratic continent where force matters more than law | Comment is free | The Guardian
Only banks, global corporations and the superrich have any power against this faceless semi-superstate [...] In the past year, on two occasions when tested, European solidarity fell apart. [...] The real power, meanwhile, sits with large corporations, banks and elites. And here’s the strangest thing: for all the power concentrated at the top, the EU lacks the will to operate purposefully in the multipolar global power system. We know, roughly, what the US wants. Ditto for China and Russia. Ask what Europe wants – in Ukraine, Syria or the Arctic circle – and you’ll draw a blank. In a multipolar world, whose chaos zones are expanding, effective states with clear diplomatic aims and red lines matter.
democracy  Career  Politicians  bank  bailout  banking  crisis  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  crony  capitalism  capitalism  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  shared  economic  interest  profit  maximisation  Brussels  Rechtsruck  symptom  No  Representation  social  contract  fairness  morality  Generationengerechtigkeit  austerity  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  solidarity  TBTF  too  big  to  jail  too  big  to  bail  conglomerate  corporate  scandal  corporate  media  corporate  state  injustice  justice  white-collar  crime  Brexit  sovereign  debt  crisis  refugee  crisis  Super  Rich  1%  Gini  coefficient  inequality  poverty  G  Zero  economic  history  monetary  union  European  trickle-down  economics  dogma  ideology  Privatisation  neoliberalism  neoliberal  neoconservatism  neoconservatives  USA  UK  Europe  vested  interest  interest  groups 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Egon Krenz: der Kalte Krieg war nie zu Ende by Sputnik Deutschland
Europa ohne Russland geht nicht. USA sieht nicht gern das Europa/Deutschland gut mit Russland sind. [...] Die idee des kommunismus ist nicht tod zu kriegen. [...] Der kapitalismus kann nicht das letzte wort gehabt haben. [...] AIIB & BRIC (+South Africa) - ohne USA, ohne EU (ja nicht alle, Germany in AIIB)! // TTIP und co. schliesst BRIC aus. Punkt!!! USA will sich wirtschafts and und politische macht sichern mit TTIP und TPP before es zu spaet ist. // battle of ideas. battle to capture parts of new world, global trade and economy, future generations (emerging middle class).
Ukraine  Ukrain  Russia  vladimirputin  Putin  Europe  NATO  Cold  War  cyber  Middle  East  USA  foreign  affairs  geopolitics  foreign  policy  foreign  relations  Intelligence  German  reunification  UK  East  Europe  United  Nations  Security  Council  United  Nations  Angela  Merkel  Leadership  Crimea  Crimea  Crisis  presidency  barackobama  David  Cameron  diplomacy  Baltic  States  Balkan  East  Germany  east-europe  east-germany  China  World  Police  global  economy  sanctions  protectionism  global  trade  BRIC  European  Union  Turkey  Eurasia  Germany  cooperation  GCHQ  NSA  surveillance  state  Surveillance-Industrial  Complex  history  Aid  Arab  League  OPEC  military–industrial  military  intervention  neoconservatism  neoconservatives  neoliberalism  neoliberal  ISIS  al-Qaida  Taliban  Iraq  War  Iraq  Iran  Afghanistan  globalization  globalisation  TTIP  TPP  CETA  cablegate  Wikileaks  AIIB  World  Bank  TISA  Wall  Street  crony  capitalism  capitalism  ideology  dogma  emerging  class  Developing  World  Frontier  Markets  emerging  market  economic  history  trickle-down  economics  political  economy  political  science  political  theory  Niall  Ferguson  Africa  South  Africa 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Die Story: Zehn Jahre Kanzlerin: Mysterium Merkel | Kontrovers | BR - YouTube
6:20 - nicht falsch stehen wollen ... // macht sich unberechenbar und flexibel // but no long-term vision and mission >> thus no long-term future of germany in globalised digital economy and marginal cost and economic abundance! // no Principles. No spine. // Teflon Kanzlerin. Und andere muessen dann gehen. // "hat immer die Kontrolle behalten." 10 Jahre lang.
Angela  Merkel  GroKo  Germany  CDU  CSU  Career  Politicians  refugee  crisis  war  refugee  European  Union  sovereign  debt  crisis  bank  bailout  GFC  recovery  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  austerity  dogma  ideology  Grexit  Brexit  East  Europe  Rechtsruck  Rechtsextremismus  AfD  NPD  Xenophobia  Homophobia  homophobic  Homo-Ehe  inequality  Gini  coefficient  European  Election  2014  Fukushima  underinvestment  infrastructure  investment  NSA  GCHQ  Surveillance-Industrial  Complex  surveillance  state  Orwellian  USA  UK  corporate  espionage  cyber  espionage  industrial  espionage  cyber  war  cyber  attack  Ukraine  Ukrain  ISIS  Russia  vladimirputin  Putin  Edward  Snowden  Principle  military–industrial  Iraq  Syrien  Syria  Saudi  Arabia 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Jim Grant: The Fed Turned the Stock Market Into a 'Hall of Mirrors' - YouTube
- bull market in equities not reflective of real fundamentals on the side of the consumer (aggregate demand, marginal propensity to consume). can not pick up the tab. inequality also does not help.
equity  bubble  frothy  distortion  USA  Fed  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  credit  bubble  BRIC  BOE  ECB  excess  reserves  correction  2015  BOJ  reflate  reflation  Abenomics  hunt  for  yield  recovery  GFC  Taper  FOMO  asset  allocation  capital  allocation  behavioral  finance  behavioral  economics  fiscal  policy  austerity  western  world  developed  world  secular  stagnation  disposable  income  income  distribution  income  growth  low  income  income  gap  consumer  confidence  business  confidence  business  investment  underinvestment  hot-money  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  currency-war  currency  debasement  currency  war  property  bubble  Richard  Koo  monetary  stimulus  monetary  policy  fiat  currency  monetary  transmission  mechanism  liquidity  trap  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Europe  UK  Japan  Germany  marginal  propensity  to  consume  consumer  debt  household  debt  job  creation  job  security  working  poor  inequality  Gini  coefficient  Sozialer  Abstieg  squeezed  middle  class  precarious  work  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  income  inequality  income  mobility  Super  Rich  1%  bank  bailout  banking  crisis  sovereign  debt  crisis  Polarisation  Career  Politicians  dogma  ideology  crony  capitalism 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Raghuram Rajan - One-on-One: an investigative interview - 44th St. Gallen Symposium - YouTube
Relying too much on the wrong instrument, monetary policy, unconventional QE2 & 3 >> little domestic positive impact but spilled over much across the world! // consequences now seen (1) taper tantrum late 2014 & then summer 2015; china slow-down/equity crash & taper anticipation moves followed up by pulling money out of emerging/developing markets! financial market are divergent from domestic business market. cycles shifted apart slightly. investor, business, financial market & consumer confidence are not linked as tightly before! // financial markets are now global, business markets itself not as much! money can be pulled out digitally in an instance. // no net-positive 4 whole world. selfishness. long-run danger. unintended consequences, unknown unknowns. // global sub-optimal monetary policy // global system (monetary system) broke // uncertainty, unknown of taper. timing debate. game of chicken. volatility bc of lots of froth, distortion! // &! youtu.be/SZe3issLIb8
Raghuram  Rajan  BIS  centralbanks  hot-money  currency-war  currency  debasement  currency  war  GFC  recovery  monetary  policy  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  excess  reserves  speculative  bubbles  reflate  reflation  economic  history  faultlines  credit  bubble  BRIC  2015  emerging  market  Developing  World  western  secular  stagnation  BOJ  Abenomics  PBOC  globalization  globalisation  financial  market  zombie  banks  savings  glut  business  confidence  business  investment  USA  UK  Europe  China  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  FOMO  hunt  for  yield  speculative  speculation  Super  Rich  1%  property  bubble  unconventional  monetary  policy  Fed  BOE  ECB  inflation  expectation  inflation  targeting  Fed  mandate  deflationary  deflation  fiscal  policy  irrational  exuberance  panic  hubris  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  Taper  book  structural  imbalance  Impediments  reserve  currency  fiat  currency  current  account  deficit  trade  deficit  structural  deficit  fiscal  deficit  fiscal  stimulus  Germany  austerity  dogma  ideology  credibility  Career  Politicians  Pact  Schuldenbremse  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  stimulus  monetary  theory  monetary  system  complexity  incomplete  information  shadow  banking  uncertainty  volatility  distortion  financial  repression  governance 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Group of 20 Financial Leaders Agree to Act to Bolster Growth - The New York Times
Ms. Lagarde was even more explicit, making it clear that governments had for too long relied on the supply of cheap cash from central banks that have been running ultra-loose monetary policy. “Monetary policy alone will not cut it,” she said. “It is necessary, it is recommended from our perspective, particularly in Europe and in Japan still, but it will not cut it on its own. “Clearly in the fiscal sphere as well as in the structural reforms sphere, more needs to be done, and it needs to accompany and eventually take the baton from the central bank governors.”
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
There’s nothing good about the rise in zero-hours contracts – ban them now | Peter Fleming | Comment is free | The Guardian
Yet the growing trend, which British employers love, is steadily eroding what used to be called “stable jobs”. We are not just talking about teenage fast-food employees or the struggling artist who lands a call-centre gig to tide them over. Universities and the NHS are among those who have embraced this onward march of workplace rationalisation. [...] Studies looking at the effects of economic insecurity are poignant here. According to some behavioural economists there is no doubt that the endless worry caused by economic uncertainty impedes the body’s immune system and you get sick more. But it also starts to mess with your ability to reason. People start making bad decisions. A bad situation can easily get worse. [...] Zero-hours contracts help to subsidise rich corporations and businesses. [...] phase neoliberalism, with its plutocrats, oligarchs and rentiers back in full swing. [...] But as an astute economist recently put it, we can no longer afford the rich.
Zero  Hour  Contract  precarious  work  Precariat  UK  Contractor  neoliberalism  neoliberal  job  security  working  poor  insecurity  tax  credit  working  tax  credit  child  tax  credit  poverty  trap  poverty  child  poverty  food  poverty  self-regulation  deregulation  Workers  Union  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  deflationary  deflation  liberal  economic  reform  USA  Europe  secular  stagnation  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  Wall  Street  welfare  state  social  safety  net  exploitation  workforce  Universal  Basic  Income  subsidies  subsidizing  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  social  revolving  door  austerity  dogma  ideology  Gesellschaft  inequality  Gini  coefficient  tax  avoidance  tax  evasion  corporate  tax  rate  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  minimum  wage  Tories  Conservative  Party  Toff  Privileged  Establishment  tax  code 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Steen Jakobsen: Get Ready For The Biggest Margin Call In History - YouTube
ideology/Career Politicians/Complacency/Cushy/non-ambitious/AIIB/comfortable //&! bit.ly/1cU2RVS March 2015, SELL & come back in 6 months - bloom.bg/1NTykGB //&! bit.ly/1NJvXai &! bit.ly/1VsYTEJ Outrageous predictions for 2015 were: China devalues yuan 20% [joining others in global struggle to import inflation] &! Corporate high yield market spreads double (higher refinancing cost, which zombie corporations do actually have no pants on as tide goes out) "High yield is a derivative of equity markets. If you believe equities are overvalued, so too is high yield," &! UK house prices crash (foreign hot money, speculative + shortage + Summer 2015 Crash + BOE Taper in 2015/16 = back to reality!) &! Russia defaults again // &! Fed Taper is a "margin call," [need 2 normalize despite its mandate/fundamentals not warranting a hike!] [...] a seven-year bull run 4 equities might be coming to an end [...] the rise (not value) of RMB/Yuan as it becomes free floating out of need] - cnb.cx/1MMyLSC
Abenomics  Yen  Yuan  RMB  devaluation  currency-war  fiat  currency  currency  debasement  currency  war  deflationary  deflation  credit  bubble  PBOC  China  credit  cycle  business  cycle  financial  cycle  financial  crisis  leverage  margin  trading  underinvestment  productive  investment  business  investment  public  investment  personal  investment  infrastructure  investment  rebalancing  structural  imbalance  Impediments  infrastructure  Career  Politicians  short-term  Fortune  500  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  Wall  Street  ROI  STEM  Research  R&D  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  New  Normal  hunt  for  yield  output  gap  productivity  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  Robotics  3D  printing  Steen  Jakobsen  financial  incentive  secular  stagnation  Manufacturing  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  policy  AIIB  Asia  European  Union  share  buyback  2015  equity  bubble  speculative  bubbles  bond  bubble  property  bubble  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  distortion  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  western  developed  liquidity  trap  UK  USA  Europe  BOE  Fed  BOJ  ECB  bank  bailout  toobigtofail  too  big  to  jail  too  big  to  bail  banking  crisis  sovereign  debt  crisis  austerity  ideology  dogma  economic  history  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Austerity: The History of a Dangerous Idea - YouTube
faith in capitalism can only be sustained, according to Adam Smith, if we can better ourself (vs winner takes all) & talent diversion into Finance, not Climate Change, STEM, education, sw, hw & rogoff/reinhart called 4 fiscal stimulus in 2014. &! its a banking problem, not overspend, its corporate state (Tories) PR and spin doctors, manufacturing consent, propaganda/populism! change conversation away from banks! // youtu.be/a-8ySh6nUsA // &! The Austerity Delusion - youtu.be/NQGCoiakycQ // &! Is Austerity a Dangerous Idea? - youtu.be/2v8m-J8sgik // &! youtu.be/JQuHSQXxsjM // &! Mackenzie Lecture 2015 - youtu.be/B6vV8_uQmxs // &! After the Financial Crisis: How to Tell the Forest from the Trees - youtu.be/V3FPmu2_J_0 // &! Book Panel 2013 - youtu.be/Xz4FW8GDwG4 - "debt gets cured by growth." & austerity is ideological war on welfare state & class // &! youtu.be/iM2cnMhJZyg // &! youtu.be/in5M65566iw // &! What I Learned and (Un-Learned) at the Financial Crisis - youtu.be/lhldDOp77QA /
austerity  economic  history  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  downward  mobility  inequality  apathy  voter  turnout  crony  capitalism  ideology  dogma  GFC  IMF  OECD  ChristineLagarde  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Angela  Merkel  Troika  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Conservative  Party  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  UK  Europe  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  lost  generation  lost  decade  Japan  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  unintended  consequences  asset  allocation  hunt  for  yield  speculative  bubbles  property  bubble  unknown  unkown  Taper  KennethRogoff  carmenreinhart  Thomas  Piketty  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  sovereign  debt  crisis  deleveraging  Richard  Koo  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Privatisation  industrial  policy  Revolution  2.0  deflationary  deflation  secular  stagnation  globalisation  globalization  Eurogroup  Paul  Krugman  Joseph  Stiglitz  reflate  recovery  reflation  bond  bubble  asset  bubble  faultlines  structural  imbalance  Impediments  BOE  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  short-term  Career  Politicians  political  theory  social  contract  Gesellschaft  No  Representation  Rechtsruck  stagnation  social 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Is austerity working in Britain and Europe? - YouTube
youtu.be/YIg3Ls8UjMs - youtu.be/EpSmOBIZKus - (2014) The UK is having a moral disaster: Peter Hitchens on Britain's bleak future (talks about Conservative Party, Cameron is a PR man - exemplary Career Politician just wanting to be in office. out brake of riots in Summer 2011 similar to Brixton Riot "not being part of society", "multiculturalism is no culture" (shared identity and interest as nation) // --- // Chancellor defends austerity from Davos (2013) - youtu.be/nQZDDIVjbcM // (2015) Protesters gather after Queen's speech to 'fight austerity' - youtu.be/ERL0tEzVVqE // &! End Austerity March: thousands protest across the UK - youtu.be/-Yg8QaeBdNs
austerity  UK  economic  history  IMF  Greece  Tories  dogma  ideology  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Privatisation  Conservative  Party  Toff  Privileged  Establishment  Paul  Krugman  2015  Europe  Troika  Eurogroup  ECB  fiscal  policy  fiscal  stimulus  Pact  Schuldenbremse  GroKo  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  BOE  NIRP  ZIRP  QE  budget  deficit  underinvestment  productive  investment  productivity  output  gap  infrastructure  investment  STEM  deflationary  deflation  inflation  expectation  secular  stagnation  recovery  GFC  industrial  policy  Manufacturing  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  corporate  tax  rate  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  bank  bailout  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  technocrat  Public  Services  Social  Services  deprivation  poverty  trap  child  poverty  poverty  food  poverty  income  mobility  mobility  downward  mobility  budget2015  multiculturalism  identity  Gesellschaft  Zivilgesellschaft  civic  society  civic  life  civil  courage  society 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
El-Erian: This Is Not 1998 or 2008 - YouTube
it is a repricing. a correction. prices got too far away (reflation of equity & co through ZIRP, NIRP, QE, speeches, plus hunt for yield & FOMO). It just happened to be China being the trigger, the wake-up call - very loud wake-up call - bc of its economic size and heft. (taper talks 2015 that made equity already nervous, and bond holders too, was too timid). Reality check. // Was it justified, yes. // In the long-run, we are all dead. And in the long-run things will, eventually, correct itself. // People may take now into account a new normal, lower interest rate environment, lower global growth, lower yields, lower inflationary pressures, lower dividend payments, more work that corporates (crony capitalism) need to do to squeeze out that earnings growth especially in the western world. inequality - low wage growth/stagnation - less discretionary spending on non-essential items (in the western world). & "realization that policy tools were less effective". &! bv.ms/1NFsFUn
reflate  reflation  hunt  for  yield  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  asset  allocation  equity  bubble  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  secular  stagnation  New  Normal  asset  bubble  bubble  bond  bubble  bubbles  distortion  economic  history  trickle-down  economics  recovery  UK  USA  Europe  dogma  ideology  austerity  fiscal  policy  fiscal  stimulus  Richard  Koo  Japan  lost  decade  lost  generation  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  savings  rate  debtoverhang  debt  servitude  sovereign  debt  crisis  faultlines  Structural  Impediments  participation  rate  unemployment  imbalance  Makers  policy  error  policy  folly  macroprudential  policy  microeconomic  policy  monetary  policy  monetary  theory  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  system  STEM  industrial  policy  Manufacturing  competitiveness  globalisation  globalization  flat  world  commodity  business  commoditization  borderless  deflationary  deflation  Software  Is  Eating  The  Marketplace  mobile  homescreen  mobile  phone  mobile  first  Smartphone  Revolution  2.0  energy  price  Oil  price  inflation  expectation  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  productivity  output  gap  underinvestment  Gini  coefficient  inequality  income  mobility  social  mobility  productive  investment  IMF  OECD  developed  world  emerging  emerging  growth  investment  midd 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
US stocks nosedive in early trading amid collapse in global markets | Business | The Guardian
[ great reflation move since 09, finds another opportunity (this time because of China) to reflect. meaning to reassess reality. same with the collapse in emerging market, money going out of high yield & risk back to US/UK in hope of Taper and then came the hammer in form of China scare, people taking even more money out of emerging market/Chinas neighbours into the safe haven (perceived) that is the $/£/EUR market ] Dow dropped more than 1,000 points shortly after the markets opened, but it recovered slightly to be down 620 points, or 6%, shortly before 10am. Dow, which had suffered big falls last week, was trading below 16,000 at 10am – the first time it has been below that level since February 2014. The index is 14% below its record peak in May, putting the Dow firmly into “correction” territory – Wall Street jargon for a drop of 10% or more from a recent peak. &! bit.ly/1EQ31Fn &! bit.ly/1F1zPue - Summers argued for fiscal stimulus, debate about secular stagnation.
correction  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  emerging  market  hunt  for  yield  unintended  consequences  2015  unknown  unkown  hot-money  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  reflate  reflation  recovery  GFC  structural  imbalance  global  imbalances  China  USA  western  world  secular  stagnation  Developing  developed  world  Europe  UK  Singapore  Asia  global  economy  global  trade  energy  price  Oil  price  OPEC  economic  history  Taper  Abenomics  Japan  Fed  BOE  ECB  BOJ  Richard  Koo  equity  bubble  bond  bubble  deflationary  deflation  job  creation  job  market  participation  rate  industrial  policy  Makers  short-term  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  policy  folly  policy  error  PBOC  distortion  faultlines  Impediments  STEM  underinvestment  productive  investment  output  gap  productivity  Paul  Krugman  Larry  Summers  Ben  Bernanke  Janet  Yellen  Mark  Carney  MarioDraghi  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  austerity  fiscal  policy  Pact  Schuldenbremse  fiscal  stimulus  George  Osborne  dogma  IMF  OECD  ChristineLagarde  ideology 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
The Coming Crash & The Recession That Never Ended - Part 1 - YouTube
Part 2 youtu.be/SpJ4L2QGNI4 [ min 2:00 post WW2 german debt jubilee - American & Britain needed Germany as bulwark against USSR! thus Germany had leverage because it was systemic. Greece is not systemic, nor needed. Thus they openly talk, relaxed, abt Grexit. Grexit was systemic risk in the first ~3 years post GFC, because of underfunded German, Frensh and Belgian zombie banks. 6:00 PIGS generation will be disillusioned about claims of European Union unity! 7:30 austerity ] // &! Part 3 - youtu.be/FWulzJy2oXc Bernie Sanders on inequality &! social mobility, skills gap, ... make-up of USA economy is a impediment to future growth (output gap, no more 3% annually) & also part-cause of inequality ... &! Part 4 youtu.be/8wzDwU1pzpY - China may tumble bc they dont have the internal & global demand for the infrasturcture/economy they have build (debtoverhang, debt servitude) &or social uprising &! USA overreach // Forget QE, Wall Street’s new drug is the stock buyback - on.mktw.net/1HDtdUR
Richard  Wolff  Taper  equity  bubble  China  irrational  exuberance  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  asset  bubble  hunt  for  yield  stock  buyback  fundamentals  economic  growth  recovery  UK  USA  balance  sheet  recession  Europe  Richard  Koo  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  labour  market  participation  rate  underemployed  structural  unemployment  structural  imbalance  Impediments  unemployment  youth  unemployment  long-term  unemployment  Gini  coefficient  income  growth  disposable  income  low  income  income  distribution  income  inequality  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  employment  self-employment  squeezed  middle  class  precarious  work  working  poor  social  mobility  income  mobility  Robert  Shiller  robertshiller  part-time  Contractor  Zero  Hour  Contract  uncertainty  Niedriglohnsektor  minimum  wage  Niedriglohn  Lohnzurückhaltung  lohndumping  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  deleveraging  debtoverhang  savings  rate  debt  servitude  Super  Cycle  behavioral  economics  behavioral  finance  skills  gap  education  policy  vocational  education  economic  history  economic  model  trickle-down  economics  discretionary  spending  dogma  ideology  austerity  neoliberal  neoliberalism  democracy  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  debt  monetisation  debt  stagnation  inequality  history  debt  debt  debt  m 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Resistance is not enough – we need a whole new political vision | Zoe Williams | Comment is free | The Guardian
[ trying to pit the weak and squeezed against the weaker, on the the dole, and bread line and disadvantaged (born into extreme poverty) ] // The budget took us further down a vindictive, regressive path. But we don’t have to toe the government’s line – we need to decide how we want society to look // [ Book owen Jones - The Establishment ] // [ cutting away left and right, even those things which help long-term creating opportunity - eduction policy, vocational education, (Student Maintenance Grant) social services, mental health and well being ... ] [...] To attack first entails retaking the language, so that we aren’t constantly battling on the territory of “common sense” that has already been demarcated and controlled by someone else. Professor Danny Dorling, at the British Library’s weekend conference on London, had this suggestion, in the wake of Osborne’s appropriation of the phrase “living wage”. [ Same with re-appropriating child poverty targets ] [ intellectual scum ]
budget2015  austerity  fairness  Gesellschaft  class  warfare  welfare  state  Public  Services  Social  Services  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  propaganda  manufactured  consent  corporate  state  populism  democracy  society  David  Cameron  George  Osborne  Toff  Establishment  Privileged  dogma  ideology  Europe  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  economic  history  neoliberal  neoliberalism  class-warfare  squeezed  middle  class  working  class  working  poor  precarious  work  Precariat  surveillance  state  Orwellian  Privacy  Internet  Privacy  self-censorship  child  poverty  poverty  trap  food  poverty  poverty  Public  Policy  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  minimum  wage  living  wage  language  Conservative  Party  Tories  UK  trickle-down  economics  liberal  economic  reform  shared  economic  interest  economic  damage  economic  model  microeconomics  short-term  thinking  short-form  content  Gini  coefficient  mobility  income  mobility  IMF  OECD 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Greece’s fight is for democracy in Europe. That’s why we must support it | Owen Jones | Comment is free | The Guardian
The EU powers told Greeks their world would cave in unless they acquiesced by voting yes. The no vote has raised the political stakes even higher (by Owen Jones, author) The referendum was, of course, a rejection of an austerity programme that has unleashed what is commonly described in Greece as a humanitarian crisis. Since Lehman Brothers crashed in 2008, austerity has always relied on the displacement of blame from elites to elsewhere. It was Goldman Sachs who helped the then Greek government to cook the countrys books to win entry into the euro. It was German & French banks who profitably and recklessly lent to Greece, just as US banks disastrously showered subprime mortgages on low-paid Americans. It was Germany who benefited from being able to export its consumer goods to peripheral European countries such as Greece. [transfer of debt/risk, plunging people & welfare state downward spiral with little growth to pay off new debt = unsustainable by Wall Street] &! bit.ly/1G3v9ns
democracy  referendum  Grexit  Greece  Europe  technocrat  austerity  economic  history  GFC  Career  Politicians  IMF  World  Bank  ECB  Troika  crony  capitalism  bailout  zombie  banks  too  big  to  jail  TBTF  toobigtofail  banking  crisis  sovereign  debt  crisis  Wall  Street  capitalism  neoliberal  neoliberalism  liberal  economic  reform  Yanis  Varoufakis  Owen  Jones  Thomas  Piketty  debt  jubilee  haircut  Leadership  No  Representation  Super  Cycle  debtoverhang  debt  restructuring  dogma  ideology  propaganda  Lügenpresse  manufactured  consent  history  European  solidarity  Germany  Angela  Merkel  corporate  state  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Jean-Claude  Juncker  ChristineLagarde  MarioDraghi  academia  academics 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Griechenland: Slavoj Zizek im Interview über Tripras - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Mehr Europa: Im Interview verteidigt der Slowene Slavoj Zizek die Tsipras-Regierung - und deren Idee eines Referendums. Von Philip Kaleta [...] Zizek: Die griechische Regierung hat wiederholt ihre Absicht klar gemacht, Griechenland sowohl in der EU als auch in der Eurozone halten zu wollen. Diese Haltung ist völlig eindeutig, Referendum hin oder her. Es geht heute darum, ob der Sparkurs weiterverfolgt wird oder neue Wege eingeschlagen werden. Die Kritiker von Tsipras versuchen, den Kern des Referendums in eine Schicksalsfrage umzudeuten. [...] Ohne einen solchen Plan [oekonomischer neuanfang] würde sich die Krise letztlich immer wieder reproduzieren. [...] Sogar der IWF hat eingeräumt, dass Griechenland einen groß angelegten Schuldenerlass braucht, um "Raum zum Atmen" zu schaffen und die Wirtschaft wieder zum Laufen zu bringen. [...] In Ihrem aktuellen Buch plädieren Sie für eine europäische Leitkultur, ... [ bailout = socialism for tbtf/jail and donors, lobby & country club ]
democracy  Slavoj  Zizek  Greece  PIGS  austerity  bailout  toobigtofail  TBTF  too  big  to  jail  Wall  Street  crony  capitalism  capitalism  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  referendum  Podemos  Syriza  Grexit  European  Union  debt  jubilee  sustainability  sustainable  debtoverhang  sovereign  debt  crisis  fiscal  sovereignty  Great  Depression  ideology  dogma  economic  history  sociology  psychology  history  Europe  solidarity  Gesellschaft  IMF  Troika  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Jean-Claude  Juncker  Jens  Weidmann  ChristineLagarde  ECB  MarioDraghi  Leadership  fiscal  political  compromise  shared  economic  interest  EFSF  European  vision  courage  technocrat  status  quo  lost  decade  lost  generation  egalitarianism  fairness  equality  inequality  Gini  coefficient  egalitarian  culture  society  heresy  thought  thought  leader  economic-thought  trust  trustagent 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Six takeaways from the Danish elections
Rechtsruck  Rechtsextremismus  right-wing  immigration  Europe  Protest  Partei  Protest  Party  Zivilgesellschaft  gesellschaft  Sozialer  Abstieg  2015  squeezed  middle  class  welfare  state  Public  Services  austerity  Social  Services  political  economy  European  Union  GFC  recovery  bailout  toobigtofail  too  big  to  jail  TBTF  fairness  populism  propaganda  dogma  Nationalism  protectionism  symptom  European  Election  2014  antisemitism  Antisemitismus  racism  Xenophobia  solidarity  PIGS  sovereign  debt  crisis  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  policy  error  policy  folly  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  political  folly  AfD  NPD  UKIP  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Angela  Merkel  Leadership  vision 
june 2015 by asterisk2a
Empire - The Promise and Peril of Democracy - Web Extra - Empire asks why democracy is in retreat - YouTube
symptoms now more evident than ever!
transparency  Democratic  Process  democracy  accountability  Career  Politicians  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  political  science  populism  propaganda  dogma  demagogy  demagogue  Europe  Nationalism  protectionism  capitalism  crony  capitalism  bribery  corruption  Lobbying  lobbyist  lobby  GFC  corporatism  Wall  Street  No  Representation  revolving  door  Policy  Makers  error  folly  Philosophy  Super  Rich  1%  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  fairness  Gerechtigkeit  oversight  excess  European  History  Great  Depression  exploitation  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  Future  of  Work  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  flat  world  globalization  globalisation  deregulation  Gini  coefficient  inequality  income  inequality  social  mobility  income  mobility  tax  code  capital  gains  economic  Thomas  Piketty  social  cohesion  Protest  Partei  Protest  Party  European  Election  2014  austerity  toobigtofail  TBTF  too  big  to  jail  bailout  IMF  OECD  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  uncertainty  self-employment  Zero  Hour  Contract  contractor  precarious  Precariat  working  class  Blue-collar  Worker  White-collar  Worker  Niedriglohnsektor  Niedriglohn  living  wage  wage  mi 
october 2014 by asterisk2a
Die Propagandaschlacht um die Gentechnik | EXCLUSIV IM ERSTEN | ARD - YouTube
- evolution ... unbeatable, weed killers become ineffective. and propaganda to make hunger and food poverty disappear is a PR/marketing crutch. >> no evidence that GMO crop is long-term more sustainable (using expensive GMO crop and expensive GMO related crop herbicides and pesticides) than EU conventional non-GMO crop agricultural policy (still monocrop agri culture). // +++ industrial agriculture policy has to GO AWAY FROM MONOCROP!!!
Roundup  Monsanto  Protection  Act  GMO  GMO  crop  Monsanto  glyphosate  herbicide  Dogma  propaganda  communication  PR  public  relations  language  marketing  Europe  Lobbying  lobbyist  lobby  interest  groups  corporate  governance  corporatism  crony  capitalism  short-term  thinking  UK  Germany  Career  Politicians  transparency  accountability  ethics  governance  Political  Wall  Street  unintended  consequences  complexity  unknown  unknowns  Industrial  Farming  agriculture  agriculture  industry  agriculture  policy  monoculture  monocrop  mono  agriculture  globalisation  globalization  flat  world  incomplete  information  sustainability  sustainable  Food  Chain  corporate  culture  public  health  policy  health  policy  Makers 
july 2014 by asterisk2a

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