asterisk2a + discretionary + industrial   21

Technological Unemployment (2013) w Jacque Fresco
wikipedia Jacque Fresco // MORE AI, automation, robotics, augmented intelligence, self-driving cars = LESS AGGREGATE DEMAND (disposable income of the middle class, working class & working poor) [...] productivity has risen but incomes NOT! [...] & companies are making more money for shareholders & owners with less & less people (see Facebook) [...] Industry doesnt care abt people. They hire people because it hasnt been yet automated. [...] A JOBLESS RECOVERY & JOBLESS GDP GROWTH [...] routine middle class jobs eliminated fastest! [...] pace of destruction is greater than pace of creation of new jobs! [...] ie Lawyer Software searching through files via augmented intelligence //&! Humans Need Not Apply - youtu.be/7Pq-S557XQU //&! Jerry Kaplan ((re)distribute wealth more equally - youtu.be/JiiP5ROnzw8), Rifkin (Zero Marginal Cost), Paul Mason (post-capitalism) book //&! UBI a must in future - youtu.be/WMF-Z74C1QE &! youtu.be/mEV-kAjtm9U &! youtu.be/9pdU_Rkwzes
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july 2016 by asterisk2a
Waiters And Bartenders Rise To Record, As Manufacturing Workers Drop Most Since 2009
On the surface, the March jobs reported was better than expected... except for manufacturing workers. As shown in the chart below, in the past month, a disturbing 29,000 manufacturing jobs were lost. This was the single biggest monthly drop in the series going back to December 2009. But not all is lost: as has been the case for virtually every month during the "recovery", virtually every laid off manufacturing worker could find a job as a waiter: in March, the workers in the "Food services and drinking places" category, aka waiters, bartenders and minimum wage line cooks, rose again to a new record high of 11,307,000 workers, an increase of 25K in the month, offsetting virtually all lost manufacturing jobs. This is how the two job series have looked since the start of 2015: 24k manufacturing jobs have been lost in the past 14 months compared to an increas of 365K food service workers.
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april 2016 by asterisk2a
Brexit referendum could destabilise UK recovery, says IMF | Business | The Guardian
[ putting investment decisions and plans on hold! ] Christine Lagarde warns that uncertainty over outcome ‘will be bad in and of itself’ in months leading up to vote [...] But the IMF’s annual health check said “the relatively positive outlook is subject to risks and uncertainties”, including a global slowdown, sluggish productivity growth, a large trade deficit, still-high levels of household debt, and the forthcoming referendum on EU membership. It said any sign of weakness in growth should be met with higher spending by the Treasury. The UK authorities should explore “both revenue and expenditure measures, while protecting spending in priority areas, including healthcare, education, and infrastructure”. The report emphasised that “flexibility in the fiscal framework should be used to modify the pace of adjustment in the event of weaker demand growth”. [ moderates and politicians, wisely worded! no instructions. no direct criticism. ]
Brexit  austerity  household  debt  consumer  debt  property  bubble  credit  card  debt  car  loan  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  IMF  OECD  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  trade  deficit  UK  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  fiscal  policy  industrial  policy  labour  market  underinvestment  education  policy  NHS  child  poverty  Gini  coefficient  inequality  social  mobility  income  mobility  recovery  2016  general  election  2015  budget  deficit  election  campaign  promises  Manifesto  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  labour  economics  Zero  Hour  Contract  part-time  minimum  wage  tax  credit  Contractor  self-employment  low  pay  Precariat  working  poor  low  income  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  debt  servitude  monetary  policy  fiscal  stimulus  Pact  Schuldenbremse  general  election  2020 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
This Letting Agent Admits The Housing Shortage Is Good News For Landlords - BuzzFeed News
[ Lord Adair Turner book & Richard Koo; banks tend 2 lend 2 property & land rather than productivity/businesses. risk averse, if the family cant pay the mortgage any more, than at least u have not lost all the money! less risky! Its also partly rentier behaviour of banks. // also BOE has to be concerned about future disposable income; rent & utilities eating up 50%-75% of income thus less for consumption! ] “Landlords’ balance sheets are looking healthier than at any point since 2014, and property investors are looking at an excellent rate of return from their portfolios.” Gill warned that changes to stamp duty announced in chancellor George Osborne’s Autumn Statement and due to take effect on 1 April – people selling buy-to-let investments will pay an extra 3% – were bad news for landlords. But overall, the “consistent and developing lack of housing for across all tenures, for a spiralling population” meant the level of demand for rental properties would not reduce, he said.
property  bubble  speculative  bubbles  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  macroprudential  policy  Generationengerechtigkeit  generation  rent  Housing  Crisis  social  affordable  distortion  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  aggregate  demand  Right  to  Buy  Buy-to-Let  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Help  to  Save  policy  folly  policy  error  consumer  debt  household  debt  budget  deficit  recovery  mortgage  market  credit  bubble  GFC  bank  bailout  BOE  zombie  banks  rentier  rent-seeking  Richard  Koo  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  zombie  consumer  industrial  policy  economic  history  Mark  Carney  financial  repression  behavioral  finance  behavioral  economics  herding  herd  hunt  for  yield  leverage  margin  trading  equity  bubble  Gini  coefficient  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  VAR  CDO  CDS  risk  aversion  squeezed  middle  class  secular  stagnation  inequality  UK  generational  contract  lost  generation  constituency  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  David  Cameron  George  Osborne  general  election  2015  general  election  2020  fiscal  policy  austerity  monetary  policy  liquidity  trap 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Dispatches - Low Pay Britain - All 4
living wage starts from 21? 25? // retail big! high street big! - service sector. no manufacturing ... // IT IS CORPORATE SUBSIDY - PROGRAM FOR LOW PAY! // very far from Germay model! // tax payer pays for people in high street! // Ofsted found inadequate conditions! AND SMALL MINORITY GET ACTUALLY A FULL-TIME JOB! LOL LOL LOL! // Social Market Foundation (research) found lvl2 apprenticeship adds nothing to purse over a lifetime. // its DWP policy to get young people off the paper onto other paper largely, still funded, by the gov - still adding to budget deficit. // Ofsted concerned over apprenticeships "wasting public funds" // WHAT A TORY SPIN! // retail places have shot up, and construction plummeted! the latter is harder or put through training providers ( private companies, PRIVATISATION! ). employers are not in charge. to quote one employee of a training provider "meet targets, get money in" its about the # of apprenticeships, not the quality or economic need/industry. //
apprenticeships  exploitation  Workers  Union  Trade  Union  working  poor  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  precarious  work  Precariat  self-regulation  minimum  wage  living  wage  low  pay  low  income  welfare  state  social  safety  net  working  tax  credit  tax  credit  housing  benefit  Iain  Duncan  Smith  DWP  spin  doctor  Positioning  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  Service  Sector  Jobs  job  creation  youth  unemployment  policy  folly  policy  error  education  policy  PR  David  Cameron  George  Osborne  industrial  policy  STEM  Manufacturing  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomic  policy  recovery  GFC  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  corporate  scandal  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  budget  deficit  Fachkräftemangel  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  Ofsted  skills  gap  budget2015  free  market  Privatisation  dogma  ideology 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Amid market turmoil and confusion, there are four key economic trends shaping society
The UK economy currently gets nowhere near its target of 2%. Inflation would decrease the value of current debts, making them less of a burden. In a world without much inflation, it is hard to get wages up. The worse case scenario is that debt costs increase, as prices and wages stagnate. [ ignoring debt and income growth - stagnation at their peril - youtu.be/KIaXVntqlUE - gov is no household budget, Steve Keen + Richard Koo ] [...] And in this age of austerity, these factors will work against governments seeking to reduce the welfare bill. Recent data shows that, in UK cities, growing numbers of low paid jobs have led to rising claims for welfare such as housing benefits, defeating the government’s aims to reduce spending.
economic  history  secular  stagnation  inflation  targeting  nominal  GDP  targeting  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  inflation  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  squeezed  middle  class  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  low  pay  low  income  minimum  wage  UK  Mark  Carney  austerity  tax  credit  housing  benefit  working  tax  credit  debt  servitude  Super  Cycle  Richard  Koo  liquidity  trap  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  stimulus  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  western  world  GDP  wage  inflation  income  growth  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  income  distribution  Gini  coefficient  Super  Rich  1%  inequality  income  inequality  income  redistribution  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  monetary  system  monetary  theory  student  debt  student  loan  debt  student  loan  Bubble  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  zombie  banks  monetary  velocity  Niall  Ferguson  NPL  junk  bond  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Taper  China  credit  BRIC  output  gap  productivity  industrial  policy  public  investment  productive  investment  business  investment  infrastructure  investment  property  financial  repression  speculative  bubbles  asset  allocation  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  money  supply  faultlines  global  imbalances  recovery  working  poor  Precariat 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
The roof is being fixed but beware the house crashing beneath it | Business | The Guardian
Consumer spending is driving economic growth but household debt and the house price-income ratio is at a record high. Be afraid [...] It is worth recalling that when Osborne became chancellor five and a half years ago that he had two big objectives. The first was to repair the hole in the public finances, which is still very much a work in progress. The other was to shift the centre of gravity of the economy back towards making things for export. This remains a pipedream. [...] Despite the welcome pickup in business investment, the main driver of growth has been consumer spending, which has been boosted by low interest rates, the fall in inflation caused by lower oil prices, and a modest acceleration in earnings. [...] “not the ideal shape for the recovery” and it can say that again. The current recovery looks like all the previous recoveries. [...] “Fast-rising household debt is needed to maintain a reasonable rate of growth in consumers’ spending and GDP in a world of austerity ...
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december 2015 by asterisk2a
Robert Reich - Timeline Photos
What about all the ballyhoo about manufacturing jobs coming back to America? Well, some have. But they pay lousy wages. The average wages of production and non-supervisory employees in manufacturing are lower today than they were in 1985, when adjusted for inflation. [...] Bottom line: Most Americans have got zilch out of this recovery. In fact, they’re worse off now than they were in 2000. Meanwhile, the top 0.1 percent is doing fabulously well. More and more people are concluding the game is rigged -- which it is. No one should be surprised at the surge in populist anger on the left and the right.
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october 2015 by asterisk2a
Bank of England may cut rates, says chief economist - BBC News
Softening employment figures and weakening surveys on manufacturing and construction output suggested growth in the UK could slow in the second half of the year and inflation might not pick up as expected. Furthermore, problems in emerging markets could be a drag on UK growth and the headwinds from those economies were unlikely to abate any time soon, Mr Haldane added. //&! In a wide-ranging speech that called on central bankers to think more radically to fend off the next downturn – including the notion of abolishing cash – Haldane warned the UK was not ready for higher borrowing costs. He described recent events in Greece and China as "the latest leg of what might be called a three-part crisis trilogy."
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Labour leadership races can change fast; interest rates, not so much | Business | The Guardian
The fact of the matter is that, while George Osborne is obsessed with shrinking the size of the public sector and causing hardship and misery, the real crisis in this country concerns not the size of the budget deficit, but the record peacetime balance-of-payments deficit of a whopping 6% of GDP. With this in mind, John Llewellyn and Russell Jones of Llewellyn Consulting have been urging the Bank to encourage the overvalued pound to fall towards more realistic levels, to avoid an almighty sterling crisis when the markets finally wake up to the real crisis in the British economy.
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Richard Duncan: The Real Risk Of A Coming Multi-Decade Global Depression - YouTube
50 year long debt super cycle & credit bubble up-held. Put. // hasnt created inflation because of Globalisation = deflationary! [3bn ppl living on $2/day] Collapse of marginal cost of labour, offsetting inflation pressure of QE/NIRP/credit creation last decades. // Will eventually haunt people back once globalisation has run its way in ~100-75 years & the world is actually flat. energy cost 0, marginal cost 0, economics of abundance. // // min 23 AND because of this deflationary pressure of globalisation, excess capacity, etc lead to wage stagnation & or pressure to work 4 less (Contractor, Werkvertrag, Zeitarbeit, self-employment, Zero Hour Contract, outsourcing) and longer, in western world. Leads inevitably 2 being pushed into recession & avoiding that authorities always pushed button 4 more credit. Credit growth prevented western world not 2 be pushed into recession in last decades. 2010 Private Sector cant drive recovery! Massive Gov stimulus needed +10 years, not austerity!
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Northerners ‘£2,300 worse off’ than rest of UK
“These figures show the Northern Powerhouse has a long way to go before people in the North feel the benefit of a stronger regional economy,” said Luke Raikes, research fellow at IPPR North. He added that the region would be unable to escape historic under performance of its economy without a “step change in policy.” [...] “The North should pursue growth and prosperity built on higher wages, more jobs and stronger productivity – not simply try to catch up to London and the South East, where the type of economic growth they’ve experienced has created high levels of inequality and left many behind. “The Northern Powerhouse will be meaningless for the people who live and work in the North unless the economic growth it generates reaches their pockets.”
Manchester  Nothern  Powerhouse  UK  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  industrial  policy  ecosystem  economies  of  agglomeration  urbanisation  urban  planning  Westminster  London  London  Start-up  Scene 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Global economic growth to slow, NIESR predicts - BBC News
'Domestic risk' While NIESR was generally upbeat about the UK economy, it believed that weak productivity would remain a challenge. Simon Kirby, an economist at the institute, said: "It's the major domestic risk." NIESR expects inflation to remain about zero until the end of the year due to low oil prices and the strong pound, but that it will return to the Bank of England's target of about 2% a year by 2017. The think-tank expects the Bank of England to finally raise interest rates in February next year. Economists polled by Reuters last month mostly expect the Bank to raise rates in the first quarter of 2016.
UK  2015  recovery  deflationary  deflation  secular  stagnation  productivity  output  gap  fiscal  policy  austerity  fiscal  stimulus  industrial  policy  George  Osborne  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  budget  deficit  current  account  deficit  David  Cameron  Tories  dogma  ideology  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  Taper  STEM  policy  folly  policy  error  Makers  education  policy  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomic  policy  globalisation  globalization  flat  world  borderless  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  precarious  work  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  Niedriglohnsektor  minimum  wage  living  wage  Manufacturing  added  value  value  creation  ecosystem  vocational  education  professional  education  apprenticeships  competitive  competitiveness  competitive  advantage  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Lohnzurückhaltung  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  Precariat 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
UK interest rate rises - waiting for lift-off | Business | The Guardian
In 2018 – by when, bear in mind, most of the work of austerity is expected to have been done – Miles calculates that fiscal consolidation will still drag interest rates downwards by more than 0.75% compared to what would otherwise be the case. This is one of the factors explaining the (commonly held) assumption that interest rates will approach a “new normal” over the next few years that is likely to be about half as high as the 5% that prevailed pre-financial crisis. Even in the second half of the parliament this “fiscal headwind” will still be blowing strong. [...] The case for introducing more transparency isn’t mere technocratic trimming. The balance struck between monetary and fiscal policy has big consequences. There are obvious distributional implications (all else equal, mortgage holders win; savers lose). There are ramifications too for the capital allocation process, the current account, and the risk of an asset-bubble. The list goes on: the macro-mix matters.
BOE  Taper  austerity  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  UK  economic  history  recovery  fiscal  stimulus  monetary  stimulus  Mark  Carney  2015  balance  sheet  recession  debtoverhang  deleveraging  savings  rate  consumer  debt  sovereign  debt  crisis  household  debt  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  private  debt  credit  card  mortgage  market  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  macroeconomics  macroprudential  policy  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  current  account  deficit  Makers  policy  folly  policy  error  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  David  Cameron  George  Osborne  IMF  OECD  Toff  dogma  ideology  neoliberalism  neoliberal  fairness  Establishment  Privileged  asset  bubble  hunt  for  yield  asset  allocation  speculative  bubbles  Funding  for  Lending  Scheme  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  housing  market  affordable  housing  STEM  education  policy  industrial  policy  globalization  globalisation  competitiveness  competitive  competition  competitive  advantage  London  Westminster  distortion 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Richard Koo: "Out of the Balance Sheet Recession and into QE 'Trap'" - YouTube
Released new book end of 2014. // Banks unable to lend money 2 unwilling (eligible) customers. Money remains on the private banks (&Central Banks in form of bonds) balance sheets/books & mostly allocated towards parking it overnight @Central Banks deposit facility (thus ECB put up a deposit levy, late into the game) or liquid fairly un(der)productive investment classes like gov bonds. // Companies (& people ie 4 education/housing) borrowing & investing (into the future, that is uncertain, unknown, deflationary)!? // 19:30 Even Abenomics is not working. Bc trauma towards Debt! behavioural economics: experience of debt servitude on less income, additional uncertainty & distrust! // Lowering corporate tax rate (like George Osborne) does not help. // Persistent low inflation expectations. // Taper extremely difficult: 2.5trn excess in long bonds. Unknown territory. Possibly future higher interest rates than fnd economic growth does warrant - adding to output gap & new normal.
2015  UK  USA  liquidity  trap  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  debtoverhang  Japan  Fed  BOE  BOJ  GFC  recovery  austerity  economic  history  economic  model  academia  deflationary  monetary  transmission  mechanism  M3  LTRO  TLTRO  lost  decade  lost  generation  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Career  Politicians  bond  bubble  equity  bubble  property  bubble  negative  real  interest  rate  deposit  levy  economic  growth  trickle-down  economics  secular  stagnation  headwinds  Great  Depression  PIIGSFB  PIGS  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  economic  damage  behavioral  economics  zombie  banks  Abenomics  squeezed  middle  class  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  cash  flow  cash  flow  management  trust  distrust  long-term  view  long-term  thinking  sovereign  debt  crisis  debt  servitude  household  debt  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  Super  Cycle  student  loan  debt  private  debt  consumer  debt  student  debt  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  competitiveness  competitive  industrial  policy  budget2015  business  investment  infrastructure  investment  demographic  bubble  uncertainty  Sozialer  Abstieg  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  Yen  JGB  Taper  greatrecession  USD  dogma  ideology  public  investment  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  productivity  output  gap  underinvestment  productive  investment  book  rate  private  savi 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Davos 2015: Nouriel Roubini says Income Inequality Creates U.S. Plutocracy - YouTube
- shown hurting growth. US growth is dependent on consumer spending. stupid. hacking off the only leg one has is not smart. // established economic truth ! Paul Krugman: Inequality Actually Bad for Growth - youtu.be/cRMi8_M681U &! Paul Krugman & Tony Atkinson in Conversation | Inequality and Economic Growth - youtu.be/3l6E3mUNW70 &! &! What's Really Driving Income Inequality: Orszag - youtu.be/XJ_raBX7oq8 ( only added value jobs STEM - pays for work and shows wage growth, not so in service sector jobs. UK recovery showed it; lots of service sector job creation than any other type of job + Lohnzurueckhalting (no leverage to demand higher wage than just minimum wage or little above bc outside the door waits the one who will replace you) = no wage growth in the first couple of years of recovery and no productivity growth and persistent output gap (below potential) )
plutocracy  Gini  coefficient  income  mobility  social  mobility  American  Dream  inequality  income  inequality  squeezed  middle  class  economic  growth  USA  economic  history  wage  growth  UK  recovery  secular  stagnation  job  market  job  creation  labour  market  labour  economics  STEM  productivity  Lohnzurückhaltung  Niedriglohn  Niedriglohnsektor  Service  Sector  Jobs  precarious  work  Precariat  working  poor  job  security  Contractor  Zero  Hour  Contract  part-time  underemployed  skills  gap  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  manual  labour  value  creation  added  value  knowledge  worker  Blue-collar  White-collar  minimum  wage  living  wage  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  industrial  policy  fiscal  policy  Higher  Education  policy  vocational  Sozialer  Abstieg  liberal  economic  reform  neoliberal  neoliberalism  trickle-down  economics  fiscal  stimulus  public  investment  competitiveness  competitive  infrastructure  investment  borderless  flat  world  globalisation  globalization  austerity  fairness  tax  evasion  tax  code  tax  avoidance  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  Wall  Street  crony  capitalism  GFC  gender  inequality  poverty  trap  child  poverty  poverty  democracy  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  long-term  view  long-term  thinking  employability  lost  decade  lost  generation  youth  unemployment  Career  capitalism  Po 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
UK's inflation rate falls to 0% - BBC News
bit.ly/1IXuomp >> Carney: Current account deficit is a risk highlighted by FPC. UK is relying on the kindness of strangers to finance current account deficit. Household borrowing isn't driving the deficit Tighter fiscal policy is needed. Tighter macroeconomic policy is needed also. Deficit highlights importance of maintaining the attractiveness of the UK for foreign investment // &! bit.ly/1I07olT - BOE's Miles doesn't see secular stagnation in the UK [...] Carney - Health of the financial system is likely to boost productivity [really?] [...] McCafferty: Low income jobs have kept productivity low &! bit.ly/1JfaSxr - Bank is looking at the household sensitivity to rate rises [ mortgage bubble will prevent BOE to raise rates faster as demand stokes as more disposable income is spend on serving interest payments thus depressing GDP growth bc 70% of it is consumer spending ] &! bit.ly/1HtySg1
current  account  deficit  UK  Mark  Carney  austerity  fairness  sovereign  debt  crisis  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  asset  bubble  equity  bubble  property  bubble  George  Osborne  productivity  output  gap  industrial  policy  STEM  Higher  Education  added  value  fiscal  policy  Public  infrastructure  investment  recovery  economic  history  competitiveness  competitive  globalisation  globalization  flat  world  borderless  deflationary  deflation  secular  stagnation  zombie  banks  Service  Sector  Jobs  job  creation  job  market  labour  market  labour  economics  skills  gap  policy  vocational  working  poor  precarious  work  Precariat  squeezed  middle  class  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  household  debt  Niedriglohn  Niedriglohnsektor  underemployed  self-employment  employability  part-time  mortgage  market  BOE  2015  macroprudential  policy  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  Manufacturing  fiscal  stimulus  Taper  USA  negative  real  interest  rate  interestrate  debt  servicing  interest  payment  consumer  debt 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Who Will Be Hurt Most When The Tech Bubble Bursts? Not VCs | TechCrunch
In a nutshell, FOMO is driving many investors in a hustle to be a part of the next Facebook or Twitter and put in huge investments for a fraction of stake. And, they don’t see much risk in it as long as they get the downside protection. [ growth round = rocket fuel splashed onto stuff to acquire more customers and market share (basically, but not always) ] [...] Someday, pretty soon, these will be put to the test, and valuations based on visibility of earnings will matter again. A few will succeed of course, but several others will fall – it remains to be seen how miserably. VCs will most likely walk away with their invested money, if not more. It’s the employees and founders who will see their million-dollar dreams crash and burn. [living beyond ur means & betting dollars you dont have on a time that seems further away than u can even guess (secular stagnation)] [lack of income growth (across the western world) thus disposable income (discretionary spending) is also not helping]
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may 2015 by asterisk2a
Headline Numbers: How do you measure inequality? - BBC News
Research from the Institute for Policy Studies found that in 2014, bonuses paid to Wall Street employees had been double the total annual pay earned by all Americans who worked full-time at the federal minimum wage. I crunched the numbers and it turned out that the same was true for the UK. [...] The Office for National Statistics (ONS) had figures out on Wednesday based on the definition that people were in poverty if their income was below 60% of the median level (to find the median income, line up all the people in the country in order of income and take the middle one). It found that almost a third of the UK population had experienced poverty in at least one of the years between 2010 and 2013, which is very high by European standards. The OECD sets out a summary of what has happened to examples of all three of these measures. Across its 34 member countries, the Gini Coefficient rose gradually from 1996, fell slightly for the financial crisis and then resumed its upward path.
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may 2015 by asterisk2a
Tom Keene's Excited: Counting the Labor Economy - YouTube
break of a trend of rise in net new job creation // rise in uncounted unemployed - biggest count among them black, latino, mexican, // also unaccounted - how much, what sliver of the 2000s stagnation is self-employment numbers where you just make ends needs just about barely inching towards living wage but far off at your cushy old job with a middle class wage. Picture also highlights that 2000 dot.com recovery was a debt fueled recovery. As well as is the recovery from the GFC. Lay over that graph also GDP and GDP per capita. And S&P500 (w dividends, w revenues of businesses in the S&P500 USA companies US business) That will show. //
21stcentury  2000  labour  market  labour  economics  USA  Western  World  globalisation  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  borderless  competitive  competition  competitiveness  Career  Politicians  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  Wall  Street  contractor  Zero  Hour  Contract  outsourcing  job  creation  Industrial  Revolution  economic  history  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  unemployment  underemployed  workforce  participation  rate  self-employment  employment  structural  unemployment  secular  stagnation  dot.com  recovery  GFC  austerity  IMF  OECD  UK  Europe  Germany  squeezed  middle  class  middle  class  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  economics  of  abundance  marginal  cost  academia  academics  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  bailout  social  cohesion  policy  error  policy  folly  Workers  Union  Millennials  babyboomers  generationy 
may 2015 by asterisk2a
Larry Summers: I'm Concerned U.S. Growth Won't Pick Up - YouTube
Not enough investment in productive entities that create living wage & middle class jobs. // credit induced growth & exhaustion of easy growth (China) // Debt Fueled Growth ends rarely gently. (GFC) // western world >> too little internal demand, its deflation and inflation
secular  stagnation  output  gap  productivity  Western  World  lost  decade  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Wall  Street  precarious  work  Precariat  USA  UK  Europe  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  ROI  hunt  for  yield  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  lost  generation  living  wage  structural  imbalance  Impediments  globalisation  globalization  borderless  competitiveness  competitive  competition  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  Service  Sector  Jobs  Niedriglohnsektor  Services  Industry  economy  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  economic  history  Germany  middle  class  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  Werkvertrag  exploitation  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  deflationary  productive  investment  Food  Stamps  Aufstocker  ALG2  hartz-iv  austerity  Larry  Summers 
may 2015 by asterisk2a

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