asterisk2a + paul   67

Ken Clarke: Tories had deal with Rupert Murdoch for 2010 election | Politics | The Guardian
David Cameron may have done “some sort of a deal” with Rupert Murdoch to win the Sun’s support for the Conservatives in the 2010 general election, Ken Clarke, the former justice secretary, has claimed.

“Quite how David Cameron got the Sun out of the hands of Gordon Brown I shall never know,” Clarke said. “Rupert would never let Tony [Blair – Brown’s predecessor] down because Tony had backed the Iraq war. Maybe it was some sort of a deal. David would not tell me what it was. Suddenly we got the Murdoch empire on our side.”
Rupert  Murdoch  David  Cameron  Presselandschaft  DailyMail  TheSun  Paul  Dacre  Brexit  Establishment  diversity  Elite  Propaganda  Pressesprecher  Andy  Coulson  phonehacking  Rebekah  Brooks  Monopoly  Oligarchy  Plutocracy  GFC  Austerity  Jeremy  Corbyn  Ed  Miliband  book  UK  Politics  Mogul  neoliberalism  neoliberal  capitalism  regime  inequality  Gesellschaft  Media  Medien  BBC  Society  trust  trustagent  Newspapers  Tabloids  Lügenpresse 
november 2017 by asterisk2a
Where did all the money go? - BBC News
Paul Manafort money laundering and tax evasion = "Conspiracy against the United States" to evade tax is not very patriotic.
money  laundering  Paul  Manafort  DonaldTrump  Donald  Trump  tax  evasion  avoidance  offshore 
october 2017 by asterisk2a
How the Tory election machine fell apart | Politics | The Guardian
Fiona Hill Nick Timothy Lynton Crosby // Tim Bale, a historian of the party and professor of politics at the University of London, argues that the Tories have gradually stopped presenting voters with an appealing vision of Britain. “In the 80s, they had a good balance of negativity and positivity,” he says. This meant exploiting the flaws of Labour leaders such as Michael Foot and Neil Kinnock while also promising a society of entrepreneurs and mass property ownership, an attractive idea in an era of increasing materialism. Yet at the 1992 election, under Thatcher’s less secure successor, John Major, this started to change. “He didn’t want a negative campaign,” says Bale, “but he was persuaded.” When the Conservatives won the election unexpectedly, victory was attributed by many Tories – and commentators and Labour politicians – to a single crude-but-effective Conservative campaign phrase: “Labour’s Tax Bombshell.”
Brexit  GE2017  Theresa  May  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  Fiona  Hill  Nick  Timothy  Lynton  Crosby  Rupert  Murdoch  Paul  Dacre  far-right  right-wing  alt-right  Medienlandschaft  Medialandscape  Populism  demagogue  UK  UKIP  Manifesto  Utopia 
june 2017 by asterisk2a
Donald Trump: Das Ende der Trump-Blase - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Der US-Präsident hat sich nach zwei Monaten bereits festgefahren, die anfängliche Euphorie der Wirtschaft verfliegt. Grund zur Schadenfreude? Keineswegs. Donald Trump kann noch eine Menge Schaden anrichten.
DonaldTrump  Donald  Trump  AHCA  Paul  Ryan  GOP  Republicans  USA  ACA  Obamacare 
march 2017 by asterisk2a
Donald Trump's US healthcare bill withdrawn - BBC News
The bill also appeared unpopular with the public - in one recent poll, just 17% approved of it.
Speaking after the withdrawal, Mr Trump blamed the Democrats for not supporting the bill and predicted that Obamacare would "explode".
He said the Republicans would probably focus on tax reform for now.
ACA  Obamacare  AHCA  DonaldTrump  Donald  Trump  GOP  Paul  Ryan 
march 2017 by asterisk2a
Trump Care - Your Cancer, Your Problem: Russell Brand The Trews (E415) - YouTube
Ryan talks about they want hospitals and insurerer to compete against each other. but the McCarran–Ferguson Act 1945 prevents that. Hypocrisy!
ACA  Paul  Ryan  Republicans  GOP  Obamacare  DonaldTrump  Donald  Trump  AHCA  USA  insurance  cartel  medical–industrial  complex  bribery  Preisabsprache  corruption  crony  neoliberal  capitalism  neoliberalism  oligopol  oligopoly  lobby  revolving  door 
march 2017 by asterisk2a
USA: 14 Millionen Menschen droht Verlust der Krankenversicherung - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Die geplante Gesundheitsreform der Republikaner würde schon 2018 rund 14 Millionen US-Bürgern die Krankenversicherung kosten. Zu diesem Ergebnis kommt das unabhängige Budgetbüro des Kongresses. // &! McCarran–Ferguson Act 1945 will not be repealed. //&! HBO This week Tonight about AHCA - https://www.facebook.com/HBO/videos/1152263071569367/ &! CBO estimate 24m will lose out - https://t.co/gfLoQH78mo &! http://www.politico.com/story/2017/03/obamacare-uninsured-white-house-236019
ACA  ObamaCare  DonaldTrump  AHCA  Donald  Trump  Republicans  Paul  Ryan  USA  healthcare  health  care  demand  babyboomers  ageing  chronic  sick  population  discretionary  disposable  spending  income  Demographic  bubble  insurance  collusion  cartel  lobby  Preisabsprache  bribery  revolving  door 
march 2017 by asterisk2a
The Creators Of TrumpCare On TrumpCare: 'Don't Call It TrumpCare' - YouTube
8:45 - ACA was wrong as in healthy paid for sick ... according to Paul Ryan, GOP &! The GOP Still Hasn't Figured Out Health Care: The Daily Show - https://youtu.be/7QD-jvOJfgA
GOP  Republicans  DonaldTrump  Donald  Trump  Health  Care  NHS  insurance  Paul  Ryan  ACA  ObamaCare 
march 2017 by asterisk2a
The Economist asks: Has Alan Greenspan carried too much blame for the financial crash? by The Economist
Sebastian Mallaby // Repuplican Party loyalist Alan Greenspan. Appointed by Republican president. Later surprised, what they've got w him - as he got more and more politically skilled. The expert w machiavellian tendencies. [...] came at a disadvantage in early 2000's to tighten monetary policy post-dot.com recovery but did not so (monetary and fiscally (being advocate)); glass stegall - derivatives, gov support for property (tax breaks and deductions), ... "fed tried, fed did, fed failed" in end politics failed (Larry Summers, Bill Clinton shot the starting gun) to reign in investment banking (derivatives), ... &&& group think among economists/profession into believing in self-regulation!!! &&& bc he knew about the possible bubble still did not raise rates enough to prick property bubble. a shy person who liked to be loved.
economic  history  book  Alan  Greenspan  GFC  recovery  income  inequality  property  bubble  equity  Ben  Bernanke  Janet  Yellen  Fed  neoliberal  neoliberalism  USA  Paul  Volker  regulation  regulators  self-regulation 
october 2016 by asterisk2a
Künstliche Intelligenz: Ökonomen lehnen Robotersteuer ab - DIE WELT
Mit einer Robotersteuer wollen manche die Maschinen menschlichen Arbeitnehmern gleichstellen. Ökonomen halten die Idee für einen Irrweg. Der technische Fortschritt lasse sich nicht aufhalten.
technological  unemployment  Robotics  automation  winner  take  all  globalisation  globalization  multinational  free  trade  free  trade  agreement  conglomerate  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  crony  capitalism  capitalism  in  crisis  marginal  cost  Jeremy  Rifkin  Paul  Mason  post-capitalism  Higher  Education  Universal  Basic  Income  Grundeinkommen  structural  unemployment  long-term  unemployment 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Deutsche Bank Loves Helicopter Money: Why "Big Inflation Is Coming... But Will First Require A Crisis"
[NEED FOR CHANGE OF WIND - deflationary pressures ] Europe is another story. Germany must let their southern neighbors cheat on deficits and bank recapitalizations. “Spanish election showed if you let them cheat and growth surprises positively then extremists don’t do so well. Europe can only survive as an inflation zone. Will it be formally tolerated? Probably not. Will governments cheat anyway with ECB support?” Probably.
Deutsche  Bank  Italy  PIGS  sovereign  debt  crisis  austerity  Germany  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  ECB  MarioDraghi  BuBa  Jens  Weidmann  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  zombie  zombie  banks  Richard  Koo  Helicopter  Money  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  policy  monetary  theory  deflation  deflationary  Brexit  European  Bank  Supervision  BaFin  BOE  BOJ  Abenomics  right-wing  far  right  far-right  Front  National  AfD  UKIP  Centrist  recovery  income  distribution  income  inequality  Gini  coefficient  squeezed  middle  class  Precariat  working  poor  globalisation  globalization  Paul  Mason  crony  capitalism  capitalism  in  crisis  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  poverty  poverty  trap  social  mobility  income  mobility  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  wage  pressure  income  growth  GFC  economic  history  liquidity  trap  balance  sheet  recession  debt  overhang  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  credit  card  debt  western  world  secular  stagnation  non-performing  loan  bail-in  bailout  recapitalization  recapitalisation  UK  Japan 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Technological Unemployment (2013) w Jacque Fresco
wikipedia Jacque Fresco // MORE AI, automation, robotics, augmented intelligence, self-driving cars = LESS AGGREGATE DEMAND (disposable income of the middle class, working class & working poor) [...] productivity has risen but incomes NOT! [...] & companies are making more money for shareholders & owners with less & less people (see Facebook) [...] Industry doesnt care abt people. They hire people because it hasnt been yet automated. [...] A JOBLESS RECOVERY & JOBLESS GDP GROWTH [...] routine middle class jobs eliminated fastest! [...] pace of destruction is greater than pace of creation of new jobs! [...] ie Lawyer Software searching through files via augmented intelligence //&! Humans Need Not Apply - youtu.be/7Pq-S557XQU //&! Jerry Kaplan ((re)distribute wealth more equally - youtu.be/JiiP5ROnzw8), Rifkin (Zero Marginal Cost), Paul Mason (post-capitalism) book //&! UBI a must in future - youtu.be/WMF-Z74C1QE &! youtu.be/mEV-kAjtm9U &! youtu.be/9pdU_Rkwzes
technological  unemployment  aggregate  demand  aggregate  demand  short-fall  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  squeezed  middle  class  western  world  working  class  working  poor  Precariat  automation  Robotics  augmented  intelligence  self-driving  cars  autonomous  car  autonomous  cars  purchasing  power  wage  growth  inequality  income  distribution  Gini  coefficient  1%  10%  20%  winner  take  all  globalisation  globalization  neoliberal  neoliberalism  social  safety  net  Universal  Basic  shareholder  capitalism  crony  capitalism  capitalism  in  crisis  post-capitalism  triple-lock  pension  secular  stagnation  USA  UK  European  Union  Chicago  School  neoclassical  economics  Brexit  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  politician  Smart  Grid  Zero  Marginal  Cost  Jeremy  Rifkin  book  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  Industrial  Revolution  technological  progress  technological  history  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  Grundeinkommen  Paul  Mason  recovery  destruction  multinational  conglomerate  low  pay  minimum  wage  mindestlohn  Jerry  Kaplan  income  redistribution  income  growth  income  inequality  Support  income  tax  credit  welfare  reform  welfare  state  Elizabeth  Warren 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Does The Myth of Meritocracy show us how to alleviate inequality?
No debate about social mobility is complete without reference to the supposedly halcyon days of the 1950s and 1960s. The class fluidity of those decades, however, was not the result of professions becoming more meritocratic. It was caused by an unprecedented rise in the number of middle-class jobs: there was more room at the top. [...] Bloodworth writes that 21st-century society is characterised by a dwindling of professional jobs and more people slipping downwards: there is “more room at the bottom”. [...] Globalisation has created what the economist Robert H Frank calls “winner-takes-all” markets
downward  mobility  social  mobility  income  mobility  inequality  Paul  Mason  book  post-capitalism  James  Bloodworth  Gini  coefficient  income  distribution  structural  unemployment  long-term  unemployment  skill  gap  skills  gap  skill  mismatch  skill-biased  technological  change  AI  artificial  intelligence  globalisation  globalization  rising  middleclass  squeezed  middle  class  BRIC  Manufacturing  economic  history  sociology  Brexit  Identitypolitics  Identitätspolitik  career  ladder  education  bubble  education  cost  autonomous  car  autonomous  cars  self-driving  cars  augmented  intelligence  Robotics  Robots  automation  neoclassical  economics  Chicago  School  trickle-down  economics  trickle-down  effect  1%  10%  20%  working  poor  Precariat  credit  card  credit  card  debt  consumerism  consumerist  austerity  bank  bailout  capitalism  in  crisis  neoliberal  neoliberalism  crony  capitalism  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Baby  Boomers  babyboomers  Elizabeth  Warren  Joseph  Stiglitz  poverty  trap  poverty  child  poverty  rentier  rent-seeking  winner  take  all  monopoly  monopsony  conglomerate  multinational  Toff  Privileged  Establishment  No  Representation  Politicians  career  politician  Centrist  meritocracy  meritocratic  plutocracy  oligarchy  capitalism 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Stocks are up. But it appears to us that the U.S. economy is going down. Go figure.
velocity is at 57yr low - WOW! the money that is in circulation is in less hands! the econ expanded according to GDP, but less and less $ reach on avg each hand. - "This is serious. The velocity of money tracks how often each dollar is used to buy something in the economy. Falling velocity shows that consumers and business are pulling back… becoming more reluctant to spend and invest… downsizing… and holding onto dollars rather than spending them. This has a similar effect as reducing the supply of money bidding for goods and services. Prices drop. Deflation, in other words. The bubble has developed a leak. The hot air is gushing out." //&! bit.ly/1MOxc9A //&! research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/M2V &! pieria.co.uk/articles/getting_things_wrong_federal_reserve_style - it is associated with stagnant NGDP [...] demand problem.
monetary  velocity  liquidity  trap  Richard  Koo  nominal  GDP  targeting  GDP  measurement  GDP  recovery  reflate  reflation  economic  history  money  supply  Fed  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Gini  coefficient  inequality  economic  harm  economic  damage  GFC  crony  capitalism  shareholder  capitalism  Greed  profit  maximisation  profit  maximization  squeezed  middle  class  Elizabeth  Warren  Joseph  Stiglitz  Paul  Krugman  Robert  Reich  Thomas  Piketty  2016  UK  USA  secular  stagnation  Pact  fiscal  stimulus  austerity  Schuldenbremse  social  mobility  income  mobility  working  poor  Precariat  low  pay  low  income  Service  Sector  Jobs  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  self-employment  inflation  targeting  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomic  policy  Super  Rich  1%  plutocracy  oligarchy  capitalism  capitalism  in  crisis  self-regulation  book  shareholder  value  Wall  Street  meritocracy  meritocratic  post-racial  America  barackobama  Larry  Summers  Bernie  Sanders  Establishment  Privileged  deregulation  bank  bailout  social  safety  net  welfare  state  aggregate  demand 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Revolutionary politics in the UK
// yanis is liberal marxist // &! Will John McDonnell's fiscal rules work for Labour? Paul Mason Vs John Rentoul - youtu.be/0EISho5eSUc - OBR econometrics dictated by Treasury, George Osborne w wonky multipliers that don't fit w IMF models. IMF calls for fiscal stimulus! since late 2015 because China's credit bubble popped and global economy started to head south.
Yanis  Varoufakis  Paul  Mason  Labour  Party  Jeremy  Corbyn  Bernie  Sanders  Marxism  democracy  No  Representation  Super  Rich  1%  oligarchy  plutocracy  tax  evasion  tax  amnesty  tax  avoidance  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  fairness  Social  Justice  economic  bank  bailout  GFC  austerity  Generationengerechtigkeit  revolving  door  lobby  Greed  crony  capitalism  shareholder  capitalism  profit  maximisation  profit  maximization  shareholder  value  Wall  Street  Main  Street  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  Precariat  poverty  trap  economic  history  UK  globalisation  globalization  global  economy  self-regulation  deregulation  regulation  regulators  secular  stagnation  trickle-down  economics  free  market  exploitation  liberal  economic  reform  self-employment  job  security  job  insecurity  Zero  Hour  Contract  antitrust  winner  take  all  gini  coefficient  inequality  deprivation  poverty  John  McDonnell  austerity  aggregate  demand  Richard  Koo  Joseph  Stiglitz  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  economic  history  neoliberal  neoliberalism  OBR  Chicago  School  neoclassical  economics  infrastructure  investment  liquidity  trap 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Piketty: EU should welcome one million immigrants a year
"The European Union has the capacity to absorb a large flow of migrants, one million per year in terms of inflow net of outflow," he said.
"This is exactly what we had between 2000 and 2010 and this was working in the sense that unemployment was being reduced.
"The problem is - with the austerity policies and with the recession - now we are in a situation where it's very difficult in particular with southern Europe, with the terrible economic situation that we have created there in particular." [...] The population of the EU has only risen by 0.2% a year since 1995, he argues, compared to 1.2% for the world's population over the same period.
According to Eurostat, the official statistical arm of the European Commission, a total of 3.4 million people came to the EU during 2013. Some 2.8 million left, leaving a net immigration figure of around 600,000. [S]low growth [...] exacerbated not just by a lack of immigration but also by austerity policies aimed at reducing public expenditure. [EU in recession 2011 forward]
immigration  migration  refugee  crisis  Integrationspolitik  Sozialpolitik  youth  unemployment  austerity  GFC  secular  stagnation  Richard  Koo  ageing  population  demographic  bubble  social  safety  net  pension  obligation  economic  history  welfare  state  Gini  coefficient  Super  Rich  inequality  social  mobility  income  mobility  plutocracy  oligarchy  Precariat  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  hartz-iv  Aufstocker  neoliberal  neoliberalism  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  ALG2  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  Minijob  part-time  employment  Contractor  self-employment  Zero  Hour  Contract  underinvestment  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  Robert  Skidelsky  bank  bailout  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  Leadership  Wall  Street  shareholder  capitalism  crony  capitalism  lobby  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  democracy  European  Union  UK  Elizabeth  Warren  Paul  Krugman  Robert  Reich  Joseph  Stiglitz  carbon  tax  policy  folly  policy  error  right-wing  far-right  Rechtsruck  recovery  nominal  GDP  targeting  inflation  targeting  finite  resources  resource  depletion  GNP  GDP  GDP  measurement  profit  maximisation  profit  shareholder  policy  income  inequality  income 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Discussing the IMF’s research on inequality - an interview with Andrew Berg
Inequality and Unsustainable Growth (2011) - imf.org/external/pubs/ft/sdn/2011/sdn1108.pdf - what are the determinants of sustained growth (answer a middle class). phases of growth. institutional governance (tax evasion and tax avoidance). lobby, revolving door, no representation, career politicians. [...] redistribution should have win-win effect. //&! Richard Wilkinson: How economic inequality harms societies - youtu.be/cZ7LzE3u7Bw - national income per head (average) is not reflective (correlates) for health and child well-being measures, social capital (volunteering, Tories Big Society), mental health, prison population, social mobility. that is why Tories redefined fuel poverty & child poverty! That is why nominal GDP targeting is double edge sword (tax evasion and average national income per head, and being dependent on a industry for GDP (ie Brazil and resources, or south UK and banking - 80% of 2015 growth was consumtion). Leads to status anxiety & materialism/
inequality  Robert  Reich  Joseph  Stiglitz  Paul  Krugman  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  CEO  pay  shareholder  capitalism  IMF  western  world  Super  Rich  1%  plutocracy  oligarchy  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  Generation  Rent  poverty  poverty  trap  meritocracy  meritocratic  income  distribution  American  Dream  child  poverty  Thomas  Piketty  income  growth  income  inequality  income  mobility  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  redistribution  Universal  Basic  tax  credit  tax  free  income  tax  evasion  tax  amnesty  tax  avoidance  HMRC  Political  Governance  Career  Politicians  revolving  door  Lobbying  lobby  lobbyist  No  Representation  Niall  Ferguson  secular  stagnation  Elizabeth  Warren  Precariat  job  insecurity  welfare  state  social  safety  net  nominal  GDP  targeting  WHO  consumerism  materialism  status  anxiety  values  social  status  self-esteem  mental  health  well  being  GNP 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
George Osborne warns of further spending cuts in Budget - BBC News
[ LOL! ] But recent figures showing the UK economy was smaller than expected meant savings must be found in his Budget statement on 17 March, he said. [...] Mr Osborne said he would rather look for extra cuts now than risk breaking his own manifesto commitment to achieve a surplus in the budget by the end of this Parliament. The chancellor did not completely rule out raising taxes in the event of a further slowdown in growth, but said that now was not the time for "significant" tax hikes. [...] I'm absolutely clear we've got to root our country in the principle that we live within our means and that we have economic security." [...] "whole purpose of our economic plan was to have a budget surplus. [...] we got big challenges at home to make the economy more productive even as more people get work. [ because having part of your budget in the property bubble is so productive ] [...] I will do what is required to keep our country safe and secure." [ NOT CHANGING PLANS ie U-TURN ]
UK  secular  stagnation  austerity  Richard  Koo  Japan  economic  history  dogma  ideology  IMF  OECD  ChristineLagarde  economists  Paul  Krugman  Joseph  Stiglitz  Robert  Reich  David  Cameron  Tories  nasty  party  recovery  aggregate  demand  Conservative  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Mark  Carney  BOE  City  of  London  HMRC  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  self-employment  corporate  tax  rate  Service  Sector  Jobs  working  poor  multiplier  precarious  work  Precariat  low  pay  low  income  tax  credit  housing  benefit  income-based  JSA  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  wage  stagnation  stagnation  DWP  Iain  Duncan  Smith  skills  gap  STEM  productivity  output  gap  Manufacturing  industrial  policy  neoliberalism  neoliberal  trickle-down  economics  Chicago  School  JohnMaynardKeynes  keynes  Keynesianism  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  European  Union  property  bubble  apprenticeships  value  creation  added  value  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  competitiveness  marginal  cost  energy  price  energy  policy  Hinkley  Point  C  nuclear  power  nuclear  waste  subsidies  subsidizing  corporate  welfare  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbyin 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Beware the Minuses of Negative Interest Rates
Whether sub-zero interest rates actually work is open to debate, however. So says Richard Koo, the chief economist of the Nomura Research Institute. “In my view,” he writes, “the adoption of negative interest rates is an act of desperation born out of despair over the inability of quantitative easing and inflation targeting to produce the desired results.” The failure of the BOJ and the ECB to meet their inflation and growth goals is shared by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England. None of these central banks understand that their textbook solutions don’t fit the real economy, Koo asserts. [...] And on a more practical level, why corporations sit on record hoards of cash (taxes aside). [<< macro prudential policy ] //&! “When no one is borrowing money, monetary policy is largely useless.” [...] Keynes was right and (Milton) Freidman was wrong. - bit.ly/1Kl07Ri & There is no Confidence Fairy //&! fam.ag/1ogOOiM & bit.ly/1LpJL4W & bit.ly/1VgSjAB & bit.ly/214Icm3 & bit.ly/1Kl228n
secular  stagnation  emerging  middle  class  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  western  world  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion  liquidity  trap  New  Normal  financial  repression  GFC  economic  history  Richard  Koo  consumer  debt  squeezed  middle  class  household  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  student  loan  debt  student  loan  Super  Cycle  debt  servitude  mortgage  market  asset  bubble  speculative  bubbles  hunt  for  yield  hot-money  equity  bubble  bond  bubble  property  bubble  credit  bubble  BRIC  China  student  debt  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  Frontier  Markets  emerging  market  UK  USA  Europe  Japan  Abenomics  Niall  Ferguson  Paul  Krugman  Joseph  Stiglitz  Gini  coefficient  inequality  income  inequality  income  distribution  income  mobility  wage  stagnation  income  growth  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  underinvestment  austerity  productivity  output  gap  public  investment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  business  investment  STEM  R&D  competitiveness  Robert  Reich  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  debtoverhang  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  macroprudential  policy  miltonfriedman  JohnMaynardKeynes  keynes  Keynesianism  Fiscal  Pact  policy  monetary  policy  Schuldenbremse  unconventional  monetary  policy  QT  Taper  money  supply  money  ve 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Interview With Mohamed El-Erian: Masters in Business (Audio) by Bloomberg View
7:50 New Normal is secular stagnation and decades-long NIRP, ZIRP, QE distortion. structural, secular. no cyclical recovery. but long secular challenges; prolonged period of low growth. // also inequality! // currently policy makers subsidise debtors, subsidise creditors - financial repression. promote risk taking. // richard koo would not agree with el-erian's notion that gov balance sheets are same as household balance sheets. // 12:10 demographic issue! political. and economic elements in it of secular stagnation. [...] borrowing growth // rise of far-right! // corps sitting on cash // inequality! // bc of lived in artificial world of borrowed growth, created massive divergence. // min 15:30 richard koo would not agree that central banks are the only game in town. central banks have complained abt austerity gov. // min 20 - Feds intellectually inflexible. comfort zone. self-regulation & great moderation. // reflation didnt work bc no fixed fundamentals // perfect storm! lost trust.
New  Normal  financial  repression  NIRP  ZIRP  QE  economic  history  secular  stagnation  GFC  credit  bubble  book  western  world  emerging  middle  class  debtoverhang  Richard  Koo  deleveraging  debt  servitude  Super  Cycle  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  KennethRogoff  carmenreinhart  sovereign  debt  crisis  austerity  Paul  Krugman  Gini  coefficient  inequality  Joseph  Stiglitz  distortion  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  monetary  transmission  mechanism  liquidity  trap  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  theory  monetary  system  retirement  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  far-right  Rechtsextremismus  Rechtsruck  zombie  consumer  zombie  corporations  zombie  banks  Pact  Schuldenbremse  tax  avoidance  tax  evasion  inflation  targeting  inflation  expectation  nominal  GDP  targeting  GDP  reflate  reflation  trust  trustagent  distrust  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  public  sentiment  public  perception  bank  bailout  Japan  Abenomics  AIIB  IMF  China  BRIC  self-regulation  Great  Moderation 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
As growth falters, Osborne hopes Mark Carney can keep a lid on interest rates | Business | The Guardian
The chancellor faces lower GDP and lower tax receipts as a result. So it’s vital that consumers’ desire to keep spending isn’t hit by a nasty shock from the Bank [ // Confidence Fairy // ] The Bank of England has downgraded its forecasts for the UK’s GDP growth and the outlook for wages, most likely robbing the exchequer of vital income tax receipts. And without the funds to maintain pensions and health service spending, his critics will gleefully play back the speech from last November during which he declared that Britain was on the road to becoming “the most prosperous and secure of all the major nations of the world”. [...] Yet his words ring hollow when so many of the post-crash problems are still with us, from the burden of high private and public debts to Europe’s rapidly ageing population, which encourage saving over investment, and a reluctance from government and big business to boost capital spending.
George  Osborne  secular  stagnation  2016  2015  Mark  Carney  BOE  consumer  debt  household  debt  mortgage  market  subprime  credit  card  debt  zombie  consumer  UK  GDP  output  gap  productivity  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  recovery  economic  history  austerity  underinvestment  business  investment  public  investment  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Richard  Koo  Paul  Krugman  David  Cameron  nasty  party  Conservative  Tories  short-termism  credit  bubble  debtoverhang  debt  servitude  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  marginal  propensity  to  consume  Funding  1%  financial  repression  New  Normal  constituency  babyboomers  oligarchy  Gini  coefficient  income  distribution  income  inequality  plutocracy  Super  Rich  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  income  growth  low  pay  low  income  wage  growth  economic  growth  precarious  work  Precariat  tax  credit  tax  free  income  corporate  tax  rate  minimum  wage  budget2015  Food  Bank  foreign  direct  investment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  demographic  bubble  western  world  USA  European  Union  ageing  population  CapEx  Capital  Expenditure  zombie  corporations  zombie  banks 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
More Evidence Supporting the House of Debt | House of Debt
Many have argued that we overstate the importance of housing and household debt in explaining the Great Recession and weak recovery. They point to the banking crisis, policy uncertainty, or excessive regulation as equally or even more important. The data released today by the BEA show pretty clearly that the arguments we make in House of Debt remain relevant for thinking about economic weakness today. In our view, the explanation we provide is the most consistent with the striking difference in consumption across states. // From Comments: Without real median income rising you can’t grow in an economy based on debt expansion
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february 2016 by asterisk2a
Masters in Business: Nobel-Prize Economist Paul Krugman (Audio) by Bloomberg View
// most times conviction is lacking, trapped in the bubble, no non-conformity, too much of a comfortable life. // 28:30! Confidence Fairy >> austerity from 2010! vested interest plays big role! Policy Makers are on the side of credit, on bond holders. bond holders don't like inflationary period! ... Hyperinflation will come any day! // 31:00 econ needs to be reformulated in class rooms to be much broader subject! << see robert shiller interview! ie behaviour, sociology and psychology, irrational behaviour // 44:15 on keynes! was no left wing socialist, he tried to save capitalism! he had world changing analysis! sometimes there can not be enough demand, same with sometimes it is good to have waste vs nothing, pointless ways to spend money can have a positive effect. ie infrastructure investment - repaving roads = less private repair bills! public transportation = less drunk driving accidents. history shows fiscal stimulus gets always too early withdrawn from deficit hawks!
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february 2016 by asterisk2a
David Cay Johnston; How The One Percent Enrich Themselves at Government Expense, part 1 - YouTube
min 10 - gov sets the rules and rule define the civilisation and the quality of lives. // min14 - people don't want you to see and know what they are doing [...[ you need journalist who are sceptical about what the gov is saying and telling you what they do, but what the gov is actually doing >> truth tends to lead to better policy << [...] you publish when you have it, not when its good timing. // 23:40 - moral point of Super Rich and tax evasion/avoidance.Andrew Mellon. Adam Smith and the Bible: taking from the poor and giving it to the rich. is a denounced evil. you society will come to ruins. AND HERE COMES DAVID CAMERON in his christmas/new years message with CHRISTIAN VALUES! What a liar, what a hypocrite. - ind.pn/1ZqA8eh - David Cameron says Christian values make Britain successful. Why? - bit.ly/1WTGAJd &! bit.ly/1JwfUqp &! bbc.in/1ZqpPqG - << DWP Sanctions //32:40 flawed policy by flawed public understanding how the economy works and politics - disconnected from reality! -
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january 2016 by asterisk2a
Adam Posen: What Japan and the UK Demonstrate about Macroeconomic Stimulus - YouTube
Confidence Fairy - Paul Krugman. (sov debt crisis) only applicable if you don't have a central bank. like Greece. that can do QE as much as you need to stabilise monetary system. ie stop deleveraging, only serving debt. meaning deflation. // different QE, diversity. shift risk appetite to more riskier debt. ... // fiscal activism can't overcome austerity ... // UK has it work because it doesn't have the manufacturing base. but its population is growing, not shrinking. but job creation - multiplier to economy is 1 or lower because of mostly service sector job creation which lot need to access welfare state through tax credits. // min 11. Gordon Brown and Alistair Darling did lots right! GPB depreciation. budget deficit growth. But imports stayed high!!! current account deficit and trade deficit. Austerity undermines growth and BOE policy! cut you future and investment (4-1 ration). UK got no credibility bonus from bond vigilantes, no FDI inflows.
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january 2016 by asterisk2a
James Galbraith, Kate Pickett, Branko Milanovic - Consequences of Inequality and Wealth Distribution - YouTube
free education / land value tax / higher inheritance tax / abolition of private education / more progressive taxation / combat tax avoidance and tax evasion / ... Universal Basic Income //&! New Theoretical Perspectives on the Distribution of Income and Wealth Among Individuals - youtu.be/RO8KWTb2iPM - w Joseph Stiglitz and Paul Krugman --- distinguishing between wealth and capital. ignore land (free yourself from Ricardo). land. credit. //&! David Cay Johnston: The Perils Of Our Growing Inequality - David Cay Johnston about his new book, Divided: The Perils of Our Growing Inequality. - youtu.be/ok7ZJ8mS19Y
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january 2016 by asterisk2a
SPERI Annual Lecture 2015: 'The Failure of Austerity' by Lord Robert Skidelsky - YouTube
economic history - "state spending inherently unproductive." // borrowing is deferred taxation - David Richardo - Rational expectations. Market economy always tended full employment. // Theory and Facts did not align. Keynes realised it post-war. Private investment is inherently volatile, ie slump conditions. state to offset underinvestment of private sector and match their retreat. getting rid of abnormal unemployment. done through monetary expansion (QE) and put onto state balance sheet available to spend. // Where 2009 forward QE got to banks ... // Paul Krugman - Confidence Fairy. // "Look after employment, and the budget will look after itself." but today it's the bond holders confidence who shapes budgets. // Keynes 'it is the long-term confidence of businesses that shape investment, confidence in state to no let a slump happen again.' but austerity, out of ammo talk, political-, social environment/sentiment & Osborne's '2016 will be tough year' speech were counter-productive.
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january 2016 by asterisk2a
Perhaps austerity didn't choke off UK recovery - BBC News
But, as I mentioned, the disclosure that we were a bit richer in the last parliament than we thought is not all fabulous news for the chancellor. He and his Treasury colleagues should probably be anxious that the faster growth did not translate into higher tax revenues. In case you need reminding, George Osborne singularly failed to hit the deficit reduction targets he set himself. But the explanation can no longer be that the economy flatlined, because that's not what happened. So if the higher-than-thought growth in the last parliament left the gap between government revenues and expenditures tens of billions of pounds greater than George Osborne hoped, it also suggests that his aspiration of eliminating the deficit in this parliament may prove equally elusive. //&! Despite strong employment growth, wage growth remained historically weak - the usual link between falling unemployment and rising wages seemed to have been broken. - bbc.in/1OEffcS
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october 2015 by asterisk2a
Bubble Machine Timeline: Visual Evidence Of The Fed's "Third Mandate" | Zero Hedge
The problem with rushing to combat any sign of economic or financial market turmoil by resorting immediately to counter-cyclical policies is that the creative destruction that would normally serve to purge speculative excess isn’t allowed to operate and so, misallocated capital is allowed to linger from crisis to crisis, making the next boom and subsequent bust even larger than the last.
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Weltwirtschaft: BIZ warnt vor Krediten in Schwellenländern - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Die Bank für Internationalen Zahlungsausgleich sieht Alarmzeichen für Banken in vielen Schwellenländern. Die Kreditvergabe in China, Brasilien oder der Türkei habe ein bedrohliches Verhältnis angenommen, warnt die Notenbank. // &! Die Welt steuert auf den Bankrott zu (QE trap): Eine vorläufige Antwort: Das tieferliegende Problem besteht darin, dass sich die Weltwirtschaft insgesamt auf den Bankrott zubewegt - und das wird umso schneller gehen, je höher die Zinsen sind und je niedriger die Preissteigerungsraten.
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
One Map Shows Just How Expensive College Can Be for Students Making Minimum Wage
[S]ubstantial evidence that lack of information plays a critical role in shaping the financial decisions people make. Consider how a vast majority of people who are currently defaulting on their student loans in the U.S. would be able to halt their financial suffering if they knew they could enroll in an income-based repayment plan that would shrink or eliminate their monthly payments. This map goes some way toward explaining why low-income students are less likely to enroll in college. If the idea that college is a risky investment is something thats gaining traction in well-to-do circles, then surely people who hail from less fortunate backgrounds are even more inclined to think the potential price is too high. // could be seen as balance sheet recession: rising cost of education - & on other side - unable 2 pay w job u can get (asset value). Education is mispriced in UK/USA in a new world going forward! >> youtu.be/_EDGTzOXa_g?t=1h46m5s
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Millennials Can't Afford Cars, and Are Fine With That - Bloomberg View
As somebody who wondered in a column last week whether people in developed countries were perhaps learning that they no longer needed as much stuff as they used to, and whether this might lead to big shifts in the global economy, I read on with great interest. [...] The changes in young adults' consumption habits have clearly been influenced by economic forces. But economic forces shape societal attitudes, too. I also don't see much sign that these economic forces are about to reverse. Both these things can be true: The median 25-to-34-year-old has less to spend, and is less interested in spending it on a car.
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Group of 20 Financial Leaders Agree to Act to Bolster Growth - The New York Times
Ms. Lagarde was even more explicit, making it clear that governments had for too long relied on the supply of cheap cash from central banks that have been running ultra-loose monetary policy. “Monetary policy alone will not cut it,” she said. “It is necessary, it is recommended from our perspective, particularly in Europe and in Japan still, but it will not cut it on its own. “Clearly in the fiscal sphere as well as in the structural reforms sphere, more needs to be done, and it needs to accompany and eventually take the baton from the central bank governors.”
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
▶ How The Economic Machine Works by Ray Dalio
credit great 4 productive investments 4 the future that will benefit u/me/gov/biz like infrastructure/edu/skills. but waste 4 pure consumption that dont increase productivity in the long run. Like consumer credit spend 2 replace a 2yr old flat screen. vs consumer credit 4 vocational/professional further edu 2 get a higher earning job (future higher income 2 repay the then debt liability & have some more/left over). Bad if u dont have later higher earnings from higher education 2 repay debt & just work in an underemployed placement that any college dropout could do. Thing is, college dropout doesnt have that debt liability that the higher education person has (reduced disposable income bc debt repayment + interest payments.) Women are hit double (gender pay gap) & triple (childcare long-term earnings loss). // min16 income growth important 2 keep up with debt repayment beyond interest. if not, we reached peak long-term debt cycle! // doesnt include globalisation's deflationary effects
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Richard Duncan: The Real Risk Of A Coming Multi-Decade Global Depression - YouTube
50 year long debt super cycle & credit bubble up-held. Put. // hasnt created inflation because of Globalisation = deflationary! [3bn ppl living on $2/day] Collapse of marginal cost of labour, offsetting inflation pressure of QE/NIRP/credit creation last decades. // Will eventually haunt people back once globalisation has run its way in ~100-75 years & the world is actually flat. energy cost 0, marginal cost 0, economics of abundance. // // min 23 AND because of this deflationary pressure of globalisation, excess capacity, etc lead to wage stagnation & or pressure to work 4 less (Contractor, Werkvertrag, Zeitarbeit, self-employment, Zero Hour Contract, outsourcing) and longer, in western world. Leads inevitably 2 being pushed into recession & avoiding that authorities always pushed button 4 more credit. Credit growth prevented western world not 2 be pushed into recession in last decades. 2010 Private Sector cant drive recovery! Massive Gov stimulus needed +10 years, not austerity!
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Easy Money Creates the Most Dangerous Bubbles - Bloomberg View
[Money has been slushing arnd in markets speculating, not investing in future & productive, added value goods. big companies are flush 2. easy credit is holding zombie corps of the last century over water. western world is persisting 2 put a banking bailout/crisis in the light of a sovereign debt crisis 2 push idealogical austerity. falling way being, never be able 2 catch up with productivity, output gap, STEM, research, future of work, smart grid & infrastructure, retooling their economy 21st century style.] // "speculation in property markets, amplified by mortgage financing, as a persistent central factor driving economic cycles." [...] the worst bubbles -- those that inflict the most economic pain -- tend to involve not just speculation, but a surge in easy lending and increasing leverage. [...] economic downturns following credit bubbles were generally worse and lasted longer. [...] danger of leverage cycle. // [ easy credit & debt fuelled recovery of assets, not fundamentals ]
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august 2015 by asterisk2a
(2015) Professor Steve Keen explains why austerity economics is naive - YouTube
youtu.be/-HHJ3q2TxEQ (2014) // Unable 2 sustain long-term economic growth! Next headwind (ie China, Summer pop 2015) could put it back into the ringer! No internal resilience long-term. Gross gov debt still rising & budget (tax income) short-fall enlarged than it would be otherwise. // & talking Schuldenbremse/compulsory budget surplus proposal >> Rising private debt 2 make up of the short-fall of public spending, that is what its institute of fiscal studies has been saying ever since Tories came into Office with its austerity agenda. // The next downturn (private debt rise stop & focus on servicing it/deleveraging + gov keeping austerity agenda) will be even steeper & harder! // On path of stagnation, of western world; how u serve that debt in New Normal of <~2% growth p/a & <2% inflation & <2% inflation expectations!? // &! youtu.be/-3aBjFo2Fh4 // youtu.be/WSfe6uyO5yE & youtu.be/4TTuPwIzFC0 - China "Crash." &! on.ft.com/1Ixhw1a 'Crazy China Crash Possible w contagion'
UK  austerity  Mark  Blyth  Steve  Keen  Paul  Krugman  2015  budget2015  recovery  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  secular  stagnation  deflationary  deflation  private  debt  household  debt  debt  servitude  consumer  debt  debtoverhang  student  loan  debt  Super  Cycle  student  debt  China  equity  bubble  property  bubble  credit  bubble  reflate  reflation  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  hunt  for  yield  bond  bubble  speculative  bubbles  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  debt  bubble  PBOC  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  Richard  Koo  banking  crisis  zombie  banks  shadow  banking  investment  banking  sovereign  debt  crisis  PIIGSFB  European  Union  Germany  stimulus  policy  monetary  policy  BOE  ECB  Fed  Taper  stagnation  western  world  developed  world  IMF  OECD 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
International Focus - A History of Austerity - YouTube
fallacy of composition problem // short-term profit seeking and rent-seeking behaviour, underinvestment, no productive investment - especially long-term. // this underinvestment - public and private sector + market forces and technological progess will level the world and the China/Asia/LatAm rises up to the western world level while western world stays stagnant (loss of standard/quality of living competitively) because of being behind - software is eating the world, 3D printing, uncompetitive manufacturing and heavy industry/goods because of higher energy prices because of lack of investment in energy storage systems that are realized right now and backing off in investment in renewable energy and energy efficiency schemes (especially UK budget2015), automation, robotics, lack knowledge workforce to fill future digital/STEM/knowledge jobs, because of low social mobility, student debt, cuts in education - vocational - professional, as well as giving up on child poverty targets.
rent-seeking  austerity  economic  history  recovery  GFC  secular  stagnation  ideology  dogma  European  Union  UK  USA  2015  underinvestment  productive  investment  asset  allocation  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  hunt  for  yield  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  asset  bubble  speculative  bubbles  equity  bubble  bond  bubble  public  investment  infrastructure  investment  long-term  view  long-term  thinking  Career  Politicians  neoliberalism  neoliberal  No  Representation  academia  academics  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Troika  IMF  OECD  ChristineLagarde  Richard  Koo  Paul  Krugman  Robert  Reich  Joseph  Stiglitz  sovereign  debt  crisis  zombie  banks  TBTF  too  big  to  jail  toobigtofail  bank  bailout  NPL  ECB  Fed  BOE  fiscal  policy  Pact  Schuldenbremse  manufactured  consent  corporate  state  propaganda  corporate  media  populism  PR  spin  doctor  Eurogroup  EuroFin  democracy  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  social  contract  crony  capitalism  deregulation  self-regulation  regulation  regulators  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  revolving  door  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  lost  decade  lost  generation  western  world  Developing  developed  world  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  policy  in 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Austerity: The History of a Dangerous Idea - YouTube
faith in capitalism can only be sustained, according to Adam Smith, if we can better ourself (vs winner takes all) & talent diversion into Finance, not Climate Change, STEM, education, sw, hw & rogoff/reinhart called 4 fiscal stimulus in 2014. &! its a banking problem, not overspend, its corporate state (Tories) PR and spin doctors, manufacturing consent, propaganda/populism! change conversation away from banks! // youtu.be/a-8ySh6nUsA // &! The Austerity Delusion - youtu.be/NQGCoiakycQ // &! Is Austerity a Dangerous Idea? - youtu.be/2v8m-J8sgik // &! youtu.be/JQuHSQXxsjM // &! Mackenzie Lecture 2015 - youtu.be/B6vV8_uQmxs // &! After the Financial Crisis: How to Tell the Forest from the Trees - youtu.be/V3FPmu2_J_0 // &! Book Panel 2013 - youtu.be/Xz4FW8GDwG4 - "debt gets cured by growth." & austerity is ideological war on welfare state & class // &! youtu.be/iM2cnMhJZyg // &! youtu.be/in5M65566iw // &! What I Learned and (Un-Learned) at the Financial Crisis - youtu.be/lhldDOp77QA /
austerity  economic  history  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  downward  mobility  inequality  apathy  voter  turnout  crony  capitalism  ideology  dogma  GFC  IMF  OECD  ChristineLagarde  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Angela  Merkel  Troika  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Conservative  Party  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  UK  Europe  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  lost  generation  lost  decade  Japan  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  unintended  consequences  asset  allocation  hunt  for  yield  speculative  bubbles  property  bubble  unknown  unkown  Taper  KennethRogoff  carmenreinhart  Thomas  Piketty  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  sovereign  debt  crisis  deleveraging  Richard  Koo  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Privatisation  industrial  policy  Revolution  2.0  deflationary  deflation  secular  stagnation  globalisation  globalization  Eurogroup  Paul  Krugman  Joseph  Stiglitz  reflate  recovery  reflation  bond  bubble  asset  bubble  faultlines  structural  imbalance  Impediments  BOE  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  short-term  Career  Politicians  political  theory  social  contract  Gesellschaft  No  Representation  Rechtsruck  stagnation  social 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Jeremy Rifkin on the Fall of Capitalism and the Internet of Things - YouTube
// good and services - commoditisation - near priceless. // mass market becomes zero marginal cost business - commodity! thus have to differentiate ie through freemium/premium/subscription model! two tier. // attention span - news is free, ppl are satiated quiet often with free news, that they don't pay for premium products (except niche) like analysis&perspective & brand pull. have to add more value to core value prop and intangible value - like community & leadership // every consumer can become a prosumer //
post-capitalism  Collaborative  collaboration  Universal  Basic  Income  book  Paul  Mason  Share  Economy  Open  Source  Open  Data  marginal  cost  economics  of  abundance  economic  history  crony  capitalism  capitalism  Wall  Street  Jeremy  Rifkin  21stcentury  Marketplace  transparency  democracy  productivity  identity  Future  of  Work  Mobile  Creatives  3D  printing  Manufacturing  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  policy  energy  price  renewable  energy  energy  policy  commodity  business  commoditization  Robotics  automation  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  Prosumer  ProAm  publishing  2.0  self-publishing  user  generated  content  Net  Neutrality  Blogging  The  Wars  education  policy  vocational  education  professional  education  MOOC  knowledge  knowledge  worker  freemium  subscription  model  business  model  mass  market  paywalls  paywall  user  behaviour  homescreen  snacking  Entertainment  Escapeism  IoT  added  value  value  creation  Core  Product  Proposition  intangible  value  Proposition  social  change  Open  Platform  Platform  EULA  TOS  proprietary  News  24-hour  cycle  automotive  autonomous  car  self-driving  cars  public  transportation  transportation  communication  output  gap 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Krise ǀ Weimar reloaded — der Freitag
Das Land befindet sich schon mitten in der Depression und schuld daran sind hohe Lohnkosten und üppige Sozialpolitik. Helfen können dagegen nur Lohn-, Preis- und Budgetkürzungen. Was sich liest wie eine Mainstream-Diagnose des heutigen Europas, ist tatsächlich der Inhalt eines Artikels aus dem März 1929. Er erschien im Deutschen Volkswirt, einem damaligen Fachblatt der liberalen Ökonomie. Der Autor war kein Geringerer als Joseph Schumpeter. Was er vorschlug, ist später als die berüchtigte Deflationspolitik des bis Mai 1932 amtierenden Reichskanzlers Heinrich Brüning bekannt geworden. [ can solve debt overhang w austerity, >> is deflationary, stagnant balance sheet or shrinking, thus increases debt 2 gdp/asset ratio ] [...] den „Ruin Mitteleuropas“ zu verantworten.
austerity  economic  history  Weimar  Treaty  of  Versailles  deflationary  deflation  debtoverhang  Debt  Super  Cycle  Greece  Richard  Koo  Germany  Wolfgang  Schäuble  GroKo  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  balance  sheet  recession  neoliberalism  neoliberal  sovereign  crisis  Europe  George  Osborne  UK  IMF  Weimarer  Republik  Troika  Umschuldung  jubilee  restructuring  PIGS  PIIGS  PIIGSFB  European  Union  Eurogroup  technocrat  John  Maynard  Keynes  carmenreinhart  KennethRogoff  Thomas  Piketty  Yanis  Varoufakis  Joseph  Stiglitz  Paul  Krugman  Weimar  Republic  European 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Is austerity working in Britain and Europe? - YouTube
youtu.be/YIg3Ls8UjMs - youtu.be/EpSmOBIZKus - (2014) The UK is having a moral disaster: Peter Hitchens on Britain's bleak future (talks about Conservative Party, Cameron is a PR man - exemplary Career Politician just wanting to be in office. out brake of riots in Summer 2011 similar to Brixton Riot "not being part of society", "multiculturalism is no culture" (shared identity and interest as nation) // --- // Chancellor defends austerity from Davos (2013) - youtu.be/nQZDDIVjbcM // (2015) Protesters gather after Queen's speech to 'fight austerity' - youtu.be/ERL0tEzVVqE // &! End Austerity March: thousands protest across the UK - youtu.be/-Yg8QaeBdNs
austerity  UK  economic  history  IMF  Greece  Tories  dogma  ideology  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Privatisation  Conservative  Party  Toff  Privileged  Establishment  Paul  Krugman  2015  Europe  Troika  Eurogroup  ECB  fiscal  policy  fiscal  stimulus  Pact  Schuldenbremse  GroKo  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  BOE  NIRP  ZIRP  QE  budget  deficit  underinvestment  productive  investment  productivity  output  gap  infrastructure  investment  STEM  deflationary  deflation  inflation  expectation  secular  stagnation  recovery  GFC  industrial  policy  Manufacturing  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  corporate  tax  rate  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  bank  bailout  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  technocrat  Public  Services  Social  Services  deprivation  poverty  trap  child  poverty  poverty  food  poverty  income  mobility  mobility  downward  mobility  budget2015  multiculturalism  identity  Gesellschaft  Zivilgesellschaft  civic  society  civic  life  civil  courage  society 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Paul Mason - is capitalism dead? | Guardian Live - YouTube
100 year process, this is the 21st century // when you define the problem you also define the solution, in most cases. from A to B. // capitalism has rent-seeking tendency. DRM and IP/intellectual property is rent-seeking. // --- need book what to do with post-capitalism tools, open source, open data, share economy, shared economic interest, transparency, political reform - voucher system (Larry Lessig). --- // biotech and gene and new age of medicine will replace hardware and proprietary software (already being displaced by open source) //
post-capitalism  crony  capitalism  monopoly  monopsony  Silicon  Valley  Wall  Street  Paul  Mason  rent-seeking  intellectual  property  Page  Rank  Google  Search  copyright  IP  intellectualproperty  DRM  Kindle  Amazon  Microsoft  Open  Source  Open  Data  civic  good  Public  civic  society  Share  Economy  proprietary  software  Karl  Marx  economic  history  shared  economic  interest  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  buyback  underinvestment  productive  investment  climate  change  interest  groups  vested  interest  interestgroups  fiduciary  responsibility  long-term  view  long-term  thinking  faultlines  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  Career  Politicians  social  contract  No  Representation  neoliberalism  neoliberal  exploitation  Gini  coefficient  Future  of  Work  Mobile  Creatives  knowledge  knowledge  worker  3D  printing  marginal  cost  economics  of  abundance  renewable  energy  commodity  business  commoditization  book  meritocracy  meritocratic  Gesellschaft  Zivilgesellschaft  Wegwerfgesellschaft  zombie  consumer  finite  resources  status  anxiety  identity  society  philosophy  sociology  social  cohesion  social  tension  inequality  income  mobility  social  mobility  4-day  week  leisure  tim 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Larry Lessig’s campaign to run as the “Referendum President” & restore representative democracy - YouTube
min 7 campaign finance and party / politician finance - voucher system (tax free, out of your tax, financed by all tax payers, distributed across all). give it to the party and politician/candidate u think will represent u. does what you think is right. 1 man one woman one (voting right 16), company got a voucher. no lobby org got vocher. its the people. // GroKo Germany election Merkel partied in Berlin in-front of her party. No in-front of the people. // 100bn in corporate subsidies per y in USA alone statistic via Kato Institute (liberal think tank) // the internet is both the best it possibly can be and the worst it possibly can be // Americans have no capacity to admit to their mistakes. // &! youtu.be/48OtjHGpcIQ - Referendum Candidate Lessig Would Consider Biden as VP
lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  presidential  election  2016  Politics  reform  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  inequality  Super  Rich  1%  post-capitalism  crony  capitalism  Wall  Street  shared  economic  interest  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  Paul  Mason  Jeremy  Corbyn  Elizabeth  Warren  Robert  Reich  GroKo  TTIP  TTP  CETA  NAFTA  climate  change  GFC  bank  bailout  Super  PAC  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  sovereign  debt  crisis  babyboomers  accountability  transparency  political  theory  social  contract  subsidies  subsidizing  Surveillance-Industrial  Complex  surveillance  state  Orwellian  Jim  Crow  military–industrial  Internet  Privacy  Net  Neutrality  Privacy  human  rights  Whistleblower  Chelsea  Manning  Edward  Snowden  Julian  Assange  NSA  Five  Eyes  interest  groups  interestgroups  vested  interest  GCHQ  USA  UK  Secret  Courts  FISA  Court  FISAAA  Wikileaks  BND  deceiving  Drone  Strike  Drone  Warfare  Zivilgesellschaft  Zivilcourage  Bürgertum  civil  liberty  civil  courage  civil  society  civil  rights  Gesellschaft  Wegwerfgesellschaft  climate  crisis  economic  damage  capitalism  exploitation  Iraq  War  9/11  False  Flag  Torture  War  on  Terror  aspirational  economic  F 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
US stocks nosedive in early trading amid collapse in global markets | Business | The Guardian
[ great reflation move since 09, finds another opportunity (this time because of China) to reflect. meaning to reassess reality. same with the collapse in emerging market, money going out of high yield & risk back to US/UK in hope of Taper and then came the hammer in form of China scare, people taking even more money out of emerging market/Chinas neighbours into the safe haven (perceived) that is the $/£/EUR market ] Dow dropped more than 1,000 points shortly after the markets opened, but it recovered slightly to be down 620 points, or 6%, shortly before 10am. Dow, which had suffered big falls last week, was trading below 16,000 at 10am – the first time it has been below that level since February 2014. The index is 14% below its record peak in May, putting the Dow firmly into “correction” territory – Wall Street jargon for a drop of 10% or more from a recent peak. &! bit.ly/1EQ31Fn &! bit.ly/1F1zPue - Summers argued for fiscal stimulus, debate about secular stagnation.
correction  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  emerging  market  hunt  for  yield  unintended  consequences  2015  unknown  unkown  hot-money  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  reflate  reflation  recovery  GFC  structural  imbalance  global  imbalances  China  USA  western  world  secular  stagnation  Developing  developed  world  Europe  UK  Singapore  Asia  global  economy  global  trade  energy  price  Oil  price  OPEC  economic  history  Taper  Abenomics  Japan  Fed  BOE  ECB  BOJ  Richard  Koo  equity  bubble  bond  bubble  deflationary  deflation  job  creation  job  market  participation  rate  industrial  policy  Makers  short-term  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  policy  folly  policy  error  PBOC  distortion  faultlines  Impediments  STEM  underinvestment  productive  investment  output  gap  productivity  Paul  Krugman  Larry  Summers  Ben  Bernanke  Janet  Yellen  Mark  Carney  MarioDraghi  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  austerity  fiscal  policy  Pact  Schuldenbremse  fiscal  stimulus  George  Osborne  dogma  IMF  OECD  ChristineLagarde  ideology 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Killing the European Project - The New York Times
[3rd Bailout, post-referendum, even more austerity requests and liberal economic reforms and selling of state assets and privatisation - than Syriza had on its plate after it got elected on an anti-austerity platform, tried to negotioate, Eurogroup didnt budge, referendum was called and corralito/capital controls/bank holiday for now over 2 weeks, ... just to get money to pay off EFSF, IMF and ECB, ... ] Paul Krugman geht in der "New York Times" hart mit der Euro-Gruppe ins Gericht. Deren Forderungen gegenüber Griechenland seien verrückt. "Der Hashtag #ThisIsACoup bringt es genau auf den Punkt", so Krugman. Besonders Deutschland sei dabei, das europäische Projekt zu töten.
Paul  Krugman  European  Union  Grexit  Greece  2015  Syriza  Troika  Eurogroup  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  Jean-Claude  Juncker  IMF  ECB  MarioDraghi  ChristineLagarde  Germany  FrancoisHollande  France  Leadership  vision  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  compromise  political  error  policy  folly  austerity  dogma  ideology  haircut  debt  jubilee  debt  restructuring  propaganda  populism  manufactured  consent  corporate  state  media  conglomerate  economic  history  common  sense  Great  Depression  lost  decade  lost  generation  European 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Greek referendum: how would top economists vote? | World news | The Guardian
"A no vote would at least open the possibility that Greece, with its strong democratic tradition, might grasp its destiny in its own hands. [...] [I]s far more hopeful than the unconscionable torture of the present." [...] The troika clearly did a reverse Corleone – they made Tsipras an offer he can’t accept, and presumably did this knowingly [ Blackmail offer they (Syriza) could not accept - bbc.in/1GV19uS &! bbc.in/1TcpC7s &! youtu.be/g3YF38exVNo ]. So the ultimatum was, in effect, a move to replace the Greek government. [T]hat has to be disturbing for anyone who believes in European ideals. [...] I recommend that the Greek people give a resounding “No” to the creditors in the referendum on their demands this weekend. // &! The Guardian view on the Greek referendum: hard to imagine a more dismal choice - Editorial - bit.ly/1LZS7kv - The Greek crisis has led Brussels into the business of regime change // &! True leaders admit 2 mistakes = humility. not smartest.
jeffreysachs  Jeffrey  Sachs  Joseph  Stiglitz  Paul  Krugman  Grexit  referendum  democracy  Troika  IMF  ECB  austerity  ideology  economic  history  Career  Politicians  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  ChristineLagarde  Syriza  blackmail  dogma  economic  damage  economic  model  economic-thought  shared  economic  interest  social  tension  social  cohesion  Gesellschaft  European  Union  solidarity  propaganda  manufactured  consent  corporate  state  EFSF  haircut  debt  jubilee  Leadership  humility  MarioDraghi  Jean-Claude  Juncker 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
John Ralston Saul: The Collapse of Globalism - YouTube
the source of legitimacy is economics and only one source/type of economic thinking // TTIP & Co erase governments! // globalisation hailed promises, empty promises. // the more they say its inevitable, the more you know its the way out. // bailout for one side of society, and austerity for the others // no shared economic interest !!! rootless tax evaders global corporations are not stakeholders in country X // where does the power go? decision and policy making? to those with money and influence and network! - thus not the citizens // "we are in a post-globalist world" really? why is there then TTIP? Austerity is currently taking over the vacuum! // neoliberalism pouted and propagandated by fear induced monologues by Career Politicians (GFC) // money has no moral limits nor conscience !!! // great moderation and unfettered globalisation & financial realm (masters of the universe) - Alan Greenspan & Ben Bernanke >> extremes (ideology) break down (GFC) // austerity doesn't work!
globalisation  globalization  economic  history  GFC  recovery  austerity  liberal  economic  reform  book  democracy  human  capital  deregulation  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  economic  model  trickle-down  economics  borderless  TTIP  flat  world  income  growth  western  world  Gini  coefficient  Consumer  Protection  CETA  NAFTA  USA  social  cohesion  social  contract  social  tension  crony  capitalism  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  Davos  1%  Super  Rich  Thomas  Piketty  Robert  Reich  Joseph  Stiglitz  Paul  Krugman  bailout  too  big  to  jail  toobigtofail  TBTF  PIGS  IMF  Bank  education  policy  vocational  education  underinvestment  productive  investment  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  Future  of  Work  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  tax  code  stakeholder  Margaret  Thatcher  Angela  Merkel  David  Cameron  George  Osborne  neoliberal  neoliberalism  academia  academic  alangreenspan  Ben  Bernanke  benbernanke  Great  Moderation  zombie  banks  ideology  individuality  sociology  society  psychology  gesellschaft  western  society  capital  gains  self-regulation  regulation  regulators  Bank  Oversight  revolving  door 
may 2015 by asterisk2a
Top economist attacks Tory austerity – and Labour's limp response | Politics | The Guardian
http://www.theguardian.com/business/ng-interactive/2015/apr/29/the-austerity-delusion // "It is rare, in the history of economic thought, for debates to get resolved this decisively. The austerian ideology that dominated elite discourse five years ago has collapsed, to the point where hardly anyone still believes it. Hardly anyone, that is, except the coalition that still rules Britain – and most of the British media." // &! http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/2015/04/george-osborne-s-cunning-plan-how-chancellors-austerity-narrative-has-harmed
general  election  2015  UK  austerity  Paul  Krugman  recovery  IMF  economic  history 
may 2015 by asterisk2a
Why 'secular stagnation' matters - BBC News
The question at stake is the issue of "secular stagnation", which is probably the biggest and most important controversy in macroeconomics today. This is not though a debate for the ivory tower, it's an issue with significant real world implications. [...] So what is secular stagnation? It's an idea that originated in the late 1930s with the US Keynesian economist Alvin Hansen. He worried that growth was fundamentally slowing and emphasised demographic factors (such as slowing population growth) as a driver of this. [ western world needs immigration as reproduction level is below 1, capitalism and our economics is fundy based on econ growth, but that is, on the horizon, not possible (excl inflation). what if population is stable!? ] [...] In a nutshell secular stagnation is an attempt to explain the weakness of the global recovery in advanced economies since the 2008 crisis. [ decelerating, debt overhang, balancesheet recession, sov debt crisis ] [...]
secular  stagnation  Europe  Japan  economic  history  lost  decade  global  imbalances  rebalancing  demographic  bubble  demographics  demography  immigration  western  world  economic  growth  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  liquidity  trap  sovereign  debt  crisis  Super  Cycle  debt  bubble  bond  bubble  QE  debt  monetization  debt  monetisation  stagflation  deflation  deflationary  zombie  banks  zombie  consumer  austerity  full  employment  Larry  Summers  Paul  Krugman  Ben  Bernanke  savings  glut  complexity  incomplete  information  productivity  output  gap  productive  investment  unintended  consequences  ZIRP  NIRP  hunt  for  yield 
april 2015 by asterisk2a
Stiglitz: no need to fear economics of independence | Channel 4 News Live Blogs | Channel 4 News Live Blogs
Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz has said there is “little basis” for “fear-mongering” over the economy of an independent Scotland. Mr Stiglitz, who advises the Scottish government on economic affairs, said that while there would be risks in the event of a Yes vote, the risks of Scotland remaining in the union and UK leaving the EU would be “significantly greater”. In an article published in the Sunday Herald and the Scotsman, he urged Scots to focus on “vision and values” in the last few days before Thursday’s independence referendum. +++ http://www.heraldscotland.com/comment/columnists/there-is-no-basis-for-this-scaremongering-but-this-is-not-just-about-money.25313968
Joseph  Stiglitz  Paul  Krugman  Scottish  independence  referendum  Scottish  Scotland  #indyref  Westminster  UK  journalism  journalismus  BBC 
september 2014 by asterisk2a
TechCrunch editor says she’s “a cheerleader” who would have totally caved to Obama over Snowden | PandoDaily
writing about the intersection of technology and power isn’t a fucking game any more… That’s not cute. It’s not “sweet.” It’s disgusting. With that quote Tsotsis told the world there will never be anything on TechCrunch that remotely risks upsetting powerful people and, if it does, they have her personal guarantee it’ll be removed promptly
AOL  TechCrunch  Pando.com  PandoDaily  Sarah  Lacy  Re/code.net  Kara  Swisher  Alexia  Tsotsis  Paul  Carr  investigative  journalism  journalismus  Re/code 
july 2014 by asterisk2a
Live chart: The low countries - YouTube
Timothy Geithner says no risk of U.S. losing it's AAA credit rating - http://youtu.be/0HDCvqgxrrE || Geithner: Japan's 'Lost Decade' Not America's Fate - http://youtu.be/fax8BIPKcP8 "the hope it's gonna heal itself, to hope you can grow yourself out of it" growing your way out of it" || +!!! Timothy Geithner Fired Robert Shiller? http://youtu.be/bIwBEYoSqKY >> economics has no humans in it !!! no real world example. Conventional wisdom so strong. "We've got too scientific." And anybody who is 'flaky' gets pushed out [Robert Schiller]. >>Wenn du dich auf andere verlaesst, bist du verlassen.<< || Robert Shiller: Speculative Asset Prices - http://youtu.be/oBXPOWytDMs "present value". google.co.uk/search?q=present+value+Robert+Schiller || + Robert Shiller: Nobel Prize Winning Economist - http://youtu.be/ABvtKGrIDUs "it can't be an exact science (forecasting) because of the complexity, mass data; uncertain, certain, and data that can't be put in numbers, storystelling -> feedback loops ...
bond  bubble  Japan  USA  UK  Europe  Germany  hunt  for  yield  lost  decade  lost  generation  deflation  deflationary  liquidity  trap  financial  repression  economic  history  Tim  Geithner  Timothy  Geithner  austerity  balance  sheet  recession  Richardkoo  Richard  Koo  creditrating  creditrisk  debt  monetization  debt  monetisation  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  theory  Super  Cycle  debt  jubilee  GFC  deleveraging  debtoverhang  Career  Politicians  Makers  policy  folly  policy  error  toobigtofail  TBTF  systemrelevanz  Lobbying  lobbyist  lobby  fiscal  stimulus  fiscal  sovereignty  PIGS  sovereign  debt  crisis  Thomas  Piketty  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  flat  world  globalisation  globalization  savings  glut  faultlines  Structural  Impediments  unemployment  deficit  imbalance  GDP  economic  model  Robert  Skidelsky  Robert  Reich  Paul  Krugman  consumer  debt  public  debt  debt  restructuring  household  debt  zombie  banks  creditcrunch  creditcrisis  ECB  BOE  BOJ  Abenomics  Fed  BuBa  leadership  Democratic  Process  democracy  trust  trustagent  confidence  greatrecession  greatdepression  history  evolution  Why  Software  Is  Eating  the  Software  Is  Eating  skill-biased  techn 
june 2014 by asterisk2a
Thomas Piketty’s numbers aren’t wrong: The Financial Times’ big whiff misstates his central argument - Salon.com
Thomas Piketty’s numbers aren’t wrong: The Financial Times’ big whiff misstates his central argument Paul Krugman and others shoot down an overblown "Capital" critique which misrepresents his data, findings and point || ++ Here, we review the claims and counterclaims and conclusions one can draw about L’Affaire Piketty. >> http://www.nytimes.com/2014/05/31/upshot/everything-you-need-to-know-about-thomas-piketty-vs-the-financial-times.html || + http://www.theguardian.com/business/video/2014/may/02/thomas-piketty-capital-rock-star-economist-video || +++ Thomas Piketty accuses Financial Times of dishonest criticism Author of bestselling economics book says paper is ridiculous to suggest his thesis on rising inequality is incorrect >> http://www.theguardian.com/business/2014/may/26/thomas-piketty-financial-times-dishonest-criticism-economics-book-inequality
Thomas  Piketty  Paul  Krugman  FT  The  Financial  Times  income  inequality  inequality  social  mobility  income  mobility  Super  Rich  1%  occupywallstreet  disposable  income  income  growth  income  redistribution  income  distribution  tax  free  income  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  tax  code  tax  credit  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  book  economic  history 
june 2014 by asterisk2a
Paxman interviews economist Thomas Piketty - Newsnight - YouTube
IT IS ALL A MATTER OF DEGREE. thus you have to marry liberalism & conservatism, throw the junk out. u get liberal-conservatism. The rise of the working poor & squeezed middle class had not been good 4 economic growth & vitality. || +Thomas Piketty on Wealth, Income and Inequality >> watch?v=zytqTSh3oGw || + http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/05/01/thomas-piketty-cold-war_n_5247373.html || + http://www.npr.org/2014/05/11/310784652/on-income-inequality-a-french-economist-vs-an-american-capitalist << Edward Conard WRONG! || +++ What the 1% Don't Want You to Know with Paul Krugman - watch?v=QzQYA9Qjsi0 "All men are created equal" NO MORE. 'commanding heights' >> https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=commanding+heights+documentary + market income inequality vs disposable income inequality http://bit.ly/1ollCVp ... "We live in such an ugliness in America." || Wealth Concentration is a agglomeration of Politica & Public Policy Power. || + Robert Reich >> v=q-rpkZe2OEo || v=heOVJM2JZxI
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may 2014 by asterisk2a

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