asterisk2a + marginal   99

Künstliche Intelligenz: Ökonomen lehnen Robotersteuer ab - DIE WELT
Mit einer Robotersteuer wollen manche die Maschinen menschlichen Arbeitnehmern gleichstellen. Ökonomen halten die Idee für einen Irrweg. Der technische Fortschritt lasse sich nicht aufhalten.
technological  unemployment  Robotics  automation  winner  take  all  globalisation  globalization  multinational  free  trade  free  trade  agreement  conglomerate  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  crony  capitalism  capitalism  in  crisis  marginal  cost  Jeremy  Rifkin  Paul  Mason  post-capitalism  Higher  Education  Universal  Basic  Income  Grundeinkommen  structural  unemployment  long-term  unemployment 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Technological Unemployment (2013) w Jacque Fresco
wikipedia Jacque Fresco // MORE AI, automation, robotics, augmented intelligence, self-driving cars = LESS AGGREGATE DEMAND (disposable income of the middle class, working class & working poor) [...] productivity has risen but incomes NOT! [...] & companies are making more money for shareholders & owners with less & less people (see Facebook) [...] Industry doesnt care abt people. They hire people because it hasnt been yet automated. [...] A JOBLESS RECOVERY & JOBLESS GDP GROWTH [...] routine middle class jobs eliminated fastest! [...] pace of destruction is greater than pace of creation of new jobs! [...] ie Lawyer Software searching through files via augmented intelligence //&! Humans Need Not Apply - //&! Jerry Kaplan ((re)distribute wealth more equally -, Rifkin (Zero Marginal Cost), Paul Mason (post-capitalism) book //&! UBI a must in future - &! &!
technological  unemployment  aggregate  demand  aggregate  demand  short-fall  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  squeezed  middle  class  western  world  working  class  working  poor  Precariat  automation  Robotics  augmented  intelligence  self-driving  cars  autonomous  car  autonomous  cars  purchasing  power  wage  growth  inequality  income  distribution  Gini  coefficient  1%  10%  20%  winner  take  all  globalisation  globalization  neoliberal  neoliberalism  social  safety  net  Universal  Basic  shareholder  capitalism  crony  capitalism  capitalism  in  crisis  post-capitalism  triple-lock  pension  secular  stagnation  USA  UK  European  Union  Chicago  School  neoclassical  economics  Brexit  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  politician  Smart  Grid  Zero  Marginal  Cost  Jeremy  Rifkin  book  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  Industrial  Revolution  technological  progress  technological  history  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  Grundeinkommen  Paul  Mason  recovery  destruction  multinational  conglomerate  low  pay  minimum  wage  mindestlohn  Jerry  Kaplan  income  redistribution  income  growth  income  inequality  Support  income  tax  credit  welfare  reform  welfare  state  Elizabeth  Warren 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
German Banks Told To Start Hoarding Cash | Zero Hedge
In order to generate artificial economic growth, the ECB wants banks to make as many loans as possible, no matter how stupid or idiotic. They believe that economic growth is simply a function of loans. The more money that’s loaned out, the more the economy will grow. This is the sort of theory that works really well in an economic textbook. But it doesn’t work so well in a history textbook. Cheap money encourages risky behavior. It gives banks an incentive to give ‘no money down’ loans to homeless people with no employment history. It creates bubbles (like the housing bubble from 10 years ago), and ultimately, financial panics (like the banking crisis from 8 years ago). Banks are supposed to be conservative, responsible managers of other people’s money. When central bank policies penalize that practice, bad things tend to happen.
Richard  Koo  aggregate  demand  austerity  fiscal  policy  Pact  Schuldenbremse  economic  history  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion  financial  repression  hunt  for  yield  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  Venture  Capital  Mutual  Fund  Private  Equity  reflate  reflation  recovery  GFC  debtoverhang  liquidity  trap  zombie  banks  deleveraging  Debt  Super  Cycle  secular  stagnation  consumer  wage  stagnation  squeezed  middle  class  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  marginal  propensity  to  consume  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  oligarchy  plutocracy  Super  Rich  1%  household  car  loan  credit  card  student  loan  student  loan  student  Bubble  generation  rent  OMT  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  working  poor  precarious  work  Precariat  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  Leiharbeit  Zeitarbeit  Agenda  2010  low  pay  low  income  TLTRO  LTRO  monetary  transmission  mechanism  velocity  of  money 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
UK consumes far less than a decade ago – 'peak stuff' or something else? | Business | The Guardian
From crops to energy and metals, average material consumption fell from 15 tonnes in 2001 to just over 10 tonnes in 2013 [...] UK households have also abandoned buying many resource-intensive goods common in the recent past – such as metal-heavy video recorders and hi-fi systems, vinyl records, CDs and books – as they shift to digital consumption. [...] The figures will spark fresh speculation that Britain and other developed economies have hit ‘peak stuff’, although some critics pour scorn on the quality of the ONS’s environmental accounts. In January, Ikea said the appetite of western consumers for home furnishings had reached its peak and consumption of many familiar goods was at its limit. Household spending on physical goods, including furnishings, clothing, cars and gadgets, decreased between 2002/03 and 2014, [...] Households now spend more on services than physical goods, he said. [...] [ saturation in some markets but we are not living in peak stuff ]
peak  stuff  secular  stagnation  demographic  bubble  zombie  consumer  materialism  status  anxiety  consumerist  consumer  choice  consumerism  sustainability  sustainable  resource  depletion  finite  resources  consumer  debt  marginal  propensity  to  consume  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  household  debt  car  loan  credit  card  debt  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  StudentLoans  savings  rate  retirement  poverty  in  old  age  poverty  squeezed  middle  class  wage  stagnation  job  creation  low  pay  low  income  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  self-employment  working  poor  precarious  work  Precariat  capitalism  western  world  COP21  carbon  tax  carbonfootprint  carbonemission  sharing  economy  Service  Sector  Jobs  recycling 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Weltwirtschaft: Ökonomen halten Ende des Wachstums für unvermeidlich - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Weltwirtschaft: Ökonomen halten Ende des Wachstums für unvermeidlich [...] Ein Beispiel: Wenn das Bruttosozialprodukt eines Landes 10 Milliarden Euro beträgt und um eine Milliarde Euro wächst, dann entspricht das einer Steigerung von zehn Prozent. Wenn das BIP aber 1000 Milliarden Euro beträgt, dann müsste die Wirtschaft schon um 100 Milliarden Euro wachsen, um ein Wachstum von zehn Prozent zu schaffen. Wächst das BIP wie vorher um eine Milliarde Euro, entspricht das nur noch einer Steigerung von 0,1 Prozent. Die Wirtschaft wäre dann sozusagen ausgewachsen. Die alten Zeiten kehren nicht mehr zurück [...] Sollten die Ökonomen recht haben, hätte das für Staat und Sozialsysteme einschneidende Folgen: Die Planung von Bundeshaushalt oder Rentenkasse geht von einem Wachstum irgendwo zwischen ein und zwei Prozent pro Jahr aus. [...] Die Wirtschaft "unabhängiger vom Wachstum gestalten"
G20  George  Osborne  UK  austerity  Europe  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  Germany  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  secular  stagnation  Richard  Koo  aggregate  demand  budget  deficit  economic  history  finite  resources  resource  depletion  economic  growth  global  economy  policy  monetary  policy  policy  error  policy  folly  Japan  Abenomics  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  AI  artificial  intelligence  Robotics  self-driving  cars  autonomous  car  structural  unemployment  unemployment  long-term  unemployment  youth  unemployment  productivity  output  gap  squeezed  middle  class  Precariat  working  poor  low  pay  low  income  precarious  work  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  underinvestment  marginal  cost  competitiveness  energy  policy  energy  price  flat  world  borderless  globalization  globalisation  economics  of  abundance  post-capitalism  Larry  Summers  Gini  coefficient  inequality  Super  Rich  1%  plutocracy  oligarchy  democracy  social  democracy  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  trickle-down  economics  dogma  ideology  free  market  self-regulation  neoliberalism  neoliberal  education  policy  income  inequality  GDP  nominal  GDP  targeting  inflation  targeting  liquidity  trap  credit  bubble  distortion  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  USA 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
George Osborne warns of further spending cuts in Budget - BBC News
[ LOL! ] But recent figures showing the UK economy was smaller than expected meant savings must be found in his Budget statement on 17 March, he said. [...] Mr Osborne said he would rather look for extra cuts now than risk breaking his own manifesto commitment to achieve a surplus in the budget by the end of this Parliament. The chancellor did not completely rule out raising taxes in the event of a further slowdown in growth, but said that now was not the time for "significant" tax hikes. [...] I'm absolutely clear we've got to root our country in the principle that we live within our means and that we have economic security." [...] "whole purpose of our economic plan was to have a budget surplus. [...] we got big challenges at home to make the economy more productive even as more people get work. [ because having part of your budget in the property bubble is so productive ] [...] I will do what is required to keep our country safe and secure." [ NOT CHANGING PLANS ie U-TURN ]
UK  secular  stagnation  austerity  Richard  Koo  Japan  economic  history  dogma  ideology  IMF  OECD  ChristineLagarde  economists  Paul  Krugman  Joseph  Stiglitz  Robert  Reich  David  Cameron  Tories  nasty  party  recovery  aggregate  demand  Conservative  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Mark  Carney  BOE  City  of  London  HMRC  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  self-employment  corporate  tax  rate  Service  Sector  Jobs  working  poor  multiplier  precarious  work  Precariat  low  pay  low  income  tax  credit  housing  benefit  income-based  JSA  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  wage  stagnation  stagnation  DWP  Iain  Duncan  Smith  skills  gap  STEM  productivity  output  gap  Manufacturing  industrial  policy  neoliberalism  neoliberal  trickle-down  economics  Chicago  School  JohnMaynardKeynes  keynes  Keynesianism  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  European  Union  property  bubble  apprenticeships  value  creation  added  value  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  competitiveness  marginal  cost  energy  price  energy  policy  Hinkley  Point  C  nuclear  power  nuclear  waste  subsidies  subsidizing  corporate  welfare  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbyin 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Episode 064 — Disrupting Trump by ExponentFM
37:00 - people go to amazon. pipe of stuff // same w Netflix - pipe of entertainment / front door of entertainment // cost free, marginally no cost to expand // key is now discovery! // but suppliers have no choice. cost pressure. // aggregation theory // differentiation only from being irreplaceable. unique. focused. narrow. avoid go out of way of commoditization. price is dead. newspaper itself has been fractured, broken up. // amazon is default for consumers. // how would you build a business that fit into amazon? that still makes you successful? differentiate to the point where you get a direct connection to the consumer! << custom to order quote paintings and other!? Want to compete in a completely new arena! where things are not scalable. where people can't compete on price with you. no "low-end focus" // winner take all effects - monopsony - size leverage to command conditions. // 1:12:00 find a niche
Amazon  Prime  e-commerce  Netflix  economics  of  abundance  abundance  marginal  cost  long-tail  subscription  model  subscription  publishing  2.0  digital  publishing  self-publishing  newspaper  Print  is  Dead  Etsy  Marketplace  commodity  business  commoditization  differentiate  differentiation  Gary  Vaynerchuk  Start-up  of  You  lesson  advice  Retail  pure  play  oligopoly  oligopol  competitive  competitive  advantage  competitiveness  monopsony  Brand 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
As growth falters, Osborne hopes Mark Carney can keep a lid on interest rates | Business | The Guardian
The chancellor faces lower GDP and lower tax receipts as a result. So it’s vital that consumers’ desire to keep spending isn’t hit by a nasty shock from the Bank [ // Confidence Fairy // ] The Bank of England has downgraded its forecasts for the UK’s GDP growth and the outlook for wages, most likely robbing the exchequer of vital income tax receipts. And without the funds to maintain pensions and health service spending, his critics will gleefully play back the speech from last November during which he declared that Britain was on the road to becoming “the most prosperous and secure of all the major nations of the world”. [...] Yet his words ring hollow when so many of the post-crash problems are still with us, from the burden of high private and public debts to Europe’s rapidly ageing population, which encourage saving over investment, and a reluctance from government and big business to boost capital spending.
George  Osborne  secular  stagnation  2016  2015  Mark  Carney  BOE  consumer  debt  household  debt  mortgage  market  subprime  credit  card  debt  zombie  consumer  UK  GDP  output  gap  productivity  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  recovery  economic  history  austerity  underinvestment  business  investment  public  investment  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Richard  Koo  Paul  Krugman  David  Cameron  nasty  party  Conservative  Tories  short-termism  credit  bubble  debtoverhang  debt  servitude  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  marginal  propensity  to  consume  Funding  1%  financial  repression  New  Normal  constituency  babyboomers  oligarchy  Gini  coefficient  income  distribution  income  inequality  plutocracy  Super  Rich  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  income  growth  low  pay  low  income  wage  growth  economic  growth  precarious  work  Precariat  tax  credit  tax  free  income  corporate  tax  rate  minimum  wage  budget2015  Food  Bank  foreign  direct  investment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  demographic  bubble  western  world  USA  European  Union  ageing  population  CapEx  Capital  Expenditure  zombie  corporations  zombie  banks 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
More Evidence Supporting the House of Debt | House of Debt
Many have argued that we overstate the importance of housing and household debt in explaining the Great Recession and weak recovery. They point to the banking crisis, policy uncertainty, or excessive regulation as equally or even more important. The data released today by the BEA show pretty clearly that the arguments we make in House of Debt remain relevant for thinking about economic weakness today. In our view, the explanation we provide is the most consistent with the striking difference in consumption across states. // From Comments: Without real median income rising you can’t grow in an economy based on debt expansion
secular  stagnation  consumer  debt  mortgage  market  household  debt  USA  UK  recovery  GFC  credit  card  debt  debt  servitude  debtoverhang  Richard  Koo  student  loan  debt  Super  Cycle  student  debt  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  private  debt  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  book  marginal  propensity  to  consume  consumerist  consumerism  zombie  consumer  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  negative  equity  job  creation  precarious  work  Precariat  low  pay  low  income  Service  Sector  Jobs  job-creation  squeezed  middle  class  Elizabeth  Warren  income  distribution  inequality  Gini  coefficient  income  mobility  social  mobility  American  Dream  post-racial  America  Joseph  Stiglitz  Thomas  Piketty  Paul  Krugman  part-time  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  income  growth  income  inequality  economic  history  Super  Rich  1%  austerity  oligarchy  plutocracy  fiscal  stimulus  budget  deficit  corporate  welfare  tax  avoidance  tax  evasion  corporate  tax  rate  subsidies  subsidizing  welfare  state  social  safety  net  western  world  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Chicago  School  credit  bubble  liquidity  trap  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Masters in Business: Yale Professor Robert Shiller (Audio) by Bloomberg View
history has proven again, markets are not efficient long-term // psychology is disreputable in econ department. // cognitive dissonance - justifying X action by looking around ... / Efficient-market hypothesis is a hypothesis for a reason; "it's a half-truth" "sometimes market moves don't reflect market news." // irrational exuberance // book fooled by randomness // 24:00 eugene phama - markets are very efficient, prices reflect all the knowledge out there, just buy the index, don't try to beat the market. buy passive index // don't play poker with your life savings. << robert shiller // 30:00 look at politics science, sociology, psychology - influence markets, people. broader disciplines. economists disregard them. // finance is about manage risk! about being a productive society and progress, and not suffer from boom and bust cycle! + financing activities ie VC gov supported R&D // & gov being a support pillar for all and not picking winners, can't forecast the future!
free  market  marketplace  efficiencies  marketplace  inefficiencies  efficient-market  hypothesis  complexity  human  Wall  Street  crowd  herd  herding  speculative  bubbles  distortion  economic  history  GFC  subprime  book  Robert  Shiller  robertshiller  behavioral  finance  behavioral  economics  finance  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  corporate  tax  rate  R&D  Venture  Capital  Angel  Investor  Seed  Round  risk  pension  fund  pension  obligation  401k  public  pension  pension  scheme  pension  marginal  propensity  to  consume  plutocracy  Super  Rich  1%  Greed  oligarchy  self-regulation  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  negative  equity  boom  &  bust  secular  stagnation  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
"Go Butler": So will das deutsche Start-up in den USA überleben - SPIEGEL ONLINE
"Ich habe keine Ahnung, wie die je profitabel werden wollen" [...] Andere Concierge-Services haben sich vom Gute-Fee-Modell bereits verabschiedet: Der amerikanische Konkurrent Magic verlangt seit Kurzem die happige Gebühr von 100 Dollar für jede Stunde, die seine "Magicians" an der Wunscherfüllung arbeiten. [ 61 Minutes] Heute verdient das Unternehmen 70 bis 80 Prozent seines Umsatzes mit Firmenkunden. Eine Beratungsfirma etwa lässt "Sixtyone Minutes" ihre gehetzten Consultants von lästigem Alltagskram entlasten. [ < marginal propensity 2 consume higher as cost of time is higher! ie business consultants, researchers, executives and directors ]
personal  assistant  Facebook  augmented  intelligence  AI  Google  Now  on  Tap  Google  Now  artificial  intelligence  Google  Search  mobile  homescreen  business  model  marginal  cost  margin  marginal  propensity  to  consume  Siri  Facebook  Messenger  Apple  Google  Inc.  Microsoft  Cortana  Go  Butler  Berlin  Start-Up  Scene 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
The roof is being fixed but beware the house crashing beneath it | Business | The Guardian
Consumer spending is driving economic growth but household debt and the house price-income ratio is at a record high. Be afraid [...] It is worth recalling that when Osborne became chancellor five and a half years ago that he had two big objectives. The first was to repair the hole in the public finances, which is still very much a work in progress. The other was to shift the centre of gravity of the economy back towards making things for export. This remains a pipedream. [...] Despite the welcome pickup in business investment, the main driver of growth has been consumer spending, which has been boosted by low interest rates, the fall in inflation caused by lower oil prices, and a modest acceleration in earnings. [...] “not the ideal shape for the recovery” and it can say that again. The current recovery looks like all the previous recoveries. [...] “Fast-rising household debt is needed to maintain a reasonable rate of growth in consumers’ spending and GDP in a world of austerity ...
household  debt  consumer  debt  zombie  consumer  recovery  credit  card  debt  credit  card  materialism  status  anxiety  USA  UK  Super  Cycle  debtoverhang  mortgage  market  Housing  Crisis  debt  servitude  NPL  property  bubble  speculative  bubbles  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  BOE  Buy-to-Let  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Right  to  Buy  student  loan  debt  debt  bubble  student  debt  private  debt  economic  growth  GFC  fiscal  policy  austerity  industrial  policy  underinvestment  productive  investment  competitive  competitiveness  George  Osborne  dogma  ideology  neoliberalism  neoliberal  David  Cameron  Tories  nasty  party  Conservative  economic  history  energy  policy  energy  price  STEM  Manufacturing  diversity  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomic  policy  Amber  Rudd  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  secular  stagnation  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  consumerist  consumerism  trickle-down  economics  status  symbol  market  affordable  social  budget2015  marginal  propensity  to  consume  Precariat  tax  credit 
december 2015 by asterisk2a
COP21: UK under fire on climate policy - BBC News
Allegations of hypocrisy will be levelled at the UK when the Climate Secretary Amber Rudd appears at the Paris climate summit on Monday. [...] Most recently Mr Osborne scrapped a £1bn fund for a demonstration plant to capture CO2 from a power station and store it underground. It was a major pillar of UK climate policy. Craig Bennett from Friends of the Earth said: "The government is totally hypocritical on climate change. "George Osborne's anti-environmental policy decisions on energy fly the opposite way to the low-carbon route the vast majority of other countries are pursuing. // also hypocrisy to cut renewable's and investment (increase future energy price, see Steel industry; wholesale price 1/3 higher than Germany, in Germany steel companies did not close shop. They complained too. but did not close shop.) and on the other hand say only austerity will strengthen economy and a strong economy guarantees a strong NHS.
COP21  Amber  Rudd  energy  price  energy  policy  austerity  climate  change  global  warming  renewable  energy  UK  budget2015  underinvestment  Smart  Grid  infrastructure  investment  competitiveness  competitive  competition  industrial  policy  marginal  cost  solar  energy  wind  energy  energy  security  hypocrisy  Tories  nasty  party  Generationengerechtigkeit  NHS  dogma  ideology  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  constituency  babyboomers  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  EEG  Umlage  Germany  trickle-down  economics  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  recovery 
december 2015 by asterisk2a
Sturgeon does not rule out steel plants public ownership - BBC News
// gov has never been good about picking industries. // how about investing to lower energy prices, that is not nuclear? --- making the whole industries more competitive in world markets. lowering marginal cost across the board. also for consumers. stupid!
corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  corporate  scandal  Public  Policy  Hinkley  Point  C  renewable  energy  solar  energy  wind  energy  energy  Policy  Makers  Career  Politicians  short-term  short-term  view  energy  security  energy  price  economics  of  abundance  marginal  cost  constituency  Tories  budget2015  budget  deficit  Conservative  Party  nasty  underinvestment  productive  investment  industrial  competitive  competitiveness  STEM  Research  R&D  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  Toff  Privileged  Establishment  dogma  ideology  neoliberalism  neoliberal  fossil  fuel  carbon  tax  carbon  trading  scheme  carbonfootprint  carbonemission  emissions 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Tax credits: SNP and Conservative MPs clash over government cuts - YouTube
Natalie McGarry, the SNP's shadow disabilities spokesperson, and Conservative MP Chris Philp, a member of the Treasury Select Committee, debate the government's tax credit cuts.
tax  credit  child  tax  credit  working  tax  credit  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  child  poverty  poverty  poverty  trap  food  poverty  dogma  ideology  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  welfare  state  corporate  welfare  tax  avoidance  tax  evasion  fairness  crony  capitalism  capitalism  income  distribution  income  redistribution  marginal  propensity  to  consume  austerity  democracy  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  social  contract  SNP  Devolution  bedroom  tax  class  warfare  low  pay  job  creation  skills  gap  Gini  coefficient  income  mobility  social  mobility  social  safety  net  Westminster  education  policy  post  code  lottery  deprivation  Perspective  Perspektivlosigkeit  recovery  job  market  labour  market  labour  economics  Service  Sector  Jobs  Niedriglohnsektor  precarious  work  Precariat  general  election  2020  working  poor  secular  stagnation  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  minimum  wage  income  growth  low  income  Sozialer  Abstieg  kalte  Progression  coldprogression  2015  productivity  output  gap  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  DWP  vulnerable  Disabled  NHS  Police  Services  Public  Services  GFC  bank  bailout  budget  deficit  corporate  tax  rate  subsidies  subsidizing  short-term  constituency 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Why too much choice is stressing us out | Life and style | The Guardian
From jeans to dating partners and TV subscriptions to schools, we think the more choices we have the better. But too many options create anxiety and leave us less satisfied. Could one answer lie in a return to the state monopolies of old?
materialism  consumer  choice  paradox  paradox  of  choice  zombie  consumer  consumerist  consumerism  Positioning  marketing  shopping  Dopamine  Serotonin  substance  abuse  credit  card  debt  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  western  society  western  world  western  lifestyle  status  anxiety  Mindfulness  happiness  well  being  self-regulation  self-actualization  self-awareness  self-respect  status  symbol  Selbstdarstellung  aspirational  product  advertisement  advertising  sociology  psychology  Wegwerfgesellschaft  Gesellschaft  Wertegesellschaft  society  marginal  propensity  to  consume  minimalismus  minimalism  Fashion  Industry  Fast  Fashion 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Nuclear Power: Burke on Hinkley Point, EDF and China - BBC News
Adds 1bn£ for consumers to energy bills, an expensive dogmatic folly by mercenaries. //&! UK energy wholesale energy price twice that of Germany - //&! The coming era of unlimited — and free — clean energy via // A highlight of Chancellor George Osborne's visit to China was the announcement of £2bn of Chinese investment for a nuclear power station at Hinkley Point. But critics point to progress at other EDF projects, and doubt the Somerset scheme can be built on time and on budget. In a personal film, the chairman of environmental think tank E3G Tom Burke claims it would be "a very bad deal for Britain" - for both the environment and taxpayers - describing it as an "expensive folly". //&! "sheer folly" &! about people living there - &! why would edf sell some of its stake? EDF was only one left 2 agree 2 build it 4 a price X after all other bidders backed out - &!
Hinkley  Point  C  energy  policy  energy  price  energy  security  UK  renewable  energy  budget2015  solar  energy  wind  energy  Smart  Grid  nasty  party  Tories  Conservative  industrial  policy  STEM  R&D  Research  David  Cameron  general  election  2020  George  Osborne  recovery  competitive  competitiveness  EEG  Umlage  Germany  Revolution  2.0  green  energy  marginal  cost  economics  of  abundance 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Robots are coming for your job. That might not be bad news
The problem with automation isn’t technology. The problem is capitalism. // [ Deflationary pressure, 3bn people in developing world and frontier markets unemployed, waiting to join workforce. ] [ who buys the gadgets and widgets when half the world is unemployed ] // This time, as Martin Ford argues in Rise of The Robots, education and upscaling won’t help us. There will simply be fewer jobs to go around, as everything from accountancy to journalism will be done faster, cheaper and more efficiently by machines. The result, as Jerry Kaplan agrees in Humans Need Not Apply, is that billions will be left destitute – unless we radically rethink our way of keeping people fed.
Software  Is  Eating  The  World  Robotics  automation  Marketplace  efficiencies  commodity  business  commoditization  mobile  homescreen  capitalism  Gini  coefficient  income  distribution  Super  Rich  Commanding  Heights  1%  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Creatives  Creative  freelancing  freelance  Universal  Basic  corporate  welfare  welfare  state  social  safety  net  tax  free  income  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  job  creation  6-hour  work  day  4-day  work  week  Robert  Skidelsky  leisure  time  burnout  chronic  stress  deflationary  technological  history  technological  progress  secular  stagnation  Niall  Ferguson  crony  capitalism  exploitation  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  inequality  income  inequality  capital  gains  tax  capital  gains  democracy  precarious  work  Precariat  working  poor  low  income  low  pay  globalisation  globalization  flat  borderless  free  trade  trade  agreement  TTIP  TPP  TISA  squeezed  middle  class  Sozialer  Abstieg  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  Sozialpolitik  worklife  Future  of  Workers  Union  underemployed  Thomas  Piketty  Robert  Reich  Joseph  Stiglitz  part-time  job  security  job  market  labour  economics  labour  market  Minijob  book  Policy  Makers  revolving  door  social  social  social  tax  economics  of 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
UK productivity lags behind rest of G7 - BBC News
"Since the economic downturn, productivity growth has slowed in most developed economies, but by more in the UK than the average." The Chancellor, George Osborne, pledged in July to take steps to encourage more long-term investment in infrastructure and by businesses to boost productivity. Howard Archer, chief UK economist at IHS Global Insight, said British productivity had been held back since the financial crisis by the creation of lots of low-skilled, low-paid jobs where productivity is limited. However, Institute of Directors chief economist James Sproule said that UK firms should focus on "agility" rather than productivity. "The economy of the future looks set to be dominated not by big companies, but by fast, agile, quick-moving and reactive ones," he said. "The firms that can respond to consumer demands most effectively and bring new products and services to market will reap the rewards."
UK  productivity  recovery  output  gap  western  world  secular  stagnation  deflationary  deflation  Niall  Ferguson  competitive  competitiveness  BRIC  education  policy  job  market  job  creation  Niedriglohnsektor  Service  Sector  Jobs  precarious  work  Precariat  working  poor  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  income  distribution  income  growth  low  income  Gini  coefficient  income  mobility  social  mobility  inequality  poverty  trap  austerity  business  confidence  business  investment  budget2015  differentiate  differentiation  vocational  education  professional  education  Future  of  Software  Is  Eating  The  marginal  cost  marginal  propensity  to  consume  trickle-down  economics  economics  of  abundance  underinvestment  infrastructure  investment  STEM  Research  R&D  labour  market  manual  labour  Tories  Conservative  Party  macroprudential  policy  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Weltwirtschaft: BIZ warnt vor Krediten in Schwellenländern - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Die Bank für Internationalen Zahlungsausgleich sieht Alarmzeichen für Banken in vielen Schwellenländern. Die Kreditvergabe in China, Brasilien oder der Türkei habe ein bedrohliches Verhältnis angenommen, warnt die Notenbank. // &! Die Welt steuert auf den Bankrott zu (QE trap): Eine vorläufige Antwort: Das tieferliegende Problem besteht darin, dass sich die Weltwirtschaft insgesamt auf den Bankrott zubewegt - und das wird umso schneller gehen, je höher die Zinsen sind und je niedriger die Preissteigerungsraten.
BIS  credit  bubble  2015  China  BRIC  NPL  shadow  banking  junk  bond  creditrating  banking  crisis  excess  reserves  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  hot-money  currency-war  currency  debasement  currency  war  centralbanks  economic  history  hunt  for  yield  FOMO  speculative  bubbles  FX  reserves  Turkey  Brazil  Developing  World  Fed  distortion  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  Raghuram  Rajan  BOE  BOJ  Abenomics  PBOC  ECB  emerging  market  emerging  middle  class  AIIB  Asia  South  Africa  Latin  America  deflationary  deflation  secular  stagnation  western  Niall  Ferguson  globalization  globalisation  wage  stagnation  disposable  income  income  distribution  income  inequality  income  growth  income  mobility  income  gap  wage  growth  GFC  recovery  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  austerity  Pact  European  Union  UK  USA  Richard  Koo  Joseph  Stiglitz  Paul  Krugman  dogma  ideology  Fed  mandate  inflation  targeting  New  Normal  bond  bubble  QE  trap  liquidity  trap  reflate  reflation  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  property  bubble  capital  allocation  QT  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  trickle-down  economics  marginal  cost  economics  of  abundance  digital  economy  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  World  Bank  IMF  savings  glut  faultlines  structural  imbalance  Impediments  Super  Cycle  debt  ser 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
RICHARD KOO: 'Struggle between markets and central banks has only just begun' - Business Insider
… much of the rise in share prices and fall in currency values under QE were nothing more than liquidity-driven phenomena divorced from real economy fundamentals. Now that an end to QE is in sight, it is time for a correction. Fed Chair Janet Yellen’s remarks several months ago about elevated stock market valuations were most likely a reference to this bubble. A correction of some kind was inevitable as the Fed moved to normalize monetary policy. However, it still needed a trigger, and that was provided by China. [...] “The market gyrations of the last two months represent just the beginning of the QE trap”, says Koo.
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
FED Impact on Tech: Bloomberg West (Full Show 9/18) - YouTube
16:40 - how to consume amazon offerings!? via their platform, silo. closed. drm. // distribution model - for prime - lock-in - convenience - less friction. // "Kids don't care much about quality." // taking share of media consumption. // compelling offering - music, series, streaming, e-commerce, gaming, ... // it's not about entry point to access, lowering the price point of entry for the consumption device and the subscription of amazon prime in aggregate - and lock the consumer in. the aggressive price is an attack strategy (opening up/diversifying the price point) of the distribution model to grow the prime business. //
Amazon  Amazon  Prime  distribution  model  subscription  model  business  model  marginal  cost  Kindle  Tablet  phablet  iPad  Platform  DRM  Hardware  Entertainment  utility  Amazon  Dash  Button  e-commerce  pure  play  Escapeism  Gaming  Netflix  Apple  Music  Spotify  HBO  original  programming  Top  Gear  House  of  Cards  Television  TV  cable  provider  iPad  Pro  differentiate  differentiation  business  strategy  Cash  Cow  Jeff  Bezos  AWS  market  share  Walmart  monopsony  duopoly 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
The Fed has to deal with its own zombie apocalypse
"However, there are pockets of greater weakness like these zombie companies. These pockets are likely to see some more turbulence than overall conditions. Some companies definitely will go out of business." It isn't just the zombies, though, that should worry about higher rates. Corporate America overall has been piling on the debt, which grew 8.3 percent in the second quarter, according to figures the Fed released Friday. [...] Michael Contopoulos, high-yield strategist at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, said the high-yield space is a mess no matter what the Fed does. Global economic weakness and deteriorating fundamentals are making it increasingly harder for the Fed to underwrite junk debt through a zero funds rate. [...] Earnings for junk companies have been "incredibly weak," [...] "leverage is at all-time highs" while "defaults and downgrades are creeping into the market." [...] the issues with high-yield could be more secular in nature.
zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  Junk  Bond  Taper  Fed  Fed  mandate  USA  Richard  Koo  interest  payments  bubble  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  unconventional  monetary  policy  unintended  consequences  distortion  unknown  unkown  complexity  QT  2015  China  credit  bubble  BRIC  monetary  policy  monetary  transmission  mechanism  liquidity  trap  liquidity  squeeze  credit  ratings  secular  stagnation  western  world  refinancing  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  corporate  debt  leverage  margin  trading  reflate  reflation  productivity  UK  Europe  output  gap  competitive  competition  globalization  globalisation  borderless  flat  world  New  Normal  economic  history  trickle-down  economics  marginal  cost  economics  of  abundance 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Is Global Economic Doubt Behind the Unchanged Rate? - YouTube // much higher $ already put ~25bps on US domestic market. // Fed is a risk manager now // labour market got a check mark, but not inflation bc of tech, stronger$ (taper anticipation), commodities lower, further deflationary pressures (retail price fighting 4 increase like4like sales), globalisation (competition), secular stagnation (continued low growth in western world, lower aggregate demand overall, lower baseline), consumer unable 2pickup where it threw in hat (deleveraging, no savings, debt overhang household, consumer). A new normal of growth of ~3% (give/take) globally aggregate & western wrld (2-2.5%, EU aggregate even lower). In this world, THERE WILL BE NO INFLATION PRESSURE (2% or higher, &3bn ppl free labour wrldwide) IN THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE AS THE REAL ECONOMY 4 EVERY DAY FOLK DOESNT REFLECT REFLATED ASSET PRICES via QE, ZIRP, credit bubbles arnd world enabled by central banks. &! &! &!
Taper  Fed  Fed  mandate  2015  inflation  expectation  inflation  targeting  Janet  Yellen  participation  rate  employment  underemployed  full  employment  unemployment  structural  unemployment  USA  China  BRIC  credit  bubble  complexity  global  economy  New  Normal  hunt  for  yield  asset  allocation  asset  bubble  reflate  reflation  equity  bubble  property  bubble  BIS  centralbanks  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  distortion  secular  stagnation  western  world  Richard  Koo  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  debtoverhang  private  debt  household  debt  consumer  debt  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  debt  servitude  marginal  propensity  to  consume  Super  Rich  1%  faultlines  savings  glut  Impediments  structural  imbalance  inequality  Gini  coefficient  income  distribution  income  growth  low  income  disposable  income  income  inequality  income  mobility  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  UK  BOE  squeezed  middle  class  job  creation  job  security  labour  market  recovery  policy  response  fiscal  policy  austerity  Schuldenbremse  Pact  monetary  policy  monetary  transmission  mechanism  excess  reserves  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  business  investment  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Jim Grant: The Fed Turned the Stock Market Into a 'Hall of Mirrors' - YouTube
- bull market in equities not reflective of real fundamentals on the side of the consumer (aggregate demand, marginal propensity to consume). can not pick up the tab. inequality also does not help.
equity  bubble  frothy  distortion  USA  Fed  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  credit  bubble  BRIC  BOE  ECB  excess  reserves  correction  2015  BOJ  reflate  reflation  Abenomics  hunt  for  yield  recovery  GFC  Taper  FOMO  asset  allocation  capital  allocation  behavioral  finance  behavioral  economics  fiscal  policy  austerity  western  world  developed  world  secular  stagnation  disposable  income  income  distribution  income  growth  low  income  income  gap  consumer  confidence  business  confidence  business  investment  underinvestment  hot-money  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  currency-war  currency  debasement  currency  war  property  bubble  Richard  Koo  monetary  stimulus  monetary  policy  fiat  currency  monetary  transmission  mechanism  liquidity  trap  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Europe  UK  Japan  Germany  marginal  propensity  to  consume  consumer  debt  household  debt  job  creation  job  security  working  poor  inequality  Gini  coefficient  Sozialer  Abstieg  squeezed  middle  class  precarious  work  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  income  inequality  income  mobility  Super  Rich  1%  bank  bailout  banking  crisis  sovereign  debt  crisis  Polarisation  Career  Politicians  dogma  ideology  crony  capitalism 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Brazil's downgrade | Authers' Note - YouTube
- 6 killer apps not yet properly installed. - // and still dependent on western world demand! aggregate demand via western consumer. // credit bubble and ZIRP/NIRP/QE has run its way largely // private sector could not pick up recovery. no appetite. same for SME SMB mittelstand. excess reserves not lend out because the horse has to drink by itself, can't make the drink. // especially when it has no means to served future credit interest payment coupons and principal repayment with no income growth! for decades. // inequality huts, middle class destoryed. - Career Politicans, Fear, polarisation, inequality, gini coefficient, zeit arbeit, leiharbeit, self-employment, working conditions, ...sozialer abstieg, squeezed middle class, ... insecurity, cloudy future, richard koo: austerity isn't helping!
Brazil  BRIC  Developing  World  China  credit  bubble  Latin  America  India  Russia  South  Africa  2015  Niall  Ferguson  NiallFerguson  recovery  GFC  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  distortion  emerging  middle  class  western  aggregate  demand  Supply  and  and  Supply  economic  history  Richard  Koo  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  theory  globalization  globalisation  hunt  for  yield  FOMO  frothy  correction  equity  bubble  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  property  bubble  asset  allocation  capital  allocation  hot-money  currency-war  currency  debasement  currency  war  Fed  BOE  BOJ  Abenomics  ECB  PBOC  banking  crisis  bank  bailout  austerity  UK  USA  Europe  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  policy  consolidation  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  income  growth  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  low  income  job  creation  labour  market  wage  growth  secular  stagnation  wage  stagnation  income  distribution  Super  Rich  1%  marginal  propensity  to  consume  consumer  debt  household  debt  business  investment  business  confidence  global  trade  global  economy  global  imbalances  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  underemployed  participation  rate  productivity  output  gap  macroeconomic  policy  policy  job  microeconomi 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Public Lecture by Professor Niall Ferguson 2013-04-09 - YouTube
[6 Killer Apps - ] Degeneration and Regeneration after the GFC // interlude: Margaret Thatcher, the power of ideas in public office, in politics: Nature of freedom, economic freedom & other freedoms. Hayek & Adam Smith // The Great Degeneration (new Book 2013). Theme: The role of institutions in the creation and preservation of freedom. // GFC = "The slight depression." Avoided Great Depression like scenario by policy response (reflation) different to previous history. Talks abt equity market levels back 2 pre-2007 levels. EQUITY/(financial) ASSET PRICES. Bank Bailout! But NOT reached (real economy) escape velocity! Proper recovery! Under Keynes it should be an admission of defeat (bc lack of fiscal stimulus)! Is a sub-plot in the story of western decline! Great reconvergence of west & the rest of the world. // &! &! importance of civil institutions - &! &!
NiallFerguson  Niall  Ferguson  Margaret  Thatcher  economic  history  political  economy  GFC  recovery  credit  bubble  book  Adam  Smith  adamsmith  austerity  ideology  dogma  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  USA  UK  China  history  social  contract  social  cohesion  social  tension  socialism  capitalism  crony  capitalism  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Privatisation  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  hayek  reflate  reflation  Fed  ECB  BOJ  BOE  Makers  BIS  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  bank  bailout  sovereign  debt  crisis  banking  crisis  zombie  banks  excess  reserves  liquidity  trap  monetary  transmission  mechanism  M3  business  confidence  Taper  2015  secular  stagnation  stagnation  wage  growth  income  growth  economic  growth  global  trade  global  economy  globalization  global  imbalances  globalisation  flat  world  borderless  liquidity  JohnMaynardKeynes  keynes  Keynesianism  fiscal  stimulus  aggregate  demand  marginal  propensity  to  consume  zombie  consumer  consumer  debt  Richard  Koo  private  debt  debtoverhang  deleveraging  household  debt  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  developed  world  western  world  squeezed  middle  class  disposable  income  income  distribution  inequality  Gini  coefficient  BRIC  emerging  middle  class  emerging  market  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Developing  Frontier  Markets  inflation  inflation  business  targetin 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Consumed: How We Buy Class in Modern Britain: Harry Wallop: 9780007457106: Books
[ abuse of human condition, evolution ] he argues that our social standing in today's society is no longer determined by the accent you speak with, the school you attended, or your parents. Rather, it is determined by the food we eat, our choice of holiday destination, the clothes we wear, the size of the TV we sit in front of, and whether you use a plug-in air freshener or a smelly candle. // &! Enough: Breaking Free from the World of Excess Paperback (2009) by John Naish // &! No Logo by Naomi Klein //&! The Tyranny of Choice - Renata Salecl //&! The Paradox of Choice: Why More Is Less - Barry Schwartz //&! The Art Of Choosing: The Decisions We Make Everyday of our Lives, What They Say About Us and How We Can Improve Them - Sheena Iyengar // &! Essentialism: The Disciplined Pursuit of Less (Greg McKeown) // &! September 2015 Wish list // &! essentialism, simplicity, minimalism, minimalismus, and tim ferriss >> decision fatigue
status  anxiety  status  symbol  status  quo  socioeconomic  status  social  status  identity  visual  identity  labels  label  boxes  snap  judgement  Alain  de  Botton  book  materialism  consumer  choice  consumerism  consumerist  consumer  zombie  consumer  closetphile  marketing  reframing  framing  Apple  aspirational  aspirational  product  advertisement  advertising  childhood  development  childhood  prejudice  judgement  society  Gesellschaft  Wegwerfgesellschaft  short-term  substance  abuse  climate  change  global  warming  long-term  view  long-term  thinking  counter  culture  Silicon  Valley  social  entrepreneurship  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  Opportunism  opportunist  crony  capitalism  post-capitalism  capitalism  Share  Economy  marginal  propensity  to  consume  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  finite  resources  ecological  disaster  plastic  nation  plastic  bag  environmental  disaster  Millennials  generationy  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  shared  economic  interest  climate  crisis  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  Polarisation  manufactured  consent  corporate  media  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  Career  Politicians  nanny  state  revolving  door  propaganda  CSR  corporate  social  responsibility  corporate  state  corporate  culture  corporate  values  character  personal  values  PR  spin  doctor  media  social  change  con 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
"Steueroase Deutschland" von Markus Meinzer: Die Oase lebt - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Im Kampf gegen Steueroasen inszeniert sich Deutschland gerne als Vorreiter. Ein neues Buch hält dagegen: Reiche Steuerhinterzieher haben auch hierzulande leichtes Spiel - sie müssen nur ins richtige Bundesland ziehen. [...] Sicher ist: Von der international eingeforderten Transparenz in Steuerfragen ist Deutschland an vielen Stellen selbst weit entfernt. Haftstrafen gegen reiche Prominente wie Hoeneß blieben bislang die Ausnahme, häufiger kommt es zu umstrittenen Bewährungsstrafen wie im Fall von Ex-Postchef Klaus Zumwinkel. Beim Durchschnittsbürger droht damit nach Ansicht von Meinzer ein fataler Eindruck: "Wer wiederholt beim Schwarzfahren für 60 Euro erwischt wurde, wandert in den Knast. Wer aber Hunderttausende Euro hinterzogen hat, scheint schlimmstenfalls - falls Zuschauer da sein sollten - mit einer Bewährungsstrafe davonzukommen." [ tax offices - public workers overworked, under paid, skill gaps, unattractive work place ]
Germany  Europe  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Super  Rich  1%  inequality  Gini  coefficient  capital  gains  tax  income  tax  tax  code  fairness  Gesellschaft  social  mobility  income  mobility  budget  deficit  marginal  propensity  to  consume  2015  GFC  recovery  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  shared  economic  interest  social  cohesion  social  tension  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  political  theory  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  revolving  door  democracy  interest  groups  vested  interest  Justice  System  Law  &  Justice  UK  USA  HMRC  austerity  neoliberalism  neoliberal  subsidies  subsidizing  Privatisation  Fiscal  Pact  crony  capitalism  capitalism  Schuldenbremse 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Why did Japan stop growing? Professor Takeo Hoshi at ANU - YouTube
Blyth argued its culture/society & structural. TPP trade deal might help productivity growth & opening Japan further 2 global trade. & encourage immigration reform. Regulatory reform; stop protection of zombies (gov guarantees, contracts, subsidies), corporate governance. Oversight. Transparency. Also Start-up rate (bottom-up disruption) needs reform (reduce red tape, create start-up/business hubs) // &! What is Abenomics? - //&! Noriko Hama & Yukio Noguchi "Abenomics and What comes After" - 'unable to share affluence' - income redistribution << marginal propensity to consume, 16% left out of society (poverty), lack of empathy & compassion. BOJ is single lender 2 gov. Career Politicians! Companies have no need 2 borrow/cant force banks 2 lend. //&! min52 Problem of rising long-term interest rates solved w BOJ debt monetisation = inflation (probable near future scenario). &! &! &!
Japan  economic  history  lost  decade  lost  generation  ageing  population  demographic  bubble  culture  society  fiscal  stimulus  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  banking  crisis  Exportweltmeister  Germany  subsidies  subsidizing  distortion  asset  bubble  Abenomics  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  fiscal  policy  white  elephants  Richard  Koo  productivity  corporate  culture  corporate  governance  deflationary  deflation  crowding  out  Debt  Super  Cycle  BOJ  Yen  public  investment  productive  investment  stagnation  secular  stagnation  currency-war  currency  debasement  currency  war  ZIRP  QE  NIRP  liquidity  trap  monetary  transmission  mechanism  disinflation  inflation  expectation  inflation  targeting  Makers  Career  Politicians  savings  rate  savings  glut  policy  error  marginal  propensity  to  consume  poverty  trap  squeezed  middle  class  Sozialer  Abstieg  working  poor  precarious  work  inequality  Gini  coefficient  industrial  policy  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  income  growth  disposable  income  income  distribution  low  income  neoliberalism  neoliberal  part-time  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  underemployed  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomic  policy  JGB  bond  bubble  monetisation  monetization  structural  imbalance  faultlines  Impediments  excess  reserves 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
One Map Shows Just How Expensive College Can Be for Students Making Minimum Wage
[S]ubstantial evidence that lack of information plays a critical role in shaping the financial decisions people make. Consider how a vast majority of people who are currently defaulting on their student loans in the U.S. would be able to halt their financial suffering if they knew they could enroll in an income-based repayment plan that would shrink or eliminate their monthly payments. This map goes some way toward explaining why low-income students are less likely to enroll in college. If the idea that college is a risky investment is something thats gaining traction in well-to-do circles, then surely people who hail from less fortunate backgrounds are even more inclined to think the potential price is too high. // could be seen as balance sheet recession: rising cost of education - & on other side - unable 2 pay w job u can get (asset value). Education is mispriced in UK/USA in a new world going forward! >>
College  University  USA  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  NPL  un-college  minimum  wage  cost  of  living  income  growth  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  Millennials  generationy  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  babyboomers  living  standard  standard  of  living  living  wage  Generationengerechtigkeit  generation  rent  2015  income  mobility  social  mobility  downward  mobility  Gini  coefficient  income  distribution  1%  Super  Rich  income  inequality  low  income  income  redistribution  precarious  work  working  poor  job  security  job  creation  UK  education  policy  competition  globalisation  globalization  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Privatisation  borderless  flat  world  trickle-down  economics  economic  history  inequality  labour  market  Service  Sector  Jobs  Niedriglohnsektor  marginal  propensity  to  consume  Robert  Reich  Joseph  Stiglitz  Paul  Krugman  Thomas  Piketty  Elizabeth  Warren  Larry  Lessig  labour  economics  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  shared  economic  interest  secular  stagnation  stagnation  debt  servitude  Super  Cycle  debtoverhang  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  financial  literacy  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  social  contract  political  theory  vested  interest  interest  groups  generational  contract  lost  generation  lost  decade  personal  bankruptcy  poverty  trap  Mark  Blyth  dem 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Millennials Can't Afford Cars, and Are Fine With That - Bloomberg View
As somebody who wondered in a column last week whether people in developed countries were perhaps learning that they no longer needed as much stuff as they used to, and whether this might lead to big shifts in the global economy, I read on with great interest. [...] The changes in young adults' consumption habits have clearly been influenced by economic forces. But economic forces shape societal attitudes, too. I also don't see much sign that these economic forces are about to reverse. Both these things can be true: The median 25-to-34-year-old has less to spend, and is less interested in spending it on a car.
wage  growth  income  growth  squeezed  middle  class  economic  growth  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  economic  history  globalization  globalisation  western  world  developed  world  UK  USA  Europe  Millennials  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  inequality  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  marginal  propensity  to  consume  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  income  inequality  Super  Rich  1%  tax  code  capital  gains  tax  income  tax  Share  Economy  digital  academia  academics  microeconomic  policy  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  Bubble  wage  stagnation  secular  stagnation  household  debt  consumer  debt  private  debt  2015  recovery  Robert  Reich  Joseph  Stiglitz  Paul  Krugman  Thomas  Piketty  plutocracy  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  emerging  middle  class  affordable  housing  social  housing  cost  of  living  cost  of  ownership  closetphile  status  anxiety  status  symbol  Media  materialism  zombie  consumer  consumerist  consumerism  Workers  Union  precarious  work  working  poor  living  standard  standard  of  living  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  self-employment  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  competitive  competition  differentiate  differentiation  Mobile  Creatives  Future  of  Universal  Basic  Germany  babyboomers  generation  rent  Richard 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Group of 20 Financial Leaders Agree to Act to Bolster Growth - The New York Times
Ms. Lagarde was even more explicit, making it clear that governments had for too long relied on the supply of cheap cash from central banks that have been running ultra-loose monetary policy. “Monetary policy alone will not cut it,” she said. “It is necessary, it is recommended from our perspective, particularly in Europe and in Japan still, but it will not cut it on its own. “Clearly in the fiscal sphere as well as in the structural reforms sphere, more needs to be done, and it needs to accompany and eventually take the baton from the central bank governors.”
Europe  IMF  UK  USA  western  world  Richard  Koo  recovery  fiscal  policy  fiscal  stimulus  long-term  view  long-term  thinking  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  industrial  policy  STEM  R&D  austerity  George  Osborne  ChristineLagarde  OECD  GFC  economic  history  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  liberal  economic  reform  Research  competitiveness  differentiate  differentiation  value  creation  added  value  Manufacturing  job  creation  Niedriglohnsektor  Service  Sector  Jobs  Future  of  Work  Smart  Grid  renewable  energy  business  investment  consumer  debt  household  debt  debtoverhang  monetary  policy  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  Germany  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  inequality  Gini  coefficient  education  policy  David  Cameron  dogma  ideology  academia  academics  Mark  Blyth  Joseph  Stiglitz  Robert  Reich  Paul  Krugman  wage  growth  income  growth  G20  wage  stagnation  secular  stagnation  globalisation  globalization  flat  world  borderless  competitive  competition  currency  war  currency-war  currency  debasement  Exportweltmeister  BRIC  credit  bubble  global  economy  global  trade  global  imbalances  faultlines  structural  imbalance  Impediments  American  Dream  economy  energy  energy  policy 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
How Legal Immigration Failed Silicon Valley | TechCrunch
Our immigration system hinders entrepreneurship, innovation and productivity. Success in the tech industry, where whole new job categories are created overnight, requires deep familiarity with trends, products and technologies. Learning opportunities abound — if you’re willing to transition to new roles, educate yourself, work on different products or switch companies altogether. Building your own startup, or even joining one, can be the best career move; it offers remarkable potential for growth by wearing multiple hats in an expanding organization. The labor market benefits from this flexibility not just with an improved and adaptable workforce, but also one that creates jobs. The immigration process impedes all these possibilities. [...] [ reset process when switching companies ] [...] And that’s not even the worst part. If you get laid off, you must leave the country. Immediately. [...] Try telling your VC you spent $25,000 of their $1 million funding on immigration fees
USA  immigration  Europe  Germany  UK  skill-biased  technological  change  skills  gap  capital  skills  workforce  migration  ecosystem  Silicon  Valley  Berlin  Start-Up  Scene  London  Scene  Green  Card  job  security  insecurity  American  Dream  entrepreneur  practical  skills  practical  skill  set  skill  job  creation  borderless  globalization  globalisation  flat  world  global  economy  digital  economy  marginal  cost  economics  of  abundance  Future  of  Work  Remote  Work  liberal  economic  reform  policy  error  short-term  view  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  neoconservatism  neoconservatives  Rechtsruck  ageing  population  demographic  bubble  STEM  R&D  Research  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  policy  labour  market  labour  economics  added  value  value  creation  multiplier  education  policy  vocational  education  professional  education  long-term  view  HR  human  resources  hiring  recruiting  recruitment  war  for  talent  H1B  startupvisa  visa  H-1B 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
China's impossible trinity - BBC News
At the heart of China's problem is the "impossible trinity" of international macroeconomics. The impossible trinity - or trilemma - is the idea that it is impossible for a country to have three things at the same time: a stable currency, the free movement of capital (i.e. the absence of capital controls) and independent monetary policy. A country can instead choose just two of the options from this policy suite. The UK, in common with most developed economies, has free capital movement and an independent monetary policy - but not a controlled exchange rate. The Bank of England sets interest rates at a level it thinks is right for the UK economy and - as capital can flow into and out of the UK at will - the exchange rate is determined by the market. [...] But the bigger criticism is usually over the nature of the post-2009 stimulus package [...] But, for all the criticism, the counterfactual is rarely stated. What would global growth have looked like without it? [//+ deflation factors]
China  liberal  economic  reform  2015  credit  bubble  devaluation  currency  debasement  Yuan  RMB  PBOC  IMF  SDR  macroeconomics  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  QE  recovery  GFC  economic  history  banking  crisis  shadow  banking  NPL  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  property  bubble  hot-money  BRIC  western  world  global  trade  global  economy  deflationary  deflation  reflate  reflation  equity  bubble  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  distortion  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  Fed  BOE  BOJ  Abenomics  currency  war  currency-war  aggregate  demand  short-fall  aggregate  demand  Richard  Koo  consumer  debt  household  debt  student  loan  debt  debt  servitude  sovereign  debt  crisis  debt  bubble  Super  Cycle  student  debt  public  debt  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  private  debt  globalisation  globalization  technological  progress  flat  world  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  secular  stagnation  borderless  global  imbalances  faultlines  structural  imbalance  savings  glut  Impediments  inequality  squeezed  middle  class  Europe  UK  OECD  marginal  propensity  to  consume  Sozialer  Abstieg  working  poor  precarious  work  income  growth  deregulation  self-regulation  Workers  Union  wage  pressure  disposable  income  income  distribution  income  redistribution  low  income  income  inequality  American  Dream  USA  Gini  Super  coe 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
APIs Are The New FTEs | TechCrunch
In The New World, FTEs (Full-Time Employees) Will Become APIs. Much has been made about how the dropping cost of website infrastructure has spurred a boom in startup formation, with Amazon Web Services held up as the prime example. The capital cost of servers has been eliminated, but even more important is the plummeting human cost. (<< Netflix has no own data center) [...] Companies and products like Heroku, Celery, RabbitMQ, Mandrill, Fastly, Chartio, Chargebee, Shipwire, Docker, Codeship, Rainforest QA, Replicated and Chartbeat have changed the nature of tech development. [...] Sure, there is a shortage of talent today, but developers are rapidly finding ways to put future developers out of jobs.
API  Blue-collar  Worker  White-collar  Worker  knowledge  domain  knowledge  knowledge  economy  Why  Software  Is  Eating  the  World  augmented  intelligence  AI  artificial  intelligence  Software  Is  Eating  World  Software  Development  Open  Source  marginal  cost  economics  of  abundance  Mobile  Creatives  Future  of  Work  Start-Up  advice  Start-Up  lesson  Platform  SAAS  proprietary  disrupting  markets  disruption  bottom-up  innovator  innovation 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
After the Crisis - Mark Blyth - YouTube
>> what if rise of the banks (deregulation, easy credit, global financial markets - arbitrage, and making money with money) fuelled the growth of the last ~25-30 years. // min 47 3 asset bubbles popped // USA - 40% of corporate profits came from 10% of corporate sector (banks) // 30% of MIT grads went to banks instead of real world engineering and manufacturing. // underwater private sector! via credit bubble: student loans (now 1trn and still rising in USA and UK, future disposable income/discretionary spending lower than babyboomers because of wage stagnation, no wage growth) credit cards, mortgages, heloc (home equity line of credit) --- all will have to focus on paying back debt. // 2015 - us student loans 1.25trn - + auto loans << bubble to eventually pop when collateral is falling! ie stagnant wages for 10 more years. and more and more cant repay their student loans. // 1:12:00 Bubbles move on;, real estate (property) & commodities, China,
Mark  Blyth  austerity  GFC  recovery  banking  crisis  sovereign  debt  crisis  economic  history  PIIGSFB  bank  bailout  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  toobigtofail  too  big  to  jail  too  big  to  bail  TBTF  ECB  NPL  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  underwater  credit  bubble  trickle-down  economics  China  2015  2008  western  world  secular  stagnation  debt  servitude  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  generationy  generation  rent  Millennials  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  marginal  propensity  to  consume  Super  Rich  squeezed  middle  class  Sozialer  Abstieg  self-employment  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  underemployed  precarious  work  working  poor  inequality  Gini  coefficient  post-capitalism  crony  capitalism  capitalism  manufactured  consent  Polarisation  Thomas  Piketty  developed  world  income  inequality  propaganda  populism  corporate  state  corporate  media  democracy  Career  Politicians  lobbyist  Lobbying  lobby  deregulation  self-regulation  Workers  Union  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  income  distribution  income  growth  income  mobility  low  income  income  redistribution  stagnation  consumer  debt  debtoverhang  Super  Cycle  debt  bubble  household  debt  private  debt  asset  bubble  reflate  reflation  asset  allocation  distortion  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  monetary  monetary 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Will Oil Cause the Next Recession? - Bloomberg View
[Private Sector could not drive recovery! Stupid. And rising (re-flating) asset prices like stocks did not inspire consumers. The reality on the ground is different than asset prices. Inflation targeting is a policy error in hindsight. Question is if policy makers (fiscal and monetary) as willing to admit this, or drag the world through another lost decade & generation!? ] Most forecasters believe consumers will spend the windfall, and thus boost the economy. But almost all of the savings from lower pump prices so far have been used to rebuild household assets and reduce debt. Consumers tend to increase their savings in tough times; they've been doing so during the six-year recovery, even as real wages and median household incomes remain flat. Lower oil prices, however, could come with a downside. As they work their way through the system, deflation could follow. Already, 10 of the 34 largest economies in the world have seen year-over-year declines in consumer prices. [
household  debt  consumer  debt  recovery  Private  Sector  GFC  economic  history  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  squeezed  middle  class  Sozialer  Abstieg  western  world  globalization  globalisation  credit  bubble  2015  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  Super  Rich  1%  bank  bailout  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  debtoverhang  Richard  Koo  fiscal  stimulus  underinvestment  productive  investment  fiscal  policy  austerity  IMF  OECD  lost  decade  lost  generation  competitive  competition  deflationary  deflation  competitive  advantage  competitiveness  underemployed  structural  unemployment  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  self-employment  Zeitarbeit  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Werkvertrag  part-time  Minijob  deregulation  Workers  Union  crony  capitalism  capitalism  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  USA  UK  Europe  developed  world  secular  stagnation  marginal  cost  economics  of  abundance  trickle-down  economics  tax  avoidance  tax  evasion  tax  code  capital  gains  tax  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  sovereign  debt  crisis  PR  spin  doctor  manufactured  consent  Lügenpresse  propaganda  populism  working  poor  precarious  work  Precariat  policy  inflatio 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Gillmor Gang: Dog Days | TechCrunch
the personal assistant is the new smartphone! can't live without it once you (technology; augmented intelligence and artificial intelligence) mastered it. // GoButtler in Germany. And Operator in SV - - << both take a cut/commission fee. Amazon, Microsoft, Google, Facebook could have it as features. Just as Facebook can have Meerkat as feature, for the celebrities. And the personal assistant - will be JUST A FEATURE - on your phone. iOS, Android ... & Facebook's 'empire' Platform to keep you inside Facebook continuing scrolling that god damn newsfeed. // // noise is lower on FB newsfeed (learning algorithm - your personal filter bubble) vs Twitter and vs RSS. ... Google News is a different thing. // // &! and there is a business in manual (editor, personal brand, leader) content curation/editing as well as in algo (Newsfeed)
Facebook  M  Facebook  Messenger  personal  assistant  technological  progress  AI  augmented  intelligence  artificial  intelligence  Google  Now  on  Tap  Siri  Apple  Spotlight  Google  Search  Google  Inc.  Apple  Microsoft  Cortana  Amazon  Google  Now  convenience  frictionless  friction  GoButtler  Amazon  Echo  feature  Platform  Silo  iOS  Android  Windows  10  Newsfeed  on-demand  noise  filter  bubble  Twitter  RSS  Signal  vs.  noise  pollution  digital  economy  The  Content  Wars  attention  span  attention  graph  digital  marginal  cost  economics  of  abundance  contextual  discovery  Programmatic  Content  user  generated  curation 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Maybe This Global Slowdown Is Different - Bloomberg View
[ warren buffet investing in america because he sees the long-term outcome of Globalisation (first was incredible pain and then a flat and then a normalisation). He is buying at the bottom of normalisation period. A truly flat, borderless world in next 20-30 years. Where USA is energy competitive with high skilled labour and top notch STEM, Research and R&D through its edu/colleges/university departments. Able to effectively compete. And also lobby for subsidies, gov contracts (ie defense, infrastructure! which will have to be replaced to the tune of trillions), effective tax avoidance & evasion. ] // Building global supply chains became so fashionable for Western manufacturers that they built them even when it made sense to keep production closer to customers; now they're retrenching and revising their approach.
warrenbuffet  USA  economic  history  globalisation  globalization  borderless  flat  world  competitive  competition  competitiveness  competitive  advantage  marginal  cost  economics  of  abundance  energy  price  renewable  energy  STEM  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  infrastructure  investment  western  world  Smart  Grid  deflationary  deflation  secular  stagnation  global  trade  global  economy  global  imbalances  faultlines  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  R&D  Research  digital  economy  knowledge  economy  Future  of  Work  Mobile  Creatives  Software  Is  Eating  The  3D  printing  Robotics  automation  GFC  recovery  long-term  view  long-term  added  value  value  creation  differentiate  differentiation  energy  efficiency  energy  policy 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Richard Duncan: The Real Risk Of A Coming Multi-Decade Global Depression - YouTube
50 year long debt super cycle & credit bubble up-held. Put. // hasnt created inflation because of Globalisation = deflationary! [3bn ppl living on $2/day] Collapse of marginal cost of labour, offsetting inflation pressure of QE/NIRP/credit creation last decades. // Will eventually haunt people back once globalisation has run its way in ~100-75 years & the world is actually flat. energy cost 0, marginal cost 0, economics of abundance. // // min 23 AND because of this deflationary pressure of globalisation, excess capacity, etc lead to wage stagnation & or pressure to work 4 less (Contractor, Werkvertrag, Zeitarbeit, self-employment, Zero Hour Contract, outsourcing) and longer, in western world. Leads inevitably 2 being pushed into recession & avoiding that authorities always pushed button 4 more credit. Credit growth prevented western world not 2 be pushed into recession in last decades. 2010 Private Sector cant drive recovery! Massive Gov stimulus needed +10 years, not austerity!
debt  bubble  Super  Cycle  Greenspan-Put  Ben  Bernanke  fiat  currency  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  deflationary  deflation  secular  stagnation  Abenomics  globalization  globalisation  Fed  centralbanks  BIS  economic  history  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  GFC  recovery  western  world  technological  progress  commodity  business  commoditization  economics  of  abundance  marginal  cost  Janet  Yellen  benbernanke  ECB  BOE  BOJ  monetary  policy  Zero  Hour  Contract  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Contractor  Zeitarbeit  Werkvertrag  self-employment  freelancing  freelance  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  outsourcing  flat  world  credit  bubble  debt  servitude  consumer  debt  student  loan  debt  debtoverhang  sovereign  debt  crisis  student  debt  household  debt  private  debt  fiscal  policy  austerity  Richard  Koo  Mark  Blyth  Joseph  Stiglitz  Robert  Reich  productive  investment  underinvestment  infrastructure  investment  Paul  Krugman  shared  economic  interest  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  Smart  Grid  STEM  education  policy  value  creation  added  value  Manufacturing  3D  printing  energy  price  energy  policy  competitive  competition  competitiveness  competitive  advantage  R&D  Research  Public  Partnership  world  fiscal  d 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Twitter works just fine – but for investors, anything except total market domination is a disaster | Comment is free | The Guardian
Nothing better illustrates capitalism’s addiction to illogic than the mismatch between Twitter’s workability and its unpopularity with Wall Street [...] Any company that cannot demonstrate a clear route to monopolising its space, monetising its users’ data on a vast scale, is to be discarded, targeted for acquisition, consigned to perpetual dowdiness. [...] When I’ve pointed to Wikipedia, Apache or Linux as harbingers of a new, non-market, open source economics, one of the stock responses is: “now show us something more spectacular.” The problem is, these modest, functional and free products are already in their own way spectacular. Wikipedia is the biggest information product in the world; Apache runs half the world’s web servers; and Linux is the system of choice for at least a third of all servers (the computers that run businesses) and 97% of the world’s supercomputers.
Twitter  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  short-term  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  crony  capitalism  capitalism  exploitation  post-capitalism  monopoly  monopsony  oligopoly  oligopol  Facebook  IPO  Google  Open  Source  Share  Economy  Open  Data  Wikipedia  GNU/Linux  Apache  Wordpress  creative  destruction  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  3D  printing  Robotics  automotive  self-driving  cars  disrupting  markets  disruption  Marketplace  commodity  business  commoditization  marginal  cost  differentiate  differentiation  economics  of  abundance  autonomous  car  automation  Future  of  Work  Mobile  Creatives  Mobile  21stcentury  Collaborative  collaboration  cooperation  user  generated  content  crowdsourcing  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  policy  Industrial  Revolution  economic  history  trickle-down  economics  Universal  Basic  Income  winner  take  all  Amazon  SAP  Salesforce  inequality  Thomas  Piketty  Super  Rich  1%  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Gini  coefficient  deregulation  neoliberalism  neoliberal  self-regulation  regulators  regulation  utility  public  utility  Good  Silicon  Valley  Unicorn  Decacorn  Private  Market 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
The Draghi Put - YouTube
Draghi Put &! // &! // &! Mark Blyth Mackenzie Lecture 2015 – Austerity and the Politics of Money - --- u cant make them lend (banks) 2 businesses (productive investment, closing productivity & output gap) particularly in a deflationary world with secular stagnation tendencies/signs, with non-existent inflation expectations! liquidity trap! dont get into higher growth path/gear! and infrastructure bonds (= Eurobond) on EU level wont help very much. !New Normal is lower yield avg across assets (public) & economic growth average p/a of abt 1.2-1.4% Add demographic bubble/ageing population = less consumerism, less disposable income/discretionary spending on aggregate, Piketty (book) removed technology as growth multiplier in some chapters & then you really come to <2% p/a long-run growth predictions for EU/western world. <2% growth p/a at >90% debt2gdp u have a problem! == Rechtsruck &or Anti-Austerity. Political tail-risk!
Draghi  Put  ECB  ELA  TLTRO  LTRO  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  liquidity  trap  distortion  bond  bubble  asset  bubble  equity  bubble  reflate  reflation  financial  repression  asset  allocation  speculative  bubbles  deflationary  deflation  inflation  expectation  inflation  targeting  MarioDraghi  monetary  transmission  mechanism  M3  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  monetary  theory  hot-money  hunt  for  yield  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  trust  devaluation  currency  debasement  currency-war  fiat  currency  trustagent  distrust  Richard  Koo  fiscal  stimulus  austerity  fiscal  policy  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  debt  servitude  Super  Cycle  Mark  Blyth  inequality  New  Normal  economic  history  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  output  gap  productivity  UK  Europe  Germany  PIIGSFB  zombie  banks  Thomas  Piketty  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  economic  growth  Rechtsruck  SNP  European  Election  2014  UKIP  AfD  NPD  Conservative  Party  Tories  Establishment  Privileged  babyboomers  Lügenpresse  manufactured  consent  PR  spin  doctor  propaganda  populism  Labour  Party  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  social  contract  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  poverty  Gini  poverty  policy  coef 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Jeremy Rifkin on the Fall of Capitalism and the Internet of Things - YouTube
// good and services - commoditisation - near priceless. // mass market becomes zero marginal cost business - commodity! thus have to differentiate ie through freemium/premium/subscription model! two tier. // attention span - news is free, ppl are satiated quiet often with free news, that they don't pay for premium products (except niche) like analysis&perspective & brand pull. have to add more value to core value prop and intangible value - like community & leadership // every consumer can become a prosumer //
post-capitalism  Collaborative  collaboration  Universal  Basic  Income  book  Paul  Mason  Share  Economy  Open  Source  Open  Data  marginal  cost  economics  of  abundance  economic  history  crony  capitalism  capitalism  Wall  Street  Jeremy  Rifkin  21stcentury  Marketplace  transparency  democracy  productivity  identity  Future  of  Work  Mobile  Creatives  3D  printing  Manufacturing  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  policy  energy  price  renewable  energy  energy  policy  commodity  business  commoditization  Robotics  automation  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  Prosumer  ProAm  publishing  2.0  self-publishing  user  generated  content  Net  Neutrality  Blogging  The  Wars  education  policy  vocational  education  professional  education  MOOC  knowledge  knowledge  worker  freemium  subscription  model  business  model  mass  market  paywalls  paywall  user  behaviour  homescreen  snacking  Entertainment  Escapeism  IoT  added  value  value  creation  Core  Product  Proposition  intangible  value  Proposition  social  change  Open  Platform  Platform  EULA  TOS  proprietary  News  24-hour  cycle  automotive  autonomous  car  self-driving  cars  public  transportation  transportation  communication  output  gap 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Paul Mason: what they aren't telling you about work - YouTube
hollowing out // automation - vs - skill & problem solving (figuring out how to automate/put something together/create new) - vs - end of the chain work (low end, manual, repetitive, service...) // within the next 20 years, 47% of jobs in developed world could be replaced by robots/automation/machines // Future of Work is about problem solving, not putting (end of the chain) things together. figuring out the new, making the new, making something better, more efficient, faster, better quality, ... // and as it stands now, those who reap the rewards will be few. and gov policy, ie tax evasion, tax avoidance, tax code, fairness, --- gains have to be shared.
squeezed  middle  class  White-collar  Worker  Blue-collar  Worker  manual  labour  labour  market  job  creation  skill-biased  technological  change  practical  skill  set  practical  skills  skill  gap  capital  skills  skills  gap  automation  Robotics  working  poor  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  3D  printing  Manufacturing  industrial  policy  UK  USA  Europe  developed  western  Future  of  Work  knowledge  economy  Problem  Solving  Mobile  Creatives  Mobile  Creative  domain  knowledge  knowledge  algorithm  precarious  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  self-employment  insecurity  job  security  technological  progress  STEM  Makers  protectionism  Research  Revolution  2.0  Revolution  Universal  Basic  Income  tax  credit  tax  free  economics  of  abundance  marginal  cost  renewable  energy  Marketplace  destruction  creator  innovator  innovation  entrepreneurial  entrepreneurship  entrepreneur  Precariat  Share  post-capitalism  Super  Rich  1%  inequality  mobility  social  mobility  rapid  change  generational  change  tax  code  capital  gains  tax  growth  wage  stagnation  secular  stagnation  productivity  output  gap  shared  economic  interest  Wall  Street  exploitation  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  Gesellschaft  identity  status  status  social  status  social  an 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Paul Mason - is capitalism dead? | Guardian Live - YouTube
100 year process, this is the 21st century // when you define the problem you also define the solution, in most cases. from A to B. // capitalism has rent-seeking tendency. DRM and IP/intellectual property is rent-seeking. // --- need book what to do with post-capitalism tools, open source, open data, share economy, shared economic interest, transparency, political reform - voucher system (Larry Lessig). --- // biotech and gene and new age of medicine will replace hardware and proprietary software (already being displaced by open source) //
post-capitalism  crony  capitalism  monopoly  monopsony  Silicon  Valley  Wall  Street  Paul  Mason  rent-seeking  intellectual  property  Page  Rank  Google  Search  copyright  IP  intellectualproperty  DRM  Kindle  Amazon  Microsoft  Open  Source  Open  Data  civic  good  Public  civic  society  Share  Economy  proprietary  software  Karl  Marx  economic  history  shared  economic  interest  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  buyback  underinvestment  productive  investment  climate  change  interest  groups  vested  interest  interestgroups  fiduciary  responsibility  long-term  view  long-term  thinking  faultlines  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  Career  Politicians  social  contract  No  Representation  neoliberalism  neoliberal  exploitation  Gini  coefficient  Future  of  Work  Mobile  Creatives  knowledge  knowledge  worker  3D  printing  marginal  cost  economics  of  abundance  renewable  energy  commodity  business  commoditization  book  meritocracy  meritocratic  Gesellschaft  Zivilgesellschaft  Wegwerfgesellschaft  zombie  consumer  finite  resources  status  anxiety  identity  society  philosophy  sociology  social  cohesion  social  tension  inequality  income  mobility  social  mobility  4-day  week  leisure  tim 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
The Appeal of Membership by Innovation Hub | Free Listening on SoundCloud
Are media giants like Netflix, Amazon, and Spotify the vanguards of a new economy? Authors Robbie Kellman Baxter and John Warrillow explain the rise of the subscription model. // advertising only cuts it at scale, and then you actually sell your users data/privacy to target them and you go down the rabbit hole to improve the ad product to get better rates thus the user is the product you sell to the advertiser - in the first place, not the product itself that is free to use, for the consumer.
subscription  model  business  model  advertising  Principle  consumer  product  Facebook  freemium  pageviews  scale  economies  of  scale  economics  of  abundance  marginal  cost  digital  economy 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Howard Stern Just Sent Ad Blocking Mainstream. — Verses From The Abstract — Medium
mass market = commodity business = zero marginal cost/economic of abundance = low quality = value only short-term &! - UPDATE: This is the App Store trending searches on the morning of Wednesday, August 26th. There is definitely a Stern effect: [...] Heck, if Howard Stern can convince people to buy Squatty Pottys, he can convince them to install ad blocking extensions. Are ads even the future of advertising? Let’s figure out what the future actually is while we still have some runway. In the meantime, let’s make advertising that actually provides value to people while we still can. // // native, brand awareness, not annoying, value creation - added value, shared economic interest ads !!!
AdBlock  The  Content  Wars  business  model  pageviews  subscription  model  freemium  native  advertising  branded  advertorial  digital  economy  digital  digital  artist  creator  commodity  business  commoditization  News  24-hour  cycle  journalismus  investigative  journalism  journalism  paywalls  paywall  critical  mass  mass  market  marginal  cost  economics  of  abundance  user  behaviour  mobile  homescreen  Appification  Platform  Silo  snacking  utility  Entertainment  Escapeism  friction  frictionless  value  creation  added  value  shared  economic  interest 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Jeremy Corbyn wins economists’ backing for anti-austerity policies | Politics | The Guardian
In the letter to which David Blanchflower, a former member of the Bank of England’s monetary policy committee is a signatory, the economists write: “The accusation is widely made that Jeremy Corbyn and his supporters have moved to the extreme left on economic policy. But this is not supported by the candidate’s statements or policies. His opposition to austerity is actually mainstream economics, even backed by the conservative IMF. He aims to boost growth and prosperity.” // UK can't compete with energy rich countries - ie through rebuilding (through subsidies) its industrial and manufacturing sector - it has to add value through expert services, knowledge, digital, research to existing products goods and services that then can be re-sold across the world - high energy cost, expensive transport through lack of infrastructure of the future, and lack of in-pipeline educated mobile youngster, is a structural deficit.
neoliberalism  Jeremy  Corbyn  David  Cameron  Labour  Party  Conservative  Party  Tories  Toff  Privileged  Establishment  dogma  ideology  austerity  Privatisation  neoliberal  budget2015  recovery  public  investment  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  STEM  Research  digital  economy  knowledge  economy  differentiate  differentiation  IMF  OECD  global  economy  globalization  globalisation  borderless  flat  world  competitiveness  competitive  competition  competitive  advantage  current  account  deficit  trade  deficit  global  trade  trade  balance  Structural  Impediments  trickle-down  economics  economic  history  GFC  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  vocational  education  education  policy  social  mobility  income  mobility  Gini  coefficient  gender  inequality  inequality  professional  education  Future  of  Work  Software  Is  Eating  The  creative  destruction  added  value  value  creation  faultlines  working  poor  precarious  Precariat  squeezed  middle  class  deregulation  underemployed  unemployment  imbalance  subsidies  subsidizing  protectionism  Career  Politicians  Pivot  UK  economic  growth  economics  of  abundance  marginal  cost  energy  price  energy  policy  renewable  energy  Oil  price 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Frankreich verliert Status als Deutschlands wichtigstes Exportland - SPIEGEL ONLINE
IMF rechnet für 2015 mit einem Anstieg des BIP US um 2,5 Prozent und für 2016 mit 3 Prozent. "Wir sehen zudem eine Reindustrialisierung in den USA: Dort werden wegen der niedrigen Energiekosten viele neue Fabriken und Produktionsstätten hochgezogen", sagte Treier. "Dafür werden Maschinen und Ausrüstungen aus deutscher Produktion benötigt." Hilfreich sei zudem der schwächelnde Euro, [...] "Die Amerikaner sind relativ preissensible Käufer, auch wenn es um Luxusprodukte wie deutsche Autos geht", // Germany & UK are energy dependent, especially after Desert Storm Energy project failed. UK need the bet on STEM and digital economy and knowledge economy, added value services that can be exported & leverage "British" brand. It can not compete against cheap energy fuelled China and USA! But it did nothing, UK has to even import Nurses and Doctors now! Thanks to short-sighted ideological dogmatic austerity & policy for established businesses. low corp tax & deregulation to compete w price only.
USA  warrenbuffet  2015  fracking  energy  price  Oil  price  energy  policy  shale  gas  shalegas  tarsand  Canada  Exportweltmeister  China  global  trade  Europe  Germany  industrial  policy  UK  global  economy  recovery  Makers  Career  Politicians  competitive  advantage  competitive  competitiveness  competition  energy  dependence  Manufacturing  policy  error  policy  folly  renewable  energy  wind  energy  energy  efficiency  Conservative  Party  budget2015  Tories  austerity  corporate  tax  rate  capital  gains  tax  income  tax  tax  free  income  David  Cameron  George  Osborne  Iain  Duncan  Smith  deregulation  Workers  Union  self-regulation  regulation  regulators  neoliberalism  neoliberal  differentiate  differentiation  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  digital  economy  economic  history  trickle-down  economics  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  export  exports  current  account  deficit  budget  deficit  trade  deficit  fiscal  deficit  fiscal  policy  fiscal  stimulus  STEM  research  knowledge  economy  knowledge  worker  economics  of  abundance  marginal  cost  economic  damage  shared  economic  interest  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  DWP  education  policy  inequality  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  poverty  trap  child  poverty  income  mobility  creative  destruction  Future  of  Work  Mobile  Creatives  Mobile  White-collar  Blue-collar  squeezed  middle  class  Sozialer  Abstieg  working  poor 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
How To Get 1 Million Subscribers - YouTube
meritocracy, democratic, egalitarian. anyone who has interest, can find it. u will have an audience, even it is just 1. either they like it, share it & come back. or they leave u alone. // Beme, remove the aspect of creation. the friction. the cognitive cost. the overhead. a process to follow. a tutorial or how to listicle to read. to Google or to ask. >> Product developers & investors should think about the cognitive cost of their products. The cognitive cost very often can be much higher than the financial cost. Products with a low cognitive cost are those where the technology fades away and dont require a consumers ongoing attention. // "Don't make me think." << book, UI UX mantra. // Photo-filter-app vs photo-editing-app vs video-editing-ai-augmented-intelligence-app that have popped up. podcasting. EDM // what has lots of overhead & sometimes really disappointing user experience? Skype, Windows, FriendFeed, Twitter?(niche compared 2 FB). Q&A
Casey  Neistat  freedom  of  expression  expression  creative  destruction  Beme  Vlogging  vlog  YouTube  Vine  Instagram  Periscope  Twitch  Qik  writing  Video  mainstream  filter  bubble  editor  Reddit  4chan  storytelling  Music  Industry  Indie  Music  Hollywood  content  discovery  content  distribution  distribution  model  TV  Reality  TV  scripted-reality  television  painting  digital  economy  digital  content  marginal  cost  economics  of  abundance  critics  Artist  graphic  artists  digital  cognitive  cost  friction  frictionless  Product/Market  Fit  MVP  Start-Up  lesson  Start-Up  advice  consumer  product  UI  UX  user  engagement  user  generated  content  user  experience  user  churn  hook  customer  empowerment  customer  experience  customer  retention  customer  acquisition  Podcast  podcasting  Platform  content  creator  The  Wars  Snapchat  SMS  WhatsApp 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
The Phablet Effect – AVC
[ remote control for your life, of your life ] Tablets are niche. Watches are niche. You could even argue that desktops are becoming niche. Everything pales in comparison to the smartphone it seems. [ small computer connected to super computer and all the worlds information ] & [ will have also impact on semiconductor business. marginal costs lower for mass smartphone parts, could (will eventually) find its way into the data center according to a16z Peter Levine and Benedict Evans and others. - - Mobile Invades the Data Center & Consumerization (commodity hardware and software (OPEN SOURCE) will orchestrate everything else) of the Data Center &! &! &! A Copernican Update … In Tech, the Smartphone Is the Center - // &! - The smartphone is the new sun.
phablet  Tablet  Smartphone  mobile  phone  mobile  homescreen  user  behaviour  snacking  technological  history  technological  progress  semiconductor  marginal  cost  commodity  business  commoditization  data  center  cloudcomputing  economics  of  abundance  Moore's  Law  Technology  Intel  Nvidia  AMD  ATI  ARM  Platform  Open  Source  Mainframe  Open  Hardware  Qualcomm  Google  Apple  MediaTek 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Will Advances in Technology Create a Jobless Future? | MIT Technology Review
Who Will Own the Robots? - We’re in the midst of a jobs crisis, and rapid advances in AI and other technologies may be one culprit. How can we get better at sharing the wealth that technology creates? // BY MARTIN FORD - The Great Divide: Unequal Societies and What We Can Do About Them BY JOSEPH E. STIGLITZ &! Inequality: What Can Be Done? BY ANTHONY B. ATKINSON &! The Second Machine Age: Work, Progress, and Prosperity in a Time of Brilliant Technologies BY ERIK BRYNJOLFSSON AND ANDREW MCAFEE // &! Paul Krugman - “A lot of what’s happening [in income inequality] is not just the gods of technology telling us what must happen but is in fact [due to] social constructs that could be different.” - gov policy, corporate policy (ie 4-day work week and 6-hour days because productivity and profit margin do allow for that, and more brings diminished returns etc etc but will that go down well with Wall Street?)
Universal  Basic  Income  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  crony  capitalism  shared  economic  interest  AI  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  marketplace  efficiencies  mobile  homescreen  mobile  phone  commodity  business  commoditization  Service  Sector  Jobs  Niedriglohnsektor  Future  of  Work  Creatives  Creative  skill-biased  technological  change  skills  gap  skill  mismatch  education  policy  Makers  4-day  week  6-hour  day  productivity  output  gap  secular  stagnation  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  precarious  1099  Economy  Gig  Economy  self-employment  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  on-demand  convenience  outsourcing  job  creation  job  market  labour  economics  labour  market  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  capitalism  inequality  capital  gains  1%  Super  Rich  meritocracy  meritocratic  tax  code  tax  tax  free  welfare  state  tax  credit  Public  Services  Social  Services  austerity  dogma  manufactured  consent  propaganda  populism  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  PR  spin  doctor  Robotics  3D  printing  Manufacturing  STEM  industrial  policy  automation  self-driving  cars  autonomous  car  marginal  cost  economics  of  abundance  safety  net  Gini  inequality  technological  technological  labour  capital 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
A Funny Thing Happened on the Way to $80 Oil - Bloomberg View
[ new duopoly? - USA - OPEC, and OPEC not wanting that?! ] I'm sticking with my forecast of $10 to $20 a barrel. The logic behind that February projection still seems valid. Cartels exist to keep prices above equilibrium. But that encourages cheating, as cartel members want more than their allotted share and outsiders sell more to take advantage of the artificially elevated price. So the job of the cartel leader -- in OPEC's case, Saudi Arabia -- is to cut its production to accommodate the cheaters and prevent a price collapse. The Saudis had been doing that for decades, and as a result, OPEC production over the last 10 years has been flat, with all the growth instead enjoyed by non-OPEC producers, including U.S. frackers and Canadian oil-sands companies. [...] In Texas's Permian Basin and in the Persian Gulf, the marginal cost is $10 to $20 a barrel, and even lower for some Saudi oil fields. [...] Russia is desperate for anything that will earn foreign exchange. // &!
OPEC  cartel  Oil  price  oligopol  monopoly  duopoly  marginal  cost  Saudi  Arabia  foreign  affairs  foreign  policy  foreign  relations  Middle  East  Russia  China  deflationary  deflation  fracking  shale  gas  shalegas  USA  energy  price  energy  policy  renewable  energy  2015  economic  history 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Microsoft Will Never Give Up On Mobile | TechCrunch
It has other bullets left [shooting at mobile] in the chamber including Windows 10 and the cross-platform mobile apps too. Whatever happens, Microsoft can ultimately never walk away from mobile because giving up would essentially be ceding a massive portion of the future of computing, and it simply can’t afford to do that. [...] Microsoft wanted to go after phone market share in the long term, and selling Windows at its old price points would limit broader Windows 10 adoption, eroding at the company’s larger value proposition of having one platform across all your devices. Put another way, the company is foregoing some identifiable revenue to prop up Windows mobile. [ diminishing price of Software! is one big mover in tech for the next years coming, see SAAS & PAAS + consulting and on-site with OpenSource and Subscription Plan Model using SW through browser. ] &! The Death of the PC Has Not Been Greatly Exaggerated
Microsoft  mobile  first  mobile  homescreen  Android  iOS  Windows  10  user  behaviour  Google  Apple  mobile  computing  phablet  Tablet  mobile  strategy  corporate  strategy  technological  progress  Windows  Phone  business  model  Open  Source  SAAS  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  Free  Software  commodity  business  commoditization  differentiate  differentiation  Branding  public  perception  GNU  Platform  Open  Platform  business  strategy  economics  of  abundance  marginal  cost  cloud  paradgimshift 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Why Bio is the New Digital - Joi Ito keynote - YouTube
biotech advances are faster than Moore's Law. / future is to make a brain/cell like computer & storage, turns out bio is much better than silicon!
Genome  sequencing  biotechnologie  biotechnology  biology  Silicon  Valley  medical  research  medical  advances  Moore's  Law  technological  history  technological  progress  economics  of  abundance  marginal  cost  material  design  industrial  design  synthetic  biology  computational  design 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Can we ever really expect to see the growth of the past again? - Telegraph
>> what kind of jobs have been created since 2009? no high productivity/output jobs with marginal costs for each additional unit produced. those just fill in some gap. but do not add to above par economic output (blue ocean) // recovery was debt fuelled. GFC recovery was debt fuelled. // monetary policy might have saved the world momentarily, but fiscal policy did not put logs and pillars under the world, their respective economies - being prudent - looking long-term raising competitiveness with skilled workforce. things are now as a whole, as wobbily as they were 2009/10. Period.
secular  stagnation  Taper  output  gap  productivity  western  world  UK  USA  deflationary  Europe  structural  imbalance  Impediments  underemployed  labour  market  labour  economics  Niedriglohn  Niedriglohnsektor  Service  Sector  Jobs  job  creation  job  market  economic  history  recovery  GFC  policy  folly  policy  error  education  policy  vocational  education  Future  of  Work  Mobile  Creatives  Mobile  Creative  competitiveness  competitive  globalisation  globalization  flat  world  borderless  economics  of  abundance  marginal  cost  economic  damage  microeconomic  policy  long-term  view  long-term  thinking  employability  structural  unemployment  asset  bubble  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  workforce  austerity  IMF  OECD  economic  growth  lost  decade  lost  generation  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  squeezed  middle  class  precarious  Precariat  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  Minijob  working  poor  Gini  coefficient  income  mobility  downward  mobility  social  mobility  Super  Rich  1%  Sozialer  Abstieg  Existenzangst  demographic  bubble  sovereign  debt  crisis  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  savings  glut  deleveraging  Career  Politicians 
june 2015 by asterisk2a
The world is defenceless against the next financial crisis, warns BIS - Telegraph
Monetary policymakers have run out of room to fight the next crisis with interest rates unable to go lower, the BIS warns. [...] These low interest rates have in turn fuelled economic booms, encouraging excessive risk taking. Booms have then turned to busts, which policymakers have responded to with even lower rates. [greenspan put][ and GFC were in part fuelled by inadequate rate setting and oversight] [...] [BIS also rejecting the notion of secular stagnation]. // &! BIS 'low rates hold back global growth' - // &! Rising interest rates pose new risk for banks: BIS - [...] but a "normalization" of borrowing costs would reverse the debt-fueled inflation of asset prices and hit banks' own loss-absorbing equity capital, the BIS said. "Just as falling yields have supported asset valuation gains in recent years, an eventual normalization would generate losses ... Banks' equity capital would shrink."
BIS  monetary  policy  unconventional  monetary  policy  Financial  Crisis  business  cycle  economic  cycle  economic  history  centralbanks  Fed  Taper  ECB  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  BOE  monetary  system  monetary  stimulus  monetary  transmission  mechanism  zombie  banks  EuropeanSystemicRiskBoard  bailout  equity  bubble  bond  bubble  fractional  reserve  banking  GFC  recovery  Greenspan-Put  alangreenspan  Great  Moderation  Ben  Bernanke  Fed  mandate  Bank  Oversight  deflationary  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  zombie  consumer  structural  imbalance  Impediments  output  gap  productivity  USA  UK  Europe  western  world  secular  stagnation  asset  allocation  distortion  capital  allocation  asset  bubble  job  creation  labour  market  labour  economics  Niedriglohnsektor  Niedriglohn  Service  Sector  Jobs  lost  generation  lost  decade  policy  folly  policy  error  demographic  bubble  sovereign  debt  debt  bubble  consumer  debt  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  economic  growth  economic  damage  structural  unemployment  underemployed  supply  side  economics  microeconomic  policy  vocational  education  education  policy  Future  of  Work  Mobile  Creatives  Mobile  Creative  marginal  cost  economics  of  abundance  Silicon  Valley  industrial  policy  ideology  austerity  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse 
june 2015 by asterisk2a
The Surveillance Economy and Extreme Income Inequality: You Can't Have One Without the Other - YouTube
Uber and Airbnb is equal to informal economy (uncertainty) = staying power only for owner of marketplace (wealth accumulation & ultimate bargain power as owner of (monopoly/oligopoly form of marketplace). Silicon Valley made the informal economy cool again bc its on your smartpone (homescreen). Uber & Co are becoming, as owners of said marketplace, the new super elite (with no shared economic interest & no stakeholder in local economy). Disenfranchised & Price war. // The perfect, crazy, too good to be true, idea - will crash eventually (accumulating wealth with little to no input [see stakeholder theory/shared economic interest/long-term views and interest!]). // Start-up Lesson/Advice: "cost of choice" & paying computation with advertising = corruption (Google, Facebook &Co) paying (Wall Street, short-termism [Fast Food]) for micro-management of your life, of your choice. = U loosing free will. //
abuse  of  power  income  inequality  inequality  surveillance  state  Orwellian  democracy  Net  Neutrality  censorship  self-censorship  Gini  coefficient  Career  Politicians  USA  Five  Eyes  World  Police  World  Ian  Bremmer  book  Jaron  Lanier  21stcentury  Privacy  Internet  Privacy  Vorratsdatenspeicherung  Cryptopocalypse  history  Open  Source  transparency  accountability  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  stakeholder  Wall  Street  crony  capitalism  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  profit  maximisation  bribery  corruption  shareholder  value  occupywallstreet  Indignados  Indignants  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  Share  Economy  1099  Economy  marketplace  marketplace  efficiencies  commodity  business  commoditization  Service  Sector  Jobs  Niedriglohn  Niedriglohnsektor  Universal  Basic  Silicon  Valley  tax  free  income  capital  gains  informal  Super  Rich  1%  Uber  AirBnB  self-employment  contractor  Zero  Hour  Contract  Big  Data  analytics  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  augmented  intelligence  Failure  bailout  GFC  Google  oligopoly  oligopol  monopoly  business  model  Start-Up  lesson  Start-Up  advice  cost  of  choice  advertising  economics  of  abundance  marginal  cost  business  plan  long-term  view  long-term  thinking  Zeitarbeit  The  Leih 
june 2015 by asterisk2a
Microsoft Shakes Up Its Leadership And Internal Structure As Its Fiscal Year Comes To A Close | TechCrunch // Some of its most senior executives are departing, and the company is shifting internal teams in what the company described as a change to better match its personnel to its strategy, according to a memo published both internally and externally by its CEO, Satya Nadella. It’s worth noting that Microsoft is coming up on the end of its fiscal year, making the changes not particularly temporally surprising. Still, the internal reshuffling is notable as it helps underscore how the software company is working to change to face a rapidly evolving market. In its memo, Microsoft said that the changes will help it build at a faster pace, and improve engineering alignment. For a company known in the past for having fractious internal units, the changes are interesting as they appear to be designed to combat its infamous discord. // &! (writing down Nokia hw asset acquisition eventually)
Microsoft  MSFT  Satya  Nadella  management  execution  Leadership  CEO  business  model  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  marginal  cost  economics  of  abundance  Google  Apple 
june 2015 by asterisk2a
Is Spotify doomed because of Apple Music? No — Spotify’s been doomed from the start | PandoDaily
Spotify is really the only legitimate competitor left. But its fate, like that of every streaming music service, is also subject to forces outside of its control — forces that are guided by the three-headed hydra of Warner, Universal, and Sony. [...] Although Apple Music and Spotify’s paid tier offer perks that free subscriptions do not — namely, full mobile access and no ads between songs — the majority of users will not pay for something they can basically get for free, even if they miss out on a handful of features. The percentage of Spotify users who pay for the service bears this out, having held steady for years at only 25%. And this trend shows no sign of abating — according to the most recent figures, paid users as a percentage of the whole crept up a hair but still sits at only 26.7%. [rather spend limited disposable income (and time) on weed and other offline experiences (leisure activities) with friends. -VS- The time of u and ur buddy(s) listening 2 new vinyl release]
Apple  Music  iTunes  Spotify  Soundcloud  subscription  model  business  model  Music  Industry  360-music-contract  Indie  Music  self-publishing  The  Content  Wars  attention  span  user  behaviour  snacking  Pandora  Deezer  Radio  8tracks  Tidal  YouTube  marginal  cost  economics  of  abundance  abundance  friction  frictionless  convenience  Netflix  disposable  income  offline  experience  shared  experience  Millennials  generationy  aspirational  product  Apple  status  anxiety  status  symbol  socioeconomic  status  social  status  commodity  business  commoditization  commodities  Media  mass  market  consumerist  consumer  product  antitrust  freemium  Venture  Capital  value  creation  Core  Proposition  Proposition  intangible  value  added  value  Start-Up  lesson  Start-Up  advice  Silicon  Valley  corporate  strategy  exit  strategy  business  strategy 
june 2015 by asterisk2a
Apple Music: Neuer Streamingdienst verschlägt der Konkurrenz die Sprache - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Es kommt wie erwartet, und doch ist die Branche in Aufruhr: Bei der Entwicklerkonferenz WWDC hat Apple seinen neuen Streamingdienst Apple Music angekündigt. Umfang und Art des Angebots dürften der Konkurrenz das Leben schwer machen. [...] Apple muss damit nicht reich werden Allerdings sind die Ausgangspunkte sehr unterschiedlich. Bei einem Umsatz von 1,3 Milliarden Dollar machte Spotify im vergangenen Jahr 197 Millionen Euro Verlust. Mit dem Geldverdienen klappt es also nicht einmal beim Marktführer so richtig. Und trotzdem wird das schwedische Unternehmen mit acht Milliarden Dollar bewertet. Für Apple aber ist es viel einfacher: Der kalifornische Konzern muss mit seinem Angebot gar kein Geld verdienen. Der iTunes Store und der App Store dienen in erster Linie dazu, Kunden an Apples Plattformen zu binden und damit den Verkauf der viel profitableren Apple-Hardware anzukurbeln. Genauso ist es auch mit Apple Music.
Apple  Music  Apple  Spotify  Tidal  Pandora  Rdio  Deezer  Platdorm  Silo  aspirational  product  Branding  Brand  iTunes  Apple  App  Store  ecosystem  marginal  cost  margin  cash  cow  business  model  multi-product  company  freemium  subscription  model  commodity  business  commoditization  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  Google  Play  Amazon  Netflix  differentiate  differentiation 
june 2015 by asterisk2a
What Explains the Persistent Lack of Inflation? - YouTube
world is flattening, technology impact, low hanging fruits picked, lack of income growth (lack of disposable income, discretionary spending - squeezed middle class), inequality (Super Rich, 1% and corporations not paying fair share of tax), austerity, austerity (underinvestment, no productive investment for long-term growth), business (underinvestment and no productive investment), low to negative savings rate!, a demographic bubble,
secular  stagnation  western  world  disinflation  deflationary  2015  economic  history  economic  model  economics  of  abundance  marginal  cost  Lohnzurückhaltung  Niedriglohnsektor  income  growth  squeezed  middle  class  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  fiscal  policy  austerity  monetary  policy  liquidity  trap  Abenomics  demographic  bubble  complexity  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  western  society  productivity  UK  USA  Europe  Japan  OECD  output  gap  participation  rate  labour  market  labour  economics  Fed  BOE  ECB  BOJ  IMF  recovery  GFC  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  Super  Rich  1%  crony  capitalism  bailout  inequality  income  inequality  Gini  coefficient  trickle-down  economics  economic  damage  macroeconomics  economic  growth  microeconomics  neoliberal  neoliberalism  Schuldenbremse  Pact  PIGS  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer 
may 2015 by asterisk2a
Elizabeth Warren: No Need to Stop Uber-ized Workforce, but Must Invest in Education (Video) | Re/code
Warren defends Uber-ization of labor // Elizabeth Warren, the Massachusetts senator denounced by some as a “far-left” socialist radical, came out in support of the “Uber-ization” of the labor force. “We’re not going to stop tech so that lots of people will work,” Sen. Warren said at yesterday’s Code Conference. “That’s like saying, ‘Let’s get rid of heavy equipment and let people dig with a spoon.'” // "how the on-demand economy is creating full-time jobs out of part-time work. Several startups, like Uber, rely on contract employers. Google CEO Larry Page has predicted that part-time working will soon be the norm." // marketplace lowers prices! its inevitable. Except there is regulation and a guaranteed income /w around minimum wage. // Wall Street - Capitalism - rootless global corporations (& money have no conscience) has no self-limiter. Is no stakeholder in a local economy has no shared economic interest whether in a local economy nor country. //
1099  Economy  Share  Economy  TaskRabbit  Uber  Lyft  on-demand  self-employment  marketplace  efficiencies  marketplace  Future  of  Work  contractor  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  contract  Zero  Hour  labour  market  labour  economics  Capitalism  crony  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  stakeholder  exploitation  social  safety  net  welfare  state  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  outsourcing  Universal  Basic  Income  uncertainty  working  poor  precarious  Precariat  Instacart  Postmates  Proletariat  USA  UK  neoliberal  neoliberalism  Workers  Union  tax  code  Wall  Street  underinvestment  productive  investment  Washington  revolving  door  No  Representation  Super  Rich  1%  Career  Politicians  voter  turnout  Protest  Partei  Protest  Party  Elizabeth  Warren  infrastructure  investment  21stcentury  Smart  Grid  education  policy  vocational  education  workforce  poverty  minimum  wage  living  wage  marginal  cost  economics  of  abundance  economic  history  globalisation  globalization  borderless  flat  world  policy  folly  Makers  policy  error  social  tension  social  cohesion 
may 2015 by asterisk2a
Jeremy Rifkin at the #CGC15: “The Zero Marginal Cost Society” - YouTube
From Top-Down Corporations to Prosumer (ProAm) to everybody being a potentially player! thus entrepreneurship, differentiation, being remarkable (Seth Godin). Distributed. Collaborative. Open. Transparent. (Open Source). Lateral Power. (TaxiOS project (collaborative) vs Uber (top-down Wall Street proprietary profit maximisation shareholder value with no shared economic interest, crony capitalism [ ]). // GFC 147$/barrel of oil. Started at 90$/barrel of oil --- globalisation/economic growth has a ceiling its 147$ and its starts to get prohibitive at 90$ // aggregate energy efficiency // Transport, Smart Grid, Internet, IoT; moving power, thus economic power. economic value chain // human capital; economic activity entity // digital goods = zero marginal cost of additional unit sold // Share Economy transforms Capitalism which will not be the primary exclusive arbiter of economic life // favours electricity cooperatives, E.ON, EDF, RWE & Co have to pivot //
marginal  cost  economics  of  abundance  book  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  Future  of  Work  Mobile  Creatives  Mobile  Creative  global  citizenship  Energy  Internet  Smart  Grid  renewable  green  transportation  public  transportation  policy  price  wind  security  efficiency  economic  history  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  augmented  intelligence  algorithm  algorithms  GFC  productivity  austerity  IoT  Big  Data  analytics  efficiency  Capitalism  Share  Economy  vocational  education  education  policy  practical  skills  practical  skill  set  MOOC  entrepreneurship  entrepreneur  differentiate  differentiation  Seth  Godin  society  culture  Universal  Basic  Income  3D  printing  Manufacturing  Moore's  Law  democracy  logistics  Internet 
may 2015 by asterisk2a
Jeremy Rifkin: A New Era of Capitalism - YouTube
energy changes societies. urbanisation and suburban enabled by fossil fuels. // "Energy Internet" clients are houses with solar roof-top and plugged in electric cars. Nodes are wind and solar farms, storage forms etc. Sharing energy globally. Continentalisation. // scales laterally, favours SME/SMB. // democratise manufacturing = 3D printing // Top-Down Corps to Prosumer (ProAm) to everybody being a potentially player! thus entrepreneurship, differentiation, being remarkable (Seth Godin). Distributed. Collaborative. Open. Transparent. (Open Source). Lateral Power. (TaxiOS project (collaborative) vs Uber (still top-down Wall Street profit maximisation shareholder value with no shared economic interest, capitalism [ ]). // We have to move from geopolitics to biosphere politics. Wall Street corporates are no stakeholders in our world, well being etc. // Continental political unions. Europe, Asia, South America, North America // Curse of oil! no diversification.
book  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  Energy  Internet  infrastructure  investment  infrastructure  Smart  Grid  ProAm  differentiate  differentiation  Seth  Godin  Future  of  Work  Mobile  Creatives  Mobile  Creative  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  education  policy  vocational  education  practical  skills  practical  skill  set  geopolitics  biosphere  politics  carbonfootprint  carbonemission  fossil  fuel  Wall  Street  stakeholder  globalisation  globalization  Collaborative  Capitalism  crony  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  productive  investment  underinvestment  GFC  21stcentury  Europe  tarsand  shale  gas  shalegas  fracking  economic  model  economic-thought  economic  history  academia  academic  academics  trickle-down  economics  economics  of  abundance  marginal  cost  economic  growth  empathy  authenticity  authentic  humanitarian  crisis  human  tragedy  human  capital  human  progress  human  being  global  citizenship  global  warming  extreme  weather  weather  extreme 
may 2015 by asterisk2a
Porträt ǀ Unten durch — der Freitag
Vor kurzem hat er ein Buch veröffentlicht, das als „Unterschichtenroman“ Aufsehen erregt hat. In einer klaren, nüchternen Sprache schildert er darin seine Erfahrungen als Leiharbeiter, mit prekären Jobs und Beziehungen. Mittlerweile lebt Wall in Berlin-Wedding, nahe der Uferhallen, wo wir uns treffen. Der Ort vereint zwei Welten, das Raue und das Kreative. Passt also. [...] Es geht oft um Fingernägel, Kleidung, Schönheit. Äußerlichkeiten sind wichtig, wenn alles um dich herum hässlich ist. [ Selbstdarstellung A und O in heutiger welt! - The Vanity Economy Explosion - see Economy of Fakes out of China & Co. & Investing in Vanity, Leisure and Luxury Products ] // [...] [Uni Abschluss] so besonders ist das gar nicht. [ personal differentiation needed because abundance of workers/competition businesses can choose from - that work for the lowest wage possible. creativity is not in abundance. risk takers neither. ] // Jeder fuer sich.
precarious  work  Precariat  Werkvertrag  Leiharbeit  Zeitarbeit  working  poor  social  cohesion  poverty  poverty  in  old  age  child  poverty  food  poverty  hartz-iv  ALG2  Aufstocker  Germany  labour  market  labour  economics  book  status  symbol  status  anxiety  socioeconomic  status  social  status  Vanity  Selbstdarstellung  Selbstfürsorge  society  celebrity  culture  of  You  Gini  coefficient  globalisation  globalization  Western  World  public  image  Mobile  Creatives  Mobile  Creative  economics  of  abundance  marginal  cost  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  Future  of  vocational  education  education  policy  practical  skills  practical  skill  set  differentiate  differentiation  Brand  Branding  competitiveness  competitive  competition  economic  history  social  mobility  downward  mobility  income  mobility  University  College  un-college  policy  folly  policy  error  Career  Politicians  flat  borderless  BRIC  Developing  World  Frontier  Markets  destruction  value  creation  gesellschaft  culture  Universal  Basic  Dimitrij  Wall  Europe  Proletariat  democracy  No  Representation  Luxury  aspirational  aspirational  product  projection  consumerist  consumerism  zombie  consumer  consumer  choice  visual  identity  identity  individuality  Capitalism 
may 2015 by asterisk2a
Forget the Verizon-AOL deal. The big wave in tech M&A is just getting started. | PandoDaily
The all-cash AOL deal may drain Verizon’s cash reserves, but consider that Verizon generated $10 billion in operating cash flows last quarter – on top of $113 billion in total debt. [W]hats another $4.4 billion in loans, especially when interest rates are as cheap as they’ve ever been? // &! S&P 500 Companies Spend Almost All Profits on Buybacks - // &! Companies have been gobbling up their own shares at an exceptional rate. There are good reasons to worry about this [...] The companies in the S&P 500 index bought $500 billion of their own shares in 2013, close to the high reached in the bubble year of 2007, and eating up 33 cents of every dollar of cashflow. [...] [$650 billion of cash overseas] [ leading firms to skimp on long-term investment] [firms are being sensible by restraining investment in the face of economic uncertainty] - //
M&A  Stock  buyback  productive  investment  underinvestment  GFC  bubble  asset  allocation  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  2015  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  asset  bubble  equity  bubble  Amazon  Apple  s&p500  recovery  austerity  Western  World  secular  stagnation  hunt  for  yield  compensation  zombie  corporations  zombie  banks  dividends  offshore  Taper  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  economic  history  long-term  view  long-term  thinking  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  compensation  package  golden  parachute  marginal  cost  economics  of  abundance  Moore's  Law  capital  expenditure  corporate  investment  uncertainty  Europe  USA  Career  Politicians  policy  folly  policy  error  PIGS  infrastructure  investment  business  investment  digital  economy  knowledge  economy  job  creation  Industrial  Revolution  2.0 
may 2015 by asterisk2a
Bank of England says UK economy to grow by 2.5% in 2015 - BBC News
Mr Carney warned of "underlying weakness" as the Bank gave a gloomier picture for productivity growth. The Bank revised down its productivity forecast because it sees a disproportionate number of new jobs as low-skilled and low-output. Productivity growth is now expected to improve only modestly in the coming year before remaining below past average rates. 'Underinvestment' "Today's report should leave nobody in any doubt about the fundamental role of productivity growth in the UK economy's performance," said Aberdeen Asset Management chief economist Lucy O'Carroll. "The Bank of England has downgraded its growth outlook, and Mark Carney has put poor productivity right at the centre of the story. "He may have put part of the productivity disappointment of recent years down to a disproportionate pick-up in low-productivity jobs, but he has also admitted that underinvestment has played a role." [...] [+ EU&Global (China) headwinds] = in no rush to raise interest rates. &!
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may 2015 by asterisk2a
Tom Keene's Excited: Counting the Labor Economy - YouTube
break of a trend of rise in net new job creation // rise in uncounted unemployed - biggest count among them black, latino, mexican, // also unaccounted - how much, what sliver of the 2000s stagnation is self-employment numbers where you just make ends needs just about barely inching towards living wage but far off at your cushy old job with a middle class wage. Picture also highlights that 2000 recovery was a debt fueled recovery. As well as is the recovery from the GFC. Lay over that graph also GDP and GDP per capita. And S&P500 (w dividends, w revenues of businesses in the S&P500 USA companies US business) That will show. //
21stcentury  2000  labour  market  labour  economics  USA  Western  World  globalisation  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  borderless  competitive  competition  competitiveness  Career  Politicians  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  Wall  Street  contractor  Zero  Hour  Contract  outsourcing  job  creation  Industrial  Revolution  economic  history  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  unemployment  underemployed  workforce  participation  rate  self-employment  employment  structural  unemployment  secular  stagnation  recovery  GFC  austerity  IMF  OECD  UK  Europe  Germany  squeezed  middle  class  middle  class  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  economics  of  abundance  marginal  cost  academia  academics  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  bailout  social  cohesion  policy  error  policy  folly  Workers  Union  Millennials  babyboomers  generationy 
may 2015 by asterisk2a
Naval Ravikant to VCs: “You can lie to your LPs, but don’t lie to yourselves” | PandoDaily
“There was so much innovation being thrown around—moveable carry, geographic portfolio, unbundling and more. Many were coming up to me later saying the ideas were flying at them too fast. That’s exactly what’s happening in the market.” Even if you don’t know what those terms mean, the important takeaway is that even the stodgiest VCs are going to have to start acting more like the entrepreneurs they serve because the market is only getting more competitive with the ways to fund becoming far more varied and “hackable.” [and add Corporate Accelerators, Incubators and Venture Funds] [...] restrictions LPs put on funds: things like how much you can invest, what percentage of a fund you can invest in follow on rounds of existing companies, what sector you invest in, whether you can invest personally if the fund invests as a group, etc.
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may 2015 by asterisk2a
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