asterisk2a + discretionary + work   50

IMF urges more spending to boost growth
Fund’s steering committee calls for more forceful stimulus and warns monetary policy alone is not enough //&! http://www.theguardian.com/business/imf //&! bit.ly/1V9pfhD - IMF chief: regulators long 'alarmed' over Panama's handling of taxation. Christine Lagarde responds to Panama Papers revelations, noting that authorities were concerned but did not take ‘expected’ action.
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april 2016 by asterisk2a
Capitalism and Mental Health: How the Market Makes Us Sick
POVERTY TRAP! // we were never as miserable as a nation as ever before.
profit  maximisation  profit  maximization  underinvestment  austerity  shareholder  capitalism  capitalism  in  crisis  capitalism  capitalist  working  poor  Precariat  squeezed  middle  class  status  anxiety  materialism  consumerism  consumerist  well  being  mental  health  burnout  work  life  balance  exploitation  exploited  part-time  part-time  employment  Contractor  self-employment  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  cortisol  poverty  trap  poverty  child  poverty  low  pay  low  income  shareholder  value  Wall  Street  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  Robert  Skidelsky  Slavoj  Žižek  Disabled  vulnerable  DWP  WCA  Iain  Duncan  Smith  Stephen  Crabb  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  public  health  public  health  policy  public  health  risk  liberal  economic  reform  neoliberal  neoliberalism  JSA  sanctions  Food  Bank  self-medication  substance  abuse  abuse  alcohol  abuse  alcoholism  binge  drinking  coping  mechanism  GP  health  care  cost  health  care  demand  NHS  homeless  homelessness  Housing  Generation  Rent  UK  USA  precarious  work  precarious  employment  isolation  child  protection  education  policy  Self-esteem  sociology  psychology  Wertegesellschaft  Gesellschaft  values  Gentrified  Gentrifzierung  gentrification  Beton  Gold  Betongold  urban  planning  urbanisation  rat  capitalism  class  economic 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Waiters And Bartenders Rise To Record, As Manufacturing Workers Drop Most Since 2009
On the surface, the March jobs reported was better than expected... except for manufacturing workers. As shown in the chart below, in the past month, a disturbing 29,000 manufacturing jobs were lost. This was the single biggest monthly drop in the series going back to December 2009. But not all is lost: as has been the case for virtually every month during the "recovery", virtually every laid off manufacturing worker could find a job as a waiter: in March, the workers in the "Food services and drinking places" category, aka waiters, bartenders and minimum wage line cooks, rose again to a new record high of 11,307,000 workers, an increase of 25K in the month, offsetting virtually all lost manufacturing jobs. This is how the two job series have looked since the start of 2015: 24k manufacturing jobs have been lost in the past 14 months compared to an increas of 365K food service workers.
UK  USA  job  creation  Manufacturing  industrial  policy  competitiveness  competitive  Service  Sector  Jobs  minimum  wage  low  pay  low  income  productivity  productivity  gap  recovery  economic  history  budget  deficit  income  tax  receipts  IRS  HMRC  trade  deficit  current  account  deficit  precarious  work  Precariat  squeezed  middle  class  job  loss  job  security  job  insecurity  working  poor  Contractor  Zero  Hour  Contract  Budget2016  George  Osborne  STEM  skills  gap  apprenticeships  2015  2016  China  BRIC  global  economy  global  trade  globalisation  globalization  outsourcing  self-employment  tax  free  income  tax  credit  social  safety  net  welfare  state  output  gap  participation  rate  babyboomers  western  world  secular  stagnation  Support  income  growth  wage  stagnation  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  student  debt  Generation  Rent  Generationengerechtigkeit  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  tax  amnesty  crony  capitalism  shareholder  capitalism  profit  maximisation  profit  maximization  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  multiplier-effect  austerity 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Budget 2016 shows Osborne's failure on debt, surplus, GDP
// higher in-work poverty
budget2015  budget2016  budget2010  general  election  2010  general  election  2015  PR  spin  doctor  economic  history  Positioning  Richard  Koo  austerity  underinvestment  dogma  ideology  policy  folly  policy  error  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  nasty  party  Iain  Duncan  Smith  corporate  tax  rate  corporate  welfare  corporate  subsidies  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Google  Inc.  shareholder  capitalism  bank  bailout  budget  deficit  Tories  Conservative  secular  stagnation  aggregate  demand  babyboomers  ageing  population  Northern  Powerhouse  triple-lock  pension  pension  obligation  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  Generation  Rent  property  bubble  Service  Sector  Jobs  job  creation  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  precarious  work  tax  credit  wage  stagnation  productivity  output  gap  Gini  coefficient  income  tax  receipts  tax  code  Zero  Hour  Contract  part-time  underemployment  underemployed  low  pay  low  income  BOE  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  election  campaign  promises  car  loan  student  debt  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  child  poverty  Food  poverty  tax  credit  Privatisation  Council  Public  Services  Social  Services  bed  blocking  education  policy  skills  gap  Academy  underinvestment  NHS 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
German Banks Told To Start Hoarding Cash | Zero Hedge
In order to generate artificial economic growth, the ECB wants banks to make as many loans as possible, no matter how stupid or idiotic. They believe that economic growth is simply a function of loans. The more money that’s loaned out, the more the economy will grow. This is the sort of theory that works really well in an economic textbook. But it doesn’t work so well in a history textbook. Cheap money encourages risky behavior. It gives banks an incentive to give ‘no money down’ loans to homeless people with no employment history. It creates bubbles (like the housing bubble from 10 years ago), and ultimately, financial panics (like the banking crisis from 8 years ago). Banks are supposed to be conservative, responsible managers of other people’s money. When central bank policies penalize that practice, bad things tend to happen.
Richard  Koo  aggregate  demand  austerity  fiscal  policy  Pact  Schuldenbremse  economic  history  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion  financial  repression  hunt  for  yield  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  Venture  Capital  Mutual  Fund  Private  Equity  reflate  reflation  recovery  GFC  debtoverhang  liquidity  trap  zombie  banks  deleveraging  Debt  Super  Cycle  secular  stagnation  consumer  wage  stagnation  squeezed  middle  class  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  marginal  propensity  to  consume  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  oligarchy  plutocracy  Super  Rich  1%  household  car  loan  credit  card  student  loan  student  loan  student  Bubble  generation  rent  OMT  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  working  poor  precarious  work  Precariat  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  Leiharbeit  Zeitarbeit  Agenda  2010  low  pay  low  income  TLTRO  LTRO  monetary  transmission  mechanism  velocity  of  money 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
UK consumes far less than a decade ago – 'peak stuff' or something else? | Business | The Guardian
From crops to energy and metals, average material consumption fell from 15 tonnes in 2001 to just over 10 tonnes in 2013 [...] UK households have also abandoned buying many resource-intensive goods common in the recent past – such as metal-heavy video recorders and hi-fi systems, vinyl records, CDs and books – as they shift to digital consumption. [...] The figures will spark fresh speculation that Britain and other developed economies have hit ‘peak stuff’, although some critics pour scorn on the quality of the ONS’s environmental accounts. In January, Ikea said the appetite of western consumers for home furnishings had reached its peak and consumption of many familiar goods was at its limit. Household spending on physical goods, including furnishings, clothing, cars and gadgets, decreased between 2002/03 and 2014, [...] Households now spend more on services than physical goods, he said. [...] [ saturation in some markets but we are not living in peak stuff ]
peak  stuff  secular  stagnation  demographic  bubble  zombie  consumer  materialism  status  anxiety  consumerist  consumer  choice  consumerism  sustainability  sustainable  resource  depletion  finite  resources  consumer  debt  marginal  propensity  to  consume  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  household  debt  car  loan  credit  card  debt  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  StudentLoans  savings  rate  retirement  poverty  in  old  age  poverty  squeezed  middle  class  wage  stagnation  job  creation  low  pay  low  income  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  self-employment  working  poor  precarious  work  Precariat  capitalism  western  world  COP21  carbon  tax  carbonfootprint  carbonemission  sharing  economy  Service  Sector  Jobs  recycling 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
An Alarm Goes Off Threatening The "Strong U.S. Jobs" Myth: Withheld Income Taxes Are Stalling | Zero Hedge
[#misrepresentation - FOI request to HMRC - job creation, ask for list of annual salary 2009 - till now - picture emerges of mostly low pay jobs. with more and more job qualifying for tax credits. ask also for numbers of tax credits during the "recovery" and also income based job seeker allowance, people just working 16hrs or less. - also housing benefit. / also the numbers and incomes for self-employed and their income development during the recovery, do they grow their income? or do they make ends meet? ] The best example of this is when looking at the growth of federal income and employment tax withholdings, the broadest and most timely read on the health of the job market, which as Jed Graham writes, "has been sinking at an alarming rate." While for most of 2015, tax withholdings rose at a rate of 5% or more from a year ago, on the back of job growth and gains in wages, commissions and other incentive pay, in recent months there has been a substantial dropoff in this key indicator.
FOI  UK  USA  recovery  Service  Sector  Jobs  economic  history  secular  stagnation  George  Osborne  wage  stagnation  low  pay  low  income  labour  market  precarious  work  Precariat  working  poor  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  income  growth  part-time  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  self-employment  HMRC  IRS  Freedom  of  Information  Act  austerity  David  Cameron  nasty  party  PR  spin  doctor  Positioning  misrepresentation 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Dispatches - Low Pay Britain - All 4
living wage starts from 21? 25? // retail big! high street big! - service sector. no manufacturing ... // IT IS CORPORATE SUBSIDY - PROGRAM FOR LOW PAY! // very far from Germay model! // tax payer pays for people in high street! // Ofsted found inadequate conditions! AND SMALL MINORITY GET ACTUALLY A FULL-TIME JOB! LOL LOL LOL! // Social Market Foundation (research) found lvl2 apprenticeship adds nothing to purse over a lifetime. // its DWP policy to get young people off the paper onto other paper largely, still funded, by the gov - still adding to budget deficit. // Ofsted concerned over apprenticeships "wasting public funds" // WHAT A TORY SPIN! // retail places have shot up, and construction plummeted! the latter is harder or put through training providers ( private companies, PRIVATISATION! ). employers are not in charge. to quote one employee of a training provider "meet targets, get money in" its about the # of apprenticeships, not the quality or economic need/industry. //
apprenticeships  exploitation  Workers  Union  Trade  Union  working  poor  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  precarious  work  Precariat  self-regulation  minimum  wage  living  wage  low  pay  low  income  welfare  state  social  safety  net  working  tax  credit  tax  credit  housing  benefit  Iain  Duncan  Smith  DWP  spin  doctor  Positioning  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  Service  Sector  Jobs  job  creation  youth  unemployment  policy  folly  policy  error  education  policy  PR  David  Cameron  George  Osborne  industrial  policy  STEM  Manufacturing  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomic  policy  recovery  GFC  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  corporate  scandal  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  budget  deficit  Fachkräftemangel  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  Ofsted  skills  gap  budget2015  free  market  Privatisation  dogma  ideology 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Full-time work is no bar to poverty in UK, report says | Society | The Guardian
Despite at least one adult working full time, millions of households cannot make ends meet, Joseph Rowntree Foundation reports [...] Millions of households struggle to make ends meet even though they include at least one adult in full-time work, according to a report by the Joseph Rowntree Foundation (JRF). Living standards have declined since 2008 despite the economy’s return to growth, the anti-poverty charity said, warning that families with children are at particular risk of a life in poverty. [...] The MIS is determined by asking members of the public to define what is needed to “live to an adequate level”. The threshold is £16,850 for a single person, £25,600 for a lone parent with one child and £36,060 for a single breadwinner with two children. [...] Approximately 11.6 million people in the UK live below the MIS, [...] An improving economy alone is not guaranteed to reverse this rise.” [...] [ no economic security in this recovery! ]
Service  Sector  Jobs  job  creation  precarious  work  Precariat  minimum  wage  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  UK  poverty  tax  credit  child  poverty  squeezed  middle  class  wage  stagnation  income  growth  low  pay  low  income  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  income  distribution  income  inequality  Gini  coefficient  income  mobility  downward  mobility  social  mobility  income  redistribution  tax  free  income  recovery  austerity  living  standard  quality  of  life  Perspective  Perspektivlosigkeit  deprivation  economic  security  GFC  secular  stagnation  economic  history  inequality  health  inequality  trickle-down  economics  dogma  ideology  neoliberalism  neoliberal  corporate  tax  rate  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  DWP  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Iain  Duncan  Smith  budget  deficit  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  USA  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  Bubble  child  care  social  safety  net  welfare  state 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
As growth falters, Osborne hopes Mark Carney can keep a lid on interest rates | Business | The Guardian
The chancellor faces lower GDP and lower tax receipts as a result. So it’s vital that consumers’ desire to keep spending isn’t hit by a nasty shock from the Bank [ // Confidence Fairy // ] The Bank of England has downgraded its forecasts for the UK’s GDP growth and the outlook for wages, most likely robbing the exchequer of vital income tax receipts. And without the funds to maintain pensions and health service spending, his critics will gleefully play back the speech from last November during which he declared that Britain was on the road to becoming “the most prosperous and secure of all the major nations of the world”. [...] Yet his words ring hollow when so many of the post-crash problems are still with us, from the burden of high private and public debts to Europe’s rapidly ageing population, which encourage saving over investment, and a reluctance from government and big business to boost capital spending.
George  Osborne  secular  stagnation  2016  2015  Mark  Carney  BOE  consumer  debt  household  debt  mortgage  market  subprime  credit  card  debt  zombie  consumer  UK  GDP  output  gap  productivity  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  recovery  economic  history  austerity  underinvestment  business  investment  public  investment  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Richard  Koo  Paul  Krugman  David  Cameron  nasty  party  Conservative  Tories  short-termism  credit  bubble  debtoverhang  debt  servitude  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  marginal  propensity  to  consume  Funding  1%  financial  repression  New  Normal  constituency  babyboomers  oligarchy  Gini  coefficient  income  distribution  income  inequality  plutocracy  Super  Rich  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  income  growth  low  pay  low  income  wage  growth  economic  growth  precarious  work  Precariat  tax  credit  tax  free  income  corporate  tax  rate  minimum  wage  budget2015  Food  Bank  foreign  direct  investment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  demographic  bubble  western  world  USA  European  Union  ageing  population  CapEx  Capital  Expenditure  zombie  corporations  zombie  banks 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
More Evidence Supporting the House of Debt | House of Debt
Many have argued that we overstate the importance of housing and household debt in explaining the Great Recession and weak recovery. They point to the banking crisis, policy uncertainty, or excessive regulation as equally or even more important. The data released today by the BEA show pretty clearly that the arguments we make in House of Debt remain relevant for thinking about economic weakness today. In our view, the explanation we provide is the most consistent with the striking difference in consumption across states. // From Comments: Without real median income rising you can’t grow in an economy based on debt expansion
secular  stagnation  consumer  debt  mortgage  market  household  debt  USA  UK  recovery  GFC  credit  card  debt  debt  servitude  debtoverhang  Richard  Koo  student  loan  debt  Super  Cycle  student  debt  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  private  debt  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  book  marginal  propensity  to  consume  consumerist  consumerism  zombie  consumer  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  negative  equity  job  creation  precarious  work  Precariat  low  pay  low  income  Service  Sector  Jobs  job-creation  squeezed  middle  class  Elizabeth  Warren  income  distribution  inequality  Gini  coefficient  income  mobility  social  mobility  American  Dream  post-racial  America  Joseph  Stiglitz  Thomas  Piketty  Paul  Krugman  part-time  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  income  growth  income  inequality  economic  history  Super  Rich  1%  austerity  oligarchy  plutocracy  fiscal  stimulus  budget  deficit  corporate  welfare  tax  avoidance  tax  evasion  corporate  tax  rate  subsidies  subsidizing  welfare  state  social  safety  net  western  world  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Chicago  School  credit  bubble  liquidity  trap  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Nasty Gal Layoffs Hit 10 Percent of Staff | Re/code
Online fashion retailer Nasty Gal has laid off 10 percent of its staff, as the purveyor of edgy women’s clothing cuts costs amid an uncertain financing and retail environment. CEO Sheree Waterson told the company in an email that the cuts were necessary as the “market in which we operate is changing, both in retail broadly and apparel specifically.” Nineteen employees across several departments were let go. Nasty Gal also laid off some staff in 2014. The layoffs underscore the difficulty mature e-commerce startups can encounter as they transition from being a hot new brand to the long slog of building a more traditional retail business. In short, building a retail brand is really hard and technology can only afford you so many shortcuts along the way. Online beauty brand BirchBox announced layoffs of 15 percent of its staff last week, as startups in e-commerce tighten belts as investors become more wary of unprofitable growth.
Nasty  Gal  Branding  Brand  e-commerce  Retail  pure  play  Amazon  brick  and  mortar  business  squeezed  middle  class  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  USA  consumption  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  student  loan  debt  student  loan  Bubble  low  pay  low  income  Precariat  precarious  work  eBay  zombie  consumer  Primark  status  symbol  status  anxiety  consumerist  consumerism  secular  stagnation  debt  servitude  retirement  pension  scheme  401k  fiscal  policy  austerity  monetary  policy  reflate  reflation  economic  history  recovery  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  emerging  middle  class  western  world  credit  BRIC  emerging  market  Frontier  Markets 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Will easyFoodstore be the next easyJet – or the next easyCruise? | Business | The Guardian
No Expensie Brands. Everything canned or else. No fresh produce. // Stelios Haji-Ioannou opens easyFoodstore with 25p offer. EasyJet founder takes on supermarkets with discount grocery store in north-west London // There can’t be many customers in this shop – or anywhere – who remember easyCinema, easy4Men, easyMoney, easyInternetCafe, easyMusic or easyCruise. But despite some of the nags that flopped at the first hurdle, the brand has endured, thanks largely to easyJet. The airline Haji-Ioannou founded – and in which he still has a 35% stake – paid him £77m in dividends last year and also provided the lion’s share of the £13.2m turnover easyGroup made by licensing use of its brand.
austerity  poverty  UK  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  precarious  work  Precariat  working  poor  low  income  squeezed  middle  class  low  pay  minimum  wage  recovery  Food  Bank  poverty  business  model  opportunity  Opportunism  Lidl  Aldi  e-commerce  Retail  brick  and  mortar  business  Primark  Fast  Fashion  Tesco 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Aberdeen and Edinburgh highlighted in city economies report - BBC News
No Scottish cities were in the top 10 for "low-wage, high-welfare" economies. The 2016 report - described as a "health check" for the 63 largest UK cities - focused on Chancellor George Osborne's vow to build a "higher wage, lower welfare" economy, as set out in the Summer Budget 2015. >> It argued that nearly a million new jobs had been created in cities since 2010 - but that the average salary had also dropped by £1,300 per resident. 'High-wage, low-welfare' << [...] The think tank said the two areas' ability to attract high-skilled jobs - in the oil and professional services industries for example - was the key to their success. It argued that cities with high wages had seen faster jobs growth, with employment rising by 10% since 2010, compared with 3% in low-wage cities. [...] [ Housing Crisis across the country thus ] increased housing benefit payments.
job  creation  recovery  Service  Sector  Jobs  UK  austerity  minimum  wage  living  wage  George  Osborne  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Manufacturing  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  low  pay  low  income  tax  credit  child  tax  credit  working  tax  credit  tax  free  income  progressive  tax  code  income  distribution  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  income  inequality  income  growth  wage  growth  secular  stagnation  globalization  globalisation  borderless  flat  world  economic  history  nasty  party  Tories  Conservative  trickle-down  economics  squeezed  middle  class  precarious  work  Precariat  wage  stagnation  income  redistribution  welfare  state  social  safety  net  David  Cameron  budget2015  budget2010  Public  Services  Services  added  value  value  creation  Housing  Crisis  affordable  social 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
This Is What Janet Yellen Thinks Is The "Worst-Case Scenario" For The U.S. | Zero Hedge
So, unfortunately, a Japan-style deflation remains a relevant worst-case scenario for us going forward. //&! What if Fed (Yellen) doesn't support any more the equity market? Just financial stability, banks (bail-in). No more blowing up credit bubble further. - http://bit.ly/1Oqb822
Janet  Yellen  Japan  secular  stagnation  deflationary  deflation  debtoverhang  debt  servitude  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  Precariat  precarious  work  Zero  Hour  Contract  part-time  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  economic  history  Abenomics  equity  bubble  bail-in  speculative  bubbles  distortion  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  credit  bubble 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
"Markets Crash When They're Oversold" | Zero Hedge
Technology Destroying Jobs + While the big driver of the decline in economic growth since the 1980’s has been a structural change from a manufacturing based economy (high multiplier effect) to a service based one (low multiplier effect), it has been exacerbated by the increase in household debt to offset the reduction in wage growth to maintain the standard of living. This is shown clearly in the chart below. [...] In fact, each job created in energy-related areas has had a “ripple effect” of creating 2.8 jobs elsewhere in the economy from piping to coatings, trucking and transportation, restaurants and retail. Simply put, lower oil and gasoline prices may have a bigger detraction on the economy than the “savings” provided to consumers.
Oil  price  shale  gas  fracking  job  creation  USA  2016  Service  Sector  Jobs  Manufacturing  globalization  globalisation  neoliberalism  neoliberal  borderless  flat  world  economic  history  UK  low  income  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  income  growth  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  consumer  debt  squeezed  middle  class  household  debt  property  bubble  working  poor  precarious  work  Precariat  job  security  job  market  jobcreation  job-creation  recovery  GFC  dogma  ideology  austerity  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  trade  agreement  TPP  TTIP  NAFTA  CETA  European  Union  sovereign  debt  crisis  credit  bubble  China  BRIC  structural  imbalance  global  imbalances  faultlines  2015  presidency  barackobama  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  George  Osborne  private  debt  debtoverhang  debt  servitude  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  liquidity  trap  Richard  Koo  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Börse: Warum Schwellenländer für die Kurskrise sorgen - Kolumne - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Chronisch überschüssige Leistungsbilanz [ & Over capacity for less/stagnant demand ... + biggest credit bubble (china) popped as the west can't afford more. QE and ZIRP has run it's way! ] [...] Der Grund, warum der deutsche Aktienindex weitaus mehr betroffen ist als andere europäische Indizes, liegt allein an der strukturellen Abhängigkeit der deutschen Industrie von Blasen in anderen Ländern. Anstatt auf bessere Stimmung zu hoffen, sind Anleger gut beraten, sich über den weiteren Verlauf der Schwellenländerkrise Gedanken zu machen. [...] [ Fed taper makes things more difficult to serve debt ] [...] Langfristig sind es die Gewinne und nicht die Zinsen, die die Aktienpreise treiben. //&! China (Asia/BRIC/Frontier Market) Corporate Bond Yields up - bit.ly/1Sme7fV & NPL probably too. //&! If property is biggest item of household wealth in a property bubble (UK, China, ... USA) - bit.ly/1Zpiy8M
trade  deficit  BRIC  credit  bubble  western  world  secular  stagnation  macroeconomic  policy  China  Japan  Germany  UK  USA  Brazil  commodity  prices  Oil  price  NPL  shadow  banking  shadow  economy  banking  crisis  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  QT  speculative  bubbles  property  bubble  mortgage  market  Fed  BOE  ECB  European  Union  sovereign  debt  crisis  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  private  debt  corporate  debt  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  austerity  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  Russia  OPEC  aggregate  demand  liquidity  trap  Richard  Koo  Richardkoo  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  debt  servitude  student  loan  debt  Super  Cycle  debt  bubble  student  debt  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  student  loan  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  squeezed  middle  class  precarious  work  Precariat  working  poor  neoliberalism  neoliberal  globalization  globalisation  borderless  flat  world  trade  agreement  Hegemony  TPP  TTIP  TISA  CETA  NAFTA  Africa  South  Africa  global  trade  trade  balance  current  account  deficit  Frontier  Markets  faultlines  structural  imbalance  global  imbalances  Taper  reflate  reflation  equity  bubble  Abenomics  economic  history  India  irrational  exuberance  Robert  Shiller  inequality  Gini  coefficient  deflationary 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Housing crisis hits 1960s levels as tenants battle to cope, says Shelter | Society | The Guardian
Shelter estimates that 250,000 homes a year, half of them “affordable”, need to be built in England if the crisis is to be addressed. However, latest figures show there were only 135,050 new homes over the past year, a rise of 17%, but still little more than half what is needed. [...] Figures released last week suggest that the number of tenants in serious arrears is rising. There were 84,200 tenants more than two months behind with their rent in the third quarter of 2015, the latest figures available, compared with 74,000 in the second quarter. Government statistics show that the use of bed and breakfast accommodation for homeless families with children is rising. Over the past five years, the number of households living in B&Bs has more than doubled, from 2,050 to 5,270. Meanwhile, the number of homeless households in temporary accommodation has risen by 26% over five years, from 51,350 in 2010 to 64,710 in 2015.
UK  Housing  Crisis  affordable  social  poverty  poverty  trap  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  precarious  work  Precariat  Zero  Hour  Contract  working  poor  low  income  minimum  wage  Gini  coefficient  austerity  David  Cameron  George  Osborne  underinvestment  unemployment  long-term  unemployment  youth  unemployment  structural  unemployment  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  working  tax  credit  tax  credit  child  tax  credit  tax  free  income  Privatisation  Council  inequality  income  inequality  post  code  lottery  health  inequality  commuting  social  safety  net  DWP  Iain  Duncan  Smith  bedroom  tax 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Robert Reich - Timeline Photos
What about all the ballyhoo about manufacturing jobs coming back to America? Well, some have. But they pay lousy wages. The average wages of production and non-supervisory employees in manufacturing are lower today than they were in 1985, when adjusted for inflation. [...] Bottom line: Most Americans have got zilch out of this recovery. In fact, they’re worse off now than they were in 2000. Meanwhile, the top 0.1 percent is doing fabulously well. More and more people are concluding the game is rigged -- which it is. No one should be surprised at the surge in populist anger on the left and the right.
USA  job  creation  recovery  industrial  policy  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  UK  western  society  western  world  secular  stagnation  squeezed  middle  class  Sozialer  Abstieg  income  growth  economic  growth  disposable  income  income  distribution  income  mobility  income  inequality  income  redistribution  social  mobility  Gini  coefficient  Super  Rich  1%  discretionary  spending  zombie  consumer  credit  card  debt  credit  card  car  loan  2015  GFC  reflate  reflation  globalization  globalisation  flat  world  borderless  competitive  competitiveness  competition  low  pay  low  income  labour  market  labour  economics  Service  Sector  Jobs  Niedriglohn  Niedriglohnsektor  precarious  work  Precariat  working  poor  Joseph  Stiglitz  Robert  Reich  poverty  child  poverty  food  poverty  poverty  trap  generationy  babyboomers  participation  rate  manual  labour  Millennials  retirement  mainstreet  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  capital  gains  tax  corporate  tax  rate  dogma  ideology  neoliberalism  neoliberal  republicans  democrats  public  awareness  public  perception  American  Dream  post-racial  America  economic  justice  fairness  bank  bailout  TBTF  too  big  to  jail  too  big  to  bail  Generationengerechtigkeit  budget  deficit  austerity  populism  corporate  corporate  r 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Matthew Hancock ripped apart on Tax Credits, welfare, etc. (05Oct15) - YouTube
- still worse off. [...] "we gotta make the savings." << morality - taking from the poor and letting tax evasion and avoidance go on. and other corporate welfare policies, that don't pay their taxes in the end.
child  tax  credit  working  tax  credit  tax  credit  budget2015  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Tories  austerity  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  Conservative  Party  neoliberalism  neoliberal  minimum  wage  living  wage  Labour  Party  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  constituency  working  poor  poverty  trap  child  poverty  precarious  work  low  income  Precariat  PR  reframing  framing  spin  doctor  welfare  state  social  safety  net  DWP  Iain  Duncan  Smith  NHS  Jeremy  Hunt  fiscal  policy  bank  bailout  justice  injustice  morality  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  tax  free  income  part-time  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  social  political  theory  income  distribution  Super  Rich  1%  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  inequality  Gini  coefficient  food  poverty  poverty  social  mobility  income  mobility  Education  Maintenance  Allowance  Student  Maintenance  Grant  Student  Loan  Bubble  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  income  growth  productivity  output  gap  recovery  reflate  reflation  monetary  policy  subsidies  subsidizing  democracy 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
More jobs paying below living wage - BBC News
'Prevalent' low pay The ONS figures show that the proportion of jobs paying below the living wage has grown. In 2014, young adults were most likely to be paid less than the living wage. Some 58% of jobs carried out by 18 to 24-year-olds outside of London and 48% of jobs in this age group in London were paid less than the living wage. In accommodation and food services in 2014, an estimated 65% of jobs paid less than the living wage in London and 70% in the rest of the UK. Northern Ireland had 29% of jobs paying below the living wage, the highest in the country. At the other end of the scale, 19% of jobs in the South East of England, London and Scotland paid below the living wage. [...] "These figures demonstrate that while the economy may be recovering as a whole, there is a real problem with ensuring everyone benefits, and low pay in still prevalent in Britain today."
Niedriglohnsektor  job  creation  job  market  Lohnzurückhaltung  lohndumping  low  income  Service  Sector  Jobs  working  poor  precarious  work  Precariat  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  self-employment  labour  market  labour  economics  recovery  UK  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  job  security  poverty  trap  child  poverty  food  poverty  poverty  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  income  distribution  income  inequality  income  redistribution  budget2015  child  tax  credit  tax  credit  working  tax  credit  tax  free  income  minimum  wage  living  wage  Education  Maintenance  Allowance  Student  Maintenance  Grant  Higher  Education  policy  post  code  lottery  vocational  professional  career  ladder  austerity  George  Osborne  2015  dogma  ideology  Tories  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Conservative  Party  PR  spin  doctor  reframing  framing  Positioning  David  Cameron  Iain  Duncan  Smith  DWP 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
The Billionaire Hypocrisy of Helping the Poor - YouTube
We're reminded every day of the kindness of the billionaire class - and the millions they spend on charity in American and around the world. But the fact is - Americans wouldn't need the charity - if they just had good-paying jobs.
trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  job  creation  labour  market  USA  Gini  coefficient  tax  code  corporate  tax  rate  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Wall  Street  globalization  globalisation  free  trade  Service  Sector  Jobs  conglomerate  competitiveness  competition  competitive  wage  stagnation  income  growth  Middle  Class  squeezed  Sozialer  Abstieg  income  distribution  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  inequality  American  Dream  NAFTA  TTIP  TPP  philanthropy  TISA  Super  Rich  1%  Niedriglohnsektor  job  security  social  mobility  income  mobility  economic  history  Union  Workers  Union  self-regulation  regulation  deregulation  regulators  lobbyist  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  lobby  Lobbying  income  inequality  welfare  state  social  safety  net  precarious  work  Precariat  working  poor  outsourcing  Manufacturing  China  Gesellschaft  society  Policy  Makers  Zero  Hour  Contract  part-time  underemployed  unemployment  long-term  unemployment  youth  unemployment  structural  unemployment  secular  stagnation  Niall  Ferguson 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Perhaps austerity didn't choke off UK recovery - BBC News
But, as I mentioned, the disclosure that we were a bit richer in the last parliament than we thought is not all fabulous news for the chancellor. He and his Treasury colleagues should probably be anxious that the faster growth did not translate into higher tax revenues. In case you need reminding, George Osborne singularly failed to hit the deficit reduction targets he set himself. But the explanation can no longer be that the economy flatlined, because that's not what happened. So if the higher-than-thought growth in the last parliament left the gap between government revenues and expenditures tens of billions of pounds greater than George Osborne hoped, it also suggests that his aspiration of eliminating the deficit in this parliament may prove equally elusive. //&! Despite strong employment growth, wage growth remained historically weak - the usual link between falling unemployment and rising wages seemed to have been broken. - bbc.in/1OEffcS
trickle-down  economics  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  self-employment  employment  working  poor  precarious  work  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  Niedriglohnsektor  George  Osborne  austerity  economic  history  recovery  budget  deficit  fiscal  policy  property  bubble  credit  bubble  mortgage  market  excess  reserves  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  Richard  Koo  academics  academia  IMF  Paul  Krugman  Gini  coefficient  inequality  underinvestment  Joseph  Stiglitz  private  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  credit  card  debt  servitude  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  income  growth  low  income  income  distribution  squeezed  middle  class  Sozialer  Abstieg  productivity  output  gap  Niall  Ferguson  secular  stagnation  underemployed  structural  unemployment  structural  imbalance  faultlines  Impediments  skills  gap 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Huge pension shortfall facing UK's young adults | Money | The Guardian
[ has to put away 10% of disposable income/earnings ?pre-tax?, put it in equities, and open the envelope only after 60-70 years. ] The average 35-year-old has to save £660,000 into a pension plan if they have any hope of matching the standard of living enjoyed by today’s pensioners – but have so far managed to put aside just £14,000.
retirement  savings  savings  rate  savings  glut  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  pension  pension  scheme  squeezed  middle  class  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  income  growth  income  gap  income  distribution  income  inequality  low  income  Sozialer  Abstieg  working  poor  Precariat  precarious  work  financial  literacy  zombie  consumer  consumerism  consumerist  materialism  status  anxiety  babyboomers  generationy  Millennials  status  symbol  consumption  consumer  debt  household  debt  private  debt  student  loan  debt  Bubble  stagnation  secular  stagnation  competitive  competition  competitiveness  globalization  globalisation  flat  world  borderless 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Homelessness figures: Nearly 100,000 children in England 'homeless' - BBC News
Nearly 100,000 children in England are living in temporary accommodation after being made homeless, new figures show. // &! More & more student start work after graduation in low pay jobs not requiring a diploma, due to current job market/job creation situation in UK! Not hitting 21k repayment threshold - bbc.in/1OU0K3H - OBR show fewer are likely to start paying than was expected when the policy was introduced, [...] freezing the loan repayment threshold - alongside other changes such as replacing maintenance grants for poorer students with loans - will significantly increase the cost of going to university. It says this risks undermining pledges by successive governments to improve social mobility, as well as raising uncertainty in students' minds over the terms of their borrowing. //&! Higher education cuts 'risk NI being left behind' - bbc.in/1gZMrgj //&! Doctors warn Tories not to cut free school meals (child poverty, food poverty) bbc.in/1LewQrn
UK  property  bubble  Supply  and  Demand  Demand  and  Supply  affordable  housing  social  housing  Gini  coefficient  Generationengerechtigkeit  generation  rent  poverty  trap  child  poverty  food  poverty  austerity  Policy  Makers  dogma  ideology  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Tories  Conservative  Party  housing  market  Crisis  housing  benefit  benefits  welfare  state  social  safety  net  bank  bailout  fairness  social  cohesion  minority  constituency  error  folly  babyboomers  social  tension  Toff  Establishment  Privileged  Entitlement  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  excess  reserves  mortgage  market  Buy-to-Let  Right  to  Buy  Buy  to  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  inequality  Funding  for  Lending  Scheme  macroprudential  macroeconomic  microeconomics  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  debtoverhang  household  debt  recovery  2015  consumer  debt  debt  servitude  private  debt  Payday  Loans  Student  Loan  Millennials  generationy  secular  stagnation  low  income  prevention  job  security  job  market  labour  market  Niedriglohnsektor  Service  Sector  Jobs  job  creation  income  mobility  social  mobility  downward  mobility  precarious  work  Precariat  working  poor  University  vocational  education  professional  education  Maintenance  Student  Maintenance  child  Allowanc 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
UK productivity lags behind rest of G7 - BBC News
"Since the economic downturn, productivity growth has slowed in most developed economies, but by more in the UK than the average." The Chancellor, George Osborne, pledged in July to take steps to encourage more long-term investment in infrastructure and by businesses to boost productivity. Howard Archer, chief UK economist at IHS Global Insight, said British productivity had been held back since the financial crisis by the creation of lots of low-skilled, low-paid jobs where productivity is limited. However, Institute of Directors chief economist James Sproule said that UK firms should focus on "agility" rather than productivity. "The economy of the future looks set to be dominated not by big companies, but by fast, agile, quick-moving and reactive ones," he said. "The firms that can respond to consumer demands most effectively and bring new products and services to market will reap the rewards."
UK  productivity  recovery  output  gap  western  world  secular  stagnation  deflationary  deflation  Niall  Ferguson  competitive  competitiveness  BRIC  education  policy  job  market  job  creation  Niedriglohnsektor  Service  Sector  Jobs  precarious  work  Precariat  working  poor  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  income  distribution  income  growth  low  income  Gini  coefficient  income  mobility  social  mobility  inequality  poverty  trap  austerity  business  confidence  business  investment  budget2015  differentiate  differentiation  vocational  education  professional  education  Future  of  Software  Is  Eating  The  marginal  cost  marginal  propensity  to  consume  trickle-down  economics  economics  of  abundance  underinvestment  infrastructure  investment  STEM  Research  R&D  labour  market  manual  labour  Tories  Conservative  Party  macroprudential  policy  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Brazil's downgrade | Authers' Note - YouTube
- 6 killer apps not yet properly installed. - // and still dependent on western world demand! aggregate demand via western consumer. // credit bubble and ZIRP/NIRP/QE has run its way largely // private sector could not pick up recovery. no appetite. same for SME SMB mittelstand. excess reserves not lend out because the horse has to drink by itself, can't make the drink. // especially when it has no means to served future credit interest payment coupons and principal repayment with no income growth! for decades. // inequality huts, middle class destoryed. - Career Politicans, Fear, polarisation, inequality, gini coefficient, zeit arbeit, leiharbeit, self-employment, working conditions, ...sozialer abstieg, squeezed middle class, ... insecurity, cloudy future, richard koo: austerity isn't helping!
Brazil  BRIC  Developing  World  China  credit  bubble  Latin  America  India  Russia  South  Africa  2015  Niall  Ferguson  NiallFerguson  recovery  GFC  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  distortion  emerging  middle  class  western  aggregate  demand  Supply  and  and  Supply  economic  history  Richard  Koo  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  theory  globalization  globalisation  hunt  for  yield  FOMO  frothy  correction  equity  bubble  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  property  bubble  asset  allocation  capital  allocation  hot-money  currency-war  currency  debasement  currency  war  Fed  BOE  BOJ  Abenomics  ECB  PBOC  banking  crisis  bank  bailout  austerity  UK  USA  Europe  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  policy  consolidation  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  income  growth  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  low  income  job  creation  labour  market  wage  growth  secular  stagnation  wage  stagnation  income  distribution  Super  Rich  1%  marginal  propensity  to  consume  consumer  debt  household  debt  business  investment  business  confidence  global  trade  global  economy  global  imbalances  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  underemployed  participation  rate  productivity  output  gap  macroeconomic  policy  policy  job  microeconomi 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
World Bank warns on US rate rise - BBC News
[ game of chicken ] [ can private sector carry forward the little bit of recovery/growth the western world got in a rising interest rate world, that will eat away spending bc of higher repayment rates amid little to no wage growth !!! ] [W]arned developing countries to brace themselves for possible financial turbulence when the US Federal Reserve starts to raise interest rates. It could come as early as Thursday when the Fed concludes a policy meeting. A new report from the World Bank says there will probably be a modest impact on developing countries. But it also warns there is some risk that it could be worse. The Bank says it is possible that there would be sufficient disruption to capital flows into developing countries to harm economic growth and financial stability. //&! bit.ly/1QhP6Of //&! youtu.be/G8lCqhCbrA4 //&! youtu.be/KH1UlvgXqTE = bond sell-off move in anticipation of Taper. //&! strength of dollar added already 25bps - youtu.be/zWrxFszwrsQ &! youtu.be/lpTkQqEQmE4
Taper  Fed  BOE  2015  BIS  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Richard  Koo  reflate  reflation  asset  bubble  hunt  for  yield  FOMO  frothy  World  Bank  distortion  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  capital  allocation  asset  allocation  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  monetary  policy  monetary  transmission  mechanism  liquidity  trap  monetary  theory  GFC  recovery  credit  bubble  China  BRIC  Brazil  India  South  Africa  Russia  Europe  UK  BOJ  Abenomics  liquidity  credit  squeeze  excess  reserves  PBOC  economic  history  creditcrunch  credit  crunch  ECB  commodity  prices  energy  price  Oil  price  OPEC  petrodollar  QT  FX  reserves  global  trade  New  Normal  secular  stagnation  faultlines  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  western  deflationary  deflation  austerity  fiscal  policy  monetary  stimulus  monetary  system  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  unconventional  monetary  policy  debtoverhang  refinancing  creditrating  creditrisk  deleveraging  private  debt  household  debt  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  income  growth  income  distribution  low  income  inequality  Gini  coefficient  squeezed  middle  class  downward  mobility  working  poor  precarious  work  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  self-employment  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  Sozialer  Abstieg  j 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
One Map Shows Just How Expensive College Can Be for Students Making Minimum Wage
[S]ubstantial evidence that lack of information plays a critical role in shaping the financial decisions people make. Consider how a vast majority of people who are currently defaulting on their student loans in the U.S. would be able to halt their financial suffering if they knew they could enroll in an income-based repayment plan that would shrink or eliminate their monthly payments. This map goes some way toward explaining why low-income students are less likely to enroll in college. If the idea that college is a risky investment is something thats gaining traction in well-to-do circles, then surely people who hail from less fortunate backgrounds are even more inclined to think the potential price is too high. // could be seen as balance sheet recession: rising cost of education - & on other side - unable 2 pay w job u can get (asset value). Education is mispriced in UK/USA in a new world going forward! >> youtu.be/_EDGTzOXa_g?t=1h46m5s
College  University  USA  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  NPL  un-college  minimum  wage  cost  of  living  income  growth  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  Millennials  generationy  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  babyboomers  living  standard  standard  of  living  living  wage  Generationengerechtigkeit  generation  rent  2015  income  mobility  social  mobility  downward  mobility  Gini  coefficient  income  distribution  1%  Super  Rich  income  inequality  low  income  income  redistribution  precarious  work  working  poor  job  security  job  creation  UK  education  policy  competition  globalisation  globalization  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Privatisation  borderless  flat  world  trickle-down  economics  economic  history  inequality  labour  market  Service  Sector  Jobs  Niedriglohnsektor  marginal  propensity  to  consume  Robert  Reich  Joseph  Stiglitz  Paul  Krugman  Thomas  Piketty  Elizabeth  Warren  Larry  Lessig  labour  economics  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  shared  economic  interest  secular  stagnation  stagnation  debt  servitude  Super  Cycle  debtoverhang  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  financial  literacy  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  social  contract  political  theory  vested  interest  interest  groups  generational  contract  lost  generation  lost  decade  personal  bankruptcy  poverty  trap  Mark  Blyth  dem 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Millennials Can't Afford Cars, and Are Fine With That - Bloomberg View
As somebody who wondered in a column last week whether people in developed countries were perhaps learning that they no longer needed as much stuff as they used to, and whether this might lead to big shifts in the global economy, I read on with great interest. [...] The changes in young adults' consumption habits have clearly been influenced by economic forces. But economic forces shape societal attitudes, too. I also don't see much sign that these economic forces are about to reverse. Both these things can be true: The median 25-to-34-year-old has less to spend, and is less interested in spending it on a car.
wage  growth  income  growth  squeezed  middle  class  economic  growth  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  economic  history  globalization  globalisation  western  world  developed  world  UK  USA  Europe  Millennials  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  inequality  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  marginal  propensity  to  consume  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  income  inequality  Super  Rich  1%  tax  code  capital  gains  tax  income  tax  Share  Economy  digital  academia  academics  microeconomic  policy  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  Bubble  wage  stagnation  secular  stagnation  household  debt  consumer  debt  private  debt  2015  recovery  Robert  Reich  Joseph  Stiglitz  Paul  Krugman  Thomas  Piketty  plutocracy  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  emerging  middle  class  affordable  housing  social  housing  cost  of  living  cost  of  ownership  closetphile  status  anxiety  status  symbol  Media  materialism  zombie  consumer  consumerist  consumerism  Workers  Union  precarious  work  working  poor  living  standard  standard  of  living  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  self-employment  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  competitive  competition  differentiate  differentiation  Mobile  Creatives  Future  of  Universal  Basic  Germany  babyboomers  generation  rent  Richard 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Vince Cable: ‘Historically, the coalition will be seen as a success’ – interview | Politics | The Guardian
[A] look at the post-crash global economy, is the first fruit of that freedom. After toeing the line for five years, he can go public with his criticisms of chancellor George Osborne’s handling of the economy. He warns that the emphasis on consumption rather than investment, the continuing reliance on house price inflation as the driver of growth, the decline in productivity and innovation mean fundamental problems are not being addressed. He is also the first minister to lift the lid on the coalition: we learn the Tories could be likable colleagues but “collectively appalling, with ugly tribal prejudices”; that Osborne and David Cameron were unable “to move Theresa May an inch”; that Osborne’s Treasury effectively controlled government, with a hands-off Cameron; and that, in Cable’s view, Nick Clegg and Danny Alexander were too accepting of the Treasury line. [...] [ Cameron the PR man, being in office for the sake of just being in Office ] &! bit.ly/1KROBLk
George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  social  contract  political  theory  austerity  Tories  Conservative  Party  Toff  Establishment  Privileged  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  Liberal  Democrats  UK  policy  folly  policy  error  budget2015  underinvestment  R&D  STEM  Research  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  public  investment  business  investment  productivity  output  gap  Richard  Koo  economic  history  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Gini  coefficient  child  poverty  poverty  trap  DWP  Iain  Duncan  Smith  income  mobility  social  mobility  inequality  London  bank  bailout  self-regulation  deregulation  investment  banking  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Opportunism  opportunist  short-term  corporate  tax  rate  income  tax  Super  Rich  1%  babyboomers  education  policy  tax  free  income  working  poor  precarious  work  Precariat  tax  credit  working  tax  credit  child  tax  credit  social  housing  affordable  housing  asset  bubble  property  bubble  equity  bubble  2015  generation  rent  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  household  debt  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  Niedriglohnsektor  self-employment  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  class  warfare  secular  stagnation  recovery  GFC  debt  social  sover 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
After the Crisis - Mark Blyth - YouTube
>> what if rise of the banks (deregulation, easy credit, global financial markets - arbitrage, and making money with money) fuelled the growth of the last ~25-30 years. // min 47 3 asset bubbles popped // USA - 40% of corporate profits came from 10% of corporate sector (banks) // 30% of MIT grads went to banks instead of real world engineering and manufacturing. // underwater private sector! via credit bubble: student loans (now 1trn and still rising in USA and UK, future disposable income/discretionary spending lower than babyboomers because of wage stagnation, no wage growth) credit cards, mortgages, heloc (home equity line of credit) --- all will have to focus on paying back debt. // 2015 - us student loans 1.25trn - bit.ly/1KJ29uc + auto loans << bubble to eventually pop when collateral is falling! ie stagnant wages for 10 more years. and more and more cant repay their student loans. // 1:12:00 Bubbles move on; dot.com, real estate (property) & commodities, China,
Mark  Blyth  austerity  GFC  recovery  banking  crisis  sovereign  debt  crisis  economic  history  PIIGSFB  bank  bailout  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  toobigtofail  too  big  to  jail  too  big  to  bail  TBTF  ECB  NPL  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  underwater  credit  bubble  trickle-down  economics  China  2015  2008  dot.com  western  world  secular  stagnation  debt  servitude  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  generationy  generation  rent  Millennials  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  marginal  propensity  to  consume  Super  Rich  squeezed  middle  class  Sozialer  Abstieg  self-employment  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  underemployed  precarious  work  working  poor  inequality  Gini  coefficient  post-capitalism  crony  capitalism  capitalism  manufactured  consent  Polarisation  Thomas  Piketty  developed  world  income  inequality  propaganda  populism  corporate  state  corporate  media  democracy  Career  Politicians  lobbyist  Lobbying  lobby  deregulation  self-regulation  Workers  Union  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  income  distribution  income  growth  income  mobility  low  income  income  redistribution  stagnation  consumer  debt  debtoverhang  Super  Cycle  debt  bubble  household  debt  private  debt  asset  bubble  reflate  reflation  asset  allocation  distortion  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  monetary  monetary 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Thom Hartmann "The Crash of 2016" - YouTube
7:10 American Dream not abt being Super Rich, part of 1%, self-made millionaire. American Dream is abt live a good life, meaningful work. Launch children into world. Edu. Vacation. & Left over 4 retirement. having a voice; Workers Union. Health Care. Some little savings. Retirement Fund. // Wages did not keep up with productivity gains, if they had, minimum wage would be about $22! - bit.ly/1NZLVwc // 1trn$ in student loans/debt! that is what post-war gen had in assets! // (neoliberalism and neoconservative) Think Tanks; like Kato Institute, produce papers that are pushed to media 'getting our message across' (control media), also control over our justice system, & control over our education (our story, ie X Prof and read Ayan Rand). // Middle Class once invested in college & university. Was seen as intellectual class, society pillar. Till the last 32 years. // cites Fourth Turning book! // re-peat of 1929, = GFC // &! youtu.be/nUWaXZWhnqA &! youtu.be/polYrI4Us84
American  Dream  inequality  democracy  meritocracy  meritocratic  USA  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  education  policy  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  globalization  globalisation  Robert  Reich  productivity  output  gap  working  poor  precarious  work  Precariat  outsourcing  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  part-time  squeezed  middle  class  Sozialer  Abstieg  skill-biased  technological  change  technological  progress  Robert  Skidelsky  Joseph  Stiglitz  wage  growth  crony  capitalism  Super  Rich  1%  lost  generation  lost  decade  GFC  recovery  western  world  developed  world  dot.com  reflate  reflation  credit  bubble  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  austerity  bank  bailout  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  standard  of  living  student  loan  babyboomers  student  debt  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  zombie  consumer  status  anxiety  trickle-down  economics  economic  history  labour  market  labour  economics  job  creation  job  security  job  market  capital  gains  tax  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  social  contract  Gesellschaft  Lügenpresse  election  campaign  promises  manufactured  consent  world  wage  change 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Number of workers on zero-hours contracts up by 19% | UK news | The Guardian
Office for National Statistics says number of people reporting that they work on contracts with no minimum hours has risen to 744,000 [...] “The effect of zero-hours contracts on market behaviour and outcomes is thus likely to be greater than their incidence might suggest.” He also said that more employers would stop offering full-time permanent contracts to avoid paying the steep rise in the national living wage for the over-25s that comes into force next April. “In an otherwise very lightly regulated UK labour market the forthcoming large hike in the minimum wage when the national living wage (NVL) is introduced next year might act as a further incentive to employers to increase their use of zero-hours contracts – which are already very prevalent in sectors where the NVL will bite hardest - in order to minimise the impact on total labour costs.” [ study shows ppl are worse of, much more worse off ] &! Zero-hours contracts offered to 'a quarter of all unemployed' - bit.ly/1Nn9yiT
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Global economic growth to slow, NIESR predicts - BBC News
'Domestic risk' While NIESR was generally upbeat about the UK economy, it believed that weak productivity would remain a challenge. Simon Kirby, an economist at the institute, said: "It's the major domestic risk." NIESR expects inflation to remain about zero until the end of the year due to low oil prices and the strong pound, but that it will return to the Bank of England's target of about 2% a year by 2017. The think-tank expects the Bank of England to finally raise interest rates in February next year. Economists polled by Reuters last month mostly expect the Bank to raise rates in the first quarter of 2016.
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august 2015 by asterisk2a
Yellen: There's Still Slack in Labor Markets - YouTube
>> signs that a debt fuelled recovery doesn't fix the long standing (since 90's 2000's post dot.com) underlying fundamentals of an economy. // low wage low productivity jobs especially part-time and minimum wage - doe not have an economic multiplier as a whole, they cost the economy or are at least net-net 0. // it is the same in UK. and signs show in Germany as well. // &! subprime was one of many predatory lending practices to financial illiterate ppl and exploitation of the underbanked/unbanked, and banks also choose to charge minorities higher interest rates - youtu.be/CbW9mH7p_8E + and add also practices of Payday Loans. Those things are a symptoms of the system at large. Resulting in the Poverty Trap.
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july 2015 by asterisk2a
The Coming Crash & The Recession That Never Ended - Part 1 - YouTube
Part 2 youtu.be/SpJ4L2QGNI4 [ min 2:00 post WW2 german debt jubilee - American & Britain needed Germany as bulwark against USSR! thus Germany had leverage because it was systemic. Greece is not systemic, nor needed. Thus they openly talk, relaxed, abt Grexit. Grexit was systemic risk in the first ~3 years post GFC, because of underfunded German, Frensh and Belgian zombie banks. 6:00 PIGS generation will be disillusioned about claims of European Union unity! 7:30 austerity ] // &! Part 3 - youtu.be/FWulzJy2oXc Bernie Sanders on inequality &! social mobility, skills gap, ... make-up of USA economy is a impediment to future growth (output gap, no more 3% annually) & also part-cause of inequality ... &! Part 4 youtu.be/8wzDwU1pzpY - China may tumble bc they dont have the internal & global demand for the infrasturcture/economy they have build (debtoverhang, debt servitude) &or social uprising &! USA overreach // Forget QE, Wall Street’s new drug is the stock buyback - on.mktw.net/1HDtdUR
Richard  Wolff  Taper  equity  bubble  China  irrational  exuberance  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  asset  bubble  hunt  for  yield  stock  buyback  fundamentals  economic  growth  recovery  UK  USA  balance  sheet  recession  Europe  Richard  Koo  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  labour  market  participation  rate  underemployed  structural  unemployment  structural  imbalance  Impediments  unemployment  youth  unemployment  long-term  unemployment  Gini  coefficient  income  growth  disposable  income  low  income  income  distribution  income  inequality  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  employment  self-employment  squeezed  middle  class  precarious  work  working  poor  social  mobility  income  mobility  Robert  Shiller  robertshiller  part-time  Contractor  Zero  Hour  Contract  uncertainty  Niedriglohnsektor  minimum  wage  Niedriglohn  Lohnzurückhaltung  lohndumping  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  deleveraging  debtoverhang  savings  rate  debt  servitude  Super  Cycle  behavioral  economics  behavioral  finance  skills  gap  education  policy  vocational  education  economic  history  economic  model  trickle-down  economics  discretionary  spending  dogma  ideology  austerity  neoliberal  neoliberalism  democracy  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  debt  monetisation  debt  stagnation  inequality  history  debt  debt  debt  m 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Joseph Stiglitz: It’s Time to Get Radical on Inequality - YouTube
Nobel laureate Stiglitz, author of The Price of Inequality and The Great Divide, studies the forces driving inequality and what is at stake if it continues. In his view, bad economic thinking deserves part of the blame — fanciful ideas like trickle-down and the notion that economists should try to increase the size of the economic pie and let the politicians worry about distribution. On the contrary, Stiglitz sees distribution as a problem economists must confront. He warns that an economic system that doesn’t raise standards of living for most Americans is a failure. [...] monopoly rent = too big to fail/tbtf (bailout) == cost to society/economic damage == where was antitrust!? monopolies are less productive & costly eventually in the long-term. rent exploitation through lobby! [...] this is bad for everyone, rising inequality, lower inequality is an econ multiplier // &! The Great Divide with Joseph Stiglitz and Robert Reich - youtu.be/e3aJxy9tA-w &! youtu.be/U-oEjFKCp00 NEET
inequality  income  inequality  gender  inequality  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  downward  mobility  income  mobility  working  tax  credit  child  tax  credit  tax  code  capital  gains  fairness  income  distribution  capital  gains  tax  earned  income  tax  tax  avoidance  tax  evasion  corporate  tax  rate  tax  free  income  tax  credit  welfare  state  Public  Services  Services  austerity  trickle-down  economics  economic  model  economic  history  book  Privileged  progressive  kalte  Progression  coldprogression  wealth  distribution  academia  academics  neoliberal  neoliberalism  liberal  economic  reform  precarious  work  working  poor  poverty  trap  child  poverty  well  being  education  policy  vocational  education  skills  gap  paternity  leave  maternity  leave  gender-based  discrimination  gender  equality  Women  in  Tech  STEM  added  value  value  creation  shared  economic  interest  economic  damage  microeconomic  policy  economic  growth  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  Thomas  Piketty  Joseph  Stiglitz  josephstiglitz  Gesellschaft  social  tension  social  cohesion  society  uncertainty  insecurity  Career  Politicians  savings  rate  job  creation  labour  market  labour  economics  Lohnzurückhaltung  Niedriglohn  Niedriglohnsektor  Service  Sector  Jobs  minimum  wage  living  wage  Contractor  Zero  Hour  Contract  Leiharbeit  Zeitarbeit  exploitation  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  crony  interest  interest  capitalis 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Davos 2015: Nouriel Roubini says Income Inequality Creates U.S. Plutocracy - YouTube
- shown hurting growth. US growth is dependent on consumer spending. stupid. hacking off the only leg one has is not smart. // established economic truth ! Paul Krugman: Inequality Actually Bad for Growth - youtu.be/cRMi8_M681U &! Paul Krugman & Tony Atkinson in Conversation | Inequality and Economic Growth - youtu.be/3l6E3mUNW70 &! &! What's Really Driving Income Inequality: Orszag - youtu.be/XJ_raBX7oq8 ( only added value jobs STEM - pays for work and shows wage growth, not so in service sector jobs. UK recovery showed it; lots of service sector job creation than any other type of job + Lohnzurueckhalting (no leverage to demand higher wage than just minimum wage or little above bc outside the door waits the one who will replace you) = no wage growth in the first couple of years of recovery and no productivity growth and persistent output gap (below potential) )
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july 2015 by asterisk2a
UK's inflation rate falls to 0% - BBC News
bit.ly/1IXuomp >> Carney: Current account deficit is a risk highlighted by FPC. UK is relying on the kindness of strangers to finance current account deficit. Household borrowing isn't driving the deficit Tighter fiscal policy is needed. Tighter macroeconomic policy is needed also. Deficit highlights importance of maintaining the attractiveness of the UK for foreign investment // &! bit.ly/1I07olT - BOE's Miles doesn't see secular stagnation in the UK [...] Carney - Health of the financial system is likely to boost productivity [really?] [...] McCafferty: Low income jobs have kept productivity low &! bit.ly/1JfaSxr - Bank is looking at the household sensitivity to rate rises [ mortgage bubble will prevent BOE to raise rates faster as demand stokes as more disposable income is spend on serving interest payments thus depressing GDP growth bc 70% of it is consumer spending ] &! bit.ly/1HtySg1
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july 2015 by asterisk2a
Can we ever really expect to see the growth of the past again? - Telegraph
>> what kind of jobs have been created since 2009? no high productivity/output jobs with marginal costs for each additional unit produced. those just fill in some gap. but do not add to above par economic output (blue ocean) // dot.com recovery was debt fuelled. GFC recovery was debt fuelled. // monetary policy might have saved the world momentarily, but fiscal policy did not put logs and pillars under the world, their respective economies - being prudent - looking long-term raising competitiveness with skilled workforce. things are now as a whole, as wobbily as they were 2009/10. Period.
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june 2015 by asterisk2a
Who Will Be Hurt Most When The Tech Bubble Bursts? Not VCs | TechCrunch
In a nutshell, FOMO is driving many investors in a hustle to be a part of the next Facebook or Twitter and put in huge investments for a fraction of stake. And, they don’t see much risk in it as long as they get the downside protection. [ growth round = rocket fuel splashed onto stuff to acquire more customers and market share (basically, but not always) ] [...] Someday, pretty soon, these will be put to the test, and valuations based on visibility of earnings will matter again. A few will succeed of course, but several others will fall – it remains to be seen how miserably. VCs will most likely walk away with their invested money, if not more. It’s the employees and founders who will see their million-dollar dreams crash and burn. [living beyond ur means & betting dollars you dont have on a time that seems further away than u can even guess (secular stagnation)] [lack of income growth (across the western world) thus disposable income (discretionary spending) is also not helping]
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may 2015 by asterisk2a
Headline Numbers: How do you measure inequality? - BBC News
Research from the Institute for Policy Studies found that in 2014, bonuses paid to Wall Street employees had been double the total annual pay earned by all Americans who worked full-time at the federal minimum wage. I crunched the numbers and it turned out that the same was true for the UK. [...] The Office for National Statistics (ONS) had figures out on Wednesday based on the definition that people were in poverty if their income was below 60% of the median level (to find the median income, line up all the people in the country in order of income and take the middle one). It found that almost a third of the UK population had experienced poverty in at least one of the years between 2010 and 2013, which is very high by European standards. The OECD sets out a summary of what has happened to examples of all three of these measures. Across its 34 member countries, the Gini Coefficient rose gradually from 1996, fell slightly for the financial crisis and then resumed its upward path.
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may 2015 by asterisk2a
Revealed: hitlist of welfare cuts facing Britain's next chancellor | Politics | The Guardian
No Representation; personal & corporate tax avoidance/evasion (criminal behaviour) & non-dom, as well as progressive tax code (just lowered last term to 45% for 150k.) Instead should be 50% as it was. As well as introducing a 55%/60% for 500k/1m. // &! UK living standards fell for all but the richest under coalition – analysis - bit.ly/1Rc2PZg // &! bit.ly/1JU55Cm "when it comes to cuts there is no longer any “low-hanging fruit”. What’s left are in large part harsh cuts hitting middle-income working families" [...] Cameron spoke this morning of a “one nation” Toryism but he will know his £12bn of cuts will disproportionately hit the poor, young sick and​ disabled. The cuts will deliver more pain, fear and instability to those they affect. [...] seriously dismantling the welfare state [Cameron and Tories] will know this carries a political cost. // &! bit.ly/1PwOhQg bit.ly/1GaA37k bit.ly/1Ij67FZ bit.ly/1FJecDL bit.ly/1IAKanv
austerity  Public  Services  Social  Services  maternity  pay  welfare  state  safety  net  UK  David  Cameron  Conservative  Party  budget  deficit  No  Representation  Gini  coefficient  mobility  income  mobility  squeezed  middle  class  tax  credit  working  poor  low  income  precarious  work  Precariat  Zero  Hour  Contract  contractor  Workers  Union  uncertainty  Proletariat  Toff  Establishment  Privileged  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  income  growth  living  wage  living  standard  standard  of  living  cost  of  living  minimum  wage  underemployed  self-employment  education  policy  vocational  education  working  class  Blue-collar  Worker  White-collar  Worker  knowledge  fiscal  policy  Disabled  poverty  in  old  age  child  poverty  food  poverty  poverty  gesellschaft  cohesion  tension  demagogue  demagogy  fear  opportunist  Opportunism  security  welfare  fairness  recovery  GFC  inequality  income  inequality  capital  gains  middle  class  society  culture  Spin  Doctor  solidarity  child  benefit 
may 2015 by asterisk2a
Macroeconomics Causes of Inequality - YouTube
"consumption drives much of the economy" // free up disposable income >> free child care, health care, limit exploitation of financial illiterate people (% interest on pay day loans, overdraft charges, dispo), public services, social services, pension contribution by state (preventing poverty at old age), tax credits for low income and children and carers, free education and vocational education/continual education - enabling to move up the ladder, // min11 - secular stagnation post GFC compared to previous recessions in terms of real household demand (balance sheet recession, debt overhang, deleveraging (debt repayment), and lack of new issuance of consumer credit I guess, too + rising income equality! lower redistribution from top to bottom (fair taxation) reduces recycling of income (freed up by policy items above) into demand. // min 18 - top 5% society (luxury, vanity, status) takes over bottom 80% society in aggregate terms of consumption. Economy driven by WHOM?! Affluent!
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may 2015 by asterisk2a
Larry Summers: I'm Concerned U.S. Growth Won't Pick Up - YouTube
Not enough investment in productive entities that create living wage & middle class jobs. // credit induced growth & exhaustion of easy growth (China) // Debt Fueled Growth ends rarely gently. (GFC) // western world >> too little internal demand, its deflation and inflation
secular  stagnation  output  gap  productivity  Western  World  lost  decade  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Wall  Street  precarious  work  Precariat  USA  UK  Europe  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  ROI  hunt  for  yield  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  lost  generation  living  wage  structural  imbalance  Impediments  globalisation  globalization  borderless  competitiveness  competitive  competition  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  Service  Sector  Jobs  Niedriglohnsektor  Services  Industry  economy  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  economic  history  Germany  middle  class  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  Werkvertrag  exploitation  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  deflationary  productive  investment  Food  Stamps  Aufstocker  ALG2  hartz-iv  austerity  Larry  Summers 
may 2015 by asterisk2a

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