asterisk2a + fund   79

Here's Why All Pension Funds Are Doomed, Doomed, Doomed
Given that both The Economist and The Wall Street Journal have covered the impossibility of pension funds achieving their expected returns, this reality cannot be a surprise to anyone in a leadership role. [...] Here's problem #1 in a nutshell: the average public pension fund still expects to earn an average annual return of 7.69%, year after year, decade after decade.

This is roughly triple the nominal (not adjusted for inflation) yield on a 30-year Treasury bond (about 2.65%). The only way any fund manager can earn 7.7% or more in a low-yield environment is to make extremely high risk bets that consistently pay off. //&! Millennials are first gen to have earned less in their 20's than previous gens. - bit.ly/2a9M98K
ZIRP  NIRP  QE  unintended  consequences  pension  obligation  triple-lock  pension  babyboomers  Baby  Boomers  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  hunt  for  yield  life  insurance  insurance  industry  monetary  policy  Helicopter  Money  monetary  theory  bond  bubble  Richard  Koo  liquidity  trap  economic  history  recovery  Fed  BOE  ECB  Abenomics  western  world  Japan  BOJ  pension  fund  Beton  Gold  Betongold  property  bubble  asset  allocation  funds  allocation  asset  bubble  Pensioner  pension  scheme  secular  stagnation  austerity  deflation  deflationary  Confidence  Fairy  IMF  OECD  credit  boom  credit  bubble  New  Normal  Great  Moderation  economic  harm  economic  damage  reflate  reflation  equity  bubble  distortion 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Annuity rates 'in freefall' since EU vote
Rates have fallen by 3.5% in the two weeks since 24 June, said Tom McPhail, head of retirement policy at Hargreaves Lansdown.
Before the vote, a 65 year-old with savings of £100,000 would have been able to buy an annual income of £5,069.
Now the value of that pension has dropped to £4,890, a new record low.
Experts had predicted just such a development before the referendum, yet a majority of people over the age of 60 voted to leave the European Union.
pension  fund  Pensioner  pension  pension  scheme  pension  obligation  demographic  bubble  Baby  Boomers  babyboomers  Brexit  secular  stagnation  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  recovery  GFC  austerity  recession 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Alan Greenspan on Brexit, U.S. Economy, and Inflation (Full Interview) - YouTube
UK out of Euro Currency but part of free trade single market was best option on table. // lack of leadership for political union and fiscal union aka ever closer union. not just currency and trade union (free trade). // GET AT THE ROOT ISSUE; productivity, ageing population (entitlement crisis), stagnant wages, secular stagnation = desperate population // European banks some still burdened by sov debt crisis/NPL (= zombie banks) & NIRP & QE & lack of uptake in business & consumer loans. // no back-up to the ECB (balance sheet) yet. what happens if the EURO stops being a hard currency? get Greece out, is a liability. // EU can not go on in Status Quo indefinitely. ie funding southern states. States have to get on course of economic harmony! everyone has to give up something! // Precariat/Squeezed Middle Class/Social Mobility = creates desperate people. // Entitlements are a legal issues. Productivity and Growth Rates can't fund entitlements. = There will be a crisis. // Career Politicians won't touch it. // History (look at M2) this environment ends up in inflation. not time or data.
European  Union  Brexit  fiscal  Political  Union  ECB  Alan  Greenspan  Fed  Yanis  Varoufakis  Janet  Yellen  PIGS  sovereign  debt  crisis  secular  stagnation  productivity  gap  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  ageing  population  current  account  deficit  budget  deficit  GFC  entitlement  spending  Abenomics  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  pension  obligation  babyboomers  Baby  Boomers  immigration  NIRP  ZIRP  QE  economic  history  Germany  Angela  Merkel  BOE  Mark  Carney  rising  middleclass  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  Precariat  populism  demagogue  demagogy  Donald  Trump  western  world  savings  rate  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  triple-lock  pension  pension  fund  pension  scheme  democracy  Career  Politicians  politician  output  gap  M2  inflation  targeting  M3  commodity  prices  global  economy 
june 2016 by asterisk2a
The Growth Trap
[ growing for growth sake! vs growing in a world/area that is not conducive to grow ] When Twitter went public in 2013, its stock soared and its value jumped to $25 billion. Its founders and early investors got rich. But since then, the company has been considered a failure, despite the fact that it boasts 320 million active users, because it's not growing fast enough. Douglas Rushkoff, author of "Throwing Rocks at the Google Bus: How Growth Became the Enemy of Prosperity," talks to Steve Paikin about why he sees the push for more growth as dangerous. // true capitalists (shareholder, crony, greedy) w/o self-regulation or governance extract all the value there is to extract and then leave, dispersing it to the few who already have [...] WE MUST REWRITE THE RULES OF THE GROWTH GAME ITSELF! [...] you want to optimise the economy based on velocity of money (circulation of money), not share price and value extraction [...]
Venture  Capital  Unicorn  shareholder  capitalism  Greed  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  profit  maximization  Wall  Street  Wall  Street  activists  Yahoo!  Google  Inc.  Alphabet  Inc.  Microsoft  IBM  Intel  Oracle  capitalism  exploitation  Super  Rich  short-termism  short-term  thinking  1%  plutocracy  oligarchy  M&A  economic  growth  growth  round  Mutual  Fund  macroeconomic  policy  secular  stagnation  Private  Equity  MBO  Pivot  IPO  dividends  prosperity  Start-Ups  Start-up  s&p500  pension  scheme  pension  finite  resources  resource  depletion  economic  history  creative  destruction  share  buyback  Apple  capitalism  in  crisis  capitalist  Uber  monopoly  oligopol  oligopoly  antitrust  corruption  western  world  squeezed  middle  class  emerging  middle  class  BRIC  business  cycle  company  book  cost  center  overhead  costcutting  operating  performance  operating  margin  globalisation  globalization  Universal  Basic  Income  artificial  intelligence  AI  augmented  intelligence  Robotics  automation  structural  unemployment  materialism  consumerism  status  anxiety  disenfranchise  disenfranchised  youth  unemployment  post-capitalism  Mobile  Banlieue  deprivation  poverty  trap  poverty  meritocracy  meritocratic  Gini  value  coefficie 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Saudi Arabia Threatens To Liquidate Its Treasury Holdings If Congress Probes Its Role In Sept 11 Attacks
[...] But the threat is another sign of the escalating tensions between Saudi Arabia and the United States. [...] "Obama has been lobbying so intently against the bill that some lawmakers and families of Sept. 11 victims are infuriated. In their view, the Obama administration has consistently sided with the kingdom and has thwarted their efforts to learn what they believe to be the truth about the role some Saudi officials played in the terrorist plot." //&! http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-04-15/one-man-asks-why-was-tritium-found-911-ground-zero
9/11  Saudi  Arabia  gwbush  georgewbush  bush  China  Japan  USA  reserve  currency  USD  Dollar  petrodollar  Middle  East  Taliban  al-Qaeda  al-Qaida  osamabinladen  OPEC  sovereign  wealth  fund  geopolitics  diplomacy  barackobama  foreign  affairs  Intelligence  foreign  relations  War  on  Terror  Pakistan  India  Hegemony  arms  trade  UK 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Is Stephen Crabb the man to tackle this age of extreme inequality?
The Panama Papers will lead to the dynamiting of Tory credibility, but new work and pensions secretary, Stephen Crabb, is unlikely to prove the saviour of his party’s reputation. [...] Last autumn’s U-turn over cuts to working tax credits was a smoke screen. The axe will fall, only not everywhere, not just yet. From this week, existing universal credit claimants will lose up to £220 a month as the work allowance is pared back faster than the national living wage increases to replace it. [...] Short of taking a vow of poverty and retreating like Charles V to a monastery, there is nothing he can say now that will change the perception that he is at the head of a party that has a fundamental personal interest in preserving the advantages of the 1%.
Stephen  Crabb  nasty  party  tax  credit  Universal  Iain  Duncan  Smith  welfare  reform  welfare  state  poverty  trap  poverty  child  poverty  social  safety  net  sanctions  JSA  ESA  PIP  Disabled  vulnerable  mental  health  austerity  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Tories  Conservative  Positioning  PR  spin  doctor  manufactured  consent  snap  judgement  prejudice  triple-lock  pension  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  bank  bailout  budget  deficit  aggregate  demand  Budget2016  budget2015  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  Funding  constituency  Super  Rich  oligarchy  plutocracy  Confidence  Fairy  1%  democracy  food  poverty  fuel  poverty  tax  evasion  tax  amnesty  tax  avoidance  Panama  Papers  offshore  banking  tax  loopoles  lobby  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  Gini  coefficient  inequality  social  mobility  income  mobility  deprivation  crony  capitalism  shareholder  capitalism  corporate  welfare  HMRC  revolving  door  corporate  tax  rate  capital  gains  tax  DLA  Independent  Living  Fund  Holyrood 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Renten: Frauen bekommen nicht mal halb so viel Rente wie Männer - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Die Gehaltslücke zwischen Männern und Frauen wird im Alter zur riesigen Kluft: Im Schnitt erhält eine Rentnerin in Deutschland 57 Prozent weniger Geld als ein Rentner. Eine Studie zeigt die Gründe. [...] Die WSI-Forscher nennen eine Reihe von Faktoren, die für die Rentenkluft verantwortlich sind: niedrige Erwerbsbeteiligung: Frauen sind und waren weit häufiger gar nicht berufstätig als Männer. hohe Teilzeitquote: Frauen arbeiten häufig nicht Vollzeit. niedrige Entgelte: Aktuell verdienen Frauen im Schnitt 21 Prozent weniger als Männer. Früher, als die jetzigen Rentnerinnen im Berufsleben standen, war die Lücke noch größer. häufige und längere Erwerbsunterbrechungen, etwa durch Kinderbetreuung. häufige Beschäftigung in Minijobs ohne Rentenversicherung
gender  gap  retirement  child  care  elderly  care  adult  social  care  savings  rate  gender  pay  gap  poverty  in  old  age  poverty  social  safety  net  pension  pension  scheme  pension  obligation  pension  fund  public  pension  gender  inequality 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
State pension changes: Charity finds 70,000 people won't qualify for pension under new rules | Home News | News | The Independent
Changes to the system coming into effect on 6 April mean that people will need 10 qualifying years to get any new state pension. This is a change from the existing regime which allows people to receive at least some state pension even with only a few years of NICs. [...] Age UK said it supports the aim of a simpler, fairer state pension, acknowledging it should benefit many people with low lifetime earnings due to low pay and caring responsibilities. But the charity is concerned that there are many approaching retirement, particularly women, who do not have a full NI record. [...] "People who haven't built up enough National Insurance can apply for Pension Credit, which works by topping up their other income and provides additional security in retirement.”
pension  pension  scheme  pension  obligation  pension  fund  public  pension  UK  babyboomers  budget  deficit  secular  stagnation  low  pay  low  income  working  poor  Precariat  precarious  work  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  part-time  self-employment  welfare  state  social  safety  net  poverty  in  old  age  NIC  Altersarmut  elderly  care  adult  social  care  retirement  401k  ISA  savings  rate  squeezed  middle  class 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
German Banks Told To Start Hoarding Cash | Zero Hedge
In order to generate artificial economic growth, the ECB wants banks to make as many loans as possible, no matter how stupid or idiotic. They believe that economic growth is simply a function of loans. The more money that’s loaned out, the more the economy will grow. This is the sort of theory that works really well in an economic textbook. But it doesn’t work so well in a history textbook. Cheap money encourages risky behavior. It gives banks an incentive to give ‘no money down’ loans to homeless people with no employment history. It creates bubbles (like the housing bubble from 10 years ago), and ultimately, financial panics (like the banking crisis from 8 years ago). Banks are supposed to be conservative, responsible managers of other people’s money. When central bank policies penalize that practice, bad things tend to happen.
Richard  Koo  aggregate  demand  austerity  fiscal  policy  Pact  Schuldenbremse  economic  history  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion  financial  repression  hunt  for  yield  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  Venture  Capital  Mutual  Fund  Private  Equity  reflate  reflation  recovery  GFC  debtoverhang  liquidity  trap  zombie  banks  deleveraging  Debt  Super  Cycle  secular  stagnation  consumer  wage  stagnation  squeezed  middle  class  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  marginal  propensity  to  consume  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  oligarchy  plutocracy  Super  Rich  1%  household  car  loan  credit  card  student  loan  student  loan  student  Bubble  generation  rent  OMT  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  working  poor  precarious  work  Precariat  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  Leiharbeit  Zeitarbeit  Agenda  2010  low  pay  low  income  TLTRO  LTRO  monetary  transmission  mechanism  velocity  of  money 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Workers need to put 15% of income into pension, report says | Money | The Guardian
Saving more than three times the present average is necessary to have enough cash in retirement, review for Labour party finds [...] In the House of Commons, Iain Duncan Smith refused to say whether there would be an upper limit on the state pension age in heated exchanges over the government’s review. The work and pensions secretary said the government had launched the review to ensure pensions remained affordable for future generations, but he failed to answer the shadow work and pensions secretary, Owen Smith, when pushed over concerns that workers would have to wait until they were 80 to retire.
retirement  pension  scheme  pension  fund  pension  public  pension  pension  obligation  demographic  bubble  401k  working  poor  minimum  wage  low  pay  low  income  Precariat  DWP  Iain  Duncan  Smith  poverty  in  old  age 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Budget 2016: What will the chancellor do to pensions? - BBC News
[ changing system to collect taxes earlier, he needs some more tax income now, rather than in 40-50 years from now. ] Now, ahead of the budget on 16 March, the pensions industry is again on the edge of its seat. Amongst the rumours: The chancellor is about to abolish the 25% tax-free lump sum; the maximum annual contribution could be cut to as low as £25,000; or the whole tax relief system could be abolished, in favour of an Isa-style system of tax upfront, but tax free on the way out. So what are the chancellor's options - and which is he likely to favour? [...] After all, the title of the Treasury's consultation is: "Strengthening the incentive to save". Furthermore one Treasury minister confirmed to the BBC that this will be the main focus of the changes.
budget2016  HMRC  pension  scheme  public  pension  pension  obligation  pension  fund  George  Osborne  Tories  Conservative  Party  Policy  Makers  austerity  constituency  Party  Funding  babyboomers  ageing  population  demographic  bubble  secular  stagnation  savings  rate 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Thousands told their pension savings could be at risk - BBC News
[ fees ] It follows fears that dozens of companies providing auto enrolment pensions are too small to survive. The BBC has also uncovered evidence that employers and workers are being deliberately misled by some providers. The government said it was aware of the issue, and was planning to take action. Independent experts claim the problem could affect up to a quarter of a million people a year who are putting their savings into so-called master trust pensions. Such schemes are popular with the 1.8 million small employers with fewer than 30 staff who are currently signing up under the auto enrolment programme. "There is a risk of these schemes falling over; there is a risk that members might lose their money," said Andrew Warwick Thompson, executive director for regulatory policy at the Pensions Regulator. However, he said scheme assets invested through asset managers regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) would be safe. This will be "the vast majority of cases", he said.
Tories  Privatisation  self-regulation  regulation  speculation  speculative  retirement  401k  pension  scheme  pension  obligation  pension  fund  public  pension  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  DWP  Iain  Duncan  Smith  Toff  Privileged  Establishment  Whitehall  Westminster  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  dogma  ideology  microeconomic  policy  labour  market  Conservative  Party  nasty  secular  stagnation  Generationengerechtigkeit  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  Millennials  generationy  generationx  babyboomers  City  of  London  GFC  oversight  Bank  FCA  Greed  regulators  trust  free  market  neoliberalism  neoliberal  policy  error  policy  folly  HMRC 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Die Macht der Finanzkonzerne - Wie Blackrock mittels Geld die Welt regiert - YouTube
extraction of fat. no skin in the game. // Privatisation of housing stock - social and affordable, anglo saxon capitalism style; profit maximisation, dividends. // after Goldman Sachs the new vampiresquid // no skin in game; get money for speculation from pension funds, other investors, mutual funds. << that is the system! // nur wer geld hat, kann es vermehren. // nearly no governance, no guidelines regarding sustainability, ethics, transparency, morals. // no regulation = big profit and exploitation, corruption, bribery.
BlackRock  MBO  LBO  M&A  Private  Equity  financial  product  Hedge  Fund  Black  Swan  blackswan  Nassim  Taleb  self-regulation  Mutual  Fund  Venture  Capital  risk  governance  corporate  governance  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  activist  investor  Main  Street  accountability  transparency  mainstreet  arbitrage  squeezed  middle  class  wage  stagnation  bonuses  bonus  speculation  revolving  door  regulation  regulators  Career  Politicians  CEO  pay  dividends  Heuschrecken  ROI  speculative  sustainability  tax  code  ethics  corporate  scandal  accounting  scandal  oligarchy  plutocracy  Super  Rich  1%  GFC  sovereign  debt  crisis 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Matt Taibbi: Mitt Romney and the Looting of America (1/2) - YouTube
https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heuschreckendebatte // companies turned into financial instruments. // fictionalisation of economy // >> money spend (debt) on hostile takeover/LBO/MBO/M&A are tax deductible! << = invest in debt, rather than equity! & carried interest is only taxed at 15% max. still can reduce it w deductions xyz. // !!! NO SKIN IN THE GAME !!! Nassim Taleb //
Mitt  Romney  risk  capital  Venture  LBO  MBO  Wall  Street  M&A  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  multinational  conglomerate  Mafia  Private  Equity  oligarchy  plutocracy  Super  Rich  1%  activist  investor  share  buyback  Hedge  Fund  Heuschrecken  bankruptcy  public  sentiment  public  awareness  creative  destruction  financial  product  self-regulation  regulation  regulators  BlackRock  Bain  CEO  pay  bonuses  bonus  squeezed  middle  class  Blackstone  dividends  mainstream  Main  Street  hostile  takeover  USA  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  tax  code  Nassim  Taleb  vested  interest  interest  groups  Career  Politicians 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Inside How Mutual Funds Value Private Tech — The Information
The sudden and sizable valuation markdowns of high-flying private companies like Snapchat, Dropbox and Zenefits by mutual fund investors has been one of the biggest stories in tech, sowing fears that the market is deflating. They’ve also caused consternation among founders, who have had to defend their companies’ earlier valuations to employees.
downround  growth  round  Mutual  Fund  SPV  Uber  Zenefits  Snapchat  Silicon  Valley  DropBox  hunt  for  yield  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  speculative  bubbles  risk  capital  liquidation  preferences  termsheet  asset  allocation  distortion  Lyft  equity  bubble  reflate  reflation  financial  repression  New  Normal  secular  stagnation  hot-money  BRIC  emerging  market  Frontier  Markets 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
The "Tourist" Investors Flooding Silicon Valley With Money Will Go Home One Day - BuzzFeed News
The tourist analogy comes from Mohamed El-Erian, chief economic advisor at the German financial company Allianz and former CEO of mutual fund giant Pimco. He fleshes out his theory of “tourist dollars” in his new book, The Only Game in Town: Central Banks, Instability, and Avoiding the Next Collapse, describing what happens in emerging economies like Brazil and India when investors from the developed world respond to slow economies at home by seeking more profitable climates abroad. Ranjan Roy, a former emerging-market currencies trader who now runs a tech startup, wrote a Medium post this week connecting El-Erian’s “tourist” theory to the mutual fund investors that have flooded Silicon Valley with cash in recent years. The post was pretty convincing, so we decided to see if El-Erian agreed. He does. And he worries about what those tourist dollars are doing to the locals. [...] they don’t re-up [ like VC's and real Angels would do ] [...] push to stretch for return.
hunt  for  yield  distortion  speculative  bubbles  asset  allocation  Silicon  Valley  Party  Round  Angel  Investor  Seed  Round  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  hot-money  Mutual  Fund  growth  risk  capital  Venture  Frontier  Markets  emerging  market  credit  bubble  China  BRIC  2015  2016  2014  Unicorn  reflate  reflation  economic  history  equity  bubble  bond  bubble  property  bubble  asset  bubble  secular  stagnation  emerging  middle  class  India  financial  repression  behavioral  finance  behavioral  economics  psychology  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  austerity  Richard  Koo 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Masters in Business: Yale Professor Robert Shiller (Audio) by Bloomberg View
history has proven again, markets are not efficient long-term // psychology is disreputable in econ department. // cognitive dissonance - justifying X action by looking around ... / Efficient-market hypothesis is a hypothesis for a reason; "it's a half-truth" "sometimes market moves don't reflect market news." // irrational exuberance // book fooled by randomness // 24:00 eugene phama - markets are very efficient, prices reflect all the knowledge out there, just buy the index, don't try to beat the market. buy passive index // don't play poker with your life savings. << robert shiller // 30:00 look at politics science, sociology, psychology - influence markets, people. broader disciplines. economists disregard them. // finance is about manage risk! about being a productive society and progress, and not suffer from boom and bust cycle! + financing activities ie VC gov supported R&D // & gov being a support pillar for all and not picking winners, can't forecast the future!
free  market  marketplace  efficiencies  marketplace  inefficiencies  efficient-market  hypothesis  complexity  human  Wall  Street  crowd  herd  herding  speculative  bubbles  distortion  economic  history  GFC  subprime  book  Robert  Shiller  robertshiller  behavioral  finance  behavioral  economics  finance  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  corporate  tax  rate  R&D  Venture  Capital  Angel  Investor  Seed  Round  risk  pension  fund  pension  obligation  401k  public  pension  pension  scheme  pension  marginal  propensity  to  consume  plutocracy  Super  Rich  1%  Greed  oligarchy  self-regulation  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  negative  equity  boom  &  bust  secular  stagnation  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Pando: Two slides that could predict a worse quarter for venture capital is coming
All of 2015’s totals lived and died on mega-deals. Mega-deals were the reason that the total amount invested in the year was one of the highest on record, even though the actual number of deals fell. It’s the reason the fourth quarter’s venture capital total fell so sharply when mega deals declined some 45%. //&! As America faces the techpocalypse, how are things going in Europe? - bit.ly/1ndNFZt //&! If Doordash is struggling to close funding with Sequoia as a lead, how bad are things at your startup? - bit.ly/1njD8v9 - Doordash is a fundable company, just not at the prices originally discussed… and maybe not even at $600 million. //&! Asian venture capital in 2016: This could get ugly… - It has the farthest to fall, and the newest investors - bit.ly/1Pg8vla
growth  round  Venture  Capital  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion  Silicon  Valley  Private  Equity  Mutual  Fund  Angel  Investor  Seed  Party  Private  Market  Hype  Cycle  Unicorn  China  credit  bubble  monetary  policy  liquidity  trap  speculative  bubbles  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  QT  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  mobile  homescreen 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Under-40s worse off as result of state pension changes, data shows | Money | The Guardian
[ how do you save up when you can afford housing (nor even a mortgage, have credit cards (drinks and presents), and student loan. all the while tories help to prop-up the property bubble, the only wealth uk households actually have! ] Most people now in their teens, 20s and 30s will be worse off as a result of changes to the state pension system, while millions of older people will gain, according to the government’s own figures. The data will fuel concern that millions of younger people are suffering from the effects of what has been dubbed “intergenerational unfairness”, partly caused by the government targeting money and resources at the older generation. DWP issued the data to back up its assertion that the introduction of the new flat-rate state pension in April “will make millions of people better off” – but the figures also provide stark confirmation that younger people will be losers from the changes.
DWP  George  Osborne  Iain  Duncan  Smith  pension  scheme  pension  obligation  public  pension  pension  fund  constituency  babyboomers  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  bank  bailout  GFC  neoliberalism  neoliberal  PR  general  election  2015  general  election  2010  election  campaign  promises  budget  deficit  corporate  welfare  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Positioning  spin  doctor  manufactured  consent  generation  rent  Housing  Crisis  student  loan  debt  debt  servitude  student  loan  Bubble  student  debt  credit  card  debt  household  debt  retirement  consumer  debt  car  loan  generational  contract  lost  generation  Millennials  zombie  consumer  materialism  status  anxiety  Celebrity  of  You  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  demographic  ageing  population  OAP  UK  western  world  secular  stagnation  property  mortgage  market  Help  to  Buy  Right  to  Buy  Buy-to-Let  wealth  distribution  plutocracy  Gini  coefficient  inequality  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  low  income  tax  credit  precarious  work  Precariat  wage  stagnation  minimum  wage  wage  growth  income  growth  social  mobility  income  mobility  globalisation  globalization  flat  world  borderless  Policy  Makers  Westminster  Toff  Privileged  Establishment 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Pando: Unicorns on fire: Funding falls dramatically in the fourth quarter, along with exits of all kinds
I predicted the second quarter of 2015 had to be peak mega round. Turns out, I was three months off. But now it’s official: The shit is hitting the fan. [...] In the third quarter, venture funding hit dot com funding levels with 2008 deals and $38.7 billion raised. In the fourth quarter, we saw the lowest deal tally since 2013, with just 1743 deals raising some $27.3 billion.
IPO  Unicorn  growth  round  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion  Private  Market  Wall  Street  Fed  monetary  policy  USA  China  business  confidence  Silicon  Valley  Hype  Cycle  termsheet  liquidation  preferences  Private  Equity  Mutual  Fund  SPV  Venture  Capital  Angel  Investor  Seed  Oil  price  QT 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Börsenabsturz in China: Der Kontrollverlust - Kommentar - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Der Börsen-Crash in China ist Symptom eines fundamentalen Wandels: Um den Wohlstand zu erhalten, muss die Regierung immer mehr Kontrolle abgeben. Die Allmacht der kommunistischen Partei gerät ins Wanken.
China  economic  history  SRD  Yuan  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  corruption  bribery  regulation  regulators  liberal  economic  reform  economic  refugee  inequality  IMF  AIIB  World  Bank  Hegemony  PBOC  Gini  coefficient  social  safety  net  Services  Public  Services  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  pension  scheme  pension  pension  fund  asset  allocation  capital  allocation  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  credit  bubble  QT  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  shadow  banking  NPL  2015  2016  shadow  economy  demographic  bubble 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Most of extra £3.8bn NHS funds already spent, says expert | Society | The Guardian
Much of the extra £3.8bn allocated to the NHS in George Osborne’s autumn statement has effectively already been spent, a leading health expert had said. John Appleby, chief economist at the King’s Fund, backed Labour claims that NHS trust deficits and extra pension costs mean very little of the extra money promised for 2016-17 will be available for better care. He said the NHS was in a weaker position now than five years ago and faced a real challenge over the rest of this parliament. Labour released figures that it said showed Osborne’s health spending boost was “more spin than substance” because £2.2bn would be swallowed up covering trust deficits and another £1.1bn would have to fund extra pension costs. [ not possible to use that for "full 7-day NHS" ]
NHS  budget2015  austerity  demographic  bubble  sick  population  health  crisis  ageing  population  Public  Services  Social  Services  Council  spin  doctor  PR  relations  Jeremy  Hunt  George  Osborne  nasty  party  Conservative  Tories  No  Representation  democracy  democracy  elderly  care  adult  care  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  Manifesto  constituency  babyboomers  pension  fund  pension  obligation  OAP  chronic  diseases  diet-related  disease  health  care  budget  health  care  spending  health  policy  health  safety  sentiment  awareness  perception  opinion  debate  budget  deficit  A&E  GP  premature  ageing 
december 2015 by asterisk2a
Old-age benefits can’t be sacrosanct for ever | David Brindle | Society | The Guardian
Older people’s charity Independent Age is doing just that. In a bold move, it has broken ranks with the wider pensioner lobby, sticking its head above the parapet to call for a debate on the continuation of universal age-related benefits. There is, it says, “a case to be made for using the tax system to remove benefits such as winter fuel payment from the wealthiest pensioners who pay the higher rate of income tax”. The idea itself is hardly novel: the Barker commission set up by the King’s Fund thinktank said last year that it should be considered in a rethink of health and social care funding[.] //&! bit.ly/1QR2BFj - Scrap triple lock that protects state pensions, says thinktank chief. Paul Johnson, head of the IFS, says today’s pensioners have fared extraordinarily well relative to their predecessors [...] OBR [this policy will become unsustainable]. [austerity] “There is a clear distinction being drawn here, in treatment, between those over, and those below state pension age.”
constituency  budget  deficit  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  austerity  babyboomers  Pensioner  Tories  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  George  Osborne  general  election  2020  morality  welfare  state  social  safety  net  ageing  population  demographic  bubble  pension  scheme  state  pension  public  pension  pension  obligation  pension  fund  pension 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Lord Ashcroft 'not settling scores' with David Cameron book - BBC News
"If this was just a revenge job, Lord Ashcroft & I could have published it before the election." bbc.in/1V5Rl94 CoAuthor Isabel Oakeshott //&! bbc.in/1FpIfC4 - Ashcroft quits the House of Lords //&! Ashcroft & Cameron - an inevitable end? Two powerful men need each other, and then one of them becomes more powerful, and doesnt need the other anymore. [...] [book] looks a lot like revenge. [...] The Conservatives needed him, as all political parties need money, & between 2002/11 he gave more than £5m. [ those who want leadership position/power, ie Cameron, are & will be never great leaders when history judges them ] - bbc.in/1MEYLko bit.ly/1LrS8QP bit.ly/1MEppd0 bit.ly/1PktP6A bit.ly/1gH7wvI bit.ly/1NHFptp &! So Cameron was young & reckless. Lucky he wasnt young, reckless & poor - bit.ly/1Oqc8Fg bit.ly/1j3nRwJ bit.ly/1LIGEnD bit.ly/1V6xSoy - Cameron is part of a select group of people to whom different rules apply, and he knows it, [like evryone else in Britain [dubbed Hameron scandal].
Tories  Toff  Privileged  Establishment  David  Cameron  dogma  ideology  neoliberal  neoconservatives  neoconservatism  neoliberalism  Career  Politicians  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  austerity  Big  Society  election  campaign  promises  general  election  2015  budget  deficit  bank  bailout  banking  crisis  investment  banking  retail  banking  productivity  George  Osborne  budget2015  output  gap  competitiveness  UK  industrial  policy  policy  folly  policy  error  constituency  babyboomers  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  Super  Rich  1%  Westminster  London  general  election  2020  STEM  Research  R&D  Privatisation  Public  Services  NHS  Social  Services  Party  Funding  non-dom  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  CEO  pay  shared  economic  interest  Wall  Street  self-regulation  deregulation  Brexit  profit  maximisation  Hedge  Fund  tax  code  corporate  tax  rate  minimum  wage  living  wage  child  poverty  shareholder  value  Gini  coefficient  mobility  Iain  Duncan  Smith  DWP  income  mobility  poverty  trap  nepotism  inequality  class  warfare  Gesellschaft  Polarisation  PR  spin  doctor  manufactured  consent  corporate  state  corporate  media  Hameron  Scandal  Entitlement  straight  white  male  male  privilege  alpha  male  white  male  privilege  privilege  Jeremy  Corbyn  Jeremy  Hunt 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Pando: Good news! B rounds have doubled in value over five years!
B Round! doubling down on (to a certain point) proven ideas as they move to make themselves solid/viable (building business model & continued growth if not even putting some more gasoline on the fire with a B Round - allocation of resources). thus there is competition thus bidding up in a private market. BUT BUT also reflects the rising cost! Rising cost to grow, the war for talent to scale, and the cost in said hubs/ecosystems where the talent are already working on scaling other companies, where rent is sky high and space rare to expand office, ops, ramp up head count, ... // why, on a side note!, ? because global ZIRP, NIRP, QE, hunt for yield, FOMO, property speculation, alternative asset management and allocation (newly minted paper millionaers) have bid up prices in metropolitan and hot cities by credit bubbles around the world. bc financial markets are global, thus your allocation/diversification is global, not limited where ur home addr is. adding to volatiliy too bc of froth!
Silicon  Valley  Seed  Round  Party  Round  SPV  Venture  Capital  Private  Market  FOMO  hunt  for  yield  B  Round  A  Round  growth  Private  Equity  Hedge  Fund  Angel  Investor  Micro  VC  2015  cost  of  living  credit  bubble  cost  of  entry  aspirational  leverage  margin  trading  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  distortion  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  BOE  BOJ  Abenomics  PBOC  Fed  unintended  consequences  burn  rate  runway  ECB  Mutual  Fund  unknown  unkown  inflation  targeting  Fed  mandate  inflation  expectation  secular  stagnation  deflationary  deflation  economic  growth  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  reflate  reflation  monetary  policy  unconventional  monetary  policy  financial  financial  repression  western  world  Developing  BRIC  emerging  complexity  incomplete  information 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
The Myth of Valley DoucheBaggery - John Battelle's Search Blog
But I think our industry culture is moving far faster than the writers at Silicon Valley might wish to believe. I think we’re seeing the rise of a new culture, one that rejects arrogance and the founder worship which breeds it. Inevitable outliers aside, the Valley and technology culture I experience every day in my work at NewCo is one of passion, sweat, earnestness, and good intentions. Sure, we all fuck up. And sure, the press (especially, not surprisingly, the press in New York) has a field day when someone does. But by and large, the teams making companies like Slack, LiveRamp, Medium, Earnest, MetroMile, Lyft, Okta, Pinterest, and hundreds more are damn fine people, and they are dedicating their lives to making something that creates positive change – a product or service that makes the world a better place (even if it’s in a small way). [...] When you’re facing existential threat, our tolerance for douchebaggery in the name of making more money at any cost, ....
Silicon  Valley  counter  culture  brogrammer  asshole  culture  asshole  game  Steve  Jobs  CEO  Leadership  corporate  culture  corporate  values  vision  mission  impact  Privileged  Establishment  Toff  wantrepreneur  Trust  Fund  Kid  Campus  Evan  Spiegel  Hype  Cycle  insular  cooperation  partnerships  Collaborative  collaboration  Open  Platform  Wall  Street  shared  economic  interest  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  post-capitalism  crony  capitalism  Millennials  character  Travis  Kalanick  capitalism  exploitation  Apple  PR  spin  doctor  Amazon  Jeff  Bezos  corporate  social  responsibility  CSR  Salesforce  Marc  Benioff  social  entrepreneurship  Non-Profit  long-term  view  short-term  view  opportunist  Opportunism  Start-Up  advice  Start-Up  lesson 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Priceline's Lessons for Uber, Airbnb and Other Unicorns - Bloomberg View
But it was its market valuation that drove the fascination, and after the stock price collapsed from a high of $974.25 a share in April 1999 to $6.75 in December 2000, people mostly stopped talking about Priceline.com. [...] First, that the huge valuations being attached to today’s leading digital startups probably aren’t all crazy. Second, that those valuations may make it hard for late-round private investors, or the rest of us after the eventual IPOs, to make much money off the insight that Uber or Airbnb or Snapchat is in fact built to last. And finally, the big lesson for these companies may be to set aside a bunch of that investor cash for when times get tough -- and maybe hire a CEO, or at least a general counsel, who is really good at making acquisitions.
Uber  Private  Market  AirBnB  Unicorn  Decacorn  hunt  for  yield  growth  round  Private  Equity  Mutual  Fund  Silicon  Valley  dot.com  Snapchat  IPO  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  Twitter 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Gurley on Global Selloff: Bloomberg West (Full Show 8/21) - YouTube
'averting catastrophic events' - hard things about hard things - book // when taking on growth round to grow aggressively company (buying customer growth)... you might actually take on risk. especially when the sentiment and the market turns and you burned it all and weren't so good at allocating the money and 'growing' you have to maybe raise a flat/downround ... ooopsies. Or even have to accept a debt round and massive lay-off to get to cash flow even/positive. And run a tight ship with the user base/business you've got. // re: post-price correction after speculative China bubble burst and massive China weakness and still existing/persistent deflationary pressures in western world. // &! bit.ly/1NTc3GM - Public markets affect venture funding. Full stop.
growth  round  IPO  Bill  Gurley  Venture  Capital  Private  Market  Unicorn  Decacorn  Mutual  Fund  Private  Equity  Hedge  Fund  2015  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  hunt  for  yield  burn  rate  runway  sentiment  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  China  recovery  bubble  reflate  reflation  book  Ben  Horowitz  Marc  Andreessen  business  model  cash  flow  cash-is-king  Start-Up  lesson  financial  model  Start-Up  advice  valuation  Mark  Suster  Wall  Street 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Financial Advisor Nick Murray: Masters in Business (Audio) by Bloomberg View | Free Listening on SoundCloud
don't chase alpha. focus on the outcome, it's investor behaviour - that reflects on performance. leave portfolio alone ... 10 year. change less. turnover correlates negatively with return. just sit there. // volatility is NOT risk. risk is the total loss of investment. -10% is a risk, if you sell it at -10%. // >> u can never get truth from media, u can only get news. << example, they never talk about the way inflation is not factored in into retirement planning. they talk about principle and return %. but what inflation takes away from that (purchasing power). // annuities (fixed or variable). fixed income (annuities) is cancer. for retirement planning. it is the planned liquidation on ur purchasing power. because u have 2 subtract inflation. // he prefers all equities for long-term retirement planning. more than 5 year horizon. not emergency fund. // may err on safety; have emergency fund u can withdraw fund for expenses. // &! bv.ms/1NXQcOq &! bit.ly/1NEX1r1 &! bit.ly/1LB93yz
financial  literacy  personal  finance  investment  management  personal  financial  planning  Portfolio  behavioral  finance  behavioral  economics  financial  market  emotion  Greed  asset  allocation  asset  bubble  book  retirement  pension  scheme  public  pension  pension  obligation  pension  pension  fund  retirement  planning 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Private Tech Draws Wide Array of Mutual Funds — The Information
The number of traditionally public investors in Uber is higher than previously understood, according to regulatory filings. But questions about risk and liquidity remain.
Uber  growth  round  Silicon  Valley  Venture  Capital  Mutual  Fund  Private  Equity  Hedge  Fund  hunt  for  yield  liquidation  preferences  termsheet 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Hedge funds tell Puerto Rico: lay off teachers and close schools to pay us back | World news | The Guardian
Report commissioned by 34 hedge funds says government had been ‘massively overspending on education’ despite spending only 79% of US average per pupil [...] The group of 34 hedge funds hired former International Monetary Fund (IMF) economists to come up with a solution to Puerto Rico’s debt crisis after the island’s governor declared its $72bn debt “unpayable” – paving the way for bankruptcy. [...] The funds are “distressed debt” specialists, also known as vulture funds [ Heuschrecken], and several have also sought to make money out of crises in Greece and Argentina, the collapse of Lehman Brothers and the near collapse of Co-op Bank in the UK. // // they are implicit in lending money to a low grade borrower and took on the risk for higher interest rates. instead of looking out for long-term productive investment that benefit society, they go for the investment by click from a Bloomberg Panel, to meet their ROI at year end for their clients, promised in their annual letter.
Wall  Street  Hedge  Fund  crony  capitalism  ethical  machine  capitalism  Greece  banking  crisis  zombie  banks  investment  banking  economic  history  moral  beliefs  ethical  beliefs  ethics  creditrating  creditrisk  IMF  austerity  production  vulture  funds  Heuschreckendebatte  Private  Equity  Opportunism  opportunist  exploitation  Worldbank  World  Bank  Puerto  Rico  financial  market 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
The only stat about unicorns that should worry Silicon Valley
Now theres a new reason 2 fear the ‘corn: They are insanely capital inefficient. And over the last year, they’ve gotten even more so at an alarming rate... // dead Unicorn (their own making) because of burn rate w expensive offices ('we are successful'), developers, aggressive drive ('acquiring market share in a new market') to acquire customers (and not even making the math long term - life time customer value), ... with each round they have 2 be more aggressive, especially with these liquidity preferences inked in, actually keeping the risk level instead of reducing/mitigating the risk. All 2 blow out the IPO & not end up lower on day 1/compared 2 the last growth round. Box couldnt make a higher valuation after day 1 post-IPO than their last growth round via Private Equity. Existing investors got diluted in order to meet last rounds term sheet liquidity preferences/guarantees. // &! Either u risk more, or the other (competition) will, will outspend, overtake u. &! bit.ly/1Ji536P
burn  rate  Unicorn  Decacorn  runway  Silicon  Valley  growth  round  San  Francisco  Palo  Alto  Bill  Gurley  Start-Up  lesson  Start-Up  advice  Blue  Ocean  Venture  Capital  termsheet  liquidation  preferences  SPV  Mutual  Fund  Private  Equity  IPO 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
German Startups sagt Börsengang ab - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Following Rocket Internet. Trying to go public as investor. Like a KKR for Start-ups. Ups. Is this a symptom of the irrational exuberance and hubris? // Der Börsengang des Berliner Risikokapitalfinanzierers German Startups Group ist geplatzt. Auch eine Verlängerung des Angebotszeitraums in der vergangenen Woche brachte nicht die erhoffte Nachfrage nach den Aktien, teilte das Unternehmen am Dienstag nach Ablauf der Zeichnungsfrist mit. [...] German-Startups-Gründer Christoph Gerlinger wollte mit dem Börsengang 54 bis 72 Millionen Euro einsammeln. Die Erlöse sollten zum größten Teil in den Kauf weiterer junger Firmen gesteckt werden. Bei der German Startups Group handelt es sich um eine Beteiligungsgesellschaft mit Fokus auf jungen, schnellwachsenden Unternehmen. // [ Interesting to want to go IPO instead of asking Private Equity or Mutual Funds for a "growth round" like participation in the realm of 50-70m Euros. ]
irrational  exuberance  hubris  Silicon  Valley  Private  Equity  IPO  Germany  Rocket  Internet  Venture  Capital  hunt  for  yield  asset  allocation  alternative  investment  SPV  Mutual  Fund  growth  round  2015  Wall  Street  bubble  NASDAQ 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Fear Trumps Greed in Silicon Valley as Some Venture Firms Hedge - Bloomberg Business
[... high ops cost associated w SF/Palo Alto ... fancy office (and expensive (rarefied) developers from Google or Facebook) in SF as a sign of success while burning +2m per year at least with no cash flow in sight ... and with all consumer products being free and hoping to finance themselves in the future with advertising ... ] Some VCs are urging their companies to build a rainy day fund to ensure their survival. [...] It’s a constant battle deciding whether to invest in a potentially lucrative deal, said Philadelphia financier Rudy Karsan: “Greed versus fear.” [ Softbank Capital just last week came out publicly with a shift in strategy, to invest now ONLY in proven winners, at slightly premium to get in (and with preferred liquidation preferences in writing), &focus resources on those portfolio companies ... than to compete in a crowded, distorted, muggy, in transparent, very speculative (with lots of ifs and luck and bet on CEO to execute well) A-, B- (and C-Round) market. ]
Silicon  Valley  burn  rate  runway  cash  flow  cash-is-king  hunt  for  yield  distortion  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  growth  round  SPV  war  for  talent  Private  Market  Private  Equity  Hedge  Fund  Mutual  Fund  bubble  USA  Fed  Taper  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  Angel  Investor  Seed  business  model  advertising  VC  Venture  Capital  Greed  FOMO  bubble  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  SoftBank  Capital  IPO  NASDAQ  A  Unicorn  Decacorn  termsheet  liquidation  preferences  exit  strategy  M&A  acquisition  acquihire  acqui-hire  business  cycle  business  plan  business  investment  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  leverage  debtoverhang  irrational  exuberance 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Sacca: Bad Deals Are Being Done in Silicon Valley - Bloomberg Business
min 3 - normal people have been prices out of SV, SF, Palo Alto and around the region. sw engineers with entitelment and very little compassion. // bloom.bg/1I8NCAM &! bloom.bg/1Hzb5za &! bloom.bg/1BaVBji &! bloom.bg/1Fd2zQf (Amazon, Fb, Google, eBay, all had cash flow during its growth past IPO, Twitter ops too expensive compared to scale, living beyond its means. does not need to invest in warehouses (Amazon) nor data centers (Google)) // &! bloom.bg/1e8mFGd &! bloom.bg/1L2Accs &! bloom.bg/1INBZ7N &! bloom.bg/1TgmWqi &! http://lowercasecapital.com/2015/06/03/what-twitter-can-be-2/ &! http://lowercasecapital.com/2015/05/21/i-bleed-aqua/ - Sarah Lacy from pando argues, he bleeds green - pando.com/2015/06/11/the-icahn-was-coming-from-inside-the-house-why-dick-costolos-ouster-changes-the-valley/ &! pando.com/2015/06/12/im-more-similar-to-elon-the-5-silliest-things-chris-sacca-said-yesterday/
Chris  Sacca  Silicon  Valley  ecosystem  Twitter  runway  burn  rate  cash  flow  business  model  San  Francisco  Palo  Alto  hunt  for  yield  distortion  growth  round  SPV  Hedge  Fund  Mutual  Fund  late-stage  funding  Private  Market  Private  Equity  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  cash-is-king  Bill  Gurley  Unicorn  Hype  Cycle  inflation  Venture  Capital  Micro  VC  Angel  Investor  war  for  talent 
june 2015 by asterisk2a
One Thing All the Billion-Dollar Unicorns Have in Common | Re/code
[Granting liquidation preferences ie 2x or 3x to your investors/private equity/spv just so to get this growth round (covering burn) closed, is showing you not believing in your ability and product and company to make a profit now or in the very near future. Really? Liquidation preferences are anti VCish, everyone is not in the same boat. An addicts behaviour. Box granted in its last private round by PE, liquidation preferences and a guaranteed timeline to IPO both punitive, also bc timeline for IPO could not be met, both hurt the company and existing shareholders bc of dilution of their existing shares value.] “It turns out that for companies of a certain size, it’s not that hard to get to unicorn status, provided they’re willing to give their investors a lot of assurances that essentially cover their potential losses. The one thing common in every one of these funding deals, the firm says, that in every case — all 37 of them — investors demanded a ‘liquidation preference.'”
Unicorn  Start-Up  lesson  Start-Up  advice  Silicon  Valley  SPV  growth  round  hunt  for  yield  Private  Equity  burn  rate  runway  business  model  Venture  Capital  Mutual  Fund  Hedge  Fund  termsheet  liquidation  preferences 
may 2015 by asterisk2a
[PreMoney MIAMI] Upfront Ventures, Mark Suster, "Venture Outlook 2015 - Goldrush or Fool's Gold" - YouTube
(1) Change from Sales Funnel to Funnel of Intent on Mobile and Social Media. Lower Marketing/Early user acquisition cost at scale. And tap to credit cards to with one click through third party Platforms. And also Open Source Software Stacks and buying 'by time' the hardware stack on Google, AWS or Azure is paradigm shift. Results also in noise one has to break through first - raising the bar (by user choice) for everyone. (2) min10 - Value Creation held inside Private Market through growth & late-stage investing instead of IPO with single-class share structure with wobbily business numbers 'help you god that you aren't out 24m later' because of impatient Wall Street. (3) min14 Series D valuations show Private Market highest bidder wins phenomenon. But Valuations are up across the board. And with more Seed/Angel Investors, Seed Valuations are also bid up higher compared to ABC. // &! min29 youtu.be/25TxrhsXFvs - 500 Startups, Dave McClure "4 Years of Moneyball - What Have We Learned"
Silicon  Valley  Seed  Round  A  Round  growth  Venture  Capital  Sales  Funnel  Funnel  of  Intent  mobile  first  mobile  homescreen  mobile  phone  Social  Media  Start-Up  lesson  Start-Up  advice  hunt  for  yield  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  secular  stagnation  productive  investment  Private  Market  Platform  TOS  2000  dot.com  bubble  2008  IPO  Wall  Street  single-class  share  structure  SPV  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  Hedge  Fund  Mutual  Fund  Private  Equity  late-stage  funding  Unicorn  seedround  seedfunding  angelinvestor  angel-list  Angel  Investor  angelinvestors  incomplete  information  complexity  unintended  consequences  Dave  McClure  Mark  Suster  UpFront  Ventures  500  Start-ups  paradigm  shift 
april 2015 by asterisk2a
Gillmor Gang: Money for Nothing - Gillmor Gang | TechCrunch TV
min 42 // A Round is now a "post-traction" investment aka proven product & business model. A Round is an investment to scale it up, put it up a bunch of gears. // Keith Teare from chat.center (tcrn.ch/1IWFQ1X) people now doing pre-seed, seed, seed prime & bridge funding via existing investors; figuring out Product/Market fit, traction, funnel, etc. Now more than ever a hits driven business. // see also tcrn.ch/1c54UpN // Complexity of phenomenon - symptoms, causes and tangents; biases, selection bias, pattern matching, bidding up hot deals in the private market where the highest bidder will get the deal - irrationality of accepting those valuations and the founders Unicorn-status need, hunt for yield, trendy - the future, when doing 'hard things' becomes fashionable (ie Reality TV, TV Series & a shallow Channel 4's How To Be A Young Billionaire) then beware, negative yields for secure investments (bonds and corp debt), perceived 'conservative' value vs private bid up bubble potential.
Seed  Round  A  Round  traction  hunt  for  yield  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  unintended  consequences  Silicon  Valley  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  behavioral  finance  bond  bubble  bubbles  equity  bubble  demographic  bubble  secular  stagnation  complexity  growth  Start-Up  lesson  Start-Up  advice  pattern  matching  selection  bias  confirmation  bias  bias  Unicorn  Wall  Street  Private  Mutual  Fund  Hedge  Fund  Venture  Capital  savings  glut  productive  investment  business  model  Snapchat  WhatsApp  Instagram  Slack  Uber  productivity  output  gap  STEM  Share  Economy  Services  Industry  Niedriglohnsektor  incomplete  information  economic  history  marginal  cost  liquidity  trap  sovereign  debt  crisis  debt  bubble  zombie  banks  zombie  consumer  zombie  corporations  structural  imbalance  global  imbalances  faultlines  Product/Market  Fit  value  creation  1000  True  Fans  Core  Product  Proposition  differentiate  differentiation 
april 2015 by asterisk2a
What Etsy’s stellar debut doesn’t say about the IPO market | PandoDaily
markets so distorted [...] demand has grown strong enough investors are willing 2 overlook fact that most of tech companies IPOing still losing money. Last year 2/3 of tech companies that raised $100 million or more in IPOs went public with losses. This year, Box, GoDaddy & Etsy all received warm welcomes in public markets while awash in red ink. [bc there is so little alternative 4 actual earning any yield, money managers take on the risk anywy, bc otherwise they would look bad & get fired if they would not deploy the money. its always bad if u have 2 act in order 2 get not fired & not abel 2 say 'I will sit this 1 out.'] [day-one pop values etsy @18x revenue]. &! bit.ly/1HyfxNW [CEO Dickerson] & tcrn.ch/1G0ybi5 >> its abt shareholder value creation going forward >> bloom.bg/1E0H9br >> Founder "maximizing shareholder value is "ridiculous." // Cant marry WallStreet & long-term view, internal values, true 10x better customer value creation fwrd //&! bit.ly/1b08aC3 on.recode.net/1JNUY
Private  Equity  Hedge  Fund  Mutual  Fund  pension  Wall  Street  hunt  for  yield  distortion  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  secular  stagnation  Western  World  IPO  Unicorn  market  Silicon  Valley  incomplete  information  complexity  bubble  bond  bubble  asset  bubble  bubbles  demographic  bubble  speculative  bubbles  burn  rate  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  crony  capitalism  community 
april 2015 by asterisk2a
NEA Raises North Of $3B For Its New Fund | TechCrunch
I consistently hear that venture groups raising capital are oversubscribed. That directly implies that the firehose of cash fueling the venture capital and technology markets has yet to abate in any meaningful sense, if at all. The music is still playing, and at a furious pace. But with interest rates at zero and NASDAQ 5,000 back in our norm, who can be surprised? Regardless of how the technology industry apportions the risk created by that level of spend, we can feel secure in the fact that the same risk is concentrated in the private sector. This helps to protect the average person from investing in something more ephemeral than a Snapchat ad. So if it all goes to hell, it’s mostly the rich kids who will take it in the gut. Viva la tech.
hunt  for  yield  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion  incomplete  information  unintended  consequences  bond  bubble  equity  bubble  Private  growth  round  Mutual  Fund  Hedge  Fund  Silicon  Valley  burn  rate  economic  history  savings  glut  productive  investment  Super  Rich  1%  Wall  Street  liquidity  trap  complexity  recovery  GFC  speculative  bubbles  asset  bubble  secular  stagnation  borderless  flat  world  globalisation  globalization  Software  Is  Eating  The  output  gap  Western  productivity  STEM  Robotics  automation  algorithm  AI  artificial  intelligence  marginal  cost  3D  printing  augmented  intelligence  Share  Economy  Services  Industry  service  monetary  policy  austerity  IMF  OECD  debt  bubble  sovereign  debt  crisis  Gini  coefficient  inequality  Career  Politicians  Makers 
april 2015 by asterisk2a
Would you rather be a real millionaire or a paper billionaire? The psychology of unicorns and the toll on Q1 returns | PandoDaily
And yet total cash going to venture backed companies was a whopping $17.7 billion– up over the $12.6 billion raised in the same period last year. But here’s the thing: Only $11.3 billion of that came from venture firms, throwing into question whether we should even still keep using the adjective “venture-backed” to describe the category. The disparity shows just how much more money is coming from non-VCs like hedge funds, private equity, mutual funds, and sovereign wealth funds, who have watched the private valuation growth of Facebook and the rest of the deca-corns and are desperately trying to get a stake in private companies before they IPO. [...] Things have gotten strange for VCs — and in turn, entrepreneurs — and the climate doesn’t seem to be improving
Private  Equity  Hedge  Fund  Mutual  Fund  growth  round  Venture  Capital  Silicon  Valley  Unicorn  hunt  for  yield  Sovereign  Wealth  Fund  distortion  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  bubble  bond  bubble  debt  bubble  zombie  corporations  zombie  banks  Super  Cycle  savings  glut  liquidity  trap  productive  investment  speculative  bubbles  Wall  Street  incomplete  information  market  confirmation  bias  pattern  matching  pattern  recognition  selection  bias  bias  behavioral  finance 
april 2015 by asterisk2a
Big Valuations Come With Dangerous Small Print | TechCrunch
[FOCUS on strategy, product, management, world class org] & then came in the PE guys (HedgeFunds & PrivateMutualFunds) & other non-traditional investors in start-ups, when investing in startups, want 2 protect the downside & want guaranteed upside minimum. 2 have that cake, it has 2 be in the term sheet via preferred liquidation preference. 2 have that in case of a suboptimal next round (ie IPO) that is only slightly up or even a down round, existing investors have & will be diluted by issuing more shares for the last investor, the PE guys, 2 guarantee them their upside minimum. // Start-up lesson & advice is stick with traditional VC (which is high risk high return) and maybe Special Purpose Vehicles organized from existing investors and their network for growth rounds. // PS the intro speaks abt a company taking term-sheet that gave them the 1bn valuation; could be Slack & the guy complaining abt it could have been either Chris Sacca or AVC
SPV  Venture  Capital  growth  round  Private  Equity  Hedge  Fund  IPO  Mutual  Fund  mutualfunds  Start-Up  lesson  Start-Up  advice  Wall  Street  hunt  for  yield  distortion  Silicon  Valley  Unicorn 
april 2015 by asterisk2a
Englische Rentner profitieren von deutschem Knast | Panorama | NDR - YouTube
risk free finanzierungsmodel via Government. --- auf kosten aller steuerzahler. // Schuldenbremse. PPP-Project. Only Career Politicians could come up with something like that. Bipolar.
ZIRP  NIRP  QE  pension  fund  pension  scheme  Riester-Rente  Private  Altersvorsorge  Lebensversicherung  hunt  for  yield  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  Career  Politicians  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  Die  Schwarze  Null  budget  deficit  infrastructure  investment 
april 2015 by asterisk2a
Thiel: Alibaba is “fundamentally a political investment” that I wouldn’t make | PandoDaily
it’s not the return potential that seemingly gives Thiel pause. It’s the uncertainty around Alibaba’s connection to (and dependency on) the Chinese government.“I do think that the Chinese Internet has been largely off limits to Western investors, it’s been firewalled off,” “If you look at the world from the perspective of companies like Facebook or Google, places like Saudi Arabia and Iran are way more tolerant than China. You can get on Facebook in Saudi Arabia and you can’t get on it in China. So China is in this very weird category of its own.” Alibaba’s fate is tied to its ability to appease Chinese state officials. “Alibaba is sort of this protected Chinese company – it will do well, but it is fundamentally a political entity that is somehow very deeply connected with the Chinese government,” [...] you’ll do well if it continues to stay in the good graces of the Chinese government, but it’s fundamentally a political investment.” [ + Chinas Economic Transformation Task ]
Alibaba  China  economic  history  Peter  Thiel  economic  transformation  liberal  economic  reform  consumer  disposable  income  social  safety  net  babyboomers  demographic  bubble  pension  fund  public  pension  pension  scheme  IPO 
september 2014 by asterisk2a
Why Your Pension Fund Is Doomed In Five Easy Charts | Zero Hedge
It is at that point that the entire flawed economic system of the past century will finally be on its last legs, as one of the core pillars of the biggest lie of all, the welfare state, resting on the flawed assumption that assets grow at a faster compounded rate than liabilities, will have no choice but to look into the abyss.
public  pension  public  policy  pension  fund  pension  obligation  pension  scheme  pension  retirement  babyboomers 
november 2013 by asterisk2a
Spanien: Arbeiten bis zum Umfallen | Europa Aktuell - YouTube
nothing is safe. safety is an illusion. just change the law - and they can use your pension to pay debt off. done everywhere else. Portugal. Ireland. some east-European countries.
Spain  GFC  trust  pension  fund  Debt  Super  Cycle  confidence  pension  obligation  pension  scheme  sovereign  crisis  trustagent  greatdepression  pension  democracy  greatrecession 
october 2013 by asterisk2a
Inside SAC's Dell trade - YouTube
DOJ can't go after Cohen, goes after its Hedge Fund. >>> /watch?v=bNMjkwaEsfI + /watch?v=5LSuqeZGRbU + http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-07-25/sac-reassures-clients-as-steve-cohen-fights-to-stay-open.html + http://business.time.com/2013/07/25/steve-cohens-allegedly-corrupt-information-gathering-machine/ + http://www.bloomberg.com/video/barofsky-says-sac-capital-is-most-likely-done-pK~JrFxbSZmZCjM6YHnt5w.html "SAC is almost DONE. [...] lead about SAC insider trading extend came from other investigations; Raj Rajaratnam & Rajat Gupta. + /watch?v=8cC30LvTY38 + /watch?v=bIYWMfbtJAo + /watch?v=2Np2qP2ux1s
SAC  Capital  Advisors  DOJ  barofsky  Neil  hedgefund  barackobama  banking  crisis  too  big  to  jail  Rajat  Gupta  bank  crisis  policy  error  Raj  Rajaratnam  policy  folly  Hedge  Fund  insidertrading  trust  SEC  Steve  Cohen  confidence  hedgefonds  trustagent  confidenciality  WallStreet  insider  trading  presidency  Preet  Bharara  governance  corporate  governance 
july 2013 by asterisk2a
The Next Domino: Australia Doubles Tax On Retirement Savings | Zero Hedge
How much do you trust your government? >> Portugal, Ireland, Hungary & Co. raiding savings of ordinary people. raiding long-term funds for short-term holes. Promises are there to be broken. Laws to be rewritten. >> BOJ putting a tax in form of currency debasement (forced inflation / debt monetization) on its savers and pensioners. >> the problem with current form of democracy is - the short-term thinking that went on for 70 years.
currency  debasement  Politics  Europe  transferring-wealth  pension  scheme  IRA  BOJ  political  folly  Cyprus  Australia  democracy  greatrecession  lostdecade  policy  folly  JGB  middleclass  2013  lostgeneration  short-term  thinking  trust  pension  fund  working  poor  confidence  wealth  management  Error  401k  bail-in  trustagent  austerity  middle  class  USA  PIIGS  greatdepression  pension 
april 2013 by asterisk2a
Druckenmiller: "I See A Storm Coming" | Zero Hedge
Stanley Druckenmiller - skin in the game // "a storm coming, maybe bigger than the storm we had in 2008, 2010." "society's short-term thinking" > current senior stealing from current generation and future seniors
entitlement  spending  monetary  policy  Politics  Medicare  Medicaid  millennials  accountability  pension  scheme  generationy  Stanley  Druckenmiller  generational  change  demographic  bubble  trust  short-term  thinking  pension  fund  economic  history  fiscal  policy  confidence  pension  obligation  Social  Security  trustagent  bubble  ZIRP  demographics  nassimtaleb 
march 2013 by asterisk2a
The UK's Most Disturbing Number: Total Unfunded Pension Obligations = 321% Of GDP | ZeroHedge
Future Obligations, Promises, are massive ...

In summary, the estimates in the new supplementary table indicate a total Government pension obligation, at the end of December 2010, of £5.01 trillion, or 342 per cent of GDP, of which around £4.7 trillion relates to unfunded obligations.
Politics  pension  scheme  pension  obligation  pension  fund  UK 
november 2012 by asterisk2a
Spain Promises Much, Does Little And Will Tap Social Security Reserves For Funding | ZeroHedge
SPAIN TO TAP €3 BILLION FROM SOCIAL SECURITY RESERVES IN ORDER TO FUND LIQUIDITY NEEDS.

Incidentally this is the same fund which has 9 months of pension reserves and is invested in... drumroll... Spanish Bonds!

And cue to the riotcam.

-

Spain is yet another democratic country which plunders its citizens savings to mop up the floor while the sink is overflowing and the faucet is still running.
social  contract  socialsecurity  democracy  governance  government  Politics  greatrecession  Europe  sovereign  debt  crisis  austerity  pension  scheme  pension  obligation  pension  fund  2012  Spain 
september 2012 by asterisk2a
Auto-enrol UK workers into a pension (20Sept12) - YouTube
Incentive of 50% you put in, 50% put in gov and employer.
Auto enrol, and nudge theory, ...

Question is in the details; how is fund managed? is fund managed? how will payouts work? linked with inflation? etc etc
pension  obligation  Nudge  theory  behavioral  economics  pension  pension  fund  pension  scheme 
september 2012 by asterisk2a
PIMCO | Investment Outlook - Cult Figures
​- The long-term history of inflation adjusted returns from stocks shows a persistent but recently fading 6.6% real return since 1912.
- The legitimate question that market analysts, government forecasters and pension consultants should answer is how that return can be duplicated in the future.
- Unfair though it may be, an investor should continue to expect an attempted inflationary solution in almost all developed economies over the next few years and even decades.

[[For FX traders, a burgeoning era of inflation will ensure that high levels of volatility continue. Central bankers will repeatedly be tested and money will skip around the globe.]]

= Countries that take the brunt right now are Australia, Canada, New Zealand, Singapore, Brazil, Switzerland etc. countries where there is wealth and trust in institutions and or got natural resources (commodities, growing consumer), or is a creditor nation.
accounting  global-economy  global  imbalances  developed  world  frontiermarkets  emergingmarkets  BRIC  Switzerland  hot-money  currency-war  currency  debasement  unintended  consequences  EMU  UK  BOE  ECB  Fed  centralbanks  monetary  theory  monetary  policy  economic-thought  deleveraging  debt  bubble  debtoverhang  confidence  trustagent  trust  politics  pension  pension  scheme  pension  obligation  pension  fund  financial  repression  economic  history  Europe  USA  lostdecade  greatrecession  GFC  PIMCO  new-normal  inflation  reflation 
august 2012 by asterisk2a
Newspaper Industry Is Running Out of Time to Adapt to Digital Future - NYTimes.com
Between operational fiascos and flailing attempts to slash costs on the fly, it’s clear that the print newspaper business, which has been fretting over a looming crisis for the last 15 years, is struggling to stay afloat. There are smart people trying to innovate, and tons of great journalism is published daily, but the financial distress is more visible by the week.

“Most newspapers are in a place right now that they are going to have to make big cuts somewhere, and big seams are bound to show up at some point,” said Rick Edmonds, a media business analyst at the Poynter Institute.

- Those of us who work inside the racket like to think of our business as unique, but with underfunded pension plans, unserviceable debt and legacy manufacturing processes and union agreements, the newspaper industry looks a lot like, well, steel, autos and textiles.
Schumpeter's  gale  creative  destruction  change  New  York  Times  nytimes  corporate  governance  pension  fund  pension  scheme  pension  obligation  Newspaper  Industry  mediachange  media  newspapers 
july 2012 by asterisk2a
Buttonwood: Promise now, bill your children | The Economist
THE problem with pensions is that they are easy to promise but hard to fund. Politicians have in the past offered fat benefits and low retirement ages to voters. Bosses have offered similar goodies to workers. Without proper accounting, the full cost of those promises does not become clear for decades, by which time the politicians and bosses are long gone. Now the bill is coming due, as the new Pensions Outlook from the OECD, an international think-tank, shows.

Final-salary schemes were closed to new members, who were switched into defined contribution (DC) schemes, in which employees bear the investment risk.

In a DC scheme, the economics of pension provision become crystal clear. Lower contributions and poor investment returns mean a smaller pension pot. Low interest rates mean that any given pot delivers a smaller income. Workers will need to save more if they are to have an ample income after retirement.
accounting  accountability  transparency  governance  democracy  corruption  pension  scheme  politics  pension  fund  pension  unfunded 
june 2012 by asterisk2a
"Which Eurobonds?" by Jeffrey Frankel | Project Syndicate
The introduction of Eurobonds – joint, aggregate eurozone liabilities – could be part of the solution, if designed properly. There is certainly demand for them in China and other major emerging countries, which are desperate for an alternative to low-yielding US government securities.
CommentsBut Germany remains opposed on moral-hazard grounds: a joint guarantee of Eurozone members’ liabilities would strengthen individual national governments’ incentive to spend beyond their means. Indeed, this version of Eurobonds would fail, both economically and politically.

But a different version has begun to gain traction in Germany. The German Council of Economic Experts has proposed a European Redemption Fund (ERF). The plan would convert into de facto 25-year Eurobonds the existing sovereign debt of member countries in excess of 60% of GDP.

[But there is still moral hazard left even with this solution .. at the 60% margin.]
PIIGS  Europe  EMU  debtoverhang  history  default  ERF  European  Redemption  Fund  moralhazard  eurobond 
june 2012 by asterisk2a
Sustainable capitalism: Blood, Gore and capitalism | The Economist
A key issue is whether all this extra information and rewards for loyalty will result in demands for more sustainable performance from those who own companies. As well as calling for company bosses to be paid in ways that incentivise sustainable long-term performance, the manifesto rightly shines a critical light on the pay of fund managers employed by institutional shareholders such as pension funds. Often, these managers are paid for short-term financial results, even though the liabilities of those investors—all of our pensions, for instance—are mostly very long-term.

This prompts the thought that institutional investors that incentivise short-term performance when their liabilities are long-term may be in breach of their fiduciary duty as managers of other people's money. Indeed, maybe this incentive mismatch could provide the basis for a lawsuit. Messrs Blood and Gore say they are intrigued by the possibilities for such litigation to drive change, ...
algore  pension  fund  fiduciary  responsibility  capitalism 
february 2012 by asterisk2a

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