inspiral + evolution   224

Amazon Alexa and the Search for the One Perfect Answer | WIRED
The rest of us, meanwhile, may be losing the very skills that allow us to hold these gatekeepers to account. Once we become accustomed to placing our faith in the handy oracle on the kitchen counter, we may lose patience with the laborious—and curiosity-stoking, and thought-­provoking—hunt for facts, expecting them to come to us instead. Why pump water from a well if it pours effortlessly from your faucet?
virtualassistant  searchengine  evolution  oneshotanswer  innovation  informationliteracy  review  critique  forecast  Wired  2019 
29 days ago by inspiral
Childhood's End |
The genius — sometimes deliberate, sometimes accidental — of the enterprises now on such a steep ascent is that they have found their way through the looking-glass and emerged as something else. Their models are no longer models. The search engine is no longer a model of human knowledge, it is human knowledge. What began as a mapping of human meaning now defines human meaning, and has begun to control, rather than simply catalog or index, human thought. No one is at the controls. If enough drivers subscribe to a real-time map, traffic is controlled, with no central model except the traffic itself. The successful social network is no longer a model of the social graph, it is the social graph. This is why it is a winner-take-all game. Governments, with an allegiance to antiquated models and control systems, are being left behind.
GeorgeDyson  information  informationtechnology  evolution  review  Edge  2018 
11 weeks ago by inspiral
The Rise Of The Omnibots
Chatbots are growing up. Welcome to the age of the omnibot, where brands become beings.
customerservice  chatbots  growth  evolution  omnibot  brand  branding  innovation  FastCompany  2018 
april 2018 by inspiral
Mickey Drexler and the death of a supply-driven world
When industries are shifting, the reasoning lies not in the symptoms—certain brands struggling or trends evolving—but in the root causes—the shift from a supply-driven world to a demand-driven world. The decline of J.Crew and its ilk is not the result of any single leader, decision or trend. It’s because of a fundamental shift in the mechanics of commerce, arguably one of the most profound changes the industry has ever seen. But challenges for some are opportunities for others, and brands that are brutally aware of the shifting consumption landscape will continue to succeed. Those that aren’t conscious of the earth shifting below their feet will only solidify themselves as relics of the past.
fashion  fastfashion  retail  clothing  evolution  H&M  JCrew  LooseThreads  2018 
april 2018 by inspiral
Steps to autonomy — Benedict Evans
As with most issues in autonomy today, there are many more questions than answers - this is, again,  like trying to predict the shape of the 2018 smartphone market in 2000. But my point here is that even the terms of the discussion might be misleading. Almost certainly, there will not be a moment in 2023 or 2027 when the first ‘autonomous car’ goes on sale, with a sticker that says ‘Level 4 Certified’. There might never be a ‘first’ L4 or L5 car, or there might be lots of different ‘firsts’. 
automotive  selfdrivingvehicles  evolution  forecast  BenedictEvans  2018 
march 2018 by inspiral
The year we wanted the internet to be smaller | The Verge
The old promise of the internet — niche communities, human connection, people exchanging ideas, maybe even paying each other for the work they’d made — never really lost its appeal, but this year it came back with a miniature vengeance.

We can see this longing for community — and specifically, the sort of small, weird communities that populated and defined the early internet — everywhere. There’s Amino, the Tumblr-inspired app that lets fandoms build online spaces that are essentially club houses, then coordinate the creation of elaborate works of fan art, fiction, cosplay, and fandom lore. At the request of its largely teenage audience, the platform released its first cosplay yearbook this December, and doled out honors to the best writing, photography, and tutorials around cosplay. The thousands of fandom-specific rooms are lively and strange, each with their own moderators and byzantine rules.
internet  culture  community  niche  patronage  Tumblr  Patreon  email  evolution  TheVerge  2017 
january 2018 by inspiral
American reams: why a ‘paperless world’ still hasn’t happened | News | The Guardian
Why? Abigail J Sellen and Richard HR Harper, respectively a principal researcher at Microsoft Research Cambridge and co-director of Lancaster University’s Institute for Social Futures, have a few solid theories. First, they note that computers and the internet brought unprecedented access to information – information that, while accessed digitally, was still best consumed on dead trees. Second, printing technology became so small, cheap and reliable that just about anybody with a computer could also afford their own on-demand press.

“We have heard stories of paperless offices, but we have never seen one,” Sellen and Harper wrote in their book The Myth of the Paperless Office. “More commonly, the introduction of new technology does not get rid of paper; it increases it or shifts the ways in which it is used.” The catch here is that the book was published in 2002, just before luminous smartphone screens took a hold of the same paleomammalian cortex that steered early Homo sapiens toward fire’s glow.

Since then, screen resolutions, load times and user interfaces have improved dramatically, striving toward a functional ideal that, ironically, looks and feels a lot like paper. Just this year, a startup called reMarkable launched a tablet that offers “the most paper-like digital writing experience ever”. Technology is a snake that eats itself.
paper  evolution  review  Guardian  2017 
december 2017 by inspiral
Daring Fireball: The iPhone X
After two months using an iPhone X, I’m convinced Apple succeeded. The iPhone X is a triumph, a delightful conceptual modernization of a ten-year-old platform that, prior to using the iPhone X, I didn’t think needed a modernization. Almost nothing7 about the iPhone X calls undue attention to its cleverness. It all just seems like the new normal, and it’s a lot of fun.
iPhone  iPhoneX  iOS  smartphones  review  advocacy  evolution  author:JohnGruber  DaringFireball  2017 
december 2017 by inspiral
RA: The art of disruption: How CDJs are changing DJing
CDJs may have made mixing easier, but they've also ushered in an exciting new era of DJing. Michelle Lhooq reflects on the possibilities they've unlocked.
CDJ  music  evolution  clubbing  ResidentAdvisor  2017 
november 2017 by inspiral
The Coming Software Apocalypse - The Atlantic
A small group of programmers wants to change how we code—before catastrophe strikes.
software  softwaredevelopment  evolution  safety  complexity  modelbaseddesign  TLA+  TheAtlantic  2017 
september 2017 by inspiral
There Was No ‘Golden Age’ of Air Travel - The New York Times
There’s no denying that airlines today could and should do a better job — at communicating, at treating their customers with dignity and respect. I’m well acquainted with the nuisances of modern-day air travel: I don’t enjoy claustrophobic planes, delays, noisy airports or wasteful security practices any more than you do.

But those good old days, maybe, are more mythical than we admit. Do you really want to travel like people did in the 1960s? Are you sure? No, you don’t have to love flying. But you shouldn’t take it for granted, either.
travel  airlines  advocacy  evolution  GoldenAge  critique  NYTimes  2017 
may 2017 by inspiral
Damn fine telly: why everything is now ‘a bit Twin Peaks’ | Television & radio | The Guardian
As it returns to the small screen, Kyle MacLachlan explains how David Lynch’s show changed the way we watch television
TwinPeaks  DavidLynch  television  evolution  review  history  Guardian  2017 
may 2017 by inspiral
The Myth of a Superhuman AI – Backchannel
A much better way to think about this is to see our intelligence as one of a million types of possible intelligences. So while each dimension of cognition and computation has a limit, if there are hundreds of dimensions, then there are uncountable varieties of mind — none of them infinite in any dimension. As we build or encounter these uncountable varieties of mind we might naturally think of some of them as exceeding us. In my recent book The Inevitable, I sketched out some of that variety of minds that were superior to us in some way. Here is an incomplete list:
artificialintelligence  evolution  review  critique  comparison  human  author:KevinKelly  BackChannel  2017 
may 2017 by inspiral
How Intel Makes a Chip - Bloomberg
The development of a microprocessor is one of the riskiest, costliest, and most technically complex feats in business.
Intel  microchips  manufacturing  design  evolution  innovation  profile  Bloomberg  2017 
april 2017 by inspiral
The first decade of augmented reality — Benedict Evans
Today, I think augmented reality* is somewhere between points two and three - we've seen some great demos and the first prototypes and we don't have a mass-market commercial  product, but we're close.
augmentedreality  review  development  evolution  forecast  BenedictEvans  2017 
april 2017 by inspiral
The Arrival of Artificial Intelligence – Stratechery by Ben Thompson
Technology, meanwhile, has been developed even longer than logic has. However, just as the application of logic was long bound by the human mind, the development of technology has had the same limitations, and that includes the first half-century of the computer era. Accounting software is in the same genre as the spinning frame: deliberately designed by humans to solve a specific problem.

Machine learning is different. Now, instead of humans designing algorithms to be executed by a computer, the computer is designing the algorithms. It is still Artificial Narrow Intelligence — the computer is bound by the data and goal given to it by humans — but machine learning is, in my mind, meaningfully different from what has come before. Just as Shannon fused the physical with the logical to make the computer, machine learning fuses the development of tools with computers themselves to make (narrow) artificial intelligence.

This is not to overhype machine learning: the applications are still highly bound and often worse than human-designed systems, and we are far, far away from Artificial General Intelligence. It seems clear to me, though, that we are firmly in Artificial Narrow Intelligence territory: the truth is that humans have made machines to replace their own labor from the beginning of time; it is only now that the machines are creating themselves, at least to a degree.
artificialintelligence  machinelearning  evolution  review  critique  Stratechery  2017 
april 2017 by inspiral
Hollywood Has No Idea What to Do with VR
VR will never become the new cinema. Instead, it will be a different thing. But what is that thing? And will audiences trained in passive linear narrative—where scene follows scene like beads on a string, and the string always pulls us forward—appreciate what the thing might be? Or will we only recognize it when the new medium has reached a certain maturity, the way audiences in 1903 sat up at The Great Train Robbery and recognized that, finally, here was a movie?
virtualreality  film  movies  innovation  review  critique  evolution  TechnologyReview  2017 
february 2017 by inspiral
The Great Unbundling – Stratechery by Ben Thompson
First, the new winners have models that look a lot like the one that destroyed the publishing industry: by owning end users these companies either capture revenue directly (Netflix) or have compelling platforms for advertisers; content producers, meanwhile, are commoditized.

Secondly, all four jobs were unbundled by different services, which is another way of saying there is no more bundle. That, by extension, means that one of the most important forces holding the TV ecosystem together is being sapped of its power. Bundling only makes sense if end users can get their second and third-order preferences for less; what happens, though, if there are no more second and third-order preferences to be had?
unbundling  newspapers  journalism  television  music  evolution  Google  Youtube  ESPN  Netflix  Snapchat  Facebook  Stratechery  2017 
january 2017 by inspiral
The year the music died?
Those days have ended. Pop music now is a confusing tangle of different interests. Record labels are challenged by tech companies. The numbers of musicians and recordings grow even though revenues fall. PRS for Music, which collects royalties on behalf of UK songwriters, saw its membership rise from 70,000 in 2010 to 112,000 in 2015.

Uncertain of what lies ahead, it is natural to dwell on the death of what came before. The mistake arises in assuming that pop music itself is dying.
music  evolution  culture  DavidBowie  GeorgeMichael  FinancialTimes  2016 
january 2017 by inspiral
The Rap Mixtape Bubble Has Burst
Mixtapes used to scratch an itch that albums couldn’t. But with a saturated market and little distinction between mixtapes and proper albums, the future of the form is in doubt.
hiphop  music  mixtape  evolution  album  review  TheRinger  2016 
december 2016 by inspiral
The Operating System Fountain of Youth: iOS
“Operating Systems are like the Tax Code”, goes the industry lore. “Each year, new lines of code are added, code that tells us how to allocate resources, how to deal with choices, what to do when an exception is encountered. And both are continually patched to deal with errors and new circumstances.”
A prime example: Apple’s macOS.
iOS  MacOS  OSX  operatingsystem  evolution  Apple  review  software  author:JeanLouisGassee  MondayNote  2016 
december 2016 by inspiral
Elon Musk's OpenAI and Google's DeepMind release their AI playgrounds to everyone
Artificial intelligence developed by the likes of Google's DeepMind and Elon Musk's OpenAI is taught within the confines of game worlds – including navigating around mazes, dodging deadly cliffs, playing laser tag and flying through space.
artificialintelligence  gaming  training  DeepMind  OpenAI  evolution  Wired  2016 
december 2016 by inspiral
How the SoC is Displacing the CPU – Medium
Over time, in line with classic disruption theory, the SoC transistor platform caught up to the incumbent CPU transistor platform to the point where now the Apple A9X SoC offers 64 bit desktop-class computing enabling a handheld tablet to go toe-to-toe with a state-of-the-art laptop CPU from Intel (See John Gruber here).
The key to the success of early post-PC products like the iPad is the fact that they were designed from the ground-up without the baggage of legacy PC-era software (Mac OS) or hardware (x86 CPU).
CPU  SoC  microchips  innovation  Intel  ARM  comparison  evolution  author:PushkarRanade  Medium  2016 
november 2016 by inspiral
How the digital age cuts through notions of material ownership
The switch from analogue to digital has changed norms about second-hand transactions. Digital rights management software and, more importantly, their legal enforcement mean electronic versions of books, music and films cannot be resold as they used to be. The publisher claims continuing ownership, while the purchaser becomes a renter.
Conceptions of property seem to be evolving again with the rise of the “sharing economy”. The ease of using digital matching platforms make the consumer’s decision to buy or rent less stark than in the past ; the legal ownership rights are clear but the economic choices and consequences are changing.
The wider point is that technology and the law have between them significant effects on the kinds of market transactions that take place. Some consequences might seem minor. Others concern land grabs for economic assets.
ownership  intellectualproperty  evolution  DRM  sharingeconomy  FinancialTimes  2016 
october 2016 by inspiral
BBC Radio Director Helen Boaden resigns, criticising state of journalism | The Independent
Helen Boaden, Director of BBC Radio, resigned from her position at 9am this morning. Here, in an exclusive extract of the speech she will deliver Friday afternoon at the Prix Italia festival in Lampedusa,  she reflects on a career in broadcasting, and makes the case for ‘slow news’
BBC  journalism  evolution  review  critique  author:HelenBoaden  Independent  2016 
october 2016 by inspiral
Photos: How Tools Start a Revolution
If you extrapolate from today you can start to see how mobile photography that incorporates multiple sensors, machine learning, and real-time compute will continue to create new types of images. These images are no longer going to be constrained by physics, but can tap into a whole new level of creativity. The fact that the smartphone’s ubiquity also democratizes these new forms makes the paradigm shift doubly cool.
So while the classical photographer was at first excited and then a little disappointed, the more I pondered where we are going the more I thought of all the new things that will come from a super computer in your pocket taking pictures that we could never take before.
That’s why, even as a photographer, I’m not downplaying the cool new features of the iPhone 7 Plus camera.
photography  iPhone7  Bokeh  innovation  evolution  review  author:StevenSinofsky  LearningbyShipping  2016 
october 2016 by inspiral
Making Sense of Modern Pornography - The New Yorker
While the Internet has made porn ubiquitous, it has also thrown the industry into severe decline.
pornography  review  impact  evolution  decentralisation  employment  income  sex  sexism  gender  censorship  NewYorker  2016 
september 2016 by inspiral
The Third Transportation Revolution – Medium
Or look at San Francisco, where the historic Ferry Building was blocked for decades by a two-level freeway. Since locals couldn’t really get there, it became a rarely-visited office building. But when the road was damaged by an earthquake in 1989, the city saw an opportunity. Instead of rebuilding the space for cars, it tore down the highway and reimagined the area as a place where people could gather. Shops, restaurants, and cafes were built, and before long the Ferry Building became the focal point of the San Francisco waterfront. Every weekend, almost 25,000 people visit its farmers market and support local vendors. As a result, new neighborhoods emerged, and within five years, there was 51% more housing available in the surrounding area.
selfdrivingvehicles  ridesharing  Lyft  advocacy  cities  urbandevelopment  evolution  transport  review  forecast  author:JohanZimmer  Medium  2016 
september 2016 by inspiral
The Most Innovative Business School Ideas of 2015 | John A. Byrne | Pulse | LinkedIn
Among all the innovation to hit the business school marketplace this year, we think there are at least ten that truly stand out–and deserve credit for being highly creative attempts to improve business education. They range from the unique and novel growth and scaling initiative at Northwestern University’s Kellogg School of Management to the University of Illinois’ bold decision to launch a $20,000 online MBA program based entirely on massive open online courses (MOOCs).

In fact, the majority of the most impressive business school innovations are built on technology. They include Harvard Business School’s creation of the classroom of the future, an idea that borrows as much from TV broadcasting as it does from old fashioned classroom teaching, as well as the ongoing effort by William & Mary’s Mason School of Business to crowdsource a curriculum review that will lead to an overhaul of its MBA program.

Here are our picks for the most innovative moves by business schools in 2015.
MBA  businessschool  innovation  evolution  MOOCs  education  tertiaryeducation  LinkedIn  2015 
september 2016 by inspiral
Technology is taking jobs away from men—and reviving a pre-industrial version of masculinity — Quartz
New technology may not be the end of men; it may just hasten a return to a pre-industrial version of masculinity, of sorts.
Humans are now accustomed to stability and higher living standards. To ease the transition, we need new institutions and a better safety net for the generation caught in the transition. And most importantly, we need an education system that does what employers once did. In the 19th century, employers trained workers for the new economy and set up schools. They replaced the apprenticeships that existed before factories. Today’s employers tend not to offer much training; they avoid investing in workers who might leave them.
Trying to bring back the old economy only prolongs the painful transition we are experiencing today. Instead of romanticizing the past, the conversation should be about the best way to educate the workforce and keep skills fresh so that modern men thrive as we redefine work.
employment  men  automation  evolution  masculinity  Quartz  2016 
september 2016 by inspiral
Drivers and riders are important to understanding the future of transportation-as-a-service (TaaS), but they are not the only pieces that matter — and not the only areas where Uber still has an advantage. I see five components that really matter:

The shift from an UberX model to self-driving cars will require changes in every component.
selfdrivingvehicles  ridesharing  UberX  UberPool  evolution  opportunity  review  Uber  Tesla  Ford  Nutonomy  Google  Stratechery  2016 
august 2016 by inspiral
Our changing relationship with music and its new practical function — MUSIC x TECH x FUTURE — Medium
Here is the big issue. Music for new generations is not about reflecting their unique personas, but a mirror of the activity he or she is performing. Music was once a question of loyalty and identity. Today it’s a good consumed according to moments. So the musical preferences of these listeners is much more flexible and no longer the reflection of their identities.
music  identity  socialclass  evolution  review  Spotify  playlist  author:ThiagoRPinto  Medium  2016 
august 2016 by inspiral
Decentralize now? - O'Reilly Media
The Web opened with an explosion of DIY openness, but over the last few years more and more of us have turned to centralized services for our needs. We still center much of our work on web technologies, but much of the "everyone their own publisher" joy has faded.

A few weeks ago, a few hundred people gathered at the Internet Archive for the Decentralized Web Summit, asking explicitly about "Locking the Web Open." Is it possible to build a system which doesn't eventually funnel control over communications into a very few hands? Can we create a new Web fundamentally more open than the old Web?
internet  decentralisation  history  evolution  DRM  intellectualproperty  blockchain  Ethereum  review  OReilly  2016 
july 2016 by inspiral
In Defense of the Digital Album — Medium
Aside from the exclusive tier of artist-celebrities, the economics of being a musician have changed drastically over the past decade. Given the increasingly imaginative revenue streams needed to cobble together a musical career, it’s no surprise bands are shaping their sound to fit their audience. The pace at which playlists feeds us new music creates a hunger for bands that can quickly respond to our demand.
So where does this leave the album? Singles have always driven the music industry’s progress, from 78s to 45s, cassingles to the present. But where the single is the purest representation of art for commerce, the album is a rare opportunity for musicians to commercialize art. The golden era of the album in the ’60s and ’70s found bands who’d made their bones in radio pop exploring the boundaries of their craft. The sonic palates that dictate Pet Sounds and Graceland extend past the confines of 3-minute marketable music.
music  evolution  album  data  author:HeatherWillensky  Medium  2016 
june 2016 by inspiral
REDEF ORIGINAL: Light at the End of the Funnel: Why the Marketing Revolution is About to Arrive
For centuries, the process of selling a good remained functionally unchanged. But new technologies are rapidly transforming the consumer funnel – making it more measurable, more immediate and less costly. No matter how you interact with the ad business, these changes will affect your business, your customers and your profits.
marketing  digitalmarketing  evolution  FMCG  Facebook  Google  purchasefunnel  author:TalShachar  MediaRedef  2016 
june 2016 by inspiral
Do you really understand how your business customers buy? | McKinsey & Company
The ground is shifting in B2B buying behavior as customer-directed journeys replace the traditional funnel. This is new and promising territory for organizations that embrace data, reallocate budgets, and do the hard work of bringing more collaboration to sales and marketing. Knowing what really makes customers tick may be the cure for the slow growth many suppliers have experienced during the tepid global economic recovery.
B2B  marketing  evolution  guide  McKinsey  2015 
may 2016 by inspiral
How Bad Biology is Killing the Economy - Evonomics
We tend to think that the economy was killed by irresponsible risk taking, a lack of regulation or a bubbling housing market, but the problem goes deeper. Those were just the little aeroplanes circling King Kong’s head (“Oh no, it wasn’t the aeroplanes. ’Twas beauty killed the beast”). The ultimate flaw was the lure of bad biology, which resulted in a gross simplification of human nature. Confusion between how natural selection operates and what kind of creatures it has produced has led to a denial of what binds people together. Society itself has been seen as an illusion. As Margaret Thatcher put it: “There is no such thing as society – there are individual men and women, and there are families.”

Economists should reread the work of their father figure, Adam Smith, who saw society as a huge machine. Its wheels are polished by virtue, whereas vice causes them to grate. The machine just won’t run smoothly without a strong community sense in every citizen. Smith saw honesty, morality, sympathy and justice as essential companions to the invisible hand of the market. His views were based on our being a social species, born in a community with responsibilities towards the community.

Instead of falling for false ideas about nature, why not pay attention to what we actually know about human nature and the behaviour of our near relatives? The message from biology is that we are group animals: intensely social, interested in fairness and cooperative enough to have taken over the world. Our great strength is precisely our ability to overcome competition. Why not design society such that this strength is expressed at every level?
evolution  naturalselection  empathy  biology  author:FransdeWaal  Evonomics  2016 
may 2016 by inspiral
Moore’s Law Is Dead. Now What?
Shrinking transistors have powered 50 years of advances in computing—but now other ways must be found to make computers more capable.
MooresLaw  microchips  evolution  review  impact  TechnologyReview  2016 
may 2016 by inspiral
Inevitability in technology — Benedict Evans
The key thing, I think is that we have both those deterministic drivers of change and also luck, skill and brilliance. These can take you to different places. I wrote earlier this year about what you could have said in 2001 to be right about how mobile would develop. You could have got perhaps 90% there with the right determinants and vision, but would you have put a had-been computer company that had just launched a music player at the top of the heap? Steve Jobs supposedly said, returning to Apple, that his plan was to stay alive and grab onto the next big thing - to listen for the footsteps. He tried video, and a few other things, but he got there in the end. But he might not have.
Facebook  tech  evolution  counterfactual  history  review  BenedictEvans  2016 
may 2016 by inspiral
Why Should Insurance Carriers Care About the Digital Revolution? Servicing Digital Driven Customers
How does an insurance carrier successfully become a digital enterprise? In this ebook, Eric Deitert explores the effects of digitization on the carrier’s relationship with its customers, and how to leverage key digital technology to cross the digital divide.
insurance  customerservice  technology  opportunity  evolution  Pegasystems  2016 
may 2016 by inspiral
The Camera of the Future = No Camera — Vantage — Medium
The Camera of the Future? Perhaps it will be no camera at all. A future experiencing modality will require that we are free of the idea of a camera. We already have a full array of data sensors that parallel human sense perceptions for contextual, positional, ambient, semantic and bio data, albeit some still at the developmental stage of “charcoal.” Will they be packed into a mobile device? Or will something completely new emerge from another discipline, unconstrained by current form factor thinking?
pervasiverecording  camera  evolution  innovation  Vantage  Medium  2016 
may 2016 by inspiral
The end of a mobile wave — Benedict Evans
That is, with the tech available off the shelf, the barrier to entry has moved from the creation and manufacture of the phones themselves to sales, distribution, marketing and support, and a lot of the innovation in the handset business now is around how to address that. Which part of the value chain do you start from and try to leverage, and which parts you outsource? Someone has to make it, someone has to import it, someone has to put into shops, or market it for online sales, and (especially in developed markets) someone has to provide support if you smash the screen. But all of those are being disassembled and reassembled in different combinations. 
smartphones  mobile  valuechainanalysis  sales  marketing  distribution  evolution  BenedictEvans  2016 
april 2016 by inspiral
My Tablet Has Stickers | Learning by Shipping
Respectfully, he was partially right. While more and better software was needed, the other part of this shift is the accompanying broad range of other changes that will take place. If you doubt those changes are happening now, then consider how much of your work life/process/culture has changed by the introduction of smartphones. Tablets just took longer because they are not just additive but substitutes. The change is more like email which took two decades to become something resembling a universal tool even after being around for 20 years.

As difficult as they are, we more often than not over-estimate platform shifts in the short term but under-estimate them in the long term.
Tablets  PCs  evolution  adoptioncycle  iPad  iPadPro  software  author:StevenSinofsky  LearningbyShipping  2016 
april 2016 by inspiral
Who Will Debunk The Debunkers? | FiveThirtyEight
It seems plausible that the tellers of these tales are getting blinkered by their own feelings of superiority — that the mere act of busting myths makes them more susceptible to spreading them.
truth  science  supermyth  Popeye  spinach  CharlesDarwin  evolution  critique  FiveThirtyEight  2016 
april 2016 by inspiral
No Great Technological Stagnation | Nintil
In this post, I take an engineering perspective and look directly at technology itself. For some reason, no one has done what I will do in this post. Surely productivity is important, but since technology is supposed to be a substantial component of TFP, someone should have looked into precisely that. Shame upon the World’s Blogosphere!

My point here is that, by the measures we have, there is no stagnation. I leave it to someone else to solve the puzzle of why TFP growth is low while technological growth is constant.
innovation  technology  growth  progress  evolution  Artir  2016 
april 2016 by inspiral
Facebook isn’t the social network anymore. So what is it?
So what has the Facebook app and site become, if not a social network? The answer is rather obvious when you watch how people use it. It has become a personalized portal to the online world.
Facebook  strategy  evolution  aggregator  socialmedia  author:WillOremus  Slate  2016 
april 2016 by inspiral
Escaping the Digital Media ‘Crap Trap’ — The Information
So instead of scale for scale's sake, the next phase of the media revolution will be creating content of consequence and value. It will continue to be messy but the trajectory for the coming decade is promising. Listen carefully to what Mark Zuckerberg says of late and you can tell he wants quality content, not just quantity, and one day soon will probably want to produce some of it directly at Facebook. Same goes for Snapchat as it expands its content ambitions.
media  journalism  webjournalism  evolution  forecast  mobile  author:JimVandeHei  Politico  TheInformation  2016 
april 2016 by inspiral
Inside “Emojigeddon”: The Fight Over The Future Of The Unicode Consortium - BuzzFeed News
Ultimately, Unicode’s Emojigeddon boils down to a few essential questions: Are emojis a language? And if not, what exactly are they? Why are their regulation and evolution overseen by a bunch of language nerds and engineers? Typographers, linguists, and text-encoding experts including Unicode’s president generally agree that the character set does not rise to the standards of an emerging language.
“People have strategies for stringing them together, of course, and deriving greater meaning — everyone knows eggplant is an erection and people sext with the vegetables, but that does not make it a substitute for language,” Everson said.
But for others, emojis’ ubiquity makes the character set a meaningful mode of expression that transcends traditional linguistic barriers — vegetable sexting included — and is quite the opposite of a dumbed-down “cartoon.” Language or not, they argue, when millions of people zealously adopt a new, authentic way to communicate, it becomes important whether Everson, Unicode, or any linguist, typographer, or academic agrees.
emoji  language  Unicode  evolution  review  Buzzfeed  2016 
april 2016 by inspiral
Morgan Stanley Report Issues Predictions for Blockchain in 2025 - CoinDesk
A new Morgan Stanley report aimed at assessing whether blockchain is a threat to big banks agues that the short-term benefits of the technology are likely minimal, but that future growth is likely.

Published yesterday, the report features a timeline of when Morgan Stanley predicts certain blockchain milestones will be reached. Culminating in 2025, Morgan Stanley identifies 10 roadblocks to banks integrating blockchain.
blockchain  banking  opportunity  review  evolution  forecast  MoganStanley  CoinDesk  2016 
april 2016 by inspiral
The best is the last — Benedict Evans
The development of technologies tends to follow an S-Curve: they improve slowly, then quickly, and then slowly again. And at that last stage, they're really, really good. Everything has been optimised and worked out and understood, and they're fast, cheap and reliable. That's also often the point that a new architecture comes to replace them. You can see this very clearly today in devices such as Apple's new Macbook or Windows 'ultrabooks' - they've taken Intel's x86 and the mouse and window-based GUI model as far as they can go, and reached the point that everything possible has been optimised. Smartphones are probably at the point that the curve is starting to flatten - a lot has been optimised but there's still work to do, especially around cameras and battery life, and of course GPUs for VR. That curve will probably flatten out just at the point that AR starts to start shipping. 
technology  evolution  innovation  aerospace  shipping  analogy  BenedictEvans  2016 
april 2016 by inspiral
Online Dating and the Death of the 'Mixed-Attractiveness' Couple
At the start of the semester, they asked students in small classes to rate the desirability of their classmates. (Desirability could incorporate non-physical attributes as well as good looks.) When the researchers looked at the ratings, they found that most students agreed on who was hot and who was not.

Three months later, though, the researchers asked the same students to rate their classmates again. Lo and behold, many of the ratings had changed: the students’ opinions of who was datable had been informed by time together in class. Over time, personality had more of an impact on how desirable someone was.

More importantly, the students no longer agreed. Their rankings reflected their personal preferences about the non-physical attributes of the other people in the class. Where one classmate might find a student’s earnestness in class endearing, another might dislike it.

“Perceptions of mate value change the more time that people spend together,” Lucy Hunt has said of the result, adding, “Maybe it’s the case that beauty is partially in the eye of the beholder, especially as time passes.”
relationships  dating  onlinedating  assortativemating  attractiveness  evolution  Hinge  Tinder  DatingRing  Priceonomics  2016 
april 2016 by inspiral
Why bots are the new apps | The Economist
The market for apps is maturing. Now one for text-based services, or chatbots, looks poised to take off
bot  chatbots  virtualassistant  mobilemessaging  opportunity  review  FacebookMessenger  Microsoft  Telegram  evolution  Economist  2016 
april 2016 by inspiral
In the Future, We Will Photograph Everything and Look at Nothing - The New Yorker
In other words, “the term ‘photographer’ is changing,” he said. As a result, photos are less markers of memories than they are Web-browser bookmarks for our lives. And, just as with bookmarks, after a few months it becomes hard to find photos or even to navigate back to the points worth remembering. Google made hoarding bookmarks futile. Today we think of something, and then we Google it. Photos are evolving along the same path as well.
photography  culture  consumer  evolution  author:OmMalik  NewYorker  2016 
april 2016 by inspiral
Apple at Forty: Steve Jobs Led Us to the Fourth Dimension - The New Yorker
Apple’s first forty years, in short, were not just forty years in a very successful company’s life. They were a unique time. Transformative technologies were invented, and their place in society was contested and defined. A spectacularly unique person led those efforts. And—arguably—a threshold in human affairs was crossed, as many of us began to live four-dimensional lives. I imagine that Apple will continue to create excellent products for many years to come. But I doubt that the strange, world-altering story of Apple can be repeated, by Apple or any other company. History like this happens only once.
Apple  profile  history  evolution  review  SteveJobs  author:JoshuaRothman  NewYorker  2016 
april 2016 by inspiral
Singapore’s Midlife Crisis |
“No amount of analysis and forward planning,” says longtime government advisor Peter Ho, “will eliminate volatility and uncertainty in a complex world.” The old managerial model, he concedes, has become outdated. To thrive in the future, Singapore will have to find its way without a predrawn map. As Asia modernizes and develops a modern infrastructure, Singaporeans cannot remain competitive merely by being more efficient or better educated. The city-state will have to rediscover the boldness of its founding generation, even while discarding many of its methods. “We will have to be pioneers again,” notes Calvin Soh, “and recognize that we don’t have the same strategic advantages that we used to have. We have to start planning for the next ten years from that viewpoint. And that plan has to come from the grassroots, not from above.”
Singapore  history  evolution  politics  LeeKwanYew  PAP  immigration  gambling  ageingpopulation  economy  government  review  author:JoelKotkin  NewGeography  2016 
april 2016 by inspiral
The reality of virtual reality | ClickZ
A lot of today’s virtual reality is actually virtual virtual reality. The technology may take off, but like “the year of mobile,” it will happen slowly and gradually.
virtualreality  evolution  forecast  review  Clickz  2016 
march 2016 by inspiral
How well online dating works, according to someone who has been studying it for years - The Washington Post
About 75 percent of the people who meet online had no prior connection. They didn’t have friends in common. They’re families didn’t know each other. So they were perfect strangers. And prior to the Internet, it was kind of hard for perfect strangers to meet. Perfect strangers didn’t come into contact in that intimate sort of way. One of the real benefits of Internet search is being able to find people you might have commonalities with but otherwise would never have crossed paths with.
onlinedating  relationships  evolution  marriage  longevity  diversity  research  review  MichaelRosenfeld  interview  WashingtonPost  2016 
march 2016 by inspiral
The Future of Conversational UI Belongs to Hybrid Interfaces — Medium
2016 is the year of everything conversational. Messaging apps are taking over the world and app store rankings with incredible retention and engagement rates. Every community, marketplace, on-demand service, dating app, social game or e-commerce product has or will soon have messaging as part of the experience to drive retention, engagement and transaction volume.
messaging  evolution  textmessage  mobilemessaging  virtualassistant  voicerecognition  graphicaluserinterface  bots  userexperience  author:TomazStolfa  Medium  2016 
march 2016 by inspiral
What Happens When Walmart Dumps You |
No surprise then that some communities now resent Walmart for having essentially invaded Main Street, laid it to waste, and then abandoning it. Some places where Walmart have come in, such as Whitewright, Texas, a town of 1,600 in the northern reaches of the state, saw the retailer come in just last year, drive out of business some long-standing local stores, notably the longtime local grocery, and now, as part of its strategic change, leaving the town with little in the way of retail options.
Walmart  retail  evolution  suburbs  rural  trends  ecommerce  diversity  forecast  USA  NewGeography  2016 
march 2016 by inspiral
Disrupting mobile — Benedict Evans
Equally, today we are starting to see an explosion in AI, as it leaves research labs and universities and turns into products and companies, that could have a similar scale and effect. Just as the web didn't replace Windows, but made it a commodity, AI might shift our attention away from mobile. 
tech  technology  evolution  PCs  mobile  internetofthings  virtualreality  augmentedreality  BenedictEvans  2016 
march 2016 by inspiral
Why K-Pop has Korean Men Wearing Makeup — Cuepoint — Medium
Traditional masculine ideals in South Korea are being redefined by cultural, social, and economic forces
men  masculinity  evolution  KPop  music  culture  SouthKorea  Cuepoint  Medium  2016 
march 2016 by inspiral
The End of Standardized Platforms | Tech.pinions - Perspective, Insight, Analysis
I tend to lean toward the latter. While VR/AR will start off segmented with Oculus having a platform, Sony having a platform, Microsoft having a platform, Google having a platform and even Apple having a platform eventually, it may also stay segmented rather than consolidated.
The global consumer smartphone market has shown us it can sustain many platforms so perhaps whatever comes next will follow the same paradigm. As I’m observing with wearables, where the market is actually developing into a rich segmentation, perhaps VR/AR or artificial intelligence will do the same, adding new layers of computing platforms onto the existing ones rather than consolidating into a single one.
operatingsystem  evolution  forecast  virtualreality  augmentedreality  author:BenBajarin  Techpinions  2016 
february 2016 by inspiral
Virtual Reality – Andreessen Horowitz
You read a book; your brain reads letters printed in ink on paper and transforms that into a world. You watch a movie; you’re seeing imagery inside of a rectangle while you’re sitting inside a room, and your brain translates that into a world. And you connect to this even though you know it’s not real, but because you’re in the habit of suspending disbelief.

With virtual reality, you’re essentially hacking the visual-audio system of your brain and feeding it a set of stimuli that’s close enough to the stimuli it expects that it sees it as truth. Instead of suspending your disbelief, you actually have to remind yourself not to believe.
virtualreality  innovation  opportunity  evolution  author:ChrisDixon  AndreessenHorovitz  2016 
february 2016 by inspiral
Mobile, smartphones and hindsight — Benedict Evans
It's always fun to laugh at the people who said the future would never happen. But it's more useful to look at the people who got it almost right, but not quite enough. That's what happened in mobile. As we look now at new emerging industries, such as VR and AR or autonomous cars, we can see many of the same issues. The big picture 20 years out is actually the easy part, but the details are the difference between Nokia and DoCoMo ruling the world and the world as it actually happened. There's going to be a bunch of stuff that'll happen by 2025 that we'd find just as weird.
mobile  smartphones  mobileapps  PDA  RIM  Blackberry  Nokia  Apple  iPhone  evolution  review  BenedictEvans  2016 
february 2016 by inspiral
The fall… and rise and rise and rise of chat networks | Ars Technica
But, for this rising chat network tide that is lifting all the boats at Viber, Palringo, Hike, KakoaTalk, Line, WeChat, Kik, and countless emulators and imitators that haven't even been founded yet, the future looks very, very bright indeed. We have come a long way from CB radio, and in the argot of those subversive CB days, that’s a big 10-4!
chat  instantmessenger  mobilemessaging  history  evolution  AOLInstantMessenger  YahooMessenger  Talkomatic  COmpuServeCB  WeChat  Line  WhatsApp  Viber  gamification  Palringo  Kik  stickers  Hike  Telegram  ArsTechnica  2016 
february 2016 by inspiral
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