asterisk2a + macroeconomics   42

Yanis Varoufakis: »MONEY AND POWER«, Public Lecture 2015-11-04
3rd bailout loan $0 went to Greece. All to pay off banks. extend & pretend. 1st: ~90% went to the banks. [...] ESM does not exist [...] banking union plan not progressing at all. //&! Yanis Varoufakis @Oxford Union - youtu.be/zWB6lY2GBjQ - ACADEMIA LACKS ANTI-ESTABLISHMENT ATTITUDE! Because going against the grain has become anti-reputation. [...] it's all about expectations, predictions about where S&P500 will be in 12 months. [...] regression between theory and reality. economists have never been humble. [ see Wall Street cottage factory of analysis and prediction shops ] [...] if you torture the data and model enough it will confess. [< EU monetary union based on theory ] [...] [34:00] Brussels is technically incompetent and will not reform itself. I am a libertarian marxist. Schumpeter. true creative destruction. great wealth currently created - all going to 1%. = not humanitarian. not democratic. [...] 41:00 Q&A, <48:50> gov budget not same as household budget; George Osborne.
bank  crisis  banking  crisis  European  Election  2014  sovereign  debt  crisis  austerity  Grexit  Yanis  Varoufakis  Tsipras  Syriza  Brussels  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  GFC  Great  Depression  credit  crisis  credit  creation  Super  Cycle  debt  overhang  liquidity  trap  ECB  Troika  MarioDraghi  economic  history  Richard  Koo  leverage  recovery  deflation  deflationary  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Germany  underinvestment  Super  Rich  reflate  reflation  Generationengerechtigkeit  1%  oligarchy  plutocracy  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  balance  sheet  recession  Euro  Gold  Standard  ESM  IMF  OECD  banking  union  EEA  Economics  Academia  Academics  Economists  Scholars  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  income  distribution  inequality  Gini  coefficient  Gesellschaft  society  Yanis  Varoufakis  financial  crisis  economic  model  econometrics  social  theory  monetary  union  Chicago  School  poverty  economic  history  austerity  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  UK  nasty  party  Richard  Koo  macroeconomics  macroeconomic  policy  macroprudential  policy  aggregate  demand  Capital  Expenditure  income  tax  receipts  deflation  deflationary  Universal  Basic  class  warfare 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Norway seeks to diversify its economy as oil earnings plunge - BBC News
As oil prices have collapsed, it's become clear that Norway has caught what used to be called the Dutch disease - an overreliance on one industry, in this case the oil and gas sector. With its upmarket waterfront restaurants and the Barcode office blocks, the Sorenga dockside development serves as a poignant reminder of how prosperous Norway had become while the going was still good. [...] Unbalanced economy [...] "The oil and gas industry became too strong in our economy, especially during the last four or five years, reflects Prime Minister Erna Solberg. "Most of the growth came from that sector, and our strong currency left some of our traditional industries behind." [...] Household debts have reached more than 200% of annual disposable income [ Dutch Disease; UK & USA = domestic consumption, Germany = exports and its name, London = Finance and wealthy expats/non-doms, Switzerland = exports and its name , China = export, Brazil = commodity export ]
Norway  Aberdeen  Oil  price  commodity  prices  secular  stagnation  2016  2015  credit  bubble  China  BRIC  economic  history  reflate  reflation  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  aggregate  demand  Dutch  Disease  distortion  financial  repression  macroeconomics  macroeconomic  policy  macroprudential  policy  microeconomic  policy  unemployment  OPEC 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
BBC News on the North South Divide with Tom Hunt - YouTube
multiplier effect of service sector job = 1 or lower. meaning need to access tax credits. //&! Northern Powerhouse dept to close Sheffield office and move 247 jobs to London. - Government business department shuts largest non-London office George Osborne’s ‘northern powerhouse’ policy questioned as branch closure in Sheffield casts doubt on chancellor’s pledge to revitalise English cities - bit.ly/1PDlgSA // also northern councils have to cut deeper than souther because of lower tax base!
Northern  Powerhouse  UK  Scotland  Westminster  London  George  Osborne  Devolution  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomic  policy  knowledge  economy  knowledge  worker  transferring-wealth  transfer  payments  income  distribution  income  redistribution  low  income  low  pay  precarious  work  Precariat  part-time  recovery  GFC  Manufacturing  STEM  productivity  output  gap  macroeconomics  microeconomics  nasty  party  Conservative  David  Cameron  Toff  Establishment  post  code  lottery  health  inequality  inequality  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  wealth  distribution  Privileged  education  policy  apprenticeships  vocational  education  austerity  Council  Public  Services  Services  SNP  Scotland  Bill  Fiscal  Framework  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  structural  unemployment  PR  spin  doctor  Positioning 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Yes, there is one great contribution men can make to feminism: pick up a mop | Helen Lewis | Opinion | The Guardian
[ unpaid, unaccounted labour = no statistics ] Our society – and capitalism at large – depends on the unpaid labour of women. But there’s evidence that our gendered assumptions are hurting men too
feminism  feminist  inequality  microeconomics  macroeconomics  GDP  shadow  economy  maternity  leave  paternity  leave  kindergarten  parenting 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
America's Highways Need That Trillion Dollars Congress Already Spent - YouTube
transportation (all kinds), internet, phone lines, cable, energy (smart grid), water, --- cost increase w worse infrastructure to do business. whether its commuting times (chronic stress for workers - thus increased aggregate health care bill and increased sick days) & congestion, air water pollution (public health), car/truck maintenance cost, no bike lanes (public health), lost productivity due to energy outages, slow internet ...
USA  infrastructure  investment  underinvestment  competitive  competitiveness  infrastructure  globalization  globalisation  Smart  Grid  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomic  policy  macroprudential  policy  macroeconomics  microeconomics 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
China's impossible trinity - BBC News
At the heart of China's problem is the "impossible trinity" of international macroeconomics. The impossible trinity - or trilemma - is the idea that it is impossible for a country to have three things at the same time: a stable currency, the free movement of capital (i.e. the absence of capital controls) and independent monetary policy. A country can instead choose just two of the options from this policy suite. The UK, in common with most developed economies, has free capital movement and an independent monetary policy - but not a controlled exchange rate. The Bank of England sets interest rates at a level it thinks is right for the UK economy and - as capital can flow into and out of the UK at will - the exchange rate is determined by the market. [...] But the bigger criticism is usually over the nature of the post-2009 stimulus package [...] But, for all the criticism, the counterfactual is rarely stated. What would global growth have looked like without it? [//+ deflation factors]
China  liberal  economic  reform  2015  credit  bubble  devaluation  currency  debasement  Yuan  RMB  PBOC  IMF  SDR  macroeconomics  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  QE  recovery  GFC  economic  history  banking  crisis  shadow  banking  NPL  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  property  bubble  hot-money  BRIC  western  world  global  trade  global  economy  deflationary  deflation  reflate  reflation  equity  bubble  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  distortion  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  Fed  BOE  BOJ  Abenomics  currency  war  currency-war  aggregate  demand  short-fall  aggregate  demand  Richard  Koo  consumer  debt  household  debt  student  loan  debt  debt  servitude  sovereign  debt  crisis  debt  bubble  Super  Cycle  student  debt  public  debt  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  private  debt  globalisation  globalization  technological  progress  flat  world  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  secular  stagnation  borderless  global  imbalances  faultlines  structural  imbalance  savings  glut  Impediments  inequality  squeezed  middle  class  Europe  UK  OECD  marginal  propensity  to  consume  Sozialer  Abstieg  working  poor  precarious  work  income  growth  deregulation  self-regulation  Workers  Union  wage  pressure  disposable  income  income  distribution  income  redistribution  low  income  income  inequality  American  Dream  USA  Gini  Super  coe 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
The Productivity Paradox - NYTimes.com
First of all, productivity measurement is more art than science — especially in America's vast services sector, which employs fully 80 percent of the nation's private work force, according to the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics. Productivity is calculated as the ratio of output per unit of work time. How do we measure value added in the amorphous services sector? Very poorly, is the answer.
productivity  microeconomics  macroeconomics  output  gap  economic  slack  recovery  dot.com  GFC  academics  academia  Service  Sector  Jobs 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
UK interest rate rises - waiting for lift-off | Business | The Guardian
In 2018 – by when, bear in mind, most of the work of austerity is expected to have been done – Miles calculates that fiscal consolidation will still drag interest rates downwards by more than 0.75% compared to what would otherwise be the case. This is one of the factors explaining the (commonly held) assumption that interest rates will approach a “new normal” over the next few years that is likely to be about half as high as the 5% that prevailed pre-financial crisis. Even in the second half of the parliament this “fiscal headwind” will still be blowing strong. [...] The case for introducing more transparency isn’t mere technocratic trimming. The balance struck between monetary and fiscal policy has big consequences. There are obvious distributional implications (all else equal, mortgage holders win; savers lose). There are ramifications too for the capital allocation process, the current account, and the risk of an asset-bubble. The list goes on: the macro-mix matters.
BOE  Taper  austerity  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  UK  economic  history  recovery  fiscal  stimulus  monetary  stimulus  Mark  Carney  2015  balance  sheet  recession  debtoverhang  deleveraging  savings  rate  consumer  debt  sovereign  debt  crisis  household  debt  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  private  debt  credit  card  mortgage  market  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  macroeconomics  macroprudential  policy  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  current  account  deficit  Makers  policy  folly  policy  error  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  David  Cameron  George  Osborne  IMF  OECD  Toff  dogma  ideology  neoliberalism  neoliberal  fairness  Establishment  Privileged  asset  bubble  hunt  for  yield  asset  allocation  speculative  bubbles  Funding  for  Lending  Scheme  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  housing  market  affordable  housing  STEM  education  policy  industrial  policy  globalization  globalisation  competitiveness  competitive  competition  competitive  advantage  London  Westminster  distortion 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Who Will Be Hurt Most When The Tech Bubble Bursts? Not VCs | TechCrunch
In a nutshell, FOMO is driving many investors in a hustle to be a part of the next Facebook or Twitter and put in huge investments for a fraction of stake. And, they don’t see much risk in it as long as they get the downside protection. [ growth round = rocket fuel splashed onto stuff to acquire more customers and market share (basically, but not always) ] [...] Someday, pretty soon, these will be put to the test, and valuations based on visibility of earnings will matter again. A few will succeed of course, but several others will fall – it remains to be seen how miserably. VCs will most likely walk away with their invested money, if not more. It’s the employees and founders who will see their million-dollar dreams crash and burn. [living beyond ur means & betting dollars you dont have on a time that seems further away than u can even guess (secular stagnation)] [lack of income growth (across the western world) thus disposable income (discretionary spending) is also not helping]
Silicon  Valley  burn  rate  operations  Bill  Gurley  Unicorn  runway  FOMO  Venture  Capital  growth  round  termsheet  liquidation  preferences  Private  Market  Private  Equity  SPV  bubble  distortion  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  disinflation  secular  stagnation  deflationary  deflation  western  world  business  model  revenue  revenues  fiscal  policy  income  growth  USA  OECD  sovereign  debt  crisis  austerity  disposable  income  policy  error  Taper  policy  folly  monetary  policy  productive  investment  underinvestment  infrastructure  investment  1%  Super  Rich  on-demand  convenience  Share  Economy  labour  labour  economics  discretionary  spending  Schuldenbremse  PIGS  Brexit  Grexit  currency  war  macroeconomics  Pact  Europe  productivity  Lohnzurückhaltung  job  creation  globalisation  globalization  Niedriglohn  Niedriglohnsektor  Service  Sector  Jobs  flat  world  borderless  competitive  Future  of  Work  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  economic  history  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  demographic  bubble  Super  Cycle  consumer  debt  zombie  consumer  zombie  banks 
may 2015 by asterisk2a
What Explains the Persistent Lack of Inflation? - YouTube
world is flattening, technology impact, low hanging fruits picked, lack of income growth (lack of disposable income, discretionary spending - squeezed middle class), inequality (Super Rich, 1% and corporations not paying fair share of tax), austerity, austerity (underinvestment, no productive investment for long-term growth), business (underinvestment and no productive investment), low to negative savings rate!, a demographic bubble,
secular  stagnation  western  world  disinflation  deflationary  2015  economic  history  economic  model  economics  of  abundance  marginal  cost  Lohnzurückhaltung  Niedriglohnsektor  income  growth  squeezed  middle  class  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  fiscal  policy  austerity  monetary  policy  liquidity  trap  Abenomics  demographic  bubble  complexity  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  western  society  productivity  UK  USA  Europe  Japan  OECD  output  gap  participation  rate  labour  market  labour  economics  Fed  BOE  ECB  BOJ  IMF  recovery  GFC  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  Super  Rich  1%  crony  capitalism  bailout  inequality  income  inequality  Gini  coefficient  trickle-down  economics  economic  damage  macroeconomics  economic  growth  microeconomics  neoliberal  neoliberalism  Schuldenbremse  Pact  PIGS  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer 
may 2015 by asterisk2a
Osborne faces up to productivity challenge - BBC News
UK is 30% behind USA and Germany in terms of productivity. // most job creation was in service sector jobs / manual labour - no net new jobs stemming from productive investments in new technology/manufacturing/R&D ... the future. The Future is obviously not made in the UK. And stuff is not made what people use across the globe.
George  Osborne  UK  productivity  recovery  income  growth  living  standard  GFC  employment  labour  market  labour  economics  underinvestment  productive  investment  general  election  2015  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  Future  of  Work  Mobile  Creatives  Mobile  Creative  output  gap  Niedriglohnsektor  Service  Sector  Jobs  job  creation  microeconomic  policy  microeconomics  macroprudential  policy  macroeconomics  macroeconomic  policy  Makers  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  austerity  fiscal  policy 
may 2015 by asterisk2a
Marc Andreessen on innovation and diversity | Fortune - YouTube
Public Market became cautious '14/'15: oil price slump + China + Russia + secular stagnation of the west in general (productivity gap & output gap), Abenomics, negative bond yields for gov debt and nearly 0 for corporate AAA debt, deflationary pressures in UK (0% inflation last 2 quarters), Europe (steady decline of M3 & issuance of new debt), & USA (with deflationary pressures as well). macroeconomic indicators do signal caution, because despite all the efforts (throwing the bathtub at the problem; ECB installing negative yield 4 overnight bank deposits with them) from central banks (NIRP, QE, POMO & other policies), the economic engine of the world & the west is still not going into 3rd or higher. // & Andreesen's argument, against, that tech is in bubblish territory, is, that in comparison with '99/'00 & the Public Markets current caution; (re-)investment (GOOG 11bn '14) & share buybacks (IBM, MSFT) schemes & dividends payout dwarf VC & growth rounds in tech by several magnitudes.
2015  IPO  M&A  Wall  Street  shareholder  shareholder  value  Silicon  Valley  bubbles  equity  bubble  bond  bubble  recovery  GFC  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  BOE  BOJ  Abenomics  ECB  Fed  Public  Market  Private  Market  hunt  for  yield  single-class  share  structure  Marc  Andreessen  Venture  Capital  Unicorn  economic  history  macroeconomics  debt  bubble  secular  stagnation  demographic  bubble  speculative  bubbles  behavioral  economics  behavioral  finance  distortion  sovereign  debt  crisis  zombie  corporations  zombie  banks  zombie  consumer  Super  Cycle  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  deleveraging  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession 
april 2015 by asterisk2a
Anleihekäufe führen nicht zu Inflation: Kolumne von Wolfgang Münchau - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Wenn Sie sich jetzt die Anleihenkäufe der englischen oder der japanischen Zentralbank anschauen, dann ist genau das passiert, was ich gerade beschrieben habe. In beiden Fällen wurde die Geldbasis massiv erhöht. Die Geldmenge bewegte sich nicht. Warum kaufen Zentralbanken die Wertpapiere dann überhaupt? Sie hoffen auf indirekte Effekte, die am Ende einer langen Kette vielleicht doch auf die Geldmenge wirken. [...] Nur leider hat das in Japan zwei Jahrzehnte lang nicht funktioniert. Und bei uns bislang auch nicht. Dafür gibt es verschiedene Gründe: [...] [... overarching trend; a flattening of the curves (of disparity) across the world concerning economic ?pillars?: work type (more advanced work in the supplychain in china & not just labour intensive stuff only. more & more added value done in BRIC, East Europe, ...) #labourmarket, #consumption, #demographics, #edu, savings, social safety net, western style democracy et al) ... fall of Iron Curtain was beginning of process Angleichung]
liquidity  trap  Japan  BOJ  Fed  BOE  ECB  quantitative-easing  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  OMT  TLTRO  LTRO  TARP  POMO  equity  bubble  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  hunt  for  yield  sovereign  debt  crisis  Richard  Koo  lost  decade  economic  history  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  theory  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  zombie  consumer  zombie  banks  business  investment  trust  trustagent  fiscal  policy  austerity  IMF  BIS  centralbanks  confidence  deleveraging  debtoverhang  Super  Cycle  consumer  debt  debt  bubble  debt  monetization  debt  monetisation  debt  restructuring  haircut  monetary  policy  monetary  system  fiat  currency  deflation  deflationary  inflation  targeting  inflation  expectation  flat  world  globalization  globalisation  faultlines  infrastructure  investment  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  competitive  competitiveness  China  BRIC  Frontier  Markets  Developing  global  trade  macroeconomics  microeconomics  labour  market  labour  economics  21stcentury  Software  Is  Eating  The  algorithm  Robotics  automation  Niedriglohnsektor  lohndumping  Lohnzurückhaltung  disposable  income  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives 
november 2014 by asterisk2a
Thomas Mayer und sein Buch "Die neue Ordnung des Geldes" - SPIEGEL ONLINE
"Je mehr ich mich damit beschäftigte", erzählt er, "desto klarer wurde mir, dass das ein Problem im System ist." [...] "Wir haben die erste Runde der Krise bekämpft, aber wir kommen nicht mehr raus aus der Politik des billigen Geldes." [...] Gold ist für ihn ein "barbarischer Rohstoff", der im Modell der Österreichischen Schule eigentlich nur als Ersatz für das nötige Vertrauen der Bürger in eine Währung fungiere. Dennoch müsse die Geldmenge natürlich begrenzt werden. Den Banken und Staaten will Mayer deshalb jeden Zugriff auf die Schöpfung neuen Geldes entziehen. Er spricht von einem "Aktivgeldsystem".
book  GFC  toobigtofail  TBTF  too  big  to  jail  BIS  IMF  Fed  academia  economic  history  BOE  BOJ  Abenomics  ECB  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  OMT  LTRO  TLTRO  Bailout  liquidity  trap  monetary  theory  monetary  policy  unintended  consequences  asset  bubble  equity  bubble  unknown  unknowns  unknown  unkown  Debt  Super  Cycle  monetary  transmission  mechanism  consumer  confidence  business  confidence  trust  trustagent  confidence  fiat  currency  economic  model  economics  macroeconomics 
october 2014 by asterisk2a
BBC News - 'No wage rises' until jobless rate falls to 5% says MPC member
Martin Weale said there may be more spare capacity in the economy than policymakers had previously estimated. +++ Bank of England 'puzzled' by productivity gap - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-27857472 >> London Finance Centre Canary Wharf drove up productivity in the run up to the 2008 GFC :: UK workforce as a whole, lacking skills for the future, thus the productivity gap; Mobile Creative, Mobile Creatives, skill-biased technological change, knowledge worker, White-collar Worker, Blue-collar Worker. Year of Code is too late and a drop/tea-cup in the ocean. College needs to offer Computer Science Degrees (Technichal College), not just University. College's offers courses as "Beauty Technicians." Services Industry that does NOT scale. A locals hairdressers service can not be exported, sold and consumed in other countries. Period.
spare  capacity  output  gap  UK  productivity  recovery  2014  BOE  economic  history  unknown  unknowns  complexity  unemployment  structural  unemployment  economy  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  austerity  Impediments  faultlines  structural  imbalance  productivity  gap  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  skill-biased  technological  change  knowledge  worker  White-collar  Blue-collar  workforce  Year  of  Code  21stcentury  Why  Software  Is  Eating  the  World  Software  Is  Eating  World  education  Higher  formal  education  business  education  education  bubble  un-college  College  scaling  scale  microeconomics  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomics  macroprudential  policy  microprudential  regulation  Public  interest  retraining  STEM  education  policy  Career  Politicians  short-term  thinking  long-term  thinking  accountability  Politics  transparency  democracy  Democratic  Process  free  press  free  speech  pluralistic  society  plurality  pluralism  freedom  of  press  debate  discourse 
june 2014 by asterisk2a
Learn To Code, Learn To Think : 13.7: Cosmos And Culture : NPR
policy to push to learn to write, read, understand code and systems. design thinking. problem solving. early on as soon as yound ppl are literate ~12-14. - higher productivity - + 3D printing future in 30 years ... future of 30-35hr work week - 5-6hrs a day. THE REAL NEW ECONOMY. 90's New Economy was hyped by exuberance and ... different topic. But this is the outline of the real new world, new economy. ( robert skidelsky in praise of leisure ) when the world is flat - 2050. baring any other crisis being solved ala climate change and ecological disasters. man made or ie earthquake swallowing california, canarie islands exploding creating huge tsunami, yosemite exploding, etc etc. - baring also - that we fix inequality problems, reducing the divide. fostering better democratic process, transparency and accountability - instilling trust and confidence again in public service.
Year  of  Code  coding  programming  programmers  ethical  machine  systems  design  system  design  skill  skill-biased  technological  change  capital  skills  skills  knowledge  worker  White-collar  Blue-collar  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  destruction  globalisation  globalization  comparative  advantage  comparative-advantage  competitive  advantage  competitive  competitiveness  Competition  Why  Software  Is  Eating  the  World  Software  Is  Eating  World  education  Higher  formal  education  business  education  education  bubble  Public  Policy  Policy  Makers  error  folly  industrial  fiscal  macroprudential  Career  Politicians  long-term  thinking  21stcentury  productivity  macroeconomic  macroeconomics  microeconomic  microeconomics  3D  printing  Future  optimism  Robert  Skidelsky  academia  economic  history  capitalism  workforce  book  economist  New  Economy  global  digital  digital  natives  digital  divide  Age  knowledge  Commanding  Heights  Politics 
june 2014 by asterisk2a
Zinsentscheid der EZB: Draghi plant Minus vor Zinssatz - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Schon immer ließ sich das Ende eines Systems besonders schwer erkennen, wenn man Teil des Systems ist. Im Jahre sieben nach Ausbruch der Finanzkrise ist es langsam Zeit für die Frage: Was, wenn die vermeintliche Ausnahme in Wahrheit die Regel ist? Wenn es sich bei der Kombination aus niedrigen Zinsen, niedrigem Wachstum und niedriger Inflation, die weite Teile Europa seit 2008 ebenso im Griff hält wie die USA und Japan, um die neue Normalität handelt? Wenn das seit Jahrzehnten praktizierte westliche Wirtschaftsmodell, sich immer niedrigere Wachstumsraten mit immer höheren Staatsschulden zu erkaufen, an seinem Schlusspunkt angelangt ist? +++ http://bit.ly/SxhnZq "Nicht Europa ist am Ende - sondern der Kapitalismus, so wie wir ihn kennen. [...] Im angelsächsischen Finanzkapitalismus wachsen die Vermögen der Reichen und stagnieren die Einkommen der anderen." [...] [EU Election Result is a vote] gegen das ungerechte Wirtschaftssystem, das ihre Lebensgrundlage gefährdet.
capitalism  in  crisis  Europe  Japan  USA  deflation  deflationary  UK  Debt  Super  Cycle  sovereign  crisis  ECB  Fed  BOE  BOJ  GFC  greatdepression  greatrecession  recovery  2014  monetary  transmission  mechanism  liquidity  trap  NPL  non-performing  loan  economic  history  macroeconomic  policy  macroeconomics  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  system  monetary  stimulus  financial  repression  New  Normal  lostdecade  lost  decade  lost  generation  crony  capitalism  corporatism  corporate  governance  Career  Politicians  policy  folly  policy  error  Makers  history  fiat  currency  fiat  money  trust  trustagent  confidence  hunt  for  yield  Politics  Thomas  Piketty  book  Robert  Reich  Robert  Skidelsky  josephstiglitz  Joseph  Stiglitz  financial  capitalism  asset  bubble  unknown  unknowns  unintended  consequences  complexity  1%  Super  Rich  income  inequality  income  mobility  social  mobility  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  coldprogression  kalte  Progression  Gini  coefficient  Democratic  Process  democracy  European  Council  Election  2014  European  Election  2014  skill-biased  technological  change  Blue-collar  Worker  knowledge  White-collar  Worker  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  disposable  income  tax  free  income  tax  code  tax  credit  taxation  tax  avoidance  tax  evasion  ethics  social  social  m 
june 2014 by asterisk2a
EZB senkt Leitzins und beschließt Minuszinsen für Banken - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Die Europäische Zentralbank (EZB) hat ihren Leitzins auf ein Rekordtief gesenkt und erstmals einen negativen Einlagensatz beschlossen. Angesichts der zuletzt sehr niedrigen Inflationsrate wird der Zins, zu dem sich die Geschäftsbanken bei der Notenbank Geld leihen können, um 0,10 Punkte auf 0,15 Prozent gesenkt, wie die EZB am Donnerstag nach ihrer Ratssitzung in Frankfurt mitteilte. Der Einlagensatz, zu dem Banken kurzfristig Geld bei der Notenbank parken können, wird erstmals in den negativen Bereich gedrückt. Er sinkt von bisher null Prozent auf minus 0,10 Prozent. Der Zins für kurzfristige Ausleihungen bei der Notenbank vermindert sich von 0,75 auf 0,40 Prozent. + http://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/unternehmen/ezb-entscheidung-kredite-und-senkung-des-leitzins-a-973657.html ""Die Banken leiden nicht unter vermeintlich zu hohen Notenbankzinsen, sondern unter dem hohen Bestand fauler Kredite, an dem Negativzinsen nichts ändern." + !! http://youtu.be/kKO_yxP3dyQ !!
deflation  deflationary  monetary  transmission  mechanism  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  policy  macroprudential  policy  macroeconomics  macroeconomic  policy  ECB  MarioDraghi  BuBa  Bundesbank  2014  ZIRP  OMT  QE  debt  monetization  debt  monetisation  deposit  levy  New  Normal  financial  repression  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  Super  Cycle  sovereign  debt  crisis  PIGS  Structural  Impediments  deficit  unemployment  imbalance  Europe  Germany  faultlines  recovery  policy  error  policy  folly  Makers  Career  Politicians  austerity  fiscal  policy  GFC  lost  decade  lost  generation  long-term  unemployment  banking  union  creditcrisis  creditcrunch  credit  crunch  2015  NPL  non-performing  loan  economic  history  LTRO  assetbackedsecurities  Sterilization 
june 2014 by asterisk2a
Mini-Wohnung in London mit hoher Miete alarmiert Behörden - SPIEGEL ONLINE
London is a different country than UK ex-London. PERIOD. As is SF, LA, NY compared to USA as a whole. UK needs support for 2nd London, ie Manchester surroundings. That is why BBC moved parts of its operations to Manchester, creating the MediaCity. It was a politically motivated and macroprudential influenced decision as well as microeconomic decision for BBC Operations (lower wage demands, lower operating cost). ""Für durchschnittliche Mieter dürfte es nur ein schwacher Trost sein, dass in London auch die Superreichen inzwischen Mondpreise für Immobilien zahlen müssen. So hat ein privater Käufer für eine Penthouse-Wohnung im vornehmen Londoner Stadtteil Knightsbridge kürzlich 140 Millionen Pfund (knapp 171 Millionen Euro) bezahlt. Angesichts solcher Zahlen warnte sogar der stellvertretende Direktor der Bank of England vor einer gefährlichen Blase: Das Preisniveau auf dem Grundstücksmarkt stehe in krassem Gegensatz zur derzeitigen Schwäche der britischen Wirtschaft, sagte Jon Cunliffe.
London  property  bubble  Supply  and  Demand  Demand  and  Supply  hunt  for  yield  2014  monetary  policy  unknown  unknowns  unintended  consequences  complexity  macroprudential  policy  BOE  faultlines  economies  of  agglomeration  structural  imbalance  infrastructure  investment  infrastructure  urban  planning  urbanisation  asset  bubble  recovery  UK  microeconomic  policy  microeconomies  microeconomics  macroeconomic  policy  macroeconomics  economic  history  BBC  MediaCity  Manchester 
june 2014 by asterisk2a
Thomas Piketty's 'Capital' in 3 minutes - Newsnight - YouTube
who owns the economies assets, the ~1% individuals and international conglomerate corporations, - when return on these assets /y is greater than economic growth - inequality rises. it is all that happend even during the recovery after the GFC - 1% got richer, conglomerates and corporations got richer/sat on their cashpiles. while ie in USA Food Stamp handouts rose month over month _+++ http://www.democracyjournal.org/32/the-inequality-puzzle.php?page=all ""Piketty’s treatment of inequality is perfectly matched to its moment. [...] the share of income and wealth going to those at the very top—the top 1 percent, .1 percent, and .01 percent of the population—has risen sharply over the last generation, marking a return to a pattern that prevailed before World War I. There can now be no doubt that the phenomenon of inequality is not dominantly about the inadequacy of the skills of lagging workers."" --- +++ http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gilded_Age
Thomas  Piketty  1%  Super  Rich  economic  history  microeconomics  macroeconomics  social  mobility  income  mobility  gilded  age  book  disposable  income  income  inequality  income  growth  income  redistribution  income  distribution  Gini  coefficient  middle  class  working  class  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  tax  code  tax  credit  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  history  capital  Venture  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  skill-biased  technological  change  knowledge  worker  White-collar  Blue-collar  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Makers  Career  Politicians  Politics  academia  academic  academics 
may 2014 by asterisk2a
Why Americans Are Moving Less: New Jobs Aren't Worth It - Richard Florida - The Atlantic Cities
[symptom of the working poor and squeezed middle class and wage stagnation || http://youtu.be/_k9q8rBfRVY + http://youtu.be/akVL7QY0S8A + http://youtu.be/nIimu0LF4JA + http://youtu.be/BOMoC0_m5pQ // Americans are moving less—and not as far—because it's not nearly as worthwhile economically. Most moves are local, from neighborhood to neighborhood in the same city or county, and are largely driven by seeking better housing or more proximity to family and friends. But long-distance moves between states are different. These interstate moves are typically driven by those seeking better job opportunities. Since the 1980s, neither the job opportunities nor the potential for better wages have made such moves worth it, according to the study. It finds that by 2013 the rate of interstate relocations had fallen 51 percent below its 1948 to 1971 average levels, the peak years for such longer-distance moves.
working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  wage  stagnation  inequality  income  mobility  income  inequality  social  mobility  USA  fiscal  policy  public  policy  Gini  coefficient  middle  class  Robert  Reich  economic  history  Thomas  Piketty  economics  microeconomic  policy  microeconomics  macroeconomic  policy  macroeconomics  elizabethwarren  Elizabeth  Warren  babyboomers  generational  contract  Debt  Super  Cycle  sovereign  crisis  private  consumer  bubble  jubilee  zombie  consumer  Consumerism  productivity  minimum  wage  living  wage  secular  stagnation  stagnation  labour  market  labour  market  participation  Super  Rich  lobby  Lobbying  lobbyist  crony  capitalism  revolving-door  presidency  barackobama  Career  Politicians  accountability  transparency  democracy  corporate  governance  governance  job  market  job  creation  skill-biased  technological  change  skills  knowledge  worker  White-collar  Blue-collar  Higher  Education  bubble  formal  cost  Apprenticeships  on  job  training  Germany  UK  Europe 
april 2014 by asterisk2a
BBC News - Budget 2014: Output gap judging a nation's economy
art and science of economics. problems is, it is more difficult if you don't have a complete picture. (all the information). and then there are the unknown unknowns.
UK  macroeconomics  economics  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  deficit  budget  deficit  Productivity  recovery  GeorgeOsborne  davidcameron  budget2014  austerity 
march 2014 by asterisk2a
IMF study finds inequality is damaging to economic growth | Business | The Guardian
International Monetary Fund paper dismisses rightwing argument that redistributing incomes is self-defeating. [...] It is 18 months since the IMF published its controversial view that government cuts to public-sector spending were having a larger detrimental effect than previously thought. The paper, written by its chief economist, Olivier Blanchard, was incendiary and sparked denials in London and Brussels where calls for austerity were strongest. [...] In an interview later Ostry said it was his belief that the inclusion of higher welfare payments would only support the argument in favour of redistribution. [... as there is a welfare, social security, pension payment cap on income in some of the G8 if I remember right, ie Germany for sure! ...] + http://www.ted.com/talks/richard_wilkinson "Richard Wilkinson: How economic inequality harms societies"
IMF  IWF  economic  history  income  mobility  income  inequality  income  distribution  income  redistribution  taxation  OECD  G8  tax  credit  tax  free  income  USA  UK  Germany  social  society  social  science  happiness  josephstiglitz  paulkrugman  Robert  Reich  Gini  coefficient  Robert  Skidelsky  GDP  public  policy  income  gap  macroeconomic  policy  macroeconomics  microeconomic  policy  microeconomics  inequality  gender  inequality  child  poverty  food  poverty  poverty  poverty  in  old  age  working  poor  middle  class  squeezed  middle  class  kalte  Progression  austerity  society  social-safety-net  mental  health  mental  illness  unequal  society  trust  distrust  socialsystem  Nordics  Japan  social  dysfunction  welfare  welfare  state  state  benefits  healthcare  prejudice  judgement  beauty  standard  body  image  Depression  social  study  social  status  Oxidative  stress  stress  Self-esteem  Richard  Wilkinson  public  health  policy  public  health  chronic  diseases  chronic  stress  sustainability  sustainable 
march 2014 by asterisk2a
Bubbles, Regulation, and Secular Stagnation - NYTimes.com
In brief, there is a case for believing that the problem of maintaining adequate aggregate demand is going to be very persistent – that we may face something like the “secular stagnation” many economists feared after World War II. [...] The stability of prices and output masked an underlying unsustainable growth in leverage. [...] Our current episode of deleveraging will eventually end, which will shift the IS curve back to the right. But if we have effective financial regulation, as we should, it won’t shift all the way back to where it was before the crisis. Or to put it in plainer English, during the good old days demand was supported by an ever-growing burden of private debt, which we neither can nor should expect to resume; as a result, demand is going to be lower even once the crisis fades. [...] our current situation may well go on much longer than anyone currently imagines.
student  loan  debt  lobby  deregulation  monetary  policy  lobbyist  asset  bubble  modern  monetary  theory  reflation  dual  mandate  fiscal  stimulus  Lobbying  BOE  BOJ  macroeconomics  policy  folly  QE  liquidity  trap  inflation  targeting  fiscal  policy  UK  debt  bubble  political  error  paulkrugman  austerity  unknown  unkown  greatdepression  nominal  GDP  targeting  dis-inflation  deleveraging  regulation  economics  public  debt  secular  stagnation  inflation  private  debt  balance  sheet  recession  mandate  debt  jubilee  GFC  complexity  excess  monetary  theory  unintended  consequences  consumer  debt  liquidity-trap  political  folly  WWII  lostdecade  greatrecession  policy  error  regulators  debtoverhang  Wicksellian  natural  interest  rate  NIRP  Fed  microeconomics  economic  history  Super  Cycle  stagflation  Great  Moderation  leverage  stagnation  sovereign  debt  crisis  recovery  ZIRP  USA  household  debt  fiscal  theory  Japan  fiscal  deficit 
september 2013 by asterisk2a
▶ Lower living standards in Britain: The squeezed middle - YouTube
in details picture of UK is not healthy ... is not even moving into a healthier picture. debt plays still a huge role >> Number of buy-to-let rising http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pBrNrv_H9dM >> lack of stable skills jobs is one of the root. and the short-term thinking that debt will be affordable for ever. + >> http://www.forexlive.com/blog/2013/08/12/uk-home-buyers-boost-purchases/
manufacturing  unemployment  employment  monetary  policy  Politics  Mark  Carney  unintended  consequences  davidcameron  squeeze  negative  real  interest  rate  standard  of  living  living  standard  macroeconomics  macroeconomic  policy  QE  Buy-to-Let  NIRP  2013  economic  history  Debt  Super  Cycle  fiscal  policy  stagflation  working  poor  property  bubble  UK  ZIRP  austerity  middle  class  zombie  consumer  long-term  unemployment  GeorgeOsborne  wage  stagnation 
august 2013 by asterisk2a
Economic policy: Paved with good intentions | The Economist
Although the debate [austerity] relates to the UK, I think it has a much wider resonance. And indeed, to a student of history, it has fascinating parallels; economic policy-making was rethought in the mid-1970s, but the same debates are popping up again. [...] Margaret Thatcher on ZIRP & QE "Let us print the money instead. Because what that is saying is let us quietly steal a cerain amount from every pound saved in building societies, in national savings, from every person who has been thrifty." [...] [ZIRP & QE is no free lunch - it has consequences, known and unknown, unintended.]
infrastructure  investment  monetary  policy  Margaret  Thatcher  Mark  Carney  Europe  reflation  zombie  banks  New  Normal  BOE  deflation  macroeconomics  macroeconomic  policy  QE  intellectual  fiscal  policy  free  lunch  UK  PIGS  debt  monetisation  Martin  Wolf  austerity  greatdepression  zombie  consumer  economic-thought  deleveraging  economics  debt  monetization  Richardkoo  liberal  economic  reform  IMF  GFC  output-gap  unintended  consequences  margaretthatcher  Troika  davidcameron  greatrecession  debtoverhang  economic  history  financial  repression  Super  Cycle  sovereign  debt  crisis  monetarism  ZIRP  demand-curve  PIIGS  fiscal  theory  supply-demand  MervynKing  GeorgeOsborne 
may 2013 by asterisk2a
Krisenländer: Barroso fordert eine Lockerung der Sparpolitik - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Der britische Ökonom Simon Wren-Lewis hat vor einiger Zeit eine sehr hilfreiche Analyse veröffentlicht. Er vergleicht dabei die sogenannten strukturellen Primärüberschüsse. Das Wort "strukturell" meint hier, dass man den Konjunkturzyklus berücksichtigt. Das Wort "primär" bedeutet, dass man die Haushaltsbilanz vor der Zahlung von Zinsen betrachtet. Das tut man, weil man damit den Teil der Haushaltspolitik isoliert, auf den die Politik Einfluss hat. Der Euro-Raum insgesamt hat einen strukturellen Primärüberschuss von 2,2 Prozent der Wirtschaftsleistung, was angesichts der Rezession außerordentlich viel ist. Wren-Lewis errechnete dann, wie hoch eine optimale strukturelle Primärbilanz für den langfristigen Schuldenabbau momentan wäre. Das Ergebnis: ein Überschuss von nur 0,3 Prozent.
academics  Barroso  Europe  European  Commission  academia  Kenneth  Rogoff  Troika  carmenreinhart  political  folly  macroeconomics  policy  folly  Simon  Wren-Lewis  macroeconomic  policy  political  theory  economic  history  fiscal  policy  PIGS  UK  KennethRogoff  Schuldenbremse  error  austerity  Carmen  Reinhart  PIIGS  fiscal  theory  Germany  IMF 
april 2013 by asterisk2a
BBC News - Reinhart, Rogoff... and Herndon: The student who caught out the profs
http://www.peri.umass.edu/236/hash/31e2ff374b6377b2ddec04deaa6388b1/publication/566/ "not every economy is same, times are always different." >> Reply by Rogoff & Reinhart: 'We were only arguing association, not causality.' [...] Discovering a spreadsheet error was never going to end the debate over austerity - and nor should it, according to Megan McArdle, special correspondent for Newsweek and The Daily Beast. >> http://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/panne-mit-excel-tabelle-rogoff-und-reinhart-haben-sich-verrechnet-a-894893.html "Olivier Blanchard (IMF) gestand ein die negativen Effekte der Sparpolitik auf das Wachstum unterschätzt wurden." >> Updated paper from Rogoff & Reinhart http://www.nber.org/papers/w18015 >> http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/04/16/holy-coding-error-batman/ http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2013/apr/16/unemployment-reinhart-rogoff-arithmetic-cause
academics  complexity  sociology  unintended  consequences  zombie  banks  academia  science  liquidity-trap  banking  crisis  carmenreinhart  political  folly  bank  crisis  macroeconomics  lostdecade  policy  folly  macroeconomic  policy  debtoverhang  lostgeneration  economic  history  philosophy  fiscal  policy  social  science  confidence  KennethRogoff  error  trustagent  paulkrugman  austerity  zombie  consumer  deleveraging  IWF  Richardkoo  balance  sheet  recession  IMF 
april 2013 by asterisk2a
Forscher untersuchen Voraussetzungen für Wirtschaftswachstum - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Vielfalt bringt mehr Fortschritt als Spezialisierung. [...] Denn woher Wirtschaftswachstum wirklich kommt, ist bis heute eine der umstrittensten Fragen unter Volkswirten. Lange vertrauten Wissenschaftler auf das Modell des Ökonomen Robert Solow, der dafür 1987 den Wirtschaftsnobelpreis erhielt. Zwar identifiziert Solow Fortschritt als langfristig wichtigste Quelle für Wachstum - doch wie dieser Fortschritt entsteht, darüber schweigt sich sein Modell aus. Seitdem haben sich Generationen von Wirtschaftsforschern an diesem Rätsel abgearbeitet. [...] Der Physiker Luciano Pietronero von der Universität La Sapienzia in Rom sagt jenen Ländern eine rosige Zukunft voraus, deren Wirtschaft sich auf viele unterschiedliche Sektoren stützt und komplexe, weltweit gefragte Produkte herstellt. "Labil ist der Wohlstand hingegen überall dort, wo er an einigen wenigen Produkten hängt", so Pietronero - etwa am Öl in Saudi-Arabien.
David  Ricardo  academics  microeconomic  policy  dogma  Luciano  Pietronero  economic  growth  academia  India  development  economics  competitiveness  macroeconomics  China  innovation  macroeconomic  policy  globalization  microeconomics  economic  history  philosophy  BRIC  economic  fitness  Brazil  global  imbalances  economics  Russia  globalisation  liberal  economic  reform  competition 
april 2013 by asterisk2a
IMF Details Errors in Calling for Austerity - Real Time Economics - WSJ
Macro: still not even close to a science. RT @DougHenwood: Oops! Multiplier was 1.5 not 0.5! Sorry! RT @WSJecon http://t.co/MkvrRsxg
macroeconomic  policy  macroeconomics  economics  academic  academics  academia  economic  history  austerity  IMF 
january 2013 by asterisk2a
Why devaluation isn’t a viable option for Greece: Insights from a small open economy | vox - Research-based policy analysis and commentary from leading economists
If Greece leaves the euro, it can devalue its currency and start an export-led recovery – or so the popular argument goes. This column provides some hands-on insights from another small open economy, Barbados. It argues that for these economies that rely heavily on imports, devaluation will never be a viable option.

***
... and exchange rate depreciation imposes an avoidable inflation penalty that becomes entrenched in expectations.
Greece  macroeconomics  economic-thought  economic  model  economic  history  economics  foreignexchange  sovereign  debt  crisis  PIIGS  devaluation  Grexit 
june 2012 by asterisk2a
Notes for currency wars: The trilemma of international finance | vox - Research-based policy analysis and commentary from leading economists
The fundamental trilemma of international finance maintains that a country cannot simultaneously peg an exchange rate, maintain an independent monetary policy, and permit free cross-border financial flows (Feenstra and Taylor 2008). At best, only two of the three are feasible.
macroeconomics  economics  international  finance  monetary  theory  monetary  policy  PBoC  CHF  currency-war  currency  debasement  SNB  Switzerland  foreignexchange 
june 2012 by asterisk2a
Explaining America's macro puzzles: The worst of all worlds | The Economist
[Americas economy] it is starting to look more like some left arms have gone missing.

What if we have next to the out-put gap also a slowdown in potential growth - that has to be factored in, due to forces of Globalization.

The path of potential output commonly downshifts after crises, as all economic participants are humans and have emotions and psychological, economic behavior - these (very likely change) due to recent trauma. Resulting in risk aversion.

Leading to the following conclusion; "I still find the demand-side explanations for the depressed state of the economy more convincing ..."
microeconomics  macroeconomics  economic-thought  psychology  Behavior  behavioral  finance  output-gap  globalisation  globalization  productivity  unemployment  greatrecession  GFC  2012  economy  economics  USA 
march 2012 by asterisk2a
MMT (Modern Monetary Theory) is biased towards anti-crony capitalism | Bill Mitchell – billy blog
1.) Abandon Crony Capitalism.
2.) Use jobs generated by 'job guarantee' to serve public good.
= then we have a chance to have a ying - yang between socialism (job guarantee) and capitalism (saving more than consuming).

full employment and price stability go hand in hand.
monetary policy is buffer stock to fiscal policy and the economic cycle ...

[...]

#OWS
So I advocate – outside the realm of MMT – grass roots action to reinforce the democratic connection between citizen and government. To make it harder for governments to be co-opted. For example, I would ban political funding and allocate a fixed amount of public funds to the candidates for public office to be used for electoral purposes. I would have very strict conditions placed on electoral commentary within the media etc.

The logic has been to reduce the capacity of the financial market and political elites to capture government policy and skew the benefits in their favour
macroeconomics  employment  NAIRU  unemployment  occupywallstreet  fiat  currency  capitalism  economics  economic-thought  policy  monetary  modern  monetary  theory  monetary  theory  MMT 
january 2012 by asterisk2a
RDQ's Ryding Says U.S. Treasury Yields Are `Unhealthy' - YouTube
Operation Twist will have very little macro economic impact
Fed reflates economy, but does not help to heal
Low yields are fundamentally a sign that nobody wants to take risk.
-
ECB provides Dollar lending facility till year end. Yesterday Central Bank Intervention - help for Europes banks.
operationtwist  2011  QE3  economics  macroeconomics  microeconomics  greatrecession  recession  recovery  reflation  yield  debt  unhealthy  treasury  treasuries  deflation  Japan  USA  monetary  policy  europe  creditcrunch  lenderoflastresort 
september 2011 by asterisk2a
Crisis lessons from Irving Fisher: Fix the debt-deflation disease, not its symptoms | vox - Research-based policy analysis and commentary from leading economists
This column rehabilitates Irving Fisher’s debt-deflation theory to explain the current crisis. It suggests that fiscal stimulus will do little to prevent the crisis from becoming a protracted slump because the problem lies in finance. A cure will require reversing deflation and restarting the credit system.
“…in the great booms and depressions, each of the above named factors (over production, underconsumption, over capacity, price dislocation, over confidence, over investment, over saving etc.) has played a subordinate role as compared with two dominant factors, namely, over indebtedness to start with and deflation following soon after;… where any of the other factors do become conspicuous, they are often merely effects or symptoms of these two.” (Irving Fisher, 1933, p. 341)
deflation  debt  macroeconomics  2010  2011  IrvingFisher  consumption  greatrecession  greatdepression  capacity  public  private  economics  fiscal  stimulus  book 
february 2011 by asterisk2a
Inequality, leverage and crises | vox - Research-based policy analysis and commentary from leading economists
Of the many origins of the global crisis, one that has received comparatively little attention is income inequality. This column provides a theoretical framework for understanding the connection between inequality, leverage and financial crises. It shows how rising inequality in a climate of rising consumption can lead poorer households to increase their leverage, thereby making a crisis more likely.
inequality  debt  finance  macroeconomics  crisis  microeconomics  income  Gini-coefficient  leverage  2008  2007 
february 2011 by asterisk2a
Bob Janjuah: "We Are Trapped In Some Sort Of Horrendous Keynesian/Monetarists' Nightmare...." | zero hedge
Kevin's work also made clear that one 5%+ GDP data point, driven by inventory, was certain - he thgt it would be Q3 09 but it ended up being in Q4. However, we both have felt and feel that the prvte sector is in the middle of a long multi-yr period of balance sheet repair, and that the questions re sustainable real 'growth' could/can only be answered once we strip out and/or see the abatement/absence of UNSUSTAINABLE government largesse/bailouts/handouts etc. To us, once you strip away the policymaker and his period of peak effectiveness, where we are now much closer to the end rather than the beginning, what is left to take grwth forward is not very much at all.

I refer of course to the key themes Sovereign Creditworthiness; and The Great Battle between Voluntary Austerity & Deflation, vs Involuntary Austerity, Inflation/Stagflation, Serial Bailouts, Debt & Debasement.

MV = PY / EMU M3 was -.3% y/y in 09, means that even with +M, V was negative. It is a balance sheet recession.
Keynesianism  monetization  balancesheet  recession  richardkoo  private  public  debt  sovereign  austerity  default  globalisation  economics  M3  moneysupply  macroeconomics  greatrecession  UK  history  Japan  argentina  Greece  PIIGS  EMU  Europe  USA  BRIC  China  brasil  emergingmarkets  paulvolcker  competitive  competitiveness  Germany  Finland  euro  reflection  double-dip  reflate  developing-world  may  2010 
may 2010 by asterisk2a
High Scalability - High Scalability - 10 Ways to Take your Site from One to One Million Users by Kevin Rose
How to reward users. Measurement.
Simplicity.
Build, release, feedback, revise, build, release, feedback, revise, ...
Do un-rural / unusual PR, Hack the Press, Traditional PR is dead
Connect with community
Advisors
Leverage
Provide value (metrics, information, in depth analysis)
Analyze traffic
The big picture (macro economics).
kevinrose  digg  growth  marketing  business  tips  startup  webdev  start-up  simplicity  simplification  pr  analytics  macroeconomics 
october 2009 by asterisk2a

related tags

1%  2.0  3D  21stcentury  Abenomics  Aberdeen  Abstieg  abundance  academia  academic  academics  account  accountability  advantage  affordable  age  Ageing  agency  agglomeration  aggregate  algorithm  allocation  American  analytics  and  Andreessen  Angela  anti-ageing  apprenticeships  argentina  asset  assetbackedsecurities  austerity  automation  avoidance  babyboomers  bailout  balance  balancesheet  bank  banking  banks  barackobama  Barroso  Basic  BBC  beauty  Behavior  behavioral  benefits  big  Bill  biotechnology  BIS  Blue-collar  body  BOE  BOJ  bond  book  borderless  brasil  Brazil  Brexit  BRIC  Brussels  BuBa  bubble  bubbles  budget  budget2014  Bundesbank  Burden  burn  business  Buy  Buy-to-Let  Cameron  capacity  capital  capitalism  card  Career  Carmen  carmenreinhart  Carney  centralbanks  change  CHF  Chicago  child  China  chronic  civil  class  code  coding  coefficient  coldprogression  College  Commanding  Commission  commodity  comparative  comparative-advantage  competition  competitive  competitiveness  complexity  confidence  consequences  Conservative  consume  consumer  Consumerism  consumerist  consumption  contract  convenience  corporate  corporations  corporatism  cost  Council  courage  creation  Creative  Creatives  credit  creditcrisis  creditcrunch  crisis  crony  crunch  currency  currency-war  current  Cycle  damage  David  davidcameron  debasement  debate  debt  debtoverhang  decade  default  deficit  deflation  deflationary  deleveraging  demand  demand-curve  democracy  Democratic  demographic  demographics  demography  deposit  Depression  deregulation  design  destruction  devaluation  Developing  developing-world  development  Devolution  digg  digital  dis-inflation  discourse  discretionary  Disease  diseases  disinflation  disposable  distortion  distribution  distrust  divide  doctor  dogma  dot.com  double-dip  Dream  dual  Dutch  dysfunction  Eating  ECB  econometrics  economic  economic-thought  economics  economies  economist  Economists  economy  education  EEA  election  Elizabeth  elizabethwarren  emergingmarkets  employment  EMU  equity  error  ESM  Establishment  ethical  ethics  euro  europe  European  evasion  excess  expectation  Expenditure  fairness  faultlines  Fed  feminism  feminist  fiat  finance  financial  Finland  fiscal  fitness  flat  folly  FOMO  food  for  foreignexchange  formal  Framework  free  freedom  Frontier  fund  Funding  Future  G8  gap  GDP  gender  general  generation  generational  Generationengerechtigkeit  George  GeorgeOsborne  Germany  Gesellschaft  GFC  gilded  Gini  Gini-coefficient  global  globalisation  globalization  glut  Gold  governance  Great  greatdepression  greatrecession  Greece  Grexit  Grey  Grid  growth  Gurley  haircut  happiness  health  healthcare  Heights  Help  Higher  history  hot-money  household  housing  hunt  ideology  illness  image  imbalance  imbalances  IMF  Impediments  in  income  index  India  industrial  inequality  inflation  infrastructure  innovation  intellectual  interest  international  investment  IPO  IrvingFisher  Is  IWF  jail  Japan  job  Jobs  Joseph  josephstiglitz  jubilee  judgement  kalte  Kenneth  KennethRogoff  kevinrose  Keynesianism  kindergarten  knowledge  Koo  labour  leave  lenderoflastresort  Lending  leverage  levy  liberal  liquidation  liquidity  liquidity-trap  living  loan  lobby  Lobbying  lobbyist  lohndumping  Lohnzurückhaltung  London  long-term  lost  lostdecade  lostgeneration  lottery  low  LTRO  Luciano  lunch  M&A  M3  machine  macroeconomic  macroeconomics  macroprudential  Makers  Manchester  mandate  manufacturing  Marc  Margaret  margaretthatcher  marginal  MarioDraghi  Mark  market  marketing  Markets  Marktwirtschaft  Martin  maternity  maximisation  may  mechanism  MediaCity  mental  Merkel  MervynKing  microeconomic  microeconomics  microeconomies  microprudential  middle  minimum  MMT  Mobile  mobility  model  Moderation  modern  monetarism  monetary  monetisation  monetization  money  moneysupply  morality  morals  mortgage  NAIRU  nasty  natives  natural  negative  neoliberal  neoliberalism  net  New  Niedriglohn  Niedriglohnsektor  NIRP  No  nominal  non-performing  Nordics  Normal  Northern  Norway  NPL  obligation  occupywallstreet  OECD  of  Oil  old  oligarchy  OMT  on  on-demand  OPEC  operations  operationtwist  optimism  Osborne  output  output-gap  overhang  Oxidative  Pact  parenting  part-time  participation  party  paternity  paulkrugman  paulvolcker  pay  payments  PBoC  PBOC  pension  philosophy  Pietronero  PIGS  PIIGS  Piketty  planning  pluralism  pluralistic  plurality  plutocracy  policy  political  Politicians  Politics  POMO  poor  Positioning  post  poverty  Powerhouse  pr  Precariat  precarious  preferences  prejudice  presidency  press  pressure  price  prices  printing  private  Privileged  Process  productive  productivity  profit  programmers  programming  progress  Progression  propensity  property  protection  psychology  public  QE  QE3  quantitative-easing  rapid  rate  real  receipts  recession  recovery  redistribution  reflate  reflation  reflection  reform  regulation  regulators  Reich  Reinhart  Representation  repression  restructuring  retirement  retraining  revenue  revenues  Revolution  revolving-door  Ricardo  Rich  Richard  richardkoo  RMB  Robert  Robotics  Rogoff  round  runway  Russia  safety  savings  scale  scaling  scheme  Scholars  School  Schuldenbremse  Schäuble  science  Scotland  SDR  Sector  secular  Self-esteem  self-regulation  Service  Services  servitude  shadow  share  shareholder  sheet  short-fall  short-term  shrinkflation  Silicon  Simon  simplicity  simplification  single-class  Skidelsky  skill  skill-biased  skills  slack  Smart  SNB  SNP  social  social-safety-net  socialsystem  society  sociology  Software  sovereign  Soziale  Sozialer  spare  speculation  speculative  speech  spending  spin  SPV  squeeze  squeezed  stagflation  stagnation  standard  start-up  startup  state  status  STEM  Sterilization  Stiglitz  stimulus  Street  stress  structural  structure  student  study  Super  Supply  supply-demand  sustainability  sustainable  Switzerland  Syriza  system  systems  Taper  targeting  TARP  tax  taxation  TBTF  technological  Technology  termsheet  Thatcher  the  theory  thinking  Thomas  tips  TLTRO  to  Toff  too  toobigtofail  trade  training  transfer  transferring-wealth  transmission  transparency  trap  treasuries  treasury  trickle-down  Troika  trust  trustagent  Tsipras  Tsunami  UK  un-college  unconventional  underinvestment  unemployment  unequal  unhealthy  Unicorn  unintended  union  Universal  unknown  unknowns  unkown  urban  urbanisation  USA  Valley  value  Varoufakis  Venture  view  vocational  wage  Wall  war  warfare  Warren  wealth  webdev  welfare  western  Westminster  White-collar  Why  Wicksellian  Wilkinson  Wolf  Wolfgang  work  worker  Workers  workforce  working  world  Wren-Lewis  WWII  Yanis  Year  yield  youth  Yuan  ZIRP  Zivilgesellschaft  zombie 

Copy this bookmark:



description:


tags: