asterisk2a + discretionary + bank   39

(4081) Warum wir alle ärmer werden – Top-Ökonom erklärt die Gründe! // Mission Money - YouTube
houses are unproductive / schuldeninfusion erhaelt am leben, zombie u.a. / wer bezahlt fuer EU schuldenschnitt? / German econ illusion / banken in eu immernoch sanierungsbeduerftig /
Productivity  output  gap  secular  stagnation  economic  history  book  Robotics  AI  augmented  artificial  intelligence  GFC  recovery  debt  overhang  Austerity  household  wage  growth  inflation  deflationary  deflation  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Japan  BOE  Fed  BOJ  ECB  income  zombie  Richard  Koo  disposable  discretionary  spending  bank  bailout  NPL 
october 2017 by asterisk2a
Brooks and Klein on Tom Price’s plane scandal, Trump taking aim at the NFL - YouTube
Culture and Identity Politics again Tribalism, Patritotism, Nationalism, Militarism, // see how neoliberal capitalism has destroyed fabric of society w individualism consumerism identity - Alain De Botton and Adam Curtis. When you can't consumer, and do culture, and only have tv as (and fb newsfeed) as window to the world to see the world experience the world - you dont take part in society - Kulturteilhabe. dann willst du AfD Brexit Trump. them v us. // nfl is epitome of culture war identity politics and post-racial america - resistance!
Culture  Identity  Politics  DonaldTrump  Donald  Trump  Brexit  AfD  history  post-racial  America  Religion  Liberalism  Liberal  LGBT  Society  Gesellschaft  Capitalism  Consumer  Consumerism  consumerist  Selbstdarstellung  Kulturteilhabe  Facebook  Newsfeed  TV  MSM  poverty  trap  squeezed  middle  class  Precariat  debt  credit  card  chronic  stress  self-medication  book  war  refugee  migration  immigration  social  income  mobility  secular  stagnation  growth  disposable  discretionary  spending  GFC  bank  bailout  double  standard  tax  evasion  avoidance  Career  Politicians  status  quo  neoliberal  neoliberalism  Konsum  accountability 
september 2017 by asterisk2a
UK pay squeeze breaks all sorts of records for all the wrong reasons | Larry Elliott | Business | The Guardian
As John Philpott, who runs the Jobs Economist consultancy, noted: “What’s remarkable is that pay growth, however measured, is so weak at a time when employment is at joint record rate of 74.8% and unemployment at a 42-year low of 4.6%, driven almost entirely in the latest quarter by relatively strong growth in full-time jobs for employees on permanent contracts. Hard times and near full employment make strange bedfellows, highlighting the extent to which a deregulated labour market with an abundance of workers available to fill low wage vacancies has altered the UK jobs landscape.”
UK  Brexit  GE2017  Austerity  wage  income  growth  inflation  living  standard  disposable  discretionary  spending  creditcard  credit  card  household  debt  personal  loan  secular  stagnation  GFC  recovery  bank  bailout  inequality  poverty  trap  tax  evasion  avoidance  taxation  capital  investment  economic  history 
june 2017 by asterisk2a
Yes this really is the end of Tory austerity – because it was never about economics in the first place | The Independent
[private sector will pick up the tap - the households did, but not corporations! bc long-term ROI growth in not attractive in the west w secular stagnation! see Richard Koo ] But it was a very long time coming. It became clear within a year of George Osborne’s 2010 “emergency budget”, which forced through huge cuts in capital budgets and an intense squeeze on Whitehall departments and welfare spending, that the austerity medicine was hurting, not helping.

The economy was flatlining, teetering on the verge of recession. Whether this was primarily due to the crisis in the neighbouring eurozone and a spike in global oil prices or because the negative knock-on impact of the government’s domestic spending cuts was bigger than initially thought is still debated by economists.
Austerity  Brexit  GE2017  Confidence  Fairy  GFC  bank  bailout  welfare  state  living  standard  deficit  debt  government  household  personal  loan  credit  card  creditcard  underinvestment  inequality  economic  history  social  mobility  income  growth  wage  disposable  discretionary  spending  gini  coefficient  tax  evasion  avoidance  taxation  corporate  taxcut  capital  labour  Productivity  output  gap  recovery  secular  stagnation  infrastructure  investment  Privatisation  Theresa  May  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Ideology  neoliberal  neoliberalism  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  bond  bubble  asset  reflation  housing  distortion  malinvestment  stimulus  Tories  nasty  party  Conservative  RichardKoo  Koo  Richard 
june 2017 by asterisk2a
Budget 2017: Hammond to tell us the Brexit vote could have been worse | Business | The Guardian
consumers carried on spending and businesses continued to expand.

The picture for the public finances is also looking rosier compared with Hammond’s maiden autumn statement in November. [...] But here’s what the chancellor will not tell you: living costs have gone up and will continue to do so. The poorest will be hit hardest as the cost of essentials such as food and heating take a growing chunk out of already tight family budgets. Wages will struggle to match rises in inflation and the government’s benefit cuts mean that incomes will fall for the poorest people in Britain. In short, unless the government does something significant to improve living standards this week, inequality will start rising again.
UK  JAM  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  Precariat  Theresa  May  Philip  Hammond  Austerity  DWP  HMRC  inflation  wage  growth  social  mobility  inequality  income  Tories  Productivity  child  poverty  trap  output  gap  recovery  GFC  bank  bailout  nasty  party  Conservative  Generationengerechtigkeit  babyboomers  Millennials  generation  rent  living  standard  discretionary  spending  disposable  credit  taxation  household  debt  mortgage  housing  crisis  Consumer  Consumerism  economic  history  neoliberalism  interventionism  crony  capitalism  tax  evasion  avoidance  corporatism  Exploitation  zero  hour  contract  part-time  minimum  generational  divide  Triple  Lock  Pension 
march 2017 by asterisk2a
IFS: Growth in UK living standards worst in 60 years | Business | The Guardian
The Institute for Financial Studies is predicting that households will be almost 20% worse off by 2021 - IFS calculations show that average household incomes will be 18% lower in 2021-22 than could have been reasonably expected before the financial crisis in 2007-08 - “One of the biggest drivers of the rise in child poverty is policy choices, which is why it is essential that the prime minister and chancellor use the upcoming budget to put in place measures to stop this happening. An excellent start would be to ensure families can keep more of their earnings under the universal credit.”
IMF  UK  Austerity  OECD  living  standard  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Philip  Hammond  Theresa  May  GFC  recovery  Tories  nasty  party  bank  bailout  Labour  Ed  Miliband  Jeremy  Corbyn  Conservative  secular  stagnation  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  household  debt  credit  card  mortgage  private  Consumer  Consumerism  wage  growth  inflation  mobility  inequality  gini  Coefficient  poverty  trap  working  poor  gig  economy  zero  hour  contract  Self-Employment  part-time  Precariat  squeezed  middle  class  technological  unemployment  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  trickle-down  neoliberalism  crony  Capitalism  corporatism  tax  evasion  avoidance  GDP  Corporate  profit  maximisation  globalisation  globalization  welfare  underinvestment  child  taxation  taxcredit  UC  DWP  JSA  social  fuel  Brexit  neoconservatism  neoconservatives  JAM 
march 2017 by asterisk2a
UK faces return to inequality of Thatcher years, says report | Business | The Guardian
Pressure on the government to help struggling Britons has intensified after a leading thinktank warned that falling living standards for the poor threatened the biggest rise in inequality since Margaret Thatcher was prime minister.

The Resolution Foundation said Theresa May would need to make good on her pledge to support “just about managing” households as it released a report showing that rising inflation and an end to recent strong jobs growth would hit the least well-off hardest.
UK  Brexit  Austerity  tax  credit  Tories  JAM  nasty  party  Conservative  poverty  fuel  working  poor  Precariat  zero  hour  contract  Contractor  Self-Employment  gig  Economy  1099  part-time  social  mobility  income  distribution  redistribution  squeezed  middle  class  technological  unemployment  underemployed  underemployment  trap  education  policy  public  health  inequality  Food  Bank  gini  Coefficient  Triple  Lock  Pension  JSA  ESA  DWP  minimum  wage  taxation  evasion  avoidance  HMRC  NHS  inflation  living  standard  disposable  discretionary  spending  Card  consumer  debt  household  underinvestment  skills  skill-biased  Productivity  output  gap  downward  upward  Theresa  May  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Philip  Hammond 
february 2017 by asterisk2a
Oh for the 1960s! People earned less but could afford more | Money | The Guardian
[ fetish of GDP ] Economic growth since the 1960s has been real, but the link between growth and personal prosperity has broken down, probably since the 1990s. We can carry on pushing for increases in GDP, but it’s meaningless unless it translates into a recovery in living standards. If any government really wants to help the left-behinds, then cutting house prices and rents must be their first priority.
GDP  wage  growth  income  distribution  economic  history  profit  maximisation  capitalism  crony  oligopoly  monopoly  Platform  Self-Employment  Productivity  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  globalisation  Competition  liberal  reform  competitiveness  disposable  discretionary  spending  investment  creditcard  credit  GFC  recovery  Austerity  secular  stagnation  taxation  1%  Super  Rich  Plutocracy  10%  20%  bank  bailout  Privatisation  outsourcing  offshore  banking  tax  evasion  avoidance  child 
december 2016 by asterisk2a
IMF urges more spending to boost growth
Fund’s steering committee calls for more forceful stimulus and warns monetary policy alone is not enough //&! http://www.theguardian.com/business/imf //&! bit.ly/1V9pfhD - IMF chief: regulators long 'alarmed' over Panama's handling of taxation. Christine Lagarde responds to Panama Papers revelations, noting that authorities were concerned but did not take ‘expected’ action.
secular  stagnation  Panama  Papers  tax  evasion  tax  amnesty  tax  avoidance  corporate  tax  rate  labour  market  job  market  Service  Sector  Jobs  income  tax  receipts  budget2016  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  general  election  2015  general  election  2020  election  campaign  promises  Party  Funding  Richard  Koo  Confidence  Fairy  austerity  underinvestment  Generationengerechtigkeit  triple-lock  pension  fairness  Generation  Rent  Housing  Crisis  property  bubble  USA  UK  reflation  reflate  fiscal  policy  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  GFC  sovereign  debt  banking  bank  bailout  job  creation  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  IMF  OECD  credit  bubble  China  BRIC  recovery  Germany  economic  history  2016  Niall  Ferguson  budget  deficit  offshore  banking  investment  banking  TBTF  self-regulation  Greed  crony  capitalism  shareholder  capitalism  globalisation  globalization  global  economy  Oil  price  commodity  prices  ChristineLagarde  inequality  Gini  coefficient  income  mobility  social  mobility  low  pay  low  income  tax  credit  child  poverty  food  poverty  health  care  cost  health  care  demand  western  world  European  Union  Brussels  Brexit  Grexit  sick  population  health  economic  Union  Union  investment  policy  fiscal  me 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Capitalism and Mental Health: How the Market Makes Us Sick
POVERTY TRAP! // we were never as miserable as a nation as ever before.
profit  maximisation  profit  maximization  underinvestment  austerity  shareholder  capitalism  capitalism  in  crisis  capitalism  capitalist  working  poor  Precariat  squeezed  middle  class  status  anxiety  materialism  consumerism  consumerist  well  being  mental  health  burnout  work  life  balance  exploitation  exploited  part-time  part-time  employment  Contractor  self-employment  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  cortisol  poverty  trap  poverty  child  poverty  low  pay  low  income  shareholder  value  Wall  Street  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  Robert  Skidelsky  Slavoj  Žižek  Disabled  vulnerable  DWP  WCA  Iain  Duncan  Smith  Stephen  Crabb  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  public  health  public  health  policy  public  health  risk  liberal  economic  reform  neoliberal  neoliberalism  JSA  sanctions  Food  Bank  self-medication  substance  abuse  abuse  alcohol  abuse  alcoholism  binge  drinking  coping  mechanism  GP  health  care  cost  health  care  demand  NHS  homeless  homelessness  Housing  Generation  Rent  UK  USA  precarious  work  precarious  employment  isolation  child  protection  education  policy  Self-esteem  sociology  psychology  Wertegesellschaft  Gesellschaft  values  Gentrified  Gentrifzierung  gentrification  Beton  Gold  Betongold  urban  planning  urbanisation  rat  capitalism  class  economic 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
What Happens Next (In Europe)?
the odds of another crisis are higher than a rally to fresh records. [...]
“The 2009-2015 rally originated from two main drivers: a massive stimulus, and credit expansion in China,” said Goette, who’s a partner at his firm in Zug, Switzerland and helps oversee 1 billion Swiss francs ($1 billion).

“European earnings have not followed suit so far. Skepticism regarding central-bank operations has started to emerge.”
ECB  Brussels  recovery  reflate  reflation  China  credit  bubble  Germany  PIGS  zombie  banks  European  Bank  Supervision  European  Economic  Area  European  Election  2014  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  MarioDraghi  OMT  LTRO  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  sovereign  debt  crisis  France  Brexit  Grexit  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  history  underinvestment  Richard  Koo  Yanis  Varoufakis  liquidity  trap  zombie  corporations  youth  unemployment  demographic  bubble  OAP  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  liberal  reform  Precariat  precarious  employment  low  pay  low  income  Minijob  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  1  Euro  Job  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  unemployment  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  union  union  Rechtsruck  Bundesbank  fault  lines  shareholder  capitalism  bailout  GFC  2016  PBOC  Exportweltmeister  zombie  Financial  Stability  Board  crony  capitalism  Deutsche  Bank  infrastructure  investment  competitiveness  Beton  Gold  Betongold  asset  allocation  Super  Rich  1%  oligarchy  plutocracy  democracy  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  profit  maximization  Russia  Crimea  Ukraine  U 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Piketty: EU should welcome one million immigrants a year
"The European Union has the capacity to absorb a large flow of migrants, one million per year in terms of inflow net of outflow," he said.
"This is exactly what we had between 2000 and 2010 and this was working in the sense that unemployment was being reduced.
"The problem is - with the austerity policies and with the recession - now we are in a situation where it's very difficult in particular with southern Europe, with the terrible economic situation that we have created there in particular." [...] The population of the EU has only risen by 0.2% a year since 1995, he argues, compared to 1.2% for the world's population over the same period.
According to Eurostat, the official statistical arm of the European Commission, a total of 3.4 million people came to the EU during 2013. Some 2.8 million left, leaving a net immigration figure of around 600,000. [S]low growth [...] exacerbated not just by a lack of immigration but also by austerity policies aimed at reducing public expenditure. [EU in recession 2011 forward]
immigration  migration  refugee  crisis  Integrationspolitik  Sozialpolitik  youth  unemployment  austerity  GFC  secular  stagnation  Richard  Koo  ageing  population  demographic  bubble  social  safety  net  pension  obligation  economic  history  welfare  state  Gini  coefficient  Super  Rich  inequality  social  mobility  income  mobility  plutocracy  oligarchy  Precariat  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  hartz-iv  Aufstocker  neoliberal  neoliberalism  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  ALG2  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  Minijob  part-time  employment  Contractor  self-employment  Zero  Hour  Contract  underinvestment  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  Robert  Skidelsky  bank  bailout  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  Leadership  Wall  Street  shareholder  capitalism  crony  capitalism  lobby  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  democracy  European  Union  UK  Elizabeth  Warren  Paul  Krugman  Robert  Reich  Joseph  Stiglitz  carbon  tax  policy  folly  policy  error  right-wing  far-right  Rechtsruck  recovery  nominal  GDP  targeting  inflation  targeting  finite  resources  resource  depletion  GNP  GDP  GDP  measurement  profit  maximisation  profit  shareholder  policy  income  inequality  income 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
George Osborne: A profile of the man behind the Budget - BBC Newsnight
// 70% of UK economy growth (GDP), 2015, was consumption. // and trade deficit/current account deficit for 2015, biggest ever on record ---- The UK's current account deficit widened to a record high in the final quarter of last year.
The deficit in the three months to December was £32.7bn, the equivalent of 7% of GDP, said the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
For all of 2015, it came to £96.2bn or 5.2% of GDP. Both figures were the highest since records began in 1948.
A current account deficit means the value of imports of goods, services and investment income exceeds exports.[...] "An obvious potential trigger for the markets losing confidence in the UK economy could be a vote to leave the EU in the 23 June referendum." [ harder to finance w weak Sterling and higher interest rates, rating agencies hinted at the case of a downgrade of UK's credit worthieness ] - bbc.in/1ZMEvAg
Budget2016  George  Osborne  Career  Politicians  austerity  economic  history  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  David  Cameron  Brexit  HS2  minimum  wage  living  wage  budget  deficit  trade  deficit  secular  stagnation  recovery  Toff  No  Representation  Privileged  Establishment  demographic  bubble  bank  bailout  Positioning  dogma  ideology  neoliberal  neoliberalism  spin  doctor  PR  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  wage  stagnation  squeezed  middle  class  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  Student  Loan  Generation  Rent  underinvestment  Richard  Koo  Japan  nominal  GDP  targeting  GDP  growth  of  income  shareholder  capitalism  crony  capitalism  current  account  deficit  GBP  Sterling  business  confidence  global  economy  fault  lines  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  BOE  Mark  Carney 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Budget 2016 shows Osborne's failure on debt, surplus, GDP
// higher in-work poverty
budget2015  budget2016  budget2010  general  election  2010  general  election  2015  PR  spin  doctor  economic  history  Positioning  Richard  Koo  austerity  underinvestment  dogma  ideology  policy  folly  policy  error  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  nasty  party  Iain  Duncan  Smith  corporate  tax  rate  corporate  welfare  corporate  subsidies  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Google  Inc.  shareholder  capitalism  bank  bailout  budget  deficit  Tories  Conservative  secular  stagnation  aggregate  demand  babyboomers  ageing  population  Northern  Powerhouse  triple-lock  pension  pension  obligation  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  Generation  Rent  property  bubble  Service  Sector  Jobs  job  creation  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  precarious  work  tax  credit  wage  stagnation  productivity  output  gap  Gini  coefficient  income  tax  receipts  tax  code  Zero  Hour  Contract  part-time  underemployment  underemployed  low  pay  low  income  BOE  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  election  campaign  promises  car  loan  student  debt  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  child  poverty  Food  poverty  tax  credit  Privatisation  Council  Public  Services  Social  Services  bed  blocking  education  policy  skills  gap  Academy  underinvestment  NHS 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
This Letting Agent Admits The Housing Shortage Is Good News For Landlords - BuzzFeed News
[ Lord Adair Turner book & Richard Koo; banks tend 2 lend 2 property & land rather than productivity/businesses. risk averse, if the family cant pay the mortgage any more, than at least u have not lost all the money! less risky! Its also partly rentier behaviour of banks. // also BOE has to be concerned about future disposable income; rent & utilities eating up 50%-75% of income thus less for consumption! ] “Landlords’ balance sheets are looking healthier than at any point since 2014, and property investors are looking at an excellent rate of return from their portfolios.” Gill warned that changes to stamp duty announced in chancellor George Osborne’s Autumn Statement and due to take effect on 1 April – people selling buy-to-let investments will pay an extra 3% – were bad news for landlords. But overall, the “consistent and developing lack of housing for across all tenures, for a spiralling population” meant the level of demand for rental properties would not reduce, he said.
property  bubble  speculative  bubbles  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  macroprudential  policy  Generationengerechtigkeit  generation  rent  Housing  Crisis  social  affordable  distortion  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  aggregate  demand  Right  to  Buy  Buy-to-Let  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Help  to  Save  policy  folly  policy  error  consumer  debt  household  debt  budget  deficit  recovery  mortgage  market  credit  bubble  GFC  bank  bailout  BOE  zombie  banks  rentier  rent-seeking  Richard  Koo  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  zombie  consumer  industrial  policy  economic  history  Mark  Carney  financial  repression  behavioral  finance  behavioral  economics  herding  herd  hunt  for  yield  leverage  margin  trading  equity  bubble  Gini  coefficient  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  VAR  CDO  CDS  risk  aversion  squeezed  middle  class  secular  stagnation  inequality  UK  generational  contract  lost  generation  constituency  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  David  Cameron  George  Osborne  general  election  2015  general  election  2020  fiscal  policy  austerity  monetary  policy  liquidity  trap 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
From Ticker - S&P: QE is driving inequality between the generations
Quantitative easing (QE) stabilized the economy but also exacerbated wealth disparity between rich and poor, mainly by boosting financial asset prices and house prices. //&! [ LOW PAY MINIMUM WAGE JOB CREATION ] During the U.K.’s recent “jobs-rich, pay-poor” economic recovery, strong employment gains were accompanied by a further rise of already high wage dispersion and an ever-growing share of part-time employment in lower income groups. //&! In the context of the tight housing market, low interest rates and QE are among the drivers behind the widening wealth and income gap between younger and older generations and between those on the housing ladder and those not on it. //&! Inequality is damaging! // bit.ly/1QtauyZ - Bank of England's recovery policies have increased inequality, finds S&P [...] spending too much on rent, not able to save for deposit! //&! bit.ly/1PPyEYl &! ti.me/1sbBtrz
QE  inequality  reflate  reflation  distortion  recovery  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  UK  USA  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  unconventional  monetary  policy  Fed  BOE  bank  bailout  zombie  banks  zombie  consumer  zombie  corporations  ZIRP  NIRP  TARP  TLTRO  LTRO  ECB  equity  bubble  asset  bubble  property  bubble  Housing  Crisis  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Help  to  Save  Right  to  Buy  income  inequality  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  budget  deficit  austerity  George  Osborne  income  distribution  poverty  trap  tax  credit  low  pay  low  income  squeezed  middle  class  Precariat  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  part-time  Tories  nasty  party  homeless  homelessness  social  affordable  Conservative  Toff  Privileged  Establishment  Funding  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  debt  servitude  economic  history 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
As growth falters, Osborne hopes Mark Carney can keep a lid on interest rates | Business | The Guardian
The chancellor faces lower GDP and lower tax receipts as a result. So it’s vital that consumers’ desire to keep spending isn’t hit by a nasty shock from the Bank [ // Confidence Fairy // ] The Bank of England has downgraded its forecasts for the UK’s GDP growth and the outlook for wages, most likely robbing the exchequer of vital income tax receipts. And without the funds to maintain pensions and health service spending, his critics will gleefully play back the speech from last November during which he declared that Britain was on the road to becoming “the most prosperous and secure of all the major nations of the world”. [...] Yet his words ring hollow when so many of the post-crash problems are still with us, from the burden of high private and public debts to Europe’s rapidly ageing population, which encourage saving over investment, and a reluctance from government and big business to boost capital spending.
George  Osborne  secular  stagnation  2016  2015  Mark  Carney  BOE  consumer  debt  household  debt  mortgage  market  subprime  credit  card  debt  zombie  consumer  UK  GDP  output  gap  productivity  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  recovery  economic  history  austerity  underinvestment  business  investment  public  investment  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Richard  Koo  Paul  Krugman  David  Cameron  nasty  party  Conservative  Tories  short-termism  credit  bubble  debtoverhang  debt  servitude  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  marginal  propensity  to  consume  Funding  1%  financial  repression  New  Normal  constituency  babyboomers  oligarchy  Gini  coefficient  income  distribution  income  inequality  plutocracy  Super  Rich  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  income  growth  low  pay  low  income  wage  growth  economic  growth  precarious  work  Precariat  tax  credit  tax  free  income  corporate  tax  rate  minimum  wage  budget2015  Food  Bank  foreign  direct  investment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  demographic  bubble  western  world  USA  European  Union  ageing  population  CapEx  Capital  Expenditure  zombie  corporations  zombie  banks 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Will easyFoodstore be the next easyJet – or the next easyCruise? | Business | The Guardian
No Expensie Brands. Everything canned or else. No fresh produce. // Stelios Haji-Ioannou opens easyFoodstore with 25p offer. EasyJet founder takes on supermarkets with discount grocery store in north-west London // There can’t be many customers in this shop – or anywhere – who remember easyCinema, easy4Men, easyMoney, easyInternetCafe, easyMusic or easyCruise. But despite some of the nags that flopped at the first hurdle, the brand has endured, thanks largely to easyJet. The airline Haji-Ioannou founded – and in which he still has a 35% stake – paid him £77m in dividends last year and also provided the lion’s share of the £13.2m turnover easyGroup made by licensing use of its brand.
austerity  poverty  UK  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  precarious  work  Precariat  working  poor  low  income  squeezed  middle  class  low  pay  minimum  wage  recovery  Food  Bank  poverty  business  model  opportunity  Opportunism  Lidl  Aldi  e-commerce  Retail  brick  and  mortar  business  Primark  Fast  Fashion  Tesco 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Plan to end student grants without Commons vote outrages opposition | Politics | The Guardian
[ shifting public debt onto private debt balance sheet. = no vision! debt is still there in economy! paying higher interest rates. -- vs -- bankers gambling debt put on public balance sheet! ] Ministers have been accused of an “outrageous” attempt to sneak through their proposals to end student grants in England without proper scrutiny by MPs. The plan to scrap maintenance grants, which help half a million of the poorest students pay for university life, will go through a legislation committee on Thursday, without a vote and debate on the floor of the House of Commons. [...] Labour is opposing the change and the lack of scrutiny. Gordon Marsden, the shadow universities minister, said it was “not simply technical tinkering but a major change by the government that will deprive around half a million of England’s students from lower income and disadvantaged households, of maintenance grant funding”. // &! NHS nurse bursaries - ind.pn/1IYHYbk &! bit.ly/1IWZJI0 &! bbc.in/1RAhLRv
social  mobility  income  mobility  Gini  coefficient  household  debt  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  student  loan  debt  student  loan  Bubble  poverty  trap  poverty  child  poverty  tax  credit  education  policy  post  code  lottery  affordable  housing  social  housing  University  College  Maintenance  Allowance  Maintenance  Grant  NHS  Bursaries  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  democracy  social  democracy  bank  bailout  austerity  GFC  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  NHS  budget2015  nasty  party  Tories  Conservative  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Manifesto  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  babyboomers  Super  Cycle  2016  debt  servitude  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  debtoverhang  student  debt  fiscal  policy  economic  history  moral  beliefs  ethics  Toff  Privileged  Establishment  inequality  Super  Rich  1%  plutocracy  oligarchy  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  Precariat  Crisis  cost  of  living  low  income 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Börsenabsturz in China: Der Kontrollverlust - Kommentar - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Der Börsen-Crash in China ist Symptom eines fundamentalen Wandels: Um den Wohlstand zu erhalten, muss die Regierung immer mehr Kontrolle abgeben. Die Allmacht der kommunistischen Partei gerät ins Wanken.
China  economic  history  SRD  Yuan  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  corruption  bribery  regulation  regulators  liberal  economic  reform  economic  refugee  inequality  IMF  AIIB  World  Bank  Hegemony  PBOC  Gini  coefficient  social  safety  net  Services  Public  Services  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  pension  scheme  pension  pension  fund  asset  allocation  capital  allocation  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  credit  bubble  QT  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  shadow  banking  NPL  2015  2016  shadow  economy  demographic  bubble 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Will scrapping nurse bursaries help or worsen NHS staffing crisis? | Healthcare Professionals Network | The Guardian
[ moving another item off the books/balance sheet onto others, in this case, the private purse. and when tories came to power together with lib dems - they did cut part of funding for places ] Plans to axe bursaries and replace them with loans have been condemned by unions, but universities say they will lead to more training places for nurses, midwives and allied health professionals [...] Unions fear a loan system will be an obstacle to people from poorer backgrounds and career changers. Midwifery in particular attracts a large number of mature students over 29 – many of whom bring with them vital existing experience of childbirth – but are already saddled with debt from a first degree. //&! bit.ly/1HNLIMj
NHS  budget  deficit  budget2015  student  debt  student  loan  debt  household  debt  education  policy  private  debt  consumer  debt  Bubble  Maintenance  Grant  Maintenance  Allowance  student  loan  UK  Gini  coefficient  income  mobility  social  mobility  inequality  debt  servitude  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  staff  shortage  locum  staff  ageing  population  demographic  nasty  party  Tories  Conservative  Toff  Privileged  Establishment  class  warfare  austerity  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  constituency  babyboomers  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  bank  bailout  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  corporate  welfare 
december 2015 by asterisk2a
Blackrock-Vize Hildebrand kritisiert europäische Behörden - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Hildebrand: Nein, dafür sehe ich keine Anzeichen. Aber was mich schon besorgt, ist das Muster, dass frappantes Fehlverhalten europäischer Firmen immer wieder von amerikanischen Behörden aufgedeckt wird. Das scheint mir das wahre Problem zu sein. Ich denke da nicht nur an VW, sondern auch an die Banken oder an die Fifa. [...] Die Amerikaner dagegen sind das Problem schon 2009 angegangen, und die Banken sind schnell wieder gesundet. In Europa hat man es unter den Teppich gekehrt. [...] Europa hat zwei Probleme, und ein wesentliches davon ist ein Nachfrageproblem: Die Wirtschaft ist nicht ausgelastet, auch die Arbeitslosigkeit ist nach wie vor zu hoch. Und die Inflation liegt nahe null. [...] Europa hat auch ein Strukturproblem. Arbeits- und Produktmärkte sind überreguliert. [ Re Credit Bubble ] Niemand weiß genau, was geschieht, wenn diese Politik einmal umgekehrt wird.
VW  bank  bailout  FIFA  corporate  scandal  Volkswagen  sovereign  debt  crisis  too  big  to  bail  Grexit  European  Union  secular  stagnation  self-regulation  regulation  regulators  deregulation  accountability  white-collar  crime  banking  investment  banking  retail  banking  recovery  MarioDraghi  ECB  NIRP  ZIRP  TLTRO  LTRO  QE  GFC  economic  history  debtoverhang  Richard  Koo  fiscal  monetary  Brussels  lost  decade  lostgeneration  lost  generation  Generationengerechtigkeit  austerity  Pact  Schuldenbremse  underinvestment  productive  investment  ageing  population  demographic  bubble  squeezed  middle  class  emerging  middle  class  discretionary  spending  Sozialer  Abstieg  income  distribution  disposable  income  Brexit  credit  bubble  BRIC  emerging  market  Developing  World  western  Niall  Ferguson 
november 2015 by asterisk2a
Robert Reich - Timeline Photos
What about all the ballyhoo about manufacturing jobs coming back to America? Well, some have. But they pay lousy wages. The average wages of production and non-supervisory employees in manufacturing are lower today than they were in 1985, when adjusted for inflation. [...] Bottom line: Most Americans have got zilch out of this recovery. In fact, they’re worse off now than they were in 2000. Meanwhile, the top 0.1 percent is doing fabulously well. More and more people are concluding the game is rigged -- which it is. No one should be surprised at the surge in populist anger on the left and the right.
USA  job  creation  recovery  industrial  policy  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  UK  western  society  western  world  secular  stagnation  squeezed  middle  class  Sozialer  Abstieg  income  growth  economic  growth  disposable  income  income  distribution  income  mobility  income  inequality  income  redistribution  social  mobility  Gini  coefficient  Super  Rich  1%  discretionary  spending  zombie  consumer  credit  card  debt  credit  card  car  loan  2015  GFC  reflate  reflation  globalization  globalisation  flat  world  borderless  competitive  competitiveness  competition  low  pay  low  income  labour  market  labour  economics  Service  Sector  Jobs  Niedriglohn  Niedriglohnsektor  precarious  work  Precariat  working  poor  Joseph  Stiglitz  Robert  Reich  poverty  child  poverty  food  poverty  poverty  trap  generationy  babyboomers  participation  rate  manual  labour  Millennials  retirement  mainstreet  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  capital  gains  tax  corporate  tax  rate  dogma  ideology  neoliberalism  neoliberal  republicans  democrats  public  awareness  public  perception  American  Dream  post-racial  America  economic  justice  fairness  bank  bailout  TBTF  too  big  to  jail  too  big  to  bail  Generationengerechtigkeit  budget  deficit  austerity  populism  corporate  corporate  r 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Profit mean reversion and recession | Credit Writedowns
We are now in the seventh year of a cyclical recovery and bull market. Shares have tripled in that time frame. I would say this means we are much closer to the end of the business cycle than the beginning. Moreover, as Jeremy Grantham is quoted in the Business Insider piece, profits are mean-reverting and right now they are reverting from a phase that is “wildly optimistic” according to Warren Buffett. All of this is taking place against the backdrop of an economy in which wage growth is weak, household debt is still relatively high on a historic basis as a percentage of income and we have no policy room on the monetary side, with limited political appetite for policy on the fiscal side. To me, the pre-conditions for this profits recession speak to downside risk, ....
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october 2015 by asterisk2a
Matthew Hancock ripped apart on Tax Credits, welfare, etc. (05Oct15) - YouTube
- still worse off. [...] "we gotta make the savings." << morality - taking from the poor and letting tax evasion and avoidance go on. and other corporate welfare policies, that don't pay their taxes in the end.
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october 2015 by asterisk2a
Homelessness figures: Nearly 100,000 children in England 'homeless' - BBC News
Nearly 100,000 children in England are living in temporary accommodation after being made homeless, new figures show. // &! More & more student start work after graduation in low pay jobs not requiring a diploma, due to current job market/job creation situation in UK! Not hitting 21k repayment threshold - bbc.in/1OU0K3H - OBR show fewer are likely to start paying than was expected when the policy was introduced, [...] freezing the loan repayment threshold - alongside other changes such as replacing maintenance grants for poorer students with loans - will significantly increase the cost of going to university. It says this risks undermining pledges by successive governments to improve social mobility, as well as raising uncertainty in students' minds over the terms of their borrowing. //&! Higher education cuts 'risk NI being left behind' - bbc.in/1gZMrgj //&! Doctors warn Tories not to cut free school meals (child poverty, food poverty) bbc.in/1LewQrn
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
The new right to buy is solving 1979’s problems at today’s expense | Gaby Hinsliff | Comment is free | The Guardian
This Thatcherite policy revival fails to recognise that the main cause of the housing crisis is affordability //&! Housing bill needs radical, long-term measures to reform the market. As well as increasing supply, the government needs to use the tax system to make buy-to-let less attractive as an investment - bit.ly/1PDxWe3
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Bank of England may cut rates, says chief economist - BBC News
Softening employment figures and weakening surveys on manufacturing and construction output suggested growth in the UK could slow in the second half of the year and inflation might not pick up as expected. Furthermore, problems in emerging markets could be a drag on UK growth and the headwinds from those economies were unlikely to abate any time soon, Mr Haldane added. //&! In a wide-ranging speech that called on central bankers to think more radically to fend off the next downturn – including the notion of abolishing cash – Haldane warned the UK was not ready for higher borrowing costs. He described recent events in Greece and China as "the latest leg of what might be called a three-part crisis trilogy."
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
RICHARD KOO: 'Struggle between markets and central banks has only just begun' - Business Insider
… much of the rise in share prices and fall in currency values under QE were nothing more than liquidity-driven phenomena divorced from real economy fundamentals. Now that an end to QE is in sight, it is time for a correction. Fed Chair Janet Yellen’s remarks several months ago about elevated stock market valuations were most likely a reference to this bubble. A correction of some kind was inevitable as the Fed moved to normalize monetary policy. However, it still needed a trigger, and that was provided by China. [...] “The market gyrations of the last two months represent just the beginning of the QE trap”, says Koo.
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Brazil's downgrade | Authers' Note - YouTube
- 6 killer apps not yet properly installed. - // and still dependent on western world demand! aggregate demand via western consumer. // credit bubble and ZIRP/NIRP/QE has run its way largely // private sector could not pick up recovery. no appetite. same for SME SMB mittelstand. excess reserves not lend out because the horse has to drink by itself, can't make the drink. // especially when it has no means to served future credit interest payment coupons and principal repayment with no income growth! for decades. // inequality huts, middle class destoryed. - Career Politicans, Fear, polarisation, inequality, gini coefficient, zeit arbeit, leiharbeit, self-employment, working conditions, ...sozialer abstieg, squeezed middle class, ... insecurity, cloudy future, richard koo: austerity isn't helping!
Brazil  BRIC  Developing  World  China  credit  bubble  Latin  America  India  Russia  South  Africa  2015  Niall  Ferguson  NiallFerguson  recovery  GFC  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  distortion  emerging  middle  class  western  aggregate  demand  Supply  and  and  Supply  economic  history  Richard  Koo  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  theory  globalization  globalisation  hunt  for  yield  FOMO  frothy  correction  equity  bubble  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  property  bubble  asset  allocation  capital  allocation  hot-money  currency-war  currency  debasement  currency  war  Fed  BOE  BOJ  Abenomics  ECB  PBOC  banking  crisis  bank  bailout  austerity  UK  USA  Europe  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  policy  consolidation  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  income  growth  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  low  income  job  creation  labour  market  wage  growth  secular  stagnation  wage  stagnation  income  distribution  Super  Rich  1%  marginal  propensity  to  consume  consumer  debt  household  debt  business  investment  business  confidence  global  trade  global  economy  global  imbalances  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  underemployed  participation  rate  productivity  output  gap  macroeconomic  policy  policy  job  microeconomi 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
World Bank warns on US rate rise - BBC News
[ game of chicken ] [ can private sector carry forward the little bit of recovery/growth the western world got in a rising interest rate world, that will eat away spending bc of higher repayment rates amid little to no wage growth !!! ] [W]arned developing countries to brace themselves for possible financial turbulence when the US Federal Reserve starts to raise interest rates. It could come as early as Thursday when the Fed concludes a policy meeting. A new report from the World Bank says there will probably be a modest impact on developing countries. But it also warns there is some risk that it could be worse. The Bank says it is possible that there would be sufficient disruption to capital flows into developing countries to harm economic growth and financial stability. //&! bit.ly/1QhP6Of //&! youtu.be/G8lCqhCbrA4 //&! youtu.be/KH1UlvgXqTE = bond sell-off move in anticipation of Taper. //&! strength of dollar added already 25bps - youtu.be/zWrxFszwrsQ &! youtu.be/lpTkQqEQmE4
Taper  Fed  BOE  2015  BIS  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Richard  Koo  reflate  reflation  asset  bubble  hunt  for  yield  FOMO  frothy  World  Bank  distortion  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  capital  allocation  asset  allocation  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  monetary  policy  monetary  transmission  mechanism  liquidity  trap  monetary  theory  GFC  recovery  credit  bubble  China  BRIC  Brazil  India  South  Africa  Russia  Europe  UK  BOJ  Abenomics  liquidity  credit  squeeze  excess  reserves  PBOC  economic  history  creditcrunch  credit  crunch  ECB  commodity  prices  energy  price  Oil  price  OPEC  petrodollar  QT  FX  reserves  global  trade  New  Normal  secular  stagnation  faultlines  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  western  deflationary  deflation  austerity  fiscal  policy  monetary  stimulus  monetary  system  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  unconventional  monetary  policy  debtoverhang  refinancing  creditrating  creditrisk  deleveraging  private  debt  household  debt  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  income  growth  income  distribution  low  income  inequality  Gini  coefficient  squeezed  middle  class  downward  mobility  working  poor  precarious  work  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  self-employment  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  Sozialer  Abstieg  j 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Vince Cable: ‘Historically, the coalition will be seen as a success’ – interview | Politics | The Guardian
[A] look at the post-crash global economy, is the first fruit of that freedom. After toeing the line for five years, he can go public with his criticisms of chancellor George Osborne’s handling of the economy. He warns that the emphasis on consumption rather than investment, the continuing reliance on house price inflation as the driver of growth, the decline in productivity and innovation mean fundamental problems are not being addressed. He is also the first minister to lift the lid on the coalition: we learn the Tories could be likable colleagues but “collectively appalling, with ugly tribal prejudices”; that Osborne and David Cameron were unable “to move Theresa May an inch”; that Osborne’s Treasury effectively controlled government, with a hands-off Cameron; and that, in Cable’s view, Nick Clegg and Danny Alexander were too accepting of the Treasury line. [...] [ Cameron the PR man, being in office for the sake of just being in Office ] &! bit.ly/1KROBLk
George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  social  contract  political  theory  austerity  Tories  Conservative  Party  Toff  Establishment  Privileged  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  Liberal  Democrats  UK  policy  folly  policy  error  budget2015  underinvestment  R&D  STEM  Research  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  public  investment  business  investment  productivity  output  gap  Richard  Koo  economic  history  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Gini  coefficient  child  poverty  poverty  trap  DWP  Iain  Duncan  Smith  income  mobility  social  mobility  inequality  London  bank  bailout  self-regulation  deregulation  investment  banking  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Opportunism  opportunist  short-term  corporate  tax  rate  income  tax  Super  Rich  1%  babyboomers  education  policy  tax  free  income  working  poor  precarious  work  Precariat  tax  credit  working  tax  credit  child  tax  credit  social  housing  affordable  housing  asset  bubble  property  bubble  equity  bubble  2015  generation  rent  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  household  debt  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  Niedriglohnsektor  self-employment  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  class  warfare  secular  stagnation  recovery  GFC  debt  social  sover 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
After the Crisis - Mark Blyth - YouTube
>> what if rise of the banks (deregulation, easy credit, global financial markets - arbitrage, and making money with money) fuelled the growth of the last ~25-30 years. // min 47 3 asset bubbles popped // USA - 40% of corporate profits came from 10% of corporate sector (banks) // 30% of MIT grads went to banks instead of real world engineering and manufacturing. // underwater private sector! via credit bubble: student loans (now 1trn and still rising in USA and UK, future disposable income/discretionary spending lower than babyboomers because of wage stagnation, no wage growth) credit cards, mortgages, heloc (home equity line of credit) --- all will have to focus on paying back debt. // 2015 - us student loans 1.25trn - bit.ly/1KJ29uc + auto loans << bubble to eventually pop when collateral is falling! ie stagnant wages for 10 more years. and more and more cant repay their student loans. // 1:12:00 Bubbles move on; dot.com, real estate (property) & commodities, China,
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Thom Hartmann "The Crash of 2016" - YouTube
7:10 American Dream not abt being Super Rich, part of 1%, self-made millionaire. American Dream is abt live a good life, meaningful work. Launch children into world. Edu. Vacation. & Left over 4 retirement. having a voice; Workers Union. Health Care. Some little savings. Retirement Fund. // Wages did not keep up with productivity gains, if they had, minimum wage would be about $22! - bit.ly/1NZLVwc // 1trn$ in student loans/debt! that is what post-war gen had in assets! // (neoliberalism and neoconservative) Think Tanks; like Kato Institute, produce papers that are pushed to media 'getting our message across' (control media), also control over our justice system, & control over our education (our story, ie X Prof and read Ayan Rand). // Middle Class once invested in college & university. Was seen as intellectual class, society pillar. Till the last 32 years. // cites Fourth Turning book! // re-peat of 1929, = GFC // &! youtu.be/nUWaXZWhnqA &! youtu.be/polYrI4Us84
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Alibaba Is the Canary in China's Coal Mine - Bloomberg View
It turns out investors were right about Alibaba: No company is more on the front lines of China's economic shifts than Jack Ma's juggernaut. And that's just where the problems begin. [...] After months of putting the entire weight of the government behind saving the market, Beijing appears to have given up. The fallout from that realization will have unpredictable effects on 1.3 billion people indoctrinated to believe Beijing can control any crisis or narrative. As markets swoon and gross domestic product slides, consumers are delaying nonessential purchases. [...] Mass austerity has only just begun. [...] it would be interesting to see how the government responds to "large and widespread investment losses that could lead to a notable negative wealth effect which could weaken consumption, as well as grievances against the authorities." [...] Macau's GDP -26.4% last quarter [...] Chinese gamblers stayed home. [...] Ma created a better quarterly GDP report than Beijing.
Alibaba  China  Jack  Ma  2015  credit  bubble  PBOC  equity  bubble  asset  bubble  property  bubble  speculative  bubbles  speculative  hunt  for  yield  speculation  Yuan  RMB  devaluation  distortion  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  margin  trading  leverage  discretionary  spending  Call  Taper  Fed  BOE  balance  sheet  recession  underwater  market  intervention  bond  bubble  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  hubris  irrational  exuberance  western  world  faultlines  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  savings  glut  correlation  excess  reserves  banking  crisis  shadow  banking  investment  banking  New  Normal  fractional  reserve  banking  banking  BIS  centralbanks  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  short-term  1%  Super  Rich  Privileged  Establishment  Toff  bank  bailout 
september 2015 by asterisk2a

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