asterisk2a + financial   293

Universities minister announces sale of student loan book | Education | The Guardian
[ corporatists/banks will neg lower price than actual/current value. Bc (1) inflation (2) no-repayments/delayed repayment/default (3) lower repayment rates in future than expected bc of econ. et al. Tories selling gov assets at firesale prices because of its fetish w the deficit caused by the bank bailout. ] But Hillman raised concerns about whether the sale would result in taxpayers getting value for money, saying: “We saw in Gordon Brown’s sale of the government’s gold and also in Vince Cable’s sale of Royal Mail how hard that is to achieve and how controversial it can be if the price paid comes to seem too low.

“Ministers will say the underlying legislation only allows sales that are good value for money, but it takes time to know if that has happened in practice.”
deficit  UK  government  debt  Privatisation  profit  maximisation  financial  services  consumer  student  loan  Tories  budget  Conservative  Party  nasty  George  Osborne  Austerity  underinvestment  asset  David  Cameron  Theresa  May  IMF  economic  history  recovery  Brexit 
february 2017 by asterisk2a
Brex and the City – Brexit podcast | Politics | The Guardian
BREXIT SENDS SIGNAL YOU ARE NOT WELCOME. // Financial Services 70bn for Treasury (Philip Hammond), not including the english law services, (international) consulting, and all the contractors, shops, consumption coming from good salaries. London is biggest exporter, if ther would be no London, trade deficit £ would be twice as big. // http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/pra/Pages/authorisations/passporting/default.aspx
Brexit  London  Philip  Hammond  current  account  deficit  trade  banking  financial  services  passporting  rights  BOE  FSA  regulation  self-regulation  GFC  economic  history  FDI  underinvestment  regulators  bank  bailout 
february 2017 by asterisk2a
Why so many Americans in the middle class have no savings - YouTube
Could you come up with $2,000 in 30 days if you had to? As many as 40 percent of American families can’t, despite the improving economy. //&! youtu.be/jguYzvHp6qE //&! The Secret Shame of Middle-Class Americans / Summit on the Economy
- making it month to month - youtu.be/VXkJ9bf1A8U //&! The Financial Crisis Is Forcing America To Redefine Their Values - youtu.be/Em02NgDczT4
economic  history  squeezed  middle  class  Precariat  recovery  wage  growth  income  inequality  western  world  secular  stagnation  financial  literacy  illiteracy  American  Dream 
august 2016 by asterisk2a
Keiser Report: Gold & World’s Debt Problems (Summer Solutions series E940) - YouTube
deflationary trap/liquidity trap - orthodox monetary policy w austerity = stagnation. & west is exporting deflation. // if it is good for consumers ... break up banks. // hedging is BS ... you double the system you double the risk. [...] banks are now bigger! ... ban most derivatives, and reintroduce glass stegall // Black-Schoeles - there is no such think as risk free rate and no such thing as the past reflect the future. risk is not equally distributed. [...] VAR is flawed. //
deflation  deflationary  NIRP  currency  war  currency  debasement  ZIRP  QE  Helicopter  Money  secular  stagnation  western  world  Abenomics  BOE  BOJ  Fed  ECB  economic  history  Richard  Koo  liquidity  trap  debt  overhang  balance  sheet  recession  consumer  debt  household  debt  mortgage  mortgage  market  mortgage  rates  distortion  hunt  for  yield  credit  boom  credit  bubble  PBOC  China  reflate  reflation  squeezed  middle  class  wage  growth  income  growth  income  distribution  income  disparity  working  poor  Precariat  Brexit  GFC  too  big  to  jail  productive  investment  underinvestment  austerity  history  productivity  gap  financial  instruments  investment  banking  global  economy  globalisation  globalization  derivatives  output  gap  productivity  recovery  neoliberal  neoliberalism  Chicago  School  neoclassical  economics  deregulation  Wall  Street  speculative  bubble  property  bubble  Beton  Gold  Betongold  stagnation  aggregate  demand  aggregate  demand  short-fall  too  big  to  bail  too  big  to  fail  TBTF  complexity  systemic  risk  systemrelevant  systemicrisk  systemrelevanz  zombie  bank  zombie  banks  non-performing  loan  leverage  hedge  Glass-Steagall  Black-Scholes  Equation 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Bancopalypse 2.0 - Some Disturbing Figures From The Looming Financial Crisis | Zero Hedge
Well-capitalized banks are supposed to have double-digit capital levels while making low risk investments.

Deutsche Bank, on the other hand, has a capital level of less that 3% (just like Lehman), and an incredibly risky asset base that boasts notional derivatives exposure of more than $70 trillion, roughly the size of world GDP.

Even the IMF has stated unequivocally that Deutsche Bank poses the greatest risk to global financial stability.

And the IMF would be right… except for all the other banks.

Because, meanwhile in Italy, nearly the entire Italian banking system is rapidly sliding into insolvency.

Italian banks are sitting on over 360 billion euros in bad loans right now and are in desperate need of a massive bailout.

IMF calculations show that Italian banks’ capital levels are among the lowest in the world, just ahead of Bangladesh.
Deutsche  Bank  derivatives  financial  instruments  BaFin  BuBa  European  Bank  Supervision  Italy  Spain  stresstest  PIGS  zombie  zombie  banks  non-performing  loan  capital  reserves  ECB  MarioDraghi  sovereign  debt  crisis  economic  history  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  banking  union  systemic  risk  systemicrisk  systemrelevant  systemrelevanz  TBTF  toobigtofail  too  big  to  bail  too  big  to  fail 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Smart Talk: Mark Blyth - Economic Austerity Cures Nothing
Karl Polanyi [...] limits of the market, what applies to family budget does not apply to state as whole or even global economy. [...] min 9 - UK can't go back. UK WILL HAVE HARD TIME TO REBALANCE ECONOMY! AWAY FROM FINANCE. IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE! If half the services and finance leaves london post-brexit. uk will be much much poorer down the line. [...] UNTIL THE 20% are hit, the talk will be that the other 80% (a part of society cut by class, age, ideology & identity = no collective) will have to adjust and is asked to just borrow more to afford your lifestyle (student debt)! FORECAST is for VOLATILITY, FRAGILITY, UNCERTAINTY, ... until the 20% gets hit. [...] min 14 people care about how they feel/emotions. not facts on whitepaper.
book  Mark  Blyth  austerity  City  of  London  financial  industry  Brexit 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
‘The City’, by Tony Norfield - Banking as seen from the belly of the beast
[ current account deficit only affordable (thus also living standards) bc of City of London ] This is a man who writes without irony about “financial parasitism”. In The City: London and the Global Power of Finance, he seeks to document just how the UK and the US extract their pound of flesh from the rest of the world by dominating the financial flows that make international trade possible.

He argues that London’s leading role in foreign exchange trading, derivatives and overseas lending is an extension of its imperialist past. Creating complex financial products and charging for them has enabled the sector to requisition for the UK and London — and, of course, bankers themselves — a disproportionate share of the benefits of global trade. [...] [ extracting value from around the world channelling it back ] &! Novara Media interview - bit.ly/297c6D3
Brexit  City  of  London  banking  business  investment  banking  current  account  deficit  GBP  derivatives  financial  product  financial  services  Global  Finance  British  Empire  Imperialism 
june 2016 by asterisk2a
Investigating Deutsche Bank’s €21 Trillion Derivative Casino In Wake Of Admission It Rigged Gold And Silver
Deutsche Bank has over €515 billion in “positive derivative values” in comparison to €496 billion in “negative derivative values”.
Deutsche  Bank  investment  banking  derivatives  Financial  Stability  Board  European  Bank  Supervision  ECB  too  big  to  fail  too  big  to  bail  TBTF  OTC  Greed 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
What Happens Next (In Europe)?
the odds of another crisis are higher than a rally to fresh records. [...]
“The 2009-2015 rally originated from two main drivers: a massive stimulus, and credit expansion in China,” said Goette, who’s a partner at his firm in Zug, Switzerland and helps oversee 1 billion Swiss francs ($1 billion).

“European earnings have not followed suit so far. Skepticism regarding central-bank operations has started to emerge.”
ECB  Brussels  recovery  reflate  reflation  China  credit  bubble  Germany  PIGS  zombie  banks  European  Bank  Supervision  European  Economic  Area  European  Election  2014  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  MarioDraghi  OMT  LTRO  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  sovereign  debt  crisis  France  Brexit  Grexit  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  history  underinvestment  Richard  Koo  Yanis  Varoufakis  liquidity  trap  zombie  corporations  youth  unemployment  demographic  bubble  OAP  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  liberal  reform  Precariat  precarious  employment  low  pay  low  income  Minijob  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  1  Euro  Job  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  unemployment  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  union  union  Rechtsruck  Bundesbank  fault  lines  shareholder  capitalism  bailout  GFC  2016  PBOC  Exportweltmeister  zombie  Financial  Stability  Board  crony  capitalism  Deutsche  Bank  infrastructure  investment  competitiveness  Beton  Gold  Betongold  asset  allocation  Super  Rich  1%  oligarchy  plutocracy  democracy  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  profit  maximization  Russia  Crimea  Ukraine  U 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
The Fed Sends A Frightening Letter To JPMorgan, Corporate Media Yawns
At the top of page 11, the Federal regulators reveal that they have “identified a deficiency” in JPMorgan’s wind-down plan which if not properly addressed could “pose serious adverse effects to the financial stability of the United States.” Why didn’t JPMorgan’s Board of Directors or its legions of lawyers catch this?

It’s important to parse the phrasing of that sentence. The Federal regulators didn’t say JPMorgan could pose a threat to its shareholders or Wall Street or the markets. It said the potential threat was to “the financial stability of the United States.” [...] “…the default of a bank with a higher connectivity index would have a greater impact on the rest of the banking system because its shortfall would spill over onto other financial institutions, creating a cascade that could lead to further defaults. High leverage,
corporate  media  media  conglomerate  too  big  to  bail  too  big  to  fail  too  big  to  jail  TBTF  jpmorgan  jpmorganchase  USA  GFC  recovery  liquidity  trap  repo  liquidity  squeeze  economic  history  Financial  Stability  Board  FinancialCrisisInquiryCommission  crisis  crony  capitalism  Greed  shareholder  capitalism  profit  maximisation  profit  maximization  investment  banking  retail  banking  leverage  CDS  engineering  CDO  MBS  subprime  FDIC  complexity  Fed  Janet  Yellen  Wall  Street  reflate  reflation  derivatives  credit  bubble 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Yanis Varoufakis: »MONEY AND POWER«, Public Lecture 2015-11-04
3rd bailout loan $0 went to Greece. All to pay off banks. extend & pretend. 1st: ~90% went to the banks. [...] ESM does not exist [...] banking union plan not progressing at all. //&! Yanis Varoufakis @Oxford Union - youtu.be/zWB6lY2GBjQ - ACADEMIA LACKS ANTI-ESTABLISHMENT ATTITUDE! Because going against the grain has become anti-reputation. [...] it's all about expectations, predictions about where S&P500 will be in 12 months. [...] regression between theory and reality. economists have never been humble. [ see Wall Street cottage factory of analysis and prediction shops ] [...] if you torture the data and model enough it will confess. [< EU monetary union based on theory ] [...] [34:00] Brussels is technically incompetent and will not reform itself. I am a libertarian marxist. Schumpeter. true creative destruction. great wealth currently created - all going to 1%. = not humanitarian. not democratic. [...] 41:00 Q&A, <48:50> gov budget not same as household budget; George Osborne.
bank  crisis  banking  crisis  European  Election  2014  sovereign  debt  crisis  austerity  Grexit  Yanis  Varoufakis  Tsipras  Syriza  Brussels  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  GFC  Great  Depression  credit  crisis  credit  creation  Super  Cycle  debt  overhang  liquidity  trap  ECB  Troika  MarioDraghi  economic  history  Richard  Koo  leverage  recovery  deflation  deflationary  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Germany  underinvestment  Super  Rich  reflate  reflation  Generationengerechtigkeit  1%  oligarchy  plutocracy  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  balance  sheet  recession  Euro  Gold  Standard  ESM  IMF  OECD  banking  union  EEA  Economics  Academia  Academics  Economists  Scholars  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  income  distribution  inequality  Gini  coefficient  Gesellschaft  society  Yanis  Varoufakis  financial  crisis  economic  model  econometrics  social  theory  monetary  union  Chicago  School  poverty  economic  history  austerity  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  UK  nasty  party  Richard  Koo  macroeconomics  macroeconomic  policy  macroprudential  policy  aggregate  demand  Capital  Expenditure  income  tax  receipts  deflation  deflationary  Universal  Basic  class  warfare 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Tyler Cowen: "The Great Stagnation", Michael Vassar & Cowen Debate at Singularity Summit 2011
gains are harder to come by! low hanging fruit gone. [...] VISION IS NEEDED TO GET THE JOB DONE.
secular  stagnation  western  world  underinvestment  R&D  R&D  innovation  Innovators  Dilemma  rentier  rent-seeking  oligopol  oligopoly  winner  take  all  babyboomers  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  austerity  triple-lock  pension  pension  obligation  recovery  Super  Rich  1%  plutocracy  oligarchy  No  Representation  lobby  Career  Politicians  OAP  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  sick  population  health  crisis  economic  damage  climate  crisis  climate  change  global  warming  productivity  gap  output  gap  GDP  measurement  GNP  nominal  GDP  targeting  inflation  targeting  BRIC  creative  destruction  Mobile  Debt  Super  Cycle  servitude  servicing  service  income  tax  receipts  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Moore's  Law  COP21  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  OECD  IMF  crony  capitalism  Privileged  Establishment  shareholder  capitalism  profit  maximisation  profit  maximization  shareholder  value  revolving  door  Wall  Street  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  disposable  income  trickle-down  economics  neoliberal  neoliberalism  discretionary  spending  renewable  energy  infrastructure  investment  Smart  Grid  AI  artificial  intelligence  augmented  intelligence  Autonomous  Cars  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  New  stagnation 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Piketty: EU should welcome one million immigrants a year
"The European Union has the capacity to absorb a large flow of migrants, one million per year in terms of inflow net of outflow," he said.
"This is exactly what we had between 2000 and 2010 and this was working in the sense that unemployment was being reduced.
"The problem is - with the austerity policies and with the recession - now we are in a situation where it's very difficult in particular with southern Europe, with the terrible economic situation that we have created there in particular." [...] The population of the EU has only risen by 0.2% a year since 1995, he argues, compared to 1.2% for the world's population over the same period.
According to Eurostat, the official statistical arm of the European Commission, a total of 3.4 million people came to the EU during 2013. Some 2.8 million left, leaving a net immigration figure of around 600,000. [S]low growth [...] exacerbated not just by a lack of immigration but also by austerity policies aimed at reducing public expenditure. [EU in recession 2011 forward]
immigration  migration  refugee  crisis  Integrationspolitik  Sozialpolitik  youth  unemployment  austerity  GFC  secular  stagnation  Richard  Koo  ageing  population  demographic  bubble  social  safety  net  pension  obligation  economic  history  welfare  state  Gini  coefficient  Super  Rich  inequality  social  mobility  income  mobility  plutocracy  oligarchy  Precariat  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  hartz-iv  Aufstocker  neoliberal  neoliberalism  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  ALG2  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  Minijob  part-time  employment  Contractor  self-employment  Zero  Hour  Contract  underinvestment  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  Robert  Skidelsky  bank  bailout  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  Leadership  Wall  Street  shareholder  capitalism  crony  capitalism  lobby  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  democracy  European  Union  UK  Elizabeth  Warren  Paul  Krugman  Robert  Reich  Joseph  Stiglitz  carbon  tax  policy  folly  policy  error  right-wing  far-right  Rechtsruck  recovery  nominal  GDP  targeting  inflation  targeting  finite  resources  resource  depletion  GNP  GDP  GDP  measurement  profit  maximisation  profit  shareholder  policy  income  inequality  income 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Ex-MPC member says rates will stay low until 2021 - BBC News
Blanchflower: Global economy "feels a little bit like 2008" Interest rates will likely fall further in Britain and remain at near record low levels until 2021, [...] Blanchflower described the backdrop to the committee's decision in March 2009 to cut rates to 0.5% as catastrophic. He said the MPC at the time had wished to avoid a death spiral. Britain was plunged into its deepest-ever recession in 2008 as confidence in banks collapsed and investment dried up. "We cut rates in November 2008 by 150 basis points (1.5%). It was clear that we should have cut by more but didn't because of the panic that it might have caused," he said. "It was absolutely clear that this (the financial crisis) was something we had not seen in a generation. We learned that the scale of the shock was enormous." [...] mortgage rates are 31% lower than before the crisis, while savers may have lost £106bn due to record low rates. //&! bbc.in/1YeqV87 &! bbc.in/1LGOxAf - central banks understated deflation pressure!
ZIRP  NIRP  QE  BOE  UK  global  economy  recovery  aggregate  demand  property  bubble  underinvestment  austerity  George  Osborne  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  mortgage  market  macroprudential  policy  Mark  Carney  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Help  to  Save  Right  to  Buy  Buy-to-Let  subprime  car  loan  credit  card  debt  zombie  consumer  zombie  corporations  zombie  banks  Richard  Koo  liquidity  trap  secular  stagnation  economic  history  GFC  household  debt  private  debt  consumer  debt  David  Blanchflower  Danny  Blanchflower  financial  repression  hunt  for  yield  asset  allocation  distortion  Super  Cycle  junk  bond  Gini  coefficient  deflationary  deflation  Taper  QT  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  Pact  Schuldenbremse  BIS  ECB  Fed  BOJ  credit  bubble  PBOC  hot-money 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Keiser Report: Sovietization of capitalism (E723) - YouTube
BIS 100% of private debt and finance sector larger than 3.9% of economy bad ... and siphoning off talent from more productive fields of work. And finance favours lending to property and land (low productivity). [...] financial products (derivatives) do not help economy. is just a financial product, fee collection. rentier! rent-seeking behaviour! fees fees fees. (JP Morgan, 89% of profits, see interview) [...] QE reflated asset prices/share prices! // In the second half, Max interviews David Graeber about his new book, The Utopia of Rules: On Technology, Stupidity and the Secret Joys of Bureaucracy.
private  debt  consumer  debt  household  debt  BIS  Wall  Street  recovery  zombie  banks  car  loan  credit  card  debt  student  loan  debt  student  loan  Bubble  student  debt  economic  history  GFC  secular  stagnation  UK  City  of  London  USA  investment  banking  retail  banking  BOE  Fed  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  property  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  productivity  output  gap  austerity  George  Osborne  dogma  ideology  constituency  Party  Funding  vested  interest  interest  groups  mortgage  market  Housing  Crisis  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Help  to  Save  Funding  for  Lending  Scheme  Right  to  Buy  Buy-to-Let  subsidies  subsidizing  derivatives  financial  product  rent-seeking  rentier  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  reflate  reflation  Mark  Carney  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Richard  Koo  book  David  Graeber  MervynKing 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
German Banks Told To Start Hoarding Cash | Zero Hedge
In order to generate artificial economic growth, the ECB wants banks to make as many loans as possible, no matter how stupid or idiotic. They believe that economic growth is simply a function of loans. The more money that’s loaned out, the more the economy will grow. This is the sort of theory that works really well in an economic textbook. But it doesn’t work so well in a history textbook. Cheap money encourages risky behavior. It gives banks an incentive to give ‘no money down’ loans to homeless people with no employment history. It creates bubbles (like the housing bubble from 10 years ago), and ultimately, financial panics (like the banking crisis from 8 years ago). Banks are supposed to be conservative, responsible managers of other people’s money. When central bank policies penalize that practice, bad things tend to happen.
Richard  Koo  aggregate  demand  austerity  fiscal  policy  Pact  Schuldenbremse  economic  history  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion  financial  repression  hunt  for  yield  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  Venture  Capital  Mutual  Fund  Private  Equity  reflate  reflation  recovery  GFC  debtoverhang  liquidity  trap  zombie  banks  deleveraging  Debt  Super  Cycle  secular  stagnation  consumer  wage  stagnation  squeezed  middle  class  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  marginal  propensity  to  consume  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  oligarchy  plutocracy  Super  Rich  1%  household  car  loan  credit  card  student  loan  student  loan  student  Bubble  generation  rent  OMT  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  working  poor  precarious  work  Precariat  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  Leiharbeit  Zeitarbeit  Agenda  2010  low  pay  low  income  TLTRO  LTRO  monetary  transmission  mechanism  velocity  of  money 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Money: The Too Big to Fail Edition by Panoply Media
Neil Irwin, author of The Alchemists: Three Central Bankers and a World on Fire, joins hosts Felix Salmon of Fusion, Cathy O’Neil of mathbabe.org, and Slate’s Moneybox columnist Jordan Weissmann. This week is all about Neel Kashkari of the Minneapolis Fed's new solution for our too-big-to-fail banks. //!& breaking up has complexity ... financial-industrial complex! //
too  big  to  bail  toobigtofail  TBTF  retail  banking  investment  banking  VAR  discounted  risk  systemicrisk  discounting  risk  BIS  centralbanks  liquidity  trap  GFC  financial  product  recovery  TARP  UK  USA  Europe  sovereign  debt  crisis  PIGS  economic  history  book  monopsony  oligopoly  oligopol  repo  interbank  lending  complexity  financial-industrial  complex  leverage  derivatives 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Central bankers on the defensive as weird policy becomes even weirder | Business | The Guardian
Growth is tepid, productivity is poor, and inflation is too low: all is not going according to policymakers’ masterplans [...] As far as the OECD is concerned, monetary policy is being forced to take too much of the strain. Its chief economist Catherine Mann made the point that lasting recovery required three things: stimulative monetary policy; activist fiscal policy; and structural reform. The OECD wants the second of these ingredients to be added to the recipe in the form of increased spending on public infrastructure, something it says would more than pay for itself at a time when governments can borrow so cheaply.
monetary  policy  G20  fiscal  policy  monetary  stimulus  monetary  system  monetary  transmission  mechanism  liquidity  trap  UK  western  world  USA  Japan  Abenomics  George  Osborne  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Pact  Schuldenbremse  economic  history  recovery  secular  stagnation  productivity  underinvestment  MarioDraghi  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  ECB  BOE  Fed  Taper  deflationary  deflation  nominal  GDP  targeting  inflation  targeting  zombie  banks  MervynKing  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  Richard  Koo  Gini  coefficient  inequality  squeezed  middle  class  wage  stagnation  discretionary  spending  distortion  property  bubble  disposable  income  productive  investment  austerity  business  confidence  foreign  direct  investment  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  student  loan  debt  student  loan  policy  folly  policy  error  short-termism  Career  Politicians  neoliberalism  neoliberal  trickle-down  economics  self-regulation  City  of  London  investment  banking  retail  banking  OECD  IMF  KennethRogoff  hot-money  hunt  for  yield  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  reflate  reflation  financial  repression  New  Normal  trust 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Mervyn King: new financial crisis is 'certain' without reform of banks | Business | The Guardian
The former Bank of England governor says in his new book that imbalances in the global economy makes a crash inevitable [...] GFC was the fault of the financial system, not individual greedy bankers, in his new book, The End Of Alchemy: Money, Banking And The Future Of The Global Economy [...] “Without reform of the financial system, another crisis is certain, and the failure ... to tackle the disequilibrium in the world economy makes it likely that it will come sooner rather than later,” Lord King wrote. [...] global central banks were caught in a “prisoner’s dilemma” - unable to raise interest rates for fear of stifling the economic recovery, the newspaper reported. [... blame] broken financial system. [...] failure of a system, and the ideas that underpinned it, [...] “Only a fundamental rethink of how we, as a society, organise our system of money and banking will prevent a repetition //&! dailym.ai/21tPG5y
bank  crisis  banking  crisis  investment  banking  self-regulation  retail  banking  Greed  financial  product  regulation  regulators  City  of  London  George  Osborne  Mark  Carney  macroprudential  policy  property  bubble  austerity  liquidity  trap  secular  stagnation  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  economic  history  GFC  neoliberalism  neoliberal  trickle-down  economics  free  market  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  faultlines  hot-money  hunt  for  yield  distortion  financial  repression  emerging  middle  class  emerging  market  Frontier  Markets  BRIC  China  Brazil  credit  bubble  2016  reflate  reflation  junk  bond  revolving  debt  household  debt  mortgage  market  consumer  debt  UK  IMF  OECD  credit  card  debt  car  loan  BOE  MervynKing  ECB  Fed  Europe  deflationary  deflation  Gini  coefficient  inequality  MarioDraghi  Taper  QT  bonuses  bonus  global  imbalances  structural  imbalance  Career  Politicians  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  revolving  door  New  Normal  speculative  bubbles  Richard  Koo  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Talia Jane may have deceived us, but her point stands
ind.pn/1Qc5SxH bit.ly/1KJQjAE bit.ly/1SV92vy bit.ly/1oBBh5k [ 2nd jobs bc first does only cover bills ] Even if Talia was the most frugal millennial in all the land, she’d still be living beyond her means. In the Bay Area, that is shockingly easy to do, thanks in part to companies like her former employer that have driven rents sky-high with no ceiling in sight. Income inequality is a huge problem in this country, especially in the Bay Area. Yelp’s answer to that, by the way, appears to be to just move the lower wage jobs to Phoenix, rather than pay the employees it has in San Francisco more. Charming. //&! https://twitter.com/hankgreen/status/702488056645992449 - women in the workplace ... //&! https://twitter.com/polotek/status/702025499782950912 bootstap yourself
Precariat  working  poor  San  Francisco  Silicon  Valley  Yelp!  customer  service  low  pay  low  income  income  distribution  tax  credit  housing  benefit  commuting  minimum  wage  living  wage  discretionary  spending  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  disposable  income  Millennials  career  ladder  Sector  Jobs  job  creation  financial  literacy  career  advice 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Inflation: Vermögenspreise stiegen 2015 im Rekordtempo - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Wohl dem, der Immobilien, Anteile an Familienfirmen oder Sammlerobjekte besitzt. Die Preise für Vermögenswerte sind 2015 so stark gestiegen wie kaum je zuvor. Schlechter sieht es für Normalsparer aus.
financial  repression  distortion  hot-money  Betongold  Beton  Gold  Germany  speculative  speculation  asset  allocation  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  income  distribution  hunt  for  yield  property  bubble  UK  foreign  direct  investment  credit  bubble  reflate  reflation  monetary  policy  austerity  fiscal  policy  secular  stagnation  demographic  bubble  emerging  middle  class  equity  bubble  speculative  bubbles  economic  history 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
This Letting Agent Admits The Housing Shortage Is Good News For Landlords - BuzzFeed News
[ Lord Adair Turner book & Richard Koo; banks tend 2 lend 2 property & land rather than productivity/businesses. risk averse, if the family cant pay the mortgage any more, than at least u have not lost all the money! less risky! Its also partly rentier behaviour of banks. // also BOE has to be concerned about future disposable income; rent & utilities eating up 50%-75% of income thus less for consumption! ] “Landlords’ balance sheets are looking healthier than at any point since 2014, and property investors are looking at an excellent rate of return from their portfolios.” Gill warned that changes to stamp duty announced in chancellor George Osborne’s Autumn Statement and due to take effect on 1 April – people selling buy-to-let investments will pay an extra 3% – were bad news for landlords. But overall, the “consistent and developing lack of housing for across all tenures, for a spiralling population” meant the level of demand for rental properties would not reduce, he said.
property  bubble  speculative  bubbles  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  macroprudential  policy  Generationengerechtigkeit  generation  rent  Housing  Crisis  social  affordable  distortion  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  aggregate  demand  Right  to  Buy  Buy-to-Let  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Help  to  Save  policy  folly  policy  error  consumer  debt  household  debt  budget  deficit  recovery  mortgage  market  credit  bubble  GFC  bank  bailout  BOE  zombie  banks  rentier  rent-seeking  Richard  Koo  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  zombie  consumer  industrial  policy  economic  history  Mark  Carney  financial  repression  behavioral  finance  behavioral  economics  herding  herd  hunt  for  yield  leverage  margin  trading  equity  bubble  Gini  coefficient  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  VAR  CDO  CDS  risk  aversion  squeezed  middle  class  secular  stagnation  inequality  UK  generational  contract  lost  generation  constituency  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  David  Cameron  George  Osborne  general  election  2015  general  election  2020  fiscal  policy  austerity  monetary  policy  liquidity  trap 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Die Macht der Finanzkonzerne - Wie Blackrock mittels Geld die Welt regiert - YouTube
extraction of fat. no skin in the game. // Privatisation of housing stock - social and affordable, anglo saxon capitalism style; profit maximisation, dividends. // after Goldman Sachs the new vampiresquid // no skin in game; get money for speculation from pension funds, other investors, mutual funds. << that is the system! // nur wer geld hat, kann es vermehren. // nearly no governance, no guidelines regarding sustainability, ethics, transparency, morals. // no regulation = big profit and exploitation, corruption, bribery.
BlackRock  MBO  LBO  M&A  Private  Equity  financial  product  Hedge  Fund  Black  Swan  blackswan  Nassim  Taleb  self-regulation  Mutual  Fund  Venture  Capital  risk  governance  corporate  governance  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  activist  investor  Main  Street  accountability  transparency  mainstreet  arbitrage  squeezed  middle  class  wage  stagnation  bonuses  bonus  speculation  revolving  door  regulation  regulators  Career  Politicians  CEO  pay  dividends  Heuschrecken  ROI  speculative  sustainability  tax  code  ethics  corporate  scandal  accounting  scandal  oligarchy  plutocracy  Super  Rich  1%  GFC  sovereign  debt  crisis 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Matt Taibbi: Mitt Romney and the Looting of America (1/2) - YouTube
https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heuschreckendebatte // companies turned into financial instruments. // fictionalisation of economy // >> money spend (debt) on hostile takeover/LBO/MBO/M&A are tax deductible! << = invest in debt, rather than equity! & carried interest is only taxed at 15% max. still can reduce it w deductions xyz. // !!! NO SKIN IN THE GAME !!! Nassim Taleb //
Mitt  Romney  risk  capital  Venture  LBO  MBO  Wall  Street  M&A  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  multinational  conglomerate  Mafia  Private  Equity  oligarchy  plutocracy  Super  Rich  1%  activist  investor  share  buyback  Hedge  Fund  Heuschrecken  bankruptcy  public  sentiment  public  awareness  creative  destruction  financial  product  self-regulation  regulation  regulators  BlackRock  Bain  CEO  pay  bonuses  bonus  squeezed  middle  class  Blackstone  dividends  mainstream  Main  Street  hostile  takeover  USA  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  tax  code  Nassim  Taleb  vested  interest  interest  groups  Career  Politicians 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Politicking: Matt Taibbi on America's 'Injustice System' - YouTube
worship culture of success. [...] jail is for poor people. [...] securities fraud go jail free w fine, and do benefit/welfare fraud, go straight to jail! // For Profit Bail System - on YouTube Vice Channel. //&! Matt Taibbi, "The Divide" - youtu.be/k4CohXkdR0w //&! Matt Taibbi: Minding the Wealth Gap - youtu.be/KiRe1PK3zkM //&! Too Big To Fail, Too Big To Jail: Matt Taibbi, Bernie Sanders Town Hall 2013 - youtu.be/d-nh8DYJvlM //&! Matt Taibbi: The Conspiracy To Destroy Our Pensions - youtu.be/ZIDfyfXDGME //&! Matt Taibbi explores US criminal injustice with Bill Maher - youtu.be/uS9LHBPTM7A //&! The Divide: American Injustice in the Age of the Wealth Gap (w/ Matt Taibbi) - youtu.be/iFl-o7qJHaY
white-collar  crime  mandatory  minimum  sentences  Beschaffungskriminalität  post-racial  America  racial  profiling  economic  justice  injustice  System  Law  &  Career  Politicians  War  on  Drugs  Precariat  deprivation  poverty  trap  USA  Gini  coefficient  prison–industrial  complex  inequality  meritocracy  meritocratic  American  Dream  education  policy  social  mobility  income  mobility  health  inequality  mental  health  mental  illness  chronic  stress  poverty  book  compassion  empathy  Greed  welfare  state  stigma  plutocracy  oligarchy  Super  Rich  1%  Fraud  securities-fraud  social  safety  net  Food  Stamps  Food  Bank  public  sentiment  prejudice  bias  downward  mobility  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  neoconservatism  neoconservatives  financial  accounting  scandal  corporate  scandal  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  interest  groups  vested  interest  too  big  to  jail  money  laundering  bribery  corruption  DOJ  SEC  presidency  barackobama  GFC  financial  product  economic  history  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  wage  stagnation  libor  rigging  scandal 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
What Really Caused the Crisis and What to Do About It - YouTube
"There are not perfect markets, and there is no perfect planner. [...] we will never arrive at perfect solutions. [...] market will never allocate perfectly ... [...] market will always tend to lend to property and land, and less into productive means (businesses = risk of 100 loss, land or property ... you have a loss when you sell it. << China, UK ) [...] not all credit is good credit. [...] need for macroprudential policy to dampen bubbles bc rate hikes could dampen normal non-speculative area of economy. ie loan to value limits [...] interest rate setting is blunt hammer that people though is the magic wand along the line of self-regulation, free market, neoliberalism and trickle-down [...] GFC can be traced back to the 60-70's - macroecon + micro with absurd assumptions (ie rational expectations, equilibriums, no bubbles) & math & pure theoretical base (no empirical analysis ie of what banks really do ie greed) = makes job of economist as policy advisor real easy.
bank  crisis  JohnMaynardKeynes  keynes  Keynesianism  book  Richard  Koo  aggregate  demand  austerity  liquidity  trap  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  debtoverhang  GFC  recovery  secular  stagnation  western  world  dogma  ideology  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  monetary  policy  monetary  theory  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  budget  deficit  economic  history  credit  bubble  output  gap  productivity  inflation  targeting  nominal  GDP  targeting  asset  allocation  economics  investment  banking  zombie  banks  retail  banking  financial  product  CDS  CDO  hunt  for  yield  VAR  risk  aversion  deflationary  deflation  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  Glass-Steagall  self-regulation  regulators  regulation  leverage  margin  trading  property  bubble  arbitrage  speculative  bubbles  asset  bubble  UK  USA  Europe  ECB  Fed  BOE  zombie  consumer  squeezed  middle  class  zombie  corporations  NPL  junk  bond  realestate  macroprudential  policy  mortgage  market  equilibrium  disequilibrium  Economist  economists  Adair  Turner  hayek 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Help-to-buy loan scheme nets Treasury £213m in paper profit | Money | The Guardian
[ gov is not co-owner of private property! Make away with Nurse Bursaries and other gov support for education. But support the property price! by keeping supply always lower than demand. and use policy to increase demand w subsidies! where to put their savings! & subsidy for builders ] Rising house prices across much of England mean a government scheme to help buyers of newbuild property may have made more than £200m for the Treasury in its first two-and-a-half years. The help-to-buy equity loan scheme gives buyers an interest-free loan for five years in return for a percentage stake in their property. When the home is sold, the buyer returns the same percentage of the sale price, meaning that any fall or rise in house prices affects the return. Analysis by property firm Hometrack and shared with the Guardian suggests that a surge in house prices in some areas means the total value of homes bought through the scheme since its launch in April 2013 has increased by more than £1bn.
property  bubble  UK  speculative  bubbles  Housing  Crisis  affordable  social  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Right  to  Buy  Buy-to-Let  Help  to  Save  budget  deficit  austerity  constituency  Party  Funding  babyboomers  BOE  macroprudential  policy  mortgage  market  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  hunt  for  yield  distortion  financial  repression  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  Generationengerechtigkeit  generation  rent  fairness  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  NPL  subprime  Payday  Loans  car  loan  student  debt  student  loan  debt  student  loan  Tories  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  policy  error  policy  folly  Conservative  Party  nasty  short-termism  voter  turnout  disenfranchise  disenfranchised  David  Cameron  George  Osborne  underinvestment  infrastructure  investment  productive  investment  recovery  Richard  Koo  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  debtoverhang  zombie  consumer  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  secular  stagnation  Privatisation  trickle-down  economics  dogma  ideology  GFC  bank  bailout  subsidies  subsidizing  corporate  welfare 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Calls for 'homegrown talent' to take over as next Ofsted chief | Education | The Guardian
Concerns raised over reports that the education secretary wants to appoint an American with a record of resisting unions to replace Sir Michael Wilshaw [...] Morgan is reportedly looking overseas to replace Michael Wilshaw, who will stand down in December. According to the Sunday Times, she is keen to recruit an outsider who has defeated union resistance to education changes abroad in order to raise school standards in the UK. [...] we’ve seen year after year, ministers are failing to recruit and retain enough teachers, threatening our future economic success and the prospects of young people in the global education race.” [...] Tensions between state school leaders and Ofsted have risen under Wilshaw’s reign, in part because of the threat of struggling schools being turned into academies after receiving critical inspections.
Nicky  Morgan  education  policy  Workers  Union  Trade  Union  austerity  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  inequality  deprivation  UK  staff  shortage  staff  morale  child  poverty  food  poverty  poverty  trap  income  inequality  David  Cameron  George  Osborne  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  child  care  tax  credit  poverty  apprenticeships  competitiveness  STEM  financial  literacy  literacy  PISA  Privatisation  Ofsted  CQC 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Beware the Minuses of Negative Interest Rates
Whether sub-zero interest rates actually work is open to debate, however. So says Richard Koo, the chief economist of the Nomura Research Institute. “In my view,” he writes, “the adoption of negative interest rates is an act of desperation born out of despair over the inability of quantitative easing and inflation targeting to produce the desired results.” The failure of the BOJ and the ECB to meet their inflation and growth goals is shared by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England. None of these central banks understand that their textbook solutions don’t fit the real economy, Koo asserts. [...] And on a more practical level, why corporations sit on record hoards of cash (taxes aside). [<< macro prudential policy ] //&! “When no one is borrowing money, monetary policy is largely useless.” [...] Keynes was right and (Milton) Freidman was wrong. - bit.ly/1Kl07Ri & There is no Confidence Fairy //&! fam.ag/1ogOOiM & bit.ly/1LpJL4W & bit.ly/1VgSjAB & bit.ly/214Icm3 & bit.ly/1Kl228n
secular  stagnation  emerging  middle  class  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  western  world  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion  liquidity  trap  New  Normal  financial  repression  GFC  economic  history  Richard  Koo  consumer  debt  squeezed  middle  class  household  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  student  loan  debt  student  loan  Super  Cycle  debt  servitude  mortgage  market  asset  bubble  speculative  bubbles  hunt  for  yield  hot-money  equity  bubble  bond  bubble  property  bubble  credit  bubble  BRIC  China  student  debt  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  Frontier  Markets  emerging  market  UK  USA  Europe  Japan  Abenomics  Niall  Ferguson  Paul  Krugman  Joseph  Stiglitz  Gini  coefficient  inequality  income  inequality  income  distribution  income  mobility  wage  stagnation  income  growth  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  underinvestment  austerity  productivity  output  gap  public  investment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  business  investment  STEM  R&D  competitiveness  Robert  Reich  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  debtoverhang  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  macroprudential  policy  miltonfriedman  JohnMaynardKeynes  keynes  Keynesianism  Fiscal  Pact  policy  monetary  policy  Schuldenbremse  unconventional  monetary  policy  QT  Taper  money  supply  money  ve 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Interview With Mohamed El-Erian: Masters in Business (Audio) by Bloomberg View
7:50 New Normal is secular stagnation and decades-long NIRP, ZIRP, QE distortion. structural, secular. no cyclical recovery. but long secular challenges; prolonged period of low growth. // also inequality! // currently policy makers subsidise debtors, subsidise creditors - financial repression. promote risk taking. // richard koo would not agree with el-erian's notion that gov balance sheets are same as household balance sheets. // 12:10 demographic issue! political. and economic elements in it of secular stagnation. [...] borrowing growth // rise of far-right! // corps sitting on cash // inequality! // bc of lived in artificial world of borrowed growth, created massive divergence. // min 15:30 richard koo would not agree that central banks are the only game in town. central banks have complained abt austerity gov. // min 20 - Feds intellectually inflexible. comfort zone. self-regulation & great moderation. // reflation didnt work bc no fixed fundamentals // perfect storm! lost trust.
New  Normal  financial  repression  NIRP  ZIRP  QE  economic  history  secular  stagnation  GFC  credit  bubble  book  western  world  emerging  middle  class  debtoverhang  Richard  Koo  deleveraging  debt  servitude  Super  Cycle  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  KennethRogoff  carmenreinhart  sovereign  debt  crisis  austerity  Paul  Krugman  Gini  coefficient  inequality  Joseph  Stiglitz  distortion  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  monetary  transmission  mechanism  liquidity  trap  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  theory  monetary  system  retirement  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  far-right  Rechtsextremismus  Rechtsruck  zombie  consumer  zombie  corporations  zombie  banks  Pact  Schuldenbremse  tax  avoidance  tax  evasion  inflation  targeting  inflation  expectation  nominal  GDP  targeting  GDP  reflate  reflation  trust  trustagent  distrust  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  public  sentiment  public  perception  bank  bailout  Japan  Abenomics  AIIB  IMF  China  BRIC  self-regulation  Great  Moderation 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Vickers warns over weaker bank safety buffers - BBC News
[ no skin in the game ] The man charged with leading an inquiry into the future safety of Britain's banks has said Bank of England plans are not strong enough. Sir John Vickers, who led the Independent Commission on Banking (ICB) said: "The Bank of England proposal is less strong than what the ICB recommended." In a BBC interview, he added "I don't think the ICB overdid it." The Bank of England declined to comment. Specifically, it is the plans to make sure that banks have enough capital that Sir John has questioned. Capital is considered vital to a bank's safety, as it serves to protect it from sudden losses. It comes in many forms, but the most common is funding from shareholders, who expect a hefty return on the risk they are taking. The backdrop to this news is the current slump in bank share prices across Europe. Since the start of the year, European banking stocks have lost a quarter of their value. //&! bit.ly/1Xs0Bac
zombie  banks  retail  banking  investment  banking  toobigtofail  too  big  to  jail  TBTF  too  big  to  bail  economic  history  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  GFC  speculation  CDS  CDO  derivatives  Interestrateswap  financial  product  VAR  risk-management  risk  management  Greed  bonuses  bonus  financial  crisis  blackswan  Black  Swan  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  democracy  Super  Rich  1%  plutocracy  oligarchy  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  short-termism  self-regulation  regulation  deregulation  regulators  Glass-Steagall  BOE  ECB  Bundesbank  sovereign  debt  crisis  Fed 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Inside How Mutual Funds Value Private Tech — The Information
The sudden and sizable valuation markdowns of high-flying private companies like Snapchat, Dropbox and Zenefits by mutual fund investors has been one of the biggest stories in tech, sowing fears that the market is deflating. They’ve also caused consternation among founders, who have had to defend their companies’ earlier valuations to employees.
downround  growth  round  Mutual  Fund  SPV  Uber  Zenefits  Snapchat  Silicon  Valley  DropBox  hunt  for  yield  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  speculative  bubbles  risk  capital  liquidation  preferences  termsheet  asset  allocation  distortion  Lyft  equity  bubble  reflate  reflation  financial  repression  New  Normal  secular  stagnation  hot-money  BRIC  emerging  market  Frontier  Markets 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
The "Tourist" Investors Flooding Silicon Valley With Money Will Go Home One Day - BuzzFeed News
The tourist analogy comes from Mohamed El-Erian, chief economic advisor at the German financial company Allianz and former CEO of mutual fund giant Pimco. He fleshes out his theory of “tourist dollars” in his new book, The Only Game in Town: Central Banks, Instability, and Avoiding the Next Collapse, describing what happens in emerging economies like Brazil and India when investors from the developed world respond to slow economies at home by seeking more profitable climates abroad. Ranjan Roy, a former emerging-market currencies trader who now runs a tech startup, wrote a Medium post this week connecting El-Erian’s “tourist” theory to the mutual fund investors that have flooded Silicon Valley with cash in recent years. The post was pretty convincing, so we decided to see if El-Erian agreed. He does. And he worries about what those tourist dollars are doing to the locals. [...] they don’t re-up [ like VC's and real Angels would do ] [...] push to stretch for return.
hunt  for  yield  distortion  speculative  bubbles  asset  allocation  Silicon  Valley  Party  Round  Angel  Investor  Seed  Round  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  hot-money  Mutual  Fund  growth  risk  capital  Venture  Frontier  Markets  emerging  market  credit  bubble  China  BRIC  2015  2016  2014  Unicorn  reflate  reflation  economic  history  equity  bubble  bond  bubble  property  bubble  asset  bubble  secular  stagnation  emerging  middle  class  India  financial  repression  behavioral  finance  behavioral  economics  psychology  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  austerity  Richard  Koo 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Norway seeks to diversify its economy as oil earnings plunge - BBC News
As oil prices have collapsed, it's become clear that Norway has caught what used to be called the Dutch disease - an overreliance on one industry, in this case the oil and gas sector. With its upmarket waterfront restaurants and the Barcode office blocks, the Sorenga dockside development serves as a poignant reminder of how prosperous Norway had become while the going was still good. [...] Unbalanced economy [...] "The oil and gas industry became too strong in our economy, especially during the last four or five years, reflects Prime Minister Erna Solberg. "Most of the growth came from that sector, and our strong currency left some of our traditional industries behind." [...] Household debts have reached more than 200% of annual disposable income [ Dutch Disease; UK & USA = domestic consumption, Germany = exports and its name, London = Finance and wealthy expats/non-doms, Switzerland = exports and its name , China = export, Brazil = commodity export ]
Norway  Aberdeen  Oil  price  commodity  prices  secular  stagnation  2016  2015  credit  bubble  China  BRIC  economic  history  reflate  reflation  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  aggregate  demand  Dutch  Disease  distortion  financial  repression  macroeconomics  macroeconomic  policy  macroprudential  policy  microeconomic  policy  unemployment  OPEC 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
What's holding back the world economy? | Business | The Guardian
[ continued financialisation of economy / faustian pact ] QE and low interest rates have disproportionately created wealth in the financial sector and inflated asset bubbles. It has done little for the real economy. The rules of the market need to be rewritten [...] dominant policies during the post-crisis period – fiscal retrenchment and quantitative easing (QE) by major central banks – have offered little support to stimulate household consumption, investment, and growth. On the contrary, they have tended to make matters worse. In the US, quantitative easing did not boost consumption and investment partly because most of the additional liquidity returned to central banks’ coffers in the form of excess reserves. [...] private investment did not grow [...] [ QE supported only financial sector and zombie banks and corporations, little to nothing went into the real economy for investment in western world ] [ which leads us to say we are still in a banking crisis per se ]
Joseph  Stiglitz  secular  stagnation  reflate  reflation  austerity  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  TARP  TLTRO  LTRO  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  Richard  Koo  consumer  debt  household  debt  car  loan  credit  card  debt  Student  Bubble  loan  debt  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  squeezed  middle  class  Precariat  low  pay  low  income  wage  stagnation  income  growth  USA  UK  Europe  western  world  mortgage  market  NPL  debt  servitude  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  economic  history  policy  folly  policy  error  corporate  welfare  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Gini  coefficient  income  distribution  social  mobility  income  mobility  poverty  trap  inequality  recovery  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  distortion  financial  repression  speculative  bubbles  hunt  for  yield  asset  equity  VIX  volatility  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  monetary  policy  liquidity  trap  fiscal  policy  debtoverhang  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  consumer  confidence  business  confidence  business  investment  productivity  output  gap  aggregate  demand  income  redistribution  repo  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  system  financial  market  GFC  banking  crisis  retail  banking  investment  banking  hot-money  Frontier  Markets  emerging  market  BRIC  rent-seeking  rentier  carbon  tax  economic  damage 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
UK trade deficit widens further as exports suffer | Business | The Guardian
Nevertheless, the UK’s goods trade gap with the rest of the world widened by £1.9bn to a record high of £125bn in 2015. Howard Archer, chief UK economist at IHS Global Insight, said: “UK exports have clearly struggled in recent months, as they have been hampered by sterling’s overall strength in 2015, particularly against the euro, and moderate global demand. [...] Recent declines in the value of sterling are expected to support exports sales, though the deteriorating global situation could mitigate against an improved exchange rate. [...] “Nonetheless, any progress in reducing the trade deficit is likely to be extremely slow in the near term, leaving the recovery reliant on domestic demand.” [...] [ you can lower your corp tax, but if your country is shitty in business environment ie infrastructure and employee qualifications and immigration ... nobody wants to do business ]
UK  trade  deficit  current  account  deficit  budget  deficit  tax  reciepts  2015  2016  recovery  secular  stagnation  underinvestment  business  investment  austerity  economic  history  global  economy  emerging  market  Frontier  Markets  BRIC  foreign  direct  investment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  Richard  Koo  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  Student  Bubble  debt  servitude  discretionary  spending  government  spending  disposable  income  generation  rent  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  liquidity  trap  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  distortion  financial  repression  speculative  bubbles  hunt  for  yield  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  BOE  property  Housing  Crisis  George  Osborne  competitiveness  productivity  output  gap  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  corporate  tax  rate  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  immigration  migration  Super  Cycle 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
As growth falters, Osborne hopes Mark Carney can keep a lid on interest rates | Business | The Guardian
The chancellor faces lower GDP and lower tax receipts as a result. So it’s vital that consumers’ desire to keep spending isn’t hit by a nasty shock from the Bank [ // Confidence Fairy // ] The Bank of England has downgraded its forecasts for the UK’s GDP growth and the outlook for wages, most likely robbing the exchequer of vital income tax receipts. And without the funds to maintain pensions and health service spending, his critics will gleefully play back the speech from last November during which he declared that Britain was on the road to becoming “the most prosperous and secure of all the major nations of the world”. [...] Yet his words ring hollow when so many of the post-crash problems are still with us, from the burden of high private and public debts to Europe’s rapidly ageing population, which encourage saving over investment, and a reluctance from government and big business to boost capital spending.
George  Osborne  secular  stagnation  2016  2015  Mark  Carney  BOE  consumer  debt  household  debt  mortgage  market  subprime  credit  card  debt  zombie  consumer  UK  GDP  output  gap  productivity  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  recovery  economic  history  austerity  underinvestment  business  investment  public  investment  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Richard  Koo  Paul  Krugman  David  Cameron  nasty  party  Conservative  Tories  short-termism  credit  bubble  debtoverhang  debt  servitude  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  marginal  propensity  to  consume  Funding  1%  financial  repression  New  Normal  constituency  babyboomers  oligarchy  Gini  coefficient  income  distribution  income  inequality  plutocracy  Super  Rich  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  income  growth  low  pay  low  income  wage  growth  economic  growth  precarious  work  Precariat  tax  credit  tax  free  income  corporate  tax  rate  minimum  wage  budget2015  Food  Bank  foreign  direct  investment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  demographic  bubble  western  world  USA  European  Union  ageing  population  CapEx  Capital  Expenditure  zombie  corporations  zombie  banks 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
GLS-Bank: Kunden sollen Monatsbeitrag zahlen - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Zinsen spielen bei der Geldanlage fast keine Rolle mehr. Die Ökobank GLS erwägt jetzt einen radikalen Schritt: Die Kunden sollen einen Monatsbeitrag zahlen, damit die Bank nicht in fragwürdige Geschäfte gedrängt wird.
NIRP  ZIRP  financial  repression  New  Normal  speculative  bubbles  asset  allocation  distortion  economic  history  liquidity  trap 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Amid market turmoil and confusion, there are four key economic trends shaping society
The UK economy currently gets nowhere near its target of 2%. Inflation would decrease the value of current debts, making them less of a burden. In a world without much inflation, it is hard to get wages up. The worse case scenario is that debt costs increase, as prices and wages stagnate. [ ignoring debt and income growth - stagnation at their peril - youtu.be/KIaXVntqlUE - gov is no household budget, Steve Keen + Richard Koo ] [...] And in this age of austerity, these factors will work against governments seeking to reduce the welfare bill. Recent data shows that, in UK cities, growing numbers of low paid jobs have led to rising claims for welfare such as housing benefits, defeating the government’s aims to reduce spending.
economic  history  secular  stagnation  inflation  targeting  nominal  GDP  targeting  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  inflation  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  squeezed  middle  class  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  low  pay  low  income  minimum  wage  UK  Mark  Carney  austerity  tax  credit  housing  benefit  working  tax  credit  debt  servitude  Super  Cycle  Richard  Koo  liquidity  trap  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  stimulus  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  western  world  GDP  wage  inflation  income  growth  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  income  distribution  Gini  coefficient  Super  Rich  1%  inequality  income  inequality  income  redistribution  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  monetary  system  monetary  theory  student  debt  student  loan  debt  student  loan  Bubble  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  zombie  banks  monetary  velocity  Niall  Ferguson  NPL  junk  bond  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Taper  China  credit  BRIC  output  gap  productivity  industrial  policy  public  investment  productive  investment  business  investment  infrastructure  investment  property  financial  repression  speculative  bubbles  asset  allocation  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  money  supply  faultlines  global  imbalances  recovery  working  poor  Precariat 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Fred Block: The Tenacity of the Free Market Ideology - YouTube
Fred Block discusses his book “The Power of Market Fundamentalism,” which extends the work of the great political economist Karl Polanyi to explain why free market dogma recovered from disrepute after the Great Depression and World War II to become the dominant economic ideology of our time. // wo state role there would be no market system. // need social democracy in complex diverse society - representing people // freedom in complex diverse society = free of hunger and economic uncertain & freedom of nonconformity - protections, no marginalisation, no economic punishment // social democracy and free market are both Utopias // Thatcher & Co blaming State for malaise! nobody likes technocratic arguments, leaves public out, thus was able to make big return. // wealth creation through efficiency route takes more work and capital than predation (rentier/rent seeking) - ie relaxing fuel efficiency savings regulation for Detroit back in the days // trust that state can support innovation
economic  history  freemarkets  free  market  neoliberalism  self-regulation  neoliberal  book  macroprudential  policy  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  Chicago  School  USA  UK  social  democracy  capitalism  dogma  ideology  austerity  trickle-down  economics  globalization  globalisation  borderless  flat  world  Greed  boom  and  bust  crony  capitalism  plutocracy  oligarchy  Super  Rich  1%  democracy  revolving  door  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  social  mobility  American  Dream  meritocracy  meritocratic  Alain  de  Botton  philanthropy  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  Wall  Street  Gini  coefficient  income  mobility  education  policy  welfare  state  social  safety  net  Supply  and  Demand  market  economy  Demand  and  Supply  JohnMaynardKeynes  keynes  Keynesianism  GFC  Great  Moderation  Great  Depression  Utopia  Ronald  Reagan  Margaret  Thatcher  rentier  rent-seeking  predation  financial  product  wealth  creation  R&D  STEM  productive  investment  productivity  output  gap  public  investment  underinvestment  infrastructure  investment  competitive  competitiveness  M&A 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Adam Posen: What Japan and the UK Demonstrate about Macroeconomic Stimulus - YouTube
Confidence Fairy - Paul Krugman. (sov debt crisis) only applicable if you don't have a central bank. like Greece. that can do QE as much as you need to stabilise monetary system. ie stop deleveraging, only serving debt. meaning deflation. // different QE, diversity. shift risk appetite to more riskier debt. ... // fiscal activism can't overcome austerity ... // UK has it work because it doesn't have the manufacturing base. but its population is growing, not shrinking. but job creation - multiplier to economy is 1 or lower because of mostly service sector job creation which lot need to access welfare state through tax credits. // min 11. Gordon Brown and Alistair Darling did lots right! GPB depreciation. budget deficit growth. But imports stayed high!!! current account deficit and trade deficit. Austerity undermines growth and BOE policy! cut you future and investment (4-1 ration). UK got no credibility bonus from bond vigilantes, no FDI inflows.
Abenomics  economic  history  secular  stagnation  UK  austerity  Japan  BOE  BOJ  Mark  Carney  deflationary  deflation  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  migration  immigration  Sozialpolitik  Integrationspolitik  Paul  Krugman  JGB  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  liquidity  trap  balance  sheet  recession  Richard  Koo  deleveraging  ECB  TLTRO  LTRO  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  monetary  policy  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  stimulus  monetary  theory  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  system  financial  repression  distortion  speculative  bubbles  creditrating  creditrisk  junk  bond  NPL  credit  bubble  recovery  George  Osborne  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Super  Cycle  sovereign  debt  crisis  debtoverhang  currency-war  currency  debasement  currency  war  current  account  deficit  trade  deficit  IMF  OBR  foreign  direct  investment  Conservative  Party  nasty  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  policy  folly  policy  error 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
James Galbraith, Kate Pickett, Branko Milanovic - Consequences of Inequality and Wealth Distribution - YouTube
free education / land value tax / higher inheritance tax / abolition of private education / more progressive taxation / combat tax avoidance and tax evasion / ... Universal Basic Income //&! New Theoretical Perspectives on the Distribution of Income and Wealth Among Individuals - youtu.be/RO8KWTb2iPM - w Joseph Stiglitz and Paul Krugman --- distinguishing between wealth and capital. ignore land (free yourself from Ricardo). land. credit. //&! David Cay Johnston: The Perils Of Our Growing Inequality - David Cay Johnston about his new book, Divided: The Perils of Our Growing Inequality. - youtu.be/ok7ZJ8mS19Y
inequality  income  inequality  Gini  coefficient  education  policy  income  distribution  income  redistribution  tax  free  income  income  mobility  social  mobility  health  inequality  gender  inequality  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  welfare  state  social  safety  net  progressive  tax  code  Super  Rich  1%  oligarchy  plutocracy  social  democracy  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  democracy  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Universal  Basic  inheritance  tax  financial  literacy  wealth  distribution  wealth-distribution  transferring-wealth  Thomas  Piketty  Joseph  Stiglitz  Robert  Reich  squeezed  middle  class  globalization  globalisation  Paul  Krugman  Elizabeth  Warren  austerity  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  fiscal  policy  economic  growth  Supply  and  Demand  Demand  and  Supply  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  credit  bubble  GFC  recovery  monetary  policy  debt  servitude  consumer  debt  household  debt  Student  Loan  debt  debt  credit  card  debt  credit  card  economic  history  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  competitiveness  productivity  knowledge  worker  book  monopoly  oligopoly  oligopol  American  Dream  meritocracy  meritocratic  post-racial  America  free  market  freemarkets  dogma  ideology 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Jan Kregel: The Continuing Risk of Derivatives - YouTube
The other common feature that Kregel notes is that the major objective of active, global financial institutions no longer is the maximization of profits by seeking the lowest cost funds and channeling them to the highest risk-adjusted return. Rather, they are most interested in maximizing the amount of funds intermediated in order to maximize fees and commissions, thereby maximizing the rate of return on bank capital. This means a shift from continuous risk assessment and risk monitoring of funded investment projects that produce recurring flows of interest payments over time, to the identification of riskless "trades" that produce large, single payments with as much of the residual risk as possible carried by the purchasers of the package. The upshot is that most derivative packages mask the actual risk involved in an investment and increase the difficulty in assessing the final return on funds provided.
derivatives  investment  banking  retail  banking  banking  crisis  business  model  risk  aversion  ROI  VAR  CDS  Interestrateswap  financial  literacy  financial  market  financial  crisis  financial  cycle  FinancialCrisisInquiryCommission  tobin-tax  FinancialCrisisResponsibilityFee  CDO  financial  instruments  bonuses  bonus  Greed  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  Wall  Street  economic  history  self-regulation  regulation  regulators  deregulation  Glass-Steagall  Bank  Oversight  zombie  banks  financial  product 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
SPERI Annual Lecture 2015: 'The Failure of Austerity' by Lord Robert Skidelsky - YouTube
economic history - "state spending inherently unproductive." // borrowing is deferred taxation - David Richardo - Rational expectations. Market economy always tended full employment. // Theory and Facts did not align. Keynes realised it post-war. Private investment is inherently volatile, ie slump conditions. state to offset underinvestment of private sector and match their retreat. getting rid of abnormal unemployment. done through monetary expansion (QE) and put onto state balance sheet available to spend. // Where 2009 forward QE got to banks ... // Paul Krugman - Confidence Fairy. // "Look after employment, and the budget will look after itself." but today it's the bond holders confidence who shapes budgets. // Keynes 'it is the long-term confidence of businesses that shape investment, confidence in state to no let a slump happen again.' but austerity, out of ammo talk, political-, social environment/sentiment & Osborne's '2016 will be tough year' speech were counter-productive.
austerity  economic  history  Robert  Skidelsky  Richard  Koo  David  Ricardo  sovereign  debt  crisis  underinvestment  productive  investment  competitiveness  competitive  public  utility  public  investment  education  policy  public  transportation  Good  infrastructure  investment  QE  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  George  Osborne  trickle-down  economics  tax  code  progressive  taxation  oligarchy  plutocracy  Super  Rich  1%  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Chicago  School  stagflation  secular  stagnation  Pact  business  cycle  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  Schuldenbremse  western  world  Paul  Krugman  political  folly  political  theory  political  economy  political  error  macroprudential  policy  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  financial  cycle  Greed  economic  cycle  inflation  expectation  expectations  Super  debt  servitude  GFC  recovery  Conservative  Party  fearmongering  Fear  Career  Politicians  nasty  David  Cameron  PR  spin  doctor 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Bank of Japan shocks markets by adopting negative interest rates | World news | The Guardian
BOJ shock decision to adopt negative interest rates, in an attempt to protect the flagging economy from market volatility and fears over the global economy. In a 5-4 vote, the bank’s board imposed a 0.1% fee on deposits left with the Bank of Japan (BoJ) – in effect a negative interest rate. The move, which follows the similarly aggressive precedent set by the ECB in June 2014, is designed to encourage commercial banks to use excess reserves they keep with the central bank to lend to businesses. //&! The Disturbing Reasons Why The Bank Of Japan Stunned Everyone With Negative Rates - bit.ly/1UvpOyO - encouraging capex, supporting existing bubbles ie equity and bonds (joining draghi). Citing examples of Sweden and Switzerland with NIRP. And ECB of combining QE and NIRP. Combating China exporting deflation. And keep the pace of JGB purchases, keeping the bubble floating. [A] "last-ditch measure"[.] [I]t may be time to panic. - 2016/2017 //&! Currency War - bit.ly/1QwOGox
ECB  BOJ  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  monetary  policy  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  theory  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  monetary  system  deposit  levy  MarioDraghi  Abenomics  economic  history  deleveraging  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  GFC  recovery  Yen  Euro  credit  bubble  liquidity  trap  distortion  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  equity  bubble  speculative  bubbles  bond  bubble  property  bubble  debt  bubble  New  Normal  financial  repression  faultlines  global  economy  structural  imbalance  global  imbalances  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  Japan  UK  secular  stagnation  western  world  inflation  expectation  inflation  targeting  nominal  GDP  targeting  deflation  Sweden  Switzerland  China  Yuan  JGB  2016  USA  Europe  sovereign  debt  crisis  austerity  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  Super  Cycle  recession  currency-war  currency  debasement  currency  war 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
"The Untouchables (2013)" PBS documentary about how the Holder Justice Department refused to prosecute Wall Street Fraud despite overwhelming evidence : Documentaries
faustian pact they've made. getting funded their elections by greedy crony capitalists. and are thus beholden to their calls they make and the framework they said they would give them funding for their campaign under. // "breakdown of internal controls [...] 60% of loans in possible portfolio did not meet its own standards, were still bought, put into portfolio" - Citigroup exec // Underfunded/understaffed/non-experience/no-stars @FBI and CIA! corporates have a bigger pocket and star lawyers who know how to position and spin. And without a Whistleblower/Leak it is nearly impossible if not for the case that the accused was really stupid and left a clear trail and or incriminates himself in paperwork/communication. // "criminal intent" //&! No Regrets at Countrywide - bloom.bg/1UptWQC //&! Countrywide’s Mozilo Said to Face U.S. Suit Over Loans - bloom.bg/1RMqPEA //&! NEW SUIT - No, the US government hasn’t forgotten about Countrywide founder Angelo Mozilo - bit.ly/1lQbEfD
GFC  banking  crisis  Greed  crony  capitalism  bank  bailout  economic  history  white-collar  crime  accounting  scandal  corporate  scandal  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  oligarchy  plutocracy  Super  Rich  1%  Fraud  securities-fraud  bonuses  bonus  financial  incentive  financial  literacy  FinancialCrisisInquiryCommission  Mozilo  CountrywideFinancial  Angelo  Mozilo  subprime  NINJA  Loan  non-performing  NPL  CDS  CDO  citigroup  misselling  misrepresentation  Consumer  Protection  misleading  Positioning  PR  spin  doctor  manufactured  consent  Whistleblower  Eric  Holder  presidency  barackobama  Party  Funding  Justice  System  economic  injustice  Washington  revolving  door  accountability  due  diligence  miconduct 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
How would you pull a Big Short in 2016? | Paul Mason | Opinion | The Guardian
The same institutions that were parading their restraint, largesse and deep concern for humanity in Davos last week are condemned in the movie by the designer of the “short”, Mark Baum, in the following terms: “We’re living in an era of fraud in America. Not just in banking. But in government, education, food, religion, journalism, prisons, baseball ... Somehow, American values became: Fuck it, let’s grab what we can for now and the hell with tomorrow.”
American  Dream  Fraud  crony  capitalism  capitalism  self-regulation  oversight  white-collar  crime  accountability  shared  economic  interest  Greed  meritocracy  meritocratic  GFC  banking  crisis  economic  history  financial  crisis  business  cycle  financial  cycle  economic  cycle  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  plutocracy  oligarchy  Super  Rich  1%  social  democracy  democracy  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  revolving  door  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  exploitation  globalization  globalisation 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Carney: No need for interest rate rises now - BBC News
Carney said that collapsing oil prices and an "unforgiving" global environment meant that tighter monetary policy was not yet necessary. [...] He pointed out that the Fed's rate rise had only brought the US interest rate to the same "lofty level" as the Bank of England's. The Governor said that three factors would be the strongest guide to when interest rates might rise. First, that economic growth in the UK would be higher than the average trend. He said that growth at an average quarterly rate of 0.5% in 2015 had "disappointed". Second, that wage growth strengthens and productivity improves. And, third, that core inflation starts to approach the target rate of 2%. //&! Rate rise pause till early 2017? - bbc.in/1T1Qrge - [ global risks are building, global imbalances, faultlines. ] There's a frying pan - the global growth slowdown - and a fire - high levels of indebtedness - out there. &! bbc.in/1S5N7ks
Fed  BOE  2016  Taper  UK  USA  monetary  policy  Mark  Carney  Fed  mandate  productivity  output  gap  inflation  expectation  inflation  targeting  nominal  GDP  targeting  deflationary  deflation  Oil  price  commodity  prices  wage  inflation  GDP  secular  stagnation  economic  history  austerity  fiscal  policy  property  bubble  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  mortgage  market  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  private  debt  corporate  debt  Europe  ECB  China  credit  bubble  2015  global  economy  BRIC  OPEC  aggregate  demand  Richard  Koo  overcapacity  Supply  and  and  Supply  liquidity  trap  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  stimulus  monetary  theory  unconventional  monetary  policy  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  zombie  consumer  zombie  corporations  zombie  banks  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  margin  trading  speculative  bubbles  equity  bubble  Super  Cycle  debt  servitude  leverage  George  Osborne  dogma  ideology  neoliberalism  neoliberal  faultlines  global  imbalances  distortion  emerging  middle  class  emerging  market  Frontier  Markets  sovereign  debt  crisis  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  QT  financial  repression  New  Normal 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
BBC Documentary - The Money Trap - How Banks Control the World Through Debt - YouTube
most profitable credit card debt customers are those making just the minimum payment. ... a credit card being a statement of status! retaining customers by upgrading them regularly w higher limits, new colors, new perks (they will never use). // unsecured lending - DEFINITION of 'Unsecured Loan' A loan that is issued and supported only by the borrower's creditworthiness, rather than by a type of collateral. An unsecured loan is one that is obtained without the use of property as collateral for the loan. // revolving debt // the higher your credit limit, the more you are likely to spend. // half of his income to just serve credit card fees and interest charges (no payments towards paying down) debt ... // banks lend irresponsibly bc they know they can get away with it, or somebody else will do it! because there is not regulation. no bank oversight. //&! The Truth about Payday Loans :Young, British and Broke - youtu.be/-yWxTvffbuE //&! Gambling/Betting Shops on Highstreet.
retail  banking  investment  banking  CDO  CDS  subprime  credit  card  debt  credit  card  financial  literacy  household  debt  mortgage  market  Payday  Loans  exploitation  debt  servitude  student  loan  debt  Bubble  property  ethics  moral  beliefs  revolving  debt  consumer  debt  debtoverhang  debt  Super  Cycle  student  debt  private  debt  status  symbol  instant  gratification  status  anxiety  socioeconomic  status  zombie  consumer  consumerist  consumerism  Protection  overdraft  materialism  crony  capitalism  capitalism  NPL  NINJA  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  bonuses  bonus  financial  incentive  incentive  creditrating  credit  creditrisk  credit  score  self-regulation  Bank  Oversight  financial  instruments  derivatives 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
The Deflation Monster Has Arrived | Zero Hedge
the world’s grand experiment with debt has come to an end. And it’s now unraveling. [...] The next thing is to give money to Main Street. [...] Either way, money will be printed out of thin air and given to you. That’s what’s coming next. Possibly after a failed attempt at demanding negative interest rates from the banks. But coming it is. [...] Once people lose faith in their currency all bets are off. The smart people will be those who take their fresh central bank money and spend it before the next guy.
deflationary  deflation  debt  servitude  credit  bubble  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  secular  stagnation  UK  USA  Europe  western  world  Precariat  precarious  work  household  debt  Richard  Koo  GFC  China  recovery  property  bubble  subprime  economic  history  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  capitalism  crony  capitalism  exploitation  Super  Cycle  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  student  loan  debt  debtoverhang  NPL  sovereign  debt  crisis  private  debt  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  bank  bailout  distortion  capital  allocation  asset  allocation  speculative  bubbles  financial  repression  2016  2015  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  fiat  money  fiat  currency  trust  distrust  trustagent 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Why The Crash of 2016 Will Happen... - YouTube
China's Credit Bubble popped. &! Could China Trigger the Crash of 2016? - youtu.be/JRw8JgP-L0A //&! IMF: "Age of America" Will End 2016: Steve Forbes on China - youtu.be/YxCxHM5Ax_k //&! Has The Crash of 2016 Now Begun? What Can & Should Be Done? - youtu.be/JwEDvXYVE_g - Richard Wolff, austerity failed what has been promised "business confidence." Smart money unloading started in 2015. "Silly China-bashing." China has capacity (over capacity) but western world has reached its credit limit! << youtu.be/L4J_n9pTdJQ codependent. //&! youtu.be/ORRPNO2XPDA - still too much debt, austerity flaws, no income growth to serve debt and not cut back on spending (private households), China exporting deflation.
book  Super  Rich  1%  plutocracy  corporate  state  corporate  media  Wall  Street  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  vested  interest  interest  groups  revolving  door  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  social  democracy  democracy  Wertegesellschaft  Wegwerfgesellschaft  squeezed  middle  class  neoliberalism  2016  neoliberal  working  poor  Precariat  wage  stagnation  secular  stagnation  western  world  corporate  scandal  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  corruption  bribery  Greed  GFC  bank  bailout  austerity  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  tax  code  Rechtsruck  far-right  Rechtsextremismus  refugee  crisis  symptom  Xenophobia  Islamophobia  Gini  coefficient  inequality  income  mobility  social  mobility  poverty  trap  welfare  state  social  safety  net  USA  Hegemony  China  UK  Debt  Super  Cycle  post-racial  America  crony  capitalism  capitalism  shared  economic  interest  economic  damage  Europe  PIGS  sovereign  crisis  consumer  household  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  IMF  financial  repression  speculative  bubbles  property  bubble  New  Normal  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  globalization  globalisation  flat  world  borderless  free  trade  debtoverhang  credit  card  car  loan  mortgage  market  oligarchy 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Land degradation costs the world up to $10.6tn a year, report says | Global development | The Guardian
More than half of the world’s arable land is moderately or severely degraded, according to a report published on Tuesday by the Economics of Land Degradation (ELD) Initiative (pdf). The report estimates the cost of this environmental destruction, not only from lost agricultural production and diminished livelihoods, but also from the lost value of ecosystem services formerly provided by the land, including water filtration, erosion prevention, nutrient cycling and the provision of clean air. [...] “We should look at realigning the incentive structure that we have away from incentives that degrade the land to those that promote sustainable management,” [...] reduction in biodiversity, ecosystems, and ecosystem services.”
industrial  agriculture  Farming  Livestock  sustainability  sustainable  pesticide  herbicide  fungicide  soil  erosion  Desertification  deforestation  ecological  disaster  environmental  disaster  mass  extinction  economic  damage  climate  change  global  warming  climate  crisis  pollution  public  health  fossil  fuel  Carnism  omnivore  Meat  Industry  Dairy  Industry  Milk  Industry  Egg  Industry  Poultry  Industry  food  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  shared  economic  interest  crony  capitalism  capitalism  corporate  scandal  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  public  interest  public  awareness  public  perception  financial  incentive  self-regulation  regulation  regulators  corporate  values  corporate  governance  democracy  Generationengerechtigkeit  Millennials 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Profit mean reversion and recession | Credit Writedowns
We are now in the seventh year of a cyclical recovery and bull market. Shares have tripled in that time frame. I would say this means we are much closer to the end of the business cycle than the beginning. Moreover, as Jeremy Grantham is quoted in the Business Insider piece, profits are mean-reverting and right now they are reverting from a phase that is “wildly optimistic” according to Warren Buffett. All of this is taking place against the backdrop of an economy in which wage growth is weak, household debt is still relatively high on a historic basis as a percentage of income and we have no policy room on the monetary side, with limited political appetite for policy on the fiscal side. To me, the pre-conditions for this profits recession speak to downside risk, ....
recovery  business  cycle  financial  cycle  private  debt  household  debt  consumer  debt  Student  Loan  Bubble  car  credit  card  debt  deleveraging  Richard  Koo  debtoverhang  austerity  fiscal  policy  economic  history  monetary  policy  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  western  world  secular  stagnation  Niall  Ferguson  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  income  distribution  Gini  coefficient  inequality  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Wall  Street  bank  bailout  budget  deficit  UK  USA  Schuldenbremse  Pact  sovereign  debt  crisis  Positioning  mainstreet.org  Germany  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  income  growth  low  income  crony  capitalism  reflate  reflation  Career  Politicians  constituency  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  Niedriglohnsektor  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  corporate  welfare  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  income  inequality  social  mobility  social  contract  political  theory  income  mobility  Standard  American  Diet  equity  credit  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  BRIC  BOE  Fed  Fed  mandate  BOJ  PBOC  distortion  2015  ECB  Super  debt  servitude  zombie  consumer  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  junk  bond  Taper  QT  irrational  exuberance  asset  allocation  capital  allocation  speculative  bubbles  commodity  prices  Oil  price  inflation  expe 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
WHO | A call for higher taxes on tobacco
Dr Margaret Chan and Mike Bloomberg call for higher taxes on tobacco. The evidence is clear: raising tobacco taxes cuts usage, encourages smokers to quit and discourages young people from picking up the habit in the first place. The United Nations ought to encourage countries to raise tobacco taxes to support the world’s Sustainable Development Goals and reduce tobacco use.
tobacco  Big  Sugar  Sugar  Tax  food  industry  sick  population  fast  food  Desert  junk  food  food  engineering  food  prices  food  poverty  food  poisoning  food  borne  illness  processed  food  Standard  American  Diet  Western  pattern  Whole-Food  Plant-Based  Diet  omnivore  Vegan  Carnism  sedentary  lifestyle  lifestyle  medicine  lifestyle  active  lifestyle  incentive  financial  incentive  subsidies  subsidizing  Meat  Egg  Dairy  Milk  Fish  health  crisis  health  care  budget  public  health  policy  health  policy  health  care  spending  health  insurance  public  health  health  science  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  self-regulation  regulation  regulators  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  nanny  state  public  awareness  public  perception  public  debate  public  discourse  public  opinion  public  image  Good  chronic  diseases  chronic  low-grade  inflammation  chronic  stress  obesity  epidemic  obesity  overweight  diabetes  pre-diabetic  metabolic  syndrome  non-alcoholic  fatty  liver  disease  revolving  door  corruption  bribery 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Nomi Prins-Federal Reserve Transition to Destruction - YouTube
via - http://schiffgold.com/interviews/former-wall-street-insider-some-form-of-bank-bail-ins-will-come-to-us-video/ ||&! QE and ZIRP bad policy, bank and market cuddeling. no mainstreet recovery! trickle-down failed. Private sector can not carry existing minimal momentum forward. policy has not helped people on the ground. // many bubbles created: junk bond/zombie corps, car loans, student loans, property, ... // transition to destruction, volatility is first sign. // market manipulation! // inflated financial system // rise in NPL! where how will they cover that? another bailout? or bail-in. taking depositors haircut. FDIC can't cover that all.
ZIRP  NIRP  book  QE  reflate  reflation  equity  bubble  credit  bubble  Taper  Richard  Koo  BRIC  China  2015  junk  bond  trickle-down  economics  Super  Rich  1%  property  bubble  household  debt  UK  USA  BOE  Fed  mandate  Fed  Janet  Yellen  Mark  Carney  MPC  monetary  policy  monetary  transmission  mechanism  excess  reserves  retail  banking  secular  stagnation  wage  stagnation  disposable  income  income  distribution  income  inequality  Gini  coefficient  inequality  squeezed  middle  class  job  creation  job  market  labour  market  Niedriglohnsektor  Service  Sector  Jobs  recovery  GFC  benbernanke  alangreenspan  dot.com  speculative  bubbles  bank  bailout  banking  crisis  leverage  margin  trading  Super  Cycle  debt  servitude  private  debt  debt  monetization  debt  monetisation  fiscal  policy  austerity  consumer  debt  credit  card  credit  card  debt  car  loan  debtoverhang  economic  history  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  mainstreet.org  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  crony  capitalism  corporate  debt  bubbles  asset  bubble  correction  mortgage  market  libor  rigging  scandal  trust  Career  Politicians  neoliberalism  neoliberal  FX  reserves  hot-money  currency-war  currency  debasement  currency  war  balance  sheet  recession  Niall  Ferguson  financial  repression  distortion  Pr 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Huge pension shortfall facing UK's young adults | Money | The Guardian
[ has to put away 10% of disposable income/earnings ?pre-tax?, put it in equities, and open the envelope only after 60-70 years. ] The average 35-year-old has to save £660,000 into a pension plan if they have any hope of matching the standard of living enjoyed by today’s pensioners – but have so far managed to put aside just £14,000.
retirement  savings  savings  rate  savings  glut  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  pension  pension  scheme  squeezed  middle  class  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  income  growth  income  gap  income  distribution  income  inequality  low  income  Sozialer  Abstieg  working  poor  Precariat  precarious  work  financial  literacy  zombie  consumer  consumerism  consumerist  materialism  status  anxiety  babyboomers  generationy  Millennials  status  symbol  consumption  consumer  debt  household  debt  private  debt  student  loan  debt  Bubble  stagnation  secular  stagnation  competitive  competition  competitiveness  globalization  globalisation  flat  world  borderless 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
IMF warns of new financial crisis if interest rates rise | Business | The Guardian
Fund says governments in emerging markets should prepare now for a new credit crunch because of a 10-year corporate borrowing binge [...] “Shocks to the corporate sector could quickly spill over to the financial sector and generate a vicious cycle as banks curtail lending. Decreased loan supply would then lower aggregate demand and collateral values, further reducing access to finance and thereby economic activity, and in turn, increasing losses to the financial sector,” the IMF warns. [...] “Emerging markets must prepare for the adverse domestic stability implications of global financial tightening,” the IMF says.
credit  bubble  2015  Taper  centralbanks  IMF  OECD  Frontier  Markets  Developing  World  Richard  Koo  Debt  Super  Cycle  BRIC  AIIB  World  Bank  recovery  global  economy  global  trade  globalization  globalisation  flat  borderless  currency-war  currency  debasement  currency  war  BOE  BOJ  Abenomics  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  FOMO  asset  allocation  capital  allocation  malinvestment  speculative  bubbles  property  bubble  China  Brazil  commodity  prices  Oil  price  OPEC  reflate  reflation  equity  bubble  emerging  middle  class  demographic  bubble  secular  stagnation  western  UK  USA  Europe  Germany  austerity  divergence  faultlines  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  Niall  Ferguson  Fed  mandate  monetary  policy  unconventional  monetary  policy  zombie  consumer  zombie  banks  bailout  banking  crisis  crisis  fiscal  policy  fiscal  stimulus  economic  history  trickle-down  economics  tax  avoidance  tax  evasion  inequality  Gini  coefficient  NPL  shadow  banking  zombie  corporations  junk  bond  creditrating  distortion  financial  financial  crisis  GFC 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
The new right to buy is solving 1979’s problems at today’s expense | Gaby Hinsliff | Comment is free | The Guardian
This Thatcherite policy revival fails to recognise that the main cause of the housing crisis is affordability //&! Housing bill needs radical, long-term measures to reform the market. As well as increasing supply, the government needs to use the tax system to make buy-to-let less attractive as an investment - bit.ly/1PDxWe3
Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Buy  to  Rent  Right  to  Buy  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Supply  and  Demand  Demand  and  Supply  Tories  Conservative  Party  austerity  David  Cameron  George  Osborne  dogma  ideology  affordable  housing  social  housing  UK  2015  budget2015  Generationengerechtigkeit  generation  bank  bailout  banking  crisis  bank  crisis  trickle-down  economics  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  shared  economic  interest  infrastructure  investment  underinvestment  general  election  2020  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  productive  investment  productivity  output  gap  commuting  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  income  growth  low  income  job  creation  labour  market  job  market  labour  economics  Niedriglohnsektor  squeezed  middle  class  generationy  Millennials  sovereign  debt  crisis  recovery  economic  history  household  debt  consumer  debt  debt  servitude  credit  bubble  NPL  mortgage  market  BOE  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  macroprudential  policy  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  Mark  Carney  financial  incentive  tax  code  distortion  Buy-to-Let 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Bubble Machine Timeline: Visual Evidence Of The Fed's "Third Mandate" | Zero Hedge
The problem with rushing to combat any sign of economic or financial market turmoil by resorting immediately to counter-cyclical policies is that the creative destruction that would normally serve to purge speculative excess isn’t allowed to operate and so, misallocated capital is allowed to linger from crisis to crisis, making the next boom and subsequent bust even larger than the last.
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
New US subprime boom - but this time it is for cars - BBC News
- zero hedge had chart w student loan bubble standing at 1trn, and some, as of about mid 2015, with car loans about to reach 1trn, and credit card debt. just google 'zero hedge car loan' - Blackstone says car loans are now in "untested" territory - bit.ly/1TO6Gxb - "The takeaway here is simple: under pressure to keep the US auto sales miracle alive and feed Wall Street's securitization machine (which is itself driven by demand from yield-starved investors) along the way, lenders are lowering their underwriting standards and extending loans to underqualified borrowers. [...] This cannot and will not end well." // July - With the US consumer hunkering down in 2015 and barely spending more than in the comparble period last year, the only silver lining had been auto sales driven almost entirely by access to cheap credit; - bit.ly/1QBIWc5
credit  bubble  car  loan  subprime  USA  credit  card  credit  card  debt  private  debt  household  debt  debt  servitude  debtoverhang  consumer  debt  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  Richard  Koo  zombie  consumer  status  symbol  status  anxiety  consumerist  consumerism  materialism  financial  market  financial  crisis  financial  engineering  ABS  CDS  excess  reserves  underinvestment  productive  investment  recovery  UK  western  world  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  revolving  credit  bank  bailout  bank  crisis  banking  crisis  investment  banking  retail  banking  London  2015  GFC 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Corporate disclosure - deciding what matters | Authers' Note - YouTube
"material" - based judgement. unter anderem.... ie also audience short vs long-term investor.
fiduciary  responsibility  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  corporate  law  accounting  CEO  financial  reporting 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Jeremy Corbyn's Labour leadership campaign: behind the scenes exclusive | Owen Jones talks - YouTube
socialism for crony capitalism (Super Rich, 1%, 30% of top of society, babyboomers, asset owners - owners of commanding hights, bank bailout) - vs - people // Noam Chomsky, can't have (crony) capitalism and democracy //&! --- youtu.be/fzt_RNa_9BQ - What if Jeremy Corbyn actually wins the Labour leadership? | Owen Jones talks... - key are key messages! repeated. properly framed. unpenetrable by Tories highly skilled spin doctors and their usual campaign of fear (tool, lowest common denominator easiest to mass communicate and transmit in one sentence) to distract/divert from the truth ... 'oh my good, look over there!' ... peoples convenience and attention span and willingness to debate endanger what has been built. it is already dismantled. //&! bit.ly/1NxAriZ - Hostile Press!
Jeremy  Corbyn  lefty  socialism  Career  Politicians  austerity  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  No  Representation  Tories  SNP  Millennials  generationy  babyboomers  bank  bailout  Wall  Street  crony  capitalism  post-capitalism  capitalism  GFC  recovery  political  economy  political  error  political  folly  Labour  Party  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  Conservative  Party  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Iain  Duncan  Smith  political  theory  social  cohesion  social  construct  social  change  social  contract  democracy  Toff  Establishment  Privileged  exploitation  globalisation  globalization  NHS  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  revolving  door  corruption  bribery  PR  spin  doctor  reframing  framing  banking  crisis  financial  crisis  budget  deficit  Scottish  Independence  Scottish  referendum  2015  flat  world  deflationary  deflation  borderless  income  growth  income  distribution  Super  Rich  1%  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Noam  Chomsky  Ed  Miliband 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Pando: Good news! B rounds have doubled in value over five years!
B Round! doubling down on (to a certain point) proven ideas as they move to make themselves solid/viable (building business model & continued growth if not even putting some more gasoline on the fire with a B Round - allocation of resources). thus there is competition thus bidding up in a private market. BUT BUT also reflects the rising cost! Rising cost to grow, the war for talent to scale, and the cost in said hubs/ecosystems where the talent are already working on scaling other companies, where rent is sky high and space rare to expand office, ops, ramp up head count, ... // why, on a side note!, ? because global ZIRP, NIRP, QE, hunt for yield, FOMO, property speculation, alternative asset management and allocation (newly minted paper millionaers) have bid up prices in metropolitan and hot cities by credit bubbles around the world. bc financial markets are global, thus your allocation/diversification is global, not limited where ur home addr is. adding to volatiliy too bc of froth!
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Raghuram Rajan - One-on-One: an investigative interview - 44th St. Gallen Symposium - YouTube
Relying too much on the wrong instrument, monetary policy, unconventional QE2 & 3 >> little domestic positive impact but spilled over much across the world! // consequences now seen (1) taper tantrum late 2014 & then summer 2015; china slow-down/equity crash & taper anticipation moves followed up by pulling money out of emerging/developing markets! financial market are divergent from domestic business market. cycles shifted apart slightly. investor, business, financial market & consumer confidence are not linked as tightly before! // financial markets are now global, business markets itself not as much! money can be pulled out digitally in an instance. // no net-positive 4 whole world. selfishness. long-run danger. unintended consequences, unknown unknowns. // global sub-optimal monetary policy // global system (monetary system) broke // uncertainty, unknown of taper. timing debate. game of chicken. volatility bc of lots of froth, distortion! // &! youtu.be/SZe3issLIb8
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
One Map Shows Just How Expensive College Can Be for Students Making Minimum Wage
[S]ubstantial evidence that lack of information plays a critical role in shaping the financial decisions people make. Consider how a vast majority of people who are currently defaulting on their student loans in the U.S. would be able to halt their financial suffering if they knew they could enroll in an income-based repayment plan that would shrink or eliminate their monthly payments. This map goes some way toward explaining why low-income students are less likely to enroll in college. If the idea that college is a risky investment is something thats gaining traction in well-to-do circles, then surely people who hail from less fortunate backgrounds are even more inclined to think the potential price is too high. // could be seen as balance sheet recession: rising cost of education - & on other side - unable 2 pay w job u can get (asset value). Education is mispriced in UK/USA in a new world going forward! >> youtu.be/_EDGTzOXa_g?t=1h46m5s
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Bumper payouts for housebuilding executives as market booms | Business | The Guardian
Two of Britain’s largest housebuilders, Berkeley Group and Persimmon, could hand out about £1bn to their top executives and managers in pay and bonuses over the next six years, boosted by strong UK house prices and government-subsidies for home-buyers. Tony Pidgley, founder and executive chairman at Berkeley, is expected to face tough questions on Tuesday at the group’s shareholder meeting near its headquarters in leafy Cobham, Surrey, after it emerged last month that his pay package last year was worth £23.3m. [...] Meanwhile, executives at Persimmon, the UK’s largest housebuilder, also have a Berkeley-style incentive scheme that is one of the most generous to be found at a London stock market-listed firm. [...] Berkeley’s share price has risen more than 40% since the election of a Conservative government in May, [...] [bonuses] “entirely based on short-term performance”. [...] return on equity[.][ < KPI, what gets measured gets done ] &! bbc.in/1KE0jut - Barratt Homes profits +45%
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
▶ How The Economic Machine Works by Ray Dalio
credit great 4 productive investments 4 the future that will benefit u/me/gov/biz like infrastructure/edu/skills. but waste 4 pure consumption that dont increase productivity in the long run. Like consumer credit spend 2 replace a 2yr old flat screen. vs consumer credit 4 vocational/professional further edu 2 get a higher earning job (future higher income 2 repay the then debt liability & have some more/left over). Bad if u dont have later higher earnings from higher education 2 repay debt & just work in an underemployed placement that any college dropout could do. Thing is, college dropout doesnt have that debt liability that the higher education person has (reduced disposable income bc debt repayment + interest payments.) Women are hit double (gender pay gap) & triple (childcare long-term earnings loss). // min16 income growth important 2 keep up with debt repayment beyond interest. if not, we reached peak long-term debt cycle! // doesnt include globalisation's deflationary effects
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
Banks Are Perilously Exposed to China - Bloomberg View
International banks, however, don't appear to be heavily exposed to China, at first glance anyway. Bank of International Settlements data show that their claims on Chinese banks, companies, consumers and public sector are quite manageable, though Australian and U.K. banks have extended a lot of credit in China in proportion to their total foreign assets: [...] U.K. banks' $198 billion in Chinese assets at the end of last year looks particularly threatening, especially given that HSBC and Standard Chartered both derive a significant portion of their revenue from China. This exposure is particularly problematic because a debt overhang is one of the Chinese economy's biggest problems.
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
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