asterisk2a + spv   19

Inside How Mutual Funds Value Private Tech — The Information
The sudden and sizable valuation markdowns of high-flying private companies like Snapchat, Dropbox and Zenefits by mutual fund investors has been one of the biggest stories in tech, sowing fears that the market is deflating. They’ve also caused consternation among founders, who have had to defend their companies’ earlier valuations to employees.
downround  growth  round  Mutual  Fund  SPV  Uber  Zenefits  Snapchat  Silicon  Valley  DropBox  hunt  for  yield  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  speculative  bubbles  risk  capital  liquidation  preferences  termsheet  asset  allocation  distortion  Lyft  equity  bubble  reflate  reflation  financial  repression  New  Normal  secular  stagnation  hot-money  BRIC  emerging  market  Frontier  Markets 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Pando: Unicorns on fire: Funding falls dramatically in the fourth quarter, along with exits of all kinds
I predicted the second quarter of 2015 had to be peak mega round. Turns out, I was three months off. But now it’s official: The shit is hitting the fan. [...] In the third quarter, venture funding hit dot com funding levels with 2008 deals and $38.7 billion raised. In the fourth quarter, we saw the lowest deal tally since 2013, with just 1743 deals raising some $27.3 billion.
IPO  Unicorn  growth  round  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion  Private  Market  Wall  Street  Fed  monetary  policy  USA  China  business  confidence  Silicon  Valley  Hype  Cycle  termsheet  liquidation  preferences  Private  Equity  Mutual  Fund  SPV  Venture  Capital  Angel  Investor  Seed  Oil  price  QT 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Pando: The most patient man in Silicon Valley
Too much in Silicon Valley revolves around hyperspeed. Everything in the startup world is an emergency that needs to be solved in an all-nighter last night, if you allow it to be. The genius in Ravikant’s AngelList is its measured, methodical, brick-by-brick pace to build a software platform to replace, save, wreck, or augment – the verb depends on your point of view – a business that everyone insisted for decades was incurably human, boutique and done with deeply-trusted partnerships and eye-to-eye handshake deals. //&! bit.ly/1LS4aVg - The “The old Series A investor who put in $2 million and really cared and had resources is dead.” [...] “A seed fund doesn’t have the resources that a Kleiner Perkins or a Benchmark had,” [ Incubators are only 3 months long ] AngelList syndicate leads help, but they don’t care enough to help [as classic VC's] [...] Entrepreneurs have to stitch it together themselves.”
Naval  Ravikant  AngelList  Venture  Capital  Silicon  Valley  Networking  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  crowd  funding  Seed  Round  Angel  Investor  disruption  disrupting  markets  bottom  up  SPV  growth  Party  Round  Angel  List  angel-list  A  Round  Start-Up  lesson  Start-Up  advice 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Pando: Good news! B rounds have doubled in value over five years!
B Round! doubling down on (to a certain point) proven ideas as they move to make themselves solid/viable (building business model & continued growth if not even putting some more gasoline on the fire with a B Round - allocation of resources). thus there is competition thus bidding up in a private market. BUT BUT also reflects the rising cost! Rising cost to grow, the war for talent to scale, and the cost in said hubs/ecosystems where the talent are already working on scaling other companies, where rent is sky high and space rare to expand office, ops, ramp up head count, ... // why, on a side note!, ? because global ZIRP, NIRP, QE, hunt for yield, FOMO, property speculation, alternative asset management and allocation (newly minted paper millionaers) have bid up prices in metropolitan and hot cities by credit bubbles around the world. bc financial markets are global, thus your allocation/diversification is global, not limited where ur home addr is. adding to volatiliy too bc of froth!
Silicon  Valley  Seed  Round  Party  Round  SPV  Venture  Capital  Private  Market  FOMO  hunt  for  yield  B  Round  A  Round  growth  Private  Equity  Hedge  Fund  Angel  Investor  Micro  VC  2015  cost  of  living  credit  bubble  cost  of  entry  aspirational  leverage  margin  trading  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  distortion  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  BOE  BOJ  Abenomics  PBOC  Fed  unintended  consequences  burn  rate  runway  ECB  Mutual  Fund  unknown  unkown  inflation  targeting  Fed  mandate  inflation  expectation  secular  stagnation  deflationary  deflation  economic  growth  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  reflate  reflation  monetary  policy  unconventional  monetary  policy  financial  financial  repression  western  world  Developing  BRIC  emerging  complexity  incomplete  information 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
The only stat about unicorns that should worry Silicon Valley
Now theres a new reason 2 fear the ‘corn: They are insanely capital inefficient. And over the last year, they’ve gotten even more so at an alarming rate... // dead Unicorn (their own making) because of burn rate w expensive offices ('we are successful'), developers, aggressive drive ('acquiring market share in a new market') to acquire customers (and not even making the math long term - life time customer value), ... with each round they have 2 be more aggressive, especially with these liquidity preferences inked in, actually keeping the risk level instead of reducing/mitigating the risk. All 2 blow out the IPO & not end up lower on day 1/compared 2 the last growth round. Box couldnt make a higher valuation after day 1 post-IPO than their last growth round via Private Equity. Existing investors got diluted in order to meet last rounds term sheet liquidity preferences/guarantees. // &! Either u risk more, or the other (competition) will, will outspend, overtake u. &! bit.ly/1Ji536P
burn  rate  Unicorn  Decacorn  runway  Silicon  Valley  growth  round  San  Francisco  Palo  Alto  Bill  Gurley  Start-Up  lesson  Start-Up  advice  Blue  Ocean  Venture  Capital  termsheet  liquidation  preferences  SPV  Mutual  Fund  Private  Equity  IPO 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
German Startups sagt Börsengang ab - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Following Rocket Internet. Trying to go public as investor. Like a KKR for Start-ups. Ups. Is this a symptom of the irrational exuberance and hubris? // Der Börsengang des Berliner Risikokapitalfinanzierers German Startups Group ist geplatzt. Auch eine Verlängerung des Angebotszeitraums in der vergangenen Woche brachte nicht die erhoffte Nachfrage nach den Aktien, teilte das Unternehmen am Dienstag nach Ablauf der Zeichnungsfrist mit. [...] German-Startups-Gründer Christoph Gerlinger wollte mit dem Börsengang 54 bis 72 Millionen Euro einsammeln. Die Erlöse sollten zum größten Teil in den Kauf weiterer junger Firmen gesteckt werden. Bei der German Startups Group handelt es sich um eine Beteiligungsgesellschaft mit Fokus auf jungen, schnellwachsenden Unternehmen. // [ Interesting to want to go IPO instead of asking Private Equity or Mutual Funds for a "growth round" like participation in the realm of 50-70m Euros. ]
irrational  exuberance  hubris  Silicon  Valley  Private  Equity  IPO  Germany  Rocket  Internet  Venture  Capital  hunt  for  yield  asset  allocation  alternative  investment  SPV  Mutual  Fund  growth  round  2015  Wall  Street  bubble  NASDAQ 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Fear Trumps Greed in Silicon Valley as Some Venture Firms Hedge - Bloomberg Business
[... high ops cost associated w SF/Palo Alto ... fancy office (and expensive (rarefied) developers from Google or Facebook) in SF as a sign of success while burning +2m per year at least with no cash flow in sight ... and with all consumer products being free and hoping to finance themselves in the future with advertising ... ] Some VCs are urging their companies to build a rainy day fund to ensure their survival. [...] It’s a constant battle deciding whether to invest in a potentially lucrative deal, said Philadelphia financier Rudy Karsan: “Greed versus fear.” [ Softbank Capital just last week came out publicly with a shift in strategy, to invest now ONLY in proven winners, at slightly premium to get in (and with preferred liquidation preferences in writing), &focus resources on those portfolio companies ... than to compete in a crowded, distorted, muggy, in transparent, very speculative (with lots of ifs and luck and bet on CEO to execute well) A-, B- (and C-Round) market. ]
Silicon  Valley  burn  rate  runway  cash  flow  cash-is-king  hunt  for  yield  distortion  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  growth  round  SPV  war  for  talent  Private  Market  Private  Equity  Hedge  Fund  Mutual  Fund  bubble  USA  Fed  Taper  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  Angel  Investor  Seed  business  model  advertising  VC  Venture  Capital  Greed  FOMO  bubble  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  SoftBank  Capital  IPO  NASDAQ  A  Unicorn  Decacorn  termsheet  liquidation  preferences  exit  strategy  M&A  acquisition  acquihire  acqui-hire  business  cycle  business  plan  business  investment  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  leverage  debtoverhang  irrational  exuberance 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Welcome To The Unicorn Club, 2015: Learning From Billion-Dollar Companies | TechCrunch
capital efficiency of these “private unicorns” is surprisingly low, [ << bc they (1) use growth round to buy aggressively market share/customers and (2) Palo Alto/San Francisco/New York/London is expensive locations - prices driven up by Venture Capital & Angel Investments & hunt for developers - employees can command negotiations about their price in most cases. ] [...] 7) Take heart, “old people” of Silicon Valley: Companies with educated, tech-savvy, experienced 30-something, co-founding teams with history together have built the most successes. Twenty-something founders and successful pivots are the minority; dedicated CEOs who are able to scale their companies for the long haul are not. [...] Optimistic private markets sheltering a thicket of “paper unicorns.” [ << Bill Gurley, there will be a dead unicorn ] [...] [SAAS] are also among the more capital efficient companies on average in our set[.] [...] There’s still too little diversity at the top in 2015
Unicorn  Silicon  Valley  marketshare  growth  round  FOMO  Private  Market  hunt  for  yield  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  SPV  diversity  gender  bias  gender-based  discrimination  gender  politics  gender  equality  gender  policing  gender-based  harassment  STEM  pattern  matching  pattern  recognition  nurture  environment  entrepreneur 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Sacca: Bad Deals Are Being Done in Silicon Valley - Bloomberg Business
min 3 - normal people have been prices out of SV, SF, Palo Alto and around the region. sw engineers with entitelment and very little compassion. // bloom.bg/1I8NCAM &! bloom.bg/1Hzb5za &! bloom.bg/1BaVBji &! bloom.bg/1Fd2zQf (Amazon, Fb, Google, eBay, all had cash flow during its growth past IPO, Twitter ops too expensive compared to scale, living beyond its means. does not need to invest in warehouses (Amazon) nor data centers (Google)) // &! bloom.bg/1e8mFGd &! bloom.bg/1L2Accs &! bloom.bg/1INBZ7N &! bloom.bg/1TgmWqi &! http://lowercasecapital.com/2015/06/03/what-twitter-can-be-2/ &! http://lowercasecapital.com/2015/05/21/i-bleed-aqua/ - Sarah Lacy from pando argues, he bleeds green - pando.com/2015/06/11/the-icahn-was-coming-from-inside-the-house-why-dick-costolos-ouster-changes-the-valley/ &! pando.com/2015/06/12/im-more-similar-to-elon-the-5-silliest-things-chris-sacca-said-yesterday/
Chris  Sacca  Silicon  Valley  ecosystem  Twitter  runway  burn  rate  cash  flow  business  model  San  Francisco  Palo  Alto  hunt  for  yield  distortion  growth  round  SPV  Hedge  Fund  Mutual  Fund  late-stage  funding  Private  Market  Private  Equity  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  cash-is-king  Bill  Gurley  Unicorn  Hype  Cycle  inflation  Venture  Capital  Micro  VC  Angel  Investor  war  for  talent 
june 2015 by asterisk2a
Who Will Be Hurt Most When The Tech Bubble Bursts? Not VCs | TechCrunch
In a nutshell, FOMO is driving many investors in a hustle to be a part of the next Facebook or Twitter and put in huge investments for a fraction of stake. And, they don’t see much risk in it as long as they get the downside protection. [ growth round = rocket fuel splashed onto stuff to acquire more customers and market share (basically, but not always) ] [...] Someday, pretty soon, these will be put to the test, and valuations based on visibility of earnings will matter again. A few will succeed of course, but several others will fall – it remains to be seen how miserably. VCs will most likely walk away with their invested money, if not more. It’s the employees and founders who will see their million-dollar dreams crash and burn. [living beyond ur means & betting dollars you dont have on a time that seems further away than u can even guess (secular stagnation)] [lack of income growth (across the western world) thus disposable income (discretionary spending) is also not helping]
Silicon  Valley  burn  rate  operations  Bill  Gurley  Unicorn  runway  FOMO  Venture  Capital  growth  round  termsheet  liquidation  preferences  Private  Market  Private  Equity  SPV  bubble  distortion  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  disinflation  secular  stagnation  deflationary  deflation  western  world  business  model  revenue  revenues  fiscal  policy  income  growth  USA  OECD  sovereign  debt  crisis  austerity  disposable  income  policy  error  Taper  policy  folly  monetary  policy  productive  investment  underinvestment  infrastructure  investment  1%  Super  Rich  on-demand  convenience  Share  Economy  labour  labour  economics  discretionary  spending  Schuldenbremse  PIGS  Brexit  Grexit  currency  war  macroeconomics  Pact  Europe  productivity  Lohnzurückhaltung  job  creation  globalisation  globalization  Niedriglohn  Niedriglohnsektor  Service  Sector  Jobs  flat  world  borderless  competitive  Future  of  Work  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  economic  history  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  demographic  bubble  Super  Cycle  consumer  debt  zombie  consumer  zombie  banks 
may 2015 by asterisk2a
One Thing All the Billion-Dollar Unicorns Have in Common | Re/code
[Granting liquidation preferences ie 2x or 3x to your investors/private equity/spv just so to get this growth round (covering burn) closed, is showing you not believing in your ability and product and company to make a profit now or in the very near future. Really? Liquidation preferences are anti VCish, everyone is not in the same boat. An addicts behaviour. Box granted in its last private round by PE, liquidation preferences and a guaranteed timeline to IPO both punitive, also bc timeline for IPO could not be met, both hurt the company and existing shareholders bc of dilution of their existing shares value.] “It turns out that for companies of a certain size, it’s not that hard to get to unicorn status, provided they’re willing to give their investors a lot of assurances that essentially cover their potential losses. The one thing common in every one of these funding deals, the firm says, that in every case — all 37 of them — investors demanded a ‘liquidation preference.'”
Unicorn  Start-Up  lesson  Start-Up  advice  Silicon  Valley  SPV  growth  round  hunt  for  yield  Private  Equity  burn  rate  runway  business  model  Venture  Capital  Mutual  Fund  Hedge  Fund  termsheet  liquidation  preferences 
may 2015 by asterisk2a
Naval Ravikant to VCs: “You can lie to your LPs, but don’t lie to yourselves” | PandoDaily
“There was so much innovation being thrown around—moveable carry, geographic portfolio, unbundling and more. Many were coming up to me later saying the ideas were flying at them too fast. That’s exactly what’s happening in the market.” Even if you don’t know what those terms mean, the important takeaway is that even the stodgiest VCs are going to have to start acting more like the entrepreneurs they serve because the market is only getting more competitive with the ways to fund becoming far more varied and “hackable.” [and add Corporate Accelerators, Incubators and Venture Funds] [...] restrictions LPs put on funds: things like how much you can invest, what percentage of a fund you can invest in follow on rounds of existing companies, what sector you invest in, whether you can invest personally if the fund invests as a group, etc.
Venture  Capital  angel-list  Seed  Round  Angel  Investor  SPV  Private  Equity  IPO  growth  Sand  Hill  Road  Silicon  Valley  500  Start-ups  Rocket  Internet  ycombinator  Accelerator  TechStars  Seed  Camp  Incubator  niche  vertical  Secondary  Market  a16z  s23p  hunt  for  yield  distortion  Signal  vs.  Noise  wantrepreneur  economics  of  abundance  abundance  marginal  cost  MicroVC  Party  Round  Start-Up  lesson  Start-Up  advice  ecosystem 
may 2015 by asterisk2a
The Micro VC Shakeout | TechCrunch
NIRP, QE, hunt for yield and FOMO (on Silicon Valley) created the conditions for people from SV and around, to create a small fund! Period. mass of micro vcs, seed funds, accelerators and angels is a symptom. // people become fearless, ... warren buffet saying 'Be Fearful When Others Are Greedy and Greedy When Others Are Fearful' // VCs and Private Equity, for growth rounds, stab each other in the back to be in into the next Unicorn's growth round << Greedy
Venture  Capital  hunt  for  yield  barriers  to  entry  complexity  unintended  consequences  speculative  bubbles  asset  bubble  equity  bubble  bond  bubble  debt  bubble  NIRP  ZIRP  QE  asset  allocation  ecosystem  FOMO  Angel  Investor  Seed  Round  Accelerator  distortion  Unicorn  growth  Private  SPV  Wall  Street  bubble 
april 2015 by asterisk2a
[PREMONEY 2014] Venture-nomics: The Explosion Of Micro-Funds & The LP Fatigue Epidemic - YouTube
(1) fundy changes, how little it costs to get sw product/company off the ground. [...] (X) Private Market keeps lots of value creation to itself, much longer time to IPO & Wall Street' short-term demands. // // see also other [PREMONEY 2014] videos on this channel
Venture  Capital  2014  2015  Open  Source  cloudcomputing  Cloudstorage  SPV  Angel  Investor  Seed  Round  Crowd  Funding  Private  Market  Wall  Street 
april 2015 by asterisk2a
Cloud HR Startup Zenefits Is Looking To Raise A Giant New Round Of Funding | TechCrunch
Aims 2 raise up2 $500M at $3B+ valuation; Zenefits prev said it expected $100M ARR by '15; expects GAAP rev of $50M+ this yr; prev raised $83.6M // Free SAAS, makes money by receiving commissions from insurers. [NEEDS SALES & MARKETING hires to sustain growth trajectory and justification of valuation multiple.] By the end of 2014, Zenefits had around 500 employees, according to sources, but that number is expected to quadruple by the end of 2015. Last year, the company said it wanted to hire around 1,300 employees over the next 3 years. [Capturing Marketshare USA/Canada - hitting it with the baseball bat.] // youtu.be/KporpXG0XK8 min6 direct marketing/e-mail/hustle/hands on sales pitch > COO/Accounting/HR // youtu.be/7KmjzfK3f38 min 11 Start-up struggle, figuring it out along the way but having a sense // (2015) youtu.be/8DwlS_6jLAo "Hyperscaling Inside Sales" &! YC W2013 application video - youtu.be/-S83fysRwn4
valuation  Silicon  Valley  Zenefits  HR  Unicorn  growth  round  enterprise  2.0  SAAS  SPV  business  model  customer  acquisition  user  churn  customer  churn  user  acquisition  marketing  Box  DropBox  Salesforce  ZenDesk  user  experience  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  operations  freemium  scaling  LTV  scale  human  resources  hiring  Core  Product  Value  Proposition  sales 
april 2015 by asterisk2a
[PreMoney MIAMI] Upfront Ventures, Mark Suster, "Venture Outlook 2015 - Goldrush or Fool's Gold" - YouTube
(1) Change from Sales Funnel to Funnel of Intent on Mobile and Social Media. Lower Marketing/Early user acquisition cost at scale. And tap to credit cards to with one click through third party Platforms. And also Open Source Software Stacks and buying 'by time' the hardware stack on Google, AWS or Azure is paradigm shift. Results also in noise one has to break through first - raising the bar (by user choice) for everyone. (2) min10 - Value Creation held inside Private Market through growth & late-stage investing instead of IPO with single-class share structure with wobbily business numbers 'help you god that you aren't out 24m later' because of impatient Wall Street. (3) min14 Series D valuations show Private Market highest bidder wins phenomenon. But Valuations are up across the board. And with more Seed/Angel Investors, Seed Valuations are also bid up higher compared to ABC. // &! min29 youtu.be/25TxrhsXFvs - 500 Startups, Dave McClure "4 Years of Moneyball - What Have We Learned"
Silicon  Valley  Seed  Round  A  Round  growth  Venture  Capital  Sales  Funnel  Funnel  of  Intent  mobile  first  mobile  homescreen  mobile  phone  Social  Media  Start-Up  lesson  Start-Up  advice  hunt  for  yield  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  secular  stagnation  productive  investment  Private  Market  Platform  TOS  2000  dot.com  bubble  2008  IPO  Wall  Street  single-class  share  structure  SPV  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  Hedge  Fund  Mutual  Fund  Private  Equity  late-stage  funding  Unicorn  seedround  seedfunding  angelinvestor  angel-list  Angel  Investor  angelinvestors  incomplete  information  complexity  unintended  consequences  Dave  McClure  Mark  Suster  UpFront  Ventures  500  Start-ups  paradigm  shift 
april 2015 by asterisk2a
Big Valuations Come With Dangerous Small Print | TechCrunch
[FOCUS on strategy, product, management, world class org] & then came in the PE guys (HedgeFunds & PrivateMutualFunds) & other non-traditional investors in start-ups, when investing in startups, want 2 protect the downside & want guaranteed upside minimum. 2 have that cake, it has 2 be in the term sheet via preferred liquidation preference. 2 have that in case of a suboptimal next round (ie IPO) that is only slightly up or even a down round, existing investors have & will be diluted by issuing more shares for the last investor, the PE guys, 2 guarantee them their upside minimum. // Start-up lesson & advice is stick with traditional VC (which is high risk high return) and maybe Special Purpose Vehicles organized from existing investors and their network for growth rounds. // PS the intro speaks abt a company taking term-sheet that gave them the 1bn valuation; could be Slack & the guy complaining abt it could have been either Chris Sacca or AVC
SPV  Venture  Capital  growth  round  Private  Equity  Hedge  Fund  IPO  Mutual  Fund  mutualfunds  Start-Up  lesson  Start-Up  advice  Wall  Street  hunt  for  yield  distortion  Silicon  Valley  Unicorn 
april 2015 by asterisk2a
Josh Kopelman drops some knowledge on all you “private IPO-loving” unicorns | PandoDaily
[some type of investors use past experiences and results (FB) for putting money into growth rounds, into unicorns late past D. Very Different than LinkedIn - which had a base and profitability at IPO and continued to grow naturally with product going forward. Or Google.] Tomasz Tunguz entitled “The Runaway Train Of Late Stage Fundraising” in which the Redpoint Ventures partner tracks what he calls the frenetic state of the private market. Among the data points used by Tunguz to make that point “that the current investment levels aren’t yet justified by the exit environment,” is one tidbit tweeted out by Kopelman: 231 companies raised more than $40 million in growth rounds in 2014, by comparison, 240 venture capital-backed IT companies have gone public in the last 10 years. [...] by taking tons of venture money and avoiding an IPO, startups (mostly who proudly tout their unicorn status and $1 billion plus valuations) are avoiding sucking out loud.
Unicorn  growth  round  Venture  Capital  hunt  for  yield  SPV  distortion  Wall  Street  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  complexity  unintended  consequences  incomplete  information  Silicon  Valley  IPO  equity  bubble  bond  bubble  savings  glut  productive  investment  private  market  disequilibrium 
april 2015 by asterisk2a

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