petej + generalelection   669

An election would be a headache for Labour – and all-out war for the Tories | Polly Toynbee | Opinion | The Guardian
But an election called now would cause both major parties near-terminal dilemmas in how to fight it. Labour might hope and try to make it about other issues, but this time there would be no ducking the question. On Thursday, Corbyn talked of a victorious Labour government re-opening negotiations on better terms. That’s what he must say this week, in the prescribed sequencing, but next week that will change. It is entirely impossible that Labour, its members, its MPs and polling pressure from its voters, could allow a campaign in favour of any kind of Brexit. But nor, many say, could it baldly call for remain. It would have to put a referendum into its manifesto, with the party supporting remain. There would be dissenters.

But that would be nothing compared with the warfare that would break out over the Tory manifesto in an election now. The party would fragment in radically different directions, European Research Group versus remainers, referendumites, Canadians and Norwegians. Besides, they would need a new leader fast and their membership would choose a more divisive ardent Brexiteer.
UK  politics  Brexit  withdrawalAgreement  generalElection  LabourParty  CorbynJeremy  referendum  PeoplesVote  Article50  extension  dctagged  dc:creator=ToynbeePolly 
10 weeks ago by petej
Labour’s refusal to oppose Brexit is becoming a historic error
The attitude of Corbyn loyalists is that Remainers have nowhere else to go besides Labour. If Labour enable Brexit, this will have no noticeable impact on how Remainers vote in any general election. They dismiss a poll that suggests Labour could lose a large number of votes by attacking the poll: it was funded by the People’s Vote campaign, and “who believes polls?” A more thoughtful criticism is that you are bound to get a large number in any question who highlight Brexit, but general elections will be fought over many issues. In short, Remainers on the left will always vote Labour.

I would agree that one poll tells you little about any future general election, but what it does reveal is the intensity of feeling over the Brexit issue. I think many among the Labour leadership and Corbyn loyalists fail to understand this. They prefer instead to misplace Remainers as the centrist enemy, and see attacks on Corbyn over Brexit as just one more means by which the centre and right of Labour attack Labour. This is a serious mistake.
UK  Brexit  politics  LabourParty  CorbynJeremy  generalElection  Leave  Remain  PeoplesVote  referendum  identity  migrants  freedomOfMovement  dctagged  dc:creator=Wren-LewisSimon 
11 weeks ago by petej
Decline and Fall: What Next for May’s Deal? | Novara Media
The third option is a general election. Without the fixed-term Act passed to shore up the Cameron-Clegg coalition, such an election would already be underway; it is the natural remedy for political impasse. An election allows not only a conversation about Brexit in narrow technical terms, but to put to the country the profoundly differing visions of the future which now exist between the two major parties, including a throughgoing rejection of Conservative economics, a rebalancing of the country’s disgorged financial sector, and an end to the punitive austerity of the past Tory administrations. Such an election would be difficult for Labour: it would require the party to clarify its Brexit plans beyond the six tests, in explicit propositional terms, and require a future Labour government to push for renegotiation under an extended Article 50, in order to rectify the mess and incompetence of the Tory negotiating team. This seems the best strategy for the left in Labour: it will require those active in the party to demand their MPs refuse Tory fear-mongering and the siren call of Soubry’s national government.

As we enter what looks like the endgame of May’s ministry, the sights of the left ought to be focused on the possibility of a transformational, socialist government. Behind the political churn, deep questions lurk: what sovereignty looks like in a globalised world, how to rectify the decades of wreckage inflicted by successive governments on this country and its working class, how to adequately tackle the planetary death spiral capitalism has locked us into. Only the left can answer those questions – and it now must.
UK  EU  Brexit  withdrawalAgreement  MayTheresa  ToryParty  politics  DUP  customsUnion  NorthernIreland  Scotland  SNP  LabourParty  stateAid  Parliament  leadership  1922Committee  BarnierMichel  GNU  SoubryAnna  referendum  generalElection  TheLeft  dctagged  dc:creator=ButlerJames 
november 2018 by petej
Can the government avoid crashing out of the European Union without a deal?
Ultimately the only way that the government can avoid a massive row over the final relationship with the European Union in this parliament, which cannot agree on the final relationship, is to simply avoid discussing the final relationship in any detail this side of the 2022 election by having a cursory bit of language in the Withdrawal Agreement of the “there will be a trade deal between the United Kingdom and the European Union” variety and for transition to roll over until such a time as one of the major political parties wins a big enough parliamentary majority to overcome its own internal divisions or the conditions of coalition partners to decisively resolve the matter of the UK-EU relationship.
UK  EU  Brexit  negotiations  noDeal  HuntJeremy  generalElection  referendum  hardBrexit  transition  politics  dctagged  dc:creator=BushStephen 
august 2018 by petej
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