asterisk2a + short-fall   10

(Live Ticker) Bank of England cuts rates - BBC News
The post-Brexit economic problems are down to consumer and business uncertainty and will not be solved by introducing monetary stimulus. By lowering interest rates, the Bank of England will distort the economy and potentially reduce growth. Philip Booth. Research director, Institute of Economic Affairs //&! More corp bond buying - //&! &! &! Osborne at it w calling for lower business rate - &! Noreena Hartz on it - &!
BOE  Brexit  Mark  Carney  fiscal  stimulus  Austerity  monetary  policy  bond  bubble  distortion  aggregate  demand  short-fall  Uncertainty  business  confidence 
august 2016 by asterisk2a
Keiser Report: Gold & World’s Debt Problems (Summer Solutions series E940) - YouTube
deflationary trap/liquidity trap - orthodox monetary policy w austerity = stagnation. & west is exporting deflation. // if it is good for consumers ... break up banks. // hedging is BS ... you double the system you double the risk. [...] banks are now bigger! ... ban most derivatives, and reintroduce glass stegall // Black-Schoeles - there is no such think as risk free rate and no such thing as the past reflect the future. risk is not equally distributed. [...] VAR is flawed. //
deflation  deflationary  NIRP  currency  war  currency  debasement  ZIRP  QE  Helicopter  Money  secular  stagnation  western  world  Abenomics  BOE  BOJ  Fed  ECB  economic  history  Richard  Koo  liquidity  trap  debt  overhang  balance  sheet  recession  consumer  debt  household  debt  mortgage  mortgage  market  mortgage  rates  distortion  hunt  for  yield  credit  boom  credit  bubble  PBOC  China  reflate  reflation  squeezed  middle  class  wage  growth  income  growth  income  distribution  income  disparity  working  poor  Precariat  Brexit  GFC  too  big  to  jail  productive  investment  underinvestment  austerity  history  productivity  gap  financial  instruments  investment  banking  global  economy  globalisation  globalization  derivatives  output  gap  productivity  recovery  neoliberal  neoliberalism  Chicago  School  neoclassical  economics  deregulation  Wall  Street  speculative  bubble  property  bubble  Beton  Gold  Betongold  stagnation  aggregate  demand  aggregate  demand  short-fall  too  big  to  bail  too  big  to  fail  TBTF  complexity  systemic  risk  systemrelevant  systemicrisk  systemrelevanz  zombie  bank  zombie  banks  non-performing  loan  leverage  hedge  Glass-Steagall  Black-Scholes  Equation 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
A hard truth for Leave voters: Brexit means big government
Britain has seen a renaissance in jobs since 2013, of that there is no doubt. But most of those extra jobs were among the self-employed or fell into categories that can only be described as insecure and low-paid. When companies finally took the plunge and advertised full-time jobs from 2014 onwards, around a third went to migrants. [...] It is this mostly older group of workers across the developed world, worried about their pay, pensions and conditions of employment, that want to slam the brakes on globalisation and reject the remedy proposed by big business: greater labour-market flexibility and only limited job protections. [ Globalisation as a great rebalancing of the world economy between the west and the rest (BRIC and co) ] [...] Only government can provide the cure, with a commitment to invest where the private sector cannot or will not go.
globalisation  globalization  squeezed  middle  class  Precariat  working  poor  job  security  job  insecurity  self-employment  neoliberal  neoliberalism  liberal  economic  reform  Agenda  2010  Zero  Hour  Contract  OECD  BRIC  USA  UK  Germany  France  economic  history  capitalism  capitalism  in  crisis  protectionism  Brexit  exploitation  crony  capitalism  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  immigration  migration  Philip  Hammond  austerity  Workers  Union  Workers  Rights  Trade  Union  Theresa  May  Conservative  Party  nasty  Tories  budget  deficit  neoclassical  economics  Chicago  School  deflation  deflationary  aggregate  demand  aggregate  demand  short-fall  Richard  Koo  free  free  agreement  underinvestment  business  confidence  productivity  productivity  gap  productive  investment  output  output  gap  technological  unemployment  skills  economy  skills  gap  skill  gap  industrial  policy  Manufacturing 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Up to 70% of people in developed countries 'have seen incomes stagnate' | Business | The Guardian
Research by the McKinsey Global Institute found that between 65% and 70% of people in 25 advanced countries saw no increase in their earnings between 2005 and 2014. The report found there had been a dramatic increase in the number of households affected by flat or falling incomes and that today’s younger generation was at risk of ending up poorer than their parents. Only 2% of households, 10 million people, lived through the period from 1993 to 2005 – a time of strong growth and falling unemployment – without seeing their incomes rise.
western  world  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  Precariat  wage  growth  income  growth  income  distribution  inequality  Gini  coefficient  poverty  child  poverty  developed  world  recovery  GFC  austerity  secular  stagnation  wage  stagnation  wage  deflation  minimum  wage  minimumwage  mindestlohn  capitalism  capitalism  in  crisis  technological  unemployment  economic  history  OECD  IMF  Brexit  AfD  far  right  right-wing  far-right  income  inequality  income  mobility  social  mobility  income  redistribution  tax  avoidance  tax  evasion  neoliberal  neoliberalism  aggregate  demand  short-fall  aggregate  demand  Front  National  triple-lock  pension  UK  Germany  USA  France  shareholder  capitalism  winner  take  all  globalisation  globalization  profit  maximisation  profit  maximization  dividends  CEO  pay  career  ladder  Politicians  career  politician  No  Representation  Protest  Vote 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Technological Unemployment (2013) w Jacque Fresco
wikipedia Jacque Fresco // MORE AI, automation, robotics, augmented intelligence, self-driving cars = LESS AGGREGATE DEMAND (disposable income of the middle class, working class & working poor) [...] productivity has risen but incomes NOT! [...] & companies are making more money for shareholders & owners with less & less people (see Facebook) [...] Industry doesnt care abt people. They hire people because it hasnt been yet automated. [...] A JOBLESS RECOVERY & JOBLESS GDP GROWTH [...] routine middle class jobs eliminated fastest! [...] pace of destruction is greater than pace of creation of new jobs! [...] ie Lawyer Software searching through files via augmented intelligence //&! Humans Need Not Apply - //&! Jerry Kaplan ((re)distribute wealth more equally -, Rifkin (Zero Marginal Cost), Paul Mason (post-capitalism) book //&! UBI a must in future - &! &!
technological  unemployment  aggregate  demand  aggregate  demand  short-fall  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  squeezed  middle  class  western  world  working  class  working  poor  Precariat  automation  Robotics  augmented  intelligence  self-driving  cars  autonomous  car  autonomous  cars  purchasing  power  wage  growth  inequality  income  distribution  Gini  coefficient  1%  10%  20%  winner  take  all  globalisation  globalization  neoliberal  neoliberalism  social  safety  net  Universal  Basic  shareholder  capitalism  crony  capitalism  capitalism  in  crisis  post-capitalism  triple-lock  pension  secular  stagnation  USA  UK  European  Union  Chicago  School  neoclassical  economics  Brexit  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  politician  Smart  Grid  Zero  Marginal  Cost  Jeremy  Rifkin  book  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  Industrial  Revolution  technological  progress  technological  history  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  Grundeinkommen  Paul  Mason  recovery  destruction  multinational  conglomerate  low  pay  minimum  wage  mindestlohn  Jerry  Kaplan  income  redistribution  income  growth  income  inequality  Support  income  tax  credit  welfare  reform  welfare  state  Elizabeth  Warren 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Andrew Mazzone Interviews James K. Galbraith
banks like property! more likely to lend to finance property than SME/SMB investment. because that investment is not propped up by the government. [...] min 6 subprime & credit bubble since 80's << behaviour of lenders [...] sensible people were given fraudulent debt instruments (no self-regulation, and regulators failed). [...] no prosecution because people who should have prosecuted those, didn't want to ruin their private future career. [...] min 15 - inequality and unemployment driven by inequality. [...] austerity is name of the game by the "establishment" - 20% of society that benefited from the bank bailout and reflation policy by central banks - [...] 19:15 - who do banks want to borrow in this environment?! austerity, aggregate demand shortfall, lack of confidence, volatility, uncertainty, credit bubble pain (liquidity trap) etc. [...] Solution ("an alternative way to the status quo, who made this mess): Fix Income Distribution thus Purchasing Power (aggregate demand, ie minimum wage), and restructure finance away from investment banking and speculation and derivatives towards real economy (ie tax heavily what is not real economy business) //&! James K. Galbraith on "Inequality and Instability: What's Ahead for the World Economy" - //&! James K. Galbraith - "The End of Normal" -
Gini  coefficient  income  distribution  1%  10%  20%  Super  Rich  property  bubble  London  rentier  rent-seeking  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Help  to  Save  Funding  for  Lending  Scheme  underinvestment  infrastructure  investment  secular  stagnation  western  world  UK  USA  European  Union  deflation  deflationary  JAMESGALBRAITH  book  James  Kenneth  Galbraith  credit  bubble  credit  card  credit  card  debt  credit  boom  debt  servitude  speculation  speculative  bubble  speculative  bubbles  equity  bubble  reflate  reflation  GFC  recovery  austerity  Raghuram  Rajan  self-regulation  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  Precariat  subprime  Wall  Street  regulation  regulators  Career  Politicians  politician  No  Representation  aggregate  demand  aggregate  demand  short-fall  liquidity  trap  retail  banking  investment  banking  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Richard  Koo  inequality 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Geographies of Austerity: Mark Blyth
EU bank bailout (incl Britain) = 40% of EU GDP (incl Britain) = 5 trillion Euros. AUSTERITY FOR WHOM?! // secular stagnation - ZIRP, NIRP, QE, austerity, liquidity trap, aggregate demand short-fall = creditors paradise. their debt will not be inflated away. deflation - deflationary environment. for the next 2-3 decades. = NO DRIVE TO INVEST IN PRODUCTIVE ASSETS! = productivity gap. [...] rentier paradise. [...] = interest formation (those who have, call the shots, status quo). [...] deflationary spiral (PIGS & Germany) exporting deflation ... getting more competitive [EU has 2015 a current account surplus, bought my USA] = Dr Wolfgang Schaeuble. [...] Fall of Centrists, rise of the SNP & UKIP (reactionary) ... Trump. [...] as investment rate (ie SME/SMB lending) stays same, does not grow = DEAD. Eurobonds/Investment Fund(UK, 5bn 5 years). [...] min 55 - deflationary politics (policy for 1-10-20% of society) is one way train. DEATH. especially w austerity and low wages/secular stagnation.
austerity  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  general  election  2010  general  election  2015  George  Osborne  Iain  Duncan  Smith  David  Cameron  Ed  Miliband  economic  history  Mark  Blyth  book  Richard  Koo  welfare  state  welfare  reform  bank  bailout  GFC  recovery  secular  stagnation  IMF  ChristineLagarde  Salami  Tactics  aggregate  demand  aggregate  demand  short-fall  liquidity  trap  fiscal  policy  Confidence  Fairy  monetary  policy  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Tony  Blair  Gordon  Brown  European  Union  Euro  ECB  BOJ  PIGS  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  Career  Politicians  politician  zombie  bank  zombie  banks  banking  systemic  risk  OMT  LTRO  MarioDraghi  trichet  BOE  deflation  deflationary  productivity  productivity  gap  productive  investment  underinvestment  infrastructure  investment  infrastructure  rentier  rent-seeking  Mark  Carney  Donald  Trump  business  consumer  TLTRO  non-performing  loan  NPL  Jens  Weidmann 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Chris Grayling dimisses concerns over economic impact of a Brexit
Yvette Cooper: Brexit won't prevent EU free movement to the UK - LIKE NORWAY CASE! - //&! IMF downgrade UK over Brexit fears - - calling for fiscal stimulus!
Brexit  Chris  Grayling  Yvette  Cooper  liquidity  trap  secular  stagnation  fiscal  stimulus  IMF  OECD  austerity  2016  global  economy  China  credit  bubble  monetary  stimulus  aggregate  demand  aggregate  demand  short-fall  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  British  Pound  Sterling  Pact  Schuldenbremse  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  economic  history  recovery  sovereign  debt  crisis  PIGS  ChristineLagarde  George  Osborne  monetary  policy  Mark  Carney  BOE  ECB  MarioDraghi 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
China's impossible trinity - BBC News
At the heart of China's problem is the "impossible trinity" of international macroeconomics. The impossible trinity - or trilemma - is the idea that it is impossible for a country to have three things at the same time: a stable currency, the free movement of capital (i.e. the absence of capital controls) and independent monetary policy. A country can instead choose just two of the options from this policy suite. The UK, in common with most developed economies, has free capital movement and an independent monetary policy - but not a controlled exchange rate. The Bank of England sets interest rates at a level it thinks is right for the UK economy and - as capital can flow into and out of the UK at will - the exchange rate is determined by the market. [...] But the bigger criticism is usually over the nature of the post-2009 stimulus package [...] But, for all the criticism, the counterfactual is rarely stated. What would global growth have looked like without it? [//+ deflation factors]
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september 2015 by asterisk2a

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