asterisk2a + printing + imbalance   4

Maybe This Global Slowdown Is Different - Bloomberg View
[ warren buffet investing in america because he sees the long-term outcome of Globalisation (first was incredible pain and then a flat and then a normalisation). He is buying at the bottom of normalisation period. A truly flat, borderless world in next 20-30 years. Where USA is energy competitive with high skilled labour and top notch STEM, Research and R&D through its edu/colleges/university departments. Able to effectively compete. And also lobby for subsidies, gov contracts (ie defense, infrastructure! which will have to be replaced to the tune of trillions), effective tax avoidance & evasion. ] // Building global supply chains became so fashionable for Western manufacturers that they built them even when it made sense to keep production closer to customers; now they're retrenching and revising their approach.
warrenbuffet  USA  economic  history  globalisation  globalization  borderless  flat  world  competitive  competition  competitiveness  competitive  advantage  marginal  cost  economics  of  abundance  energy  price  renewable  energy  STEM  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  infrastructure  investment  western  world  Smart  Grid  deflationary  deflation  secular  stagnation  global  trade  global  economy  global  imbalances  faultlines  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  R&D  Research  digital  economy  knowledge  economy  Future  of  Work  Mobile  Creatives  Software  Is  Eating  The  3D  printing  Robotics  automation  GFC  recovery  long-term  view  long-term  added  value  value  creation  differentiate  differentiation  energy  efficiency  energy  policy 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Steen Jakobsen: Get Ready For The Biggest Margin Call In History - YouTube
ideology/Career Politicians/Complacency/Cushy/non-ambitious/AIIB/comfortable //&! bit.ly/1cU2RVS March 2015, SELL & come back in 6 months - bloom.bg/1NTykGB //&! bit.ly/1NJvXai &! bit.ly/1VsYTEJ Outrageous predictions for 2015 were: China devalues yuan 20% [joining others in global struggle to import inflation] &! Corporate high yield market spreads double (higher refinancing cost, which zombie corporations do actually have no pants on as tide goes out) "High yield is a derivative of equity markets. If you believe equities are overvalued, so too is high yield," &! UK house prices crash (foreign hot money, speculative + shortage + Summer 2015 Crash + BOE Taper in 2015/16 = back to reality!) &! Russia defaults again // &! Fed Taper is a "margin call," [need 2 normalize despite its mandate/fundamentals not warranting a hike!] [...] a seven-year bull run 4 equities might be coming to an end [...] the rise (not value) of RMB/Yuan as it becomes free floating out of need] - cnb.cx/1MMyLSC
Abenomics  Yen  Yuan  RMB  devaluation  currency-war  fiat  currency  currency  debasement  currency  war  deflationary  deflation  credit  bubble  PBOC  China  credit  cycle  business  cycle  financial  cycle  financial  crisis  leverage  margin  trading  underinvestment  productive  investment  business  investment  public  investment  personal  investment  infrastructure  investment  rebalancing  structural  imbalance  Impediments  infrastructure  Career  Politicians  short-term  Fortune  500  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  Wall  Street  ROI  STEM  Research  R&D  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  New  Normal  hunt  for  yield  output  gap  productivity  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  Robotics  3D  printing  Steen  Jakobsen  financial  incentive  secular  stagnation  Manufacturing  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  policy  AIIB  Asia  European  Union  share  buyback  2015  equity  bubble  speculative  bubbles  bond  bubble  property  bubble  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  distortion  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  western  developed  liquidity  trap  UK  USA  Europe  BOE  Fed  BOJ  ECB  bank  bailout  toobigtofail  too  big  to  jail  too  big  to  bail  banking  crisis  sovereign  debt  crisis  austerity  ideology  dogma  economic  history  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Japan Exports Its Way to Irrelevance - Bloomberg View
[ Politicians as always will react with reactionary unimaginative policy, competing for the same pie. instead of enabling, supporting new pies to be created. ] But Abe needs to recognize, as China already has, that this is only the latest sign of a broader reality: Asia's old export model of economic growth no longer works. [...] All the stimulus BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda can muster won't change the worsening trajectory of the region's most-populous nation. That's why Abe needs to take a page from Beijing and focus more on creating new industries at home. [ the base of home grown new market/category/vertical also includes sound middle class to buy those products. demand at home. social safety net (security). and less inequality. progressive taxation. fight tax evasion/avoidance, monopoles, monopsonies, bribery, corruption. and politicians making policy for lobby. ]
Germany  Exportweltmeister  Japan  China  India  Latin  America  competitive  competition  competitiveness  flat  world  borderless  globalization  globalisation  differentiate  differentiation  Abenomics  economic  history  IMF  OECD  global  economy  global  trade  Future  of  Work  Universal  Basic  Income  tax  free  Mobile  Creatives  Mobile  Creative  3D  printing  Software  Is  Eating  The  Robotics  automation  ownership  cost  of  ownership  Millennials  consumerist  consumerism  Frontier  Markets  Developing  western  world  UK  USA  Europe  secular  stagnation  developed  world  current  account  deficit  lohndumping  Lohnzurückhaltung  liberal  economic  reform  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  technological  progress  biotechnologie  biotechnology  on-demand  convenience  marketplace  efficiencies  commodity  business  commoditization  deflationary  deflation  21stcentury  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  policy  error  policy  folly  inequality  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  mobility  squeezed  middle  class  complexity  Supply  and  Demand  Demand  and  Supply  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  hunt  for  yield  currency  currency  policy  policy  w 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Bayern: McKinsey sieht bis zu 40 Prozent der Jobs bedroht - SPIEGEL ONLINE
40 Prozent der Jobs im Freistaat befinden sich demnach in einer "Gefährdungszone". Der Grund: Sie seien von den Folgen der Digitalisierung und weiteren Strukturbrüchen betroffen. Eine der Kernthesen der Untersuchung lautet, dass die klassischen volkswirtschaftlichen Parameter, in denen Bayern gut abschneidet (etwa Bruttoinlandsprodukt, Produktivität, Arbeitslosenquote), nur bedingt als Zukunftsindikatoren geeignet seien. Sie würden "lediglich den Erfolg der Vergangenheit bewerten", so McKinsey. In dem Bericht werden deshalb andere Kennzahlen herangezogen: Stabilität (u.a. Einkommensverteilung), Innovation (u.a. Bildungsqualität und Start-up-Quote), Diversität (Integrationsindex, Bildungsmobiliät), Internetzugang, Nachhaltigkeit (Gesundheits- und Vorsorgequalität, Ressourcenproduktivität). // Economic Indicators are about the past! Period. Wall Street cottage industry of economic forecasters.
Berlin  Start-Up  Scene  Europe  Start-Up  Scene  Gini  coefficient  inequality  income  inequality  Germany  SMB  industrial  policy  innovation  disrupting  markets  disruption  Exportweltmeister  China  BRIC  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  Career  Politicians  Makers  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  policy  folly  policy  error  Manufacturing  3D  printing  algorithm  Robotics  automation  Share  Economy  Services  Industry  Niedriglohnsektor  service  service  flat  education  policy  social  mobility  income  mobility  diversity  immigration  demographic  bubble  ecological  disaster  environmental  disaster  productivity  efficiency  public  health  public  health  policy  chronic  diseases  sick  population  faultlines  structural  imbalance  Impediments  structural  unemployment  youth  unemployment  lost  decade  lost  generation  Fiscal  Pact  infrastructure  investment  business  investment  business  confidence  sovereign  debt  crisis  PIGS  austerity  Schuldenbremse  Angela  Merkel  GroKo  Wolfgang  Schäuble  economic  history  Silicon  Valley  Year  of  Code  STEM  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  Mittelstand  SME  borderless  competitive  competitiveness  competition  ecosystem  Mobile  Creatives  Mobile  Creative  Future  of  Work 
april 2015 by asterisk2a

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