asterisk2a + productive   122

(112) Renegade Inc. & What to expect in 2018 - YouTube
UK BOE QE trap - the road to normalisation - without counter engagement (productive investment), and further Austerity, tax evasion, inequality, income gap, secular stagnarion, less money to spend for the average joe === very bumpy uncertain ride. ... and add Brexit even more uncertainty. OUCH. real growth for real people not gonna happen. // see also RAWerden Richard Andreas Werner for bank reform (local non-profit et al) // also consumers will hold back. especially w trickle down of bad news. job losses here and there retail inflation wage growth etc. creating a impression of a malaise especially for the 50% who voted remain. and 30% who didnt go vote. // see also news 8or7 out of 10 workers broke/permanently skinned - and consumer debt at 2008 high //
BOE  QE  trap  Richard  Koo  UK  Austerity  productive  investment  underinvestment  productivity  Brexit  Steve  Keen  book  RAWerner  debt  bubble  asset  alternative  WallStreet  GDP  output  gap  uncertainty  2018  business  consumer  confidence  fiscal  policy  NHS  monetary  Carillion  PFI  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  credit  malaise  secular  stagnation  stagflation 
february 2018 by asterisk2a
ARM chip designer to be bought by Japan's Softbank
ARM-Who? bbc.in/29OUgUM //&! 43% premium // on.recode.net/29On8LK - One key question is whether other firms will let SoftBank purchase ARM or if there will be a bidding war. Apple, arguably ARM’s most important client, and Intel, which lost the mobile chip war to ARM, are both potential buyers. The offer is already a generous multiple. As the FT notes, it’s some 70 times ARM’s net income last year. That’s around the same price-to-earnings ratio as Facebook stock. //&! politicians grasping for a positive headline - bit.ly/29OyjUD - bit.ly/2an8nk6 &! bit.ly/29PpN7N &! bit.ly/29ODbdM << calling a takeover/M&A an investment is criminal. Softbank will extract value out of it for its shareholders. What else?! &! Labeling Softbank as a japanese company; bbc.in/29OhqdK &! Vince Cable worried - bbc.in/2a3c95T &! youtu.be/T4IZdNW-e5U :: M&A is not investment, stupid! misleading people.
M&A  SoftBank  Capital  shareholder  value  shareholder  capitalism  dividends  smart  phone  IoT  profit  maximisation  profit  maximization  equity  bubble  distortion  hunt  for  yield  ARM  Venture  Capital  ROI  Tories  nasty  party  Conservative  technological  unemployment  research  R&D  productive  investment  Intel  Apple 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Keiser Report: Gold & World’s Debt Problems (Summer Solutions series E940) - YouTube
deflationary trap/liquidity trap - orthodox monetary policy w austerity = stagnation. & west is exporting deflation. // if it is good for consumers ... break up banks. // hedging is BS ... you double the system you double the risk. [...] banks are now bigger! ... ban most derivatives, and reintroduce glass stegall // Black-Schoeles - there is no such think as risk free rate and no such thing as the past reflect the future. risk is not equally distributed. [...] VAR is flawed. //
deflation  deflationary  NIRP  currency  war  currency  debasement  ZIRP  QE  Helicopter  Money  secular  stagnation  western  world  Abenomics  BOE  BOJ  Fed  ECB  economic  history  Richard  Koo  liquidity  trap  debt  overhang  balance  sheet  recession  consumer  debt  household  debt  mortgage  mortgage  market  mortgage  rates  distortion  hunt  for  yield  credit  boom  credit  bubble  PBOC  China  reflate  reflation  squeezed  middle  class  wage  growth  income  growth  income  distribution  income  disparity  working  poor  Precariat  Brexit  GFC  too  big  to  jail  productive  investment  underinvestment  austerity  history  productivity  gap  financial  instruments  investment  banking  global  economy  globalisation  globalization  derivatives  output  gap  productivity  recovery  neoliberal  neoliberalism  Chicago  School  neoclassical  economics  deregulation  Wall  Street  speculative  bubble  property  bubble  Beton  Gold  Betongold  stagnation  aggregate  demand  aggregate  demand  short-fall  too  big  to  bail  too  big  to  fail  TBTF  complexity  systemic  risk  systemrelevant  systemicrisk  systemrelevanz  zombie  bank  zombie  banks  non-performing  loan  leverage  hedge  Glass-Steagall  Black-Scholes  Equation 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
A hard truth for Leave voters: Brexit means big government
Britain has seen a renaissance in jobs since 2013, of that there is no doubt. But most of those extra jobs were among the self-employed or fell into categories that can only be described as insecure and low-paid. When companies finally took the plunge and advertised full-time jobs from 2014 onwards, around a third went to migrants. [...] It is this mostly older group of workers across the developed world, worried about their pay, pensions and conditions of employment, that want to slam the brakes on globalisation and reject the remedy proposed by big business: greater labour-market flexibility and only limited job protections. [ Globalisation as a great rebalancing of the world economy between the west and the rest (BRIC and co) ] [...] Only government can provide the cure, with a commitment to invest where the private sector cannot or will not go.
globalisation  globalization  squeezed  middle  class  Precariat  working  poor  job  security  job  insecurity  self-employment  neoliberal  neoliberalism  liberal  economic  reform  Agenda  2010  Zero  Hour  Contract  OECD  BRIC  USA  UK  Germany  France  economic  history  capitalism  capitalism  in  crisis  protectionism  Brexit  exploitation  crony  capitalism  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  immigration  migration  Philip  Hammond  austerity  Workers  Union  Workers  Rights  Trade  Union  Theresa  May  Conservative  Party  nasty  Tories  budget  deficit  neoclassical  economics  Chicago  School  deflation  deflationary  aggregate  demand  aggregate  demand  short-fall  Richard  Koo  free  free  agreement  underinvestment  business  confidence  productivity  productivity  gap  productive  investment  output  output  gap  technological  unemployment  skills  economy  skills  gap  skill  gap  industrial  policy  Manufacturing 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Geographies of Austerity: Mark Blyth
EU bank bailout (incl Britain) = 40% of EU GDP (incl Britain) = 5 trillion Euros. AUSTERITY FOR WHOM?! // secular stagnation - ZIRP, NIRP, QE, austerity, liquidity trap, aggregate demand short-fall = creditors paradise. their debt will not be inflated away. deflation - deflationary environment. for the next 2-3 decades. = NO DRIVE TO INVEST IN PRODUCTIVE ASSETS! = productivity gap. [...] rentier paradise. [...] = interest formation (those who have, call the shots, status quo). [...] deflationary spiral (PIGS & Germany) exporting deflation ... getting more competitive [EU has 2015 a current account surplus, bought my USA] = Dr Wolfgang Schaeuble. [...] Fall of Centrists, rise of the SNP & UKIP (reactionary) ... Trump. [...] as investment rate (ie SME/SMB lending) stays same, does not grow = DEAD. Eurobonds/Investment Fund(UK, 5bn 5 years). [...] min 55 - deflationary politics (policy for 1-10-20% of society) is one way train. DEATH. especially w austerity and low wages/secular stagnation.
austerity  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  general  election  2010  general  election  2015  George  Osborne  Iain  Duncan  Smith  David  Cameron  Ed  Miliband  economic  history  Mark  Blyth  book  Richard  Koo  welfare  state  welfare  reform  bank  bailout  GFC  recovery  secular  stagnation  IMF  ChristineLagarde  Salami  Tactics  aggregate  demand  aggregate  demand  short-fall  liquidity  trap  fiscal  policy  Confidence  Fairy  monetary  policy  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Tony  Blair  Gordon  Brown  European  Union  Euro  ECB  BOJ  PIGS  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  Career  Politicians  politician  zombie  bank  zombie  banks  banking  systemic  risk  OMT  LTRO  MarioDraghi  trichet  BOE  deflation  deflationary  productivity  productivity  gap  productive  investment  underinvestment  infrastructure  investment  infrastructure  rentier  rent-seeking  Mark  Carney  Donald  Trump  business  consumer  TLTRO  non-performing  loan  NPL  Jens  Weidmann 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Public Investment Payoff Not Necessarily About Efficiency
electrification of public rail - reduce emissions and improve public health (health hazard of diesel train engines proven - for passengers and residents). also improve public health - people ditching their cars! // 8:40 each additional public capital investment might be less valuable after the first road to the sea port. but that does not factor in types and public health and safety. road vs train. diesel train vs electric train. slow train vs faster electric magnetic safe low maintenance train w auto pilot (augmented intelligence). less public health risks, less health hazard, more public safety = less economic damage through a less sicker population (health care cost, health care demand, less work hours lost, higher productivity - healthy, happy people) but micro and macro economists do not put this into their GDP - well being, happiness, public health. // beijings hazardous hair will prove to be hughe economic cost (public health) down the road (chronic pulmonary conditions and cancer = lower productivity, lower discretionary spending because of spending goes to medicine and medical care and down the road leads to old age poverty for some if not the family).
underinvestment  public  investment  austerity  infrastructure  investment  infrastructure  productivity  productivity  gap  productive  investment  rentier  rent-seeking  commute  commuter  commuting  well  being  public  health  UK  Fossil  fuel  industry  fuel  public  health  policy  Richard  Koo  economic  history  recovery  dogma  ideology  free  market  neoliberal  neoliberalism  microeconomic  policy  added  value  USA  investment  spending  R&D  nominal  GDP  targeting  GDP  George  Osborne  output  gap  public  capital  ROI 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Central bankers on the defensive as weird policy becomes even weirder | Business | The Guardian
Growth is tepid, productivity is poor, and inflation is too low: all is not going according to policymakers’ masterplans [...] As far as the OECD is concerned, monetary policy is being forced to take too much of the strain. Its chief economist Catherine Mann made the point that lasting recovery required three things: stimulative monetary policy; activist fiscal policy; and structural reform. The OECD wants the second of these ingredients to be added to the recipe in the form of increased spending on public infrastructure, something it says would more than pay for itself at a time when governments can borrow so cheaply.
monetary  policy  G20  fiscal  policy  monetary  stimulus  monetary  system  monetary  transmission  mechanism  liquidity  trap  UK  western  world  USA  Japan  Abenomics  George  Osborne  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Pact  Schuldenbremse  economic  history  recovery  secular  stagnation  productivity  underinvestment  MarioDraghi  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  ECB  BOE  Fed  Taper  deflationary  deflation  nominal  GDP  targeting  inflation  targeting  zombie  banks  MervynKing  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  Richard  Koo  Gini  coefficient  inequality  squeezed  middle  class  wage  stagnation  discretionary  spending  distortion  property  bubble  disposable  income  productive  investment  austerity  business  confidence  foreign  direct  investment  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  student  loan  debt  student  loan  policy  folly  policy  error  short-termism  Career  Politicians  neoliberalism  neoliberal  trickle-down  economics  self-regulation  City  of  London  investment  banking  retail  banking  OECD  IMF  KennethRogoff  hot-money  hunt  for  yield  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  reflate  reflation  financial  repression  New  Normal  trust 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
George Osborne warns of further spending cuts in Budget - BBC News
[ LOL! ] But recent figures showing the UK economy was smaller than expected meant savings must be found in his Budget statement on 17 March, he said. [...] Mr Osborne said he would rather look for extra cuts now than risk breaking his own manifesto commitment to achieve a surplus in the budget by the end of this Parliament. The chancellor did not completely rule out raising taxes in the event of a further slowdown in growth, but said that now was not the time for "significant" tax hikes. [...] I'm absolutely clear we've got to root our country in the principle that we live within our means and that we have economic security." [...] "whole purpose of our economic plan was to have a budget surplus. [...] we got big challenges at home to make the economy more productive even as more people get work. [ because having part of your budget in the property bubble is so productive ] [...] I will do what is required to keep our country safe and secure." [ NOT CHANGING PLANS ie U-TURN ]
UK  secular  stagnation  austerity  Richard  Koo  Japan  economic  history  dogma  ideology  IMF  OECD  ChristineLagarde  economists  Paul  Krugman  Joseph  Stiglitz  Robert  Reich  David  Cameron  Tories  nasty  party  recovery  aggregate  demand  Conservative  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Mark  Carney  BOE  City  of  London  HMRC  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  self-employment  corporate  tax  rate  Service  Sector  Jobs  working  poor  multiplier  precarious  work  Precariat  low  pay  low  income  tax  credit  housing  benefit  income-based  JSA  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  wage  stagnation  stagnation  DWP  Iain  Duncan  Smith  skills  gap  STEM  productivity  output  gap  Manufacturing  industrial  policy  neoliberalism  neoliberal  trickle-down  economics  Chicago  School  JohnMaynardKeynes  keynes  Keynesianism  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  European  Union  property  bubble  apprenticeships  value  creation  added  value  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  competitiveness  marginal  cost  energy  price  energy  policy  Hinkley  Point  C  nuclear  power  nuclear  waste  subsidies  subsidizing  corporate  welfare  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbyin 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Five issues that will shape the Northern Powerhouse - BBC News
[ white elephant! lol & the double standard of Google paying 2% tax vs small businesses full 18%+ and not getting investment, R&D loans ] Will Hull thrive or suffer if transport is radically improved to the eastern fringe of the Powerhouse? There's no way of telling. Some people think investment in skills, education and training would be a more certain way of improving productivity - and business leaders are keen to ensure that these key elements are not forgotten in the rush for steel and tarmac. I asked former CBI director-general John Cridland, who is now head of Transport for the North, if there was any certainty that spending billions on infrastructure would improve productivity. He agreed there was no proof, but urged people to take a leap of faith - like the Victorian engineers.
STEM  skills  gap  practical  skills  apprenticeships  underinvestment  productive  investment  Northern  Powerhouse  UK  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  productivity  output  gap  recovery  carbon  tax  renewable  energy  competitiveness  competitive  industrial  policy  Germany  corporate  tax  rate  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  conglomerate  multinational  HMRC  budget  deficit  dogma  ideology  austerity  squeezed  middle  class  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  added  value  value  creation  economic  history  property  bubble  distortion  HS2  Hinkley  Point  C  HS3  infrastructure  investment  infrastructure  macroeconomic  policy  macroprudential  policy  zombie  banks  BOE  Funding  for  Lending  Scheme  Mark  Carney 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
This Letting Agent Admits The Housing Shortage Is Good News For Landlords - BuzzFeed News
[ Lord Adair Turner book & Richard Koo; banks tend 2 lend 2 property & land rather than productivity/businesses. risk averse, if the family cant pay the mortgage any more, than at least u have not lost all the money! less risky! Its also partly rentier behaviour of banks. // also BOE has to be concerned about future disposable income; rent & utilities eating up 50%-75% of income thus less for consumption! ] “Landlords’ balance sheets are looking healthier than at any point since 2014, and property investors are looking at an excellent rate of return from their portfolios.” Gill warned that changes to stamp duty announced in chancellor George Osborne’s Autumn Statement and due to take effect on 1 April – people selling buy-to-let investments will pay an extra 3% – were bad news for landlords. But overall, the “consistent and developing lack of housing for across all tenures, for a spiralling population” meant the level of demand for rental properties would not reduce, he said.
property  bubble  speculative  bubbles  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  macroprudential  policy  Generationengerechtigkeit  generation  rent  Housing  Crisis  social  affordable  distortion  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  aggregate  demand  Right  to  Buy  Buy-to-Let  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Help  to  Save  policy  folly  policy  error  consumer  debt  household  debt  budget  deficit  recovery  mortgage  market  credit  bubble  GFC  bank  bailout  BOE  zombie  banks  rentier  rent-seeking  Richard  Koo  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  zombie  consumer  industrial  policy  economic  history  Mark  Carney  financial  repression  behavioral  finance  behavioral  economics  herding  herd  hunt  for  yield  leverage  margin  trading  equity  bubble  Gini  coefficient  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  VAR  CDO  CDS  risk  aversion  squeezed  middle  class  secular  stagnation  inequality  UK  generational  contract  lost  generation  constituency  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  David  Cameron  George  Osborne  general  election  2015  general  election  2020  fiscal  policy  austerity  monetary  policy  liquidity  trap 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Cash from Swinney slammed as Aberdeenshire Council agrees new budget - Evening Express
The ruling SNP-led administration laid out budget plans to plug a £28m funding shortfall during a debate before the full council. The 2016/17 budget, which was approved 34 members to 23, includes a £3.2m cut in education and an estimated saving of £1.2m on early learning and childcare staffing. [...] The budget outlined slashing the road maintenance funds by £973,000, a reduction of nearly 6%. While £1.4m less will be spent on waste management – including the emptying of waste and recycling bins – than in 2015. A reduction in travel costs, investing in technology and making better use of council properties has been outlined to save £11.5m.
Council  austerity  UK  education  policy  Scotland  Holyrood  Scotland  Bill  Fiscal  Framework  underinvestment  infrastructure  investment  productive  investment  public  transportation  Westminster  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Tories  dogma  ideology  nasty  party  child  care  Conservative  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  Generationengerechtigkeit  bank  bailout  fairness  income  mobility 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
What Really Caused the Crisis and What to Do About It - YouTube
"There are not perfect markets, and there is no perfect planner. [...] we will never arrive at perfect solutions. [...] market will never allocate perfectly ... [...] market will always tend to lend to property and land, and less into productive means (businesses = risk of 100 loss, land or property ... you have a loss when you sell it. << China, UK ) [...] not all credit is good credit. [...] need for macroprudential policy to dampen bubbles bc rate hikes could dampen normal non-speculative area of economy. ie loan to value limits [...] interest rate setting is blunt hammer that people though is the magic wand along the line of self-regulation, free market, neoliberalism and trickle-down [...] GFC can be traced back to the 60-70's - macroecon + micro with absurd assumptions (ie rational expectations, equilibriums, no bubbles) & math & pure theoretical base (no empirical analysis ie of what banks really do ie greed) = makes job of economist as policy advisor real easy.
bank  crisis  JohnMaynardKeynes  keynes  Keynesianism  book  Richard  Koo  aggregate  demand  austerity  liquidity  trap  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  debtoverhang  GFC  recovery  secular  stagnation  western  world  dogma  ideology  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  monetary  policy  monetary  theory  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  budget  deficit  economic  history  credit  bubble  output  gap  productivity  inflation  targeting  nominal  GDP  targeting  asset  allocation  economics  investment  banking  zombie  banks  retail  banking  financial  product  CDS  CDO  hunt  for  yield  VAR  risk  aversion  deflationary  deflation  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  Glass-Steagall  self-regulation  regulators  regulation  leverage  margin  trading  property  bubble  arbitrage  speculative  bubbles  asset  bubble  UK  USA  Europe  ECB  Fed  BOE  zombie  consumer  squeezed  middle  class  zombie  corporations  NPL  junk  bond  realestate  macroprudential  policy  mortgage  market  equilibrium  disequilibrium  Economist  economists  Adair  Turner  hayek 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
School buildings in 'deplorable' state, head teacher claims - BBC News
A generation of school buildings have leaking roofs, poor windows and cold cramped classrooms, said a head teacher who has accused the Welsh government of not doing enough to address it.
underinvestment  infrastructure  investment  austerity  UK  education  policy  productive  investment  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  deprivation  child  poverty  poverty  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  dogma  ideology  Westminster  Whitehall  No  Representation  bank  bailout  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  babyboomers  constituency  Toff  Privileged  Establishment  Nicky  Morgan  Michael  Gove  David  Cameron  George  Osborne  inequality  health  inequality  well  being 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Help-to-buy loan scheme nets Treasury £213m in paper profit | Money | The Guardian
[ gov is not co-owner of private property! Make away with Nurse Bursaries and other gov support for education. But support the property price! by keeping supply always lower than demand. and use policy to increase demand w subsidies! where to put their savings! & subsidy for builders ] Rising house prices across much of England mean a government scheme to help buyers of newbuild property may have made more than £200m for the Treasury in its first two-and-a-half years. The help-to-buy equity loan scheme gives buyers an interest-free loan for five years in return for a percentage stake in their property. When the home is sold, the buyer returns the same percentage of the sale price, meaning that any fall or rise in house prices affects the return. Analysis by property firm Hometrack and shared with the Guardian suggests that a surge in house prices in some areas means the total value of homes bought through the scheme since its launch in April 2013 has increased by more than £1bn.
property  bubble  UK  speculative  bubbles  Housing  Crisis  affordable  social  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Right  to  Buy  Buy-to-Let  Help  to  Save  budget  deficit  austerity  constituency  Party  Funding  babyboomers  BOE  macroprudential  policy  mortgage  market  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  hunt  for  yield  distortion  financial  repression  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  Generationengerechtigkeit  generation  rent  fairness  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  NPL  subprime  Payday  Loans  car  loan  student  debt  student  loan  debt  student  loan  Tories  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  policy  error  policy  folly  Conservative  Party  nasty  short-termism  voter  turnout  disenfranchise  disenfranchised  David  Cameron  George  Osborne  underinvestment  infrastructure  investment  productive  investment  recovery  Richard  Koo  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  debtoverhang  zombie  consumer  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  secular  stagnation  Privatisation  trickle-down  economics  dogma  ideology  GFC  bank  bailout  subsidies  subsidizing  corporate  welfare 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Beware the Minuses of Negative Interest Rates
Whether sub-zero interest rates actually work is open to debate, however. So says Richard Koo, the chief economist of the Nomura Research Institute. “In my view,” he writes, “the adoption of negative interest rates is an act of desperation born out of despair over the inability of quantitative easing and inflation targeting to produce the desired results.” The failure of the BOJ and the ECB to meet their inflation and growth goals is shared by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England. None of these central banks understand that their textbook solutions don’t fit the real economy, Koo asserts. [...] And on a more practical level, why corporations sit on record hoards of cash (taxes aside). [<< macro prudential policy ] //&! “When no one is borrowing money, monetary policy is largely useless.” [...] Keynes was right and (Milton) Freidman was wrong. - bit.ly/1Kl07Ri & There is no Confidence Fairy //&! fam.ag/1ogOOiM & bit.ly/1LpJL4W & bit.ly/1VgSjAB & bit.ly/214Icm3 & bit.ly/1Kl228n
secular  stagnation  emerging  middle  class  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  western  world  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion  liquidity  trap  New  Normal  financial  repression  GFC  economic  history  Richard  Koo  consumer  debt  squeezed  middle  class  household  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  student  loan  debt  student  loan  Super  Cycle  debt  servitude  mortgage  market  asset  bubble  speculative  bubbles  hunt  for  yield  hot-money  equity  bubble  bond  bubble  property  bubble  credit  bubble  BRIC  China  student  debt  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  Frontier  Markets  emerging  market  UK  USA  Europe  Japan  Abenomics  Niall  Ferguson  Paul  Krugman  Joseph  Stiglitz  Gini  coefficient  inequality  income  inequality  income  distribution  income  mobility  wage  stagnation  income  growth  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  underinvestment  austerity  productivity  output  gap  public  investment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  business  investment  STEM  R&D  competitiveness  Robert  Reich  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  debtoverhang  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  macroprudential  policy  miltonfriedman  JohnMaynardKeynes  keynes  Keynesianism  Fiscal  Pact  policy  monetary  policy  Schuldenbremse  unconventional  monetary  policy  QT  Taper  money  supply  money  ve 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Support staff doing teachers' work, says union - BBC News
Teacher shortages mean classroom support staff are doing work normally done by qualified teachers, suggests a survey of union members. Some two-thirds of almost 700 classroom supervisors who responded felt they did the work of supply teachers, says the Association of Teachers and Lecturers. "This can only lead to lower educational standards," said ATL general secretary Mary Bousted. The government said support staff should not be used to replace teachers. [...] Dr Bousted said teacher shortages, along with increasing pressure on school budgets, were leading to the use of support staff to replace teachers "in a way that was never intended". "So rather than hiring a temporary teacher, schools are asking support staff to teach. "They should not be asked to do it," said Dr Bousted.
education  policy  austerity  Generationengerechtigkeit  underinvestment  productive  investment  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  inequality  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  child  poverty  poverty  trap 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Teacher shortages in England, spending watchdog confirms - BBC News
Teacher shortages in England are growing and the government has missed recruitment targets for four years, the official spending watchdog has said. It means 28% of secondary physics lessons are taught by teachers with no more than an A-level in the subject, the National Audit Office report says. Ministers have a "weak understanding" of local teacher shortages, it adds. The government said overall teacher numbers had risen and blamed unions for "talking down" the profession. While the overall number of teachers has kept pace with rising pupil numbers, teacher shortages are growing, particularly in poorer areas and at secondary level, according to the authors. [...] "Unless government radically tackles the pay, workload and excessive accountability that teachers currently suffer, this is a situation that will get increasingly worse," said Ms Blower. //&! bit.ly/1LfqZNB
austerity  UK  social  mobility  income  mobility  education  policy  Gini  coefficient  poverty  trap  childhood  development  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  nasty  party  David  Cameron  George  Osborne  Toff  Privileged  Establishment  downward  mobility  staff  morale  staff  shortage  deprivation  Conservative  Tories  dogma  ideology  underinvestment  productive  investment  public  investment  Services  mental  health  well  being  chronic  stress  Services  Council  bank  bailout  constituency  babyboomers  child  tax  credit  working  poor  Precariat  low  pay  low  income  minimum  wage  tax  credit 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
What's holding back the world economy? | Business | The Guardian
[ continued financialisation of economy / faustian pact ] QE and low interest rates have disproportionately created wealth in the financial sector and inflated asset bubbles. It has done little for the real economy. The rules of the market need to be rewritten [...] dominant policies during the post-crisis period – fiscal retrenchment and quantitative easing (QE) by major central banks – have offered little support to stimulate household consumption, investment, and growth. On the contrary, they have tended to make matters worse. In the US, quantitative easing did not boost consumption and investment partly because most of the additional liquidity returned to central banks’ coffers in the form of excess reserves. [...] private investment did not grow [...] [ QE supported only financial sector and zombie banks and corporations, little to nothing went into the real economy for investment in western world ] [ which leads us to say we are still in a banking crisis per se ]
Joseph  Stiglitz  secular  stagnation  reflate  reflation  austerity  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  TARP  TLTRO  LTRO  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  Richard  Koo  consumer  debt  household  debt  car  loan  credit  card  debt  Student  Bubble  loan  debt  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  squeezed  middle  class  Precariat  low  pay  low  income  wage  stagnation  income  growth  USA  UK  Europe  western  world  mortgage  market  NPL  debt  servitude  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  economic  history  policy  folly  policy  error  corporate  welfare  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Gini  coefficient  income  distribution  social  mobility  income  mobility  poverty  trap  inequality  recovery  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  distortion  financial  repression  speculative  bubbles  hunt  for  yield  asset  equity  VIX  volatility  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  monetary  policy  liquidity  trap  fiscal  policy  debtoverhang  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  consumer  confidence  business  confidence  business  investment  productivity  output  gap  aggregate  demand  income  redistribution  repo  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  system  financial  market  GFC  banking  crisis  retail  banking  investment  banking  hot-money  Frontier  Markets  emerging  market  BRIC  rent-seeking  rentier  carbon  tax  economic  damage 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
UK trade deficit widens further as exports suffer | Business | The Guardian
Nevertheless, the UK’s goods trade gap with the rest of the world widened by £1.9bn to a record high of £125bn in 2015. Howard Archer, chief UK economist at IHS Global Insight, said: “UK exports have clearly struggled in recent months, as they have been hampered by sterling’s overall strength in 2015, particularly against the euro, and moderate global demand. [...] Recent declines in the value of sterling are expected to support exports sales, though the deteriorating global situation could mitigate against an improved exchange rate. [...] “Nonetheless, any progress in reducing the trade deficit is likely to be extremely slow in the near term, leaving the recovery reliant on domestic demand.” [...] [ you can lower your corp tax, but if your country is shitty in business environment ie infrastructure and employee qualifications and immigration ... nobody wants to do business ]
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february 2016 by asterisk2a
As growth falters, Osborne hopes Mark Carney can keep a lid on interest rates | Business | The Guardian
The chancellor faces lower GDP and lower tax receipts as a result. So it’s vital that consumers’ desire to keep spending isn’t hit by a nasty shock from the Bank [ // Confidence Fairy // ] The Bank of England has downgraded its forecasts for the UK’s GDP growth and the outlook for wages, most likely robbing the exchequer of vital income tax receipts. And without the funds to maintain pensions and health service spending, his critics will gleefully play back the speech from last November during which he declared that Britain was on the road to becoming “the most prosperous and secure of all the major nations of the world”. [...] Yet his words ring hollow when so many of the post-crash problems are still with us, from the burden of high private and public debts to Europe’s rapidly ageing population, which encourage saving over investment, and a reluctance from government and big business to boost capital spending.
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february 2016 by asterisk2a
Masters in Business: Nobel-Prize Economist Paul Krugman (Audio) by Bloomberg View
// most times conviction is lacking, trapped in the bubble, no non-conformity, too much of a comfortable life. // 28:30! Confidence Fairy >> austerity from 2010! vested interest plays big role! Policy Makers are on the side of credit, on bond holders. bond holders don't like inflationary period! ... Hyperinflation will come any day! // 31:00 econ needs to be reformulated in class rooms to be much broader subject! << see robert shiller interview! ie behaviour, sociology and psychology, irrational behaviour // 44:15 on keynes! was no left wing socialist, he tried to save capitalism! he had world changing analysis! sometimes there can not be enough demand, same with sometimes it is good to have waste vs nothing, pointless ways to spend money can have a positive effect. ie infrastructure investment - repaving roads = less private repair bills! public transportation = less drunk driving accidents. history shows fiscal stimulus gets always too early withdrawn from deficit hawks!
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february 2016 by asterisk2a
Amid market turmoil and confusion, there are four key economic trends shaping society
The UK economy currently gets nowhere near its target of 2%. Inflation would decrease the value of current debts, making them less of a burden. In a world without much inflation, it is hard to get wages up. The worse case scenario is that debt costs increase, as prices and wages stagnate. [ ignoring debt and income growth - stagnation at their peril - youtu.be/KIaXVntqlUE - gov is no household budget, Steve Keen + Richard Koo ] [...] And in this age of austerity, these factors will work against governments seeking to reduce the welfare bill. Recent data shows that, in UK cities, growing numbers of low paid jobs have led to rising claims for welfare such as housing benefits, defeating the government’s aims to reduce spending.
economic  history  secular  stagnation  inflation  targeting  nominal  GDP  targeting  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  inflation  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  squeezed  middle  class  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  low  pay  low  income  minimum  wage  UK  Mark  Carney  austerity  tax  credit  housing  benefit  working  tax  credit  debt  servitude  Super  Cycle  Richard  Koo  liquidity  trap  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  stimulus  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  western  world  GDP  wage  inflation  income  growth  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  income  distribution  Gini  coefficient  Super  Rich  1%  inequality  income  inequality  income  redistribution  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  monetary  system  monetary  theory  student  debt  student  loan  debt  student  loan  Bubble  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  zombie  banks  monetary  velocity  Niall  Ferguson  NPL  junk  bond  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Taper  China  credit  BRIC  output  gap  productivity  industrial  policy  public  investment  productive  investment  business  investment  infrastructure  investment  property  financial  repression  speculative  bubbles  asset  allocation  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  money  supply  faultlines  global  imbalances  recovery  working  poor  Precariat 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Fred Block: The Tenacity of the Free Market Ideology - YouTube
Fred Block discusses his book “The Power of Market Fundamentalism,” which extends the work of the great political economist Karl Polanyi to explain why free market dogma recovered from disrepute after the Great Depression and World War II to become the dominant economic ideology of our time. // wo state role there would be no market system. // need social democracy in complex diverse society - representing people // freedom in complex diverse society = free of hunger and economic uncertain & freedom of nonconformity - protections, no marginalisation, no economic punishment // social democracy and free market are both Utopias // Thatcher & Co blaming State for malaise! nobody likes technocratic arguments, leaves public out, thus was able to make big return. // wealth creation through efficiency route takes more work and capital than predation (rentier/rent seeking) - ie relaxing fuel efficiency savings regulation for Detroit back in the days // trust that state can support innovation
economic  history  freemarkets  free  market  neoliberalism  self-regulation  neoliberal  book  macroprudential  policy  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  Chicago  School  USA  UK  social  democracy  capitalism  dogma  ideology  austerity  trickle-down  economics  globalization  globalisation  borderless  flat  world  Greed  boom  and  bust  crony  capitalism  plutocracy  oligarchy  Super  Rich  1%  democracy  revolving  door  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  social  mobility  American  Dream  meritocracy  meritocratic  Alain  de  Botton  philanthropy  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  Wall  Street  Gini  coefficient  income  mobility  education  policy  welfare  state  social  safety  net  Supply  and  Demand  market  economy  Demand  and  Supply  JohnMaynardKeynes  keynes  Keynesianism  GFC  Great  Moderation  Great  Depression  Utopia  Ronald  Reagan  Margaret  Thatcher  rentier  rent-seeking  predation  financial  product  wealth  creation  R&D  STEM  productive  investment  productivity  output  gap  public  investment  underinvestment  infrastructure  investment  competitive  competitiveness  M&A 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
SPERI Annual Lecture 2015: 'The Failure of Austerity' by Lord Robert Skidelsky - YouTube
economic history - "state spending inherently unproductive." // borrowing is deferred taxation - David Richardo - Rational expectations. Market economy always tended full employment. // Theory and Facts did not align. Keynes realised it post-war. Private investment is inherently volatile, ie slump conditions. state to offset underinvestment of private sector and match their retreat. getting rid of abnormal unemployment. done through monetary expansion (QE) and put onto state balance sheet available to spend. // Where 2009 forward QE got to banks ... // Paul Krugman - Confidence Fairy. // "Look after employment, and the budget will look after itself." but today it's the bond holders confidence who shapes budgets. // Keynes 'it is the long-term confidence of businesses that shape investment, confidence in state to no let a slump happen again.' but austerity, out of ammo talk, political-, social environment/sentiment & Osborne's '2016 will be tough year' speech were counter-productive.
austerity  economic  history  Robert  Skidelsky  Richard  Koo  David  Ricardo  sovereign  debt  crisis  underinvestment  productive  investment  competitiveness  competitive  public  utility  public  investment  education  policy  public  transportation  Good  infrastructure  investment  QE  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  George  Osborne  trickle-down  economics  tax  code  progressive  taxation  oligarchy  plutocracy  Super  Rich  1%  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Chicago  School  stagflation  secular  stagnation  Pact  business  cycle  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  Schuldenbremse  western  world  Paul  Krugman  political  folly  political  theory  political  economy  political  error  macroprudential  policy  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  financial  cycle  Greed  economic  cycle  inflation  expectation  expectations  Super  debt  servitude  GFC  recovery  Conservative  Party  fearmongering  Fear  Career  Politicians  nasty  David  Cameron  PR  spin  doctor 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Committee warns of decline in Scottish employment standards - BBC News
[ always announcing new jobs created #, but not the wage ] Members said there had been a "decline in job quality" in recent years, with an increase in low-paid zero-hours contract jobs since the 2008 recession. Their report said public money could be better used to support workers. The committee heard evidence from scores of organisations and took submissions from more than 600 people. Convener Murdo Fraser said the evidence from firms and workers suggested there had been a decline in job quality and an increase in low-paid jobs on "exploitative" zero-hours contracts in recent years. He said: "Whilst employment statistics point to an increase to those in work, if we look beyond the figures, we have uncovered a worrying trend in poor quality employment. [...] "We heard during our inquiry that poor quality work has a significant impact on people's health and wellbeing.
job  creation  Zero  Hour  Contract  Service  Sector  Jobs  recovery  GFC  precarious  work  Precariat  low  income  minimum  wage  working  poor  tax  credit  squeezed  middle  class  UK  USA  part-time  poverty  trap  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  poverty  child  poverty  working  tax  credit  child  tax  credit  education  policy  skills  gap  job  market  job  security  output  gap  productivity  living  wage  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  Positioning  PR  spin  doctor  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  income  growth  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  credit  card  car  loan  austerity  consumer  confidence  business  confidence  subsidies  subsidizing  corporate  welfare  well  being  happiness  happiness  index  mental  health  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomic  policy  corporate  tax  rate  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  neoliberalism  neoliberal  dogma  ideology  corporate  scandal  CSR  corporate  social  responsibility  philanthropy  underinvestment  STEM  public  investment  business  investment  Foreign  Direct  investment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  fiscal  policy  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Osborne warns of 'dangerous cocktail' of economic risks - BBC News
[ repeat phrases - "strong economy", "strong economy, strong NHS" ] The UK faces a "cocktail" of serious threats from a slowing global economy as 2016 begins, Chancellor George Osborne has warned. Speaking in Cardiff, Mr Osborne said this year is likely to be one of the toughest since the financial crisis. He told business leaders that far from "mission accomplished" on the economy, "2016 is the year of mission critical". His message is in stark contrast to the positive tone of his Autumn Statement, when he said the UK was "growing fast". [...] that the Autumn Statement had put in place a four-year plan to restore the UK's public finances, and make the economy more productive, with businesses more competitive so they could create jobs. [...] Mr Osborne told the Today programme the UK's economic recovery was not "a debt-fuelled recovery", citing the support of the governor of the Bank of England in his assessment. [ not public, but private household debt! ]
George  Osborne  Career  Politicians  PR  spin  doctor  budget2015  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  austerity  underinvestment  productive  investment  productivity  output  gap  job  creation  wage  growth  consumer  debt  household  debt  Positioning  energy  policy  competitiveness  renewable  energy  corporate  welfare  corporate  tax  rate  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  subsidies  subsidizing  NHS  Jeremy  Hunt  David  Cameron  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  Manifesto  constituency  babyboomers  Opportunism  opportunist  Oil  price  bank  bailout  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Housing  Crisis  affordable  generation  rent  property  bubble  NPL  mortgage  market  car  loan  credit  card  debt  budget  deficit  balance  sheet  current  account  deficit  trade  deficit  borderless  flat  world  globalisation  globalization  debt  servitude  debtoverhang  student  loan  debt  private  debt  sovereign  debt  corporate  debt  student  debt  student  loan  Maintenance  Grant  Education  Maintenance  Allowance  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion  BOE  Buy-to-Let  Help  to  Buy  Scheme 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
BBC Radio 4 - Money Box, Student Finance - Necessary reform or the betrayal of a generation?
Student Finance - Necessary reform or the betrayal of a generation? Lord Willets, former Minister for Universities and Science and Sally Hunt, General Secretary of the University and College Union give their view on George Osborne’s plans. // shifting an item off the public balance sheet that he is held accountable, reducing the budget deficit. and the payback rate (threshold) is not progressive, gradual. the 9% added tax rate is fixed, after earning 21k. 29% tax vs 20%. also scheme does not subsidies interest rates as much as you would expected, as the state can loan at lower rates. broken also conditions at 2012, letters said conditions could change.
Student  Maintenance  Grant  budget2015  UK  austerity  George  Osborne  Career  Politicians  neoliberalism  neoliberal  social  mobility  income  mobility  Gini  coefficient  poverty  trap  debt  servitude  trickle-down  economics  education  policy  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  Tories  Conservative  Party  subsidies  subsidizing  inequality  income  inequality  STEM  attainment  gap  underinvestment  productive  investment  skills  gap  capital  skills  productivity  output  gap  job  creation 
december 2015 by asterisk2a
The roof is being fixed but beware the house crashing beneath it | Business | The Guardian
Consumer spending is driving economic growth but household debt and the house price-income ratio is at a record high. Be afraid [...] It is worth recalling that when Osborne became chancellor five and a half years ago that he had two big objectives. The first was to repair the hole in the public finances, which is still very much a work in progress. The other was to shift the centre of gravity of the economy back towards making things for export. This remains a pipedream. [...] Despite the welcome pickup in business investment, the main driver of growth has been consumer spending, which has been boosted by low interest rates, the fall in inflation caused by lower oil prices, and a modest acceleration in earnings. [...] “not the ideal shape for the recovery” and it can say that again. The current recovery looks like all the previous recoveries. [...] “Fast-rising household debt is needed to maintain a reasonable rate of growth in consumers’ spending and GDP in a world of austerity ...
household  debt  consumer  debt  zombie  consumer  recovery  credit  card  debt  credit  card  materialism  status  anxiety  USA  UK  Super  Cycle  debtoverhang  mortgage  market  Housing  Crisis  debt  servitude  NPL  property  bubble  speculative  bubbles  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  BOE  Buy-to-Let  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Right  to  Buy  student  loan  debt  debt  bubble  student  debt  private  debt  economic  growth  GFC  fiscal  policy  austerity  industrial  policy  underinvestment  productive  investment  competitive  competitiveness  George  Osborne  dogma  ideology  neoliberalism  neoliberal  David  Cameron  Tories  nasty  party  Conservative  economic  history  energy  policy  energy  price  STEM  Manufacturing  diversity  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomic  policy  Amber  Rudd  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  secular  stagnation  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  consumerist  consumerism  trickle-down  economics  status  symbol  market  affordable  social  budget2015  marginal  propensity  to  consume  Precariat  tax  credit 
december 2015 by asterisk2a
Osborne's £23bn from the back of the sofa - BBC News
[ from 2010 forecast, deficit should be a surplus by 2016/17 or something like that ] the government's forecaster, the Office for Budget Responsibility, has increased its prognosis of how much the Treasury will raise from existing taxes (not new ones) and reduced what it thinks the chancellor will shell out in interest on its massive debts. In total the OBR thinks the national debt, the aggregate of the annual deficits, will be £23bn lower over the four years to 2020, and just because it is more optimistic about tax revenues and assorted costs. Or to put it another way, George Osborne is today £23bn better off than he thought in July, and without doing anything at all. //&! on.fb.me/1Hq17SP
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november 2015 by asterisk2a
Is there a danger to environmental jargon? - BBC News
[ confusing the public, as with diet ] The United Nations is promising a "universal climate change agreement" when leaders from almost 200 countries meet in Paris. But is the jargon used in environmental discussions actually putting people off the subject rather than enthusing them?
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november 2015 by asterisk2a
Blackrock-Vize Hildebrand kritisiert europäische Behörden - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Hildebrand: Nein, dafür sehe ich keine Anzeichen. Aber was mich schon besorgt, ist das Muster, dass frappantes Fehlverhalten europäischer Firmen immer wieder von amerikanischen Behörden aufgedeckt wird. Das scheint mir das wahre Problem zu sein. Ich denke da nicht nur an VW, sondern auch an die Banken oder an die Fifa. [...] Die Amerikaner dagegen sind das Problem schon 2009 angegangen, und die Banken sind schnell wieder gesundet. In Europa hat man es unter den Teppich gekehrt. [...] Europa hat zwei Probleme, und ein wesentliches davon ist ein Nachfrageproblem: Die Wirtschaft ist nicht ausgelastet, auch die Arbeitslosigkeit ist nach wie vor zu hoch. Und die Inflation liegt nahe null. [...] Europa hat auch ein Strukturproblem. Arbeits- und Produktmärkte sind überreguliert. [ Re Credit Bubble ] Niemand weiß genau, was geschieht, wenn diese Politik einmal umgekehrt wird.
VW  bank  bailout  FIFA  corporate  scandal  Volkswagen  sovereign  debt  crisis  too  big  to  bail  Grexit  European  Union  secular  stagnation  self-regulation  regulation  regulators  deregulation  accountability  white-collar  crime  banking  investment  banking  retail  banking  recovery  MarioDraghi  ECB  NIRP  ZIRP  TLTRO  LTRO  QE  GFC  economic  history  debtoverhang  Richard  Koo  fiscal  monetary  Brussels  lost  decade  lostgeneration  lost  generation  Generationengerechtigkeit  austerity  Pact  Schuldenbremse  underinvestment  productive  investment  ageing  population  demographic  bubble  squeezed  middle  class  emerging  middle  class  discretionary  spending  Sozialer  Abstieg  income  distribution  disposable  income  Brexit  credit  bubble  BRIC  emerging  market  Developing  World  western  Niall  Ferguson 
november 2015 by asterisk2a
UK's coal plants to be phased out within 10 years - BBC News
[How can gas be central if it has to be shipped from Russia & else?! - bbc.in/1WZQj4D ] UKs remaining coal-fired power stations will be shut by 2025 with their use restricted by 2023, Energy Secretary Amber Rudd has proposed. Ms Rudd wants more gas-fired stations to be built since relying on "polluting" coal is "perverse". Only if gas-fuelled power can fill the void created by closing coal-powered stations would coal plants be shut, she said. //&! bit.ly/1G7rJQt Subsidies cut in "emergency" Budget2015 after election which was not in the manifesto. &! Greenpeace said it showed the chancellor is out of step with the times. - bit.ly/1D2ylQg &! bit.ly/1HOeCt0 &! Renewables industry slams move to make them pay Climate Change Levy (also done in the Budget2015) - bit.ly/1j8khAR - "Like making apple juice pay an alcohol tax" &! Gov says in official statement, this move protects customers from higher energy bills??? - bit.ly/1Kkd8GH
fossil  fuel  renewable  energy  energy  price  energy  policy  energy  security  Russia  austerity  Generationengerechtigkeit  underinvestment  productive  investment  competitive  competitiveness  competitive  advantage  Smart  Grid  carbonfootprint  UK  carbonemission  CO2  air  pollution  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  nasty  party  Tories  Conservative  neoliberalism  neoliberal  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  Career  Politicians  dogma  ideology  budget2015  climate  change  global  warming  economic  damage  long-term  view  long-term  thinking  Opportunism  opportunist  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  short-termism  policy  folly  policy  error  industrial  policy  STEM  wind  energy  solar  energy  reframing  Positioning  spin  doctor  PR  framing  subsidies  subsidizing  corporate  welfare  carbon  tax  carbon  trading  scheme  Hinkley  Point  C  nuclear  power  Amber  Rudd 
november 2015 by asterisk2a
'I don't think Scunthorpe has a future' - BBC News
[ picking winners, when it suits them and gets them the headlines.. get your voice heared if you are big enough ] The cuts are being blamed by many on the Chinese 'dumping' cheap steel in the UK. But unions and Tata also point to high business rates and taxes, something the government has tried to tackle this week with a refund thought to be worth around £50m to the industry. // corporates continue to loot the state.
corporate  welfare  democracy  austerity  fairness  energy  policy  energy  price  energy  security  UK  Tories  Conservative  Party  David  Cameron  industrial  policy  underinvestment  productive  investment  renewable  energy  Smart  Grid  infrastructure  investment  budget2015  George  Osborne  toff  Privileged  Establishment  dogma  ideology  neoliberalism  neoliberal  vulnerable  Disabled  welfare  state  social  safety  net  child  tax  credit  tax  credit  working  tax  credit  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Greed  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  revolving  competitive  competitiveness  Generationengerechtigkeit  recovery  secular  stagnation  Niall  Ferguson  globalization  globalisation  flat  world  borderless  revolving  door  Makers  Opportunism  opportunist  minority  social  contract  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  society  Wertegesellschaft  corporate  scandal  corporate  tax  rate  morality 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Sturgeon does not rule out steel plants public ownership - BBC News
// gov has never been good about picking industries. // how about investing to lower energy prices, that is not nuclear? --- making the whole industries more competitive in world markets. lowering marginal cost across the board. also for consumers. stupid!
corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  corporate  scandal  Public  Policy  Hinkley  Point  C  renewable  energy  solar  energy  wind  energy  energy  Policy  Makers  Career  Politicians  short-term  short-term  view  energy  security  energy  price  economics  of  abundance  marginal  cost  constituency  Tories  budget2015  budget  deficit  Conservative  Party  nasty  underinvestment  productive  investment  industrial  competitive  competitiveness  STEM  Research  R&D  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  Toff  Privileged  Establishment  dogma  ideology  neoliberalism  neoliberal  fossil  fuel  carbon  tax  carbon  trading  scheme  carbonfootprint  carbonemission  emissions 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Hinkley Point nuclear agreement reached - BBC News
More than £30bn worth of deals between the UK and China are expected to be struck during the four-day visit. [...] 'Security concerns' The Hinkley Point project has come under fire over its cost and the delays to investment decisions and the timetable for building. The government has also been criticised for guaranteeing a price of £92.50 per megawatt hour of electricity - more than twice the current cost - for the electricity Hinkley produces. [<< death knell 4 UK consumer & heavy industry! In 10 years as other countries invested in renewables heavily, energy prices will be much higher in UK, a country which did not invest heavily in the Smart Grid & renewables when it was cheap to borrow to fund private public partnerships; 5-10 year mega projects. Bc nasty party is mercenary, not visionary. &! china is deep in renewables. why not renewables!? build smart grid] The Treasury hopes that within 10 years China will be UK second biggest trading partner. //&! Steve Hilton - bbc.in/1krBjLp
Hinkley  Point  C  foreign  investment  China  UK  AIIB  nuclear  power  energy  policy  renewable  energy  energy  price  George  Osborne  nasty  party  Tories  dogma  ideology  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  Restrisiko  budget2015  solar  energy  green  energy  wind  energy  offshore  wind  power  David  Cameron  Conservative  Makers  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  Smart  Grid  foreign  direct  investment  foreign  relations  foreign  affairs  foreign  policy  Hegemony  austerity  recovery  sovereign  debt  crisis  trickle-down  economics  underinvestment  productive  investment  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Richard  Koo  secular  stagnation  Niall  Ferguson  competitiveness  competitive  trade  agreement  free  trade  Steve  Hilton 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
UK's most expensive city facing 'catastrophe' - BBC News
shortage of supply = unaffordable = nobody can afford to live there, work there, study there. or have to commute from out of town for 1 hour or more. // this is not only a problem in Oxford. NHS Grampian has problems of recruiting because unaffordable house prices and rents pushed up by Oil Industry and the lack of new housing. Same for teaching jobs. // all the while building companies make pumper profits and even skirt around the edges to lower the ratio of social and affordable housing they have to provide with each new big project. its in their interest, if prices were to fell, they would make less money. so they build not enough to keep up with demand at all. and not enough so each new builds profit rises because of risen demand and people willing to pay more for the same house or flat from previous year or two or three despite no real improvement in the build technically/energy efficiency wise/or architecture wise - modern, wide open, big windows. //
UK  Housing  Crisis  green  belt  Supply  and  Demand  Demand  and  Supply  property  bubble  speculative  bubbles  generation  rent  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  babyboomers  vested  interest  interest  groups  mortgage  market  shared  economic  interest  commuting  quality  of  life  standard  of  living  cost  of  living  city  living  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  underinvestment  productive  investment  NHS  Grampian  Public  Services  Social  Services  Tories  nasty  party  Conservative  distortion  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  hot-money  credit  bubble  China  capitalism  collusion  Policy  Makers  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  affordable  cost  of  entry  cost  center  cost  of  ownership  cost  of  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  democracy  interest  minority  folly  error  competitive  competitiveness  macroprudential  Buy  to  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Right  to  Buy  fiscal  austerity  deprivation  urbanisation  urban  planning  monetary  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  general  election  2020  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Toff  Privileged  Establishment  Entitlement  Millennials  generationy 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
The government seems intent on ending the solar power industry. It’s madness | Howard Johns | Comment is free | The Guardian
saving on the wrong end of the stick. // &! One solar executive says the 87% cut in state subsidy is ‘obscene’, and will lead to thousands of job losses - bit.ly/1Xdgl0V - “We are all paying £100 for nuclear decommissioning costs in our bills. Solar: five quid? It is nothing to do with the energy bills of hardworking families it is entirely ideologically driven by George Osborne. It is nothing to do with the cost to the energy consumer.”
UK  energy  policy  energy  price  renewable  energy  Hinkley  Point  C  green  energy  wind  energy  energy  security  solar  energy  power  grid  Smart  austerity  dogma  ideology  Tories  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  emissions  carbonemission  carbon  tax  carbonfootprint  fossil  fuel  short-term  view  short-term  thinking  Opportunism  opportunist  competitiveness  globalization  globalisation  borderless  industrial  policy  Manufacturing  flat  world  policy  error  policy  folly  Toff  Privileged  Establishment  constituency  Generationengerechtigkeit  underinvestment  productive  investment  climate  change  global  warming  climate  crisis  babyboomers  Millennials  economic  damage  productivity  output  gap  recovery  generationy  Entitlement  election  campaign  promises  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  fairness  EEG  Umlage  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  European  Union  Germany  fiscal  stimulus  fiscal  policy  trickle-down  economics  nasty  party 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
What is the outlook for Britain's steel industry? - BBC News
UK steelmakers want lower business rates, a relaxation of emissions targets for heavy manufacturers, more compensation for high energy prices and a commitment that British steel is used in major construction projects. "We've set out some of the things government can press ahead with now to send out a clear signal of support in the very short term," said Gareth Stace, director of UK Steel. [...] How does the government act without going against its free market principles and breaking EU rules? It has already provided steel makers with millions of pounds in compensation for carbon permit costs. Beyond that it says its hands are tied by strict European Union state-aid rules. [ << targeted welfare vs lower energy prices and a smart grid for all ] //&! bbc.in/1GhJaoH - Unions want the government to take "urgent short-term action" to support the industry. [...] the steel industry globally was facing one of the most difficult times in its history. [...] we can't change the price of steel.
Manufacturing  energy  price  energy  policy  industrial  policy  Smart  Grid  subsidies  subsidizing  corporate  welfare  EEG  Umlage  renewable  energy  green  energy  wind  energy  energy  security  solar  energy  solar  power  Revolution  2.0  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  underinvestment  productive  investment  Makers  Career  Politicians  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  constituency  competitive  competitiveness  competitive  advantage  fiscal  policy  public  investment  infrastructure  investment  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  Millennials  generationy  protectionism  austerity  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  babyboomers  Tories  Conservative  Party  western  secular  stagnation  Niall  Ferguson  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  inequality  Gini  coefficient  No  Representation  democracy  Super  Rich  1%  Commanding  Heights  commodity  prices  2015  European  Union  China  India  carbonfootprint  carbonemission  carbon  tax  carbon  trading  scheme  emissions 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Angela Merkel: Abschottung ist keine Option mehr - SPIEGEL ONLINE
bit.ly/1QvB63Z &! bit.ly/1Ne9n73 - Kanzlerin Merkel vor dem Bundestag erklärt zum Zusammenhalt in der EU gemahnt. Man stehe vor "historischen" Prüfungen. //&! Stärken die Flüchtlinge den Standort Deutschland oder kommen hohe Kosten auf die Sozialkassen zu? Der Ökonom Raffelhüschen warnt vor massiven Steuererhöhungen und steigender Altersarmut. - bit.ly/1KaYeiO - Schon heute gebe es in Deutschland Hunderttausende unqualifizierte Arbeitslose. "Es kommen jetzt bis zu 1,5 Millionen Menschen dazu, von denen etwa 70 Prozent ebenfalls unqualifiziert sind", sagte Raffelhüschen der Nachrichtenagentur dpa. &! bit.ly/1NDSvcn - Geringqualifizierten droht in Deutschland heute häufiger ein Leben in Armut als noch vor zehn Jahren. Mehr als 30 Prozent derjenigen ohne Berufsausbildung und mit höchstens einem Realschulabschluss sind demnach armutsgefährdet. &! Integrationsdebatte: Lammert fordert von Flüchtlingen Anpassung an "Leitkultur" - bit.ly/1MEOmEq
refugee  crisis  GroKo  Germany  Angela  Merkel  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  austerity  Wolfgang  Schäuble  underemployed  skills  gap  education  policy  integration  Sozialpolitik  immigration  migration  fiscal  policy  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  Schuldenbremse  Pact  European  Union  economic  history  recovery  globalisation  globalization  flat  world  competitive  competitiveness  lohndumping  Sozialer  Abstieg  precarious  work  Precariat  working  poor  minimum  wage  mindestlohn  Minijob  hartz-iv  refugee  Asylbewerber  Asylum  Altersarmut  poverty  child  poverty  poverty  in  old  age  poverty  trap  Gini  coefficient  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Wall  Street  Greed  crony  capitalism  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  capitalism  exploitation  Workers  Union  Trade  Union  subsidies  subsidizing  welfare  state  social  safety  net  social  mobility  income  mobility  Realschulabschluss  vocational  education  professional  education  Qualification  Software  Is  Eating  The  Robotics  automation  Service  Sector  Jobs  job  security  labour  market  job  market  Niedriglohn  Niedriglohnsektor  secular  stagnation  Niall  Ferguson  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Makers  lobb 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
In the loop October 2: Flemish separatism, F1 and the Juncker plan by POLITICO Europe
min 17 - behind-the-scenes fight in the European Parliament over the appointment of top managers for the so-called Juncker Plan: a €315 billion EU investment plan. // threat of White Elephants, roads and bridges to nowhere ... only politicians can put themselves in front of photojournalists for photo op. no productive investments into the future. renewable, smart grid, private public paternerships, carbon emission reduction projects ie urbanisation planning projects to half city traffic and put cycling network in place, and zero emission public transportation, ... --- no accountability, no oversight no transparency. risk of corruption, bribery, dirty handshakes, ...
European  Union  technocrat  bureaucrat  Jean-Claude  Juncker  infrastructure  investment  STEM  Research  R&D  underinvestment  fiscal  policy  Pact  fiscal  stimulus  public  investment  business  investment  Schuldenbremse  Politics  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  Brussels  European  Parliament  European  Election  2014  European  Commission  Eurobond  PIGS  PIIGSFB  Richard  Koo  secular  stagnation  Niall  Ferguson  Germany  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Eurogroup  austerity  Grexit  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  excess  reserves  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  ECB  QE  TLTRO  LTRO  monetary  policy  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  stimulus  liquidity  trap  ZIRP  NIRP  corruption  ideology  dogma  campaign  promises  White  Elephant  productive  investment  productivity  Makers  policy  folly  social  contract  political  theory  accountability  transparency  oversight  2015 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Who is advising Jeremy Corbyn on economics?
John McDonnell and Jeremy Corbyn have selected an economic advisery committee to help create a “coherent alternative” to austerity. // bit.ly/1KVdreO QE for people. - via on.fb.me/1KLDgei
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
China pledges $2bn for developing world - BBC News
Chinese President Xi Jinping has pledged to establish a $2bn (£1.3bn) fund to assist developing countries and to significantly increase investment. Addressing a UN summit on development goals, Mr Xi said investment would reach $12bn over the next 15 years. He also said China would cancel debts to the world's least developed nations, including small island nations. Beijing, he added, would assist in 600 overseas projects in the next five years and offer more scholarships.
AIIB  China  BRIC  TPP  TTIP  TISA  USA  UN  infrastructure  investment  productive  investment  foreign  affairs  foreign  policy  foreign  relations  Asia  Aid  Africa  global  trade  global  economy  globalization  globalisation 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Bank of England concerns over buy-to-let boom - BBC News
The growing buy-to-let property market in the UK could post a threat to wider financial stability, a Bank of England committee has said. [...] Buy-to-let mortgage lending had the potential to "amplify" a housing boom and bust, the Bank's Financial Stability Committee (FPC) concluded. Lending in this sector has risen by 40% since 2008, the FPC said. It stopped short of suggesting any intervention by government or regulators at this stage. "The FPC is alert to the rapid growth of the market and potential developments in underwriting standards," the committee said.
Buy-to-Let  Right  to  Buy  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Funding  for  Lending  Scheme  BOE  macroprudential  policy  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  unconventional  monetary  policy  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Supply  and  Demand  Demand  and  Supply  distortion  mortgage  market  NPL  Boom  and  Bust  irrational  exuberance  rent-seeking  rentier  generation  rent  Buy  to  Tories  Conservative  Party  Makers  Mark  Carney  FOMO  underinvestment  productive  investment  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  excess  reserves  zombie  banks  investment  banking  retail  banking  London  Westminster  Career  Politicians  recovery  GFC  No  Representation  Millennials  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  infrastructure  investment  George  Osborne  constituency  babyboomers 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Fed chief Yellen says US rate rise still likely this year - BBC News
The US remains "on track" for an interest rate rise this year, Federal Reserve chief Janet Yellen has said. The central bank head said as long as inflation was stable and the US economy was strong enough to boost jobs, the conditions would be right for a rise. Despite expectations of a rise this month, the Fed held rates, in part due to fears about global economic growth. Ms Yellen, speaking at the University of Massachusetts, said US economic prospects "generally appear solid". Speaking a week after the Fed delayed that long-anticipated hike, she said she and other policymakers did not expect recent global economic and financial market developments to significantly affect the central bank's policy. Much recent inflationary weakness is due to special and likely temporary factors, such as a strong dollar and low oil prices, she said. //&! http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2015-09-25/janet-yellen-s-flip-flop-confuses-markets
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
The new right to buy is solving 1979’s problems at today’s expense | Gaby Hinsliff | Comment is free | The Guardian
This Thatcherite policy revival fails to recognise that the main cause of the housing crisis is affordability //&! Housing bill needs radical, long-term measures to reform the market. As well as increasing supply, the government needs to use the tax system to make buy-to-let less attractive as an investment - bit.ly/1PDxWe3
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
New US subprime boom - but this time it is for cars - BBC News
- zero hedge had chart w student loan bubble standing at 1trn, and some, as of about mid 2015, with car loans about to reach 1trn, and credit card debt. just google 'zero hedge car loan' - Blackstone says car loans are now in "untested" territory - bit.ly/1TO6Gxb - "The takeaway here is simple: under pressure to keep the US auto sales miracle alive and feed Wall Street's securitization machine (which is itself driven by demand from yield-starved investors) along the way, lenders are lowering their underwriting standards and extending loans to underqualified borrowers. [...] This cannot and will not end well." // July - With the US consumer hunkering down in 2015 and barely spending more than in the comparble period last year, the only silver lining had been auto sales driven almost entirely by access to cheap credit; - bit.ly/1QBIWc5
credit  bubble  car  loan  subprime  USA  credit  card  credit  card  debt  private  debt  household  debt  debt  servitude  debtoverhang  consumer  debt  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  Richard  Koo  zombie  consumer  status  symbol  status  anxiety  consumerist  consumerism  materialism  financial  market  financial  crisis  financial  engineering  ABS  CDS  excess  reserves  underinvestment  productive  investment  recovery  UK  western  world  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  revolving  credit  bank  bailout  bank  crisis  banking  crisis  investment  banking  retail  banking  London  2015  GFC 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Lab-grown kidneys work in animals - BBC News
Scientists say they are a step closer to growing fully functioning replacement kidneys, after promising results in animals. // shared economic interest (public good) = investing in research when it seems possible/likely/plausible is not good enough for moonshot projects (time when only investment by for-profit ventures come into play), thus need private-public partnerships like uni(s) + gov grants + joint venture = shared risk. // investing in science has ROI. even if it does not and will not produce a gadget after the first peer reviews paper.
3D  printing  biotechnology  biotechnologie  Organ  Donation  human  tissue  medical  advances  medical  profession  medical  research  STEM  R&D  University  shared  economic  interest  underinvestment  business  investment  Venture  Capital  public  investment  productive  investment  ROI 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Is Global Economic Doubt Behind the Unchanged Rate? - YouTube
youtu.be/f5_AGIMe32k // much higher $ already put ~25bps on US domestic market. // Fed is a risk manager now // labour market got a check mark, but not inflation bc of tech, stronger$ (taper anticipation), commodities lower, further deflationary pressures (retail price fighting 4 increase like4like sales), globalisation (competition), secular stagnation (continued low growth in western world, lower aggregate demand overall, lower baseline), consumer unable 2pickup where it threw in hat (deleveraging, no savings, debt overhang household, consumer). A new normal of growth of ~3% (give/take) globally aggregate & western wrld (2-2.5%, EU aggregate even lower). In this world, THERE WILL BE NO INFLATION PRESSURE (2% or higher, &3bn ppl free labour wrldwide) IN THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE AS THE REAL ECONOMY 4 EVERY DAY FOLK DOESNT REFLECT REFLATED ASSET PRICES via QE, ZIRP, credit bubbles arnd world enabled by central banks. &! youtu.be/NVa5fkz8X0o &! youtu.be/Ny3bbonX3d0 &! 1.usa.gov/1JdKZxp
Taper  Fed  Fed  mandate  2015  inflation  expectation  inflation  targeting  Janet  Yellen  participation  rate  employment  underemployed  full  employment  unemployment  structural  unemployment  USA  China  BRIC  credit  bubble  complexity  global  economy  New  Normal  hunt  for  yield  asset  allocation  asset  bubble  reflate  reflation  equity  bubble  property  bubble  BIS  centralbanks  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  distortion  secular  stagnation  western  world  Richard  Koo  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  debtoverhang  private  debt  household  debt  consumer  debt  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  debt  servitude  marginal  propensity  to  consume  Super  Rich  1%  faultlines  savings  glut  Impediments  structural  imbalance  inequality  Gini  coefficient  income  distribution  income  growth  low  income  disposable  income  income  inequality  income  mobility  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  UK  BOE  squeezed  middle  class  job  creation  job  security  labour  market  recovery  policy  response  fiscal  policy  austerity  Schuldenbremse  Pact  monetary  policy  monetary  transmission  mechanism  excess  reserves  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  business  investment  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Why did Japan stop growing? Professor Takeo Hoshi at ANU - YouTube
Blyth argued its culture/society & structural. TPP trade deal might help productivity growth & opening Japan further 2 global trade. & encourage immigration reform. Regulatory reform; stop protection of zombies (gov guarantees, contracts, subsidies), corporate governance. Oversight. Transparency. Also Start-up rate (bottom-up disruption) needs reform (reduce red tape, create start-up/business hubs) // &! What is Abenomics? - youtu.be/_UafzhHzmwE //&! Noriko Hama & Yukio Noguchi "Abenomics and What comes After" - youtu.be/a29FTJXYev0 'unable to share affluence' - income redistribution << marginal propensity to consume, 16% left out of society (poverty), lack of empathy & compassion. BOJ is single lender 2 gov. Career Politicians! Companies have no need 2 borrow/cant force banks 2 lend. //&! min52 Problem of rising long-term interest rates solved w BOJ debt monetisation = inflation (probable near future scenario). &! youtu.be/ArnLHTE0e1g &! youtu.be/wYtJ7Fyn9NA &! youtu.be/AbKeTeb-I_M
Japan  economic  history  lost  decade  lost  generation  ageing  population  demographic  bubble  culture  society  fiscal  stimulus  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  banking  crisis  Exportweltmeister  Germany  subsidies  subsidizing  distortion  asset  bubble  Abenomics  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  fiscal  policy  white  elephants  Richard  Koo  productivity  corporate  culture  corporate  governance  deflationary  deflation  crowding  out  Debt  Super  Cycle  BOJ  Yen  public  investment  productive  investment  stagnation  secular  stagnation  currency-war  currency  debasement  currency  war  ZIRP  QE  NIRP  liquidity  trap  monetary  transmission  mechanism  disinflation  inflation  expectation  inflation  targeting  Makers  Career  Politicians  savings  rate  savings  glut  policy  error  marginal  propensity  to  consume  poverty  trap  squeezed  middle  class  Sozialer  Abstieg  working  poor  precarious  work  inequality  Gini  coefficient  industrial  policy  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  income  growth  disposable  income  income  distribution  low  income  neoliberalism  neoliberal  part-time  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  underemployed  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomic  policy  JGB  bond  bubble  monetisation  monetization  structural  imbalance  faultlines  Impediments  excess  reserves 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Group of 20 Financial Leaders Agree to Act to Bolster Growth - The New York Times
Ms. Lagarde was even more explicit, making it clear that governments had for too long relied on the supply of cheap cash from central banks that have been running ultra-loose monetary policy. “Monetary policy alone will not cut it,” she said. “It is necessary, it is recommended from our perspective, particularly in Europe and in Japan still, but it will not cut it on its own. “Clearly in the fiscal sphere as well as in the structural reforms sphere, more needs to be done, and it needs to accompany and eventually take the baton from the central bank governors.”
Europe  IMF  UK  USA  western  world  Richard  Koo  recovery  fiscal  policy  fiscal  stimulus  long-term  view  long-term  thinking  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  industrial  policy  STEM  R&D  austerity  George  Osborne  ChristineLagarde  OECD  GFC  economic  history  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  liberal  economic  reform  Research  competitiveness  differentiate  differentiation  value  creation  added  value  Manufacturing  job  creation  Niedriglohnsektor  Service  Sector  Jobs  Future  of  Work  Smart  Grid  renewable  energy  business  investment  consumer  debt  household  debt  debtoverhang  monetary  policy  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  Germany  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  inequality  Gini  coefficient  education  policy  David  Cameron  dogma  ideology  academia  academics  Mark  Blyth  Joseph  Stiglitz  Robert  Reich  Paul  Krugman  wage  growth  income  growth  G20  wage  stagnation  secular  stagnation  globalisation  globalization  flat  world  borderless  competitive  competition  currency  war  currency-war  currency  debasement  Exportweltmeister  BRIC  credit  bubble  global  economy  global  trade  global  imbalances  faultlines  structural  imbalance  Impediments  American  Dream  economy  energy  energy  policy 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Soziale Gerechtigkeit und Wachstum: Deutschland mittelmäßig - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Wie gut gelingt es Staaten, eine nachhaltige Wirtschaftspolitik mit sozialer Gerechtigkeit zu vereinen? Deutschland landet in einer Studie des Weltwirtschaftsforums nur im Mittelfeld. Vor allem das Steuersystem schneidet schlecht ab. // &! bit.ly/1K7qKCb - Erbschaft!
Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  austerity  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  downward  mobility  inequality  gender  inequality  economic  growth  tax  free  income  kalte  Progression  coldprogression  Universal  Basic  Super  Rich  1%  Public  Services  Services  welfare  state  social  safety  net  OECD  IMF  Robert  Reich  Joseph  Stiglitz  Thomas  Piketty  tax  avoidance  tax  evasion  capital  gains  tax  income  tax  infrastructure  infrastructure  investment  commuting  chronic  stress  child  poverty  poverty  trap  food  poverty  well  being  happiness  index  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Workers  Union  precarious  work  Precariat  working  poor  minimum  wage  tax  credit  education  policy  underbanked  poverty  Sozialer  Abstieg  squeezed  middle  class  corporate  tax  rate  Privatisation  underinvestment  productive  investment  investment  Public  Good  Career  Politicians  short-term  long-term  competitiveness  globalisation  globalization  borderless  flat  world  job  security  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  tax  code  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  shared  economic  interest  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  Mittelstand  SME  SMB  Germany  society  culture  Gesellschaft  babyboomers  Millennials  generationy  bank  social  bail 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Bumper payouts for housebuilding executives as market booms | Business | The Guardian
Two of Britain’s largest housebuilders, Berkeley Group and Persimmon, could hand out about £1bn to their top executives and managers in pay and bonuses over the next six years, boosted by strong UK house prices and government-subsidies for home-buyers. Tony Pidgley, founder and executive chairman at Berkeley, is expected to face tough questions on Tuesday at the group’s shareholder meeting near its headquarters in leafy Cobham, Surrey, after it emerged last month that his pay package last year was worth £23.3m. [...] Meanwhile, executives at Persimmon, the UK’s largest housebuilder, also have a Berkeley-style incentive scheme that is one of the most generous to be found at a London stock market-listed firm. [...] Berkeley’s share price has risen more than 40% since the election of a Conservative government in May, [...] [bonuses] “entirely based on short-term performance”. [...] return on equity[.][ < KPI, what gets measured gets done ] &! bbc.in/1KE0jut - Barratt Homes profits +45%
social  housing  affordable  housing  CEO  pay  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  CEO  Leadership  housing  market  housing  crisis  generation  rent  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  UK  property  bubble  Supply  and  Demand  Demand  and  Supply  vested  interest  Tories  Conservative  Party  No  Representation  social  tension  social  cohesion  gentrification  Gentrified  austerity  2015  mortgage  market  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  hot-money  bonuses  bonus  transparency  accountability  crony  capitalism  shared  economic  interest  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  George  Osborne  babyboomers  David  Cameron  social  contract  political  theory  exploitation  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  oligopoly  oligopol  monopsony  cartel  antitrust  financial  incentive  Public  Good  underinvestment  investment  productive  investment  output  gap  productivity  commuting  infrastructure  investment  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  budget2015  policy  folly  policy  error  Makers  Public  short-term  long-term  living  standard  cost  of  living  cost  of  ownership  cost  of  entry  living  spaces  standard  of  living  living  environment  city  living  urban  planning  urbanisation 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Labour leadership races can change fast; interest rates, not so much | Business | The Guardian
The fact of the matter is that, while George Osborne is obsessed with shrinking the size of the public sector and causing hardship and misery, the real crisis in this country concerns not the size of the budget deficit, but the record peacetime balance-of-payments deficit of a whopping 6% of GDP. With this in mind, John Llewellyn and Russell Jones of Llewellyn Consulting have been urging the Bank to encourage the overvalued pound to fall towards more realistic levels, to avoid an almighty sterling crisis when the markets finally wake up to the real crisis in the British economy.
balance  of  payments  2015  budget2015  austerity  output  gap  productivity  household  debt  public  debt  private  debt  consumer  debt  UK  George  Osborne  short-term  Mark  Carney  BOE  ZIRP  QE  NIRP  bond  bubble  current  account  deficit  trade  deficit  structural  deficit  industrial  policy  STEM  Research  Manufacturing  energy  policy  energy  price  renewable  energy  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  Tories  Conservative  Party  Toff  Establishment  Privileged  asset  bubble  equity  bubble  property  bubble  reflate  reflation  fiscal  stimulus  fiscal  policy  Richard  Koo  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  underinvestment  productive  investment  public  investment  business  investment  business  confidence  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  secular  stagnation  deflationary  deflation  competitive  competition  competitiveness  globalization  globalisation  global  trade  added  value  value  creation  corporate  tax  rate  capital  gains  tax  inequality  Gini  coefficient  poverty  trap  child  poverty  social  mobility  income  mobility  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  economic  history  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Privatisation  pound 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Vince Cable: ‘Historically, the coalition will be seen as a success’ – interview | Politics | The Guardian
[A] look at the post-crash global economy, is the first fruit of that freedom. After toeing the line for five years, he can go public with his criticisms of chancellor George Osborne’s handling of the economy. He warns that the emphasis on consumption rather than investment, the continuing reliance on house price inflation as the driver of growth, the decline in productivity and innovation mean fundamental problems are not being addressed. He is also the first minister to lift the lid on the coalition: we learn the Tories could be likable colleagues but “collectively appalling, with ugly tribal prejudices”; that Osborne and David Cameron were unable “to move Theresa May an inch”; that Osborne’s Treasury effectively controlled government, with a hands-off Cameron; and that, in Cable’s view, Nick Clegg and Danny Alexander were too accepting of the Treasury line. [...] [ Cameron the PR man, being in office for the sake of just being in Office ] &! bit.ly/1KROBLk
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
EXCLUSIVE-China's AIIB to offer loans with fewer strings attached-sources | Agricultural Commodities | Reuters
Details of China’s new development bank were leaked. The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, China’s prospective challenger to the World Bank, will not ask borrowing nations to deregulate or to privatize businesses in order to obtain loans, sources told Reuters. That could make it more attractive to some borrowers than the World Bank—a concern for the US, which opposed the AIIB’s development. // http://qz.com/372326/all-the-countries-that-are-joining-chinas-alternative-to-the-world-bank/
World  Bank  AIIB  USA  China  national  interest  Europe  foreign  policy  foreign  affairs  infrastructure  investment  productive  investment  Asia  emerging  market  Developing  World  BRIC  Frontier  Markets  BIS 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Will Oil Cause the Next Recession? - Bloomberg View
[Private Sector could not drive recovery! Stupid. And rising (re-flating) asset prices like stocks did not inspire consumers. The reality on the ground is different than asset prices. Inflation targeting is a policy error in hindsight. Question is if policy makers (fiscal and monetary) as willing to admit this, or drag the world through another lost decade & generation!? ] Most forecasters believe consumers will spend the windfall, and thus boost the economy. But almost all of the savings from lower pump prices so far have been used to rebuild household assets and reduce debt. Consumers tend to increase their savings in tough times; they've been doing so during the six-year recovery, even as real wages and median household incomes remain flat. Lower oil prices, however, could come with a downside. As they work their way through the system, deflation could follow. Already, 10 of the 34 largest economies in the world have seen year-over-year declines in consumer prices. [
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Richard Duncan: The Real Risk Of A Coming Multi-Decade Global Depression - YouTube
50 year long debt super cycle & credit bubble up-held. Put. // hasnt created inflation because of Globalisation = deflationary! [3bn ppl living on $2/day] Collapse of marginal cost of labour, offsetting inflation pressure of QE/NIRP/credit creation last decades. // Will eventually haunt people back once globalisation has run its way in ~100-75 years & the world is actually flat. energy cost 0, marginal cost 0, economics of abundance. // // min 23 AND because of this deflationary pressure of globalisation, excess capacity, etc lead to wage stagnation & or pressure to work 4 less (Contractor, Werkvertrag, Zeitarbeit, self-employment, Zero Hour Contract, outsourcing) and longer, in western world. Leads inevitably 2 being pushed into recession & avoiding that authorities always pushed button 4 more credit. Credit growth prevented western world not 2 be pushed into recession in last decades. 2010 Private Sector cant drive recovery! Massive Gov stimulus needed +10 years, not austerity!
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
«Die Chinesen haben einen Plan – und das ist ein gewaltiger Vorteil» - watson
[ focus on productive investment in the future - is hard to get going, internal economic re-tooling - social safety net, pension, health care - so people have higher propensity to spend/consume. ] Das Seidenstrasse-Projekt [massive integration of Asia/Africa into its own future, non-dependent on western world!!!] ist – obwohl die Chinesen diesen Vergleich hassen – eine Art Marshallplan. Sie sagen den asiatischen Schwellenländern: Ihr könnt Kredite von unseren Entwicklungsfonds haben, und ihr kauft unsere Produkte. China braucht seine riesigen Dollarreserven, um dieses Projekt zu finanzieren. [...] Zeigen Sie mir einen Plan für Europa? Oder für die USA? Die Chinesen haben einen Plan, und allein das ist ein gewaltiger Vorteil. [ 21st century economy, STEM, research, added value, productive investment, high end manufacturing type of the future ie bio, gene stuff, 3D printing, knowledge economy, added value services by educated & skilled workforce, social mobility, sense of agency ]
AIIB  China  economic  history  2015  credit  bubble  deflationary  deflation  devaluation  currency-war  currency  war  currency  debasement  western  world  UK  USA  Europe  developed  world  Developing  BRIC  austerity  infrastructure  investment  productive  investment  business  investment  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  sovereign  debt  crisis  banking  crisis  21stcentury  public  investment  personal  investment  underinvestment  education  policy  Gini  coefficient  inequality  social  mobility  income  mobility  poverty  trap  status  quo  Career  Politicians  social  contract  lost  decade  lost  generation  recovery  GFC  budget2015  Frontier  Markets  emerging  middle  class  emerging  market  industrial  policy  Revolution  2.0  added  value  value  creation  STEM  Software  Is  Eating  The  knowledge  economy  secular  stagnation 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Steen Jakobsen: Get Ready For The Biggest Margin Call In History - YouTube
ideology/Career Politicians/Complacency/Cushy/non-ambitious/AIIB/comfortable //&! bit.ly/1cU2RVS March 2015, SELL & come back in 6 months - bloom.bg/1NTykGB //&! bit.ly/1NJvXai &! bit.ly/1VsYTEJ Outrageous predictions for 2015 were: China devalues yuan 20% [joining others in global struggle to import inflation] &! Corporate high yield market spreads double (higher refinancing cost, which zombie corporations do actually have no pants on as tide goes out) "High yield is a derivative of equity markets. If you believe equities are overvalued, so too is high yield," &! UK house prices crash (foreign hot money, speculative + shortage + Summer 2015 Crash + BOE Taper in 2015/16 = back to reality!) &! Russia defaults again // &! Fed Taper is a "margin call," [need 2 normalize despite its mandate/fundamentals not warranting a hike!] [...] a seven-year bull run 4 equities might be coming to an end [...] the rise (not value) of RMB/Yuan as it becomes free floating out of need] - cnb.cx/1MMyLSC
Abenomics  Yen  Yuan  RMB  devaluation  currency-war  fiat  currency  currency  debasement  currency  war  deflationary  deflation  credit  bubble  PBOC  China  credit  cycle  business  cycle  financial  cycle  financial  crisis  leverage  margin  trading  underinvestment  productive  investment  business  investment  public  investment  personal  investment  infrastructure  investment  rebalancing  structural  imbalance  Impediments  infrastructure  Career  Politicians  short-term  Fortune  500  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  Wall  Street  ROI  STEM  Research  R&D  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  New  Normal  hunt  for  yield  output  gap  productivity  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  Robotics  3D  printing  Steen  Jakobsen  financial  incentive  secular  stagnation  Manufacturing  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  policy  AIIB  Asia  European  Union  share  buyback  2015  equity  bubble  speculative  bubbles  bond  bubble  property  bubble  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  distortion  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  western  developed  liquidity  trap  UK  USA  Europe  BOE  Fed  BOJ  ECB  bank  bailout  toobigtofail  too  big  to  jail  too  big  to  bail  banking  crisis  sovereign  debt  crisis  austerity  ideology  dogma  economic  history  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Easy Money Creates the Most Dangerous Bubbles - Bloomberg View
[Money has been slushing arnd in markets speculating, not investing in future & productive, added value goods. big companies are flush 2. easy credit is holding zombie corps of the last century over water. western world is persisting 2 put a banking bailout/crisis in the light of a sovereign debt crisis 2 push idealogical austerity. falling way being, never be able 2 catch up with productivity, output gap, STEM, research, future of work, smart grid & infrastructure, retooling their economy 21st century style.] // "speculation in property markets, amplified by mortgage financing, as a persistent central factor driving economic cycles." [...] the worst bubbles -- those that inflict the most economic pain -- tend to involve not just speculation, but a surge in easy lending and increasing leverage. [...] economic downturns following credit bubbles were generally worse and lasted longer. [...] danger of leverage cycle. // [ easy credit & debt fuelled recovery of assets, not fundamentals ]
book  credit  bubble  liquidity  trap  Richard  Koo  economic  history  zombie  banks  Mark  Blyth  Paul  Krugman  Joseph  Stiglitz  business  confidence  business  investment  economic  damage  2015  faultlines  structural  imbalance  structural  unemployment  skills  gap  skill-biased  technological  change  education  policy  austerity  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  recovery  western  world  USA  UK  Europe  Germany  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  Smart  Grid  Software  Is  Eating  The  GFC  Career  Politicians  status  quo  social  contract  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  banking  crisis  TBTF  too  big  to  bail  too  big  to  jail  toobigtofail  financial  market  leverage  margin  trading  property  bubble  mortgage  market  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Impediments  distortion  economic  model  economic  cycle  financial  cycle  financial  crisis  financial  incentive  financial  repression  financial  literacy  ECB  Abenomics  BOJ  BOE  Fed  monetary  stimulus  macroprudential  policy  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  debtoverhang  BIS  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  PBOC  China  equity  bubble  speculative  bubbles  bond  bubble  debt  bubble  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  academia  academics  economic-thought  behavioral  economics  behavioral  finance  hubris  panic  consumer  confidence  confidence  trust  banking  investment  banking  distr 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Steve Keen on Education - YouTube
economy future relies on innovation. and if you check and monitor to death a system, and add bureaucracy on top of it, and low wages, and being under staffed and being over worked. and crowded, noisy class rooms (unable to spot talent and unable to sponsor). you can't have a prosperous future economy/generation with high social mobility. higher incomes. new industries. // oh and theyve cut research to nothing // oh and the creative digital industry is complaining, and added value industry is complaining about lack of qualified/skilled young workforce. // // UK will lose rest of its heavy industry because of energy prices it can't compete on world wide because it hasn't invested in the Smart Grid, energy storage systems, infrastructure, and renewable energy! Period. Budget2015 they cut all of renewable investment schemes and even had the audacity to put a carbon tax levy on it!
UK  education  policy  social  mobility  income  mobility  Gini  coefficient  STEM  University  College  vocational  education  apprenticeships  austerity  Tories  Conservative  Party  Toff  Establishment  Privileged  Research  knowledge  economy  knowledge  worker  skill-biased  technological  change  skills  gap  capital  skills  practical  skills  practical  skill  set  softskills  Fachkräftemangel  Millennials  generationy  entrepreneurship  entrepreneurial  social  entrepreneurship  capitalism  creative  destruction  disruption  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  Robotics  3D  printing  automotive  automation  self-driving  cars  autonomous  car  globalization  globalisation  borderless  flat  competitive  competition  competitive  advantage  competitiveness  public  investment  business  investment  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  long-term  view  short-term  view  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  social  contract  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  secular  stagnation 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
(2012/13) After the Financial Crisis: How to Tell the Forest from the Trees - YouTube
"Profits are privatized while losses are socialized. How we got here, and how we can get out of this situation." // min20 - UK debt2GDP 2008, +100% Debt on Banks Balance Sheet, ~100% Household Debt, +100% Nonfinancial institutional/corporate Debt, <50% Gov Debt ( bit.ly/1u6QiLP ) risen to <80% Gov Debt2GDP bc of Bank Bailout. ( gross national debt has been rising, unable to pay down because of lack of growth, turning Japan - bit.ly/1f7UNyp ) // It is still a banking crisis. Especially in Europe. Not a sovereign debt crisis. Greece situation made much worse because of austerity. // min 32 - talks about China! China's Assets and Liabilities. 70% of global consumption is US/EU. [but shifting!] From CDO example, China correlates with US/EU vice versa! Chinese property bubble & equity bubble, came 2 an end this Summer 2015! The crisis began w banks & will end w banks! The crisis is still with us. The banks, stupid! // investment banking bust bc of low yields across all public asset classes
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august 2015 by asterisk2a
The Draghi Put - YouTube
Draghi Put &! bit.ly/1fQ2lcq // &! bloom.bg/1Euf6peh // &! Mark Blyth Mackenzie Lecture 2015 – Austerity and the Politics of Money - youtu.be/B6vV8_uQmxs --- u cant make them lend (banks) 2 businesses (productive investment, closing productivity & output gap) particularly in a deflationary world with secular stagnation tendencies/signs, with non-existent inflation expectations! liquidity trap! dont get into higher growth path/gear! and infrastructure bonds (= Eurobond) on EU level wont help very much. !New Normal is lower yield avg across assets (public) & economic growth average p/a of abt 1.2-1.4% Add demographic bubble/ageing population = less consumerism, less disposable income/discretionary spending on aggregate, Piketty (book) removed technology as growth multiplier in some chapters & then you really come to <2% p/a long-run growth predictions for EU/western world. <2% growth p/a at >90% debt2gdp u have a problem! == Rechtsruck &or Anti-Austerity. Political tail-risk!
Draghi  Put  ECB  ELA  TLTRO  LTRO  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  liquidity  trap  distortion  bond  bubble  asset  bubble  equity  bubble  reflate  reflation  financial  repression  asset  allocation  speculative  bubbles  deflationary  deflation  inflation  expectation  inflation  targeting  MarioDraghi  monetary  transmission  mechanism  M3  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  monetary  theory  hot-money  hunt  for  yield  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  trust  devaluation  currency  debasement  currency-war  fiat  currency  trustagent  distrust  Richard  Koo  fiscal  stimulus  austerity  fiscal  policy  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  debt  servitude  Super  Cycle  Mark  Blyth  inequality  New  Normal  economic  history  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  output  gap  productivity  UK  Europe  Germany  PIIGSFB  zombie  banks  Thomas  Piketty  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  economic  growth  Rechtsruck  SNP  European  Election  2014  UKIP  AfD  NPD  Conservative  Party  Tories  Establishment  Privileged  babyboomers  Lügenpresse  manufactured  consent  PR  spin  doctor  propaganda  populism  Labour  Party  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  social  contract  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  poverty  Gini  poverty  policy  coef 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
International Focus - A History of Austerity - YouTube
fallacy of composition problem // short-term profit seeking and rent-seeking behaviour, underinvestment, no productive investment - especially long-term. // this underinvestment - public and private sector + market forces and technological progess will level the world and the China/Asia/LatAm rises up to the western world level while western world stays stagnant (loss of standard/quality of living competitively) because of being behind - software is eating the world, 3D printing, uncompetitive manufacturing and heavy industry/goods because of higher energy prices because of lack of investment in energy storage systems that are realized right now and backing off in investment in renewable energy and energy efficiency schemes (especially UK budget2015), automation, robotics, lack knowledge workforce to fill future digital/STEM/knowledge jobs, because of low social mobility, student debt, cuts in education - vocational - professional, as well as giving up on child poverty targets.
rent-seeking  austerity  economic  history  recovery  GFC  secular  stagnation  ideology  dogma  European  Union  UK  USA  2015  underinvestment  productive  investment  asset  allocation  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  hunt  for  yield  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  asset  bubble  speculative  bubbles  equity  bubble  bond  bubble  public  investment  infrastructure  investment  long-term  view  long-term  thinking  Career  Politicians  neoliberalism  neoliberal  No  Representation  academia  academics  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Troika  IMF  OECD  ChristineLagarde  Richard  Koo  Paul  Krugman  Robert  Reich  Joseph  Stiglitz  sovereign  debt  crisis  zombie  banks  TBTF  too  big  to  jail  toobigtofail  bank  bailout  NPL  ECB  Fed  BOE  fiscal  policy  Pact  Schuldenbremse  manufactured  consent  corporate  state  propaganda  corporate  media  populism  PR  spin  doctor  Eurogroup  EuroFin  democracy  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  social  contract  crony  capitalism  deregulation  self-regulation  regulation  regulators  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  revolving  door  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  lost  decade  lost  generation  western  world  Developing  developed  world  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  policy  in 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Is austerity working in Britain and Europe? - YouTube
youtu.be/YIg3Ls8UjMs - youtu.be/EpSmOBIZKus - (2014) The UK is having a moral disaster: Peter Hitchens on Britain's bleak future (talks about Conservative Party, Cameron is a PR man - exemplary Career Politician just wanting to be in office. out brake of riots in Summer 2011 similar to Brixton Riot "not being part of society", "multiculturalism is no culture" (shared identity and interest as nation) // --- // Chancellor defends austerity from Davos (2013) - youtu.be/nQZDDIVjbcM // (2015) Protesters gather after Queen's speech to 'fight austerity' - youtu.be/ERL0tEzVVqE // &! End Austerity March: thousands protest across the UK - youtu.be/-Yg8QaeBdNs
austerity  UK  economic  history  IMF  Greece  Tories  dogma  ideology  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Privatisation  Conservative  Party  Toff  Privileged  Establishment  Paul  Krugman  2015  Europe  Troika  Eurogroup  ECB  fiscal  policy  fiscal  stimulus  Pact  Schuldenbremse  GroKo  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  BOE  NIRP  ZIRP  QE  budget  deficit  underinvestment  productive  investment  productivity  output  gap  infrastructure  investment  STEM  deflationary  deflation  inflation  expectation  secular  stagnation  recovery  GFC  industrial  policy  Manufacturing  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  corporate  tax  rate  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  bank  bailout  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  technocrat  Public  Services  Social  Services  deprivation  poverty  trap  child  poverty  poverty  food  poverty  income  mobility  mobility  downward  mobility  budget2015  multiculturalism  identity  Gesellschaft  Zivilgesellschaft  civic  society  civic  life  civil  courage  society 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Paul Mason - is capitalism dead? | Guardian Live - YouTube
100 year process, this is the 21st century // when you define the problem you also define the solution, in most cases. from A to B. // capitalism has rent-seeking tendency. DRM and IP/intellectual property is rent-seeking. // --- need book what to do with post-capitalism tools, open source, open data, share economy, shared economic interest, transparency, political reform - voucher system (Larry Lessig). --- // biotech and gene and new age of medicine will replace hardware and proprietary software (already being displaced by open source) //
post-capitalism  crony  capitalism  monopoly  monopsony  Silicon  Valley  Wall  Street  Paul  Mason  rent-seeking  intellectual  property  Page  Rank  Google  Search  copyright  IP  intellectualproperty  DRM  Kindle  Amazon  Microsoft  Open  Source  Open  Data  civic  good  Public  civic  society  Share  Economy  proprietary  software  Karl  Marx  economic  history  shared  economic  interest  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  buyback  underinvestment  productive  investment  climate  change  interest  groups  vested  interest  interestgroups  fiduciary  responsibility  long-term  view  long-term  thinking  faultlines  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  Career  Politicians  social  contract  No  Representation  neoliberalism  neoliberal  exploitation  Gini  coefficient  Future  of  Work  Mobile  Creatives  knowledge  knowledge  worker  3D  printing  marginal  cost  economics  of  abundance  renewable  energy  commodity  business  commoditization  book  meritocracy  meritocratic  Gesellschaft  Zivilgesellschaft  Wegwerfgesellschaft  zombie  consumer  finite  resources  status  anxiety  identity  society  philosophy  sociology  social  cohesion  social  tension  inequality  income  mobility  social  mobility  4-day  week  leisure  tim 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Jeremy Corbyn wins economists’ backing for anti-austerity policies | Politics | The Guardian
In the letter to which David Blanchflower, a former member of the Bank of England’s monetary policy committee is a signatory, the economists write: “The accusation is widely made that Jeremy Corbyn and his supporters have moved to the extreme left on economic policy. But this is not supported by the candidate’s statements or policies. His opposition to austerity is actually mainstream economics, even backed by the conservative IMF. He aims to boost growth and prosperity.” // UK can't compete with energy rich countries - ie through rebuilding (through subsidies) its industrial and manufacturing sector - it has to add value through expert services, knowledge, digital, research to existing products goods and services that then can be re-sold across the world - high energy cost, expensive transport through lack of infrastructure of the future, and lack of in-pipeline educated mobile youngster, is a structural deficit.
neoliberalism  Jeremy  Corbyn  David  Cameron  Labour  Party  Conservative  Party  Tories  Toff  Privileged  Establishment  dogma  ideology  austerity  Privatisation  neoliberal  budget2015  recovery  public  investment  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  STEM  Research  digital  economy  knowledge  economy  differentiate  differentiation  IMF  OECD  global  economy  globalization  globalisation  borderless  flat  world  competitiveness  competitive  competition  competitive  advantage  current  account  deficit  trade  deficit  global  trade  trade  balance  Structural  Impediments  trickle-down  economics  economic  history  GFC  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  vocational  education  education  policy  social  mobility  income  mobility  Gini  coefficient  gender  inequality  inequality  professional  education  Future  of  Work  Software  Is  Eating  The  creative  destruction  added  value  value  creation  faultlines  working  poor  precarious  Precariat  squeezed  middle  class  deregulation  underemployed  unemployment  imbalance  subsidies  subsidizing  protectionism  Career  Politicians  Pivot  UK  economic  growth  economics  of  abundance  marginal  cost  energy  price  energy  policy  renewable  energy  Oil  price 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Pushback on Buybacks
Pushback on Buybacks: A closer look at the numbers indicates buybacks aren’t as good for the companies, the market, or investors as previously thought.
share  buyback  Wall  Street  underinvestment  productive  investment  long-term  short-term  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  dividends 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
'They Will Want To Bleed Him To Death': Owen Jones on Corbyn, Labour and the Future of the Left - YouTube
Jeremy Corbyn MP's response to the Tories 2015 Budget - youtu.be/ZxhQy6oDacg // &! The Corbyn Factor: Blair and Blairites panic, Labour in state of confusion - youtu.be/v__jsfY2fb8 // &! Laurie Penny on Jeremy Corbyn - can he take Labour forward? - youtu.be/LGL3wK27tmE // &! Owen Jones - London Rally: Jeremy Corbyn For Labour Leader 3.8.2015 - youtu.be/mFtC4td3NMc & youtu.be/8r78NcgvWEk // &! youtu.be/N7RAqAY_4c8 (1) low wages don't fund the gov budget - where is Tories industrial global competitive policy? They've slashed Research Funding! STEM, industrial and manufacturing policy, vocational and professional education, social mobility, knowledge and creative industry, digital economy (London's high cost do no help Start-ups!), Tories pro business policy is for the big and existing players, not for the future. // &! Jeremy Corbyn: ‘Labour cannot go on being Tory-lite’ - youtu.be/r6DX-wM5hR4 &! youtu.be/m1IUYlVR59k &! youtu.be/PPZKKHQ_-Gk &! youtu.be/vKv48n4MzII
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august 2015 by asterisk2a
El-Erian: This Is Not 1998 or 2008 - YouTube
it is a repricing. a correction. prices got too far away (reflation of equity & co through ZIRP, NIRP, QE, speeches, plus hunt for yield & FOMO). It just happened to be China being the trigger, the wake-up call - very loud wake-up call - bc of its economic size and heft. (taper talks 2015 that made equity already nervous, and bond holders too, was too timid). Reality check. // Was it justified, yes. // In the long-run, we are all dead. And in the long-run things will, eventually, correct itself. // People may take now into account a new normal, lower interest rate environment, lower global growth, lower yields, lower inflationary pressures, lower dividend payments, more work that corporates (crony capitalism) need to do to squeeze out that earnings growth especially in the western world. inequality - low wage growth/stagnation - less discretionary spending on non-essential items (in the western world). & "realization that policy tools were less effective". &! bv.ms/1NFsFUn
reflate  reflation  hunt  for  yield  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  asset  allocation  equity  bubble  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  secular  stagnation  New  Normal  asset  bubble  bubble  bond  bubble  bubbles  distortion  economic  history  trickle-down  economics  recovery  UK  USA  Europe  dogma  ideology  austerity  fiscal  policy  fiscal  stimulus  Richard  Koo  Japan  lost  decade  lost  generation  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  savings  rate  debtoverhang  debt  servitude  sovereign  debt  crisis  faultlines  Structural  Impediments  participation  rate  unemployment  imbalance  Makers  policy  error  policy  folly  macroprudential  policy  microeconomic  policy  monetary  policy  monetary  theory  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  system  STEM  industrial  policy  Manufacturing  competitiveness  globalisation  globalization  flat  world  commodity  business  commoditization  borderless  deflationary  deflation  Software  Is  Eating  The  Marketplace  mobile  homescreen  mobile  phone  mobile  first  Smartphone  Revolution  2.0  energy  price  Oil  price  inflation  expectation  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  productivity  output  gap  underinvestment  Gini  coefficient  inequality  income  mobility  social  mobility  productive  investment  IMF  OECD  developed  world  emerging  emerging  growth  investment  midd 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Crash bei Dax und Dow: Das war's mit Illusion Nummer drei - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Solange die Weltwirtschaft brummt, kann eine einzelne Volkswirtschaft ihre Währung so lange abwerten, bis sie wieder wettbewerbsfähig ist und der Aufschwung fast von alleine kommt. Globale Krisen funktionieren anders. Die Weltwirtschaft insgesamt kann nicht abwerten. Sie kann nur produktiver werden, aber nicht wettbewerbsfähiger. Da alle großen Wirtschaftsregionen der Welt - USA, Euroraum, Russland, China, Japan und Südostasien - ihre Mega-Krisen in den letzten zwei Jahrzehnten hatten, gibt es auch keinen Unversehrten mehr, der die Rolle einer weltwirtschaftlichen Lokomotive übernehmen könnte. Das Wachstum der Weltwirtschaft verlangsamt sich somit stetig. [...] Die fetten Jahre sind vorbei [...] [ Share buyback was hot in 2014/15 till now ] [...] Die Verschiebung der Macht von Arbeit zu Kapital schreitet nicht weiter fort. [ low interest rate environment bc low capital returns, new Millennials have to serve now this debt burden and can't hope to inflate it away. & stagnant wages! ]
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august 2015 by asterisk2a
US stocks nosedive in early trading amid collapse in global markets | Business | The Guardian
[ great reflation move since 09, finds another opportunity (this time because of China) to reflect. meaning to reassess reality. same with the collapse in emerging market, money going out of high yield & risk back to US/UK in hope of Taper and then came the hammer in form of China scare, people taking even more money out of emerging market/Chinas neighbours into the safe haven (perceived) that is the $/£/EUR market ] Dow dropped more than 1,000 points shortly after the markets opened, but it recovered slightly to be down 620 points, or 6%, shortly before 10am. Dow, which had suffered big falls last week, was trading below 16,000 at 10am – the first time it has been below that level since February 2014. The index is 14% below its record peak in May, putting the Dow firmly into “correction” territory – Wall Street jargon for a drop of 10% or more from a recent peak. &! bit.ly/1EQ31Fn &! bit.ly/1F1zPue - Summers argued for fiscal stimulus, debate about secular stagnation.
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august 2015 by asterisk2a
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