asterisk2a + discretionary + fairness   42

IMF urges more spending to boost growth
Fund’s steering committee calls for more forceful stimulus and warns monetary policy alone is not enough //&! http://www.theguardian.com/business/imf //&! bit.ly/1V9pfhD - IMF chief: regulators long 'alarmed' over Panama's handling of taxation. Christine Lagarde responds to Panama Papers revelations, noting that authorities were concerned but did not take ‘expected’ action.
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april 2016 by asterisk2a
What the Panama Papers Tells Us About Global Capitalism
never seen David Cameron red-faced, so much! [...] sold in 2010!? And what was before that time? The time he was a MP!? [...] we are not all in this together, for sure! // book the hidden wealth of nations. - 7-8trn tax evasion and avoidance - not taxed. //&! Rumble - Just like FDR - Bernie Welcomes the GE CEO Hatred... - youtu.be/jT7NIoDS1gw - taking advantage of the tax laws THEY MADE.
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april 2016 by asterisk2a
Tyler Cowen: "The Great Stagnation", Michael Vassar & Cowen Debate at Singularity Summit 2011
gains are harder to come by! low hanging fruit gone. [...] VISION IS NEEDED TO GET THE JOB DONE.
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april 2016 by asterisk2a
Budget 2016 shows Osborne's failure on debt, surplus, GDP
// higher in-work poverty
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march 2016 by asterisk2a
Brexit referendum could destabilise UK recovery, says IMF | Business | The Guardian
[ putting investment decisions and plans on hold! ] Christine Lagarde warns that uncertainty over outcome ‘will be bad in and of itself’ in months leading up to vote [...] But the IMF’s annual health check said “the relatively positive outlook is subject to risks and uncertainties”, including a global slowdown, sluggish productivity growth, a large trade deficit, still-high levels of household debt, and the forthcoming referendum on EU membership. It said any sign of weakness in growth should be met with higher spending by the Treasury. The UK authorities should explore “both revenue and expenditure measures, while protecting spending in priority areas, including healthcare, education, and infrastructure”. The report emphasised that “flexibility in the fiscal framework should be used to modify the pace of adjustment in the event of weaker demand growth”. [ moderates and politicians, wisely worded! no instructions. no direct criticism. ]
Brexit  austerity  household  debt  consumer  debt  property  bubble  credit  card  debt  car  loan  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  IMF  OECD  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  trade  deficit  UK  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  fiscal  policy  industrial  policy  labour  market  underinvestment  education  policy  NHS  child  poverty  Gini  coefficient  inequality  social  mobility  income  mobility  recovery  2016  general  election  2015  budget  deficit  election  campaign  promises  Manifesto  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  labour  economics  Zero  Hour  Contract  part-time  minimum  wage  tax  credit  Contractor  self-employment  low  pay  Precariat  working  poor  low  income  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  debt  servitude  monetary  policy  fiscal  stimulus  Pact  Schuldenbremse  general  election  2020 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Dispatches - Low Pay Britain - All 4
living wage starts from 21? 25? // retail big! high street big! - service sector. no manufacturing ... // IT IS CORPORATE SUBSIDY - PROGRAM FOR LOW PAY! // very far from Germay model! // tax payer pays for people in high street! // Ofsted found inadequate conditions! AND SMALL MINORITY GET ACTUALLY A FULL-TIME JOB! LOL LOL LOL! // Social Market Foundation (research) found lvl2 apprenticeship adds nothing to purse over a lifetime. // its DWP policy to get young people off the paper onto other paper largely, still funded, by the gov - still adding to budget deficit. // Ofsted concerned over apprenticeships "wasting public funds" // WHAT A TORY SPIN! // retail places have shot up, and construction plummeted! the latter is harder or put through training providers ( private companies, PRIVATISATION! ). employers are not in charge. to quote one employee of a training provider "meet targets, get money in" its about the # of apprenticeships, not the quality or economic need/industry. //
apprenticeships  exploitation  Workers  Union  Trade  Union  working  poor  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  precarious  work  Precariat  self-regulation  minimum  wage  living  wage  low  pay  low  income  welfare  state  social  safety  net  working  tax  credit  tax  credit  housing  benefit  Iain  Duncan  Smith  DWP  spin  doctor  Positioning  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  Service  Sector  Jobs  job  creation  youth  unemployment  policy  folly  policy  error  education  policy  PR  David  Cameron  George  Osborne  industrial  policy  STEM  Manufacturing  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomic  policy  recovery  GFC  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  corporate  scandal  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  budget  deficit  Fachkräftemangel  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  Ofsted  skills  gap  budget2015  free  market  Privatisation  dogma  ideology 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Amid market turmoil and confusion, there are four key economic trends shaping society
The UK economy currently gets nowhere near its target of 2%. Inflation would decrease the value of current debts, making them less of a burden. In a world without much inflation, it is hard to get wages up. The worse case scenario is that debt costs increase, as prices and wages stagnate. [ ignoring debt and income growth - stagnation at their peril - youtu.be/KIaXVntqlUE - gov is no household budget, Steve Keen + Richard Koo ] [...] And in this age of austerity, these factors will work against governments seeking to reduce the welfare bill. Recent data shows that, in UK cities, growing numbers of low paid jobs have led to rising claims for welfare such as housing benefits, defeating the government’s aims to reduce spending.
economic  history  secular  stagnation  inflation  targeting  nominal  GDP  targeting  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  inflation  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  squeezed  middle  class  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  low  pay  low  income  minimum  wage  UK  Mark  Carney  austerity  tax  credit  housing  benefit  working  tax  credit  debt  servitude  Super  Cycle  Richard  Koo  liquidity  trap  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  stimulus  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  western  world  GDP  wage  inflation  income  growth  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  income  distribution  Gini  coefficient  Super  Rich  1%  inequality  income  inequality  income  redistribution  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  monetary  system  monetary  theory  student  debt  student  loan  debt  student  loan  Bubble  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  zombie  banks  monetary  velocity  Niall  Ferguson  NPL  junk  bond  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Taper  China  credit  BRIC  output  gap  productivity  industrial  policy  public  investment  productive  investment  business  investment  infrastructure  investment  property  financial  repression  speculative  bubbles  asset  allocation  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  money  supply  faultlines  global  imbalances  recovery  working  poor  Precariat 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
James Galbraith, Kate Pickett, Branko Milanovic - Consequences of Inequality and Wealth Distribution - YouTube
free education / land value tax / higher inheritance tax / abolition of private education / more progressive taxation / combat tax avoidance and tax evasion / ... Universal Basic Income //&! New Theoretical Perspectives on the Distribution of Income and Wealth Among Individuals - youtu.be/RO8KWTb2iPM - w Joseph Stiglitz and Paul Krugman --- distinguishing between wealth and capital. ignore land (free yourself from Ricardo). land. credit. //&! David Cay Johnston: The Perils Of Our Growing Inequality - David Cay Johnston about his new book, Divided: The Perils of Our Growing Inequality. - youtu.be/ok7ZJ8mS19Y
inequality  income  inequality  Gini  coefficient  education  policy  income  distribution  income  redistribution  tax  free  income  income  mobility  social  mobility  health  inequality  gender  inequality  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  welfare  state  social  safety  net  progressive  tax  code  Super  Rich  1%  oligarchy  plutocracy  social  democracy  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  democracy  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Universal  Basic  inheritance  tax  financial  literacy  wealth  distribution  wealth-distribution  transferring-wealth  Thomas  Piketty  Joseph  Stiglitz  Robert  Reich  squeezed  middle  class  globalization  globalisation  Paul  Krugman  Elizabeth  Warren  austerity  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  fiscal  policy  economic  growth  Supply  and  Demand  Demand  and  Supply  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  credit  bubble  GFC  recovery  monetary  policy  debt  servitude  consumer  debt  household  debt  Student  Loan  debt  debt  credit  card  debt  credit  card  economic  history  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  competitiveness  productivity  knowledge  worker  book  monopoly  oligopoly  oligopol  American  Dream  meritocracy  meritocratic  post-racial  America  free  market  freemarkets  dogma  ideology 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Sean Bean’s battle cry: ‘I despair at the state of further education’ | Education | The Guardian
fight to save colleges from threat of funding cuts //&! The Tories’ assault on further education will cost Britain dearly. Colleges have been battered by cuts already – another round could destroy them. It is time we made David Cameron talk about it - http://bit.ly/1QeZ46n
education  policy  social  mobility  income  mobility  social  safety  net  welfare  state  austerity  post  code  lottery  inequality  UK  George  Osborne  Generationengerechtigkeit  Tories  nasty  party  Conservative  David  Cameron  constituency  babyboomers  budget2015  short-termism  budget  deficit  dogma  ideology  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  social  democracy  democracy  fairness  generation  rent  student  loan  debt  student  loan  Bubble  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  student  debt  debt  servitude  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  household  debt 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Plan to end student grants without Commons vote outrages opposition | Politics | The Guardian
[ shifting public debt onto private debt balance sheet. = no vision! debt is still there in economy! paying higher interest rates. -- vs -- bankers gambling debt put on public balance sheet! ] Ministers have been accused of an “outrageous” attempt to sneak through their proposals to end student grants in England without proper scrutiny by MPs. The plan to scrap maintenance grants, which help half a million of the poorest students pay for university life, will go through a legislation committee on Thursday, without a vote and debate on the floor of the House of Commons. [...] Labour is opposing the change and the lack of scrutiny. Gordon Marsden, the shadow universities minister, said it was “not simply technical tinkering but a major change by the government that will deprive around half a million of England’s students from lower income and disadvantaged households, of maintenance grant funding”. // &! NHS nurse bursaries - ind.pn/1IYHYbk &! bit.ly/1IWZJI0 &! bbc.in/1RAhLRv
social  mobility  income  mobility  Gini  coefficient  household  debt  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  student  loan  debt  student  loan  Bubble  poverty  trap  poverty  child  poverty  tax  credit  education  policy  post  code  lottery  affordable  housing  social  housing  University  College  Maintenance  Allowance  Maintenance  Grant  NHS  Bursaries  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  democracy  social  democracy  bank  bailout  austerity  GFC  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  NHS  budget2015  nasty  party  Tories  Conservative  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Manifesto  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  babyboomers  Super  Cycle  2016  debt  servitude  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  debtoverhang  student  debt  fiscal  policy  economic  history  moral  beliefs  ethics  Toff  Privileged  Establishment  inequality  Super  Rich  1%  plutocracy  oligarchy  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  Precariat  Crisis  cost  of  living  low  income 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Will scrapping nurse bursaries help or worsen NHS staffing crisis? | Healthcare Professionals Network | The Guardian
[ moving another item off the books/balance sheet onto others, in this case, the private purse. and when tories came to power together with lib dems - they did cut part of funding for places ] Plans to axe bursaries and replace them with loans have been condemned by unions, but universities say they will lead to more training places for nurses, midwives and allied health professionals [...] Unions fear a loan system will be an obstacle to people from poorer backgrounds and career changers. Midwifery in particular attracts a large number of mature students over 29 – many of whom bring with them vital existing experience of childbirth – but are already saddled with debt from a first degree. //&! bit.ly/1HNLIMj
NHS  budget  deficit  budget2015  student  debt  student  loan  debt  household  debt  education  policy  private  debt  consumer  debt  Bubble  Maintenance  Grant  Maintenance  Allowance  student  loan  UK  Gini  coefficient  income  mobility  social  mobility  inequality  debt  servitude  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  staff  shortage  locum  staff  ageing  population  demographic  nasty  party  Tories  Conservative  Toff  Privileged  Establishment  class  warfare  austerity  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  constituency  babyboomers  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  bank  bailout  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  corporate  welfare 
december 2015 by asterisk2a
Robert Reich - Timeline Photos
What about all the ballyhoo about manufacturing jobs coming back to America? Well, some have. But they pay lousy wages. The average wages of production and non-supervisory employees in manufacturing are lower today than they were in 1985, when adjusted for inflation. [...] Bottom line: Most Americans have got zilch out of this recovery. In fact, they’re worse off now than they were in 2000. Meanwhile, the top 0.1 percent is doing fabulously well. More and more people are concluding the game is rigged -- which it is. No one should be surprised at the surge in populist anger on the left and the right.
USA  job  creation  recovery  industrial  policy  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  UK  western  society  western  world  secular  stagnation  squeezed  middle  class  Sozialer  Abstieg  income  growth  economic  growth  disposable  income  income  distribution  income  mobility  income  inequality  income  redistribution  social  mobility  Gini  coefficient  Super  Rich  1%  discretionary  spending  zombie  consumer  credit  card  debt  credit  card  car  loan  2015  GFC  reflate  reflation  globalization  globalisation  flat  world  borderless  competitive  competitiveness  competition  low  pay  low  income  labour  market  labour  economics  Service  Sector  Jobs  Niedriglohn  Niedriglohnsektor  precarious  work  Precariat  working  poor  Joseph  Stiglitz  Robert  Reich  poverty  child  poverty  food  poverty  poverty  trap  generationy  babyboomers  participation  rate  manual  labour  Millennials  retirement  mainstreet  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  capital  gains  tax  corporate  tax  rate  dogma  ideology  neoliberalism  neoliberal  republicans  democrats  public  awareness  public  perception  American  Dream  post-racial  America  economic  justice  fairness  bank  bailout  TBTF  too  big  to  jail  too  big  to  bail  Generationengerechtigkeit  budget  deficit  austerity  populism  corporate  corporate  r 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Robert Reich - Timeline Photos
In some cities – San Francisco, Seattle, Boston, New York – it’s 40 to 50 percent. What’s the solution? Part of it is better public transportation – so people can live further away from where they work, in affordable housing. But rather than invest more in public transportation, America is disinvesting. We're spending a smaller percentage of our GDP on public transit now than at any time since World War II. Why? Ask Republicans in Congress and in state legislatures.
dogma  ideology  USA  infrastructure  investment  underinvestment  infrastructure  public  transportation  transportation  commuting  Richard  Wolff  Robert  Reich  austerity  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  discretionary  spending  squeezed  middle  class  gentrification  Gentrified  urban  planning  urbanisation  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  corporate  tax  rate  crony  capitalism  capitalism 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
UK's most expensive city facing 'catastrophe' - BBC News
shortage of supply = unaffordable = nobody can afford to live there, work there, study there. or have to commute from out of town for 1 hour or more. // this is not only a problem in Oxford. NHS Grampian has problems of recruiting because unaffordable house prices and rents pushed up by Oil Industry and the lack of new housing. Same for teaching jobs. // all the while building companies make pumper profits and even skirt around the edges to lower the ratio of social and affordable housing they have to provide with each new big project. its in their interest, if prices were to fell, they would make less money. so they build not enough to keep up with demand at all. and not enough so each new builds profit rises because of risen demand and people willing to pay more for the same house or flat from previous year or two or three despite no real improvement in the build technically/energy efficiency wise/or architecture wise - modern, wide open, big windows. //
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october 2015 by asterisk2a
Average monthly rent hits record high of £816, highlighting housing shortage | Money | The Guardian
Rents rose across most of England by averages of 6.3% and 8.5% in past year, say separate studies, but fell in the north-west, north-east and Wales [...] Housing charity Shelter said the figures “highlight the plight of an entire generation stuck in insecure and expensive private renting”. On Tuesday, official figures underlined the continuing difficulty of buying, as UK house prices surged to a record peak of £284,000 on average in August. According to the report from Your Move and Reeds Rains, rents rose to a “new all-time record” in September and are up a typical 6.3% on an annual basis. It found that rents are now almost a quarter (24%) higher than in January 2010, while the index of CPI inflation is just 14% higher over the same period. // bonuses and pay and profit for building companies are up as well. actively restricting demand to push up prices marginally (compounding over time). nearly all property sells before even the first brick is put down for the development!]
generation  rent  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  mortgage  market  social  housing  affordable  housing  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  Supply  and  Demand  Demand  and  Supply  housing  market  Crisis  profiteer  Wall  Street  crony  capitalism  capitalism  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  CEO  pay  bonuses  standard  of  living  quality  of  life  speculative  bubbles  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  constituency  nasty  party  Tories  Conservative  Policy  Makers  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Buy-to-Let  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Right  to  Buy 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Profit mean reversion and recession | Credit Writedowns
We are now in the seventh year of a cyclical recovery and bull market. Shares have tripled in that time frame. I would say this means we are much closer to the end of the business cycle than the beginning. Moreover, as Jeremy Grantham is quoted in the Business Insider piece, profits are mean-reverting and right now they are reverting from a phase that is “wildly optimistic” according to Warren Buffett. All of this is taking place against the backdrop of an economy in which wage growth is weak, household debt is still relatively high on a historic basis as a percentage of income and we have no policy room on the monetary side, with limited political appetite for policy on the fiscal side. To me, the pre-conditions for this profits recession speak to downside risk, ....
recovery  business  cycle  financial  cycle  private  debt  household  debt  consumer  debt  Student  Loan  Bubble  car  credit  card  debt  deleveraging  Richard  Koo  debtoverhang  austerity  fiscal  policy  economic  history  monetary  policy  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  western  world  secular  stagnation  Niall  Ferguson  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  income  distribution  Gini  coefficient  inequality  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Wall  Street  bank  bailout  budget  deficit  UK  USA  Schuldenbremse  Pact  sovereign  debt  crisis  Positioning  mainstreet.org  Germany  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  income  growth  low  income  crony  capitalism  reflate  reflation  Career  Politicians  constituency  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  Niedriglohnsektor  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  corporate  welfare  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  income  inequality  social  mobility  social  contract  political  theory  income  mobility  Standard  American  Diet  equity  credit  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  BRIC  BOE  Fed  Fed  mandate  BOJ  PBOC  distortion  2015  ECB  Super  debt  servitude  zombie  consumer  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  junk  bond  Taper  QT  irrational  exuberance  asset  allocation  capital  allocation  speculative  bubbles  commodity  prices  Oil  price  inflation  expe 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Matthew Hancock ripped apart on Tax Credits, welfare, etc. (05Oct15) - YouTube
- still worse off. [...] "we gotta make the savings." << morality - taking from the poor and letting tax evasion and avoidance go on. and other corporate welfare policies, that don't pay their taxes in the end.
child  tax  credit  working  tax  credit  tax  credit  budget2015  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Tories  austerity  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  Conservative  Party  neoliberalism  neoliberal  minimum  wage  living  wage  Labour  Party  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  constituency  working  poor  poverty  trap  child  poverty  precarious  work  low  income  Precariat  PR  reframing  framing  spin  doctor  welfare  state  social  safety  net  DWP  Iain  Duncan  Smith  NHS  Jeremy  Hunt  fiscal  policy  bank  bailout  justice  injustice  morality  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  tax  free  income  part-time  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  social  political  theory  income  distribution  Super  Rich  1%  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  inequality  Gini  coefficient  food  poverty  poverty  social  mobility  income  mobility  Education  Maintenance  Allowance  Student  Maintenance  Grant  Student  Loan  Bubble  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  income  growth  productivity  output  gap  recovery  reflate  reflation  monetary  policy  subsidies  subsidizing  democracy 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Homelessness figures: Nearly 100,000 children in England 'homeless' - BBC News
Nearly 100,000 children in England are living in temporary accommodation after being made homeless, new figures show. // &! More & more student start work after graduation in low pay jobs not requiring a diploma, due to current job market/job creation situation in UK! Not hitting 21k repayment threshold - bbc.in/1OU0K3H - OBR show fewer are likely to start paying than was expected when the policy was introduced, [...] freezing the loan repayment threshold - alongside other changes such as replacing maintenance grants for poorer students with loans - will significantly increase the cost of going to university. It says this risks undermining pledges by successive governments to improve social mobility, as well as raising uncertainty in students' minds over the terms of their borrowing. //&! Higher education cuts 'risk NI being left behind' - bbc.in/1gZMrgj //&! Doctors warn Tories not to cut free school meals (child poverty, food poverty) bbc.in/1LewQrn
UK  property  bubble  Supply  and  Demand  Demand  and  Supply  affordable  housing  social  housing  Gini  coefficient  Generationengerechtigkeit  generation  rent  poverty  trap  child  poverty  food  poverty  austerity  Policy  Makers  dogma  ideology  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Tories  Conservative  Party  housing  market  Crisis  housing  benefit  benefits  welfare  state  social  safety  net  bank  bailout  fairness  social  cohesion  minority  constituency  error  folly  babyboomers  social  tension  Toff  Establishment  Privileged  Entitlement  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  excess  reserves  mortgage  market  Buy-to-Let  Right  to  Buy  Buy  to  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  inequality  Funding  for  Lending  Scheme  macroprudential  macroeconomic  microeconomics  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  debtoverhang  household  debt  recovery  2015  consumer  debt  debt  servitude  private  debt  Payday  Loans  Student  Loan  Millennials  generationy  secular  stagnation  low  income  prevention  job  security  job  market  labour  market  Niedriglohnsektor  Service  Sector  Jobs  job  creation  income  mobility  social  mobility  downward  mobility  precarious  work  Precariat  working  poor  University  vocational  education  professional  education  Maintenance  Student  Maintenance  child  Allowanc 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Bank of England may cut rates, says chief economist - BBC News
Softening employment figures and weakening surveys on manufacturing and construction output suggested growth in the UK could slow in the second half of the year and inflation might not pick up as expected. Furthermore, problems in emerging markets could be a drag on UK growth and the headwinds from those economies were unlikely to abate any time soon, Mr Haldane added. //&! In a wide-ranging speech that called on central bankers to think more radically to fend off the next downturn – including the notion of abolishing cash – Haldane warned the UK was not ready for higher borrowing costs. He described recent events in Greece and China as "the latest leg of what might be called a three-part crisis trilogy."
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
RICHARD KOO: 'Struggle between markets and central banks has only just begun' - Business Insider
… much of the rise in share prices and fall in currency values under QE were nothing more than liquidity-driven phenomena divorced from real economy fundamentals. Now that an end to QE is in sight, it is time for a correction. Fed Chair Janet Yellen’s remarks several months ago about elevated stock market valuations were most likely a reference to this bubble. A correction of some kind was inevitable as the Fed moved to normalize monetary policy. However, it still needed a trigger, and that was provided by China. [...] “The market gyrations of the last two months represent just the beginning of the QE trap”, says Koo.
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Millennials Can't Afford Cars, and Are Fine With That - Bloomberg View
As somebody who wondered in a column last week whether people in developed countries were perhaps learning that they no longer needed as much stuff as they used to, and whether this might lead to big shifts in the global economy, I read on with great interest. [...] The changes in young adults' consumption habits have clearly been influenced by economic forces. But economic forces shape societal attitudes, too. I also don't see much sign that these economic forces are about to reverse. Both these things can be true: The median 25-to-34-year-old has less to spend, and is less interested in spending it on a car.
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Labour leadership races can change fast; interest rates, not so much | Business | The Guardian
The fact of the matter is that, while George Osborne is obsessed with shrinking the size of the public sector and causing hardship and misery, the real crisis in this country concerns not the size of the budget deficit, but the record peacetime balance-of-payments deficit of a whopping 6% of GDP. With this in mind, John Llewellyn and Russell Jones of Llewellyn Consulting have been urging the Bank to encourage the overvalued pound to fall towards more realistic levels, to avoid an almighty sterling crisis when the markets finally wake up to the real crisis in the British economy.
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
BBC News - A history of social housing
Viability assessments are commercially confidential. not even the council can have a look at them. just get yes/no, and something liking to an executive summary. >> bbc.in/1FR9JAh - The UK has a serious shortage of affordable homes. Lesley Curwen asks whether the current system - where councils do deals with developers to provide cheaper homes - is working. [...] in transparent, not accountable, no inclusion of community/tax payer. abuse of the system & situation. writing their own rules. knowing they have the leverage/upper hand due to the shortage and pressure put on councils by public due to shortage. the new-smaller bankster! Out come additional/more cost for everyone due all this. This is not a market. This is a one way game, again. Like the bank bailout was. either you bail us out on our conditions or you go down with us. // &! Why can't the UK build 240,000 houses a year? - bbc.in/1xjHHTi // &! bit.ly/17zBXQv - The housing crisis in charts &! bit.ly/1Nboz5Y &! bit.ly/1t4PWYh
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
▶ How The Economic Machine Works by Ray Dalio
credit great 4 productive investments 4 the future that will benefit u/me/gov/biz like infrastructure/edu/skills. but waste 4 pure consumption that dont increase productivity in the long run. Like consumer credit spend 2 replace a 2yr old flat screen. vs consumer credit 4 vocational/professional further edu 2 get a higher earning job (future higher income 2 repay the then debt liability & have some more/left over). Bad if u dont have later higher earnings from higher education 2 repay debt & just work in an underemployed placement that any college dropout could do. Thing is, college dropout doesnt have that debt liability that the higher education person has (reduced disposable income bc debt repayment + interest payments.) Women are hit double (gender pay gap) & triple (childcare long-term earnings loss). // min16 income growth important 2 keep up with debt repayment beyond interest. if not, we reached peak long-term debt cycle! // doesnt include globalisation's deflationary effects
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Vince Cable: ‘Historically, the coalition will be seen as a success’ – interview | Politics | The Guardian
[A] look at the post-crash global economy, is the first fruit of that freedom. After toeing the line for five years, he can go public with his criticisms of chancellor George Osborne’s handling of the economy. He warns that the emphasis on consumption rather than investment, the continuing reliance on house price inflation as the driver of growth, the decline in productivity and innovation mean fundamental problems are not being addressed. He is also the first minister to lift the lid on the coalition: we learn the Tories could be likable colleagues but “collectively appalling, with ugly tribal prejudices”; that Osborne and David Cameron were unable “to move Theresa May an inch”; that Osborne’s Treasury effectively controlled government, with a hands-off Cameron; and that, in Cable’s view, Nick Clegg and Danny Alexander were too accepting of the Treasury line. [...] [ Cameron the PR man, being in office for the sake of just being in Office ] &! bit.ly/1KROBLk
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
After the Crisis - Mark Blyth - YouTube
>> what if rise of the banks (deregulation, easy credit, global financial markets - arbitrage, and making money with money) fuelled the growth of the last ~25-30 years. // min 47 3 asset bubbles popped // USA - 40% of corporate profits came from 10% of corporate sector (banks) // 30% of MIT grads went to banks instead of real world engineering and manufacturing. // underwater private sector! via credit bubble: student loans (now 1trn and still rising in USA and UK, future disposable income/discretionary spending lower than babyboomers because of wage stagnation, no wage growth) credit cards, mortgages, heloc (home equity line of credit) --- all will have to focus on paying back debt. // 2015 - us student loans 1.25trn - bit.ly/1KJ29uc + auto loans << bubble to eventually pop when collateral is falling! ie stagnant wages for 10 more years. and more and more cant repay their student loans. // 1:12:00 Bubbles move on; dot.com, real estate (property) & commodities, China,
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Thom Hartmann "The Crash of 2016" - YouTube
7:10 American Dream not abt being Super Rich, part of 1%, self-made millionaire. American Dream is abt live a good life, meaningful work. Launch children into world. Edu. Vacation. & Left over 4 retirement. having a voice; Workers Union. Health Care. Some little savings. Retirement Fund. // Wages did not keep up with productivity gains, if they had, minimum wage would be about $22! - bit.ly/1NZLVwc // 1trn$ in student loans/debt! that is what post-war gen had in assets! // (neoliberalism and neoconservative) Think Tanks; like Kato Institute, produce papers that are pushed to media 'getting our message across' (control media), also control over our justice system, & control over our education (our story, ie X Prof and read Ayan Rand). // Middle Class once invested in college & university. Was seen as intellectual class, society pillar. Till the last 32 years. // cites Fourth Turning book! // re-peat of 1929, = GFC // &! youtu.be/nUWaXZWhnqA &! youtu.be/polYrI4Us84
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Number of workers on zero-hours contracts up by 19% | UK news | The Guardian
Office for National Statistics says number of people reporting that they work on contracts with no minimum hours has risen to 744,000 [...] “The effect of zero-hours contracts on market behaviour and outcomes is thus likely to be greater than their incidence might suggest.” He also said that more employers would stop offering full-time permanent contracts to avoid paying the steep rise in the national living wage for the over-25s that comes into force next April. “In an otherwise very lightly regulated UK labour market the forthcoming large hike in the minimum wage when the national living wage (NVL) is introduced next year might act as a further incentive to employers to increase their use of zero-hours contracts – which are already very prevalent in sectors where the NVL will bite hardest - in order to minimise the impact on total labour costs.” [ study shows ppl are worse of, much more worse off ] &! Zero-hours contracts offered to 'a quarter of all unemployed' - bit.ly/1Nn9yiT
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
UK interest rate rises - waiting for lift-off | Business | The Guardian
In 2018 – by when, bear in mind, most of the work of austerity is expected to have been done – Miles calculates that fiscal consolidation will still drag interest rates downwards by more than 0.75% compared to what would otherwise be the case. This is one of the factors explaining the (commonly held) assumption that interest rates will approach a “new normal” over the next few years that is likely to be about half as high as the 5% that prevailed pre-financial crisis. Even in the second half of the parliament this “fiscal headwind” will still be blowing strong. [...] The case for introducing more transparency isn’t mere technocratic trimming. The balance struck between monetary and fiscal policy has big consequences. There are obvious distributional implications (all else equal, mortgage holders win; savers lose). There are ramifications too for the capital allocation process, the current account, and the risk of an asset-bubble. The list goes on: the macro-mix matters.
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august 2015 by asterisk2a
Joseph Stiglitz: It’s Time to Get Radical on Inequality - YouTube
Nobel laureate Stiglitz, author of The Price of Inequality and The Great Divide, studies the forces driving inequality and what is at stake if it continues. In his view, bad economic thinking deserves part of the blame — fanciful ideas like trickle-down and the notion that economists should try to increase the size of the economic pie and let the politicians worry about distribution. On the contrary, Stiglitz sees distribution as a problem economists must confront. He warns that an economic system that doesn’t raise standards of living for most Americans is a failure. [...] monopoly rent = too big to fail/tbtf (bailout) == cost to society/economic damage == where was antitrust!? monopolies are less productive & costly eventually in the long-term. rent exploitation through lobby! [...] this is bad for everyone, rising inequality, lower inequality is an econ multiplier // &! The Great Divide with Joseph Stiglitz and Robert Reich - youtu.be/e3aJxy9tA-w &! youtu.be/U-oEjFKCp00 NEET
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july 2015 by asterisk2a
Davos 2015: Nouriel Roubini says Income Inequality Creates U.S. Plutocracy - YouTube
- shown hurting growth. US growth is dependent on consumer spending. stupid. hacking off the only leg one has is not smart. // established economic truth ! Paul Krugman: Inequality Actually Bad for Growth - youtu.be/cRMi8_M681U &! Paul Krugman & Tony Atkinson in Conversation | Inequality and Economic Growth - youtu.be/3l6E3mUNW70 &! &! What's Really Driving Income Inequality: Orszag - youtu.be/XJ_raBX7oq8 ( only added value jobs STEM - pays for work and shows wage growth, not so in service sector jobs. UK recovery showed it; lots of service sector job creation than any other type of job + Lohnzurueckhalting (no leverage to demand higher wage than just minimum wage or little above bc outside the door waits the one who will replace you) = no wage growth in the first couple of years of recovery and no productivity growth and persistent output gap (below potential) )
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july 2015 by asterisk2a
UK's inflation rate falls to 0% - BBC News
bit.ly/1IXuomp >> Carney: Current account deficit is a risk highlighted by FPC. UK is relying on the kindness of strangers to finance current account deficit. Household borrowing isn't driving the deficit Tighter fiscal policy is needed. Tighter macroeconomic policy is needed also. Deficit highlights importance of maintaining the attractiveness of the UK for foreign investment // &! bit.ly/1I07olT - BOE's Miles doesn't see secular stagnation in the UK [...] Carney - Health of the financial system is likely to boost productivity [really?] [...] McCafferty: Low income jobs have kept productivity low &! bit.ly/1JfaSxr - Bank is looking at the household sensitivity to rate rises [ mortgage bubble will prevent BOE to raise rates faster as demand stokes as more disposable income is spend on serving interest payments thus depressing GDP growth bc 70% of it is consumer spending ] &! bit.ly/1HtySg1
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july 2015 by asterisk2a
Budget 2015: Student maintenance grants scrapped - BBC News
USA STYLE, no free education (~ we are all in it together, everyone is a stakeholder and pitches in, companies, people, pensioners, - to raise the added value one produces within an economy, over time - not so in USA, UK vs Germany - where people cry out loud that not enough qualified people exist to fill the economy needs and global demand for value added products, services, goods. IT IS ALSO A WAY TO REDUCE THE PUBLIC DEBT AND TRANSFER IT TO PRIVATE DEBT with higher interest payments = lower aggregate spending power in the future compared to lower interest rates serving it on the public books)! Load up on loans. // University maintenance grants 4 lower income students in England & Wales are 2be scrapped September 2016 [...] Student maintenance grants to be replaced with loans from 2016-17, to be paid back once people earn more than £21,000 a year. The maintenance loan will increase to £8,200. [will also affect mature students wanting to climb up the ladder].
Fachkräftemangel  USA  UK  student  loan  debt  consumer  debt  private  debt  studentdebt  student  debt  household  debt  public  debt  Super  Cycle  social  mobility  Gini  coefficient  income  mobility  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  poverty  welfare  state  child  poverty  education  policy  vocational  education  squeezed  middle  class  social  contract  dogma  ideology  austerity  fairness  uncertainty  Toff  Privileged  Establishment  Higher 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Revealed: hitlist of welfare cuts facing Britain's next chancellor | Politics | The Guardian
No Representation; personal & corporate tax avoidance/evasion (criminal behaviour) & non-dom, as well as progressive tax code (just lowered last term to 45% for 150k.) Instead should be 50% as it was. As well as introducing a 55%/60% for 500k/1m. // &! UK living standards fell for all but the richest under coalition – analysis - bit.ly/1Rc2PZg // &! bit.ly/1JU55Cm "when it comes to cuts there is no longer any “low-hanging fruit”. What’s left are in large part harsh cuts hitting middle-income working families" [...] Cameron spoke this morning of a “one nation” Toryism but he will know his £12bn of cuts will disproportionately hit the poor, young sick and​ disabled. The cuts will deliver more pain, fear and instability to those they affect. [...] seriously dismantling the welfare state [Cameron and Tories] will know this carries a political cost. // &! bit.ly/1PwOhQg bit.ly/1GaA37k bit.ly/1Ij67FZ bit.ly/1FJecDL bit.ly/1IAKanv
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may 2015 by asterisk2a
Macroeconomics Causes of Inequality - YouTube
"consumption drives much of the economy" // free up disposable income >> free child care, health care, limit exploitation of financial illiterate people (% interest on pay day loans, overdraft charges, dispo), public services, social services, pension contribution by state (preventing poverty at old age), tax credits for low income and children and carers, free education and vocational education/continual education - enabling to move up the ladder, // min11 - secular stagnation post GFC compared to previous recessions in terms of real household demand (balance sheet recession, debt overhang, deleveraging (debt repayment), and lack of new issuance of consumer credit I guess, too + rising income equality! lower redistribution from top to bottom (fair taxation) reduces recycling of income (freed up by policy items above) into demand. // min 18 - top 5% society (luxury, vanity, status) takes over bottom 80% society in aggregate terms of consumption. Economy driven by WHOM?! Affluent!
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may 2015 by asterisk2a

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