asterisk2a + dynamics   4

Is This What A Bursting Bubble Looks Like? - YouTube
- bear market, not a 2008/09 decline, more like a lost decade of little productivity growth and very very slow closing of the still existing output gap. - companies benefit form technological progress (accelerating); get more done with less people. +++
asset  bubble  hunt  for  yield  unintended  consequences  ZIRP  QE  liquidity  trap  NIRP  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  policy  Fed  ECB  BOE  BOJ  GFC  recovery  greatdepression  greatrecession  2014  lost  decade  productivity  output  gap  G20  G  Zero  G8  Europe  USA  UK  complexity  unknown  unknowns  Taper  deflation  deflationary  globalisation  globalization  flat  world  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  middle  class  skill-biased  technological  change  technological  progress  knowledge  worker  knowledge  economy  economic  history  history  faultlines  Structural  Impediments  unemployment  deficit  imbalance  global  imbalances  sovereign  debt  crisis  Super  Cycle  debt  bubble  debt  jubilee  debt  monetization  debt  monetisation  default  demographic  bubble  speculative  bubbles  signal  vs  noise  noise  dysfunctional  marketplace  efficiencies  market  dynamics  market  intervention  financial  market  market  failure  market-failure  lost  generation  lostdecade  lostgeneration  currency  debasement  fiat  currency  fiat  money 
july 2014 by asterisk2a
Shorting The Market On These March Days Will Be Hazardous To Your Health | Zero Hedge
send the S&P higher by 5-15 point in minutes on, well, absolutely no news, except for the usual deluge of between $1 and $5 billion in additional purchasing handed over by Chairman Ben to the banks because, you see, they need the money. And sooner or later it will trickle down on everyone else.
ZIRP  QE  2013  monetary  policy  Fed  economic  history  benbernanke  POMO  equilibrium  market  intervention  market  dynamics 
march 2013 by asterisk2a
Euro-Krise: Warum die Rettung der spanischen Banken gescheitert ist - SPIEGEL ONLINE
The crisis around Europe show, that market is, can become, a herd phenomenon. Where one problem or effect is increased by financial media concentration and analysis - and the market is piling in.

Example, Spain's 10yr is around 7%. But Belgium has very similar problems and even higher Debt/GDP as Spain, but Belgium's rates increases are negligible if one just listened to the media. And forgets about the facts.

The same is about Moody's warning about Core Risks, and potential downgrades. Media and Market and Major in-house analysis (from banks, hedge fonds and investment banks) are yet shy about adding the numbers of potential risks and liabilities as well as already existing liabilities through existing bailout agreements. Well ... till it isn't any more according to the majority of market participants. And then for Germany, yields will rise and will see a potential over reaction first.

The Crowd has certain psychological characteristics. Period. Proven above.
behavioral  finance  behavioral  economics  2012  sovereign  debt  crisis  Europe  PIIGS  ratingagencies  market-failure  market-mechanism  market  dynamics  psychology  bankrun  financialmarket  equilibrium  economic-thought  economic  model  economic  history  economic  multiple  equilibria  Chaos  theory 
july 2012 by asterisk2a

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