asterisk2a + demographics   63

(80) Fed is in a 'lose, lose, lose situation,' says Mohamed A. El-Erian - YouTube
>> governments need to invest in productivity "genuine drivers of productivity" ... inflated asset prices, current price do not reflect fundamentals.
Only governments can deescalate the situation.
>> most prominent examples of overvalued assets through liquidity excess - Uber and WeWork write-downs.
liquidity  trap  Fed  BOE  ECB  GFC  QE  Austerity  Schwarze  Null  trade  war  USA  UK  Europe  secular  stagnation  demographics  productivity  output  gap  wage  growth  leverage  Rentnerrepublik  demographic  babyboomers 
12 days ago by asterisk2a
Is the NHS's long-term plan workable? - BBC News
Bleak picture
Budgets for public health (including prevention) and training of nurses, doctors and other staff have not yet been set out and, if less generous than the NHS settlement, they could affect the ability of the service to deliver the long-term plan, in the view of the report authors.

And what of the short term? The watchdog paints a bleak picture.

The financial health of some trusts, it says, is getting worse.
NHS  social  care  Council  elderly  adult  long-term  plan  Theresa  May  Conservative  Austerity  chronic  sickcare  sick  population  ageing  demographics  Cancer  Obesity  CVD  diabetes  rationing  mental  health  staff  crisis  hiring  locum  CAMHS  prevention  public  Privatisation 
january 2019 by asterisk2a
Oxford London Lecture 2012: "21st Century -- The Last Century of Youth" - YouTube
half way in tackles issue of sick population! your 50s and later with chronic disease or cancer. keeping people alive with expensive health care.
ageing  population  population  demographics  demographic  bubble  demography  fertility  rate  sick  population  public  health  public  health  policy  obesity  epidemic  obesity  chronic  diseases  cancer 
june 2015 by asterisk2a
Why 'secular stagnation' matters - BBC News
The question at stake is the issue of "secular stagnation", which is probably the biggest and most important controversy in macroeconomics today. This is not though a debate for the ivory tower, it's an issue with significant real world implications. [...] So what is secular stagnation? It's an idea that originated in the late 1930s with the US Keynesian economist Alvin Hansen. He worried that growth was fundamentally slowing and emphasised demographic factors (such as slowing population growth) as a driver of this. [ western world needs immigration as reproduction level is below 1, capitalism and our economics is fundy based on econ growth, but that is, on the horizon, not possible (excl inflation). what if population is stable!? ] [...] In a nutshell secular stagnation is an attempt to explain the weakness of the global recovery in advanced economies since the 2008 crisis. [ decelerating, debt overhang, balancesheet recession, sov debt crisis ] [...]
secular  stagnation  Europe  Japan  economic  history  lost  decade  global  imbalances  rebalancing  demographic  bubble  demographics  demography  immigration  western  world  economic  growth  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  liquidity  trap  sovereign  debt  crisis  Super  Cycle  debt  bubble  bond  bubble  QE  debt  monetization  debt  monetisation  stagflation  deflation  deflationary  zombie  banks  zombie  consumer  austerity  full  employment  Larry  Summers  Paul  Krugman  Ben  Bernanke  savings  glut  complexity  incomplete  information  productivity  output  gap  productive  investment  unintended  consequences  ZIRP  NIRP  hunt  for  yield 
april 2015 by asterisk2a
Bestrafte Ärzte – leidende Patienten | Report Mainz | Das Erste - YouTube
medicine budgets per patient per quarter. not possible with patients that have several chronic illnesses. Krankenkassen sparen per Gesetzentwurf wo es geht - mit ihrer lobby. "Wirtschaftlichkeitspruefungen." fuer kranke Menschen. // &! GroKo election campaign promises + compromise + lobby !!!
Germany  public  health  policy  public  health  bureaucracy  burokratie  ethical  machine  Career  Politicians  Lobbying  lobbyist  lobby  Krankenkasse  No  Representation  democracy  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  Wall  Street  chronic  diseases  chronic  low-grade  inflammation  hippocratic  oath  dehumanisation  subhuman  human  decency  human  tragedy  human  rights  health  crisis  western  diet  western  lifestyle  demographic  bubble  demographics  ethical  beliefs  moral  beliefs  demography  ageing  population  GroKo  election  campaign  promises 
february 2015 by asterisk2a
The South Korean Love Industry - YouTube
avg marriage age in SK is 31yrs. // prostitution illegal, but still thriving ... 1/5th of women worked in some form in the sex trade ...
demographic  bubble  demographics  demography  ageing  population  South  Korea  sex  work  sex  worker  sex  trade  culture  social  safety  net  poverty  in  old  age  sex  ed  sex  education  conservative  history  Asia  Love  Motel  sexual  health 
february 2015 by asterisk2a
Beds crisis hits NHS care for mentally ill children | Society | The Guardian
Emails reveal emergency new steps as teenagers aged 16-18 are put on adult wards rather than in specialist adolescent facilities [...] Labour’s shadow minister for public health, Luciana Berger, described the situation as “utterly appalling” and blamed the crisis on £50m of cuts to children’s mental health services since 2010. [...] Pressure on the government over the NHS mounted further as Stephen Dorrell, the former Tory health secretary, says in an Observer interview that reforms of the health system pushed through by Andrew Lansley in 2012 did not address the real problem: the need to keep people out of hospital by improving care services. Dorrell said the reforms were the worst mistake of this government and accused ministers of being more interested in pursuing headlines than a policy which addressed the NHS’s real needs.
NHS  mental  health  accountability  Career  Politicians  transparency  governance  Whistleblower  oversight  austerity  demographic  bubble  demographics  public  health  policy  public  health 
february 2015 by asterisk2a
Video "Einwanderer dringend gesucht" | Kontraste | ARD Mediathek
2/3 von worker immigrants muss ausserhalb der EU kommen, in zukunft. zzt kommen die mehrheit aus Europa, das wird zurueck gehen wenn die wirtschaftliche situation sich verbessert, in deren Heimatlaendern (PIGS). Deutschland (Gesellschaftlich) sieht sich nicht als Einwanderungsland.
Berlin  Start-Up  Scene  knowledge  worker  knowledge  economy  domain  knowledge  Career  Politicians  workforce  Future  of  Work  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  Europe  immigration  immigrants  PIGS  demographic  bubble  demographics  demography  erzkonservativ  integration  Asylbewerber  Einwanderungs  Politik  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  automation  Robotics  algorithm 
february 2015 by asterisk2a
Calm down, tech journalists: It’s okay if you don’t use Snapchat | PandoDaily
artificial limitations is the trend that emerged late out of the freeze box that was SV 2001-2005/6 ... artificial limitations ie 140 charachters, ephemeral content, <10s videos, Yo, (photo)filters, ... and anonymity within the echo chamber made Secret --- and the real world broke the idea. Hot deals emerge quickly within an echo chamber, even if it doesn't end world hunger or make it rain. // This is a new phase of SV companies and tech, question is, can anyone of these be sustainable long-term world wide as big and far as they are shouting (out of the echochamber) // as fascinated as the press at large is right now, there could be, looming on the horizon, a backlash from the general population, as their livelihoods are deeply affected (work, social, democracy, ... uncertainty. people don't like uncertainty and insecurity.)
Silicon  Valley  Twitter  Vine  Snapchat  Instagram  Secret  trend  trends  Start-Up  lesson  Start-Up  advice  journalism  journalismus  demographics  target  audience  Popular  Culture  Pop  Culture  technology  singularity  Moore's  Law  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  automation  algorithm  Robotics  AI  artificial  intelligence  augmented  reality  virtual  reality  Uber  Lyft  silo  Facebook  Google  Apple 
january 2015 by asterisk2a
BBC News - Care spending 'cut by fifth in 10 years'
The research - based on official data - showed £1,188 was being spent in 2003-4 per person over the age of 65. By 2013-14 that had fallen to £951 - a drop of 20% - prompting experts to warn that vulnerable people were being failed. Other parts of the UK are also struggling to keep pace with the ageing population. [...] Overall the budget fell by 6% in real terms to £8.85bn during the period, and the over 65s population rose by 17% to 9.3m. When combined, the data gives spending per head of population over the age of 65. For the first few years of the 10-year period spending was largely keeping pace with the ageing population, but over the last four years it has been falling more quickly.
NHS  ageing  demographics  demographic  bubble  demography  healthcare  social  care  social  cohesion  UK  austerity 
january 2015 by asterisk2a
Wenn keiner Omas Haus will: Verlassen und verramscht | 45 Min | NDR - YouTube
... weil es keine Arbeit hier gibt. ... und min 30 ... people still build new houses in rural areas. same promise, to leave it behind for the kids. ... problem is, of this old investment ethos, property, is that isn't valid anymore. a house is not a investment. it is something to live in. not an investment vehicle. ... generational change: globalisation, people work where work is.
demographic  bubble  demographics  demography  babyboomers  Demografischer  Wandel  Germany  urbanisation  generational  change  Millennials  Future  of  Work  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  globalisation  globalization  generationy 
october 2014 by asterisk2a
Wirtschaftskrise: Deutsche Wirtschaft mit starkem Export ist anfällig - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Typischerweise produzieren dominante ökonomische Narrative zuerst Illusionen und dann große Probleme. Wo eine Geschichte von Marktteilnehmern, Regulierern und Beobachtern vorbehaltlos akzeptiert wird, ist der Boden bereitet für Irrtümer, die uns am Ende Kopf und Kragen kosten können, wie ich meinem neuen Buch argumentiere. >> Die Politik des billigen Geldes verzerrt die Wirtschaftsstrukturen .... - die deutsche Wirtschaft unterfinanziert & Dass die Politik des ultrabilligen Geldes die Wirtschaftsstrukturen verzerrt, auch hierzulande. [CreditCrunch/transmission mechanism broken/hunt for yield/betongold/no-investments] +++ die Digitalisierung auch die produktionslastige deutsche Wirtschaft fundamental durcheinanderwirbeln wird. [Year of Code/Education Policy/Human Capital - high ed imigrants/Mobile Creatives/Share Economy] +++ Spiegel 37/2014 "Deutschland der Scheinriese" Cover Story
GFC  bubble  property  bubble  bubbles  economic  history  economics  society  storytelling  narrative  journalism  journalismus  PIGS  UK  USA  Germany  Exportweltmeister  flat  world  globalisation  globalization  exports  export  Europe  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  faultlines  competitiveness  competitive  competitive  advantage  comparative  advantage  2014  Career  Politicians  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  long-term  thinking  long-term  view  Policy  Makers  error  folly  trust  trustagent  confidence  accountability  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  ECB  monetary  fiscal  LTRO  OMT  ABS  unconventional  monetary  monetary  transmission  mechanism  business  investment  infrastructure  investment  distortion  Wall  Street  centralbanks  IMF  IBS  liquidity  trap  creditcrunch  unintended  consequences  complexity  unknown  unkown  unknown  unknowns  blackswan  Black  Swan  Betongold  Beton  Gold  Future  of  Work  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  Year  of  Code  education  Public  Policy  hunt  for  yield  human  capital  immigration  demographics  demographic  bubble  demography 
september 2014 by asterisk2a | Dalia Martin | dalia-martin - slicing up the value chain, flatter org chart, Germany needs more uni grads, --- Germany needs more liberal immigration policy for highly qualified people with degrees and --- education policy needs to capture ALL possible candidates. Anreiz fuer higher education. // Germany NEEDS immigration - because of demographic bubble. Period. Either get people in Germany and the jobs of the Future. Or let the jobs go away to where the human capital and cognitive resources are. Period. // self-awareness of women is through the ranks lower compared to men. it comes from society, media, childhood, parenting. // thus lack of strong women. lack of Female Founders too. // Experiment showed:: Women react discouraged during competition with Men, but competition Woman-Woman shows no such signs of lack of wanting to compete. ... WHY!? Do we have to split-up schools again - All Girls Schools Only? Or Do we just have to change girls perception of the world early on!? //
human  capital  cognitive  resources  globalisation  flat  world  globalization  immigration  education  policy  Germany  East  Germany  Siemens  SAP  demographic  bubble  demographics  demography  diversity  STEM  Women  in  Tech  gender  gap  stereotype  bias  prejudice  Women  in  Workforce  Europe  self-awareness  gender-based  discrimination  gender  inequality  gender  politics  gender  pay  gap  gender-based  harassment  behavioral  economics  psychology  Competition  Mobile  Creative  Mobile  Creatives  knowledge  worker  knowledge  economy  creativity  competitiveness  war  for  talent  competitive  advantage  comparative  advantage  management  business  management  EQ  Leadership  Female  Founders  team  management  corporate  culture  corporate  values  glass  ceiling  gender  policing  product  management  project  management  Public  Makers  gender  bias  role  model  society  childhood  childhood  development  parenthood  Silicon  Valley 
september 2014 by asterisk2a
Fachkräftemangel Warum nicht mehr Facharbeiter nach Deutschland kommen - SPIEGEL ONLINE +++ Zwar gibt es Informationsangebote wie die Internetseite >> << Doch dass Deutschland inzwischen nicht nur um Ingenieure und Informatiker wirbt, sondern auch um Lokführer und Leitungsinstallateure, dürfte in weiten Teilen Chinas oder Indiens noch unbekannt sein. // +++ Same as USA Green Card - Labor Certification Category ( ) // q is still, how is the image around the world about germany and its people towards immigrants and the possibility to be folded in, mesh-in into Germany!? And certainly about the language barrier? Germans know their basic english in the job - should that be communicated - that if all fails you can use english? 2nd how about offering free German language courses for 3 years? and an assistant to help through bureaucracy? //
immigration  knowledge  worker  knowledge  economy  domain  knowledge  human  capital  skill-biased  technological  change  capital  skills  practical  skills  practical  skill  set  Germany  Green  Card  workforce  Fachkräftemangel  education  policy  demographics  demographic  bubble  society  image  brand  details  White-collar  Blue-collar 
august 2014 by asterisk2a
SPIEGEL.TV - Landflucht der Deutschen
+ property price bubble in cities. but no end in sight because underlying trend is demographic change and the move to the city, the move where employers are. thus it is a generational change, a change that is structural, ...
Betongold  Beton  Gold  demographic  bubble  demographics  demography  Germany  property  bubble  urbanisation  urban  planning  structural  change  generational  change  Leipzig  Frankfurt  am  Main  Strukturschwach 
march 2014 by asterisk2a
Hamburg, München, Berlin: Mieten in Großstädten steigen weiter - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Ursache sei vor allem die Wohnungsknappheit in den Städten, in die immer mehr Menschen zögen. Die Entwicklung gebe es aber bereits seit einigen Jahren. "Nach mehreren Jahrzehnten stagnierender Immobilienpreise befindet sich der deutsche Immobilienmarkt seit 2010 in einer Boomphase", teilte das Institut mit. Die höchsten Mietpreissteigerungen habe es seit Anfang 2010 in Berlin, München, Freiburg, Ulm und Wolfsburg gegeben.
unintended  consequences  ZIRP  Beton  Gold  QE  hunt  for  yield  asset  bubble  speculative  bubbles  Germany  NIRP  negative  real  interest  rate  ECB  2013  urbanisation  Gentrified  urban  planning  demographics  demography  Demographic 
december 2013 by asterisk2a
From Demographic Boom To Dependency Bust | Zero Hedge
The economic and asset bubble in Japan burst in 1990, at roughly the same time as its demographic structure reached a tipping point. As UBS' George Magnus notes, the working age population began to fall, marking the start of a relentless rise in both the total and old age dependency ratios; and, he adds, a comparable phenomenon occurred in the US and Europe between 2005-2010. On current trends, Magnus warns, China will replicate at least the demographic part of this phenomenon between now and 2016, against a backdrop of rising concern about the structural nature of the slowdown in economic growth, along with rising credit intensity, indebtedness, and misallocation of resources.
babyboomers  demography  USA  demographic  bubble  economic  history  demographics  Europe  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  Japan  China  entitlements 
june 2013 by asterisk2a
Studie: Wie die Parteien Nichtwähler umstimmen können - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Von Demokratie entfremdet >> "Nichtwähler stammen vor allem aus den unteren sozialen Schichten" + >> "Nichtwähler sind durchaus politisch interessiert und informiert" meaning they know about the reality of election promises. [...] >> Politics became something about power and career. And less about content [matters], honest debates, and sensible public policy for the future, real democracy, accountability, transparency. And don't forget - trust & confidence. Politics right now doesn't shine here either. >> >> Simple Career Politicians don't seize the moment of greater responsibility they have.
demography  Politics  non-voters  working  poor  election  promises  study  accountability  political  error  voters  transparency  election  campaign  promises  election  middle  class  political  folly  demographics  politicalscience  Germany  democracy 
june 2013 by asterisk2a
Druckenmiller: "I See A Storm Coming" | Zero Hedge
Stanley Druckenmiller - skin in the game // "a storm coming, maybe bigger than the storm we had in 2008, 2010." "society's short-term thinking" > current senior stealing from current generation and future seniors
entitlement  spending  monetary  policy  Politics  Medicare  Medicaid  millennials  accountability  pension  scheme  generationy  Stanley  Druckenmiller  generational  change  demographic  bubble  trust  short-term  thinking  pension  fund  economic  history  fiscal  policy  confidence  pension  obligation  Social  Security  trustagent  bubble  ZIRP  demographics  nassimtaleb 
march 2013 by asterisk2a
Studie: Deutsche wünschen sich immer weniger Kinder - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Jetzt zeigt eine aktuelle Studie, warum die Bundesbürger auf Nachwuchs verzichten: Grund sind alte Rollenbilder - und der Wunsch nach Selbstverwirklichung.

Die Ergebnisse sind ernüchternd. Vielen Deutschen sind ihr Beruf, ihre Hobbys und ihre Freunde wichtiger als ein Kind zu bekommen. Dem Bericht zufolge lautet das Fazit: "Kinder stellen nicht mehr für alle Deutschen einen zentralen Lebensbereich dar."

Die Gründe dafür sind vielfältig. So hat sich die gesellschaftliche Haltung zum Thema Elternschaft deutlich verändert. Vor einem halben Jahrhundert galt man eigentlich erst als richtig erwachsen, wenn man einen Beruf hatte, verheiratet war und Kinder hatte. Heute gibt es für das Kinderkriegen keine Anerkennung mehr. Und kaum noch jemand erwartet, dass sich seine gesellschaftliche Stellung durch Nachwuchs verbessert. Viele Menschen befürchten offenbar sogar, dass mehr als zwei oder drei Kinder ein Makel sein könnten.

Hochqualifizierte verzichten ganz auf Nachwuchs
higher  education  philosophy  Individualism  emancipation  feminism  education  psychology  sociology  society  culture  demographics  demography 
december 2012 by asterisk2a
Zuwanderung von Ingenieuren aus Südeuropa nützt Deutschland - SPIEGEL ONLINE
So absurd es klingen mag: Die Euro-Krise hilft Unternehmen wie Ziehl-Abegg. Denn der Bewerberstrom aus Südeuropa wird in den nächsten Monaten kaum abreißen: Im ersten Halbjahr 2012 kamen netto rund 182.000 Zuwanderer nach Deutschland, 35 Prozent mehr als im Vorjahreszeitraum. Die Zahl der Portugiesen und Spanier stieg gegenüber 2011 um mehr als die Hälfte, die Zahl der griechischen Zuwanderer steig um 78 Prozent. In der Krise gilt Deutschland als letzte Zuflucht vor der Massenarbeitslosigkeit und der tiefen Rezession in ihren Heimatländern.


Imigration ... Das habe Deutschland auch bitter nötig: "Der demografische Wandel wird uns in 10 bis 15 Jahren voll treffen. Bis dahin müssen wir unser Erwerbspersonenpotential entwickeln", sagt Brücker. Ob der Zustrom aus dem Süden aber noch lange anhält, hält der Ökonom aber für sehr fraglich: "Wir haben eine einmalige Situation. Fast überall in Europa ist Krise, nur in Deutschland nicht. Das bleibt nicht für immer so."
babyboomers  demography  demographics  lostgeneration  lostdecade  greatrecession  germany  emigration  imigaration  2012  Portugal  Greece  Spain  unemployment  sovereign  debt  crisis  PIIGS 
november 2012 by asterisk2a
Worker shortage in Canada will hit in about 15 years, demographer says
"Germany, Russia and Japan are the powers of the past, not the powers of the future,"
At an afternoon forum on education and workplace trends, consultant and author Lynne Lancaster said reconciling the different generations in the workforce is a key challenge for employers.

Baby boomers retain much of the institutional knowledge and prestige in their employment, she said. Generation X - those born between 1965 and 1981, are "talented and skilled" but are waiting for baby boomers to cede their place.

"Millennials" - born after 1981 - are looking for meaning within their work, said Lancaster.
economic  history  Japan  Germany  demography  demographics 
october 2012 by asterisk2a
There are too many 'old' people in the world (01Oct12) - YouTube
"demographic burden"
it is happening.
status quo can not be upheld

No only get people old, but also old and sick (diabetes, cancer, obesity, ... modern world diseases) at the same time and current health policy is only about managing the diseases. Public and Health policy has to be about prevention. Thus lowering the overall cost. Also giving people better quality of life ... getting older ... dying of old age, and not because of a disease.

World faces ageing population time bomb says UN
The world needs to take urgent action to cope with the impact of a rapidly ageing population, according to a new report, which forecast that the number of people older than 60 would surpass one billion within a decade.
health  crisis  health  policy  fiscal  policy  public  policy  Politics  status  quo  pension  pension  scheme  pension  obligation  demography  demographics 
october 2012 by asterisk2a
Born Bankrupt: State of UK economy, part1/2 (24Aug12) - YouTube
Generational Theft. In-front of our eyes. Decline in-front of our eyes. Decline is subliminal.

Society's Contract, is broken. Society (baby boomers) is also bankrupt ethically and morally. Who are they to say what ought to be dome about the state of 'the system'!?

Part 2:

Book: Jilted Generation, Ed Howker (Author)
history  political  theory  book  generational  contract  generational  change  GeorgeOsborne  nickclegg  davidcameron  2012  moralhazard  moral  ethics  society  demographics  demography  fiscal  policy  policy  folly  policy  error  political  economy  politics  accountability  governance  lostgeneration  lostdecade  babyboomers  GordonBrown  tonyblair  UK  debt  bubble  debtoverhang  greatrecession  GFC 
august 2012 by asterisk2a
America's Demographic Cliff: The Real Issue In The Coming, And All Future Presidential Elections | ZeroHedge
It’s a pretty tough picture, to say the least; as the population ages, we’re looking at more and more money dedicated to retirement benefits with a smaller workforce to fund the spending.

The stronger turnout of these voters (retirement age people), and their sheer numbers, are also likely to have an important impact on US political races in the years to come.

Social Security and Medicare spending are projected to grow exponentially as healthcare costs explode and the biggest population wave in the history of the US starts to enter retirement. The Congressional Budget Office expects spending to increase by 150% over the next 25 years, which is hardly sustainable with barely 2 workers for every retired person in 2035... there’s a storm a comin’
babyboomers  pension  scheme  pension  pension  obligation  medicare  socialsecurity  USA  demography  demographics 
august 2012 by asterisk2a
Bagehot: Generation Xhausted | The Economist
Begin with the early 20s, which across the recessionary West, but perhaps especially in Britain, with its high housing costs, are grimmer than in the past: 20-somethings are often indebted, jobless and stuck in an involuntarily protracted adolescence. The Office for National Statistics reckons that nearly 3m people between 20 and 34 were living with their parents last year, almost half a million more than in 1997.

The “sandwich generation”—caught between adolescent children and senescent parents—used to be in their mid-40s. Now the oldies are living and staying healthy for longer, and so requiring care later. Carers UK, a charity, calculates that the number of pensioners who are themselves carers (of either partners or their own ancient parents) is rising fast. Thus 55—an age when, in the past, people were liberated from immediate family obligations to rediscover fun—may soon be the new 45. The sandwich generation is getting stale.

And parents in late 30s; late family + career.
demography  demographics  relationships  well-being  happieness  generational  change  GFC  greatrecession  lostgeneration  lostdecade  babyboomers  generations  change  society  culture 
august 2012 by asterisk2a
US-Familienpolitik: Ein Prsident ohne Kinder? Undenkbar! - SPIEGEL ONLINE - Nachrichten - Politik
"Amerikaner sind oft unerschrockener"
Kurz: In den USA bedeuten Kinder häufig große finanzielle Opfer, stärker noch als in Deutschland. Warum werden dort trotzdem mehr Kinder geboren?
Carsten Große Starmann, Demografie-Experte bei der Bertelsmann-Stiftung in Gütersloh, sieht den Grund vor allem in kulturellen Unterschieden. "Die Wertigkeit von Kindern und Familie, aber auch die Bewertung von Sicherheit und Risiko sind in den USA ganz anders als in Deutschland."
In Deutschland, sagt er, gebe es ein starkes Sicherheitsdenken und die Tendenz, persönliche Entscheidungen sehr behutsam abzuwägen. Eine "Kultur des Zweifels", wie der Lüneburger Soziologe Günter Burkart schreibt. Tatsächlich sorgen sich die meisten Amerikaner nicht allzu sehr um die potentiellen Hürden und Herausforderungen des Elternseins. "Ich glaube nicht, dass die meisten Frauen eine Rechnung aufmachen, ob und wann sie sich ein Kind leisten können", ...
demographics  germany  USA  family  policy  children  childcare 
august 2011 by asterisk2a
YouTube - Die Desinformation mit der Statistik! Wenn ich wei, welches Interesse.... Gerd Bosbach
Wenn das die Bürger wüssten, dann wären diese Böse!?!Geschönte Zahlen Gerd Bosbach blickt hinter die Statistiken"Wenn ich weiß, welches Interesse hinter einer Zahl steckt, weiß ich auch, in welche Richtung sie schön gefärbt worden ist", meint Statistiker Gerd Bosbach.
statistics  politics  germany  fraud  accounting  2011  unemployment  hartz-iv  healthcare  demographics  europe 
april 2011 by asterisk2a
Europe's Failing Health -
The statistics paint a bleak picture. According to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, the European Union will see an increase in health expenditure of 350% by 2050, whereas at the same time the economy is only set to expand by 180%.
Some work has already been done to estimate the real impact on future expenditures. Friedrich Breyer, a professor of economics at the University of Konstanz in Germany, calculates that in Germany alone between 2020 and 2030 there will be a huge spike in the number of elderly people alongside an enormous drop in young and working-age people. "This will mean a dramatic increase in individuals' payroll tax contribution rates to health care to 20.7% in 2030 and over 23% in 2040," he says. This compares to just 11.4% in 1980.
healthcare  economics  aging  population  elderly  demographics  change  outlook  forecast  crisis  politics  taxation  NHS  UK  reform  freemarkets  debate 
march 2011 by asterisk2a
Die neuen Crash-Risiken: Mrkte in der Demografiefalle |
Die Einwohner der Industrieländer werden immer älter. Für Anleger ist das eine schlechte Nachricht: Sie müssen sich auf schrumpfende Renditen einstellen. Denn alte Leute hocken eher auf ihrem Geld als jüngere und setzen vorwiegend auf sichere Häfen.

Wir werden älter, viele Industrieländer drohen zu vergreisen. Und mit ihnen ihre wirtschaftliche Leistungsfähigkeit. "Demografie gleicht der Schwerkraft: Sie ist kaum zu sehen, aber ihre Effekte sind enorm kraftvoll", schreibt Anleiheguru Bill Gross von der Allianz-Fondstochter Pimco in seinem jüngsten Investmentausblick. Und geht sogar noch weiter: "Nicht nur das globale Wirtschaftswachstum, sondern die Zukunft des Kapitalismus selbst hängt vom Bevölkerungswachstum ab."

Während die Bevölkerung in Europa bis 2050 schrumpfen wird, fällt der Zuwachs in absoluten Zahlen in Afrika und Asien rund zehnmal so hoch aus wie in Nord- und Südamerika.
demographics  demography  Demographic  europe  UK  future  outlook 
august 2010 by asterisk2a
The future of Europe: Staring into the abyss | The Economist
While still grumbling about unfounded rumours in financial markets (and he has a point), a more realistic Mr Zapatero argued: “There is nothing better than transparency to demonstrate solvency.”

Mr Zapatero reversed course, announcing civil-service pay cuts and other austerity measures. He unveiled a (modest) plan to ease Spain’s rigid labour laws, which make older workers almost unsackable, leaving young and immigrant workers on temporary contracts to take the pain when Spain’s property-led boom turned to bust. At 40%, youth unemployment in Spain is not just high; it is a moral indictment of an entire system.

Between 2005 and 2030 the working-age population of the European Union will shrink by 20m, and the number of those over 65 will increase by 40m.
Europe draws the right lessons from this crisis. An open, flexible, competitive EU offers Europeans the best chance of confronting globalisation.
Big choices loom.
Europe  EMU  june  july  2010  transparency  EuropeanCommission  europeanunion  eurozone  spain  aging  demographics  pension  structure  demography  greece  PIIGS  germany  france 
july 2010 by asterisk2a
Bernanke on Deficits: In Long Run, We’re All on Social Security, Medicare - Real Time Economics - WSJ
The economist John Maynard Keynes said that in the long run, we are all dead. If he were around today he might say that, in the long run, we are all on Social Security and Medicare. That brings me to two interrelated economic challenges our nation faces: meeting the economic needs of an aging population and regaining fiscal sustainability. The U.S. population will change significantly in coming decades with the combined effect of the decline in fertility rates following the baby boom and increasing longevity. As our population ages, the ratio of working-age Americans to older Americans will fall, which could hold back the longrun prospects for living standards in our country. The aging of the population also will have a major impact on the federal budget, most dramatically on the Social Security and Medicare programs, particularly if the cost of health care continues to rise at its historical rate. Thus, we must begin now to prepare for this coming demographic transition.
benbernanke  Fed  deficit  bubble  budget  demographics  usa  babyboomers  medicare  socialsecurity  2010  fiscal  policy  HerbStein  outlook  aging  population  Fertility  living  standards  taxation  output-gap  interestrate  stagnation 
april 2010 by asterisk2a
Mehr als Geld und gute Worte — die bank - Zeitschrift für Bankpolitik und Praxis
Denn über den Unternehmen hängt wie eine Gewitterwolke der Megatrend „Demographischer Wandel“. Was Bundesministern und Rentenversicherern graue Haare beschert, ist längst auch Aufgabe für die Human Resources Bereiche. Weil in vielen Industrieländern der Zahl junger Menschen schrumpft sowie der Anteil Älterer und Alter dramatisch zunimmt, verschärft sich die Konkurrenz der Arbeitgeber um die besten Talente.
Mitarbeiterentwicklung und Talent-Management sind längst strategische Aufgaben, um die Prosperität des Unternehmens in der Zukunft zu sichern, junge Talente zu finden, zu entwickeln und zu binden.
Schon seit Anfang der 1990er Jahre lassen Globalisierung und Industrialisierung mit ihren Zwillingsgeschwistern Outsourcing und Restrukturierung erahnen, dass die Banklehre nicht mehr in jedem Fall eine lebenslange Job-Garantie bietet.
war-for-talent  talent  globalisation  outsourcing  restructuring  industrial  industrialisation  banking  demographics  trend  patterns  management  people  recruiting  Recruitment 
january 2010 by asterisk2a
Op-Ed Contributor - Aging Nations -
HONG KONG — Shanghai has plenty of achievements to boast about but one record suggests a bleaker future — the world’s lowest fertility rate, with 0.7 births per woman of child-bearing age.

In an era in which one frequently hears dire warnings that overpopulation will one day overwhelm the planet, this may not seem like an insurmountable problem. But low fertility rates in Asia, as in Europe, have created an economic time bomb, in which aging populations will be dependent for survival on a rapidly diminishing number of working age people.
demographics  demography  aging  population  economics  china  politics  kriesenkinder  crisis 
august 2009 by asterisk2a

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