asterisk2a + borderless   147

Nationalstaat vs. Nationalismus - Oskar Lafontaine 01.03.2016 - Bananenrepublik - YouTube
wir muessen die wirtschaftsordnung aendern. ... Greed leads to War. //&! (TAKEN FOR GRANTED LIKE RELIGION - PRODUCTIVITY AND GROWTH! - Volker Pispers Kapitalismus Erklärung | Aktuellste HD Aufzeichnung 2016 - youtu.be/u07XONlDwX8 //&! Georg Schramm: Wir leben in einem großen Krieg! | 3sat 14.02.2016 - youtu.be/YcrkJrxwKiQ
Nationalism  democracy  Brussels  Lohndumping  Sozialstaat  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  neoliberalism  neoliberal  free  market  borderless  social  democracy  Minijob  Zeitarbeit  crony  capitalism  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  No  Representation  European  Union  Super  Rich  1%  plutocracy  oligarchy  Leiharbeit  GFC  trickle-down  economics  Greed  economic  history  history  Gini  coefficient  Productivity 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Weltwirtschaft: Ökonomen halten Ende des Wachstums für unvermeidlich - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Weltwirtschaft: Ökonomen halten Ende des Wachstums für unvermeidlich [...] Ein Beispiel: Wenn das Bruttosozialprodukt eines Landes 10 Milliarden Euro beträgt und um eine Milliarde Euro wächst, dann entspricht das einer Steigerung von zehn Prozent. Wenn das BIP aber 1000 Milliarden Euro beträgt, dann müsste die Wirtschaft schon um 100 Milliarden Euro wachsen, um ein Wachstum von zehn Prozent zu schaffen. Wächst das BIP wie vorher um eine Milliarde Euro, entspricht das nur noch einer Steigerung von 0,1 Prozent. Die Wirtschaft wäre dann sozusagen ausgewachsen. Die alten Zeiten kehren nicht mehr zurück [...] Sollten die Ökonomen recht haben, hätte das für Staat und Sozialsysteme einschneidende Folgen: Die Planung von Bundeshaushalt oder Rentenkasse geht von einem Wachstum irgendwo zwischen ein und zwei Prozent pro Jahr aus. [...] Die Wirtschaft "unabhängiger vom Wachstum gestalten"
G20  George  Osborne  UK  austerity  Europe  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  Germany  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  secular  stagnation  Richard  Koo  aggregate  demand  budget  deficit  economic  history  finite  resources  resource  depletion  economic  growth  global  economy  policy  monetary  policy  policy  error  policy  folly  Japan  Abenomics  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  AI  artificial  intelligence  Robotics  self-driving  cars  autonomous  car  structural  unemployment  unemployment  long-term  unemployment  youth  unemployment  productivity  output  gap  squeezed  middle  class  Precariat  working  poor  low  pay  low  income  precarious  work  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  underinvestment  marginal  cost  competitiveness  energy  policy  energy  price  flat  world  borderless  globalization  globalisation  economics  of  abundance  post-capitalism  Larry  Summers  Gini  coefficient  inequality  Super  Rich  1%  plutocracy  oligarchy  democracy  social  democracy  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  trickle-down  economics  dogma  ideology  free  market  self-regulation  neoliberalism  neoliberal  education  policy  income  inequality  GDP  nominal  GDP  targeting  inflation  targeting  liquidity  trap  credit  bubble  distortion  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  USA 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Europa: Den Parteien laufen die Mitglieder weg - SPIEGEL ONLINE
[ symptoms ] SPD und CDU haben seit 1990 fast die Hälfte ihrer Mitglieder verloren. Die Erosion der Parteien ist kein deutsches Phänomen, sie findet in ganz Europa statt. Unsere Demokratie ändert sich dadurch grundlegend. [...] Parteimitglieder sind nur noch Randgruppen [...] Personen statt Programme [...] Die Mehrheit der Bürger misstraut den Parteien
plutocracy  oligarchy  Super  Rich  1%  neoliberalism  neoliberal  neoconservatism  neoconservatives  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  squeezed  middle  class  Workers  Union  Trade  Union  trickle-down  economics  democracy  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  Agenda  2010  Perspektivlosigkeit  deprivation  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  revolving  door  corruption  bribery  history  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  multinational  conglomerate  Lügenpresse  corporate  media  trust  distrust  trustagent  symptom  globalization  globalisation  flat  world  borderless  Schwarzkasse  Jeremy  Corbyn  Bernie  Sanders  austerity  Precariat  working  poor  precarious  work  Zeitarbeit  labour  market  Leiharbeit  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  part-time  Minijob  self-regulation  deregulation  speculative  bubbles  credit  bubble  reflate  reflation  wage  stagnation  income  growth  income  distribution  Gini  coefficient  inequality 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Mass EU migration into Britain is actually good news for UK economy | UK news | The Guardian
[ symptom! offer of Brexit vote was election move out of fear, UKIP gains ] Far from the unfounded headlines about EU migrants grabbing British jobs, record numbers of British citizens are in work too [...] the quarterly labour market survey – showed that record numbers of British citizens were in work too. Indeed, 1 million more Britons are in work and 850,000 more Europeans are working in Britain since David Cameron became prime minister. [...] Britain should not be seen as a sudden, recent mass invasion to be necessarily feared by every British worker. It is now a fact of life that Britain has been a country of net mass migration every year for the past 20 years. [...] European migrants are not a drain on Britain’s finances; what is more, they actually pay in more in taxes than they take out in state benefits. [...] [60%] are now university graduates [...] For eastern Europeans, 25% are graduates – similar to the proportion in the UK-born workforce. [ below Germany levels? ]
immigration  migration  UK  Theresa  May  Brexit  UKIP  Rechtsruck  far-right  Rechtsextremismus  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  general  election  2010  Manifesto  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  fearmongering  Fear  squeezed  middle  class  wage  stagnation  secular  stagnation  Niall  Ferguson  youth  unemployment  globalization  globalisation  borderless  flat  world  competitive  Integrationspolitik  Sozialpolitik  Career  Politicians  David  Cameron  austerity  Polarisation  propaganda  populism  corporate  media  tax  credit  child  care  education  policy  DWP  Iain  Duncan  Smith  George  Osborne 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Iowa: Weckruf für den Rest Amerikas - Kommentar - SPIEGEL ONLINE
[ symptom ] Wer ist gefährlicher, Ted Cruz oder Donald Trump? Zusammen haben sie die Hälfte der republikanischen Stimmen in Iowa geholt. Für den Rest des Landes muss das ein Weckruf sein. Es geht um mehr als das Weiße Haus.
far-right  Rechtsextremismus  Rechtsruck  presidential  election  2016  republicans  republican  Ted  Cruz  Donald  Trump  USA  symptom  inequality  Gini  coefficient  American  Dream  social  mobility  post-racial  America  income  mobility  income  inequality  Super  Rich  1%  oligarchy  plutocracy  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  income  distribution  immigration  Precariat  fearmongering  Fear  propaganda  populism  Polarisation  manufactured  consent  Lügenpresse  corporate  media  multinational  conglomerate  media  conglomerate  job  security  uncertainty  insecurity  globalization  globalisation  flat  world  borderless  squeezed  middle  class  wage  stagnation 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Fred Block: The Tenacity of the Free Market Ideology - YouTube
Fred Block discusses his book “The Power of Market Fundamentalism,” which extends the work of the great political economist Karl Polanyi to explain why free market dogma recovered from disrepute after the Great Depression and World War II to become the dominant economic ideology of our time. // wo state role there would be no market system. // need social democracy in complex diverse society - representing people // freedom in complex diverse society = free of hunger and economic uncertain & freedom of nonconformity - protections, no marginalisation, no economic punishment // social democracy and free market are both Utopias // Thatcher & Co blaming State for malaise! nobody likes technocratic arguments, leaves public out, thus was able to make big return. // wealth creation through efficiency route takes more work and capital than predation (rentier/rent seeking) - ie relaxing fuel efficiency savings regulation for Detroit back in the days // trust that state can support innovation
economic  history  freemarkets  free  market  neoliberalism  self-regulation  neoliberal  book  macroprudential  policy  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  Chicago  School  USA  UK  social  democracy  capitalism  dogma  ideology  austerity  trickle-down  economics  globalization  globalisation  borderless  flat  world  Greed  boom  and  bust  crony  capitalism  plutocracy  oligarchy  Super  Rich  1%  democracy  revolving  door  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  social  mobility  American  Dream  meritocracy  meritocratic  Alain  de  Botton  philanthropy  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  Wall  Street  Gini  coefficient  income  mobility  education  policy  welfare  state  social  safety  net  Supply  and  Demand  market  economy  Demand  and  Supply  JohnMaynardKeynes  keynes  Keynesianism  GFC  Great  Moderation  Great  Depression  Utopia  Ronald  Reagan  Margaret  Thatcher  rentier  rent-seeking  predation  financial  product  wealth  creation  R&D  STEM  productive  investment  productivity  output  gap  public  investment  underinvestment  infrastructure  investment  competitive  competitiveness  M&A 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Aberdeen and Edinburgh highlighted in city economies report - BBC News
No Scottish cities were in the top 10 for "low-wage, high-welfare" economies. The 2016 report - described as a "health check" for the 63 largest UK cities - focused on Chancellor George Osborne's vow to build a "higher wage, lower welfare" economy, as set out in the Summer Budget 2015. >> It argued that nearly a million new jobs had been created in cities since 2010 - but that the average salary had also dropped by £1,300 per resident. 'High-wage, low-welfare' << [...] The think tank said the two areas' ability to attract high-skilled jobs - in the oil and professional services industries for example - was the key to their success. It argued that cities with high wages had seen faster jobs growth, with employment rising by 10% since 2010, compared with 3% in low-wage cities. [...] [ Housing Crisis across the country thus ] increased housing benefit payments.
job  creation  recovery  Service  Sector  Jobs  UK  austerity  minimum  wage  living  wage  George  Osborne  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Manufacturing  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  low  pay  low  income  tax  credit  child  tax  credit  working  tax  credit  tax  free  income  progressive  tax  code  income  distribution  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  income  inequality  income  growth  wage  growth  secular  stagnation  globalization  globalisation  borderless  flat  world  economic  history  nasty  party  Tories  Conservative  trickle-down  economics  squeezed  middle  class  precarious  work  Precariat  wage  stagnation  income  redistribution  welfare  state  social  safety  net  David  Cameron  budget2015  budget2010  Public  Services  Services  added  value  value  creation  Housing  Crisis  affordable  social 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
BBC iPlayer - Britain's Trillion Pound Island - Inside Cayman
20bn£/year go through tax avoidance (legal through loopholes). = 20bn austerity for next 4-5 years this parliament from 2015. and was around the same from 2010 as Tories came to power forming coalition with lib dems. // who can pay for the lawyer and lobbyist - to implement loopholes. // its the gov that lets make the rules, by lobbyists. // (New Labour) Gordon Brown cut corp tax in his time by 5% and Osborne will have it cut by further 10% points in his two parliament sittings as chancellor. "You can't compete with Zero." << Cayman Islands (no infrastructure and no educated people) - vs. - UK (with infrastructure and educated people, social safety net, pensions). // ultimately, tax laws have to be changed in the local country, not cayman islands.
UK  offshore  banking  tax  avoidance  austerity  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  budget  deficit  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  HMRC  revolving  door  No  Representation  democracy  social  democracy  bank  bailout  GFC  crony  capitalism  capitalism  Greed  budget2015  budget2010  non-dom  Super  Rich  1%  oligarchy  plutocracy  City  of  London  poverty  income  distribution  income  redistribution  inequality  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  Policy  Makers  Career  Politicians  Westminster  Council  Public  Services  Services  constituency  babyboomers  globalization  globalisation  neoliberalism  neoliberal  tax  evasion  loopholes  welfare  state  social  safety  net  corporate  tax  rate  trickle-down  economics  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  GordonBrown  Labour  Party  borderless  accounting  scandal  white-collar  crime  corporate  scandal  corporate  crime  IMF  OECD 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Too Many "Think Tanks" Are Just Kool-Aid Fueled Group-Think | Zero Hedge
In response to the consumer: “Consumers are doing quite well.” “Gas (prices) is a boon to retail.” In response to employment and the economy: “Jobs are doing great, people just aren’t spending.” “GDP is on the right track.” // - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chicago_school_of_economics
group  think  interest  groups  peer  group  peer  pressure  vested  interest  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  crony  capitalism  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  globalization  globalisation  flat  world  borderless  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  democracy  GFC  recovery  austerity  social  democracy  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  aggregate  demand 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Why are we looking on helplessly as markets crash all over the world? | Will Hutton | Opinion | The Guardian
[ so much debt in the system, a rise in interest can not be served as is ] The imminent collapse of the Chinese Ponzi-scheme economy shows that we need to bring control to the international economy. [...] There has always been a tension at the heart of capitalism. Although it is the best wealth-creating mechanism we’ve made, it can’t be left to its own devices. Its self-regulating properties, contrary to the efforts of generations of economists trying to prove otherwise, are weak. [...] Profits as a share of national income in Britain and the US touch all-time highs; wages touch an all-time low as the power of organised labour diminishes and the gig economy of short-term contracts takes hold. The excesses of the rich, digging underground basements to house swimming pools, cinemas and lavish gyms, sit alongside the travails of the new middle-class poor. These are no longer able to secure themselves decent pensions and their gig-economy children defer starting families ...
China  credit  bubble  speculative  bubbles  equity  bubble  BRIC  2015  2016  self-regulation  capitalism  crony  capitalism  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  Gig  Economy  Zero  Hour  Contract  squeezed  middle  class  secular  stagnation  western  world  aggregate  demand  consumer  debt  debtoverhang  Richard  Koo  economic  history  balance  sheet  recession  household  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  mortgage  market  working  poor  poverty  trap  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  inequality  plutocracy  oligarchy  Super  Rich  1%  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion  George  Osborne  dogma  ideology  David  Cameron  neoliberalism  neoliberal  globalisation  globalization  exploitation  borderless  flat  world  USA  UK  austerity  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  liquidity  trap  debt  servitude  wage  stagnation  shared  economic  interest  NPL  shadow  banking  shadow  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  democracy  social  democracy  Generationengerechtigkeit 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
"Markets Crash When They're Oversold" | Zero Hedge
Technology Destroying Jobs + While the big driver of the decline in economic growth since the 1980’s has been a structural change from a manufacturing based economy (high multiplier effect) to a service based one (low multiplier effect), it has been exacerbated by the increase in household debt to offset the reduction in wage growth to maintain the standard of living. This is shown clearly in the chart below. [...] In fact, each job created in energy-related areas has had a “ripple effect” of creating 2.8 jobs elsewhere in the economy from piping to coatings, trucking and transportation, restaurants and retail. Simply put, lower oil and gasoline prices may have a bigger detraction on the economy than the “savings” provided to consumers.
Oil  price  shale  gas  fracking  job  creation  USA  2016  Service  Sector  Jobs  Manufacturing  globalization  globalisation  neoliberalism  neoliberal  borderless  flat  world  economic  history  UK  low  income  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  income  growth  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  consumer  debt  squeezed  middle  class  household  debt  property  bubble  working  poor  precarious  work  Precariat  job  security  job  market  jobcreation  job-creation  recovery  GFC  dogma  ideology  austerity  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  trade  agreement  TPP  TTIP  NAFTA  CETA  European  Union  sovereign  debt  crisis  credit  bubble  China  BRIC  structural  imbalance  global  imbalances  faultlines  2015  presidency  barackobama  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  George  Osborne  private  debt  debtoverhang  debt  servitude  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  liquidity  trap  Richard  Koo  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Börse: Warum Schwellenländer für die Kurskrise sorgen - Kolumne - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Chronisch überschüssige Leistungsbilanz [ & Over capacity for less/stagnant demand ... + biggest credit bubble (china) popped as the west can't afford more. QE and ZIRP has run it's way! ] [...] Der Grund, warum der deutsche Aktienindex weitaus mehr betroffen ist als andere europäische Indizes, liegt allein an der strukturellen Abhängigkeit der deutschen Industrie von Blasen in anderen Ländern. Anstatt auf bessere Stimmung zu hoffen, sind Anleger gut beraten, sich über den weiteren Verlauf der Schwellenländerkrise Gedanken zu machen. [...] [ Fed taper makes things more difficult to serve debt ] [...] Langfristig sind es die Gewinne und nicht die Zinsen, die die Aktienpreise treiben. //&! China (Asia/BRIC/Frontier Market) Corporate Bond Yields up - bit.ly/1Sme7fV & NPL probably too. //&! If property is biggest item of household wealth in a property bubble (UK, China, ... USA) - bit.ly/1Zpiy8M
trade  deficit  BRIC  credit  bubble  western  world  secular  stagnation  macroeconomic  policy  China  Japan  Germany  UK  USA  Brazil  commodity  prices  Oil  price  NPL  shadow  banking  shadow  economy  banking  crisis  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  QT  speculative  bubbles  property  bubble  mortgage  market  Fed  BOE  ECB  European  Union  sovereign  debt  crisis  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  private  debt  corporate  debt  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  austerity  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  Russia  OPEC  aggregate  demand  liquidity  trap  Richard  Koo  Richardkoo  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  debt  servitude  student  loan  debt  Super  Cycle  debt  bubble  student  debt  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  student  loan  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  squeezed  middle  class  precarious  work  Precariat  working  poor  neoliberalism  neoliberal  globalization  globalisation  borderless  flat  world  trade  agreement  Hegemony  TPP  TTIP  TISA  CETA  NAFTA  Africa  South  Africa  global  trade  trade  balance  current  account  deficit  Frontier  Markets  faultlines  structural  imbalance  global  imbalances  Taper  reflate  reflation  equity  bubble  Abenomics  economic  history  India  irrational  exuberance  Robert  Shiller  inequality  Gini  coefficient  deflationary 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Under-40s worse off as result of state pension changes, data shows | Money | The Guardian
[ how do you save up when you can afford housing (nor even a mortgage, have credit cards (drinks and presents), and student loan. all the while tories help to prop-up the property bubble, the only wealth uk households actually have! ] Most people now in their teens, 20s and 30s will be worse off as a result of changes to the state pension system, while millions of older people will gain, according to the government’s own figures. The data will fuel concern that millions of younger people are suffering from the effects of what has been dubbed “intergenerational unfairness”, partly caused by the government targeting money and resources at the older generation. DWP issued the data to back up its assertion that the introduction of the new flat-rate state pension in April “will make millions of people better off” – but the figures also provide stark confirmation that younger people will be losers from the changes.
DWP  George  Osborne  Iain  Duncan  Smith  pension  scheme  pension  obligation  public  pension  pension  fund  constituency  babyboomers  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  bank  bailout  GFC  neoliberalism  neoliberal  PR  general  election  2015  general  election  2010  election  campaign  promises  budget  deficit  corporate  welfare  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Positioning  spin  doctor  manufactured  consent  generation  rent  Housing  Crisis  student  loan  debt  debt  servitude  student  loan  Bubble  student  debt  credit  card  debt  household  debt  retirement  consumer  debt  car  loan  generational  contract  lost  generation  Millennials  zombie  consumer  materialism  status  anxiety  Celebrity  of  You  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  demographic  ageing  population  OAP  UK  western  world  secular  stagnation  property  mortgage  market  Help  to  Buy  Right  to  Buy  Buy-to-Let  wealth  distribution  plutocracy  Gini  coefficient  inequality  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  low  income  tax  credit  precarious  work  Precariat  wage  stagnation  minimum  wage  wage  growth  income  growth  social  mobility  income  mobility  globalisation  globalization  flat  world  borderless  Policy  Makers  Westminster  Toff  Privileged  Establishment 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Why The Crash of 2016 Will Happen... - YouTube
China's Credit Bubble popped. &! Could China Trigger the Crash of 2016? - youtu.be/JRw8JgP-L0A //&! IMF: "Age of America" Will End 2016: Steve Forbes on China - youtu.be/YxCxHM5Ax_k //&! Has The Crash of 2016 Now Begun? What Can & Should Be Done? - youtu.be/JwEDvXYVE_g - Richard Wolff, austerity failed what has been promised "business confidence." Smart money unloading started in 2015. "Silly China-bashing." China has capacity (over capacity) but western world has reached its credit limit! << youtu.be/L4J_n9pTdJQ codependent. //&! youtu.be/ORRPNO2XPDA - still too much debt, austerity flaws, no income growth to serve debt and not cut back on spending (private households), China exporting deflation.
book  Super  Rich  1%  plutocracy  corporate  state  corporate  media  Wall  Street  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  vested  interest  interest  groups  revolving  door  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  social  democracy  democracy  Wertegesellschaft  Wegwerfgesellschaft  squeezed  middle  class  neoliberalism  2016  neoliberal  working  poor  Precariat  wage  stagnation  secular  stagnation  western  world  corporate  scandal  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  corruption  bribery  Greed  GFC  bank  bailout  austerity  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  tax  code  Rechtsruck  far-right  Rechtsextremismus  refugee  crisis  symptom  Xenophobia  Islamophobia  Gini  coefficient  inequality  income  mobility  social  mobility  poverty  trap  welfare  state  social  safety  net  USA  Hegemony  China  UK  Debt  Super  Cycle  post-racial  America  crony  capitalism  capitalism  shared  economic  interest  economic  damage  Europe  PIGS  sovereign  crisis  consumer  household  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  IMF  financial  repression  speculative  bubbles  property  bubble  New  Normal  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  globalization  globalisation  flat  world  borderless  free  trade  debtoverhang  credit  card  car  loan  mortgage  market  oligarchy 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Zusammenleben: Die Welt wird nicht untergehen - Kolumne - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Blöde, Ungebildete und Gierige gab es zu jeder Zeit, es liegt nicht nur am Versäumnis der Regierungen, sondern man kann festhalten, dass es einfach zivilisierte und weniger zivilisierte Menschen gibt, egal welchen Geburtshintergrund sie haben. Es gibt idiotische Muslime, biodeutsche Nazis, biofinnische Serienmörder, christliche Umweltzerstörer, es ist nur die Frage, wie regelt man das Zusammenleben einer überwiegend freundlichen Mehrheit mit einer gewaltbereiten oder raffgierigen, unverantwortlichen Minderheit. [...] wer an Traumbildern festhält, kommt darin um. Wir werden unser verschontes, privilegiertes Leben nicht wiederbekommen, [...] das Problem ist der Mensch, der in allen Facetten des Irrsinns hergestellt wird. //&! Die Ursuppe der Identität hat viele Zutaten, Vorurteile gehören dazu. [...] sie verhindert die Auseinandersetzung mit den tatsächlichen Problemen und Ängsten. - bit.ly/1RrJdAP &! bit.ly/1SH00ky &! nuance - bit.ly/1JANeBS
refugee  crisis  bias  snap  judgement  racial  profiling  Xenophobia  Islamophobia  Wertegesellschaft  Gesellschaft  Zivilgesellschaft  Zivilcourage  society  racism  philosophy  sociology  Rechtsruck  far-right  fearmongering  Fear  prejudice  borderless  flat  world  western  world  white  male  privilege  male  privilege  straight  white  male  sexual  assault  violence  sexual  violence  threat  of  violence  rape  culture  Islamic  Law  Sharia  Law  Law  &  Justice  Political  Correctness  Islam  Muslim  PEGIDA  Lügenpresse  feminism  feminist 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Perfect Storm!? | Zero Hedge
And with debt now $57 trillion higher worldwide than in 2008, it’s not at all clear that another borrowing binge will be greeted with enthusiasm by the world’s bond markets, currency traders or entrepreneurs. [ market correction, no liquidity, stuck with position, this may be no correction, but correction back to fundamental grounds ] [...] And one thought will appear in all those minds: Why didn’t I load up on gold when I had the chance?
2015  2016  China  consumer  debt  Super  Cycle  household  debt  mortgage  market  property  bubble  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  fiscal  policy  austerity  monetary  policy  credit  card  debt  car  loan  credit  card  debt  servitude  corporate  debt  sovereign  debt  crisis  debt  bubble  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  economic  history  Taper  Fed  BOE  ECB  PBOC  output  gap  globalisation  globalization  borderless  secular  stagnation  western  world  OPEC  Oil  price  commodity  prices  flat  world  BRIC  leverage 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Osborne warns of 'dangerous cocktail' of economic risks - BBC News
[ repeat phrases - "strong economy", "strong economy, strong NHS" ] The UK faces a "cocktail" of serious threats from a slowing global economy as 2016 begins, Chancellor George Osborne has warned. Speaking in Cardiff, Mr Osborne said this year is likely to be one of the toughest since the financial crisis. He told business leaders that far from "mission accomplished" on the economy, "2016 is the year of mission critical". His message is in stark contrast to the positive tone of his Autumn Statement, when he said the UK was "growing fast". [...] that the Autumn Statement had put in place a four-year plan to restore the UK's public finances, and make the economy more productive, with businesses more competitive so they could create jobs. [...] Mr Osborne told the Today programme the UK's economic recovery was not "a debt-fuelled recovery", citing the support of the governor of the Bank of England in his assessment. [ not public, but private household debt! ]
George  Osborne  Career  Politicians  PR  spin  doctor  budget2015  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  austerity  underinvestment  productive  investment  productivity  output  gap  job  creation  wage  growth  consumer  debt  household  debt  Positioning  energy  policy  competitiveness  renewable  energy  corporate  welfare  corporate  tax  rate  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  subsidies  subsidizing  NHS  Jeremy  Hunt  David  Cameron  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  Manifesto  constituency  babyboomers  Opportunism  opportunist  Oil  price  bank  bailout  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Housing  Crisis  affordable  generation  rent  property  bubble  NPL  mortgage  market  car  loan  credit  card  debt  budget  deficit  balance  sheet  current  account  deficit  trade  deficit  borderless  flat  world  globalisation  globalization  debt  servitude  debtoverhang  student  loan  debt  private  debt  sovereign  debt  corporate  debt  student  debt  student  loan  Maintenance  Grant  Education  Maintenance  Allowance  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion  BOE  Buy-to-Let  Help  to  Buy  Scheme 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
New year, old grievances: why Britain’s bugbears in 2016 look very familiar | Martin Boon | Opinion | The Guardian
A new survey of what’s on our minds reveals a nation still obsessed with the same things as in the 1960s - inequality and immigration [...] Seven out of 10 suggest that inequality and immigration create the biggest societal divides of today [ but tories take on what is easiest, immigration. but not inequality ] So nothing’s changed, and it’s likely not much will – at least, not if you’re a member of our world-weary public, exasperated with the collective failure of political solutions to modern-day grievances.
inequality  Gini  coefficient  UK  austerity  nasty  party  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  corporate  welfare  corporate  tax  rate  CEO  pay  bank  bailout  GFC  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  constituency  babyboomers  Generationengerechtigkeit  Super  Rich  1%  non-dom  Conservative  David  Cameron  Toff  Westminster  Holyrood  Establishment  Privileged  UKIP  far-right  Brexit  Opportunism  opportunist  PR  Positioning  spin  doctor  HMRC  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  rat  race  working  poor  Precariat  NHS  education  policy  democracy  social  democracy  George  Osborne  migration  immigration  COP21  climate  change  War  on  Terror  military–industrial  complex  Lügenpresse  disenfranchise  disenfranchised  Perspektivlosigkeit  deprivation  squeezed  middle  class  Wall  Street  shared  economic  interest  crony  capitalism  globalisation  globalization  borderless  flat  world  uncertainty  Fear  fearmongering  Nationalism  Rechtsruck 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
School debts 'have increased sharply' since 2013 - BBC News
State school debt in England and Wales has increased sharply in the past three years, as budgets tighten and cost pressures hit schools, a report says. [...] 'Cost pressures biting' The Department for Education added it was up to head teachers to prevent their schools from going into debt. "We have always been clear that local authorities need to work with schools to prevent any deficits and surpluses becoming significant," it said. [...] 'Protected budgets' Although the chancellor's Spending Review confirmed per pupil funding will be stable as numbers increase, the Institute of Fiscal Studies has warned there will be significant cost pressures of up to 8% on schools over the next five years. // [ Strong economy = Strong NHS ]
budget2015  George  Osborne  education  policy  austerity  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  post  code  lottery  inequality  income  mobility  Generationengerechtigkeit  UK  Tories  nasty  party  Conservative  constituency  babyboomers  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomic  policy  economic  history  trickle-down  economics  tax  avoidance  tax  evasion  neoliberalism  neoliberal  PR  spin  doctor  reframing  framing  manufactured  consent  corporate  state  corporate  media  budget  deficit  fairness  bank  bailout  GFC  recovery  competitive  competitiveness  underinvestment  STEM  capital  skills  skills  gap  globalisation  globalization  borderless  flat  world 
december 2015 by asterisk2a
Robert Reich - Timeline Photos
What about all the ballyhoo about manufacturing jobs coming back to America? Well, some have. But they pay lousy wages. The average wages of production and non-supervisory employees in manufacturing are lower today than they were in 1985, when adjusted for inflation. [...] Bottom line: Most Americans have got zilch out of this recovery. In fact, they’re worse off now than they were in 2000. Meanwhile, the top 0.1 percent is doing fabulously well. More and more people are concluding the game is rigged -- which it is. No one should be surprised at the surge in populist anger on the left and the right.
USA  job  creation  recovery  industrial  policy  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  UK  western  society  western  world  secular  stagnation  squeezed  middle  class  Sozialer  Abstieg  income  growth  economic  growth  disposable  income  income  distribution  income  mobility  income  inequality  income  redistribution  social  mobility  Gini  coefficient  Super  Rich  1%  discretionary  spending  zombie  consumer  credit  card  debt  credit  card  car  loan  2015  GFC  reflate  reflation  globalization  globalisation  flat  world  borderless  competitive  competitiveness  competition  low  pay  low  income  labour  market  labour  economics  Service  Sector  Jobs  Niedriglohn  Niedriglohnsektor  precarious  work  Precariat  working  poor  Joseph  Stiglitz  Robert  Reich  poverty  child  poverty  food  poverty  poverty  trap  generationy  babyboomers  participation  rate  manual  labour  Millennials  retirement  mainstreet  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  capital  gains  tax  corporate  tax  rate  dogma  ideology  neoliberalism  neoliberal  republicans  democrats  public  awareness  public  perception  American  Dream  post-racial  America  economic  justice  fairness  bank  bailout  TBTF  too  big  to  jail  too  big  to  bail  Generationengerechtigkeit  budget  deficit  austerity  populism  corporate  corporate  r 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
'I don't think Scunthorpe has a future' - BBC News
[ picking winners, when it suits them and gets them the headlines.. get your voice heared if you are big enough ] The cuts are being blamed by many on the Chinese 'dumping' cheap steel in the UK. But unions and Tata also point to high business rates and taxes, something the government has tried to tackle this week with a refund thought to be worth around £50m to the industry. // corporates continue to loot the state.
corporate  welfare  democracy  austerity  fairness  energy  policy  energy  price  energy  security  UK  Tories  Conservative  Party  David  Cameron  industrial  policy  underinvestment  productive  investment  renewable  energy  Smart  Grid  infrastructure  investment  budget2015  George  Osborne  toff  Privileged  Establishment  dogma  ideology  neoliberalism  neoliberal  vulnerable  Disabled  welfare  state  social  safety  net  child  tax  credit  tax  credit  working  tax  credit  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Greed  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  revolving  competitive  competitiveness  Generationengerechtigkeit  recovery  secular  stagnation  Niall  Ferguson  globalization  globalisation  flat  world  borderless  revolving  door  Makers  Opportunism  opportunist  minority  social  contract  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  society  Wertegesellschaft  corporate  scandal  corporate  tax  rate  morality 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Warren Buffett Crushes Republicans On Taxes - YouTube
Not having a voice. No being heard. // Empört Euch! (German) Perfect Paperback – Feb 2011 by Stéphane Hessel
moral  imperative  morality  Super  Rich  1%  capital  gains  tax  capital  gains  income  tax  income  distribution  income  redistribution  infrastructure  investment  underinvestment  budget  deficit  fairness  democracy  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  austerity  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  corporate  tax  rate  crony  capitalism  capitalism  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  exploitation  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  revolving  door  corruption  bribery  Party  Funding  USA  secular  stagnation  Niall  Ferguson  public  investment  Gini  coefficient  income  inequality  income  mobility  social  mobility  American  Dream  progressive  white-collar  crime  squeezed  middle  class  globalization  globalisation  flat  world  borderless  plutocracy  oligarchy  Sozialer  Abstieg  Millennials  Generationengerechtigkeit  generationy  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  corporate  scandal  corporate  state  corporate  media  Polarisation  propaganda  populism  corporate  culture  corporate  values  corporate  governance  corporate  social  responsibility  Services  Services  dogma  ideology  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Greed  GFC  recovery  trickle-down  economics  bank  bailout  society  Gesellschaft  Wertegesellschaft  Rebellion  social  uprising  Richard  Wolff  Robert  Reich  Joseph  Stiglitz  inequality  stagnation  class 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
The government seems intent on ending the solar power industry. It’s madness | Howard Johns | Comment is free | The Guardian
saving on the wrong end of the stick. // &! One solar executive says the 87% cut in state subsidy is ‘obscene’, and will lead to thousands of job losses - bit.ly/1Xdgl0V - “We are all paying £100 for nuclear decommissioning costs in our bills. Solar: five quid? It is nothing to do with the energy bills of hardworking families it is entirely ideologically driven by George Osborne. It is nothing to do with the cost to the energy consumer.”
UK  energy  policy  energy  price  renewable  energy  Hinkley  Point  C  green  energy  wind  energy  energy  security  solar  energy  power  grid  Smart  austerity  dogma  ideology  Tories  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  emissions  carbonemission  carbon  tax  carbonfootprint  fossil  fuel  short-term  view  short-term  thinking  Opportunism  opportunist  competitiveness  globalization  globalisation  borderless  industrial  policy  Manufacturing  flat  world  policy  error  policy  folly  Toff  Privileged  Establishment  constituency  Generationengerechtigkeit  underinvestment  productive  investment  climate  change  global  warming  climate  crisis  babyboomers  Millennials  economic  damage  productivity  output  gap  recovery  generationy  Entitlement  election  campaign  promises  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  fairness  EEG  Umlage  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  European  Union  Germany  fiscal  stimulus  fiscal  policy  trickle-down  economics  nasty  party 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Prospect of TTIP already undermining EU food standards, say campaigners | Business | The Guardian
Opponents of Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership say EU negotiator has admitted to approving entry of banned goods [...] EU negotiators will resume controversial trade talks with the US on Monday amid claims that multinational companies have jumped the gun in advance of any agreement to import goods that are currently banned – including genetically modified crops and chemically washed beef – into European markets. A campaign group says that a report in a US journal concerning the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) talks show that Europe is already capitulating to huge pressure from the US to allow imports of previously banned goods before an agreement is reached. [...] [ as always its about] lower trade barriers and boost growth. [ Trade Deals like TTIP & TPP are better for US economically than a military invasion. who is excluded? BRIC. Who didnt want to join AIIB? USA. But who did? UK & Germany. This is about economic & political power/reach/influence]
TTIP  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  food  safety  Consumer  Protection  Wall  Street  conglomerate  trade  agreement  free  trade  TPP  NAFTA  CETA  European  Union  self-regulation  regulation  deregulation  regulators  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  shared  economic  interest  Career  Politicians  Policy  Makers  democracy  No  Representation  neoliberalism  neoliberal  vested  interest  interest  groups  BRIC  World  Bank  AIIB  exploitation  sustainability  sustainable  crony  capitalism  capitalism  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  free  market  neoconservatism  neoconservatives  G  Zero  presidency  barackobama  corporate  scandal  thinktank  GMO  crop  GMO  Privatisation  austerity  UK  David  Cameron  NHS  Gini  coefficient  inequality  poverty  Developing  World  Frontier  Markets  national  interest  corporate  state  corporate  media  manufactured  consent  Polarisation  PR  spin  doctor  reframing  framing  propaganda  populism  Fear  job  security  squeezed  middle  class  secular  stagnation  Niall  Ferguson  Super  Rich  1%  Sozialer  Abstieg  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  globalization  globalisation  borderless  global  trade  flat  trickle-down  economics  wage  stagnation  income  growth  wage  growth  low  income  job  creation  revolving  door 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Robots are coming for your job. That might not be bad news
The problem with automation isn’t technology. The problem is capitalism. // [ Deflationary pressure, 3bn people in developing world and frontier markets unemployed, waiting to join workforce. ] [ who buys the gadgets and widgets when half the world is unemployed ] // This time, as Martin Ford argues in Rise of The Robots, education and upscaling won’t help us. There will simply be fewer jobs to go around, as everything from accountancy to journalism will be done faster, cheaper and more efficiently by machines. The result, as Jerry Kaplan agrees in Humans Need Not Apply, is that billions will be left destitute – unless we radically rethink our way of keeping people fed.
Software  Is  Eating  The  World  Robotics  automation  Marketplace  efficiencies  commodity  business  commoditization  mobile  homescreen  capitalism  Gini  coefficient  income  distribution  Super  Rich  Commanding  Heights  1%  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Creatives  Creative  freelancing  freelance  Universal  Basic  corporate  welfare  welfare  state  social  safety  net  tax  free  income  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  job  creation  6-hour  work  day  4-day  work  week  Robert  Skidelsky  leisure  time  burnout  chronic  stress  deflationary  technological  history  technological  progress  secular  stagnation  Niall  Ferguson  crony  capitalism  exploitation  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  inequality  income  inequality  capital  gains  tax  capital  gains  democracy  precarious  work  Precariat  working  poor  low  income  low  pay  globalisation  globalization  flat  borderless  free  trade  trade  agreement  TTIP  TPP  TISA  squeezed  middle  class  Sozialer  Abstieg  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  Sozialpolitik  worklife  Future  of  Workers  Union  underemployed  Thomas  Piketty  Robert  Reich  Joseph  Stiglitz  part-time  job  security  job  market  labour  economics  labour  market  Minijob  book  Policy  Makers  revolving  door  social  social  social  tax  economics  of 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
UK slips down world competitiveness league | Business | The Guardian
World Economic Form says the UK’s weakness include the budget deficit and the quality of its education system [...] “Where the country falls short is in its macroeconomic environment, where government debt and the budget deficit conspire to place it 108th out of 140 countries. It could do better, too, with the quality of its education system (21st) and maths and science in particular (46th) – both long-term problems,” [...] It also issued a warning about the health of the global economy, saying “a ‘new normal’ of suppressed economic and productivity growth and persistently high unemployment is damaging resilience and leaving the world vulnerable to another protracted slump”. It called on countries to “step up their efforts to re-accelerate economic growth”.
UK  competitiveness  competitive  STEM  R&D  Research  secular  stagnation  bank  bailout  austerity  fairness  income  mobility  social  mobility  Gini  coefficient  Generationengerechtigkeit  banking  crisis  bank  crisis  TBTF  too  big  to  jail  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  dogma  ideology  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Tories  recovery  GFC  Conservative  Party  education  policy  vocational  education  professional  education  job  creation  job  market  2015  flat  world  borderless  globalization  globalisation 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Huge pension shortfall facing UK's young adults | Money | The Guardian
[ has to put away 10% of disposable income/earnings ?pre-tax?, put it in equities, and open the envelope only after 60-70 years. ] The average 35-year-old has to save £660,000 into a pension plan if they have any hope of matching the standard of living enjoyed by today’s pensioners – but have so far managed to put aside just £14,000.
retirement  savings  savings  rate  savings  glut  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  pension  pension  scheme  squeezed  middle  class  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  income  growth  income  gap  income  distribution  income  inequality  low  income  Sozialer  Abstieg  working  poor  Precariat  precarious  work  financial  literacy  zombie  consumer  consumerism  consumerist  materialism  status  anxiety  babyboomers  generationy  Millennials  status  symbol  consumption  consumer  debt  household  debt  private  debt  student  loan  debt  Bubble  stagnation  secular  stagnation  competitive  competition  competitiveness  globalization  globalisation  flat  world  borderless 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
IMF warns of new financial crisis if interest rates rise | Business | The Guardian
Fund says governments in emerging markets should prepare now for a new credit crunch because of a 10-year corporate borrowing binge [...] “Shocks to the corporate sector could quickly spill over to the financial sector and generate a vicious cycle as banks curtail lending. Decreased loan supply would then lower aggregate demand and collateral values, further reducing access to finance and thereby economic activity, and in turn, increasing losses to the financial sector,” the IMF warns. [...] “Emerging markets must prepare for the adverse domestic stability implications of global financial tightening,” the IMF says.
credit  bubble  2015  Taper  centralbanks  IMF  OECD  Frontier  Markets  Developing  World  Richard  Koo  Debt  Super  Cycle  BRIC  AIIB  World  Bank  recovery  global  economy  global  trade  globalization  globalisation  flat  borderless  currency-war  currency  debasement  currency  war  BOE  BOJ  Abenomics  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  FOMO  asset  allocation  capital  allocation  malinvestment  speculative  bubbles  property  bubble  China  Brazil  commodity  prices  Oil  price  OPEC  reflate  reflation  equity  bubble  emerging  middle  class  demographic  bubble  secular  stagnation  western  UK  USA  Europe  Germany  austerity  divergence  faultlines  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  Niall  Ferguson  Fed  mandate  monetary  policy  unconventional  monetary  policy  zombie  consumer  zombie  banks  bailout  banking  crisis  crisis  fiscal  policy  fiscal  stimulus  economic  history  trickle-down  economics  tax  avoidance  tax  evasion  inequality  Gini  coefficient  NPL  shadow  banking  zombie  corporations  junk  bond  creditrating  distortion  financial  financial  crisis  GFC 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Protestbewegungen in Europa: Die Lust auf Links - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Sex, Job, Geld: In Kernbereichen des Lebens fühlen sich immer mehr Menschen überfordert. Während im Politikbetrieb neoliberale Konzepte dominieren, wächst die Anhängerschaft linker Ideen - in der Hoffnung auf ein würdiges Leben.
neoliberalism  neoliberal  austerity  neoconservatism  neoconservatives  lefty  crony  capitalism  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  revolving  door  Jeremy  Corbyn  inequality  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  Super  Rich  1%  income  mobility  downward  mobility  welfare  state  social  safety  net  education  policy  squeezed  middle  class  babyboomers  precarious  work  Precariat  working  poor  job  security  Zero  Hour  Contract  job  market  globalization  global  trade  globalisation  global  economy  borderless  flat  world  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  social  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  bank  bailout  banking  crisis  capitalism  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  shared  economic  interest  profit  maximisation  mainstreet.org  Union  Workers  Union  political  economy  economic  history  trickle-down  economics  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  manufactured  consent  Lügenpresse  corporate  media  corporate  state  Polarisation  GFC  Europe  UK  USA  Germany  refugee  crisis  reflate  reflation  recovery  equity  bubble  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  property  bubble  speculative  bubbles  asset  bubble 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Higher education cuts 'risk NI being left behind' - BBC News
Northern Ireland is in danger of being left behind if there are further cuts to the higher education budget, a leading technology expert has warned. Tom Gray of Belfast software firm Kainos said more investment was needed to produce skilled workers.
UK  austerity  skill-biased  technological  change  education  policy  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Gini  coefficient  poverty  trap  inequality  income  mobility  social  mobility  Tories  Conservative  Party  Toff  Privileged  Entitlement  Establishment  budget2015  competitive  competition  competitiveness  globalization  globalisation  flat  world  borderless  Software  Is  Eating  The 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Fed chief Yellen says US rate rise still likely this year - BBC News
The US remains "on track" for an interest rate rise this year, Federal Reserve chief Janet Yellen has said. The central bank head said as long as inflation was stable and the US economy was strong enough to boost jobs, the conditions would be right for a rise. Despite expectations of a rise this month, the Fed held rates, in part due to fears about global economic growth. Ms Yellen, speaking at the University of Massachusetts, said US economic prospects "generally appear solid". Speaking a week after the Fed delayed that long-anticipated hike, she said she and other policymakers did not expect recent global economic and financial market developments to significantly affect the central bank's policy. Much recent inflationary weakness is due to special and likely temporary factors, such as a strong dollar and low oil prices, she said. //&! http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2015-09-25/janet-yellen-s-flip-flop-confuses-markets
Janet  Yellen  Fed  Fed  mandate  inflation  expectation  inflation  targeting  secular  stagnation  western  world  centralbanks  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  Taper  QT  petrodollar  Petroleum  Industry  commodity  prices  China  credit  bubble  BRIC  Brazil  Russia  India  BIS  Richard  Koo  global  economy  global  trade  2015  BOE  monetary  policy  unconventional  monetary  policy  debtoverhang  household  debt  consumer  debt  private  debt  credit  card  car  loan  Student  deleveraging  faultlines  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  squeezed  middle  class  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  income  growth  low  income  income  distribution  inequality  Gini  coefficient  Service  Sector  Jobs  job  creation  job  market  labour  economics  labour  market  Niedriglohnsektor  competitive  competition  flat  world  borderless  globalization  globalisation  recovery  fiscal  policy  underinvestment  productive  investment  asset  bubble  FOMO  hunt  for  yield  Super  Rich  1%  hot-money  currency-war  currency  war  currency  debasement  Dollar  speculative  bubbles  asset  allocation  equity  bubble  distortion  irrational  exuberance  property  bubble  macroprudential  policy  USA  UK 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
What Pisses Me Off About The European Migrant Crisis - YouTube
// germany has already bad record of integration and assimilation of 1st and 2nd gen of immigration/migrants into western society at large. thus the hotspots of trouble, deprivation, youth unemployment (NEET), crime, anti-social behaviour, ... in suburbs, outer city boroughs, ... not just Germany, also France (banlieues). Niall Ferguson talked about it as a big big big fucking problem! //&! And Schauble even asks his departments to make savings (public and social services and investment cuts) to pay for cost. - bit.ly/1WeQHZf //&! The Death of Germany | European Migrant Crisis - youtu.be/-30gF6WB-GY ... "you can judge ideology" - Sharia Law. Islamic Radicalism. Honor Killing. Quran. vs western values.
refugee  crisis  European  Union  Germany  2015  Middle  East  migration  immigration  Syrien  Syria  ISIS  al-Qaida  Taliban  Boko  Haram  Nigeria  Lybia  Iraq  Afghanistan  Eritrea  Asylbewerber  Asylum  Balkan  Roma  economic  refugee  refugee  political  refugee  war  refugee  East  Europe  Jordan  Islamic  Law  radicalism  Islamic  State  Muslim  Separation  of  powers  Religion  extremism  welfare  social  safety  net  personal  values  values  culture  society  integration  assimilation  philosophy  western  world  history  Gesellschaft  Zivilgesellschaft  Zivilcourage  civil  courage  civil  society  ethnic  minority  democracy  France  Rechtsextremismus  Rechtsruck  fairness  hartz-iv  bank  bailout  austerity  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  Career  Politicians  western  society  pluralistic  society  civic  society  corporate  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  Polarisation  manufactured  consent  USA  UK  foreign  affairs  Aid  foreign  policy  globalization  globalisation  flat  world  borderless  foreign  relations  Iraq  WMD  presidency  barackobama  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  Lebanon  Arab  League  Police  Russia  Iran  Neonazi  Neo-Nazi  Nazi  Turkey  public  debate  public  perception 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
The Fed has to deal with its own zombie apocalypse
"However, there are pockets of greater weakness like these zombie companies. These pockets are likely to see some more turbulence than overall conditions. Some companies definitely will go out of business." It isn't just the zombies, though, that should worry about higher rates. Corporate America overall has been piling on the debt, which grew 8.3 percent in the second quarter, according to figures the Fed released Friday. [...] Michael Contopoulos, high-yield strategist at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, said the high-yield space is a mess no matter what the Fed does. Global economic weakness and deteriorating fundamentals are making it increasingly harder for the Fed to underwrite junk debt through a zero funds rate. [...] Earnings for junk companies have been "incredibly weak," [...] "leverage is at all-time highs" while "defaults and downgrades are creeping into the market." [...] the issues with high-yield could be more secular in nature.
zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  Junk  Bond  Taper  Fed  Fed  mandate  USA  Richard  Koo  interest  payments  bubble  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  unconventional  monetary  policy  unintended  consequences  distortion  unknown  unkown  complexity  QT  2015  China  credit  bubble  BRIC  monetary  policy  monetary  transmission  mechanism  liquidity  trap  liquidity  squeeze  credit  ratings  secular  stagnation  western  world  refinancing  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  corporate  debt  leverage  margin  trading  reflate  reflation  productivity  UK  Europe  output  gap  competitive  competition  globalization  globalisation  borderless  flat  world  New  Normal  economic  history  trickle-down  economics  marginal  cost  economics  of  abundance 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Jeremy Corbyn's Labour leadership campaign: behind the scenes exclusive | Owen Jones talks - YouTube
socialism for crony capitalism (Super Rich, 1%, 30% of top of society, babyboomers, asset owners - owners of commanding hights, bank bailout) - vs - people // Noam Chomsky, can't have (crony) capitalism and democracy //&! --- youtu.be/fzt_RNa_9BQ - What if Jeremy Corbyn actually wins the Labour leadership? | Owen Jones talks... - key are key messages! repeated. properly framed. unpenetrable by Tories highly skilled spin doctors and their usual campaign of fear (tool, lowest common denominator easiest to mass communicate and transmit in one sentence) to distract/divert from the truth ... 'oh my good, look over there!' ... peoples convenience and attention span and willingness to debate endanger what has been built. it is already dismantled. //&! bit.ly/1NxAriZ - Hostile Press!
Jeremy  Corbyn  lefty  socialism  Career  Politicians  austerity  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  No  Representation  Tories  SNP  Millennials  generationy  babyboomers  bank  bailout  Wall  Street  crony  capitalism  post-capitalism  capitalism  GFC  recovery  political  economy  political  error  political  folly  Labour  Party  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  Conservative  Party  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Iain  Duncan  Smith  political  theory  social  cohesion  social  construct  social  change  social  contract  democracy  Toff  Establishment  Privileged  exploitation  globalisation  globalization  NHS  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  revolving  door  corruption  bribery  PR  spin  doctor  reframing  framing  banking  crisis  financial  crisis  budget  deficit  Scottish  Independence  Scottish  referendum  2015  flat  world  deflationary  deflation  borderless  income  growth  income  distribution  Super  Rich  1%  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Noam  Chomsky  Ed  Miliband 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Public Lecture by Professor Niall Ferguson 2013-04-09 - YouTube
[6 Killer Apps - youtu.be/xpnFeyMGUs8 ] Degeneration and Regeneration after the GFC // interlude: Margaret Thatcher, the power of ideas in public office, in politics: Nature of freedom, economic freedom & other freedoms. Hayek & Adam Smith // The Great Degeneration (new Book 2013). Theme: The role of institutions in the creation and preservation of freedom. // GFC = "The slight depression." Avoided Great Depression like scenario by policy response (reflation) different to previous history. Talks abt equity market levels back 2 pre-2007 levels. EQUITY/(financial) ASSET PRICES. Bank Bailout! But NOT reached (real economy) escape velocity! Proper recovery! Under Keynes it should be an admission of defeat (bc lack of fiscal stimulus)! Is a sub-plot in the story of western decline! Great reconvergence of west & the rest of the world. // &! youtu.be/VVsP2X4kuA8 &! importance of civil institutions - youtu.be/8RB7Ah95RM4 bit.ly/1NqF7am &! youtu.be/kXTjj9NQKYo &! youtu.be/tyYTChxYAQ4
NiallFerguson  Niall  Ferguson  Margaret  Thatcher  economic  history  political  economy  GFC  recovery  credit  bubble  book  Adam  Smith  adamsmith  austerity  ideology  dogma  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  USA  UK  China  history  social  contract  social  cohesion  social  tension  socialism  capitalism  crony  capitalism  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Privatisation  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  hayek  reflate  reflation  Fed  ECB  BOJ  BOE  Makers  BIS  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  bank  bailout  sovereign  debt  crisis  banking  crisis  zombie  banks  excess  reserves  liquidity  trap  monetary  transmission  mechanism  M3  business  confidence  Taper  2015  secular  stagnation  stagnation  wage  growth  income  growth  economic  growth  global  trade  global  economy  globalization  global  imbalances  globalisation  flat  world  borderless  liquidity  JohnMaynardKeynes  keynes  Keynesianism  fiscal  stimulus  aggregate  demand  marginal  propensity  to  consume  zombie  consumer  consumer  debt  Richard  Koo  private  debt  debtoverhang  deleveraging  household  debt  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  developed  world  western  world  squeezed  middle  class  disposable  income  income  distribution  inequality  Gini  coefficient  BRIC  emerging  middle  class  emerging  market  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Developing  Frontier  Markets  inflation  inflation  business  targetin 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
One Map Shows Just How Expensive College Can Be for Students Making Minimum Wage
[S]ubstantial evidence that lack of information plays a critical role in shaping the financial decisions people make. Consider how a vast majority of people who are currently defaulting on their student loans in the U.S. would be able to halt their financial suffering if they knew they could enroll in an income-based repayment plan that would shrink or eliminate their monthly payments. This map goes some way toward explaining why low-income students are less likely to enroll in college. If the idea that college is a risky investment is something thats gaining traction in well-to-do circles, then surely people who hail from less fortunate backgrounds are even more inclined to think the potential price is too high. // could be seen as balance sheet recession: rising cost of education - & on other side - unable 2 pay w job u can get (asset value). Education is mispriced in UK/USA in a new world going forward! >> youtu.be/_EDGTzOXa_g?t=1h46m5s
College  University  USA  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  NPL  un-college  minimum  wage  cost  of  living  income  growth  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  Millennials  generationy  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  babyboomers  living  standard  standard  of  living  living  wage  Generationengerechtigkeit  generation  rent  2015  income  mobility  social  mobility  downward  mobility  Gini  coefficient  income  distribution  1%  Super  Rich  income  inequality  low  income  income  redistribution  precarious  work  working  poor  job  security  job  creation  UK  education  policy  competition  globalisation  globalization  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Privatisation  borderless  flat  world  trickle-down  economics  economic  history  inequality  labour  market  Service  Sector  Jobs  Niedriglohnsektor  marginal  propensity  to  consume  Robert  Reich  Joseph  Stiglitz  Paul  Krugman  Thomas  Piketty  Elizabeth  Warren  Larry  Lessig  labour  economics  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  shared  economic  interest  secular  stagnation  stagnation  debt  servitude  Super  Cycle  debtoverhang  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  financial  literacy  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  social  contract  political  theory  vested  interest  interest  groups  generational  contract  lost  generation  lost  decade  personal  bankruptcy  poverty  trap  Mark  Blyth  dem 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
TTIP, TISA Explained | Wikileaks | Jeremy Corbyn | Bernie Sanders | Julian assange - YouTube
BRIC rise and eventual dominance is a threat to USA economic and political and geo political dominance // Who is excluded from TPP, TTIP and TISA (and CETA)? - BRIC & South Africa. // This is a new type of protectionism, sanctions and economic warfare. // Corporations want to lock-in power.
TTIP  USA  Europe  Wikileaks  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  self-regulation  deregulation  Consumer  Protection  democracy  Career  Politicians  shareholder  value  accountability  China  WTO  AIIB  World  Bank  TPP  crony  capitalism  capitalism  geopolitics  TISA  Developing  World  transparency  social  contract  trade  agreement  No  Representation  political  theory  bribery  corruption  global  economy  global  trade  globalization  globalisation  flat  borderless  European  Parliament  European  Union  economic  history  trickle-down  economics  vested  interest  lobbyist  free  trade  agreement  lobby  Lobbying  revolving  door  interest  groups  Internet  Privacy  Privacy  Surveillance-Industrial  Complex  surveillance  state  Orwellian  corporate  state  corporate  media  manufactured  consent  Polarisation  propaganda  populism  abuse  of  power  Justice  System  inequality  GMO  UK  Germany  Privatisation  neoliberalism  neoliberal  neoconservatism  neoconservatives 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Group of 20 Financial Leaders Agree to Act to Bolster Growth - The New York Times
Ms. Lagarde was even more explicit, making it clear that governments had for too long relied on the supply of cheap cash from central banks that have been running ultra-loose monetary policy. “Monetary policy alone will not cut it,” she said. “It is necessary, it is recommended from our perspective, particularly in Europe and in Japan still, but it will not cut it on its own. “Clearly in the fiscal sphere as well as in the structural reforms sphere, more needs to be done, and it needs to accompany and eventually take the baton from the central bank governors.”
Europe  IMF  UK  USA  western  world  Richard  Koo  recovery  fiscal  policy  fiscal  stimulus  long-term  view  long-term  thinking  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  industrial  policy  STEM  R&D  austerity  George  Osborne  ChristineLagarde  OECD  GFC  economic  history  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  liberal  economic  reform  Research  competitiveness  differentiate  differentiation  value  creation  added  value  Manufacturing  job  creation  Niedriglohnsektor  Service  Sector  Jobs  Future  of  Work  Smart  Grid  renewable  energy  business  investment  consumer  debt  household  debt  debtoverhang  monetary  policy  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  Germany  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  inequality  Gini  coefficient  education  policy  David  Cameron  dogma  ideology  academia  academics  Mark  Blyth  Joseph  Stiglitz  Robert  Reich  Paul  Krugman  wage  growth  income  growth  G20  wage  stagnation  secular  stagnation  globalisation  globalization  flat  world  borderless  competitive  competition  currency  war  currency-war  currency  debasement  Exportweltmeister  BRIC  credit  bubble  global  economy  global  trade  global  imbalances  faultlines  structural  imbalance  Impediments  American  Dream  economy  energy  energy  policy 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
How Legal Immigration Failed Silicon Valley | TechCrunch
Our immigration system hinders entrepreneurship, innovation and productivity. Success in the tech industry, where whole new job categories are created overnight, requires deep familiarity with trends, products and technologies. Learning opportunities abound — if you’re willing to transition to new roles, educate yourself, work on different products or switch companies altogether. Building your own startup, or even joining one, can be the best career move; it offers remarkable potential for growth by wearing multiple hats in an expanding organization. The labor market benefits from this flexibility not just with an improved and adaptable workforce, but also one that creates jobs. The immigration process impedes all these possibilities. [...] [ reset process when switching companies ] [...] And that’s not even the worst part. If you get laid off, you must leave the country. Immediately. [...] Try telling your VC you spent $25,000 of their $1 million funding on immigration fees
USA  immigration  Europe  Germany  UK  skill-biased  technological  change  skills  gap  capital  skills  workforce  migration  ecosystem  Silicon  Valley  Berlin  Start-Up  Scene  London  Scene  Green  Card  job  security  insecurity  American  Dream  entrepreneur  practical  skills  practical  skill  set  skill  job  creation  borderless  globalization  globalisation  flat  world  global  economy  digital  economy  marginal  cost  economics  of  abundance  Future  of  Work  Remote  Work  liberal  economic  reform  policy  error  short-term  view  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  neoconservatism  neoconservatives  Rechtsruck  ageing  population  demographic  bubble  STEM  R&D  Research  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  policy  labour  market  labour  economics  added  value  value  creation  multiplier  education  policy  vocational  education  professional  education  long-term  view  HR  human  resources  hiring  recruiting  recruitment  war  for  talent  H1B  startupvisa  visa  H-1B 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
China's impossible trinity - BBC News
At the heart of China's problem is the "impossible trinity" of international macroeconomics. The impossible trinity - or trilemma - is the idea that it is impossible for a country to have three things at the same time: a stable currency, the free movement of capital (i.e. the absence of capital controls) and independent monetary policy. A country can instead choose just two of the options from this policy suite. The UK, in common with most developed economies, has free capital movement and an independent monetary policy - but not a controlled exchange rate. The Bank of England sets interest rates at a level it thinks is right for the UK economy and - as capital can flow into and out of the UK at will - the exchange rate is determined by the market. [...] But the bigger criticism is usually over the nature of the post-2009 stimulus package [...] But, for all the criticism, the counterfactual is rarely stated. What would global growth have looked like without it? [//+ deflation factors]
China  liberal  economic  reform  2015  credit  bubble  devaluation  currency  debasement  Yuan  RMB  PBOC  IMF  SDR  macroeconomics  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  QE  recovery  GFC  economic  history  banking  crisis  shadow  banking  NPL  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  property  bubble  hot-money  BRIC  western  world  global  trade  global  economy  deflationary  deflation  reflate  reflation  equity  bubble  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  distortion  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  Fed  BOE  BOJ  Abenomics  currency  war  currency-war  aggregate  demand  short-fall  aggregate  demand  Richard  Koo  consumer  debt  household  debt  student  loan  debt  debt  servitude  sovereign  debt  crisis  debt  bubble  Super  Cycle  student  debt  public  debt  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  private  debt  globalisation  globalization  technological  progress  flat  world  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  secular  stagnation  borderless  global  imbalances  faultlines  structural  imbalance  savings  glut  Impediments  inequality  squeezed  middle  class  Europe  UK  OECD  marginal  propensity  to  consume  Sozialer  Abstieg  working  poor  precarious  work  income  growth  deregulation  self-regulation  Workers  Union  wage  pressure  disposable  income  income  distribution  income  redistribution  low  income  income  inequality  American  Dream  USA  Gini  Super  coe 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Soziale Gerechtigkeit und Wachstum: Deutschland mittelmäßig - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Wie gut gelingt es Staaten, eine nachhaltige Wirtschaftspolitik mit sozialer Gerechtigkeit zu vereinen? Deutschland landet in einer Studie des Weltwirtschaftsforums nur im Mittelfeld. Vor allem das Steuersystem schneidet schlecht ab. // &! bit.ly/1K7qKCb - Erbschaft!
Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  austerity  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  downward  mobility  inequality  gender  inequality  economic  growth  tax  free  income  kalte  Progression  coldprogression  Universal  Basic  Super  Rich  1%  Public  Services  Services  welfare  state  social  safety  net  OECD  IMF  Robert  Reich  Joseph  Stiglitz  Thomas  Piketty  tax  avoidance  tax  evasion  capital  gains  tax  income  tax  infrastructure  infrastructure  investment  commuting  chronic  stress  child  poverty  poverty  trap  food  poverty  well  being  happiness  index  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Workers  Union  precarious  work  Precariat  working  poor  minimum  wage  tax  credit  education  policy  underbanked  poverty  Sozialer  Abstieg  squeezed  middle  class  corporate  tax  rate  Privatisation  underinvestment  productive  investment  investment  Public  Good  Career  Politicians  short-term  long-term  competitiveness  globalisation  globalization  borderless  flat  world  job  security  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  tax  code  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  shared  economic  interest  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  Mittelstand  SME  SMB  Germany  society  culture  Gesellschaft  babyboomers  Millennials  generationy  bank  social  bail 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
We’re gonna need a bigger round...
After 15 years of staggering declines, the cost of building a company in San Francisco is rising sharply // prohibitive! diluting too much too early. // China and other BRIC paper millionaers divesting into property speculators, around the world. every city that has seen substantial price appreciation +10-20% over last +5 years // hot money from monetary policy, excess reserves, flushing around the globe //
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
▶ How The Economic Machine Works by Ray Dalio
credit great 4 productive investments 4 the future that will benefit u/me/gov/biz like infrastructure/edu/skills. but waste 4 pure consumption that dont increase productivity in the long run. Like consumer credit spend 2 replace a 2yr old flat screen. vs consumer credit 4 vocational/professional further edu 2 get a higher earning job (future higher income 2 repay the then debt liability & have some more/left over). Bad if u dont have later higher earnings from higher education 2 repay debt & just work in an underemployed placement that any college dropout could do. Thing is, college dropout doesnt have that debt liability that the higher education person has (reduced disposable income bc debt repayment + interest payments.) Women are hit double (gender pay gap) & triple (childcare long-term earnings loss). // min16 income growth important 2 keep up with debt repayment beyond interest. if not, we reached peak long-term debt cycle! // doesnt include globalisation's deflationary effects
credit  bubble  austerity  business  cycle  debt  cycle  financial  cycle  Super  economic  cycle  productivity  income  growth  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  output  gap  economics  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  economic  history  living  standard  standard  of  living  gender  pay  gap  reflate  reflation  asset  bubble  equity  bubble  China  USA  2015  speculative  bubbles  secular  stagnation  stagnation  deflationary  deflation  household  debt  government  debt  public  debt  debt  servitude  student  loan  debt  consumer  debt  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  sovereign  debt  crisis  debt  bubble  student  debt  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  private  debt  GFC  recovery  Richard  Koo  liquidity  trap  NPL  excess  reserves  zombie  banks  zombie  consumer  debt  restructuring  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  debt  jubilee  greatrecession  Great  Depression  budget  deficit  Super  Rich  Polarisation  Thomas  Piketty  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  fairness  inequality  Gini  coefficient  social  cohesion  social  tension  social  contract  Career  Politicians  Joseph  Stiglitz  Paul  Krugman  Robert  Reich  Mark  Blyth  income  redistribution  income  inequality  income  mobility  social  mobility  capital  gains  tax  tax  code  corporate  tax  rate  lost  decade  lost  generation  neoliberalism  neoliberal  globalization  globalisation  western  world  developed  world  Europe  competitiveness  competition  competitive  flat  world 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Thom Hartmann "The Crash of 2016" - YouTube
7:10 American Dream not abt being Super Rich, part of 1%, self-made millionaire. American Dream is abt live a good life, meaningful work. Launch children into world. Edu. Vacation. & Left over 4 retirement. having a voice; Workers Union. Health Care. Some little savings. Retirement Fund. // Wages did not keep up with productivity gains, if they had, minimum wage would be about $22! - bit.ly/1NZLVwc // 1trn$ in student loans/debt! that is what post-war gen had in assets! // (neoliberalism and neoconservative) Think Tanks; like Kato Institute, produce papers that are pushed to media 'getting our message across' (control media), also control over our justice system, & control over our education (our story, ie X Prof and read Ayan Rand). // Middle Class once invested in college & university. Was seen as intellectual class, society pillar. Till the last 32 years. // cites Fourth Turning book! // re-peat of 1929, = GFC // &! youtu.be/nUWaXZWhnqA &! youtu.be/polYrI4Us84
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Maybe This Global Slowdown Is Different - Bloomberg View
[ warren buffet investing in america because he sees the long-term outcome of Globalisation (first was incredible pain and then a flat and then a normalisation). He is buying at the bottom of normalisation period. A truly flat, borderless world in next 20-30 years. Where USA is energy competitive with high skilled labour and top notch STEM, Research and R&D through its edu/colleges/university departments. Able to effectively compete. And also lobby for subsidies, gov contracts (ie defense, infrastructure! which will have to be replaced to the tune of trillions), effective tax avoidance & evasion. ] // Building global supply chains became so fashionable for Western manufacturers that they built them even when it made sense to keep production closer to customers; now they're retrenching and revising their approach.
warrenbuffet  USA  economic  history  globalisation  globalization  borderless  flat  world  competitive  competition  competitiveness  competitive  advantage  marginal  cost  economics  of  abundance  energy  price  renewable  energy  STEM  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  infrastructure  investment  western  world  Smart  Grid  deflationary  deflation  secular  stagnation  global  trade  global  economy  global  imbalances  faultlines  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  R&D  Research  digital  economy  knowledge  economy  Future  of  Work  Mobile  Creatives  Software  Is  Eating  The  3D  printing  Robotics  automation  GFC  recovery  long-term  view  long-term  added  value  value  creation  differentiate  differentiation  energy  efficiency  energy  policy 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Steve Keen on Education - YouTube
economy future relies on innovation. and if you check and monitor to death a system, and add bureaucracy on top of it, and low wages, and being under staffed and being over worked. and crowded, noisy class rooms (unable to spot talent and unable to sponsor). you can't have a prosperous future economy/generation with high social mobility. higher incomes. new industries. // oh and theyve cut research to nothing // oh and the creative digital industry is complaining, and added value industry is complaining about lack of qualified/skilled young workforce. // // UK will lose rest of its heavy industry because of energy prices it can't compete on world wide because it hasn't invested in the Smart Grid, energy storage systems, infrastructure, and renewable energy! Period. Budget2015 they cut all of renewable investment schemes and even had the audacity to put a carbon tax levy on it!
UK  education  policy  social  mobility  income  mobility  Gini  coefficient  STEM  University  College  vocational  education  apprenticeships  austerity  Tories  Conservative  Party  Toff  Establishment  Privileged  Research  knowledge  economy  knowledge  worker  skill-biased  technological  change  skills  gap  capital  skills  practical  skills  practical  skill  set  softskills  Fachkräftemangel  Millennials  generationy  entrepreneurship  entrepreneurial  social  entrepreneurship  capitalism  creative  destruction  disruption  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  Robotics  3D  printing  automotive  automation  self-driving  cars  autonomous  car  globalization  globalisation  borderless  flat  competitive  competition  competitive  advantage  competitiveness  public  investment  business  investment  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  long-term  view  short-term  view  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  social  contract  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  secular  stagnation 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Will the Next Recession Be Made in China? - Bloomberg Business
When China sneezes, the world just might catch a cold [...] The difference between now and then is that a lot of developing nations and global markets have braced themselves against the risks of a currency crisis, making a full-scale Asian Contagion unlikely. [...] “In a nutshell, no one can or should rule out a crisis, but we believe that the risk has fallen from a few years ago.” [...] Financial markets depend on good information. When it’s lacking, investors flail. They assume the best when they’re bullish and the worst when fear gets the best of them. That helps explain the eruption over China, a nation that remains opaque despite having the world’s second-biggest economy. Facts as basic as its GDP are hard to pin down: Officially it grew at 7 percent in the first and second quarters—suspiciously, precisely the rate Li predicted for 2015. Some outsiders put growth at closer to 5 percent based on data such as electricity consumption and rail cargo.
global  economy  China  global  trade  Europe  USA  globalization  globalisation  borderless  flat  world  contagion  economic  history  2015  recovery  Taper  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion  faultlines  structural  imbalance  global  imbalances  Impediments  PBOC  Fed  BOE  BOJ  Abenomics  hunt  for  yield  reflate  reflation  asset  allocation  asset  bubble  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  equity  bubble  bond  bubble  property  bubble  Debt  Super  Cycle 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Paul Mason - is capitalism dead? | Guardian Live - YouTube
100 year process, this is the 21st century // when you define the problem you also define the solution, in most cases. from A to B. // capitalism has rent-seeking tendency. DRM and IP/intellectual property is rent-seeking. // --- need book what to do with post-capitalism tools, open source, open data, share economy, shared economic interest, transparency, political reform - voucher system (Larry Lessig). --- // biotech and gene and new age of medicine will replace hardware and proprietary software (already being displaced by open source) //
post-capitalism  crony  capitalism  monopoly  monopsony  Silicon  Valley  Wall  Street  Paul  Mason  rent-seeking  intellectual  property  Page  Rank  Google  Search  copyright  IP  intellectualproperty  DRM  Kindle  Amazon  Microsoft  Open  Source  Open  Data  civic  good  Public  civic  society  Share  Economy  proprietary  software  Karl  Marx  economic  history  shared  economic  interest  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  buyback  underinvestment  productive  investment  climate  change  interest  groups  vested  interest  interestgroups  fiduciary  responsibility  long-term  view  long-term  thinking  faultlines  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  Career  Politicians  social  contract  No  Representation  neoliberalism  neoliberal  exploitation  Gini  coefficient  Future  of  Work  Mobile  Creatives  knowledge  knowledge  worker  3D  printing  marginal  cost  economics  of  abundance  renewable  energy  commodity  business  commoditization  book  meritocracy  meritocratic  Gesellschaft  Zivilgesellschaft  Wegwerfgesellschaft  zombie  consumer  finite  resources  status  anxiety  identity  society  philosophy  sociology  social  cohesion  social  tension  inequality  income  mobility  social  mobility  4-day  week  leisure  tim 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Jeremy Corbyn wins economists’ backing for anti-austerity policies | Politics | The Guardian
In the letter to which David Blanchflower, a former member of the Bank of England’s monetary policy committee is a signatory, the economists write: “The accusation is widely made that Jeremy Corbyn and his supporters have moved to the extreme left on economic policy. But this is not supported by the candidate’s statements or policies. His opposition to austerity is actually mainstream economics, even backed by the conservative IMF. He aims to boost growth and prosperity.” // UK can't compete with energy rich countries - ie through rebuilding (through subsidies) its industrial and manufacturing sector - it has to add value through expert services, knowledge, digital, research to existing products goods and services that then can be re-sold across the world - high energy cost, expensive transport through lack of infrastructure of the future, and lack of in-pipeline educated mobile youngster, is a structural deficit.
neoliberalism  Jeremy  Corbyn  David  Cameron  Labour  Party  Conservative  Party  Tories  Toff  Privileged  Establishment  dogma  ideology  austerity  Privatisation  neoliberal  budget2015  recovery  public  investment  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  STEM  Research  digital  economy  knowledge  economy  differentiate  differentiation  IMF  OECD  global  economy  globalization  globalisation  borderless  flat  world  competitiveness  competitive  competition  competitive  advantage  current  account  deficit  trade  deficit  global  trade  trade  balance  Structural  Impediments  trickle-down  economics  economic  history  GFC  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  vocational  education  education  policy  social  mobility  income  mobility  Gini  coefficient  gender  inequality  inequality  professional  education  Future  of  Work  Software  Is  Eating  The  creative  destruction  added  value  value  creation  faultlines  working  poor  precarious  Precariat  squeezed  middle  class  deregulation  underemployed  unemployment  imbalance  subsidies  subsidizing  protectionism  Career  Politicians  Pivot  UK  economic  growth  economics  of  abundance  marginal  cost  energy  price  energy  policy  renewable  energy  Oil  price 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
It's Official: China Confirms It Has Begun Liquidating Treasuries, Warns Washington | Zero Hedge
[ Richard Koo mentioned in a talk that Fed officials dont know abt extend/potential of upward pressure 4 long-dated bonds once Taper started & bond holdings have to be reduces - put on the market + this as a potential long-term trend! ] // we do have an idea of what foreign FX reserve liquidation means for USTs. "Suppose EM and developing countries, which hold $5491 bn in reserves, reduce holdings by 10% over one year - this amounts to 3.07% of US GDP and means 10yr Treasury yields rates rise by a mammoth 108bp ," Citi said, in a note dated earlier this week.  In other words, for every $500 billion in liquidated Chinese FX reserves, there's an attendant 108bps worth of upward pressure on the 10Y. Bear in mind here that thanks to the threat of a looming Fed rate hike and a litany of other factors including plunging commodity prices and idiosyncratic political risks, EM currencies are in free fall which means that it's not just China that's in the process of liquidating USD assets.
bond  bubble  USA  China  Forex  foreignexchange  treasuries  Fed  Taper  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  2015  2016  New  Normal  Richard  Koo  secular  stagnation  economic  history  recovery  emerging  market  emerging  middle  class  Developing  World  global  economy  flat  borderless 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
El-Erian: This Is Not 1998 or 2008 - YouTube
it is a repricing. a correction. prices got too far away (reflation of equity & co through ZIRP, NIRP, QE, speeches, plus hunt for yield & FOMO). It just happened to be China being the trigger, the wake-up call - very loud wake-up call - bc of its economic size and heft. (taper talks 2015 that made equity already nervous, and bond holders too, was too timid). Reality check. // Was it justified, yes. // In the long-run, we are all dead. And in the long-run things will, eventually, correct itself. // People may take now into account a new normal, lower interest rate environment, lower global growth, lower yields, lower inflationary pressures, lower dividend payments, more work that corporates (crony capitalism) need to do to squeeze out that earnings growth especially in the western world. inequality - low wage growth/stagnation - less discretionary spending on non-essential items (in the western world). & "realization that policy tools were less effective". &! bv.ms/1NFsFUn
reflate  reflation  hunt  for  yield  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  asset  allocation  equity  bubble  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  secular  stagnation  New  Normal  asset  bubble  bubble  bond  bubble  bubbles  distortion  economic  history  trickle-down  economics  recovery  UK  USA  Europe  dogma  ideology  austerity  fiscal  policy  fiscal  stimulus  Richard  Koo  Japan  lost  decade  lost  generation  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  savings  rate  debtoverhang  debt  servitude  sovereign  debt  crisis  faultlines  Structural  Impediments  participation  rate  unemployment  imbalance  Makers  policy  error  policy  folly  macroprudential  policy  microeconomic  policy  monetary  policy  monetary  theory  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  system  STEM  industrial  policy  Manufacturing  competitiveness  globalisation  globalization  flat  world  commodity  business  commoditization  borderless  deflationary  deflation  Software  Is  Eating  The  Marketplace  mobile  homescreen  mobile  phone  mobile  first  Smartphone  Revolution  2.0  energy  price  Oil  price  inflation  expectation  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  productivity  output  gap  underinvestment  Gini  coefficient  inequality  income  mobility  social  mobility  productive  investment  IMF  OECD  developed  world  emerging  emerging  growth  investment  midd 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Crash bei Dax und Dow: Das war's mit Illusion Nummer drei - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Solange die Weltwirtschaft brummt, kann eine einzelne Volkswirtschaft ihre Währung so lange abwerten, bis sie wieder wettbewerbsfähig ist und der Aufschwung fast von alleine kommt. Globale Krisen funktionieren anders. Die Weltwirtschaft insgesamt kann nicht abwerten. Sie kann nur produktiver werden, aber nicht wettbewerbsfähiger. Da alle großen Wirtschaftsregionen der Welt - USA, Euroraum, Russland, China, Japan und Südostasien - ihre Mega-Krisen in den letzten zwei Jahrzehnten hatten, gibt es auch keinen Unversehrten mehr, der die Rolle einer weltwirtschaftlichen Lokomotive übernehmen könnte. Das Wachstum der Weltwirtschaft verlangsamt sich somit stetig. [...] Die fetten Jahre sind vorbei [...] [ Share buyback was hot in 2014/15 till now ] [...] Die Verschiebung der Macht von Arbeit zu Kapital schreitet nicht weiter fort. [ low interest rate environment bc low capital returns, new Millennials have to serve now this debt burden and can't hope to inflate it away. & stagnant wages! ]
IMF  OECD  global  economy  global  trade  globalisation  global  imbalances  globalization  borderless  flat  world  GFC  dot.com  recovery  reflate  reflation  secular  stagnation  Richard  Koo  economic  history  austerity  2015  China  USA  UK  Europe  savings  glut  structural  imbalance  distortion  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  underinvestment  productive  investment  output  gap  participation  rate  productivity  Great  Moderation  New  Normal  asset  bubble  equity  bubble  speculative  bubbles  bond  bubble  property  bubble  bubbles  hunt  for  yield  liquidity  trap  monetary  transmission  mechanism  debtoverhang  debt  servitude  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  inflation  expectation  deflationary  deflation  Oil  price  energy  price  OPEC  Makers  policy  error  policy  folly  unintended  consequences  complexity  unknown  unkown  share  buyback  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  public  investment  infrastructure  investment  business  investment  M&A  mainstreet.org  crony  capitalism  exploitation  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  capitalism  bank  bailout  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  social  contract  political  theory  structural  unemployment  Impediments  faultlines  policy  social  l 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Darwinism At Your Doorstep: Why You Only Care About Amazon Now | TechCrunch
“You either fit here or you don’t,” and that in Seattle the company has a widespread reputation for its toughness. For now, you have a choice whether to work for Amazon. For now, you have options. Amazon is the vanguard of a very scary movement in the tech sector but we’re not all there yet (though some techbros on Twitter seem happy at the thought of Amazon culture catching on). [...] Why do we care suddenly about working conditions when it turns out that white-collar employees are the ones getting shafted? The workers at Amazon fulfillment centers have much less choice and much less power than the marketers and engineers in the Times piece. [...] We’re acting shocked and horrified that Amazon applies what it calls “purposeful Darwinism” to people with MBAs and PhDs, // [ trend, conditions known in service sector job and manual labour sector swapping over into the cushy world of blue-/white-collar worker ] Capitalism regresses toward feudalism.
Amazon  Silicon  Valley  corporate  culture  corporate  values  HR  human  resources  squeezed  middle  class  Sozialer  Abstieg  White-collar  Worker  Blue-collar  Worker  working  poor  precarious  work  class  warfare  USA  UK  competitive  competitiveness  competition  neoliberalism  neoliberal  perks  benefits  Europe  globalization  globalisation  borderless  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  automation  Robotics  flat  self-employment  freelance  freelancing  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  Service  Sector  Jobs  manual  labour  job  market  labour  economics  labour  market  western  secular  stagnation  economic  history  differentiate  differentiation  Seth  Godin  career  ladder  career  advice  being  remarkable  Purple  Cow  Future  of  Mobile  Creatives  Mobile  Creative  destruction  capitalism  crony  capitalism  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  Jeff  Bezos  monopsony  monopoly  deflationary  deflation  wage  stagnation  trickle-down  economics  Thomas  Piketty  book  Universal  Basic  Income  tax  code  Super  Rich  1%  inequality  inequality  Gini  coefficient  tax  capital  gains  tax  capital  gains  technological  progress  skill-biased  technological  change  technological  history  augmented  intelligence  living  standard  standard  of  living  cost  of  living  living  wage 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Japan Exports Its Way to Irrelevance - Bloomberg View
[ Politicians as always will react with reactionary unimaginative policy, competing for the same pie. instead of enabling, supporting new pies to be created. ] But Abe needs to recognize, as China already has, that this is only the latest sign of a broader reality: Asia's old export model of economic growth no longer works. [...] All the stimulus BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda can muster won't change the worsening trajectory of the region's most-populous nation. That's why Abe needs to take a page from Beijing and focus more on creating new industries at home. [ the base of home grown new market/category/vertical also includes sound middle class to buy those products. demand at home. social safety net (security). and less inequality. progressive taxation. fight tax evasion/avoidance, monopoles, monopsonies, bribery, corruption. and politicians making policy for lobby. ]
Germany  Exportweltmeister  Japan  China  India  Latin  America  competitive  competition  competitiveness  flat  world  borderless  globalization  globalisation  differentiate  differentiation  Abenomics  economic  history  IMF  OECD  global  economy  global  trade  Future  of  Work  Universal  Basic  Income  tax  free  Mobile  Creatives  Mobile  Creative  3D  printing  Software  Is  Eating  The  Robotics  automation  ownership  cost  of  ownership  Millennials  consumerist  consumerism  Frontier  Markets  Developing  western  world  UK  USA  Europe  secular  stagnation  developed  world  current  account  deficit  lohndumping  Lohnzurückhaltung  liberal  economic  reform  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  technological  progress  biotechnologie  biotechnology  on-demand  convenience  marketplace  efficiencies  commodity  business  commoditization  deflationary  deflation  21stcentury  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  policy  error  policy  folly  inequality  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  mobility  squeezed  middle  class  complexity  Supply  and  Demand  Demand  and  Supply  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  hunt  for  yield  currency  currency  policy  policy  w 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Wirtschaftslage: Ungebremst in die nächste Krise - SPIEGEL ONLINE
So instabil, wie die Lage ist, bedarf es womöglich nur eines vergleichsweise kleinen Anstoßes, um die nächste Krise auszulösen. Und was passiert dann? [...] Kaum noch Spielräume, nirgends. Weder die Finanzpolitik noch die Zinspolitik kann bei einem erneuten Abschwung viel ausrichten. Das gilt auch für die Schwellenländer: Russland & Brasilien mühen sich, ihre Zahlungsfähigkeit zu sichern. Sogar Saudi-Arabien muss sich im Ausland verschulden. China's [...] Kapitalmarktblase aufgebläht und leidet nun unter einer der höchsten privatwirtschaftlichen Verschuldungsquoten aller Emerging Markets. Die ernsten Schwierigkeiten, vor denen die Volksrepublik steht, zeichnen sich bereits seit Langem ab. [...] Japan ist dann überall. [debt fuelled recovery (fiscal stimulus) that always were. now we have austerity & the "recovery" reflects that. plus deflationary effects; further globalisation, flat borderless world, technology, commoditisation of XYZ, future consumer (growth) not in the west!, etc]
UK  USA  Europe  recovery  2015  Taper  economic  history  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  austerity  OECD  IMF  Richard  Koo  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  BIS  Japan  China  reflate  reflation  asset  bubble  equity  bubble  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  secular  stagnation  lost  decade  lost  generation  Abenomics  fiscal  stimulus  GFC  sovereign  debt  crisis  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  monetary  transmission  mechanism  Supply  and  Demand  Demand  and  Supply  Oil  price  OPEC  deflationary  deflation  currency  war  currency  debasement  hunt  for  yield  distortion  bank  bailout  EuropeanSystemicRiskBoard  globalization  globalisation  flat  world  borderless  inflation  expectation  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  western  world  Developing  Frontier  Markets 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Immigrants Don’t Steal Jobs by Slate's The Gist
high skill immigration adds to economy. low skill adds to economy - if - they are put into higher education and start to add after a handful of years to the economy in a added value job, not service sector job. // Debunking the Myth of the Job-Stealing Immigrant for the New York Times Magazine. // marginal downside effects. no sudden shocks because of migration. // immigration should be supplement to existing ('native') workers. - even low skilled workers are complement, to the skilled worker/economy. // net benefit to federal economy (taxes), net cost to local economy - integrating immigrants.
immigrants  immigration  Asylbewerber  Asylum  UK  USA  Europe  Germany  Ausländerfeindlichkeit  2015  demographic  bubble  premature  ageing  ageing  population  Japan  academia  academics  policy  folly  policy  error  integration  Integrationspolitik  Leadership  society  competitive  competitiveness  competitive  advantage  manual  labour  Service  Sector  Jobs  Niedriglohnsektor  capital  skills  skill-biased  technological  change  skills  gap  practical  skill  set  practical  skills  job  market  job  creation  labour  economics  labour  market  social  mobility  income  mobility  vocational  education  professional  education  apprenticeships  Makers  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  social  contract  Gesellschaft  Zivilgesellschaft  flat  world  borderless  globalisation  globalization  industrial  policy  microeconomic  policy  competition  China  economic  history 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Why we Polish are downing tools to get the recognition we deserve | John Zylinski | Comment is free | The Guardian
[ Tories and Co pit them, us all, against each other ]
immigrants  immigration  scape  goat  smoke  mirror  David  Cameron  UKIP  Nigel  Farage  George  Osborne  DWP  Iain  Duncan  Smith  austerity  UK  Service  Sector  Jobs  job  market  job  creation  Sozialer  Abstieg  squeezed  middle  class  Niedriglohn  Niedriglohnsektor  Lohnzurückhaltung  lohndumping  labour  market  Workers  Union  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  economic  history  industrial  policy  STEM  Manufacturing  manufactured  consent  propaganda  populism  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  national  interest  Xenophobia  racism  Tories  Conservative  Party  policy  folly  policy  error  Makers  social  contract  social  cohesion  social  tension  welfare  state  neoliberalism  neoliberal  babyboomers  Generationengerechtigkeit  skills  gap  skill-biased  technological  change  globalisation  globalization  borderless  flat  world  competitive  competitiveness  competition  London  economies  of  agglomeration  Westminster  SNP  Scotland  Wales  Northern  Ireland  progressive  coldprogression  kalte  Progression  financial  repression  bank  bailout  bailout  zombie  banks  GFC  recovery  political  theory  precarious  work  social  policy  Party  workin 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Better to inherit a home than start a business in Osborne.uk | Will Hutton | Comment is free | The Guardian
Our government is locked into a mindset in which economic problems are rooted in regulation, taxation and the public sector, so its reform efforts are focused there rather than addressing the palpable dysfunctions of the private sector. [...] It is Orwellian. There is a productivity review that will not raise productivity and a budget that will do little to deliver what the chancellor says he wants. This should offer rich pickings for any opposition – but to exploit the possibilities it first has to understand them and then challenge Osborne’s narrative. It is a sign of our shrunken times that instead the chancellor bestrides our economics and politics like a colossus.
George  Osborne  budget2015  2015  recovery  GFC  industrial  policy  education  policy  vocational  education  professional  education  STEM  austerity  Social  Services  Gini  coefficient  Public  Services  welfare  state  working  poor  precarious  work  squeezed  middle  class  mobility  corporate  tax  rate  income  mobility  UK  David  Cameron  Toff  Privileged  Establishment  policy  folly  policy  error  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  capital  gains  income  tax  globalization  globalisation  added  value  value  creation  differentiate  differentiation  borderless  competitive  competition  competitiveness  flat  world  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Conservative  Party  budget  deficit 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Eight reasons why China’s currency crisis matters to us all | World news | The Guardian
If its economy really is much weaker than Beijing has let on, it would be alarming for any company hoping to export to China [...] However, the devalued yuan will force China’s Asian rivals, such as Indonesia and South Korea, to compete even harder in response; [...] fears that China’s economy is in trouble tend to undermine oil prices – and that probably means cheaper petrol in Britain. Of course, there are other factors, including strong oil production in the US; but global oil prices resumed their decline last week following China’s move, dipping back below $50 a barrel. In coming months, weak Chinese demand could force down the cost of many commodities, from oil to iron ore. [...] Delayed rate rises [ TAPER ] [...] Deflation, deflation, deflation [...] For now, a 4% devaluation in the yuan is more of a hairline crack in the world economic order than a seismic shift; but policymakers will be weighing up its consequences long after they return from their summer break.
China  devaluation  currency  debasement  currency  war  2015  recession  deflationary  deflation  Taper  western  world  UK  USA  Europe  secular  stagnation  globalization  globalisation  flat  world  global  trade  borderless  energy  price  Oil  price  commodities  recovery  economic  history 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Everything you think you know about the economy of the Internet is dead wrong - Quartz
Business-to-business digital commerce is ten times the size of the business-to-consumer space, according to the UN Commission on Trade and Development’s “Information Economy Report 2015.” Seventy-five percent of the economic value of the digital economy goes to traditional bricks and mortar businesses and not Internet companies. This is true worldwide, not just in developed economies. [...] [ ICT only employs 3% of labour market in Europe ] [ SME, SMB, Mittelstand critical for economies, not conglomerates and multinationals ] [ all the while the global digital economy is flat indeed ] [ Services have become big item number in GDP terms, and largest employer in # - 45% while non-services 23% ]
e-commerce  SAAS  B2B  consumer  product  digital  economy  pure  play  brick  and  mortar  business  ICT  OECD  economic  growth  trickle-down  economics  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  SME  SMB  Mittelstand  shared  economic  interest  ecosystem  flat  world  globalization  globalisation  global  trade  borderless  outsourcing  Policy  Makers  error  folly 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
China's Devaluation Becomes Japan's Problem - Bloomberg View
The worsening economy, which voters hoped Abe would have sorted out by now, doesn't help. Inflation-adjusted wages dropped 2.9 percent in June, a sign Monday's second-quarter gross domestic product report for the may be truly ugly. [...] After 961 days, all Abenomics has really achieved is a sharply weaker yen, modest steps to tighten corporate governance and marketing slogans asking companies to hire more women. [...] If Japan offers a cautionary tale, it's that weaker currency alone isn't the answer. If Abe had used the yen's 35 percent plunge since late 2012 to good effect -- passing big reforms on labor flexibility, import tariffs, tax policy, supporting startups, reducing red tape -- Japan might not be facing the prospect of another recession. [ Japan's experience is a red flashing warning light for UK, US and especially Germany. ie uncompetitive Zombie corporations held alive with NIRP, ZIRP, and future new normal low interest rate environment. Where is growth? Silicon Valley. ]
Japan  economic  history  Abenomics  BOJ  2015  China  Yuan  RMB  currency  debasement  currency  war  devaluation  fiscal  policy  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  liquidity  trap  monetary  policy  deflationary  deflation  globalisation  globalization  secular  stagnation  western  world  UK  USA  Europe  Germany  Lohnzurückhaltung  lohndumping  Makers  competitive  competitiveness  Exportweltmeister  competitive  advantage  competition  flat  world  New  Normal  Richard  Koo  Developing  Frontier  Markets  borderless  global  trade  global  economy  balance  sheet  recession  consumer  confidence  debtoverhang  debt  servitude  sovereign  debt  crisis  Super  Cycle  financial  crisis  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  zombi  banks  creative  destruction  Silicon  Valley  technological  progress  skill-biased  technological  change  Software  Is  Eating  The  Mobile  Creatives  Mobile  Future  of  Work  deleveraging  asset  bubble  Wall  Street  reflation  reflate  hunt  for  yield  asset  allocation  inflation  targeting  Fed  BOE  PBOC  ECB  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  theory 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
China's currency devaluation could spark 'tidal wave of deflation' | Business | The Guardian
[3rd day in a row Yuan/RMB is devalued by PBOC (13/08/15)] “We’re all going to feel it: we’ll feel it through commodities; we’ll feel it through manufactured goods exports, not just from China but from everywhere that has to compete with it; and we’ll feel it through wages.” [...] China could be willing to let the yuan depreciate by as much as 25% over the next five years – “stone by stone, step by step” – in an attempt to restore the export-led growth that was such a winning formula [...] China [may be] trying to protect itself against the period of financial instability [following Taper by western central banks Fed/BOE] [or counter $ recent rise 21% & peg against $] [or fight home grown recession with kitchen sink] // &! bloom.bg/1gC8FFe &! bloom.bg/1WkMfZZ &! bloom.bg/1hy7O9l &! bloom.bg/1NpE4FI &! bv.ms/1IKB3fX // what is the new normal 4 growth in this global economy, competitive = keeping prices low = inflation & low interest rate pressure.
yuan  RMB  PBOC  China  devaluation  deflationary  deflation  UK  USA  Europe  Exportweltmeister  competition  competitive  competitiveness  Lohnzurückhaltung  lohndumping  secular  stagnation  western  world  globalisation  globalization  commodities  commodity  business  commoditization  Germany  Asia  Latin  America  borderless  flat  world  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  inflation  expectation  inflation  targeting  wage  pressure  productivity  output  gap  recovery  GFC  economic  history  New  Normal  hunt  for  yield  Great  Moderation  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  Taper  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  complexity  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  IMF  SDR  currency  war  disinflation  inflation  wage  inflation  Japan  Australia  Oil  price  energy  price  Developing  Frontier  Markets  Forex  USD  British  Pound  Euro  Yen  BOJ  BOE  Fed  ECB  Bank  of  Canada  asset  bubble  macroprudential  policy  asset  allocation  productive  investment  underinvestment  business  investment  2015 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Access To Startup Skills Threatened By U.K. Visa Review | TechCrunch
[ unable to move fast, execute fast ] Startups of course rely on filling vacancies by bringing skills from abroad — given it may be the only way to obtain relevant expertise when you’re working in such nascent areas. [...] According to the MAC’s call for evidence, the proposed changes being considered by the government include some potentially radical measures — such as: significantly raising the salary threshold; restricting which job roles are eligible; and removing the right for dependents of visa holders to be able to work in the U.K. [ salaries threshold, NHS already cried out loud foul as many foreign nurses would have to leave it threshold would be set at about 34-35 minumum earnings. ] [...] “The majority don’t… and several of the respondents said it’s already too complicated and expensive for us to go through that process,” he notes. [...] “populist politics” could pose a threat the U.K.’s digital economy [... quality of life in London less than in other US cities ...]
skill-biased  technological  change  UK  London  Start-up  Scene  ecosystem  skills  gap  job  market  labour  market  Supply  and  Demand  Demand  and  Supply  borderless  flat  world  HR  human  resources  hiring  lesson  advice  scaling  work  visa  immigration  productivity  output  gap  STEM  industrial  policy  David  Cameron  Tories  Conservative  Party  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  UKIP  sentiment  populism  propaganda  education  policy  European  Union  talent  pool  Europe  Scene  war  for  talent  Makers  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  competitive  competitiveness  competitive  advantage  competition  execution  digital  economy 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Greenspan: Be Afraid of Pending Bubble in Bond Market - Bloomberg Business
what is the new normal interest rate? // 7min long bloom.bg/1gteMeO - UK and USA productivity (levels at rate of zero growth) and output gap, capital investment inadequate - into unproductive investment bc of hunt for yield, bc of outlook of secular stagnation for western world and structural impediments, imbalances, and faultlines, and also because of fiscal and political uncertainty, and demographic bubble and ageing population in western world. future customers/consumers are not in western world, they are to be found right now in the developing world and frontier markets. // we are currently in an environment where we don't know what the new normal interest rate is, because of distortions and incomplete information:
Taber  bond  bubble  2015  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  recovery  globalisation  globalization  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  competition  competitive  competitiveness  borderless  flat  deflationary  deflation  secular  stagnation  western  Richard  Koo  balance  sheet  recession  technological  progress  creative  destruction  deleveraging  debtoverhang  Career  Politicians  austerity  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  underinvestment  productive  investment  STEM  developed  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  Frontier  Markets  Developing  World  economic  history  hunt  for  yield  asset  allocation  Group  behaviour  behavioral  economics  behavioral  finance  financial  incentive  incentive  structural  imbalance  Impediments  faultlines  incomplete  information  complexity  OPEC  Europe 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Global economic growth to slow, NIESR predicts - BBC News
'Domestic risk' While NIESR was generally upbeat about the UK economy, it believed that weak productivity would remain a challenge. Simon Kirby, an economist at the institute, said: "It's the major domestic risk." NIESR expects inflation to remain about zero until the end of the year due to low oil prices and the strong pound, but that it will return to the Bank of England's target of about 2% a year by 2017. The think-tank expects the Bank of England to finally raise interest rates in February next year. Economists polled by Reuters last month mostly expect the Bank to raise rates in the first quarter of 2016.
UK  2015  recovery  deflationary  deflation  secular  stagnation  productivity  output  gap  fiscal  policy  austerity  fiscal  stimulus  industrial  policy  George  Osborne  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  budget  deficit  current  account  deficit  David  Cameron  Tories  dogma  ideology  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  Taper  STEM  policy  folly  policy  error  Makers  education  policy  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomic  policy  globalisation  globalization  flat  world  borderless  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  precarious  work  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  Niedriglohnsektor  minimum  wage  living  wage  Manufacturing  added  value  value  creation  ecosystem  vocational  education  professional  education  apprenticeships  competitive  competitiveness  competitive  advantage  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Lohnzurückhaltung  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  Precariat 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
STEPHANIE FLANDERS: It's borrowing and debt driving Britain's recovery | This is Money
New forecasts that went with his speech paint a different picture, of a recovery driven in large part by households borrowing more, and saving less. The level of household debt, relative to income, has been falling since the crisis, as families have cut back and worked to pay off debt. But the new Budget forecasts show it starting to rise again, from the final quarter of this year, moving from 142 per cent of income back up to 166 per cent by 2019. That’s more or less where household debt had got to in the lead up to the financial crisis, after all that irresponsible ‘debt fuelled growth’ under Gordon Brown. [...]And total level of investment is now more than 20 per cent below where it was at the start of 2008. // &! bit.ly/1IxXKax - low inflation, no inflation pressures expected till 2016 // &! bit.ly/1DepsJ2 - The UK has the most unbalanced economy of any OECD country.
2015  recovery  UK  austerity  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  debt-fuelled  recovery  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  economic  growth  economic  multiplier  productive  investment  asset  allocation  distortion  speculative  bubbles  hunt  for  yield  current  account  deficit  savings  rate  debt  servitude  household  debt  mortgage  market  Taper  credit  card  consumer  debt  debtoverhang  sovereign  debt  crisis  Super  Cycle  public  debt  private  debt  debt  bubble  NPL  Makers  Manufacturing  STEM  George  Osborne  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  David  Cameron  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  fiscal  stimulus  IMF  OECD  Toff  Privileged  Establishment  social  mobility  downward  mobility  Gini  coefficient  fairness  policy  error  policy  folly  interest  groups  democracy  social  tension  social  cohesion  budget2015  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  competitiveness  competitive  flat  world  borderless  global  trade  structural  imbalance  Impediments  secular  stagnation  Richard  Koo  deflationary  deflation  inflation  expectation  inflation  targeting  disinflation  inflation  Mark  Carney  BOE  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  economic  history  faultlines  global  imbalances  industrial  policy  output  gap  productivity 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Yellen: There's Still Slack in Labor Markets - YouTube
>> signs that a debt fuelled recovery doesn't fix the long standing (since 90's 2000's post dot.com) underlying fundamentals of an economy. // low wage low productivity jobs especially part-time and minimum wage - doe not have an economic multiplier as a whole, they cost the economy or are at least net-net 0. // it is the same in UK. and signs show in Germany as well. // &! subprime was one of many predatory lending practices to financial illiterate ppl and exploitation of the underbanked/unbanked, and banks also choose to charge minorities higher interest rates - youtu.be/CbW9mH7p_8E + and add also practices of Payday Loans. Those things are a symptoms of the system at large. Resulting in the Poverty Trap.
USA  labour  economics  labour  market  participation  rate  skills  gap  underemployed  part-time  2015  education  policy  vocational  education  social  mobility  downward  mobility  self-employment  Gini  coefficient  squeezed  middle  class  long-term  unemployment  unemployment  youth  unemployment  employabilitie  employability  structural  unemployment  structural  imbalance  Impediments  secular  stagnation  output  gap  productivity  recovery  GFC  competitiveness  competitive  globalisation  globalization  borderless  flat  world  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  economic  history  infrastructure  investment  Makers  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  Sozialer  Abstieg  Niedriglohn  Niedriglohnsektor  Service  Sector  Jobs  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  precarious  work  Precariat  working  poor  economic  growth  trickle-down  economics  economic  damage  economic  model  shared  economic  interest  long-term  view  long-term  thinking  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  Opportunism  opportunist  policy  folly  policy  error  microeconomic  policy  job  creation  job  market  job  security  Minijob  Aufstocker  minimum  wage  living  wage  disposable  income  savings  rate  discretionary  spending  well  being  dot.com  UK  Lohnzurückhaltung  lohndumping  mindestlohn  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  inequality  income  inequality  income  mobility  capi 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
America Is One Big Pothole: Ray LaHood - YouTube
- increases cost for people and businesses, doing business. in USA, compared to elsewhere. Ops Cost. ie Commuting times. biggest well being/health cost to employees and thus businesses (sick days and productivity and health care spending) same with air and water pollution. same with defences against flooding (drainage and sewers). same with fallen trees on electricity lines during storms (rail and street disruption). // China is building controversially not for the next 5-10 years. It is building for the next 20-30 years because (1) political system and (2) for the purpose of keeping GDP growth up y/y at an arbitrarily number of ie 5-7%. Without regard for the quality, the multiplier, repair cost (up keep cost of an empty road or building till it is fully utilized in 5-10 years time). // US, UK, etc could also additionally to the gasoline tax put on a levy of 0.1-2% on gross revenue of all businesses. Because they USE the infrastructure too & depend on it to do business - or move.
infrastructure  infrastructure  investment  USA  gas  tax  gasoline  tax  fiscal  stimulus  fiscal  policy  long-term  view  long-term  thinking  competitiveness  competitive  flat  world  borderless  UK  Germany  globalisation  globalization  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  economic  model  trickle-down  economics  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  tax  code  corporate  tax  rate  fairness  solidarity  Gesellschaft  society 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Davos 2015: Nouriel Roubini says Income Inequality Creates U.S. Plutocracy - YouTube
- shown hurting growth. US growth is dependent on consumer spending. stupid. hacking off the only leg one has is not smart. // established economic truth ! Paul Krugman: Inequality Actually Bad for Growth - youtu.be/cRMi8_M681U &! Paul Krugman & Tony Atkinson in Conversation | Inequality and Economic Growth - youtu.be/3l6E3mUNW70 &! &! What's Really Driving Income Inequality: Orszag - youtu.be/XJ_raBX7oq8 ( only added value jobs STEM - pays for work and shows wage growth, not so in service sector jobs. UK recovery showed it; lots of service sector job creation than any other type of job + Lohnzurueckhalting (no leverage to demand higher wage than just minimum wage or little above bc outside the door waits the one who will replace you) = no wage growth in the first couple of years of recovery and no productivity growth and persistent output gap (below potential) )
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july 2015 by asterisk2a
UK's inflation rate falls to 0% - BBC News
bit.ly/1IXuomp >> Carney: Current account deficit is a risk highlighted by FPC. UK is relying on the kindness of strangers to finance current account deficit. Household borrowing isn't driving the deficit Tighter fiscal policy is needed. Tighter macroeconomic policy is needed also. Deficit highlights importance of maintaining the attractiveness of the UK for foreign investment // &! bit.ly/1I07olT - BOE's Miles doesn't see secular stagnation in the UK [...] Carney - Health of the financial system is likely to boost productivity [really?] [...] McCafferty: Low income jobs have kept productivity low &! bit.ly/1JfaSxr - Bank is looking at the household sensitivity to rate rises [ mortgage bubble will prevent BOE to raise rates faster as demand stokes as more disposable income is spend on serving interest payments thus depressing GDP growth bc 70% of it is consumer spending ] &! bit.ly/1HtySg1
current  account  deficit  UK  Mark  Carney  austerity  fairness  sovereign  debt  crisis  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  asset  bubble  equity  bubble  property  bubble  George  Osborne  productivity  output  gap  industrial  policy  STEM  Higher  Education  added  value  fiscal  policy  Public  infrastructure  investment  recovery  economic  history  competitiveness  competitive  globalisation  globalization  flat  world  borderless  deflationary  deflation  secular  stagnation  zombie  banks  Service  Sector  Jobs  job  creation  job  market  labour  market  labour  economics  skills  gap  policy  vocational  working  poor  precarious  work  Precariat  squeezed  middle  class  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  household  debt  Niedriglohn  Niedriglohnsektor  underemployed  self-employment  employability  part-time  mortgage  market  BOE  2015  macroprudential  policy  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  Manufacturing  fiscal  stimulus  Taper  USA  negative  real  interest  rate  interestrate  debt  servicing  interest  payment  consumer  debt 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Employers warn of 'skills emergency' - BBC News
More than half of employers fear they will not be able to recruit enough high-skilled workers, according to a survey by the CBI. The employers' organisation is warning that a skills shortage is "threatening to starve economic growth". [...] "The government has set out its stall to create a high-skilled economy, but firms are facing a skills emergency now, threatening to starve economic growth," said Ms Hall. "Worryingly, it's those high-growth, high-value sectors with the most potential which are the ones under most pressure. That includes construction, manufacturing, science, engineering and technology. [...] The survey also highlighted concerns about the need for better careers advice to help young people understand more about the jobs likely to be available. [ &! scrapping GCSEs ! ] // education cost in UK are disenfranchising those who can not afford and are put off by the debt burden they will have to server // &! bit.ly/1IUkBxo
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july 2015 by asterisk2a
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