Copy this bookmark:



bookmark detail

Can you predict a recession by looking at pregnancy rates? - BBC News
It was already accepted that birth rates fall in a downturn, but Daniel Hungerman, Kasey Buckles and Steven Lugauer found that conception rates drop several months before other signs of a recession become visible.

Looking at the graph closely, it seems that while low pregnancy rate predicts recession before it occurs, recession is defined as a period of time with gdp in decline, and the drop in pregnancy rates don't seem to precede the fall in gdp much if at all.
data  economics  prediction  pregnancy 
february 2018 by kybernetikos
view in context