nhaliday + πŸ¦‰   48

Relative Effects of Forward and Backward Planning on Goal PursuitPsychological Science - Jooyoung Park, Fang-Chi Lu, William M. Hedgcock, 2017
Compared with forward planning, backward planning not only led to greater motivation, higher goal expectancy, and less time pressure but also resulted in better goal-relevant performance. We further demonstrated that this motivational effect occurred because backward planning allowed people to think of tasks required to reach their goals more clearly, especially when goals were complex to plan. These findings suggest that the way people plan matters just as much as whether or not they plan.
study  psychology  cog-psych  intervention  self-control  discipline  the-monster  gtd  productivity  social-psych  gotchas  decision-making  workflow  bootstraps  akrasia  mindful  prioritizing  procrastination  πŸ¦‰  environmental-effects 
september 2017 by nhaliday
Overcoming Bias : On the goodness of Beeminder
There is a lot of leeway in what indicators you measure, and some I tried didn’t help much. The main things I measure lately are:

- number of 20 minute blocks of time spent working. They have to be continuous, though a tiny bit of interruption is allowed if someone else causes it
- time spent exercising weighted by the type of exercise e.g. running = 2x dancing = 2 x walking
- points accrued for doing tasks on my to-do list. When I think of anything I want to do I put it on the list, whether it’s watching a certain movie or figuring out how to make the to do list system better. Some things stay there permanently, e.g. laundry. I assign each task a number of points, which goes up every Sunday if it’s still on the list. I have to get 15 points per day or I lose.
ratty  core-rats  hanson  rationality  money-for-time  akrasia  productivity  workflow  webapp  tools  review  software  exocortex  decision-making  working-stiff  the-monster  πŸ¦‰  beeminder  skeleton  summary  gtd  time-use  quantified-self  procrastination 
january 2017 by nhaliday
A Systematic Review of Personality Trait Change Through Intervention
gwern: https://plus.google.com/103530621949492999968/posts/6kFWRkUTXSV
Messy (noticeable levels of publication bias, high heterogeneity), but results look plausible: 8-week+ interventions can improve emotional stability and neuroticism, change Openness and Extraversion somewhat, but leave Conscientiousness largely unaffected.ο»Ώ

hbd chick/murray: https://twitter.com/hbdchick/status/818138228553302017

- 8-week intervention -> d=.37 after (an average of) 24 weeks
- after 8 weeks, strong diminishing returns
- pretty much entirely self-report
- good page-length discussion of limitations at end
- there was actually a nonzero effect for conscientiousness (~.2). not sure it would remain w/o publication bias.
- what's the difference between Table 2 and 3? I guess RCT vs. something else? why highlight Table 2 in abstract then?
pdf  study  meta-analysis  psychology  cog-psych  personality  regularizer  environmental-effects  psychiatry  multi  🌞  evidence-based  stress  habit  discipline  the-monster  biodet  longitudinal  πŸ¦‰  self-report  operational  s:**  intervention  effect-size  extra-introversion  behavioral-gen  flexibility  solid-study  curvature  volo-avolo  bootstraps  convexity-curvature 
january 2017 by nhaliday
Overcoming Bias : Chip Away At Hard Problems
One of the most common ways that wannabe academics fail is by failing to sufficiently focus on a few topics of interest to academia. Many of them become amateur intellectuals, people who think and write more as a hobby, and less to gain professional rewards via institutions like academia, media, and business. Such amateurs are often just as smart and hard-working as professionals, and they can more directly address the topics that interest them. Professionals, in contrast, must specialize more, have less freedom to pick topics, and must try harder to impress others, which encourages the use of more difficult robust/rigorous methods.

You might think their added freedom would result in amateurs contributing more to intellectual progress, but in fact they contribute less. Yes, amateurs can and do make more initial progress when new topics arise suddenly far from topics where established expert institutions have specialized. But then over time amateurs blow their lead by focusing less and relying on easier more direct methods. They rely more on informal conversation as analysis method, they prefer personal connections over open competitions in choosing people, and they rely more on a perceived consensus among a smaller group of fellow enthusiasts. As a result, their contributions just don’t appeal as widely orΒ as long.
ratty  postrat  culture  academia  science  epistemic  hanson  frontier  contrarianism  thick-thin  long-term  regularizer  strategy  impact  essay  subculture  meta:rhetoric  aversion  discipline  curiosity  rigor  rationality  rat-pack  πŸ€–  success  2016  farmers-and-foragers  exploration-exploitation  low-hanging  clarity  vague  πŸ¦‰  optimate  systematic-ad-hoc  metameta  s:***  discovery  focus  info-dynamics  hari-seldon 
december 2016 by nhaliday
Thought Patterns: Marginal Β· Alex Guzey
Problem: you have a certain action you want to be doing but when the moment comes you forget about it or the trigger just never fully comes to your attention.

Example: Instead of postponing small tasks (e.g. taking out the trash) I want to do them immediately, but when they actually come, I forget about this intention and continue with whatever I was doing before i.e. telling myself I’ll do them later.

How to solve? Make these if-else action plans to always be somewhere at the back of the mind, preferably not far from the working memory, always on the edge of awareness.

Solution: Anki deck with the maximum card interval of 1 day and long initial learning curve.
ratty  advice  lifehack  rationality  akrasia  hmm  discipline  neurons  habit  workflow  πŸ¦‰  wire-guided  skeleton  gtd  time-use  s:*  metabuch 
december 2016 by nhaliday
Information Processing: Advice to a new graduate student
first 3 points (tough/connected advisor, big picture, benchmarking) are key:

1. There is often a tradeoff between the advisor from whom you will learn the most vs the one who will help your career the most. Letters of recommendation are the most important factor in obtaining a postdoc/faculty job, and some professors are 10x as influential as others. However, the influential prof might be a jerk and not good at training students. The kind mentor with deep knowledge or the approachable junior faculty member might not be a mover and shaker.

2. Most grad students fail to grasp the big picture in their field and get too caught up in their narrowly defined dissertation project.

3. Benchmark yourself against senior scholars at a similar stage in their (earlier) careers. What should you have accomplished / mastered as a grad student or postdoc in order to keep pace with your benchmark?

4. Take the opportunity to interact with visitors and speakers. Don't assume that because you are a student they'll be uninterested in intellectual exchange with you. Even established scholars are pleased to be asked interesting questions by intelligent grad students. If you get to the stage where the local professors think you are really good, i.e., they sort of think of you as a peer intellect or colleague, you might get invited along to dinner with the speaker!

5. Understand the trends and bandwagons in your field. Most people cannot survive on the job market without chasing trends at least a little bit. But always save some brainpower for thinking about the big questions that most interest you.

6. Work your ass off. If you outwork the other guy by 10%, the compound effect over time could accumulate into a qualitative difference in capability or depth of knowledge.

7. Don't be afraid to seek out professors with questions. Occasionally you will get a gem of an explanation. Most things, even the most conceptually challenging, can be explained in a very clear and concise way after enough thought. A real expert in the field will have accumulated many such explanations, which are priceless.
grad-school  phd  advice  career  hi-order-bits  top-n  hsu  πŸŽ“  scholar  strategy  tactics  pre-2013  scitariat  long-term  success  tradeoffs  big-picture  scholar-pack  optimate  discipline  πŸ¦‰  gtd  prioritizing  transitions  s:***  benchmarks  track-record  s-factor  progression 
november 2016 by nhaliday
orthonormal comments on Where to Intervene in a Human? - Less Wrong
The highest-level hack I've found useful is to make a habit of noticing and recording the details of any part of my life that gives me trouble. It's amazing how quickly patterns start to jump out when you've assembled actual data about something that's vaguely frustrated you for a while.
lifehack  productivity  workflow  rationality  advice  akrasia  quantified-self  growth  habit  discipline  lesswrong  ratty  rat-pack  biases  decision-making  πŸ¦‰  wire-guided  time-use  s:null 
july 2016 by nhaliday
Work hard | What's new
Similarly, to be a β€œprofessional” mathematician, you need to not only work on your research problem(s), but you should also constantly be working on learning new proofs and techniques, going over important proofs and papers time and again until you’ve mastered them. Don’t stay in your mathematical comfort zone, but expand your horizon by also reading (relevant) papers that are not at the heart of your own field. You should go to seminars to stay current and to challenge yourself to understand math in real time. And so on. All of these elements have to find their way into your daily work routine, because if you neglect any of them it will ultimately affect your research output negatively.
- from the comments
advice  academia  math  reflection  career  expert  gowers  long-term  πŸŽ“  aphorism  grad-school  phd  scholar  mathtariat  discipline  curiosity  πŸ¦‰  nibble  org:bleg  the-trenches  meta:research  gtd  stamina  vitality  s:**  info-dynamics  expert-experience 
april 2016 by nhaliday

bundles : discipline ‧ growth ‧ stars ‧ virtue

related tags

80000-hours βŠ•  :/ βŠ•  academia βŠ•  accretion βŠ•  acm βŠ•  acmtariat βŠ•  advice βŠ•  africa βŠ•  akrasia βŠ•  algebra βŠ•  algorithms βŠ•  alignment βŠ•  allodium βŠ•  analysis βŠ•  analytical-holistic βŠ•  aphorism βŠ•  ascetic βŠ•  asia βŠ•  attention βŠ•  aversion βŠ•  bayesian βŠ•  beeminder βŠ•  behavioral-gen βŠ•  being-right βŠ•  benchmarks βŠ•  best-practices βŠ•  betting βŠ•  biases βŠ•  big-picture βŠ•  biodet βŠ•  books βŠ•  bootstraps βŠ•  bounded-cognition βŠ•  brain-scan βŠ•  bret-victor βŠ•  business βŠ•  career βŠ•  causation βŠ•  chapman βŠ•  cheatsheet βŠ•  checklists βŠ•  chemistry βŠ•  civilization βŠ•  clarity βŠ•  class βŠ•  classic βŠ•  clever-rats βŠ•  cog-psych βŠ•  commentary βŠ•  community βŠ•  concept βŠ•  confluence βŠ•  contrarianism βŠ•  convexity-curvature βŠ•  core-rats βŠ•  courage βŠ•  cracker-econ βŠ•  criminal-justice βŠ•  critique βŠ•  culture βŠ•  curiosity βŠ•  curvature βŠ•  data βŠ•  data-science βŠ•  decision-making βŠ•  decision-theory βŠ•  definite-planning βŠ•  descriptive βŠ•  developing-world βŠ•  differential βŠ•  discipline βŠ•  discovery βŠ•  discussion βŠ•  eastern-europe βŠ•  economics βŠ•  econotariat βŠ•  ed-yong βŠ•  effect-size βŠ•  effective-altruism βŠ•  egalitarianism-hierarchy βŠ•  ego-depletion βŠ•  einstein βŠ•  electromag βŠ•  elegance βŠ•  elite βŠ•  embodied-pack βŠ•  emotion βŠ•  ems βŠ•  endo-exo βŠ•  entrepreneurialism βŠ•  environmental-effects βŠ•  epidemiology βŠ•  epistemic βŠ•  essay βŠ•  ethical-algorithms βŠ•  ethics βŠ•  evidence-based βŠ•  exocortex βŠ•  expert βŠ•  expert-experience βŠ•  exploration-exploitation βŠ•  externalities βŠ•  extra-introversion βŠ•  faq βŠ•  farmers-and-foragers βŠ•  feynman βŠ•  field-study βŠ•  flexibility βŠ•  focus βŠ•  formal-values βŠ•  frontier βŠ•  giants βŠ•  google βŠ•  gotchas βŠ•  gowers βŠ•  grad-school βŠ•  ground-up βŠ•  growth βŠ•  growth-mindset βŠ•  gtd βŠ•  guide βŠ•  gwern βŠ•  habit βŠ•  hamming βŠ•  hanson βŠ•  happy-sad βŠ•  hari-seldon βŠ•  hci βŠ•  hi-order-bits βŠ•  high-variance βŠ•  history βŠ•  hmm βŠ•  honor βŠ•  hsu βŠ•  humility βŠ•  idk βŠ•  impact βŠ•  impro βŠ•  info-dynamics βŠ•  info-foraging βŠ•  inhibition βŠ•  innovation βŠ•  insight βŠ•  integrity βŠ•  intelligence βŠ•  internet βŠ•  intervention βŠ•  intricacy βŠ•  iq βŠ•  iteration-recursion βŠ•  jobs βŠ•  journos-pundits βŠ•  knowledge βŠ•  labor βŠ•  language βŠ•  leadership βŠ•  len:long βŠ•  len:short βŠ•  lens βŠ•  lesswrong βŠ•  letters βŠ•  lifehack βŠ•  linear-algebra βŠ•  links βŠ•  list βŠ•  logic βŠ•  long-short-run βŠ•  long-term βŠ•  longform βŠ•  longitudinal βŠ•  low-hanging βŠ•  machine-learning βŠ•  macro βŠ•  management βŠ•  math βŠ•  math.CA βŠ•  math.GR βŠ•  math.NT βŠ•  math.RT βŠ•  mathtariat βŠ•  meaningness βŠ•  measure βŠ•  meta-analysis βŠ•  meta:math βŠ•  meta:research βŠ•  meta:rhetoric βŠ•  meta:science βŠ•  metabuch βŠ•  metameta βŠ•  micro βŠ•  mindful βŠ•  models βŠ•  money-for-time βŠ•  mood-affiliation βŠ•  morality βŠ•  mostly-modern βŠ•  multi βŠ•  music βŠ•  music-theory βŠ•  near-far βŠ•  network-structure βŠ•  neuro βŠ•  neuro-nitgrit βŠ•  neurons βŠ•  new-religion βŠ•  news βŠ•  nibble βŠ•  nitty-gritty βŠ•  notetaking βŠ•  novelty βŠ•  null-result βŠ•  numerics βŠ•  objektbuch βŠ•  operational βŠ•  optimate βŠ•  optimism βŠ•  org:bleg βŠ•  org:edu βŠ•  org:health βŠ•  org:junk βŠ•  org:local βŠ•  org:mag βŠ•  org:med βŠ•  org:nat βŠ•  org:popup βŠ•  org:rec βŠ•  org:sci βŠ•  organizing βŠ•  p:** βŠ•  p:*** βŠ•  p:someday βŠ•  p:whenever βŠ•  patience βŠ•  paying-rent βŠ•  pdf βŠ•  personality βŠ•  phd βŠ•  philosophy βŠ•  physics βŠ•  piracy βŠ•  planning βŠ•  poll βŠ•  pop-diff βŠ•  postrat βŠ•  pre-2013 βŠ•  prediction-markets βŠ•  presentation βŠ•  prioritizing βŠ•  probability βŠ•  procrastination βŠ•  productivity βŠ•  progression βŠ•  psych-architecture βŠ•  psychiatry βŠ•  psychology βŠ•  psychometrics βŠ•  public-health βŠ•  q-n-a βŠ•  qra βŠ•  quantified-self βŠ•  quantum βŠ•  quixotic βŠ•  quotes βŠ•  ranking βŠ•  rat-pack βŠ•  rationality βŠ•  ratty βŠ•  reading βŠ•  reason βŠ•  recommendations βŠ•  reference βŠ•  reflection βŠ•  regularizer βŠ•  relativity βŠ•  religion βŠ•  review βŠ•  rhetoric βŠ•  rhythm βŠ•  rigor βŠ•  ritual βŠ•  s-factor βŠ•  s:* βŠ•  s:** βŠ•  s:*** βŠ•  s:null βŠ•  sanctity-degradation βŠ•  scholar βŠ•  scholar-pack βŠ•  science βŠ•  science-anxiety βŠ•  scitariat βŠ•  self-control βŠ•  self-report βŠ•  serene βŠ•  shannon βŠ•  signal-noise βŠ•  sinosphere βŠ•  skeleton βŠ•  skunkworks βŠ•  social-psych βŠ•  society βŠ•  software βŠ•  solid-study βŠ•  spearhead βŠ•  spock βŠ•  ssc βŠ•  stamina βŠ•  stat-mech βŠ•  stats βŠ•  status βŠ•  stoic βŠ•  stories βŠ•  strategy βŠ•  stream βŠ•  stress βŠ•  study βŠ•  stylized-facts βŠ•  subculture βŠ•  success βŠ•  summary βŠ•  systematic-ad-hoc βŠ•  tactics βŠ•  tcs βŠ•  tech βŠ•  techtariat βŠ•  the-monster βŠ•  the-trenches βŠ•  thermo βŠ•  thick-thin βŠ•  things βŠ•  thinking βŠ•  time βŠ•  time-preference βŠ•  time-use βŠ•  tools βŠ•  top-n βŠ•  topology βŠ•  track-record βŠ•  tradeoffs βŠ•  transitions βŠ•  trust βŠ•  tutorial βŠ•  uncertainty βŠ•  unit βŠ•  usa βŠ•  vague βŠ•  values βŠ•  video βŠ•  virtu βŠ•  vitality βŠ•  volo-avolo βŠ•  wealth βŠ•  webapp βŠ•  wiki βŠ•  wire-guided βŠ•  wisdom βŠ•  within-without βŠ•  wkfly βŠ•  workflow βŠ•  working-stiff βŠ•  world-war βŠ•  worrydream βŠ•  yvain βŠ•  zero-positive-sum βŠ•  🌞 βŠ•  πŸŽ“ βŠ•  🎩 βŠ•  πŸ”¬ βŠ•  πŸ–₯ βŠ•  πŸ€– βŠ•  πŸ¦€ βŠ•  πŸ¦‰ βŠ– 

Copy this bookmark: