asterisk2a + commoditization + recovery   5

Richard Duncan: The Real Risk Of A Coming Multi-Decade Global Depression - YouTube
50 year long debt super cycle & credit bubble up-held. Put. // hasnt created inflation because of Globalisation = deflationary! [3bn ppl living on $2/day] Collapse of marginal cost of labour, offsetting inflation pressure of QE/NIRP/credit creation last decades. // Will eventually haunt people back once globalisation has run its way in ~100-75 years & the world is actually flat. energy cost 0, marginal cost 0, economics of abundance. // // min 23 AND because of this deflationary pressure of globalisation, excess capacity, etc lead to wage stagnation & or pressure to work 4 less (Contractor, Werkvertrag, Zeitarbeit, self-employment, Zero Hour Contract, outsourcing) and longer, in western world. Leads inevitably 2 being pushed into recession & avoiding that authorities always pushed button 4 more credit. Credit growth prevented western world not 2 be pushed into recession in last decades. 2010 Private Sector cant drive recovery! Massive Gov stimulus needed +10 years, not austerity!
debt  bubble  Super  Cycle  Greenspan-Put  Ben  Bernanke  fiat  currency  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  deflationary  deflation  secular  stagnation  Abenomics  globalization  globalisation  Fed  centralbanks  BIS  economic  history  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  GFC  recovery  western  world  technological  progress  commodity  business  commoditization  economics  of  abundance  marginal  cost  Janet  Yellen  benbernanke  ECB  BOE  BOJ  monetary  policy  Zero  Hour  Contract  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Contractor  Zeitarbeit  Werkvertrag  self-employment  freelancing  freelance  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  dot.com  outsourcing  flat  world  credit  bubble  debt  servitude  consumer  debt  student  loan  debt  debtoverhang  sovereign  debt  crisis  student  debt  household  debt  private  debt  fiscal  policy  austerity  Richard  Koo  Mark  Blyth  Joseph  Stiglitz  Robert  Reich  productive  investment  underinvestment  infrastructure  investment  Paul  Krugman  shared  economic  interest  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  Smart  Grid  STEM  education  policy  value  creation  added  value  Manufacturing  3D  printing  energy  price  energy  policy  competitive  competition  competitiveness  competitive  advantage  R&D  Research  Public  Partnership  world  fiscal  d 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
El-Erian: This Is Not 1998 or 2008 - YouTube
it is a repricing. a correction. prices got too far away (reflation of equity & co through ZIRP, NIRP, QE, speeches, plus hunt for yield & FOMO). It just happened to be China being the trigger, the wake-up call - very loud wake-up call - bc of its economic size and heft. (taper talks 2015 that made equity already nervous, and bond holders too, was too timid). Reality check. // Was it justified, yes. // In the long-run, we are all dead. And in the long-run things will, eventually, correct itself. // People may take now into account a new normal, lower interest rate environment, lower global growth, lower yields, lower inflationary pressures, lower dividend payments, more work that corporates (crony capitalism) need to do to squeeze out that earnings growth especially in the western world. inequality - low wage growth/stagnation - less discretionary spending on non-essential items (in the western world). & "realization that policy tools were less effective". &! bv.ms/1NFsFUn
reflate  reflation  hunt  for  yield  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  asset  allocation  equity  bubble  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  secular  stagnation  New  Normal  asset  bubble  bubble  bond  bubble  bubbles  distortion  economic  history  trickle-down  economics  recovery  UK  USA  Europe  dogma  ideology  austerity  fiscal  policy  fiscal  stimulus  Richard  Koo  Japan  lost  decade  lost  generation  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  savings  rate  debtoverhang  debt  servitude  sovereign  debt  crisis  faultlines  Structural  Impediments  participation  rate  unemployment  imbalance  Makers  policy  error  policy  folly  macroprudential  policy  microeconomic  policy  monetary  policy  monetary  theory  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  system  STEM  industrial  policy  Manufacturing  competitiveness  globalisation  globalization  flat  world  commodity  business  commoditization  borderless  deflationary  deflation  Software  Is  Eating  The  Marketplace  mobile  homescreen  mobile  phone  mobile  first  Smartphone  Revolution  2.0  energy  price  Oil  price  inflation  expectation  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  productivity  output  gap  underinvestment  Gini  coefficient  inequality  income  mobility  social  mobility  productive  investment  IMF  OECD  developed  world  emerging  emerging  growth  investment  midd 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Will Advances in Technology Create a Jobless Future? | MIT Technology Review
Who Will Own the Robots? - We’re in the midst of a jobs crisis, and rapid advances in AI and other technologies may be one culprit. How can we get better at sharing the wealth that technology creates? // BY MARTIN FORD - The Great Divide: Unequal Societies and What We Can Do About Them BY JOSEPH E. STIGLITZ &! Inequality: What Can Be Done? BY ANTHONY B. ATKINSON &! The Second Machine Age: Work, Progress, and Prosperity in a Time of Brilliant Technologies BY ERIK BRYNJOLFSSON AND ANDREW MCAFEE // &! Paul Krugman - “A lot of what’s happening [in income inequality] is not just the gods of technology telling us what must happen but is in fact [due to] social constructs that could be different.” - gov policy, corporate policy (ie 4-day work week and 6-hour days because productivity and profit margin do allow for that, and more brings diminished returns etc etc but will that go down well with Wall Street?)
Universal  Basic  Income  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  crony  capitalism  shared  economic  interest  AI  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  marketplace  efficiencies  mobile  homescreen  mobile  phone  commodity  business  commoditization  Service  Sector  Jobs  Niedriglohnsektor  Future  of  Work  Creatives  Creative  skill-biased  technological  change  skills  gap  skill  mismatch  education  policy  Makers  4-day  week  6-hour  day  productivity  output  gap  secular  stagnation  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  precarious  1099  Economy  Gig  Economy  self-employment  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  on-demand  convenience  outsourcing  job  creation  job  market  labour  economics  labour  market  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  capitalism  inequality  capital  gains  1%  Super  Rich  meritocracy  meritocratic  tax  code  tax  tax  free  welfare  state  tax  credit  Public  Services  Social  Services  austerity  dogma  manufactured  consent  propaganda  populism  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  PR  spin  doctor  Robotics  3D  printing  Manufacturing  STEM  industrial  policy  automation  self-driving  cars  autonomous  car  marginal  cost  economics  of  abundance  safety  net  Gini  inequality  technological  technological  labour  capital 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Buffett-Backed Kraft Heinz Cuts 2,500 Jobs as Hees Targets Costs - Bloomberg Business
[ fifth-largest food and beverage company. ] Kraft Foods and H.J. Heinz merged in July in a deal orchestrated by Buffett and 3G Capital, which jointly controlled the ketchup company. 3G’s Bernardo Hees, who is now running the combined foodmaker, cut more than 7,000 jobs in 20 months after taking over at Heinz. Berkshire Vice Chairman Charles Munger has endorsed the job cuts, saying such measures are essential to a productive capitalist system. [...] The alternative to reducing staff is “what happened in Russia,” Munger said at Buffett’s annual meeting in May. “The whole damn economy didn’t work.” // &! https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cadbury#Acquisition_by_Kraft_Foods &! https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mondel%C4%93z_International
conglomerate  M&A  processed  food  junk  food  food  industry  fast  food  synergy  Wall  Street  commodity  business  commoditization  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  recovery  2015  USA  Big  Sugar 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
China's currency devaluation could spark 'tidal wave of deflation' | Business | The Guardian
[3rd day in a row Yuan/RMB is devalued by PBOC (13/08/15)] “We’re all going to feel it: we’ll feel it through commodities; we’ll feel it through manufactured goods exports, not just from China but from everywhere that has to compete with it; and we’ll feel it through wages.” [...] China could be willing to let the yuan depreciate by as much as 25% over the next five years – “stone by stone, step by step” – in an attempt to restore the export-led growth that was such a winning formula [...] China [may be] trying to protect itself against the period of financial instability [following Taper by western central banks Fed/BOE] [or counter $ recent rise 21% & peg against $] [or fight home grown recession with kitchen sink] // &! bloom.bg/1gC8FFe &! bloom.bg/1WkMfZZ &! bloom.bg/1hy7O9l &! bloom.bg/1NpE4FI &! bv.ms/1IKB3fX // what is the new normal 4 growth in this global economy, competitive = keeping prices low = inflation & low interest rate pressure.
yuan  RMB  PBOC  China  devaluation  deflationary  deflation  UK  USA  Europe  Exportweltmeister  competition  competitive  competitiveness  Lohnzurückhaltung  lohndumping  secular  stagnation  western  world  globalisation  globalization  commodities  commodity  business  commoditization  Germany  Asia  Latin  America  borderless  flat  world  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  inflation  expectation  inflation  targeting  wage  pressure  productivity  output  gap  recovery  GFC  economic  history  New  Normal  hunt  for  yield  Great  Moderation  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  Taper  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  complexity  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  IMF  SDR  currency  war  disinflation  inflation  wage  inflation  Japan  Australia  Oil  price  energy  price  Developing  Frontier  Markets  Forex  USD  British  Pound  Euro  Yen  BOJ  BOE  Fed  ECB  Bank  of  Canada  asset  bubble  macroprudential  policy  asset  allocation  productive  investment  underinvestment  business  investment  2015 
august 2015 by asterisk2a

related tags

1%  2.0  3D  4-day  6-hour  Abenomics  Abstieg  abundance  added  advantage  Africa  AI  allocation  America  artificial  Asia  asset  augmented  austerity  Australia  automation  autonomous  avoidance  balance  Bank  Basic  Ben  benbernanke  Bernanke  Big  BIS  Blyth  BOE  BOJ  bond  book  borderless  BRIC  British  bubble  bubbles  business  Canada  capital  capitalism  car  cars  centralbanks  change  China  class  code  coefficient  commodities  commoditization  commodity  competition  competitive  competitiveness  complexity  conglomerate  consent  consequences  consumer  consumption  Contract  Contractor  convenience  cost  creation  Creative  Creatives  credit  crisis  crony  currency  Cycle  day  debt  debtoverhang  decade  deflation  deflationary  deleveraging  devaluation  developed  Developing  discretionary  disinflation  disposable  distortion  doctor  dogma  dot.com  Eating  ECB  economic  economics  Economy  education  efficiencies  emerging  energy  equity  error  Euro  Europe  evasion  expectation  Exportweltmeister  fast  faultlines  Fed  fiat  first  fiscal  flat  folly  FOMO  food  for  Forex  free  freelance  freelancing  Frontier  Future  G8  gains  gap  generation  Germany  GFC  Gig  Gini  globalisation  globalization  Great  Greenspan-Put  Grid  growth  history  homescreen  Hour  household  human  hunt  ideology  imbalance  IMF  Impediments  income  industrial  industry  inequality  inflation  infrastructure  intelligence  interest  investment  Is  Janet  Japan  job  Jobs  Joseph  junk  Koo  Krugman  labour  Latin  loan  lobby  Lobbying  lobbyist  lohndumping  Lohnzurückhaltung  lost  M&A  macroprudential  Makers  manual  manufactured  Manufacturing  marginal  Mark  market  marketplace  Markets  maximisation  mechanism  meritocracy  meritocratic  microeconomic  middle  mismatch  mobile  mobility  Moderation  monetary  monetisation  monetization  neoliberal  neoliberalism  net  New  Niedriglohnsektor  NIRP  Normal  OECD  of  Oil  on-demand  output  outsourcing  participation  Partnership  Paul  PBOC  phone  policy  poor  populism  Pound  poverty  PR  precarious  pressure  price  printing  private  processed  productive  productivity  profit  progress  propaganda  Public  QE  R&D  rate  recession  recovery  reflate  reflation  Reich  Research  Revolution  Rich  Richard  RMB  Robert  Robotics  round  safety  savings  SDR  Sector  secular  self-driving  self-employment  Service  Services  servitude  shared  shareholder  sheet  Silicon  skill  skill-biased  skills  Smart  Smartphone  social  Software  sovereign  Sozialer  speculation  speculative  spending  spin  squeezed  stagnation  state  STEM  Stiglitz  stimulus  Street  Structural  student  Sugar  Super  synergy  system  Taper  targeting  tax  technological  The  theory  transmission  trap  trickle-down  UK  unconventional  underinvestment  unemployment  unintended  Universal  unknown  unkown  USA  USD  Valley  value  wage  Wall  war  week  welfare  Werkvertrag  western  Work  working  world  Yellen  Yen  yield  yuan  Zeitarbeit  Zero  ZIRP 

Copy this bookmark:



description:


tags: