asterisk2a + discretionary + student   53

Many graduates earn 'paltry returns' for their degree - BBC News
#shambles // between a fifth and a third of graduates take non-graduate jobs, and that any extra returns for having a degree "vary wildly". // got to uni or get fucked by life - aka Precariat poverty trap tl;dr // nothing in between not step ladder! nothing technical. also no assistance, was cut by Tories //
UK  University  College  degree  higher  education  policy  student  debt  loan  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  growth  Privatisation  Tony  Blair  meritocracy  meritocratic  social  mobility  Austerity  Productivity  Services  economy  output  gap  potential  Precariat  working  poor  poverty  trap  Brexit  JAM 
february 2018 by asterisk2a
Millennials spend three times more of income on housing than grandparents | Society | The Guardian
Millennials are spending three times more of their income on housing than their grandparents yet are often living in worse accommodation, says a study launched by former Conservative minister David Willetts that warns of a “housing catastrophe”. [....] They are four times as likely to rent privately than two generations ago, a sector which has the worst record for housing quality, the report claims.
Millennials  UK  housing  crisis  affordable  social  Generation  Rent  Generationengerechtigkeit  babyboomers  baby  boomers  disposable  discretionary  income  Spending  Generationy  GenY  oligopol  oligopoly  Corruption  lobby  vested  interest  bubble  underinvestment  Austerity  debt  revolving  door  asset  distortion  London  Productivity  output  gap  skills  student  loan  GFC  mortgage  risk  recovery  secular  stagnation  lost  lostdecade  decade  history  Margaret  Thatcher 
september 2017 by asterisk2a
UK student loan debt soars to more than £100bn | Money | The Guardian
Burnside said student debt was an additional drain on people’s resources for an “astonishingly long time”, sapping the purchasing power of the graduate population.

He said it was unclear what the longer-term implications of rising student debts in the UK would be, following the introduction of the £9,000-a-year tuition fees. “We don’t yet know how graduates will respond, how it will affect their attitudes to pensions, savings, buying a house.”
Millennials  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  UK  student  loan  debt  household 
june 2017 by asterisk2a
Universities announce fees above £9,000 limit
Universities in England are already announcing a tuition fee increase above the £9,000 limit before Parliament has even finished debating plans which would pave the way to raise fees.
University  tuition  fee  Conservative  Party  Tories  nasty  Justine  Greening  Nicky  Morgan  Michael  Gove  Theresa  May  David  Cameron  Nick  Clegg  Liberal  Democrats  UK  student  debt  Loan  Bubble  StudentLoans  student  student  loans  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  debt  servitude 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Behind the Bond-Stock Divide Is a Big and Risky Bet on Central Banks - WSJ
The idea is that if stocks are rising, bond yields should be climbing too. Here's how to reconcile it. The answer is central banks. If rates are going to stay lower for longer; if more rounds of quantitative easing are coming; if new ways of easing are coming -- the rates should be going down and stocks moving higher. [...] It's about dividends paying more than bonds. 90% of the bond market universe is near 2% or lower. //&! http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-12/germany-about-sell-zero-coupon-10-year-bonds-first-time-ever //&! http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-13/we-just-found-out-who-has-been-buying-all-these-record-low-yielding-bonds - When your nation's bonds are trading with a record low 28bps negative yield (10Y JGBs), everything else in the world (aside from Swiss 10Y) is a relative 'value'...
bond  bubble  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  equity  bubble  hunt  for  yield  central  banks  BIS  Fed  BOE  ECB  BOJ  PBOC  secular  stagnation  wage  growth  output  gap  productivity  gap  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  Precariat  inequality  Gini  coefficient  western  world  rising  middleclass  Asia  BRIC  income  distribution  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  crony  capitalism  capitalism  in  crisis  capitalism  neoliberal  neoliberalism  globalisation  global  economy  globalization  free  trade  dividends  underinvestment  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  student  debt  consumer  debt  car  loan  property  bubble  speculative  bubble  speculative  bubbles  distortion  asset  allocation  austerity  AI  Robotics  automation  augmented  intelligence  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  unemployment  long-term  unemployment  skills  gap  skill-biased  technological  change  skills  shortage  economic  history  Brexit  technological  history  underemployed  underemployment  part-time  deflation  deflationary  JGB 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Waiters And Bartenders Rise To Record, As Manufacturing Workers Drop Most Since 2009
On the surface, the March jobs reported was better than expected... except for manufacturing workers. As shown in the chart below, in the past month, a disturbing 29,000 manufacturing jobs were lost. This was the single biggest monthly drop in the series going back to December 2009. But not all is lost: as has been the case for virtually every month during the "recovery", virtually every laid off manufacturing worker could find a job as a waiter: in March, the workers in the "Food services and drinking places" category, aka waiters, bartenders and minimum wage line cooks, rose again to a new record high of 11,307,000 workers, an increase of 25K in the month, offsetting virtually all lost manufacturing jobs. This is how the two job series have looked since the start of 2015: 24k manufacturing jobs have been lost in the past 14 months compared to an increas of 365K food service workers.
UK  USA  job  creation  Manufacturing  industrial  policy  competitiveness  competitive  Service  Sector  Jobs  minimum  wage  low  pay  low  income  productivity  productivity  gap  recovery  economic  history  budget  deficit  income  tax  receipts  IRS  HMRC  trade  deficit  current  account  deficit  precarious  work  Precariat  squeezed  middle  class  job  loss  job  security  job  insecurity  working  poor  Contractor  Zero  Hour  Contract  Budget2016  George  Osborne  STEM  skills  gap  apprenticeships  2015  2016  China  BRIC  global  economy  global  trade  globalisation  globalization  outsourcing  self-employment  tax  free  income  tax  credit  social  safety  net  welfare  state  output  gap  participation  rate  babyboomers  western  world  secular  stagnation  Support  income  growth  wage  stagnation  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  student  debt  Generation  Rent  Generationengerechtigkeit  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  tax  amnesty  crony  capitalism  shareholder  capitalism  profit  maximisation  profit  maximization  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  multiplier-effect  austerity 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
George Osborne: A profile of the man behind the Budget - BBC Newsnight
// 70% of UK economy growth (GDP), 2015, was consumption. // and trade deficit/current account deficit for 2015, biggest ever on record ---- The UK's current account deficit widened to a record high in the final quarter of last year.
The deficit in the three months to December was £32.7bn, the equivalent of 7% of GDP, said the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
For all of 2015, it came to £96.2bn or 5.2% of GDP. Both figures were the highest since records began in 1948.
A current account deficit means the value of imports of goods, services and investment income exceeds exports.[...] "An obvious potential trigger for the markets losing confidence in the UK economy could be a vote to leave the EU in the 23 June referendum." [ harder to finance w weak Sterling and higher interest rates, rating agencies hinted at the case of a downgrade of UK's credit worthieness ] - bbc.in/1ZMEvAg
Budget2016  George  Osborne  Career  Politicians  austerity  economic  history  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  David  Cameron  Brexit  HS2  minimum  wage  living  wage  budget  deficit  trade  deficit  secular  stagnation  recovery  Toff  No  Representation  Privileged  Establishment  demographic  bubble  bank  bailout  Positioning  dogma  ideology  neoliberal  neoliberalism  spin  doctor  PR  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  wage  stagnation  squeezed  middle  class  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  Student  Loan  Generation  Rent  underinvestment  Richard  Koo  Japan  nominal  GDP  targeting  GDP  growth  of  income  shareholder  capitalism  crony  capitalism  current  account  deficit  GBP  Sterling  business  confidence  global  economy  fault  lines  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  BOE  Mark  Carney 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Budget 2016 shows Osborne's failure on debt, surplus, GDP
// higher in-work poverty
budget2015  budget2016  budget2010  general  election  2010  general  election  2015  PR  spin  doctor  economic  history  Positioning  Richard  Koo  austerity  underinvestment  dogma  ideology  policy  folly  policy  error  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  nasty  party  Iain  Duncan  Smith  corporate  tax  rate  corporate  welfare  corporate  subsidies  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Google  Inc.  shareholder  capitalism  bank  bailout  budget  deficit  Tories  Conservative  secular  stagnation  aggregate  demand  babyboomers  ageing  population  Northern  Powerhouse  triple-lock  pension  pension  obligation  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  Generation  Rent  property  bubble  Service  Sector  Jobs  job  creation  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  precarious  work  tax  credit  wage  stagnation  productivity  output  gap  Gini  coefficient  income  tax  receipts  tax  code  Zero  Hour  Contract  part-time  underemployment  underemployed  low  pay  low  income  BOE  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  election  campaign  promises  car  loan  student  debt  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  child  poverty  Food  poverty  tax  credit  Privatisation  Council  Public  Services  Social  Services  bed  blocking  education  policy  skills  gap  Academy  underinvestment  NHS 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
German Banks Told To Start Hoarding Cash | Zero Hedge
In order to generate artificial economic growth, the ECB wants banks to make as many loans as possible, no matter how stupid or idiotic. They believe that economic growth is simply a function of loans. The more money that’s loaned out, the more the economy will grow. This is the sort of theory that works really well in an economic textbook. But it doesn’t work so well in a history textbook. Cheap money encourages risky behavior. It gives banks an incentive to give ‘no money down’ loans to homeless people with no employment history. It creates bubbles (like the housing bubble from 10 years ago), and ultimately, financial panics (like the banking crisis from 8 years ago). Banks are supposed to be conservative, responsible managers of other people’s money. When central bank policies penalize that practice, bad things tend to happen.
Richard  Koo  aggregate  demand  austerity  fiscal  policy  Pact  Schuldenbremse  economic  history  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion  financial  repression  hunt  for  yield  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  Venture  Capital  Mutual  Fund  Private  Equity  reflate  reflation  recovery  GFC  debtoverhang  liquidity  trap  zombie  banks  deleveraging  Debt  Super  Cycle  secular  stagnation  consumer  wage  stagnation  squeezed  middle  class  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  marginal  propensity  to  consume  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  oligarchy  plutocracy  Super  Rich  1%  household  car  loan  credit  card  student  loan  student  loan  student  Bubble  generation  rent  OMT  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  working  poor  precarious  work  Precariat  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  Leiharbeit  Zeitarbeit  Agenda  2010  low  pay  low  income  TLTRO  LTRO  monetary  transmission  mechanism  velocity  of  money 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Central bankers on the defensive as weird policy becomes even weirder | Business | The Guardian
Growth is tepid, productivity is poor, and inflation is too low: all is not going according to policymakers’ masterplans [...] As far as the OECD is concerned, monetary policy is being forced to take too much of the strain. Its chief economist Catherine Mann made the point that lasting recovery required three things: stimulative monetary policy; activist fiscal policy; and structural reform. The OECD wants the second of these ingredients to be added to the recipe in the form of increased spending on public infrastructure, something it says would more than pay for itself at a time when governments can borrow so cheaply.
monetary  policy  G20  fiscal  policy  monetary  stimulus  monetary  system  monetary  transmission  mechanism  liquidity  trap  UK  western  world  USA  Japan  Abenomics  George  Osborne  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Pact  Schuldenbremse  economic  history  recovery  secular  stagnation  productivity  underinvestment  MarioDraghi  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  ECB  BOE  Fed  Taper  deflationary  deflation  nominal  GDP  targeting  inflation  targeting  zombie  banks  MervynKing  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  Richard  Koo  Gini  coefficient  inequality  squeezed  middle  class  wage  stagnation  discretionary  spending  distortion  property  bubble  disposable  income  productive  investment  austerity  business  confidence  foreign  direct  investment  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  student  loan  debt  student  loan  policy  folly  policy  error  short-termism  Career  Politicians  neoliberalism  neoliberal  trickle-down  economics  self-regulation  City  of  London  investment  banking  retail  banking  OECD  IMF  KennethRogoff  hot-money  hunt  for  yield  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  reflate  reflation  financial  repression  New  Normal  trust 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
UK consumes far less than a decade ago – 'peak stuff' or something else? | Business | The Guardian
From crops to energy and metals, average material consumption fell from 15 tonnes in 2001 to just over 10 tonnes in 2013 [...] UK households have also abandoned buying many resource-intensive goods common in the recent past – such as metal-heavy video recorders and hi-fi systems, vinyl records, CDs and books – as they shift to digital consumption. [...] The figures will spark fresh speculation that Britain and other developed economies have hit ‘peak stuff’, although some critics pour scorn on the quality of the ONS’s environmental accounts. In January, Ikea said the appetite of western consumers for home furnishings had reached its peak and consumption of many familiar goods was at its limit. Household spending on physical goods, including furnishings, clothing, cars and gadgets, decreased between 2002/03 and 2014, [...] Households now spend more on services than physical goods, he said. [...] [ saturation in some markets but we are not living in peak stuff ]
peak  stuff  secular  stagnation  demographic  bubble  zombie  consumer  materialism  status  anxiety  consumerist  consumer  choice  consumerism  sustainability  sustainable  resource  depletion  finite  resources  consumer  debt  marginal  propensity  to  consume  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  household  debt  car  loan  credit  card  debt  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  StudentLoans  savings  rate  retirement  poverty  in  old  age  poverty  squeezed  middle  class  wage  stagnation  job  creation  low  pay  low  income  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  self-employment  working  poor  precarious  work  Precariat  capitalism  western  world  COP21  carbon  tax  carbonfootprint  carbonemission  sharing  economy  Service  Sector  Jobs  recycling 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Brexit referendum could destabilise UK recovery, says IMF | Business | The Guardian
[ putting investment decisions and plans on hold! ] Christine Lagarde warns that uncertainty over outcome ‘will be bad in and of itself’ in months leading up to vote [...] But the IMF’s annual health check said “the relatively positive outlook is subject to risks and uncertainties”, including a global slowdown, sluggish productivity growth, a large trade deficit, still-high levels of household debt, and the forthcoming referendum on EU membership. It said any sign of weakness in growth should be met with higher spending by the Treasury. The UK authorities should explore “both revenue and expenditure measures, while protecting spending in priority areas, including healthcare, education, and infrastructure”. The report emphasised that “flexibility in the fiscal framework should be used to modify the pace of adjustment in the event of weaker demand growth”. [ moderates and politicians, wisely worded! no instructions. no direct criticism. ]
Brexit  austerity  household  debt  consumer  debt  property  bubble  credit  card  debt  car  loan  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  IMF  OECD  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  trade  deficit  UK  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  fiscal  policy  industrial  policy  labour  market  underinvestment  education  policy  NHS  child  poverty  Gini  coefficient  inequality  social  mobility  income  mobility  recovery  2016  general  election  2015  budget  deficit  election  campaign  promises  Manifesto  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  labour  economics  Zero  Hour  Contract  part-time  minimum  wage  tax  credit  Contractor  self-employment  low  pay  Precariat  working  poor  low  income  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  debt  servitude  monetary  policy  fiscal  stimulus  Pact  Schuldenbremse  general  election  2020 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Full-time work is no bar to poverty in UK, report says | Society | The Guardian
Despite at least one adult working full time, millions of households cannot make ends meet, Joseph Rowntree Foundation reports [...] Millions of households struggle to make ends meet even though they include at least one adult in full-time work, according to a report by the Joseph Rowntree Foundation (JRF). Living standards have declined since 2008 despite the economy’s return to growth, the anti-poverty charity said, warning that families with children are at particular risk of a life in poverty. [...] The MIS is determined by asking members of the public to define what is needed to “live to an adequate level”. The threshold is £16,850 for a single person, £25,600 for a lone parent with one child and £36,060 for a single breadwinner with two children. [...] Approximately 11.6 million people in the UK live below the MIS, [...] An improving economy alone is not guaranteed to reverse this rise.” [...] [ no economic security in this recovery! ]
Service  Sector  Jobs  job  creation  precarious  work  Precariat  minimum  wage  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  UK  poverty  tax  credit  child  poverty  squeezed  middle  class  wage  stagnation  income  growth  low  pay  low  income  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  income  distribution  income  inequality  Gini  coefficient  income  mobility  downward  mobility  social  mobility  income  redistribution  tax  free  income  recovery  austerity  living  standard  quality  of  life  Perspective  Perspektivlosigkeit  deprivation  economic  security  GFC  secular  stagnation  economic  history  inequality  health  inequality  trickle-down  economics  dogma  ideology  neoliberalism  neoliberal  corporate  tax  rate  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  DWP  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Iain  Duncan  Smith  budget  deficit  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  USA  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  Bubble  child  care  social  safety  net  welfare  state 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Beware the Minuses of Negative Interest Rates
Whether sub-zero interest rates actually work is open to debate, however. So says Richard Koo, the chief economist of the Nomura Research Institute. “In my view,” he writes, “the adoption of negative interest rates is an act of desperation born out of despair over the inability of quantitative easing and inflation targeting to produce the desired results.” The failure of the BOJ and the ECB to meet their inflation and growth goals is shared by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England. None of these central banks understand that their textbook solutions don’t fit the real economy, Koo asserts. [...] And on a more practical level, why corporations sit on record hoards of cash (taxes aside). [<< macro prudential policy ] //&! “When no one is borrowing money, monetary policy is largely useless.” [...] Keynes was right and (Milton) Freidman was wrong. - bit.ly/1Kl07Ri & There is no Confidence Fairy //&! fam.ag/1ogOOiM & bit.ly/1LpJL4W & bit.ly/1VgSjAB & bit.ly/214Icm3 & bit.ly/1Kl228n
secular  stagnation  emerging  middle  class  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  western  world  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion  liquidity  trap  New  Normal  financial  repression  GFC  economic  history  Richard  Koo  consumer  debt  squeezed  middle  class  household  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  student  loan  debt  student  loan  Super  Cycle  debt  servitude  mortgage  market  asset  bubble  speculative  bubbles  hunt  for  yield  hot-money  equity  bubble  bond  bubble  property  bubble  credit  bubble  BRIC  China  student  debt  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  Frontier  Markets  emerging  market  UK  USA  Europe  Japan  Abenomics  Niall  Ferguson  Paul  Krugman  Joseph  Stiglitz  Gini  coefficient  inequality  income  inequality  income  distribution  income  mobility  wage  stagnation  income  growth  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  underinvestment  austerity  productivity  output  gap  public  investment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  business  investment  STEM  R&D  competitiveness  Robert  Reich  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  debtoverhang  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  macroprudential  policy  miltonfriedman  JohnMaynardKeynes  keynes  Keynesianism  Fiscal  Pact  policy  monetary  policy  Schuldenbremse  unconventional  monetary  policy  QT  Taper  money  supply  money  ve 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
From Ticker - S&P: QE is driving inequality between the generations
Quantitative easing (QE) stabilized the economy but also exacerbated wealth disparity between rich and poor, mainly by boosting financial asset prices and house prices. //&! [ LOW PAY MINIMUM WAGE JOB CREATION ] During the U.K.’s recent “jobs-rich, pay-poor” economic recovery, strong employment gains were accompanied by a further rise of already high wage dispersion and an ever-growing share of part-time employment in lower income groups. //&! In the context of the tight housing market, low interest rates and QE are among the drivers behind the widening wealth and income gap between younger and older generations and between those on the housing ladder and those not on it. //&! Inequality is damaging! // bit.ly/1QtauyZ - Bank of England's recovery policies have increased inequality, finds S&P [...] spending too much on rent, not able to save for deposit! //&! bit.ly/1PPyEYl &! ti.me/1sbBtrz
QE  inequality  reflate  reflation  distortion  recovery  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  UK  USA  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  unconventional  monetary  policy  Fed  BOE  bank  bailout  zombie  banks  zombie  consumer  zombie  corporations  ZIRP  NIRP  TARP  TLTRO  LTRO  ECB  equity  bubble  asset  bubble  property  bubble  Housing  Crisis  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Help  to  Save  Right  to  Buy  income  inequality  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  budget  deficit  austerity  George  Osborne  income  distribution  poverty  trap  tax  credit  low  pay  low  income  squeezed  middle  class  Precariat  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  part-time  Tories  nasty  party  homeless  homelessness  social  affordable  Conservative  Toff  Privileged  Establishment  Funding  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  debt  servitude  economic  history 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
What's holding back the world economy? | Business | The Guardian
[ continued financialisation of economy / faustian pact ] QE and low interest rates have disproportionately created wealth in the financial sector and inflated asset bubbles. It has done little for the real economy. The rules of the market need to be rewritten [...] dominant policies during the post-crisis period – fiscal retrenchment and quantitative easing (QE) by major central banks – have offered little support to stimulate household consumption, investment, and growth. On the contrary, they have tended to make matters worse. In the US, quantitative easing did not boost consumption and investment partly because most of the additional liquidity returned to central banks’ coffers in the form of excess reserves. [...] private investment did not grow [...] [ QE supported only financial sector and zombie banks and corporations, little to nothing went into the real economy for investment in western world ] [ which leads us to say we are still in a banking crisis per se ]
Joseph  Stiglitz  secular  stagnation  reflate  reflation  austerity  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  TARP  TLTRO  LTRO  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  Richard  Koo  consumer  debt  household  debt  car  loan  credit  card  debt  Student  Bubble  loan  debt  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  squeezed  middle  class  Precariat  low  pay  low  income  wage  stagnation  income  growth  USA  UK  Europe  western  world  mortgage  market  NPL  debt  servitude  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  economic  history  policy  folly  policy  error  corporate  welfare  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Gini  coefficient  income  distribution  social  mobility  income  mobility  poverty  trap  inequality  recovery  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  distortion  financial  repression  speculative  bubbles  hunt  for  yield  asset  equity  VIX  volatility  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  monetary  policy  liquidity  trap  fiscal  policy  debtoverhang  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  consumer  confidence  business  confidence  business  investment  productivity  output  gap  aggregate  demand  income  redistribution  repo  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  system  financial  market  GFC  banking  crisis  retail  banking  investment  banking  hot-money  Frontier  Markets  emerging  market  BRIC  rent-seeking  rentier  carbon  tax  economic  damage 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
UK trade deficit widens further as exports suffer | Business | The Guardian
Nevertheless, the UK’s goods trade gap with the rest of the world widened by £1.9bn to a record high of £125bn in 2015. Howard Archer, chief UK economist at IHS Global Insight, said: “UK exports have clearly struggled in recent months, as they have been hampered by sterling’s overall strength in 2015, particularly against the euro, and moderate global demand. [...] Recent declines in the value of sterling are expected to support exports sales, though the deteriorating global situation could mitigate against an improved exchange rate. [...] “Nonetheless, any progress in reducing the trade deficit is likely to be extremely slow in the near term, leaving the recovery reliant on domestic demand.” [...] [ you can lower your corp tax, but if your country is shitty in business environment ie infrastructure and employee qualifications and immigration ... nobody wants to do business ]
UK  trade  deficit  current  account  deficit  budget  deficit  tax  reciepts  2015  2016  recovery  secular  stagnation  underinvestment  business  investment  austerity  economic  history  global  economy  emerging  market  Frontier  Markets  BRIC  foreign  direct  investment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  Richard  Koo  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  Student  Bubble  debt  servitude  discretionary  spending  government  spending  disposable  income  generation  rent  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  liquidity  trap  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  distortion  financial  repression  speculative  bubbles  hunt  for  yield  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  BOE  property  Housing  Crisis  George  Osborne  competitiveness  productivity  output  gap  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  corporate  tax  rate  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  immigration  migration  Super  Cycle 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
More Evidence Supporting the House of Debt | House of Debt
Many have argued that we overstate the importance of housing and household debt in explaining the Great Recession and weak recovery. They point to the banking crisis, policy uncertainty, or excessive regulation as equally or even more important. The data released today by the BEA show pretty clearly that the arguments we make in House of Debt remain relevant for thinking about economic weakness today. In our view, the explanation we provide is the most consistent with the striking difference in consumption across states. // From Comments: Without real median income rising you can’t grow in an economy based on debt expansion
secular  stagnation  consumer  debt  mortgage  market  household  debt  USA  UK  recovery  GFC  credit  card  debt  debt  servitude  debtoverhang  Richard  Koo  student  loan  debt  Super  Cycle  student  debt  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  private  debt  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  book  marginal  propensity  to  consume  consumerist  consumerism  zombie  consumer  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  negative  equity  job  creation  precarious  work  Precariat  low  pay  low  income  Service  Sector  Jobs  job-creation  squeezed  middle  class  Elizabeth  Warren  income  distribution  inequality  Gini  coefficient  income  mobility  social  mobility  American  Dream  post-racial  America  Joseph  Stiglitz  Thomas  Piketty  Paul  Krugman  part-time  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  income  growth  income  inequality  economic  history  Super  Rich  1%  austerity  oligarchy  plutocracy  fiscal  stimulus  budget  deficit  corporate  welfare  tax  avoidance  tax  evasion  corporate  tax  rate  subsidies  subsidizing  welfare  state  social  safety  net  western  world  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Chicago  School  credit  bubble  liquidity  trap  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Nasty Gal Layoffs Hit 10 Percent of Staff | Re/code
Online fashion retailer Nasty Gal has laid off 10 percent of its staff, as the purveyor of edgy women’s clothing cuts costs amid an uncertain financing and retail environment. CEO Sheree Waterson told the company in an email that the cuts were necessary as the “market in which we operate is changing, both in retail broadly and apparel specifically.” Nineteen employees across several departments were let go. Nasty Gal also laid off some staff in 2014. The layoffs underscore the difficulty mature e-commerce startups can encounter as they transition from being a hot new brand to the long slog of building a more traditional retail business. In short, building a retail brand is really hard and technology can only afford you so many shortcuts along the way. Online beauty brand BirchBox announced layoffs of 15 percent of its staff last week, as startups in e-commerce tighten belts as investors become more wary of unprofitable growth.
Nasty  Gal  Branding  Brand  e-commerce  Retail  pure  play  Amazon  brick  and  mortar  business  squeezed  middle  class  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  USA  consumption  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  student  loan  debt  student  loan  Bubble  low  pay  low  income  Precariat  precarious  work  eBay  zombie  consumer  Primark  status  symbol  status  anxiety  consumerist  consumerism  secular  stagnation  debt  servitude  retirement  pension  scheme  401k  fiscal  policy  austerity  monetary  policy  reflate  reflation  economic  history  recovery  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  emerging  middle  class  western  world  credit  BRIC  emerging  market  Frontier  Markets 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Amid market turmoil and confusion, there are four key economic trends shaping society
The UK economy currently gets nowhere near its target of 2%. Inflation would decrease the value of current debts, making them less of a burden. In a world without much inflation, it is hard to get wages up. The worse case scenario is that debt costs increase, as prices and wages stagnate. [ ignoring debt and income growth - stagnation at their peril - youtu.be/KIaXVntqlUE - gov is no household budget, Steve Keen + Richard Koo ] [...] And in this age of austerity, these factors will work against governments seeking to reduce the welfare bill. Recent data shows that, in UK cities, growing numbers of low paid jobs have led to rising claims for welfare such as housing benefits, defeating the government’s aims to reduce spending.
economic  history  secular  stagnation  inflation  targeting  nominal  GDP  targeting  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  inflation  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  squeezed  middle  class  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  low  pay  low  income  minimum  wage  UK  Mark  Carney  austerity  tax  credit  housing  benefit  working  tax  credit  debt  servitude  Super  Cycle  Richard  Koo  liquidity  trap  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  stimulus  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  western  world  GDP  wage  inflation  income  growth  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  income  distribution  Gini  coefficient  Super  Rich  1%  inequality  income  inequality  income  redistribution  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  monetary  system  monetary  theory  student  debt  student  loan  debt  student  loan  Bubble  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  zombie  banks  monetary  velocity  Niall  Ferguson  NPL  junk  bond  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Taper  China  credit  BRIC  output  gap  productivity  industrial  policy  public  investment  productive  investment  business  investment  infrastructure  investment  property  financial  repression  speculative  bubbles  asset  allocation  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  money  supply  faultlines  global  imbalances  recovery  working  poor  Precariat 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
James Galbraith, Kate Pickett, Branko Milanovic - Consequences of Inequality and Wealth Distribution - YouTube
free education / land value tax / higher inheritance tax / abolition of private education / more progressive taxation / combat tax avoidance and tax evasion / ... Universal Basic Income //&! New Theoretical Perspectives on the Distribution of Income and Wealth Among Individuals - youtu.be/RO8KWTb2iPM - w Joseph Stiglitz and Paul Krugman --- distinguishing between wealth and capital. ignore land (free yourself from Ricardo). land. credit. //&! David Cay Johnston: The Perils Of Our Growing Inequality - David Cay Johnston about his new book, Divided: The Perils of Our Growing Inequality. - youtu.be/ok7ZJ8mS19Y
inequality  income  inequality  Gini  coefficient  education  policy  income  distribution  income  redistribution  tax  free  income  income  mobility  social  mobility  health  inequality  gender  inequality  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  welfare  state  social  safety  net  progressive  tax  code  Super  Rich  1%  oligarchy  plutocracy  social  democracy  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  democracy  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Universal  Basic  inheritance  tax  financial  literacy  wealth  distribution  wealth-distribution  transferring-wealth  Thomas  Piketty  Joseph  Stiglitz  Robert  Reich  squeezed  middle  class  globalization  globalisation  Paul  Krugman  Elizabeth  Warren  austerity  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  fiscal  policy  economic  growth  Supply  and  Demand  Demand  and  Supply  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  credit  bubble  GFC  recovery  monetary  policy  debt  servitude  consumer  debt  household  debt  Student  Loan  debt  debt  credit  card  debt  credit  card  economic  history  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  competitiveness  productivity  knowledge  worker  book  monopoly  oligopoly  oligopol  American  Dream  meritocracy  meritocratic  post-racial  America  free  market  freemarkets  dogma  ideology 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
The Great Unraveling Looms - Blame The 'Austrians'? | Zero Hedge
Well, well: who would have believed it. First the Bank for International Settlements comes out with a paper that links credit booms to the boom-bust business cycle, then Britain's Adam Smith Institute publishes a paper by Anthony Evans that recommends the Bank of England should ditch its powers over monetary policy and move towards free banking. [...] The BIS paper will be the more influential of the two in policy circles, and this is not the first time the BIS has questioned the macroeconomic assumptions behind the actions of the major central banks. [...] Targeting nominal GDP is not a perfect answer.
credit  bubble  economic  history  BIS  GFC  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  distortion  squeezed  middle  class  secular  stagnation  working  poor  credit  card  debt  household  debt  property  bubble  consumer  debt  monetary  policy  liquidity  trap  monetary  stimulus  monetary  theory  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  system  China  USA  subprime  car  loan  debt  servitude  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  Student  debt  Super  Cycle  debtoverhang  sovereign  debt  crisis  debt  bubble  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  Fed  ECB  BOE  Japan  BOJ  Abenomics  nominal  GDP  targeting  inflation  targeting  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  income  distribution  income  inequality  low  income  income  redistribution  inequality  Gini  coefficient  Super  Rich  1%  plutocracy  oligarchy  group  think  think  tank  vested  interest  interest  groups  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  revolving  door  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  social  democracy  democracy 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Sean Bean’s battle cry: ‘I despair at the state of further education’ | Education | The Guardian
fight to save colleges from threat of funding cuts //&! The Tories’ assault on further education will cost Britain dearly. Colleges have been battered by cuts already – another round could destroy them. It is time we made David Cameron talk about it - http://bit.ly/1QeZ46n
education  policy  social  mobility  income  mobility  social  safety  net  welfare  state  austerity  post  code  lottery  inequality  UK  George  Osborne  Generationengerechtigkeit  Tories  nasty  party  Conservative  David  Cameron  constituency  babyboomers  budget2015  short-termism  budget  deficit  dogma  ideology  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  social  democracy  democracy  fairness  generation  rent  student  loan  debt  student  loan  Bubble  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  student  debt  debt  servitude  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  household  debt 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
"Markets Crash When They're Oversold" | Zero Hedge
Technology Destroying Jobs + While the big driver of the decline in economic growth since the 1980’s has been a structural change from a manufacturing based economy (high multiplier effect) to a service based one (low multiplier effect), it has been exacerbated by the increase in household debt to offset the reduction in wage growth to maintain the standard of living. This is shown clearly in the chart below. [...] In fact, each job created in energy-related areas has had a “ripple effect” of creating 2.8 jobs elsewhere in the economy from piping to coatings, trucking and transportation, restaurants and retail. Simply put, lower oil and gasoline prices may have a bigger detraction on the economy than the “savings” provided to consumers.
Oil  price  shale  gas  fracking  job  creation  USA  2016  Service  Sector  Jobs  Manufacturing  globalization  globalisation  neoliberalism  neoliberal  borderless  flat  world  economic  history  UK  low  income  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  income  growth  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  consumer  debt  squeezed  middle  class  household  debt  property  bubble  working  poor  precarious  work  Precariat  job  security  job  market  jobcreation  job-creation  recovery  GFC  dogma  ideology  austerity  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  trade  agreement  TPP  TTIP  NAFTA  CETA  European  Union  sovereign  debt  crisis  credit  bubble  China  BRIC  structural  imbalance  global  imbalances  faultlines  2015  presidency  barackobama  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  George  Osborne  private  debt  debtoverhang  debt  servitude  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  liquidity  trap  Richard  Koo  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Börse: Warum Schwellenländer für die Kurskrise sorgen - Kolumne - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Chronisch überschüssige Leistungsbilanz [ & Over capacity for less/stagnant demand ... + biggest credit bubble (china) popped as the west can't afford more. QE and ZIRP has run it's way! ] [...] Der Grund, warum der deutsche Aktienindex weitaus mehr betroffen ist als andere europäische Indizes, liegt allein an der strukturellen Abhängigkeit der deutschen Industrie von Blasen in anderen Ländern. Anstatt auf bessere Stimmung zu hoffen, sind Anleger gut beraten, sich über den weiteren Verlauf der Schwellenländerkrise Gedanken zu machen. [...] [ Fed taper makes things more difficult to serve debt ] [...] Langfristig sind es die Gewinne und nicht die Zinsen, die die Aktienpreise treiben. //&! China (Asia/BRIC/Frontier Market) Corporate Bond Yields up - bit.ly/1Sme7fV & NPL probably too. //&! If property is biggest item of household wealth in a property bubble (UK, China, ... USA) - bit.ly/1Zpiy8M
trade  deficit  BRIC  credit  bubble  western  world  secular  stagnation  macroeconomic  policy  China  Japan  Germany  UK  USA  Brazil  commodity  prices  Oil  price  NPL  shadow  banking  shadow  economy  banking  crisis  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  QT  speculative  bubbles  property  bubble  mortgage  market  Fed  BOE  ECB  European  Union  sovereign  debt  crisis  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  private  debt  corporate  debt  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  austerity  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  Russia  OPEC  aggregate  demand  liquidity  trap  Richard  Koo  Richardkoo  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  debt  servitude  student  loan  debt  Super  Cycle  debt  bubble  student  debt  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  student  loan  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  squeezed  middle  class  precarious  work  Precariat  working  poor  neoliberalism  neoliberal  globalization  globalisation  borderless  flat  world  trade  agreement  Hegemony  TPP  TTIP  TISA  CETA  NAFTA  Africa  South  Africa  global  trade  trade  balance  current  account  deficit  Frontier  Markets  faultlines  structural  imbalance  global  imbalances  Taper  reflate  reflation  equity  bubble  Abenomics  economic  history  India  irrational  exuberance  Robert  Shiller  inequality  Gini  coefficient  deflationary 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Plan to end student grants without Commons vote outrages opposition | Politics | The Guardian
[ shifting public debt onto private debt balance sheet. = no vision! debt is still there in economy! paying higher interest rates. -- vs -- bankers gambling debt put on public balance sheet! ] Ministers have been accused of an “outrageous” attempt to sneak through their proposals to end student grants in England without proper scrutiny by MPs. The plan to scrap maintenance grants, which help half a million of the poorest students pay for university life, will go through a legislation committee on Thursday, without a vote and debate on the floor of the House of Commons. [...] Labour is opposing the change and the lack of scrutiny. Gordon Marsden, the shadow universities minister, said it was “not simply technical tinkering but a major change by the government that will deprive around half a million of England’s students from lower income and disadvantaged households, of maintenance grant funding”. // &! NHS nurse bursaries - ind.pn/1IYHYbk &! bit.ly/1IWZJI0 &! bbc.in/1RAhLRv
social  mobility  income  mobility  Gini  coefficient  household  debt  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  student  loan  debt  student  loan  Bubble  poverty  trap  poverty  child  poverty  tax  credit  education  policy  post  code  lottery  affordable  housing  social  housing  University  College  Maintenance  Allowance  Maintenance  Grant  NHS  Bursaries  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  democracy  social  democracy  bank  bailout  austerity  GFC  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  NHS  budget2015  nasty  party  Tories  Conservative  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Manifesto  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  babyboomers  Super  Cycle  2016  debt  servitude  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  debtoverhang  student  debt  fiscal  policy  economic  history  moral  beliefs  ethics  Toff  Privileged  Establishment  inequality  Super  Rich  1%  plutocracy  oligarchy  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  Precariat  Crisis  cost  of  living  low  income 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Student nurses and midwives protest over grants cut - BBC News
Student nurses and midwives have marched in protest at the government's decision to scrap their bursaries in England and replace them with loans. [...] The Royal College of Nursing said fear of debt would put people off training. // shifted another budget item off the publics balance sheet onto private balance sheet. //&! Spending Review: Grants for student nurses are being scrapped - bbc.in/1jk5kLW //&! NHS nursing levels: Nine in 10 hospitals missing targets - The vast majority of hospitals in England are struggling to recruit enough nurses, figures show. Some 92% of the 225 acute hospital trusts in England did not manage to run wards with their planned number of nurses during the day in August. The figures, published by the NHS, show that hospitals in England are falling short of their own targets for levels of safe staffing. - bbc.in/1Pfuzuq
budget2015  PR  Positioning  spin  doctor  George  Osborne  Jeremy  Hunt  austerity  NHS  staff  shortage  staff  morale  locum  staff  tories  nasty  party  Conservative  David  Cameron  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  constituency  babyboomers  Generationengerechtigkeit  education  policy  social  mobility  income  mobility  Gini  coefficient  student  loan  debt  student  loan  Bubble  Maintenance  Allowance  Maintenance  Grant  poverty  trap  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  debt  servitude  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  debtoverhang  student  debt  Super  Cycle  household  debt  private  debt  UK  output  gap  recovery  2015  2016  sovereign  debt  crisis  Privatisation 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Will scrapping nurse bursaries help or worsen NHS staffing crisis? | Healthcare Professionals Network | The Guardian
[ moving another item off the books/balance sheet onto others, in this case, the private purse. and when tories came to power together with lib dems - they did cut part of funding for places ] Plans to axe bursaries and replace them with loans have been condemned by unions, but universities say they will lead to more training places for nurses, midwives and allied health professionals [...] Unions fear a loan system will be an obstacle to people from poorer backgrounds and career changers. Midwifery in particular attracts a large number of mature students over 29 – many of whom bring with them vital existing experience of childbirth – but are already saddled with debt from a first degree. //&! bit.ly/1HNLIMj
NHS  budget  deficit  budget2015  student  debt  student  loan  debt  household  debt  education  policy  private  debt  consumer  debt  Bubble  Maintenance  Grant  Maintenance  Allowance  student  loan  UK  Gini  coefficient  income  mobility  social  mobility  inequality  debt  servitude  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  staff  shortage  locum  staff  ageing  population  demographic  nasty  party  Tories  Conservative  Toff  Privileged  Establishment  class  warfare  austerity  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  constituency  babyboomers  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  bank  bailout  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  corporate  welfare 
december 2015 by asterisk2a
The roof is being fixed but beware the house crashing beneath it | Business | The Guardian
Consumer spending is driving economic growth but household debt and the house price-income ratio is at a record high. Be afraid [...] It is worth recalling that when Osborne became chancellor five and a half years ago that he had two big objectives. The first was to repair the hole in the public finances, which is still very much a work in progress. The other was to shift the centre of gravity of the economy back towards making things for export. This remains a pipedream. [...] Despite the welcome pickup in business investment, the main driver of growth has been consumer spending, which has been boosted by low interest rates, the fall in inflation caused by lower oil prices, and a modest acceleration in earnings. [...] “not the ideal shape for the recovery” and it can say that again. The current recovery looks like all the previous recoveries. [...] “Fast-rising household debt is needed to maintain a reasonable rate of growth in consumers’ spending and GDP in a world of austerity ...
household  debt  consumer  debt  zombie  consumer  recovery  credit  card  debt  credit  card  materialism  status  anxiety  USA  UK  Super  Cycle  debtoverhang  mortgage  market  Housing  Crisis  debt  servitude  NPL  property  bubble  speculative  bubbles  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  BOE  Buy-to-Let  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Right  to  Buy  student  loan  debt  debt  bubble  student  debt  private  debt  economic  growth  GFC  fiscal  policy  austerity  industrial  policy  underinvestment  productive  investment  competitive  competitiveness  George  Osborne  dogma  ideology  neoliberalism  neoliberal  David  Cameron  Tories  nasty  party  Conservative  economic  history  energy  policy  energy  price  STEM  Manufacturing  diversity  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomic  policy  Amber  Rudd  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  secular  stagnation  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  consumerist  consumerism  trickle-down  economics  status  symbol  market  affordable  social  budget2015  marginal  propensity  to  consume  Precariat  tax  credit 
december 2015 by asterisk2a
Profit mean reversion and recession | Credit Writedowns
We are now in the seventh year of a cyclical recovery and bull market. Shares have tripled in that time frame. I would say this means we are much closer to the end of the business cycle than the beginning. Moreover, as Jeremy Grantham is quoted in the Business Insider piece, profits are mean-reverting and right now they are reverting from a phase that is “wildly optimistic” according to Warren Buffett. All of this is taking place against the backdrop of an economy in which wage growth is weak, household debt is still relatively high on a historic basis as a percentage of income and we have no policy room on the monetary side, with limited political appetite for policy on the fiscal side. To me, the pre-conditions for this profits recession speak to downside risk, ....
recovery  business  cycle  financial  cycle  private  debt  household  debt  consumer  debt  Student  Loan  Bubble  car  credit  card  debt  deleveraging  Richard  Koo  debtoverhang  austerity  fiscal  policy  economic  history  monetary  policy  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  western  world  secular  stagnation  Niall  Ferguson  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  income  distribution  Gini  coefficient  inequality  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Wall  Street  bank  bailout  budget  deficit  UK  USA  Schuldenbremse  Pact  sovereign  debt  crisis  Positioning  mainstreet.org  Germany  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  income  growth  low  income  crony  capitalism  reflate  reflation  Career  Politicians  constituency  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  Niedriglohnsektor  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  corporate  welfare  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  income  inequality  social  mobility  social  contract  political  theory  income  mobility  Standard  American  Diet  equity  credit  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  BRIC  BOE  Fed  Fed  mandate  BOJ  PBOC  distortion  2015  ECB  Super  debt  servitude  zombie  consumer  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  junk  bond  Taper  QT  irrational  exuberance  asset  allocation  capital  allocation  speculative  bubbles  commodity  prices  Oil  price  inflation  expe 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Matthew Hancock ripped apart on Tax Credits, welfare, etc. (05Oct15) - YouTube
- still worse off. [...] "we gotta make the savings." << morality - taking from the poor and letting tax evasion and avoidance go on. and other corporate welfare policies, that don't pay their taxes in the end.
child  tax  credit  working  tax  credit  tax  credit  budget2015  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Tories  austerity  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  Conservative  Party  neoliberalism  neoliberal  minimum  wage  living  wage  Labour  Party  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  constituency  working  poor  poverty  trap  child  poverty  precarious  work  low  income  Precariat  PR  reframing  framing  spin  doctor  welfare  state  social  safety  net  DWP  Iain  Duncan  Smith  NHS  Jeremy  Hunt  fiscal  policy  bank  bailout  justice  injustice  morality  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  tax  free  income  part-time  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  social  political  theory  income  distribution  Super  Rich  1%  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  inequality  Gini  coefficient  food  poverty  poverty  social  mobility  income  mobility  Education  Maintenance  Allowance  Student  Maintenance  Grant  Student  Loan  Bubble  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  income  growth  productivity  output  gap  recovery  reflate  reflation  monetary  policy  subsidies  subsidizing  democracy 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
More jobs paying below living wage - BBC News
'Prevalent' low pay The ONS figures show that the proportion of jobs paying below the living wage has grown. In 2014, young adults were most likely to be paid less than the living wage. Some 58% of jobs carried out by 18 to 24-year-olds outside of London and 48% of jobs in this age group in London were paid less than the living wage. In accommodation and food services in 2014, an estimated 65% of jobs paid less than the living wage in London and 70% in the rest of the UK. Northern Ireland had 29% of jobs paying below the living wage, the highest in the country. At the other end of the scale, 19% of jobs in the South East of England, London and Scotland paid below the living wage. [...] "These figures demonstrate that while the economy may be recovering as a whole, there is a real problem with ensuring everyone benefits, and low pay in still prevalent in Britain today."
Niedriglohnsektor  job  creation  job  market  Lohnzurückhaltung  lohndumping  low  income  Service  Sector  Jobs  working  poor  precarious  work  Precariat  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  self-employment  labour  market  labour  economics  recovery  UK  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  job  security  poverty  trap  child  poverty  food  poverty  poverty  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  income  distribution  income  inequality  income  redistribution  budget2015  child  tax  credit  tax  credit  working  tax  credit  tax  free  income  minimum  wage  living  wage  Education  Maintenance  Allowance  Student  Maintenance  Grant  Higher  Education  policy  post  code  lottery  vocational  professional  career  ladder  austerity  George  Osborne  2015  dogma  ideology  Tories  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Conservative  Party  PR  spin  doctor  reframing  framing  Positioning  David  Cameron  Iain  Duncan  Smith  DWP 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Huge pension shortfall facing UK's young adults | Money | The Guardian
[ has to put away 10% of disposable income/earnings ?pre-tax?, put it in equities, and open the envelope only after 60-70 years. ] The average 35-year-old has to save £660,000 into a pension plan if they have any hope of matching the standard of living enjoyed by today’s pensioners – but have so far managed to put aside just £14,000.
retirement  savings  savings  rate  savings  glut  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  pension  pension  scheme  squeezed  middle  class  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  income  growth  income  gap  income  distribution  income  inequality  low  income  Sozialer  Abstieg  working  poor  Precariat  precarious  work  financial  literacy  zombie  consumer  consumerism  consumerist  materialism  status  anxiety  babyboomers  generationy  Millennials  status  symbol  consumption  consumer  debt  household  debt  private  debt  student  loan  debt  Bubble  stagnation  secular  stagnation  competitive  competition  competitiveness  globalization  globalisation  flat  world  borderless 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Homelessness figures: Nearly 100,000 children in England 'homeless' - BBC News
Nearly 100,000 children in England are living in temporary accommodation after being made homeless, new figures show. // &! More & more student start work after graduation in low pay jobs not requiring a diploma, due to current job market/job creation situation in UK! Not hitting 21k repayment threshold - bbc.in/1OU0K3H - OBR show fewer are likely to start paying than was expected when the policy was introduced, [...] freezing the loan repayment threshold - alongside other changes such as replacing maintenance grants for poorer students with loans - will significantly increase the cost of going to university. It says this risks undermining pledges by successive governments to improve social mobility, as well as raising uncertainty in students' minds over the terms of their borrowing. //&! Higher education cuts 'risk NI being left behind' - bbc.in/1gZMrgj //&! Doctors warn Tories not to cut free school meals (child poverty, food poverty) bbc.in/1LewQrn
UK  property  bubble  Supply  and  Demand  Demand  and  Supply  affordable  housing  social  housing  Gini  coefficient  Generationengerechtigkeit  generation  rent  poverty  trap  child  poverty  food  poverty  austerity  Policy  Makers  dogma  ideology  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Tories  Conservative  Party  housing  market  Crisis  housing  benefit  benefits  welfare  state  social  safety  net  bank  bailout  fairness  social  cohesion  minority  constituency  error  folly  babyboomers  social  tension  Toff  Establishment  Privileged  Entitlement  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  excess  reserves  mortgage  market  Buy-to-Let  Right  to  Buy  Buy  to  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  inequality  Funding  for  Lending  Scheme  macroprudential  macroeconomic  microeconomics  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  debtoverhang  household  debt  recovery  2015  consumer  debt  debt  servitude  private  debt  Payday  Loans  Student  Loan  Millennials  generationy  secular  stagnation  low  income  prevention  job  security  job  market  labour  market  Niedriglohnsektor  Service  Sector  Jobs  job  creation  income  mobility  social  mobility  downward  mobility  precarious  work  Precariat  working  poor  University  vocational  education  professional  education  Maintenance  Student  Maintenance  child  Allowanc 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Fed chief Yellen says US rate rise still likely this year - BBC News
The US remains "on track" for an interest rate rise this year, Federal Reserve chief Janet Yellen has said. The central bank head said as long as inflation was stable and the US economy was strong enough to boost jobs, the conditions would be right for a rise. Despite expectations of a rise this month, the Fed held rates, in part due to fears about global economic growth. Ms Yellen, speaking at the University of Massachusetts, said US economic prospects "generally appear solid". Speaking a week after the Fed delayed that long-anticipated hike, she said she and other policymakers did not expect recent global economic and financial market developments to significantly affect the central bank's policy. Much recent inflationary weakness is due to special and likely temporary factors, such as a strong dollar and low oil prices, she said. //&! http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2015-09-25/janet-yellen-s-flip-flop-confuses-markets
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
RICHARD KOO: 'Struggle between markets and central banks has only just begun' - Business Insider
… much of the rise in share prices and fall in currency values under QE were nothing more than liquidity-driven phenomena divorced from real economy fundamentals. Now that an end to QE is in sight, it is time for a correction. Fed Chair Janet Yellen’s remarks several months ago about elevated stock market valuations were most likely a reference to this bubble. A correction of some kind was inevitable as the Fed moved to normalize monetary policy. However, it still needed a trigger, and that was provided by China. [...] “The market gyrations of the last two months represent just the beginning of the QE trap”, says Koo.
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
One Map Shows Just How Expensive College Can Be for Students Making Minimum Wage
[S]ubstantial evidence that lack of information plays a critical role in shaping the financial decisions people make. Consider how a vast majority of people who are currently defaulting on their student loans in the U.S. would be able to halt their financial suffering if they knew they could enroll in an income-based repayment plan that would shrink or eliminate their monthly payments. This map goes some way toward explaining why low-income students are less likely to enroll in college. If the idea that college is a risky investment is something thats gaining traction in well-to-do circles, then surely people who hail from less fortunate backgrounds are even more inclined to think the potential price is too high. // could be seen as balance sheet recession: rising cost of education - & on other side - unable 2 pay w job u can get (asset value). Education is mispriced in UK/USA in a new world going forward! >> youtu.be/_EDGTzOXa_g?t=1h46m5s
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Millennials Can't Afford Cars, and Are Fine With That - Bloomberg View
As somebody who wondered in a column last week whether people in developed countries were perhaps learning that they no longer needed as much stuff as they used to, and whether this might lead to big shifts in the global economy, I read on with great interest. [...] The changes in young adults' consumption habits have clearly been influenced by economic forces. But economic forces shape societal attitudes, too. I also don't see much sign that these economic forces are about to reverse. Both these things can be true: The median 25-to-34-year-old has less to spend, and is less interested in spending it on a car.
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
▶ How The Economic Machine Works by Ray Dalio
credit great 4 productive investments 4 the future that will benefit u/me/gov/biz like infrastructure/edu/skills. but waste 4 pure consumption that dont increase productivity in the long run. Like consumer credit spend 2 replace a 2yr old flat screen. vs consumer credit 4 vocational/professional further edu 2 get a higher earning job (future higher income 2 repay the then debt liability & have some more/left over). Bad if u dont have later higher earnings from higher education 2 repay debt & just work in an underemployed placement that any college dropout could do. Thing is, college dropout doesnt have that debt liability that the higher education person has (reduced disposable income bc debt repayment + interest payments.) Women are hit double (gender pay gap) & triple (childcare long-term earnings loss). // min16 income growth important 2 keep up with debt repayment beyond interest. if not, we reached peak long-term debt cycle! // doesnt include globalisation's deflationary effects
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Vince Cable: ‘Historically, the coalition will be seen as a success’ – interview | Politics | The Guardian
[A] look at the post-crash global economy, is the first fruit of that freedom. After toeing the line for five years, he can go public with his criticisms of chancellor George Osborne’s handling of the economy. He warns that the emphasis on consumption rather than investment, the continuing reliance on house price inflation as the driver of growth, the decline in productivity and innovation mean fundamental problems are not being addressed. He is also the first minister to lift the lid on the coalition: we learn the Tories could be likable colleagues but “collectively appalling, with ugly tribal prejudices”; that Osborne and David Cameron were unable “to move Theresa May an inch”; that Osborne’s Treasury effectively controlled government, with a hands-off Cameron; and that, in Cable’s view, Nick Clegg and Danny Alexander were too accepting of the Treasury line. [...] [ Cameron the PR man, being in office for the sake of just being in Office ] &! bit.ly/1KROBLk
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
After the Crisis - Mark Blyth - YouTube
>> what if rise of the banks (deregulation, easy credit, global financial markets - arbitrage, and making money with money) fuelled the growth of the last ~25-30 years. // min 47 3 asset bubbles popped // USA - 40% of corporate profits came from 10% of corporate sector (banks) // 30% of MIT grads went to banks instead of real world engineering and manufacturing. // underwater private sector! via credit bubble: student loans (now 1trn and still rising in USA and UK, future disposable income/discretionary spending lower than babyboomers because of wage stagnation, no wage growth) credit cards, mortgages, heloc (home equity line of credit) --- all will have to focus on paying back debt. // 2015 - us student loans 1.25trn - bit.ly/1KJ29uc + auto loans << bubble to eventually pop when collateral is falling! ie stagnant wages for 10 more years. and more and more cant repay their student loans. // 1:12:00 Bubbles move on; dot.com, real estate (property) & commodities, China,
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Thom Hartmann "The Crash of 2016" - YouTube
7:10 American Dream not abt being Super Rich, part of 1%, self-made millionaire. American Dream is abt live a good life, meaningful work. Launch children into world. Edu. Vacation. & Left over 4 retirement. having a voice; Workers Union. Health Care. Some little savings. Retirement Fund. // Wages did not keep up with productivity gains, if they had, minimum wage would be about $22! - bit.ly/1NZLVwc // 1trn$ in student loans/debt! that is what post-war gen had in assets! // (neoliberalism and neoconservative) Think Tanks; like Kato Institute, produce papers that are pushed to media 'getting our message across' (control media), also control over our justice system, & control over our education (our story, ie X Prof and read Ayan Rand). // Middle Class once invested in college & university. Was seen as intellectual class, society pillar. Till the last 32 years. // cites Fourth Turning book! // re-peat of 1929, = GFC // &! youtu.be/nUWaXZWhnqA &! youtu.be/polYrI4Us84
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Richard Duncan: The Real Risk Of A Coming Multi-Decade Global Depression - YouTube
50 year long debt super cycle & credit bubble up-held. Put. // hasnt created inflation because of Globalisation = deflationary! [3bn ppl living on $2/day] Collapse of marginal cost of labour, offsetting inflation pressure of QE/NIRP/credit creation last decades. // Will eventually haunt people back once globalisation has run its way in ~100-75 years & the world is actually flat. energy cost 0, marginal cost 0, economics of abundance. // // min 23 AND because of this deflationary pressure of globalisation, excess capacity, etc lead to wage stagnation & or pressure to work 4 less (Contractor, Werkvertrag, Zeitarbeit, self-employment, Zero Hour Contract, outsourcing) and longer, in western world. Leads inevitably 2 being pushed into recession & avoiding that authorities always pushed button 4 more credit. Credit growth prevented western world not 2 be pushed into recession in last decades. 2010 Private Sector cant drive recovery! Massive Gov stimulus needed +10 years, not austerity!
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
The escape from the balance sheet recession and the QE trap: An interview with Richard Koo - YouTube
"deflationary" is a symptom of balance sheet recession, deleveraging, debtoverhang ... of the private sector, corporate sector (& public gov sector) (to repair balance sheet). inflation of price of goods 2 live is still existent. you cant eat laptops. inflation is still present. actions of private sector, corporate sector to repair balance sheet (and even public sector, all three together) is deflationary. // UK! interesting is that consumer still borrows ie via credit card and mortgages. // question is how long UK can run such a big current account deficit. somebody has to pay for it, if not the gov with debt, then it has to be the private sector. as long as it can serve debt payments, as long as it has wage growth (increase of productivity, closing of output gap). But job creation during recovery was mostly Service Sector Jobs & self-employment. Not added value STEM. // corporate sector will not, in the long-run, pay for current account deficit w debt. &! youtu.be/EhYvaMc3f44
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july 2015 by asterisk2a
Richard Koo: "Out of the Balance Sheet Recession and into QE 'Trap'" - YouTube
Released new book end of 2014. // Banks unable to lend money 2 unwilling (eligible) customers. Money remains on the private banks (&Central Banks in form of bonds) balance sheets/books & mostly allocated towards parking it overnight @Central Banks deposit facility (thus ECB put up a deposit levy, late into the game) or liquid fairly un(der)productive investment classes like gov bonds. // Companies (& people ie 4 education/housing) borrowing & investing (into the future, that is uncertain, unknown, deflationary)!? // 19:30 Even Abenomics is not working. Bc trauma towards Debt! behavioural economics: experience of debt servitude on less income, additional uncertainty & distrust! // Lowering corporate tax rate (like George Osborne) does not help. // Persistent low inflation expectations. // Taper extremely difficult: 2.5trn excess in long bonds. Unknown territory. Possibly future higher interest rates than fnd economic growth does warrant - adding to output gap & new normal.
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july 2015 by asterisk2a
Budget 2015: Student maintenance grants scrapped - BBC News
USA STYLE, no free education (~ we are all in it together, everyone is a stakeholder and pitches in, companies, people, pensioners, - to raise the added value one produces within an economy, over time - not so in USA, UK vs Germany - where people cry out loud that not enough qualified people exist to fill the economy needs and global demand for value added products, services, goods. IT IS ALSO A WAY TO REDUCE THE PUBLIC DEBT AND TRANSFER IT TO PRIVATE DEBT with higher interest payments = lower aggregate spending power in the future compared to lower interest rates serving it on the public books)! Load up on loans. // University maintenance grants 4 lower income students in England & Wales are 2be scrapped September 2016 [...] Student maintenance grants to be replaced with loans from 2016-17, to be paid back once people earn more than £21,000 a year. The maintenance loan will increase to £8,200. [will also affect mature students wanting to climb up the ladder].
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july 2015 by asterisk2a

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