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Are We at Full Employment? Taking Issue With Paul Krugman (see addendum) | Beat the Press | Blogs | Publications | The Center for Economic and Policy Research
To argue the case that it is, Krugman follows Jason Furman in dismissing the drop in prime-age labor force participation as just being part of a longer-term trend. This leaves me uncomfortable for a couple of reasons.

First, it would be nice to have an explanation for the trend, instead of just pointing to it and saying "trend." We have clear explanations for trends like rising incomes through time or increases in life expectancy. What is the explanation for fewer men interested in working through time? Will this decline persist forever?

That brings me to the second reason I am uncomfortable with this story. Insofar as there had been an explanation, it was usually that the skills of less-educated men were less valued in the modern economy. We no longer need strong people to move things around, machines do that for us.

There undoubtedly is some truth to this story, except the drop in employment rates (EPOPs) since 2007, and especially since 2000, has been pretty much across the board. EPOPs have fallen for both men and women and at pretty much all education levels. These drops are departures from past trends. (Women's EPOPs had been rising until the 2001 recession.) A shortage of demand is the most simple explanation for why there would be a sudden drop in EPOPs hitting pretty much every demographic group.
economics  politics  data  reference  stats  argument 
just now by kmt
Sweden Distributes Pamphlets on Preparing For War | Time
Sweden has not gone to war with another country for over two centuries, but that hasn’t stopped the government from reissuing an emergency manual from World War II that advises citizens on how best to cope with hypothetical hostilities.
bcmnews 
just now by mhaemmerle
Discovery: When Daft Punk Became Robots
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-VC6UtNZBnM

In 2001, when the French electronic duo Daft Punk released Discovery, few who fell in love with it could imagine the thread it would lace through pop music and pop culture.
ncpin  ncv  VideoEssays  DaftPunk  Animation  Music 
just now by walt74
Lies to children
It seems that in the early 20th century, Elbert Hubbard wrote a series of historical fiction pieces aimed at children, collected in his 14-volume Little Journeys to the Homes of Great Teachers. One of the volumes (first published in 1908) includes a story about Hypatia. We don’t know much about Hypatia’s actual life, so Hubbard’s story is almost entirely made up from Hubbard’s own imagination: the training regimen her father set her, her journey to Athens to visit Plutarch, the 20th-century rationalist doctrines her father instilled in her (later to be attributed as quotes to her), all fiction.
history  gender  math  reference 
1 minute ago by kmt
Datenverlust in Zeiten von DSGVO - it-daily.net
Vom Gehaltszettel über das Röntgenbild bis zum Steuerbescheid – nur wenige Wochen vor Inkrafttreten von DSGVO deckte ein Report von Digital Shadows den Umfang an Daten auf, die im Netz frei zugänglich sind. Insgesamt fanden sie 1,5 Mrd. Dokumente. Deutschland nimmt dabei einen unrühmlichen Spitzenplatz ein. Ein Interview mit Stefan Bange, Country Manager Deutschland von Digital Shadows.
bcmnews 
2 minutes ago by mhaemmerle
City of Lies Trailer #1 (2018)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_oIgOc2YEPY

US Release Date: September 7, 2018
Starring: Johnny Depp, Forest Whitaker, Toby Huss
Directed By: Brad Furman
Synopsis: The murders of Tupac Shakur and Notorious BIG spark an investigation.
ncpin  ncv  Movies  Trailer 
3 minutes ago by walt74
Is your A/B testing effort just chasing statistical ghosts? | Mats Stafseng Einarsen
I’ve always felt that the idea of repeated significance testing error and false positive rates is a bit of a pedantic academic exercise. via Pocket
IFTTT  Pocket  data  science 
3 minutes ago by joostw
South Africa: Small, Local Solutions Can Crack Water Crises - A South African Case Study - allAfrica.com
South Africa:Small, Local Solutions Can Crack Water Crises - A South African Case Study May 22, 2018 at 06:14AM https://ift.tt/2wZErJy [The Conversation Africa] World attention has recently been focused on the water crisis facing the South African city of Cape Town, a metropolis of four million people. There is obviously deep sympathy with the plight of the residents. But the drama draws attention away from an even more concerning set of issues. The main one is that many people in rural southern Africa live without any potable water at all. And many are at serious risk because of global climate change. via AllAfrica News: Water and Sanitation https://ift.tt/2uvmg8k
iftt  All  Feeds  Active  EVC  AllAfrica.com 
4 minutes ago by leconeyc
Fic: Paradise Circus [NC-17, Dean/Cas]: nanoochka
nc-17 (overall), 15k (total), spn verse - s5, 2010

(established, top!dean, bottom!cas, bottom!dean, top!cas, switching, humor, pwp) 
spn  fanfiction  destiel  ficrec  + 
4 minutes ago by tinyirishdancer
Angriff auf Regierungsnetzwerk: Sicherheitsexperten kennen Vorgehen russischer Hacker | ZEIT ONLINE
Der Angriff auf das deutsche Regierungsnetzwerk war gezielt, die Methode aufwendig und teuer. Offenbar gelangten die Hacker über einen Außenamtsmitarbeiter ins System.
bcmnews 
5 minutes ago by mhaemmerle
OUR HOUSE (2018) TRAILER HD
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rfGkyClUCJI

A young genius accidentally invents a device that amplifies the paranormal activity within his family's house, possibly bringing back the spirits of loved ones, and unleashing things far worse.
ncpin  ncv  Movies  Trailer 
5 minutes ago by walt74
How I Work Hard Without Burning Out – The Blog Of Darius Foroux – Medium
Image Credit Do you ever feel that the demands of your job are too much? If so, that’s not a surprise. Modern-day life demands much of us as human beings. That…
6 minutes ago by jiuks
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