asterisk2a + microeconomic   124

Stocks are up. But it appears to us that the U.S. economy is going down. Go figure.
velocity is at 57yr low - WOW! the money that is in circulation is in less hands! the econ expanded according to GDP, but less and less $ reach on avg each hand. - "This is serious. The velocity of money tracks how often each dollar is used to buy something in the economy. Falling velocity shows that consumers and business are pulling back… becoming more reluctant to spend and invest… downsizing… and holding onto dollars rather than spending them. This has a similar effect as reducing the supply of money bidding for goods and services. Prices drop. Deflation, in other words. The bubble has developed a leak. The hot air is gushing out." //&! bit.ly/1MOxc9A //&! research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/M2V &! pieria.co.uk/articles/getting_things_wrong_federal_reserve_style - it is associated with stagnant NGDP [...] demand problem.
monetary  velocity  liquidity  trap  Richard  Koo  nominal  GDP  targeting  GDP  measurement  GDP  recovery  reflate  reflation  economic  history  money  supply  Fed  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Gini  coefficient  inequality  economic  harm  economic  damage  GFC  crony  capitalism  shareholder  capitalism  Greed  profit  maximisation  profit  maximization  squeezed  middle  class  Elizabeth  Warren  Joseph  Stiglitz  Paul  Krugman  Robert  Reich  Thomas  Piketty  2016  UK  USA  secular  stagnation  Pact  fiscal  stimulus  austerity  Schuldenbremse  social  mobility  income  mobility  working  poor  Precariat  low  pay  low  income  Service  Sector  Jobs  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  self-employment  inflation  targeting  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomic  policy  Super  Rich  1%  plutocracy  oligarchy  capitalism  capitalism  in  crisis  self-regulation  book  shareholder  value  Wall  Street  meritocracy  meritocratic  post-racial  America  barackobama  Larry  Summers  Bernie  Sanders  Establishment  Privileged  deregulation  bank  bailout  social  safety  net  welfare  state  aggregate  demand 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
The economics of Brexit – Politics Weekly podcast
Leave Campaign, so far, has failed to assure voters that we get through the quiet possible tubulences and uncertainty unharmed severely after 1-2 years. [ economic forecasts/predictions are Wall Streets cottage industry ] Brexit for sure would throw Osbornes plan for a surplus in 2020. ... brexit is about less regulation free trade low tariffs, 'get off the back of our City [London bank regulation]' [low tax, higher pay] George Osborne ... // banks have not voiced their voice loudly because that would be seen by people who bailed them out to tune of doubling the deficit, and still own bank shares ie loyds. it could be seen disingenuous, outrageous, as we are still in doldrums, paying off their debt, and suffering through austerity where the most vulnerable are cut away from society.
Brexit  George  Osborne  economic  damage  economic  growth  economic  security  economic  slack  economic  slowdown  economic  harm  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  trade  agreement  free  trade  regulation  David  Cameron  Whitehall  Westminster  economic  forecast  Wall  Street  European  Union  Career  Politicians  EEA  free  movement  of  people  immigration  migration  austerity  general  election  2020  general  election  2015  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  neoclassical  economics  neoliberal  neoliberalism  Chicago  School  trickle-down  economics  self-regulation  deregulation  regulators  MervynKing  Mark  Carney  BOE  IMF  retail  banking  investment  banking  City  of  London  bank  bailout  GFC 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Pascal Lamy: Gove is 'pie in the sky' on Brexit - BBC Newsnight
Trade w europe may be currently shrinking (eu 'crisis'), but how much negotiation lever do you have as UK vs Europe (one single market/consumer!?) That is what Daniel Hannan does not highlight, the leverage of size to access, in negotiations with other countries. [...] 'trade negotiations are so long because they are so tough' [...] what will the UK have to give up, to gain access to foreign markets for their measly 20% of the whole economy (production, ie also house building, not just export/manufacturing)!? (2015, 80% of UK GDP growth consisted of consumption). Competing with much more competitive industry now! ( ie Cars. Ford's new plant in Mexico/Latin America ...) [...] "You can not exit and keep the benefits while you were in!" //&! >> What kind of trade deal could we get if we left the EU? - youtu.be/Pj9nPncM61M &! youtu.be/r8MiUI2eN6c
Brexit  free  trade  trade  agreement  TTIP  TTP  CETA  NAFTA  FDI  foreign  direct  investment  trade  deficit  current  account  deficit  Manufacturing  industrial  policy  policy  folly  policy  error  energy  policy  Steel  Industry  Steel  Crisis  competition  competitive  competitiveness  competitive  advantage  comparative  advantage  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Future of Steel - Ken Clarke & Paul Mason - BBC Newsnight
[TORIES CRISIS: bedroom tax, JSA sanctions killing people, Food Banks, redefining child poverty and fuel poverty, Independent Living Fund closed, Housing Crisis, tax cut defeat in Lords, mental health, NHS strikes, Hinkley Point C, energy prices, London Airport expansion/3rd runway, ESA cut, PIP cut and resignation of IDS, Brexit splitting the Party, shit world economy, can't touch triple-lock pensions, Academy plans, Panama Papers (British Territory: Bahamas, Cayman & Co).] Now - Tories are victims to their own policy of underinvestment since 2010 of a future-proof economy "long-term predictability" [BREXIT & austerity not predictable]. Energy prices too high, not competitive. Manufacturing never recovered. Monetary policy has run its course (sedative + Chinas credit bubble). policy folly now wholly exposed! AND now they tinker with the idea of picking winners! LOL! nationalising or part-nationalising through guarantees or subsidies on energy price. & youtu.be/QJw24Z-cEoQ
underinvestment  austerity  Smart  Grid  energy  policy  energy  price  competitive  advantage  competitive  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  budget2010  budget2015  Budget2016  Manufacturing  current  account  deficit  budget  deficit  trade  deficit  TPP  AIIB  World  Bank  China  BRIC  commodity  prices  heavy  industry  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomic  policy  macroprudential  policy  Mark  Carney  education  policy  skills  gap  skill  gap  skill  investment  apprenticeship  further  education  immigration  migration  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  NIRP  ZIRP  QE  recovery  output  gap  productivity  productivity  gap  Service  Sector  Jobs  job  creation  labour  market  job  market  DWP  Iain  Duncan  Smith  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  Manifesto  corporate  restructuring  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  corporate  subsidies  Privatisation  Nationalization  Nationalisation  constituency  Party  Funding  general  election  2020  IMF  OECD  policy  folly  policy  error  global  economy  credit  bubble  Germany  Hinkley  Point  C  renewable  energy  energy  storage  job  creation  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Mark  Carney  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  property  bubble  rent-seeking  rentier  liquidity-trap  liquidity  trap  Housing  Crisis  Help  to  Save  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Right  to  Buy  Buy-to-Let 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Workers or Shirkers? Ian Hislop's Victorian Benefits
An entertaining, provocative film in which Ian explores the colourful history behind one of the most explosive issues of our times - welfare: who deserves to be helped, and who doesn't. [... ] all hate, no heart. just spreadsheets. at Whitehall, no 11. [...] Benefit Street = victorian freak show/circus of curiosities [...] writing about others, "othering" them. demonising them or putting them on pedestals, making them saints. [...] IDS "a single mother wo aspiration is a product of the system" would correct that, a product of her environment (society) [ie gentrification - poor living w poor door to door. and everyone is looking down on them.].
Universal  Basic  Income  class  warfare  poverty  trap  child  poverty  tax  credit  tax  free  austerity  DWP  Iain  Duncan  Smith  ESA  JSA  WCA  Disabled  vulnerable  mental  health  civil  society  Gesellschaft  Gesellschaftswerte  substance  abuse  self-medication  deprivation  structural  unemployment  poverty  drug  addiction  drug  abuse  Public  Services  Social  Services  NHS  sick  population  capitalism  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  Soziale  Gerechtigkeit  society  moral  beliefs  ethics  philosophy  Universal  working  poor  low  pay  low  Precariat  precarious  work  mobility  mobility  education  policy  Gini  coefficient  economic  history  Super  Rich  1%  Establishment  Privileged  Toff  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  squeezed  middle  class  class-warfare  Sozialpolitik  Integrationspolitik  immigration  migration  UK  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomic  policy  meritocracy  meritocratic  stigma  Food  Bank  crony  capitalism  bailout  corporate  welfare  tax  evasion  tax  amnesty  tax  avoidance  shareholder  capitalism  lobby  revolving  door  ladder  Service  Sector  Jobs  aggregate  demand  fairness  Zero  Hour  Contract  part-time  incentive  self-employment  Contractor  working  class  Trade  Union  neoliberal  neoliberalism  Workers  Rights  Workers  Union  economic  justice  economic  tax  welfare  welfare  poverty  education  oppo 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Tyler Cowen: "The Great Stagnation", Michael Vassar & Cowen Debate at Singularity Summit 2011
gains are harder to come by! low hanging fruit gone. [...] VISION IS NEEDED TO GET THE JOB DONE.
secular  stagnation  western  world  underinvestment  R&D  R&D  innovation  Innovators  Dilemma  rentier  rent-seeking  oligopol  oligopoly  winner  take  all  babyboomers  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  austerity  triple-lock  pension  pension  obligation  recovery  Super  Rich  1%  plutocracy  oligarchy  No  Representation  lobby  Career  Politicians  OAP  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  sick  population  health  crisis  economic  damage  climate  crisis  climate  change  global  warming  productivity  gap  output  gap  GDP  measurement  GNP  nominal  GDP  targeting  inflation  targeting  BRIC  creative  destruction  Mobile  Debt  Super  Cycle  servitude  servicing  service  income  tax  receipts  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Moore's  Law  COP21  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  OECD  IMF  crony  capitalism  Privileged  Establishment  shareholder  capitalism  profit  maximisation  profit  maximization  shareholder  value  revolving  door  Wall  Street  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  disposable  income  trickle-down  economics  neoliberal  neoliberalism  discretionary  spending  renewable  energy  infrastructure  investment  Smart  Grid  AI  artificial  intelligence  augmented  intelligence  Autonomous  Cars  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  New  stagnation 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Sustainability or Prosperity? Why Not Both? | PolicyCast
describes the rapidly growing field of sustainability science, which combines a variety of disciplines in both the hard and social sciences to find paths towards a sustainable future. //&! Book Pursuing Sustainability: A Guide to the Science and Practice – (2016) by Pamela Matson, William C. Clark, Krister Andersson. //&! http://www.hks.harvard.edu/news-events/publications/insight/international/william-clark &! https://scholar.google.co.uk/citations?user=LkLCmQwAAAAJ&hl=en &! http://earthsky.org/human-world/william-c-clark-defines-sustainable-development &! Jeffrey Sachs - Global Cooperation and Sustainable Development - youtu.be/cRWtRh3yLI0 &! "Common Wealth: Economics for a Crowded Planet." - youtu.be/n3kzzVP2c7w &! Jeffrey Sachs: "The Price of Civilization" - youtu.be/_G6SYmQ0swg - profoundly underestimated globalization's long-term effects: jobs, incomes, poverty, and the environment.
sustainability  sustainable  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  underinvestment  public  health  global  warming  economic  damage  GDP  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  extreme  weather  weather  extreme  unknown  unknowns  unintended  consequences  crony  capitalism  shareholder  capitalism  Wall  Street  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  air  pollution  water  pollution  noise  pollution  pollution  mass  extinction  ecological  damage  environmental  damage  livestock  farming  industrial  agriculture  policy  folly  short-term  thinking  short-termism  short-term  view  social  value  policy  error  ecological  footprint  carbonfootprint  deforestation  soil  erosion  climate  change  climate  crisis  book  society  Wertegesellschaft  Wegwerfgesellschaft  Jeffrey  Sachs  Movement  environmental  disaster  environment  environmentalism  resource  depletion  finite  resources  Pesticides  fungicide  herbicide  colony  collapse  disorder  Great  Pacific  Garbage  Patch  Great  Barrier  Reef  drought  Ozone  politician  Fossil  fuel  industry  Food  Politics  carbon  tax  COP21  planning  law  building  code  renewable  energy  energy  policy 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Public Investment Payoff Not Necessarily About Efficiency
electrification of public rail - reduce emissions and improve public health (health hazard of diesel train engines proven - for passengers and residents). also improve public health - people ditching their cars! // 8:40 each additional public capital investment might be less valuable after the first road to the sea port. but that does not factor in types and public health and safety. road vs train. diesel train vs electric train. slow train vs faster electric magnetic safe low maintenance train w auto pilot (augmented intelligence). less public health risks, less health hazard, more public safety = less economic damage through a less sicker population (health care cost, health care demand, less work hours lost, higher productivity - healthy, happy people) but micro and macro economists do not put this into their GDP - well being, happiness, public health. // beijings hazardous hair will prove to be hughe economic cost (public health) down the road (chronic pulmonary conditions and cancer = lower productivity, lower discretionary spending because of spending goes to medicine and medical care and down the road leads to old age poverty for some if not the family).
underinvestment  public  investment  austerity  infrastructure  investment  infrastructure  productivity  productivity  gap  productive  investment  rentier  rent-seeking  commute  commuter  commuting  well  being  public  health  UK  Fossil  fuel  industry  fuel  public  health  policy  Richard  Koo  economic  history  recovery  dogma  ideology  free  market  neoliberal  neoliberalism  microeconomic  policy  added  value  USA  investment  spending  R&D  nominal  GDP  targeting  GDP  George  Osborne  output  gap  public  capital  ROI 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
'Graph of Doom' warning to Highland councillors
deprived areas have low tax base to fund welfare and social care, and w demographic bubble, less income tax receipts. this is a double whammy to fund demand of babyboomers. // In a paper to councillors, officers quote research such as a London borough council's "Graph of Doom" showing the effect of spending cuts on services.
The Highland officials also make reference to political commentators describing a period of "perma-austerity" for local government.
They recommend that the council reviews its priorities.
demographic  bubble  OAP  adult  social  care  deprivation  microeconomic  policy  child  care  education  policy  elderly  care  NHS  sick  population  health  crisis  chronic  diseases  income  tax  receipts  HMRC  austerity  UK  babyboomers  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  pension  obligation  Public  Services  Services  secular  stagnation  western  world  Europe  economic  history  Super  Rich  1%  plutocracy  oligarchy  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  tax  credit  Disabled  vulnerable  welfare  reform  welfare  state  social  safety  net  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Smith  Commission  Fiscal  Framework  SNP  Nicola  Sturgeon  GP  NHS  Scotland  health  inequality  post  code  lottery  budget  deficit  Council 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Keiser Report: Sovietization of capitalism (E723) - YouTube
BIS 100% of private debt and finance sector larger than 3.9% of economy bad ... and siphoning off talent from more productive fields of work. And finance favours lending to property and land (low productivity). [...] financial products (derivatives) do not help economy. is just a financial product, fee collection. rentier! rent-seeking behaviour! fees fees fees. (JP Morgan, 89% of profits, see interview) [...] QE reflated asset prices/share prices! // In the second half, Max interviews David Graeber about his new book, The Utopia of Rules: On Technology, Stupidity and the Secret Joys of Bureaucracy.
private  debt  consumer  debt  household  debt  BIS  Wall  Street  recovery  zombie  banks  car  loan  credit  card  debt  student  loan  debt  student  loan  Bubble  student  debt  economic  history  GFC  secular  stagnation  UK  City  of  London  USA  investment  banking  retail  banking  BOE  Fed  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  property  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  productivity  output  gap  austerity  George  Osborne  dogma  ideology  constituency  Party  Funding  vested  interest  interest  groups  mortgage  market  Housing  Crisis  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Help  to  Save  Funding  for  Lending  Scheme  Right  to  Buy  Buy-to-Let  subsidies  subsidizing  derivatives  financial  product  rent-seeking  rentier  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  reflate  reflation  Mark  Carney  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Richard  Koo  book  David  Graeber  MervynKing 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
George Osborne warns of further spending cuts in Budget - BBC News
[ LOL! ] But recent figures showing the UK economy was smaller than expected meant savings must be found in his Budget statement on 17 March, he said. [...] Mr Osborne said he would rather look for extra cuts now than risk breaking his own manifesto commitment to achieve a surplus in the budget by the end of this Parliament. The chancellor did not completely rule out raising taxes in the event of a further slowdown in growth, but said that now was not the time for "significant" tax hikes. [...] I'm absolutely clear we've got to root our country in the principle that we live within our means and that we have economic security." [...] "whole purpose of our economic plan was to have a budget surplus. [...] we got big challenges at home to make the economy more productive even as more people get work. [ because having part of your budget in the property bubble is so productive ] [...] I will do what is required to keep our country safe and secure." [ NOT CHANGING PLANS ie U-TURN ]
UK  secular  stagnation  austerity  Richard  Koo  Japan  economic  history  dogma  ideology  IMF  OECD  ChristineLagarde  economists  Paul  Krugman  Joseph  Stiglitz  Robert  Reich  David  Cameron  Tories  nasty  party  recovery  aggregate  demand  Conservative  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Mark  Carney  BOE  City  of  London  HMRC  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  self-employment  corporate  tax  rate  Service  Sector  Jobs  working  poor  multiplier  precarious  work  Precariat  low  pay  low  income  tax  credit  housing  benefit  income-based  JSA  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  wage  stagnation  stagnation  DWP  Iain  Duncan  Smith  skills  gap  STEM  productivity  output  gap  Manufacturing  industrial  policy  neoliberalism  neoliberal  trickle-down  economics  Chicago  School  JohnMaynardKeynes  keynes  Keynesianism  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  European  Union  property  bubble  apprenticeships  value  creation  added  value  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  competitiveness  marginal  cost  energy  price  energy  policy  Hinkley  Point  C  nuclear  power  nuclear  waste  subsidies  subsidizing  corporate  welfare  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbyin 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Thousands told their pension savings could be at risk - BBC News
[ fees ] It follows fears that dozens of companies providing auto enrolment pensions are too small to survive. The BBC has also uncovered evidence that employers and workers are being deliberately misled by some providers. The government said it was aware of the issue, and was planning to take action. Independent experts claim the problem could affect up to a quarter of a million people a year who are putting their savings into so-called master trust pensions. Such schemes are popular with the 1.8 million small employers with fewer than 30 staff who are currently signing up under the auto enrolment programme. "There is a risk of these schemes falling over; there is a risk that members might lose their money," said Andrew Warwick Thompson, executive director for regulatory policy at the Pensions Regulator. However, he said scheme assets invested through asset managers regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) would be safe. This will be "the vast majority of cases", he said.
Tories  Privatisation  self-regulation  regulation  speculation  speculative  retirement  401k  pension  scheme  pension  obligation  pension  fund  public  pension  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  DWP  Iain  Duncan  Smith  Toff  Privileged  Establishment  Whitehall  Westminster  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  dogma  ideology  microeconomic  policy  labour  market  Conservative  Party  nasty  secular  stagnation  Generationengerechtigkeit  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  Millennials  generationy  generationx  babyboomers  City  of  London  GFC  oversight  Bank  FCA  Greed  regulators  trust  free  market  neoliberalism  neoliberal  policy  error  policy  folly  HMRC 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Dispatches - Low Pay Britain - All 4
living wage starts from 21? 25? // retail big! high street big! - service sector. no manufacturing ... // IT IS CORPORATE SUBSIDY - PROGRAM FOR LOW PAY! // very far from Germay model! // tax payer pays for people in high street! // Ofsted found inadequate conditions! AND SMALL MINORITY GET ACTUALLY A FULL-TIME JOB! LOL LOL LOL! // Social Market Foundation (research) found lvl2 apprenticeship adds nothing to purse over a lifetime. // its DWP policy to get young people off the paper onto other paper largely, still funded, by the gov - still adding to budget deficit. // Ofsted concerned over apprenticeships "wasting public funds" // WHAT A TORY SPIN! // retail places have shot up, and construction plummeted! the latter is harder or put through training providers ( private companies, PRIVATISATION! ). employers are not in charge. to quote one employee of a training provider "meet targets, get money in" its about the # of apprenticeships, not the quality or economic need/industry. //
apprenticeships  exploitation  Workers  Union  Trade  Union  working  poor  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  precarious  work  Precariat  self-regulation  minimum  wage  living  wage  low  pay  low  income  welfare  state  social  safety  net  working  tax  credit  tax  credit  housing  benefit  Iain  Duncan  Smith  DWP  spin  doctor  Positioning  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  Service  Sector  Jobs  job  creation  youth  unemployment  policy  folly  policy  error  education  policy  PR  David  Cameron  George  Osborne  industrial  policy  STEM  Manufacturing  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomic  policy  recovery  GFC  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  corporate  scandal  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  budget  deficit  Fachkräftemangel  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  Ofsted  skills  gap  budget2015  free  market  Privatisation  dogma  ideology 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Warning over plan to extend nursery free hours - BBC News
[ expect something from nothing ] Fewer than half of nurseries will be able to offer extended free childcare planned by the government, the National Day Nurseries Association has warned. [...] "But the nursery sector is reluctant to commit to offering more free hours when they already make a significant annual loss - an average of £34,000 per nursery - on the funded places they currently provide." [...] But education and childcare minister Sam Gyimah said:
child  care  austerity  UK  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  education  policy  microeconomic  policy  David  Cameron  George  Osborne  Nicky  Morgan  Michael  Gove  Ofsted  Sam  Gyimah 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Rural schools failing poor children compared to inner city - BBC News
[ higher tax base, higher spend / lower tax base, lower spend. there have to be subsidies for poorer areas to get quality teachers and the numbers # and up to standard school rooms. // South UK and rest UK difference. ] According to the 2015 figures from Ofsted, the schools regulator, 45% of pupils in Birmingham from poorer backgrounds achieved five GCSEs, grades A*- C, including English and maths. That compared with 35% in Worcestershire and 32% in Shropshire. Laura Fitzjohn, from Ofsted, said councils were shocked when shown the figures, and realised there was more they could do to improve the situation. //&! Children with poor language skills at age five are significantly more likely to struggle with maths at age 11, a study for Save the Children suggests. - bbc.in/1RNG1kd
Ofsted  education  policy  post  code  lottery  poverty  trap  child  poverty  poverty  deprivation  austerity  Council  microeconomic  policy  George  Osborne  Nicky  Morgan  Michael  Gove  David  Cameron  underinvestment  STEM  Tories  nasty  party  Conservative  Whitehall  Westminster  Toff  Privileged  Establishment  child  care  child  tax  credit  tax  credit  Precariat  working  poor  part-time  single  mum  low  pay  low  income  minimum  wage  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  DWP  food  poverty  chronic  stress  constituency  Funding  PR  spin  doctor  Positioning  language  skills  skills  gap  skills  pre-school  Gini  coefficient  income  mobility  social  mobility  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  meritocracy  meritocratic  health  inequality  income  inequality  income  distribution 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Norway seeks to diversify its economy as oil earnings plunge - BBC News
As oil prices have collapsed, it's become clear that Norway has caught what used to be called the Dutch disease - an overreliance on one industry, in this case the oil and gas sector. With its upmarket waterfront restaurants and the Barcode office blocks, the Sorenga dockside development serves as a poignant reminder of how prosperous Norway had become while the going was still good. [...] Unbalanced economy [...] "The oil and gas industry became too strong in our economy, especially during the last four or five years, reflects Prime Minister Erna Solberg. "Most of the growth came from that sector, and our strong currency left some of our traditional industries behind." [...] Household debts have reached more than 200% of annual disposable income [ Dutch Disease; UK & USA = domestic consumption, Germany = exports and its name, London = Finance and wealthy expats/non-doms, Switzerland = exports and its name , China = export, Brazil = commodity export ]
Norway  Aberdeen  Oil  price  commodity  prices  secular  stagnation  2016  2015  credit  bubble  China  BRIC  economic  history  reflate  reflation  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  aggregate  demand  Dutch  Disease  distortion  financial  repression  macroeconomics  macroeconomic  policy  macroprudential  policy  microeconomic  policy  unemployment  OPEC 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Elektroauto: Sonderabgabe auf Sprit soll Kaufprämie finanzieren - SPIEGEL ONLINE
In den Regierungsstreit über eine Kaufprämie für Elektroautos mischt sich der Chef der Nationalen Plattform Elektromobilität ein. Henning Kagermann will den Bonus unbedingt - zulasten von allen anderen Autofahrern. //&! Ab 2021 dürfen Neuwagen in der EU nicht mehr als 4,1 Liter Benzin im Schnitt verbrauchen. Doch besonders die deutschen Hersteller tun sich laut einer Untersuchung mit den Vorgaben schwer. Schuld daran hat ein Trend, den sie jahrelang selbst befeuert haben. - bit.ly/1nT3mFF //&! LOBBYING EFFORTS STILL ON! - Ab 2017 werden die Abgaswerte von Dieselfahrzeugen unter Realbedingungen gemessen. Das EU-Parlament hat für einen entsprechenden Entwurf gestimmt. Gleichzeitig winkten die Abgeordneten Zugeständnisse an die Autohersteller durch. - bit.ly/1QiXxrA
carbon  tax  autoindustry  automotive  fossil  fuel  renewable  energy  electric  car  carbonfootprint  carbon  trading  scheme  carbonemission  consumer  choice  subsidies  subsidizing  macroprudential  policy  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomic  policy  Makers  COP21  climate  change  global  warming  climate  crisis  air  pollution  efficiency  energy  efficiency  Smart  Grid  energy  storage  SUV  status  symbol  zombie  consumer  Abgas-Affäre  oversight  transparency  accountability  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Pando: Sources: Vegas-based Work In Progress co-work space is shutting its doors
Organic is better is more sustainable // Vegas Downtown Project // have a framework (macroprudential policy), but don't pick winners, cities, regions, ... roundabouts. // semiconductor boom bust in scotland, outside glasgow, area - via tax breaks (ie IBM spango vallye)
free  market  Venture  Capital  subsidies  subsidizing  corporate  welfare  Silicon  Valley  Vegas  Downtown  Project  Berlin  Start-Up  Scene  Los  Angeles  Start-Up  Scene  New  York  Start-Up  Scene  Silicon  Alley  economic  history  fossil  fuel  renewable  energy  carbon  tax  carbon  trading  scheme  carbonfootprint  carbonemission  tax  code  fiscal  policy  industrial  policy  job  creation  STEM  Manufacturing  dogma  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  short-termism  Opportunism  opportunist  microeconomic  policy  macroprudential  policy  macroeconomic  policy  intellectual  property  IP  progressive  tax  code  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  democracy  social  democracy  fairness 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Fred Block: The Tenacity of the Free Market Ideology - YouTube
Fred Block discusses his book “The Power of Market Fundamentalism,” which extends the work of the great political economist Karl Polanyi to explain why free market dogma recovered from disrepute after the Great Depression and World War II to become the dominant economic ideology of our time. // wo state role there would be no market system. // need social democracy in complex diverse society - representing people // freedom in complex diverse society = free of hunger and economic uncertain & freedom of nonconformity - protections, no marginalisation, no economic punishment // social democracy and free market are both Utopias // Thatcher & Co blaming State for malaise! nobody likes technocratic arguments, leaves public out, thus was able to make big return. // wealth creation through efficiency route takes more work and capital than predation (rentier/rent seeking) - ie relaxing fuel efficiency savings regulation for Detroit back in the days // trust that state can support innovation
economic  history  freemarkets  free  market  neoliberalism  self-regulation  neoliberal  book  macroprudential  policy  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  Chicago  School  USA  UK  social  democracy  capitalism  dogma  ideology  austerity  trickle-down  economics  globalization  globalisation  borderless  flat  world  Greed  boom  and  bust  crony  capitalism  plutocracy  oligarchy  Super  Rich  1%  democracy  revolving  door  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  social  mobility  American  Dream  meritocracy  meritocratic  Alain  de  Botton  philanthropy  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  Wall  Street  Gini  coefficient  income  mobility  education  policy  welfare  state  social  safety  net  Supply  and  Demand  market  economy  Demand  and  Supply  JohnMaynardKeynes  keynes  Keynesianism  GFC  Great  Moderation  Great  Depression  Utopia  Ronald  Reagan  Margaret  Thatcher  rentier  rent-seeking  predation  financial  product  wealth  creation  R&D  STEM  productive  investment  productivity  output  gap  public  investment  underinvestment  infrastructure  investment  competitive  competitiveness  M&A 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
BBC News on the North South Divide with Tom Hunt - YouTube
multiplier effect of service sector job = 1 or lower. meaning need to access tax credits. //&! Northern Powerhouse dept to close Sheffield office and move 247 jobs to London. - Government business department shuts largest non-London office George Osborne’s ‘northern powerhouse’ policy questioned as branch closure in Sheffield casts doubt on chancellor’s pledge to revitalise English cities - bit.ly/1PDlgSA // also northern councils have to cut deeper than souther because of lower tax base!
Northern  Powerhouse  UK  Scotland  Westminster  London  George  Osborne  Devolution  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomic  policy  knowledge  economy  knowledge  worker  transferring-wealth  transfer  payments  income  distribution  income  redistribution  low  income  low  pay  precarious  work  Precariat  part-time  recovery  GFC  Manufacturing  STEM  productivity  output  gap  macroeconomics  microeconomics  nasty  party  Conservative  David  Cameron  Toff  Establishment  post  code  lottery  health  inequality  inequality  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  wealth  distribution  Privileged  education  policy  apprenticeships  vocational  education  austerity  Council  Public  Services  Services  SNP  Scotland  Bill  Fiscal  Framework  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  structural  unemployment  PR  spin  doctor  Positioning 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
James Galbraith, Kate Pickett, Branko Milanovic - Consequences of Inequality and Wealth Distribution - YouTube
free education / land value tax / higher inheritance tax / abolition of private education / more progressive taxation / combat tax avoidance and tax evasion / ... Universal Basic Income //&! New Theoretical Perspectives on the Distribution of Income and Wealth Among Individuals - youtu.be/RO8KWTb2iPM - w Joseph Stiglitz and Paul Krugman --- distinguishing between wealth and capital. ignore land (free yourself from Ricardo). land. credit. //&! David Cay Johnston: The Perils Of Our Growing Inequality - David Cay Johnston about his new book, Divided: The Perils of Our Growing Inequality. - youtu.be/ok7ZJ8mS19Y
inequality  income  inequality  Gini  coefficient  education  policy  income  distribution  income  redistribution  tax  free  income  income  mobility  social  mobility  health  inequality  gender  inequality  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  welfare  state  social  safety  net  progressive  tax  code  Super  Rich  1%  oligarchy  plutocracy  social  democracy  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  democracy  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Universal  Basic  inheritance  tax  financial  literacy  wealth  distribution  wealth-distribution  transferring-wealth  Thomas  Piketty  Joseph  Stiglitz  Robert  Reich  squeezed  middle  class  globalization  globalisation  Paul  Krugman  Elizabeth  Warren  austerity  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  fiscal  policy  economic  growth  Supply  and  Demand  Demand  and  Supply  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  credit  bubble  GFC  recovery  monetary  policy  debt  servitude  consumer  debt  household  debt  Student  Loan  debt  debt  credit  card  debt  credit  card  economic  history  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  competitiveness  productivity  knowledge  worker  book  monopoly  oligopoly  oligopol  American  Dream  meritocracy  meritocratic  post-racial  America  free  market  freemarkets  dogma  ideology 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
SPERI Annual Lecture 2015: 'The Failure of Austerity' by Lord Robert Skidelsky - YouTube
economic history - "state spending inherently unproductive." // borrowing is deferred taxation - David Richardo - Rational expectations. Market economy always tended full employment. // Theory and Facts did not align. Keynes realised it post-war. Private investment is inherently volatile, ie slump conditions. state to offset underinvestment of private sector and match their retreat. getting rid of abnormal unemployment. done through monetary expansion (QE) and put onto state balance sheet available to spend. // Where 2009 forward QE got to banks ... // Paul Krugman - Confidence Fairy. // "Look after employment, and the budget will look after itself." but today it's the bond holders confidence who shapes budgets. // Keynes 'it is the long-term confidence of businesses that shape investment, confidence in state to no let a slump happen again.' but austerity, out of ammo talk, political-, social environment/sentiment & Osborne's '2016 will be tough year' speech were counter-productive.
austerity  economic  history  Robert  Skidelsky  Richard  Koo  David  Ricardo  sovereign  debt  crisis  underinvestment  productive  investment  competitiveness  competitive  public  utility  public  investment  education  policy  public  transportation  Good  infrastructure  investment  QE  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  George  Osborne  trickle-down  economics  tax  code  progressive  taxation  oligarchy  plutocracy  Super  Rich  1%  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Chicago  School  stagflation  secular  stagnation  Pact  business  cycle  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  Schuldenbremse  western  world  Paul  Krugman  political  folly  political  theory  political  economy  political  error  macroprudential  policy  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  financial  cycle  Greed  economic  cycle  inflation  expectation  expectations  Super  debt  servitude  GFC  recovery  Conservative  Party  fearmongering  Fear  Career  Politicians  nasty  David  Cameron  PR  spin  doctor 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Insatiability, and the 15-hour week - YouTube
// book wealth of nations //&! Prof Lord Robert Skidelsky - How Much is Enough? The Economics of the Good Life - youtu.be/yeWz5Cg_BD4 //&! Guaranteed Employment & Basic Income - youtu.be/2W1ShSG1X6k //&! Why the precariat requires a basic income (Prof. Guy Standing) (ENG) - youtu.be/4WaA8zqjBSk //&! The Precariat: The new dangerous class - Sydney Ideas - youtu.be/-jJt-5i_dls
book  Robert  Skidelsky  income  distribution  GDP  nominal  GDP  targeting  macroeconomic  policy  happiness  index  microeconomic  policy  4-day  work  week  6-hour  work  day  economic  history  well  being  public  health  policy  public  health  leisure  time  work  life  balance  burnout  western  society  western  world  secular  stagnation  life  hacker  life  lesson  inequality  Gini  coefficient  wealth  distribution  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  social  democracy  No  Representation  democracy  welfare  state  social  safety  net  minimum  wage  Universal  Basic  Thomas  Piketty  precarious  work  Precariat  working  poor  poverty  in  old  age  poverty  UK  USA  Europe  transferring-wealth  wealth-distribution  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Super  Rich  1%  plutocracy  oligarchy  Greed  zombie  consumer  consumerism  consumerist  status  anxiety  Selbstdarstellung  Selbstfürsorge  sociology  philosophy  Aristotle  low  income  tax  free  income  income  redistribution  income  inequality 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Aberdeen and Edinburgh highlighted in city economies report - BBC News
No Scottish cities were in the top 10 for "low-wage, high-welfare" economies. The 2016 report - described as a "health check" for the 63 largest UK cities - focused on Chancellor George Osborne's vow to build a "higher wage, lower welfare" economy, as set out in the Summer Budget 2015. >> It argued that nearly a million new jobs had been created in cities since 2010 - but that the average salary had also dropped by £1,300 per resident. 'High-wage, low-welfare' << [...] The think tank said the two areas' ability to attract high-skilled jobs - in the oil and professional services industries for example - was the key to their success. It argued that cities with high wages had seen faster jobs growth, with employment rising by 10% since 2010, compared with 3% in low-wage cities. [...] [ Housing Crisis across the country thus ] increased housing benefit payments.
job  creation  recovery  Service  Sector  Jobs  UK  austerity  minimum  wage  living  wage  George  Osborne  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Manufacturing  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  low  pay  low  income  tax  credit  child  tax  credit  working  tax  credit  tax  free  income  progressive  tax  code  income  distribution  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  income  inequality  income  growth  wage  growth  secular  stagnation  globalization  globalisation  borderless  flat  world  economic  history  nasty  party  Tories  Conservative  trickle-down  economics  squeezed  middle  class  precarious  work  Precariat  wage  stagnation  income  redistribution  welfare  state  social  safety  net  David  Cameron  budget2015  budget2010  Public  Services  Services  added  value  value  creation  Housing  Crisis  affordable  social 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Committee warns of decline in Scottish employment standards - BBC News
[ always announcing new jobs created #, but not the wage ] Members said there had been a "decline in job quality" in recent years, with an increase in low-paid zero-hours contract jobs since the 2008 recession. Their report said public money could be better used to support workers. The committee heard evidence from scores of organisations and took submissions from more than 600 people. Convener Murdo Fraser said the evidence from firms and workers suggested there had been a decline in job quality and an increase in low-paid jobs on "exploitative" zero-hours contracts in recent years. He said: "Whilst employment statistics point to an increase to those in work, if we look beyond the figures, we have uncovered a worrying trend in poor quality employment. [...] "We heard during our inquiry that poor quality work has a significant impact on people's health and wellbeing.
job  creation  Zero  Hour  Contract  Service  Sector  Jobs  recovery  GFC  precarious  work  Precariat  low  income  minimum  wage  working  poor  tax  credit  squeezed  middle  class  UK  USA  part-time  poverty  trap  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  poverty  child  poverty  working  tax  credit  child  tax  credit  education  policy  skills  gap  job  market  job  security  output  gap  productivity  living  wage  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  Positioning  PR  spin  doctor  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  income  growth  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  credit  card  car  loan  austerity  consumer  confidence  business  confidence  subsidies  subsidizing  corporate  welfare  well  being  happiness  happiness  index  mental  health  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomic  policy  corporate  tax  rate  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  neoliberalism  neoliberal  dogma  ideology  corporate  scandal  CSR  corporate  social  responsibility  philanthropy  underinvestment  STEM  public  investment  business  investment  Foreign  Direct  investment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  fiscal  policy  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Börsenabsturz in China: Der Kontrollverlust - Kommentar - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Der Börsen-Crash in China ist Symptom eines fundamentalen Wandels: Um den Wohlstand zu erhalten, muss die Regierung immer mehr Kontrolle abgeben. Die Allmacht der kommunistischen Partei gerät ins Wanken.
China  economic  history  SRD  Yuan  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  corruption  bribery  regulation  regulators  liberal  economic  reform  economic  refugee  inequality  IMF  AIIB  World  Bank  Hegemony  PBOC  Gini  coefficient  social  safety  net  Services  Public  Services  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  pension  scheme  pension  pension  fund  asset  allocation  capital  allocation  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  credit  bubble  QT  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  shadow  banking  NPL  2015  2016  shadow  economy  demographic  bubble 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Economy concerns as household debt rises to £40bn in latest figures | Business | The Guardian
Families are expected to run up £40bn of debt this year, sparking fears about Britain’s economic recovery. [...] (OBR) forecasts have found that households have moved from a surplus of £67bn in 2010, the year the coalition took power, to a £40bn deficit this year. Unsustainable borrowing is on course to near the levels reached in the run-up to the 2008 financial crash, according to Labour. Seema Malhotra, the shadow chief secretary to the Treasury, said: “George Osborne is relying on millions of British families going further into debt to hit his growth targets. [ as projected by economists, that household had to take up debt, shifting debt burden off the public balance sheet, when austerity plans were revealed together with LibDems, to meet growth targets/estimates, back then. same w decistions to increase student loans, convert grants into loan ie for nursing, remove allowances and grants. same w the green bank. shifting items off the balance sheet. and underinvestment. ]
economic  growth  austerity  trickle-down  economics  underinvestment  George  Osborne  nasty  party  Tories  Conservative  neoliberalism  neoliberal  budget  deficit  Student  Maintenance  Grant  Education  Maintenance  Allowance  debt  loan  debt  loan  Student  Bubble  generation  rent  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  policy  Liberal  Democrats  household  debt  consumer  debt  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  credit  card  debt  credit  card  car  loan  Precariat  precarious  work  child  tax  credit  working  tax  credit  tax  credit  wage  stagnation  income  growth  inequality  Gini  coefficient  rat  race  status  anxiety  status  symbol  debt  servitude  debtoverhang  sovereign  debt  crisis  Super  Cycle  ZIRP  NIRP  mortgage  market  property  hunt  for  yield  QE  New  Normal  macroprudential  policy  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  debt  private  debt  Privatisation 
december 2015 by asterisk2a
Sports Direct is a reflection of the modern British economy | Letters | Business | The Guardian
Sports Direct seems to be a metaphor for the modern British economy. “The conscious strategy would seem to be to rely on cheap labour rather than costly investment,” as your editorial (11 December) says. It also illustrates the epidemic growth of workforce insecurity which plagues a nation scarred by the rise of the precariat. Britain is rapidly becoming the sweatshop of Europe, and this, along with bubbles in consumer debt and house prices, has been a major part in such anaemic recovery as we have seen over the past five years. [...] [ HMRC cut under austerity, can't do it's job ] //&! theguardian.com/business/sports-direct-international //&! bit.ly/1jTkmsi - transferring assets. then bringing in administrators. leaving suppliers empty.
corporate  scandal  Precariat  working  poor  precarious  work  job  security  low  pay  low  income  investigative  journalism  Whistleblower  Amazon  Retail  Online  Shopping  commodity  business  commoditization  crony  capitalism  capitalism  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  George  Osborne  industrial  policy  STEM  David  Cameron  Tories  nasty  party  underinvestment  Conservative  competitive  competitiveness  self-regulation  regulation  regulators  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  exploitation  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomic  policy  macroprudential  policy  business  investment  productivity  output  gap  austerity  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  corporate  welfare  white-collar  crime  subsidies  subsidizing  HMRC  Trade  Union  Workers  Union  skills  gap  accounting  scandal 
december 2015 by asterisk2a
Could fining parents cut childhood obesity? - BBC News
More than 600 million people, or 13% of the world's adult population, are obese. The rate more than doubled between 1980 and 2014, according to the World Health Organization. The estimated cost to the global economy is $2tn (£1.3tn), including £47bn to the UK. National and local governments have struggled to address obesity, defined as having a body mass index - based on the ratio of height to weight - of more than 30. They often face accusations of nanny-statism and opposition from food and drink companies if they do so. Attempts have been patchy and experts are divided on what, if anything, works. // [ THUS NUDGE and push people making the right decision by progressive (increase every other year) sugar/fat tax and animal products tax and subsidize produce, especially in food deserts. and tax food chain products accordingly. ] In 2012, France quadrupled the tax on saturated fat-rich palm oil, dubbed the "Nutella tax" because the popular hazelnut spread contained the ingredient.
obesity  epidemic  obesity  childhood  obesity  nanny  state  Big  Sugar  tobacco  food  industry  Meat  WHO  sick  population  prevention  intervention  Nudge  theory  overweight  diet-related  disease  health  care  health  care  budget  health  care  spending  health  crisis  Public  Policy  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  Standard  American  Diet  Dietary  Fiber  cholesterol  Western  pattern  cancer  heart  disease  diabetes  metabolic  syndrome  non-alcoholic  fatty  liver  disease  chronic  diseases  chronic  low-grade  inflammation  health  health  food  engineering  substance  abuse  food  abuse  addiction  Chain  microeconomic  microprudential  fast  food  Desert  junk  food  Politics  processed  food  food  waste  food  poverty  Sugar  Tax  Jamie  Oliver  Fat  Tax 
december 2015 by asterisk2a
IMF: UK's economic performance 'very strong', but risks remain - BBC News
[ UK more like USA than Europe, let alone Germany ] Underlying economic vulnerabilities have been addressed, and steady growth looks set to continue, it said. But high household debt, a "strikingly large" trade deficit and high government debt are still risks to the economy. It also warned about uncertainty over whether the UK would stay in the EU. [...] But although UK house price growth has eased, the household debt-to-income ratio is still high, and could leave some households vulnerable to shock interest rate rises. The large trade deficit could affect cash flows into the UK, adversely affecting growth, the report says. In addition, high government debt, and a continuing deficit, could tie the government's hands in dealing with any future recession, and productivity growth might fail to materialise. Chancellor George Osborne said the IMF report "could hardly be more positive" about the UK economy, but that it "rightly" identified challenges.
UK  economic  history  trade  deficit  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  credit  card  zombie  consumer  recovery  GFC  squeezed  middle  class  austerity  industrial  policy  George  Osborne  short-termism  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  constituency  babyboomers  David  Cameron  IMF  OECD  crony  capitalism  capitalism  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  ChristineLagarde  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  climate  change  climate  crisis  global  warming  energy  policy  competitive  competitiveness  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  policy  folly  policy  error  Super  Rich  1%  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  self-regulation  profit  maximisation  debt  servitude  Super  Cycle  sovereign  debt  crisis  student  loan  debt  student  loan  Bubble  student  debt 
december 2015 by asterisk2a
Ignoring watersheds, ignoring climate change: flooded by our ignorance | George Monbiot | Comment is free | The Guardian
Storm Desmond’s floods expose the utter madness of government policies, both in the hills and at the Paris talks. It’s as if it had come to remind us of what’s at stake. While the climate negotiations in Paris trudge their dreary road, Storm Desmond takes a great boot to our backsides. Yet still we fail to make the connection. The news records the spectacle and ignores the implications. //&! On Monday, experts called for new measures to be implemented –such as raising new buildings a metre above ground – to help cope with global warming-induced flooding. - bit.ly/1YVeQ8r //&! Flood defences failed; bit.ly/1LZTcGN //&! Labour attacks £115m fall in flood management spending - bit.ly/1NCldJY //&! bit.ly/1loVcU9 - 45k homes without power. //&! Pictures w Cameron visiting flooded homes; bit.ly/1QbA7JD //&! Guardian Editorial - bit.ly/1PShdr9 &! bbc.in/1iatrb6 &! bbc.in/1PTFMnG &! bbc.in/1Qc4Vd7 &! bbc.in/1HRT1mb - Vegan as Long-term investment against extreme weather, duh. makes men cry.
COP21  flash  floods  flooding  extreme  weather  weather  extreme  climate  crisis  climate  change  recycling  carbonfootprint  carbon  tax  carbon  trading  scheme  carbonemission  economic  damage  Generationengerechtigkeit  constituency  babyboomers  Meat  Industry  livestock  farming  methane  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  economic  growth  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  crony  capitalism  capitalism  underinvestment  renewable  energy  energy  policy  fossil  fuel  Makers  austerity  solar  energy  wind  energy  Smart  Grid  zombie  consumer  consumerist  consumerism  sustainability  sustainable  materialism  status  anxiety  status  symbol  sick  population  health  crisis  hypocrisy  budget2015  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  nasty  party  Conservative  Tories  short-termism  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  taxation 
december 2015 by asterisk2a
School debts 'have increased sharply' since 2013 - BBC News
State school debt in England and Wales has increased sharply in the past three years, as budgets tighten and cost pressures hit schools, a report says. [...] 'Cost pressures biting' The Department for Education added it was up to head teachers to prevent their schools from going into debt. "We have always been clear that local authorities need to work with schools to prevent any deficits and surpluses becoming significant," it said. [...] 'Protected budgets' Although the chancellor's Spending Review confirmed per pupil funding will be stable as numbers increase, the Institute of Fiscal Studies has warned there will be significant cost pressures of up to 8% on schools over the next five years. // [ Strong economy = Strong NHS ]
budget2015  George  Osborne  education  policy  austerity  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  post  code  lottery  inequality  income  mobility  Generationengerechtigkeit  UK  Tories  nasty  party  Conservative  constituency  babyboomers  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomic  policy  economic  history  trickle-down  economics  tax  avoidance  tax  evasion  neoliberalism  neoliberal  PR  spin  doctor  reframing  framing  manufactured  consent  corporate  state  corporate  media  budget  deficit  fairness  bank  bailout  GFC  recovery  competitive  competitiveness  underinvestment  STEM  capital  skills  skills  gap  globalisation  globalization  borderless  flat  world 
december 2015 by asterisk2a
The roof is being fixed but beware the house crashing beneath it | Business | The Guardian
Consumer spending is driving economic growth but household debt and the house price-income ratio is at a record high. Be afraid [...] It is worth recalling that when Osborne became chancellor five and a half years ago that he had two big objectives. The first was to repair the hole in the public finances, which is still very much a work in progress. The other was to shift the centre of gravity of the economy back towards making things for export. This remains a pipedream. [...] Despite the welcome pickup in business investment, the main driver of growth has been consumer spending, which has been boosted by low interest rates, the fall in inflation caused by lower oil prices, and a modest acceleration in earnings. [...] “not the ideal shape for the recovery” and it can say that again. The current recovery looks like all the previous recoveries. [...] “Fast-rising household debt is needed to maintain a reasonable rate of growth in consumers’ spending and GDP in a world of austerity ...
household  debt  consumer  debt  zombie  consumer  recovery  credit  card  debt  credit  card  materialism  status  anxiety  USA  UK  Super  Cycle  debtoverhang  mortgage  market  Housing  Crisis  debt  servitude  NPL  property  bubble  speculative  bubbles  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  BOE  Buy-to-Let  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Right  to  Buy  student  loan  debt  debt  bubble  student  debt  private  debt  economic  growth  GFC  fiscal  policy  austerity  industrial  policy  underinvestment  productive  investment  competitive  competitiveness  George  Osborne  dogma  ideology  neoliberalism  neoliberal  David  Cameron  Tories  nasty  party  Conservative  economic  history  energy  policy  energy  price  STEM  Manufacturing  diversity  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomic  policy  Amber  Rudd  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  secular  stagnation  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  consumerist  consumerism  trickle-down  economics  status  symbol  market  affordable  social  budget2015  marginal  propensity  to  consume  Precariat  tax  credit 
december 2015 by asterisk2a
HMRC asked tax avoider to sign pledge not to engage in practice again | Politics | The Guardian
HMRC asked tax avoider to sign pledge not to engage in practice again Department says letter was sent as part of series of measures to discourage wider issue of tax avoidance and was not a legally binding document. [...] [ out of the lions mouth ] "one man’s aggressive avoidance is another man’s sensible planning" [...] [ but benefit "scroungers" go to jail. one tax cheat has yet to go to jail // google "daily mail benefits cheat jailed" vs daily mail tax cheat jailed // tax cheats fleece state because they use infrastructure and services for free, have thought about that? but can't jail you because you create jobs, and thus have a meaning to capitalistic society. benefit claimants, the sick, the vulnerable, the disabled have no place in a capitalistic society and thus in Osborne's budget considerations nor for the NHS which is in his eyes (actions speak louder than words, no investment to better society ... where is the Big Society item?) only a cost item. ] [write ur own rules $]
HMRC  double  standard  benefits  benefit  sanctions  sanctions  welfare  state  corporate  welfare  social  safety  net  Food  Bank  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Super  Rich  1%  UK  nasty  party  Tories  Conservative  ethics  society  social  tension  social  cohesion  Daily  Mail  newscorp  News  Corp.  News  Corporation  Positioning  spin  doctor  reframing  framing  Polarisation  populism  neoliberalism  neoliberal  trickle-down  economics  skiver  scrounger  corporate  media  corporate  state  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  No  Representation  social  democracy  inequality  Gini  coefficient  Precariat  Iain  Duncan  Smith  DWP  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  budget2015  tax  credit  child  tax  credit  working  tax  credit  white-collar  crime  corporate  scandal  accounting  scandal  budget  deficit  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  Toff  Establishment  capitalism  crony  capitalism  austerity  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  NHS  public  health  health  crisis  productivity  sick  day  output  gap  competitiveness  education  policy  underinvestment  short-termism  general  election  2020  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  babyboomers  Millennials  GFC  bailout  Westminster  Career  Politicians  economic  history  economic  justice  justice 
november 2015 by asterisk2a
Osborne's £23bn from the back of the sofa - BBC News
[ from 2010 forecast, deficit should be a surplus by 2016/17 or something like that ] the government's forecaster, the Office for Budget Responsibility, has increased its prognosis of how much the Treasury will raise from existing taxes (not new ones) and reduced what it thinks the chancellor will shell out in interest on its massive debts. In total the OBR thinks the national debt, the aggregate of the annual deficits, will be £23bn lower over the four years to 2020, and just because it is more optimistic about tax revenues and assorted costs. Or to put it another way, George Osborne is today £23bn better off than he thought in July, and without doing anything at all. //&! on.fb.me/1Hq17SP
OBR  UK  forecast  economic  growth  austerity  recovery  budget2015  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  budget  deficit  general  election  2020  Tories  Conservative  Party  Manifesto  election  campaign  promises  general  election  2015  fiscal  policy  underinvestment  productive  investment  output  gap  productivity 
november 2015 by asterisk2a
Global Capitalism: September 2015 Monthly Update - YouTube
Private Education (Charter Schools) that get public money, without the public being involved in decision-making how to spend that public money ... were outlawed/illegal, by Seattle Judges 6-2. //&! Tax exception of universities. Yale (4th richest uni of USA with 20bn in endowments) is being subsidized by people of the 7th poorest state. no property tax (largest land owner & employer in New Haven (Connecticut)). Public Services (Fire, Police, Hospitals) & Infrastructure. //&! min 41 Greg Mankiw: carbon tax would discriminate (burden too much) the middle class & poor with no wage growth last 30 yrs in disposable income vs corporates, well off, Super Rich, 1%. Rebuttal: tax more progressively those who can afford it. The crux of a carbon tax & tobin tax, setting it nationally, corporate lobby that it "will" be anti-competitive. Destroy Jobs. // 47:35 Science & Money. 1:09:20 Hegemony 1:22:20 public transport, US dogma; THE CAR! Committed 2 Private Free Enterprise. << Ideology. LA traffic
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october 2015 by asterisk2a
UK mortgage market, Barclays Qatar probe and US bank CEOs by FT Banking Weekly
there will be no push for new homes to flood the market, increasing prices support status quo, Loan to value measures (underwater or not?). house prices outpaced income since GFC. Buy-to-Let amplifies boom-bust. bank system resilient enough for 35% fall of prices. // generationengerechtigkeit - more of disposable income to spend on rent! putting money into pockets of rentier (buy-to-let) who can him or herself buy only so many pairs of jeans.
UK  mortgage  market  2015  NPL  underwater  CDS  securitisation  retail  banking  investment  banking  CDO  Taper  BOE  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  property  bubble  Buy-to-Let  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  self-regulation  regulation  regulators  Right  to  Buy  generation  rent  Supply  and  Demand  Demand  and  Supply  distortion  GFC  recovery  leverage  macroprudential  policy  microeconomic  policy  constituency  Tories  Conservative  Party  Generationengerechtigkeit  rent-seeking  rentier 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Who is advising Jeremy Corbyn on economics?
John McDonnell and Jeremy Corbyn have selected an economic advisery committee to help create a “coherent alternative” to austerity. // bit.ly/1KVdreO QE for people. - via on.fb.me/1KLDgei
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Bank of England concerns over buy-to-let boom - BBC News
The growing buy-to-let property market in the UK could post a threat to wider financial stability, a Bank of England committee has said. [...] Buy-to-let mortgage lending had the potential to "amplify" a housing boom and bust, the Bank's Financial Stability Committee (FPC) concluded. Lending in this sector has risen by 40% since 2008, the FPC said. It stopped short of suggesting any intervention by government or regulators at this stage. "The FPC is alert to the rapid growth of the market and potential developments in underwriting standards," the committee said.
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
The new right to buy is solving 1979’s problems at today’s expense | Gaby Hinsliff | Comment is free | The Guardian
This Thatcherite policy revival fails to recognise that the main cause of the housing crisis is affordability //&! Housing bill needs radical, long-term measures to reform the market. As well as increasing supply, the government needs to use the tax system to make buy-to-let less attractive as an investment - bit.ly/1PDxWe3
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
The other generation rent: meet the people flatsharing in their 40s | Money | The Guardian
Number of flatsharers aged 45-54 has risen by 300% in five years, figures show, amid soaring house prices, especially in London [...] Photographer Alex Forsey, 44, is typical of the new generation of flatsharers in their 40s. He recently moved into a house in Clapton, east London, with three other people in their 20s to 40s. He said: “The most affordable one-bed flat I was shown was £1,200 a month, and it was worse than a squat. The agent tried telling me it was a bargain.” //&! ability to get interest only loan is unbelievable.
generation  rent  London  property  bubble  Supply  and  Demand  Demand  and  Supply  UK  distortion  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  asset  allocation  asset  bubble  alternative  investment  Buy  to  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Funding  for  Lending  Scheme  excess  reserves  mortgage  market  2015  macroprudential  policy  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  BOE  NPL  subprime  cost  of  living  cost  of  entry  living  standard  living  spaces  standard  of  living  air  pollution  noise  pollution  city  living  urbanisation  economies  of  agglomeration 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
UK productivity lags behind rest of G7 - BBC News
"Since the economic downturn, productivity growth has slowed in most developed economies, but by more in the UK than the average." The Chancellor, George Osborne, pledged in July to take steps to encourage more long-term investment in infrastructure and by businesses to boost productivity. Howard Archer, chief UK economist at IHS Global Insight, said British productivity had been held back since the financial crisis by the creation of lots of low-skilled, low-paid jobs where productivity is limited. However, Institute of Directors chief economist James Sproule said that UK firms should focus on "agility" rather than productivity. "The economy of the future looks set to be dominated not by big companies, but by fast, agile, quick-moving and reactive ones," he said. "The firms that can respond to consumer demands most effectively and bring new products and services to market will reap the rewards."
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Bank of England may cut rates, says chief economist - BBC News
Softening employment figures and weakening surveys on manufacturing and construction output suggested growth in the UK could slow in the second half of the year and inflation might not pick up as expected. Furthermore, problems in emerging markets could be a drag on UK growth and the headwinds from those economies were unlikely to abate any time soon, Mr Haldane added. //&! In a wide-ranging speech that called on central bankers to think more radically to fend off the next downturn – including the notion of abolishing cash – Haldane warned the UK was not ready for higher borrowing costs. He described recent events in Greece and China as "the latest leg of what might be called a three-part crisis trilogy."
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
OECD: leading countries spend $200bn a year subsidising fossil fuels | Environment | The Guardian
Thinktank says member states and six biggest emerging economies should use sum to tackle climate change instead //&! Company emerges as Europe’s worst climate policy wrecker, according to a new table ranking firms by their records on lobbying and opposition - bit.ly/1Qtfq8j //&! 'its always about jobs' how about reframe it and retrain these people vs putting them directly on the dole, funded by government - long-term investment! duh. there is always an alternative. //&! nyr.kr/1W8YWpH - What Exxon Knew About Climate Change - The influence of the oil industry is essentially undiminished, even now. The Obama Administration may have stood up to Big Coal, but the richer Big Oil got permission this summer to drill in the Arctic;
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
America's Highways Need That Trillion Dollars Congress Already Spent - YouTube
transportation (all kinds), internet, phone lines, cable, energy (smart grid), water, --- cost increase w worse infrastructure to do business. whether its commuting times (chronic stress for workers - thus increased aggregate health care bill and increased sick days) & congestion, air water pollution (public health), car/truck maintenance cost, no bike lanes (public health), lost productivity due to energy outages, slow internet ...
USA  infrastructure  investment  underinvestment  competitive  competitiveness  infrastructure  globalization  globalisation  Smart  Grid  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomic  policy  macroprudential  policy  macroeconomics  microeconomics 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Brazil's downgrade | Authers' Note - YouTube
- 6 killer apps not yet properly installed. - // and still dependent on western world demand! aggregate demand via western consumer. // credit bubble and ZIRP/NIRP/QE has run its way largely // private sector could not pick up recovery. no appetite. same for SME SMB mittelstand. excess reserves not lend out because the horse has to drink by itself, can't make the drink. // especially when it has no means to served future credit interest payment coupons and principal repayment with no income growth! for decades. // inequality huts, middle class destoryed. - Career Politicans, Fear, polarisation, inequality, gini coefficient, zeit arbeit, leiharbeit, self-employment, working conditions, ...sozialer abstieg, squeezed middle class, ... insecurity, cloudy future, richard koo: austerity isn't helping!
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Zero hour contracts | Economics Help
41% of people on a zero hour contract job – wish to gain a replacement job, additional job or more hours in current job. This compares to just 12% of people not on a zero hour contract. Supporters argue zero hour contracts have helped to increase labour market flexibility, reduce unemployment and reduce costs for firms. For some workers, the job flexibility is advantageous. However, the rise of zero hour contracts have increased the phenomena of under-employment – where people have a job, but less hours and income than they would like. Critics argue that zero hour contracts lead to lower income, greater job and financial insecurity and reduced quality of life. // via https://redd.it/3kw63i // from comments - These contracts could only have come into being because employers today have the upper hand. The situation is victorian and strips the worker of all dignity. // // Here is not investment happening in the workforce to close skills gap. It's take take take.
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Why did Japan stop growing? Professor Takeo Hoshi at ANU - YouTube
Blyth argued its culture/society & structural. TPP trade deal might help productivity growth & opening Japan further 2 global trade. & encourage immigration reform. Regulatory reform; stop protection of zombies (gov guarantees, contracts, subsidies), corporate governance. Oversight. Transparency. Also Start-up rate (bottom-up disruption) needs reform (reduce red tape, create start-up/business hubs) // &! What is Abenomics? - youtu.be/_UafzhHzmwE //&! Noriko Hama & Yukio Noguchi "Abenomics and What comes After" - youtu.be/a29FTJXYev0 'unable to share affluence' - income redistribution << marginal propensity to consume, 16% left out of society (poverty), lack of empathy & compassion. BOJ is single lender 2 gov. Career Politicians! Companies have no need 2 borrow/cant force banks 2 lend. //&! min52 Problem of rising long-term interest rates solved w BOJ debt monetisation = inflation (probable near future scenario). &! youtu.be/ArnLHTE0e1g &! youtu.be/wYtJ7Fyn9NA &! youtu.be/AbKeTeb-I_M
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Millennials Can't Afford Cars, and Are Fine With That - Bloomberg View
As somebody who wondered in a column last week whether people in developed countries were perhaps learning that they no longer needed as much stuff as they used to, and whether this might lead to big shifts in the global economy, I read on with great interest. [...] The changes in young adults' consumption habits have clearly been influenced by economic forces. But economic forces shape societal attitudes, too. I also don't see much sign that these economic forces are about to reverse. Both these things can be true: The median 25-to-34-year-old has less to spend, and is less interested in spending it on a car.
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Selling Off the State in China - Bloomberg View
China's latest batch of ugly data offers a stark message to President Xi Jinping: Whatever he's doing to prop up growth isn't working. Even worse than the 5.5 percent drop in exports last month was the 13.8 percent plunge in imports, indicating that domestic demand is weaker than the external sector. The good news is Xi is changing tack. Rather than just tossing more stimulus at the economy and stocks, he's redoubling efforts to reform the inefficient and opaque state-owned enterprises at the root of so many of China's vulnerabilities. In other words, Xi is finally working to strengthen China's foundations rather than papering over the cracks. The bad news is that Xi could just as easily be making things worse.
China  liberal  economic  reform  2015  credit  bubble  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  PBOC  QE  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  welfare  state  social  safety  net  savings  glut  public  health  care  system  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  fiscal  policy  fiscal  stimulus  monetary  policy  NPL  shadow  banking  banking  crisis  economic  reform 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Easy Money Creates the Most Dangerous Bubbles - Bloomberg View
[Money has been slushing arnd in markets speculating, not investing in future & productive, added value goods. big companies are flush 2. easy credit is holding zombie corps of the last century over water. western world is persisting 2 put a banking bailout/crisis in the light of a sovereign debt crisis 2 push idealogical austerity. falling way being, never be able 2 catch up with productivity, output gap, STEM, research, future of work, smart grid & infrastructure, retooling their economy 21st century style.] // "speculation in property markets, amplified by mortgage financing, as a persistent central factor driving economic cycles." [...] the worst bubbles -- those that inflict the most economic pain -- tend to involve not just speculation, but a surge in easy lending and increasing leverage. [...] economic downturns following credit bubbles were generally worse and lasted longer. [...] danger of leverage cycle. // [ easy credit & debt fuelled recovery of assets, not fundamentals ]
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august 2015 by asterisk2a
Austerity: The History of a Dangerous Idea - YouTube
faith in capitalism can only be sustained, according to Adam Smith, if we can better ourself (vs winner takes all) & talent diversion into Finance, not Climate Change, STEM, education, sw, hw & rogoff/reinhart called 4 fiscal stimulus in 2014. &! its a banking problem, not overspend, its corporate state (Tories) PR and spin doctors, manufacturing consent, propaganda/populism! change conversation away from banks! // youtu.be/a-8ySh6nUsA // &! The Austerity Delusion - youtu.be/NQGCoiakycQ // &! Is Austerity a Dangerous Idea? - youtu.be/2v8m-J8sgik // &! youtu.be/JQuHSQXxsjM // &! Mackenzie Lecture 2015 - youtu.be/B6vV8_uQmxs // &! After the Financial Crisis: How to Tell the Forest from the Trees - youtu.be/V3FPmu2_J_0 // &! Book Panel 2013 - youtu.be/Xz4FW8GDwG4 - "debt gets cured by growth." & austerity is ideological war on welfare state & class // &! youtu.be/iM2cnMhJZyg // &! youtu.be/in5M65566iw // &! What I Learned and (Un-Learned) at the Financial Crisis - youtu.be/lhldDOp77QA /
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august 2015 by asterisk2a
Frankreich verliert Status als Deutschlands wichtigstes Exportland - SPIEGEL ONLINE
IMF rechnet für 2015 mit einem Anstieg des BIP US um 2,5 Prozent und für 2016 mit 3 Prozent. "Wir sehen zudem eine Reindustrialisierung in den USA: Dort werden wegen der niedrigen Energiekosten viele neue Fabriken und Produktionsstätten hochgezogen", sagte Treier. "Dafür werden Maschinen und Ausrüstungen aus deutscher Produktion benötigt." Hilfreich sei zudem der schwächelnde Euro, [...] "Die Amerikaner sind relativ preissensible Käufer, auch wenn es um Luxusprodukte wie deutsche Autos geht", // Germany & UK are energy dependent, especially after Desert Storm Energy project failed. UK need the bet on STEM and digital economy and knowledge economy, added value services that can be exported & leverage "British" brand. It can not compete against cheap energy fuelled China and USA! But it did nothing, UK has to even import Nurses and Doctors now! Thanks to short-sighted ideological dogmatic austerity & policy for established businesses. low corp tax & deregulation to compete w price only.
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august 2015 by asterisk2a
El-Erian: This Is Not 1998 or 2008 - YouTube
it is a repricing. a correction. prices got too far away (reflation of equity & co through ZIRP, NIRP, QE, speeches, plus hunt for yield & FOMO). It just happened to be China being the trigger, the wake-up call - very loud wake-up call - bc of its economic size and heft. (taper talks 2015 that made equity already nervous, and bond holders too, was too timid). Reality check. // Was it justified, yes. // In the long-run, we are all dead. And in the long-run things will, eventually, correct itself. // People may take now into account a new normal, lower interest rate environment, lower global growth, lower yields, lower inflationary pressures, lower dividend payments, more work that corporates (crony capitalism) need to do to squeeze out that earnings growth especially in the western world. inequality - low wage growth/stagnation - less discretionary spending on non-essential items (in the western world). & "realization that policy tools were less effective". &! bv.ms/1NFsFUn
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august 2015 by asterisk2a
What is the 'gig' economy? | FT Comment - YouTube
human capital, HR - as cost center. // trading short-term competitiveness (kick ppl of the book according to demand) but trade it in aggregate with long-term social deprivation and skill gaps and underinvestment. because of dog eat dog mentality than you are incentivised to compete on price, because it is the easiest and you are able to to it with those neoliberal labour reforms in Europe. Don't compete with Amazon on price. Don't compete with China/Asia on price. Stupid.
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august 2015 by asterisk2a
Japan Exports Its Way to Irrelevance - Bloomberg View
[ Politicians as always will react with reactionary unimaginative policy, competing for the same pie. instead of enabling, supporting new pies to be created. ] But Abe needs to recognize, as China already has, that this is only the latest sign of a broader reality: Asia's old export model of economic growth no longer works. [...] All the stimulus BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda can muster won't change the worsening trajectory of the region's most-populous nation. That's why Abe needs to take a page from Beijing and focus more on creating new industries at home. [ the base of home grown new market/category/vertical also includes sound middle class to buy those products. demand at home. social safety net (security). and less inequality. progressive taxation. fight tax evasion/avoidance, monopoles, monopsonies, bribery, corruption. and politicians making policy for lobby. ]
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august 2015 by asterisk2a
Immigrants Don’t Steal Jobs by Slate's The Gist
high skill immigration adds to economy. low skill adds to economy - if - they are put into higher education and start to add after a handful of years to the economy in a added value job, not service sector job. // Debunking the Myth of the Job-Stealing Immigrant for the New York Times Magazine. // marginal downside effects. no sudden shocks because of migration. // immigration should be supplement to existing ('native') workers. - even low skilled workers are complement, to the skilled worker/economy. // net benefit to federal economy (taxes), net cost to local economy - integrating immigrants.
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august 2015 by asterisk2a
Japan's economy shrinks by 0.4% in a blow for 'Abenomics' growth plan | World news | The Guardian
the country’s main Nikkei stock market index was up strongly by 0.6% as investors expected the government to unleash more monetary stimulus. “Should growth remain sluggish for another quarter and inflation expectations start to fall, the odds of additional monetary easing would increase substantially,” analysts at DBS said in a commentary. Private consumption, which accounts for about 60% of Japan’s GDP, fell 0.8%, as exports dropped 4.4%. “The sharp plunge from the previous quarter’s surprise growth was partly due to disappointing demand for Japanese products in the US, Chinese and other resource-exporting markets,” SMBC Nikko Securities said in a commentary. “Sluggish wage growth and bad weather drove down consumption at home,” it added. // no demand led recovery. debt fuelled recovery! little is fixed thus nothing (kogs) fits and runs by itself as one would expect. // [...] convincing people to splash out on consumer goods has been a struggle
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august 2015 by asterisk2a
Jaguar Land Rover urged to give assurances over 36,000 British jobs | Business | The Guardian
[ Tories economic policy for the future is the small state, and nothing else, its the short-term dogma and ideology of the Tories. ] // JLR said it had turned down other locations in Europe, the US and Mexico in favour of Nitra because of a strong supply chain and good infrastructure. Poland has claimed that Slovakia offered high state subsidies to win the factory, which it was not prepared to match. Slovakia has already attracted Germany’s Volkswagen, South Korea’s Kia and France’s PSA Peugeot Citroën, which together build hundreds of thousands of cars in the country each year. The average hourly labour cost in Slovakia is below €10 (£7), less than half that of Britain, according to Eurostat figures. The plant could help reduce JLR’s reliance on Britain, where it had to offer an improved pay and pensions deal last year to avoid strike action.
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august 2015 by asterisk2a
Germany’s bizarre version of capitalism—where bosses and workers actually cooperate—is winning - Quartz
via - http://redd.it/3ge85e // In recent years, some countries have tried to copy elements of German capitalism. With youth unemployment near 50%, Spain is looking to boost German-style apprenticeship programs. France is experimenting with measures that allow unionized companies to cut working hours and preserve jobs during downturns. Britain wants to build a Mittelstand of its own. So far, none have transformed these economies. And they likely won’t. German policies function well because they are designed to work in the context of the German economy, where institutions like trade unions and industry associations have proven uniquely effective at coordinating wages and production over time. “That structure is built up over decades if not centuries,” says Hall, of Harvard. “So countries can’t immediately emulate it.” [...] To be sure, the German system isn’t perfect.
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august 2015 by asterisk2a
Global economic growth to slow, NIESR predicts - BBC News
'Domestic risk' While NIESR was generally upbeat about the UK economy, it believed that weak productivity would remain a challenge. Simon Kirby, an economist at the institute, said: "It's the major domestic risk." NIESR expects inflation to remain about zero until the end of the year due to low oil prices and the strong pound, but that it will return to the Bank of England's target of about 2% a year by 2017. The think-tank expects the Bank of England to finally raise interest rates in February next year. Economists polled by Reuters last month mostly expect the Bank to raise rates in the first quarter of 2016.
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august 2015 by asterisk2a
UK interest rate rises - waiting for lift-off | Business | The Guardian
In 2018 – by when, bear in mind, most of the work of austerity is expected to have been done – Miles calculates that fiscal consolidation will still drag interest rates downwards by more than 0.75% compared to what would otherwise be the case. This is one of the factors explaining the (commonly held) assumption that interest rates will approach a “new normal” over the next few years that is likely to be about half as high as the 5% that prevailed pre-financial crisis. Even in the second half of the parliament this “fiscal headwind” will still be blowing strong. [...] The case for introducing more transparency isn’t mere technocratic trimming. The balance struck between monetary and fiscal policy has big consequences. There are obvious distributional implications (all else equal, mortgage holders win; savers lose). There are ramifications too for the capital allocation process, the current account, and the risk of an asset-bubble. The list goes on: the macro-mix matters.
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august 2015 by asterisk2a
UK economic growth figures to ignite interest rate debate | Business | The Guardian
Recent business surveys have suggested household spending remains the main engine of growth despite the government’s long-standing vow to rebalance the economy towards more manufacturing and exports. [...] “Services output should do most of the legwork,” said Hare. “The GDP print is likely to point to a two speed economy, with services buoyed by solid domestic demand, while manufacturers suffer from the strong pound.” [...] Economists are divided over the extent to which households can continue to power the recovery, especially with another round of government cuts on the way. [...] “Consumers in the UK are feeling ever more confident. Wage inflation is starting to outstrip price inflation for the first time in years, while mortgage rates are at historically low levels and unemployment has generally been falling,” said Nielsen’s UK & Ireland managing director, Steve Smith.
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july 2015 by asterisk2a
Big businesses should agree to renounce aggressive tax planning, says HMRC | Business | The Guardian
[ Voluntary, are you kidding me!? ] The government wants the UK’s largest businesses to sign a voluntary code of conduct on tax which would see them renounce aggressive tax planning and vow to follow the spirit as well as the letter of the law. // [ rootless crony capitalistic tax evaders with profit maximization and shareholder value on mind ... to pay more!? ] [ how intellectual dishonest can one be!? (Osborne, Cameron and Co.) we are obviously not all in this together! He ask the poorest, disabled and unemployed to do their best (or work more hours, harder and asking their employer to pay them more for the same amount of work - by cutting tax credits) and if it doesn't yield results, cuts the benefits (his 'only work pays' mantra ... and ask crony rootless global conglomerates to be a little easier on tax planning through a "voluntary code of conduct" ]
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july 2015 by asterisk2a
SNP takes to opposition seats after blasting Labour for welfare bill stance | Politics | The Guardian
bbc.in/1LrYIr3 &! bit.ly/1IaWfuj - Labour’s welfare confusion mirrors society’s wider dilemmas - Divisions within the party reflect the fact the rhetoric of hostility to austerity is not enough but the range of options is small // &! bit.ly/1Lrf5UR - Labour’s capitulation on welfare reveals the vacuum in its soul - The leadership’s failure to oppose benefit cuts is a misreading of the electoral runes and a damaging revelation that the party has nothing positive to say
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july 2015 by asterisk2a
Draw up 40% cuts plans, George Osborne tells Whitehall departments - BBC News
The Treasury said "large savings" would be required of unprotected departments, which have been asked to model two scenarios: of 25% and 40% cuts to their budgets by 2020. The BBC's economics editor Robert Peston said what was being proposed would require a reinvention of some services taken for granted by the public. Mr Osborne has already unveiled £12bn of welfare savings plus £5bn of tax avoidance prevention measures - which together with the £20bn of departmental spending cuts make up the £37bn figure earmarked to get government finances back in the black. [...] "It is incredibly bad economics to compare household finances and state finances." "This is the stuff of public-service reinvention, not efficiency." bbc.in/1TOnEdG [...] Spending limits will be set for government departments, which will also be asked to examine the way they manage their assets and consider privatisation and contracting out where necessary. [
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july 2015 by asterisk2a
Obesity: 'Slim chance' of return to normal weight - BBC News
[ its the environment & addiction component, stupid ] For severe obesity, shedding excess weight in a year is even more unlikely, a study of UK health records concluded. [...] [S]trategies for helping obese patients are failing. A team from King's College London is calling for "wider-reaching public health policies" to prevent people becoming obese in the first place. Lead researcher Dr Alison Fildes said the main treatment options offered to obese people in the UK - weight management programmes via their GP - were not working for the vast majority. "Treatment needs to focus on stopping people gaining more weight and maintaining even small levels of weight loss," she said. "Current strategies that focus on cutting calories and boosting physical activity aren't working for most patients to achieve weight loss and maintain that. "The greatest opportunity for fighting the obesity epidemic might be in public health policies to prevent it in the first place at a population level."
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july 2015 by asterisk2a
Yellen: There's Still Slack in Labor Markets - YouTube
>> signs that a debt fuelled recovery doesn't fix the long standing (since 90's 2000's post dot.com) underlying fundamentals of an economy. // low wage low productivity jobs especially part-time and minimum wage - doe not have an economic multiplier as a whole, they cost the economy or are at least net-net 0. // it is the same in UK. and signs show in Germany as well. // &! subprime was one of many predatory lending practices to financial illiterate ppl and exploitation of the underbanked/unbanked, and banks also choose to charge minorities higher interest rates - youtu.be/CbW9mH7p_8E + and add also practices of Payday Loans. Those things are a symptoms of the system at large. Resulting in the Poverty Trap.
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july 2015 by asterisk2a
Joseph Stiglitz: It’s Time to Get Radical on Inequality - YouTube
Nobel laureate Stiglitz, author of The Price of Inequality and The Great Divide, studies the forces driving inequality and what is at stake if it continues. In his view, bad economic thinking deserves part of the blame — fanciful ideas like trickle-down and the notion that economists should try to increase the size of the economic pie and let the politicians worry about distribution. On the contrary, Stiglitz sees distribution as a problem economists must confront. He warns that an economic system that doesn’t raise standards of living for most Americans is a failure. [...] monopoly rent = too big to fail/tbtf (bailout) == cost to society/economic damage == where was antitrust!? monopolies are less productive & costly eventually in the long-term. rent exploitation through lobby! [...] this is bad for everyone, rising inequality, lower inequality is an econ multiplier // &! The Great Divide with Joseph Stiglitz and Robert Reich - youtu.be/e3aJxy9tA-w &! youtu.be/U-oEjFKCp00 NEET
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july 2015 by asterisk2a
Inequality and the Challenge of Employment - New Economic Thinking - YouTube
intrinsic motivation, fairness, social animal - social comparison (is encoded into the brain) - status anxiety // self-interest mostly wins over ethics/moral values? // trust between principle & agent // org structure and inventive - ie bonus variable attracts more selfish people and risk takers // justice and fairness is critically important - not only in orgs but also democracies //&! Natural rate theory (equilibrium) - service sector jobs (unskilled manual labour jobs) w minimum wage and not higher. and flexible wages with no minimum wage (USA) create working poor/inequality. institutional change - economists are not just analysts they also affect policy makers (think tanks). // austerity hurts equality/social mobility = economic long-run damage to potential (thus output gap and productivity loss) - lack of supply of able workforce to create added value products & services. trickle-down not helping. //&! tax code unfair, lower capital gains tax than on earned (labour) income
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july 2015 by asterisk2a
The escape from the balance sheet recession and the QE trap: An interview with Richard Koo - YouTube
"deflationary" is a symptom of balance sheet recession, deleveraging, debtoverhang ... of the private sector, corporate sector (& public gov sector) (to repair balance sheet). inflation of price of goods 2 live is still existent. you cant eat laptops. inflation is still present. actions of private sector, corporate sector to repair balance sheet (and even public sector, all three together) is deflationary. // UK! interesting is that consumer still borrows ie via credit card and mortgages. // question is how long UK can run such a big current account deficit. somebody has to pay for it, if not the gov with debt, then it has to be the private sector. as long as it can serve debt payments, as long as it has wage growth (increase of productivity, closing of output gap). But job creation during recovery was mostly Service Sector Jobs & self-employment. Not added value STEM. // corporate sector will not, in the long-run, pay for current account deficit w debt. &! youtu.be/EhYvaMc3f44
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july 2015 by asterisk2a
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