asterisk2a + markets   120

Mervyn King: new financial crisis is 'certain' without reform of banks | Business | The Guardian
The former Bank of England governor says in his new book that imbalances in the global economy makes a crash inevitable [...] GFC was the fault of the financial system, not individual greedy bankers, in his new book, The End Of Alchemy: Money, Banking And The Future Of The Global Economy [...] “Without reform of the financial system, another crisis is certain, and the failure ... to tackle the disequilibrium in the world economy makes it likely that it will come sooner rather than later,” Lord King wrote. [...] global central banks were caught in a “prisoner’s dilemma” - unable to raise interest rates for fear of stifling the economic recovery, the newspaper reported. [... blame] broken financial system. [...] failure of a system, and the ideas that underpinned it, [...] “Only a fundamental rethink of how we, as a society, organise our system of money and banking will prevent a repetition //&! dailym.ai/21tPG5y
bank  crisis  banking  crisis  investment  banking  self-regulation  retail  banking  Greed  financial  product  regulation  regulators  City  of  London  George  Osborne  Mark  Carney  macroprudential  policy  property  bubble  austerity  liquidity  trap  secular  stagnation  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  economic  history  GFC  neoliberalism  neoliberal  trickle-down  economics  free  market  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  faultlines  hot-money  hunt  for  yield  distortion  financial  repression  emerging  middle  class  emerging  market  Frontier  Markets  BRIC  China  Brazil  credit  bubble  2016  reflate  reflation  junk  bond  revolving  debt  household  debt  mortgage  market  consumer  debt  UK  IMF  OECD  credit  card  debt  car  loan  BOE  MervynKing  ECB  Fed  Europe  deflationary  deflation  Gini  coefficient  inequality  MarioDraghi  Taper  QT  bonuses  bonus  global  imbalances  structural  imbalance  Career  Politicians  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  revolving  door  New  Normal  speculative  bubbles  Richard  Koo  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Brexit-Befürworter träumen vom Singapur auf Steroiden - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Ohne EU geht es der britischen Wirtschaft besser: Das versprechen Brexit-Befürworter, die mehr Handel und weniger Bürokratie erwarten. Doch ihre Hoffnungen sind mit hohen Risiken behaftet. [...] Am Dienstag warnten die Chefs von rund 200 britischen Unternehmen wie Vodafone Chart zeigen, Jaguar Land Rover und Shell Chart zeigen mit einem offenen Brief in der "Times" vor dem sogenannten Brexit. Bei einer Umfrage der Bertelsmann-Stiftung sprachen sich vier von fünf Unternehmenschefs für einen Verbleib in der EU aus. Andernfalls, so die Brexit-Gegner, drohten Jobverluste und Unternehmensverlagerungen. [...] Handel: Schwellenländer statt EU
City  of  London  neoliberalism  dogma  ideology  neoliberal  neoconservatism  neoconservatives  trickle-down  economics  austerity  corporate  tax  rate  self-regulation  regulation  banking  crisis  bank  bailout  GFC  Brexit  UK  Career  Politicians  trade  agreement  BRIC  emerging  middle  class  emerging  market  Frontier  Markets  TTIP  TPP  AIIB  PR  misrepresentation  Positioning  spin  doctor  regulators 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Beware the Minuses of Negative Interest Rates
Whether sub-zero interest rates actually work is open to debate, however. So says Richard Koo, the chief economist of the Nomura Research Institute. “In my view,” he writes, “the adoption of negative interest rates is an act of desperation born out of despair over the inability of quantitative easing and inflation targeting to produce the desired results.” The failure of the BOJ and the ECB to meet their inflation and growth goals is shared by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England. None of these central banks understand that their textbook solutions don’t fit the real economy, Koo asserts. [...] And on a more practical level, why corporations sit on record hoards of cash (taxes aside). [<< macro prudential policy ] //&! “When no one is borrowing money, monetary policy is largely useless.” [...] Keynes was right and (Milton) Freidman was wrong. - bit.ly/1Kl07Ri & There is no Confidence Fairy //&! fam.ag/1ogOOiM & bit.ly/1LpJL4W & bit.ly/1VgSjAB & bit.ly/214Icm3 & bit.ly/1Kl228n
secular  stagnation  emerging  middle  class  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  western  world  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion  liquidity  trap  New  Normal  financial  repression  GFC  economic  history  Richard  Koo  consumer  debt  squeezed  middle  class  household  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  student  loan  debt  student  loan  Super  Cycle  debt  servitude  mortgage  market  asset  bubble  speculative  bubbles  hunt  for  yield  hot-money  equity  bubble  bond  bubble  property  bubble  credit  bubble  BRIC  China  student  debt  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  Frontier  Markets  emerging  market  UK  USA  Europe  Japan  Abenomics  Niall  Ferguson  Paul  Krugman  Joseph  Stiglitz  Gini  coefficient  inequality  income  inequality  income  distribution  income  mobility  wage  stagnation  income  growth  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  underinvestment  austerity  productivity  output  gap  public  investment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  business  investment  STEM  R&D  competitiveness  Robert  Reich  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  debtoverhang  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  macroprudential  policy  miltonfriedman  JohnMaynardKeynes  keynes  Keynesianism  Fiscal  Pact  policy  monetary  policy  Schuldenbremse  unconventional  monetary  policy  QT  Taper  money  supply  money  ve 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Inside How Mutual Funds Value Private Tech — The Information
The sudden and sizable valuation markdowns of high-flying private companies like Snapchat, Dropbox and Zenefits by mutual fund investors has been one of the biggest stories in tech, sowing fears that the market is deflating. They’ve also caused consternation among founders, who have had to defend their companies’ earlier valuations to employees.
downround  growth  round  Mutual  Fund  SPV  Uber  Zenefits  Snapchat  Silicon  Valley  DropBox  hunt  for  yield  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  speculative  bubbles  risk  capital  liquidation  preferences  termsheet  asset  allocation  distortion  Lyft  equity  bubble  reflate  reflation  financial  repression  New  Normal  secular  stagnation  hot-money  BRIC  emerging  market  Frontier  Markets 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
The "Tourist" Investors Flooding Silicon Valley With Money Will Go Home One Day - BuzzFeed News
The tourist analogy comes from Mohamed El-Erian, chief economic advisor at the German financial company Allianz and former CEO of mutual fund giant Pimco. He fleshes out his theory of “tourist dollars” in his new book, The Only Game in Town: Central Banks, Instability, and Avoiding the Next Collapse, describing what happens in emerging economies like Brazil and India when investors from the developed world respond to slow economies at home by seeking more profitable climates abroad. Ranjan Roy, a former emerging-market currencies trader who now runs a tech startup, wrote a Medium post this week connecting El-Erian’s “tourist” theory to the mutual fund investors that have flooded Silicon Valley with cash in recent years. The post was pretty convincing, so we decided to see if El-Erian agreed. He does. And he worries about what those tourist dollars are doing to the locals. [...] they don’t re-up [ like VC's and real Angels would do ] [...] push to stretch for return.
hunt  for  yield  distortion  speculative  bubbles  asset  allocation  Silicon  Valley  Party  Round  Angel  Investor  Seed  Round  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  hot-money  Mutual  Fund  growth  risk  capital  Venture  Frontier  Markets  emerging  market  credit  bubble  China  BRIC  2015  2016  2014  Unicorn  reflate  reflation  economic  history  equity  bubble  bond  bubble  property  bubble  asset  bubble  secular  stagnation  emerging  middle  class  India  financial  repression  behavioral  finance  behavioral  economics  psychology  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  austerity  Richard  Koo 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
What's holding back the world economy? | Business | The Guardian
[ continued financialisation of economy / faustian pact ] QE and low interest rates have disproportionately created wealth in the financial sector and inflated asset bubbles. It has done little for the real economy. The rules of the market need to be rewritten [...] dominant policies during the post-crisis period – fiscal retrenchment and quantitative easing (QE) by major central banks – have offered little support to stimulate household consumption, investment, and growth. On the contrary, they have tended to make matters worse. In the US, quantitative easing did not boost consumption and investment partly because most of the additional liquidity returned to central banks’ coffers in the form of excess reserves. [...] private investment did not grow [...] [ QE supported only financial sector and zombie banks and corporations, little to nothing went into the real economy for investment in western world ] [ which leads us to say we are still in a banking crisis per se ]
Joseph  Stiglitz  secular  stagnation  reflate  reflation  austerity  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  TARP  TLTRO  LTRO  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  Richard  Koo  consumer  debt  household  debt  car  loan  credit  card  debt  Student  Bubble  loan  debt  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  squeezed  middle  class  Precariat  low  pay  low  income  wage  stagnation  income  growth  USA  UK  Europe  western  world  mortgage  market  NPL  debt  servitude  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  economic  history  policy  folly  policy  error  corporate  welfare  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Gini  coefficient  income  distribution  social  mobility  income  mobility  poverty  trap  inequality  recovery  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  distortion  financial  repression  speculative  bubbles  hunt  for  yield  asset  equity  VIX  volatility  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  monetary  policy  liquidity  trap  fiscal  policy  debtoverhang  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  consumer  confidence  business  confidence  business  investment  productivity  output  gap  aggregate  demand  income  redistribution  repo  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  system  financial  market  GFC  banking  crisis  retail  banking  investment  banking  hot-money  Frontier  Markets  emerging  market  BRIC  rent-seeking  rentier  carbon  tax  economic  damage 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
UK trade deficit widens further as exports suffer | Business | The Guardian
Nevertheless, the UK’s goods trade gap with the rest of the world widened by £1.9bn to a record high of £125bn in 2015. Howard Archer, chief UK economist at IHS Global Insight, said: “UK exports have clearly struggled in recent months, as they have been hampered by sterling’s overall strength in 2015, particularly against the euro, and moderate global demand. [...] Recent declines in the value of sterling are expected to support exports sales, though the deteriorating global situation could mitigate against an improved exchange rate. [...] “Nonetheless, any progress in reducing the trade deficit is likely to be extremely slow in the near term, leaving the recovery reliant on domestic demand.” [...] [ you can lower your corp tax, but if your country is shitty in business environment ie infrastructure and employee qualifications and immigration ... nobody wants to do business ]
UK  trade  deficit  current  account  deficit  budget  deficit  tax  reciepts  2015  2016  recovery  secular  stagnation  underinvestment  business  investment  austerity  economic  history  global  economy  emerging  market  Frontier  Markets  BRIC  foreign  direct  investment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  Richard  Koo  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  Student  Bubble  debt  servitude  discretionary  spending  government  spending  disposable  income  generation  rent  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  liquidity  trap  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  distortion  financial  repression  speculative  bubbles  hunt  for  yield  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  BOE  property  Housing  Crisis  George  Osborne  competitiveness  productivity  output  gap  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  corporate  tax  rate  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  immigration  migration  Super  Cycle 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
'Panic situation': Asian stocks tumble amid fears of new global recession | Business | The Guardian
central banks have few avenues left to explore to encourage investment and boost growth. Talk of an impending recession in the US, however, is creating speculation among investors that the federal reserve will put on hold its attempts to normalise rates. “The ‘fear factor’ in markets has morphed from being about an emerging market hard-landing and collapsing oil prices to being about the extent of the slowdown in the developed world and the ability of central banks to reflate asset values yet again,” said analysts at Citi in a note. //&! Yield on Japan's 10-year bonds falls below zero - bit.ly/1Leu3JC - Germany, France and the Netherlands are among the countries to see their bonds soar in value, though Switzerland (not in the G7) is the only other country to see demand outstrip supply to such an extent that the yield has dropped below zero. Bonds worth about $7tn (£4.8tn) now have a negative yield rate. //&! BOE Taper expectations go out the window till 2020 - bit.ly/1SdxUhN
global  economy  2016  secular  stagnation  austerity  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  Taper  ZIRP  QE  NIRP  liquidity  trap  western  world  credit  bubble  China  BRIC  Oil  price  emerging  middle  class  squeezed  middle  class  household  debt  consumer  debt  debtoverhang  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  Richard  Koo  USA  UK  Europe  economic  history  credit  card  debt  car  loan  debt  servitude  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  credit  reflate  reflation  VIX  volatility  speculative  bubbles  property  bubble  distortion  asset  allocation  equity  bubble  hunt  for  yield  IMF  OECD  Frontier  Markets  emerging  market  bond  bubble  Fed  BOE  ECB  Abenomics  BOJ 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Nasty Gal Layoffs Hit 10 Percent of Staff | Re/code
Online fashion retailer Nasty Gal has laid off 10 percent of its staff, as the purveyor of edgy women’s clothing cuts costs amid an uncertain financing and retail environment. CEO Sheree Waterson told the company in an email that the cuts were necessary as the “market in which we operate is changing, both in retail broadly and apparel specifically.” Nineteen employees across several departments were let go. Nasty Gal also laid off some staff in 2014. The layoffs underscore the difficulty mature e-commerce startups can encounter as they transition from being a hot new brand to the long slog of building a more traditional retail business. In short, building a retail brand is really hard and technology can only afford you so many shortcuts along the way. Online beauty brand BirchBox announced layoffs of 15 percent of its staff last week, as startups in e-commerce tighten belts as investors become more wary of unprofitable growth.
Nasty  Gal  Branding  Brand  e-commerce  Retail  pure  play  Amazon  brick  and  mortar  business  squeezed  middle  class  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  USA  consumption  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  student  loan  debt  student  loan  Bubble  low  pay  low  income  Precariat  precarious  work  eBay  zombie  consumer  Primark  status  symbol  status  anxiety  consumerist  consumerism  secular  stagnation  debt  servitude  retirement  pension  scheme  401k  fiscal  policy  austerity  monetary  policy  reflate  reflation  economic  history  recovery  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  emerging  middle  class  western  world  credit  BRIC  emerging  market  Frontier  Markets 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Carney: No need for interest rate rises now - BBC News
Carney said that collapsing oil prices and an "unforgiving" global environment meant that tighter monetary policy was not yet necessary. [...] He pointed out that the Fed's rate rise had only brought the US interest rate to the same "lofty level" as the Bank of England's. The Governor said that three factors would be the strongest guide to when interest rates might rise. First, that economic growth in the UK would be higher than the average trend. He said that growth at an average quarterly rate of 0.5% in 2015 had "disappointed". Second, that wage growth strengthens and productivity improves. And, third, that core inflation starts to approach the target rate of 2%. //&! Rate rise pause till early 2017? - bbc.in/1T1Qrge - [ global risks are building, global imbalances, faultlines. ] There's a frying pan - the global growth slowdown - and a fire - high levels of indebtedness - out there. &! bbc.in/1S5N7ks
Fed  BOE  2016  Taper  UK  USA  monetary  policy  Mark  Carney  Fed  mandate  productivity  output  gap  inflation  expectation  inflation  targeting  nominal  GDP  targeting  deflationary  deflation  Oil  price  commodity  prices  wage  inflation  GDP  secular  stagnation  economic  history  austerity  fiscal  policy  property  bubble  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  mortgage  market  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  private  debt  corporate  debt  Europe  ECB  China  credit  bubble  2015  global  economy  BRIC  OPEC  aggregate  demand  Richard  Koo  overcapacity  Supply  and  and  Supply  liquidity  trap  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  stimulus  monetary  theory  unconventional  monetary  policy  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  zombie  consumer  zombie  corporations  zombie  banks  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  margin  trading  speculative  bubbles  equity  bubble  Super  Cycle  debt  servitude  leverage  George  Osborne  dogma  ideology  neoliberalism  neoliberal  faultlines  global  imbalances  distortion  emerging  middle  class  emerging  market  Frontier  Markets  sovereign  debt  crisis  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  QT  financial  repression  New  Normal 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
"How The Investment Grade Dominos Will Fall" - UBS Explains | Zero Hedge
According to Citigroup's Matt King, it is now officially too late to save junk debt, which has entered the final stage of the credit cycle, the one where defaults for high yield bonds rise with every passing month. [...] we estimate that nearly $1tn of speculative-grade credits are at risk of default over the next downturn, as the stock of low-quality credit has soared. [...] These developments are a negative headwind for investment-grade corporates in 2016.
creditrating  creditrisk  NPL  corporate  debt  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion  speculative  bubbles  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  leverage  junk  bond  sovereign  debt  crisis  PIGS  monetary  policy  emerging  market  Frontier  Markets  BRIC  economic  history  Taper  QT  M&A 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
The city in love with cars even though its air is toxic - BBC News
Delhi is a city that adds 1,400 cars to its roads every day - and the minute the local government announced an emergency car rationing plan, the complaints and legal battles began. // economic damage - due to a rise in cancer and chronic ailments - reducing discretionary spending/disposable income - due to health care spending and being a carer for your sick relative.
air  pollution  public  health  policy  public  health  public  transportation  transportation  carbon  dioxide  carbon  tax  carbonfootprint  carbon  trading  scheme  carbonemission  BRIC  Frontier  Markets  emerging  middle  class  Asia  China  India  economic  damage  Beijing 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Börse: Warum Schwellenländer für die Kurskrise sorgen - Kolumne - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Chronisch überschüssige Leistungsbilanz [ & Over capacity for less/stagnant demand ... + biggest credit bubble (china) popped as the west can't afford more. QE and ZIRP has run it's way! ] [...] Der Grund, warum der deutsche Aktienindex weitaus mehr betroffen ist als andere europäische Indizes, liegt allein an der strukturellen Abhängigkeit der deutschen Industrie von Blasen in anderen Ländern. Anstatt auf bessere Stimmung zu hoffen, sind Anleger gut beraten, sich über den weiteren Verlauf der Schwellenländerkrise Gedanken zu machen. [...] [ Fed taper makes things more difficult to serve debt ] [...] Langfristig sind es die Gewinne und nicht die Zinsen, die die Aktienpreise treiben. //&! China (Asia/BRIC/Frontier Market) Corporate Bond Yields up - bit.ly/1Sme7fV & NPL probably too. //&! If property is biggest item of household wealth in a property bubble (UK, China, ... USA) - bit.ly/1Zpiy8M
trade  deficit  BRIC  credit  bubble  western  world  secular  stagnation  macroeconomic  policy  China  Japan  Germany  UK  USA  Brazil  commodity  prices  Oil  price  NPL  shadow  banking  shadow  economy  banking  crisis  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  QT  speculative  bubbles  property  bubble  mortgage  market  Fed  BOE  ECB  European  Union  sovereign  debt  crisis  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  private  debt  corporate  debt  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  austerity  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  Russia  OPEC  aggregate  demand  liquidity  trap  Richard  Koo  Richardkoo  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  debt  servitude  student  loan  debt  Super  Cycle  debt  bubble  student  debt  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  student  loan  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  squeezed  middle  class  precarious  work  Precariat  working  poor  neoliberalism  neoliberal  globalization  globalisation  borderless  flat  world  trade  agreement  Hegemony  TPP  TTIP  TISA  CETA  NAFTA  Africa  South  Africa  global  trade  trade  balance  current  account  deficit  Frontier  Markets  faultlines  structural  imbalance  global  imbalances  Taper  reflate  reflation  equity  bubble  Abenomics  economic  history  India  irrational  exuberance  Robert  Shiller  inequality  Gini  coefficient  deflationary 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Udacity Marks 1,000 Graduates from Online Education ‘Nanodegrees’ | Re/code
“I direct my work not towards what I’m best at, but where there’s impact,” Thrun said. “If you can build a self-driving car, that’s great. But if you can teach people to build a self-driving car, that’s even better.” // along the lines of great minds with small ideas (yet another consumer-entertainment-escapism product).
MOOC  Udacity  life  hacker  life  lesson  Purpose  intrinsic  motivation  missionary  vision  visionary  e-learning  online  learning  elearning  career  advice  Start-Up  advice  Start-Up  lesson  impact  career  ladder  consumer  product  disruption  disrupting  markets  Silicon  Valley  counter  culture 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
The Information's 411-10/23 "Blood Feuds" by The Information Podcasts | Free Listening on SoundCloud
11:30 // science is hard. stupid. and a non-consumer product. duh. //&! HYPE CYLCE - on 5 magazine covers and not even public! because she is, as female science-based founder/ceo a rarity and it sells papers >> on.recode.net/1PcJ8zW - Theranos CEO Elizabeth Holmes’s Five Best Cover Story Appearances, Ranked
Theranos  Hype  Cycle  Silicon  Valley  Elizabeth  Holmes  Steve  Jobs  Leadership  vision  visionary  missionary  Trope  messaging  message  PR  spin  doctor  Mark  Zuckerberg  credibility  glass  cliff  glass  ceiling  gender-based  discrimination  gender-based  harassment  Venture  Capital  B2B  Box  Aaron  Levie  B2C  Google  Inc.  Google  Search  communication  TOS  EULA  consumer  product  Protection  23andme  Tesla  Motors  Elon  Musk  journalismus  journalism  investigative  journalism  Amazon  disruption  disrupting  markets  Uber  Travis  Kalanick  Jeff  Bezos 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Prospect of TTIP already undermining EU food standards, say campaigners | Business | The Guardian
Opponents of Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership say EU negotiator has admitted to approving entry of banned goods [...] EU negotiators will resume controversial trade talks with the US on Monday amid claims that multinational companies have jumped the gun in advance of any agreement to import goods that are currently banned – including genetically modified crops and chemically washed beef – into European markets. A campaign group says that a report in a US journal concerning the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) talks show that Europe is already capitulating to huge pressure from the US to allow imports of previously banned goods before an agreement is reached. [...] [ as always its about] lower trade barriers and boost growth. [ Trade Deals like TTIP & TPP are better for US economically than a military invasion. who is excluded? BRIC. Who didnt want to join AIIB? USA. But who did? UK & Germany. This is about economic & political power/reach/influence]
TTIP  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  food  safety  Consumer  Protection  Wall  Street  conglomerate  trade  agreement  free  trade  TPP  NAFTA  CETA  European  Union  self-regulation  regulation  deregulation  regulators  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  shared  economic  interest  Career  Politicians  Policy  Makers  democracy  No  Representation  neoliberalism  neoliberal  vested  interest  interest  groups  BRIC  World  Bank  AIIB  exploitation  sustainability  sustainable  crony  capitalism  capitalism  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  free  market  neoconservatism  neoconservatives  G  Zero  presidency  barackobama  corporate  scandal  thinktank  GMO  crop  GMO  Privatisation  austerity  UK  David  Cameron  NHS  Gini  coefficient  inequality  poverty  Developing  World  Frontier  Markets  national  interest  corporate  state  corporate  media  manufactured  consent  Polarisation  PR  spin  doctor  reframing  framing  propaganda  populism  Fear  job  security  squeezed  middle  class  secular  stagnation  Niall  Ferguson  Super  Rich  1%  Sozialer  Abstieg  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  globalization  globalisation  borderless  global  trade  flat  trickle-down  economics  wage  stagnation  income  growth  wage  growth  low  income  job  creation  revolving  door 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
TTIP bringt Rekordzahl von Gegnern auf die Straße
&! http://www.internet-law.de/2015/10/noch-ein-paar-allgemeine-gedanken-zu-ttip.html - TTIP hat aber noch eine ganz andere Dimension. Es verfestigt den Ansatz der westlichen Welt als Closed Shop. Damit wird die Kluft gegenüber Schwellen- und Entwicklungsländern verstärkt, die nicht nur bei diesem Abkommen außen vor bleiben. Das ist gerade angesichts der aktuellen „Flüchtlingskrise“ ein Ansatz den man überdenken sollte. Wer Fluchtursachen bekämpfen und die Situation in den Heimatländern der Flüchtlinge verbessern will, kann nicht gleichzeitig Abkommen wie TTIP befürworten. Vielmehr müssen wir den Blick auf eine gerechtere Weltordnung richten und genau dafür steht TTIP nicht.
TTIP  BRIC  TPP  China  Brazil  Russia  India  Frontier  Markets  Developing  World  free  trade  trade  agreement  global  trade  Union  European  Union  USA  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  crony  capitalism  Africa  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  NAFTA  CETA  exploitation  Palm  Oil  deforestation  sustainability  sustainable  property  rights  poverty  foreign  affairs  Aid  foreign  policy  foreign  relations  self-regulation  regulation  deregulation  regulators  democracy  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  corruption  bribery  Petroleum  Industry  Mining  Industry  environmental  damage  ecological  damage  Glencore  corporate  scandal  oil-spill  spill  soil  erosion  coastal  erosion  agriculture  industrial  agriculture  Rio  Tinto 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Pando: The most patient man in Silicon Valley
Too much in Silicon Valley revolves around hyperspeed. Everything in the startup world is an emergency that needs to be solved in an all-nighter last night, if you allow it to be. The genius in Ravikant’s AngelList is its measured, methodical, brick-by-brick pace to build a software platform to replace, save, wreck, or augment – the verb depends on your point of view – a business that everyone insisted for decades was incurably human, boutique and done with deeply-trusted partnerships and eye-to-eye handshake deals. //&! bit.ly/1LS4aVg - The “The old Series A investor who put in $2 million and really cared and had resources is dead.” [...] “A seed fund doesn’t have the resources that a Kleiner Perkins or a Benchmark had,” [ Incubators are only 3 months long ] AngelList syndicate leads help, but they don’t care enough to help [as classic VC's] [...] Entrepreneurs have to stitch it together themselves.”
Naval  Ravikant  AngelList  Venture  Capital  Silicon  Valley  Networking  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  crowd  funding  Seed  Round  Angel  Investor  disruption  disrupting  markets  bottom  up  SPV  growth  Party  Round  Angel  List  angel-list  A  Round  Start-Up  lesson  Start-Up  advice 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
TPP - The Death Sentence Clause - YouTube
TPP, TTIP, TISA excludes BRIC! this is a protectionism move from USA/Wall Street in new world that is emerging infront of our eyes that undermines USA/Wall Street monopoly, global power - financial, corporate, political, foreign affairs. Its shaping peoples everyday lifes. Much more potent than military intervention //&! https://youtu.be/ysm2Ksb7Yeg - TPP - Here’s What Happens Under SHAFTA --- race to the bottom. its not a free trade deal. its a managed deal written by and for multinational conglomerates. literally continuing the further the race to the bottom, competing with countries like Vietnam for jobs!
TPP  generic  pharmaceutical  industry  pharma  big  pharma  generic  medicine  copyright  Patent  patents  crony  capitalism  capitalism  Wall  Street  interest  groups  vested  interest  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  TTIP  TISA  oversight  self-regulation  regulation  deregulation  regulators  transparency  democracy  Career  Politicians  monopoly  conglomerate  monopsony  Commanding  Heights  accountability  globalisation  globalization  presidency  barackobama  flat  world  G  Zero  AIIB  BRIC  Bank  IMF  OECD  emerging  market  Frontier  Markets  intellectual  property  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  revolving  door  political  theory  political  economy  social  contract  No  Representation  UK  USA  neoliberalism  neoliberal  liberal  economic  reform  global  trade  trade  agreement  free  trade  exploitation  neoconservatism  neoconservatives  China  Russia  India  Brazil  foreign  affairs  foreign  policy  foreign  relations  corruption  bribery 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Holes in the walls of the Brics by FT Hard Currency
most are domestic problems. low hanging fruits have been picked in the last 20 years during the race with global economy. can not rely on west to export to. as west is in secular stagnation with debtoverhang of private secort/household debt/consumer debt. BRIC's have to build social safety net, welfare state, health care insurance, access to justice system, patent system protection, property rights, infrastructure, ... // investors have to pick local future champions (serving emerging middle class), can not bet just on ETF/national index if they want to outperform for the next 20 years.
BRIC  China  Russia  India  Brazil  reform  liberal  economic  reform  credit  bubble  global  economy  global  trade  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  democracy  Makers  corruption  bribery  killer  apps  Niall  Ferguson  2015  QE  currency-war  currency  war  currency  debasement  AIIB  Frontier  Markets  emerging  middle  class  emerging  market  Developing  World  western  Politics 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
IMF warns of new financial crisis if interest rates rise | Business | The Guardian
Fund says governments in emerging markets should prepare now for a new credit crunch because of a 10-year corporate borrowing binge [...] “Shocks to the corporate sector could quickly spill over to the financial sector and generate a vicious cycle as banks curtail lending. Decreased loan supply would then lower aggregate demand and collateral values, further reducing access to finance and thereby economic activity, and in turn, increasing losses to the financial sector,” the IMF warns. [...] “Emerging markets must prepare for the adverse domestic stability implications of global financial tightening,” the IMF says.
credit  bubble  2015  Taper  centralbanks  IMF  OECD  Frontier  Markets  Developing  World  Richard  Koo  Debt  Super  Cycle  BRIC  AIIB  World  Bank  recovery  global  economy  global  trade  globalization  globalisation  flat  borderless  currency-war  currency  debasement  currency  war  BOE  BOJ  Abenomics  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  FOMO  asset  allocation  capital  allocation  malinvestment  speculative  bubbles  property  bubble  China  Brazil  commodity  prices  Oil  price  OPEC  reflate  reflation  equity  bubble  emerging  middle  class  demographic  bubble  secular  stagnation  western  UK  USA  Europe  Germany  austerity  divergence  faultlines  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  Niall  Ferguson  Fed  mandate  monetary  policy  unconventional  monetary  policy  zombie  consumer  zombie  banks  bailout  banking  crisis  crisis  fiscal  policy  fiscal  stimulus  economic  history  trickle-down  economics  tax  avoidance  tax  evasion  inequality  Gini  coefficient  NPL  shadow  banking  zombie  corporations  junk  bond  creditrating  distortion  financial  financial  crisis  GFC 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Egon Krenz: der Kalte Krieg war nie zu Ende by Sputnik Deutschland
Europa ohne Russland geht nicht. USA sieht nicht gern das Europa/Deutschland gut mit Russland sind. [...] Die idee des kommunismus ist nicht tod zu kriegen. [...] Der kapitalismus kann nicht das letzte wort gehabt haben. [...] AIIB & BRIC (+South Africa) - ohne USA, ohne EU (ja nicht alle, Germany in AIIB)! // TTIP und co. schliesst BRIC aus. Punkt!!! USA will sich wirtschafts and und politische macht sichern mit TTIP und TPP before es zu spaet ist. // battle of ideas. battle to capture parts of new world, global trade and economy, future generations (emerging middle class).
Ukraine  Ukrain  Russia  vladimirputin  Putin  Europe  NATO  Cold  War  cyber  Middle  East  USA  foreign  affairs  geopolitics  foreign  policy  foreign  relations  Intelligence  German  reunification  UK  East  Europe  United  Nations  Security  Council  United  Nations  Angela  Merkel  Leadership  Crimea  Crimea  Crisis  presidency  barackobama  David  Cameron  diplomacy  Baltic  States  Balkan  East  Germany  east-europe  east-germany  China  World  Police  global  economy  sanctions  protectionism  global  trade  BRIC  European  Union  Turkey  Eurasia  Germany  cooperation  GCHQ  NSA  surveillance  state  Surveillance-Industrial  Complex  history  Aid  Arab  League  OPEC  military–industrial  military  intervention  neoconservatism  neoconservatives  neoliberalism  neoliberal  ISIS  al-Qaida  Taliban  Iraq  War  Iraq  Iran  Afghanistan  globalization  globalisation  TTIP  TPP  CETA  cablegate  Wikileaks  AIIB  World  Bank  TISA  Wall  Street  crony  capitalism  capitalism  ideology  dogma  emerging  class  Developing  World  Frontier  Markets  emerging  market  economic  history  trickle-down  economics  political  economy  political  science  political  theory  Niall  Ferguson  Africa  South  Africa 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Uno-Bericht: Falsche Landwirtschaft könnte Billionen Euro kosten - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Die Vereinten Nationen warnen vor der falschen Nutzung von Böden: Millionen Menschen seien gezwungen, ihre Heimat zu verlassen. Die wirtschaftlichen Verluste beliefen sich auf viele Billionen Euro.
soil  erosion  climate  change  desertification  extreme  weather  weather  extreme  drought  climate  science  climate  crisis  climate  system  food  prices  food  poverty  National  Security  Frontier  Markets  Developing  World  democracy  global  warming  flash  floods  flooding  economic  damage  mono  agriculture  monocrop  monoculture  industrial  agriculture  ecological  disaster  environmental  disaster  water  pollution  air  pollution  pesticide  herbicide  fungicide 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
How Microsoft Lost Its Mojo: Steve Ballmer and Corporate America’s Most Spectacular Decline | Vanity Fair
Lost decade under Ballmer, the sales guy. Sales guy is not the right guy 2 make a dent into the universe. //&! JULY 2012 Microsoft’s Downfall: Inside the Executive E-mails and Cannibalistic Culture That Felled a Tech Giant - vnty.fr/1OU6xUN //&! NOVEMBER 2014 The Empire Reboots - vnty.fr/1FZ4mJd //&! bit.ly/1isyHfL //&! Bill & Ballmer not on speaking terms - on.mash.to/1isyFED cnet.co/1KcO02M //&! Steve Ballmer talks LA Clippers, Satya Nadella & Microsoft. Just dont ask him abt Gates - ind.pn/10mLbMH //&! read.bi/1Lw4zXs // &! Start-up advice/lesson is that you have to have a true north to be long-term relevant, big enough to be seemingly inexhaustible! Yahoo! NO. AOL. NO. Twitter. Still Debating it internally, reflective of nobody being the true leader with true leadership capabilities, everyone cooking & suggesting spices. Facebook. YES. LinkedIn. YES (economic graph). Amazon. YES. Zappos. YES. RocketInternet. NO. Google. YES. Foursquare. YES. Tumblr. NO. Reddit. YES. HBO. YES.
Steve  Ballmer  Bill  Gates  Apple  Google  Google  Inc.  Alphabet  Inc.  Platform  EULA  Windows  8  Windows  10  Satya  Nadella  Leadership  CEO  mission  vision  Principle  Mittelstand  SME  SMB  consumer  product  Facebook  Twitter  Bing  Yahoo!  WhatsApp  WeChat  Line  Kakao  Talk  Silo  SAAS  Microsoft  Azure  AWS  Amazon  Silicon  Valley  Android  iOS  Hardware  Software  Nokia  Patent  patents  IP  intellectual  property  technological  progress  technological  history  disruption  disrupting  markets  bottom  up  dream  Start-Up  lesson  Start-Up  advice  Venture  Capital  Google+  Tumblr  Reddit  AOL  linkedin  foursquare  Dennis  Crowley  HBO 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Public Lecture by Professor Niall Ferguson 2013-04-09 - YouTube
[6 Killer Apps - youtu.be/xpnFeyMGUs8 ] Degeneration and Regeneration after the GFC // interlude: Margaret Thatcher, the power of ideas in public office, in politics: Nature of freedom, economic freedom & other freedoms. Hayek & Adam Smith // The Great Degeneration (new Book 2013). Theme: The role of institutions in the creation and preservation of freedom. // GFC = "The slight depression." Avoided Great Depression like scenario by policy response (reflation) different to previous history. Talks abt equity market levels back 2 pre-2007 levels. EQUITY/(financial) ASSET PRICES. Bank Bailout! But NOT reached (real economy) escape velocity! Proper recovery! Under Keynes it should be an admission of defeat (bc lack of fiscal stimulus)! Is a sub-plot in the story of western decline! Great reconvergence of west & the rest of the world. // &! youtu.be/VVsP2X4kuA8 &! importance of civil institutions - youtu.be/8RB7Ah95RM4 bit.ly/1NqF7am &! youtu.be/kXTjj9NQKYo &! youtu.be/tyYTChxYAQ4
NiallFerguson  Niall  Ferguson  Margaret  Thatcher  economic  history  political  economy  GFC  recovery  credit  bubble  book  Adam  Smith  adamsmith  austerity  ideology  dogma  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  USA  UK  China  history  social  contract  social  cohesion  social  tension  socialism  capitalism  crony  capitalism  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Privatisation  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  hayek  reflate  reflation  Fed  ECB  BOJ  BOE  Makers  BIS  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  bank  bailout  sovereign  debt  crisis  banking  crisis  zombie  banks  excess  reserves  liquidity  trap  monetary  transmission  mechanism  M3  business  confidence  Taper  2015  secular  stagnation  stagnation  wage  growth  income  growth  economic  growth  global  trade  global  economy  globalization  global  imbalances  globalisation  flat  world  borderless  liquidity  JohnMaynardKeynes  keynes  Keynesianism  fiscal  stimulus  aggregate  demand  marginal  propensity  to  consume  zombie  consumer  consumer  debt  Richard  Koo  private  debt  debtoverhang  deleveraging  household  debt  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  developed  world  western  world  squeezed  middle  class  disposable  income  income  distribution  inequality  Gini  coefficient  BRIC  emerging  middle  class  emerging  market  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Developing  Frontier  Markets  inflation  inflation  business  targetin 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
APIs Are The New FTEs | TechCrunch
In The New World, FTEs (Full-Time Employees) Will Become APIs. Much has been made about how the dropping cost of website infrastructure has spurred a boom in startup formation, with Amazon Web Services held up as the prime example. The capital cost of servers has been eliminated, but even more important is the plummeting human cost. (<< Netflix has no own data center) [...] Companies and products like Heroku, Celery, RabbitMQ, Mandrill, Fastly, Chartio, Chargebee, Shipwire, Docker, Codeship, Rainforest QA, Replicated and Chartbeat have changed the nature of tech development. [...] Sure, there is a shortage of talent today, but developers are rapidly finding ways to put future developers out of jobs.
API  Blue-collar  Worker  White-collar  Worker  knowledge  domain  knowledge  knowledge  economy  Why  Software  Is  Eating  the  World  augmented  intelligence  AI  artificial  intelligence  Software  Is  Eating  World  Software  Development  Open  Source  marginal  cost  economics  of  abundance  Mobile  Creatives  Future  of  Work  Start-Up  advice  Start-Up  lesson  Platform  SAAS  proprietary  disrupting  markets  disruption  bottom-up  innovator  innovation 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Five years, building a culture, and handing it off. - Laughing Meme
Nothing we know [ about X ] should be assumed to be true. // Technology is the product of the culture that builds it. // If you want to build for the long term, the only guarantee is change. Invest in your people and your ability to ask questions, not your current answers. Your current answers are wrong, or they will be soon. // Software development should be thought of as a cycle of continual learning and improvement rather a progression from start to finish, or a search for correctness. If you aren’t shipping, you aren’t learning. If it slows down shipping, it probably isn’t worth it. Maturity is knowing when to make the trade off and when not to. // You build a culture of learning by optimizing globally not locally. Your improvement, over time, as a team, with shared tools, practices and beliefs is more important than individual pockets of brilliance. And more satisfying. [ anti-Rock Star dev philosophy ] [ book by Red Hat CEO Open Organization ]
Start-Up  lesson  Start-Up  advice  Facebook  linkedin  Google  Google  Inc.  Alphabet  Inc.  scaling  corporate  culture  corporate  values  Failure  team  management  people  management  business  management  innovator  innovation  lefty  counter  culture  disruption  bottom  up  imagination  dream  disrupting  markets  Silicon  Valley  ecosystem  CEO  Leadership  of  You  Open  Organization  transparency  communication  community  community  management  Open  Source  accountability  equality  ProAm  Software  Development  Programming  programmers  continual  education  learning  accelerated  learning  learning  curve  Netflix  Etsy 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
SAP: Ehemaliger Mitarbeiter erhebt schwere Vorwürfe gegen SAP - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Hinter den Kulissen tobt um die Entwicklungsgeschichte des Erfolgsprodukts indes seit Jahren ein erbittert und mit harten Bandagen geführter Streit, der mittlerweile auch Gerichte und Behörden in Deutschland und den USA beschäftigt. Ausgerechnet ein Mitarbeiter der internen SAP-Revision, der mit einer Untersuchung ("Audit") über den Entwicklungsprozess von Hana befasst war, wirft dem Unternehmen vor, sich bei der Entwicklung eigener Produkte wie Hana am geistigen Eigentum von Wettbewerbern wie Oracle, IBM und Teradata bedient zu haben. Der bislang unbekannte Vorgang geht aus internen SAP-Dokumenten sowie Gerichtsunterlagen hervor, [...] Für SAP sind die Vorwürfe gefährlich, denn das Unternehmen ist einschlägig vorbelastet. In den vergangenen Jahren musste es Wettbewerbern wie Oracle Chart zeigen bereits hunderte Millionen Dollar an Schadensersatz überweisen. [...] [ $25m fuer sich zu fordern war dumm. Super naive. Schweigegeld oder was? ]
SAP  Oracle  intellectual  property  IP  IBM  competitive  competitiveness  competition  Silicon  Valley  M&A  Big  Data  disruption  disrupting  markets  SME  SMB  Mittelstand  innovation 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Movinga vs. Movago – wer ist hier das Copycat? | Gründerszene
German start-ups copy each other now ... It's not the Samwer Brothers anymore, they have already lots on their existing plate (made up of copycats). Add the credit bubble, public market distortions and free cash that is flushing around put into seed rounds, as enabler. #Facepalm // smart heads, small opportunist ideas, x for y locally here in z.
Berlin  Start-Up  Scene  Europe  Start-Up  Scene  copycat  Samwer  Brothers  2015  credit  bubble  hunt  for  yield  distortion  Private  Market  Silicon  Valley  Germany  culture  Failure  stigma  entrepreneurship  wantrepreneur  execution  creative  destruction  disruption  disrupting  markets  counter  culture 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
EXCLUSIVE-China's AIIB to offer loans with fewer strings attached-sources | Agricultural Commodities | Reuters
Details of China’s new development bank were leaked. The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, China’s prospective challenger to the World Bank, will not ask borrowing nations to deregulate or to privatize businesses in order to obtain loans, sources told Reuters. That could make it more attractive to some borrowers than the World Bank—a concern for the US, which opposed the AIIB’s development. // http://qz.com/372326/all-the-countries-that-are-joining-chinas-alternative-to-the-world-bank/
World  Bank  AIIB  USA  China  national  interest  Europe  foreign  policy  foreign  affairs  infrastructure  investment  productive  investment  Asia  emerging  market  Developing  World  BRIC  Frontier  Markets  BIS 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Richard Duncan: The Real Risk Of A Coming Multi-Decade Global Depression - YouTube
50 year long debt super cycle & credit bubble up-held. Put. // hasnt created inflation because of Globalisation = deflationary! [3bn ppl living on $2/day] Collapse of marginal cost of labour, offsetting inflation pressure of QE/NIRP/credit creation last decades. // Will eventually haunt people back once globalisation has run its way in ~100-75 years & the world is actually flat. energy cost 0, marginal cost 0, economics of abundance. // // min 23 AND because of this deflationary pressure of globalisation, excess capacity, etc lead to wage stagnation & or pressure to work 4 less (Contractor, Werkvertrag, Zeitarbeit, self-employment, Zero Hour Contract, outsourcing) and longer, in western world. Leads inevitably 2 being pushed into recession & avoiding that authorities always pushed button 4 more credit. Credit growth prevented western world not 2 be pushed into recession in last decades. 2010 Private Sector cant drive recovery! Massive Gov stimulus needed +10 years, not austerity!
debt  bubble  Super  Cycle  Greenspan-Put  Ben  Bernanke  fiat  currency  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  deflationary  deflation  secular  stagnation  Abenomics  globalization  globalisation  Fed  centralbanks  BIS  economic  history  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  GFC  recovery  western  world  technological  progress  commodity  business  commoditization  economics  of  abundance  marginal  cost  Janet  Yellen  benbernanke  ECB  BOE  BOJ  monetary  policy  Zero  Hour  Contract  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Contractor  Zeitarbeit  Werkvertrag  self-employment  freelancing  freelance  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  dot.com  outsourcing  flat  world  credit  bubble  debt  servitude  consumer  debt  student  loan  debt  debtoverhang  sovereign  debt  crisis  student  debt  household  debt  private  debt  fiscal  policy  austerity  Richard  Koo  Mark  Blyth  Joseph  Stiglitz  Robert  Reich  productive  investment  underinvestment  infrastructure  investment  Paul  Krugman  shared  economic  interest  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  Smart  Grid  STEM  education  policy  value  creation  added  value  Manufacturing  3D  printing  energy  price  energy  policy  competitive  competition  competitiveness  competitive  advantage  R&D  Research  Public  Partnership  world  fiscal  d 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
«Die Chinesen haben einen Plan – und das ist ein gewaltiger Vorteil» - watson
[ focus on productive investment in the future - is hard to get going, internal economic re-tooling - social safety net, pension, health care - so people have higher propensity to spend/consume. ] Das Seidenstrasse-Projekt [massive integration of Asia/Africa into its own future, non-dependent on western world!!!] ist – obwohl die Chinesen diesen Vergleich hassen – eine Art Marshallplan. Sie sagen den asiatischen Schwellenländern: Ihr könnt Kredite von unseren Entwicklungsfonds haben, und ihr kauft unsere Produkte. China braucht seine riesigen Dollarreserven, um dieses Projekt zu finanzieren. [...] Zeigen Sie mir einen Plan für Europa? Oder für die USA? Die Chinesen haben einen Plan, und allein das ist ein gewaltiger Vorteil. [ 21st century economy, STEM, research, added value, productive investment, high end manufacturing type of the future ie bio, gene stuff, 3D printing, knowledge economy, added value services by educated & skilled workforce, social mobility, sense of agency ]
AIIB  China  economic  history  2015  credit  bubble  deflationary  deflation  devaluation  currency-war  currency  war  currency  debasement  western  world  UK  USA  Europe  developed  world  Developing  BRIC  austerity  infrastructure  investment  productive  investment  business  investment  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  sovereign  debt  crisis  banking  crisis  21stcentury  public  investment  personal  investment  underinvestment  education  policy  Gini  coefficient  inequality  social  mobility  income  mobility  poverty  trap  status  quo  Career  Politicians  social  contract  lost  decade  lost  generation  recovery  GFC  budget2015  Frontier  Markets  emerging  middle  class  emerging  market  industrial  policy  Revolution  2.0  added  value  value  creation  STEM  Software  Is  Eating  The  knowledge  economy  secular  stagnation 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
What disruptive innovation means by The Economist
EVERY so often a management idea escapes from the pages of the Harvard Business Review and becomes part of the zeitgeist. In the 1990s it was “re-engineering”. Today it is “disruptive innovation” // innovators dilemma - blue ocean //
zeitgeist  disruption  disrupting  markets  innovation  disruptive  innovation  Silicon  Valley  book  Blue  Ocean  vertical  category  entrepreneurship  social  entrepreneurship  innovator  Start-Up  advice  Start-Up  lesson  conglomerate  technological  history  technological  progress  Wall  Street  corporation  industry  Fortune  500  change  accelerated  learning  accelerated  times 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
(2012/13) After the Financial Crisis: How to Tell the Forest from the Trees - YouTube
"Profits are privatized while losses are socialized. How we got here, and how we can get out of this situation." // min20 - UK debt2GDP 2008, +100% Debt on Banks Balance Sheet, ~100% Household Debt, +100% Nonfinancial institutional/corporate Debt, <50% Gov Debt ( bit.ly/1u6QiLP ) risen to <80% Gov Debt2GDP bc of Bank Bailout. ( gross national debt has been rising, unable to pay down because of lack of growth, turning Japan - bit.ly/1f7UNyp ) // It is still a banking crisis. Especially in Europe. Not a sovereign debt crisis. Greece situation made much worse because of austerity. // min 32 - talks about China! China's Assets and Liabilities. 70% of global consumption is US/EU. [but shifting!] From CDO example, China correlates with US/EU vice versa! Chinese property bubble & equity bubble, came 2 an end this Summer 2015! The crisis began w banks & will end w banks! The crisis is still with us. The banks, stupid! // investment banking bust bc of low yields across all public asset classes
Mark  Blyth  austerity  GFC  recovery  2015  economic  history  bank  bailout  sovereign  debt  crisis  Greece  PIIGSFB  zombie  banks  liquidity  trap  ECB  UK  BOE  Fed  USA  China  faultlines  structural  imbalance  Impediments  global  imbalances  savings  rate  savings  glut  shadow  banking  investment  banking  banking  crisis  European  Union  hunt  for  yield  reflate  reflation  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  bond  bubble  speculative  bubbles  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  toxicassets  badbank  policy  error  too  big  to  bail  too  big  to  jail  toobigtofail  TBTF  Richard  Koo  trust  distrust  trustagent  Insolvenzverschleppung  insolvency  insolvent  underinvestment  productive  investment  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  deflationary  deflation  secular  stagnation  globalization  globalisation  hot-money  currency-war  currency  debasement  currency  war  business  investment  New  Normal  margin  trading  demographic  bubble  property  bubble  equity  bubble  ageing  population  western  world  emerging  middle  class  Frontier  Markets  Developing  BRIC  emerging  market  IMF  OECD  credit  bubble  inequality  Gini  coefficient  Thomas  Piketty  poverty  social  mobility 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Twitter works just fine – but for investors, anything except total market domination is a disaster | Comment is free | The Guardian
Nothing better illustrates capitalism’s addiction to illogic than the mismatch between Twitter’s workability and its unpopularity with Wall Street [...] Any company that cannot demonstrate a clear route to monopolising its space, monetising its users’ data on a vast scale, is to be discarded, targeted for acquisition, consigned to perpetual dowdiness. [...] When I’ve pointed to Wikipedia, Apache or Linux as harbingers of a new, non-market, open source economics, one of the stock responses is: “now show us something more spectacular.” The problem is, these modest, functional and free products are already in their own way spectacular. Wikipedia is the biggest information product in the world; Apache runs half the world’s web servers; and Linux is the system of choice for at least a third of all servers (the computers that run businesses) and 97% of the world’s supercomputers.
Twitter  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  short-term  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  crony  capitalism  capitalism  exploitation  post-capitalism  monopoly  monopsony  oligopoly  oligopol  Facebook  IPO  Google  Open  Source  Share  Economy  Open  Data  Wikipedia  GNU/Linux  Apache  Wordpress  creative  destruction  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  3D  printing  Robotics  automotive  self-driving  cars  disrupting  markets  disruption  Marketplace  commodity  business  commoditization  marginal  cost  differentiate  differentiation  economics  of  abundance  autonomous  car  automation  Future  of  Work  Mobile  Creatives  Mobile  21stcentury  Collaborative  collaboration  cooperation  user  generated  content  crowdsourcing  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  policy  Industrial  Revolution  economic  history  trickle-down  economics  Universal  Basic  Income  winner  take  all  Amazon  SAP  Salesforce  inequality  Thomas  Piketty  Super  Rich  1%  mainstreet.org  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Gini  coefficient  deregulation  neoliberalism  neoliberal  self-regulation  regulators  regulation  utility  public  utility  Good  Silicon  Valley  Unicorn  Decacorn  Private  Market 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
#TOA Interview with Fred Wilson & Brad Burnham of Union Square Ventures - YouTube
mi 32 - lack of adoption of SV model: no politics, execution, results driven, value creation, accepting Failure as outcome (culture of Stigma in EU and Germany) // min 36 - oh hi there world - buy into the company! a partner, strategic joint venture. shared economic interest, own platform by publishers! // miss-allocation of capital ! // hard things about hard things - Pivot, layoff vs running out of money not finding product/market fit & traction // early on its only hunch & gut based. // #TOA15: ¨Are the Germans Unable to Disrupt?¨ with Christoph Keese (Axel Springer SE) - youtu.be/YyuJmAtZQis - its abt value creation, value add, redesigning of value, chains, product, data. Big corps cant disrupt itself. especially not by committee. Legacy companies unlikely 2 survive bc of patterns 2 stick 2 the conventional & fail than fail with unconventional & look like a fool (risk aversion, Failure in the public eye). Book "Silicon Valley: Was aus dem mächtigsten Tal der Welt auf uns zukommt"
Europe  Start-Up  Scene  Berlin  Start-Up  Scene  Failure  incrementalism  incremental  value  creation  added  value  Core  Product  Proposition  intangible  value  Mittelstand  SME  SMB  Proposition  Venture  Capital  oh  hi  there  world  Fred  Wilson  London  Scene  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  book  ecosystem  distortion  asset  allocation  Germany  Europe  industrial  policy  Revolution  2.0  STEM  3D  printing  Software  Is  Eating  The  automation  automotive  Big  Data  Robotics  business  consumer  disrupting  markets  disruption  creative  destruction  Pivot  Product/Market  Fit  traction  self-awareness  MVP  Minimal  Viable  Product  Lean  Start-Up  timing  Internet  Privacy  Privacy 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Why has Apple broken its vow of silence? - BBC News
re-pricing // would Steve Jobs have done thing?! Not back then. But this time is different. This time, Apples future growth is in China, India, emerging market, emerging middle class of the developing world with western aspirations - consumption (type patter, meat and fancy electronics with a recognisable brand behind it (so ppl can put you into the category of 'made it' - status anxiety)., not in the western world with new products. And I think he took this as an opportunity to transmit that and his confidence into the future for apple - through those lines, 'sent to a worrying investor.' Apple is one of the richest, most valuable things America got. America (Apple) has confidence into the future to sell to the emerging middle class. As much as warren buffet believes in the industrial future strength, re-emergence, to make products affordable/competitively through cheap energy that USA has access now. // &! bit.ly/1JjFsXx talking abt Apples exposure 2 China & Co. Reliant on.
Apple  Tim  Cook  Wall  Street  Jim  Cramer  China  fiduciary  responsibility  SEC  insidertrading  insider-trading  emerging  middle  class  emerging  market  Developing  World  western  developed  Frontier  Markets  global  economy  global  trade  2015  warrenbuffet  aspirational  product  consumer  product  consumerism  materialism  status  anxiety  status  symbol  socioeconomic  status  social  status  consumerist  consumer  consumption  squeezed  middle  class  secular  stagnation  UK  USA  Europe  long-term  view  long-term  thinking 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
How China's economic slowdown could weigh on the rest of the world | World news | The Guardian
[debt fuelled recovery ] // In the year to July, China's customs agency reports that imports from Australia are down by $15bn dollars on the same period last year - a loss which is already equal to 1% of Australia's GDP, and many other countries stand to lose out to similar degrees. China's imports overall are down by 14.6% over 2015. Find out what happens if this decline continues for the rest of the year - or worsens - and how that loss compares to each country's GDP
China  2015  Europe  USA  globalization  visualisation  visualization  global  trade  global  economy  global  imbalances  faultlines  IMF  OECD  Developing  World  emerging  middle  class  emerging  market  Frontier  Markets  trade  deficit  trade  balance  economic  history  GFC  reflate  reflation  recovery  economic  damage  economic  model  macroeconomic  policy  economic  growth  complexity  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  liquidity  trap  Richard  Koo  developed 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
El-Erian: This Is Not 1998 or 2008 - YouTube
it is a repricing. a correction. prices got too far away (reflation of equity & co through ZIRP, NIRP, QE, speeches, plus hunt for yield & FOMO). It just happened to be China being the trigger, the wake-up call - very loud wake-up call - bc of its economic size and heft. (taper talks 2015 that made equity already nervous, and bond holders too, was too timid). Reality check. // Was it justified, yes. // In the long-run, we are all dead. And in the long-run things will, eventually, correct itself. // People may take now into account a new normal, lower interest rate environment, lower global growth, lower yields, lower inflationary pressures, lower dividend payments, more work that corporates (crony capitalism) need to do to squeeze out that earnings growth especially in the western world. inequality - low wage growth/stagnation - less discretionary spending on non-essential items (in the western world). & "realization that policy tools were less effective". &! bv.ms/1NFsFUn
reflate  reflation  hunt  for  yield  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  asset  allocation  equity  bubble  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  secular  stagnation  New  Normal  asset  bubble  bubble  bond  bubble  bubbles  distortion  economic  history  trickle-down  economics  recovery  UK  USA  Europe  dogma  ideology  austerity  fiscal  policy  fiscal  stimulus  Richard  Koo  Japan  lost  decade  lost  generation  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  savings  rate  debtoverhang  debt  servitude  sovereign  debt  crisis  faultlines  Structural  Impediments  participation  rate  unemployment  imbalance  Makers  policy  error  policy  folly  macroprudential  policy  microeconomic  policy  monetary  policy  monetary  theory  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  system  STEM  industrial  policy  Manufacturing  competitiveness  globalisation  globalization  flat  world  commodity  business  commoditization  borderless  deflationary  deflation  Software  Is  Eating  The  Marketplace  mobile  homescreen  mobile  phone  mobile  first  Smartphone  Revolution  2.0  energy  price  Oil  price  inflation  expectation  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  productivity  output  gap  underinvestment  Gini  coefficient  inequality  income  mobility  social  mobility  productive  investment  IMF  OECD  developed  world  emerging  emerging  growth  investment  midd 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Chinese economic winter 'cooling' world economy - BBC News
recession fear. weak countries tipped over into (back into) recession by China angst! And unresolved problems are highlighted again.
China  global  economy  2015  economic  slowdown  recession  Taper  economic  history  recovery  GFC  BIS  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  centralbanks  Developing  World  emerging  market  Frontier  Markets  sentiment  UK  USA  faultlines  structural  imbalance  global  imbalances  Impediments 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
The Renminbi Rumba | FT Markets - YouTube
ppl surprised because western market was complacent. should have seen it on the horizon that it was a matter of time! // further competitive QE from Japan (new round of Abenomics post Q2'15 -0.4% results and Chinas three round of devaluations) will infuriate Asian neighbours. // commentary - bv.ms/1I0ucNL - tl;dr - its a correction (with some overshoot in less liquid market and emerging market (currencies)), market participants won't go yet on sidelines. &! bv.ms/1NqY7GS - At the very least, we have been long overdue for a simple 10 percent correction. And while the economic data has been on the mixed side, we don’t see the usual indicators of recession, at least in the U.S.
Yuan  RMB  China  devaluation  2015  Dollar  Taper  Fed  BOE  PBOC  monetary  policy  IMF  SDR  liberal  economic  reform  Asia  emerging  market  Developing  World  Frontier  Markets  Abenomics  QE  currency  war  currency  debasement  fiat  currency  Yen  economic  history 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Jeff Bezos Revealed: Building Amazon One Box at a Time - YouTube
Not in Silicon Valley. Not inside the bubble. was not inside the bubble when it imploded. // can not rest on your laurels. can not stop for a second innovating. even trying hard to disrupt yourself (Kindle) and capture the market (monopsony - in book and ebook market and w audible the audiobook market). and taking out your partners (delivery firms) with building very close to the city their warehouses. also, locking in customers with Amazon Prime, and convenience one click order. and having the verything store. Amazon A9 - its search engine could be the one of the top 5 search engines in the world. Google, YouTube, ... Amazon? or Bing/Yahoo in between? // Nobody can compete on price with Amazon with popular items! they discount popular items to attract (loss leader items). making it up all the other items of the long tail // run in late with lots of antitrust. // all encompassing (encapsulating every decision) motto: obsessing over customer & inventing in the name of the customer.
Amazon  Kindle  audible  competitive  competitiveness  competition  Start-Up  lesson  Start-Up  advice  IPO  growth  round  e-commerce  Jeff  Bezos  e-book  ebook  ebooks  books  book  Print  is  Dead  user  behaviour  Amazon  Prime  Platform  Marketplace  efficiencies  long-tail  long-term  view  long-term  thinking  monopoly  monopsony  antitrust  creative  destruction  disruption  disrupting  markets  customer  experience  user  experience  Silo  TOS  Silicon  Valley  corporate  culture  corporate  values 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
India's Snapdeal raises $500m from international investors - BBC News
In the Indian e-commerce sector, Snapdeal competes with rivals Flipkart and Amazon for market share. // burning cash, to buy customers, and with it being a private market, only board and founders know the numbers like LTCV and the puff they add with words and milestones. Chasing the emerging middle class. The new consumer is everywhere else, but not in the Western World which is struggling. http://www.breakingviews.com/indian-e-tailers-funds-will-disappear-in-a-flash/21212651.article
e-commerce  Flipkart  Snapchat  India  China  Amazon  commodity  business  commoditization  BRIC  Developing  World  emerging  middle  class  Frontier  Markets  growth  round  Venture  Capital  customer  acquisition  LTCV  customer  retention  user  churn  user  acquisition  burn  rate  runway 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Japan Exports Its Way to Irrelevance - Bloomberg View
[ Politicians as always will react with reactionary unimaginative policy, competing for the same pie. instead of enabling, supporting new pies to be created. ] But Abe needs to recognize, as China already has, that this is only the latest sign of a broader reality: Asia's old export model of economic growth no longer works. [...] All the stimulus BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda can muster won't change the worsening trajectory of the region's most-populous nation. That's why Abe needs to take a page from Beijing and focus more on creating new industries at home. [ the base of home grown new market/category/vertical also includes sound middle class to buy those products. demand at home. social safety net (security). and less inequality. progressive taxation. fight tax evasion/avoidance, monopoles, monopsonies, bribery, corruption. and politicians making policy for lobby. ]
Germany  Exportweltmeister  Japan  China  India  Latin  America  competitive  competition  competitiveness  flat  world  borderless  globalization  globalisation  differentiate  differentiation  Abenomics  economic  history  IMF  OECD  global  economy  global  trade  Future  of  Work  Universal  Basic  Income  tax  free  Mobile  Creatives  Mobile  Creative  3D  printing  Software  Is  Eating  The  Robotics  automation  ownership  cost  of  ownership  Millennials  consumerist  consumerism  Frontier  Markets  Developing  western  world  UK  USA  Europe  secular  stagnation  developed  world  current  account  deficit  lohndumping  Lohnzurückhaltung  liberal  economic  reform  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  technological  progress  biotechnologie  biotechnology  on-demand  convenience  marketplace  efficiencies  commodity  business  commoditization  deflationary  deflation  21stcentury  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  policy  error  policy  folly  inequality  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  mobility  squeezed  middle  class  complexity  Supply  and  Demand  Demand  and  Supply  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  hunt  for  yield  currency  currency  policy  policy  w 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Wirtschaftslage: Ungebremst in die nächste Krise - SPIEGEL ONLINE
So instabil, wie die Lage ist, bedarf es womöglich nur eines vergleichsweise kleinen Anstoßes, um die nächste Krise auszulösen. Und was passiert dann? [...] Kaum noch Spielräume, nirgends. Weder die Finanzpolitik noch die Zinspolitik kann bei einem erneuten Abschwung viel ausrichten. Das gilt auch für die Schwellenländer: Russland & Brasilien mühen sich, ihre Zahlungsfähigkeit zu sichern. Sogar Saudi-Arabien muss sich im Ausland verschulden. China's [...] Kapitalmarktblase aufgebläht und leidet nun unter einer der höchsten privatwirtschaftlichen Verschuldungsquoten aller Emerging Markets. Die ernsten Schwierigkeiten, vor denen die Volksrepublik steht, zeichnen sich bereits seit Langem ab. [...] Japan ist dann überall. [debt fuelled recovery (fiscal stimulus) that always were. now we have austerity & the "recovery" reflects that. plus deflationary effects; further globalisation, flat borderless world, technology, commoditisation of XYZ, future consumer (growth) not in the west!, etc]
UK  USA  Europe  recovery  2015  Taper  economic  history  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  austerity  OECD  IMF  Richard  Koo  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  BIS  Japan  China  reflate  reflation  asset  bubble  equity  bubble  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  secular  stagnation  lost  decade  lost  generation  Abenomics  fiscal  stimulus  GFC  sovereign  debt  crisis  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  monetary  transmission  mechanism  Supply  and  Demand  Demand  and  Supply  Oil  price  OPEC  deflationary  deflation  currency  war  currency  debasement  hunt  for  yield  distortion  bank  bailout  EuropeanSystemicRiskBoard  globalization  globalisation  flat  world  borderless  inflation  expectation  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  western  world  Developing  Frontier  Markets 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Food production shocks 'will happen more often because of extreme weather' | Environment | The Guardian
Poorer countries will be hit most by falls in production for major crops but UK and and US will also be exposed to resulting instability, says taskforce [...] [ 5-7% of production shortfall of main staples ] Such a shortfall in production could leave people in developing countries in “an almost untenable position”, with the US and the UK “very much exposed” to the resulting instability and conflict, said co-author Rob Bailey, research director for energy, environment and resources at Chatham House. [...] “The food system is increasingly under pressure because demand is growing and our ability to supply it is much more constrained. On top of that we have climate change affecting where we can grow things. “If we are coping with demand increases by sustainable intensification but then suddenly we have a catastrophic year and lose a significant chunk of the world’s calories, everybody will feel it.” [ global and national security threat ] &! bbc.in/1IQl3ZS
instability  global  economy  global  trade  food  prices  food  poverty  food  security  extreme  weather  weather  extreme  climate  change  global  warming  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  WHO  food  industry  food  waste  inefficiencies  omnivore  Dairy  Meat  Developing  World  Frontier  Markets  UN  United  Nations  United  Nations  Council 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
China's Devaluation Becomes Japan's Problem - Bloomberg View
The worsening economy, which voters hoped Abe would have sorted out by now, doesn't help. Inflation-adjusted wages dropped 2.9 percent in June, a sign Monday's second-quarter gross domestic product report for the may be truly ugly. [...] After 961 days, all Abenomics has really achieved is a sharply weaker yen, modest steps to tighten corporate governance and marketing slogans asking companies to hire more women. [...] If Japan offers a cautionary tale, it's that weaker currency alone isn't the answer. If Abe had used the yen's 35 percent plunge since late 2012 to good effect -- passing big reforms on labor flexibility, import tariffs, tax policy, supporting startups, reducing red tape -- Japan might not be facing the prospect of another recession. [ Japan's experience is a red flashing warning light for UK, US and especially Germany. ie uncompetitive Zombie corporations held alive with NIRP, ZIRP, and future new normal low interest rate environment. Where is growth? Silicon Valley. ]
Japan  economic  history  Abenomics  BOJ  2015  China  Yuan  RMB  currency  debasement  currency  war  devaluation  fiscal  policy  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  liquidity  trap  monetary  policy  deflationary  deflation  globalisation  globalization  secular  stagnation  western  world  UK  USA  Europe  Germany  Lohnzurückhaltung  lohndumping  Makers  competitive  competitiveness  Exportweltmeister  competitive  advantage  competition  flat  world  New  Normal  Richard  Koo  Developing  Frontier  Markets  borderless  global  trade  global  economy  balance  sheet  recession  consumer  confidence  debtoverhang  debt  servitude  sovereign  debt  crisis  Super  Cycle  financial  crisis  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  zombi  banks  creative  destruction  Silicon  Valley  technological  progress  skill-biased  technological  change  Software  Is  Eating  The  Mobile  Creatives  Mobile  Future  of  Work  deleveraging  asset  bubble  Wall  Street  reflation  reflate  hunt  for  yield  asset  allocation  inflation  targeting  Fed  BOE  PBOC  ECB  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  theory 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
China's currency devaluation could spark 'tidal wave of deflation' | Business | The Guardian
[3rd day in a row Yuan/RMB is devalued by PBOC (13/08/15)] “We’re all going to feel it: we’ll feel it through commodities; we’ll feel it through manufactured goods exports, not just from China but from everywhere that has to compete with it; and we’ll feel it through wages.” [...] China could be willing to let the yuan depreciate by as much as 25% over the next five years – “stone by stone, step by step” – in an attempt to restore the export-led growth that was such a winning formula [...] China [may be] trying to protect itself against the period of financial instability [following Taper by western central banks Fed/BOE] [or counter $ recent rise 21% & peg against $] [or fight home grown recession with kitchen sink] // &! bloom.bg/1gC8FFe &! bloom.bg/1WkMfZZ &! bloom.bg/1hy7O9l &! bloom.bg/1NpE4FI &! bv.ms/1IKB3fX // what is the new normal 4 growth in this global economy, competitive = keeping prices low = inflation & low interest rate pressure.
yuan  RMB  PBOC  China  devaluation  deflationary  deflation  UK  USA  Europe  Exportweltmeister  competition  competitive  competitiveness  Lohnzurückhaltung  lohndumping  secular  stagnation  western  world  globalisation  globalization  commodities  commodity  business  commoditization  Germany  Asia  Latin  America  borderless  flat  world  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  inflation  expectation  inflation  targeting  wage  pressure  productivity  output  gap  recovery  GFC  economic  history  New  Normal  hunt  for  yield  Great  Moderation  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  Taper  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  complexity  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  IMF  SDR  currency  war  disinflation  inflation  wage  inflation  Japan  Australia  Oil  price  energy  price  Developing  Frontier  Markets  Forex  USD  British  Pound  Euro  Yen  BOJ  BOE  Fed  ECB  Bank  of  Canada  asset  bubble  macroprudential  policy  asset  allocation  productive  investment  underinvestment  business  investment  2015 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
The Obesity Epidemic Sweeping Across The Middle East - YouTube
Americas most successful export. Obesity (fast food and processed food) and Materialism (status anxiety).
Developing  World  sick  population  western  diet  western  lifestyle  obesity  epidemic  obesity  overweight  Frontier  Markets  chronic  diseases  developed  western  sedentary  lifestyle  Fast  Food  processed  Food  Chain  junk 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Greenspan: Be Afraid of Pending Bubble in Bond Market - Bloomberg Business
what is the new normal interest rate? // 7min long bloom.bg/1gteMeO - UK and USA productivity (levels at rate of zero growth) and output gap, capital investment inadequate - into unproductive investment bc of hunt for yield, bc of outlook of secular stagnation for western world and structural impediments, imbalances, and faultlines, and also because of fiscal and political uncertainty, and demographic bubble and ageing population in western world. future customers/consumers are not in western world, they are to be found right now in the developing world and frontier markets. // we are currently in an environment where we don't know what the new normal interest rate is, because of distortions and incomplete information:
Taber  bond  bubble  2015  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  recovery  globalisation  globalization  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  competition  competitive  competitiveness  borderless  flat  deflationary  deflation  secular  stagnation  western  Richard  Koo  balance  sheet  recession  technological  progress  creative  destruction  deleveraging  debtoverhang  Career  Politicians  austerity  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  underinvestment  productive  investment  STEM  developed  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  Frontier  Markets  Developing  World  economic  history  hunt  for  yield  asset  allocation  Group  behaviour  behavioral  economics  behavioral  finance  financial  incentive  incentive  structural  imbalance  Impediments  faultlines  incomplete  information  complexity  OPEC  Europe 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Weltgesundheitsorganisation: Alle sechs Sekunden stirbt ein Mensch durchs Rauchen - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Jedes Jahr sterben sechs Millionen Menschen an den Folgen vom Rauchen, im Jahr 2030 könnten es acht Millionen sein. Um die Zahl einzudämmen, fordert die WHO drastische Steuern. [...] Bereits heute sterben jedes Jahr sechs Millionen Menschen, weil sie rauchen oder geraucht haben - alle sechs Sekunden einer, heißt es in dem Bericht. Das sind mehr Tote als durch HIV/Aids, Malaria und Tuberkulose zusammen. Greifen die Regierungen nicht mit drastischen Maßnahmen durch, könnte sich die Zahl der Tabak-Toten demnach bis 2030 auf acht Millionen erhöhen. Obwohl in vielen Ländern weniger geraucht wird, steigt die Zahl der Raucher weltweit durch das Bevölkerungswachstum. [...] Die WHO zählt Rauchen zu den Risikofaktoren für weitverbreitete Krankheiten wie Krebs, Herz- und Lungenleiden sowie Diabetes. // big tobacco - bit.ly/1IHRD3H &! https://pando.com/2015/07/07/shillers-killers/
WHO  tobacco  cancer  lung  cancer  public  health  public  health  policy  health  crisis  sick  population  Developing  World  Frontier  Markets  Alcohol  abuse  addiction  premature  ageing  chronic  diseases  health  policy  nanny  state  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  Big  Big  Sugar  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  Leadership 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Porträt ǀ Unten durch — der Freitag
Vor kurzem hat er ein Buch veröffentlicht, das als „Unterschichtenroman“ Aufsehen erregt hat. In einer klaren, nüchternen Sprache schildert er darin seine Erfahrungen als Leiharbeiter, mit prekären Jobs und Beziehungen. Mittlerweile lebt Wall in Berlin-Wedding, nahe der Uferhallen, wo wir uns treffen. Der Ort vereint zwei Welten, das Raue und das Kreative. Passt also. [...] Es geht oft um Fingernägel, Kleidung, Schönheit. Äußerlichkeiten sind wichtig, wenn alles um dich herum hässlich ist. [ Selbstdarstellung A und O in heutiger welt! - The Vanity Economy Explosion - https://youtu.be/e6g7EczEA2U?t=2m see Economy of Fakes out of China & Co. & youtu.be/IZyEkwqy3xY Investing in Vanity, Leisure and Luxury Products ] // [...] [Uni Abschluss] so besonders ist das gar nicht. [ personal differentiation needed because abundance of workers/competition businesses can choose from - that work for the lowest wage possible. creativity is not in abundance. risk takers neither. ] // Jeder fuer sich.
precarious  work  Precariat  Werkvertrag  Leiharbeit  Zeitarbeit  working  poor  social  cohesion  poverty  poverty  in  old  age  child  poverty  food  poverty  hartz-iv  ALG2  Aufstocker  Germany  labour  market  labour  economics  book  status  symbol  status  anxiety  socioeconomic  status  social  status  Vanity  Selbstdarstellung  Selbstfürsorge  society  celebrity  culture  of  You  Gini  coefficient  globalisation  globalization  Western  World  public  image  Mobile  Creatives  Mobile  Creative  economics  of  abundance  marginal  cost  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  Future  of  vocational  education  education  policy  practical  skills  practical  skill  set  differentiate  differentiation  Brand  Branding  competitiveness  competitive  competition  economic  history  social  mobility  downward  mobility  income  mobility  University  College  un-college  policy  folly  policy  error  Career  Politicians  flat  borderless  BRIC  Developing  World  Frontier  Markets  destruction  value  creation  gesellschaft  culture  Universal  Basic  Dimitrij  Wall  Europe  Proletariat  democracy  No  Representation  Luxury  aspirational  aspirational  product  projection  consumerist  consumerism  zombie  consumer  consumer  choice  visual  identity  identity  individuality  Capitalism 
may 2015 by asterisk2a
VW-Hauptversammlung: Winterkorn hakt die Vergangenheit ab - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Auf der Hauptversammlung verknüpft VW-Chef Winterkorn die Zukunft von Europas größtem Autokonzern mit sich selbst. [...] Mit seinem Effizienzprogramm (das Wort "Sparprogramm" passt nicht zum Erfolgskurs) soll die Kernmarke VW noch in diesem Jahr mehr als eine Milliarde Euro einsparen. "Hier lassen wir - hier lasse ich nicht nach", betont Winterkorn. Bei VW bauen Menschen Autos für Menschen, wirbt der Konzernchef. "Und ich verspreche ihnen: Daran wird sich auch in Zukunft nichts ändern". << Werkvertraege und Leiharbeit (Lohnkostensenkung in GER) // are they really ahead of the cure or are they just coping with the change. meaning not willing to disrupt itself? to risk entering new industries what will take 10 years to mature (3D Printing (new materials), Software, Robotics, Automation, stakes in Share Economy and on-demand economy (Lyft, Uber, Hailo, BlaBlaCar, Postmates, FernReisebusunternehmen). ... which would actually show Leadership. It's own Google X and Google Ventures.
VW  Peak  Car  industrial  policy  Germany  Mittelstand  Werkvertrag  Tarifvertrag  Zeitarbeit  contractor  Leiharbeit  Lohnzurückhaltung  lohndumping  complexity  secular  stagnation  squeezed  middle  class  China  BRIC  Frontier  Markets  Developing  World  India  Western  World  Africa  urbanisation  urban  planning  electric  Tesla  Motors  globalisation  globalization  Lohnkosten  competitive  advantage  competitiveness  competitive  competition  flat  borderless  21stcentury  automotive  Europe  Industry  disrupting  disruption  Leadership 
may 2015 by asterisk2a
Uber, the Rashomon | PandoDaily
[ low skill, routine job ] When an Uber glides to its appointed pickup point, what do we see? Do we see an innovator hastening the inexorable shift to a new information-based economy? Or an arrogant bully using cheap capital, greed, and a dangerous, misogynist culture of convenience to consolidate a trillion dollar market? Or do we see both? [...] I’m sure pure Uber defenders exist, but the truth is, most of us are worried about the sheer expression of capitalistic force that the company represents. [...] Uber is the poster child for our global conversation about the role of work in our society, and about the kind of company we want to create, work at, and celebrate. [SV] its male-dominated, aggressive philosophy of “breaking things fast” and “asking for forgiveness rather than permission.” Uber feels inevitable — a uniquely of-the-moment company, a mirror held up to the Valley’s aggregate psyche.
Uber  Capitalism  Share  Economy  self-employment  Zero  Hour  Contract  contractor  outsourcing  precarious  work  Precariat  working  poor  Service  Sector  Jobs  Services  Industry  convenience  disposable  income  disrupting  markets  disruption  marketplace  efficiencies  marketplace  information-based  Big  Data  analytics  Travis  Kalanick  Silicon  Valley  public  transportation  transportation  workplace  work  environment  labour  market  labour  economics  Future  of  job  security  job  creation  1099  Economy  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  shareholder  value  mono  culture  asshole  culture  asshole  game  monoculture  jock  culture  Campus  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  social  entrepreneurship  accountability  Niedriglohn  Niedriglohnsektor 
april 2015 by asterisk2a
Bayern: McKinsey sieht bis zu 40 Prozent der Jobs bedroht - SPIEGEL ONLINE
40 Prozent der Jobs im Freistaat befinden sich demnach in einer "Gefährdungszone". Der Grund: Sie seien von den Folgen der Digitalisierung und weiteren Strukturbrüchen betroffen. Eine der Kernthesen der Untersuchung lautet, dass die klassischen volkswirtschaftlichen Parameter, in denen Bayern gut abschneidet (etwa Bruttoinlandsprodukt, Produktivität, Arbeitslosenquote), nur bedingt als Zukunftsindikatoren geeignet seien. Sie würden "lediglich den Erfolg der Vergangenheit bewerten", so McKinsey. In dem Bericht werden deshalb andere Kennzahlen herangezogen: Stabilität (u.a. Einkommensverteilung), Innovation (u.a. Bildungsqualität und Start-up-Quote), Diversität (Integrationsindex, Bildungsmobiliät), Internetzugang, Nachhaltigkeit (Gesundheits- und Vorsorgequalität, Ressourcenproduktivität). // Economic Indicators are about the past! Period. Wall Street cottage industry of economic forecasters.
Berlin  Start-Up  Scene  Europe  Start-Up  Scene  Gini  coefficient  inequality  income  inequality  Germany  SMB  industrial  policy  innovation  disrupting  markets  disruption  Exportweltmeister  China  BRIC  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  Career  Politicians  Makers  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  policy  folly  policy  error  Manufacturing  3D  printing  algorithm  Robotics  automation  Share  Economy  Services  Industry  Niedriglohnsektor  service  service  flat  education  policy  social  mobility  income  mobility  diversity  immigration  demographic  bubble  ecological  disaster  environmental  disaster  productivity  efficiency  public  health  public  health  policy  chronic  diseases  sick  population  faultlines  structural  imbalance  Impediments  structural  unemployment  youth  unemployment  lost  decade  lost  generation  Fiscal  Pact  infrastructure  investment  business  investment  business  confidence  sovereign  debt  crisis  PIGS  austerity  Schuldenbremse  Angela  Merkel  GroKo  Wolfgang  Schäuble  economic  history  Silicon  Valley  Year  of  Code  STEM  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  Mittelstand  SME  borderless  competitive  competitiveness  competition  ecosystem  Mobile  Creatives  Mobile  Creative  Future  of  Work 
april 2015 by asterisk2a
Digitale Revolution: Die Deutsche Wirtschaft ist zu zufrieden - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Skepsis ist angebracht. Die Digitalisierung ist dabei, das Leben umzuwälzen. Wie die Wirtschaft funktioniert, womit wir unseren Lebensunterhalt verdienen, wie wir zusammenleben, wie wir denken, lernen und fühlen - all das ist einem epochalen Wandel unterworfen. Wer die Folgen dieser Zeitenwende vor lauter Selbstzufriedenheit unterschätzt, lebt gefährlich. Eine Studie der Oxforder Forscher Carl Benedikt Frey und Michael Osborne kommt zu dem Ergebnis, dass durch die digitale Revolution 47 Prozent der heutigen US-Arbeitsplätze gefährdet sind; in anderen westlichen Ländern dürften die Dimensionen ähnlich sein. [...] Denn die Digitalisierung führt bei vielen Gütern zu einem rapiden Preisverfall. Zwischen 2010 und 2014 wurden Mobilcomputer in Deutschland um 40 Prozent billiger, IT-Dienstleistungen um zwölf Prozent, Mobiltelefonieren immerhin um neun Prozent, wie das Statistische Bundesamt vorrechnet. [future of Hardware as a Service ...]
Future  of  Work  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  Share  Economy  marketplace  efficiencies  marketplace  on-demand  3D  printing  Why  Software  Is  Eating  the  World  Software  Is  Eating  World  Robotics  automation  AI  artificial  intelligence  augmented  intelligence  algorithm  algorithms  homescreen  phone  virtual  reality  Career  Politicians  borderless  competitive  advantage  competitiveness  competitive  competition  BRIC  western  outsourcing  globalization  globalisation  Public  Policy  protectionism  folly  error  education  income  mobility  social  mobility  downward  mobility  social  cohesion  Universal  Basic  minimum  wage  mindestlohn  Germany  precarious  Precariat  working  poor  poverty  squeezed  middle  class  Big  Data  cost  of  ownership  ownership  Open  Source  marginal  cost  cost  of  entry  Signal  vs.  Noise  Silicon  Valley  disruption  disrupting  markets 
march 2015 by asterisk2a
How Uber’s Autonomous Cars Will Destroy 10 Million Jobs And Reshape The Economy by 2025 « CBS San Francisco
[The 2nd Industrial Revolution enabled by Moore's Law from 2000-2030/50: autonomous cars, software eats the world, marketplaces, share economy, automation, robotics, AI/augmented reality, local - just in time manufacturing via 3D printing, renewable energy and 100% recycling of everything.] The transition is already beginning to happen. Elon Musk, Tesla Motor’s CEO, says that their 2015 models will be able to self-drive 90 percent of the time.1 And the major automakers aren’t far behind – according to Bloomberg News, GM’s 2017 models will feature “technology that takes control of steering, acceleration and braking at highway speeds of 70 miles per hour or in stop-and-go congested traffic.”2 Both Google3 and Tesla4 predict that fully-autonomous cars – what Musk describes as “true autonomous driving where you could literally get in the car, go to sleep and wake up at your destination” – will be available to the public by 2020. (( via bit.ly/1DAKDDN ))
Autonomous  Cars  automotive  public  transportation  transportation  Uber  Lyft  workforce  knowledge  worker  knowledge  economy  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  Industrial  Revolution  Moore's  Law  Why  Software  Is  Eating  World  marketplace  efficiencies  marketplace  marketplace  inefficiencies  Share  automation  Robotics  3D  printing  manufacturing  AI  augmented  intelligence  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  recycling  renewable  energy  marketplace  plurality  long-tail  Future  of  Work  education  policy  IoT  hyperlocal  local  futurists  Future  workless  White-collar  6-hour  day  4-day  week  Blue-collar  working  poor  precarious  working  class  Universal  Basic  Income  inequality  Gini  coefficient  inequality  poverty  Liberal  Arts  destruction  disrupting  markets  disruption  policy  21stcentury  Etsy  Amazon  Google  Search  Platform  Silo  Information  wants  to  be  free  Signal  vs.  Noise  filter  bubble  education  bubble  democracy  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  long-term  thinking  long-term  view 
february 2015 by asterisk2a
BBC iPlayer - Everyday Miracles: The Genius of Sofas, Stockings and Scanners - 2. Away
For the "invention" of the bicycle we know today, it needed 3 things (emergence of new materials): seamless! steel tubes (1886), roller chain (1880), and the Pneumatic Tire tire (1888, from John Boyd Dunlop, for his son, to make his ride on his tricycle more comfortable. << vulcanisation of rubber with sulfate). And back then it was heavily marketed to women in time of emancipation. Like the product gives you the freedom you wanted.
innovation  innovator  iteration  iterative  process  incremental  incrementalism  Silicon  Valley  disrupting  markets  disruption  bicycle 
february 2015 by asterisk2a
DLD15: Andrew Keen: "The Internet is not the Answer" | G! blog - YouTube
>> Speed of change has changed, accelerated. (powerlaw distribution and hockeystick growth of apps) << >> Digital Society isn't working << // "Making the World a better place."- Claim. Criticism is about Privacy, user of Data (TOS), transparency, and how the sum of those companies affect humanity/society ... &! TNW – Andrew Keen – The internet is not the answer | The Next Web - youtube.com/watch?v=moLLHxxD0JM &! youtube.com/watch?v=sVEtTzlqsoE 'Universal Basic Income has to come in the future because of the Future of Work and the Mobile Creative. etc etc.' &! DLD15 Interview/Debate - youtube.com/watch?v=8lV3YRJKLq8 &! youtube.com/watch?v=15SN91hVxSg 'Uber Co. epitomise what it isn't working for people of the rest of the world. It's working for some type of people who have a stake in the company. [...] I am a digital environmentalist.'
Andrew  Keen  book  Social  Media  attention  span  Facebook  Uber  cohesion  Google  Amazon  accountability  oversight  Political  Governance  corporate  working  poor  precarious  work  Precariat  Proletariat  safety  net  Universal  Basic  Income  Grundeinkommen  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  exploitation  Future  of  Internet  Signal  vs.  Noise  filter  bubble  education  policy  underemployed  Digital  Revolution  employment  Capital  business  model  labour  market  labour  economics  Robotics  AI  automation  critic  critiques  criticism  Silicon  Valley  algorithm  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  Why  Software  Is  Eating  World  inefficiencies  efficient  disrupting  markets  disruption  Industrial  Revolution  history  technological  history  regulators  self-regulation  regulation 
january 2015 by asterisk2a
BBC News - Long, long slog to mend public finances
So the job of mending the public finances is a long way from over. The best performing, big developed economy in the world - that's us by the way, as assessed by speed of GDP growth - is generating far less tax than expected. So this year, the Office for Budget Responsibility expects the harvest for the Exchequer from taxation to be £7.8bn less than it predicted in March. And by 2017-18, it says the shortfall will be an eye-watering £21bn. & the biggest shortfall, roughly half of it, is in income tax, which reflects the creation of lots of new low wage jobs & the absence of meaningful pay rises for millions. [...] reflecting a change in the structure of the economy, rather than a passing phenomenon. [AUSTERITY] The OBR calculates that spending per head in real terms in 2019/20 on the public sector minus health and schools would be £1,290, or 57% less than in 2009/10. [... edu & industrial policy not straight ahead towards econ of the future ...] [in this together?] &! bbc.in/1tqUjGz
tax  avoidance  tax  evasion  Gerechtigkeit  fairness  crony  capitalism  Budget  UK  Debt  Super  Cycle  sovereign  crisis  recovery  GFC  economic  history  Lohnzurückhaltung  working  poor  Services  Industry  service  economy  service  squeezed  middle  class  wage  growth  sticky  wages  Niedriglohn  Niedriglohnsektor  minimum  wage  productivity  output  gap  liquidity  trap  monetary  transmission  mechanism  zombie  banks  zombie  consumer  mortgage  market  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Funding  for  Lending  Scheme  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Future  of  Work  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  flat  world  globalisation  globalization  Year  of  Code  industrial  policy  job  creation  disposable  income  Precariat  precarious  Zero  Hour  Contract  labour  economics  labour  market  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  competitiveness  competitive  competition  comparative  advantage  Silicon  Valley  BRIC  Frontier  Markets  Developing  free  trade  global  trade  trade  agreements  TTIP  austerity  Structural  Impediments  unemployment  infrastructure  investment  deficit  imbalance  apprenticeships  education  policy  practical  skills  practical  skill  set  secular  stagnation  wage  stagnation  stagnation  stagflation  deflationary 
december 2014 by asterisk2a
Warum wir weiter Bargeld brauchen - Münchau zu Rogoff-Vorstoß - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Ich glaube nicht, dass es möglich ist, die Inflationsziele nach Belieben hin- und herzuschieben. Wir sehen doch gerade die Schwierigkeiten, die die Europäische Zentralbank (EZB) damit hat, ihr gegenwärtiges Inflationsziel von knapp zwei Prozent zu erreichen. Wenn man Inflationsziele beliebig verschiebt, verlieren sie schnell an Glaubwürdigkeit. Die Menschen würden zu Recht vermuten, dass man die Ziele bald wieder verändert, wenn es kommod ist. Anstatt zu versuchen, die Inflationsziele zu verändern oder das Bargeld abzuschaffen, sollten wir unsere existierenden Probleme ernster nehmen. Die EZB hätte viel früher und viel energischer mit der geldpolitischen Lockerung anfangen müssen. Heute stellt sich die vordringliche Frage, wie wir ein Abdriften in japanische Verhältnisse vermeiden. Wir sollten uns von diesen wichtigen Themen nicht durch störende Scheindebatten ablenken lassen. Die Abschaffung des Bargeldes wird unsere Probleme nicht lösen.
fiat  currency  inflation  targeting  deflation  deflationary  Europe  economic  history  ECB  MarioDraghi  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  OMT  zombie  banks  business  confidence  Japan  lost  decade  lost  generation  LTRO  TLTRO  Structural  Impediments  PIGS  Angela  Merkel  Pact  Schuldenbremse  France  Sick  man  of  Europe  imbalance  faultlines  infrastructure  investment  business  investment  Demand  and  Supply  China  Russia  BRIC  Frontier  Markets  Exportweltmeister  GFC  recovery  liquidity  trap  Richard  Koo  KennethRogoff  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  debtoverhang  Debt  Super  Cycle  Wall  Street  asset  bubble  speculative  bubbles  hunt  for  yield  crony  capitalism  Lohnzurückhaltung  consumer  confidence  profit  maximisation  Future  of  Work  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  culture  society  business  Politics  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  compromise  Career  Politicians  Lobbying  lobbyist  lobby  flat  globalisation  globalization 
november 2014 by asterisk2a
Anleihekäufe führen nicht zu Inflation: Kolumne von Wolfgang Münchau - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Wenn Sie sich jetzt die Anleihenkäufe der englischen oder der japanischen Zentralbank anschauen, dann ist genau das passiert, was ich gerade beschrieben habe. In beiden Fällen wurde die Geldbasis massiv erhöht. Die Geldmenge bewegte sich nicht. Warum kaufen Zentralbanken die Wertpapiere dann überhaupt? Sie hoffen auf indirekte Effekte, die am Ende einer langen Kette vielleicht doch auf die Geldmenge wirken. [...] Nur leider hat das in Japan zwei Jahrzehnte lang nicht funktioniert. Und bei uns bislang auch nicht. Dafür gibt es verschiedene Gründe: [...] [... overarching trend; a flattening of the curves (of disparity) across the world concerning economic ?pillars?: work type (more advanced work in the supplychain in china & not just labour intensive stuff only. more & more added value done in BRIC, East Europe, ...) #labourmarket, #consumption, #demographics, #edu, savings, social safety net, western style democracy et al) ... fall of Iron Curtain was beginning of process Angleichung]
liquidity  trap  Japan  BOJ  Fed  BOE  ECB  quantitative-easing  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  OMT  TLTRO  LTRO  TARP  POMO  equity  bubble  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  hunt  for  yield  sovereign  debt  crisis  Richard  Koo  lost  decade  economic  history  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  theory  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  zombie  consumer  zombie  banks  business  investment  trust  trustagent  fiscal  policy  austerity  IMF  BIS  centralbanks  confidence  deleveraging  debtoverhang  Super  Cycle  consumer  debt  debt  bubble  debt  monetization  debt  monetisation  debt  restructuring  haircut  monetary  policy  monetary  system  fiat  currency  deflation  deflationary  inflation  targeting  inflation  expectation  flat  world  globalization  globalisation  faultlines  infrastructure  investment  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  competitive  competitiveness  China  BRIC  Frontier  Markets  Developing  global  trade  macroeconomics  microeconomics  labour  market  labour  economics  21stcentury  Software  Is  Eating  The  algorithm  Robotics  automation  Niedriglohnsektor  lohndumping  Lohnzurückhaltung  disposable  income  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives 
november 2014 by asterisk2a
IWF-Treffen in Washington: Kritik an Geldpolitik von Draghi - SPIEGEL ONLINE
In der Tat sind es nicht mehr die Deutschen allein, die auf die Gefahren der dauerhaft niedrigen Zinsen hinweisen. Auch anderswo bekommt man ob der Billiggeldschwemme ein mulmiges Gefühl. Auf den Finanzmärkten würden die Investoren teilweise sehr hohe Risiken eingehen, warnt etwa Claudio Borio, Chefökonom der Bank für Internationalen Zahlungsgleich in Basel. In der Realwirtschaft, wo eigentlich investiert werden soll, seien die Unternehmen dagegen eher risikoscheu. Borio nennt das eine Störung im System. & bit.ly/1CdseYt
IMF  BIS  ZIRP  QE  NIRP  OMT  TLTRO  LTRO  monetary  transmission  mechanism  distortion  Richard  Koo  deleveraging  trust  trustagent  business  confidence  confidence  consumer  confidence  liquidity  trap  ECB  BOE  Fed  MarioDraghi  Germany  PIGS  faultlines  global  imbalances  structural  imbalance  Impediments  working  poor  underemployed  squeezed  middle  class  Demand  and  Supply  Lohnzurückhaltung  deflation  deflationary  stagflation  secular  stagnation  Europe  France  Sick  man  of  Europe  infrastructure  investment  BRIC  MINT  Frontier  Markets  Developing  World  Exportweltmeister  balance  sheet  recession  GFC  debtoverhang  Debt  Super  Cycle  economic  history  globalization  globalisation  disposable  income  flat  ABS  zombie  banks  zombie  consumer  UK  USA  lost  decade  lost  generation  Policy  Makers  education  fiscal  monetary  folly  error  complexity  unintended  consequences  academia  Taper  Gini  coefficient  income  inequality  income  mobility  downward  mobility  social  mobility  inequality  Super  Rich  1%  Bailout  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  banking 
october 2014 by asterisk2a
Digital Dark Matter: The Unseen Forces That Influence Innovation | TechCrunch
Christian Cantrell wrote a piece about the unseen forces that influence innovation and how it is similar to dark matter. Despite all we think we know about the nature of the universe, the overwhelming majority of the cosmos lies outside our current powers of observation, yet it profoundly affects everything. The same goes with the forces that influence innovation. // [...] Despite all we think we know about the nature of the universe, the overwhelming majority of the cosmos lies outside our current powers of observation, yet it profoundly affects everything. So it goes with the forces that influence innovation. [...] But it might also be true that we are entering a time when the wisdom of surrounding ourselves with yet more computers, cameras, and sensors is legitimately called into question[.]
innovation  creative  destruction  unknown  unkown  artificial  intelligence  AI  Robotics  Why  Software  Is  Eating  the  World  Software  Is  Eating  World  complexity  unknown  unknowns  blackswan  Black  Swan  disrupting  markets  disruption  autonomous  cars  self-driving  cars  Moore's  Law  IoT  Smarthome  technological  history  technological  progress  human  progress  Transhumanism  quantified  self  Philosophy  sociology 
october 2014 by asterisk2a
Mark Zuckerberg - I’m in Delhi, India for our first Internet.org...
reaching the next +2-3 billion people on their newly purchased, connected to the world - phones. Making them familiar with FB, Google and Co. The next +2-3 billion customers.
Internet.org  Facebook  Mark  Zuckerberg  Google  BRIC  MINT  Frontier  Markets  Africa  Wikipedia  Information  wants  to  be  free  Developing  World 
october 2014 by asterisk2a
Gesellschaft der Angst: Heinz Budes Befund zu Arbeit und Leben - SPIEGEL ONLINE
"Man glaubt, in jedem Moment mit seinem ganzen Leben zur Disposition zu stehen." Der Mensch sieht sich heute also immer kurz vor seiner Abwicklung. Unabhängig übrigens von Job und Gehalt. Bude spricht von "prekärer Privilegiertheit". Jeder steht immer kurz davor, alles zu verlieren. Oder er glaubt es zumindest. Das Aufstiegsversprechen, so der Autor, sei der Exlusionsandrohung gewichen. "Man wird nicht durch eine positive, sondern durch eine negative Botschaft bei der Stange gehalten." +!+!+!+ http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/personal-view/10633708/Downward-mobility-Lucy-Mangan-on-the-fall-of-the-middle-class.html
book  fear  Existenzangst  self-employment  Precariat  precarious  work  underemployed  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  fairness  Gerechtigkeit  society  culture  status  symbol  socioeconomic  status  social  status  status  anxiety  sociology  psychology  Media  Entschleunigung  class  warfare  poverty  social  mobility  income  mobility  downward  mobility  hartz-iv  American  Dream  crony  capitalism  capitalism  Auswechselwirtschaft  disruption  disrupting  markets  flat  world  globalization  globalisation  security  social  security  job  security  competitiveness  profit  maximisation  Unbeschwertheit  Angstgesellschaft  anxiety  Future  of  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  unintended  consequences  uncertainty  middle  class 
september 2014 by asterisk2a
Sascha Lobo: Sharing Economy wie bei Uber ist Plattform-Kapitalismus - SPIEGEL ONLINE
S.P.O.N. - Die Mensch-Maschine: Auf dem Weg in die Dumpinghölle. Der Konflikt um den Fahrdienst Uber illustriert einen globalen Trend. Was oft als Sharing Economy bezeichnet wird, ist in Wirklichkeit ein euphemistisch benannter Aspekt einer neuen digitalen Wirtschaftsordnung: des Plattform-Kapitalismus. +!+!+!+ https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=8347583 - The Demons Of On-Demand +!+!+!+ Legal challenges could threaten the business models of the on-demand startups relying on independent contractors. Does Silicon Valley Have a Contract-Worker Problem? — An examination of tech's favorite labor model. "t's simply the digital middleman [...] fewer people [will] have traditional full-time or part-time jobs as a result. [...] "Perpetual, hourly employment is often deeply inefficient for all parties involved," (CAPITALISM SAYS) [... vs MyClean using Employee Structure, Controlling usr experience] - nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2014/09/silicon-valleys-contract-worker-problem.html +!+!+!+
Uber  Lyft  self-employment  contractor  commoditization  commodity  business  on-demand  Share  Economy  sharing  Services  Industry  service  service  TaskRabbit  Homejoy  Washio  BloomThat  Shyp  freelance  freelancing  marketplace  efficiencies  marketplace  marketplace  inefficiencies  managed-service  overhead  profit  maximisation  capitalism  Precariat  precarious  work  Niedriglohn  Niedriglohnsektor  minimum  wage  job  security  21stcentury  flat  world  globalization  globalisation  productivity  disrupting  markets  disruption  labour  economics  labour  market  Postmates  Spoonrocket  DoorDash  1099  1099-MISC  regulation  health  insurance  insurance  user  experience  sustainability  sustainable  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  Brand  MyClean  Munchery  Sprig  MakeSpace  W-2  employment  underemployed  working  poor  minimumwage  mindestlohn  Alfred  differentiation  differentiate  customer  experience  product  experience  shared  experience  offline  experience  Silicon  Valley  corporate  values  corporate  culture  Instacart  USA  UK  convenience  disposable  income  Start-Up  lesson  Start-Up  advice 
september 2014 by asterisk2a
Uber Hires Uber-Lobbyist For European Expansion - Digits - WSJ
The company hired Mark MacGann, the former head of government affairs and public advocacy for exchange group NYSE Euronext in Brussels. MacGann updated his LinkedIn profile to include the new job, and confirmed the appointment in a message to the Journal. MacGann, a 20-year lobbying veteran, has been appointed head of public policy for Europe, the Middle East and Africa. He left NYSE Euronext in May after four years at the firm. MacGann’s appointment comes after Uber hired David Plouffe, a key strategist behind president Barack Obama’s two presidential campaigns. The firm’s chief executive Travis Kalanick said in a blog post in August that Plouffe had been hired to oversee global policy, communications and branding at Uber.
Uber  Lobbying  lobbyist  lobby  disrupting  markets  disruption  capitalism  liberalism  neoliberal  neoliberalism  Travis  Kalanick  marketplace  inefficiencies  Share  Economy  Europe 
september 2014 by asterisk2a
The Case For Intelligent Failure To Invent The Future | TechCrunch
The future will not be like the past. The future will be built by those who will take risks and action to invent the world they want. [...] Over the years, I have developed great skepticism toward so-called experts and pontificators who seem authoritative in forecasting and create an illusion of knowing based on very little actual expertise. [...] I have experienced the power of doers, the chaotic and naïve world of optimistic entrepreneurs who just try things, admit mistakes, fail, learn, iterate, try again and find solutions – often out of necessity. Accepting, even encouraging, the right kind of failure is the best way to discover the solution to our problems and close the resource gap. Learning by engaging, iterating and persisting, rather than pursuing academic studies or writing papers, seem to be the major drivers of change. [...] The biggest risk we can take is to not take any risks at all. [...] we need the impossible to bridge our resource gap.
entrepreneurship  social  entrepreneurship  entrepreneurial  entrepreneur  Year  of  Code  innovation  innovator  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  knowledge  worker  knowledge  economy  destruction  disrupting  markets  disruption  marketplace  inefficiencies  marketplace  efficiencies  finite  resources  Tesla  Motors  renewable  energy  energy  security  resource  depletion  Elon  Musk  failure  culture  society  Silicon  Valley  Start-Up  lesson  Start-Up  advice 
september 2014 by asterisk2a
BBC News - Uber banned in Germany by Frankfurt court
http://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/soziales/uber-und-airbnb-ethik-der-share-economy-a-988612.html "Dienste wie der Taxischreck Uber und der Bettenvermittler AirBnB stellen den Konsumenten vor schwierige ethische Abwägungen. Ist diese neue Kultur des Teilens jetzt gut - oder doch verwerflich? Vom Versuch, eine Haltung zu entwickeln. [...] Wenn Firmen andere Firmen mit besseren Produkten plattmachen, dann geht das schon in Ordnung. Wenn sie nur billiger als die Konkurrenz sind, weil sie auf Sicherheit und Hygiene pfeifen, dann ist das schon nicht mehr so sympathisch. Es erinnert vielmehr an Pferdefleischpanscherei und Hungerlohnfabriken in Kambodscha. [...] Die neuen Plattformen untergraben zudem das Arbeitsrecht. Wer über Dienste wie Uber und AirBnB seinen Lebensunterhalt bestreitet, dem droht eine prekäre Solo-Selbstständigkeit ohne Tariflohn, Arbeits- und Gesundheitsschutz. Reiner Hoffmann, der Chef des Deutschen Gewerkschaftsbunds, spricht von "moderner Sklaverei"." +!! bit.ly/1qxEsrt
Uber  Germany  ethical  machine  capitalism  exploitation  sharing  economy  Services  Industry  service  economy  service  convenience  commoditization  commodity  business  marketplace  efficiencies  marketplace  inefficiencies  marketplace  disrupting  markets  disruption  Share  liberal  liberalism  self-regulation  regulation  oversight  workers  rights  self-employment  social  security  uncertainty  Consumerism  consumerist  moral  moral  beliefs  morality 
september 2014 by asterisk2a
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