daguti + analysis   505

The Zero Hour Portfolio — Tim Ferriss is Promoting Robo Advisors
Good to know:

"I agree that Robo-Advising is far more optimal than having human teams that pick stocks, rebalance portfolios, do tax-loss harvesting and all the tasks that Human Advisors are currently doing -but can perfectly be automatized.

Yet they are running on the wrong kind of programming.

Their credo is the following: Since nobody can’t predict what stocks are going to do, they spread the risk around by diversification, buy for the long term and hope for the best, when we all know that, in any business endeavor hope is not a rational strategy."

But even that last sentence is starting to give me a hint of what this guy's idea of "proper investing" is

I got further down the article and it sounds like this guy is saying you have to become an options master to have "peace of mind" when you invest:

"he describes several types of investment styles, value investing, index investing and that you should read about several types of investments. But all these types of investments he lists and talks about would give him significant stress and sleepless nights. His objective is to invest to improve quality of life."

and then we finally get to the sales pitch:

"You can have an edge too, with Tastytrade and Tastyworks. Because they present practical and proven methods to be a successful investor.
And you can have quality of life too, because with options trading it means you don’t have to be glued to the screen or constantly monitoring your positions.
You only check and adjust your portfolio once a day, no longer than 45 minutes or an hour -when you are really experienced. Much like a regular workout."
investing  anti-something  people-tim-ferriss  analysis 
4 weeks ago by daguti
A new Fox News poll shows Donald Trump losing to every Democratic frontrunner in the 2020 election : politics
government, history, countries-united-states =

The founding myths of America are myths. This country did not come to be because some gamblers in Massachusetts were pissed off that they had to pay a tax for their playing cards and the price of tea went up.

It was formed because American elites wanted equal standing with the British peerage. They owned huge estates and had vast wealth but they weren’t lords, and didn’t have the privileges that came with that, and the aristocracy treated them no different from a carpenter or a wainwright. Our predecessors did not go to war because the common man was annoyed that the king was getting all up in the local game of whist.

Once the revolution was over they first tried to preserve the sovereignty of the states, and then came up with this system we have now.

It’s been changed, but originally:

The Executive was chosen by political elites, who were elected by the voters who had little choice in who the electors actually were.

The officers of the government are all appointed, not elected. In many systems -even in state governments- the head of the equivalent to the justice department is elected or otherwise wholly independent of the executive.

The Senate was comprised of appointees given their post by state governments- they were intended to be career “elder statesmen” chosen by the elite, who of course dominated politics.

The House was give the power of the purse, but in practice we see how weak that really is. A congressional representative, of all the elected officials of the government, has the least real power.

Think about it- do you think that, at any point, Thomas Jefferson didn’t expect to be running things? That it was ever in his head that “the voters” would send him home? Of course not.

The mechanisms of power were insulated from voters- and let’s not forget that at the inception of the United States, the only people who could vote were white men who owned real property and paid a tax on it. It didn’t matter how successful you were, if you didn’t own land or a mule you couldn’t vote. Even worse, polling places were often in the private homes of elites and there were open ballots.

Fundamentally, our system of government was intended to be a quasi-feudal/classical Roman aristocratic power structure with a veneer if democracy for the common man. (Most of the common men couldn’t vote, and no, your fourth grade teacher was wrong; men meant men. Some of these guys liked their wives but culturally they essentially saw women as pets.)

Over time, we’ve made some democratic moves to make the system more representative, but trying to get a true democratic republic out of our aristocratic system is like trying to pound a square peg into a round hole. Changing the Senate left things just as bad or worse, and the elites have ceded direct political power and instead simply buy the outcomes they want, by ensuring that rare is the congressman that will defy them."
at this link: https://old.reddit.com/r/politics/comments/d6dt6t/a_new_fox_news_poll_shows_donald_trump_losing_to/f0t7j5c/

The whole thread below that is great:

"This is one of the best and most concise explanation of the motives of the founders I’ve seen in a long time. It is always one of those things that growing up in the US you take for granted, that the founders, albeit products of their time and place, had this noble vision for the future of governance. At a certain age, depending on how closely you were paying attention, it starts to feel slightly off. Like, where else in world history has a group of elite men ever gotten together and decided how to make things better for everyday people? That’s where American exceptionalism comes into play, it was a special confluence of the right people in the right place at the right time. It can’t be recreated, and more importantly, it shouldn’t be questioned. It’s as if the Constitution came down with Moses from Mt. Sinai, he just time travelled real quick to 18th century America with a handwritten note from God saying “thought you guys might need this.”

It’s not as if the founders didn’t think what they were doing was right on some level, but they were also protecting their legacy for posterity. Their design for a truly and utterly conservative system of governance that passed itself off as democracy was ingenious and unparalleled to this day."



"The essential core of American culture is Calvinism with God stripped out and replaced by the Constitution.

We're so used to hearing "but it's in the constitution!" that we don't even challenge it, and we somehow take the words of men who have been dead for 200 years to heart about situations they could not conceptualize."



One of my favorite Constitutional critiques is already over 150 years old.

The Constitution of No Authority: https://www.libertarianism.org/publications/essays/constitution-no-authority
predictions  people-donald-trump  election  election-2020-presidential  government  history  countries-united-states-america  analysis 
7 weeks ago by daguti
What Happened When a Trump Supporter Challenged Me About the Wall
"y conservative sources to make my point. My primary source was a policy paper by the Cato Institute—a conservative, libertarian think tank—along with other conservative voices (listed below).
Here’s why I’m against the wall, I wrote:
1. Walls don’t work. Illegal immigrants have tunneled underneath and/or erected ramps up and down walls and simply driven over them. People find a way. When East Germany erected its wall, it created a military zone, staffed by booted, machine-gun carrying guards ready to shoot to kill. Yet thousands managed to make it to West Germany anyway. More to the point, do we really want to model ourselves after communist East Germany?
2. Most illegal immigrants are “overstayers.” They come to the U.S. legally—for vacations, jobs, schools, etc.—and then stay long past their visas. By 2012, overstayers accounted for 58 percent (the majority) of all unauthorized immigrants. A wall is meaningless here.
3. Walls have little impact on drugs being brought in to the U.S. According to the DEA, almost all drugs come in through legal points of entry, hidden in secret containers and/or among legit goods in tractor-trailers. A wall will have little to no impact on the influx of drugs into our country.
4. It’s environmentally impractical. Walls have a hard time making it through extreme weather. For example, in 2011, a flood in Arizona washed away 40 feet of steel fencing. Torrential rains and raging waters do serious damage. Also, conservative sources generally do not address the environmental harm that walls create, but there is plenty of documentation showing the potential for irreparable damage to both plant and animal life.
5. A wall would force the U.S. government to take land from private citizens in eminent domain battles. Private citizens own much of the land slated for the wall. The costs of the government snatching private land—and the legal battles that would ensue—are incalculable.
6. Border patrol agents don’t like concrete or steel walls because they block surveillance capabilities. In other words, they can’t mobilize correctly to meet challenges. So, in many ways, a wall makes their job more difficult.
7. Border patrol agents say walls are “meaningless” without agents and technology to support them. Are we prepared to pour countless billions annually—well after the wall is built—to create a nearly 2,000-mile militarized, 24-hour-surveillance border operation? Because according to patrol agents, that’s the only way a wall would work. Again, are we really going to use East Germany, a brutal communist state, as our model here?

Are we seriously going to model ourselves on East Germany and their wall? Photo: Keystone-France/Gamma-Keystone via Getty Images
8. Where barriers were built, there was little impact on the number of border crossers. According to the Congressional Research Center cited in the Cato report, after San Diego rebuilt a fence making it more wall-like—taller and more opaque—the structure “did not have a discernible impact on the influx of unauthorized aliens coming across the border” in the area. They simply came in elsewhere, primarily where natural barriers such as water or mountainous regions preclude a wall.
9. A wall has unintended consequences on other industries: For example, it blocks farmworkers from exiting when their invaluable seasonal work is done. Farmers are against the wall because it makes getting cheap seasonal labor almost impossible, as few American citizens want those jobs. And if seasonal workers do get in, a wall makes it harder for them to leave. It traps migrant farm laborers in our country.
10. Trump’s $5 billion is a laughable drop in the bucket for what would actually be needed. For example, according to the Cato Institute: An estimate for a border wall area that only covered 700 miles was originally $1.2 billion. How much did it cost in reality? $7 billion. And that’s only for 700 miles. Whatever we think it’s going to cost, experience shows us we must multiply it by more than 500 percent.
11. According to MIT engineers, the wall would cost $31.2 billion. Homeland Security estimates it at $22 billion. Given the pattern of spending mentioned in number 10 (plus Murphy’s Law), we’re talking about pouring endless billions into something that doesn’t even work. Of course, we taxpayers will be footing the bill, not Mexico. Given all the drawbacks, is this really the best use of our taxes?
As the conservatives of the Cato Institute put it, “President Trump’s wall would be a mammoth expenditure that would have little impact on illegal immigration.” It would also create many “direct harms,” including “the spending, the taxes, the eminent domain abuse, and the decrease in immigrant’s freedoms of movement.”
We must add, because conservative sources do not, that the environmental harms are likely to be severe.
In other words, the facts show that walls don’t work. Instead, they create even bigger, more expensive problems.
So what happened after I posted this conservative-sourced, fact-based list of why the wall is a bad idea?
I waited for someone to respond, to engage with me. Where were the angry defenses or rebuttals? But when I searched for the post after a few days, I couldn’t find it.
My Facebook friend had deleted it. You could say, like Trump with the government, he shut me down rather than deal with the facts.
The ugly genius of Trump is his ability to manipulate deep, primal emotions—namely fear and hate. Along with Fox News, he has convinced his base that immigrants put them in “extreme danger” and only a wall will make them “safe.”
Unfortunately, their need to feel safe is much stronger than their will to grapple with a complex, multifaceted problem—a problem that will require serious engagement with complex policies to get at the root of it.
And so, here we are, paralyzed by shutdowns at every turn.

Conservative-Leaning Sources Explaining the Uselessness of Trump’s Wall:
see the original article. View in incognito to get past the paywall."
analysis  politics  politics-philosophies-liberals-or-democrats  politics-philosophies-republicans  race-immigration 
july 2019 by daguti
Republicans and Democrats Don't Understand Each Other - The Atlantic
"What is corroding American politics is, specifically, negative partisanship: Although most liberals feel conflicted about the Democratic Party, they really hate the Republican Party. And even though most conservatives feel conflicted about the Republican Party, they really hate the Democratic Party.

America’s political divisions are driven by hatred of an out-group rather than love of the in-group. The question is: Why?"

"Unfortunately, the “Perception Gap” study suggests that neither the media nor the universities are likely to remedy Americans’ inability to hear one another: It found that the best educated and most politically interested Americans are more likely to vilify their political adversaries than their less educated, less tuned-in peers."

"Americans who rarely or never follow the news are surprisingly good at estimating the views of people with whom they disagree. On average, they misjudge the preferences of political adversaries by less than 10 percent. Those who follow the news most of the time, by contrast, are terrible at understanding their adversaries. On average, they believe that the share of their political adversaries who endorse extreme views is about 30 percent higher than it is in reality."
analysis  politics-philosophies-liberals-or-democrats  politics-philosophies-republicans  psychology-beliefs-or-changing-beliefs 
june 2019 by daguti
John Edmiston Milich - John Edmiston Milich
Side view of a bunch of white SUVs with the make next to each one (i.e. Chevrolet, Honda, Mercedes, etc)

They are all nearly identical in shape from the side.

The caption reads "Capitalism breeds innovation"

I've come to understand that in the beginning stages of an industry, it breeds innovation, but as people start to see what "works" in that industry, everyone starts getting homogeneous.

Case in point: cars through about the 1960s and the early part of the 70's showed a lot of variation in size, shape, features, etc. Then the gas crisis hit and everyone went for bland midsize cars. And then the SUV craze hit and everyone went that route.

Now if you try to find an SUV, there's very little variation. Same for sedans.
capitalism  analysis  visualization  cars 
april 2019 by daguti
Badass Marketers & Founders (BAMF) - Josh Fecther
Some of the comments are gold:

"65% of the CRM market is till on Outlook, Excel and Gmail"

"”Won’t they adopt better products?” — have you not seen how long folks have been using IE6?
The masses are resistant to change. Unless HubSpot or Salesforce go out of business/end operations, it will take a significant disruption/more than just incrementally better competitor to break people’s inertia."

"people don't care about better. They just want easy. IE6"

There are more, but I'm at work and short on time.

Here's my contribution:
"I forgot where, probably Harvard Business Review, but the technologically best product rarely wins.

Betamax should have beaten VHS.
Linux should have beaten Windows.
There should be a Volvo in every driveway. (Bad example? I'm not a car guy.)

I think for power users, you are right: best specs wins.

When talking about the masses, it's all about convenience...

But even then, convenience comes secondary to maintaining the status quo. People hate change."
marketing-tools  analysis  people-josh-fechter 
april 2019 by daguti
Diana Young - post said: how women "should" look is just classism...
"post said: how women "should" look is just classism

I thought about it

Pale skin was the thing when outdoor work was common, and then when work indoors was common and people were pale, tanning became fashionable: like you could afford to travel to a country that was sunny and lie on a beach

Small breasts were the ideal when rich women hired poor women to nurse their kids ; now large breasts are the ideal when breastfeeding is a “luxury”

with obese malnutrition from cheap food, and most people don't have time to exercise, looking like you can afford to buy keto and work out is the ideal

I'm sure there is more"
beauty  analysis  society  culture  sex-and-society 
april 2019 by daguti
Lessons from the Screenplay - YouTube
Brandon sent this to me not long after I told him my ultimate goal was to be a filmmaker.
filmmaking  filmmaking-technique  storytelling  video  analysis  movies-related-to 
april 2019 by daguti
krimsen comments on Meeting FIRE folks in their natural habitat
"Lots of good analysis of the movie, but for a start and very roughly: the hyper-masculine ideal that initially presents itself as an alternative to the unsatisfying consumer culture is just more of the same. Literally corporate office drones become explicitly nameless “space monkeys” under project mayhem.

Tyler is the explicit image of what society told men they should be. Packaged and “sold” by culture to fill exactly the same void as that ikea coffee table, and ultimately just as unsatisfying (and perhaps more self destructive along the way). It’s only by recognizing and killing our own internalized expectations (personified by Tyler) that we can truly forge our own path and find the genuine human connection we really seek and need as seen in the end scene with Marla where “I’ll be ok, really”.

The film is an examination of men trying to find their place in this new world where the old ideals of traditional masculinity don’t fit but there isn’t a clear replacement for them either. “You met me at a very strange time in my life” indeed. Symbolically the foundations of the old expectations and “debts” of the past are crumbling around us, but that small connection holding hands in the foreground is the note of grace. We’ll face this new world together, having found what really matters. Even if its scary and unknown, it’s also hopeful.

Or something like that. There’s a lot going on, but those are some broad themes that resonated for me."
movies-to-watch  analysis 
march 2019 by daguti
Embracing externalities | Seth's Blog
A great middle ground. Not an anti-capitalist rant, not a rah-rah capitalism chant. Just a realistic assessment of the forces that drive people to do what they do.
people-seth-godin  capitalism  capitalism-done-right  analysis  capitalism-greed 
march 2019 by daguti
Why The Giving Tree Makes You Cry – Featured Stories – Medium
The Giving Tree , Shel Silverstein

archived (because Medium limits your number of free articles)
literature  frameworks  writing  analysis 
march 2019 by daguti
Scott Osborn - During WWII, the Navy tried to determine where they...
Diana Young posted this, but I'm saving this link because she has her post set to "Friends only"

Wow... amazing. The importance of analyzing the whole data set.

"During WWII, the Navy tried to determine where they needed to armor their aircraft to ensure they came back home. They ran an analysis of where planes had been shot up, and came up with this.

Obviously the places that needed to be up-armored are the wingtips, the central body, and the elevators. That’s where the planes were all getting shot up.

Abraham Wald, a statistician, disagreed. He thought they should better armor the nose area, engines, and mid-body. Which was crazy, of course. That’s not where the planes were getting shot.

Except Mr. Wald realized what the others didn’t. The planes were getting shot there too, but they weren’t making it home. What the Navy thought it had done was analyze where aircraft were suffering the most damage. What they had actually done was analyze where aircraft could suffer the most damage without catastrophic failure. All of the places that weren’t hit? Those planes had been shot there and crashed. They weren’t looking at the whole sample set, only the survivors."

Archived here:
analysis  statistics-about-something  military 
march 2019 by daguti
If a Wealth Tax is Such a Good Idea, Why Did Europe Kill Theirs? : Planet Money : NPR
Make sure to read the section "Euro Flop", particularly from the 3rd paragraph onward, where it explains that lessons learned from the European failure were incorporated into the idea for the American version.

Haha, Republicans:
"While the legality of a federal wealth tax is in question, the current politics of it are not. A new poll finds that even a majority of Republicans support Warren's wealth tax. It turns out President Trump himself once advocated for one too."
people-elizabeth-warren  taxes-as-a-concept  wealth-income-distribution  analysis  anti-something  countries-continents-europe 
february 2019 by daguti
Redditors who work in music industry, what are some marketing moves average listener might not know about? : AskReddit
Interesting thread here:

They are talking about the use of compression to make all sounds at the same volume. And then this guy:

"Dynamic range is also relevant with older pop music. Songs like Billie Jean are surprisingly quiet (note: Spotify typically brings up the volume of any track to meet their standard), but the loudness war isn’t just quiet and loud passages, but the peaks through out the music. Those piercing drums in Billie Jean wouldn’t stand today, as the rest of the track would be brought up until those peaks were just average.

That said, you’re absolutely right with classical music, it can be terrible to listen to in busy enviroments :)"
music-industry  analysis 
february 2019 by daguti
The Origin Of 'The World's Dumbest Idea': Milton Friedman
This was the jackass who turned America into an endless cycle of "rich get richer, poor get poorer" - He reminds me of the same lack of social responsibility seen in Libertarians.

But there are heroes... Make sure you get down to the section, "Peter Drucker got it right..."

The one thing I keep getting conked over the head with is Rob's "It's not a positive or a negative, it's an attribute.", because earlier in the article it talks about the "magic moment" (my words) when Friedman's argument converges with the pressures of globalization to help usher in this era of maximizing shareholder value to the detriment of everything else...

But then later on it mentions "Peter Drucker’s argument about the primacy of the customer didn’t have much effect until globalization and the Internet changed everything. Customers suddenly had real choices, access to instant reliable information and the ability to communicate with each other. Power in the marketplace shifted from seller to buyer."

So globalization helped usher in this anti-consumer (anti-employee, anti-etc) era, but it also helped consumers find and communicate with each other.

capitalism-done-right = You have to get down to the section on Peter Drucker and after that "The primacy of the consumer...", but it lists out the companies that are doing it right. I will say that it mentions Amazon, even though we know they treat their delivery people shittily (no benefits, low pay, uncertain hours, tons of deliveries in a short amount of time), but that's in a world where the competition is squeezing them (i.e. Walmart) -- if everyone were to up their game, we might have a positive situation all around.

UPDATE 2019-05-08: In reading this last paragraph, I'm wondering what I meant. There's no world in which the pressures of competition don't exist.
economics  people-milton-friedman  analysis  anti-something  me-stuff  capitalism-done-right 
january 2019 by daguti
What Americans Don’t Know They Just Lost – Eudaimonia and Co
"Let’s take those one by one. They live three to five years longer than Americans. And American life expectancy is falling by a year every year, while European life expectancies grow — so this gap, three to five years — where will it stop? My guess — and it’s based on countries who have collapsed into autocracy, like Russia, in ironically similar ways to America — is around a decade or so. Then there are richer lives. In America middle income is flat — and it has been since the 70s. Hence, the middle class is shrinking, since costs have risen through the roof. But in Europe middle classes have grown, and incomes have risen. And when we look at life in Europe, it’s a much happier, gentler, saner exercise. Europeans aren’t shooting each other in schools, no opioid epidemic is ripping through their towns, there’s no skyrocketing suicide rate."
countries-united-states-america  politics  people-umair-haque  analysis 
november 2018 by daguti
How Kubrick Achieved the Beautiful Cinematography of Barry Lyndon - YouTube
Wow, what a freaking in-depth analysis of the filmmaking technique of Barry Lyndon.
filmmaking  analysis  video  movies-to-watch  behind-the-scenes 
october 2018 by daguti
Numeric Domains 2.0 – The Definitive Guide – GGRG.com
After reading the recently bookmarked FB posts and articles by Gene Pimentel, I had started thinking that perhaps all those outlandish offers I've gotten for my numeric domain were all just fraud.

On a whim, I Googled "4 number domain value" and came across this article, which has suddenly given me confidence that perhaps the domain is worth something after all.

I'm in no rush to sell it, but I do want to go through Gene Pimentel's "Master Domaining" course so I can familiarize myself with the domain industry and possibly contact him to represent me in the sale of that domain down the line.

In checking Pinboard, the archive feature is at least 10 days behind, so I could not depend on it to back this up in time.

I backed this up by printing it as a PDF (Numeric Domains 2.0 – The Definitive Guide - GGRG.pdf) and saving it in Google Drive.
domain-names  analysis  Reference  countries-china 
june 2018 by daguti
Badass Marketers & Founders (BAMF) - Josh Fechter
Really compelling. I've been stuck on learning the technical skills, but he's right - you need to have something to say before you learn how to spread it. It's the difference between being Grant Cardone making millions and being a $150/hr Funnel Hacker who builds funnels for someone else.

"Most people learn how to run Facebook ads before learning to write compelling copy.

Most people learn how to distribute blog posts before writing their first one.

Most people study YouTube marketing before shooting their first video.

That's the problem today.

We're always chasing what comes after success.

After people view our content.

After people engage with it.
After people share it.

Guess what?

You're doing it wrong.

You need to start from a place of creating.

Most marketing groups I'm in, there's a large group of people who understand the technical stuff.

They can set up ads, landing pages, outreach campaigns, and email marketing journies.


When you boil it down to who can write copy, design, shoot video, or speak in front of large audiences - you know the basics of ALL marketing...

There's only a few.

And they're almost always rockstars in their field.

For one reason: they started with creation first.

Because you can't start with success first.

The technical stuff amplifies success.

That's all it does.

Starting with success factors is a poor mindset.

I started writing on a blog six years ago not caring whether anyone read my work. It was months later when I took distribution more seriously.

So if you're waiting for the perfect strategy to start creating, then realize there isn't one.

You just start -

Then figure it out along the way.

Even if it takes five years for people to read your work.

That's how long it took me.

Was it worth it?

What do you think?"
people-josh-fechter  marketing  analysis  frameworks-for-marketing 
june 2018 by daguti
thinkingdoing comments on German politicians call for expulsion of Trump's Berlin envoy
"Fox is the jewel in Rupert Murdoch’s global political empire.

This guy has the conservative political parties of the USA, UK, and Australia by balls because his media organs manipulate and mobilize enough conservative voters to be able to swing elections and primaries.

Rupert Murdoch abuses the legal protections given to news organizations to exert immense political power, and he is completely immune from the democratic process. Politicians get voted out while Murdoch continues to amass more and more control.

Murdoch’s ideology is anti-democratic and authoritarian, verging on fascism. He ensures that all of the executives he hires to run his propaganda organs share the same world view, and they ensure the journalists and talking heads they hire will tow that editorial line.

A consistent pattern among his news networks in each country is for them to attack the rest of the news media, in order to fence the audience inside Murdoch’s alternate fact reality where they can be radicalized and programmed.

He is the greatest threat facing western democracy in the world today."
evolvify-topics-tribalism  politics  analysis  politics-philosophies-republicans  companies-fox-news  people-rupert-murdoch  anti-something  frameworks  frameworks-for-business 
june 2018 by daguti
The TRUTH Why Modern Music Is Awful - YouTube
I've only seen this one video, but this channel seems interesting and thoughtful, like the other channels mentioned in my bookmark from 2016-08-29 entitled "Why Train Suck in America" (CGP Grey, Smarter Everyday, Casey Niestat, Vsauce and others)
music-smartblogs  blogs-smart  music-industry  analysis 
june 2018 by daguti
Seth's Blog: The problem with forced rankings
"...When the US News college list started to get traction, plenty of college presidents spoke out in opposition. Over time, though, they discovered that being well ranked was profitable, and in an industry that touches billions of dollars a year, status leads to money and money leads to more status... Today, many colleges are intentionally gaming the system by changing what they originally stood for simply to move up.

High rankings do more than distort the behavior of those that seek to move up. High rankings attract the sort of people who don't want to discover their own 'best'. Who want to be around others that care about high rankings. Who will run to the next high rank the moment the world changes. And those that are attracted to the winner of a forced ranking change the very tenor of the place they chose. So now, that restaurant that used to be special is merely crowded. Now the company that only keeps its top performers is a horrible place to work..."
people-seth-godin  college  analysis 
may 2018 by daguti
Kanye West and Why the Myth of “Genius” Must Die : TrueReddit
Strangely, I'm bookmarking this for the comments on Kanye West's artistic genius, not for the article it links to, per se.

I really want to listen to Kanye's stuff and learn what makes him so highly regarded.
people-kanye-west  analysis  music-industry 
may 2018 by daguti
Rafe Kelley - Recently many people have asked me about a certain...
Critique of Functional Patters / Naudi Aguilar. Interesting, because I don't know much, but he seemed to know what he was talking about.
meetup-movnat  fitness  analysis  people-rafe-kelley 
april 2018 by daguti
The Problem with LeadPages and ClickFunnels that will Screw your Long Term Marketing Results - WP Marketing Engine
They don't mention Infusionsoft (only LeadPages and Clickfunnels), but from how much Russell Brunson bashes Infusionsoft, I'm guessing they have the same features that will be affected by the points this lady brings up.

Important note FTA:
"There’s more, but I think you are getting the point. The lesson here is to OWN your domain, and to have any pages you are posting about on social media including a domain that is YOUR domain — not ClickFunnels or LeadPages. It’s possible to have your own domain with BOTH of these tools (ClickFunnels supports custom domain mapping, while LeadPages supports it ONLY if you use their WordPress plugin to serve the pages) — so do the work and get that in place."
companies-clickfunnels  companies-infusionsoft  anti-something  warnings  analysis  long-term-thinking 
april 2018 by daguti
50 Years Later, '2001: A Space Odyssey' Is Still A Cinematic Landmark : NPR
I've seen 2001, but I wouldn't mind re-watching it, especially on its 50th anniversary and after having read this review.
movies-to-watch  movies  analysis 
april 2018 by daguti
This is the face of a terrorist: White people must understand the damage done by group blame that follows other terror attacks : TrueReddit
Talking about the Austin bomber, who turned out to be a 28 year old

Holy cow. The police chief said "“He does not at all mention anything about terrorism nor does he mention anything about hate, but instead it is the outcry of a very challenged young man, talking about challenges in his personal life,”" - un-fucking-believable. If he was brown, that fucker would never have been considered "challenged"

more of a traditional news story on the bombings:
race  race-racism  terrorism  news  2018  analysis  crime 
march 2018 by daguti
Millennials are killing libraries now : MurderedByWords
Person 1:
Kids are not smarter than ever. They merely have more opportunities, and better, quicker access to information. Next time you need to do any research, try using a library instead of asking Alexa, or having it on a plate. Try WORKING for it.

Person 2:
more chess grand masters, higher graduation rates, higher literacy rates, more olympic world records, more willing to advance their society (despite apparently being stuck in their phone), 8 MLB pitchers with +100MPH pitches, 10 millennials are on the forbes richest list, previously-thought impossible classical music pieces are regularly played by young performers (according to the new yorker), michael phelps holds the all time olympic medal record

If you want to insist on people doing research, maybe do some yourself.
time-age-generations  justice  analysis 
march 2018 by daguti
Not sure if this has made its way to this subreddit yet, but I had to share as I love this reasoning. : StrangerThings
"The best part about Stranger Things is that they can't solve anything until they put the three groups together because each group is acting within a separate genre.

Mike, Lucas, Dustin and El are in a weird sci-fi coming of age story where the group of plucky misfit kids solve the mystery and test their friendship along the way.

Nancy and Jonathan are in a horror movie where the teenagers have to kill the monster set against a backdrop of high school drama and romance.

Joyce and Hopper are in a conspiracy thriller where the adults have to figure out what shady stuff the government is up to while also dealing with e difficulties of their personal lives.

They all approach this issue within the confines of their genre, but none of those approaches work because none of them are seeing the whole picture. It's only when all the threads start to converge that they can actually get anything done."
tv-stranger-things  analysis 
march 2018 by daguti
ActualNameIsLana comments on Hey Reddit, what products are identical to a brand name, just with a different label?
Copying in case it gets taken down, but delete this if the archive captures it:

"Professional pianist here.

Never buy a Steinway. There are three things you're buying when you shell out that $80,000-$250,000 for a Steinway, and two of them are the label.

See, when buying a piano, there are essentially three main components that go into the sound production, that any lay person can easily familiarize themselves with before setting foot in the shop (assuming you're comparing type to type, like grand piano to another grand piano, not to a shitty upright spinet, for example.) Those three things are:

The Action:
This is the keys and hammers themselves plus all of the internal mechanisms between the keys and the hammers which cause the hammer to strike the string. The action is usually manufactured completely independently of the rest of the piano, and with the removal of a few key screws, can even be slid entirely out of the piano. This is done so that the action can be maintenanced easily by a technician or tuner. Here's the thing...99.9% of all piano brands have used an identical outside branded company to manufacture their actions for them – a German company named Renner. Renner has been the industry standard for decades. Wanna guess what company stubbornly thinks they can make a better action than every other company on the planet? Yup. Steinway. News flash: they can't. This is why every single Steinway on the planet needs to be "broken in" by literally pounding the hell out of it before they ever try to sell it to you. A Steinway fresh off the manufacturing line is so stiff and unresponsive as to be nearly unplayable. And because of this "breaking in", Steinway brand pianos are notoriously inconsistent. I've spoken with friends in the profession who will tell you that only about 1 in 30 Steinways are really playable in a professional setting. A good analogy for this situation might be if every single car that was ever sold on the world market in the last century had a Lamborghini engine in it... Except Chevys for some reason, because they think their stupid motor made in-house is better than the weirdly cheaper Lamborghini model engine that's in literally every other car. ...and then on top of that... people started believing them, because they don't know anything about "classical racing", so, whatever. Fuck it. Let's buy a brand name we recognize. But... They don't have to share profits with Renner. So... Yay?

The Scale Design
This is the mathematical model that the engineers have come up with to smooth over what's called the "break" in the strings. See, on a grand piano, ever notice how the low strings go one way, and the high strings go another, and the two sets of strings criss-cross over one another in two layers? No? Okay, well, they do. Check it out if you don't believe me. Anyway, this "break" in the strings is what allows all those strings to fit inside a smaller case, instead of the piano having to be like 9 or 10 feet long. Unfortunately, because of the way physics works, this means you're placing one string of a certain thickness and length right next to another string with a much shorter length but a much wider thickness around. And that means that, under ordinary circumstance, you could totally hear the shift in timbre when playing a scale "across the break".
Sound engineers have figured out a whole lot of sneaky ways around this problem, but there is no perfect solution. So different piano brands have ended up with different solutions to the question of how to "hide" the transition over the break. Steinway's solution is proprietary, so no one else can use it, even if they were to backwards-engineer it. And it's true that the Steinway scale design is really elegant, and opens up color possibilities that just aren't available on other instruments.
...Unless that is, you get one of the two "budget" label brands that are made in the Steinway factory, using Steinway parts and Steinway scale design, by Steinway-trained engineers and artisans, but have a different label slapped on at the very end: Boston and Essex. Am I claiming that these are "as good as" a Steinway? Obviously no. They are budget pianos, made to slightly less strict specifications, and the quality does show in the end. But, comparing the sound of a brand new Boston right of the assembly line with an identical Steinway right off it's assembly line... They're indistinguishable from one another. Except for the fact that the Boston/Essex won't have Steinway's "special" action in it, because they use the Renner brand action like every other high end piano on the market. Meaning that, obscenely, a $20,000 Boston brand 5'6" grand piano is more playable than a comparable size $150,000 Steinway, and sounds identical to it during the first few years of its musical life.
And all that is assuming that you even get one of the Steinways made in the Steinway plant in Hamburg, Germany. Protip: if you're American, you're not. You're getting a much more cheaply made Steinway made at Steinway's second plant in Mexico instead. Years ago, Steinway's CEO figured out that Americans don't care, or can't tell the difference between an actual Hamburg Steinway and another cheap piano that merely has the label slapped on it. So guess which plant they sell exclusively to North Americans? Yup. The Mexican version. Which is made with cheaper parts, cheaper labour, doesn't have to pay expensive shipping and freight from Europe and basically isn't a Steinway. But the only way to tell whether you're getting an actual Hamburg Steinway and not some cheap knockoff is to check the serial numbers against Steinway's internal database.

The Soundboard
The soundboard is like the "amp" of the piano. It's a large piece of spruce that's suspended inside the piano under the strings, which captures the vibrations of the strings and vibrates in sympathy to them, at a much greater volume. Ever wonder what makes a grand piano sound so resonant compared to an upright piano? The soundboard is the culprit.
For centuries, piano manufacturers have figured out that spruce wood, because of its softness and resiliency, has unique resonant qualities that just aren't available in other kinds of wood. That's why 100% of all pianos you'll ever see or hear use a spruce soundboard.
But not all spruce is made equal. Some spruce from certain areas of the world seems to be just a little brighter, a little more resonant, than other spruce from different forests. And instrument manufacturers have spent fortunes securing the right to be the only manufacturer who can make instruments from certain parts of certain forests. Stradivarius, famously, only made instruments from the wood of a specific spruce forest only a few miles wide.
Here's the weird part: no one knows why or how that spruce is different from any other spruce on the market. Most audiological scientists will tell you that, in general, the dryer the wood, the more "brilliant" the sound. Where "brilliance" is a quality that's described as "a clean, high-frequency sound" that results in deep, dark bass tones, and bright, richly vibrant treble tones. However, chemical analysis of one of those Stradivari spruce woods, compared to a wood from another manufacturer from another forest reveals that there is no statistically valid difference between one spruce and another. This despite literally thousands and thousands of professional musicians and audiologists who claim to be able to hear the difference, and seem to be able to replicate this claim under rigorous scientific testing conditions.
So the general consensus among musicians and experts now is that there is some thing in the wood from certain spruce trees that makes a definite difference in the final sound quality of the instrument... We just don't know what that thing is yet.
And here is where, for the first time, I will suggest that, if you believe in this mystical, perhaps mythical thing that makes the difference between a Steinway brand spruce soundboard and any other brand spruce soundboard, by all means, buy the more expensive Steinway. Just realize that, so far, there's no scientifically validated reason why you're doing so – you're just buying based on instinct and the claims of performers who may or may not be suffering from confirmation bias and the weird mysticism and superstition that can surround the monoculture world of a professional musician.


Steinway pianos are, at best, potentially a slightly better instrument based on some audiological property of the wood of a spruce tree that science doesn't quite understand yet, which may or may not be mere superstition, but ultimately flawed instruments in other ways... Or at worst, an empirically worse instrument in every possible way that matters than any other piano in its price range, and many more that are sold at much more affordable prices.

If you have the money to spend on a Steinway, skip the hype and buy a $100,000 Fazioli or a super-high end Yamaha, or a Bösendorfer, or a Schimmel or a Mason & Hamlin instead. If you don't have the money for a Steinway, don't sweat it. Try one of many high-quality but lesser-known brand names instead, like a $30,000 Petrof or Charles Walter that will usually outperform a Steinway easily. And if you're really buying on the cheap but still want that Steinway sound for some reason, buy a $10,000 Boston or an Essex. Just realize that these pianos are not built to last more than about 10-15 years tops.

Okay, you guys, please stop telling me I'm wrong about the Mexico/Steinway connection. I recognize that my information may well be out of date...sorry if it is. I'm only human after all. /cue soundtrack"
music-industry  analysis  instruments-musical 
february 2018 by daguti
Why This Direct Messenger Copywriting Pitch Failed:
Why This Direct Messenger Copywriting Pitch Failed:

So I just randomly received a cold pitch on FB messenger a few hours ago from an aspiring copywriter. I'm very empathetic to cold emails because that is how I started out from zero to $6k a month two years ago, but this pitch just won't work.

(My comments in Brackets)


(One look and I know it's a copy & paste, who are you addressing?)

I’m XXXX. I'm reaching out to see if you need someone who can help with content.

(not customised, no trigger event of why you decided to contact me. Where did you even find me?)

I’ve been featured in xxxxxxxx, Coinstaker, BCD and a few other Blockchain technology and cryptocurrency companies.

(You you you you you, too much about you & your assuming that I need copy for blockchain)

I’d like to know if you need a freelance writer who can help with your content needs.

(This is a repeat sentence of the first line)

I can help with writing blog posts, guest posts, newsletters, sales pages, white papers, brochures, Ebooks, press releases, landing pages, developing content/blogging strategy and any of your other content marketing needs.

(Jack of all trades, master of none? Even if you are a generalist, don't spell it out like that)

I will be happy to discuss how I can be of help.

Best Regards,


Let me rewrite it for you for free how I would pitch to me

Hi Sean,

I saw you in the cult of copy and saw that you are running a copywriting agency and wanted to reach out.

It's cool what you have done for SAP and was wondering if you might have any content needs for the blockchain space?

Some of my work has been featured in BCD & Coinstaker and have written for clients in the Cryptocurrency space such as xxxxx & xxxx.

Would it make sense to discuss this a little further on how I could be of service in content creation for your tech clients?

Let me know!

Best Regards,



The differences might look subtle but it is very very vast.

Boils down to one thing, you need to do research on your subject you are reaching out to, it doesn't need to be in-depth, but at least superficially, it has to be done.
marketing-tactics--writing-copy  analysis 
february 2018 by daguti
Here’s Why ‘Hooked’ Changed The Way I Approach Communications
books-to-buy = Nir Eyal's "Hook"

I *LOVE* the examples of various types of "jabs" that don't sell anything, followed by a "sales" post. Reminds me of the "standard rule" that you should have 1 sales message for every 10-12 non-sales posts. Also similar to Gary V's "Jab, Jab, Jab, Right Hook" framework, which he refers to in the post. --- But don't rush away yet. That's just Step 1 (Trigger) in the 4 step "Hook" model, which includes Trigger, Action, Variable Reward, Investment.
marketing-tactics--social-media  analysis  strategy  frameworks-for-marketing  books-to-buy 
february 2018 by daguti
How to Be a Responsible Music Fan in the Age of Streaming | Pitchfork
The Grateful Dead—the quintessential live band to its many fans—had slowly scaled up the size of their shows to a point where they could no longer maintain the same connection with their audience. Many of their diehard followers stopped buying tickets to those stadium shows altogether and just gathered in the parking lots outside instead. There, they could continue the rituals they had developed together at a smaller scale.

As a devotee of punk and post-punk in the ’80s, I never thought I would say this, but those Deadheads who partied in the parking lots may have been showing us the way. If what we value in music is lost at the scale it’s being offered to us, we need to find other ways to get what we want from it.
music-industry  analysis  size-scale  business 
february 2018 by daguti
Rest in peace, China Study
Links to two in-depth debunkings of The China Study.

- Chris Masterjohn’s excellent critique (http://www.cholesterol-and-health.com/China-Study.html)

- Denise Minger’s freshly published China Study smackdown (http://rawfoodsos.com/2010/07/07/the-china-study-fact-or-fallac/)

and I found this one myself:
diet-vegetarian-vegan  anti-something  analysis 
january 2018 by daguti
Why Can't People Hear What Jordan Peterson Is Actually Saying? - The Atlantic
This article is focused on why that woman couldn't understand what Jordan Peterson was saying, but I'm interested in just how precisely he dingbats her with his words.

I first saw this interview discussed when Rafe Kelley posted this article on Facebook: https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2018/jan/17/jordan-b-peterson-leaves-reporter-speechless-after/
communication-debate  people-jordan-peterson  analysis  communication 
january 2018 by daguti
Voting for a winner - The Domino Project
"The odds of succeeding with your campaign are ten times higher once you reach about half of your goal.

While this is somewhat self-fulfilling (only popular campaigns get that far anyway), it actually points to an irrational part of human nature: we don’t want to back a loser."
crowdfunding-kickstarter  analysis  people-seth-godin 
january 2018 by daguti
Meet the Mormon brothers who make adorable ads about disgusting things - The Washington Post
marketing-tactics--writing-copy =
"Historian Juliann Sivulka says ads for personal hygiene products started appearing more in the 1920s, in response to forces including the spread of indoor plumbing and a rise in cleanliness standards. They coincided with advertising’s growing reliance on emotional appeals. Quickly, ad men learned to prey on consumers’ insecurities with fear-based “whisper copy.” A 1920 ad for an antiperspirant called Odorono featured a “Chicago girl” confessing her shame upon learning her sweaty armpits were “the cause of my unpopularity among men.”

In the ’30s, says Sivulka, author of “Stronger Than Dirt: A Cultural History of Advertising Personal Hygiene in America, 1875 to 1940,” advertisers desperate to boost sales went further. ScotTissue ran ads saying the wrong kind of toilet paper could cause “at least 15 painful diseases” and land children in the hospital."
marketing-tactics--comedy-harmon-brothers  analysis  biography  marketing-tactics--writing-copy 
january 2018 by daguti
Why the myth of a perfect meritocracy is so pernicious  - Vox
"I mentioned a study in the book that is quite chilling on this point. It found that kids from lower-income families who scored in the top quartile on math tests in the eighth grade were less likely to graduate from college than students who scored in the bottom quartile in math but happened to be born into homes in which their parents were in the top third of income distribution."
wealth  wealth-income-distribution  analysis  politics-philosophies-republicans  poverty 
december 2017 by daguti
Given a whole term life insurance, keep or cash out? : personalfinance
Do some more research on this "in-force illustration" thing that at least 2 people mentioned.
money-insurance-life  money-insurance-life-whole-vs-term  analysis 
december 2017 by daguti
Our Love Affair With Digital Is Over - The New York Times
I find it interesting that when digital came in, everyone sounded the death knell for paper everything. But now we're seeing the pendulum swing in the opposite direction. It's like we forgot that water seeks its own level. That is to say that there's a "stasis" level of everything. Because we had no digital before and at a certain point we did, everything started going digital. But it made sense that it would never fully replace physical. Society was just seeking the stasis level and now it's evening out. There will always be a place for physical and a place for digital.
publishing  internet  analysis  society  culture  books-ebooks 
december 2017 by daguti
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