asterisk2a + mariodraghi   100

Italy’s €360 billion referendum – POLITICO
Italy’s banking system is staggering under €360 billion in bad loans. Almost any outcome that destabilizes Italian politics would send tremors through the country’s rickety financial system. While the long-term consequences could be dramatic — in a worse case scenario perhaps leading to the collapse of the eurozone — the first victims could be efforts to rescue two of Italy’s largest lenders.
non-performing  NPL  bad  bank  Italy  Referendum  Renzi  contagion  European  Union  systemicrisk  sovereign  debt  crisis  GFC  economic  history  recession  recovery  Austerity  ECB  Banking  Supervision  MarioDraghi  Greece  Spain  Portugal  PIGS  UK  exposure  bailout  bail-in  bailin  recapitalization  recapitalisation 
november 2016 by asterisk2a
Deutsche Bank Loves Helicopter Money: Why "Big Inflation Is Coming... But Will First Require A Crisis"
[NEED FOR CHANGE OF WIND - deflationary pressures ] Europe is another story. Germany must let their southern neighbors cheat on deficits and bank recapitalizations. “Spanish election showed if you let them cheat and growth surprises positively then extremists don’t do so well. Europe can only survive as an inflation zone. Will it be formally tolerated? Probably not. Will governments cheat anyway with ECB support?” Probably.
Deutsche  Bank  Italy  PIGS  sovereign  debt  crisis  austerity  Germany  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  ECB  MarioDraghi  BuBa  Jens  Weidmann  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  zombie  zombie  banks  Richard  Koo  Helicopter  Money  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  policy  monetary  theory  deflation  deflationary  Brexit  European  Bank  Supervision  BaFin  BOE  BOJ  Abenomics  right-wing  far  right  far-right  Front  National  AfD  UKIP  Centrist  recovery  income  distribution  income  inequality  Gini  coefficient  squeezed  middle  class  Precariat  working  poor  globalisation  globalization  Paul  Mason  crony  capitalism  capitalism  in  crisis  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  poverty  poverty  trap  social  mobility  income  mobility  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  wage  pressure  income  growth  GFC  economic  history  liquidity  trap  balance  sheet  recession  debt  overhang  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  credit  card  debt  western  world  secular  stagnation  non-performing  loan  bail-in  bailout  recapitalization  recapitalisation  UK  Japan 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Bancopalypse 2.0 - Some Disturbing Figures From The Looming Financial Crisis | Zero Hedge
Well-capitalized banks are supposed to have double-digit capital levels while making low risk investments.

Deutsche Bank, on the other hand, has a capital level of less that 3% (just like Lehman), and an incredibly risky asset base that boasts notional derivatives exposure of more than $70 trillion, roughly the size of world GDP.

Even the IMF has stated unequivocally that Deutsche Bank poses the greatest risk to global financial stability.

And the IMF would be right… except for all the other banks.

Because, meanwhile in Italy, nearly the entire Italian banking system is rapidly sliding into insolvency.

Italian banks are sitting on over 360 billion euros in bad loans right now and are in desperate need of a massive bailout.

IMF calculations show that Italian banks’ capital levels are among the lowest in the world, just ahead of Bangladesh.
Deutsche  Bank  derivatives  financial  instruments  BaFin  BuBa  European  Bank  Supervision  Italy  Spain  stresstest  PIGS  zombie  zombie  banks  non-performing  loan  capital  reserves  ECB  MarioDraghi  sovereign  debt  crisis  economic  history  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  banking  union  systemic  risk  systemicrisk  systemrelevant  systemrelevanz  TBTF  toobigtofail  too  big  to  bail  too  big  to  fail 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
"Deutsche Bank Poses The Greatest Risk To The Global Financial System": IMF
via Keister Report - https://youtu.be/fbh3rndGDN8 // a Italian banking crisis could topple them. that is why they (their economist) called for a EU bank bailout (shore up). //&! IMF Warns Of "Global Contagion" From Italy's Bank Crisis; Forecasts Two-Decade Long Recession - http://bit.ly/29sFINn - [...] "Unless asset quality and profitability problems are addressed in a timely manner, lingering problems of weaker banks can eventually weigh on the rest of the system," //&! http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-09/charting-epic-collapse-worlds-most-systemically-dangerous-bank //&! Analyst Warns Deutsche Bank's Problems May Now Be "Insurmountable" - http://bit.ly/29LwUjv - [...] we believe DBK is still over 40x levered. [...] Seeking outside capital is also likely to be difficult as management would likely find it hard to offer any type of return on new capital invested. //&! its known balance sheet - http://bit.ly/29usGKG - 1.74 trillion balance sheet!
Italy  Germany  derivatives  Deutsche  Bank  BuBa  BaFin  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  investment  banking  systemic  risk  systemicrisk  systemrelevant  systemrelevanz  European  Bank  Supervision  stresstest  contagion  repo  trust  sovereign  debt  crisis  PIGS  Greece  Brexit  non-performing  loan  zombie  banks  zombie  austerity  secular  stagnation  recession  ECB  MarioDraghi  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  hunt  for  yield  asset  allocation  distortion  OMT  LTRO  Basel  III  Basel3  leverage  banking  union  Bank  Oversight  banking  crisis  banking  system  interbank  lending  overnight  deposit  facility 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Brexit und Italien-Krise: Euro-Gruppen-Chef schließt neue Bankenrettung aus
[ EXPOSURE TO ITALY BANKS ] Euro-Gruppen-Chef Jeroen Dijsselbloem lehnt ein neues Bankenrettungsprogramm ab. "Die Probleme müssen in den Banken geregelt werden", sagte der Niederländer beim Treffen der Eurofinanzminister am Montag in Brüssel. Die Einfachheit, mit der einige Banker mehr öffentliche Gelder forderten, um ihre Probleme zu lösen, sei problematisch. "Das muss ein Ende haben." // http://www.welt.de/finanzen/article156924408/Deutsche-Bank-Chefoekonom-fordert-150-Milliarden.html - Der Kursrückgang bei Bankaktien sei nur das Symptom eines viel größeren Problems, nämlich einer fatalen Kombination aus schwachem Wachstum, hohen Staatsschulden und einer Nähe zur gefährlichen Deflation.
contagion  European  integration  banking  union  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Italy  Germany  repo  Brexit  secular  stagnation  austerity  ECB  European  bank  bailout  systemic  risk  systemicrisk  systemrelevant  systemrelevanz  European  Supervision  reflate  reflation  bank  restructuring  Oversight  MarioDraghi  Mark  Carney  trust  interbank  lending  interbank  market  overnight  deposit  facility  deflation  deflationary  sovereign  debt  crisis  PIGS  Greece  Angela  Merkel  UK  economic  history 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Geographies of Austerity: Mark Blyth
EU bank bailout (incl Britain) = 40% of EU GDP (incl Britain) = 5 trillion Euros. AUSTERITY FOR WHOM?! // secular stagnation - ZIRP, NIRP, QE, austerity, liquidity trap, aggregate demand short-fall = creditors paradise. their debt will not be inflated away. deflation - deflationary environment. for the next 2-3 decades. = NO DRIVE TO INVEST IN PRODUCTIVE ASSETS! = productivity gap. [...] rentier paradise. [...] = interest formation (those who have, call the shots, status quo). [...] deflationary spiral (PIGS & Germany) exporting deflation ... getting more competitive [EU has 2015 a current account surplus, bought my USA] = Dr Wolfgang Schaeuble. [...] Fall of Centrists, rise of the SNP & UKIP (reactionary) ... Trump. [...] as investment rate (ie SME/SMB lending) stays same, does not grow = DEAD. Eurobonds/Investment Fund(UK, 5bn 5 years). [...] min 55 - deflationary politics (policy for 1-10-20% of society) is one way train. DEATH. especially w austerity and low wages/secular stagnation.
austerity  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  general  election  2010  general  election  2015  George  Osborne  Iain  Duncan  Smith  David  Cameron  Ed  Miliband  economic  history  Mark  Blyth  book  Richard  Koo  welfare  state  welfare  reform  bank  bailout  GFC  recovery  secular  stagnation  IMF  ChristineLagarde  Salami  Tactics  aggregate  demand  aggregate  demand  short-fall  liquidity  trap  fiscal  policy  Confidence  Fairy  monetary  policy  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Tony  Blair  Gordon  Brown  European  Union  Euro  ECB  BOJ  PIGS  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  Career  Politicians  politician  zombie  bank  zombie  banks  banking  systemic  risk  OMT  LTRO  MarioDraghi  trichet  BOE  deflation  deflationary  productivity  productivity  gap  productive  investment  underinvestment  infrastructure  investment  infrastructure  rentier  rent-seeking  Mark  Carney  Donald  Trump  business  consumer  TLTRO  non-performing  loan  NPL  Jens  Weidmann 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Bundesbank head Jens Weidmann - Brexit is no excuse to loosen EU budget rules
Reuters report that this puts Weidmann at odds with German Economy Minister Sigmar Gabriel, who has called for Europe's "Stability and Growth Pact" to be boosted for more growth.
-
So, we've got a politician wanting to spend more.
And the head of the Buba saying "No!"

Same old :-D //&! http://news.forexlive.com/!/germany-will-stick-to-balanced-budget-report-20160701
lost  decade  Brexit  fiscal  stimulus  fiscal  policy  BuBa  Bundesbank  ECB  MarioDraghi  trichet  Angela  Merkel  austerity  budget  deficit  Germany  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Wolfgang  Schäuble  liquidity  trap  Mark  Blyth  economic  history  inflation  targeting  inflation  expectation  inflation  expectations  recovery  Jens  Weidmann  monetary  policy  global  economy  Schwarze  Null  Exportweltmeister  Beton  Gold  Betongold  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion  Richard  Koo  European  Union  zombie  bank  zombie  banks  NPL  PIGS  non-performing  loan  underinvestment 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Chris Grayling dimisses concerns over economic impact of a Brexit
Yvette Cooper: Brexit won't prevent EU free movement to the UK - LIKE NORWAY CASE! - youtu.be/qa--kXGNhiE //&! IMF downgrade UK over Brexit fears - youtu.be/gfmVP3_TXNk - calling for fiscal stimulus!
Brexit  Chris  Grayling  Yvette  Cooper  liquidity  trap  secular  stagnation  fiscal  stimulus  IMF  OECD  austerity  2016  global  economy  China  credit  bubble  monetary  stimulus  aggregate  demand  aggregate  demand  short-fall  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  British  Pound  Sterling  Pact  Schuldenbremse  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  economic  history  recovery  sovereign  debt  crisis  PIGS  ChristineLagarde  George  Osborne  monetary  policy  Mark  Carney  BOE  ECB  MarioDraghi 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
What Happens Next (In Europe)?
the odds of another crisis are higher than a rally to fresh records. [...]
“The 2009-2015 rally originated from two main drivers: a massive stimulus, and credit expansion in China,” said Goette, who’s a partner at his firm in Zug, Switzerland and helps oversee 1 billion Swiss francs ($1 billion).

“European earnings have not followed suit so far. Skepticism regarding central-bank operations has started to emerge.”
ECB  Brussels  recovery  reflate  reflation  China  credit  bubble  Germany  PIGS  zombie  banks  European  Bank  Supervision  European  Economic  Area  European  Election  2014  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  MarioDraghi  OMT  LTRO  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  sovereign  debt  crisis  France  Brexit  Grexit  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  history  underinvestment  Richard  Koo  Yanis  Varoufakis  liquidity  trap  zombie  corporations  youth  unemployment  demographic  bubble  OAP  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  liberal  reform  Precariat  precarious  employment  low  pay  low  income  Minijob  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  1  Euro  Job  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  unemployment  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  union  union  Rechtsruck  Bundesbank  fault  lines  shareholder  capitalism  bailout  GFC  2016  PBOC  Exportweltmeister  zombie  Financial  Stability  Board  crony  capitalism  Deutsche  Bank  infrastructure  investment  competitiveness  Beton  Gold  Betongold  asset  allocation  Super  Rich  1%  oligarchy  plutocracy  democracy  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  profit  maximization  Russia  Crimea  Ukraine  U 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Yanis Varoufakis: »MONEY AND POWER«, Public Lecture 2015-11-04
3rd bailout loan $0 went to Greece. All to pay off banks. extend & pretend. 1st: ~90% went to the banks. [...] ESM does not exist [...] banking union plan not progressing at all. //&! Yanis Varoufakis @Oxford Union - youtu.be/zWB6lY2GBjQ - ACADEMIA LACKS ANTI-ESTABLISHMENT ATTITUDE! Because going against the grain has become anti-reputation. [...] it's all about expectations, predictions about where S&P500 will be in 12 months. [...] regression between theory and reality. economists have never been humble. [ see Wall Street cottage factory of analysis and prediction shops ] [...] if you torture the data and model enough it will confess. [< EU monetary union based on theory ] [...] [34:00] Brussels is technically incompetent and will not reform itself. I am a libertarian marxist. Schumpeter. true creative destruction. great wealth currently created - all going to 1%. = not humanitarian. not democratic. [...] 41:00 Q&A, <48:50> gov budget not same as household budget; George Osborne.
bank  crisis  banking  crisis  European  Election  2014  sovereign  debt  crisis  austerity  Grexit  Yanis  Varoufakis  Tsipras  Syriza  Brussels  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  GFC  Great  Depression  credit  crisis  credit  creation  Super  Cycle  debt  overhang  liquidity  trap  ECB  Troika  MarioDraghi  economic  history  Richard  Koo  leverage  recovery  deflation  deflationary  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Germany  underinvestment  Super  Rich  reflate  reflation  Generationengerechtigkeit  1%  oligarchy  plutocracy  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  balance  sheet  recession  Euro  Gold  Standard  ESM  IMF  OECD  banking  union  EEA  Economics  Academia  Academics  Economists  Scholars  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  income  distribution  inequality  Gini  coefficient  Gesellschaft  society  Yanis  Varoufakis  financial  crisis  economic  model  econometrics  social  theory  monetary  union  Chicago  School  poverty  economic  history  austerity  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  UK  nasty  party  Richard  Koo  macroeconomics  macroeconomic  policy  macroprudential  policy  aggregate  demand  Capital  Expenditure  income  tax  receipts  deflation  deflationary  Universal  Basic  class  warfare 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Yanis Varoufakis Candid Interview - Shocking Disfunction and The Power Of Oligarchs
Europe will not survive next crisis. [...] end of interview - China looked after the rest of the world and especially Germany after 2009 (credit bubble) as USA looked after Germany in the 50's - Wirtschaftswunder. Now China is trying its best not to implode and fall below 5% of growth per annum. And now USA is trying to contest Asia (excluding China) economically and militarily through TPP and military increase in that region. //&! Yanis Varoufakis - Guardian Live - youtu.be/md6_WfF9Ky0
Grexit  Troika  IMF  oligarchy  plutocracy  Greece  corruption  bribery  Yanis  Varoufakis  Tsipras  referendum  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  Brussels  European  Union  Gold  Standard  economic  history  liberal  economic  reform  antitrust  cartel  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Schwarzgeld  Schwarze  Kassen  Schwarzkasse  ChristineLagarde  Panama  Papers  revolving  door  lobby  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  trust  far-right  right-wing  sovereign  debt  crisis  ECB  MarioDraghi  banking  crisis  bank  bailout  GFC  democracy  neoliberal  neoliberalism  shareholder  capitalism  crony  capitalism  Chicago  School  China  credit  bubble  BRIC  USA  Hegemony  TTIP  TPP  geopolitics 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Central bankers on the defensive as weird policy becomes even weirder | Business | The Guardian
Growth is tepid, productivity is poor, and inflation is too low: all is not going according to policymakers’ masterplans [...] As far as the OECD is concerned, monetary policy is being forced to take too much of the strain. Its chief economist Catherine Mann made the point that lasting recovery required three things: stimulative monetary policy; activist fiscal policy; and structural reform. The OECD wants the second of these ingredients to be added to the recipe in the form of increased spending on public infrastructure, something it says would more than pay for itself at a time when governments can borrow so cheaply.
monetary  policy  G20  fiscal  policy  monetary  stimulus  monetary  system  monetary  transmission  mechanism  liquidity  trap  UK  western  world  USA  Japan  Abenomics  George  Osborne  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Pact  Schuldenbremse  economic  history  recovery  secular  stagnation  productivity  underinvestment  MarioDraghi  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  ECB  BOE  Fed  Taper  deflationary  deflation  nominal  GDP  targeting  inflation  targeting  zombie  banks  MervynKing  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  Richard  Koo  Gini  coefficient  inequality  squeezed  middle  class  wage  stagnation  discretionary  spending  distortion  property  bubble  disposable  income  productive  investment  austerity  business  confidence  foreign  direct  investment  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  student  loan  debt  student  loan  policy  folly  policy  error  short-termism  Career  Politicians  neoliberalism  neoliberal  trickle-down  economics  self-regulation  City  of  London  investment  banking  retail  banking  OECD  IMF  KennethRogoff  hot-money  hunt  for  yield  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  reflate  reflation  financial  repression  New  Normal  trust 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Energy price slump sends eurozone into deflation - BBC News
Energy drove the decline, with prices down 8% in February compared to a 5.4% slide in January. The dismal figures have dashed hopes that ECB efforts to boost prices were working. That raises the chance of the bank announcing further stimulus measures next month. It has already announced a cut to its bank deposit rate, which remains in negative territory. ECB chief Mario Draghi insisted earlier this month the policies were working. [...] The Group of 20 (G20) finance ministers and central bankers agreed on Saturday to use "all policy tools, monetary, fiscal and structural - individually and collectively" to renew growth. //&! Eurozone economy grows 1.5% in 2015 - 12 February 2016 &! Eurozone growth forecast cut to 1.7% - 4 February 2016
Europe  European  Union  deflationary  deflation  Fiscal  Pact  zombie  banks  liquidity  trap  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  ECB  MarioDraghi  monetary  policy  Richard  Koo  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  monetary  transmission  mechanism  Schuldenbremse  austerity  2016  economic  history  recovery  secular  stagnation  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  babyboomers  Germany  policy  OMT  TLTRO  LTRO  George  Osborne  G20  UK  sovereign  debt  crisis  PIGS  Japan  Abenomics  BOJ  BOE  Mark  Carney 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Mervyn King: new financial crisis is 'certain' without reform of banks | Business | The Guardian
The former Bank of England governor says in his new book that imbalances in the global economy makes a crash inevitable [...] GFC was the fault of the financial system, not individual greedy bankers, in his new book, The End Of Alchemy: Money, Banking And The Future Of The Global Economy [...] “Without reform of the financial system, another crisis is certain, and the failure ... to tackle the disequilibrium in the world economy makes it likely that it will come sooner rather than later,” Lord King wrote. [...] global central banks were caught in a “prisoner’s dilemma” - unable to raise interest rates for fear of stifling the economic recovery, the newspaper reported. [... blame] broken financial system. [...] failure of a system, and the ideas that underpinned it, [...] “Only a fundamental rethink of how we, as a society, organise our system of money and banking will prevent a repetition //&! dailym.ai/21tPG5y
bank  crisis  banking  crisis  investment  banking  self-regulation  retail  banking  Greed  financial  product  regulation  regulators  City  of  London  George  Osborne  Mark  Carney  macroprudential  policy  property  bubble  austerity  liquidity  trap  secular  stagnation  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  economic  history  GFC  neoliberalism  neoliberal  trickle-down  economics  free  market  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  faultlines  hot-money  hunt  for  yield  distortion  financial  repression  emerging  middle  class  emerging  market  Frontier  Markets  BRIC  China  Brazil  credit  bubble  2016  reflate  reflation  junk  bond  revolving  debt  household  debt  mortgage  market  consumer  debt  UK  IMF  OECD  credit  card  debt  car  loan  BOE  MervynKing  ECB  Fed  Europe  deflationary  deflation  Gini  coefficient  inequality  MarioDraghi  Taper  QT  bonuses  bonus  global  imbalances  structural  imbalance  Career  Politicians  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  revolving  door  New  Normal  speculative  bubbles  Richard  Koo  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Bank of Japan shocks markets by adopting negative interest rates | World news | The Guardian
BOJ shock decision to adopt negative interest rates, in an attempt to protect the flagging economy from market volatility and fears over the global economy. In a 5-4 vote, the bank’s board imposed a 0.1% fee on deposits left with the Bank of Japan (BoJ) – in effect a negative interest rate. The move, which follows the similarly aggressive precedent set by the ECB in June 2014, is designed to encourage commercial banks to use excess reserves they keep with the central bank to lend to businesses. //&! The Disturbing Reasons Why The Bank Of Japan Stunned Everyone With Negative Rates - bit.ly/1UvpOyO - encouraging capex, supporting existing bubbles ie equity and bonds (joining draghi). Citing examples of Sweden and Switzerland with NIRP. And ECB of combining QE and NIRP. Combating China exporting deflation. And keep the pace of JGB purchases, keeping the bubble floating. [A] "last-ditch measure"[.] [I]t may be time to panic. - 2016/2017 //&! Currency War - bit.ly/1QwOGox
ECB  BOJ  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  monetary  policy  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  theory  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  monetary  system  deposit  levy  MarioDraghi  Abenomics  economic  history  deleveraging  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  GFC  recovery  Yen  Euro  credit  bubble  liquidity  trap  distortion  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  equity  bubble  speculative  bubbles  bond  bubble  property  bubble  debt  bubble  New  Normal  financial  repression  faultlines  global  economy  structural  imbalance  global  imbalances  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  Japan  UK  secular  stagnation  western  world  inflation  expectation  inflation  targeting  nominal  GDP  targeting  deflation  Sweden  Switzerland  China  Yuan  JGB  2016  USA  Europe  sovereign  debt  crisis  austerity  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  Super  Cycle  recession  currency-war  currency  debasement  currency  war 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Blackrock-Vize Hildebrand kritisiert europäische Behörden - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Hildebrand: Nein, dafür sehe ich keine Anzeichen. Aber was mich schon besorgt, ist das Muster, dass frappantes Fehlverhalten europäischer Firmen immer wieder von amerikanischen Behörden aufgedeckt wird. Das scheint mir das wahre Problem zu sein. Ich denke da nicht nur an VW, sondern auch an die Banken oder an die Fifa. [...] Die Amerikaner dagegen sind das Problem schon 2009 angegangen, und die Banken sind schnell wieder gesundet. In Europa hat man es unter den Teppich gekehrt. [...] Europa hat zwei Probleme, und ein wesentliches davon ist ein Nachfrageproblem: Die Wirtschaft ist nicht ausgelastet, auch die Arbeitslosigkeit ist nach wie vor zu hoch. Und die Inflation liegt nahe null. [...] Europa hat auch ein Strukturproblem. Arbeits- und Produktmärkte sind überreguliert. [ Re Credit Bubble ] Niemand weiß genau, was geschieht, wenn diese Politik einmal umgekehrt wird.
VW  bank  bailout  FIFA  corporate  scandal  Volkswagen  sovereign  debt  crisis  too  big  to  bail  Grexit  European  Union  secular  stagnation  self-regulation  regulation  regulators  deregulation  accountability  white-collar  crime  banking  investment  banking  retail  banking  recovery  MarioDraghi  ECB  NIRP  ZIRP  TLTRO  LTRO  QE  GFC  economic  history  debtoverhang  Richard  Koo  fiscal  monetary  Brussels  lost  decade  lostgeneration  lost  generation  Generationengerechtigkeit  austerity  Pact  Schuldenbremse  underinvestment  productive  investment  ageing  population  demographic  bubble  squeezed  middle  class  emerging  middle  class  discretionary  spending  Sozialer  Abstieg  income  distribution  disposable  income  Brexit  credit  bubble  BRIC  emerging  market  Developing  World  western  Niall  Ferguson 
november 2015 by asterisk2a
The Draghi Put - YouTube
Draghi Put &! bit.ly/1fQ2lcq // &! bloom.bg/1Euf6peh // &! Mark Blyth Mackenzie Lecture 2015 – Austerity and the Politics of Money - youtu.be/B6vV8_uQmxs --- u cant make them lend (banks) 2 businesses (productive investment, closing productivity & output gap) particularly in a deflationary world with secular stagnation tendencies/signs, with non-existent inflation expectations! liquidity trap! dont get into higher growth path/gear! and infrastructure bonds (= Eurobond) on EU level wont help very much. !New Normal is lower yield avg across assets (public) & economic growth average p/a of abt 1.2-1.4% Add demographic bubble/ageing population = less consumerism, less disposable income/discretionary spending on aggregate, Piketty (book) removed technology as growth multiplier in some chapters & then you really come to <2% p/a long-run growth predictions for EU/western world. <2% growth p/a at >90% debt2gdp u have a problem! == Rechtsruck &or Anti-Austerity. Political tail-risk!
Draghi  Put  ECB  ELA  TLTRO  LTRO  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  liquidity  trap  distortion  bond  bubble  asset  bubble  equity  bubble  reflate  reflation  financial  repression  asset  allocation  speculative  bubbles  deflationary  deflation  inflation  expectation  inflation  targeting  MarioDraghi  monetary  transmission  mechanism  M3  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  monetary  theory  hot-money  hunt  for  yield  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  trust  devaluation  currency  debasement  currency-war  fiat  currency  trustagent  distrust  Richard  Koo  fiscal  stimulus  austerity  fiscal  policy  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  debt  servitude  Super  Cycle  Mark  Blyth  inequality  New  Normal  economic  history  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  output  gap  productivity  UK  Europe  Germany  PIIGSFB  zombie  banks  Thomas  Piketty  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  economic  growth  Rechtsruck  SNP  European  Election  2014  UKIP  AfD  NPD  Conservative  Party  Tories  Establishment  Privileged  babyboomers  Lügenpresse  manufactured  consent  PR  spin  doctor  propaganda  populism  Labour  Party  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  social  contract  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  poverty  Gini  poverty  policy  coef 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
US stocks nosedive in early trading amid collapse in global markets | Business | The Guardian
[ great reflation move since 09, finds another opportunity (this time because of China) to reflect. meaning to reassess reality. same with the collapse in emerging market, money going out of high yield & risk back to US/UK in hope of Taper and then came the hammer in form of China scare, people taking even more money out of emerging market/Chinas neighbours into the safe haven (perceived) that is the $/£/EUR market ] Dow dropped more than 1,000 points shortly after the markets opened, but it recovered slightly to be down 620 points, or 6%, shortly before 10am. Dow, which had suffered big falls last week, was trading below 16,000 at 10am – the first time it has been below that level since February 2014. The index is 14% below its record peak in May, putting the Dow firmly into “correction” territory – Wall Street jargon for a drop of 10% or more from a recent peak. &! bit.ly/1EQ31Fn &! bit.ly/1F1zPue - Summers argued for fiscal stimulus, debate about secular stagnation.
correction  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  emerging  market  hunt  for  yield  unintended  consequences  2015  unknown  unkown  hot-money  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  reflate  reflation  recovery  GFC  structural  imbalance  global  imbalances  China  USA  western  world  secular  stagnation  Developing  developed  world  Europe  UK  Singapore  Asia  global  economy  global  trade  energy  price  Oil  price  OPEC  economic  history  Taper  Abenomics  Japan  Fed  BOE  ECB  BOJ  Richard  Koo  equity  bubble  bond  bubble  deflationary  deflation  job  creation  job  market  participation  rate  industrial  policy  Makers  short-term  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  policy  folly  policy  error  PBOC  distortion  faultlines  Impediments  STEM  underinvestment  productive  investment  output  gap  productivity  Paul  Krugman  Larry  Summers  Ben  Bernanke  Janet  Yellen  Mark  Carney  MarioDraghi  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  austerity  fiscal  policy  Pact  Schuldenbremse  fiscal  stimulus  George  Osborne  dogma  IMF  OECD  ChristineLagarde  ideology 
august 2015 by asterisk2a
Greek banks face full nationalisation - BBC News
post-referendum, post-humiliating bailout terms of more and deeper austerity and additionally - privatisation. // [ but nobody admits that they (Greece) lost all fiscal & national sovereignty by and through the show of negotiations of the 3rd bailout. ] // &! The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has confirmed that Greece has cleared overdue debt repayments of €2.05bn (£1.4bn) and is no longer in arrears. - bbc.in/1Os3G5G // &! youtu.be/fJB4neizgUM - we expect a recession of 3-4% for 2015 and 2016. // &! youtu.be/MpFtDwp8lVo - Greek Cash Crunch Goes to Market // &! On The Streets Of The Greek Financial Crisis - youtu.be/nDfOFzAKB-w >> powerless, no future, no options but to suffer on the demands of creditors.
zombie  banks  Bank  of  Greece  Greece  ECB  capital-controls  capital-flight  ELA  MarioDraghi  greatdepression  Great  Depression  2015  creditor  debt  servitude  sovereign  debt  crisis  fiscal  sovereignty  sovereign  economic  history  European  European  Union 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Former Greek finance minister Yanis Varoufakis says EU deal is a 'new Treaty of Versailles’ | News | The National
THE bailout deal forced upon Greece by its eurozone creditors was dubbed “a new treaty of Versailles” last night by the country’s former finance minister. [...] the deal comes with years of enforced austerity and privatisation of state assets. Yanis Varoufakis, who quit last week after falling out with his European counterparts, spoke of the “politics of humiliation”. He said the lenders were taking revenge on prime minister Alexis Tsipras. “It is an impossible deal,” he added. “A deal that is simply not viable.” [...] “This has nothing to do with economics. It has nothing to do with putting Greece back on the rails towards recovery. This is a new Versailles Treaty that is haunting Europe again, and the prime minister knows it. He knows that he’s damned if he does and he’s damned if he doesn’t.” [...] “It’s not that it didn’t go down well – there was point-blank refusal to engage in economic arguments. Point blank.
Yanis  Varoufakis  2015  Alexis  Tsipras  Syriza  Greece  Troika  Eurogroup  austerity  ideology  dogma  Angela  Merkel  IMF  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Career  Politicians  political  economy  political  science  political  theory  political  folly  political  error  economic  history  ChristineLagarde  MarioDraghi  ECB  No  Representation  European  European  Union  fiscal  policy  sovereign  debt  crisis  debt  restructuring  debt  jubilee  debtoverhang  sustainability  sustainable  bailout  zombie  banks  greatdepression  Great  Depression  Leadership  humility  Failure  insanity 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Mark Blyth Mackenzie Lecture 2015 – Austerity and the Politics of Money - YouTube
too big to bail, thus stick it to the countries individually. // Draghi Put - LTRO, LTRO 2, ELA, what ever it takes, TLTRO, // 5trn (40% of EU GDP) put into banks since the crisis (as of 2013). // NPL (via stress test) - 1.22trn in NPL in EU banking system as of 2013. // TINA - there is no alternative (same with UK budget2015) - bbc.in/1N3hrdu &! Angela Merkel "Alternativlos" // bailed out the assets (income for banks via mortgages, loans, businesses loans and credit lines, insurance policies, 401ks, pension fund contributions) of the top 20-30% of the income distribution. austerity is put on the bottom 70-20% of the income distribution. a bailout not just of the banks, the system, but also the top 20-30%, the Super Rich, 1%, the Establishment, the Privileged, the babyboomers, the pensioners. ... and add QE, you really reflate/bail out the 1% ... 10% ... 20%, their pensions, investments, and so forth. // this was and still is a Class specific Put Option for those with assets!
Mark  Blyth  austerity  bailout  book  GFC  ECB  toobigtofail  TBTF  bank  bailout  too  big  to  bail  sovereign  debt  crisis  PIIGSFB  zombie  banks  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  financial  repression  economic  history  dogma  ideology  crony  capitalism  European  Union  Troika  Eurogroup  NPL  reflate  reflation  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  deregulation  self-regulation  regulation  regulators  complexity  oversight  investment  banking  shadow  banking  banking  crisis  financial  literacy  financial  market  financial  crisis  Wolfgang  Schäuble  MarioDraghi  equity  bubble  asset  allocation  distortion  inflation  targeting  inflation  expectation  European  Commission  European  Parliament  Angela  Merkel  GroKo  lenderoflastresort  Germany  banking  EuroFin  IMF  OECD  academia  academics  M3  monetary  policy  monetary  transmission  mechanism  Richard  Koo  debtoverhang  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  fiscal  stimulus  fiscal  policy  Pact  Schuldenbremse  spin  doctor  PR  manufactured  consent  propaganda  Lügenpresse  populism  corporate  media  deflationary  deflation  secular  stagnation  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  Super  Cycle  budget2015  George  Osborne  Tories  Conservative  Party  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  No  bubble  asset  bubble  R 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Why Greece’s European Agreement Is Not a Bailout - YouTube
'Tsipras was digging his own grave.' That he goes home now with that deal that has to be passed by Parliament, this deal after the referendum no on bailout terms less harsh, that is tough. Demuetigung by Eurogroup and Co. To go home with even more stricter terms, the people that elected him on an anti-austerity platform and gave a resounding 61% no to the bailout terms given February 2015 after the election of Syriza.
Greece  Alexis  Tsipras  Yanis  Varoufakis  Syriza  referendum  democracy  bailout  2015  Eurogroup  Angela  Merkel  creditor  Politics  economic  history  IMF  Troika  Great  Depression  Career  Politicians  Wolfgang  Schäuble  ECB  Germany  FrancoisHollande  France  Grexit  austerity  Privatisation  debt  restructuring  haircut  sovereign  debt  crisis  debt  jubilee  common  sense  common  good  solidarity  BIS  World  Bank  ChristineLagarde  Jean-Claude  Juncker  MarioDraghi  European  Union 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Killing the European Project - The New York Times
[3rd Bailout, post-referendum, even more austerity requests and liberal economic reforms and selling of state assets and privatisation - than Syriza had on its plate after it got elected on an anti-austerity platform, tried to negotioate, Eurogroup didnt budge, referendum was called and corralito/capital controls/bank holiday for now over 2 weeks, ... just to get money to pay off EFSF, IMF and ECB, ... ] Paul Krugman geht in der "New York Times" hart mit der Euro-Gruppe ins Gericht. Deren Forderungen gegenüber Griechenland seien verrückt. "Der Hashtag #ThisIsACoup bringt es genau auf den Punkt", so Krugman. Besonders Deutschland sei dabei, das europäische Projekt zu töten.
Paul  Krugman  European  Union  Grexit  Greece  2015  Syriza  Troika  Eurogroup  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  Jean-Claude  Juncker  IMF  ECB  MarioDraghi  ChristineLagarde  Germany  FrancoisHollande  France  Leadership  vision  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  compromise  political  error  policy  folly  austerity  dogma  ideology  haircut  debt  jubilee  debt  restructuring  propaganda  populism  manufactured  consent  corporate  state  media  conglomerate  economic  history  common  sense  Great  Depression  lost  decade  lost  generation  European 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Greece debt crisis puts Germany's Merkel under pressure - BBC News
Of all of its creditors, Greece owes Germany the most - €68bn (£49bn; $75bn). // should compromise and change Germany internal debate whether we want to see 70% of our money or non at all in case of a Grexit in the next 5 years because Greece can no get back to economic growth and a real nationalistic and populistic elected gov that make Syriza look pale in comparison does elect to exit Euro voluntarily. Short sighted ideological national interest will bring worse than they can imagine - destroying the european dream and damaging europe as a whole as economy long-term (ie deflationary pressures ECB fights with more money, instead with political long-term resolution in the interest of THE EUROPEAN UNION, SOLIDARITY, they already did since GFC with their dither strategy, putting plasters on fault lines. Angela Merkel could have become the true Queen of Europe history would have remembered her. But she can only be national career politician & a lab worker (has science degree).
Career  Politicians  compromise  Grexit  bailout  debt  restructuring  haircut  EFSF  IMF  ECB  ESM  Greece  sustainable  sustainability  economic  history  austerity  national  interest  European  Union  policy  folly  policy  error  Angela  Merkel  Sigmar  Gabriel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Troika  ChristineLagarde  Eurogroup  MarioDraghi  common  sense  common  good  Great  Depression  lost  decade  lost  generation  zombie  banks  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  ideology  dogma  populism  propaganda  Nationalism  media  conglomerate  Lügenpresse  No  Representation  faultlines  structural  imbalance  GFC  recovery  solidarity  manufactured  consent  corporate  state  Gesellschaft  European  fiscal  transferunion  Eurobond  Leadership  vision 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Athens capitulates to creditors - BBC News
"Greece: Prior Actions - Policy Commitments and Actions to be taken in consultation with the EC/ECB/IMF staff", it feels very familiar. That familiarity stems from its great similarity to the bailout proposals put to Greece by the creditors - the eurozone governments, the European Central Bank and the IMF - last month. Pretty much everything wanted by the creditors is there - with the odd tweak or softening, but nothing which looks as though it ought to be noxious to them. So there is a pledge for budget surpluses rising in steps to 3.5% of GDP or national income by 2018 [< in their dreams only]. // The referendum was a last ditch effort by Syriza to get better deal. Eurogroup, Troika, IMF, ECB called it a bluff and accepted a possible Grexit and according to Juncker did prepare for it. No we are where we were when Syriza was elected and had to negotiate for a new bailout tranche, to pay off other bailout tranches re-payment coming up (IMF, EFSF, ECB) &! bbc.in/1INY5Gu MPs to deceide
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july 2015 by asterisk2a
Germany won’t spare Greek pain – it has an interest in breaking us | Yanis Varoufakis | Comment is free | The Guardian
Debt restructuring has always been our aim in negotiations – but for some eurozone leaders Grexit is the goal [...] To frame the cynical transfer of irretrievable private losses on to the shoulders of taxpayers as an exercise in “tough love”, record austerity was imposed on Greece, whose national income, in turn – from which new and old debts had to be repaid – diminished by more than a quarter. It takes the mathematical expertise of a smart eight-year-old to know that this process could not end well. [...] In my first week as minister for finance I was visited by Jeroen Dijsselbloem, president of the Eurogroup (the eurozone finance ministers), who put a stark choice to me: accept the bailout’s “logic” and drop any demands for debt restructuring or your loan agreement will “crash” – the unsaid repercussion being that Greece’s banks would be boarded up. [...] Wolfgang Schäuble, decided that Grexit’s costs were a worthwhile “investment” as a way of disciplining France et al,
Yanis  Varoufakis  debt  restructuring  debt  jubilee  Super  Cycle  sustainable  sustainability  Great  Depression  Greece  Grexit  lost  decade  lost  generation  PIGS  Troika  Germany  France  IMF  Angela  Merkel  ChristineLagarde  European  History  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Thomas  Piketty  ECB  MarioDraghi  Leadership  European  Union  Insolvenzverschleppung  insolvent  insolvency  austerity  economic  policy  folly  policy  error  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  dogma  ideology  propaganda  Lügenpresse  bailout  zombie  banks  populism  manufactured  consent  media  conglomerate  corporate  state  Jeroen  Dijsselbloem  Jean-Claude  Juncker  Eurogroup  EFSF  ELA  EuropeanSystemicRiskBoard  systemicrisk  toobigtofail  TBTF  too  big  to  jail  referendum  PIIGSFB  PIIGS  FrancoisHollande  academia  academic  academics  carmenreinhart  kennethlewis  Alexis  Tsipras  Syriza  Wall  Street  crony  capitalism  Podemos  Indignants  Indignados  occupywallstreet  fairness  GFC  recovery  economic  model  trickle-down  economics  economic-thought  shared  economic  interest  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  economists  economic  damage  short-term  thinking  short-term  view 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
IMF Slams Germany, Says Greece "Needs Debt Restructuring" | Zero Hedge
on the ticker. IMF'S LAGARDE SAYS DEBT RESTRUCTURING NEEDED IN GREECE. IMF'S LAGARDE SAYS FUND REMAINS 'FULLY ENGAGED' WITH GREECE. IMF'S LAGARDE SAYS IMF CANNOT GIVE GREECE SPECIAL TREATMENT // Earlier today, confirming that Germany sternly refuses to change its tune about a Greek debt haircut or even a debt "reprofiling" of Greece and would not budge an inch on Tsipras tacit request for at least some debt leeway, we reported that "the German government does not see any reason to grant Greece either a classic debt haircut or any other measures that would slash the value of money on loan to the crisis-ridden country, a spokesman for the finance ministry said on Wednesday." // IMF has admitted it was wrong to advocate for austerity, now IMF admits it was wrong to hope that its approach (together with Troika) would help Greece. // an economic model is an economic model, not the real world and especially not able to predict the future. // "Alternativlos."
Grexit  sustainable  sustainability  Greece  PIGS  sovereign  debt  crisis  debt  jubilee  haircut  debt  restructuring  ChristineLagarde  economic  history  austerity  ideology  dogma  academia  KennethRogoff  carmenreinhart  academic  economic  model  economist  economics  economic  damage  neoliberal  neoliberalism  liberal  economic  reform  Troika  IMF  ECB  MarioDraghi  BuBa  Jens  Weidmann  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Germany  France  FrancoisHollande  European  Union  Yanis  Varoufakis  Alexis  Tsipras  referendum  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  society  bailout  zombie  banks  Gesellschaft  fairness  GFC  recovery  European  Syriza  Podemos  Indignants  Indignados  lost  generation  lost  decade  trust  trustagent  Protest  Partei  Protest  Party  symptom  voter  turnout 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Greek debt crisis: What next for the European Union dream? - BBC News
In a European Union that's currently dominated by eye-popping debt figures, last-minute debt talks and sharp-tongued insults, some people are wondering what happened to the idealism behind the European project: the "European idea"? // &! Greece debt crisis: Eurozone decision down to politics - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/blogs-eu-33429622 // agglomeration of the symptoms and outcomes of our time have pushed weak career politicans in a corner where they can't admit a big academic/intellectual/economic mistake and at least re-orientate. thus keeping the destructive path they are on. because their national (political) interest (and that of their constituency) is them more important (their status quo career) than the greater good and stable integrated (& solidarity) future of Europe is so needs in an even more unstable and uncertain and competitive future. It all started when they said it was "Alternativlos" to bailout banks and transfer the debt (risk) on public balance sheet.
Grexit  PIGS  European  History  European  Union  Angela  Merkel  Jean-Claude  Juncker  ECB  MarioDraghi  Germany  France  FrancoisHollande  Leadership  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  Wolfgang  Schäuble  compromise  political  error  political  folly  political  economy  political  theory  Syriza  Alexis  Tsipras  Yanis  Varoufakis  austerity  dogma  ideology  IMF  ChristineLagarde  humility  humble  character  economic  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Gesellschaft  society  symptom  bailout  PIIGS  zombie  banks  PIIGSFB  GFC  recovery  2015  UK  neoliberal  neoliberalism  crony  capitalism  TBTF  toobigtofail  too  big  to  jail  Wall  Street  liberal  economic  reform  referendum  democracy 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Alexis Tsipras im EU-Parlament: Viel reden, wenig sagen - SPIEGEL ONLINE
bit.ly/1IJwjL7 Greece needs much more time for reform implementation and to get to a stable economy, till it even can be considered debt repayment - even if all creditors block a substantial haircut/debt jubilee - they had (Germany). IF THEY (creditors) can not see a 'common sense' deal through, Greece will have to issue IOU in lieu of Euro paper money for Pensioners, Civil Servants & Contractors or break with ECB and issue unsecured loans to Banks via Bank of Greece. AND/OR as well as probably enact Plan B for a return to the Drachma ( bit.ly/1D16Rus ) AND THEN - Juncker threatens-claims Tsipras to have in-detail Grexit plan ( bit.ly/1gobU36) already. This only speak to the dogma & ideology creditors live in. No willing to compromise for the future of european union and actually use the crisis as an opportunity for more integration and solidarity. A union that Europe needs for its future, existence.
Greece  Grexit  referendum  creditors  IMF  Alexis  Tsipras  Syriza  Germany  EFSF  ECB  MarioDraghi  ChristineLagarde  Troika  Jean-Claude  Juncker  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  France  FrancoisHollande  zombie  banks  European  Union  European  History  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  Leadership  compromise  dogma  austerity  ideology  economic  economic  model  academia  political  economy  political  theory  political  error  political  science  political  folly  Governance  solidarity  fiscal  monetary  banking  transferunion  currency 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Greece’s fight is for democracy in Europe. That’s why we must support it | Owen Jones | Comment is free | The Guardian
The EU powers told Greeks their world would cave in unless they acquiesced by voting yes. The no vote has raised the political stakes even higher (by Owen Jones, author) The referendum was, of course, a rejection of an austerity programme that has unleashed what is commonly described in Greece as a humanitarian crisis. Since Lehman Brothers crashed in 2008, austerity has always relied on the displacement of blame from elites to elsewhere. It was Goldman Sachs who helped the then Greek government to cook the countrys books to win entry into the euro. It was German & French banks who profitably and recklessly lent to Greece, just as US banks disastrously showered subprime mortgages on low-paid Americans. It was Germany who benefited from being able to export its consumer goods to peripheral European countries such as Greece. [transfer of debt/risk, plunging people & welfare state downward spiral with little growth to pay off new debt = unsustainable by Wall Street] &! bit.ly/1G3v9ns
democracy  referendum  Grexit  Greece  Europe  technocrat  austerity  economic  history  GFC  Career  Politicians  IMF  World  Bank  ECB  Troika  crony  capitalism  bailout  zombie  banks  too  big  to  jail  TBTF  toobigtofail  banking  crisis  sovereign  debt  crisis  Wall  Street  capitalism  neoliberal  neoliberalism  liberal  economic  reform  Yanis  Varoufakis  Owen  Jones  Thomas  Piketty  debt  jubilee  haircut  Leadership  No  Representation  Super  Cycle  debtoverhang  debt  restructuring  dogma  ideology  propaganda  Lügenpresse  manufactured  consent  history  European  solidarity  Germany  Angela  Merkel  corporate  state  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Jean-Claude  Juncker  ChristineLagarde  MarioDraghi  academia  academics 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
ECB tightens squeeze on Greek banks - BBC News
ECB the silent enforcer, again. ECB ask for more collateral for existing ELA line bit.ly/1M8cWKF Thus narrowing the window of time to get a new deal done (with IMF/Troika/Eurogroup) or Bank of Greece is forced to issue unsecured loans to banks (print new money) or to issue Drachma. // "[O]ne of the Big Four Greek banks has already almost run out of cash. So the ECB statement means that bank has no ability to replenish its dwindling cash stocks. [...] ECB has brought forward the fateful moment when the Greek banking system ceases to function in any meaningful way, for want of cash. The Greek government & Bank of Greece today agreed with the banks that until Wednesday night, they will continue to allow cash withdrawals of up to €60 per account - for those banks that still have paper money. And the ban on overseas transfers will be sustained until then." // &! bbc.in/1M9d90h Syriza wants a 30% reduction in its debt burden, as per the IMF's debt sustainability analysis of last week.
ECB  referendum  Grexit  Bank  of  Greece  Greece  ELA  MarioDraghi  BuBa  Jens  Weidmann  Drachma  Syriza  Tsipras 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Varoufakis und die Legende über seinen Rücktritt - SPIEGEL ONLINE
[1st Backroom deal concession from Tsipras 2 get Eurogroup (EFSF), IMF ('Big Daddy'), Troika ('Structural Reform Guide'), ECB (ELA) & Syriza together on 1 table for a renegotiation - without him, him being not a Politician!?] [...] Rücktritt am Tag nach dem Referendum: Finanzminister Yanis Varoufakis hat seinen Posten niedergelegt. Eigenen Angaben zufolge will er damit die Chancen von Regierungschef Alexis Tsipras auf eine Einigung mit den Euro-Partnern verbessern. // bit.ly/1CVg6w0 &! This is a sign that the status quo (interest group, peer group with group think and their ideology of austerity) can't change the World, affect the Symptoms, ... thus the we need the Rebellion // bit.ly/1gj9x1w - ob er sich selbst im weg stand is debatable from where you stand. &! bit.ly/1TgNTJw
Yanis  Varoufakis  referendum  Grexit  Greece  Politics  Career  Politicians  Alexis  Tsipras  Syriza  No  Representation  status  quo  interest  groups  peer  group  Groupthink  economic  history  political  theory  political  economy  European  Union  Angela  Merkel  Jean-Claude  Juncker  Jeroen  Dijsselbloem  Wolfgang  Schäuble  MarioDraghi  technocrat  political  science  Correctness 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Münchau: Merkel zwischen Schuldenkonferenz und Grexit - SPIEGEL ONLINE
[ Groesste feigheit und intelectual cynicism of EU history. "Alternativlos." BIS warned, time was wasted. ] Mit ideologischer Verbohrtheit beharren die Deutschen darauf, dass Griechenland all seine Kredite zurückzahlen muss - was so oder so nicht geschehen wird. Höchste Zeit also für eine Schuldenkonferenz! // Case of history - Treaty of Versailles = Nationalism (Nazi) and Rechtsruck! Happened in Greece and Co. and in Germany. // People learned and after WW2 and came together to give Europe a chance! >> London Debt Agreement (German: Londoner Schuldenabkommen) "An important term of the agreement was that repayments were only due while West Germany ran a trade surplus, and that repayments were limited to 3% of export earnings. This gave Germany’s creditors a powerful incentive to import German goods, assisting reconstruction." - bit.ly/1exF0vY bit.ly/1ep1dvW - also periphery countries like France, Italy, Spain and Portugal were encouraged by Allies not to demand war reparations.
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july 2015 by asterisk2a
Griechenland: Slavoj Zizek im Interview über Tripras - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Mehr Europa: Im Interview verteidigt der Slowene Slavoj Zizek die Tsipras-Regierung - und deren Idee eines Referendums. Von Philip Kaleta [...] Zizek: Die griechische Regierung hat wiederholt ihre Absicht klar gemacht, Griechenland sowohl in der EU als auch in der Eurozone halten zu wollen. Diese Haltung ist völlig eindeutig, Referendum hin oder her. Es geht heute darum, ob der Sparkurs weiterverfolgt wird oder neue Wege eingeschlagen werden. Die Kritiker von Tsipras versuchen, den Kern des Referendums in eine Schicksalsfrage umzudeuten. [...] Ohne einen solchen Plan [oekonomischer neuanfang] würde sich die Krise letztlich immer wieder reproduzieren. [...] Sogar der IWF hat eingeräumt, dass Griechenland einen groß angelegten Schuldenerlass braucht, um "Raum zum Atmen" zu schaffen und die Wirtschaft wieder zum Laufen zu bringen. [...] In Ihrem aktuellen Buch plädieren Sie für eine europäische Leitkultur, ... [ bailout = socialism for tbtf/jail and donors, lobby & country club ]
democracy  Slavoj  Zizek  Greece  PIGS  austerity  bailout  toobigtofail  TBTF  too  big  to  jail  Wall  Street  crony  capitalism  capitalism  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  referendum  Podemos  Syriza  Grexit  European  Union  debt  jubilee  sustainability  sustainable  debtoverhang  sovereign  debt  crisis  fiscal  sovereignty  Great  Depression  ideology  dogma  economic  history  sociology  psychology  history  Europe  solidarity  Gesellschaft  IMF  Troika  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Jean-Claude  Juncker  Jens  Weidmann  ChristineLagarde  ECB  MarioDraghi  Leadership  fiscal  political  compromise  shared  economic  interest  EFSF  European  vision  courage  technocrat  status  quo  lost  decade  lost  generation  egalitarianism  fairness  equality  inequality  Gini  coefficient  egalitarian  culture  society  heresy  thought  thought  leader  economic-thought  trust  trustagent 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Merkel's Leadership Has Failed in the Greece Crisis - SPIEGEL ONLINE
[ "Alternativlos." ] Angela Merkel relishes her reputation as queen of Europe. But she hasn't learned how to use her power, instead allowing a bad situation to heat up to the boiling point. Her inability to take unpopular stances badly exacerbated the Greek crisis. // &! bit.ly/1f8B8lY - Kein Unterschied, ob "Bild", "Zeit" oder ARD: In den deutschen Medien schwingen sich Journalisten reihenweise zu pöbelnden Parteigängern auf, statt Fakten und Analysen zur Griechenlandkrise zu bringen.
debt  jubilee  haircut  Grexit  Greece  PIGS  sovereign  debt  crisis  Angela  Merkel  Leadership  Career  Politicians  Germany  political  error  political  economy  political  science  political  folly  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  European  Union  IMF  ECB  BuBa  Bundesbank  Jens  Weidmann  MarioDraghi  ChristineLagarde  Jean-Claude  Juncker  France  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  complexity  ideology  dogma  manufactured  consent  corporate  state  bailout  solidarity  Gesellschaft  history  economic  history  austerity  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  policy  folly  policy  error  GFC  recovery  sovereignty  Lügenpresse  media  conglomerate 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Greek referendum: how would top economists vote? | World news | The Guardian
"A no vote would at least open the possibility that Greece, with its strong democratic tradition, might grasp its destiny in its own hands. [...] [I]s far more hopeful than the unconscionable torture of the present." [...] The troika clearly did a reverse Corleone – they made Tsipras an offer he can’t accept, and presumably did this knowingly [ Blackmail offer they (Syriza) could not accept - bbc.in/1GV19uS &! bbc.in/1TcpC7s &! youtu.be/g3YF38exVNo ]. So the ultimatum was, in effect, a move to replace the Greek government. [T]hat has to be disturbing for anyone who believes in European ideals. [...] I recommend that the Greek people give a resounding “No” to the creditors in the referendum on their demands this weekend. // &! The Guardian view on the Greek referendum: hard to imagine a more dismal choice - Editorial - bit.ly/1LZS7kv - The Greek crisis has led Brussels into the business of regime change // &! True leaders admit 2 mistakes = humility. not smartest.
jeffreysachs  Jeffrey  Sachs  Joseph  Stiglitz  Paul  Krugman  Grexit  referendum  democracy  Troika  IMF  ECB  austerity  ideology  economic  history  Career  Politicians  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  ChristineLagarde  Syriza  blackmail  dogma  economic  damage  economic  model  economic-thought  shared  economic  interest  social  tension  social  cohesion  Gesellschaft  European  Union  solidarity  propaganda  manufactured  consent  corporate  state  EFSF  haircut  debt  jubilee  Leadership  humility  MarioDraghi  Jean-Claude  Juncker 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Greek economy close to collapse as food and medicine run short | World news | The Guardian
Banks said they had a €1bn cash buffer to see them through the weekend – equal to just €90 (£64) a head for the 11 million-strong population – and would require immediate help from the European Central Bank on Monday whatever the result of the referendum, in which the two sides are running neck and neck. Alexis Tsipras, Greece’s prime minister, was fighting for his political life on Friday night, using a rally to say that a no vote would enable him to negotiate a reform-for-debt-relief deal with the country’s creditors. [ Greece needs debt jubilee (and Allies urged also to forgo reparations) like post-WW2/Nazi Germany got that enabled it to economically succeed, but Greece (and its people) is not seen as too big to fail and not critical for European stability. A 20 year debt repayment pause that IMF last week brought in, is not enough. It is just a delay. It's economically not sound. Just opportunism to show to the public 'we do something.' ]
debt  jubilee  Germany  history  WW2  haircut  sustainable  sustainability  sovereign  debt  crisis  Grexit  PIGS  contagion  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  monetary  union  Leadership  IMF  ChristineLagarde  Angela  Merkel  Jean-Claude  Juncker  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Career  Politicians  European  solidarity  Gesellschaft  Greece  debt  bubble  debt  restructuring  Opportunism  opportunist  Wirtschaftswunder  economic  history  zombie  banks  bailout  Troika  EFSF  Syriza  ECB  MarioDraghi  ELA  austerity  ideology 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Gregor Gysi, DIE LINKE: »Sie wollen die linke Regierung in Griechenland beseitigen« - YouTube
[ "Alternativlos" & 'Jeder fuer sich selbst.' ] Die Rettungspakete galten nie den Bürgerinnen und Bürgern, sondern immer den Banken. Auch bei uns wurden 480 Milliarden Euro binnen einer Woche für die Rettung der Banken beschlossen. Wenn man mal 1 Million Euro für einen kulturellen oder sozialen Zweck braucht, dann bekommt man ein Nein, aber bei den Banken gibt es immer nur ein Ja. [...] Ich habe Ihnen zugehört, Frau Bundeskanzlerin. Ihre Rede kann ich wie folgt zusammenfassen: Die griechische Regierung hat alles falsch gemacht, und Sie, Herr Schäuble und die europäischen Institutionen, also der Internationale Währungsfonds, die Europäische Kommission und die Europäische Zentralbank, haben alles richtig gemacht. // via bit.ly/1R6V2yA
GroKo  Angela  Merkel  European  Union  bailout  Grexit  PIGS  PIIGS  EFSF  EFSM  ESM  IMF  Germany  Leadership  austerity  ideology  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Jean-Claude  Juncker  zombie  banks  GFC  sovereign  debt  crisis  democracy  No  Representation  EuropeanSystemicRiskBoard  European  History  Rechtsruck  propaganda  manufactured  consent  Sigmar  Gabriel  solidarity  Gesellschaft  Lügenpresse  investigative  journalism  journalismus  journalism  Syriza  political  economy  political  theory  France  economic  election  campaign  promises  Protest  Partei  Protest  Party  Podemos  Career  Politicians  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  Sozialer  Abstieg  squeezed  middle  class  hartz-iv  welfare  state  Public  Services  Social  Services  fairness  Super  Rich  1%  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  crony  capitalism  sovereignty  Troika  corporate  state  Toff  Establishment  Privileged  poverty  Gini  coefficient  mobility  UK  ChristineLagarde  political  science  political  error  political  folly  PR  relations  spin  doctor  banking  transferunion  currency  monetary  Eurobond  ECB  MarioDraghi  trichet  compromise  Politics 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
WikiLeaks - Espionnage Élysée - Angela Merkel on Greece and Europe (actions speak louder than words).
Earlier reporting reveals that following talks last week in Berlin with Merkel, Hollande complained that nothing of substance was achieved; it was purely for show. Hollande had found the chancellor fixated on the Fiscal Pact and above all on Greece, on which he claimed she had given up and was unwilling to budge. // Angela (Germany) put(s) national and personal political interests first second third and last .... // symptoms of our time, even politicians jump on "everybody for himself" //
Angela  Merkel  Grexit  Greece  Leadership  PIGS  sovereign  debt  crisis  European  Union  Wolfgang  Schäuble  GroKo  Germany  shared  economic  interest  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  Wall  Street  haircut  Nationalism  political  theory  political  economy  policy  folly  policy  error  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  Legacy  political  error  political  folly  Jean-Claude  Juncker  ECB  MarioDraghi  GFC  bailout  fairness  solidarity  propaganda  populism  Lügenpresse  manufactured  consent  IMF  EFSF  toobigtofail  TBTF  too  big  to  jail  zombie  banks  banking  recovery  economic  history  Sozialer  Abstieg  downward  mobility  Gini  coefficient  inequality  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  squeezed  middle  class  labour  market  labour  economics  precarious  work  Precariat  liberal  economic  reform  unintended  consequences  unknown  unkown  working  poor  Leiharbeit  Zeitarbeit  Minijob  minimum  wage  living  wage  Aufstocker  hartz-iv  Riester-Rente  Niedriglohn  Niedriglohnsektor  Lohnzurückhaltung  Service  Sector  Jobs  globalisation  globalization  competitiveness  competitive  flat  world  borderless  job  market  job  creation  underemployed  youth  unemployment  lost  decade  lost  generation  monetar 
july 2015 by asterisk2a
Griechenland: Was Angela Merkel noch alles angeboten hat - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Für den Fall, dass Tsipras die Verlängerung des aktuellen zweiten Hilfspakets zu den veränderten Konditionen akzeptiert hätte, bot Merkel ihm dem Vernehmen nach in einem letzten Gespräch am Freitag vergangener Woche unter anderem Folgendes an: ein drittes Hilfsprogramm, Schuldenerleichterungen, also eine teilweise Umschuldung, Investitionen in Höhe von rund 35 Milliarden Euro. // BUT NO debt jubilee/haircut and admitting that it was a EU bank bailout through the back door. // Counter-off on day 0 from Syriza; ESM to take on debt for two years. Another delay. Country will NOT start to grow in two years to pay off EFSF and IMF ... bit.ly/1Nsrupr &! IMF pushes back on default scenario - bit.ly/1NsrpSz &! Germany paid 85bn to EU banks (aka Greece Debt payments via EFSF, IMF and ECB ELA liability and bonds that ECB bought via their bank refinance programms (LTRO) via BuBa capital ownership of ECB) in case of default - bit.ly/1Hrx4ra // &! bbc.in/1Knh8qM &! bbc.in/1Knh8qM
Grexit  default  IMF  EFSF  Angela  Merkel  PIGS  Wolfgang  Schäuble  European  Union  Career  Politicians  economic  history  sovereign  debt  crisis  zombie  banks  GFC  recovery  Great  Depression  Greece  austerity  Troika  ECB  Syriza  democracy  solidarity  political  error  political  economy  political  folly  policy  error  policy  folly  ESM  ELA  BuBa  Bundesbank  LTRO  TLTRO  MarioDraghi  Jean-Claude  Juncker 
june 2015 by asterisk2a
Griechenland vor dem Referendum: Banken sind Herd der Krise - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Angesichts dieser Lage würden rationale Menschen den Schaden begrenzen wollen. Die einzige Möglichkeit, die es jetzt noch gibt, wäre ein verhandelter Schuldenschnitt für Griechenland ohne neues Programm, aber mit einer Refinanzierung der griechischen Banken. Mit anderen Worten: Wir müssten die Schmach über uns ergehen lassen, dass wir einem Teilverzicht unserer Forderungen zustimmen und gleichzeitig einen weiteren Kredit vergeben. So irrsinnig, wie sich das anhört, so sinnvoll wäre ein solcher Schritt aus deutscher Sicht. Nicht aus Mitleid oder Verantwortung. Sondern aus Eigennutz. Die Betonung hier liegt auf Teil-Verzicht. // // in the end it was a bank bailout through the backdoor sold to the people as Greece Bailout, the money went to the EU banks. period. so sell it as it is, the fucking pig. isn't politics about compromise? >> THUS LOL by Merkel call for more compromise - bit.ly/1Lyfjsc &! Merkel and Junker is at fault for putting them before Europe at large - bit.ly/1FxypaT
haircut  debt  jubilee  Grexit  Greece  PIGS  contagion  EFSF  IMF  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  ChristineLagarde  Career  Politicians  Leadership  unintended  consequences  2015  political  error  political  economy  European  Union  political  folly  policy  error  policy  folly  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  solidarity  Podemos  Syriza  Gesellschaft  zombie  banks  banking  bank  crisis  banking  crisis  stresstest  EuropeanSystemicRiskBoard  ECB  MarioDraghi  Jens  Weidmann  sovereign  debt  crisis  default  default  scenario 
june 2015 by asterisk2a
IMF heads must roll over shameful Greek failings - Telegraph
Whatever the eventual outcome of the Greek debt talks, there are a number of judgments can already be made; one is that a large part of the blame for this ever deepening debacle lies at the doors of the International Monetary Fund, which from the very beginning has had both its priorities and its analysis of the situation hopelessly wrong. [...] By any standards, however, the IMF’s entanglement with the eurozone crisis is a whopper of a screw-up. Nor is it something in which the IMF should have got involved in the first place. Europe, one of the richest regions in the world, should have been left to sort out its own affairs. [...] This is more particularly the case as the Greek debt crisis is almost entirely one of the eurozone’s own making. And yet unforgivably, Greece is now the IMF’s biggest bailout ever – $35bn for a population of just 11 million. [ after all it was an EU (&international) bank bailout through the backdoor. at a times where banks were not able to cope ]
IMF  ChristineLagarde  Grexit  austerity  economic  history  Leadership  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  ECB  Troika  MarioDraghi  European  Union  monetary  Europe  GFC  democracy  Career  Politicians  unintended  consequences  incomplete  information  unknown  unkown  No  Representation  fairness  Great  Depression  lost  decade  lost  generation  PIGS  bailout  EFSF  haircut  debt  jubilee  debt  restructuring 
june 2015 by asterisk2a
Greek debt: ECB 'to maintain funding limit' - BBC News
bbc.in/1TXD5Bj - Greek debt crisis: ECB not raising funding limit. The decision not to raise the cap on aid to Greece increases the likelihood of bank closures and restrictions on cash withdrawals, analysts say. That in turn could eventually result in Greece leaving the euro. The ECB said that it stood ready to review the decision and would work closely with the Bank of Greece. The current ceiling for the ECB's emergency funding - Emergency Liquidity Assistance (ELA) - is €89bn (£63bn). It is not clear if all that money has been disbursed. [...] &! bbc.in/1ICV0EA [...] Greece banks to stay closed on Monday, Piraeus Bank chief says, after emergency meeting in Athens // &! 'Bank Holiday' aka Corralito - bit.ly/1GKcBdu // &! Rumor: Greece Stock market will likely not open too. // &! bit.ly/1edehoc >> ECB not raising ELA in this situation is forcing Syriza/Gov to close down banks, stock market and enforce capital controls. ECB, the silent enforcer.
ECB  ELA  Grexit  Bank  of  Greece  run  bankrun  Corralito  holiday  economic  history  capital-controls  capital-flight  capital  controls  European  Union  IMF  Troika  MarioDraghi  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Jens  Weidmann  BuBa 
june 2015 by asterisk2a
ECB 'to end Greek bank lifeline' - BBC News
bloom.bg/1yMeCBS reut.rs/1Kin1FN bit.ly/1QWRUoF - Emergency Liquidity Facility (ELA) // ECB is expected to end emergency lending to Greece's banks on Sunday [...] have to "announce a bank holiday on Monday, pending introduction of capital controls". [B]ailout for heavily indebted Greece expires on Tuesday & talks have broken down. [...] "Grexit" from the euro is not inevitable, as the eurozone did resolve Cyprus's banking crisis in 2013 & the country stayed in the euro. [...] [Biggest part is EFSF debt. EU gov money (FR&GER biggest contributors) // Jens Weidmann - on.wsj.com/1KmPprP would have cut it earlier. Current tally €89 billion. // &! econ.st/1Kiugz1 - ECB could bully/force Greece/Syriza to accept any deal given or it will cut of ELA. It did so with Cyprus & Ireland. FT called it 'the quiet enforcer.' // In the End, IMF & EFSF paid off (mostly EU) bank loans for Greece. Not to fill Greece's budget deficit. = Backdoor National Bank Bailout!!! &! bbc.in/1ICV0EA
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june 2015 by asterisk2a
BBC News - ECB unveils massive QE boost for eurozone
The European Central Bank (ECB) says it will inject at least €1.1 trillion into the ailing eurozone economy. The ECB will buy bonds worth €60bn per month until the end of September 2016 and possibly longer, in what is known as quantitative easing (QE). The ECB has also said eurozone interest rates are being held at the record low of 0.05%, where they have been since September 2014. ECB president Mario Draghi said the programme would begin in March. The eurozone is flagging and the ECB is seeking ways to stimulate spending. Mr Draghi said the programme would be conducted "until we see a sustained adjustment in the path of inflation", which the ECB has pledged to maintain at close to 2%. + bit.ly/1GCvd40 &! bit.ly/1Ci5DgR &! bit.ly/1unR0lf &! bit.ly/1JnpsDm
ECB  QE  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  policy  deflation  deflationary  recovery  Europe  debt  monetization  debt  monetisation  GFC  deleveraging  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  liquidity  trap  sovereign  debt  crisis  Grexit  consumer  debt  private  debt  Super  Cycle  debt  bubble  household  debt  debt  restructuring  haircut  public  debt  zombie  banks  monetary  transmission  mechanism  fiat  currency  fiat  money  monetary  stimulus  monetary  theory  monetary  system  Japan  economic  history  global  economy  2015  faultlines  PIGS  output  gap  productivity  Euro  currency  war  NIRP  ZIRP  hunt  for  yield  unintended  consequences  exit  strategy  MarioDraghi  Wall  Street 
january 2015 by asterisk2a
Warum wir weiter Bargeld brauchen - Münchau zu Rogoff-Vorstoß - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Ich glaube nicht, dass es möglich ist, die Inflationsziele nach Belieben hin- und herzuschieben. Wir sehen doch gerade die Schwierigkeiten, die die Europäische Zentralbank (EZB) damit hat, ihr gegenwärtiges Inflationsziel von knapp zwei Prozent zu erreichen. Wenn man Inflationsziele beliebig verschiebt, verlieren sie schnell an Glaubwürdigkeit. Die Menschen würden zu Recht vermuten, dass man die Ziele bald wieder verändert, wenn es kommod ist. Anstatt zu versuchen, die Inflationsziele zu verändern oder das Bargeld abzuschaffen, sollten wir unsere existierenden Probleme ernster nehmen. Die EZB hätte viel früher und viel energischer mit der geldpolitischen Lockerung anfangen müssen. Heute stellt sich die vordringliche Frage, wie wir ein Abdriften in japanische Verhältnisse vermeiden. Wir sollten uns von diesen wichtigen Themen nicht durch störende Scheindebatten ablenken lassen. Die Abschaffung des Bargeldes wird unsere Probleme nicht lösen.
fiat  currency  inflation  targeting  deflation  deflationary  Europe  economic  history  ECB  MarioDraghi  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  OMT  zombie  banks  business  confidence  Japan  lost  decade  lost  generation  LTRO  TLTRO  Structural  Impediments  PIGS  Angela  Merkel  Pact  Schuldenbremse  France  Sick  man  of  Europe  imbalance  faultlines  infrastructure  investment  business  investment  Demand  and  Supply  China  Russia  BRIC  Frontier  Markets  Exportweltmeister  GFC  recovery  liquidity  trap  Richard  Koo  KennethRogoff  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  debtoverhang  Debt  Super  Cycle  Wall  Street  asset  bubble  speculative  bubbles  hunt  for  yield  crony  capitalism  Lohnzurückhaltung  consumer  confidence  profit  maximisation  Future  of  Work  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  culture  society  business  Politics  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  compromise  Career  Politicians  Lobbying  lobbyist  lobby  flat  globalisation  globalization 
november 2014 by asterisk2a
IWF-Treffen in Washington: Kritik an Geldpolitik von Draghi - SPIEGEL ONLINE
In der Tat sind es nicht mehr die Deutschen allein, die auf die Gefahren der dauerhaft niedrigen Zinsen hinweisen. Auch anderswo bekommt man ob der Billiggeldschwemme ein mulmiges Gefühl. Auf den Finanzmärkten würden die Investoren teilweise sehr hohe Risiken eingehen, warnt etwa Claudio Borio, Chefökonom der Bank für Internationalen Zahlungsgleich in Basel. In der Realwirtschaft, wo eigentlich investiert werden soll, seien die Unternehmen dagegen eher risikoscheu. Borio nennt das eine Störung im System. & bit.ly/1CdseYt
IMF  BIS  ZIRP  QE  NIRP  OMT  TLTRO  LTRO  monetary  transmission  mechanism  distortion  Richard  Koo  deleveraging  trust  trustagent  business  confidence  confidence  consumer  confidence  liquidity  trap  ECB  BOE  Fed  MarioDraghi  Germany  PIGS  faultlines  global  imbalances  structural  imbalance  Impediments  working  poor  underemployed  squeezed  middle  class  Demand  and  Supply  Lohnzurückhaltung  deflation  deflationary  stagflation  secular  stagnation  Europe  France  Sick  man  of  Europe  infrastructure  investment  BRIC  MINT  Frontier  Markets  Developing  World  Exportweltmeister  balance  sheet  recession  GFC  debtoverhang  Debt  Super  Cycle  economic  history  globalization  globalisation  disposable  income  flat  ABS  zombie  banks  zombie  consumer  UK  USA  lost  decade  lost  generation  Policy  Makers  education  fiscal  monetary  folly  error  complexity  unintended  consequences  academia  Taper  Gini  coefficient  income  inequality  income  mobility  downward  mobility  social  mobility  inequality  Super  Rich  1%  Bailout  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  banking 
october 2014 by asterisk2a
EZB: Draghi kündigt Aufkaufprogramm für Kredite an - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Mit dem Plan reagiert Draghi auf die schwache Wirtschaftslage in der Eurozone. Länder wie Italien, Spanien oder Griechenland kommen - wenn überhaupt - nur sehr langsam aus der Krise. Die dortigen Banken vergeben seit Jahren immer weniger Kredite. Und selbst in großen Ländern wie Frankreich und Deutschland stagnierte die Wirtschaftsleistung zuletzt. Ausdruck findet das auch in der Inflationsstatistik: Die Verbraucherpreise in der Eurozone steigen kaum noch - im September lag die jährliche Teuerungsrate gerade mal noch bei 0,3 Prozent. Um die Wirtschaft in Schwung zu halten, sollen die Preise nach Vorstellungen der EZB aber eher um knapp zwei Prozent pro Jahr steigen. Deshalb versuchen Draghi und seine Kollegen seit Monaten, die Kreditvergabe der Banken zu steigern, um so Wirtschaftswachstum und Preisentwicklung anzutreiben.
ECB  MarioDraghi  monetary  policy  unconventional  monetary  policy  ABS  creditcrisis  creditcrunch  business  investment  monetary  transmission  mechanism  inflation  expectation  Europe  PIGS  NPL  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  debtoverhang  sovereign  debt  crisis  austerity  IMF  France  Germany  trade  balance  2014  recovery  GFC  stagflation  secular  stagnation  Richard  Koo  stagnation  Structural  Impediments  infrastructure  investment  unemployment  deficit  imbalance  faultlines  budget  deficit  fiscal  deficit  inflation  fiscal  policy  Pact  liquidity  trap  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  OMT  TLTRO  LTRO  zombie  banks  business  confidence  confidence  trust  trustagent  distortion  unintended  consequences  complexity  asset  bubble 
october 2014 by asterisk2a
Not that negative after all - YouTube
- nbdy is taking up the money to invest in his business (increase capacity, R&D, etc etc), becs there is no demand ... what is holding up the western world is the service economy - especially in UK and USA! - and then there is one particular structural impediment in Germany et al, demographic bubble.
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september 2014 by asterisk2a
EZB senkt Leitzins und beschließt Minuszinsen für Banken - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Die Europäische Zentralbank (EZB) hat ihren Leitzins auf ein Rekordtief gesenkt und erstmals einen negativen Einlagensatz beschlossen. Angesichts der zuletzt sehr niedrigen Inflationsrate wird der Zins, zu dem sich die Geschäftsbanken bei der Notenbank Geld leihen können, um 0,10 Punkte auf 0,15 Prozent gesenkt, wie die EZB am Donnerstag nach ihrer Ratssitzung in Frankfurt mitteilte. Der Einlagensatz, zu dem Banken kurzfristig Geld bei der Notenbank parken können, wird erstmals in den negativen Bereich gedrückt. Er sinkt von bisher null Prozent auf minus 0,10 Prozent. Der Zins für kurzfristige Ausleihungen bei der Notenbank vermindert sich von 0,75 auf 0,40 Prozent. + http://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/unternehmen/ezb-entscheidung-kredite-und-senkung-des-leitzins-a-973657.html ""Die Banken leiden nicht unter vermeintlich zu hohen Notenbankzinsen, sondern unter dem hohen Bestand fauler Kredite, an dem Negativzinsen nichts ändern." + !! http://youtu.be/kKO_yxP3dyQ !!
deflation  deflationary  monetary  transmission  mechanism  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  policy  macroprudential  policy  macroeconomics  macroeconomic  policy  ECB  MarioDraghi  BuBa  Bundesbank  2014  ZIRP  OMT  QE  debt  monetization  debt  monetisation  deposit  levy  New  Normal  financial  repression  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  Super  Cycle  sovereign  debt  crisis  PIGS  Structural  Impediments  deficit  unemployment  imbalance  Europe  Germany  faultlines  recovery  policy  error  policy  folly  Makers  Career  Politicians  austerity  fiscal  policy  GFC  lost  decade  lost  generation  long-term  unemployment  banking  union  creditcrisis  creditcrunch  credit  crunch  2015  NPL  non-performing  loan  economic  history  LTRO  assetbackedsecurities  Sterilization 
june 2014 by asterisk2a
Dax knackt 10.000 Punkte: Rekord wegen billigen Gelds von EZB - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Erstmals überspringt der Dax die Marke von 10.000 Punkten. Das beweist erneut, wie sehr der deutsche Leitindex vom billigen Geld der Notenbank abhängig ist - und wie schnell die gute Stimmung an der Börse vorbei sein kann. + http://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/unternehmen/dax-steigt-ueber-10-000-punkte-auf-neuen-rekordstand-a-972849.html + http://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/unternehmen/geldanlage-bei-niedrigzinsen-gold-immobilien-einen-jaguar-a-973671.html ""Wohin also jetzt mit den Ersparnissen?"" +++ Spekulationsblasen: Wirtschaftsweiser warnt vor Gefahren der Niedrigzinsen - http://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/ezb-wirtschaftsweiser-wieland-warnt-vor-spekulationsblasen-a-975400.html +++ Niedrigzinsen: Schäuble befürchtet Immobilienblase in Deutschland - http://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/soziales/zinsen-schaeuble-befuerchtet-immobilienblase-in-deutschland-a-976154.html
asset  bubble  Betongold  Beton  Gold  ZIRP  QE  OMT  ECB  BOE  BOJ  Fed  monetary  policy  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  asset  allocation  property  bubble  London  PIGS  monetary  transmission  mechanism  liquidity  trap  liquidity-trap  zombie  consumer  zombie  corporations  zombie  banks  Europe  sovereign  debt  crisis  Super  Cycle  hunt  for  yield  New  Normal  financial  repression  2014  MarioDraghi  BuBa  Bundesbank  banking  union  unintended  consequences  unknown  unknowns  complexity  macroprudential  policy  Politics  Career  Politicians  policy  folly  policy  error  austerity  fiscal  policy  Structural  Impediments  unemployment  faultlines  imbalance  recovery  greatdepression  greatrecession  lost  decade  lost  generation  speculative  bubbles  equity  bubble  credit  bubble  debt  bubble  bond  bubble  Wolfgang  Schäuble 
june 2014 by asterisk2a
Bond Yields Lowest Since Napoleon Are No Comfort to Europe Amid Deflation Fight - Businessweek
Germany issued 5yr bond with a yield of .45%, last year same type of issue was arount the .3% mark. OUCH, way below inflation. - "" “The outright level of yields is suggesting an incredibly weak outlook for growth,” “It’s a powerful signal telling you policy is too tight and that there’s complacency toward the risks. Not a great deal has been solved. We’ve still got bank stress tests to come, too low growth and too low inflation.” ""
deflation  deflationary  ECB  unconventional  monetary  policy  modern  monetary  theory  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  stimulus  monetary  policy  debt  monetization  debt  monetisation  sovereign  debt  crisis  PIGS  Super  Cycle  faultlines  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  unemployment  long-term  unemployment  youth  unemployment  unemployment  hunt  for  yield  ZIRP  OMT  QE  economic  history  recovery  GFC  greatrecession  greatdepression  2014  MarioDraghi  BuBa  Bundesbank  fiscal  policy  Career  Politicians  Politics  Germany 
june 2014 by asterisk2a
Bundesbank Open to Significant ECB Stimulus in June if 2016 Inflation Forecasts Lowered - WSJ.com
BuBa  Bundesbank  ECB  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  system  monetary  policy  monetary  theory  sovereign  debt  crisis  Super  Cycle  PIGS  recovery  2014  ZIRP  OMT  negative  real  interest  rate  NIRP  monetary  stimulus  stimulus  economic  history  deflation  deflationary  nominal  GDP  targeting  inflation  targeting  long-term  unemployment  structural  imbalance  Impediments  structural  unemployment  Europe  Career  Politicians  IMF  MarioDraghi  participation  rate  productivity  Germany  unintended  consequences  unknown  unknowns  asset  bubble  hunt  for  yield  speculative  bubbles  structural  deficit  negative  deposit  rate  deposit  facility  overnight  deposit  facility 
may 2014 by asterisk2a
Wie Europa Schulden loswerden kann - SPIEGEL ONLINE
[Rogoff & Reinhart advocating financial repression] [...] [Because Austerity didn't work.] Tatsächlich habe die europäische Wirtschaftspolitik - die Haushaltsdefizite senkt und Strukturreformen für mehr Wachstum durchführt - recht wenig getan, um den Schuldenberg wirklich zu verringern. Die Politik könnte die Last für die nächsten Jahre sogar verschlimmert haben, sagen viele Volkswirte. Die Sparpolitik hat das Wachstum überraschend stark beeinträchtigt. Während die Hinweise darauf, dass die Strukturreformen tatsächlich die Wirtschaft beflügeln, eher überschaubar ausfallen. Stattdessen sinken Einkommen, Gewinne und Steuereinnahmen, was die Schuldenlast immer schwerer erträglich macht.
debt  servicing  sovereign  debt  crisis  consumer  debt  Super  Cycle  Europe  zombie  consumer  zombie  corporations  ZIRP  liquidity-trap  QE  KennethRogoff  liberal  economic  reform  economic  history  MarioDraghi  ECB  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  theory  monetary  transmission  mechanism  deflation  deflationary  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  GFC  greatrecession  greatdepression  lostdecade  lostgeneration  youth  unemployment  austerity  IMF  Japan  UK  USA  budget  deficit  France  financial  repression  hunt  for  yield  asset  bubble  speculative  bubbles  New  Normal  PIMCO  Mohamed  El-Erian  debt  jubilee  debt  bubble  debt  monetization  debt  monetisation  debt  restructuring  private  debt  public  debt  household  debt  carmenreinhart  WallStreet  inflation  targeting  inflation  expectation  communication  babyboomers  haircut  PIGS  toobigtofail  TBTF  Richardkoo 
january 2014 by asterisk2a
Five Years After Lehman, BIS Ex-Chief Economist Warns "It's Worse This Time" | Zero Hedge
The share of "leveraged loans" or extreme forms of credit risk, used by the poorest corporate borrowers, has soared to an all-time high of 45% - 10 percentage points higher than at the peak of the crisis in 2007. + http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-09-14/record-high-grade-leverage-means-pik-toggle-lbo-debt-back-and-worse-ever // The Bank Of International Settlements Warns The Monetary Kool-Aid Party Is Over www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-06-23/bank-international-settlements-warns-monetary-kool-aid-party-over ""central banks must head for the exit and stop trying to spur a global economic recovery... cheap and plentiful central bank money had merely bought time, warning that more bond buying would retard the global economy’s return to health by delaying adjustments to governments’ and households’ balance sheets." http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/10310598/BIS-veteran-says-global-credit-excess-worse-than-pre-Lehman.html
unemployment  employment  monetary  policy  Mark  Carney  ope  reflation  zombie  banks  monetary  transmission  mechanism  BOE  banking  crisis  carmenreinhart  BOJ  LBO  balancesheet  policy  folly  QE  liquidity  2013  fiscal  policy  UK  debt  monetisation  political  error  unknown  unkown  greatdepression  zombie  consumer  deleveraging  debt  monetization  Richardkoo  centralbanks  liberal  economic  reform  faultlines  GFC  monetary  theory  exuberance  MarioDraghi  unintended  consequences  global  economy  monetary  stimulus  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  liquidity-trap  zombie  corporations  ECB  monetary  system  political  folly  benbernanke  bank  crisis  Abenomics  rebalancing  China  greatrecession  policy  error  productivity  LTRO  NIRP  OMT  Fed  communication  economic  history  Super  Cycle  stagflation  leverage  KennethRogoff  sovereign  debt  crisis  recovery  unconventional  monetary  policy  ZIRP  USA  BIS  POMO  Funding  for  Lending  Scheme  corporate  governance  fiscal  deficit 
september 2013 by asterisk2a
Ökonomen starten Aufruf zur Unterstützung der EZB - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Das sehen allerdings nicht alle Ökonomen so. Ifo-Präsident Sinn jedenfalls reagierte verhalten auf den Aufruf: "Niemand bestreitet, dass sich die Kapitalmärkte beruhigen lassen, wenn man den Käufern der südlichen Staatspapiere mit Hilfe des OMT kostenlosen Versicherungsschutz anbietet", sagte er SPIEGEL ONLINE. Eine solche Lösung sei zwar "für Schuldner und Gläubiger gleichermaßen attraktiv", allerdings nicht für die Steuerzahler der bislang "noch gesunden Länder Europas". Diese müssten am Ende die Verluste der EZB tragen.
monetary  policy  complexity  MarioDraghi  unintended  consequences  monetary  transmission  mechanism  liquidity-trap  deflation  ECB  monetary  system  political  folly  policy  error  lostdecade  policy  folly  QE  LTRO  OMT  NIRP  2013  lostgeneration  economic  history  PIGS  debt  monetisation  political  error  creditcrunch  sovereign  debt  crisis  ZIRP  inflation  debt  monetization 
july 2013 by asterisk2a
Wolfgang Münchau über die Zinspolitik der EZB - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Aber am Ende ist das alles Haarspalterei. Es läuft auf dasselbe Ergebnis hinaus: Die Zinsen werden lange bei null bleiben, wahrscheinlich über mehrere Jahre. Solange es keine Anzeichen für eine dauerhaft steigende Inflation gibt - und die wird es auf absehbare Zeit nicht geben - solange wird sich dieser Ausblick nicht ändern. [...] Es besteht ein klarer Zusammenhang zwischen Geldmenge und den Preisen für Wertpapiere. [...] Es besteht die akute Gefahr, dass ähnlich wie in Japan vor zwanzig Jahren die Geldpolitik nicht greift, solange der Bankensektor so krank ist.
Greece  monetary  policy  JörgAsmussen  bond  bubble  incentive  asset  bubble  Europe  zombie  banks  monetary  transmission  mechanism  sentiment  BOE  banking  crisis  deflation  QE  PIGS  debt  monetisation  greatdepression  zombie  consumer  dis-inflation  deleveraging  asset  allocation  inflation  debt  monetization  balance  sheet  recession  Spain  GFC  capital  allocation  MarioDraghi  unintended  consequences  liquidity-trap  banking  union  negative  real  interest  rate  ECB  bank  crisis  greatrecession  debtoverhang  LTRO  OMT  NIRP  communication  Fed  trust  economic  history  Super  Cycle  confidence  sovereign  debt  crisis  monetarism  unconventional  monetary  policy  ZIRP  Jens  Weidmann 
july 2013 by asterisk2a
What The ECB's "Unprecedented" Forward Guidance Means | Zero Hedge
Europe struck in credit crisis - liquidity trap. & other problems - Politics / Brussels - one to mention. >> "The move clearly marks an innovative step in the ECB's communication and policy strategy for a bank that previously had always refused to pre-commit on interest rates." >> Problem is - ECB will have it hard to maneuver out of the measures, end schemes, etc. "Monetary Policy is no Panacea." Ben Bernanke. + >> http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-07-04/diminishing-effects-qe-programs
unemployment  monetary  policy  modern  monetary  theory  Europe  M3  zombie  banks  monetary  transmission  mechanism  banking  crisis  Structural  Impediments  creditcrisis  QE  PIGS  debt  monetisation  imbalance  political  error  creditcrunch  forward  guidance  trustagent  austerity  Taper  greatdepression  zombie  consumer  deleveraging  debt  monetization  balance  sheet  recession  Politics  PIIGSFB  GFC  MarioDraghi  output-gap  European  Commission  Euro  liquidity-trap  Troika  ECB  monetary  system  political  folly  bank  crisis  greatrecession  debtoverhang  OMT  NIRP  communication  trust  economic  history  Super  Cycle  confidence  sovereign  debt  crisis  unconventional  monetary  policy  escape  velocity  ZIRP  PIIGS  Germany 
july 2013 by asterisk2a
Mark Carney wastes no time in stamping his authority - Telegraph
Osborne fiscal plan of austerity till 2015/16 Rates don't go up beyond 2015 If market rates go up and make it more expensive for gov to borrow during tough times - will do QE - artificially lower the price again. >>> "Carney’s “not warranted” comment was tantamount to saying he expects rates to remain at 0.5pc until at least 2015. The vogue for “communication” is catching. In Australia, the central bank governor, Glenn Stevens, demonstrated how not to do it, after a “joke” backfired earlier this week, crashing the currency until his deputy calmed things down. [...] At the European Central Bank, president Mario Draghi was more successful. In a break with protocol, he said rates would be at current or lower levels “for an extended period of time”, delighting stock markets on the continent as they interpreted it to mean 2016 at the earliest."
currency  debasement  unemployment  monetary  policy  currency  war  Mark  Carney  modern  monetary  theory  Europe  MarioDraghi  output-gap  foreignexchange  BOE  ECB  benbernanke  greatrecession  QE  NIRP  2013  Fed  communication  PIGS  UK  debt  monetisation  sovereign  debt  crisis  youth  unemployment  forward  guidance  unconventional  monetary  policy  austerity  ZIRP  participation  rate  Taper  PIIGS  greatdepression  deleveraging  RBA  GeorgeOsborne  debt  monetization  centralbanks  balance  sheet  recession 
july 2013 by asterisk2a
Hilfe für Finanzkonzerne: Deutschland bremst Bankenunion aus - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Gerade wegen der Probleme im Bankensektor würden die geldpolitischen Impulse nicht mehr wirken. "Die EZB wird auf Dauer nicht erfolgreich sein können, wenn wir den Bankensektor nicht grundlegend reformieren",
ESM  angelamerkel  monetary  policy  PIIGSFB  monetary  theory  MarioDraghi  Europe  unintended  consequences  zombie  banks  monetary  transmission  mechanism  banking  union  banking  crisis  ECB  monetary  system  political  folly  bank  crisis  Recapitalisation  debtoverhang  2013  Wolfgang  Schäuble  NPL  PIGS  debt  monetisation  creditcrunch  political  error  monetarism  sovereign  debt  crisis  Recapitalization  PIIGS  deleveraging  Germany  debt  monetization  balance  sheet  recession 
june 2013 by asterisk2a
Former ECB Board Member Bini Smaghi Says Draghi Will Weaken Euro - Bloomberg
ECB Struggles The Frankfurt-based ECB is struggling to find new ways to help the 17-nation euro economy shake off its second recession in four years. While Draghi signalled this month that policy makers are considering cutting interest rates further, he said they haven’t yet come up with a plan to get banks lending to small and medium-sized businesses -- something the ECB has long identified as an area of economic weakness. Bini Smaghi said there’s no point in the ECB engaging in QE like the Fed, as that would involve it buying the sovereign bonds of countries like Germany, which already have record-low borrowing costs.
double-dip  debtoverhang  monetary  policy  2013  trust  economic  history  monetary  theory  Europe  MarioDraghi  confidence  structural  imbalance  creditcrunch  sovereign  debt  crisis  trustagent  liquidity-trap  PIIGS  banking  crisis  greatdepression  ECB  deleveraging  bank  crisis  greatrecession  balance  sheet  recession 
april 2013 by asterisk2a
ECB Re-Bluffs To Cyprus Bluff, Is "Prepared To Let Cyprus Go" | Zero Hedge
And to think: so much pain and confusion over what CNBC can't stop repeating is nothing but a tiny, little country. Tiny... maybe. But the precedent it will set may well be of Archduke Ferdinandian size.
contagion  OMT  monetary  policy  monetary  theory  modern  monetary  theory  MarioDraghi  unintended  consequences  sovereign  debt  crisis  Euro  Troika  PIIGS  banking  crisis  ECB  Cyprus  bank  crisis  zombi  banks  bailout  IMF 
march 2013 by asterisk2a
IceCap Asset Management: "The Worst Is Over" | Zero Hedge
The worrisome feature of today’s global economy is that despite trillions (we repeat: trillions) in various forms of stimulus, economies around the World have not returned to the pre-2008 growth rates. > ECB may be able to artificially suppress PIIGS interest rates. but it can't create growth with QE and ZIRP > same with credit growth - stagnant. even with zero deposit interest rates for banks (overnight deposit @ECB). > that happend with Japan too. low interest rates. no growth. nil inflation. --- / What is missing is Confidence in Politics and Central Banks / ---
debtoverhang  QE  unemployment  monetary  policy  2013  Politics  trust  lostgeneration  economic  history  monetary  theory  MarioDraghi  confidence  sovereign  debt  crisis  trustagent  ZIRP  austerity  PIIGS  greatdepression  ECB  Richardkoo  lostdecade  greatrecession  Japan  balance  sheet  recession 
march 2013 by asterisk2a
Ausblick 2013: Die Krise kommt nach Europa zurück - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Aber die Fed liegt hier voll im Trend. Mark Carney, der jüngst ernannte nächste Gouverneur der Bank of England, denkt gar über ein nominales Ziel für das Bruttoinlandsprodukt nach. Das würde die Notenbank regelrecht zwingen, Inflation zu erzeugen, wenn das Realwachstum gering ist - so wie jetzt. Und der frisch gewählte japanische Regierungschef Shinzo Abe will ebenfalls, dass seine Notenbank Staatsanleihen kauft, um die Inflation anzukurbeln. Überall um uns herum wird die Geldpolitik in dramatisch aufgelockert, nur in der Euro-Zone nicht.

Die EZB hingegen muss auch weiter dem alleinigen Ziel der Preisstabilität huldigen. So steht es in den europäischen Verträgen. Zu deren strikter Einhaltung mahnen fast jeden Tag die Bundesbank und die meisten deutschen Leitartikler. Die Folgen dieser Diskrepanz in der Geldpolitik zwischen EZB und fast allen anderen großen Notenbanken sind in den Märkten überhaupt noch nicht durchgesickert. Ich erwarte eine kräftige spekulative Aufwertung des Euro...
benbernake  MarioDraghi  Mario  ECB  greatrecession  GFC  PIIGS  monetization  monetary  theory  currency-war  currency  debasement  sovereign  debt  crisis  Euro  2013  2012  BOE  Fed  inflation  reflation  BOJ  nominal  GDP  targeting  Mark  Carney  monetary  policy 
december 2012 by asterisk2a
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