asterisk2a + discretionary + pigs   5

Alan Greenspan on Brexit, U.S. Economy, and Inflation (Full Interview) - YouTube
UK out of Euro Currency but part of free trade single market was best option on table. // lack of leadership for political union and fiscal union aka ever closer union. not just currency and trade union (free trade). // GET AT THE ROOT ISSUE; productivity, ageing population (entitlement crisis), stagnant wages, secular stagnation = desperate population // European banks some still burdened by sov debt crisis/NPL (= zombie banks) & NIRP & QE & lack of uptake in business & consumer loans. // no back-up to the ECB (balance sheet) yet. what happens if the EURO stops being a hard currency? get Greece out, is a liability. // EU can not go on in Status Quo indefinitely. ie funding southern states. States have to get on course of economic harmony! everyone has to give up something! // Precariat/Squeezed Middle Class/Social Mobility = creates desperate people. // Entitlements are a legal issues. Productivity and Growth Rates can't fund entitlements. = There will be a crisis. // Career Politicians won't touch it. // History (look at M2) this environment ends up in inflation. not time or data.
European  Union  Brexit  fiscal  Political  Union  ECB  Alan  Greenspan  Fed  Yanis  Varoufakis  Janet  Yellen  PIGS  sovereign  debt  crisis  secular  stagnation  productivity  gap  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  ageing  population  current  account  deficit  budget  deficit  GFC  entitlement  spending  Abenomics  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  pension  obligation  babyboomers  Baby  Boomers  immigration  NIRP  ZIRP  QE  economic  history  Germany  Angela  Merkel  BOE  Mark  Carney  rising  middleclass  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  Precariat  populism  demagogue  demagogy  Donald  Trump  western  world  savings  rate  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  triple-lock  pension  pension  fund  pension  scheme  democracy  Career  Politicians  politician  output  gap  M2  inflation  targeting  M3  commodity  prices  global  economy 
june 2016 by asterisk2a
What Happens Next (In Europe)?
the odds of another crisis are higher than a rally to fresh records. [...]
“The 2009-2015 rally originated from two main drivers: a massive stimulus, and credit expansion in China,” said Goette, who’s a partner at his firm in Zug, Switzerland and helps oversee 1 billion Swiss francs ($1 billion).

“European earnings have not followed suit so far. Skepticism regarding central-bank operations has started to emerge.”
ECB  Brussels  recovery  reflate  reflation  China  credit  bubble  Germany  PIGS  zombie  banks  European  Bank  Supervision  European  Economic  Area  European  Election  2014  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  MarioDraghi  OMT  LTRO  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  sovereign  debt  crisis  France  Brexit  Grexit  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  history  underinvestment  Richard  Koo  Yanis  Varoufakis  liquidity  trap  zombie  corporations  youth  unemployment  demographic  bubble  OAP  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  liberal  reform  Precariat  precarious  employment  low  pay  low  income  Minijob  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  1  Euro  Job  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  unemployment  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  union  union  Rechtsruck  Bundesbank  fault  lines  shareholder  capitalism  bailout  GFC  2016  PBOC  Exportweltmeister  zombie  Financial  Stability  Board  crony  capitalism  Deutsche  Bank  infrastructure  investment  competitiveness  Beton  Gold  Betongold  asset  allocation  Super  Rich  1%  oligarchy  plutocracy  democracy  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  profit  maximization  Russia  Crimea  Ukraine  U 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
The Coming Crash & The Recession That Never Ended - Part 1 - YouTube
Part 2 youtu.be/SpJ4L2QGNI4 [ min 2:00 post WW2 german debt jubilee - American & Britain needed Germany as bulwark against USSR! thus Germany had leverage because it was systemic. Greece is not systemic, nor needed. Thus they openly talk, relaxed, abt Grexit. Grexit was systemic risk in the first ~3 years post GFC, because of underfunded German, Frensh and Belgian zombie banks. 6:00 PIGS generation will be disillusioned about claims of European Union unity! 7:30 austerity ] // &! Part 3 - youtu.be/FWulzJy2oXc Bernie Sanders on inequality &! social mobility, skills gap, ... make-up of USA economy is a impediment to future growth (output gap, no more 3% annually) & also part-cause of inequality ... &! Part 4 youtu.be/8wzDwU1pzpY - China may tumble bc they dont have the internal & global demand for the infrasturcture/economy they have build (debtoverhang, debt servitude) &or social uprising &! USA overreach // Forget QE, Wall Street’s new drug is the stock buyback - on.mktw.net/1HDtdUR
Richard  Wolff  Taper  equity  bubble  China  irrational  exuberance  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  asset  bubble  hunt  for  yield  stock  buyback  fundamentals  economic  growth  recovery  UK  USA  balance  sheet  recession  Europe  Richard  Koo  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  labour  market  participation  rate  underemployed  structural  unemployment  structural  imbalance  Impediments  unemployment  youth  unemployment  long-term  unemployment  Gini  coefficient  income  growth  disposable  income  low  income  income  distribution  income  inequality  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  employment  self-employment  squeezed  middle  class  precarious  work  working  poor  social  mobility  income  mobility  Robert  Shiller  robertshiller  part-time  Contractor  Zero  Hour  Contract  uncertainty  Niedriglohnsektor  minimum  wage  Niedriglohn  Lohnzurückhaltung  lohndumping  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  deleveraging  debtoverhang  savings  rate  debt  servitude  Super  Cycle  behavioral  economics  behavioral  finance  skills  gap  education  policy  vocational  education  economic  history  economic  model  trickle-down  economics  discretionary  spending  dogma  ideology  austerity  neoliberal  neoliberalism  democracy  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  debt  monetisation  debt  stagnation  inequality  history  debt  debt  debt  m 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Richard Koo: "Out of the Balance Sheet Recession and into QE 'Trap'" - YouTube
Released new book end of 2014. // Banks unable to lend money 2 unwilling (eligible) customers. Money remains on the private banks (&Central Banks in form of bonds) balance sheets/books & mostly allocated towards parking it overnight @Central Banks deposit facility (thus ECB put up a deposit levy, late into the game) or liquid fairly un(der)productive investment classes like gov bonds. // Companies (& people ie 4 education/housing) borrowing & investing (into the future, that is uncertain, unknown, deflationary)!? // 19:30 Even Abenomics is not working. Bc trauma towards Debt! behavioural economics: experience of debt servitude on less income, additional uncertainty & distrust! // Lowering corporate tax rate (like George Osborne) does not help. // Persistent low inflation expectations. // Taper extremely difficult: 2.5trn excess in long bonds. Unknown territory. Possibly future higher interest rates than fnd economic growth does warrant - adding to output gap & new normal.
2015  UK  USA  liquidity  trap  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  debtoverhang  Japan  Fed  BOE  BOJ  GFC  recovery  austerity  economic  history  economic  model  academia  deflationary  monetary  transmission  mechanism  M3  LTRO  TLTRO  lost  decade  lost  generation  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Career  Politicians  bond  bubble  equity  bubble  property  bubble  negative  real  interest  rate  deposit  levy  economic  growth  trickle-down  economics  secular  stagnation  headwinds  Great  Depression  PIIGSFB  PIGS  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  economic  damage  behavioral  economics  zombie  banks  Abenomics  squeezed  middle  class  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  cash  flow  cash  flow  management  trust  distrust  long-term  view  long-term  thinking  sovereign  debt  crisis  debt  servitude  household  debt  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  Super  Cycle  student  loan  debt  private  debt  consumer  debt  student  debt  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  competitiveness  competitive  industrial  policy  budget2015  business  investment  infrastructure  investment  demographic  bubble  uncertainty  Sozialer  Abstieg  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  Yen  JGB  Taper  greatrecession  USD  dogma  ideology  public  investment  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  productivity  output  gap  underinvestment  productive  investment  book  rate  private  savi 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Who Will Be Hurt Most When The Tech Bubble Bursts? Not VCs | TechCrunch
In a nutshell, FOMO is driving many investors in a hustle to be a part of the next Facebook or Twitter and put in huge investments for a fraction of stake. And, they don’t see much risk in it as long as they get the downside protection. [ growth round = rocket fuel splashed onto stuff to acquire more customers and market share (basically, but not always) ] [...] Someday, pretty soon, these will be put to the test, and valuations based on visibility of earnings will matter again. A few will succeed of course, but several others will fall – it remains to be seen how miserably. VCs will most likely walk away with their invested money, if not more. It’s the employees and founders who will see their million-dollar dreams crash and burn. [living beyond ur means & betting dollars you dont have on a time that seems further away than u can even guess (secular stagnation)] [lack of income growth (across the western world) thus disposable income (discretionary spending) is also not helping]
Silicon  Valley  burn  rate  operations  Bill  Gurley  Unicorn  runway  FOMO  Venture  Capital  growth  round  termsheet  liquidation  preferences  Private  Market  Private  Equity  SPV  bubble  distortion  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  disinflation  secular  stagnation  deflationary  deflation  western  world  business  model  revenue  revenues  fiscal  policy  income  growth  USA  OECD  sovereign  debt  crisis  austerity  disposable  income  policy  error  Taper  policy  folly  monetary  policy  productive  investment  underinvestment  infrastructure  investment  1%  Super  Rich  on-demand  convenience  Share  Economy  labour  labour  economics  discretionary  spending  Schuldenbremse  PIGS  Brexit  Grexit  currency  war  macroeconomics  Pact  Europe  productivity  Lohnzurückhaltung  job  creation  globalisation  globalization  Niedriglohn  Niedriglohnsektor  Service  Sector  Jobs  flat  world  borderless  competitive  Future  of  Work  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  economic  history  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  demographic  bubble  Super  Cycle  consumer  debt  zombie  consumer  zombie  banks 
may 2015 by asterisk2a

related tags

1%  2.0  Abenomics  Abstieg  academia  account  ageing  Alan  allocation  Angela  anxiety  Area  asset  austerity  avoidance  Baby  babyboomers  bailout  balance  Bank  banks  behavioral  Beton  Betongold  Bill  Board  BOE  BOJ  bond  book  Boomers  borderless  Brexit  Brussels  bubble  bubbles  budget  budget2015  Bundesbank  burn  business  buyback  Cameron  Capital  capitalism  Career  Carney  cash  China  class  coefficient  commodity  competitive  competitiveness  confidence  consequences  consumer  Contract  Contractor  convenience  corporations  creation  credit  Crimea  crisis  crony  currency  current  Cycle  damage  David  debt  debtoverhang  decade  deficit  deflation  deflationary  deleveraging  demagogue  demagogy  democracy  demographic  deposit  Depression  Deutsche  discretionary  disinflation  disposable  distortion  distribution  distrust  dogma  Donald  ECB  economic  economics  economy  education  Election  employment  entitlement  equity  error  Euro  Europe  European  evasion  Exportweltmeister  exuberance  fault  fear  Fed  finance  Financial  fiscal  flat  flow  folly  FOMO  for  France  fund  fundamentals  Future  gap  generation  George  Germany  GFC  Gini  global  globalisation  globalization  Gold  Great  greatrecession  Greenspan  Grexit  growth  Gurley  headwinds  history  Hour  household  hunt  ideology  imbalance  immigration  Impediments  income  industrial  inequality  inflation  infrastructure  interest  investment  irrational  Janet  Japan  JGB  job  Jobs  jubilee  Koo  labour  Leiharbeit  levy  liberal  lines  liquidation  liquidity  loan  lohndumping  Lohnzurückhaltung  long-term  lost  low  LTRO  M2  M3  macroeconomic  macroeconomics  management  MarioDraghi  Mark  market  Marktwirtschaft  maximisation  maximization  mechanism  Merkel  microeconomic  middle  middleclass  Minijob  minimum  mobility  model  monetary  monetisation  monetization  negative  neoliberal  neoliberalism  Niedriglohn  Niedriglohnsektor  NIRP  No  OAP  obligation  OECD  of  oligarchy  OMT  on-demand  operations  Osborne  output  Pact  part-time  participation  pay  PBOC  pension  PIGS  PIIGSFB  plutocracy  policy  Political  politician  Politicians  poor  population  populism  Precariat  precarious  preferences  prices  private  productive  productivity  profit  property  public  QE  rate  real  recession  Rechtsruck  recovery  reflate  reflation  reform  Representation  restructuring  revenue  revenues  Revolution  Rich  Richard  rising  Robert  robertshiller  round  runway  Russia  savings  scheme  Schuldenbremse  Schäuble  Sector  secular  self-employment  Service  servitude  Share  shareholder  sheet  Shiller  short-term  Silicon  skills  social  sovereign  Soziale  Sozialer  speculation  speculative  spending  SPV  squeezed  Stability  stagnation  stimulus  stock  Street  structural  student  Super  Supervision  Taper  targeting  tax  termsheet  thinking  TLTRO  transmission  trap  trickle-down  triple-lock  Trump  trust  UK  Ukrain  Ukraine  uncertainty  underemployed  underinvestment  unemployment  Unicorn  unintended  union  unknown  unkown  USA  USD  Valley  value  Varoufakis  Venture  view  vocational  wage  Wall  war  western  Wolff  Wolfgang  work  working  world  Yanis  Yellen  Yen  yield  youth  Zeitarbeit  Zero  ZIRP  zombie 

Copy this bookmark:



description:


tags: