asterisk2a + knowledge + change + impediments   8

Wachstum schwach wegen Innovationen und Investitionen - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Die Währungsmanager stecken in einer unkomfortablen Lage: Die EZB erreicht das Ende ihrer Handlungsfähigkeit. Die kurzfristigen Zinsen hat sie bereits auf knapp über Null gesenkt, Einlagen bei der EZB werden sogar mit einer Strafgebühr geahndet. Mit ihrem neuen Programm zur zweckgebundenen Liquiditätsvergabe greift sie auch noch direkt ins Kreditgeschäft der Geschäftsbanken ein. Trotzdem erholt sich die Wirtschaft nur äußerst schleppend - mit dem Ausnahmefall DE. [...] Offenkundig befinden wir uns auf einem Abstellgleis der kapitalistischen Entwicklung. Derzeit ist die These von der "säkularen Stagnation" populär, von mehreren Dekaden mit niedrigem Wachstum, die vor uns liegen. Dazu scheinen die ultraniedrigen Zinsen in der EU, den USA und Japan zu passen. Aus diesem Blickwinkel zeigen langfristige Sätze nahe Null an, dass es kaum noch sinnvolle Investitionsmöglichkeiten gibt - dass zu wenige Unternehmen existieren, die ordentliche Renditen versprechen. [have to build pillars 4 future]
ECB  liquidity  trap  ZIRP  NIRP  hunt  for  yield  Germany  Europe  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  PIGS  BuBa  monetary  policy  unintended  consequences  NPL  unknown  unknowns  complexity  monetary  transmission  mechanism  sovereign  debt  crisis  Super  Cycle  Richard  Koo  balance  sheet  recession  debtoverhang  deleveraging  economic  history  USA  Japan  UK  Fed  BOE  productivity  output  gap  Future  of  Work  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  income  inequality  1%  Super  Rich  secular  stagnation  stagnation  deflation  deflationary  infrastructure  investment  investment  climate  change  Energiewende  knowledge  worker  long-term  thinking  long-term  view  Berlin  Start-Up  Scene  Silicon  Valley  Europe  Start-Up  Scene  education  policy  Makers  policy  folly  policy  error  Career  Politicians  Beton  Gold  Betongold  demographic  bubble  speculative  bubbles  equity  bubble  property  bubble  bond  bubble 
august 2014 by asterisk2a
Is This What A Bursting Bubble Looks Like? - YouTube
- bear market, not a 2008/09 decline, more like a lost decade of little productivity growth and very very slow closing of the still existing output gap. - companies benefit form technological progress (accelerating); get more done with less people. +++ https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/posts/10154276062445062
asset  bubble  hunt  for  yield  unintended  consequences  ZIRP  QE  liquidity  trap  NIRP  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  policy  Fed  ECB  BOE  BOJ  GFC  recovery  greatdepression  greatrecession  2014  lost  decade  productivity  output  gap  G20  G  Zero  G8  Europe  USA  UK  complexity  unknown  unknowns  Taper  deflation  deflationary  globalisation  globalization  flat  world  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  middle  class  skill-biased  technological  change  technological  progress  knowledge  worker  knowledge  economy  economic  history  history  faultlines  Structural  Impediments  unemployment  deficit  imbalance  global  imbalances  sovereign  debt  crisis  Super  Cycle  debt  bubble  debt  jubilee  debt  monetization  debt  monetisation  default  demographic  bubble  speculative  bubbles  signal  vs  noise  noise  dysfunctional  marketplace  efficiencies  market  dynamics  market  intervention  financial  market  market  failure  market-failure  lost  generation  lostdecade  lostgeneration  currency  debasement  fiat  currency  fiat  money 
july 2014 by asterisk2a
Live chart: The low countries - YouTube
Timothy Geithner says no risk of U.S. losing it's AAA credit rating - http://youtu.be/0HDCvqgxrrE || Geithner: Japan's 'Lost Decade' Not America's Fate - http://youtu.be/fax8BIPKcP8 "the hope it's gonna heal itself, to hope you can grow yourself out of it" growing your way out of it" || +!!! Timothy Geithner Fired Robert Shiller? http://youtu.be/bIwBEYoSqKY >> economics has no humans in it !!! no real world example. Conventional wisdom so strong. "We've got too scientific." And anybody who is 'flaky' gets pushed out [Robert Schiller]. >>Wenn du dich auf andere verlaesst, bist du verlassen.<< || Robert Shiller: Speculative Asset Prices - http://youtu.be/oBXPOWytDMs "present value". google.co.uk/search?q=present+value+Robert+Schiller || + Robert Shiller: Nobel Prize Winning Economist - http://youtu.be/ABvtKGrIDUs "it can't be an exact science (forecasting) because of the complexity, mass data; uncertain, certain, and data that can't be put in numbers, storystelling -> feedback loops ...
bond  bubble  Japan  USA  UK  Europe  Germany  hunt  for  yield  lost  decade  lost  generation  deflation  deflationary  liquidity  trap  financial  repression  economic  history  Tim  Geithner  Timothy  Geithner  austerity  balance  sheet  recession  Richardkoo  Richard  Koo  creditrating  creditrisk  debt  monetization  debt  monetisation  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  theory  Super  Cycle  debt  jubilee  GFC  deleveraging  debtoverhang  Career  Politicians  Makers  policy  folly  policy  error  toobigtofail  TBTF  systemrelevanz  Lobbying  lobbyist  lobby  fiscal  stimulus  fiscal  sovereignty  PIGS  sovereign  debt  crisis  Thomas  Piketty  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  flat  world  globalisation  globalization  savings  glut  faultlines  Structural  Impediments  unemployment  deficit  imbalance  GDP  economic  model  Robert  Skidelsky  Robert  Reich  Paul  Krugman  consumer  debt  public  debt  debt  restructuring  household  debt  zombie  banks  creditcrunch  creditcrisis  ECB  BOE  BOJ  Abenomics  Fed  BuBa  leadership  Democratic  Process  democracy  trust  trustagent  confidence  greatrecession  greatdepression  history  evolution  Why  Software  Is  Eating  the  Software  Is  Eating  skill-biased  techn 
june 2014 by asterisk2a
BBC News - 'No wage rises' until jobless rate falls to 5% says MPC member
Martin Weale said there may be more spare capacity in the economy than policymakers had previously estimated. +++ Bank of England 'puzzled' by productivity gap - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-27857472 >> London Finance Centre Canary Wharf drove up productivity in the run up to the 2008 GFC :: UK workforce as a whole, lacking skills for the future, thus the productivity gap; Mobile Creative, Mobile Creatives, skill-biased technological change, knowledge worker, White-collar Worker, Blue-collar Worker. Year of Code is too late and a drop/tea-cup in the ocean. College needs to offer Computer Science Degrees (Technichal College), not just University. College's offers courses as "Beauty Technicians." Services Industry that does NOT scale. A locals hairdressers service can not be exported, sold and consumed in other countries. Period.
spare  capacity  output  gap  UK  productivity  recovery  2014  BOE  economic  history  unknown  unknowns  complexity  unemployment  structural  unemployment  economy  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  austerity  Impediments  faultlines  structural  imbalance  productivity  gap  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  skill-biased  technological  change  knowledge  worker  White-collar  Blue-collar  workforce  Year  of  Code  21stcentury  Why  Software  Is  Eating  the  World  Software  Is  Eating  World  education  Higher  formal  education  business  education  education  bubble  un-college  College  scaling  scale  microeconomics  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomics  macroprudential  policy  microprudential  regulation  Public  interest  retraining  STEM  education  policy  Career  Politicians  short-term  thinking  long-term  thinking  accountability  Politics  transparency  democracy  Democratic  Process  free  press  free  speech  pluralistic  society  plurality  pluralism  freedom  of  press  debate  discourse 
june 2014 by asterisk2a
Open your company's doors and let the machines in - the economy depends on it - Telegraph
The faster the mechanisation process, the more likely we are to see productivity – the amount of output each worker generates – starting to grow again and, with it, wages. A greater use of artificial intelligence throughout the economy will benefit, not hurt, the overall workforce. There are just two, crucial, caveats: it will be vital to help individuals displaced by the new technologies to find work in new areas. Better education and training will become even more vital. We also need policies to ensure that the UK, already a leading player in high value-added industries, continues to develop in these areas; this means making sure that Britain remains an open economy, that taxes are kept low, that higher education is allowed to thrive free of the dead hand of the state, and that infrastructure, including airport links, is up to scratch.
infrastructure  investment  infrastructure  UK  Net  Neutrality  productivity  Structural  Impediments  unemployment  skill-biased  technological  change  skill  skills  capital  skills  knowledge  worker  workless  White-collar  Blue-collar  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  unemployment  long-term  unemployment  long-term  thinking  short-term  thinking  Why  Software  Is  Eating  the  World  Software  Is  Eating  World  Software  competitive  advantage  competitiveness  Competition  competitive  comparative-advantage  comparative  advantage  21stcentury  New  Economy  Public  Policy  education  formal  education  Higher  practical  skills  employability  practical  skill  set  fiscal  globalization  globalisation  Year  of  Code  programmers  programming  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  living  wage  Career  Politicians  folly  error  Policy  Makers  faultlines 
june 2014 by asterisk2a
Bank of England’s 'slack' approach leaves economy at risk - Telegraph
There were 115,000 UK housing completions in 2013, almost a record peacetime low, compared with the 240,000 new homes needed each year just to meet the rise in household numbers hard-wired into our demography. This disgraceful shortage, and the government’s now long-past-its-sell-by-date Help-to-Buy scheme, is the reason prices are up 9.1pc across the UK over the last year and 17.1pc higher in London. And where house price inflation goes, economy-wide inflation eventually follows. While agreeing with Carney’s house-building analysis, I don’t agree the Bank can’t do more to rein in a market now in danger of spiralling out of control. [...] [A] development we’ll live to regret. +++ IMF warns UK government over housing bubble risk --- http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-27731567 +++ PRODUCTIVITY REMAINS WEAK. << skill-biased technological change, capital skills, skill, skills, knowledge worker, White-collar Worker, Blue-collar Worker, workforce, Mobile Creative, Mobile Creatives,
property  bubble  asset  bubble  hunt  for  yield  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Funding  for  Lending  Scheme  Mark  Carney  BOE  macroprudential  policy  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  fiscal  policy  GeorgeOsborne  David  Cameron  George  Osborne  2014  2015  general  election  2015  UK  unintended  consequences  unknown  unknowns  IMF  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  Supply  and  Demand  Demand  and  Supply  productivity  skill-biased  technological  change  capital  skills  skill  skills  knowledge  worker  White-collar  Blue-collar  workforce  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  globalisation  globalization  Why  Software  Is  Eating  the  World  Software  Is  Eating  World  World  Flat  competitive  advantage  competitive  competitiveness  comparative-advantage  comparative  advantage  Year  of  Code  practical  skill  set  practical  skills 
june 2014 by asterisk2a
oftwominds-Charles Hugh Smith: The Changing Nature of Middle Class Work
The economy is changing in structural ways that affect not just the job market but the nature of work itself. If we ask, what is work?, the conventional answer is tasks that somebody will pay us to do. This is true, but it doesn't address why someone is willing to pay us. The answer is to create value. ... [ Skills, not Expertise. ] ...... As technology's ability to replace costly human labor moves from the factory floor to the service sector, the nature of middle class work is changing. [ IBM's company wide Pivot over +10 years from HW to Services and Software Company. With the accompanying downsizing. ] ... Jobs that can be learned in a few hours are prone to being replaced by machines. [...] The protected sectors beset by soaring costs (healthcare, higher education, major weaponry programs, finance, etc.) will undergo the creative destruction of technology-based productivity gains for the reason that they are already unaffordable, not just to households but to the nation.
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may 2014 by asterisk2a

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