asterisk2a + commodity   144

Alan Greenspan on Brexit, U.S. Economy, and Inflation (Full Interview) - YouTube
UK out of Euro Currency but part of free trade single market was best option on table. // lack of leadership for political union and fiscal union aka ever closer union. not just currency and trade union (free trade). // GET AT THE ROOT ISSUE; productivity, ageing population (entitlement crisis), stagnant wages, secular stagnation = desperate population // European banks some still burdened by sov debt crisis/NPL (= zombie banks) & NIRP & QE & lack of uptake in business & consumer loans. // no back-up to the ECB (balance sheet) yet. what happens if the EURO stops being a hard currency? get Greece out, is a liability. // EU can not go on in Status Quo indefinitely. ie funding southern states. States have to get on course of economic harmony! everyone has to give up something! // Precariat/Squeezed Middle Class/Social Mobility = creates desperate people. // Entitlements are a legal issues. Productivity and Growth Rates can't fund entitlements. = There will be a crisis. // Career Politicians won't touch it. // History (look at M2) this environment ends up in inflation. not time or data.
European  Union  Brexit  fiscal  Political  Union  ECB  Alan  Greenspan  Fed  Yanis  Varoufakis  Janet  Yellen  PIGS  sovereign  debt  crisis  secular  stagnation  productivity  gap  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  ageing  population  current  account  deficit  budget  deficit  GFC  entitlement  spending  Abenomics  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  pension  obligation  babyboomers  Baby  Boomers  immigration  NIRP  ZIRP  QE  economic  history  Germany  Angela  Merkel  BOE  Mark  Carney  rising  middleclass  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  Precariat  populism  demagogue  demagogy  Donald  Trump  western  world  savings  rate  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  triple-lock  pension  pension  fund  pension  scheme  democracy  Career  Politicians  politician  output  gap  M2  inflation  targeting  M3  commodity  prices  global  economy 
june 2016 by asterisk2a
IMF urges more spending to boost growth
Fund’s steering committee calls for more forceful stimulus and warns monetary policy alone is not enough //&! http://www.theguardian.com/business/imf //&! bit.ly/1V9pfhD - IMF chief: regulators long 'alarmed' over Panama's handling of taxation. Christine Lagarde responds to Panama Papers revelations, noting that authorities were concerned but did not take ‘expected’ action.
secular  stagnation  Panama  Papers  tax  evasion  tax  amnesty  tax  avoidance  corporate  tax  rate  labour  market  job  market  Service  Sector  Jobs  income  tax  receipts  budget2016  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  general  election  2015  general  election  2020  election  campaign  promises  Party  Funding  Richard  Koo  Confidence  Fairy  austerity  underinvestment  Generationengerechtigkeit  triple-lock  pension  fairness  Generation  Rent  Housing  Crisis  property  bubble  USA  UK  reflation  reflate  fiscal  policy  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  GFC  sovereign  debt  banking  bank  bailout  job  creation  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  IMF  OECD  credit  bubble  China  BRIC  recovery  Germany  economic  history  2016  Niall  Ferguson  budget  deficit  offshore  banking  investment  banking  TBTF  self-regulation  Greed  crony  capitalism  shareholder  capitalism  globalisation  globalization  global  economy  Oil  price  commodity  prices  ChristineLagarde  inequality  Gini  coefficient  income  mobility  social  mobility  low  pay  low  income  tax  credit  child  poverty  food  poverty  health  care  cost  health  care  demand  western  world  European  Union  Brussels  Brexit  Grexit  sick  population  health  economic  Union  Union  investment  policy  fiscal  me 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Oil exporter talks hit difficulties in Doha
A meeting of leading oil exporting countries in Qatar, called to address the low level of prices, has run into difficulties.
Reports from Qatar's capital Doha, say the problem is tension between Saudi Arabia and Iran.
The agenda for the meeting is whether to freeze production levels.
Iran has consistently refused to take such steps but Saudi officials have at times appeared willing to take such action only if Iran were to as well. //&! failed at the end to come to, what would have been, a historic agreement - bit.ly/1SfbyYF
OPEC  Oil  price  commodity  prices  secular  stagnation  2016  global  economy  western  world  Saudi  Arabia  Iran 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Future of Steel - Ken Clarke & Paul Mason - BBC Newsnight
[TORIES CRISIS: bedroom tax, JSA sanctions killing people, Food Banks, redefining child poverty and fuel poverty, Independent Living Fund closed, Housing Crisis, tax cut defeat in Lords, mental health, NHS strikes, Hinkley Point C, energy prices, London Airport expansion/3rd runway, ESA cut, PIP cut and resignation of IDS, Brexit splitting the Party, shit world economy, can't touch triple-lock pensions, Academy plans, Panama Papers (British Territory: Bahamas, Cayman & Co).] Now - Tories are victims to their own policy of underinvestment since 2010 of a future-proof economy "long-term predictability" [BREXIT & austerity not predictable]. Energy prices too high, not competitive. Manufacturing never recovered. Monetary policy has run its course (sedative + Chinas credit bubble). policy folly now wholly exposed! AND now they tinker with the idea of picking winners! LOL! nationalising or part-nationalising through guarantees or subsidies on energy price. & youtu.be/QJw24Z-cEoQ
underinvestment  austerity  Smart  Grid  energy  policy  energy  price  competitive  advantage  competitive  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  budget2010  budget2015  Budget2016  Manufacturing  current  account  deficit  budget  deficit  trade  deficit  TPP  AIIB  World  Bank  China  BRIC  commodity  prices  heavy  industry  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomic  policy  macroprudential  policy  Mark  Carney  education  policy  skills  gap  skill  gap  skill  investment  apprenticeship  further  education  immigration  migration  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  NIRP  ZIRP  QE  recovery  output  gap  productivity  productivity  gap  Service  Sector  Jobs  job  creation  labour  market  job  market  DWP  Iain  Duncan  Smith  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  Manifesto  corporate  restructuring  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  corporate  subsidies  Privatisation  Nationalization  Nationalisation  constituency  Party  Funding  general  election  2020  IMF  OECD  policy  folly  policy  error  global  economy  credit  bubble  Germany  Hinkley  Point  C  renewable  energy  energy  storage  job  creation  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Mark  Carney  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  property  bubble  rent-seeking  rentier  liquidity-trap  liquidity  trap  Housing  Crisis  Help  to  Save  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Right  to  Buy  Buy-to-Let 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
GoPro Isn’t Doomed Yet. But they must become a software company, fast.
GoPro needed to spend heavily in “video editing automation.”
GoPro needs software in spades, far beyond just something to make editing easier. The company that created the first mass-market visceral experience broadcasting device ought to have a hand in every dimension of the current live revolution, not just be one of its few cameras. That requires software. [...] Most consumers already have all the hardware they need to create video; what they need is software to make this infinity of images comprehensible. As the defensibility of hardware declines, GoPro has an advantage few other makers of software have: fans, tens or even hundreds of millions of them.
Software  Is  Eating  The  World  Software  Eats  The  World  commoditization  commodity  business  Brand  Canon  Nikon  Kodak  Instagram  Beme  Vine  Snapchat  Entertainment  Selbstdarstellung  streaming  Twitch  Periscope  Meerkat  virtual  reality  VR  Augmented  Android  iPhone  Apple  premium  aspiration  status  anxiety  consumerism  materialism  mass  market  Pop  Culture  Hardware  Unicorn  DJI  Drone  Consumer  App  Consumer  Software  video  editing  Vlog  Vlogging 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Aldi cranks up the pressure on the big four supermarkets
All the major chains have cut prices, but Barnes says he merely cut Aldi’s further, by an average 6% in the past year, to maintain the differential. He adds that Asda will never achieve its stated aim of narrowing its price gap with the discounters to just 5%. “Whether Asda gets to 5% is not just their decision; it’s ours as well. We will not let any competitor get to 5%. That’s a concrete commitment.”

Maintaining that price position has hit Aldi’s already slim profit margins, but Barnes says profits were strong last year, with the cost of price cuts offset by increased sales and tight control of central costs. He believes deflation in the market will slow by the end of this year as the major chains switch to competing on measures such as service or quality.
ASDA  Aldi  Lidl  Tesco  UK  Retail  brick  and  mortar  on-demand  Supermarket  commodity  business  austerity  squeezed  middle  class  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  working  poor  recovery  Frugal 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
The Uber Model, It Turns Out, Doesn’t Translate
Uber for X // Startups that deliver what you want, when you want it — like Uber, but for groceries, laundry, munchies, etc. — are revamping their business plans or shutting down entirely. It turns out that the on-demand model is so cash-intensive that it only really works if you're, well, Uber.
Uber  Uber  for  X  Uber  Playbook  Lyft  on-demand  mobile  homescreen  convenience  Share  Economy  Gig  Economy  self-employment  1099  Economy  marketplace  efficiencies  TaskRabbit  Zero  Hour  Contract  commodity  business  commoditization  Niedriglohnsektor  Service  Sector  Jobs  job  insecurity  job  creation  job  security  job  market  freelancing  freelance  precarious  work  working  poor  Silicon  Valley 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Budget 2016: Osborne's economic fitness regime - BBC News
[2015] 80% OF ECONOMY CONSUMER SPENDING! - The economy has enjoyed what Andrew Goodwin of Oxford Economics describes as a "sugar rush" -the equivalent of a big tax cut - or 'fiscal stimulus' - through lower petrol prices. The economy grew by 2.2% last year; 80% of that growth was down to consumer spending. "That [growth] strikes us as some distance below par given the tailwinds we have had," Mr Goodwin says. And after the sugar rush comes the sugar crash: growth is likely to be revised down in the years to come because of global economic weakness.
budget2016  budget2015  George  Osborne  policy  folly  policy  error  zombie  consumer  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  student  debt  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  mortgage  rates  mortgage  market  property  bubble  Oil  price  commodity  prices  aggregate  demand  distortion  underinvestment  IFS  OBR  income  tax  receipts  HMRC  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  working  poor  low  income  low  pay  squeezed  middle  class  Consumerism  Industrial 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
ECB reveals surprise stimulus moves - BBC News
[C]ut its main interest rate from 0.05% to 0% as part of a package of measures intended to revive the eurozone economy.
The bank will also expand its quantitative easing programme from €60bn to €80bn a month.
The ECB also decided to further cut its bank deposit rate, from minus 0.3% to minus 0.4%.
The measures, including the decision to cut the main interest rate, were more radical than investors had expected. John Hardy, head of currency strategy at Saxo Bank, said: "This was a much bigger bazooka than the market was expecting and shows the ECB trying to get ahead of the confidence curve after learning its lesson in December."
The stimulus measures announced three months ago have largely failed to drive economic growth higher or boost inflation. //&! bit.ly/1TP0XJJ - Volles Risiko &! bit.ly/1P8hncF &! bit.ly/1RCF3Tp &! Market Reaction - bit.ly/1LeOrjo &! bit.ly/1RTBJ95 - no investment bc aggregate demand not rising //&! bbc.in/225Eexl
ECB  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  OMT  inflation  targeting  LTRO  TLTRO  deflation  secular  stagnation  deflationary  Oil  price  commodity  prices  squeezed  middle  class  demographic  bubble  zombie  banks  global  economy  Richard  Koo  liquidity-trap  liquidity  trap  underinvestment  aggregate  demand  distortion 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Brasilien: Nach Giftschlamm-Katastrophe zahlt Samarco Entschädigung - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Das Schlammdesaster im Rio Doce gilt als eine der schlimmsten Umweltkatastrophen Brasiliens. Nun zahlen die Verantwortlichen Schadensersatz - laut Präsidentin Rousseff ein "historisches Abkommen".
Brazil  fossil  fuel  Petroleum  Industry  commodity  prices  BRIC  self-regulation  ecological  disaster  environmental  disaster  industrial  accident  regulation  regulators  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  mining 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
IEA warns consumers of spike in oil prices - BBC News
[ Saudie's playing game of who has the deepest pockets against USA and Canada ] The International Energy Agency (IEA) is warning consumers not to let cheap oil lull them into a false sense of security amid forecasts of a price spike by 2021. In a report, the IEA said it expects prices to start recovering in 2017. But it forecasts that will be followed by a sharp jump in price as supply shrinks following under-investment by struggling producers.
OPEC  shale  gas  fracking  Saudi  Arabia  aggregate  demand  BRIC  China  credit  bubble  commodity  prices  secular  stagnation  Russia  Middle  East  Iran  Iraq  Oil  price  petrodollar  petrodollars  Petroleum  Industry  fossil  fuel  underinvestment 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Koch Brothers Declare War On Electric Cars - YouTube
introduce a carbon tax, rather than cherry picking! // who is also invested in their "ventures"? Arabs! See also Fahrenheit 9/11 documentary by Michael Moore. //&! Koch Bros Behind Solar Power Fines - youtu.be/E3SDcOZLksk --- ALEC lobby group. //&! Koch Bros Slammed By Billionaire T. Boone Pickens - youtu.be/65Y1RWDdQBI //&! Koch Brothers Caught On Tape - Obama & Osama Compared - youtu.be/hTUjYyae2zw //&! Koch Brothers Destroyed By Bloomberg Report - youtu.be/ENuN2R0je0k //&! Letters Expose Agenda Of Billionaire Koch Brothers - youtu.be/1JdhyI8mmqY //&! Koch Bros Tried To Shut Up Maddow, Bad Idea - youtu.be/J4XQO6bH7_k //&! Zach Galifianakis Slams Koch Brothers - youtu.be/fW96KEbeGTw //&! Koch Brothers EXPOSED: 2014 (ft. Bernie Sanders) - youtu.be/2N8y2SVerW8 //&!
fossil  fuel  vested  interest  interest  groups  carbon  tax  electric  car  Tesla  Motors  renewable  energy  solar  energy  wind  energy  subsidies  subsidizing  COP21  plutocracy  Greed  oligarchy  Super  Rich  1%  revolving  door  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  Koch  Brothers  Career  Politicians  Super  PAC  presidential  election  2016  climate  change  Generationengerechtigkeit  global  warming  climate  crisis  economic  damage  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  corporate  welfare  pork  barrel  corporate  scandal  Oil  price  commodity  prices  budget  deficit  industrial  policy  competitiveness  competitive  crony  capitalism  history  Saudi  Arabia  petrodollar  Petroleum  Industry  petrodollars  Middle  East  gwbush  bush  georgewbush  fracking  shale  gas  SolarCity  Panel  ALEC  bribery  corruption  antitrust  far-right  free  market  neoconservatism  neoconservatives  neoliberalism  neoliberal 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
North Sea oil and gas workers offered chance to retrain as teachers - BBC News
Prime Minister David Cameron also recently announced a £20m funding package to help the North Sea oil and gas sector. That came after the Scottish and UK governments unveiled details of a £250m "City Deal" for Aberdeen, which will see them jointly invest in the area. Separately, the Scottish government promised an extra £254m of investment in key infrastructure projects in Aberdeen and Aberdeenshire.
education  policy  staff  shortage  Scotland  Aberdeen  aberdeenshire  Oil  price  commodity  prices 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Norway seeks to diversify its economy as oil earnings plunge - BBC News
As oil prices have collapsed, it's become clear that Norway has caught what used to be called the Dutch disease - an overreliance on one industry, in this case the oil and gas sector. With its upmarket waterfront restaurants and the Barcode office blocks, the Sorenga dockside development serves as a poignant reminder of how prosperous Norway had become while the going was still good. [...] Unbalanced economy [...] "The oil and gas industry became too strong in our economy, especially during the last four or five years, reflects Prime Minister Erna Solberg. "Most of the growth came from that sector, and our strong currency left some of our traditional industries behind." [...] Household debts have reached more than 200% of annual disposable income [ Dutch Disease; UK & USA = domestic consumption, Germany = exports and its name, London = Finance and wealthy expats/non-doms, Switzerland = exports and its name , China = export, Brazil = commodity export ]
Norway  Aberdeen  Oil  price  commodity  prices  secular  stagnation  2016  2015  credit  bubble  China  BRIC  economic  history  reflate  reflation  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  aggregate  demand  Dutch  Disease  distortion  financial  repression  macroeconomics  macroeconomic  policy  macroprudential  policy  microeconomic  policy  unemployment  OPEC 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Episode 064 — Disrupting Trump by ExponentFM
37:00 - people go to amazon. pipe of stuff // same w Netflix - pipe of entertainment / front door of entertainment // cost free, marginally no cost to expand // key is now discovery! // but suppliers have no choice. cost pressure. // aggregation theory // differentiation only from being irreplaceable. unique. focused. narrow. avoid go out of way of commoditization. price is dead. newspaper itself has been fractured, broken up. // amazon is default for consumers. // how would you build a business that fit into amazon? that still makes you successful? differentiate to the point where you get a direct connection to the consumer! << custom to order quote paintings and other!? Want to compete in a completely new arena! where things are not scalable. where people can't compete on price with you. no "low-end focus" // winner take all effects - monopsony - size leverage to command conditions. // 1:12:00 find a niche
Amazon  Prime  e-commerce  Netflix  economics  of  abundance  abundance  marginal  cost  long-tail  subscription  model  subscription  publishing  2.0  digital  publishing  self-publishing  newspaper  Print  is  Dead  Etsy  Marketplace  commodity  business  commoditization  differentiate  differentiation  Gary  Vaynerchuk  Start-up  of  You  lesson  advice  Retail  pure  play  oligopoly  oligopol  competitive  competitive  advantage  competitiveness  monopsony  Brand 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
China bietet 43 Milliarden Dollar für Syngenta - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Es wäre es der bisher größte chinesische Zukauf im Ausland: Der Staatskonzern ChemChina will den Schweizer Agrochemie-Konzern Syngenta für mehr als 43 Milliarden Dollar kaufen. Allerdings müssen EU- und US-Behörden noch zustimmen.
China  M&A  credit  bubble  Hegemony  USA  Europe  antitrust  commodity  prices  Oil  price 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
The lights are going out for solar energy
Back in December, when most people were focussed on Christmas and not renewable subsidies, the government quietly published their decision to cut Feed-in Tariffs for industries such as solar, wind and hydropower by a staggering 65 per cent. Included in the small print was analysis which showed a possible 19,000 job losses, mostly in solar, which would see that industry shrink to under half its size. [...] Instead the government is thinking short-term, and our economy will suffer. For a party that wants people to think of it as economically competent, this is an incredibly bad move.
energy  price  energy  policy  renewable  energy  Amber  Rudd  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  short-termism  trickle-down  economics  carbon  tax  fossil  fuel  nuclear  power  carbonfootprint  carbon  trading  scheme  carbonemission  COP21  competitive  competitiveness  industrial  policy  Steel  Industry  Aberdeen  subsidies  subsidizing  corporate  welfare  Makers  Career  Politicians  constituency  policy  folly  policy  error  Opportunism  opportunist  Party  Funding  Oil  price  commodity  prices 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
BP makes record loss and axes 7,000 jobs | Business | The Guardian
£6bn wiped off stock market value of oil company as investors react to losses and increasing Deepwater Horizon liablities [...] In the meantime the company plans to divest up to $8bn of assets over the next two years and cut 4,000 jobs from its exploration arm and 3,000 from “downstream” refining. Many of the exploration posts will be in Houston but some could also be in Aberdeen. [...] “No one is making money (in the key North American market) at $30 per barrel oil and every oil company is taking as many writedowns as they can. These are largely paper losses and its an absolute over-reaction to mark down BP shares by 9%.”
Oil  price  commodity  prices  fracking  shale  gas  USA  OPEC 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Carney: No need for interest rate rises now - BBC News
Carney said that collapsing oil prices and an "unforgiving" global environment meant that tighter monetary policy was not yet necessary. [...] He pointed out that the Fed's rate rise had only brought the US interest rate to the same "lofty level" as the Bank of England's. The Governor said that three factors would be the strongest guide to when interest rates might rise. First, that economic growth in the UK would be higher than the average trend. He said that growth at an average quarterly rate of 0.5% in 2015 had "disappointed". Second, that wage growth strengthens and productivity improves. And, third, that core inflation starts to approach the target rate of 2%. //&! Rate rise pause till early 2017? - bbc.in/1T1Qrge - [ global risks are building, global imbalances, faultlines. ] There's a frying pan - the global growth slowdown - and a fire - high levels of indebtedness - out there. &! bbc.in/1S5N7ks
Fed  BOE  2016  Taper  UK  USA  monetary  policy  Mark  Carney  Fed  mandate  productivity  output  gap  inflation  expectation  inflation  targeting  nominal  GDP  targeting  deflationary  deflation  Oil  price  commodity  prices  wage  inflation  GDP  secular  stagnation  economic  history  austerity  fiscal  policy  property  bubble  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  mortgage  market  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  private  debt  corporate  debt  Europe  ECB  China  credit  bubble  2015  global  economy  BRIC  OPEC  aggregate  demand  Richard  Koo  overcapacity  Supply  and  and  Supply  liquidity  trap  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  stimulus  monetary  theory  unconventional  monetary  policy  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  zombie  consumer  zombie  corporations  zombie  banks  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  margin  trading  speculative  bubbles  equity  bubble  Super  Cycle  debt  servitude  leverage  George  Osborne  dogma  ideology  neoliberalism  neoliberal  faultlines  global  imbalances  distortion  emerging  middle  class  emerging  market  Frontier  Markets  sovereign  debt  crisis  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  QT  financial  repression  New  Normal 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Tata Steel: More than 1,000 jobs to go in UK - BBC News
China's overcapacity. Built for a world that doesn't exist (the west and else). Currently. + expensive energy price in UK! = Disaster. //&! http://bbc.in/1JclUtT - scrap metal prices down 50% y/y //&! Tata 'acting responsibly' - Newport industry expert - http://bbc.in/1QhVOqT - Dr Kathryn Ringwald, an expert on the steel industry and China at the University of South Wales, said Tata was being responsible by mothballing the plant and not closing it.
Oil  price  commodity  prices  China  credit  bubble  aggregation  Supply  and  Demand  Demand  and  Supply  UK  energy  price  energy  policy  competitive  competitiveness  AIIB 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
No, Goldman Is Not Calling For An "Oil Bull Market": Here Is What It Really Said And Why It's Bad News For Banks | Zero Hedge
And herein lies the rub, because the more energy suppliers go into bankruptcy to remove the excess supply which is the critical condition of Goldman's upside case, the greater the shock will be among the banking system which is clearly underreserved for a mass default wave. To wit, just moments ago Wells admitted that it is among the most exposed banks to the energy sector: WELLS FARGO HAS $17 BIL OF OUTSTANDING ENERGY LOANS: CFO
Oil  price  NPL  shale  gas  fracking  USA  OPEC  commodity  prices 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Börse: Warum Schwellenländer für die Kurskrise sorgen - Kolumne - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Chronisch überschüssige Leistungsbilanz [ & Over capacity for less/stagnant demand ... + biggest credit bubble (china) popped as the west can't afford more. QE and ZIRP has run it's way! ] [...] Der Grund, warum der deutsche Aktienindex weitaus mehr betroffen ist als andere europäische Indizes, liegt allein an der strukturellen Abhängigkeit der deutschen Industrie von Blasen in anderen Ländern. Anstatt auf bessere Stimmung zu hoffen, sind Anleger gut beraten, sich über den weiteren Verlauf der Schwellenländerkrise Gedanken zu machen. [...] [ Fed taper makes things more difficult to serve debt ] [...] Langfristig sind es die Gewinne und nicht die Zinsen, die die Aktienpreise treiben. //&! China (Asia/BRIC/Frontier Market) Corporate Bond Yields up - bit.ly/1Sme7fV & NPL probably too. //&! If property is biggest item of household wealth in a property bubble (UK, China, ... USA) - bit.ly/1Zpiy8M
trade  deficit  BRIC  credit  bubble  western  world  secular  stagnation  macroeconomic  policy  China  Japan  Germany  UK  USA  Brazil  commodity  prices  Oil  price  NPL  shadow  banking  shadow  economy  banking  crisis  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  QT  speculative  bubbles  property  bubble  mortgage  market  Fed  BOE  ECB  European  Union  sovereign  debt  crisis  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  private  debt  corporate  debt  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  austerity  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  Russia  OPEC  aggregate  demand  liquidity  trap  Richard  Koo  Richardkoo  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  debt  servitude  student  loan  debt  Super  Cycle  debt  bubble  student  debt  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  student  loan  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  squeezed  middle  class  precarious  work  Precariat  working  poor  neoliberalism  neoliberal  globalization  globalisation  borderless  flat  world  trade  agreement  Hegemony  TPP  TTIP  TISA  CETA  NAFTA  Africa  South  Africa  global  trade  trade  balance  current  account  deficit  Frontier  Markets  faultlines  structural  imbalance  global  imbalances  Taper  reflate  reflation  equity  bubble  Abenomics  economic  history  India  irrational  exuberance  Robert  Shiller  inequality  Gini  coefficient  deflationary 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
BHP Billiton writes down $7.2bn of shale assets - BBC News
BHP Billiton has written down the value of its US shale assets by $7.2bn (£5bn) as a result of the dive in oil prices.
Oil  price  OPEC  shale  gas  fracking  commodity  prices 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Perfect Storm!? | Zero Hedge
And with debt now $57 trillion higher worldwide than in 2008, it’s not at all clear that another borrowing binge will be greeted with enthusiasm by the world’s bond markets, currency traders or entrepreneurs. [ market correction, no liquidity, stuck with position, this may be no correction, but correction back to fundamental grounds ] [...] And one thought will appear in all those minds: Why didn’t I load up on gold when I had the chance?
2015  2016  China  consumer  debt  Super  Cycle  household  debt  mortgage  market  property  bubble  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  fiscal  policy  austerity  monetary  policy  credit  card  debt  car  loan  credit  card  debt  servitude  corporate  debt  sovereign  debt  crisis  debt  bubble  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  economic  history  Taper  Fed  BOE  ECB  PBOC  output  gap  globalisation  globalization  borderless  secular  stagnation  western  world  OPEC  Oil  price  commodity  prices  flat  world  BRIC  leverage 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Sports Direct is a reflection of the modern British economy | Letters | Business | The Guardian
Sports Direct seems to be a metaphor for the modern British economy. “The conscious strategy would seem to be to rely on cheap labour rather than costly investment,” as your editorial (11 December) says. It also illustrates the epidemic growth of workforce insecurity which plagues a nation scarred by the rise of the precariat. Britain is rapidly becoming the sweatshop of Europe, and this, along with bubbles in consumer debt and house prices, has been a major part in such anaemic recovery as we have seen over the past five years. [...] [ HMRC cut under austerity, can't do it's job ] //&! theguardian.com/business/sports-direct-international //&! bit.ly/1jTkmsi - transferring assets. then bringing in administrators. leaving suppliers empty.
corporate  scandal  Precariat  working  poor  precarious  work  job  security  low  pay  low  income  investigative  journalism  Whistleblower  Amazon  Retail  Online  Shopping  commodity  business  commoditization  crony  capitalism  capitalism  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  George  Osborne  industrial  policy  STEM  David  Cameron  Tories  nasty  party  underinvestment  Conservative  competitive  competitiveness  self-regulation  regulation  regulators  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  exploitation  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomic  policy  macroprudential  policy  business  investment  productivity  output  gap  austerity  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  corporate  welfare  white-collar  crime  subsidies  subsidizing  HMRC  Trade  Union  Workers  Union  skills  gap  accounting  scandal 
december 2015 by asterisk2a
A glut of crude politics - BBC News
It turns out US unconventional oil and gas production is more resilient, at a lower price, than the Saudis and others had predicted. Break-even for the new Texas and Dakota wells is higher than current prices (US West Texas Intermediate is below $37.50). So there is some expectation that supply from that American source will fall away in the next few months, as fracked wells lose pressure. But given the technology, it takes not much time to crank it back up again - once the price rises. [...] But the word from Oil and Gas UK is that there is now a "sustained fear" that prices will stay low for a long time. One of the trade body's senior managers told BBC radio on Wednesday that fields are losing money at current prices, and some aren't even covering their production costs. The consequence, says, Mike Tholen, will be fewer fields producing by the end of 2016. And with exploration all but dried up, there won't be fields to replace them. //&! bbc.in/1O0Rj4d
OPEC  Oil  price  commodity  prices  commodities  recovery  global  economy  Saudi  Arabia  unintended  consequences  energy  price  energy  policy  short-termism  unknown  unkown 
december 2015 by asterisk2a
Microsoft Sees That Apple Has Been Right All Along | Re/code
If you look at Microsoft’s new strategy, you can’t help but see that this is an acknowledgment that Apple’s business model of owning the hardware, software and services is ultimately the best one to assure Microsoft’s control of its own destiny.
Apple  Microsoft  commodity  business  commoditization  Hardware  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  Android  Windows  10  iOS  mobile  homescreen 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Seth's Blog: Selling like Steve
Average stuff for average people is getting ever more difficult to sell. If that's all you've got, get something else.
differentiate  differentiation  aspirational  product  zombie  consumer  status  symbol  status  anxiety  Apple  Steve  Jobs  Android  Google  iOS  Hardware  commodity  business  Branding  commoditization  Fashion  Industry  marketing  Positioning  advertisement  advertising 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
What's going on in UK manufacturing? - BBC News
Manufacturing abt 10% of UK output. The rest of the production industries: mining, quarrying, gas, electricity, water and sewage account for another 5%. The service sector accounts for 79%, with construction making up the final 6%. In the last decade, manufacturing grew gradually from 2005 to 2008, at which point it took a dive in the financial crisis in common with the rest of the economy. It recovered from 2010 until the start of 2012 and has been pretty volatile since then. The sector is still below its pre-crisis peaks, unlike the service sector, which is well above its pre-crisis level. [...] the sector had been "stunned by a triple combination of a sharp slowdown in consumer spending, weak business investment and stagnating export order inflows". But most of the big headlines have been about one sector: steel [ energy price not competitive & bust of commodity prices blown up by ZIRP, NIRP & QE ] [ why not lower energy prices for all!?] & bit.ly/1hPrPrn &! bbc.in/1jRMjRF
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october 2015 by asterisk2a
Krieg ǀ Evolution der Gewalt — der Freitag
Krieg Die Geschichte der Kriege hört nicht auf, sie ändern nur ihre Form und ihre Gestalt: Herfried Münklers neuer Wälzer // Kriegssplitter: Die Evolution der Gewalt im 20. und 21. Jahrhundert Herfried Münkler Rowohlt 2015, 400 S., 24,95 €
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october 2015 by asterisk2a
What is the outlook for Britain's steel industry? - BBC News
UK steelmakers want lower business rates, a relaxation of emissions targets for heavy manufacturers, more compensation for high energy prices and a commitment that British steel is used in major construction projects. "We've set out some of the things government can press ahead with now to send out a clear signal of support in the very short term," said Gareth Stace, director of UK Steel. [...] How does the government act without going against its free market principles and breaking EU rules? It has already provided steel makers with millions of pounds in compensation for carbon permit costs. Beyond that it says its hands are tied by strict European Union state-aid rules. [ << targeted welfare vs lower energy prices and a smart grid for all ] //&! bbc.in/1GhJaoH - Unions want the government to take "urgent short-term action" to support the industry. [...] the steel industry globally was facing one of the most difficult times in its history. [...] we can't change the price of steel.
Manufacturing  energy  price  energy  policy  industrial  policy  Smart  Grid  subsidies  subsidizing  corporate  welfare  EEG  Umlage  renewable  energy  green  energy  wind  energy  energy  security  solar  energy  solar  power  Revolution  2.0  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  underinvestment  productive  investment  Makers  Career  Politicians  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  constituency  competitive  competitiveness  competitive  advantage  fiscal  policy  public  investment  infrastructure  investment  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  Millennials  generationy  protectionism  austerity  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  babyboomers  Tories  Conservative  Party  western  secular  stagnation  Niall  Ferguson  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  inequality  Gini  coefficient  No  Representation  democracy  Super  Rich  1%  Commanding  Heights  commodity  prices  2015  European  Union  China  India  carbonfootprint  carbonemission  carbon  tax  carbon  trading  scheme  emissions 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Robots are coming for your job. That might not be bad news
The problem with automation isn’t technology. The problem is capitalism. // [ Deflationary pressure, 3bn people in developing world and frontier markets unemployed, waiting to join workforce. ] [ who buys the gadgets and widgets when half the world is unemployed ] // This time, as Martin Ford argues in Rise of The Robots, education and upscaling won’t help us. There will simply be fewer jobs to go around, as everything from accountancy to journalism will be done faster, cheaper and more efficiently by machines. The result, as Jerry Kaplan agrees in Humans Need Not Apply, is that billions will be left destitute – unless we radically rethink our way of keeping people fed.
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october 2015 by asterisk2a
Profit mean reversion and recession | Credit Writedowns
We are now in the seventh year of a cyclical recovery and bull market. Shares have tripled in that time frame. I would say this means we are much closer to the end of the business cycle than the beginning. Moreover, as Jeremy Grantham is quoted in the Business Insider piece, profits are mean-reverting and right now they are reverting from a phase that is “wildly optimistic” according to Warren Buffett. All of this is taking place against the backdrop of an economy in which wage growth is weak, household debt is still relatively high on a historic basis as a percentage of income and we have no policy room on the monetary side, with limited political appetite for policy on the fiscal side. To me, the pre-conditions for this profits recession speak to downside risk, ....
recovery  business  cycle  financial  cycle  private  debt  household  debt  consumer  debt  Student  Loan  Bubble  car  credit  card  debt  deleveraging  Richard  Koo  debtoverhang  austerity  fiscal  policy  economic  history  monetary  policy  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  western  world  secular  stagnation  Niall  Ferguson  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  income  distribution  Gini  coefficient  inequality  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Wall  Street  bank  bailout  budget  deficit  UK  USA  Schuldenbremse  Pact  sovereign  debt  crisis  Positioning  mainstreet.org  Germany  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  income  growth  low  income  crony  capitalism  reflate  reflation  Career  Politicians  constituency  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  Niedriglohnsektor  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  corporate  welfare  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  income  inequality  social  mobility  social  contract  political  theory  income  mobility  Standard  American  Diet  equity  credit  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  BRIC  BOE  Fed  Fed  mandate  BOJ  PBOC  distortion  2015  ECB  Super  debt  servitude  zombie  consumer  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  junk  bond  Taper  QT  irrational  exuberance  asset  allocation  capital  allocation  speculative  bubbles  commodity  prices  Oil  price  inflation  expe 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
American Apparel: a trip from the height of cool to lows of bankruptcy | Business | The Guardian
[ your edgy and PR storm/press differentiation can become a liability to future growth especially if you use that kind of marketing to grow, clickbait is not sustainable. stupid. should have stayed private and nimble! wall street and the numbers call it a bluff of the founder, cant be bigger & more than it was pre-ipo. no growing endlessly as edgy brand ] American Apparel has faced growing competition in the US from cut-price overseas competitors such as H&M, who have effectively replicated the brand’s fashion for a lower price. [...] recorded a loss for ten consecutive quarters, which was unsustainable given its debts. [...] American Apparel is the country’s biggest manufacturer of clothing and it is based in downtown Los Angeles. The company claims to pay experienced factory works more than $30,000 a year, compared with $600 a year for workers in Bangladesh factories. [...] we are taking this step to keep jobs in the US, and preserve the ideals for which the company stands.”
American  Apparel  Fashion  Industry  Manufacturing  Branding  brand  awareness  differentiate  differentiation  USA  Fast  Fashion  commodity  business  commoditization  Retail  pure  play  e-commerce  Wall  Street  IPO  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  mainstreet.org  fiduciary  responsibility  Venture  Capital  entrepreneur  entrepreneurship  Start-Up  lesson  Start-Up  advice  marketing  PR  advertising  advertisement 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
IMF warns of new financial crisis if interest rates rise | Business | The Guardian
Fund says governments in emerging markets should prepare now for a new credit crunch because of a 10-year corporate borrowing binge [...] “Shocks to the corporate sector could quickly spill over to the financial sector and generate a vicious cycle as banks curtail lending. Decreased loan supply would then lower aggregate demand and collateral values, further reducing access to finance and thereby economic activity, and in turn, increasing losses to the financial sector,” the IMF warns. [...] “Emerging markets must prepare for the adverse domestic stability implications of global financial tightening,” the IMF says.
credit  bubble  2015  Taper  centralbanks  IMF  OECD  Frontier  Markets  Developing  World  Richard  Koo  Debt  Super  Cycle  BRIC  AIIB  World  Bank  recovery  global  economy  global  trade  globalization  globalisation  flat  borderless  currency-war  currency  debasement  currency  war  BOE  BOJ  Abenomics  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  FOMO  asset  allocation  capital  allocation  malinvestment  speculative  bubbles  property  bubble  China  Brazil  commodity  prices  Oil  price  OPEC  reflate  reflation  equity  bubble  emerging  middle  class  demographic  bubble  secular  stagnation  western  UK  USA  Europe  Germany  austerity  divergence  faultlines  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  Niall  Ferguson  Fed  mandate  monetary  policy  unconventional  monetary  policy  zombie  consumer  zombie  banks  bailout  banking  crisis  crisis  fiscal  policy  fiscal  stimulus  economic  history  trickle-down  economics  tax  avoidance  tax  evasion  inequality  Gini  coefficient  NPL  shadow  banking  zombie  corporations  junk  bond  creditrating  distortion  financial  financial  crisis  GFC 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
The Anatomy of Brazil's Financial Meltdown - Bloomberg View
Brazil desperately needs a circuit breaker to eliminate the mounting threat of cascading negative outcomes. The best way to achieve this would be a series of official decisions, designed by the government and passed by the legislature, that restore the country's growth dynamic, contain its fiscal deterioration and reverse mounting inflationary pressures.
BRIC  credit  bubble  commodity  prices  China  Russia  OPEC  Oil  price  2015  centralbanks  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion  western  world  secular  stagnation  global  economy  global  trade  global  imbalances  faultlines  Structural  Impediments  imbalance 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Fed chief Yellen says US rate rise still likely this year - BBC News
The US remains "on track" for an interest rate rise this year, Federal Reserve chief Janet Yellen has said. The central bank head said as long as inflation was stable and the US economy was strong enough to boost jobs, the conditions would be right for a rise. Despite expectations of a rise this month, the Fed held rates, in part due to fears about global economic growth. Ms Yellen, speaking at the University of Massachusetts, said US economic prospects "generally appear solid". Speaking a week after the Fed delayed that long-anticipated hike, she said she and other policymakers did not expect recent global economic and financial market developments to significantly affect the central bank's policy. Much recent inflationary weakness is due to special and likely temporary factors, such as a strong dollar and low oil prices, she said. //&! http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2015-09-25/janet-yellen-s-flip-flop-confuses-markets
Janet  Yellen  Fed  Fed  mandate  inflation  expectation  inflation  targeting  secular  stagnation  western  world  centralbanks  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  Taper  QT  petrodollar  Petroleum  Industry  commodity  prices  China  credit  bubble  BRIC  Brazil  Russia  India  BIS  Richard  Koo  global  economy  global  trade  2015  BOE  monetary  policy  unconventional  monetary  policy  debtoverhang  household  debt  consumer  debt  private  debt  credit  card  car  loan  Student  deleveraging  faultlines  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  squeezed  middle  class  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  income  growth  low  income  income  distribution  inequality  Gini  coefficient  Service  Sector  Jobs  job  creation  job  market  labour  economics  labour  market  Niedriglohnsektor  competitive  competition  flat  world  borderless  globalization  globalisation  recovery  fiscal  policy  underinvestment  productive  investment  asset  bubble  FOMO  hunt  for  yield  Super  Rich  1%  hot-money  currency-war  currency  war  currency  debasement  Dollar  speculative  bubbles  asset  allocation  equity  bubble  distortion  irrational  exuberance  property  bubble  macroprudential  policy  USA  UK 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Britain's fading greenery - BBC News
[ after the collaps of energy prices, commoditiy prices and freed up labour from oil and gas industry ... instead of tripling investment in renewable energy, they cut it. increasing long-term competitiveness with domestic cheaper energy prices. stupid. instead they cut corporate tax rate, as if tax evasion and avoidance wasn't helping them already ... no further development of 6 killer apps. policy for vested interest. subsidies for oil. tax breaks. etc etc. ] The energy team at business consultancy EY can't expect to get many contracts out of Whitehall - not after a thorough trashing of UK policy. //&! Al Gore chimes in - bit.ly/1V88zmb //&! bbc.in/1NIzAMl //&! bv.ms/1Vgb4Iy - Stop Propping Up Fossil Fuels. Subsidies, as a rule, distort financial incentives and leave the economy less efficient. Subsidies on fossil fuels are doubly foolish: They also divert investment and consumption away from cleaner energy, and cost taxpayers a bundle.
UK  industrial  policy  renewable  energy  Principle  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  budget2015  austerity  underinvestment  business  confidence  corporate  tax  rate  Makers  constituency  commodity  prices  Oil  price  2015  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  policy  error  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  globalisation  globalization  Niall  Ferguson  climate  change  global  warming  energy  price  energy  security  energy  policy  Smart  Grid  babyboomers  Millennials  secular  stagnation  western  world  competitive  competitiveness  differentiate  differentiation  subsidies  subsidizing  long-term  view  long-term  thinking  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  OECD  IMF  STEM  Manufacturing  R&D  Research  education  policy  vocational  education  professional  education 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
World Bank warns on US rate rise - BBC News
[ game of chicken ] [ can private sector carry forward the little bit of recovery/growth the western world got in a rising interest rate world, that will eat away spending bc of higher repayment rates amid little to no wage growth !!! ] [W]arned developing countries to brace themselves for possible financial turbulence when the US Federal Reserve starts to raise interest rates. It could come as early as Thursday when the Fed concludes a policy meeting. A new report from the World Bank says there will probably be a modest impact on developing countries. But it also warns there is some risk that it could be worse. The Bank says it is possible that there would be sufficient disruption to capital flows into developing countries to harm economic growth and financial stability. //&! bit.ly/1QhP6Of //&! youtu.be/G8lCqhCbrA4 //&! youtu.be/KH1UlvgXqTE = bond sell-off move in anticipation of Taper. //&! strength of dollar added already 25bps - youtu.be/zWrxFszwrsQ &! youtu.be/lpTkQqEQmE4
Taper  Fed  BOE  2015  BIS  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Richard  Koo  reflate  reflation  asset  bubble  hunt  for  yield  FOMO  frothy  World  Bank  distortion  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  capital  allocation  asset  allocation  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  monetary  policy  monetary  transmission  mechanism  liquidity  trap  monetary  theory  GFC  recovery  credit  bubble  China  BRIC  Brazil  India  South  Africa  Russia  Europe  UK  BOJ  Abenomics  liquidity  credit  squeeze  excess  reserves  PBOC  economic  history  creditcrunch  credit  crunch  ECB  commodity  prices  energy  price  Oil  price  OPEC  petrodollar  QT  FX  reserves  global  trade  New  Normal  secular  stagnation  faultlines  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  western  deflationary  deflation  austerity  fiscal  policy  monetary  stimulus  monetary  system  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  unconventional  monetary  policy  debtoverhang  refinancing  creditrating  creditrisk  deleveraging  private  debt  household  debt  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  income  growth  income  distribution  low  income  inequality  Gini  coefficient  squeezed  middle  class  downward  mobility  working  poor  precarious  work  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  self-employment  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  Sozialer  Abstieg  j 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
What I Learned This Week About Tim Cook’s Apple | Re/code
[ always along the motto: extension of you, part of you. The new Apple under Jobs was NOT an overnight success! It build on its differentiation, strong base, a cult, a Tribe, 1000 True Fans, and build on it stride by stride. Most capitalistic company out of SV, no counter-culture out of largest corp on world. & can pull of iAd coup because it has monopsony! & Duopoly w Android. ] Many people love Apple, others despise it. But, even without Jobs, it cannot be ignored. There simply is no other company that combines such a high-quality hardware line with such well-regarded software platforms. A faltering Samsung has the former, but not the latter. A strong and admirable Google has the latter, but not the former. If you didn’t believe that before, this week’s event made it crystal clear, with once-bitter rivals like Microsoft and Adobe showing up onstage to boast about how well their products worked with new Apple hardware and software. [ sw & hw iteration = leverage comp advantage ]
Apple  iOS  Hardware  commodity  business  commoditization  Android  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  Software  Google  Inc.  Samsung  HTC  Lenovo  LG  Apple  TV  iPhone  Apple  Watch  Steve  Jobs  Tim  Cook  aspirational  product  PR  spin  doctor  public  relations  Positioning  marketing  public  image  status  symbol  status  anxiety  materialism  consumerist  consumerism  zombie  consumer  socioeconomic  status  social  status  emerging  middle  class  Platform  Silo  Apple  App  Store  Google  Play  R&D  Research  STEM  Microsoft  Nokia  Motorola  Adobe  Satya  Nadella  Leadership  vision  mission  differentiate  differentiation  Selbstdarstellung  Luxury  crony  capitalism  capitalism  post-capitalism  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  counter  culture  Silicon  Valley  Internet  Privacy  Privacy  iAd  Siri  AdBlock  personal  assistant  competitive  advantage  corporate  strategy  long-term  view  Tribe  Cult  1000  True  Fans  brand  awareness  Branding  Start-Up  advice  Start-Up  lesson  monopsony  duopoly  antitrust 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Austerity Now: Brazil's Downgrade and Reckoning - Bloomberg View
Brazil faces its deepest recession in 25 years, policy drift and now a reputation deficit that threaten to undo years of prosperity and social gains. [...] even years on, with the economy set to shrink by two percent this year, and unemployment and consumer debt spiking, Brazil looks more likely cast as the leader of submerging markets and the sick man of the BRICS, the club of outsize developing nations -- Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa -- once touted to lead world growth.
liberal  economic  reform  economic  reform  BRIC  credit  bubble  2015  Brazil  China  India  Russia  hot-money  currency-war  currency  debasement  currency  war  centralbanks  BIS  distortion  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  global  trade  global  economy  GFC  recovery  PBOC  economic  history  monetary  policy  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  transmission  mechanism  liquidity  liquidity  trap  2008  asset  allocation  asset  bubble  Carry  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  hunt  for  yield  FOMO  equity  bubble  reflate  reflation  commodity  prices  South  Africa  democracy  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  bribery  corruption 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
The "Great Accumulation" Is Over: The Biggest Risk Facing The World's Central Banks Has Arrived | Zero Hedge
PBoC’s rapid liquidation of USTs over the past two weeks has added fuel to the fire and effectively boxed the Fed in. On Tuesday, Deutsche Bank is out extending their "quantitative tightening" (QT) analysis with a look at whats ahead now that the so-called "Great Accumulation" is over.  "Following two decades of unremitting growth, we expect global central bank reserves to at best stabilize but more likely to continue to decline in coming years," [...] Less reserve accumulation should put secular upward pressure on both global fixed income yields & USD. [If the shadow actor in Belgium doesnt buy it up @rate everyone else is selling (divesting) ] [...] The current secular shift in reserve manager behaviour represents the equivalent to Quantitative Tightening, or QT. This force is likely to be a persistent headwind towards developed market central banks’ exit from unconventional policy in coming years, representing an additional source of uncertainty in the global economy. ...
bond  bubble  treasuries  Treasury  Market  liquidity  trap  liquidity  squeeze  China  FX  reserves  centralbanks  reserves  USD  Dollar  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  petrodollar  2015  Yuan  RMB  devaluation  global  trade  global  economy  global  imbalances  global  growth  faultlines  OPEC  Oil  price  Asia  emerging  PBOC  Russia  shale  gas  fracking  tarsand  Canada  USA  Taper  Fed  credit  bubble  reflate  reflation  GFC  recovery  monetary  system  financial  monetary  theory  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  unconventional  monetary  policy  Saudi  Arabia  UAE  Iran  commodity  prices  Quantitative  Tightening  QT  2016  New  Normal  uncertainty  BOE  IMF  SDR  reserve  currency 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Why It Really All Comes Down To The Death Of The Petrodollar | Zero Hedge
What might not be as clear (on the surface anyway) is how recent events in developing economy FX markets following the devaluation of the yuan stem from a seismic shift we began discussing late last year - namely, the death of the petrodollar system which has served to underwrite decades of dollar dominance and was, until recently, a fixture of the post-war global economic order. In short, the world seems to have underestimated how structurally important collapsing crude prices are to global finance. For years, producers funnelled their dollar proceeds into USD assets providing a perpetual source of liquidity, boosting the financial strength of the reserve currency, leading to even higher asset prices and even more USD-denominated purchases, and so forth, in a virtuous loop. [...] For the first time in decades, exported petrodollar capital turned negative. [...] the world is now beginning to feel the impact of the petrodollar's quiet demise. // &! Follow-on! bit.ly/1IGh4O3
petrodollar  OPEC  centralbanks  reserves  USD  Dollar  2015  Oil  price  FX  reserves  China  Asia  emerging  market  global  trade  global  economy  global  imbalances  Yuan  RMB  devaluation  PBOC  Russia  shale  gas  fracking  tarsand  Canada  USA  Taper  Fed  credit  bubble  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  reflate  reflation  GFC  recovery  monetary  system  financial  market  monetary  theory  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  unconventional  monetary  policy  Saudi  Arabia  UAE  Iran  commodity  prices  liquidity  trap  liquidity  squeeze  treasuries  Treasury  bond  bubble  faultlines  IMF  SDR  reserve  currency 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Richard Duncan: The Real Risk Of A Coming Multi-Decade Global Depression - YouTube
50 year long debt super cycle & credit bubble up-held. Put. // hasnt created inflation because of Globalisation = deflationary! [3bn ppl living on $2/day] Collapse of marginal cost of labour, offsetting inflation pressure of QE/NIRP/credit creation last decades. // Will eventually haunt people back once globalisation has run its way in ~100-75 years & the world is actually flat. energy cost 0, marginal cost 0, economics of abundance. // // min 23 AND because of this deflationary pressure of globalisation, excess capacity, etc lead to wage stagnation & or pressure to work 4 less (Contractor, Werkvertrag, Zeitarbeit, self-employment, Zero Hour Contract, outsourcing) and longer, in western world. Leads inevitably 2 being pushed into recession & avoiding that authorities always pushed button 4 more credit. Credit growth prevented western world not 2 be pushed into recession in last decades. 2010 Private Sector cant drive recovery! Massive Gov stimulus needed +10 years, not austerity!
debt  bubble  Super  Cycle  Greenspan-Put  Ben  Bernanke  fiat  currency  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  deflationary  deflation  secular  stagnation  Abenomics  globalization  globalisation  Fed  centralbanks  BIS  economic  history  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  GFC  recovery  western  world  technological  progress  commodity  business  commoditization  economics  of  abundance  marginal  cost  Janet  Yellen  benbernanke  ECB  BOE  BOJ  monetary  policy  Zero  Hour  Contract  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Contractor  Zeitarbeit  Werkvertrag  self-employment  freelancing  freelance  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  dot.com  outsourcing  flat  world  credit  bubble  debt  servitude  consumer  debt  student  loan  debt  debtoverhang  sovereign  debt  crisis  student  debt  household  debt  private  debt  fiscal  policy  austerity  Richard  Koo  Mark  Blyth  Joseph  Stiglitz  Robert  Reich  productive  investment  underinvestment  infrastructure  investment  Paul  Krugman  shared  economic  interest  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  Smart  Grid  STEM  education  policy  value  creation  added  value  Manufacturing  3D  printing  energy  price  energy  policy  competitive  competition  competitiveness  competitive  advantage  R&D  Research  Public  Partnership  world  fiscal  d 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Twitter works just fine – but for investors, anything except total market domination is a disaster | Comment is free | The Guardian
Nothing better illustrates capitalism’s addiction to illogic than the mismatch between Twitter’s workability and its unpopularity with Wall Street [...] Any company that cannot demonstrate a clear route to monopolising its space, monetising its users’ data on a vast scale, is to be discarded, targeted for acquisition, consigned to perpetual dowdiness. [...] When I’ve pointed to Wikipedia, Apache or Linux as harbingers of a new, non-market, open source economics, one of the stock responses is: “now show us something more spectacular.” The problem is, these modest, functional and free products are already in their own way spectacular. Wikipedia is the biggest information product in the world; Apache runs half the world’s web servers; and Linux is the system of choice for at least a third of all servers (the computers that run businesses) and 97% of the world’s supercomputers.
Twitter  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  short-term  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  crony  capitalism  capitalism  exploitation  post-capitalism  monopoly  monopsony  oligopoly  oligopol  Facebook  IPO  Google  Open  Source  Share  Economy  Open  Data  Wikipedia  GNU/Linux  Apache  Wordpress  creative  destruction  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  3D  printing  Robotics  automotive  self-driving  cars  disrupting  markets  disruption  Marketplace  commodity  business  commoditization  marginal  cost  differentiate  differentiation  economics  of  abundance  autonomous  car  automation  Future  of  Work  Mobile  Creatives  Mobile  21stcentury  Collaborative  collaboration  cooperation  user  generated  content  crowdsourcing  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  policy  Industrial  Revolution  economic  history  trickle-down  economics  Universal  Basic  Income  winner  take  all  Amazon  SAP  Salesforce  inequality  Thomas  Piketty  Super  Rich  1%  mainstreet.org  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Gini  coefficient  deregulation  neoliberalism  neoliberal  self-regulation  regulators  regulation  utility  public  utility  Good  Silicon  Valley  Unicorn  Decacorn  Private  Market 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Jeremy Rifkin on the Fall of Capitalism and the Internet of Things - YouTube
// good and services - commoditisation - near priceless. // mass market becomes zero marginal cost business - commodity! thus have to differentiate ie through freemium/premium/subscription model! two tier. // attention span - news is free, ppl are satiated quiet often with free news, that they don't pay for premium products (except niche) like analysis&perspective & brand pull. have to add more value to core value prop and intangible value - like community & leadership // every consumer can become a prosumer //
post-capitalism  Collaborative  collaboration  Universal  Basic  Income  book  Paul  Mason  Share  Economy  Open  Source  Open  Data  marginal  cost  economics  of  abundance  economic  history  crony  capitalism  capitalism  Wall  Street  Jeremy  Rifkin  21stcentury  Marketplace  transparency  democracy  productivity  identity  Future  of  Work  Mobile  Creatives  3D  printing  Manufacturing  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  policy  energy  price  renewable  energy  energy  policy  commodity  business  commoditization  Robotics  automation  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  Prosumer  ProAm  publishing  2.0  self-publishing  user  generated  content  Net  Neutrality  Blogging  The  Wars  education  policy  vocational  education  professional  education  MOOC  knowledge  knowledge  worker  freemium  subscription  model  business  model  mass  market  paywalls  paywall  user  behaviour  homescreen  snacking  Entertainment  Escapeism  IoT  added  value  value  creation  Core  Product  Proposition  intangible  value  Proposition  social  change  Open  Platform  Platform  EULA  TOS  proprietary  News  24-hour  cycle  automotive  autonomous  car  self-driving  cars  public  transportation  transportation  communication  output  gap 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Arbeitsbedingungen ǀ Der eigentliche Skandal ist ein anderer — der Freitag
Amazon verfolgt lediglich eine Strategie. Doch all das ist gar nicht so entscheidend, denn auch wenn der Artikel ein schockierendes Firmenbild aufzeigt, kann man dem Unternehmen daraus __nur bedingt einen Vorwurf machen. Letztendlich befindet sich Amazon in einem harten Konkurrenzkampf__ und versucht daher die leistungsfähigsten Mitarbeiter zu gewinnen und zu behalten – weniger leistungsstarke Mitarbeiter kann man dagegen nicht gebrauchen. Diese Strategie ist in großen Erfolgsunternehmen kein Einzelfall, sondern Normalität. [...] Der eigentliche Skandal sind die Logistikzentren
Amazon  competitive  competition  e-commerce  commodity  business  commoditization  margin  Jeff  Bezos  monopoly  monopsony  oligopol  oligopoly  Google  Shopping  Silicon  Valley  HR  human  resources  corporate  culture  corporate  values  identity  White-collar  Worker  Blue-collar  Worker  work  environment  workplace  beyond  workplace  drama  work  life  balance 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
#TOA15 Interview with Amit Karp, Ciaran O’Leary, Felix Petersen and Robin Wauters - YouTube
Very connected, fluid, enabled by infrastructure & networking. &! youtu.be/JvQaHXGgeYQ // &! youtu.be/7s6C4OJ04Rc - #TOA15 Interview with Christoph Keese (Axel Springer) - Germany good at incrementalism. A to B. Industry not willing to disrupt itself, give away existing shrinking pie - for bigger pie. unwilling to break up and upwards (value add) existing products/processes/value chain (legacy) for better. << Axel Springer digital ventures (VC arm). &! #TOA15: ¨Are the Germans Unable to Disrupt?¨ with Christoph Keese (Axel Springer SE) - youtu.be/YyuJmAtZQis --- its about value creation, value add, redesigning of value, chains, product, data, ... big corps can't disrupt itself. especially not by committee. Legacy companies unlikely to survive because of pattern to stick to the conventional and fail, than fail with unconventional and look like a fool. (risk aversion, Failure in the public eye) -- book -- "Silicon Valley: Was aus dem mächtigsten Tal der Welt auf uns zukommt"
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august 2015 by asterisk2a
Everything You Need To Know About iOS 9’s New Content Blockers | TechCrunch
Ben Thompson: Apple Enables Ad-Blockers - http://exponent.fm/episode-048-an-exhausting-week/ --- is apple nudging content providers to point people to the native app?! as mobile web gets better!? and bandwidth and coverage better!? --- under the cover of Privacy and user experience! --- with the exception of its own ad-network iAD, sure. // what a move. // &! The adblocking revolution is months away (with iOS 9) – with trouble for advertisers, publishers and Google - bit.ly/1UfXjsT &! bit.ly/1MxoHge // &! Apple, has made Content Blocking “official”, ad-supported publishing business models are in trouble. [...] [PAGEVIEWS as business model] Too many sites are just echo chambers, they rewrite news releases, add strong adjectives and adverbs, and a bit of spin. [news is free, analysis and perspective not] - bit.ly/1Fe6u0D //&! tcrn.ch/1UCagrA - Begun, The Mobile Ad-Blocking Wars Have [...] increasing bloatware of online advertising. &! tcrn.ch/1O0VcoI << ad business model not working!!!
AdBlock  iOS  Safari  Apple  iAd  Platform  user  experience  Internet  Privacy  Privacy  perma-cookie  cookies  tracking  advertisement  re-targeting  advertisement  targeting  Apple  App  Store  mobile  web  HTML5  corporate  strategy  corporate  media  PR  public  relations  spin  doctor  Silo  TOS  EULA  corporate  culture  corporate  values  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  ecosystem  Facebook  content  blocker  business  model  pageviews  journalismus  investigative  journalism  journalism  BuzzFeed  Huffington  Post  AOL  Yahoo!  Page  Rank  Google  News  Google  Search  publishing  2.0  newspaper  newspapers  paywalls  paywall  subscription  model  freemium  Print  is  Dead  jeffjarvis  Vox  Washington  Post  Insider  Linkbait  linkbaiting  click  bait  Clickbait  NYT  NYTimes  New  York  Times  Pando.com  PandoDaily  Facebook  Instant  Articles  The  Economist  Financial  Times  The  Guardian  Android  Google  Chrome  Google  Inc.  AdSense  AdWords  pre-roll  Programmatic  Programmatic  Advertising  Outbrain  mobile  ads  native  content  marketing  MoPub  Flurry  Zero  Rating  Wireless  Carrier  ISP  Net  Neutrality  Adobe  Flash  customer  experience  friction  frictionless  commodity  business 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Paul Mason - is capitalism dead? | Guardian Live - YouTube
100 year process, this is the 21st century // when you define the problem you also define the solution, in most cases. from A to B. // capitalism has rent-seeking tendency. DRM and IP/intellectual property is rent-seeking. // --- need book what to do with post-capitalism tools, open source, open data, share economy, shared economic interest, transparency, political reform - voucher system (Larry Lessig). --- // biotech and gene and new age of medicine will replace hardware and proprietary software (already being displaced by open source) //
post-capitalism  crony  capitalism  monopoly  monopsony  Silicon  Valley  Wall  Street  Paul  Mason  rent-seeking  intellectual  property  Page  Rank  Google  Search  copyright  IP  intellectualproperty  DRM  Kindle  Amazon  Microsoft  Open  Source  Open  Data  civic  good  Public  civic  society  Share  Economy  proprietary  software  Karl  Marx  economic  history  shared  economic  interest  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  buyback  underinvestment  productive  investment  climate  change  interest  groups  vested  interest  interestgroups  fiduciary  responsibility  long-term  view  long-term  thinking  faultlines  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  Career  Politicians  social  contract  No  Representation  neoliberalism  neoliberal  exploitation  Gini  coefficient  Future  of  Work  Mobile  Creatives  knowledge  knowledge  worker  3D  printing  marginal  cost  economics  of  abundance  renewable  energy  commodity  business  commoditization  book  meritocracy  meritocratic  Gesellschaft  Zivilgesellschaft  Wegwerfgesellschaft  zombie  consumer  finite  resources  status  anxiety  identity  society  philosophy  sociology  social  cohesion  social  tension  inequality  income  mobility  social  mobility  4-day  week  leisure  tim 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Howard Stern Just Sent Ad Blocking Mainstream. — Verses From The Abstract — Medium
mass market = commodity business = zero marginal cost/economic of abundance = low quality = value only short-term &! https://soundcloud.com/ianschafer/howard-stern-on-ad-blocking - UPDATE: This is the App Store trending searches on the morning of Wednesday, August 26th. There is definitely a Stern effect: [...] Heck, if Howard Stern can convince people to buy Squatty Pottys, he can convince them to install ad blocking extensions. Are ads even the future of advertising? Let’s figure out what the future actually is while we still have some runway. In the meantime, let’s make advertising that actually provides value to people while we still can. // // native, brand awareness, not annoying, value creation - added value, shared economic interest ads !!!
AdBlock  The  Content  Wars  business  model  pageviews  subscription  model  freemium  native  advertising  branded  advertorial  digital  economy  digital  digital  artist  creator  commodity  business  commoditization  News  24-hour  cycle  journalismus  investigative  journalism  journalism  paywalls  paywall  critical  mass  mass  market  marginal  cost  economics  of  abundance  user  behaviour  mobile  homescreen  Appification  Platform  Silo  snacking  utility  Entertainment  Escapeism  friction  frictionless  value  creation  added  value  shared  economic  interest 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
El-Erian: This Is Not 1998 or 2008 - YouTube
it is a repricing. a correction. prices got too far away (reflation of equity & co through ZIRP, NIRP, QE, speeches, plus hunt for yield & FOMO). It just happened to be China being the trigger, the wake-up call - very loud wake-up call - bc of its economic size and heft. (taper talks 2015 that made equity already nervous, and bond holders too, was too timid). Reality check. // Was it justified, yes. // In the long-run, we are all dead. And in the long-run things will, eventually, correct itself. // People may take now into account a new normal, lower interest rate environment, lower global growth, lower yields, lower inflationary pressures, lower dividend payments, more work that corporates (crony capitalism) need to do to squeeze out that earnings growth especially in the western world. inequality - low wage growth/stagnation - less discretionary spending on non-essential items (in the western world). & "realization that policy tools were less effective". &! bv.ms/1NFsFUn
reflate  reflation  hunt  for  yield  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  asset  allocation  equity  bubble  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  secular  stagnation  New  Normal  asset  bubble  bubble  bond  bubble  bubbles  distortion  economic  history  trickle-down  economics  recovery  UK  USA  Europe  dogma  ideology  austerity  fiscal  policy  fiscal  stimulus  Richard  Koo  Japan  lost  decade  lost  generation  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  savings  rate  debtoverhang  debt  servitude  sovereign  debt  crisis  faultlines  Structural  Impediments  participation  rate  unemployment  imbalance  Makers  policy  error  policy  folly  macroprudential  policy  microeconomic  policy  monetary  policy  monetary  theory  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  system  STEM  industrial  policy  Manufacturing  competitiveness  globalisation  globalization  flat  world  commodity  business  commoditization  borderless  deflationary  deflation  Software  Is  Eating  The  Marketplace  mobile  homescreen  mobile  phone  mobile  first  Smartphone  Revolution  2.0  energy  price  Oil  price  inflation  expectation  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  productivity  output  gap  underinvestment  Gini  coefficient  inequality  income  mobility  social  mobility  productive  investment  IMF  OECD  developed  world  emerging  emerging  growth  investment  midd 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
#mediabuzz | Howard Kurtz | Fox News
Amazon a cyber-sweatshop? SARAH LACY praised the New York Times reporting on Amazon: "When you freak out the tech world, you're a powerful news organization." // "brutally efficient" 'white and blue collar jobs being exposed to the same treatment manual work and service sector jobs have been treated by competition and globalisation (flat and borderless world), for the last +30 years. "it's what you don't say and how it gets interpreted down the line." // Investigative Journalism! NYT (paper), a institution, a stalwart of investigative journalism, reporting, holding companies and people accountable, .... same along the line of bit.ly/1NRsG5N - One overlooked theme emerging from the Times’s Amazon story is the power of the paper itself. // this story underlines, is a data point in time, you can look back on. and say the world went this way such and such // competing on price is the easiest thing to do! the first thing in reach! its about the hard things that actually leverage/multiplier
Amazon  Apple  journalismus  investigative  journalism  journalism  NYT  NYTimes  New  York  Times  Blue-collar  Worker  White-collar  Worker  knowledge  economy  knowledge  Future  of  Work  Mobile  Creatives  Mobile  Creative  career  ladder  career  advice  well  being  environment  life  balance  Silicon  Valley  commodity  business  commoditization  Service  Sector  Jobs  working  poor  precarious  squeezed  middle  class  Sozialer  Abstieg  competitive  competitiveness  Workers  Union  Sarah  Lacy  Jeff  Bezos  corporate  culture  corporate  values  quantified  self  accountability  oversight  democracy  corporate  media  Seth  Godin  Purple  Cow  being  remarkable  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  self-employment  marketplace  efficiencies  1099  Gig  freelancing  freelance  labour  market  manual  labour  Niedriglohnsektor  Precariat  Leiharbeit  lohndumping  Lohnzurückhaltung  Zeitarbeit  economic  history  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  job  market  job  creation  short-term  thinking 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
E-Commerce is a Bear — Medium
Only two start-ups have properly challenged Amazon over the past decade: Zappos and Diapers. [...] Having spent time with Tony Hsieh and Alfred Lin, the leadership duo who built Zappos, and Marc Lore and Vinit Bharara, the founders of Diapers, I can tell you: these are intense competitors who recognized the best outcome was to join forces with the industry leader. So if Amazon is the low cost winner of selling brands online, if they are acquiring their best competitors, and if their everyday low prices are available to the entire country via a mechanical turk algorithm which is guaranteed to beat you, how do you compete? [...] [ eBay pure p2p marketplace ] [...] This next generation of e-commerce companies is as much about what you exclude as what you include. // &! only up for grabs (Amazon model) is in the developing world & emerging market - for entrepreneurs - & only possible double digit returns for investors. and the battle has already begun ... since like 05/09 China/India ...
e-commerce  Amazon  eBay  commodity  business  commoditization  differentiate  differentiation  vertical  category  Jet.com  business  model  subscription  model  distribution  model  discovery  Google  Shopping  commerce  Retail  Walmart  brick  and  mortar  business  Online  Shopping  mall  USA  Europe  Zalando  emerging  market  Developing  World  emerging  middle  class  consumer  choice  consumerist  materialism  consumerism  zombie  consumer  Etsy  Marketplace  Platform  Honest  Co.  Bonobos  Warby  Parker  Nasty  Gal  Branding  Zulily  flash  sale  Gilt  Groupe  ModCloth  Birchbox  corporate  strategy  business  strategy  closetphile  Rent  the  Runway  Zappos  tradesy  pure  play  Nordstrom  Macy's  H&M  Primark  Zara  Fast  Fashion  Fashion  Industry  ASOS  John  Lewis  Marks  &  Spencer 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
What is Jet com? A summary from IRCE 2015 - YouTube
"we are all about the big basket." << incentive people to fill a basket full. --- Amazon Prime (free shipping and other free perks in Amazon ecosystem) // &! E-commerce Game Changers: How big brands are using Jet.com. From IRCE 2015 - youtu.be/VMPpPAbB9uo - no warehouse just fulfilment partners + just website. = CAC high to get customer, and get them to return and not go to Amazon or else. tries to avoid item by item price war (can't compete with Amazon). give discount if they buy a lot!? like Costco (limited products offer, highly curated, even own brand items)? Online Only Costco with minimal overhead/ops/fulfilment cost(through partners, outsourced). ... hoping that with scale, economies of scale will show profits. and shying away from the long-tail of product. focusing on everyday consumer products. guys behind it are experienced in e-commerce. they probably roughly know their numbers. its now all about execution and some luck ...
Jet.com  Amazon  Prime  subscription  model  commodity  business  commoditization  Amazon  Google  Shopping  eBay  NewEgg 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
The Phablet Effect – AVC
[ remote control for your life, of your life ] Tablets are niche. Watches are niche. You could even argue that desktops are becoming niche. Everything pales in comparison to the smartphone it seems. [ small computer connected to super computer and all the worlds information ] & [ will have also impact on semiconductor business. marginal costs lower for mass smartphone parts, could (will eventually) find its way into the data center according to a16z Peter Levine and Benedict Evans and others. - bit.ly/1Jcx77U - Mobile Invades the Data Center & Consumerization (commodity hardware and software (OPEN SOURCE) will orchestrate everything else) of the Data Center &! bit.ly/1TZZVuH &! &! A Copernican Update … In Tech, the Smartphone Is the Center - bit.ly/1TZZZun // &! bit.ly/1JGyI9Z - The smartphone is the new sun.
phablet  Tablet  Smartphone  mobile  phone  mobile  homescreen  user  behaviour  snacking  technological  history  technological  progress  semiconductor  marginal  cost  commodity  business  commoditization  data  center  cloudcomputing  economics  of  abundance  Moore's  Law  Technology  Intel  Nvidia  AMD  ATI  ARM  Platform  Open  Source  Mainframe  Open  Hardware  Qualcomm  Google  Apple  MediaTek 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Will Advances in Technology Create a Jobless Future? | MIT Technology Review
Who Will Own the Robots? - We’re in the midst of a jobs crisis, and rapid advances in AI and other technologies may be one culprit. How can we get better at sharing the wealth that technology creates? // BY MARTIN FORD - The Great Divide: Unequal Societies and What We Can Do About Them BY JOSEPH E. STIGLITZ &! Inequality: What Can Be Done? BY ANTHONY B. ATKINSON &! The Second Machine Age: Work, Progress, and Prosperity in a Time of Brilliant Technologies BY ERIK BRYNJOLFSSON AND ANDREW MCAFEE // &! Paul Krugman - “A lot of what’s happening [in income inequality] is not just the gods of technology telling us what must happen but is in fact [due to] social constructs that could be different.” - gov policy, corporate policy (ie 4-day work week and 6-hour days because productivity and profit margin do allow for that, and more brings diminished returns etc etc but will that go down well with Wall Street?)
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august 2015 by asterisk2a
Global economy woes spark share falls - BBC News
Fed released minutes from its meeting on 28-29 July, showing that one policymaker was ready to vote for an interest rate rise at the meeting. Overall, the Fed thought conditions for a US rate rise "were approaching", but the economy was not ready yet. Other policymakers remained concerned that inflation would remain weak because of the strong dollar and falling commodity prices, which act as a double depressant on imports. The Fed's key interest rate has been kept near zero since December 2008. There has been speculation that the Fed will raise rates at its meeting in September, and last month Fed chair Janet Yellen said she thought a rate rise this year was likely. Following the release of the Fed's minutes, US stocks rallied briefly but then fell back, while the dollar weakened on the currency markets. The Dow Jones index ended Wednesday trading down 0.9%. [...] The committee also cited China as a potential problem, [...] [econ growth has 2 be sufficiently strong, incl labour mrkt]
China  Yuan  RMB  inflation  expectation  inflation  targeting  disinflation  inflation  wage  inflation  dis-inflation  deflationary  deflation  Fed  PBOC  currency  debasement  devaluation  currency  war  currency-war  Dollar  Japan  Yen  BOJ  Abenomics  economic  history  Taper  2015  recovery  labour  market  participation  rate  unemployment  structural  unemployment  long-term  unemployment  productivity  output  gap  distortion  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  secular  stagnation  UK  USA  Europe  BIS  Oil  price  OPEC  energy  price  New  Normal  FOMC  commodity  prices  global  trade  global  economy  headwinds 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
India's Snapdeal raises $500m from international investors - BBC News
In the Indian e-commerce sector, Snapdeal competes with rivals Flipkart and Amazon for market share. // burning cash, to buy customers, and with it being a private market, only board and founders know the numbers like LTCV and the puff they add with words and milestones. Chasing the emerging middle class. The new consumer is everywhere else, but not in the Western World which is struggling. http://www.breakingviews.com/indian-e-tailers-funds-will-disappear-in-a-flash/21212651.article
e-commerce  Flipkart  Snapchat  India  China  Amazon  commodity  business  commoditization  BRIC  Developing  World  emerging  middle  class  Frontier  Markets  growth  round  Venture  Capital  customer  acquisition  LTCV  customer  retention  user  churn  user  acquisition  burn  rate  runway 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Japan Exports Its Way to Irrelevance - Bloomberg View
[ Politicians as always will react with reactionary unimaginative policy, competing for the same pie. instead of enabling, supporting new pies to be created. ] But Abe needs to recognize, as China already has, that this is only the latest sign of a broader reality: Asia's old export model of economic growth no longer works. [...] All the stimulus BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda can muster won't change the worsening trajectory of the region's most-populous nation. That's why Abe needs to take a page from Beijing and focus more on creating new industries at home. [ the base of home grown new market/category/vertical also includes sound middle class to buy those products. demand at home. social safety net (security). and less inequality. progressive taxation. fight tax evasion/avoidance, monopoles, monopsonies, bribery, corruption. and politicians making policy for lobby. ]
Germany  Exportweltmeister  Japan  China  India  Latin  America  competitive  competition  competitiveness  flat  world  borderless  globalization  globalisation  differentiate  differentiation  Abenomics  economic  history  IMF  OECD  global  economy  global  trade  Future  of  Work  Universal  Basic  Income  tax  free  Mobile  Creatives  Mobile  Creative  3D  printing  Software  Is  Eating  The  Robotics  automation  ownership  cost  of  ownership  Millennials  consumerist  consumerism  Frontier  Markets  Developing  western  world  UK  USA  Europe  secular  stagnation  developed  world  current  account  deficit  lohndumping  Lohnzurückhaltung  liberal  economic  reform  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  technological  progress  biotechnologie  biotechnology  on-demand  convenience  marketplace  efficiencies  commodity  business  commoditization  deflationary  deflation  21stcentury  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  policy  error  policy  folly  inequality  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  mobility  squeezed  middle  class  complexity  Supply  and  Demand  Demand  and  Supply  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  hunt  for  yield  currency  currency  policy  policy  w 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Networks and the Nature of the Firm — The WTF Economy — Medium
“publish, then filter” - Clay Shirky. >> It is fundamentally an open-ended network in which filtering and curation (otherwise known as “management”) happens largely after the fact. [ Twitter lacks a management/curation feature, has to overcome its once cheered differentiator of no curating nor using algorithms to make sense of the noise one subscribed to. ] [...] [ Replacing knowledgeable workers, sales person, support staff, with software. ] One way to think about the new generation of on-demand companies, such as Uber, Lyft, and Airbnb, is that they are networked platforms for physical world services, which are bringing fragmented industries into the 21st century in the same way that ecommerce has transformed retail. [...] This fragmented industry [Taxi] provides work not just for drivers but for managers, dispatchers, maintenance workers, and bookkeepers.
Clay  Shirky  Marketplace  efficiencies  plurality  Platform  user  generated  content  Open  Platform  noise  pollution  Signal  vs.  noise  curation  curator  content  curation  Newsfeed  algorithm  Google  Search  Page  Rank  Twitter  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  on-demand  convenience  Service  Sector  Jobs  commodity  business  commoditization  Amazon  Google  Uber  AirBnB  Lyft  e-commerce  YouTube  fragmented  Silicon  Valley  franchising  model  franchise 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Samsung’s Latest Galaxy Note 5 Could Be the End of the High-Priced Phablet | Re/code
“The data is showing that unless there is a brand pull (and only Apple is in this category), the device game has become a price game,” said wireless industry consultant Chetan Sharma. “This is especially true on the high end. Given that some good devices are available at half the price makes it hard for Samsung, LG, Sony and similar players to be successful with a device on the high end.” One need only look at recent financials from Samsung, HTC and Sony to see the impact that this is already having on both sales and profits. There is another big trend hurting Samsung and others trying to sell premium devices. Until very recently, consumers have been able to snap up even the priciest phones for as little as $200 with a two-year contract. But in a trend started by T-Mobile and increasingly true across the U.S. wireless industry, carriers are no longer subsidizing these devices.
HTC  Samsung  Android  Lenovo  Motorola  Sony  LG  Wireless  Carrier  Xiaomi  commodity  business  commoditization  differentiate  differentiation  category 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Buffett-Backed Kraft Heinz Cuts 2,500 Jobs as Hees Targets Costs - Bloomberg Business
[ fifth-largest food and beverage company. ] Kraft Foods and H.J. Heinz merged in July in a deal orchestrated by Buffett and 3G Capital, which jointly controlled the ketchup company. 3G’s Bernardo Hees, who is now running the combined foodmaker, cut more than 7,000 jobs in 20 months after taking over at Heinz. Berkshire Vice Chairman Charles Munger has endorsed the job cuts, saying such measures are essential to a productive capitalist system. [...] The alternative to reducing staff is “what happened in Russia,” Munger said at Buffett’s annual meeting in May. “The whole damn economy didn’t work.” // &! https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cadbury#Acquisition_by_Kraft_Foods &! https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mondel%C4%93z_International
conglomerate  M&A  processed  food  junk  food  food  industry  fast  food  synergy  Wall  Street  commodity  business  commoditization  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  recovery  2015  USA  Big  Sugar 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
China's currency devaluation could spark 'tidal wave of deflation' | Business | The Guardian
[3rd day in a row Yuan/RMB is devalued by PBOC (13/08/15)] “We’re all going to feel it: we’ll feel it through commodities; we’ll feel it through manufactured goods exports, not just from China but from everywhere that has to compete with it; and we’ll feel it through wages.” [...] China could be willing to let the yuan depreciate by as much as 25% over the next five years – “stone by stone, step by step” – in an attempt to restore the export-led growth that was such a winning formula [...] China [may be] trying to protect itself against the period of financial instability [following Taper by western central banks Fed/BOE] [or counter $ recent rise 21% & peg against $] [or fight home grown recession with kitchen sink] // &! bloom.bg/1gC8FFe &! bloom.bg/1WkMfZZ &! bloom.bg/1hy7O9l &! bloom.bg/1NpE4FI &! bv.ms/1IKB3fX // what is the new normal 4 growth in this global economy, competitive = keeping prices low = inflation & low interest rate pressure.
yuan  RMB  PBOC  China  devaluation  deflationary  deflation  UK  USA  Europe  Exportweltmeister  competition  competitive  competitiveness  Lohnzurückhaltung  lohndumping  secular  stagnation  western  world  globalisation  globalization  commodities  commodity  business  commoditization  Germany  Asia  Latin  America  borderless  flat  world  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  inflation  expectation  inflation  targeting  wage  pressure  productivity  output  gap  recovery  GFC  economic  history  New  Normal  hunt  for  yield  Great  Moderation  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  Taper  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  complexity  Industrial  Revolution  2.0  IMF  SDR  currency  war  disinflation  inflation  wage  inflation  Japan  Australia  Oil  price  energy  price  Developing  Frontier  Markets  Forex  USD  British  Pound  Euro  Yen  BOJ  BOE  Fed  ECB  Bank  of  Canada  asset  bubble  macroprudential  policy  asset  allocation  productive  investment  underinvestment  business  investment  2015 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Why Has Apple Been Poaching Fashion Execs? | Fashion-Tech | BoF
Apple does not fight on Windows nor Google (Android) turf. It created (fact) a new category. Redefined the category of the Gadget, of the Phone. Of the Laptop. Of the Workstation. This (newest phone/better technology) is not just for the Geeks or Nerds. This is a status symbol you are seen with every day (Apple Watch, iPhone, MacBook (2015 version) at the Coffee shop and elsewhere). That person made a deliberate concious or not decision to buy the Apple product at that price. -vs- GNU/Linux or Windows or Android whatever for the same basic utility at a much affordable price. Who ever came up with that should be highlighted in the next Apple Book about Apples chapter post-Jobs.
Apple  aspirational  product  status  symbol  war  for  talent  commodity  business  commoditization  technological  progress  Branding  brand  awareness  communication  PR  public  relations  status  anxiety  zombie  consumer  marketing  Apple  Watch  iPhone  China  advertisement  advertising  Android  Microsoft  Windows  10  iOS  capitalism  socioeconomic  status  social  status  Steve  jobs  stevejobs  Middle  Class  squeezed  Sozialer  Abstieg  soziologie  sociology  Psychology  differentiate  differentiation  Blue  Ocean  category  Start-Up  advice  Start-Up  lesson  of  You  career  ladder  career  advice  Google  GNU/Linux  Linux 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Addressing Concerns Over Apple’s iPhone Growth | Re/code
Analysis: Android manufacturers (mostly Asia based) can't compete eye to eye with iPhone quality because they don't have the money for R&D and talent in design/UI/UX. &! Just to make the R&D/talent aspect for the hard things that are hard: hardware. Apple Patents New Liquidmetal Techniques For Manufacturing ( tcrn.ch/1TjN6uS ) vs. Xiaomi buying patents for "Patent War Chest to Launch in U.S." ( bloom.bg/1CG3s9S ) And even Microsoft and Apple make money off Android device sales because of patents (patents for technology, inside Android devices, that Microsoft or Apple own). // Apple's aspirational product - status anxiety - vs - Free. Downside with Free Of Android being a Privacy Sinkhole. & underfunded Android HW manufacturers vs only, marginally LG, Samsung, Lenovo who have other businesses. But hardware itself was turned into commodity business! // HTC trade below book value (12/08/15) - bit.ly/1JULi5t &! wrd.cm/1MkhnUw // &! Fragmentation - bit.ly/1q4iXyk
Android  Patent  patents  Apple  iOS  differentiate  differentiation  Google  R&D  Microsoft  Windows  10  iPhone  consumer  product  consumer  choice  consumer  aspirational  product  commodity  business  commoditization  Branding  Samsung  HTC  LG  Motorola 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
HTC Is Now Essentially Worthless (And Insecure) | TechCrunch
bloom.bg/1WbUffA // Internet hyperbole (and financial analysis) have rendered HTC, a once high-flying mobile brand, essentially valueless. In short, the company is trading below cash on hand. So if you bought all HTC stock, the company would have to pay you, the buyer, to take it over. This means the company’s factories, stock and brand are worth nothing, at least on Wall Street. [...] However, the modern phone marketers like Samsung and HTC only want to sell flagships – big, tentpole phones that lend themselves to big marketing budgets and fancy commercials. [...] When your only competitor is also ostensibly the most expensive phone on the market, there is little value in highlighting your cheapest models. [...] Now it’s iPhone and everyone else. The cell phone buyer’s market is saturated. Even the upgrade cycles have grown longer. In short, people are holding onto their expensive phones longer or buying wildly cheap ones. There is no middle ground. // PS Biggs is Apple Fan Boy
HTC  Android  iOS  Apple  Google  Samsung  LG  Blackberry  Motorola  Microsoft  Windows  10  Nokia  commodity  business  commoditization  technological  progress  differentiate  differentiation  business  model  Fire  Phone  Cyanogen  consumer  product  product  strategy  marketing  strategy  Xiaomi 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Why Homejoy Failed … And The Future Of The On-Demand Economy | TechCrunch
The fundamental “on-demand marketplace” model has come into question by investors, the media and even consumers. [...] However, because Homejoy acted as a platform “middle man,” taking a 25 percent cut of the transaction, the wage economics for pros did not make sense. Thus, this attracted young, inexperienced and low-quality pro labor (at times even homeless people), leading to inconsistent and lower-quality work. This mix doesn’t quite cut it for the average homeowner who wants a spotless home, thus leading to platform churn. [ low lifetime customer value that does not cover the cost of ops and customer acqusition ] It wasn’t all bad for homeowners. Homejoy did match some skilled pros with homeowners, driving them to form real business relationships. The issue was these relationships were typically taken “offline” (i.e., platform leakage). [...] Full-service on-demand platforms have been seeing success among more commoditized types of services.
Homejoy  on-demand  convenience  Share  Economy  1099  Economy  Service  Sector  Jobs  marketplace  commodity  business  commoditization  Niedriglohnsektor  burn  rate  runway  customer  acquisition  user  churn  middleman  repeat  business 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Empire of the geeks | The Economist
Silicon Valley should be celebrated. But its insularity risks a backlash [...] Critics are often from industries wanting to protect their privileges; the geeks’ aggressive behaviour is sometimes part of the creative destruction that leads to progress. But that is not the only source of anger. Silicon Valley also dominates markets, sucks out the value contained in personal data, and erects business models that make money partly by avoiding taxes. There is a risk that global consumers will feel exploited and that the effects of a shrinking tax base will infuriate voters. If the perception takes root that enormous profits from exploiting data and avoiding taxes are crystallised in the fortunes of a few people living on a patch of ground near San Francisco, then there will be a backlash." // recent emergence of marketplace for X and gig platform for X - 1099 Economy etc etc, making money with our data - Facebook.
Silicon  Valley  irrational  exuberance  hubris  creative  destruction  shared  economic  interest  crony  capitalism  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  exploitation  business  model  corporate  values  Universal  Basic  Income  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  Future  of  Work  Mobile  Creatives  Mobile  automation  marketplace  marketplace  efficiencies  commodity  business  commoditization  Robotics  autonomous  car  self-driving  cars  augmented  intelligence  Big  Data  machine  learning  deep  learning  artificial  intelligence  labour  market  job  creation  labour  economics  job  market  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  Sozialer  Abstieg  neoliberalism  neoliberal  liberal  economic  reform  precarious  Precariat  poverty  trap  education  policy  vocational  education  social  mobility  Gini  coefficient  growth  mobility  capital  gains  tax  code  fairness  social  cohesion  social  tension  Gesellschaft  society  downward  mobility  gender  inequality  technological  history  Niedriglohnsektor  lohndumping  Service  Sector  Jobs  Lohnzurückhaltung  minimum  wage  living  wage  uncertainty  job  security 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
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