asterisk2a + stockmarket   45

Have $2,000 In Cash In Your Fidelity Account? Then You Too Can Qualify To Lose Money On The Manchester United IPO | ZeroHedge
Don't buy what your broker want you to buy.
When a broker comes to mom and dad - here is that IPO offering you can get into - then there is too much supply because there is not much demand from institutional side of the market. Which is the biggest red sign that this stinks.
IPO  Stockmarket  WallStreet  broker 
july 2012 by asterisk2a
UBS's Friedman Says Deleveraging Cycle Will Last Years - YouTube
 Alexander Friedman, chief investment officer at UBS AG, talks about financial deleveraging, volatility in equity markets and the U.S. economy. Friedman talks from Zurich with Maryam Nemazee on Bloomberg Television's "Last Word."
stockpicking time w insight needed to hold ROI
we can only interpret data at hand
hindsight 20-20 tells us more

BIS paper - 30yrs of amassing debt
deleveraging  2011  debtoverhang  business  cycle  stockpicking  stockmarket  equities 
august 2011 by asterisk2a
Time to take stock - |
A situation where high frequency trading is over two thirds of the transactions on the NYSE and about the same in the stock markets of the UK and Europe. Likewise they are over half the action in foreign exchange markets and they are rapidly becoming dominant in the futures market. Andrew Haldane from the Bank of England is arguing against allowing high frequency trading — algorithms chasing algorithms chasing algorithms — from being allowed to proliferate pointing at volatility as the problem:
Speed increases the risk of feasts and famines in market liquidity. HFT [high-frequency traders] contribute to the feast through lower bid-ask spreads. But they also contribute to the famine if their liquidity provision is fickle in situations of stress.
Haldane noted that relative to gross domestic product, the equity market capitalisation of the US, Europe and Asia had not grown since 2000, suggesting that “the contribution of equity markets to economic growth … has been static”.
HFT  algo  trading  stockmarket  GDP  opinion 
july 2011 by asterisk2a
In placing stock bets, listen to the shorts: study | Reuters
The average stock investor could be forgiven for being overwhelmed by opinions, but one study says if there's one group to listen to, it's the short-sellers.

"Essentially, the short sellers are doing a tremendous job of using information with predictive value, and they really look like value investors."
Some investors agreed with the results, as the increased risk taken by short sellers with their own capital makes them more active in rooting out potential problems in a company.
stockmarket  average  stugy  return  2011  short-selling  equilibrium 
february 2011 by asterisk2a
JPM, HSBC Sued For Silver Market Manipulation, Reaping Billions In Illegal Profits | zero hedge
Yesterday's announcement by CFTC commissioner Bart Chilton that he was fully aware of fraudulent efforts to persuade and deviously control silver prices may have been the straw that broke the gold and silver price manipulating camel's back on precious metal manipulation. Today, Brian Beatty and Peter Laskaris (Southern District Court of New York, cases 10-08146, and 10-01857) sued the two firms at the very top of the precious metal manipulation pyramid: JPMorgan and HSBC. The lawsuit, which seeks class action status, alleges that "between in or about March 2008 and continuing through the present, Defendants have combined, conspired and agreed to restrain trade in, fix, and manipulate prices of silver futures and options contracts traded in this District on the COMEX division of the NYMEX.
silver  manipulation  jpmorgan  HSBC  fraud  stockmarket  2010  commodities 
october 2010 by asterisk2a
Refuting The SEC's Lies At The Core Of The "Flash Crash" Analysis | zero hedge
There were 6,438 trades totalling 75,000 contracts. We matched them by time, price and size to the 147,577 trades (844,513 contracts) in the CME time and sales data between 14:32 and 14:52 (they matched exactly).

The SEC report identified a Sell Algorithm selling 75,000 contracts as the cause of the flash crash. If the "Sell Algorithm" in the SEC report refers to the Waddell & Reed trades, then there is a problem. A big one. Looking at the trades in context with the other trades during that time, they appear insignificant. The W&R trades also do not occur near the ignition point (14:42:44.075) we identified earlier. Furthermore, the W&R trades are practically absent during the torrential sell-off that began at 14:44:20. The bulk of the W&R trades occurred after the market bottomed and was rocketing higher -- a point in time that the SEC report tells us the market was out of liquidity.

Something is very wrong here.
flashcrash  2010  may  SEC  madoff  fraud  stockmarket  HFT  algo  quantum  hedgefunds  liquidity 
october 2010 by asterisk2a
What Would Keynes Say Today? -
Keynes would certainly agree that current unemployment rates reflect a recession-induced shortfall in the demand for labor. The evidence for this claim has been deftly summarized by Paul Krugman, citing studies by the Economic Policy Institute and the Roosevelt Institute. The competing argument that we are simply experiencing a mismatch between employer needs and labor force skills lacks credibility.

Conservative economists like Robert Barro of Harvard University insist that increased government spending will have little positive effect
Policy prescriptions cannot be implemented unless they garner sufficient political support.
In today’s global economy, however, employers have less incentive to collaborate with workers than they once did. Multinational firms can easily relocate to low-wage, low-tax havens. With one click of a mouse, shareholders can move their capital out of the United States into mutual funds invested entirely in emerging markets, including China.
unemployment  keynes  Keynesianism  USA  2010  paulkrugman  politics  policy  presidency  barackobama  globalisation  global  moneymarkets  financial  mutualfunds  stockmarket  solidarity 
october 2010 by asterisk2a
Correlation Soars on S&P 500 Shares -
The market's flock-like behavior is one more reflection of the growing influence of investors using broad-based strategies

it is bad.

Forex sort of is couples too.
trend  trends  stockmarket  herd  herding  dysfunctional  financial  financialmarket  market 
july 2010 by asterisk2a
Schuldenkrise: Warum Deutschland Europas größter Krisenprofiteur ist - SPIEGEL ONLINE - Nachrichten - Wirtschaft
Kein Euro-Land ist so stark von seinen Ausfuhren abhängig wie Deutschland. Der Export sorgt für 45 Prozent der deutschen Wirtschaftsleistung. Zwar gehen rund 60 Prozent der deutschen Exporte in die Euro-Zone. Doch Firmen, die ihre Waren etwa in Asien oder USA anbieten, können dies nun zu günstigeren Preisen tun.

"Wettbewerbsfähig sind die meisten deutschen Unternehmen ohnehin, so dass die jüngste Abwertung des Euro für echte Preisvorteile im außereuropäischen Ausland sorgt", sagt Stefan Schilbe, Chefvolkswirt bei HSBC Trinkaus. Durch jahrelange Lohnzurückhaltung habe Deutschland die Wettbewerbsfähigkeit zurückgewonnen, die es seinerzeit durch eine zu harte Währung eingebüßt hatte.
Germany  recession  Euro  EMU  PIIGS  may  2010  economy  Europe  competitiveness  competitive  export  double-dip  outlook  forecast  stockmarket 
may 2010 by asterisk2a
The Safest Bet During Uncertain Markets | zero hedge
Three reasons.

ONE: Commercial investment firms do not earn fees from their clients buying gold and silver. Thus, the reason they perpetually discourage it. Precious metals are the enemy of all fraudulent fiat money including the SDRs of the IMF and the financial derivative products of Wall Street. Consider this story in which HSBC ordered their clients to remove their gold from their vaults, all at their own expense.

TWO: Commercial investment firms do not educate their financial consultants regarding precious metals. Most of their consultants probably could not even properly explain something as basic as the difference between ounces of metals classified as resources and those classified as reserves and the significance of the different categories among these classifications. Having no
gold  silver  PM  stockmarket  alangreenspan  dollar  propaganda  volatility  advice 
may 2010 by asterisk2a
Kampf gegen Überhitzung: Zinsängste lassen China-Investoren nicht los |
Hintergrund ist eine erneute Anhebung des Mindestreservesatzes für Banken um 50 Basispunkte.

Der Shanghai Composite Index schloss 1,2 Prozent im Minus bei 2846 Punkten. Der Leitindex hat in diesem Jahr bereits mehr als 13 Prozent verloren.
china  bubble  property  2010  economy  stockmarket  may 
may 2010 by asterisk2a
The Greatest Shell Game Ever Continues As The Whole World Is Now Insolvent; Updated Thoughts From Chris Martenson On The Upcoming US Funding Crisis | zero hedge
# Record-breaking Treasury auctions continue to go off without a hitch, thanks to massive foreign participation.
# However, the amounts reported to be bought in the auction results do not match the Custody Account or TIC report amounts.
# The Fed is allegedly all done buying MBS and Treasury paper. This cuts off an important source of liquidity for the Treasury, commodity, and stock markets.
# How will these markets respond to a liquidity drought?

Part of the explanation behind this unwavering support for the dollar and US deficit spending by other central banks lays in the fact that other Western and Eastern governments are equally insolvent. It's possible that they feel they really have no choice but to play along, because the alternative would be to inflict a vicious and deeply unpopular austerity program on their own country, while everybody else is partying on thin-air money. Who's going to be the first to do that? Nobody, that's who.
MBS  Fed  treasury  treasuries  usa  debt  stockmarket  rally  2009  2010  deficit 
april 2010 by asterisk2a
Blame It On Tiger - Volume Abysmal | zero hedge
broader market now have absolutely no breadth

It seems traders are just waiting for the day when 10 blocks of ES move the market by 10%, and represent all the daily volume. Because at this rate we will get there in less than a year, just in time for the Dow to hit 36,000. At 0.751MM ESM0 volume is 40% below the trendline average by this point in the day. In a week we would be at half; in a year - 99%? The Prime Dealers and Liberty 33 is more than happy with this: it simply means much less capital has to be allocated to push the market in any one direction as moves in the broader market now have absolutely no breadth.

See comment by HarryWanger
-- sideways movement, but crash / plunge ahead.
stockmarket  usa  2010  recession  wallstreet  mainstreet  recovery  greatrecession 
april 2010 by asterisk2a
Chart of the Day - Source - Pinnacle Data
Today's chart illustrates how the stock market has performed during the average mid-term election year. Since 1950, the first nine months of the average mid-term election year has tended to be flat/choppy. That choppiness was then followed by a year-end rally. One theory to support this behavior is that the party in power will make difficult economic decisions in the early years of a presidential cycle and then do everything within its power to stimulate the economy during the latter years in order to increase the odds of re-election.
political  economics  economy  politics  usa  elections  data  infographics  chart  stockmarket  history 
december 2009 by asterisk2a
Central banks across the globe tighten credit again - Telegraph
Oil-rich Norway raised rates a quarter point to 1.5pc on Wednesday, the first European country to move since the crisis. Governor Svein Gjedrem said asset prices have "risen sharply and probably excessively". The Norges Bank is taking pre-emptive action to choke off a property bubble, though manufacturing remains sluggish. The era of "asset targeting" has begun.

"Given the amount of leverage in the economy, little changes in rates can have a disproportionate impact. The poor state of government finances, the high supply of bonds, and the fear of inflation could further exaggerate a bond market sell-off once tightening starts," he said.
excess  credit  liquidity  stockmarket  2009  assets  bubble  government  debt  history  recession  recovery  monetary  policy  china  global  centralbanks  peso  peso-crisis 
november 2009 by asterisk2a
Route to Recovery a Long, Global March at
"The stock market is divorced from economic reality," a bearish David Rosenberg reminded readers in an Oct. 13 report. To Rosenberg, chief economist at Gluskin Sheff, the parade of positive reports for the key third-quarter earnings season is a matter of nominal success, not a sign of recovery.
Barry Knapp, U.S. strategist at Barclays Capital, said earnings will look good, but only because government stimulus money is fueling a rally.
"While Fed-supplied liquidity remains the most important determinant of equity prices, in our view, we know that investors will spend the next three weeks immersed in earnings season and many will be looking for top-line revenue growth," he wrote Wednesday. "We believe that top-line growth will be hard to come by at the market level. However, we should see some evidence of revenue generation in the early-cycle sectors, financials and consumer discretionary, though we expect the growth to be slow over the next four quarters."
stockmarket  rally  2009  recession  recovery  USA  liquidity  excess  liquidity-trap  monetary  fiscal  policy  dollar  currency  weakness 
october 2009 by asterisk2a
Roubini Warns of ‘Significant Amount of Froth’ in Markets - Real Time Economics - WSJ
“You cannot achieve two goals with one instrument,” he said, meaning that both stimulating the economy and fighting an asset-price bubble cannot be simultaneously accomplished through the federal-funds rate.
recession  recovery  USA  NourielRoubini  2009  stockmarket  rally  bubble  interestrate 
october 2009 by asterisk2a
Markets Hit Their Highest Levels Since Autumn -
Wall Street was so bullish on Friday that it could have passed for Pamplona.
“The recession is dead,” Dean Maki, an economist at Barclays Capital, declared in a research note. “Long live the recovery.”
“No one really knows what kind of expansion we’ll have,” said Stu Schweitzer, global markets strategist at JPMorgan Private Bank. “One thing is clear: having cut costs to the bone, any increase in revenue should drop straight through to the bottom line of corporate America.”
“The behavior of the consumer is now the key thing to watch,”
recession  stockmarket  2009  dowjones  s&p500  bottom  AIG  unemployment  recovery  consumer  spending  behavior  behaviour 
august 2009 by asterisk2a
Commodities on Fire - CNBC By The Numbers -
The U.S. Dollar continues its slide, with the Dollar Index falling to its lowest levels since the end of September. The index is now down 14 percent from its March highs.
>> Through the money amount which is thrown at banks from Treasuries and Central Banks - all this money must go somewhere. And it goes into the financial markets. Not into the balance sheet or Main Street.
Many indexes are on a 9 to 14 month high. Because of the floods of money.
inflation  moneymarkets  moneysupply  monetary  policy  fed  ECB  BOE  financial  markets  stockmarket  stocks  commodities  oil  s&p500  dowjones 
august 2009 by asterisk2a

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