asterisk2a + property   282

(10204) Are We Destined for a Slow Growth Future? - YouTube
- shortage on the demand side. but demand can't be more leveraged and borrowed. ALL economic indicators point against a thriving of the UK bottom up (from household finances, are stretched thinly) //&! Gross wages lower than 10 years ago! Lost decade of earnings. In real terms people are NOT better off.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0anqgXLvwko
secular  stagnation  Brexit  household  debt  consumer  UK  USA  loan  GFC  recovery  Productivity  output  gap  economic  history  leverage  underinvestment  banking  property  bubble  housing  demographic  immigration  working  poor  poverty  Austerity  Trickle-down  Gesellschaft  DonaldTrump  Donald  Trump  inequality  social  mobility  income  Society  inflation  deflation  deflationary  debtoverhang  debt-servicing  OECD  IMF  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  BOE  Fed  globalisation  globalization  trap  credit  card  creditcard  creditcrunch  student  auto 
july 2018 by asterisk2a
Homes are not assets to be passed on to children, says minister | Society | The Guardian
houses became a mini-social welfare net among families. and a helping hand in social/income mobility for those benefiting/children and children children. // also current gen funding elderly care have less wage, less money (inflation), less prospects, no mobility, student debt, and high rents.
Erbschaftsteuer  dementiatax  dementia  taxation  property  bubble  UK  housing  crisis  rentier  economy  Alzheimer  demographic  ageing  premature  social  care  adult  elderly  Council  bedblocking  bed  blocking  chronic  sick  population  sickcare  demand  healthcare  health  NHS  Austerity  asset  inheritancetax  inheritance  Generationengerechtigkeit  Generation  Rent 
october 2017 by asterisk2a
Britain’s economy is broken. We desperately need new ideas | Tom Kibasi | Opinion | The Guardian
If the country was economically bankrupt in 2010, it is intellectually bankrupt in 2017. On the eve of the general election, politicians of all parties have rarely been so devoid of progressive ideas [...] Yet in substance, May’s approach remains mere tinkering at the edges of economic policy. The Conservatives remain stubbornly allergic to – or ignorant of – Keynesian macroeconomics. [...] [and housing and real estate lending distorting the lending picture. houses are not productive! R&D, and firms are. and creating long-term jobs w real incomes to spend (not remortgaging your home bc of housing bubble]
Brexit  GE2017  London  Housing  Bubble  piggybank  Forex  British  Pound  recovery  GFC  Manufacturing  Services  Consumerism  Zombie  Austerity  underinvestment  confidence  fairy  Productivity  output  gap  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  banking  investment  distortion  lending  property  UK  Living  Standard  wage  income  growth  inflation  £ 
june 2017 by asterisk2a
The Biggest Real Estate Bubble Of All Time Just Did The Impossible | Zero Hedge
There are two things at work here. The natural resource distortion to the real economy. And the Super Rich and Criminals and Asia/China who are desperate to divest and park their riches in democracies and rule of law and hard "assets"
Canada  bubble  property  Super  Rich  1%  money  laundering  Asia  China  Russia  Brazil  corruption  G20  speculation  speculative  London  CAD  immigration  Student  Plutocracy  Oligarchy  tax  evasion  avoidance  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  unintended  consequences  Fed  BOE  ECB  organised  crime  war  on  drugs  natural  resources 
june 2017 by asterisk2a
UK credit binge approaching levels not seen since 2008 crash | Business | The Guardian
//&! http://bit.ly/2j5VMET - Shoppers are still pulling out the plastic, but borrowing may become less choice and more necessity as budgets are squeezed //&! http://bit.ly/2hW63rg - BOE unable to put "irrational behavior" into models, ie credit binge. //&! wrong for BOE to compare levels to GDP! http://bit.ly/2iR2fGY - AUSTERITY UK KEPT AFLOAT BY CONSUMER CREDIT BINGE! - 2015 economy growth was 80% consumer! &! Carney Warning Jan 2017 - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-38644963
credit  card  car  loan  consumer  debt  household  mortgage  Property  bubble  UK  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  wage  growth  inflation  BOE  payday  auto  recovery  GFC  economic  history  Consumerism  materialism  Brexit  irrational  behavior  debtoverhang  austerity  ZIRP  NIRP  QE 
january 2017 by asterisk2a
Brexit racism and civil war but what else does 2017 hold for politics? - YouTube
people visibly not white prone to abuse by ideological fanatic Leave Voters. [...] Door that this protest vote opened already closing. Tories and May leaving the JAM's already hanging ... ie by making British Human Rights Act to repeal EHCR a cornerstone of 2020 general election. [...] "things already slipping a bit" [...] ///&! Brexit fallout: UK is "less happy and more racist" than six months ago - https://youtu.be/Vl_KFpG0-EE --- views Gov is London Centric!
Brexit  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  2020  JAM  Austerity  inflation  working  poor  poverty  squeezed  middle  class  affordable  housing  property  bubble  wage  growth  secular  stagnation  economic  history  recovery  income  inequality  Westminster  Whitehall  gini  Coefficient  trap  homelessness  homeless  immigration  EEA  stigma  racism  Xenophobia  prejudice  bigotry  Nationalism  Precariat  social 
january 2017 by asterisk2a
Generation rent: official figures overstate UK home ownership - study | Society | The Guardian
Resolution Foundation finds barely half of British families own their own home in research highlighting rise of renting
UK  housing  crisis  affordable  property  bubble  generation  rent  social  Austerity 
december 2016 by asterisk2a
"Keiser Report" Episode 985 - YouTube
property prices have to come down. but that would put ppl in neg equity. gov keeping bubble alive. NOW gov buying up non-sold property w 2bn fund! - https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/oct/06/government-could-buy-developers-unsold-homes-under-2bn-fund - A £2bn fund to boost housebuilding could be used by the government to offer guarantees to developers that it will step in to take on properties that they are unable to sell. - THIS IS A SMALL SCALE BAILOUT FOR FIRMS BUILDING -- SHITTY & OVERPRICED FLATS AND HOUSES!
Help  To  Save  Buy  Right  Whitehall  Westminster  property  bubble  UK  Brexit  housing  crisis  social  affordable  Theresa  May  David  Cameron  George  Osborne  Philip  Hammond  distortion  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  rentier  bailout  mortgage  BOE  subsidies  subsidizing  Corporate  welfare  crony  capitalism 
october 2016 by asterisk2a
"On contact" with Chris Hedges (Episode 14) w Mark Blyth - YouTube
austerity works for those, who impose it. middle class and pood paying for the debt and bailouts they were not responsible for. // [...] when you shut down the casino economy. where is growth coming from? wage growth, productivity, investment, ... to pay those debts ... by the 80% who bailed out the 20%. current authoritarian depotism populism demagoge does not have the policy/answers. to make the economy work for the 80% so they can pay/serve their debt obligations. [...] young ppl in debt like never before, will not achieve life their parents had. [..] public scared of idea if you change fiscal policy ie tax raise and public investment you make it worse. [...] italy has not grown more than 1% since joined the euro.
Mark  Blyth  Austerity  bank  bailout  UK  George  Osborne  inequality  poverty  wage  growth  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  reflate  WallStreet  Mainstreet  Economic  History  USA  European  Union  working  poor  credit  card  household  debt  car  loan  auto  property  bubble  squeezed  middle  class  Brexit  Precariat  1%  10%  20%  plutocracy  Super  Rich  book  welfare  social  security  Triple  Lock  Pension  neoliberalism  neoliberal 
october 2016 by asterisk2a
The Economist asks: Has Alan Greenspan carried too much blame for the financial crash? by The Economist
Sebastian Mallaby // Repuplican Party loyalist Alan Greenspan. Appointed by Republican president. Later surprised, what they've got w him - as he got more and more politically skilled. The expert w machiavellian tendencies. [...] came at a disadvantage in early 2000's to tighten monetary policy post-dot.com recovery but did not so (monetary and fiscally (being advocate)); glass stegall - derivatives, gov support for property (tax breaks and deductions), ... "fed tried, fed did, fed failed" in end politics failed (Larry Summers, Bill Clinton shot the starting gun) to reign in investment banking (derivatives), ... &&& group think among economists/profession into believing in self-regulation!!! &&& bc he knew about the possible bubble still did not raise rates enough to prick property bubble. a shy person who liked to be loved.
economic  history  book  Alan  Greenspan  GFC  recovery  income  inequality  property  bubble  equity  Ben  Bernanke  Janet  Yellen  Fed  neoliberal  neoliberalism  USA  Paul  Volker  regulation  regulators  self-regulation 
october 2016 by asterisk2a
Sterling: A political animal | FT Markets - YouTube
fx vigilante. bond figilante. collective market doesnt like brexit. thus sells off. NO BUYING INTEREST! now £ is a political currency!!! // fall of £ is a painful solution to possible adjustment towards healthier economy. // E/£ parity by end of next year as we get concrete about exit with negotiations. this is uk prob not eu prob, brexit.
Brexit  foreign  exchange  FX  British  Pound  Sterling  FDI  direct  investment  current  account  deficit  currency  war  devaluation  budget  BOE  Mark  Carney  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  inflation  RPI  CPI  property  bubble  fiscal  monetary  policy  austerity  GDP 
october 2016 by asterisk2a
Philip Hammond ditches Osborne's help-to-buy homes scheme | Money | The Guardian
Philip Hammond has confirmed that the government’s help-to-buy mortgage guarantee scheme will be closed by the end of the year, another of former chancellor George Osborne’s flagships now abandoned by the Treasury.

In a letter to Bank of England governor Mark Carney, the chancellor said the scheme had a “specific purpose that has now been successfully achieved”.

Launched in late 2013, the scheme meant buyers only needed to raise 5% of the property value for a deposit, with a government guarantee on a further 15% to give mortgage lenders the incentive to loan larger amounts.
Help  To  Buy  property  bubble  UK  affordable  housing  social  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Philip  Hammond  Theresa  May  BOE  Mark  Carney  subsidies  subsidizing  privilege  Privileged 
september 2016 by asterisk2a
Here's Why All Pension Funds Are Doomed, Doomed, Doomed
Given that both The Economist and The Wall Street Journal have covered the impossibility of pension funds achieving their expected returns, this reality cannot be a surprise to anyone in a leadership role. [...] Here's problem #1 in a nutshell: the average public pension fund still expects to earn an average annual return of 7.69%, year after year, decade after decade.

This is roughly triple the nominal (not adjusted for inflation) yield on a 30-year Treasury bond (about 2.65%). The only way any fund manager can earn 7.7% or more in a low-yield environment is to make extremely high risk bets that consistently pay off. //&! Millennials are first gen to have earned less in their 20's than previous gens. - bit.ly/2a9M98K
ZIRP  NIRP  QE  unintended  consequences  pension  obligation  triple-lock  pension  babyboomers  Baby  Boomers  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  hunt  for  yield  life  insurance  insurance  industry  monetary  policy  Helicopter  Money  monetary  theory  bond  bubble  Richard  Koo  liquidity  trap  economic  history  recovery  Fed  BOE  ECB  Abenomics  western  world  Japan  BOJ  pension  fund  Beton  Gold  Betongold  property  bubble  asset  allocation  funds  allocation  asset  bubble  Pensioner  pension  scheme  secular  stagnation  austerity  deflation  deflationary  Confidence  Fairy  IMF  OECD  credit  boom  credit  bubble  New  Normal  Great  Moderation  economic  harm  economic  damage  reflate  reflation  equity  bubble  distortion 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Keiser Report: Gold & World’s Debt Problems (Summer Solutions series E940) - YouTube
deflationary trap/liquidity trap - orthodox monetary policy w austerity = stagnation. & west is exporting deflation. // if it is good for consumers ... break up banks. // hedging is BS ... you double the system you double the risk. [...] banks are now bigger! ... ban most derivatives, and reintroduce glass stegall // Black-Schoeles - there is no such think as risk free rate and no such thing as the past reflect the future. risk is not equally distributed. [...] VAR is flawed. //
deflation  deflationary  NIRP  currency  war  currency  debasement  ZIRP  QE  Helicopter  Money  secular  stagnation  western  world  Abenomics  BOE  BOJ  Fed  ECB  economic  history  Richard  Koo  liquidity  trap  debt  overhang  balance  sheet  recession  consumer  debt  household  debt  mortgage  mortgage  market  mortgage  rates  distortion  hunt  for  yield  credit  boom  credit  bubble  PBOC  China  reflate  reflation  squeezed  middle  class  wage  growth  income  growth  income  distribution  income  disparity  working  poor  Precariat  Brexit  GFC  too  big  to  jail  productive  investment  underinvestment  austerity  history  productivity  gap  financial  instruments  investment  banking  global  economy  globalisation  globalization  derivatives  output  gap  productivity  recovery  neoliberal  neoliberalism  Chicago  School  neoclassical  economics  deregulation  Wall  Street  speculative  bubble  property  bubble  Beton  Gold  Betongold  stagnation  aggregate  demand  aggregate  demand  short-fall  too  big  to  bail  too  big  to  fail  TBTF  complexity  systemic  risk  systemrelevant  systemicrisk  systemrelevanz  zombie  bank  zombie  banks  non-performing  loan  leverage  hedge  Glass-Steagall  Black-Scholes  Equation 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Behind the Bond-Stock Divide Is a Big and Risky Bet on Central Banks - WSJ
The idea is that if stocks are rising, bond yields should be climbing too. Here's how to reconcile it. The answer is central banks. If rates are going to stay lower for longer; if more rounds of quantitative easing are coming; if new ways of easing are coming -- the rates should be going down and stocks moving higher. [...] It's about dividends paying more than bonds. 90% of the bond market universe is near 2% or lower. //&! http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-12/germany-about-sell-zero-coupon-10-year-bonds-first-time-ever //&! http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-13/we-just-found-out-who-has-been-buying-all-these-record-low-yielding-bonds - When your nation's bonds are trading with a record low 28bps negative yield (10Y JGBs), everything else in the world (aside from Swiss 10Y) is a relative 'value'...
bond  bubble  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  equity  bubble  hunt  for  yield  central  banks  BIS  Fed  BOE  ECB  BOJ  PBOC  secular  stagnation  wage  growth  output  gap  productivity  gap  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  Precariat  inequality  Gini  coefficient  western  world  rising  middleclass  Asia  BRIC  income  distribution  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  crony  capitalism  capitalism  in  crisis  capitalism  neoliberal  neoliberalism  globalisation  global  economy  globalization  free  trade  dividends  underinvestment  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  student  debt  consumer  debt  car  loan  property  bubble  speculative  bubble  speculative  bubbles  distortion  asset  allocation  austerity  AI  Robotics  automation  augmented  intelligence  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  unemployment  long-term  unemployment  skills  gap  skill-biased  technological  change  skills  shortage  economic  history  Brexit  technological  history  underemployed  underemployment  part-time  deflation  deflationary  JGB 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Andrew Mazzone Interviews James K. Galbraith
banks like property! more likely to lend to finance property than SME/SMB investment. because that investment is not propped up by the government. [...] min 6 subprime & credit bubble since 80's << behaviour of lenders [...] sensible people were given fraudulent debt instruments (no self-regulation, and regulators failed). [...] no prosecution because people who should have prosecuted those, didn't want to ruin their private future career. [...] min 15 - inequality and unemployment driven by inequality. [...] austerity is name of the game by the "establishment" - 20% of society that benefited from the bank bailout and reflation policy by central banks - [...] 19:15 - who do banks want to borrow in this environment?! austerity, aggregate demand shortfall, lack of confidence, volatility, uncertainty, credit bubble pain (liquidity trap) etc. [...] Solution ("an alternative way to the status quo, who made this mess): Fix Income Distribution thus Purchasing Power (aggregate demand, ie minimum wage), and restructure finance away from investment banking and speculation and derivatives towards real economy (ie tax heavily what is not real economy business) //&! James K. Galbraith on "Inequality and Instability: What's Ahead for the World Economy" - youtu.be/Mw4Bd9ols-E //&! James K. Galbraith - "The End of Normal" - youtu.be/PGFcB65l8Io
Gini  coefficient  income  distribution  1%  10%  20%  Super  Rich  property  bubble  London  rentier  rent-seeking  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Help  to  Save  Funding  for  Lending  Scheme  underinvestment  infrastructure  investment  secular  stagnation  western  world  UK  USA  European  Union  deflation  deflationary  JAMESGALBRAITH  book  James  Kenneth  Galbraith  credit  bubble  credit  card  credit  card  debt  credit  boom  debt  servitude  speculation  speculative  bubble  speculative  bubbles  equity  bubble  reflate  reflation  GFC  recovery  austerity  Raghuram  Rajan  self-regulation  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  Precariat  subprime  Wall  Street  regulation  regulators  Career  Politicians  politician  No  Representation  aggregate  demand  aggregate  demand  short-fall  liquidity  trap  retail  banking  investment  banking  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Richard  Koo  inequality 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Brexit: Singapore bank UOB suspends London property loans
"With foreign exchange risks, even if the value of the overseas property rises, any gains will be eroded if the country's currency depreciates against the Singapore dollar," Mr Tok explained. // Chinese (and Asian) love their Betongold (most likely to be around 50% of their portfolio). Now in the hole because GBP lost 10%. But doesn't account for Yuan depreciation/devaluation.
Forex  GBP  devaluation  British  Pound  FX  Brexit  property  bubble  London  speculative  bubble  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  distortion  hunt  for  yield  Interest  Rate  Swap  Beton  Gold  Betongold 
june 2016 by asterisk2a
Keiser Report: Your Special Brexit Coctail (E932) - YouTube
// housebuilding shares hammered. property funds close redemption possibility bc of too much redemption - bank run - funds have to sell some investments at a loss to repay investors. // what is weighting UK economy is too much debt to gdp (bank bailout), consumer credit (boe sounded alarm bells before brexit vote) and too much leverage. //&! Planet Ponzi Paperback (2012) by Mitch Feierstein //&! UK better out w problems of PIGS, Italy, and banking problem.
Brexit  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  asset  allocation  property  bubble  speculative  bubble  speculative  bubbles  mortgage  market  City  of  London  RBS  BOE  Mark  Carney  Help  to  Save  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Funding  for  Lending  Scheme  Right  to  Buy  distortion  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Centrist  austerity  Housing  Crisis  Conservative  Party  book 
june 2016 by asterisk2a
Canada Overwhelmed By 100,000 Chinese Millionaire Immigrants - YouTube
Flaunting your wealth. No connection w your culture and heritage. [...] also land taxes based on property value make it not affordable for some ... [...] Chinese love their property, half of their wealth/portfolio ... // http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/top-business-stories/canadian-house-prices-from-overvaluation-to-downright-zany/article30535075/ &! http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/canada-banks-mortgage-1.3643793 - Canadian banks could survive a 25% house price decline, Moody's says. Banking system would be fine even if Toronto and Vancouver see a crash, ratings agency says.
Beton  Gold  Betongold  Canada  USA  China  property  bubble  real  estate  bubble  UK  globalisation  globalization  immigration  economic  history  asset  allocation  affordability  affordable  housing  social  housing  Generation  Rent  rent-seeking  rentier  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  BOC  secular  stagnation  migration  valuation  asset  bubble  asset  liquidity  distortion  distorted  Germany  1%  Super  Rich  Gini  coefficient  inequality  Latin  America  BRIC  emerging  middle  class  India  Asia 
june 2016 by asterisk2a
UK GDP growth – beware the march of the spenders | Business | The Guardian
the breakdown was deeply troubling. What it showed was an economy unhealthily reliant on consumer spending. Real household spending was up 0.7% on the quarter and added 0.5 percentage points to the growth rate. In other words, the other components of growth – investment, trade and government spending – contributed -0.1 points to growth during the first three months of the year. [...] drop in business investment, which was down both over the quarter and over the year. //&! bit.ly/1RjxDnh - Making things matters. This is what Britain forgot. Ha-Joon Chang. The neglect of manufacturing and over-development of the financial sector is the cause of the economy’s decline, not fear of leaving the EU
UK  2016  recovery  Manufacturing  George  Osborne  industrial  policy  David  Cameron  austerity  Brexit  secular  stagnation  USA  world  economy  underinvestment  Smart  Grid  competitiveness  competitive  advantage  competitive  China  Steel  Crisis  Steel  Industry  BRIC  European  Union  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  ZIRP  NIRP  distortion  policy  monetary  policy  Mark  Carney  short-termism  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  Career  Politicians  general  election  2015  general  election  2020  Conservative  Party  neoliberalism  neoliberal  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Panama  Papers  HMRC  income  tax  receipts  employment  self-employment  Precariat  minimum  wage  wage  growth  productivity  output  gap  savings  rate  housing  bubble  property  bubble  business  confidence 
may 2016 by asterisk2a
CrazyRussianHacker, Plagiarist and DMCA abuser! #WTFU
.youtube.com/results?search_query=fair+use // .youtube.com/results?search_query=DMCA // So when I first made a video showing that CrazyRussianHackers idea about using dry ice for an air conditioner was basically suicidal, I really didnt think anything would come of it. Then recently he filed a DMCA takedown of my video. This resulted in a strike against my account and me losing access to certain features.

Now thats a special brand of idiot who makes a video about a suicidal way to chill the air, then files a baseless copyright takedown of the only warning about how dumb that idea is. Especially against a guy like me who has a history of fighting DMCA abuse! [ people have yet to be sued in court for DMCA abuse, it is a felony ]
YouTube  DMCA  Content  ID  fair  use  MPAA  RIAA  abuse  Intellectual  Property  Rights  copyright  laws  copyright  infringement  copyright  Creative  Commons  Music  Industry  Hollywood 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
IMF urges more spending to boost growth
Fund’s steering committee calls for more forceful stimulus and warns monetary policy alone is not enough //&! http://www.theguardian.com/business/imf //&! bit.ly/1V9pfhD - IMF chief: regulators long 'alarmed' over Panama's handling of taxation. Christine Lagarde responds to Panama Papers revelations, noting that authorities were concerned but did not take ‘expected’ action.
secular  stagnation  Panama  Papers  tax  evasion  tax  amnesty  tax  avoidance  corporate  tax  rate  labour  market  job  market  Service  Sector  Jobs  income  tax  receipts  budget2016  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  general  election  2015  general  election  2020  election  campaign  promises  Party  Funding  Richard  Koo  Confidence  Fairy  austerity  underinvestment  Generationengerechtigkeit  triple-lock  pension  fairness  Generation  Rent  Housing  Crisis  property  bubble  USA  UK  reflation  reflate  fiscal  policy  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  GFC  sovereign  debt  banking  bank  bailout  job  creation  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  IMF  OECD  credit  bubble  China  BRIC  recovery  Germany  economic  history  2016  Niall  Ferguson  budget  deficit  offshore  banking  investment  banking  TBTF  self-regulation  Greed  crony  capitalism  shareholder  capitalism  globalisation  globalization  global  economy  Oil  price  commodity  prices  ChristineLagarde  inequality  Gini  coefficient  income  mobility  social  mobility  low  pay  low  income  tax  credit  child  poverty  food  poverty  health  care  cost  health  care  demand  western  world  European  Union  Brussels  Brexit  Grexit  sick  population  health  economic  Union  Union  investment  policy  fiscal  me 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Future of Steel - Ken Clarke & Paul Mason - BBC Newsnight
[TORIES CRISIS: bedroom tax, JSA sanctions killing people, Food Banks, redefining child poverty and fuel poverty, Independent Living Fund closed, Housing Crisis, tax cut defeat in Lords, mental health, NHS strikes, Hinkley Point C, energy prices, London Airport expansion/3rd runway, ESA cut, PIP cut and resignation of IDS, Brexit splitting the Party, shit world economy, can't touch triple-lock pensions, Academy plans, Panama Papers (British Territory: Bahamas, Cayman & Co).] Now - Tories are victims to their own policy of underinvestment since 2010 of a future-proof economy "long-term predictability" [BREXIT & austerity not predictable]. Energy prices too high, not competitive. Manufacturing never recovered. Monetary policy has run its course (sedative + Chinas credit bubble). policy folly now wholly exposed! AND now they tinker with the idea of picking winners! LOL! nationalising or part-nationalising through guarantees or subsidies on energy price. & youtu.be/QJw24Z-cEoQ
underinvestment  austerity  Smart  Grid  energy  policy  energy  price  competitive  advantage  competitive  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  budget2010  budget2015  Budget2016  Manufacturing  current  account  deficit  budget  deficit  trade  deficit  TPP  AIIB  World  Bank  China  BRIC  commodity  prices  heavy  industry  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomic  policy  macroprudential  policy  Mark  Carney  education  policy  skills  gap  skill  gap  skill  investment  apprenticeship  further  education  immigration  migration  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  NIRP  ZIRP  QE  recovery  output  gap  productivity  productivity  gap  Service  Sector  Jobs  job  creation  labour  market  job  market  DWP  Iain  Duncan  Smith  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  Manifesto  corporate  restructuring  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  corporate  subsidies  Privatisation  Nationalization  Nationalisation  constituency  Party  Funding  general  election  2020  IMF  OECD  policy  folly  policy  error  global  economy  credit  bubble  Germany  Hinkley  Point  C  renewable  energy  energy  storage  job  creation  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Mark  Carney  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  property  bubble  rent-seeking  rentier  liquidity-trap  liquidity  trap  Housing  Crisis  Help  to  Save  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Right  to  Buy  Buy-to-Let 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
British households doing less cleaning, DIY and gardening, says ONS
[80% of 2015 GDP growth was consumer related][home improvement is bell weather signal] [...] Over the past decade British waistlines have expanded with obesity reaching crisis levels. Yet the ONS estimates that, in the home at least, the number of calories consumed has been falling. [...] Another significant change is the value put on “transport services” provided by households. This week record car sales were reported, jumping to more than 500,000 in March alone, yet the number of miles driven by households – to go to work or the shops, collecting children from school, etc – remains significantly below the levels recorded a decade ago. [...] It attributed the fall to petrol costs and pressure on household budgets after the financial crash. [...] . Time spent on DIY is down the most – by 20% since 2005. ...
recovery  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  DIY  homeownership  UK  property  bubble  Housing  Crisis  Generation  Rent  squeezed  middle  class  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  mortgage  market  distortion  credit  payment  working  poor  low  pay  low  income  job  insecurity  private  debt  consumer  spending 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
The Week Ahead: the return of the nasty party and a good week for Brexit
David Cameron and George Osborne wanted to cut even more! //&! Nicky Morgan's embarrassing interview over Tory cuts to disabled welfare - youtu.be/hjk06tjx_xQ //&! Jeremy Corbyn - youtu.be/Ain-IP4pHCk //&! IFS: cutting disability benefits to fund tax cuts is a political choice - youtu.be/xVBf9dSa9Mw //&! MANIFESTO Election Campaign Promises - Tories hoist by their own petard over disability cuts - youtu.be/N8VijFKLQek //&! also closed Independent Living Fund - youtu.be/nurjzK5VPAI //& "The electorate don't mind. Those who vote aren't affected." *George Osborne - youtu.be/N8VijFKLQek - WCA to bring down bill by kicking people off was a pipedream & Universal Credit is a real cut in benefits. //&! Nicky Morgan's nightmare defending Osborne's nasty budget - youtu.be/Y9YNcQF4t8I - 12bn cuts were promised in Manifesto 2015. 4.4 tried through PIP. youtu.be/5-3Bp7qzj4Y (pre-election) //& cutting corporation tax (& capital gains tax) - youtu.be/gZ6qNHLnbs0 &! Analysis - youtu.be/v-qmvI9s3pE
Iain  Duncan  Smith  Brexit  Tories  Conservative  Party  DWP  austerity  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Toff  dogma  ideology  Establishment  general  election  2020  economic  history  recovery  tax  credit  ILA  PIP  Universal  Budget2016  Westminster  Whitehall  ESA  tax  cut  welfare  reform  welfare  state  social  safety  net  Disabled  vulnerable  JSA  sanctions  PR  spin  doctor  Positioning  manufactured  consent  bank  bailout  budget  deficit  corporate  tax  rate  capital  gains  tax  Boris  Johnson  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  inequality  child  poverty  fuel  poverty  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  poverty  trap  education  policy  Academy  Nicky  Morgan  Michael  Gove  Ofsted  nasty  inheritance  tax  Manifesto  general  election  2015  IFS  OBR  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  triple-lock  pension  babyboomers  NHS  constituency  Party  Funding  property  bubble  constituency  babyboomers  pension  obligation  WCA  Foodbank 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Budget 2016: Four key numbers - BBC Newsnight
weaker outlook for income tax receipts & economy/global economy >> OBR has done 'no projections' on impact of Brexit: Robert Chote - BBC Newsnight - youtu.be/A0jvIUKTU1U //&! Budget 2016: Evan Davis grills Sajid Javid on the numbers - BBC Newsnight - youtu.be/L0TBTbfNgCw - "WE HAD THE BIGGEST BANK BAILOUT" //&! NICKY MORGAN ON TORY WELFARE ROW - BBC Newsnight - youtu.be/IC_Yhggk62o
Budget2016  OBR  secular  stagnation  income  tax  receipts  productivity  gap  recovery  economic  history  Richard  Koo  Brexit  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  general  election  2020  austerity  underinvestment  business  confidence  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  low  pay  low  income  working  poor  tax  credit  Zero  Hour  Contract  wage  stagnation  squeezed  middle  class  self-employment  part-time  Contractor  Zero  Hour  Contract  recovery  economic  history  UK  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  pension  obligation  triple-lock  pension  bank  bailout  trickle-down  economics  dogma  ideology  Richard  Koo  Privatisation  free  market  demographic  bubble  poverty  child  poverty  food  poverty  ESA  Disabled  vulnerable  DLA  PIP  DWP  Iain  Duncan  Smith  sanctions  JSA  social  housing  affordable  housing  Crisis  property  bubble  welfare  state  welfare  reform  Universal  housing  benefit  social  safety  net 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Budget 2016 shows Osborne's failure on debt, surplus, GDP
// higher in-work poverty
budget2015  budget2016  budget2010  general  election  2010  general  election  2015  PR  spin  doctor  economic  history  Positioning  Richard  Koo  austerity  underinvestment  dogma  ideology  policy  folly  policy  error  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  nasty  party  Iain  Duncan  Smith  corporate  tax  rate  corporate  welfare  corporate  subsidies  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Google  Inc.  shareholder  capitalism  bank  bailout  budget  deficit  Tories  Conservative  secular  stagnation  aggregate  demand  babyboomers  ageing  population  Northern  Powerhouse  triple-lock  pension  pension  obligation  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  Generation  Rent  property  bubble  Service  Sector  Jobs  job  creation  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  precarious  work  tax  credit  wage  stagnation  productivity  output  gap  Gini  coefficient  income  tax  receipts  tax  code  Zero  Hour  Contract  part-time  underemployment  underemployed  low  pay  low  income  BOE  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  election  campaign  promises  car  loan  student  debt  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  child  poverty  Food  poverty  tax  credit  Privatisation  Council  Public  Services  Social  Services  bed  blocking  education  policy  skills  gap  Academy  underinvestment  NHS 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Hey Britain – Your Kids Have Just Been Privatised
"Thatcher said the problem with socialism is that you run out of other people money. Henry VIII will tell you the problem with crony capitalism is you eventually run out of other people’s assets to sell." [...] In George Osborne’s mercurial March 2016 budget he showed his own Machiavellian sleight of hand. He is now seen as a politician whose leadership ambitions come before the welfare of the British people. Osborne’s allegiance is to The City not the country. When he and Peter Mandelson holidayed on financier Nat Rothschild’s yacht do you think they talked about free school meals and increasing the economic opportunities of the people in Grimsby? [...] Look at his actions and we see that one of Osborne’s aims is to reinstate the class divisions that began to ebb away with socially progressive policies. This last budget sought to weave a line into the fabric of society between the haves and have-nots. [...] We are at the end of the debt cycle and there’s nowhere else to go. [...] This is not the budget for the next generation of young people. This is the budget for the next generation of rent-seekers, moneymen and crony capitalists.
education  policy  Privatisation  UK  budget2016  Michael  Gove  Nicky  Morgan  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  PISA  Iain  Duncan  Smith  DWP  Gini  coefficient  deprivation  poverty  trap  austerity  Council  income  tax  receipts  secular  stagnation  child  poverty  food  poverty  social  mobility  income  mobility  PR  Positioning  spin  doctor  neoliberal  neoliberalism  trickle-down  economics  dogma  ideology  underinvestment  Richard  Koo  property  bubble  Tony  Blair  constituency  babyboomers  pension  obligation  triple-lock  pension  Generationengerechtigkeit  infrastructure  investment  competitiveness  fairness  rentier  rent-seeking  Ofsted  crony  capitalism  shareholder  capitalism  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  Wall  Street  profit  maximization 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Budget 2016: Osborne's economic fitness regime - BBC News
[2015] 80% OF ECONOMY CONSUMER SPENDING! - The economy has enjoyed what Andrew Goodwin of Oxford Economics describes as a "sugar rush" -the equivalent of a big tax cut - or 'fiscal stimulus' - through lower petrol prices. The economy grew by 2.2% last year; 80% of that growth was down to consumer spending. "That [growth] strikes us as some distance below par given the tailwinds we have had," Mr Goodwin says. And after the sugar rush comes the sugar crash: growth is likely to be revised down in the years to come because of global economic weakness.
budget2016  budget2015  George  Osborne  policy  folly  policy  error  zombie  consumer  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  student  debt  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  mortgage  rates  mortgage  market  property  bubble  Oil  price  commodity  prices  aggregate  demand  distortion  underinvestment  IFS  OBR  income  tax  receipts  HMRC  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  working  poor  low  income  low  pay  squeezed  middle  class  Consumerism  Industrial 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
A Public Service To The Industry From Attorney Marc Randazza « MikeSouth.Com
In this article, I write about how “morality” has been used to deny intellectual property rights worldwide. The adult entertainment industry should take note, because its ability to protect both its copyrights and its trademarks, world wide, are discussed in this article. If you run an adult entertainment business or frankly, any business that could find itself targeted by moralizers, you should download the article and keep it in your library.

SSRN-id2716892 //&! from comments - “primitive depiction of sexual activities”, adult movies do not deserve protection under Germany’s Copyright Act. //&! Add YouTube Bootleg's
copyright  Porn  DMCA  Pornography  Intellectual  Property  Rights  RIAA  MPAA  YouTube 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Ex-MPC member says rates will stay low until 2021 - BBC News
Blanchflower: Global economy "feels a little bit like 2008" Interest rates will likely fall further in Britain and remain at near record low levels until 2021, [...] Blanchflower described the backdrop to the committee's decision in March 2009 to cut rates to 0.5% as catastrophic. He said the MPC at the time had wished to avoid a death spiral. Britain was plunged into its deepest-ever recession in 2008 as confidence in banks collapsed and investment dried up. "We cut rates in November 2008 by 150 basis points (1.5%). It was clear that we should have cut by more but didn't because of the panic that it might have caused," he said. "It was absolutely clear that this (the financial crisis) was something we had not seen in a generation. We learned that the scale of the shock was enormous." [...] mortgage rates are 31% lower than before the crisis, while savers may have lost £106bn due to record low rates. //&! bbc.in/1YeqV87 &! bbc.in/1LGOxAf - central banks understated deflation pressure!
ZIRP  NIRP  QE  BOE  UK  global  economy  recovery  aggregate  demand  property  bubble  underinvestment  austerity  George  Osborne  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  mortgage  market  macroprudential  policy  Mark  Carney  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Help  to  Save  Right  to  Buy  Buy-to-Let  subprime  car  loan  credit  card  debt  zombie  consumer  zombie  corporations  zombie  banks  Richard  Koo  liquidity  trap  secular  stagnation  economic  history  GFC  household  debt  private  debt  consumer  debt  David  Blanchflower  Danny  Blanchflower  financial  repression  hunt  for  yield  asset  allocation  distortion  Super  Cycle  junk  bond  Gini  coefficient  deflationary  deflation  Taper  QT  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  Pact  Schuldenbremse  BIS  ECB  Fed  BOJ  credit  bubble  PBOC  hot-money 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Keiser Report: Sovietization of capitalism (E723) - YouTube
BIS 100% of private debt and finance sector larger than 3.9% of economy bad ... and siphoning off talent from more productive fields of work. And finance favours lending to property and land (low productivity). [...] financial products (derivatives) do not help economy. is just a financial product, fee collection. rentier! rent-seeking behaviour! fees fees fees. (JP Morgan, 89% of profits, see interview) [...] QE reflated asset prices/share prices! // In the second half, Max interviews David Graeber about his new book, The Utopia of Rules: On Technology, Stupidity and the Secret Joys of Bureaucracy.
private  debt  consumer  debt  household  debt  BIS  Wall  Street  recovery  zombie  banks  car  loan  credit  card  debt  student  loan  debt  student  loan  Bubble  student  debt  economic  history  GFC  secular  stagnation  UK  City  of  London  USA  investment  banking  retail  banking  BOE  Fed  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  property  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  productivity  output  gap  austerity  George  Osborne  dogma  ideology  constituency  Party  Funding  vested  interest  interest  groups  mortgage  market  Housing  Crisis  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Help  to  Save  Funding  for  Lending  Scheme  Right  to  Buy  Buy-to-Let  subsidies  subsidizing  derivatives  financial  product  rent-seeking  rentier  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  reflate  reflation  Mark  Carney  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Richard  Koo  book  David  Graeber  MervynKing 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Central bankers on the defensive as weird policy becomes even weirder | Business | The Guardian
Growth is tepid, productivity is poor, and inflation is too low: all is not going according to policymakers’ masterplans [...] As far as the OECD is concerned, monetary policy is being forced to take too much of the strain. Its chief economist Catherine Mann made the point that lasting recovery required three things: stimulative monetary policy; activist fiscal policy; and structural reform. The OECD wants the second of these ingredients to be added to the recipe in the form of increased spending on public infrastructure, something it says would more than pay for itself at a time when governments can borrow so cheaply.
monetary  policy  G20  fiscal  policy  monetary  stimulus  monetary  system  monetary  transmission  mechanism  liquidity  trap  UK  western  world  USA  Japan  Abenomics  George  Osborne  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Pact  Schuldenbremse  economic  history  recovery  secular  stagnation  productivity  underinvestment  MarioDraghi  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  ECB  BOE  Fed  Taper  deflationary  deflation  nominal  GDP  targeting  inflation  targeting  zombie  banks  MervynKing  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  Richard  Koo  Gini  coefficient  inequality  squeezed  middle  class  wage  stagnation  discretionary  spending  distortion  property  bubble  disposable  income  productive  investment  austerity  business  confidence  foreign  direct  investment  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  student  loan  debt  student  loan  policy  folly  policy  error  short-termism  Career  Politicians  neoliberalism  neoliberal  trickle-down  economics  self-regulation  City  of  London  investment  banking  retail  banking  OECD  IMF  KennethRogoff  hot-money  hunt  for  yield  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  reflate  reflation  financial  repression  New  Normal  trust 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Mervyn King: new financial crisis is 'certain' without reform of banks | Business | The Guardian
The former Bank of England governor says in his new book that imbalances in the global economy makes a crash inevitable [...] GFC was the fault of the financial system, not individual greedy bankers, in his new book, The End Of Alchemy: Money, Banking And The Future Of The Global Economy [...] “Without reform of the financial system, another crisis is certain, and the failure ... to tackle the disequilibrium in the world economy makes it likely that it will come sooner rather than later,” Lord King wrote. [...] global central banks were caught in a “prisoner’s dilemma” - unable to raise interest rates for fear of stifling the economic recovery, the newspaper reported. [... blame] broken financial system. [...] failure of a system, and the ideas that underpinned it, [...] “Only a fundamental rethink of how we, as a society, organise our system of money and banking will prevent a repetition //&! dailym.ai/21tPG5y
bank  crisis  banking  crisis  investment  banking  self-regulation  retail  banking  Greed  financial  product  regulation  regulators  City  of  London  George  Osborne  Mark  Carney  macroprudential  policy  property  bubble  austerity  liquidity  trap  secular  stagnation  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  economic  history  GFC  neoliberalism  neoliberal  trickle-down  economics  free  market  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  faultlines  hot-money  hunt  for  yield  distortion  financial  repression  emerging  middle  class  emerging  market  Frontier  Markets  BRIC  China  Brazil  credit  bubble  2016  reflate  reflation  junk  bond  revolving  debt  household  debt  mortgage  market  consumer  debt  UK  IMF  OECD  credit  card  debt  car  loan  BOE  MervynKing  ECB  Fed  Europe  deflationary  deflation  Gini  coefficient  inequality  MarioDraghi  Taper  QT  bonuses  bonus  global  imbalances  structural  imbalance  Career  Politicians  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  revolving  door  New  Normal  speculative  bubbles  Richard  Koo  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
George Osborne warns of further spending cuts in Budget - BBC News
[ LOL! ] But recent figures showing the UK economy was smaller than expected meant savings must be found in his Budget statement on 17 March, he said. [...] Mr Osborne said he would rather look for extra cuts now than risk breaking his own manifesto commitment to achieve a surplus in the budget by the end of this Parliament. The chancellor did not completely rule out raising taxes in the event of a further slowdown in growth, but said that now was not the time for "significant" tax hikes. [...] I'm absolutely clear we've got to root our country in the principle that we live within our means and that we have economic security." [...] "whole purpose of our economic plan was to have a budget surplus. [...] we got big challenges at home to make the economy more productive even as more people get work. [ because having part of your budget in the property bubble is so productive ] [...] I will do what is required to keep our country safe and secure." [ NOT CHANGING PLANS ie U-TURN ]
UK  secular  stagnation  austerity  Richard  Koo  Japan  economic  history  dogma  ideology  IMF  OECD  ChristineLagarde  economists  Paul  Krugman  Joseph  Stiglitz  Robert  Reich  David  Cameron  Tories  nasty  party  recovery  aggregate  demand  Conservative  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Mark  Carney  BOE  City  of  London  HMRC  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  self-employment  corporate  tax  rate  Service  Sector  Jobs  working  poor  multiplier  precarious  work  Precariat  low  pay  low  income  tax  credit  housing  benefit  income-based  JSA  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  wage  stagnation  stagnation  DWP  Iain  Duncan  Smith  skills  gap  STEM  productivity  output  gap  Manufacturing  industrial  policy  neoliberalism  neoliberal  trickle-down  economics  Chicago  School  JohnMaynardKeynes  keynes  Keynesianism  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  European  Union  property  bubble  apprenticeships  value  creation  added  value  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  competitiveness  marginal  cost  energy  price  energy  policy  Hinkley  Point  C  nuclear  power  nuclear  waste  subsidies  subsidizing  corporate  welfare  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbyin 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Brexit referendum could destabilise UK recovery, says IMF | Business | The Guardian
[ putting investment decisions and plans on hold! ] Christine Lagarde warns that uncertainty over outcome ‘will be bad in and of itself’ in months leading up to vote [...] But the IMF’s annual health check said “the relatively positive outlook is subject to risks and uncertainties”, including a global slowdown, sluggish productivity growth, a large trade deficit, still-high levels of household debt, and the forthcoming referendum on EU membership. It said any sign of weakness in growth should be met with higher spending by the Treasury. The UK authorities should explore “both revenue and expenditure measures, while protecting spending in priority areas, including healthcare, education, and infrastructure”. The report emphasised that “flexibility in the fiscal framework should be used to modify the pace of adjustment in the event of weaker demand growth”. [ moderates and politicians, wisely worded! no instructions. no direct criticism. ]
Brexit  austerity  household  debt  consumer  debt  property  bubble  credit  card  debt  car  loan  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  IMF  OECD  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  trade  deficit  UK  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  fiscal  policy  industrial  policy  labour  market  underinvestment  education  policy  NHS  child  poverty  Gini  coefficient  inequality  social  mobility  income  mobility  recovery  2016  general  election  2015  budget  deficit  election  campaign  promises  Manifesto  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  labour  economics  Zero  Hour  Contract  part-time  minimum  wage  tax  credit  Contractor  self-employment  low  pay  Precariat  working  poor  low  income  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  debt  servitude  monetary  policy  fiscal  stimulus  Pact  Schuldenbremse  general  election  2020 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Tasting menu: Audio highlights from the February 20th 2016 edition by The Economist
"liberal centrist politicians are not up to the job" always claiming the confidence fairy will show up if they stop what they are doing! "faith in monetary policy is wavering" ... emerging market debt bubble (through hunt for yield, QE, ZIRP, NIRP, credit bubble originating from China) is unwinding and threatening global system stability.
aggregate  demand  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  China  ECB  BOJ  Abenomics  Taper  QT  Fed  distortion  hot-money  austerity  Richard  Koo  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  George  Osborne  secular  stagnation  western  world  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  European  Union  Mark  Carney  BOE  property  bubble  policy  monetary  policy  economic  history  Gini  coefficient  inequality  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  underinvestment  productivity  output  gap  lost  decade  lost  generation  Generationengerechtigkeit  bank  bailout  fairness  recovery  unintended  consequences 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Inflation: Vermögenspreise stiegen 2015 im Rekordtempo - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Wohl dem, der Immobilien, Anteile an Familienfirmen oder Sammlerobjekte besitzt. Die Preise für Vermögenswerte sind 2015 so stark gestiegen wie kaum je zuvor. Schlechter sieht es für Normalsparer aus.
financial  repression  distortion  hot-money  Betongold  Beton  Gold  Germany  speculative  speculation  asset  allocation  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  income  distribution  hunt  for  yield  property  bubble  UK  foreign  direct  investment  credit  bubble  reflate  reflation  monetary  policy  austerity  fiscal  policy  secular  stagnation  demographic  bubble  emerging  middle  class  equity  bubble  speculative  bubbles  economic  history 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Five issues that will shape the Northern Powerhouse - BBC News
[ white elephant! lol & the double standard of Google paying 2% tax vs small businesses full 18%+ and not getting investment, R&D loans ] Will Hull thrive or suffer if transport is radically improved to the eastern fringe of the Powerhouse? There's no way of telling. Some people think investment in skills, education and training would be a more certain way of improving productivity - and business leaders are keen to ensure that these key elements are not forgotten in the rush for steel and tarmac. I asked former CBI director-general John Cridland, who is now head of Transport for the North, if there was any certainty that spending billions on infrastructure would improve productivity. He agreed there was no proof, but urged people to take a leap of faith - like the Victorian engineers.
STEM  skills  gap  practical  skills  apprenticeships  underinvestment  productive  investment  Northern  Powerhouse  UK  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  productivity  output  gap  recovery  carbon  tax  renewable  energy  competitiveness  competitive  industrial  policy  Germany  corporate  tax  rate  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  conglomerate  multinational  HMRC  budget  deficit  dogma  ideology  austerity  squeezed  middle  class  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  added  value  value  creation  economic  history  property  bubble  distortion  HS2  Hinkley  Point  C  HS3  infrastructure  investment  infrastructure  macroeconomic  policy  macroprudential  policy  zombie  banks  BOE  Funding  for  Lending  Scheme  Mark  Carney 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
This Letting Agent Admits The Housing Shortage Is Good News For Landlords - BuzzFeed News
[ Lord Adair Turner book & Richard Koo; banks tend 2 lend 2 property & land rather than productivity/businesses. risk averse, if the family cant pay the mortgage any more, than at least u have not lost all the money! less risky! Its also partly rentier behaviour of banks. // also BOE has to be concerned about future disposable income; rent & utilities eating up 50%-75% of income thus less for consumption! ] “Landlords’ balance sheets are looking healthier than at any point since 2014, and property investors are looking at an excellent rate of return from their portfolios.” Gill warned that changes to stamp duty announced in chancellor George Osborne’s Autumn Statement and due to take effect on 1 April – people selling buy-to-let investments will pay an extra 3% – were bad news for landlords. But overall, the “consistent and developing lack of housing for across all tenures, for a spiralling population” meant the level of demand for rental properties would not reduce, he said.
property  bubble  speculative  bubbles  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  macroprudential  policy  Generationengerechtigkeit  generation  rent  Housing  Crisis  social  affordable  distortion  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  aggregate  demand  Right  to  Buy  Buy-to-Let  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Help  to  Save  policy  folly  policy  error  consumer  debt  household  debt  budget  deficit  recovery  mortgage  market  credit  bubble  GFC  bank  bailout  BOE  zombie  banks  rentier  rent-seeking  Richard  Koo  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  zombie  consumer  industrial  policy  economic  history  Mark  Carney  financial  repression  behavioral  finance  behavioral  economics  herding  herd  hunt  for  yield  leverage  margin  trading  equity  bubble  Gini  coefficient  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  VAR  CDO  CDS  risk  aversion  squeezed  middle  class  secular  stagnation  inequality  UK  generational  contract  lost  generation  constituency  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  David  Cameron  George  Osborne  general  election  2015  general  election  2020  fiscal  policy  austerity  monetary  policy  liquidity  trap 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
What Really Caused the Crisis and What to Do About It - YouTube
"There are not perfect markets, and there is no perfect planner. [...] we will never arrive at perfect solutions. [...] market will never allocate perfectly ... [...] market will always tend to lend to property and land, and less into productive means (businesses = risk of 100 loss, land or property ... you have a loss when you sell it. << China, UK ) [...] not all credit is good credit. [...] need for macroprudential policy to dampen bubbles bc rate hikes could dampen normal non-speculative area of economy. ie loan to value limits [...] interest rate setting is blunt hammer that people though is the magic wand along the line of self-regulation, free market, neoliberalism and trickle-down [...] GFC can be traced back to the 60-70's - macroecon + micro with absurd assumptions (ie rational expectations, equilibriums, no bubbles) & math & pure theoretical base (no empirical analysis ie of what banks really do ie greed) = makes job of economist as policy advisor real easy.
bank  crisis  JohnMaynardKeynes  keynes  Keynesianism  book  Richard  Koo  aggregate  demand  austerity  liquidity  trap  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  debtoverhang  GFC  recovery  secular  stagnation  western  world  dogma  ideology  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  monetary  policy  monetary  theory  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  budget  deficit  economic  history  credit  bubble  output  gap  productivity  inflation  targeting  nominal  GDP  targeting  asset  allocation  economics  investment  banking  zombie  banks  retail  banking  financial  product  CDS  CDO  hunt  for  yield  VAR  risk  aversion  deflationary  deflation  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  Glass-Steagall  self-regulation  regulators  regulation  leverage  margin  trading  property  bubble  arbitrage  speculative  bubbles  asset  bubble  UK  USA  Europe  ECB  Fed  BOE  zombie  consumer  squeezed  middle  class  zombie  corporations  NPL  junk  bond  realestate  macroprudential  policy  mortgage  market  equilibrium  disequilibrium  Economist  economists  Adair  Turner  hayek 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Help-to-buy loan scheme nets Treasury £213m in paper profit | Money | The Guardian
[ gov is not co-owner of private property! Make away with Nurse Bursaries and other gov support for education. But support the property price! by keeping supply always lower than demand. and use policy to increase demand w subsidies! where to put their savings! & subsidy for builders ] Rising house prices across much of England mean a government scheme to help buyers of newbuild property may have made more than £200m for the Treasury in its first two-and-a-half years. The help-to-buy equity loan scheme gives buyers an interest-free loan for five years in return for a percentage stake in their property. When the home is sold, the buyer returns the same percentage of the sale price, meaning that any fall or rise in house prices affects the return. Analysis by property firm Hometrack and shared with the Guardian suggests that a surge in house prices in some areas means the total value of homes bought through the scheme since its launch in April 2013 has increased by more than £1bn.
property  bubble  UK  speculative  bubbles  Housing  Crisis  affordable  social  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Right  to  Buy  Buy-to-Let  Help  to  Save  budget  deficit  austerity  constituency  Party  Funding  babyboomers  BOE  macroprudential  policy  mortgage  market  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  hunt  for  yield  distortion  financial  repression  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  Generationengerechtigkeit  generation  rent  fairness  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  NPL  subprime  Payday  Loans  car  loan  student  debt  student  loan  debt  student  loan  Tories  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  policy  error  policy  folly  Conservative  Party  nasty  short-termism  voter  turnout  disenfranchise  disenfranchised  David  Cameron  George  Osborne  underinvestment  infrastructure  investment  productive  investment  recovery  Richard  Koo  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  debtoverhang  zombie  consumer  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  secular  stagnation  Privatisation  trickle-down  economics  dogma  ideology  GFC  bank  bailout  subsidies  subsidizing  corporate  welfare 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Beware the Minuses of Negative Interest Rates
Whether sub-zero interest rates actually work is open to debate, however. So says Richard Koo, the chief economist of the Nomura Research Institute. “In my view,” he writes, “the adoption of negative interest rates is an act of desperation born out of despair over the inability of quantitative easing and inflation targeting to produce the desired results.” The failure of the BOJ and the ECB to meet their inflation and growth goals is shared by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England. None of these central banks understand that their textbook solutions don’t fit the real economy, Koo asserts. [...] And on a more practical level, why corporations sit on record hoards of cash (taxes aside). [<< macro prudential policy ] //&! “When no one is borrowing money, monetary policy is largely useless.” [...] Keynes was right and (Milton) Freidman was wrong. - bit.ly/1Kl07Ri & There is no Confidence Fairy //&! fam.ag/1ogOOiM & bit.ly/1LpJL4W & bit.ly/1VgSjAB & bit.ly/214Icm3 & bit.ly/1Kl228n
secular  stagnation  emerging  middle  class  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  western  world  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion  liquidity  trap  New  Normal  financial  repression  GFC  economic  history  Richard  Koo  consumer  debt  squeezed  middle  class  household  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  student  loan  debt  student  loan  Super  Cycle  debt  servitude  mortgage  market  asset  bubble  speculative  bubbles  hunt  for  yield  hot-money  equity  bubble  bond  bubble  property  bubble  credit  bubble  BRIC  China  student  debt  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  Frontier  Markets  emerging  market  UK  USA  Europe  Japan  Abenomics  Niall  Ferguson  Paul  Krugman  Joseph  Stiglitz  Gini  coefficient  inequality  income  inequality  income  distribution  income  mobility  wage  stagnation  income  growth  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  underinvestment  austerity  productivity  output  gap  public  investment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  business  investment  STEM  R&D  competitiveness  Robert  Reich  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  debtoverhang  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  macroprudential  policy  miltonfriedman  JohnMaynardKeynes  keynes  Keynesianism  Fiscal  Pact  policy  monetary  policy  Schuldenbremse  unconventional  monetary  policy  QT  Taper  money  supply  money  ve 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
From Ticker - S&P: QE is driving inequality between the generations
Quantitative easing (QE) stabilized the economy but also exacerbated wealth disparity between rich and poor, mainly by boosting financial asset prices and house prices. //&! [ LOW PAY MINIMUM WAGE JOB CREATION ] During the U.K.’s recent “jobs-rich, pay-poor” economic recovery, strong employment gains were accompanied by a further rise of already high wage dispersion and an ever-growing share of part-time employment in lower income groups. //&! In the context of the tight housing market, low interest rates and QE are among the drivers behind the widening wealth and income gap between younger and older generations and between those on the housing ladder and those not on it. //&! Inequality is damaging! // bit.ly/1QtauyZ - Bank of England's recovery policies have increased inequality, finds S&P [...] spending too much on rent, not able to save for deposit! //&! bit.ly/1PPyEYl &! ti.me/1sbBtrz
QE  inequality  reflate  reflation  distortion  recovery  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  UK  USA  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  unconventional  monetary  policy  Fed  BOE  bank  bailout  zombie  banks  zombie  consumer  zombie  corporations  ZIRP  NIRP  TARP  TLTRO  LTRO  ECB  equity  bubble  asset  bubble  property  bubble  Housing  Crisis  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Help  to  Save  Right  to  Buy  income  inequality  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  budget  deficit  austerity  George  Osborne  income  distribution  poverty  trap  tax  credit  low  pay  low  income  squeezed  middle  class  Precariat  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  part-time  Tories  nasty  party  homeless  homelessness  social  affordable  Conservative  Toff  Privileged  Establishment  Funding  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  debt  servitude  economic  history 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
The "Tourist" Investors Flooding Silicon Valley With Money Will Go Home One Day - BuzzFeed News
The tourist analogy comes from Mohamed El-Erian, chief economic advisor at the German financial company Allianz and former CEO of mutual fund giant Pimco. He fleshes out his theory of “tourist dollars” in his new book, The Only Game in Town: Central Banks, Instability, and Avoiding the Next Collapse, describing what happens in emerging economies like Brazil and India when investors from the developed world respond to slow economies at home by seeking more profitable climates abroad. Ranjan Roy, a former emerging-market currencies trader who now runs a tech startup, wrote a Medium post this week connecting El-Erian’s “tourist” theory to the mutual fund investors that have flooded Silicon Valley with cash in recent years. The post was pretty convincing, so we decided to see if El-Erian agreed. He does. And he worries about what those tourist dollars are doing to the locals. [...] they don’t re-up [ like VC's and real Angels would do ] [...] push to stretch for return.
hunt  for  yield  distortion  speculative  bubbles  asset  allocation  Silicon  Valley  Party  Round  Angel  Investor  Seed  Round  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  hot-money  Mutual  Fund  growth  risk  capital  Venture  Frontier  Markets  emerging  market  credit  bubble  China  BRIC  2015  2016  2014  Unicorn  reflate  reflation  economic  history  equity  bubble  bond  bubble  property  bubble  asset  bubble  secular  stagnation  emerging  middle  class  India  financial  repression  behavioral  finance  behavioral  economics  psychology  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  austerity  Richard  Koo 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Affordable housing: David Cameron’s starter homes plan is not the solution | Society | The Guardian
Affordable housing: David Cameron’s starter homes plan is not the solution A proposal to create ‘starter homes’ selling for 20% below market rate may be good news for developers, but is unlikely to make them build more houses. [...] Even if the starter homes plan does lead to an uptick in building, these are homes that will be on the market to buy, not for rent. They will give those who might have used the existing help to buy scheme an alternative choice, but they don’t offer an affordable alternative to homeownership, or an option for the priced-out. Mortgage rates mean that homes are relatively cheap to own, but expensive to buy, and raising a deposit for a home that can cost up to £250,000 outside London and £450,000 in London is no mean feat. To take a 95% mortgage on a £200,000 property you are looking at £10,000, plus stamp duty and other charges. Try saving that up when your rent is rising each year. //&! bit.ly/1Tcvlg6 - Cameron has to buy off his MP's constituency on policy
subsidies  subsidizing  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Buy  to  Rent  Starter  Home  Housing  Crisis  social  affordable  benefit  constituency  Party  Funding  babyboomers  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  property  bubble  asset  bubble  Help  to  Save  Right  to  Buy 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
No 10 hails building of 13,000 new homes in southern England | Society | The Guardian
“This government was elected to deliver security and opportunity - whatever stage of life you’re at,” said Cameron. “Nothing is more important to achieving that than ensuring hardworking people can buy affordable homes.” [...] The shadow minister for housing and planning, John Healey, responded to the government’s starter homes announcement, saying: “In the autumn statement a few weeks ago, George Osborne tried to spin his halving of public housing investment as an increase. Now David Cameron is laying on the rhetoric to hide his failure on new homes. [...] David Cameron needs to do much more to fix his five years of failure on housing.”
asset  bubble  property  bubble 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Starter homes will 'stymie social mobility' | Money | The Guardian
Shelter warns that David Cameron’s homebuilding policy will be out of reach for those on average earnings, while others say it may divide communities //&! Taylor Wimpey warns over plan to build discounted homes for first-time buyers. Housebuilder questions how proposed 20% saving on more than 200,000 properties would be implemented and its impact on affordable housing sector - bit.ly/1SdH4dS //&! new legislation that fails to address the problem of affordable rented housing - bit.ly/1O2XMIM //&! Britain’s biggest housebuilder and smaller rival Galliford Try report confident outlook thanks to government-backed schemes such as help to buy - bit.ly/1OQQvgM //&! Property has become a subsidized asset bubble for the well off upper quarter of British households! Tories main constituency, especially in the South! //&! Policy is attack in social and affordable housing! Privatisation through the back door. But not solving. PM just positions himself and it at it! spin! - bit.ly/1OJlYgt
Starter  Home  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Buy  to  Rent  property  bubble  aggregate  demand  Housing  Crisis  social  affordable  Privatisation  benefit  Help  to  Save 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Housing: Corbyn and Cameron clash over 'right-to-buy' - BBC News
[ micro/macro econ policy folly / error to promote home ownership. the only asset of UK households hold ... has to be kept afloat! by any means necessary. + Help to Buy ] The way the government intends to pay for its plans to allow social tenants in England to buy their homes is "extremely questionable", MPs say. The Commons Communities Committee criticised the funding model for the right-to-buy scheme, which will see housing associations reimbursed for selling homes to tenants at discounts. [ AND WITH THE MONEY THEY WANT TO BUILT STARTER HOMES FOR THE 30-20% of UK HOUSEHOLDS THAT CAN AFFORD A DOWN PAYMENT OF A 250-400k HOME. ] &! bit.ly/1hpXShr - PM will promise to tear up planning rules in effort to encourage developers to build more housing for first-time buyers //&! Buy to Rent w its tax breaks is a subsidy for privileged! & MPs say it should be paid for directly rather than via council house sales. Ministers say it will help create a million new homeowners by 2020.
Right  to  Buy  property  bubble  asset  allocation  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  mortgage  market  affordable  housing  social  housing  Starter  Home  Crisis  David  Cameron  Tories  nasty  party  Conservative  short-termism  constituency  Funding  general  election  2020  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  Manifesto  generation  rent  Generationengerechtigkeit  speculative  bubbles  aggregate  demand  Supply  and  and  Supply  macroprudential  policy  Buy  to  subsidies  subsidizing  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Privatisation 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
If we want to solve the housing crisis, we must answer these three questions | Paul Mason | Opinion | The Guardian
[ prices have to stay afloat by any means, or conservatives are out for the next decade or two as they have done nothing to balance two sides. they continued to inflate the bubble further. proclaiming uk as home owning nation. ] If you then dramatically slash the supply of social housing, through right-to-buy and reduced council building, you create a permanent imbalance that turns home ownership into a form of asset investment. What you get then is boom and bust. And the only way to cure the bust is for the government to greet every collapse in market prices with effective state subsidies for home ownership. This, in turn, induces a speculative frenzy of one way bets – on development, on buy to let, on off-plan investment buying from abroad.
Housing  Crisis  social  affordable  property  bubble  Starter  Home  speculative  bubbles  distortion  macroprudential  policy  BOE  Buy  to  Rent  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  policy  error  policy  folly  subsidies  subsidizing  short-termism  opportunist  Opportunism  Career  Politicians  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Mark  Carney  mortgage  market 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
UK trade deficit widens further as exports suffer | Business | The Guardian
Nevertheless, the UK’s goods trade gap with the rest of the world widened by £1.9bn to a record high of £125bn in 2015. Howard Archer, chief UK economist at IHS Global Insight, said: “UK exports have clearly struggled in recent months, as they have been hampered by sterling’s overall strength in 2015, particularly against the euro, and moderate global demand. [...] Recent declines in the value of sterling are expected to support exports sales, though the deteriorating global situation could mitigate against an improved exchange rate. [...] “Nonetheless, any progress in reducing the trade deficit is likely to be extremely slow in the near term, leaving the recovery reliant on domestic demand.” [...] [ you can lower your corp tax, but if your country is shitty in business environment ie infrastructure and employee qualifications and immigration ... nobody wants to do business ]
UK  trade  deficit  current  account  deficit  budget  deficit  tax  reciepts  2015  2016  recovery  secular  stagnation  underinvestment  business  investment  austerity  economic  history  global  economy  emerging  market  Frontier  Markets  BRIC  foreign  direct  investment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  Richard  Koo  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  Student  Bubble  debt  servitude  discretionary  spending  government  spending  disposable  income  generation  rent  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  liquidity  trap  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  distortion  financial  repression  speculative  bubbles  hunt  for  yield  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  BOE  property  Housing  Crisis  George  Osborne  competitiveness  productivity  output  gap  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  corporate  tax  rate  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  immigration  migration  Super  Cycle 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
'Panic situation': Asian stocks tumble amid fears of new global recession | Business | The Guardian
central banks have few avenues left to explore to encourage investment and boost growth. Talk of an impending recession in the US, however, is creating speculation among investors that the federal reserve will put on hold its attempts to normalise rates. “The ‘fear factor’ in markets has morphed from being about an emerging market hard-landing and collapsing oil prices to being about the extent of the slowdown in the developed world and the ability of central banks to reflate asset values yet again,” said analysts at Citi in a note. //&! Yield on Japan's 10-year bonds falls below zero - bit.ly/1Leu3JC - Germany, France and the Netherlands are among the countries to see their bonds soar in value, though Switzerland (not in the G7) is the only other country to see demand outstrip supply to such an extent that the yield has dropped below zero. Bonds worth about $7tn (£4.8tn) now have a negative yield rate. //&! BOE Taper expectations go out the window till 2020 - bit.ly/1SdxUhN
global  economy  2016  secular  stagnation  austerity  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  Taper  ZIRP  QE  NIRP  liquidity  trap  western  world  credit  bubble  China  BRIC  Oil  price  emerging  middle  class  squeezed  middle  class  household  debt  consumer  debt  debtoverhang  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  Richard  Koo  USA  UK  Europe  economic  history  credit  card  debt  car  loan  debt  servitude  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  credit  reflate  reflation  VIX  volatility  speculative  bubbles  property  bubble  distortion  asset  allocation  equity  bubble  hunt  for  yield  IMF  OECD  Frontier  Markets  emerging  market  bond  bubble  Fed  BOE  ECB  Abenomics  BOJ 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
NSA's Hacker-in-Chief: We Don't Need Zero-Days To Get Inside Your Network | Motherboard
“I think a lot of people think the nation states are running on this engine of zero-days. You go out with your skeleton key and unlock the door and you're in. It's not that,” he said. “I will tell you that persistence and focus will get you in, will achieve that exploitation without the zero-days,” he continued “There's so many more vectors that are easier, less risky and quite often more productive than going down that route.”
cyber  crime  cyber  attack  NSA  National  Security  BND  GCHQ  cyber  espionage  cyber  cyber  war  Surveillance-Industrial  Complex  intellectual  property  China  Russia  Israel  USA  UK  Five  Eyes  surveillance  state  Orwellian  Internet  Privacy  Privacy  Intelligence  Agency  Foreign  Intelligence 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Christine Lagarde: Housing is key issue for security of UK economy - BBC News
The UK's recent growth, employment progress and deficit reduction have been "strong", the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has said. Underlying economic vulnerabilities, including the supply and demand for housing, have been addressed and steady growth looks set to continue, it said. The IMF's Christine Lagarde said there were still some risks.
UK  Housing  Crisis  property  bubble  generation  rent  speculative  bubbles  Buy  to  macroprudential  policy  fiscal  policy  planning  law  monetary  policy  mortgage  market  austerity  budget  deficit  neoliberalism  IMF  OECD  neoliberal  trickle-down  economics  economic  history  ChristineLagarde  Privatisation  affordable  social  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  secular  stagnation  wage  stagnation  squeezed  middle  class  Precariat  working  poor  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  low  pay  minimum  wage  low  income  Zero  Hour  Contract  part-time  Contractor  recovery  productivity  output  gap  credit  bubble  debt  servitude  debtoverhang  liquidity  trap  Richard  Koo 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Amid market turmoil and confusion, there are four key economic trends shaping society
The UK economy currently gets nowhere near its target of 2%. Inflation would decrease the value of current debts, making them less of a burden. In a world without much inflation, it is hard to get wages up. The worse case scenario is that debt costs increase, as prices and wages stagnate. [ ignoring debt and income growth - stagnation at their peril - youtu.be/KIaXVntqlUE - gov is no household budget, Steve Keen + Richard Koo ] [...] And in this age of austerity, these factors will work against governments seeking to reduce the welfare bill. Recent data shows that, in UK cities, growing numbers of low paid jobs have led to rising claims for welfare such as housing benefits, defeating the government’s aims to reduce spending.
economic  history  secular  stagnation  inflation  targeting  nominal  GDP  targeting  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  inflation  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  squeezed  middle  class  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  low  pay  low  income  minimum  wage  UK  Mark  Carney  austerity  tax  credit  housing  benefit  working  tax  credit  debt  servitude  Super  Cycle  Richard  Koo  liquidity  trap  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  stimulus  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  western  world  GDP  wage  inflation  income  growth  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  income  distribution  Gini  coefficient  Super  Rich  1%  inequality  income  inequality  income  redistribution  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  monetary  system  monetary  theory  student  debt  student  loan  debt  student  loan  Bubble  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  zombie  banks  monetary  velocity  Niall  Ferguson  NPL  junk  bond  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Taper  China  credit  BRIC  output  gap  productivity  industrial  policy  public  investment  productive  investment  business  investment  infrastructure  investment  property  financial  repression  speculative  bubbles  asset  allocation  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  money  supply  faultlines  global  imbalances  recovery  working  poor  Precariat 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Pando: Sources: Vegas-based Work In Progress co-work space is shutting its doors
Organic is better is more sustainable // Vegas Downtown Project // have a framework (macroprudential policy), but don't pick winners, cities, regions, ... roundabouts. // semiconductor boom bust in scotland, outside glasgow, area - via tax breaks (ie IBM spango vallye)
free  market  Venture  Capital  subsidies  subsidizing  corporate  welfare  Silicon  Valley  Vegas  Downtown  Project  Berlin  Start-Up  Scene  Los  Angeles  Start-Up  Scene  New  York  Start-Up  Scene  Silicon  Alley  economic  history  fossil  fuel  renewable  energy  carbon  tax  carbon  trading  scheme  carbonfootprint  carbonemission  tax  code  fiscal  policy  industrial  policy  job  creation  STEM  Manufacturing  dogma  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  short-termism  Opportunism  opportunist  microeconomic  policy  macroprudential  policy  macroeconomic  policy  intellectual  property  IP  progressive  tax  code  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  democracy  social  democracy  fairness 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Fine Brothers spark fury with YouTube trademark attempt - BBC News
[ protecting an entertainment format - old school TV. YT goes TV. ] 2015 applied to trademark terms "Kids React", "Adults React" & "Celebrities React", as well as the word "react" itself, which could be used to form new variations of the format. [...] a licensing scheme called React World, which they said would let other video-makers use the "react" title and assets such as their graphics and music. But the plan was negatively received by the YouTube community because so many people already make similar reaction-based videos online, using the word "react" in the title. "They had a bunch of trademarks already and nobody minded," said Jon, a YouTuber from Many A True Nerd. "But the moment they got to just the word 'react', it was just too commonly used. "People aren't sure whether they will fall foul of the trademark. "As creators, we have sympathy that you want to protect your content from being stolen - but in this case it's too far," he told the BBC. & bit.ly/1JWHDXd backing-off
trademark  copyright  copyright  infringement  creative  creativity  creative  destruction  bootleg  license  rights  holder  The  Content  Wars  intellectual  property  intellectualproperty  IP  YouTube  Content  ID  Commons 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Bank of Japan shocks markets by adopting negative interest rates | World news | The Guardian
BOJ shock decision to adopt negative interest rates, in an attempt to protect the flagging economy from market volatility and fears over the global economy. In a 5-4 vote, the bank’s board imposed a 0.1% fee on deposits left with the Bank of Japan (BoJ) – in effect a negative interest rate. The move, which follows the similarly aggressive precedent set by the ECB in June 2014, is designed to encourage commercial banks to use excess reserves they keep with the central bank to lend to businesses. //&! The Disturbing Reasons Why The Bank Of Japan Stunned Everyone With Negative Rates - bit.ly/1UvpOyO - encouraging capex, supporting existing bubbles ie equity and bonds (joining draghi). Citing examples of Sweden and Switzerland with NIRP. And ECB of combining QE and NIRP. Combating China exporting deflation. And keep the pace of JGB purchases, keeping the bubble floating. [A] "last-ditch measure"[.] [I]t may be time to panic. - 2016/2017 //&! Currency War - bit.ly/1QwOGox
ECB  BOJ  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  monetary  policy  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  theory  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  monetary  system  deposit  levy  MarioDraghi  Abenomics  economic  history  deleveraging  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  GFC  recovery  Yen  Euro  credit  bubble  liquidity  trap  distortion  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  equity  bubble  speculative  bubbles  bond  bubble  property  bubble  debt  bubble  New  Normal  financial  repression  faultlines  global  economy  structural  imbalance  global  imbalances  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  Japan  UK  secular  stagnation  western  world  inflation  expectation  inflation  targeting  nominal  GDP  targeting  deflation  Sweden  Switzerland  China  Yuan  JGB  2016  USA  Europe  sovereign  debt  crisis  austerity  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  Super  Cycle  recession  currency-war  currency  debasement  currency  war 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Cameron: Labour doesn’t believe in home ownership – video | Society | The Guardian
home ownership is the only wealth item in privates balance sheet. but as we know from history, dont base ur wealth on one asset. particular houses. houses/flats are there to be lived in. & maybe move out & into a new one, moving city for new or better job. property should not be prioritised as singular wealth storage // USA promoted home ownership // Tories policy is helping people save, and buy, keeping the house prices going up an up and up. // &! Complete Privatisation of housing market; Ministers want to get rid of social housing, former civil service chief to say. Lord Kerslake to say housing bill will force councils to sell off more than 100,000 homes to subsidise right-to-buy discounts - bit.ly/1Qr1FKr - The former head of the civil service will accuse government ministers this week of trying to phase out social housing altogether in favour of a new generation of “starter” homes that will be unaffordable for people on low incomes. //&! bit.ly/20lvGOp Privatisation a disaster
nasty  party  policy  folly  policy  error  Makers  generation  rent  Tories  Conservative  mortgage  market  property  bubble  Housing  Crisis  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  zombie  consumer  subprime  cost  of  living  standard  of  living  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Right  to  Buy  Buy-to-Let  Help-to-Save  macroprudential  policy  wealth  distribution  wealth  management  austerity  neoliberalism  neoliberal  social  affordable  Privatisation  budget  deficit  Council  Public  Services  Services  David  Cameron  George  Osborne  budget2015 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Carney: No need for interest rate rises now - BBC News
Carney said that collapsing oil prices and an "unforgiving" global environment meant that tighter monetary policy was not yet necessary. [...] He pointed out that the Fed's rate rise had only brought the US interest rate to the same "lofty level" as the Bank of England's. The Governor said that three factors would be the strongest guide to when interest rates might rise. First, that economic growth in the UK would be higher than the average trend. He said that growth at an average quarterly rate of 0.5% in 2015 had "disappointed". Second, that wage growth strengthens and productivity improves. And, third, that core inflation starts to approach the target rate of 2%. //&! Rate rise pause till early 2017? - bbc.in/1T1Qrge - [ global risks are building, global imbalances, faultlines. ] There's a frying pan - the global growth slowdown - and a fire - high levels of indebtedness - out there. &! bbc.in/1S5N7ks
Fed  BOE  2016  Taper  UK  USA  monetary  policy  Mark  Carney  Fed  mandate  productivity  output  gap  inflation  expectation  inflation  targeting  nominal  GDP  targeting  deflationary  deflation  Oil  price  commodity  prices  wage  inflation  GDP  secular  stagnation  economic  history  austerity  fiscal  policy  property  bubble  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  mortgage  market  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  private  debt  corporate  debt  Europe  ECB  China  credit  bubble  2015  global  economy  BRIC  OPEC  aggregate  demand  Richard  Koo  overcapacity  Supply  and  and  Supply  liquidity  trap  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  stimulus  monetary  theory  unconventional  monetary  policy  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  zombie  consumer  zombie  corporations  zombie  banks  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  margin  trading  speculative  bubbles  equity  bubble  Super  Cycle  debt  servitude  leverage  George  Osborne  dogma  ideology  neoliberalism  neoliberal  faultlines  global  imbalances  distortion  emerging  middle  class  emerging  market  Frontier  Markets  sovereign  debt  crisis  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  QT  financial  repression  New  Normal 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
BBC Documentary - The Money Trap - How Banks Control the World Through Debt - YouTube
most profitable credit card debt customers are those making just the minimum payment. ... a credit card being a statement of status! retaining customers by upgrading them regularly w higher limits, new colors, new perks (they will never use). // unsecured lending - DEFINITION of 'Unsecured Loan' A loan that is issued and supported only by the borrower's creditworthiness, rather than by a type of collateral. An unsecured loan is one that is obtained without the use of property as collateral for the loan. // revolving debt // the higher your credit limit, the more you are likely to spend. // half of his income to just serve credit card fees and interest charges (no payments towards paying down) debt ... // banks lend irresponsibly bc they know they can get away with it, or somebody else will do it! because there is not regulation. no bank oversight. //&! The Truth about Payday Loans :Young, British and Broke - youtu.be/-yWxTvffbuE //&! Gambling/Betting Shops on Highstreet.
retail  banking  investment  banking  CDO  CDS  subprime  credit  card  debt  credit  card  financial  literacy  household  debt  mortgage  market  Payday  Loans  exploitation  debt  servitude  student  loan  debt  Bubble  property  ethics  moral  beliefs  revolving  debt  consumer  debt  debtoverhang  debt  Super  Cycle  student  debt  private  debt  status  symbol  instant  gratification  status  anxiety  socioeconomic  status  zombie  consumer  consumerist  consumerism  Protection  overdraft  materialism  crony  capitalism  capitalism  NPL  NINJA  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  bonuses  bonus  financial  incentive  incentive  creditrating  credit  creditrisk  credit  score  self-regulation  Bank  Oversight  financial  instruments  derivatives 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
The Great Unraveling Looms - Blame The 'Austrians'? | Zero Hedge
Well, well: who would have believed it. First the Bank for International Settlements comes out with a paper that links credit booms to the boom-bust business cycle, then Britain's Adam Smith Institute publishes a paper by Anthony Evans that recommends the Bank of England should ditch its powers over monetary policy and move towards free banking. [...] The BIS paper will be the more influential of the two in policy circles, and this is not the first time the BIS has questioned the macroeconomic assumptions behind the actions of the major central banks. [...] Targeting nominal GDP is not a perfect answer.
credit  bubble  economic  history  BIS  GFC  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  distortion  squeezed  middle  class  secular  stagnation  working  poor  credit  card  debt  household  debt  property  bubble  consumer  debt  monetary  policy  liquidity  trap  monetary  stimulus  monetary  theory  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  system  China  USA  subprime  car  loan  debt  servitude  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  Student  debt  Super  Cycle  debtoverhang  sovereign  debt  crisis  debt  bubble  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  Fed  ECB  BOE  Japan  BOJ  Abenomics  nominal  GDP  targeting  inflation  targeting  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  income  distribution  income  inequality  low  income  income  redistribution  inequality  Gini  coefficient  Super  Rich  1%  plutocracy  oligarchy  group  think  think  tank  vested  interest  interest  groups  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  revolving  door  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  social  democracy  democracy 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
The Deflation Monster Has Arrived | Zero Hedge
the world’s grand experiment with debt has come to an end. And it’s now unraveling. [...] The next thing is to give money to Main Street. [...] Either way, money will be printed out of thin air and given to you. That’s what’s coming next. Possibly after a failed attempt at demanding negative interest rates from the banks. But coming it is. [...] Once people lose faith in their currency all bets are off. The smart people will be those who take their fresh central bank money and spend it before the next guy.
deflationary  deflation  debt  servitude  credit  bubble  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  secular  stagnation  UK  USA  Europe  western  world  Precariat  precarious  work  household  debt  Richard  Koo  GFC  China  recovery  property  bubble  subprime  economic  history  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  capitalism  crony  capitalism  exploitation  Super  Cycle  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  student  loan  debt  debtoverhang  NPL  sovereign  debt  crisis  private  debt  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  bank  bailout  distortion  capital  allocation  asset  allocation  speculative  bubbles  financial  repression  2016  2015  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  fiat  money  fiat  currency  trust  distrust  trustagent 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
"Markets Crash When They're Oversold" | Zero Hedge
Technology Destroying Jobs + While the big driver of the decline in economic growth since the 1980’s has been a structural change from a manufacturing based economy (high multiplier effect) to a service based one (low multiplier effect), it has been exacerbated by the increase in household debt to offset the reduction in wage growth to maintain the standard of living. This is shown clearly in the chart below. [...] In fact, each job created in energy-related areas has had a “ripple effect” of creating 2.8 jobs elsewhere in the economy from piping to coatings, trucking and transportation, restaurants and retail. Simply put, lower oil and gasoline prices may have a bigger detraction on the economy than the “savings” provided to consumers.
Oil  price  shale  gas  fracking  job  creation  USA  2016  Service  Sector  Jobs  Manufacturing  globalization  globalisation  neoliberalism  neoliberal  borderless  flat  world  economic  history  UK  low  income  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  income  growth  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  consumer  debt  squeezed  middle  class  household  debt  property  bubble  working  poor  precarious  work  Precariat  job  security  job  market  jobcreation  job-creation  recovery  GFC  dogma  ideology  austerity  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  trade  agreement  TPP  TTIP  NAFTA  CETA  European  Union  sovereign  debt  crisis  credit  bubble  China  BRIC  structural  imbalance  global  imbalances  faultlines  2015  presidency  barackobama  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  George  Osborne  private  debt  debtoverhang  debt  servitude  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  liquidity  trap  Richard  Koo  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Börse: Warum Schwellenländer für die Kurskrise sorgen - Kolumne - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Chronisch überschüssige Leistungsbilanz [ & Over capacity for less/stagnant demand ... + biggest credit bubble (china) popped as the west can't afford more. QE and ZIRP has run it's way! ] [...] Der Grund, warum der deutsche Aktienindex weitaus mehr betroffen ist als andere europäische Indizes, liegt allein an der strukturellen Abhängigkeit der deutschen Industrie von Blasen in anderen Ländern. Anstatt auf bessere Stimmung zu hoffen, sind Anleger gut beraten, sich über den weiteren Verlauf der Schwellenländerkrise Gedanken zu machen. [...] [ Fed taper makes things more difficult to serve debt ] [...] Langfristig sind es die Gewinne und nicht die Zinsen, die die Aktienpreise treiben. //&! China (Asia/BRIC/Frontier Market) Corporate Bond Yields up - bit.ly/1Sme7fV & NPL probably too. //&! If property is biggest item of household wealth in a property bubble (UK, China, ... USA) - bit.ly/1Zpiy8M
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january 2016 by asterisk2a
Under-40s worse off as result of state pension changes, data shows | Money | The Guardian
[ how do you save up when you can afford housing (nor even a mortgage, have credit cards (drinks and presents), and student loan. all the while tories help to prop-up the property bubble, the only wealth uk households actually have! ] Most people now in their teens, 20s and 30s will be worse off as a result of changes to the state pension system, while millions of older people will gain, according to the government’s own figures. The data will fuel concern that millions of younger people are suffering from the effects of what has been dubbed “intergenerational unfairness”, partly caused by the government targeting money and resources at the older generation. DWP issued the data to back up its assertion that the introduction of the new flat-rate state pension in April “will make millions of people better off” – but the figures also provide stark confirmation that younger people will be losers from the changes.
DWP  George  Osborne  Iain  Duncan  Smith  pension  scheme  pension  obligation  public  pension  pension  fund  constituency  babyboomers  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  bank  bailout  GFC  neoliberalism  neoliberal  PR  general  election  2015  general  election  2010  election  campaign  promises  budget  deficit  corporate  welfare  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Positioning  spin  doctor  manufactured  consent  generation  rent  Housing  Crisis  student  loan  debt  debt  servitude  student  loan  Bubble  student  debt  credit  card  debt  household  debt  retirement  consumer  debt  car  loan  generational  contract  lost  generation  Millennials  zombie  consumer  materialism  status  anxiety  Celebrity  of  You  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  demographic  ageing  population  OAP  UK  western  world  secular  stagnation  property  mortgage  market  Help  to  Buy  Right  to  Buy  Buy-to-Let  wealth  distribution  plutocracy  Gini  coefficient  inequality  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  low  income  tax  credit  precarious  work  Precariat  wage  stagnation  minimum  wage  wage  growth  income  growth  social  mobility  income  mobility  globalisation  globalization  flat  world  borderless  Policy  Makers  Westminster  Toff  Privileged  Establishment 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Top judge says justice system is now unaffordable to most | Law | The Guardian
[ the budget a excel spreadsheet in No 10, with grades @ the end what upsets donors & what upsets the minimum of potential voters - is Career Politicans calculated approach. & shifting a public item off the balance sheet onto the private balance sheet! again! the debt is still there! & what does Tory gov support? Home Buyers! ] Civil justice is unaffordable for most people, more people are being forced to represent themselves, and judges – whose pensions have been cut – feel under-appreciated, according to the lord chief justice. [...] “Our system of justice has become unaffordable to most,” Thomas said in the introduction to his report. “In consequence there has been a considerable increase of litigants in person for whom our current court system is not really designed. //&! Court fees jeopardise Magna Carta principles, says lord chief justice. Mandatory court charges of up to £1,200 put justice beyond reach of majority, says Lord Thomas - bit.ly/1ZXfhAE &! bbc.in/1RmyLMD
injustice  inequality  economic  justice  System  justice  austerity  Tories  nasty  party  Conservative  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Westminster  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  Toff  Privileged  Establishment  democracy  social  democracy  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  GFC  white-collar  crime  bank  bailout  Gini  coefficient  revolving  door  Funding  constituency  babyboomers  working  poor  Precariat  tax  credit  budget2015  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  political  economy  political  theory  policy  folly  policy  error  household  debt  private  debt  budget  deficit  public  sentiment  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Right  to  Buy  property  bubble 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
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