asterisk2a + pact   200

(2195) Mark Blyth Telling The US Senate That Austerity Policy Is Wrong - YouTube
Mark Blyth & Makers v Takers & Erbschaft & asset & capital tax // wolfgang schäuble George Osborne David Cameron // >> Growth cures debt, cuts / austerity causes debt!!!
Mark  Blyth  UK  USA  Austerity  taxation  corporate  corporatism  welfare  state  NHS  income  tax  GFC  asset  capital  recovery  underinvestment  secular  stagnation  bond  bubble  economic  history  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  BOE  productivity  budget  Super  Rich  Plutocracy  trickle-down  Oligarchy  1%  10%  profit  maximisation  shareholder  immigration  gini  Coefficient  FX  Forex  confidence  fairy  globalisation  evasion  avoidance  HMRC  bank  bailout  badbank  bad  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  David  Cameron  George  Osborne  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  PIGS  Policy  IMF  BIS  ECB  Fed 
july 2017 by asterisk2a
Donald Trump, Marine Le Pen: Wie Wirtschaftskrisen Populisten helfen - Kolumne - SPIEGEL ONLINE
All das passt zu Zahlen, wonach - auch in Deutschland - eine große Minderheit seit Jahrzehnten real an Einkommen verliert. Und der Abstand zwischen Gewinnern und Verlierern atemberaubend groß geworden ist. Und es passt zum verbreiteten Gefühl, dass nur noch schwer nachzuvollziehen ist, welche Macht Konzerne ausüben. Und wie wenig die Regierungen dem noch entgegenzusetzen haben. [...] All das lässt sich nicht mit ein bisschen mehr Konjunktur beseitigen. Wie der französische Ökonom Thomas Piketty diagnostiziert hat, gibt es eine fast automatische Verschärfung der Ungleichheit - schon weil mit großem Geld mehr zu verdienen ist als mit harter Arbeit.
DonaldTrump  MarineLePen  Donald  Trump  Brexit  UKIP  UK  USA  Germany  AfD  France  Frankreich  Populism  demagogue  far-right  right-wing  alt-right  White  Supremacy  Centrist  GFC  recovery  secular  stagnation  dot.com  Abstiegsangst  Middle  Class  Precariat  working  poor  neoliberalism  crony  capitalism  Austerity  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  European  Union  Privatisation  workers  trade  Hartz-IV  ALG2  Aufstocker  Altersarmut  Globalisation  insecurity  Geert  Wilders  Protest  Vote  voterturnout  turnout  Democracy  inequality  gini  coefficient  Super  Rich  1%  Plutocracy  Oligarchy  tax  evasion  avoidance  lobby  TTIP  CETA  income  distribution  poverty  trap  Kapital  vested  interest  Capital  Thomas  Piketty  structural  unemployment  underemployed  underemployment  part-time 
may 2017 by asterisk2a
Austerity was a bigger disaster than we thought - The Washington Post
That, at least, is what economists Christopher House and Linda Tesar of the University of Michigan and Christïan Proebsting of the École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne found when they looked at Europe's budget-cutting experience the last eight years. It turns out that cutting spending right after the worst crisis in 80 years only led to a lower gross domestic product and, in the most extreme cases, higher debt-to-GDP ratios. That's right: trying to reduce debt levels sometimes increased debt burdens. [...] In short, austerity hurt what it was supposed to help, and helped hurt the economy even more than a once-in-three-generations crisis already had.
Austerity  IMF  OECD  UK  USA  Germany  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  NHS  Council  DWP  economic  history  GFC  recovery  bank  bailout  neoliberalism  crony  capitalism  corporatism  ECB  BOE  Fed  monetary  policy  reflate  reflation  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  WallStreet  10%  1%  Super  Rich  Plutocracy  Oligarchy 
february 2017 by asterisk2a
Mario Draghi in der Kritik: "Die Geldpolitik macht den Kapitalismus kaputt" - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Danach kamen die Übertreibungen am US-Immobilienmarkt, im Süden der Eurozone und auf den Rohstoffmärkten. Wir haben es mit einer Kette wandernder Blasen zu tun, die von der Geldpolitik getrieben werden. Die neue Blase bildet sich nie dort, wo zuvor die alte geplatzt ist. Die Regierungen reagieren auf einen Crash mit schärferen Regeln, aber die Spekulation ist ihnen immer einen Schritt voraus.
GFC  recovery  economic  history  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  ECB  BOE  Fed  USA  UK  Europe  European  Union  PIGS  secular  stagnation  household  debt  consumer  car  loan  student  credit  card  private  Austerity  IMF  OECD  Dodd-Frank  self-regulation  Regulation  regulators  FSA  BaFin  speculation  speculative  ROI  productivity  output  gap  inflation  targeting  monetary  policy  fiscal  Schuldenbremse  Pact  inequality  capital  assets  gini  Coefficient  Super  Rich  1%  10%  Plutocracy  Oligarchy  bank  bailout  zombie  NPL 
february 2017 by asterisk2a
Steve Keen: Avoid the next financial crisis with People’s QE and a debt jubilee - YouTube
Steve Keen [...] service led economy *uk is bad/not sustainable can not go on forever. [...] Osborne plan could have worked if he would have not cut that much and more invested in skills (higher skills, better jobs, better income, more tax rev, debt can be served more leisurely). ... QE bonkers.bc it includes trickle down via 20% who own reflated assets. trickle down dos not work. [...] no wealth effect from shares. [...] prices in london might not have peaked bc of foreign demand! rest of uk, chinese down want to buy! [...] QE for people is partial debt jubilee bc people could use to spend or use to serve debt. [...] retail banks dont lend to entrepreneur bc of math! thus you need national investment bank! or change banking landscape. Germany has national investment bank. //&! https://youtu.be/IcNBW9609HM - EU status quo can not work long-term. //&! detailed presentation - https://youtu.be/w8fCmUbjDtg
Steve  Keen  Brexit  EEA  Austerity  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  immigration  Freedom  of  Movement  monetary  union  Germany  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  refugee  crisis  Brussels  UK  GFC  QE  recovery  Book  Trickle-down  reflate  reflation  ZIRP  NIRP 
october 2016 by asterisk2a
"On contact" with Chris Hedges (Episode 14) w Mark Blyth - YouTube
austerity works for those, who impose it. middle class and pood paying for the debt and bailouts they were not responsible for. // [...] when you shut down the casino economy. where is growth coming from? wage growth, productivity, investment, ... to pay those debts ... by the 80% who bailed out the 20%. current authoritarian depotism populism demagoge does not have the policy/answers. to make the economy work for the 80% so they can pay/serve their debt obligations. [...] young ppl in debt like never before, will not achieve life their parents had. [..] public scared of idea if you change fiscal policy ie tax raise and public investment you make it worse. [...] italy has not grown more than 1% since joined the euro.
Mark  Blyth  Austerity  bank  bailout  UK  George  Osborne  inequality  poverty  wage  growth  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  reflate  WallStreet  Mainstreet  Economic  History  USA  European  Union  working  poor  credit  card  household  debt  car  loan  auto  property  bubble  squeezed  middle  class  Brexit  Precariat  1%  10%  20%  plutocracy  Super  Rich  book  welfare  social  security  Triple  Lock  Pension  neoliberalism  neoliberal 
october 2016 by asterisk2a
Deutschland: 19% der Kinder sind arm.
Doch mehr als 15 Prozent der deutschen Bevölkerung gilt als arm. Das sind 12,5 Millionen Menschen - darunter 900.000 Kinder. Als arm gilt, wer weniger als 60 Prozent des mittleren Nettohaushaltseinkommens zur Verfügung hat. // 19% aller kinder sind arm! - ausgeschlossen von der gesellschaft.
Germany  poverty  social  mobility  inequality  income  distribution  gini  Coefficient  education  policy  austerity  Schuldenbremse  Agenda  2010  Fiscal  Pact  Wertegesellschaft  Gesellschaft 
september 2016 by asterisk2a
How did Hitler rise to power? - Alex Gendler and Anthony Hazard - YouTube
betrayed by politicians. jews got the blame partially and the established politicians / and left wing weak by internal squabbles. / exploiting peoples fear, uncertainty, anger and calls for change from the status quo
Brexit  WW2  Adolf  Hitler  history  Donald  Trump  AfD  UKIP  Front  National  Rechtsruck  right-wing  far-right  Career  Politicians  Centrists  Centrist  UK  USA  European  Union  globalisation  globalization  France  GFC  bank  bailout  Sovereign  Debt  Crisis  Austerity  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse 
august 2016 by asterisk2a
Mark Blyth at E.Y.W.T.K.B.N.H.D.T.A. By ThePressProject - YouTube
from this point on, summer 2016, hope is that it can get only better. // it is remarkable Greece is still alive // problem is, that banks were only bailed out to a level of zombie banks. see non-performing loans. zombie banks in PIGS country and Deutsche Bank. Contagion. ... banks will languish on as long as economy languishes on; https://soundcloud.com/theeconomist/money-talks-stressed-out-banks
Mark  Blyth  Greece  PIGS  sovereign  debt  crisis  bank  bailout  GFC  Political  Class  Centrist  Centrists  Austerity  leverage  ESM  secular  stagnation  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel 
august 2016 by asterisk2a
Central Banking and Inequality – Taking Off the Blinders
"Despite studies that suggest that the post-crisis unconventional monetary policies tend to exacerbate inequalities, the standard line of central banks is that these “unintended consequences” fall outside their mandate."
BIS  central  banks  BOE  ECB  Fed  inequality  Gini  coefficient  reflate  reflation  bank  bailout  bailout  1%  20%  10%  triple-lock  pension  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  unintended  consequences  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  Pact  austerity  Schuldenbremse  secular  stagnation  squeezed  middle  class  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  income  growth  income  distribution  Precariat  GFC  recovery  Helicopter  Money 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Deutsche Bank Loves Helicopter Money: Why "Big Inflation Is Coming... But Will First Require A Crisis"
[NEED FOR CHANGE OF WIND - deflationary pressures ] Europe is another story. Germany must let their southern neighbors cheat on deficits and bank recapitalizations. “Spanish election showed if you let them cheat and growth surprises positively then extremists don’t do so well. Europe can only survive as an inflation zone. Will it be formally tolerated? Probably not. Will governments cheat anyway with ECB support?” Probably.
Deutsche  Bank  Italy  PIGS  sovereign  debt  crisis  austerity  Germany  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  ECB  MarioDraghi  BuBa  Jens  Weidmann  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  zombie  zombie  banks  Richard  Koo  Helicopter  Money  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  policy  monetary  theory  deflation  deflationary  Brexit  European  Bank  Supervision  BaFin  BOE  BOJ  Abenomics  right-wing  far  right  far-right  Front  National  AfD  UKIP  Centrist  recovery  income  distribution  income  inequality  Gini  coefficient  squeezed  middle  class  Precariat  working  poor  globalisation  globalization  Paul  Mason  crony  capitalism  capitalism  in  crisis  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  poverty  poverty  trap  social  mobility  income  mobility  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  wage  pressure  income  growth  GFC  economic  history  liquidity  trap  balance  sheet  recession  debt  overhang  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  credit  card  debt  western  world  secular  stagnation  non-performing  loan  bail-in  bailout  recapitalization  recapitalisation  UK  Japan 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
After Brexit, should the Eurozone pursue full political union?
Is full political union of the eurozone the only way to stop the disintegration of Europe after Brexit?
Brexit  European  Union  Political  Union  fiscal  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Germany  Maastricht  Treaty  austerity  Pact  fiscal  policy  Schuldenbremse  Schwarze  Null 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Geographies of Austerity: Mark Blyth
EU bank bailout (incl Britain) = 40% of EU GDP (incl Britain) = 5 trillion Euros. AUSTERITY FOR WHOM?! // secular stagnation - ZIRP, NIRP, QE, austerity, liquidity trap, aggregate demand short-fall = creditors paradise. their debt will not be inflated away. deflation - deflationary environment. for the next 2-3 decades. = NO DRIVE TO INVEST IN PRODUCTIVE ASSETS! = productivity gap. [...] rentier paradise. [...] = interest formation (those who have, call the shots, status quo). [...] deflationary spiral (PIGS & Germany) exporting deflation ... getting more competitive [EU has 2015 a current account surplus, bought my USA] = Dr Wolfgang Schaeuble. [...] Fall of Centrists, rise of the SNP & UKIP (reactionary) ... Trump. [...] as investment rate (ie SME/SMB lending) stays same, does not grow = DEAD. Eurobonds/Investment Fund(UK, 5bn 5 years). [...] min 55 - deflationary politics (policy for 1-10-20% of society) is one way train. DEATH. especially w austerity and low wages/secular stagnation.
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july 2016 by asterisk2a
Bundesbank head Jens Weidmann - Brexit is no excuse to loosen EU budget rules
Reuters report that this puts Weidmann at odds with German Economy Minister Sigmar Gabriel, who has called for Europe's "Stability and Growth Pact" to be boosted for more growth.
-
So, we've got a politician wanting to spend more.
And the head of the Buba saying "No!"

Same old :-D //&! http://news.forexlive.com/!/germany-will-stick-to-balanced-budget-report-20160701
lost  decade  Brexit  fiscal  stimulus  fiscal  policy  BuBa  Bundesbank  ECB  MarioDraghi  trichet  Angela  Merkel  austerity  budget  deficit  Germany  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Wolfgang  Schäuble  liquidity  trap  Mark  Blyth  economic  history  inflation  targeting  inflation  expectation  inflation  expectations  recovery  Jens  Weidmann  monetary  policy  global  economy  Schwarze  Null  Exportweltmeister  Beton  Gold  Betongold  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion  Richard  Koo  European  Union  zombie  bank  zombie  banks  NPL  PIGS  non-performing  loan  underinvestment 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Why Brexit Is Good For Working People In Clear, Simple Terms - YouTube
Mark Blyth // + centrists lost the plot (leaders from 95 to today in western world - tony blair, clinton, cameron, schroeder, merkel, sarkozy, hollande, gordon brown ... IMF and OECD! and the central bankers. christine lagarde) // global trumpism // trickle down never worked! // Mark Blyth: The Why of Brexit - MR LIVE - 6/28/16 - https://youtu.be/arT40qHKuHQ?t=13m //&! Bhaskar Sunkara: A Marxist Perspective on Current Crises - MR Live - 6/27/16 - https://youtu.be/DcxN5n22OiE?t=14m30s
Mark  Blyth  Brexit  neoliberal  neoliberalism  trickle-down  economics  inequality  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  Tony  Blair  David  Cameron  Angela  Merkel  Gerhard  Schroeder  Gerhard  Schröder  austerity  GFC  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  recovery  Precariat  working  poor  immigration  poverty  child  poverty  student  debt  Donald  Trump  far-right  right-wing  TPP  TTIP  CETA  free  trade  Protest  Vote  10%  1%  Super  Rich  Establishment  Toff  Privileged  No  Representation  Westminster  Whitehall  Career  Politicians  politician  George  Osborne  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  economic  history  squeezed  middle  class  PIGS  Greece  technocrat  Yanis  Varoufakis  Nigel  Farage  AfD  UKIP  Greed  profit  maximisation  profit  maximization  economic  insecurity  structural  unemployment  youth  unemployment  long-term  unemployment  Elite  elitism  England  UK  USA  European  Union  Germany  policy  monetary  policy  Centrist  IMF  OECD 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Inside Story - What's the future of the UK in the wake of Brexit? - YouTube
Felt left behind! proxy protest vote. Dog whistle racism/xenophobia. World of post-fact politics and post-fact campaigning! Still a protest vote vs the elite and establishment always promised Disneyland. Reclaiming democracy at home, from bureaucracy, unelected officials, unaccountable ones, in Brussels. Young voters; 3 in 10 voted. Scewed the result somewhat. This is a warning to mainstream parties around the western world. Politics is being hollowed out, voters go to either extremes as alternative!
Brexit  Indyref  2  England  unitedkingdom  UK  Wales  Northern  Ireland  disenfranchise  disenfranchised  immigration  inequality  Gini  coefficient  structural  unemployment  youth  unemployment  unemployment  poverty  child  poverty  fuel  poverty  populism  demagogue  demagogy  demographic  bubble  EEA  Freedom  of  Movement  Schengen  Agreement  Westminster  No  Representation  far-right  far-right  politics  austerity  right-wing  right-wing  extremism  Nigel  Farage  Conservative  Party  Labour  Party  Nationalism  Nationalismus  Altersarmut  UKIP  Identitätspolitik  identity  Ausländerfeindlichkeit  racism  Xenophobia  Xenophobic  babyboomers  Baby  Boomers  Boris  Johnson  David  Cameron  Jeremy  Corbyn  NHS  Crisis  Housing  Crisis  general  election  2015  long-term  unemployment  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Brussels  bureaucracy 
june 2016 by asterisk2a
UK GDP growth – beware the march of the spenders | Business | The Guardian
the breakdown was deeply troubling. What it showed was an economy unhealthily reliant on consumer spending. Real household spending was up 0.7% on the quarter and added 0.5 percentage points to the growth rate. In other words, the other components of growth – investment, trade and government spending – contributed -0.1 points to growth during the first three months of the year. [...] drop in business investment, which was down both over the quarter and over the year. //&! bit.ly/1RjxDnh - Making things matters. This is what Britain forgot. Ha-Joon Chang. The neglect of manufacturing and over-development of the financial sector is the cause of the economy’s decline, not fear of leaving the EU
UK  2016  recovery  Manufacturing  George  Osborne  industrial  policy  David  Cameron  austerity  Brexit  secular  stagnation  USA  world  economy  underinvestment  Smart  Grid  competitiveness  competitive  advantage  competitive  China  Steel  Crisis  Steel  Industry  BRIC  European  Union  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  ZIRP  NIRP  distortion  policy  monetary  policy  Mark  Carney  short-termism  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  Career  Politicians  general  election  2015  general  election  2020  Conservative  Party  neoliberalism  neoliberal  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Panama  Papers  HMRC  income  tax  receipts  employment  self-employment  Precariat  minimum  wage  wage  growth  productivity  output  gap  savings  rate  housing  bubble  property  bubble  business  confidence 
may 2016 by asterisk2a
Stocks are up. But it appears to us that the U.S. economy is going down. Go figure.
velocity is at 57yr low - WOW! the money that is in circulation is in less hands! the econ expanded according to GDP, but less and less $ reach on avg each hand. - "This is serious. The velocity of money tracks how often each dollar is used to buy something in the economy. Falling velocity shows that consumers and business are pulling back… becoming more reluctant to spend and invest… downsizing… and holding onto dollars rather than spending them. This has a similar effect as reducing the supply of money bidding for goods and services. Prices drop. Deflation, in other words. The bubble has developed a leak. The hot air is gushing out." //&! bit.ly/1MOxc9A //&! research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/M2V &! pieria.co.uk/articles/getting_things_wrong_federal_reserve_style - it is associated with stagnant NGDP [...] demand problem.
monetary  velocity  liquidity  trap  Richard  Koo  nominal  GDP  targeting  GDP  measurement  GDP  recovery  reflate  reflation  economic  history  money  supply  Fed  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Gini  coefficient  inequality  economic  harm  economic  damage  GFC  crony  capitalism  shareholder  capitalism  Greed  profit  maximisation  profit  maximization  squeezed  middle  class  Elizabeth  Warren  Joseph  Stiglitz  Paul  Krugman  Robert  Reich  Thomas  Piketty  2016  UK  USA  secular  stagnation  Pact  fiscal  stimulus  austerity  Schuldenbremse  social  mobility  income  mobility  working  poor  Precariat  low  pay  low  income  Service  Sector  Jobs  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  self-employment  inflation  targeting  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomic  policy  Super  Rich  1%  plutocracy  oligarchy  capitalism  capitalism  in  crisis  self-regulation  book  shareholder  value  Wall  Street  meritocracy  meritocratic  post-racial  America  barackobama  Larry  Summers  Bernie  Sanders  Establishment  Privileged  deregulation  bank  bailout  social  safety  net  welfare  state  aggregate  demand 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Chris Grayling dimisses concerns over economic impact of a Brexit
Yvette Cooper: Brexit won't prevent EU free movement to the UK - LIKE NORWAY CASE! - youtu.be/qa--kXGNhiE //&! IMF downgrade UK over Brexit fears - youtu.be/gfmVP3_TXNk - calling for fiscal stimulus!
Brexit  Chris  Grayling  Yvette  Cooper  liquidity  trap  secular  stagnation  fiscal  stimulus  IMF  OECD  austerity  2016  global  economy  China  credit  bubble  monetary  stimulus  aggregate  demand  aggregate  demand  short-fall  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  British  Pound  Sterling  Pact  Schuldenbremse  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  economic  history  recovery  sovereign  debt  crisis  PIGS  ChristineLagarde  George  Osborne  monetary  policy  Mark  Carney  BOE  ECB  MarioDraghi 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Revolutionary politics in the UK
// yanis is liberal marxist // &! Will John McDonnell's fiscal rules work for Labour? Paul Mason Vs John Rentoul - youtu.be/0EISho5eSUc - OBR econometrics dictated by Treasury, George Osborne w wonky multipliers that don't fit w IMF models. IMF calls for fiscal stimulus! since late 2015 because China's credit bubble popped and global economy started to head south.
Yanis  Varoufakis  Paul  Mason  Labour  Party  Jeremy  Corbyn  Bernie  Sanders  Marxism  democracy  No  Representation  Super  Rich  1%  oligarchy  plutocracy  tax  evasion  tax  amnesty  tax  avoidance  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  fairness  Social  Justice  economic  bank  bailout  GFC  austerity  Generationengerechtigkeit  revolving  door  lobby  Greed  crony  capitalism  shareholder  capitalism  profit  maximisation  profit  maximization  shareholder  value  Wall  Street  Main  Street  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  Precariat  poverty  trap  economic  history  UK  globalisation  globalization  global  economy  self-regulation  deregulation  regulation  regulators  secular  stagnation  trickle-down  economics  free  market  exploitation  liberal  economic  reform  self-employment  job  security  job  insecurity  Zero  Hour  Contract  antitrust  winner  take  all  gini  coefficient  inequality  deprivation  poverty  John  McDonnell  austerity  aggregate  demand  Richard  Koo  Joseph  Stiglitz  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  economic  history  neoliberal  neoliberalism  OBR  Chicago  School  neoclassical  economics  infrastructure  investment  liquidity  trap 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
A!104 – Panama Freaks
58:26 - spin doctor and positioning, PR. // es ist ja bekannt das intendanten des fernsehen mal einen anruf bekommen und es richtig stellen sollen, so wie inter BPK: illegal eingewanderte fluechtlinge. was ein oxymoron. ein fluechtling zu sein ist keine illegale sache! // + 10.000 kids missing! // 1:45:54 - Panama Papers. Journalists have for years papers. And don't use them to shine light on the organised system in the western world of tax evasion/avoidance! Wie fatal.
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april 2016 by asterisk2a
IMF urges more spending to boost growth
Fund’s steering committee calls for more forceful stimulus and warns monetary policy alone is not enough //&! http://www.theguardian.com/business/imf //&! bit.ly/1V9pfhD - IMF chief: regulators long 'alarmed' over Panama's handling of taxation. Christine Lagarde responds to Panama Papers revelations, noting that authorities were concerned but did not take ‘expected’ action.
secular  stagnation  Panama  Papers  tax  evasion  tax  amnesty  tax  avoidance  corporate  tax  rate  labour  market  job  market  Service  Sector  Jobs  income  tax  receipts  budget2016  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  general  election  2015  general  election  2020  election  campaign  promises  Party  Funding  Richard  Koo  Confidence  Fairy  austerity  underinvestment  Generationengerechtigkeit  triple-lock  pension  fairness  Generation  Rent  Housing  Crisis  property  bubble  USA  UK  reflation  reflate  fiscal  policy  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  GFC  sovereign  debt  banking  bank  bailout  job  creation  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  IMF  OECD  credit  bubble  China  BRIC  recovery  Germany  economic  history  2016  Niall  Ferguson  budget  deficit  offshore  banking  investment  banking  TBTF  self-regulation  Greed  crony  capitalism  shareholder  capitalism  globalisation  globalization  global  economy  Oil  price  commodity  prices  ChristineLagarde  inequality  Gini  coefficient  income  mobility  social  mobility  low  pay  low  income  tax  credit  child  poverty  food  poverty  health  care  cost  health  care  demand  western  world  European  Union  Brussels  Brexit  Grexit  sick  population  health  economic  Union  Union  investment  policy  fiscal  me 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
What Happens Next (In Europe)?
the odds of another crisis are higher than a rally to fresh records. [...]
“The 2009-2015 rally originated from two main drivers: a massive stimulus, and credit expansion in China,” said Goette, who’s a partner at his firm in Zug, Switzerland and helps oversee 1 billion Swiss francs ($1 billion).

“European earnings have not followed suit so far. Skepticism regarding central-bank operations has started to emerge.”
ECB  Brussels  recovery  reflate  reflation  China  credit  bubble  Germany  PIGS  zombie  banks  European  Bank  Supervision  European  Economic  Area  European  Election  2014  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  MarioDraghi  OMT  LTRO  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  sovereign  debt  crisis  France  Brexit  Grexit  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  history  underinvestment  Richard  Koo  Yanis  Varoufakis  liquidity  trap  zombie  corporations  youth  unemployment  demographic  bubble  OAP  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  liberal  reform  Precariat  precarious  employment  low  pay  low  income  Minijob  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  1  Euro  Job  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  unemployment  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  union  union  Rechtsruck  Bundesbank  fault  lines  shareholder  capitalism  bailout  GFC  2016  PBOC  Exportweltmeister  zombie  Financial  Stability  Board  crony  capitalism  Deutsche  Bank  infrastructure  investment  competitiveness  Beton  Gold  Betongold  asset  allocation  Super  Rich  1%  oligarchy  plutocracy  democracy  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  profit  maximization  Russia  Crimea  Ukraine  U 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
50 Jahre nach dem Beginn der Einwanderung bekommt Deutschland jetzt ein #Integrationsgesetz.
Einzelheiten wurden zunächst nicht bekannt. Innenminister de Maizière hatte kürzlich einen Vorschlag vorgelegt, nachdem Flüchtlinge, die Integrationskurse verweigern und Arbeitsangebote ausschlagen, mit Sanktionen belegt werden können. In einem Integrationsgesetz dürfte es auch um Wohnsitzauflagen für Flüchtlinge gehen.
Integrationspolitik  Sozialpolitik  Germany  Deutschland  refugee  crisis  Turkish  immigration  migration  Banlieue  Angela  Merkel  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  ALG2  hartz-iv  Sozialkassen  Sozialstaat  Sozialtourismus  Sozialmissbrauch  Aufstocker  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  Agenda  2010 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Yanis Varoufakis: »MONEY AND POWER«, Public Lecture 2015-11-04
3rd bailout loan $0 went to Greece. All to pay off banks. extend & pretend. 1st: ~90% went to the banks. [...] ESM does not exist [...] banking union plan not progressing at all. //&! Yanis Varoufakis @Oxford Union - youtu.be/zWB6lY2GBjQ - ACADEMIA LACKS ANTI-ESTABLISHMENT ATTITUDE! Because going against the grain has become anti-reputation. [...] it's all about expectations, predictions about where S&P500 will be in 12 months. [...] regression between theory and reality. economists have never been humble. [ see Wall Street cottage factory of analysis and prediction shops ] [...] if you torture the data and model enough it will confess. [< EU monetary union based on theory ] [...] [34:00] Brussels is technically incompetent and will not reform itself. I am a libertarian marxist. Schumpeter. true creative destruction. great wealth currently created - all going to 1%. = not humanitarian. not democratic. [...] 41:00 Q&A, <48:50> gov budget not same as household budget; George Osborne.
bank  crisis  banking  crisis  European  Election  2014  sovereign  debt  crisis  austerity  Grexit  Yanis  Varoufakis  Tsipras  Syriza  Brussels  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  GFC  Great  Depression  credit  crisis  credit  creation  Super  Cycle  debt  overhang  liquidity  trap  ECB  Troika  MarioDraghi  economic  history  Richard  Koo  leverage  recovery  deflation  deflationary  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Germany  underinvestment  Super  Rich  reflate  reflation  Generationengerechtigkeit  1%  oligarchy  plutocracy  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  balance  sheet  recession  Euro  Gold  Standard  ESM  IMF  OECD  banking  union  EEA  Economics  Academia  Academics  Economists  Scholars  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  income  distribution  inequality  Gini  coefficient  Gesellschaft  society  Yanis  Varoufakis  financial  crisis  economic  model  econometrics  social  theory  monetary  union  Chicago  School  poverty  economic  history  austerity  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  UK  nasty  party  Richard  Koo  macroeconomics  macroeconomic  policy  macroprudential  policy  aggregate  demand  Capital  Expenditure  income  tax  receipts  deflation  deflationary  Universal  Basic  class  warfare 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Piketty: EU should welcome one million immigrants a year
"The European Union has the capacity to absorb a large flow of migrants, one million per year in terms of inflow net of outflow," he said.
"This is exactly what we had between 2000 and 2010 and this was working in the sense that unemployment was being reduced.
"The problem is - with the austerity policies and with the recession - now we are in a situation where it's very difficult in particular with southern Europe, with the terrible economic situation that we have created there in particular." [...] The population of the EU has only risen by 0.2% a year since 1995, he argues, compared to 1.2% for the world's population over the same period.
According to Eurostat, the official statistical arm of the European Commission, a total of 3.4 million people came to the EU during 2013. Some 2.8 million left, leaving a net immigration figure of around 600,000. [S]low growth [...] exacerbated not just by a lack of immigration but also by austerity policies aimed at reducing public expenditure. [EU in recession 2011 forward]
immigration  migration  refugee  crisis  Integrationspolitik  Sozialpolitik  youth  unemployment  austerity  GFC  secular  stagnation  Richard  Koo  ageing  population  demographic  bubble  social  safety  net  pension  obligation  economic  history  welfare  state  Gini  coefficient  Super  Rich  inequality  social  mobility  income  mobility  plutocracy  oligarchy  Precariat  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  hartz-iv  Aufstocker  neoliberal  neoliberalism  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  ALG2  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  Minijob  part-time  employment  Contractor  self-employment  Zero  Hour  Contract  underinvestment  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  Robert  Skidelsky  bank  bailout  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  Leadership  Wall  Street  shareholder  capitalism  crony  capitalism  lobby  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  democracy  European  Union  UK  Elizabeth  Warren  Paul  Krugman  Robert  Reich  Joseph  Stiglitz  carbon  tax  policy  folly  policy  error  right-wing  far-right  Rechtsruck  recovery  nominal  GDP  targeting  inflation  targeting  finite  resources  resource  depletion  GNP  GDP  GDP  measurement  profit  maximisation  profit  shareholder  policy  income  inequality  income 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
The Week Ahead: the return of the nasty party and a good week for Brexit
David Cameron and George Osborne wanted to cut even more! //&! Nicky Morgan's embarrassing interview over Tory cuts to disabled welfare - youtu.be/hjk06tjx_xQ //&! Jeremy Corbyn - youtu.be/Ain-IP4pHCk //&! IFS: cutting disability benefits to fund tax cuts is a political choice - youtu.be/xVBf9dSa9Mw //&! MANIFESTO Election Campaign Promises - Tories hoist by their own petard over disability cuts - youtu.be/N8VijFKLQek //&! also closed Independent Living Fund - youtu.be/nurjzK5VPAI //& "The electorate don't mind. Those who vote aren't affected." *George Osborne - youtu.be/N8VijFKLQek - WCA to bring down bill by kicking people off was a pipedream & Universal Credit is a real cut in benefits. //&! Nicky Morgan's nightmare defending Osborne's nasty budget - youtu.be/Y9YNcQF4t8I - 12bn cuts were promised in Manifesto 2015. 4.4 tried through PIP. youtu.be/5-3Bp7qzj4Y (pre-election) //& cutting corporation tax (& capital gains tax) - youtu.be/gZ6qNHLnbs0 &! Analysis - youtu.be/v-qmvI9s3pE
Iain  Duncan  Smith  Brexit  Tories  Conservative  Party  DWP  austerity  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Toff  dogma  ideology  Establishment  general  election  2020  economic  history  recovery  tax  credit  ILA  PIP  Universal  Budget2016  Westminster  Whitehall  ESA  tax  cut  welfare  reform  welfare  state  social  safety  net  Disabled  vulnerable  JSA  sanctions  PR  spin  doctor  Positioning  manufactured  consent  bank  bailout  budget  deficit  corporate  tax  rate  capital  gains  tax  Boris  Johnson  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  inequality  child  poverty  fuel  poverty  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  poverty  trap  education  policy  Academy  Nicky  Morgan  Michael  Gove  Ofsted  nasty  inheritance  tax  Manifesto  general  election  2015  IFS  OBR  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  triple-lock  pension  babyboomers  NHS  constituency  Party  Funding  property  bubble  constituency  babyboomers  pension  obligation  WCA  Foodbank 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Budget 2016: Four key numbers - BBC Newsnight
weaker outlook for income tax receipts & economy/global economy >> OBR has done 'no projections' on impact of Brexit: Robert Chote - BBC Newsnight - youtu.be/A0jvIUKTU1U //&! Budget 2016: Evan Davis grills Sajid Javid on the numbers - BBC Newsnight - youtu.be/L0TBTbfNgCw - "WE HAD THE BIGGEST BANK BAILOUT" //&! NICKY MORGAN ON TORY WELFARE ROW - BBC Newsnight - youtu.be/IC_Yhggk62o
Budget2016  OBR  secular  stagnation  income  tax  receipts  productivity  gap  recovery  economic  history  Richard  Koo  Brexit  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  general  election  2020  austerity  underinvestment  business  confidence  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  low  pay  low  income  working  poor  tax  credit  Zero  Hour  Contract  wage  stagnation  squeezed  middle  class  self-employment  part-time  Contractor  Zero  Hour  Contract  recovery  economic  history  UK  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  pension  obligation  triple-lock  pension  bank  bailout  trickle-down  economics  dogma  ideology  Richard  Koo  Privatisation  free  market  demographic  bubble  poverty  child  poverty  food  poverty  ESA  Disabled  vulnerable  DLA  PIP  DWP  Iain  Duncan  Smith  sanctions  JSA  social  housing  affordable  housing  Crisis  property  bubble  welfare  state  welfare  reform  Universal  housing  benefit  social  safety  net 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Budget 2016: Evan Davis grills Sajid Javid on the numbers - BBC Newsnight
turning a banking crisis into a budget deficit blowout and blaming it on poor working age people with some benefits to their name. //&! What will it be the Budget be remembered for? DEBATE - BBC Newsnight - youtu.be/iOrhLL-Pe3E - productivity is about increasing public and private investment, and private investment has been falling year after year. tax cuts ie corporate tax rate, do not increase private investment. and household debt/consumer debt/credit car/car loan/student debt is rising and rising, taking up the slack that Osborne is cutting from the budget.
budget2016  budget2010  bank  bailout  austerity  budget  deficit  economic  history  Richard  Koo  UK  GFC  George  Osborne  Sajid  Javid  dogma  ideology  income  tax  receipts  corporate  tax  rate  HMRC  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  DWP  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  triple-lock  pension  pension  obligation  babyboomers  recovery  aggregate  demand  shareholder  capitalism  secular  stagnation  neoliberal  neoliberalism  trickle-down  economics  free  market  Positioning  PR  spin  doctor  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  budget2015  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Brexit 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Pensions stance creates budgetary mayhem
Disability benefits: they are forecast to increase by £2bn over the next five years. Could do something there. Sickness benefits: they are predicted to rise by about £1bn. Might be able to save some of that. But what's this? It's rising by £15bn over the coming five years. That's the one. Off our Martian goes to see the chancellor. "What are pensions?" she asks. That is the problem the government is struggling with. Its political refusal to touch pensions, or pensioner benefits, has in a stroke protected the single biggest cost in the welfare budget. And the cost that is rising the most. [ AND ADD INTO THE SAME BUCKET THE NHS and PUBLIC HEALTH BUDGET! ] Welcome to your new job, Stephen Crabb.
DWP  Iain  Duncan  Smith  pension  obligation  Tories  Conservative  Party  Party  Funding  constituency  austerity  budget2016  budget2015  babyboomers  PIP  DLA  ESA  general  election  2015  general  election  2020  election  campaign  promises  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Stephen  Crabb  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  aggregate  demand  secular  stagnation  OAP  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  NHS  public  health  health  care  budget  health  care  cost  health  care  spending  sick  population  health  crisis  Universal  Credit  Richard  Koo  Schuldenbremse  dogma  ideology  Fiscal  Pact  European  Union  trickle-down  economics  free  market  neoliberal  neoliberalism  policy  folly  policy  error  welfare  reform  welfare  state  social  safety  net 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Bank of England blames falling pound on Brexit fears
The BoE said disappointing business investment and the weaker outlook for global trade would offset the impact of a cheaper pound and keep inflation in check in the short term before a rise to its 2% target within the next two years.

The Bank’s nine-strong monetary policy committee (MPC) also unanimously voted to keep its quantitative easing asset purchase scheme on hold at £375bn in response to a mixed bag of indicators that it said would keep GDP growth on an upward, though subdued path. [...] [ BREXIT EFFECT, sterling down] It may also delay some spending decisions and depress growth in aggregate demand in the near term. Overall, however, the committee judges that the outlook for domestic activity to be little changed from the time of the February inflation report,” the MPC said. [...] [ CARNEY ALSO SUPPORTS FISCAL STIMULUS! ]
ZIRP  NIRP  QE  BOE  Mark  Carney  budget2016  UK  wage  growth  nominal  GDP  targeting  inflation  targeting  austerity  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  George  Osborne  recovery  secular  stagnation  underinvestment  business  confidence  business  cycle  liquidity  trap  Richard  Koo  zombie  consumer  zombie  banks  Brexit  aggregate  demand  economic  history  fiscal  stimulus  Pact  Schuldenbremse 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Tax rise risk from George Osborne's 'inflexible' budget target - BBC News
[ sounds great as headline, but economically and historically bullshit ] The Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) said that Mr Osborne's pledge to run a budget surplus "in normal times" from 2019-20 was simple but would require a "precarious balancing act".
The result could be "big tax rises or spending cuts with very little notice", the IFS concluded. [...] "The rule has the merit of simplicity and transparency but is very inflexible and this could come at a cost," the IFS said. [...] "How he responds to any further unpleasant fiscal surprises may, more than anything we have seen so far, come to define his period as chancellor," said Paul Johnson, director of the IFS.
Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  austerity  budget2016  policy  error  policy  folly  aggregate  demand  Richard  Koo  IFS  George  Osborne  Career  Politicians 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Video: Willkommen in der Wirklichkeit - Reportage & Dokumentation - ARD | Das Erste
50/50 - fear/hoffnung. Fear: Verschuldung der Haushalte. Unkontrolliert. // Gerwerkschaft der Lehrer will 24.000 mehr Lehrer um dem Bedarf zurecht zukommen. Fluechtlingskinder, kinder von migranten, kinder von immigranten - 1ster und 2ter Generation. Kostet 1.3milliarden euro mehr fuer Bildung. Sind noch nicht mal drin die deutsch lehrer fuer adult refugees. Und die Integrationspolitik personal doch Haushalte zu besuchen; deutsch zuhause zu sprechen. // Schuldenbremse und Fiscal Pact do stop that. // Und 350.000 neuwohnungen muessen gebaut werden jaehrlich. die meisten in ballungsgebieten. Um refugees aus Notunterkuenften (dezentral, keine soziale integrierung) raus zu bekommen. // 'Erwartungen muessen heruntergeschraubt werden. Auf beiden seiten.'
refugee  crisis  Angela  Merkel  Germany  austerity  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  hartz-iv  ALG2  Aufstocker  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  Minijob  minimum  wage  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Agenda  2010  squeezed  middle  class  hartz-iv  working  poor  minimum  wage  ALG2  Aufstocker  Minijob  Leiharbeit  Zeitarbeit  poverty  public  sentiment  Integrationspolitik  Sozialpolitik 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Kommunalwahl in Hessen: Nichtwähler machen AfD stark - SPIEGEL ONLINE
[ symptom ] // Die Rechten sind auf dem Vormarsch. Ihr Erfolg ist auch eine Antwort der Gesellschaft auf eine Krankheit des Kapitalismus, die von den etablierten Parteien ignoriert wird. Und die hat mit den Flüchtlingen nichts zu tun. - bit.ly/1QBo7Ad //&! Banned TED Talk: Nick Hanauer "Rich people don't create jobs" - youtu.be/CKCvf8E7V1g - nobody can afford to buy new stuff. circle of life. customers and businesses. consumer needs to have disposable income //&! Nick Hanauer: Beware, fellow plutocrats, the pitchforks are coming - youtu.be/q2gO4DKVpa8
AfD  No  Representation  democracy  plutocracy  oligarchy  Super  Rich  1%  fairness  Rechtsruck  Rechtsextremismus  UKIP  Europe  Germany  UK  populism  Polarisation  fearmongering  Fear  voter  turnout  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  Sozialpolitik  Integrationspolitik  refugee  crisis  Agenda  2010  squeezed  middle  class  hartz-iv  working  poor  minimum  wage  ALG2  Aufstocker  Minijob  Leiharbeit  Zeitarbeit  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  revolving  door  NPD  Angela  Merkel  Gini  coefficient  Altersarmut  poverty  poverty  in  old  age  social  mobility  income  mobility  kalte  Progression  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  Wolfgang  Schäuble  GFC  recovery  job  security  insecurity  symptom  crony  capitalism  capitalism  exploitation  wage  stagnation  far-right  right-wing  trickle-down  economics  free  market  neoliberalism  neoliberal  neoconservatism  neoconservatives 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Ex-MPC member says rates will stay low until 2021 - BBC News
Blanchflower: Global economy "feels a little bit like 2008" Interest rates will likely fall further in Britain and remain at near record low levels until 2021, [...] Blanchflower described the backdrop to the committee's decision in March 2009 to cut rates to 0.5% as catastrophic. He said the MPC at the time had wished to avoid a death spiral. Britain was plunged into its deepest-ever recession in 2008 as confidence in banks collapsed and investment dried up. "We cut rates in November 2008 by 150 basis points (1.5%). It was clear that we should have cut by more but didn't because of the panic that it might have caused," he said. "It was absolutely clear that this (the financial crisis) was something we had not seen in a generation. We learned that the scale of the shock was enormous." [...] mortgage rates are 31% lower than before the crisis, while savers may have lost £106bn due to record low rates. //&! bbc.in/1YeqV87 &! bbc.in/1LGOxAf - central banks understated deflation pressure!
ZIRP  NIRP  QE  BOE  UK  global  economy  recovery  aggregate  demand  property  bubble  underinvestment  austerity  George  Osborne  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  mortgage  market  macroprudential  policy  Mark  Carney  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Help  to  Save  Right  to  Buy  Buy-to-Let  subprime  car  loan  credit  card  debt  zombie  consumer  zombie  corporations  zombie  banks  Richard  Koo  liquidity  trap  secular  stagnation  economic  history  GFC  household  debt  private  debt  consumer  debt  David  Blanchflower  Danny  Blanchflower  financial  repression  hunt  for  yield  asset  allocation  distortion  Super  Cycle  junk  bond  Gini  coefficient  deflationary  deflation  Taper  QT  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  Pact  Schuldenbremse  BIS  ECB  Fed  BOJ  credit  bubble  PBOC  hot-money 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
German Banks Told To Start Hoarding Cash | Zero Hedge
In order to generate artificial economic growth, the ECB wants banks to make as many loans as possible, no matter how stupid or idiotic. They believe that economic growth is simply a function of loans. The more money that’s loaned out, the more the economy will grow. This is the sort of theory that works really well in an economic textbook. But it doesn’t work so well in a history textbook. Cheap money encourages risky behavior. It gives banks an incentive to give ‘no money down’ loans to homeless people with no employment history. It creates bubbles (like the housing bubble from 10 years ago), and ultimately, financial panics (like the banking crisis from 8 years ago). Banks are supposed to be conservative, responsible managers of other people’s money. When central bank policies penalize that practice, bad things tend to happen.
Richard  Koo  aggregate  demand  austerity  fiscal  policy  Pact  Schuldenbremse  economic  history  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion  financial  repression  hunt  for  yield  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  Venture  Capital  Mutual  Fund  Private  Equity  reflate  reflation  recovery  GFC  debtoverhang  liquidity  trap  zombie  banks  deleveraging  Debt  Super  Cycle  secular  stagnation  consumer  wage  stagnation  squeezed  middle  class  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  marginal  propensity  to  consume  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  oligarchy  plutocracy  Super  Rich  1%  household  car  loan  credit  card  student  loan  student  loan  student  Bubble  generation  rent  OMT  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  working  poor  precarious  work  Precariat  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  Leiharbeit  Zeitarbeit  Agenda  2010  low  pay  low  income  TLTRO  LTRO  monetary  transmission  mechanism  velocity  of  money 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
David Graeber on a Fair Future Economy - YouTube
13:30 - BOE paper, austerity claims are bogus. the confidence fairy et al //&! The truth is out: money is just an IOU, and the banks are rolling in it David Graeber. The Bank of England's dose of honesty throws the theoretical basis for austerity out the window - bit.ly/1fWKC0s - What this means is that the real limit on the amount of money in circulation is not how much the central bank is willing to lend, but how much government, firms, and ordinary citizens, are willing to borrow. Government spending is the main driver in all this (and the paper does admit, if you read it carefully, that the central bank does fund the government after all). So there's no question of public spending "crowding out" private investment. It's exactly the opposite.
austerity  BOE  David  Graeber  George  Osborne  economic  history  Schuldenbremse  IMF  OECD  G20  recovery  aggregate  demand  IOU  Mark  Carney  underinvestment  productivity  output  gap  job  creation  monetary  theory  monetary  policy  monetary  system  Fiscal  Pact  Wolfgang  Schäuble  NIRP  ZIRP  QE  policy  book  Richard  Koo  secular  stagnation 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
'Do not come to Europe', Donald Tusk warns economic migrants | World news | The Guardian
'Do not come to Europe', Donald Tusk warns economic migrants. After meeting with Greek PM in Athens, president of European council issues warning to would-be migrants [...] Last year the EU and Turkey signed a deal in which Europe offered to spend €3bn on helping some of the 2.5 million refugees in Turkey in exchange for help in reducing numbers travelling to Europe and reviving Turkey’s long-stalled EU membership talks. But Europe has expressed impatience with the continued high number of people making the perilous crossing over the Aegean Sea. Turkey has been unimpressed with the many weeks it took Europe to find the money, which has yet to translate into projects on the ground. [...] EU authorities in Brussels echo Greece’s calls for a European-wide approach, but have proved powerless to stop unilateral decisions by member states. Since September 2015, eight countries in Europe’s passport-free Schengen zone have reintroduced border controls.
refugee  crisis  economic  refugee  European  Union  Turkey  Erdogan  Brussels  Leadership  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  austerity  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Sozialpolitik  Integrationspolitik  Greece  Germany  Schengen  Agreement 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Central bankers on the defensive as weird policy becomes even weirder | Business | The Guardian
Growth is tepid, productivity is poor, and inflation is too low: all is not going according to policymakers’ masterplans [...] As far as the OECD is concerned, monetary policy is being forced to take too much of the strain. Its chief economist Catherine Mann made the point that lasting recovery required three things: stimulative monetary policy; activist fiscal policy; and structural reform. The OECD wants the second of these ingredients to be added to the recipe in the form of increased spending on public infrastructure, something it says would more than pay for itself at a time when governments can borrow so cheaply.
monetary  policy  G20  fiscal  policy  monetary  stimulus  monetary  system  monetary  transmission  mechanism  liquidity  trap  UK  western  world  USA  Japan  Abenomics  George  Osborne  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Pact  Schuldenbremse  economic  history  recovery  secular  stagnation  productivity  underinvestment  MarioDraghi  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  ECB  BOE  Fed  Taper  deflationary  deflation  nominal  GDP  targeting  inflation  targeting  zombie  banks  MervynKing  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  Richard  Koo  Gini  coefficient  inequality  squeezed  middle  class  wage  stagnation  discretionary  spending  distortion  property  bubble  disposable  income  productive  investment  austerity  business  confidence  foreign  direct  investment  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  student  loan  debt  student  loan  policy  folly  policy  error  short-termism  Career  Politicians  neoliberalism  neoliberal  trickle-down  economics  self-regulation  City  of  London  investment  banking  retail  banking  OECD  IMF  KennethRogoff  hot-money  hunt  for  yield  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  reflate  reflation  financial  repression  New  Normal  trust 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Konjunktur: Welthandel erlebt schwächstes Jahr seit Krise - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Die schwächelnde Nachfrage aus den Schwellenländern hat 2015 zum schlimmsten Jahr für den Welthandel seit dem Ende der Finanzkrise werden lassen. Die Nachricht schürt wachsende Besorgnis über die Entwicklung der Weltwirtschaft.
China  credit  bubble  2015  2016  global  economy  global  trade  western  world  secular  stagnation  economic  history  BRIC  emerging  middle  class  squeezed  middle  class  wage  stagnation  aggregate  demand  recovery  Richard  Koo  austerity  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  UK  USA  Europe  Japan  Abenomics 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Energy price slump sends eurozone into deflation - BBC News
Energy drove the decline, with prices down 8% in February compared to a 5.4% slide in January. The dismal figures have dashed hopes that ECB efforts to boost prices were working. That raises the chance of the bank announcing further stimulus measures next month. It has already announced a cut to its bank deposit rate, which remains in negative territory. ECB chief Mario Draghi insisted earlier this month the policies were working. [...] The Group of 20 (G20) finance ministers and central bankers agreed on Saturday to use "all policy tools, monetary, fiscal and structural - individually and collectively" to renew growth. //&! Eurozone economy grows 1.5% in 2015 - 12 February 2016 &! Eurozone growth forecast cut to 1.7% - 4 February 2016
Europe  European  Union  deflationary  deflation  Fiscal  Pact  zombie  banks  liquidity  trap  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  ECB  MarioDraghi  monetary  policy  Richard  Koo  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  monetary  transmission  mechanism  Schuldenbremse  austerity  2016  economic  history  recovery  secular  stagnation  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  babyboomers  Germany  policy  OMT  TLTRO  LTRO  George  Osborne  G20  UK  sovereign  debt  crisis  PIGS  Japan  Abenomics  BOJ  BOE  Mark  Carney 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Mervyn King: new financial crisis is 'certain' without reform of banks | Business | The Guardian
The former Bank of England governor says in his new book that imbalances in the global economy makes a crash inevitable [...] GFC was the fault of the financial system, not individual greedy bankers, in his new book, The End Of Alchemy: Money, Banking And The Future Of The Global Economy [...] “Without reform of the financial system, another crisis is certain, and the failure ... to tackle the disequilibrium in the world economy makes it likely that it will come sooner rather than later,” Lord King wrote. [...] global central banks were caught in a “prisoner’s dilemma” - unable to raise interest rates for fear of stifling the economic recovery, the newspaper reported. [... blame] broken financial system. [...] failure of a system, and the ideas that underpinned it, [...] “Only a fundamental rethink of how we, as a society, organise our system of money and banking will prevent a repetition //&! dailym.ai/21tPG5y
bank  crisis  banking  crisis  investment  banking  self-regulation  retail  banking  Greed  financial  product  regulation  regulators  City  of  London  George  Osborne  Mark  Carney  macroprudential  policy  property  bubble  austerity  liquidity  trap  secular  stagnation  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  economic  history  GFC  neoliberalism  neoliberal  trickle-down  economics  free  market  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  faultlines  hot-money  hunt  for  yield  distortion  financial  repression  emerging  middle  class  emerging  market  Frontier  Markets  BRIC  China  Brazil  credit  bubble  2016  reflate  reflation  junk  bond  revolving  debt  household  debt  mortgage  market  consumer  debt  UK  IMF  OECD  credit  card  debt  car  loan  BOE  MervynKing  ECB  Fed  Europe  deflationary  deflation  Gini  coefficient  inequality  MarioDraghi  Taper  QT  bonuses  bonus  global  imbalances  structural  imbalance  Career  Politicians  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  revolving  door  New  Normal  speculative  bubbles  Richard  Koo  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Weltwirtschaft: Ökonomen halten Ende des Wachstums für unvermeidlich - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Weltwirtschaft: Ökonomen halten Ende des Wachstums für unvermeidlich [...] Ein Beispiel: Wenn das Bruttosozialprodukt eines Landes 10 Milliarden Euro beträgt und um eine Milliarde Euro wächst, dann entspricht das einer Steigerung von zehn Prozent. Wenn das BIP aber 1000 Milliarden Euro beträgt, dann müsste die Wirtschaft schon um 100 Milliarden Euro wachsen, um ein Wachstum von zehn Prozent zu schaffen. Wächst das BIP wie vorher um eine Milliarde Euro, entspricht das nur noch einer Steigerung von 0,1 Prozent. Die Wirtschaft wäre dann sozusagen ausgewachsen. Die alten Zeiten kehren nicht mehr zurück [...] Sollten die Ökonomen recht haben, hätte das für Staat und Sozialsysteme einschneidende Folgen: Die Planung von Bundeshaushalt oder Rentenkasse geht von einem Wachstum irgendwo zwischen ein und zwei Prozent pro Jahr aus. [...] Die Wirtschaft "unabhängiger vom Wachstum gestalten"
G20  George  Osborne  UK  austerity  Europe  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  Germany  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  secular  stagnation  Richard  Koo  aggregate  demand  budget  deficit  economic  history  finite  resources  resource  depletion  economic  growth  global  economy  policy  monetary  policy  policy  error  policy  folly  Japan  Abenomics  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  AI  artificial  intelligence  Robotics  self-driving  cars  autonomous  car  structural  unemployment  unemployment  long-term  unemployment  youth  unemployment  productivity  output  gap  squeezed  middle  class  Precariat  working  poor  low  pay  low  income  precarious  work  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  underinvestment  marginal  cost  competitiveness  energy  policy  energy  price  flat  world  borderless  globalization  globalisation  economics  of  abundance  post-capitalism  Larry  Summers  Gini  coefficient  inequality  Super  Rich  1%  plutocracy  oligarchy  democracy  social  democracy  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  trickle-down  economics  dogma  ideology  free  market  self-regulation  neoliberalism  neoliberal  education  policy  income  inequality  GDP  nominal  GDP  targeting  inflation  targeting  liquidity  trap  credit  bubble  distortion  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  USA 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
George Osborne warns of further spending cuts in Budget - BBC News
[ LOL! ] But recent figures showing the UK economy was smaller than expected meant savings must be found in his Budget statement on 17 March, he said. [...] Mr Osborne said he would rather look for extra cuts now than risk breaking his own manifesto commitment to achieve a surplus in the budget by the end of this Parliament. The chancellor did not completely rule out raising taxes in the event of a further slowdown in growth, but said that now was not the time for "significant" tax hikes. [...] I'm absolutely clear we've got to root our country in the principle that we live within our means and that we have economic security." [...] "whole purpose of our economic plan was to have a budget surplus. [...] we got big challenges at home to make the economy more productive even as more people get work. [ because having part of your budget in the property bubble is so productive ] [...] I will do what is required to keep our country safe and secure." [ NOT CHANGING PLANS ie U-TURN ]
UK  secular  stagnation  austerity  Richard  Koo  Japan  economic  history  dogma  ideology  IMF  OECD  ChristineLagarde  economists  Paul  Krugman  Joseph  Stiglitz  Robert  Reich  David  Cameron  Tories  nasty  party  recovery  aggregate  demand  Conservative  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Mark  Carney  BOE  City  of  London  HMRC  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  self-employment  corporate  tax  rate  Service  Sector  Jobs  working  poor  multiplier  precarious  work  Precariat  low  pay  low  income  tax  credit  housing  benefit  income-based  JSA  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  wage  stagnation  stagnation  DWP  Iain  Duncan  Smith  skills  gap  STEM  productivity  output  gap  Manufacturing  industrial  policy  neoliberalism  neoliberal  trickle-down  economics  Chicago  School  JohnMaynardKeynes  keynes  Keynesianism  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  European  Union  property  bubble  apprenticeships  value  creation  added  value  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  competitiveness  marginal  cost  energy  price  energy  policy  Hinkley  Point  C  nuclear  power  nuclear  waste  subsidies  subsidizing  corporate  welfare  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbyin 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Brexit referendum could destabilise UK recovery, says IMF | Business | The Guardian
[ putting investment decisions and plans on hold! ] Christine Lagarde warns that uncertainty over outcome ‘will be bad in and of itself’ in months leading up to vote [...] But the IMF’s annual health check said “the relatively positive outlook is subject to risks and uncertainties”, including a global slowdown, sluggish productivity growth, a large trade deficit, still-high levels of household debt, and the forthcoming referendum on EU membership. It said any sign of weakness in growth should be met with higher spending by the Treasury. The UK authorities should explore “both revenue and expenditure measures, while protecting spending in priority areas, including healthcare, education, and infrastructure”. The report emphasised that “flexibility in the fiscal framework should be used to modify the pace of adjustment in the event of weaker demand growth”. [ moderates and politicians, wisely worded! no instructions. no direct criticism. ]
Brexit  austerity  household  debt  consumer  debt  property  bubble  credit  card  debt  car  loan  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  IMF  OECD  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  trade  deficit  UK  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  fiscal  policy  industrial  policy  labour  market  underinvestment  education  policy  NHS  child  poverty  Gini  coefficient  inequality  social  mobility  income  mobility  recovery  2016  general  election  2015  budget  deficit  election  campaign  promises  Manifesto  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  labour  economics  Zero  Hour  Contract  part-time  minimum  wage  tax  credit  Contractor  self-employment  low  pay  Precariat  working  poor  low  income  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  debt  servitude  monetary  policy  fiscal  stimulus  Pact  Schuldenbremse  general  election  2020 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
China's vice fin min: Fiscal policy should play a role globally
China's Vice Finance Minister Zhu Guangyao. China recognizes risks facing global economy. China to try to coordinate with G20 on global economy. Fiscal policy should play a role, not just monetary policy.
G20  fiscal  policy  austerity  monetary  policy  economic  history  IMF  OECD  Richard  Koo  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  recovery  credit  bubble  USA  UK  European  Union  Pact  Schuldenbremse  secular  stagnation  western  world 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Tasting menu: Audio highlights from the February 20th 2016 edition by The Economist
"liberal centrist politicians are not up to the job" always claiming the confidence fairy will show up if they stop what they are doing! "faith in monetary policy is wavering" ... emerging market debt bubble (through hunt for yield, QE, ZIRP, NIRP, credit bubble originating from China) is unwinding and threatening global system stability.
aggregate  demand  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  China  ECB  BOJ  Abenomics  Taper  QT  Fed  distortion  hot-money  austerity  Richard  Koo  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  George  Osborne  secular  stagnation  western  world  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  European  Union  Mark  Carney  BOE  property  bubble  policy  monetary  policy  economic  history  Gini  coefficient  inequality  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  underinvestment  productivity  output  gap  lost  decade  lost  generation  Generationengerechtigkeit  bank  bailout  fairness  recovery  unintended  consequences 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Medien in der Vertrauenskrise: Was zu tun ist - mit Anja Reschke | ZAPP | NDR - YouTube
[ symptom ... of our time. = by-product (Luegenpresse)! ] // [ einflussnahme ] [ befangenheit ] // TV = brot, wasser & spiele. // vollmuendiger buerger wird beformundet. kann man ihn nicht zumassen.
Lügenpresse  corporate  media  Rechtsruck  Rechtsextremismus  far-right  PEGIDA  oligarchy  plutocracy  Super  Rich  1%  News  Corp.  News  Corporation  newscorp  business  model  pageviews  trustagent  trust  distrust  journalismus  investigative  journalism  journalism  Social  refugee  crisis  Xenophobia  Fremdenfeindlichkeit  Ausländerfeindlichkeit  LEGIDA  Saxony  Neo-Nazi  Neonazi  Nazi  Hooligan  populism  Polarisation  propaganda  AfD  NPD  hartz-iv  Perspektivlosigkeit  deprivation  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  neoliberalism  neoliberal  neoconservatism  neoconservatives  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  revolving  door  PR  Positioning  spin  doctor  Food  Politics  medical-industrial  complex  Surveillance-Industrial  prison–industrial  complex  military–industrial  complex  democracy  democracy  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  squeezed  middle  class  Sozialer  Abstieg  fearmongering  Fear  poverty  in  old  age  poverty  trap  Agenda  2010  austerity  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  GFC  bank  bailout  status  anxiety  zombie  consumer  consumerist  consumerism  Protection  corruption  bribery  Schwarzkasse  mate 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Pegida On Rise As Germany Divided Over Refugees - YouTube
[ symptom ] [ niemand had was ueber 'alle muessen anpacken' gesagt ] [ Holocaust for 3rd gen germans is not shame, its rather a "wird sind besser in allem" "wir koennen das wo andere vor uns ethish moralish humanitaer politisch civil und auch als vollmundiger buerger versagt haben." ]
refugee  crisis  Germany  far-right  Angela  Merkel  AfD  NPD  Hooligan  Neo-Nazi  Neonazi  Nazi  PEGIDA  public  sentiment  public  awareness  Sozialpolitik  Integrationspolitik  Agenda  2010  Perspektivlosigkeit  deprivation  Social  Media  Middle  East  Lügenpresse  corporate  hartz-iv  ALG2  Aufstocker  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  neoconservatism  neoconservatives  history  minimum  wage  mindestlohn  squeezed  class  Sozialer  Abstieg  poverty  child  poverty  poverty  in  old  age  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  plutocracy  oligarchy  Super  Rich  1%  Burka  Hijab  Schengen  Agreement  European  Union  Rechtsextremismus  Rechtsruck  UKIP  humanitarian  crisis  Human  Trafficking  decency  USA  UK  compassion  empathy  Perspective  underinvestment  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  austerity  economic  history  Wolfgang  Schäuble  European  youth  unemployment  unemployment 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Migrant crisis: Germany's 'rock of stability' in danger - BBC News
[ has to invest massively to integrate people and not put them aside on Hartz-IV. leeway to borrow money for nothing is there. political will to break the dogma and ideology of austerity, schwarze null, schuldenbremse has to be there. across europe! ] The migrant crisis could see Germany losing its position as a "rock of stability", a former European Central Bank chief economist has told BBC HARDtalk. Otmar Issing warned the growing "fiscal burden" over the numbers of people arriving could completely change the country's economy.
refugee  crisis  migration  immigration  economic  refugee  Asylbewerber  Asylum  Sozialpolitik  Integrationspolitik  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  education  policy  underinvestment  budget  deficit  hartz-iv  ALG2  Aufstocker  Fachkräftemangel  Ausländerfeindlichkeit  Xenophobia  racism  Rechtsextremismus  Rechtsruck  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  labour  economics  labour  market  labour  laws  minimum  wage  Niall  Ferguson  youth  unemployment  competitiveness  competitive  Germany  STEM  industrial  policy  European  Union  Bundesbank  ECB  public  sentiment  public  awareness  war  refugee  Afghanistan  Irak  Iraq  Syrien  Syria 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Beware the Minuses of Negative Interest Rates
Whether sub-zero interest rates actually work is open to debate, however. So says Richard Koo, the chief economist of the Nomura Research Institute. “In my view,” he writes, “the adoption of negative interest rates is an act of desperation born out of despair over the inability of quantitative easing and inflation targeting to produce the desired results.” The failure of the BOJ and the ECB to meet their inflation and growth goals is shared by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England. None of these central banks understand that their textbook solutions don’t fit the real economy, Koo asserts. [...] And on a more practical level, why corporations sit on record hoards of cash (taxes aside). [<< macro prudential policy ] //&! “When no one is borrowing money, monetary policy is largely useless.” [...] Keynes was right and (Milton) Freidman was wrong. - bit.ly/1Kl07Ri & There is no Confidence Fairy //&! fam.ag/1ogOOiM & bit.ly/1LpJL4W & bit.ly/1VgSjAB & bit.ly/214Icm3 & bit.ly/1Kl228n
secular  stagnation  emerging  middle  class  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  western  world  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion  liquidity  trap  New  Normal  financial  repression  GFC  economic  history  Richard  Koo  consumer  debt  squeezed  middle  class  household  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  student  loan  debt  student  loan  Super  Cycle  debt  servitude  mortgage  market  asset  bubble  speculative  bubbles  hunt  for  yield  hot-money  equity  bubble  bond  bubble  property  bubble  credit  bubble  BRIC  China  student  debt  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  Frontier  Markets  emerging  market  UK  USA  Europe  Japan  Abenomics  Niall  Ferguson  Paul  Krugman  Joseph  Stiglitz  Gini  coefficient  inequality  income  inequality  income  distribution  income  mobility  wage  stagnation  income  growth  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  underinvestment  austerity  productivity  output  gap  public  investment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  business  investment  STEM  R&D  competitiveness  Robert  Reich  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  debtoverhang  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  macroprudential  policy  miltonfriedman  JohnMaynardKeynes  keynes  Keynesianism  Fiscal  Pact  policy  monetary  policy  Schuldenbremse  unconventional  monetary  policy  QT  Taper  money  supply  money  ve 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Interview With Mohamed El-Erian: Masters in Business (Audio) by Bloomberg View
7:50 New Normal is secular stagnation and decades-long NIRP, ZIRP, QE distortion. structural, secular. no cyclical recovery. but long secular challenges; prolonged period of low growth. // also inequality! // currently policy makers subsidise debtors, subsidise creditors - financial repression. promote risk taking. // richard koo would not agree with el-erian's notion that gov balance sheets are same as household balance sheets. // 12:10 demographic issue! political. and economic elements in it of secular stagnation. [...] borrowing growth // rise of far-right! // corps sitting on cash // inequality! // bc of lived in artificial world of borrowed growth, created massive divergence. // min 15:30 richard koo would not agree that central banks are the only game in town. central banks have complained abt austerity gov. // min 20 - Feds intellectually inflexible. comfort zone. self-regulation & great moderation. // reflation didnt work bc no fixed fundamentals // perfect storm! lost trust.
New  Normal  financial  repression  NIRP  ZIRP  QE  economic  history  secular  stagnation  GFC  credit  bubble  book  western  world  emerging  middle  class  debtoverhang  Richard  Koo  deleveraging  debt  servitude  Super  Cycle  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  KennethRogoff  carmenreinhart  sovereign  debt  crisis  austerity  Paul  Krugman  Gini  coefficient  inequality  Joseph  Stiglitz  distortion  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  monetary  transmission  mechanism  liquidity  trap  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  theory  monetary  system  retirement  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  far-right  Rechtsextremismus  Rechtsruck  zombie  consumer  zombie  corporations  zombie  banks  Pact  Schuldenbremse  tax  avoidance  tax  evasion  inflation  targeting  inflation  expectation  nominal  GDP  targeting  GDP  reflate  reflation  trust  trustagent  distrust  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  public  sentiment  public  perception  bank  bailout  Japan  Abenomics  AIIB  IMF  China  BRIC  self-regulation  Great  Moderation 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Is public support for refugees in the UK dropping? - BBC News
A new poll indicates that support in Britain for taking in more refugees may be sliding. [...] bc people can't personalise the facts and figures. talk is only about numbers. not individual stories! the voices of refugees are not heard proportionately to what is written about "the crisis." ... rather than a task to do because the west has meddled in the middle east since WW1 in its own interest. the west supported the fall of lybian leader gaddafi, the west supported a regime change in egypt. the west looked away in Syria.
jasminrevolution  Arab-Spring  refugee  crisis  Middle  East  geopolitics  politics  Syrien  Syria  Egypt  Lybia  Libya  Muammar  Gaddafi  public  sentiment  Germany  UK  austerity  Fiscal  Pact  social  safety  net  welfare  state  Schuldenbremse 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Harald Welzer zum Thema Flüchtlinge - YouTube
Thomas Friedman - Germany hippieland? // Gunnar Heinsohn über den wahren Hintergrund des Asylwahns - youtu.be/zhzthrcmkBM - (16:11) Milton Freedman, only highly productive educated skilled people come to your country for work if there is work, if there is zero social safety net/welfare state. GERMANY NEEDS TO INTEGRATE, EDUCATE migrants with MASSIVE PUSH! MASSIVE! NEW OWN MARSCHALL PLAN thus that those don't end up on hartz-iv and ALG2/Aufstocker! Compassionately. Emphatically. And ask German Industry to help to overlook some minor issues like German and Math that can be fixed along the way! reform economic refugees. // TO MAINTAIN Exportweltmeister and keep stable the transferleistungsbilanz (welfare state/social safety net) // economic refugees also created via trade agreements, globalisation and competition. and borderless world. // Book "Selbstdenken" - youtu.be/v_FVRNlLZT4
refugee  crisis  Angela  Merkel  Germany  political  economy  political  theory  public  sentiment  fearmongering  Fear  budget  deficit  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Wolfgang  Schäuble  SPD  CDU  CSU  babyboomers  squeezed  middle  class  Precariat  far-right  AfD  NPD  European  Union  European  History  Asylbewerber  Asylum  UK  USA  Ausländerfeindlichkeit  Social  Media  manufactured  consent  Lügenpresse  hartz-iv  ALG2  Aufstocker  mindestlohn  minimum  wage  sociology  psychology  safety  net  Agenda  2010  welfare  state  working  poor  liberal  economic  reform  Zeitarbeit  Gesellschaft  Wertegesellschaft  Zivilgesellschaft  Schengen  Agreement  Syrien  Syria  ISIS  islamic  radicalism  islamic  extremism  civil  war  Afghanistan  Iraq  Irak  East  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  Fachkräftemangel  Sozialpolitik  Integrationspolitik  Islamophobia  Rechtsextremismus  Rechtsruck  political  refugee  war  refugee  economic  refugee  Exportweltmeister 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Adam Posen: What Japan and the UK Demonstrate about Macroeconomic Stimulus - YouTube
Confidence Fairy - Paul Krugman. (sov debt crisis) only applicable if you don't have a central bank. like Greece. that can do QE as much as you need to stabilise monetary system. ie stop deleveraging, only serving debt. meaning deflation. // different QE, diversity. shift risk appetite to more riskier debt. ... // fiscal activism can't overcome austerity ... // UK has it work because it doesn't have the manufacturing base. but its population is growing, not shrinking. but job creation - multiplier to economy is 1 or lower because of mostly service sector job creation which lot need to access welfare state through tax credits. // min 11. Gordon Brown and Alistair Darling did lots right! GPB depreciation. budget deficit growth. But imports stayed high!!! current account deficit and trade deficit. Austerity undermines growth and BOE policy! cut you future and investment (4-1 ration). UK got no credibility bonus from bond vigilantes, no FDI inflows.
Abenomics  economic  history  secular  stagnation  UK  austerity  Japan  BOE  BOJ  Mark  Carney  deflationary  deflation  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  migration  immigration  Sozialpolitik  Integrationspolitik  Paul  Krugman  JGB  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  liquidity  trap  balance  sheet  recession  Richard  Koo  deleveraging  ECB  TLTRO  LTRO  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  monetary  policy  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  stimulus  monetary  theory  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  system  financial  repression  distortion  speculative  bubbles  creditrating  creditrisk  junk  bond  NPL  credit  bubble  recovery  George  Osborne  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Super  Cycle  sovereign  debt  crisis  debtoverhang  currency-war  currency  debasement  currency  war  current  account  deficit  trade  deficit  IMF  OBR  foreign  direct  investment  Conservative  Party  nasty  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  policy  folly  policy  error 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
SPERI Annual Lecture 2015: 'The Failure of Austerity' by Lord Robert Skidelsky - YouTube
economic history - "state spending inherently unproductive." // borrowing is deferred taxation - David Richardo - Rational expectations. Market economy always tended full employment. // Theory and Facts did not align. Keynes realised it post-war. Private investment is inherently volatile, ie slump conditions. state to offset underinvestment of private sector and match their retreat. getting rid of abnormal unemployment. done through monetary expansion (QE) and put onto state balance sheet available to spend. // Where 2009 forward QE got to banks ... // Paul Krugman - Confidence Fairy. // "Look after employment, and the budget will look after itself." but today it's the bond holders confidence who shapes budgets. // Keynes 'it is the long-term confidence of businesses that shape investment, confidence in state to no let a slump happen again.' but austerity, out of ammo talk, political-, social environment/sentiment & Osborne's '2016 will be tough year' speech were counter-productive.
austerity  economic  history  Robert  Skidelsky  Richard  Koo  David  Ricardo  sovereign  debt  crisis  underinvestment  productive  investment  competitiveness  competitive  public  utility  public  investment  education  policy  public  transportation  Good  infrastructure  investment  QE  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  George  Osborne  trickle-down  economics  tax  code  progressive  taxation  oligarchy  plutocracy  Super  Rich  1%  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Chicago  School  stagflation  secular  stagnation  Pact  business  cycle  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  Schuldenbremse  western  world  Paul  Krugman  political  folly  political  theory  political  economy  political  error  macroprudential  policy  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  financial  cycle  Greed  economic  cycle  inflation  expectation  expectations  Super  debt  servitude  GFC  recovery  Conservative  Party  fearmongering  Fear  Career  Politicians  nasty  David  Cameron  PR  spin  doctor 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Wohnungsbau: Bund und Länder planen höhere Steuerförderung - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Die Suche nach einer bezahlbaren Wohnung ist in vielen Städten extrem schwierig. Bund und Länder wollen private Investoren beim Bau preiswerter Immobilien steuerlich entlasten - und dabei auf mehr als vier Milliarden Euro verzichten.
Privatisation  social  housing  affordable  housing  Germany  budget  deficit  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  neoliberalism  neoliberal  austerity  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Weltwirtschaftsforum in Davos: Die Welt bangt um Europa - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Wie steht es um Europa? Schlimm, wenn man der Stimmung beim Weltwirtschaftsforum in Davos glaubt. In den Augen vieler droht der Kontinent auseinanderzudriften. Die letzte Hoffnung ruht auf Angela Merkel. [...] Schäubles Andeutung wird zum "Marshall-Plan" Wie groß die Erwartungen sind, die auf Deutschland ruhen, zeigen auch die Reaktionen auf den Vorstoß von Finanzminister Schäuble, "viele Milliarden Euro" in die Nachbarländer Syriens zu investieren, um diese zu stabilisieren und zu verhindern, dass die Flüchtlinge weiter nach Europa drängen. So vage Schäubles Worte waren, so begehrlich wurden sie aufgenommen. Von einem "neuen Marshallplan" war gleich die Rede. "Ich bin begeistert von dieser Idee", jubelte sogar Milliardär Soros - ansonsten nicht unbedingt ein Freund Schäubles.
European  Union  Europe  monetary  ECB  monetary  policy  refugee  crisis  secular  stagnation  deflationary  deflation  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  fiscal  policy  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Germany  faultlines  global  imbalances  PIGS  sovereign  debt  crisis  bank  bailout  GFC  recovery  structural  unemployment  economic  history  fiscal  Euro  Brexit  civil  war  ISIS  Middle  East  Iraq  Afghanistan  Libya  Lybia  National  Security  Schengen  Agreement 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Kommentar zur Berliner Landespolitik: Berlin, die kaputtgesparte Stadt | Politik - Berliner Zeitung
[ Berlin doesn't have the local income (taxation from businesses and wealthy) potential for its size compared to other cities. Still the effect of Berlin's history. There is a reason why Call Centres and artists/creative opened shop in Berlin, not Boutique banks and other industries post-reunification ... ] In der Lageso-Krise zeigt sich, dass Berlin noch immer unter den Sparzwängen früherer Jahre leidet. Die Stadt braucht eine Neuorientierung. Nicht nur in der Flüchtlingsfrage.
Berlin  austerity  taxation  German  reunification  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  Germany  refugee  crisis  LaGeSo 
december 2015 by asterisk2a
Failed Stadt Berlin: So reagieren Leser auf den SPIEGEL-ONLINE-Kommentar - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Flüchtlingschaos, Ärger in Schulen und auf Ämtern - Berlin ist als Stadt gescheitert: Mit diesem Befund sorgte SPIEGEL ONLINE für Aufruhr. Leser und andere Medien schreiben: Es ist sogar viel schlimmer. //&! Berlins Verwaltung funktioniert nicht - in der Flüchtlingskrise, in den Schulen, in den Bürgerämtern. Die Stadt verschwendet Geld, den Regierenden fehlt das Format. - bit.ly/1QgZHwJ
Berlin  LaGeSo  Germany  refugee  crisis  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  austerity  immigration  Sozialpolitik  Integrationspolitik  BER 
december 2015 by asterisk2a
Deutsche Bahn: Die größte Lebenslüge der Politik - Kommentar - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Erstmals seit Jahren steht die Deutsche Bahn vor einem Verlust - zumindest offiziell. Denn in Wahrheit ist die Lage schlimmer: Der Konzern ist schon lange unprofitabel - das Minus wird nur von den Zuschüssen der Steuerzahler verdeckt.
Public  Good  infrastructure  utility  transportation  transportation  Germany  underinvestment  investment  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Wolfgang  Schäuble  austerity 
december 2015 by asterisk2a
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