to_read   32585

« earlier    

Alpha Centauri by Hth
Alpha Centauri is a trinary star system composed of a primary pair of yellow dwarfs (Alpha Centauri A and B) gravitationally bound to an outlying red dwarf (Proxima Centauri). This is exactly like that.
sga  john/rodney/ronon  hth  wordcount:>100.000  to_read 
7 days ago by tittakv
Social Space Diffusion: Applications of a Latent Space Model to Diffusion with Uncertain Ties - Jacob C. Fisher, 2019
"Social networks represent two different facets of social life: (1) stable paths for diffusion, or the spread of something through a connected population, and (2) random draws from an underlying social space, which indicate the relative positions of the people in the network to one another. The dual nature of networks creates a challenge: if the observed network ties are a single random draw, is it realistic to expect that diffusion only follows the observed network ties? This study takes a first step toward integrating these two perspectives by introducing a social space diffusion model. In the model, network ties indicate positions in social space, and diffusion occurs proportionally to distance in social space. Practically, the simulation occurs in two parts. First, positions are estimated using a statistical model (in this example, a latent space model). Then, second, the predicted probabilities of a tie from that model—representing the distances in social space—or a series of networks drawn from those probabilities—representing routine churn in the network—are used as weights in a weighted averaging framework. Using longitudinal data from high school friendship networks, the author explores the properties of the model. The author shows that the model produces smoothed diffusion results, which predict attitudes in future waves 10 percent better than a diffusion model using the observed network and up to 5 percent better than diffusion models using alternative, non-model-based smoothing approaches."
to:NB  to_read  social_influence  social_networks  network_data_analysis  re:homophily_and_confounding  to_teach:baby-nets  via:gabriel_rossman 
7 days ago by cshalizi
During Business Hours: A Filthy Coffee Shop AU by samanthahirr
Unemployed artist Steve takes a job managing the worst coffee shop in Brooklyn, where the floors are greasy, the coffee beans have expired, the espresso machine’s been sabotaged, and the owners might be Russian Mafia. But the job comes with a few perks, like a generous paycheck, reasonable hours, and one super-hot customer whom Steve can’t resist having dirty, filthy, bad-idea sex with in the bathroom.

Steve is pretty sure this job is going to kill him. But what a way to go....
avengers_au  steverogers/buckybarnes  samanthahirr  coffee_shop  angst  bigbang  wordcount:20.000-29.999  to_read 
8 days ago by tittakv
[1703.00045] Aggregated knowledge from a small number of debates outperforms the wisdom of large crowds
"The aggregation of many independent estimates can outperform the most accurate individual judgment. This centenarian finding, popularly known as the wisdom of crowds, has been applied to problems ranging from the diagnosis of cancer to financial forecasting. It is widely believed that social influence undermines collective wisdom by reducing the diversity of opinions within the crowd. Here, we show that if a large crowd is structured in small independent groups, deliberation and social influence within groups improve the crowd's collective accuracy. We asked a live crowd (N=5180) to respond to general-knowledge questions (e.g., what is the height of the Eiffel Tower?). Participants first answered individually, then deliberated and made consensus decisions in groups of five, and finally provided revised individual estimates. We found that averaging consensus decisions was substantially more accurate than aggregating the initial independent opinions. Remarkably, combining as few as four consensus choices outperformed the wisdom of thousands of individuals."
to:NB  to_read  experimental_sociology  collective_cognition  re:democratic_cognition  via:henry_farrell 
10 days ago by cshalizi

« earlier    

related tags

!het  #nodapl  aha!  angst  ao3  apolloxi  arrow  arxiv  astronomy  au!brooklyn99  au  author:belladonna_q  author:elsaclack  author:miabria  avengers_au  bigbang  blackpanther  book  books!  books  bre  business  c++  c-lang  captainmarvel  censorship  character:persephone  coffee_shop  collective_cognition  culture  deltoro  depression  development  ebook  escape-room  experimental_design  experimental_sociology  fandom:brooklyn99  fandom:hannibal  fandom:mythology  fantastic_literature  farming  fic  free  freelancing  h/c  hci  history  hope  hth  iarichards  illness  information-theory  instagram  interesting!  internet  ios  john/rodney/ronon  kidfic  learning  learning_theory  logic  machine-learning  management  math:dynamical_systems  math_and_stats  medical  ml  model_checking  movies  mushrooms  network_data_analysis  networked_life  neural_networks  news  numeric_methods  oliverqueen/felicitysmoak  openaccess  pairing:amy/jake  positive  postpairing:amy/teddy  practicalcriticism  prediction  programming  przed  q/007  queen  r  rakhlin.sasha  rating:pg13  re:actually-dr-internet-is-the-name-of-the-monsters-creator  re:democratic_cognition  re:do_not_adjust_your_receiver  re:homophily_and_confounding  rendering  research  riversoflondon  samanthahirr  schmoop  science_fiction  scifi  sga  singin_in_the_rain  six@six  so_caffeinated  social_influence  social_networks  socialmedia  sociology  software  space!  spatial_ecology  spatial_statistics  splines  star_wars  startrek  statistics  statistics:spatial  statistics:time_series  steverogers/buckybarnes  stochastic_methods  stochasticity  swift-lang  tattoos  technology  thor  time  to:nb  to_be_shot_after_a_fair_trial  to_do  to_teach  to_teach:baby-nets  to_teach:data_over_space_and_time  to_teach:undergrad-ada  travel  tutorial  useful  ux  web2.0  wip  wordcount:>100.000  wordcount:>200.000  wordcount:20.000-29.999  wordcount:50.000-74.999  work  workplace  writing 

Copy this bookmark: