asterisk2a + fiscal   611

(112) Renegade Inc. & What to expect in 2018 - YouTube
UK BOE QE trap - the road to normalisation - without counter engagement (productive investment), and further Austerity, tax evasion, inequality, income gap, secular stagnarion, less money to spend for the average joe === very bumpy uncertain ride. ... and add Brexit even more uncertainty. OUCH. real growth for real people not gonna happen. // see also RAWerden Richard Andreas Werner for bank reform (local non-profit et al) // also consumers will hold back. especially w trickle down of bad news. job losses here and there retail inflation wage growth etc. creating a impression of a malaise especially for the 50% who voted remain. and 30% who didnt go vote. // see also news 8or7 out of 10 workers broke/permanently skinned - and consumer debt at 2008 high //
BOE  QE  trap  Richard  Koo  UK  Austerity  productive  investment  underinvestment  productivity  Brexit  Steve  Keen  book  RAWerner  debt  bubble  asset  alternative  WallStreet  GDP  output  gap  uncertainty  2018  business  consumer  confidence  fiscal  policy  NHS  monetary  Carillion  PFI  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  credit  malaise  secular  stagnation  stagflation 
february 2018 by asterisk2a
Capitalism’s Crisis of Stagnation and Austerity
After the 2008-09 financial crisis, the hope was that a combination of economic recovery, inflation and austerity would shrink the debt mountain. This, though, was too optimistic. Growth has been below par, inflation subdued and austerity self-defeating. (“Global debt is the danger: beware the butterfly moment” Financial Times 6 January 2018)
Kapital  Capital  productivity  Austerity  economic  history  secular  stagnation  demand  output  gap  UK  USA  Germany  income  growth  debt  bubble  inflation  service  QE  monetary  fiscal  policy  underinvestment  Exploitation  atomised 
february 2018 by asterisk2a
(2195) Mark Blyth Telling The US Senate That Austerity Policy Is Wrong - YouTube
Mark Blyth & Makers v Takers & Erbschaft & asset & capital tax // wolfgang schäuble George Osborne David Cameron // >> Growth cures debt, cuts / austerity causes debt!!!
Mark  Blyth  UK  USA  Austerity  taxation  corporate  corporatism  welfare  state  NHS  income  tax  GFC  asset  capital  recovery  underinvestment  secular  stagnation  bond  bubble  economic  history  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  BOE  productivity  budget  Super  Rich  Plutocracy  trickle-down  Oligarchy  1%  10%  profit  maximisation  shareholder  immigration  gini  Coefficient  FX  Forex  confidence  fairy  globalisation  evasion  avoidance  HMRC  bank  bailout  badbank  bad  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  David  Cameron  George  Osborne  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  PIGS  Policy  IMF  BIS  ECB  Fed 
july 2017 by asterisk2a
The ten graphs which show how Britain became a wholly owned subsidiary of the City of London (and what we can do about it) – New thinking for the British economy
[ uk banks overinvested enabled by political policy into houses and high streets. underinvested in productive capital like R&D companies in general etc ] >> But it doesn’t increase the productive capacity of the economy one iota: a more expensive house doesn’t produce more intelligent children, and a higher share price doesn’t boost a company’s productivity (though it can indirectly boost its capacity to raise funds for investment). [...] Debt-financed asset purchases are thus fundamentally a Ponzi activity: // not just tight housing supply is increasing prices, but also easy credit/debt/mortgage market! // [...] ultimately, there is a limit to just how much debt individuals and corporations can take on – even with low interest rates
UK  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  housing  market  mortgage  household  consumer  debt  disposable  income  servitude  GFC  recovery  wage  growth  Ponzi  asset  capital  Kapital  BOE  credit  card  affordable  social  servicing  default  rate  insolvency  speculation  unintended  consequences  economic  history  consumption  secular  stagnation  Brexit  policy  fiscal  monetary  Mark  Carney  underinvestment  productivity  R&D  Career  Politicians  Margaret  Thatcher 
may 2017 by asterisk2a
Donald Trump, Marine Le Pen: Wie Wirtschaftskrisen Populisten helfen - Kolumne - SPIEGEL ONLINE
All das passt zu Zahlen, wonach - auch in Deutschland - eine große Minderheit seit Jahrzehnten real an Einkommen verliert. Und der Abstand zwischen Gewinnern und Verlierern atemberaubend groß geworden ist. Und es passt zum verbreiteten Gefühl, dass nur noch schwer nachzuvollziehen ist, welche Macht Konzerne ausüben. Und wie wenig die Regierungen dem noch entgegenzusetzen haben. [...] All das lässt sich nicht mit ein bisschen mehr Konjunktur beseitigen. Wie der französische Ökonom Thomas Piketty diagnostiziert hat, gibt es eine fast automatische Verschärfung der Ungleichheit - schon weil mit großem Geld mehr zu verdienen ist als mit harter Arbeit.
DonaldTrump  MarineLePen  Donald  Trump  Brexit  UKIP  UK  USA  Germany  AfD  France  Frankreich  Populism  demagogue  far-right  right-wing  alt-right  White  Supremacy  Centrist  GFC  recovery  secular  stagnation  dot.com  Abstiegsangst  Middle  Class  Precariat  working  poor  neoliberalism  crony  capitalism  Austerity  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  European  Union  Privatisation  workers  trade  Hartz-IV  ALG2  Aufstocker  Altersarmut  Globalisation  insecurity  Geert  Wilders  Protest  Vote  voterturnout  turnout  Democracy  inequality  gini  coefficient  Super  Rich  1%  Plutocracy  Oligarchy  tax  evasion  avoidance  lobby  TTIP  CETA  income  distribution  poverty  trap  Kapital  vested  interest  Capital  Thomas  Piketty  structural  unemployment  underemployed  underemployment  part-time 
may 2017 by asterisk2a
Government looks for new spending cuts of up to 6% - BBC News
[ fallacy of Austerity, just Austerity to balance the budget, living off the body, no investment (ROI) to balance future butget by increased tax income. debt does not come down, bc the economy stupid. and imf has backtracked its austerity advice, and latest from imf - investment in health and edu grows economy, got an ROI! ] The Institute for Fiscal Studies has said meeting this target by 2025 would require up to £34bn in further spending cuts and tax rises. &! http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-38894023 - To meet his target of eliminating the deficit during the next parliament, which is from 2020 to 2025, Mr Hammond will probably have to find a further £34bn in tax rises and spending cuts, extending austerity.
The report said £17bn of tax rises could be needed to contribute to closing the gap for government between outgoings and income.
UK  Austerity  NHS  STP  rationing  education  policy  Tories  nasty  party  Conservative  Theresa  May  Philip  Hammond  George  Osborne  fiscal  ROI  underinvestment  working  poor  Precariat  self-employment  gig  economy  squeezed  middle  class  Productivity  output  gap  GFC  recovery  bank  bailout  technological  unemployment  zero  hour  contract  DWP  HMRC  tax  evasion  avoidance  public  health  2020 
february 2017 by asterisk2a
Austerity was a bigger disaster than we thought - The Washington Post
That, at least, is what economists Christopher House and Linda Tesar of the University of Michigan and Christïan Proebsting of the École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne found when they looked at Europe's budget-cutting experience the last eight years. It turns out that cutting spending right after the worst crisis in 80 years only led to a lower gross domestic product and, in the most extreme cases, higher debt-to-GDP ratios. That's right: trying to reduce debt levels sometimes increased debt burdens. [...] In short, austerity hurt what it was supposed to help, and helped hurt the economy even more than a once-in-three-generations crisis already had.
Austerity  IMF  OECD  UK  USA  Germany  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  NHS  Council  DWP  economic  history  GFC  recovery  bank  bailout  neoliberalism  crony  capitalism  corporatism  ECB  BOE  Fed  monetary  policy  reflate  reflation  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  WallStreet  10%  1%  Super  Rich  Plutocracy  Oligarchy 
february 2017 by asterisk2a
Mario Draghi in der Kritik: "Die Geldpolitik macht den Kapitalismus kaputt" - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Danach kamen die Übertreibungen am US-Immobilienmarkt, im Süden der Eurozone und auf den Rohstoffmärkten. Wir haben es mit einer Kette wandernder Blasen zu tun, die von der Geldpolitik getrieben werden. Die neue Blase bildet sich nie dort, wo zuvor die alte geplatzt ist. Die Regierungen reagieren auf einen Crash mit schärferen Regeln, aber die Spekulation ist ihnen immer einen Schritt voraus.
GFC  recovery  economic  history  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  ECB  BOE  Fed  USA  UK  Europe  European  Union  PIGS  secular  stagnation  household  debt  consumer  car  loan  student  credit  card  private  Austerity  IMF  OECD  Dodd-Frank  self-regulation  Regulation  regulators  FSA  BaFin  speculation  speculative  ROI  productivity  output  gap  inflation  targeting  monetary  policy  fiscal  Schuldenbremse  Pact  inequality  capital  assets  gini  Coefficient  Super  Rich  1%  10%  Plutocracy  Oligarchy  bank  bailout  zombie  NPL 
february 2017 by asterisk2a
Steve Keen: Avoid the next financial crisis with People’s QE and a debt jubilee - YouTube
Steve Keen [...] service led economy *uk is bad/not sustainable can not go on forever. [...] Osborne plan could have worked if he would have not cut that much and more invested in skills (higher skills, better jobs, better income, more tax rev, debt can be served more leisurely). ... QE bonkers.bc it includes trickle down via 20% who own reflated assets. trickle down dos not work. [...] no wealth effect from shares. [...] prices in london might not have peaked bc of foreign demand! rest of uk, chinese down want to buy! [...] QE for people is partial debt jubilee bc people could use to spend or use to serve debt. [...] retail banks dont lend to entrepreneur bc of math! thus you need national investment bank! or change banking landscape. Germany has national investment bank. //&! https://youtu.be/IcNBW9609HM - EU status quo can not work long-term. //&! detailed presentation - https://youtu.be/w8fCmUbjDtg
Steve  Keen  Brexit  EEA  Austerity  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  immigration  Freedom  of  Movement  monetary  union  Germany  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  refugee  crisis  Brussels  UK  GFC  QE  recovery  Book  Trickle-down  reflate  reflation  ZIRP  NIRP 
october 2016 by asterisk2a
"On contact" with Chris Hedges (Episode 14) w Mark Blyth - YouTube
austerity works for those, who impose it. middle class and pood paying for the debt and bailouts they were not responsible for. // [...] when you shut down the casino economy. where is growth coming from? wage growth, productivity, investment, ... to pay those debts ... by the 80% who bailed out the 20%. current authoritarian depotism populism demagoge does not have the policy/answers. to make the economy work for the 80% so they can pay/serve their debt obligations. [...] young ppl in debt like never before, will not achieve life their parents had. [..] public scared of idea if you change fiscal policy ie tax raise and public investment you make it worse. [...] italy has not grown more than 1% since joined the euro.
Mark  Blyth  Austerity  bank  bailout  UK  George  Osborne  inequality  poverty  wage  growth  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  reflate  WallStreet  Mainstreet  Economic  History  USA  European  Union  working  poor  credit  card  household  debt  car  loan  auto  property  bubble  squeezed  middle  class  Brexit  Precariat  1%  10%  20%  plutocracy  Super  Rich  book  welfare  social  security  Triple  Lock  Pension  neoliberalism  neoliberal 
october 2016 by asterisk2a
Collapse in corporation tax receipts pushes public deficit to £10.6bn | Business | The Guardian
Suren Thiru, head of economics at the British Chambers of Commerce, said the rise in government borrowing underscored the weakness of the UK economy.

“The UK’s ability to generate tax revenue has diminished following the financial crisis, and this underlying weakness is likely to be exacerbated further if the UK economy slows as we predict,” he said, adding it was vital the chancellor offered incentives to “invest, create jobs, and support growth”.
Brexit  business  confidence  consumer  budget  UK  Philip  Hammond  Theresa  May  underinvestment  productivity  output  gap  GFC  recovery  austerity  HMRC  corporate  tax  rate  fiscal  policy  Uncertainty 
october 2016 by asterisk2a
Ferguson: Democracy Around the World Is in Crisis - Bloomberg
globalisation _ gfc _ recovery _ immigration _ political establishment corrupt not representing us // populism doesnt work to solve gefuehlte wirklichkeiten (never be enough).
Donald  Trump  Hillary  Clinton  Democracy  populism  AfD  Front  National  USA  UK  UKIP  Brexit  Germany  France  economic  history  squeezed  middle  class  poverty  structural  unemployment  technological  immigration  European  Union  wage  growth  income  inequality  gini  Coefficient  stagnation  secular  GFC  recovery  bank  bailout  crony  capitalism  Precariat  working  poor  Austerity  neoliberal  neoliberalism  corporate  welfare  tax  evasion  avoidance  globalisation  globalization  Chicago  School  bubble  fiscal  policy  monetary 
october 2016 by asterisk2a
Sterling: A political animal | FT Markets - YouTube
fx vigilante. bond figilante. collective market doesnt like brexit. thus sells off. NO BUYING INTEREST! now £ is a political currency!!! // fall of £ is a painful solution to possible adjustment towards healthier economy. // E/£ parity by end of next year as we get concrete about exit with negotiations. this is uk prob not eu prob, brexit.
Brexit  foreign  exchange  FX  British  Pound  Sterling  FDI  direct  investment  current  account  deficit  currency  war  devaluation  budget  BOE  Mark  Carney  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  inflation  RPI  CPI  property  bubble  fiscal  monetary  policy  austerity  GDP 
october 2016 by asterisk2a
Are we heading for another slump? - Michael Roberts, John Bellamy Foster and Joseph Choonara - YouTube
Michael Roberts book // lack of profit, due to lack of growth (outlook), thus lack of investment. ... less competition. +++ winner take all/globalisation/conglomerate +++ erosion of purchasing power +++ no to little wage (income) growth, if at all due to credit card, car load, mortgage, student loan, ... === less demand. === deflation pressures // less profits = more profit maximisation = lay-offs and destruction of union, bogus contracts via forced self-employment (thus saving on social security payments). = and outsourcing in next cheaper country.
ouput  gap  productivity  secular  stagnation  UK  USA  underemployed  underinvestment  recovery  austerity  bank  bailout  banking  crisis  economic  history  capitalism  in  crony  GFC  Sovereign  debt  wage  growth  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  neoliberal  neoliberalism  deflation  deflationary  monetary  policy  fiscal 
september 2016 by asterisk2a
Deutschland: 19% der Kinder sind arm.
Doch mehr als 15 Prozent der deutschen Bevölkerung gilt als arm. Das sind 12,5 Millionen Menschen - darunter 900.000 Kinder. Als arm gilt, wer weniger als 60 Prozent des mittleren Nettohaushaltseinkommens zur Verfügung hat. // 19% aller kinder sind arm! - ausgeschlossen von der gesellschaft.
Germany  poverty  social  mobility  inequality  income  distribution  gini  Coefficient  education  policy  austerity  Schuldenbremse  Agenda  2010  Fiscal  Pact  Wertegesellschaft  Gesellschaft 
september 2016 by asterisk2a
How did Hitler rise to power? - Alex Gendler and Anthony Hazard - YouTube
betrayed by politicians. jews got the blame partially and the established politicians / and left wing weak by internal squabbles. / exploiting peoples fear, uncertainty, anger and calls for change from the status quo
Brexit  WW2  Adolf  Hitler  history  Donald  Trump  AfD  UKIP  Front  National  Rechtsruck  right-wing  far-right  Career  Politicians  Centrists  Centrist  UK  USA  European  Union  globalisation  globalization  France  GFC  bank  bailout  Sovereign  Debt  Crisis  Austerity  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse 
august 2016 by asterisk2a
(Live Ticker) Bank of England cuts rates - BBC News
The post-Brexit economic problems are down to consumer and business uncertainty and will not be solved by introducing monetary stimulus. By lowering interest rates, the Bank of England will distort the economy and potentially reduce growth. Philip Booth. Research director, Institute of Economic Affairs //&! More corp bond buying - bit.ly/2b6sHX3 //&! bit.ly/2aPQJYV &! bbc.in/2axiVxx &! Osborne at it w calling for lower business rate - bit.ly/2aGUYTN &! Noreena Hartz on it - bit.ly/2ayoT5g &! bbc.in/2aWLXY6
BOE  Brexit  Mark  Carney  fiscal  stimulus  Austerity  monetary  policy  bond  bubble  distortion  aggregate  demand  short-fall  Uncertainty  business  confidence 
august 2016 by asterisk2a
Mark Blyth at E.Y.W.T.K.B.N.H.D.T.A. By ThePressProject - YouTube
from this point on, summer 2016, hope is that it can get only better. // it is remarkable Greece is still alive // problem is, that banks were only bailed out to a level of zombie banks. see non-performing loans. zombie banks in PIGS country and Deutsche Bank. Contagion. ... banks will languish on as long as economy languishes on; https://soundcloud.com/theeconomist/money-talks-stressed-out-banks
Mark  Blyth  Greece  PIGS  sovereign  debt  crisis  bank  bailout  GFC  Political  Class  Centrist  Centrists  Austerity  leverage  ESM  secular  stagnation  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel 
august 2016 by asterisk2a
Central Banking and Inequality – Taking Off the Blinders
"Despite studies that suggest that the post-crisis unconventional monetary policies tend to exacerbate inequalities, the standard line of central banks is that these “unintended consequences” fall outside their mandate."
BIS  central  banks  BOE  ECB  Fed  inequality  Gini  coefficient  reflate  reflation  bank  bailout  bailout  1%  20%  10%  triple-lock  pension  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  unintended  consequences  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  Pact  austerity  Schuldenbremse  secular  stagnation  squeezed  middle  class  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  income  growth  income  distribution  Precariat  GFC  recovery  Helicopter  Money 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Deutsche Bank Loves Helicopter Money: Why "Big Inflation Is Coming... But Will First Require A Crisis"
[NEED FOR CHANGE OF WIND - deflationary pressures ] Europe is another story. Germany must let their southern neighbors cheat on deficits and bank recapitalizations. “Spanish election showed if you let them cheat and growth surprises positively then extremists don’t do so well. Europe can only survive as an inflation zone. Will it be formally tolerated? Probably not. Will governments cheat anyway with ECB support?” Probably.
Deutsche  Bank  Italy  PIGS  sovereign  debt  crisis  austerity  Germany  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  ECB  MarioDraghi  BuBa  Jens  Weidmann  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  zombie  zombie  banks  Richard  Koo  Helicopter  Money  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  policy  monetary  theory  deflation  deflationary  Brexit  European  Bank  Supervision  BaFin  BOE  BOJ  Abenomics  right-wing  far  right  far-right  Front  National  AfD  UKIP  Centrist  recovery  income  distribution  income  inequality  Gini  coefficient  squeezed  middle  class  Precariat  working  poor  globalisation  globalization  Paul  Mason  crony  capitalism  capitalism  in  crisis  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  poverty  poverty  trap  social  mobility  income  mobility  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  wage  pressure  income  growth  GFC  economic  history  liquidity  trap  balance  sheet  recession  debt  overhang  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  credit  card  debt  western  world  secular  stagnation  non-performing  loan  bail-in  bailout  recapitalization  recapitalisation  UK  Japan 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
After Brexit, should the Eurozone pursue full political union?
Is full political union of the eurozone the only way to stop the disintegration of Europe after Brexit?
Brexit  European  Union  Political  Union  fiscal  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Germany  Maastricht  Treaty  austerity  Pact  fiscal  policy  Schuldenbremse  Schwarze  Null 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Geographies of Austerity: Mark Blyth
EU bank bailout (incl Britain) = 40% of EU GDP (incl Britain) = 5 trillion Euros. AUSTERITY FOR WHOM?! // secular stagnation - ZIRP, NIRP, QE, austerity, liquidity trap, aggregate demand short-fall = creditors paradise. their debt will not be inflated away. deflation - deflationary environment. for the next 2-3 decades. = NO DRIVE TO INVEST IN PRODUCTIVE ASSETS! = productivity gap. [...] rentier paradise. [...] = interest formation (those who have, call the shots, status quo). [...] deflationary spiral (PIGS & Germany) exporting deflation ... getting more competitive [EU has 2015 a current account surplus, bought my USA] = Dr Wolfgang Schaeuble. [...] Fall of Centrists, rise of the SNP & UKIP (reactionary) ... Trump. [...] as investment rate (ie SME/SMB lending) stays same, does not grow = DEAD. Eurobonds/Investment Fund(UK, 5bn 5 years). [...] min 55 - deflationary politics (policy for 1-10-20% of society) is one way train. DEATH. especially w austerity and low wages/secular stagnation.
austerity  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  general  election  2010  general  election  2015  George  Osborne  Iain  Duncan  Smith  David  Cameron  Ed  Miliband  economic  history  Mark  Blyth  book  Richard  Koo  welfare  state  welfare  reform  bank  bailout  GFC  recovery  secular  stagnation  IMF  ChristineLagarde  Salami  Tactics  aggregate  demand  aggregate  demand  short-fall  liquidity  trap  fiscal  policy  Confidence  Fairy  monetary  policy  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Tony  Blair  Gordon  Brown  European  Union  Euro  ECB  BOJ  PIGS  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  Career  Politicians  politician  zombie  bank  zombie  banks  banking  systemic  risk  OMT  LTRO  MarioDraghi  trichet  BOE  deflation  deflationary  productivity  productivity  gap  productive  investment  underinvestment  infrastructure  investment  infrastructure  rentier  rent-seeking  Mark  Carney  Donald  Trump  business  consumer  TLTRO  non-performing  loan  NPL  Jens  Weidmann 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Mark Blyth explains the U.K.'s decision to leave the E.U. - YouTube
Yanis Varoufakis & Mark Blyth - https://youtu.be/iMk6aVsl8Rs - Scotland (joining the EU) will not have a welfare state as long as Wolfgang Schaeuble is at the helm), Secular Stagnation = feels like permanent recession. especially w austerity. squeezed middle class, working poor, Precariat. [...] the only thing that is keeping things alive and somewhat steady is monetary policy (ZIRP, NIRP, QE) & triple-lock pensions (ie in UK). [...] Status Quo is extend and pretend (ie in EU) [...] Centrists lost the plot, all under 50% of vote share. some places just 25% (ie Tories 2015). [...] [min 20 #Brexit] [...] EU and ASIA running trade surplus against the world. "be more competitive" = exporting deflation. is not same as productivity. [...] Q&A session: you can not reform a country (structural reforms) under dark cloud of debt deflation. no shared dream of prosperity. //&! youtu.be/md6_WfF9Ky0?t=22m
Nigel  Farage  Brexit  deflation  deflationary  IMF  Richard  Koo  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  secular  stagnation  Donald  Trump  western  world  ECB  Yanis  Varoufakis  democracy  Mark  Blyth  Brexit  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  politician  1%  10%  GFC  austerity  bank  bailout  corporate  welfare  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  Westminster  Whitehall  nasty  party  Centrist  Tony  Blair  Gordon  Brown  Jeremy  Corbyn  Tories  Conservative  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  European  Union  PIGS  economic  history  globalisation  globalization  AI  Robotics  Robots  autonomous  car  autonomous  cars  self-driving  cars  augmented  intelligence  automation  Precariat  populism  Polarisation  demagogue  demagogy  Nigel  Farage  Front  National  AfD  Fear  mongering  immigration  Nationalism  Nationalismus  Privatisation  UK  Germany  France  far-right  right-wing  UKIP  recovery  Refugee  Crisis 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Bundesbank head Jens Weidmann - Brexit is no excuse to loosen EU budget rules
Reuters report that this puts Weidmann at odds with German Economy Minister Sigmar Gabriel, who has called for Europe's "Stability and Growth Pact" to be boosted for more growth.
-
So, we've got a politician wanting to spend more.
And the head of the Buba saying "No!"

Same old :-D //&! http://news.forexlive.com/!/germany-will-stick-to-balanced-budget-report-20160701
lost  decade  Brexit  fiscal  stimulus  fiscal  policy  BuBa  Bundesbank  ECB  MarioDraghi  trichet  Angela  Merkel  austerity  budget  deficit  Germany  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Wolfgang  Schäuble  liquidity  trap  Mark  Blyth  economic  history  inflation  targeting  inflation  expectation  inflation  expectations  recovery  Jens  Weidmann  monetary  policy  global  economy  Schwarze  Null  Exportweltmeister  Beton  Gold  Betongold  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion  Richard  Koo  European  Union  zombie  bank  zombie  banks  NPL  PIGS  non-performing  loan  underinvestment 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Tory tax and benefit plans ‘widen generation divide’ | Politics | The Guardian
New analysis of how money will shift from young to old over the next four years has been produced by the foundation as it announces a new intergenerational commission aimed at creating a fairer deal for voters aged under 25. The analysis, which breaks down the impact of tax and welfare changes planned for this parliament by age, shows that people in their 30s will experience the biggest losses of any age group, losing an average of £220 a year by 2020.

In contrast, people in their 60s are set to be the largest beneficiaries, gaining an average of £170 a year. The research also shows that 45 is the age at which people, on average, move from losing to gaining from forthcoming tax and benefit polices in this parliament.
Brexit  recession  austerity  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  fairness  lost  decade  triple-lock  pension  budget  deficit  student  debt  DWP  benefits  housing  benefit  JSA  Universal  Credit  lost  generation 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Why Brexit Is Good For Working People In Clear, Simple Terms - YouTube
Mark Blyth // + centrists lost the plot (leaders from 95 to today in western world - tony blair, clinton, cameron, schroeder, merkel, sarkozy, hollande, gordon brown ... IMF and OECD! and the central bankers. christine lagarde) // global trumpism // trickle down never worked! // Mark Blyth: The Why of Brexit - MR LIVE - 6/28/16 - https://youtu.be/arT40qHKuHQ?t=13m //&! Bhaskar Sunkara: A Marxist Perspective on Current Crises - MR Live - 6/27/16 - https://youtu.be/DcxN5n22OiE?t=14m30s
Mark  Blyth  Brexit  neoliberal  neoliberalism  trickle-down  economics  inequality  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  Tony  Blair  David  Cameron  Angela  Merkel  Gerhard  Schroeder  Gerhard  Schröder  austerity  GFC  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  recovery  Precariat  working  poor  immigration  poverty  child  poverty  student  debt  Donald  Trump  far-right  right-wing  TPP  TTIP  CETA  free  trade  Protest  Vote  10%  1%  Super  Rich  Establishment  Toff  Privileged  No  Representation  Westminster  Whitehall  Career  Politicians  politician  George  Osborne  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  economic  history  squeezed  middle  class  PIGS  Greece  technocrat  Yanis  Varoufakis  Nigel  Farage  AfD  UKIP  Greed  profit  maximisation  profit  maximization  economic  insecurity  structural  unemployment  youth  unemployment  long-term  unemployment  Elite  elitism  England  UK  USA  European  Union  Germany  policy  monetary  policy  Centrist  IMF  OECD 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Alan Greenspan on Brexit, U.S. Economy, and Inflation (Full Interview) - YouTube
UK out of Euro Currency but part of free trade single market was best option on table. // lack of leadership for political union and fiscal union aka ever closer union. not just currency and trade union (free trade). // GET AT THE ROOT ISSUE; productivity, ageing population (entitlement crisis), stagnant wages, secular stagnation = desperate population // European banks some still burdened by sov debt crisis/NPL (= zombie banks) & NIRP & QE & lack of uptake in business & consumer loans. // no back-up to the ECB (balance sheet) yet. what happens if the EURO stops being a hard currency? get Greece out, is a liability. // EU can not go on in Status Quo indefinitely. ie funding southern states. States have to get on course of economic harmony! everyone has to give up something! // Precariat/Squeezed Middle Class/Social Mobility = creates desperate people. // Entitlements are a legal issues. Productivity and Growth Rates can't fund entitlements. = There will be a crisis. // Career Politicians won't touch it. // History (look at M2) this environment ends up in inflation. not time or data.
European  Union  Brexit  fiscal  Political  Union  ECB  Alan  Greenspan  Fed  Yanis  Varoufakis  Janet  Yellen  PIGS  sovereign  debt  crisis  secular  stagnation  productivity  gap  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  ageing  population  current  account  deficit  budget  deficit  GFC  entitlement  spending  Abenomics  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  pension  obligation  babyboomers  Baby  Boomers  immigration  NIRP  ZIRP  QE  economic  history  Germany  Angela  Merkel  BOE  Mark  Carney  rising  middleclass  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  Precariat  populism  demagogue  demagogy  Donald  Trump  western  world  savings  rate  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  triple-lock  pension  pension  fund  pension  scheme  democracy  Career  Politicians  politician  output  gap  M2  inflation  targeting  M3  commodity  prices  global  economy 
june 2016 by asterisk2a
Firms plan to quit UK as City braces for more post-Brexit losses | Business | The Guardian
The IoD said a quarter of the members polled in a survey were putting hiring plans on hold, while 5% said they were set to make workers redundant. Nearly two-thirds of those polled said the outcome of the referendum was negative for their business. One in five respondents, out of a poll of more than 1,000 business leaders, were considering moving some of their operations outside of the UK. //&! The chief executive of Deutsche Bank – which employs 11,000 in the City – has played down the long-term impact. John Cryan, who is British, told Handelsblatt: “The financial centre won’t die but it will get weaker.” - bit.ly/28WkoMZ
Brexit  recession  City  of  London  European  Union  FDI  foreign  direct  investment  GBP  current  account  deficit  budget  deficit  fiscal  deficit  austerity  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  BOE  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion  inflation  targeting  inflation  expectation  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  British  Pound  uncertainty 
june 2016 by asterisk2a
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT ON THE BALANCE OF PAYMENTS: THE MOST DAMNING STATISTIC!
If you want to understand how an economy is performing and how sustainable its economic growth then look at the current account balance. Officially it is often ignored and there are attempts to play down its significance. After all it is always only just a few years away from an election so the very short term is considered much more important than the long term strength and economic health of the economy. Dire straits is not an underestimate of the current damaged state of the UK economy and indeed many other western economies. [ affordable only bc of City of London (Banking and Co.)! - bit.ly/297c6D3 - Novara Media - The City: In Conversation with Tony Norfield ]
UK  current  account  deficit  trade  deficit  fiscal  deficit  Brexit  western  world  secular  stagnation  inflation  targeting  nominal  GDP  targeting  austerity  aggregate  demand  USA  Manufacturing  industrial  policy  energy  policy  GBP  City  of  London  book  British  Empire  unitedkingdom  standard  of  living  living  standard  economic  history 
june 2016 by asterisk2a
FLUCTUATIONS IN ECONOMIC ACTIVITY: ONLY ONE CAUSE
The financial crisis of 2006/7 turned into a recession prolonged by a failure to manage monetary demand efficiently to achieve target inflation. With the failure of Lehman Bros interbank markets froze and banks stopped commercial lending. Since then a mixture of quantitative easing and distortingly low interest rates has only managed to create the illusion of a boom as bubbles have developed in property and other asset prices.
GFC  economic  history  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion  M3  liquidity  trap  credit  growth  money  creation  process  money  supply  secular  stagnation  aggregate  demand  austerity  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  hunt  for  yield  western  world  UK  USA 
june 2016 by asterisk2a
Pound falls further in Asian trading on Monday
Traders will be watching the UK's financial position closely over the coming months. "The funding position of the UK, with its twin current account and fiscal deficits, are the next pressures to weigh," Mr Cook said. The UK's current account deficit measures the balance of trade, investment income and money transfers. That deficit means that the UK must borrow to pay its way in the world. The fiscal deficit refers to the gap between government expenditure and income that has to be financed by borrowing.
Those indicators of the UK's financial health will also affect how much the UK government has to pay to borrow. On Friday there was demand for UK government debt, which drove down the yield - an early indication that the UK should be able to continue to borrow cheaply. //&! George Osborne will issue a statement early on Monday morning in a bid to calm markets after the surprise Brexit vote triggered turmoil on Friday. - bbc.co.uk/news/business-36636762
Brexit  fiscal  deficit  fiscal  policy  current  account  deficit  foreign  direct  investment  FDI  austerity  George  Osborne  BOE  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Mark  Carney  secular  stagnation  recession 
june 2016 by asterisk2a
Inside Story - What's the future of the UK in the wake of Brexit? - YouTube
Felt left behind! proxy protest vote. Dog whistle racism/xenophobia. World of post-fact politics and post-fact campaigning! Still a protest vote vs the elite and establishment always promised Disneyland. Reclaiming democracy at home, from bureaucracy, unelected officials, unaccountable ones, in Brussels. Young voters; 3 in 10 voted. Scewed the result somewhat. This is a warning to mainstream parties around the western world. Politics is being hollowed out, voters go to either extremes as alternative!
Brexit  Indyref  2  England  unitedkingdom  UK  Wales  Northern  Ireland  disenfranchise  disenfranchised  immigration  inequality  Gini  coefficient  structural  unemployment  youth  unemployment  unemployment  poverty  child  poverty  fuel  poverty  populism  demagogue  demagogy  demographic  bubble  EEA  Freedom  of  Movement  Schengen  Agreement  Westminster  No  Representation  far-right  far-right  politics  austerity  right-wing  right-wing  extremism  Nigel  Farage  Conservative  Party  Labour  Party  Nationalism  Nationalismus  Altersarmut  UKIP  Identitätspolitik  identity  Ausländerfeindlichkeit  racism  Xenophobia  Xenophobic  babyboomers  Baby  Boomers  Boris  Johnson  David  Cameron  Jeremy  Corbyn  NHS  Crisis  Housing  Crisis  general  election  2015  long-term  unemployment  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Brussels  bureaucracy 
june 2016 by asterisk2a
Think-tank warns of Brexit damage to Scottish economy
Scotland is now relying solely on the service sector for growth, the report found, while conditions in the labour market have “deteriorated significantly”, as the job shedding associated with the consequences of the oil price fall and deteriorating export performance begin to take effect. // Scots city leaders unite to call for more economic powers - http://www.scotsman.com/business/scots-city-leaders-unite-to-call-for-more-economic-powers-1-4154727
Brexit  Scotland  Scotland  Bill  Fiscal  Framework  Devolution  devo-max  Scottish  Independence  Westminster  Holyrood 
june 2016 by asterisk2a
UK GDP growth – beware the march of the spenders | Business | The Guardian
the breakdown was deeply troubling. What it showed was an economy unhealthily reliant on consumer spending. Real household spending was up 0.7% on the quarter and added 0.5 percentage points to the growth rate. In other words, the other components of growth – investment, trade and government spending – contributed -0.1 points to growth during the first three months of the year. [...] drop in business investment, which was down both over the quarter and over the year. //&! bit.ly/1RjxDnh - Making things matters. This is what Britain forgot. Ha-Joon Chang. The neglect of manufacturing and over-development of the financial sector is the cause of the economy’s decline, not fear of leaving the EU
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may 2016 by asterisk2a
Stocks are up. But it appears to us that the U.S. economy is going down. Go figure.
velocity is at 57yr low - WOW! the money that is in circulation is in less hands! the econ expanded according to GDP, but less and less $ reach on avg each hand. - "This is serious. The velocity of money tracks how often each dollar is used to buy something in the economy. Falling velocity shows that consumers and business are pulling back… becoming more reluctant to spend and invest… downsizing… and holding onto dollars rather than spending them. This has a similar effect as reducing the supply of money bidding for goods and services. Prices drop. Deflation, in other words. The bubble has developed a leak. The hot air is gushing out." //&! bit.ly/1MOxc9A //&! research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/M2V &! pieria.co.uk/articles/getting_things_wrong_federal_reserve_style - it is associated with stagnant NGDP [...] demand problem.
monetary  velocity  liquidity  trap  Richard  Koo  nominal  GDP  targeting  GDP  measurement  GDP  recovery  reflate  reflation  economic  history  money  supply  Fed  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Gini  coefficient  inequality  economic  harm  economic  damage  GFC  crony  capitalism  shareholder  capitalism  Greed  profit  maximisation  profit  maximization  squeezed  middle  class  Elizabeth  Warren  Joseph  Stiglitz  Paul  Krugman  Robert  Reich  Thomas  Piketty  2016  UK  USA  secular  stagnation  Pact  fiscal  stimulus  austerity  Schuldenbremse  social  mobility  income  mobility  working  poor  Precariat  low  pay  low  income  Service  Sector  Jobs  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  self-employment  inflation  targeting  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomic  policy  Super  Rich  1%  plutocracy  oligarchy  capitalism  capitalism  in  crisis  self-regulation  book  shareholder  value  Wall  Street  meritocracy  meritocratic  post-racial  America  barackobama  Larry  Summers  Bernie  Sanders  Establishment  Privileged  deregulation  bank  bailout  social  safety  net  welfare  state  aggregate  demand 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Chris Grayling dimisses concerns over economic impact of a Brexit
Yvette Cooper: Brexit won't prevent EU free movement to the UK - LIKE NORWAY CASE! - youtu.be/qa--kXGNhiE //&! IMF downgrade UK over Brexit fears - youtu.be/gfmVP3_TXNk - calling for fiscal stimulus!
Brexit  Chris  Grayling  Yvette  Cooper  liquidity  trap  secular  stagnation  fiscal  stimulus  IMF  OECD  austerity  2016  global  economy  China  credit  bubble  monetary  stimulus  aggregate  demand  aggregate  demand  short-fall  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  British  Pound  Sterling  Pact  Schuldenbremse  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  economic  history  recovery  sovereign  debt  crisis  PIGS  ChristineLagarde  George  Osborne  monetary  policy  Mark  Carney  BOE  ECB  MarioDraghi 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Revolutionary politics in the UK
// yanis is liberal marxist // &! Will John McDonnell's fiscal rules work for Labour? Paul Mason Vs John Rentoul - youtu.be/0EISho5eSUc - OBR econometrics dictated by Treasury, George Osborne w wonky multipliers that don't fit w IMF models. IMF calls for fiscal stimulus! since late 2015 because China's credit bubble popped and global economy started to head south.
Yanis  Varoufakis  Paul  Mason  Labour  Party  Jeremy  Corbyn  Bernie  Sanders  Marxism  democracy  No  Representation  Super  Rich  1%  oligarchy  plutocracy  tax  evasion  tax  amnesty  tax  avoidance  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  fairness  Social  Justice  economic  bank  bailout  GFC  austerity  Generationengerechtigkeit  revolving  door  lobby  Greed  crony  capitalism  shareholder  capitalism  profit  maximisation  profit  maximization  shareholder  value  Wall  Street  Main  Street  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  Precariat  poverty  trap  economic  history  UK  globalisation  globalization  global  economy  self-regulation  deregulation  regulation  regulators  secular  stagnation  trickle-down  economics  free  market  exploitation  liberal  economic  reform  self-employment  job  security  job  insecurity  Zero  Hour  Contract  antitrust  winner  take  all  gini  coefficient  inequality  deprivation  poverty  John  McDonnell  austerity  aggregate  demand  Richard  Koo  Joseph  Stiglitz  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  economic  history  neoliberal  neoliberalism  OBR  Chicago  School  neoclassical  economics  infrastructure  investment  liquidity  trap 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
A!104 – Panama Freaks
58:26 - spin doctor and positioning, PR. // es ist ja bekannt das intendanten des fernsehen mal einen anruf bekommen und es richtig stellen sollen, so wie inter BPK: illegal eingewanderte fluechtlinge. was ein oxymoron. ein fluechtling zu sein ist keine illegale sache! // + 10.000 kids missing! // 1:45:54 - Panama Papers. Journalists have for years papers. And don't use them to shine light on the organised system in the western world of tax evasion/avoidance! Wie fatal.
Panama  Papers  investigative  journalism  journalism  journalismus  tax  evasion  tax  amnesty  tax  avoidance  Turkey  International  spin  doctor  Positioning  PR  manufactured  consent  corporate  media  BPK  refugee  crisis  Greece  Brussels  Rechtsradikalismus  Rechtsextremismus  Rechtsradikale  Gewalt  Rechtsruck  Germany  Angela  Merkel  Asylbewerber  Völkerrecht  European  Union  Schengen  Agreement  political  refugee  war  refugee  Human  Rights  Act  Human  Rights  Watch  Human  Trafficking  sex  condition  decency  dignity  humanitarian  crisis  humanitarian  tragedy  Erdogan  Kurds  Middle  East  sex  trade  tax  loopholes  tax  loopoles  Career  Politicians  AfD  NPD  Agenda  2010  ALG2  neoliberal  neoliberalism  liberal  economic  reform  hartz-iv  squeezed  class  job  insecurity  working  poor  Precariat  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  Minijob  1  Euro  Aufstocker  low  pay  low  income  minimum  wage  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  bank  bailout  sovereign  debt  crisis  austerity  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  recovery  GFC  economic  history  Super  Rich  1%  oligarchy  plutocracy  European  Election  2014  rechtsradikal  Fremdenfeindlichkeit  Ausländerfeindlichkeit  Xenophobia  Xenophobic  PEGIDA  Altersarmut  poverty  poverty  trap  poverty  in  old  age  poverty  c 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
IMF urges more spending to boost growth
Fund’s steering committee calls for more forceful stimulus and warns monetary policy alone is not enough //&! http://www.theguardian.com/business/imf //&! bit.ly/1V9pfhD - IMF chief: regulators long 'alarmed' over Panama's handling of taxation. Christine Lagarde responds to Panama Papers revelations, noting that authorities were concerned but did not take ‘expected’ action.
secular  stagnation  Panama  Papers  tax  evasion  tax  amnesty  tax  avoidance  corporate  tax  rate  labour  market  job  market  Service  Sector  Jobs  income  tax  receipts  budget2016  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  general  election  2015  general  election  2020  election  campaign  promises  Party  Funding  Richard  Koo  Confidence  Fairy  austerity  underinvestment  Generationengerechtigkeit  triple-lock  pension  fairness  Generation  Rent  Housing  Crisis  property  bubble  USA  UK  reflation  reflate  fiscal  policy  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  GFC  sovereign  debt  banking  bank  bailout  job  creation  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  IMF  OECD  credit  bubble  China  BRIC  recovery  Germany  economic  history  2016  Niall  Ferguson  budget  deficit  offshore  banking  investment  banking  TBTF  self-regulation  Greed  crony  capitalism  shareholder  capitalism  globalisation  globalization  global  economy  Oil  price  commodity  prices  ChristineLagarde  inequality  Gini  coefficient  income  mobility  social  mobility  low  pay  low  income  tax  credit  child  poverty  food  poverty  health  care  cost  health  care  demand  western  world  European  Union  Brussels  Brexit  Grexit  sick  population  health  economic  Union  Union  investment  policy  fiscal  me 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
What Happens Next (In Europe)?
the odds of another crisis are higher than a rally to fresh records. [...]
“The 2009-2015 rally originated from two main drivers: a massive stimulus, and credit expansion in China,” said Goette, who’s a partner at his firm in Zug, Switzerland and helps oversee 1 billion Swiss francs ($1 billion).

“European earnings have not followed suit so far. Skepticism regarding central-bank operations has started to emerge.”
ECB  Brussels  recovery  reflate  reflation  China  credit  bubble  Germany  PIGS  zombie  banks  European  Bank  Supervision  European  Economic  Area  European  Election  2014  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  MarioDraghi  OMT  LTRO  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  sovereign  debt  crisis  France  Brexit  Grexit  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  history  underinvestment  Richard  Koo  Yanis  Varoufakis  liquidity  trap  zombie  corporations  youth  unemployment  demographic  bubble  OAP  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  liberal  reform  Precariat  precarious  employment  low  pay  low  income  Minijob  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  1  Euro  Job  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  unemployment  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  union  union  Rechtsruck  Bundesbank  fault  lines  shareholder  capitalism  bailout  GFC  2016  PBOC  Exportweltmeister  zombie  Financial  Stability  Board  crony  capitalism  Deutsche  Bank  infrastructure  investment  competitiveness  Beton  Gold  Betongold  asset  allocation  Super  Rich  1%  oligarchy  plutocracy  democracy  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  profit  maximization  Russia  Crimea  Ukraine  U 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
50 Jahre nach dem Beginn der Einwanderung bekommt Deutschland jetzt ein #Integrationsgesetz.
Einzelheiten wurden zunächst nicht bekannt. Innenminister de Maizière hatte kürzlich einen Vorschlag vorgelegt, nachdem Flüchtlinge, die Integrationskurse verweigern und Arbeitsangebote ausschlagen, mit Sanktionen belegt werden können. In einem Integrationsgesetz dürfte es auch um Wohnsitzauflagen für Flüchtlinge gehen.
Integrationspolitik  Sozialpolitik  Germany  Deutschland  refugee  crisis  Turkish  immigration  migration  Banlieue  Angela  Merkel  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  ALG2  hartz-iv  Sozialkassen  Sozialstaat  Sozialtourismus  Sozialmissbrauch  Aufstocker  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  Agenda  2010 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Future of Steel - Ken Clarke & Paul Mason - BBC Newsnight
[TORIES CRISIS: bedroom tax, JSA sanctions killing people, Food Banks, redefining child poverty and fuel poverty, Independent Living Fund closed, Housing Crisis, tax cut defeat in Lords, mental health, NHS strikes, Hinkley Point C, energy prices, London Airport expansion/3rd runway, ESA cut, PIP cut and resignation of IDS, Brexit splitting the Party, shit world economy, can't touch triple-lock pensions, Academy plans, Panama Papers (British Territory: Bahamas, Cayman & Co).] Now - Tories are victims to their own policy of underinvestment since 2010 of a future-proof economy "long-term predictability" [BREXIT & austerity not predictable]. Energy prices too high, not competitive. Manufacturing never recovered. Monetary policy has run its course (sedative + Chinas credit bubble). policy folly now wholly exposed! AND now they tinker with the idea of picking winners! LOL! nationalising or part-nationalising through guarantees or subsidies on energy price. & youtu.be/QJw24Z-cEoQ
underinvestment  austerity  Smart  Grid  energy  policy  energy  price  competitive  advantage  competitive  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  budget2010  budget2015  Budget2016  Manufacturing  current  account  deficit  budget  deficit  trade  deficit  TPP  AIIB  World  Bank  China  BRIC  commodity  prices  heavy  industry  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomic  policy  macroprudential  policy  Mark  Carney  education  policy  skills  gap  skill  gap  skill  investment  apprenticeship  further  education  immigration  migration  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  NIRP  ZIRP  QE  recovery  output  gap  productivity  productivity  gap  Service  Sector  Jobs  job  creation  labour  market  job  market  DWP  Iain  Duncan  Smith  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  Manifesto  corporate  restructuring  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  corporate  subsidies  Privatisation  Nationalization  Nationalisation  constituency  Party  Funding  general  election  2020  IMF  OECD  policy  folly  policy  error  global  economy  credit  bubble  Germany  Hinkley  Point  C  renewable  energy  energy  storage  job  creation  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Mark  Carney  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  property  bubble  rent-seeking  rentier  liquidity-trap  liquidity  trap  Housing  Crisis  Help  to  Save  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Right  to  Buy  Buy-to-Let 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Yanis Varoufakis: »MONEY AND POWER«, Public Lecture 2015-11-04
3rd bailout loan $0 went to Greece. All to pay off banks. extend & pretend. 1st: ~90% went to the banks. [...] ESM does not exist [...] banking union plan not progressing at all. //&! Yanis Varoufakis @Oxford Union - youtu.be/zWB6lY2GBjQ - ACADEMIA LACKS ANTI-ESTABLISHMENT ATTITUDE! Because going against the grain has become anti-reputation. [...] it's all about expectations, predictions about where S&P500 will be in 12 months. [...] regression between theory and reality. economists have never been humble. [ see Wall Street cottage factory of analysis and prediction shops ] [...] if you torture the data and model enough it will confess. [< EU monetary union based on theory ] [...] [34:00] Brussels is technically incompetent and will not reform itself. I am a libertarian marxist. Schumpeter. true creative destruction. great wealth currently created - all going to 1%. = not humanitarian. not democratic. [...] 41:00 Q&A, <48:50> gov budget not same as household budget; George Osborne.
bank  crisis  banking  crisis  European  Election  2014  sovereign  debt  crisis  austerity  Grexit  Yanis  Varoufakis  Tsipras  Syriza  Brussels  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  GFC  Great  Depression  credit  crisis  credit  creation  Super  Cycle  debt  overhang  liquidity  trap  ECB  Troika  MarioDraghi  economic  history  Richard  Koo  leverage  recovery  deflation  deflationary  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Germany  underinvestment  Super  Rich  reflate  reflation  Generationengerechtigkeit  1%  oligarchy  plutocracy  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  balance  sheet  recession  Euro  Gold  Standard  ESM  IMF  OECD  banking  union  EEA  Economics  Academia  Academics  Economists  Scholars  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  income  distribution  inequality  Gini  coefficient  Gesellschaft  society  Yanis  Varoufakis  financial  crisis  economic  model  econometrics  social  theory  monetary  union  Chicago  School  poverty  economic  history  austerity  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  UK  nasty  party  Richard  Koo  macroeconomics  macroeconomic  policy  macroprudential  policy  aggregate  demand  Capital  Expenditure  income  tax  receipts  deflation  deflationary  Universal  Basic  class  warfare 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Piketty: EU should welcome one million immigrants a year
"The European Union has the capacity to absorb a large flow of migrants, one million per year in terms of inflow net of outflow," he said.
"This is exactly what we had between 2000 and 2010 and this was working in the sense that unemployment was being reduced.
"The problem is - with the austerity policies and with the recession - now we are in a situation where it's very difficult in particular with southern Europe, with the terrible economic situation that we have created there in particular." [...] The population of the EU has only risen by 0.2% a year since 1995, he argues, compared to 1.2% for the world's population over the same period.
According to Eurostat, the official statistical arm of the European Commission, a total of 3.4 million people came to the EU during 2013. Some 2.8 million left, leaving a net immigration figure of around 600,000. [S]low growth [...] exacerbated not just by a lack of immigration but also by austerity policies aimed at reducing public expenditure. [EU in recession 2011 forward]
immigration  migration  refugee  crisis  Integrationspolitik  Sozialpolitik  youth  unemployment  austerity  GFC  secular  stagnation  Richard  Koo  ageing  population  demographic  bubble  social  safety  net  pension  obligation  economic  history  welfare  state  Gini  coefficient  Super  Rich  inequality  social  mobility  income  mobility  plutocracy  oligarchy  Precariat  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  hartz-iv  Aufstocker  neoliberal  neoliberalism  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  ALG2  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  Minijob  part-time  employment  Contractor  self-employment  Zero  Hour  Contract  underinvestment  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  Robert  Skidelsky  bank  bailout  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  Leadership  Wall  Street  shareholder  capitalism  crony  capitalism  lobby  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  democracy  European  Union  UK  Elizabeth  Warren  Paul  Krugman  Robert  Reich  Joseph  Stiglitz  carbon  tax  policy  folly  policy  error  right-wing  far-right  Rechtsruck  recovery  nominal  GDP  targeting  inflation  targeting  finite  resources  resource  depletion  GNP  GDP  GDP  measurement  profit  maximisation  profit  shareholder  policy  income  inequality  income 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
The Week Ahead: the return of the nasty party and a good week for Brexit
David Cameron and George Osborne wanted to cut even more! //&! Nicky Morgan's embarrassing interview over Tory cuts to disabled welfare - youtu.be/hjk06tjx_xQ //&! Jeremy Corbyn - youtu.be/Ain-IP4pHCk //&! IFS: cutting disability benefits to fund tax cuts is a political choice - youtu.be/xVBf9dSa9Mw //&! MANIFESTO Election Campaign Promises - Tories hoist by their own petard over disability cuts - youtu.be/N8VijFKLQek //&! also closed Independent Living Fund - youtu.be/nurjzK5VPAI //& "The electorate don't mind. Those who vote aren't affected." *George Osborne - youtu.be/N8VijFKLQek - WCA to bring down bill by kicking people off was a pipedream & Universal Credit is a real cut in benefits. //&! Nicky Morgan's nightmare defending Osborne's nasty budget - youtu.be/Y9YNcQF4t8I - 12bn cuts were promised in Manifesto 2015. 4.4 tried through PIP. youtu.be/5-3Bp7qzj4Y (pre-election) //& cutting corporation tax (& capital gains tax) - youtu.be/gZ6qNHLnbs0 &! Analysis - youtu.be/v-qmvI9s3pE
Iain  Duncan  Smith  Brexit  Tories  Conservative  Party  DWP  austerity  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Toff  dogma  ideology  Establishment  general  election  2020  economic  history  recovery  tax  credit  ILA  PIP  Universal  Budget2016  Westminster  Whitehall  ESA  tax  cut  welfare  reform  welfare  state  social  safety  net  Disabled  vulnerable  JSA  sanctions  PR  spin  doctor  Positioning  manufactured  consent  bank  bailout  budget  deficit  corporate  tax  rate  capital  gains  tax  Boris  Johnson  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  inequality  child  poverty  fuel  poverty  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  poverty  trap  education  policy  Academy  Nicky  Morgan  Michael  Gove  Ofsted  nasty  inheritance  tax  Manifesto  general  election  2015  IFS  OBR  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  triple-lock  pension  babyboomers  NHS  constituency  Party  Funding  property  bubble  constituency  babyboomers  pension  obligation  WCA  Foodbank 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Questions raised over £10bn Chinese deal
The investment and infrastructure company said the deal paved the way for "significant investment" in areas such as clean energy, transport and affordable housing in Scotland.
Ppposition politicians questioned why MSPs were not told about the agreement before the Scottish Parliament was dissolved ahead of the election on 5 May, and called for full details to be published.
'Open for business'
Speaking publicly about the agreement for the first time on Sunday, Ms Sturgeon said: "What we have done is sign a memorandum of understanding that commits us to explore possible investment.
UK  David  Cameron  FDI  foreign  direct  investment  George  Osborne  austerity  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Scotland  Fiscal  Framework  Scotland  Bill  Westminster  Nicola  Sturgeon  Holyrood  China  underinvestment  public  asset  HS2  Richard  Koo  recovery  economic  history  foreign  affairs  Hegemony  geopolitics 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Budget 2016: Four key numbers - BBC Newsnight
weaker outlook for income tax receipts & economy/global economy >> OBR has done 'no projections' on impact of Brexit: Robert Chote - BBC Newsnight - youtu.be/A0jvIUKTU1U //&! Budget 2016: Evan Davis grills Sajid Javid on the numbers - BBC Newsnight - youtu.be/L0TBTbfNgCw - "WE HAD THE BIGGEST BANK BAILOUT" //&! NICKY MORGAN ON TORY WELFARE ROW - BBC Newsnight - youtu.be/IC_Yhggk62o
Budget2016  OBR  secular  stagnation  income  tax  receipts  productivity  gap  recovery  economic  history  Richard  Koo  Brexit  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  general  election  2020  austerity  underinvestment  business  confidence  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  low  pay  low  income  working  poor  tax  credit  Zero  Hour  Contract  wage  stagnation  squeezed  middle  class  self-employment  part-time  Contractor  Zero  Hour  Contract  recovery  economic  history  UK  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  pension  obligation  triple-lock  pension  bank  bailout  trickle-down  economics  dogma  ideology  Richard  Koo  Privatisation  free  market  demographic  bubble  poverty  child  poverty  food  poverty  ESA  Disabled  vulnerable  DLA  PIP  DWP  Iain  Duncan  Smith  sanctions  JSA  social  housing  affordable  housing  Crisis  property  bubble  welfare  state  welfare  reform  Universal  housing  benefit  social  safety  net 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Budget 2016: Evan Davis grills Sajid Javid on the numbers - BBC Newsnight
turning a banking crisis into a budget deficit blowout and blaming it on poor working age people with some benefits to their name. //&! What will it be the Budget be remembered for? DEBATE - BBC Newsnight - youtu.be/iOrhLL-Pe3E - productivity is about increasing public and private investment, and private investment has been falling year after year. tax cuts ie corporate tax rate, do not increase private investment. and household debt/consumer debt/credit car/car loan/student debt is rising and rising, taking up the slack that Osborne is cutting from the budget.
budget2016  budget2010  bank  bailout  austerity  budget  deficit  economic  history  Richard  Koo  UK  GFC  George  Osborne  Sajid  Javid  dogma  ideology  income  tax  receipts  corporate  tax  rate  HMRC  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  DWP  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  triple-lock  pension  pension  obligation  babyboomers  recovery  aggregate  demand  shareholder  capitalism  secular  stagnation  neoliberal  neoliberalism  trickle-down  economics  free  market  Positioning  PR  spin  doctor  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  budget2015  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Brexit 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Aberdeen doctors criticise trauma care plans
from 4 to two post Holyrood election, due to austerity. all the flown via helicopter. // Labour MSP Lewis Macdonald said that meetings were held with staff last week in which it was clear that only sites in Glasgow and Edinburgh were being considered, despite the fact Aberdeen Royal Infirmary had more facilities on a single site than Edinburgh.
Lib Dem MSP Alison McInnes said the SNP must "come clean" on its plans as the electorate deserved to know what they were voting for ahead of the May election.
The Scottish Conservatives have not yet responded.
austerity  NHS  NHS  England  A&E  NHS  Scotland  Holyrood  Westminster  Fiscal  Framework  Devolution  Scotland  Bill  Smith  Commission 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Pensions stance creates budgetary mayhem
Disability benefits: they are forecast to increase by £2bn over the next five years. Could do something there. Sickness benefits: they are predicted to rise by about £1bn. Might be able to save some of that. But what's this? It's rising by £15bn over the coming five years. That's the one. Off our Martian goes to see the chancellor. "What are pensions?" she asks. That is the problem the government is struggling with. Its political refusal to touch pensions, or pensioner benefits, has in a stroke protected the single biggest cost in the welfare budget. And the cost that is rising the most. [ AND ADD INTO THE SAME BUCKET THE NHS and PUBLIC HEALTH BUDGET! ] Welcome to your new job, Stephen Crabb.
DWP  Iain  Duncan  Smith  pension  obligation  Tories  Conservative  Party  Party  Funding  constituency  austerity  budget2016  budget2015  babyboomers  PIP  DLA  ESA  general  election  2015  general  election  2020  election  campaign  promises  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Stephen  Crabb  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  aggregate  demand  secular  stagnation  OAP  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  NHS  public  health  health  care  budget  health  care  cost  health  care  spending  sick  population  health  crisis  Universal  Credit  Richard  Koo  Schuldenbremse  dogma  ideology  Fiscal  Pact  European  Union  trickle-down  economics  free  market  neoliberal  neoliberalism  policy  folly  policy  error  welfare  reform  welfare  state  social  safety  net 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
'Graph of Doom' warning to Highland councillors
deprived areas have low tax base to fund welfare and social care, and w demographic bubble, less income tax receipts. this is a double whammy to fund demand of babyboomers. // In a paper to councillors, officers quote research such as a London borough council's "Graph of Doom" showing the effect of spending cuts on services.
The Highland officials also make reference to political commentators describing a period of "perma-austerity" for local government.
They recommend that the council reviews its priorities.
demographic  bubble  OAP  adult  social  care  deprivation  microeconomic  policy  child  care  education  policy  elderly  care  NHS  sick  population  health  crisis  chronic  diseases  income  tax  receipts  HMRC  austerity  UK  babyboomers  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  pension  obligation  Public  Services  Services  secular  stagnation  western  world  Europe  economic  history  Super  Rich  1%  plutocracy  oligarchy  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  tax  credit  Disabled  vulnerable  welfare  reform  welfare  state  social  safety  net  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Smith  Commission  Fiscal  Framework  SNP  Nicola  Sturgeon  GP  NHS  Scotland  health  inequality  post  code  lottery  budget  deficit  Council 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Bank of England blames falling pound on Brexit fears
The BoE said disappointing business investment and the weaker outlook for global trade would offset the impact of a cheaper pound and keep inflation in check in the short term before a rise to its 2% target within the next two years.

The Bank’s nine-strong monetary policy committee (MPC) also unanimously voted to keep its quantitative easing asset purchase scheme on hold at £375bn in response to a mixed bag of indicators that it said would keep GDP growth on an upward, though subdued path. [...] [ BREXIT EFFECT, sterling down] It may also delay some spending decisions and depress growth in aggregate demand in the near term. Overall, however, the committee judges that the outlook for domestic activity to be little changed from the time of the February inflation report,” the MPC said. [...] [ CARNEY ALSO SUPPORTS FISCAL STIMULUS! ]
ZIRP  NIRP  QE  BOE  Mark  Carney  budget2016  UK  wage  growth  nominal  GDP  targeting  inflation  targeting  austerity  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  George  Osborne  recovery  secular  stagnation  underinvestment  business  confidence  business  cycle  liquidity  trap  Richard  Koo  zombie  consumer  zombie  banks  Brexit  aggregate  demand  economic  history  fiscal  stimulus  Pact  Schuldenbremse 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Tax rise risk from George Osborne's 'inflexible' budget target - BBC News
[ sounds great as headline, but economically and historically bullshit ] The Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) said that Mr Osborne's pledge to run a budget surplus "in normal times" from 2019-20 was simple but would require a "precarious balancing act".
The result could be "big tax rises or spending cuts with very little notice", the IFS concluded. [...] "The rule has the merit of simplicity and transparency but is very inflexible and this could come at a cost," the IFS said. [...] "How he responds to any further unpleasant fiscal surprises may, more than anything we have seen so far, come to define his period as chancellor," said Paul Johnson, director of the IFS.
Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  austerity  budget2016  policy  error  policy  folly  aggregate  demand  Richard  Koo  IFS  George  Osborne  Career  Politicians 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Video: Willkommen in der Wirklichkeit - Reportage & Dokumentation - ARD | Das Erste
50/50 - fear/hoffnung. Fear: Verschuldung der Haushalte. Unkontrolliert. // Gerwerkschaft der Lehrer will 24.000 mehr Lehrer um dem Bedarf zurecht zukommen. Fluechtlingskinder, kinder von migranten, kinder von immigranten - 1ster und 2ter Generation. Kostet 1.3milliarden euro mehr fuer Bildung. Sind noch nicht mal drin die deutsch lehrer fuer adult refugees. Und die Integrationspolitik personal doch Haushalte zu besuchen; deutsch zuhause zu sprechen. // Schuldenbremse und Fiscal Pact do stop that. // Und 350.000 neuwohnungen muessen gebaut werden jaehrlich. die meisten in ballungsgebieten. Um refugees aus Notunterkuenften (dezentral, keine soziale integrierung) raus zu bekommen. // 'Erwartungen muessen heruntergeschraubt werden. Auf beiden seiten.'
refugee  crisis  Angela  Merkel  Germany  austerity  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  hartz-iv  ALG2  Aufstocker  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  Minijob  minimum  wage  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Agenda  2010  squeezed  middle  class  hartz-iv  working  poor  minimum  wage  ALG2  Aufstocker  Minijob  Leiharbeit  Zeitarbeit  poverty  public  sentiment  Integrationspolitik  Sozialpolitik 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Kommunalwahl in Hessen: Nichtwähler machen AfD stark - SPIEGEL ONLINE
[ symptom ] // Die Rechten sind auf dem Vormarsch. Ihr Erfolg ist auch eine Antwort der Gesellschaft auf eine Krankheit des Kapitalismus, die von den etablierten Parteien ignoriert wird. Und die hat mit den Flüchtlingen nichts zu tun. - bit.ly/1QBo7Ad //&! Banned TED Talk: Nick Hanauer "Rich people don't create jobs" - youtu.be/CKCvf8E7V1g - nobody can afford to buy new stuff. circle of life. customers and businesses. consumer needs to have disposable income //&! Nick Hanauer: Beware, fellow plutocrats, the pitchforks are coming - youtu.be/q2gO4DKVpa8
AfD  No  Representation  democracy  plutocracy  oligarchy  Super  Rich  1%  fairness  Rechtsruck  Rechtsextremismus  UKIP  Europe  Germany  UK  populism  Polarisation  fearmongering  Fear  voter  turnout  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  Sozialpolitik  Integrationspolitik  refugee  crisis  Agenda  2010  squeezed  middle  class  hartz-iv  working  poor  minimum  wage  ALG2  Aufstocker  Minijob  Leiharbeit  Zeitarbeit  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  revolving  door  NPD  Angela  Merkel  Gini  coefficient  Altersarmut  poverty  poverty  in  old  age  social  mobility  income  mobility  kalte  Progression  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  Wolfgang  Schäuble  GFC  recovery  job  security  insecurity  symptom  crony  capitalism  capitalism  exploitation  wage  stagnation  far-right  right-wing  trickle-down  economics  free  market  neoliberalism  neoliberal  neoconservatism  neoconservatives 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Ex-MPC member says rates will stay low until 2021 - BBC News
Blanchflower: Global economy "feels a little bit like 2008" Interest rates will likely fall further in Britain and remain at near record low levels until 2021, [...] Blanchflower described the backdrop to the committee's decision in March 2009 to cut rates to 0.5% as catastrophic. He said the MPC at the time had wished to avoid a death spiral. Britain was plunged into its deepest-ever recession in 2008 as confidence in banks collapsed and investment dried up. "We cut rates in November 2008 by 150 basis points (1.5%). It was clear that we should have cut by more but didn't because of the panic that it might have caused," he said. "It was absolutely clear that this (the financial crisis) was something we had not seen in a generation. We learned that the scale of the shock was enormous." [...] mortgage rates are 31% lower than before the crisis, while savers may have lost £106bn due to record low rates. //&! bbc.in/1YeqV87 &! bbc.in/1LGOxAf - central banks understated deflation pressure!
ZIRP  NIRP  QE  BOE  UK  global  economy  recovery  aggregate  demand  property  bubble  underinvestment  austerity  George  Osborne  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  mortgage  market  macroprudential  policy  Mark  Carney  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Help  to  Save  Right  to  Buy  Buy-to-Let  subprime  car  loan  credit  card  debt  zombie  consumer  zombie  corporations  zombie  banks  Richard  Koo  liquidity  trap  secular  stagnation  economic  history  GFC  household  debt  private  debt  consumer  debt  David  Blanchflower  Danny  Blanchflower  financial  repression  hunt  for  yield  asset  allocation  distortion  Super  Cycle  junk  bond  Gini  coefficient  deflationary  deflation  Taper  QT  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  Pact  Schuldenbremse  BIS  ECB  Fed  BOJ  credit  bubble  PBOC  hot-money 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Keiser Report: Sovietization of capitalism (E723) - YouTube
BIS 100% of private debt and finance sector larger than 3.9% of economy bad ... and siphoning off talent from more productive fields of work. And finance favours lending to property and land (low productivity). [...] financial products (derivatives) do not help economy. is just a financial product, fee collection. rentier! rent-seeking behaviour! fees fees fees. (JP Morgan, 89% of profits, see interview) [...] QE reflated asset prices/share prices! // In the second half, Max interviews David Graeber about his new book, The Utopia of Rules: On Technology, Stupidity and the Secret Joys of Bureaucracy.
private  debt  consumer  debt  household  debt  BIS  Wall  Street  recovery  zombie  banks  car  loan  credit  card  debt  student  loan  debt  student  loan  Bubble  student  debt  economic  history  GFC  secular  stagnation  UK  City  of  London  USA  investment  banking  retail  banking  BOE  Fed  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  property  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  productivity  output  gap  austerity  George  Osborne  dogma  ideology  constituency  Party  Funding  vested  interest  interest  groups  mortgage  market  Housing  Crisis  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Help  to  Save  Funding  for  Lending  Scheme  Right  to  Buy  Buy-to-Let  subsidies  subsidizing  derivatives  financial  product  rent-seeking  rentier  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  reflate  reflation  Mark  Carney  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Richard  Koo  book  David  Graeber  MervynKing 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
German Banks Told To Start Hoarding Cash | Zero Hedge
In order to generate artificial economic growth, the ECB wants banks to make as many loans as possible, no matter how stupid or idiotic. They believe that economic growth is simply a function of loans. The more money that’s loaned out, the more the economy will grow. This is the sort of theory that works really well in an economic textbook. But it doesn’t work so well in a history textbook. Cheap money encourages risky behavior. It gives banks an incentive to give ‘no money down’ loans to homeless people with no employment history. It creates bubbles (like the housing bubble from 10 years ago), and ultimately, financial panics (like the banking crisis from 8 years ago). Banks are supposed to be conservative, responsible managers of other people’s money. When central bank policies penalize that practice, bad things tend to happen.
Richard  Koo  aggregate  demand  austerity  fiscal  policy  Pact  Schuldenbremse  economic  history  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion  financial  repression  hunt  for  yield  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  Venture  Capital  Mutual  Fund  Private  Equity  reflate  reflation  recovery  GFC  debtoverhang  liquidity  trap  zombie  banks  deleveraging  Debt  Super  Cycle  secular  stagnation  consumer  wage  stagnation  squeezed  middle  class  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  marginal  propensity  to  consume  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  oligarchy  plutocracy  Super  Rich  1%  household  car  loan  credit  card  student  loan  student  loan  student  Bubble  generation  rent  OMT  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  working  poor  precarious  work  Precariat  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  Leiharbeit  Zeitarbeit  Agenda  2010  low  pay  low  income  TLTRO  LTRO  monetary  transmission  mechanism  velocity  of  money 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Economics as a pluralist liberal education - Royal Economic Society
Last year we published a report which provided evidence-based analysis of the shortcomings of economics education at the University of Manchester with a foreword by Andy Haldane, Chief Economist at the Bank of England (2014). In it we demonstrated that economics education at the University of Manchester fails to provide graduates with the skills and qualities the University publicly states it will provide. It has never been our argument that Manchester has special problems — on the contrary, our argument is that the problems we have identified are widespread across universities.1 We are now in the process of carrying out a curriculum review of economics education at universities across the UK.2 A key part of the Post-Crash Economic Society’s mission is to go beyond criticism and to put forward well thought out proposals for reform. //&! bit.ly/1QY8dlC - post-crash economics.
economics  economic  history  austerity  monetary  theory  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  GFC  economists  Chicago  School  free  market  self-regulation  dogma  ideology 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
David Graeber on a Fair Future Economy - YouTube
13:30 - BOE paper, austerity claims are bogus. the confidence fairy et al //&! The truth is out: money is just an IOU, and the banks are rolling in it David Graeber. The Bank of England's dose of honesty throws the theoretical basis for austerity out the window - bit.ly/1fWKC0s - What this means is that the real limit on the amount of money in circulation is not how much the central bank is willing to lend, but how much government, firms, and ordinary citizens, are willing to borrow. Government spending is the main driver in all this (and the paper does admit, if you read it carefully, that the central bank does fund the government after all). So there's no question of public spending "crowding out" private investment. It's exactly the opposite.
austerity  BOE  David  Graeber  George  Osborne  economic  history  Schuldenbremse  IMF  OECD  G20  recovery  aggregate  demand  IOU  Mark  Carney  underinvestment  productivity  output  gap  job  creation  monetary  theory  monetary  policy  monetary  system  Fiscal  Pact  Wolfgang  Schäuble  NIRP  ZIRP  QE  policy  book  Richard  Koo  secular  stagnation 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
'Do not come to Europe', Donald Tusk warns economic migrants | World news | The Guardian
'Do not come to Europe', Donald Tusk warns economic migrants. After meeting with Greek PM in Athens, president of European council issues warning to would-be migrants [...] Last year the EU and Turkey signed a deal in which Europe offered to spend €3bn on helping some of the 2.5 million refugees in Turkey in exchange for help in reducing numbers travelling to Europe and reviving Turkey’s long-stalled EU membership talks. But Europe has expressed impatience with the continued high number of people making the perilous crossing over the Aegean Sea. Turkey has been unimpressed with the many weeks it took Europe to find the money, which has yet to translate into projects on the ground. [...] EU authorities in Brussels echo Greece’s calls for a European-wide approach, but have proved powerless to stop unilateral decisions by member states. Since September 2015, eight countries in Europe’s passport-free Schengen zone have reintroduced border controls.
refugee  crisis  economic  refugee  European  Union  Turkey  Erdogan  Brussels  Leadership  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  austerity  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Sozialpolitik  Integrationspolitik  Greece  Germany  Schengen  Agreement 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Sturgeon's council tax changes do not go far enough, say critics | Politics | The Guardian
[ don't make a ruckus, sail through the election easier, thus not announce even a reform for next parliament ... ] Councils complain they are wrestling with £350m in cuts and laying off up to 15,000 staff after their overall budgets were cut by 3.5% last month. Investigations by the Guardian have established that councils have amassed record levels of debt and extra liabilities, with borrowing equal to £6,200 for each household – twice the level held by English councils. Debt and private finance liabilities cost councils £1.5bn a year. [...] [ not reforming a 25 year old system, based in prices from 1991! ]
Holyrood  council  tax  taxation  SNP  Nicola  Sturgeon  austerity  Fiscal  Framework  Scotland  Bill  The  Smith  Comission  Devolution  policy  folly  policy  error  short-termism  Career  Politicians 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Central bankers on the defensive as weird policy becomes even weirder | Business | The Guardian
Growth is tepid, productivity is poor, and inflation is too low: all is not going according to policymakers’ masterplans [...] As far as the OECD is concerned, monetary policy is being forced to take too much of the strain. Its chief economist Catherine Mann made the point that lasting recovery required three things: stimulative monetary policy; activist fiscal policy; and structural reform. The OECD wants the second of these ingredients to be added to the recipe in the form of increased spending on public infrastructure, something it says would more than pay for itself at a time when governments can borrow so cheaply.
monetary  policy  G20  fiscal  policy  monetary  stimulus  monetary  system  monetary  transmission  mechanism  liquidity  trap  UK  western  world  USA  Japan  Abenomics  George  Osborne  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Pact  Schuldenbremse  economic  history  recovery  secular  stagnation  productivity  underinvestment  MarioDraghi  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  ECB  BOE  Fed  Taper  deflationary  deflation  nominal  GDP  targeting  inflation  targeting  zombie  banks  MervynKing  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  Richard  Koo  Gini  coefficient  inequality  squeezed  middle  class  wage  stagnation  discretionary  spending  distortion  property  bubble  disposable  income  productive  investment  austerity  business  confidence  foreign  direct  investment  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  student  loan  debt  student  loan  policy  folly  policy  error  short-termism  Career  Politicians  neoliberalism  neoliberal  trickle-down  economics  self-regulation  City  of  London  investment  banking  retail  banking  OECD  IMF  KennethRogoff  hot-money  hunt  for  yield  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  reflate  reflation  financial  repression  New  Normal  trust 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Chinese central bank chief hints at more stimulus for slowing economy | Business | The Guardian
China still has more room and tools in its monetary policy to tackle the slowdown, People’s Bank governor Zhou Xiaochuan tells G20 finance meeting
China  credit  bubble  aggregate  demand  austerity  western  world  G20  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
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