daguti + large-systems   126

A northern English town offers a glimpse of life when migrants leave - The day the migrants left
This is what happens when a place becomes a net exporter rather than a net importer, in terms of immigration.

Mainly, it seems low-end jobs don't get filled, as businesses have a hard time filling those positions with locals.
race-immigration  race-immgration-brexit  large-systems 
february 2018 by daguti
The law of peanut butter and jelly? Why some flavors work well together | The Splendid Table
The archetype: something fruity (jelly), something rich and fatty (peanut butter), something to spread it on. Works for pizza, too: fruity: tomato sauce, rich and fatty (cheese), spread it on: dough/crust. ............. large-systems = These are precisely the kinds of things that exist in daily life (wealth/poverty, power struggles, civil rights, etc) that people don't notice and tend to think they are all "one off" examples. Archetypes are all around us.
cooking  food  analysis  large-systems 
january 2016 by daguti
Richard Cook | How Complex Systems Fail
Haven't heard this show, but I assume it falls into the same vein as the Donella Meadows stuff.
january 2016 by daguti
Donella Meadows - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
In the vein of Norman Borlaug and Gene Sharp, someone who observed and reported. RIP Donella Meadows. Here I am 15 years after your death, just coming to learn of this incredible body of work.
biography  large-systems  people-donella-meadows 
december 2015 by daguti
Lots Of Candidates Want To Simplify Tax Code; Here's What They Get Wrong : It's All Politics : NPR
large-systems-pushing-the-wrong-levers = The concept from my bookmark 2014-04-25 ("Leverage Points: Places to Intervene in a System - The Donella Meadows Institute") that says that people intuitively know where the leverage points in a system are. It's just that they ALWAYS end up pushing in the wrong direction. This is now reminding me of the idea I read somewhere that said that creating affordable housing actually makes life worse for everyone in that town, INCLUDING THE VERY PEOPLE who are living in the affordable housing. Not sure where I read it, but that has also been a foundational influence on my thinking.
large-systems  large-systems-pushing-the-wrong-levers  taxes-as-a-concept 
september 2015 by daguti
About 125 Americans control more than 40 percent of election contributions : politics
It's always been amazing to me how we picture huge institutions to be these big, monolithic entities. But when you really inspect things, it turns out there are a very few small places where you can "push" and make things happen. (This reminds me of the book "Systemantics")
politics  politics-money-in  wealth-income-distribution  large-systems 
april 2015 by daguti
For comments: It takes time for things to break,... - Nassim Nicholas Taleb
It takes time for things to break, but they eventually break, & there should be no rush although our impulse is to think that they will collapse immediately after we become aware of the problem. Give things time... 3 to 8 years in today's complex system. By definition the fragile cannot be selfsustaining as the probability of a collapse increases with time. -- We had to wait 4 years for Fannie Mae to go bust (after detection of their fragility), but it did go bust; 5 years for Syria to blow up, but it did; bankers are losing power 5 years after the crisis. We thought in 2009 that the econ establishment would be discredited and... it is starting to happen about 5 years later. We thought in 2010 that the Greeks would be in the streets and here they are... -- So what's on the list (of the unsustainably fragile)? For me, Saudi Arabia, Elsevier/Wiley (academic publishing will be Uberized), the Fed's monopoly, Monsanto, bureaucrats in Europe w/lifetime employment, Oligarchs, etc. Please be specific, avoid the vague and the general.
people-nassim-nicholas-taleb  large-systems 
february 2015 by daguti
Why is America fat as shit, you ask? - Imgur
"When you have a widespread obesity epidemic it goes beyond personal choice and simple diet and exercise. There is a problem with processed American food. It's bad for us." ........................... I've been saying this forever, yes, personal responsibility is a good thing, but when the entire population is getting so fat, it's not something you can cast off as "Oh, one day people will wake up." .... That's why I supported Bloomberg's ban on large sodas. Unfortunately, you HAVE TO think for people, sometimes.
disease-obesity  large-systems  food  food-processed  photos  meetup-movnat  food-sugar  food-sugar-fake 
january 2015 by daguti
US budget resolution funds war and repression: "a staggering $830 billion, more than 80 cents out of every dollar in the funding bill, is devoted to killing, spying on, imprisoning or otherwise oppressing the people of the world, including the American p
Summary of the good comments: What people thing is bankrupting us: Foreign aid, food stamps, science funding. What is really bankrupting us: Social Security, Medicare/Medicaid, military-industrial complex, NSA, keeping people (including Americans) oppressed. .... However, see multiple comments by Sleekery, who seems to be saying something about 80% of 1/3 of total budget. .............. large-systems = Particularly relevant in light of having read Systemantics.
government  corruption  taxes-as-a-concept  big-brother  budget  large-systems 
december 2014 by daguti
How the GOP stopped caring about you - The Washington Post
wealth-income-distribution = Not strictly speaking, but in terms of how the rich are played against the poor. .............. Also see comment by Penny Saved: "It's an old-fashioned idea that history moves in cycles. The column above is pretty glib. One big note -- The biggest champion of 'deregulation' in the 1970s was a fellow named Jimmy Carter, a Democrat. But the column is, with all those faults, correct. Organized Money has represented the biggest anti-social force in American history since before the nation's founding. And what the author of the column has found is not 'cycles' of history of the Republican Party, but that Organized Money moves it nest. Sometimes, its at home in the Republican Party, and sometimes it hangs out at its summer place in the Democratic Party. The 'cycle' shifts when conditions become intolerable, and the political will arises to (and its always 'finally,' isn't it?) set things correctly, and have a country that is actually..."
politics-philosophies-republicans  me-stuff  me-stuff-foundational-influence  large-systems  politics  wealth-income-distribution  politics-money-in  countries-united-states-america  taxes-as-a-concept 
november 2014 by daguti
Secrets of the Vatican | Frontline on PBS
Saw this tonight on PBS about the scandals that rocked the papacy of Benedict and the changes Francis is bringing to the Vatican.
pope  corruption  corruption-corporate  religion-catholic  video  large-systems 
july 2014 by daguti
Leverage Points: Places to Intervene in a System - The Donella Meadows Institute
2nd of 2 resources on systems. 1st was "Systemantics"/CoolTools bookmarked 2014-03-01 ............ 2015-09-29: I've found myself coming back to this time and again --> "The systems analysis community has a lot of lore about leverage points. Those of us who were trained by the great Jay Forrester at MIT have all absorbed one of his favorite stories. “People know intuitively where leverage points are,” he says. “Time after time I’ve done an analysis of a company, and I’ve figured out a leverage point — in inventory policy, maybe, or in the relationship between sales force and productive force, or in personnel policy. Then I’ve gone to the company and discovered that there’s already a lot of attention to that point. Everyone is trying very hard to push it IN THE WRONG DIRECTION!”" ....... "Counterintuitive. ... Leverage points are not intuitive. Or if they are, we intuitively use them backward, systematically worsening whatever problems we are ..." (saved as PDF in \media\text..\business)
large-systems  hacking  books-to-buy  explanation-simplification  me-stuff  large-systems-pushing-the-wrong-levers  counterintuitive  people-donella-meadows 
april 2014 by daguti
How the Internet Is Taking Away America’s Religion | MIT Technology Review
Side note: This graph shows that in 1995 (when I first got on the real internet -not CompuServe, Prodigy or AOL), there were only 10 internet users per 100 population in the US.
religion  internet  society  culture  large-systems  atheism 
april 2014 by daguti
GREED-PROOF NOT GREED-FREE: Two... - Nassim Nicholas Taleb
He doesn't mention capitalism, but it's exactly what I've been saying. The lion doesn't spare the goat out of graciousness or mercy - it simply eats a pig and gets full - the ecosystem has checks and balances on how hungry a lion gets and and how often a lion will have to eat. In other words, it's the system putting constraints on the animal, not the animal being civil.
people-nassim-nicholas-taleb  capitalism  large-systems 
march 2014 by daguti
Cool Tools – Systemantics
1st of 2 resources, the other is a blog post bookmarked 4/25/2014 with these same tags minus "gifts" ---------------------------------------------- hacking = Taking something apart, understanding it and putting it back together again. .................................. This would be a great gift for someone like Rob. --------------------------- Avail on Amazon: http://www.amazon.com/dp/B00AK1BIDM/cooltools-20 --------------- http://www.amazon.com/dp/0961825170/cooltools-20
large-systems  hacking  books-to-buy  explanation-simplification  gifts  me-stuff 
march 2014 by daguti
2014 Gates Annual Letter: Myths About Foreign Aid - Gates Foundation
"I’ll get to Africa in a moment, but first let’s look at the broader trend around the world, going back a half-century. Fifty years ago, the world was divided in three: the United States and our Western allies; the Soviet Union and its allies; and everyone else. I was born in 1955 and grew up learning that the so-called First World was well off or “developed.” Most everyone in the First World went to school, and we lived long lives. We weren't sure what life was like behind the Iron Curtain, but it sounded like a scary place. Then there was the so-called Third World—basically everyone else. As far as we knew, it was filled with people who were poor, didn't go to school much, and died young. Worse, they were trapped in poverty, with no hope of moving up. The statistics bear out these impressions. In 1960, almost all of the global economy was in the West. Per capita income in the United States was about $15,000 a year.1 (That’s income per person, so $60,000 a year for a family of 4.)"
poverty  large-systems  people-bill-gates 
january 2014 by daguti
Expensive cities are killing creativity - Opinion - Al Jazeera English
large-systems = We thought that the democratization of creation would be good, but it seems to have had the opposite effect. This comes down to cognitive-load. When we're overwhelmed, there is no choice but to stop the flow - and you do that by setting up artificial barriers. "Over the past decade, as digital media made it possible for anyone, anywhere, to share their ideas and works, barriers to professional entry tightened and geographical proximity became valued. Fields where advanced degrees were once a rarity - art, creative writing - now view them as a requirement. Unpaid internships and unpaid labour are rampant, blocking off industry access for those who cannot work without pay in the world's most expensive cities."
cities  creativity  wealth-income-distribution  culture  society  large-systems  cognitive-load  innovation 
january 2014 by daguti
Who controls the world? More resources for understanding
Perfectly shows why a few companies can take down the globaly economy while avoiding (and actually discrediting) the conspiracy theory angle.
large-systems  visualization  tedtalks  anti-something  conspiracy  economics 
february 2013 by daguti
Thomas Thwaites: How I built a toaster -- from scratch | Video on TED.com
Guy tries to build a homemade toaster from scratch and in the process, realizes that it takes an entire society. 2015-09-17: Guy builds a sandwich from scratch, takes 6 months and $1500: http://digg.com/video/sandwich-from-scratch-6-month-1500-dollars
large-systems  tedtalks  technology  society  art  economics  diy 
december 2012 by daguti
Jonas Eliasson: How to solve traffic jams | Video on TED.com
After implementing rush hour tolls, a city sees 20% in cars, which sounds like not much, until you realize that traffic is something that gets worse (and better) exponentially or logarithmically. Even a small decline in # of cars, equals a much better experience for everyone.

Even more interesting, the 20% of people who magically disappeared from the roads didn't seem to realize that they had. No one felt that they had changed their driving pattern, probably because each day everyone makes choices about which way they are going to go.

Most interesting of all is that everyone wanted the tolls to remain. Lesson? You can positively change public policy with small nudges and incentives. If you do it right, they will even like it.
transportation  cities  video  tedtalks  public-policy  large-systems  transportation-traffic 
december 2012 by daguti
Triumph of the Nerds: Nate Silver Wins in 50 States
crowdsourcing, data-amalgamation = "We’ll see more about that kind of model, and less stories about individual polls, which are almost always misleading unless you aggregate them."
crowdsourcing  data-amalgamation  mathematics  data-mining  election-2012-presidential  large-systems 
november 2012 by daguti
Taking Stock Of The MP3 At Midlife : The Record : NPR
large-systems = "In the last decade, CD sales in the United States have dropped by more than two thirds, fulfilling a cycle that dates back to wax cylinders and 78 rpm discs: the 20 to 30 year lifespan of a format, followed by the rise of a new technology."
large-systems  music-industry  media-cds  analysis  history-computer  mp3 
october 2012 by daguti
The Best Way to Fight Flu: Inoculate Children: Scientific American
immunizing 20 percent of children in a community is more effective at protecting those older than 65 than immunizing 90 percent of the elderly. Another study suggests that immunizing 70 percent of schoolchildren may protect an entire community (including the elderly) from flu. Schools are virus exchange systems, and children are “super-spreaders”—they “shed” more of the virus for longer periods than adults.
health-aging  elderly  children  large-systems  disease-prevention  disease-flu  disease 
october 2012 by daguti
The Master (2012 film) - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
large-systems = "Anderson initially got the idea for the film by reading a quote that mentioned that the periods after wars were times for spiritual movements to start."
movies-to-watch  cults  communities  groups  large-systems 
september 2012 by daguti
USDA says drought will push up food prices in 2013 - Economy Watch
This sort of matches with the Web Bot's prediction about food prices rising. Although I think Web Bot predicted it for 2011 or 2012 and this is happening in 2013.
large-systems  food  predictions 
july 2012 by daguti
Seth's Blog: Worldliness
me-stuff = I always had this idea, but Seth voiced it perfectly:
"Deep domain understanding helps you create analyses. Your ability to understand how a particular system (no matter how small) works allows you apply a confident analysis to new systems you encounter. Once you know everything there is to know about nuclear physics, soccer or the praying mantis, it makes it easier to understand new systems."
large-systems  personal-development  people-seth-godin  me-stuff 
may 2012 by daguti
4 Biggest Mistakes of the World’s 4 Biggest Entrepreneurs
As of April 2012, with Apple stock trading for over $600, those 7.5 million shares would be worth over $45 billion dollars. That alone is almost as much as the April 2012 worth of the world’s richest man, Carlos Slim ($49 billion).

personal-development =
So, as your company grows, remember that you may not always be the best person for the job. Play to your strengths and, in the words of Warren Buffett, stick to your “circle of confidence.”
analysis  personal-development  large-systems  strategy  people-larry-page  microsoft  google  apple  history-computer  entrepreneurship  warnings  disaster  people-bill-gates  people-steve-jobs 
april 2012 by daguti
Peter Thiel: We’re in a Bubble and It’s Not the Internet. It’s Higher Education.
Study this quote. There's something in there that I'm not getting right now:
“It’s something about the scarcity and the status. In education your value depends on other people failing. WHENEVER DARWINISM IS INVOKED IT'S USUALLY A JUSTIFICATION FOR DOING SOMETHING MEAN. It’s a way to ignore that people are falling through the cracks, because you pretend that if they could just go to Harvard, they’d be fine. Maybe that’s not true.”
children-teens  college-alternatives  learning-alternative  education  large-systems  predictions  news  2011  people-peter-thiel 
may 2011 by daguti
Learning to Thrive on Terra Humana - Room for Debate - NYTimes.com
See comment from PJ in Chattanooga, particularly last sentence: "So why do I get the sense that this is the kind of discussion that bacteria might be having in their petri dish? Our species evolved to fill an ecological niche - like all other species on the planet. And our arrival didn't signal the terminal point in the evolutionary process. The Anthropocene epoch may have begun a few millenia in the past ... and will end when we as a species are just another layer in the fossil record. How long this particular epoch lasts is up to us. Following the thinking of Desmond Morris, my sense is that the things that made us a successful mutation 200,000 years ago also carried the potential seeds of the species' self-destruction: aggression, pack behavior, reproductive capacity, and the ability to exploit the environment." ..... Also see link "What Would You Give Up For World Peace?"TAGS:[evolvify-topics,war]
evolvify-topics  evolution  people  large-systems  me-stuff 
may 2011 by daguti
Seth's Blog: Marketing to the bottom of the pyramid
I read this and I logically get it, but this is going to require another read-through and a deeper understanding.
people-seth-godin  marketing  large-systems  long-term-thinking  poverty  marketplace 
may 2011 by daguti
LAUNCH Conference - Blog - L011: Color.com Stuns Valley with Implied Social Network -- and a $41M Raise
large-systems = LAUNCH Analysis: Intelligent VCs have been building a psychological profile of the company that would "kill"-- or at least compete with -- Facebook for the past year or two. So far, this magical company will:
* be mobile first, since Facebook sucks at mobile.
* have some new spin on how the social network is formed.
* be lead by a hungry entrepreneur (or two) coming off a big hit.
* leverage one or both of the primary drivers of Facebook traffic: photos and social games.
large-systems  startups  social-media 
march 2011 by daguti
On the increasing uselessness of Google..... - broadstuff
large-systems = "Google is like a monoculture, and thus parasites have a major impact once they have adapted to it - especially if Google has "lost the war". If search was more heterogenous, spamsites would find it more costly to scam every site. That is a very interesting argument against the level of Google market dominance."
google  analysis  seo  large-systems 
january 2011 by daguti
Is the U.S. on the Brink of Fascism? | Antemedius
large-systems = In a 1998 paper published in The Journal of Modern History, Paxton argued that the best way to recognize emerging fascist movements isn't by their rhetoric, their politics, or their aesthetics. Rather, he said, mature democracies turn fascist by a recognizable process, a set of five stages that may be the most important family resemblance that links all the whole motley collection of 20th Century fascisms together.
large-systems  politics  government 
december 2010 by daguti
The Checkup - Teen birth rate hits record low
"When money is very tight, all of us think harder about taking risks, expanding our families, taking on new responsibilities," Brown said. "Now I know that teens may not be as savvy about money as those in their 20s and 30s - they probably don't stress over 401(k)s like the rest of us --but many teens live with financially stressed adults, and they see neighbors and older friends losing jobs and even losing houses. So they, too, feel the squeeze and may be reacting to it by being more prudent.... Maybe part of tightening our belts includes keeping our zippers closed, too!"
economic-recession-2008  children-teens  babies  large-systems  statistics  news  2010 
december 2010 by daguti
Behind OpenTable's success - Fortune Tech
"What separates the success stories from the also-rans is their ability to tap into the mobile web, which can help on-the-go consumers find, research and connect with local shops and restaurants."
internet  history-computer  startups-going-legit  analysis  business  large-systems 
october 2010 by daguti
Seth's Blog: How to buy a house
#8 speaks to me. So many of my friends are busy getting married, having kids, buying houses, etc. I have much bigger plans.

"If you have a steady job, matching your mortgage to your income isn't dumb. But if you are a freelancer, an entrepreneur or a big thinker, a mortgage can wipe you out. That's because the pressure to make your monthly nut is so big you won't take the risks and do the important work you need to do to actually get ahead. When you have a choice between creating a sure-thing average piece of work or a riskier breakthrough, the mortgage might be just enough to persuade you to hold back."
psychology  housing  large-systems  money  mortgage  people-seth-godin  marketing  life 
april 2010 by daguti
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