philgyford + overlinks   60

8 Lessons from 20 Years of Hype Cycles | Michael Mullany | LinkedIn
Reviewing past Gartner Hype Cycles. They could do with an alternative line that forks from the trough of disillusionment down into the abyss of failure. (via @tomtaylor)
futures  overlinks  predictions  gartnerhypecycle  technology  michaelmullany  via:tomtaylor 
7 weeks ago by philgyford
Who’s killing the (self-driving) electric car? – Startup Grind – Medium
Good on predictions about self-driving and/or electric cars, and why the two improvements may not happen together. (via @cityofsound)
via:cityofsound  cars  peterw  overlinks 
june 2017 by philgyford
Speculating Futures
A reading list. "Speculating Futures looks at past speculative narratives, like those of Ursula K. Le Guin, and past attempts at creating technological utopia, like Chile's Cybersyn."
reading  books  futures  futurism  futurology  overlinks  sciencefiction  francistseng 
may 2017 by philgyford
The Best Way to Predict the Future is to Issue a Press Release
Brilliant transcript of a talk by Audrey Watters on predictions about the future of technology, what they mean, why they're wrong, etc. Very good. (via Russell Davies)
audreywatters  futures  overlinks  futurism  futurology  predictions  education  via:russelldavies 
november 2016 by philgyford
Why We Need to Pick Up Alvin Toffler’s Torch - The New York Times
About how futurism isn't really done any more. Although he only talks to one (maybe) futurist. (via @MikeForester)
via:mikeforester  farhadmanjoo  futurism  overlinks  alvintoffler 
july 2016 by philgyford
Limits to Growth was right. New research shows we're nearing collapse | Cathy Alexander and Graham Turner | Comment is free | theguardian.com
The "Business As Usual" scenario is looking accurate, 42 years on, although we haven't yet seen if we reach the turning points, which will be the real (unpleasant) test. (via @agpublic)
via:agpublic  futures  futurism  scenarios  overlinks  limitstogrowth  environment  predictions 
september 2014 by philgyford
Centre for the Study of Existential Risk
In Cambridge, UK, horizon scanning for high impact, low probability events. (via the Guardian)
futures  futurism  scanning  overlinks  cambridge  uk  via:guardian  futurology 
august 2014 by philgyford
The Fermi Paradox - Wait But Why
Really good stuff explaining the many possible theories for why we haven't heard from any alien races given the (potentially) very large number of intelligent civilisations in the galaxy. (via Kottke)
timurban  via:kottke  space  futures  overlinks  longnow  aliens 
june 2014 by philgyford
I’m Just Now Realizing How Stupid We Are
One thing learned from writing 3000 Motley Fool columns: "I've learned that short-term thinking is at the root of most of our problems, whether it's in business, politics, investing, or work." One for the futurists there. (via Kottke)
via:kottke  morganhousel  futures  futurology  overlinks  economics  biases  finance  advice 
june 2014 by philgyford
After You’ve Gone by Thomas Nagel | The New York Review of Books
On thinking about the world after we, as individuals, die. And the importance of "the collective afterlife", "the survival and continued renewal of humanity after our personal death". (Subscribers only)
thomasnagel  nyrb  nybooks  futures  futurism  overlinks  futurology  death  philosophy  samuelscheffler 
june 2014 by philgyford
IBM's 5 predictions for the future - CNN.com
This is pretty depressing. Five ideas that all involve using computers to measure everything to "improve" our lives. It's a ruthlessly automated future, with no room for humanity, thoughtfulness, common sense, caring, vision, or true spontaneous innovation. (via @thomasfuchs)
via:thomasfuchs  ibm  futures  scenarios  overlinks  future 
december 2013 by philgyford
Potlatch: 20 public-spirited lawyers could change the world
Lawyers are the creators of a future in which the rest of us must live. By Will Davies (it doesn't say anywhere on the page). (via @moleitau)
capitalism  law  via:moleitau  willdavies  future  futures  overlinks 
september 2013 by philgyford
The Online Photographer: (OT) How Do You Build A Starship-Building Organization?
About last September's first conference by the 100 Year Starship foundation, starting to work out what kind of organisation would be required to launch a starship 100 years from now.
ctein  theonlinephotographer  futures  futurism  overlinks  space  100yss 
may 2013 by philgyford
Why People Really Love Technology: An Interview with Genevieve Bell - Alexis C. Madrigal - The Atlantic
Very interesting interview with the Intel researcher. Some good bits on demographics of the internet; fear (or not) of robots; physical vs digital; tactility; fear of the TV red button. (via @annegalloway)
via:annegalloway  genevievebell  alexismadrigal  technology  futures  futurism  overlinks  futurology 
december 2012 by philgyford
Teaching about the Future: Amazon.co.uk: Dr Peter C Bishop, Andy Hines: Books
New, expensive, book from my old futures professor and an alumni who now also teaches at Houston.
andyhines  peterbishop  petercbishop  futures  overlinks  books  futurism  futurology 
september 2012 by philgyford
How low (power) can you go? - Charlie's Diary
Charlie Stross takes Moore's Law and Koomey's Law (improving power consumption) for a walk and imagines a very, very conmected city. (via blech)
via:blech  charlesstross  mooreslaw  koomeyslaw  cities  urbanism  overlinks  scenarios  futures 
august 2012 by philgyford
Open the Future: The Future Isn't What It Used to Be
About how so much futurism is about technological change, but how that tech change is very incremental and not as interesting as the bigger, messier societal changes. Yes. (via BERG)
via:berg  jamaiscascio  futures  futurology  futurism  overlinks  socialchange 
january 2012 by philgyford
Imperica - The future of the future
Leila Johnston and Chris Heathcote discuss (in text) visions of the future, and advertising's representation of the future.
overlinks  chrisheathcote  leilajohnston  futures  futurism  advertising  futurology 
january 2012 by philgyford
Homework and Jacuzzis as Dorms Move to McMansions in California - NYTimes.com
Big, cul-de-sac houses in America rented cheap by students. These cut-off developments are ripe to become the same kind of dead-end ghettos as neglected estates and 60s high-rises. (via @GreatDismal)
via:greatdismal  urbanism  overlinks  california  patricialeighbrown  housing  suburbs  cities 
november 2011 by philgyford
A 53% Surge in Poverty Rate Is Reshaping Suburbs - NYTimes.com
I've thought for years, decades, that when sprawling suburbs with few through roads stop being comfortably wealthy, their unlivableness is going to be horribly apparent. Dead ends in two senses.
sabrinatavernise  nytimes  suburbs  urbanism  townplanning  overlinks 
october 2011 by philgyford
Peak oil, the next Kondratiev cycle, generational turnings, and ERE Early Retirement Extreme: — The choice nobody ever told you about
Great thinking on long term futures. Kondratiev cycles, peak oil, the downturn, the next world war, generations. Well worth a read.
jacoblundfisker  futures  overlinks  generations  scenarios  retirement 
october 2011 by philgyford
Noah Raford » Complete PhD Online
“Large Scale Participatory Futures Systems: a Comparative Study of Online Scenario Planning Approaches” focused on the field of urban planning. I would like to work out how to make time to read this. (via @cityofsound)
via:cityofsound  noahraford  scenarios  futures  overlinks  urbanism  urbanplanning 
october 2011 by philgyford
Astrogator’s Logs » Blog Archive » If They Come, It Might Get Built
"If we launch starships, whether of exploration or settlement, they won’t be conquerors; they will be worse off than the Polynesians on their catamarans, the losses will be heavy and their state at planetfall won’t resemble anything depicted in Hollywood SF." (via Futurismic)
athenaandreadis  overlinks  spavetravel  futures  via:futurismic  from delicious
october 2011 by philgyford
The Technium: The Futurist's Dilemma
"Any believable prediction will be wrong. Any correct prediction will be unbelievable. ... the sweet spot that science fiction authors aim for" is the point on the cusp of "plausibility and fantasy".
kevinkelly  futures  futurism  overlinks  predictions  from delicious
september 2011 by philgyford
Charlie's Diary: The High Frontier, Redux
Charles Stross on why space colonisation is a ridiculous idea. Colonising our own deserts and oceans is much, much easier but we're in no rush to do that. (via Tom Taylor)
via:tomtaylor  charlesstross  overlinks  futures  spacecolonisation  space  from delicious
september 2011 by philgyford
Populations: End of history and the last woman | The Economist
Taking projections of declining birth rates literally results in Hong Kong's population dying out in 2798, Brazil by year 5000.
population  demographics  economist  futures  overlinks  future  from delicious
august 2011 by philgyford
BBC News - One word we don't hear enough: 'Erm'
From January 2010, Michael Blastland shows how wrong the Bank of England's GDP projection fan charts can be. (Also, that daft "The face of uncertainty..." stock photo and caption is priceless.)
michaelblastland  economics  bankofengland  gdp  forecasting  futures  overlinks  futurism  graphs  from delicious
august 2011 by philgyford
The Technium: Corporate Long-term-ism
"There is a strong anti-government attitude at loose in the world (not just in the US) that believes that government can only screw things up. And at the same time, a belief that corporations are the prime engines of all that is socially good."
kevinkelly  government  politics  business  companies  overlinks  futures  from delicious
july 2011 by philgyford
Human Cloning in Japan
Wow. Scroll down... and down... until you get to the dolls with the scary, amazing, horrible, wonderful heads based on scans of real people. Imagine having a collection of one of these for every year of your life... (via @wonderlandblog)
via:wonderlandblog  dolls  bodyscanning  3dscanning  toys  figures  3dprinting  japan  overlinks  from delicious
june 2011 by philgyford
trendwatching.com: Join our team
TrendWatching have two full-time jobs going in London. A decade ago I expect I would have been super keen on these.
jobs  trendwatching  overlinks  scanning  london  from delicious
january 2011 by philgyford
Cognitive Cities Conference, 26. & 27. February, Berlin
Could be interesting, and is in Berlin, and has Hammersley, Greenfield, Voss and others I don't know. (via @mattb)
via:mattb  conferences  berlin  cities  futures  urbansim  overlinks 
december 2010 by philgyford
FOODTUBES
"GOODS-IN and WASTE-OUT computer-guided, lightweight capsules, travelling through dozens of interlinking 150 km circuits." Property crazy-looking 1990s style website too. Brilliant. (via @tomtaylor)
via:tomtaylor  food  futures  overlinks  tubes  foodtubes 
december 2010 by philgyford
Utopia - Charlie's Diary
Charlie Stross on why we need more utopian visions of the future. Not being very up with science fiction, I've been wondering recently if there is some of this around. Maybe not, yet. (via Magical Nihilism)
via:magicalnihilism  charlesstross  utopias  sciencefiction  futures  overlinks 
december 2010 by philgyford
Optimistontour.com - Pragmatic Idealism for the future
'An Optimist's Tour of the Future' sounds like an interesting book. Today's future needs more optimism. (via @thestory2011)
via:thestory2011  markstevenson  books  futures  futurism  futurology  overlinks 
november 2010 by philgyford
Actroid F Female Telepresence Robot Looks Super Real, Creepy (video)
Watch the videos. Yes, a bit creepy but also amazing progress with making human-like expressions with machines.
robots  androids  actroidf  singularityhub  overlinks 
october 2010 by philgyford
Kardashev scale - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
"The scale has three designated categories called Type I, II, and III. These are based on the amount of usable energy a civilization has at its disposal, and the degree of space colonization." (via The Speculist)
via:thespeculist  energy  overlinks  futures  civilization  spacetravel 
october 2010 by philgyford
A radical pessimist's guide to the next 10 years - The Globe and Mail
While my favourite Vancouver-based science fiction author (William Gibson) is writing about the present, my favourite Vancouver-based chronicler of the now (Douglas Coupland) has written this about the future. (via @moleitau)
douglascoupland  future  futures  overlinks  2020  futurism  via:moleitau 
october 2010 by philgyford
BLDGBLOG: Predisposed
More on that "how to tell future generations about dangerous things" problem. Fascinating stuff.
bldgblog  futures  overlinks  nuclearwaste  sellafield  longnow 
september 2010 by philgyford
OCAD - Graduate Studies - MDes in Strategic Foresight and Innovation
I hadn't heard of this Master of Design at the Ontario College of Art & Design. Interesting.
design  futures  education  overlinks  foresight  futurism  ontario  ocad  designfutures 
august 2010 by philgyford
DecisionLab » FacilitationCamp
Next Friday and Saturday in Vauxhall. Might be interesting / useful? (via @wendyinfutures)
via:wendyinfutures  london  facilitationcamp  conferences  futures  overlinks 
august 2010 by philgyford
BLDGBLOG: On the Road Again
A bunch of links that, while fascinating, you shouldn't read if you're feeling at all pessimistic about things. This isn't the future I was hoping for.
bldgblog  overlinks  environment 
august 2010 by philgyford
Space Cadets - Charlie's Diary
Space colonisation would require a huge organised effort in an uninhabitable environment and so is "incompatible with both libertarian ideology and the myth of the American frontier." (via Warren Ellis)
via:warrenellis  charlesstross  space  spacecolonisation  libertarianism  exploration  overlinks  futures 
august 2010 by philgyford
Anthony Lau, Floating City 2030: Thames Estuary Aquatic Urbanism - a set on Flickr
A project to visualise a floating city in the Thames Estuary. Lovely images. (via BLDGBLOG)
via:bldgblog  london  architecture  cities  overlinks  anthonylau  bartlett 
july 2010 by philgyford
SXSW 2010 for Futurists
Some interesting things there, some of which might ease the pangs from the end of ETech. (via Tom Taylor)
via:tomtaylor  sxsw  sxsw2010  futurism  overlinks  technology 
march 2010 by philgyford
Quantum Rocketry » Blog Archive » thoughts on space battles
"A Ph.D. candidate in aerospace engineering" on how spacecraft and space weapons could work in reality. Occasionally like in the movies, often different. (via John August)
via:johnaugust  spacecraft  space  war  overlinks  josephshoer  futures 
december 2009 by philgyford
The Technium: 1,000 Years of Forgetting
I often think how even the most famous people alive today won't be remembered in the distant future. But more importantly... A BRILLIANT video from the year 3000!
futures  beatles  kevinkelly  longnow  futurism  futurology  fame  overlinks 
december 2009 by philgyford
The Viridian Design Movement
Bruce Sterling closed Reboot last week and, even though I'd heard and read some of it before it was a wonderful, weary, preaching, telling off. It made me read this again.
brucesterling  viridian  reboot  reboot11  environment  technology  sustainability  future  overlinks 
july 2009 by philgyford
Systemic - Too cheap to meter
Trying to calculate the monetary value of distant planets. I'd like to see calculations with a different example at the start, and different measures of inflation.
via:kottke  overlinks  money  economy  land  space  planets 
june 2009 by philgyford
YouTube - Google Wave Developer Preview at Google I/O 2009
I finally got round to watching this demo. I rarely need collaborative tools and I like plain text email. And yet this really looks like the future. Worth setting aside some time to watch until the end.
google  wave  googlewave  demo  io  email  collaboration  videos  overlinks 
june 2009 by philgyford
This is going into my "best ever" box of forum threads (Philosophistry)
Great future-y thought experiment: "So many of our grandparents were racist, and some of out parents are homophobes. Which of our own closely held beliefs will our own children and grandchildren by appalled by?" (via Danhon)
via:danhon  futures  futurism  futurology  thoughtexperiment  reddit  beliefs  morality  ethics  future  overlinks 
june 2009 by philgyford
The Long Now Blog » Blog Archive » All you need to jump start civilization…
"On this one graphic is all the stuff you need to know to jump start a civilization (or get super rich if you travel back in time)." Fun.
overlinks  technology  timetravel  civilization  science  poster  tshirt  longnow 
april 2009 by philgyford
Johann Hari: You are being lied to about pirates - Johann Hari, Commentators - The Independent
Interesting, regarding the "West" treating developing countries badly (dumping nuclear waste, catching their fish) and then beginning to suffer consequences. (via Boing Boing)
overlinks  piracy  somalia  africa  nuclearwaste  johannhari  independent  via:boingboing 
april 2009 by philgyford

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