asterisk2a + imf   382

(10204) Are We Destined for a Slow Growth Future? - YouTube
- shortage on the demand side. but demand can't be more leveraged and borrowed. ALL economic indicators point against a thriving of the UK bottom up (from household finances, are stretched thinly) //&! Gross wages lower than 10 years ago! Lost decade of earnings. In real terms people are NOT better off.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0anqgXLvwko
secular  stagnation  Brexit  household  debt  consumer  UK  USA  loan  GFC  recovery  Productivity  output  gap  economic  history  leverage  underinvestment  banking  property  bubble  housing  demographic  immigration  working  poor  poverty  Austerity  Trickle-down  Gesellschaft  DonaldTrump  Donald  Trump  inequality  social  mobility  income  Society  inflation  deflation  deflationary  debtoverhang  debt-servicing  OECD  IMF  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  BOE  Fed  globalisation  globalization  trap  credit  card  creditcard  creditcrunch  student  auto 
july 2018 by asterisk2a
Banker Leonhard Fischer über selbstzerstörerischen Finanzkapitalismus - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Fischer: Die Globalisierung der Finanzmärkte besteht im Wesentlichen darin, dass die Amerikaner sich in ihrer eigenen Währung verschulden können und den Dollar so in die ganze Welt exportiert haben, um ihr riesiges Leistungsbilanzdefizit zu finanzieren. Ich habe als junger Banker bei J.P. Morgan selbst erlebt, wie die Investmentbanker in Scharen erst nach London flogen, dann nach Tokio und schließlich nach China, um Dollaranleihen für Schuldner aus den USA zu platzieren. Gleichzeitig investierten wir das Geld amerikanischer Fonds weltweit in Unternehmen und Immobilien. Ganz Amerika hat sich wie ein gigantischer Hedgefonds verhalten. So entstand die globale Finanzmarktmaschinerie, die in Wahrheit vor allem eine amerikanische ist.
Bitcoin  Dollar  fiat  currency  GFC  petro  WallStreet  Chomsky  neoliberal  neoliberalism  globalisation  globalization  China  IMF  USA  Empire  Capitalism  exploitation  economic  history  Blyth  Austerity  Chicago  liberalism  trust  oil  OPEC  petrodollar  Fed  bailout  self-regulation  money 
december 2017 by asterisk2a
UK's low pay culture traps people in poorly paid jobs, study finds | Society | The Guardian
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-41669991 - high tech, low life. // in-work poverty, gini coefficient takes into account pensioners. // “Britain has one of the highest proportions of low-paid work in the developed world. And while three-quarters of low-paid workers did manage to move into higher-paying roles at some point over the past decade, the vast majority couldn’t sustain that progress. This lack of pay progress can have a huge scarring effect on people’s lifetime living standards. [...] “Britain’s flexible workforce gives us global economic advantage but a two-tier labour market is now exacting too high a social price.
OECD  poverty  trap  social  income  mobility  Precariat  class  UK  zero  hour  contracts  part-time  Exploitation  neoliberalism  workers  trade  union  rights  skills  skill  gap  Productivity  output  London  economic  history  recovery  GFC  underinvestment  stagflation  secular  stagnation  Austerity  education  inequality  tax  credit  taxcredit  gini  Coefficient  standard  of  living  Brexit  inflation  disposable  discretionary  spending  debt  household  child  profit  maximisation  competitiveness  IMF 
october 2017 by asterisk2a
Catalonia: Spain issues deadline to separatists - BBC News
who blinks first. high noon pistol fight. &! http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-41582469 - Catalonia: Spain takes step towards direct rule //&! alt view to 'counter revolution' movement left populist outward looking welcoming immigrants welcome nationalism: http://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/soziales/katalonien-brexit-trump-geistige-kleinstaaterei-a-1171814.html https://twitter.com/henrikmllr/status/917289882061598726 - neonationalism (global village no accountability) neoliberal kapitalism teilte die leute auf gegen sich auf. nicht vereint. siehe fb there is no global village connection to all (fb zuck dream PR talk), alles kleine identitaeten und grueppchen. isoliert. eigener blase. schaun nicht ausm fenster, wie mittlerweile in der realitaet. wer kennt schon alles seine nachbarn im etagen house wie sein bruder oder schwester? Scotland and Catalonia indy are majority led by left socialist populous. Brexit is led by far-right conservative neoliberalism on steroids populous.
Catalonia  Spain  Gesellschaft  Society  neoliberalism  Capitalism  Individualism  Consumerism  Consumer  Selbstdarstellung  Facebook  Twitter  mental  health  globalisation  bank  bailout  double  standard  indyref  indyref2  Scotland  Brexit  immigration  Identity  Culture  Politics  LGBT  far-right  right-wing  alt-right  DonaldTrump  Donald  Trump  left-wing  Jeremy  Corbyn  SPD  btw17  GE2017  workers  union  rights  trade  Community  segregation  GFC  Austerity  vulnerable  working  poor  Precariat  No  Representation  poverty  trap  Deprivation  income  inequality  Super  Rich  1%  Oligarchy  revolving  door  Corruption  social  mobility  redistribution  welfare  state  Privatisation  profit  maximisation  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  IMF  democracy 
october 2017 by asterisk2a
(2195) Mark Blyth Telling The US Senate That Austerity Policy Is Wrong - YouTube
Mark Blyth & Makers v Takers & Erbschaft & asset & capital tax // wolfgang schäuble George Osborne David Cameron // >> Growth cures debt, cuts / austerity causes debt!!!
Mark  Blyth  UK  USA  Austerity  taxation  corporate  corporatism  welfare  state  NHS  income  tax  GFC  asset  capital  recovery  underinvestment  secular  stagnation  bond  bubble  economic  history  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  BOE  productivity  budget  Super  Rich  Plutocracy  trickle-down  Oligarchy  1%  10%  profit  maximisation  shareholder  immigration  gini  Coefficient  FX  Forex  confidence  fairy  globalisation  evasion  avoidance  HMRC  bank  bailout  badbank  bad  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  David  Cameron  George  Osborne  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  PIGS  Policy  IMF  BIS  ECB  Fed 
july 2017 by asterisk2a
Internationaler Währungsfonds: IWF fordert höhere Vermögensabgaben in Deutschland - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Überraschende Wahlkampfhilfe für SPD-Kanzlerkandidat Schulz: Der IWF will von Deutschland laut einem Zeitungsbericht höhere Steuern auf Eigentum fordern. Untere Einkommen würden dagegen zu stark belastet. // System is Rigged in UK - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jujJ-QoBiFY
IMF  GE2017  Super  Rich  1%  Plutocracy  Oligarchy  lobby  revolving  door  Germany  UK  USA  inequality  social  mobility  income  gini  Coefficient  tax  evasion  avoidance  Capital  Picketty  Kapital  no  representation  Brexit  GFC  bank  bailout  recovery  trickle-down 
may 2017 by asterisk2a
Budget 2017: Asset sales to thank for UK's figures? - BBC News
'we are not paying our way in the world' -- highlight the cheat the Tories are. 1 sale of national assets to lower debt. still horrible trade balance deficit now w even weaker pound. And not mentioned the recovery supported greatly by household debt bubble and mortgage party. GDP per capita, wage growth v inflation, living standard, current account deficit, underinvestment/austerity in edu and health (see imf paper), ... UK becoming a basket case.
Budget  Tories  Conservative  PFI  Assets  George  Osborne  Theresa  May  Manufacturing  underinvestment  Philip  Hammond  London  Services  nasty  party  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  household  debt  consumer  credit  card  creditcard  mortgage  housing  bubble  Productivity  output  gap  skills  STEM  education  policy  Austerity  current  account  deficit  GFC  bank  bailout  GDP  per  capita  IMF  technological  unemployment  David  Cameron  social  mobility  income  wage  growth  downward  gini  Coefficient  child  poverty 
march 2017 by asterisk2a
Budget 2017: £2bn for social care and tax rise for self-employed - BBC News
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-39114211 http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-39214295 debt going down bc of state asset sales !!! lol like reverse PFI ! http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-39203784 Philip Hammon tip-toeing around the issue of self-employment disparieties and exploitation. Damaging welfare state. While at the same time going through w corp tax cut from Osborne, as well as inheritance tax cut, capital gains, banks, ... also tip-toing around the business rate increase w a temporary relieve to the discretion of each council (call that a admin & beaurocracy catastrophe and prone to abuse, why give relive fund money to one and not the other?) & nothing for NHS. And still going ahead with Triple Lock Pension and no housing benefit for young. And still going ahead w cut in real terms of edu budgets. And still going ahead w no parity in mental health RE DWP ESA limit not funding mental health conditions.
HMRC  Philip  Hammond  Theresa  May  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  budget  Brexit  NHS  National  Insurance  NI  adult  social  care  elderly  self-employment  tax  evasion  avoidance  Council  Austerity  ageing  population  demographic  bubble  chronic  sick  health  demand  Generationengerechtigkeit  Triple  Lock  Pension  Trickle-down  Housing  Benefit  Crisis  education  policy  IMF  homelessness  homeless  inequality  technological  unemployment  mobility  welfare  state  child  poverty  downward  income  trap  gini  Coefficient  Disabled  JAM  DWP  JSA  ESA  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  Precariat  zero  hour  contract  part-time  PFI 
march 2017 by asterisk2a
'Parents have been asked to help clean': how budget cuts are affecting schools | Education | The Guardian
Schools in England face a squeeze in funding. We asked how it was impacting on your school – here are the responses we got [...] We can no longer afford books, pencils or computers. [...] The cuts are stopping me doing my job. They are stopping the students from learning. In a time when we should be looking to develop engaging lessons which teach students valuable life skills, I am using 20-year-old textbooks and the kids are copying information from it. It is depressing. I know what a modern curriculum should look like, I know the lessons I would like to teach. I do not have the resources to do it. Eventually this will encourage me to leave. &! https://www.theguardian.com/education/2017/mar/07/headteachers-write-to-parents-over-school-funding-and-job-cuts
UK  Brexit  Austerity  education  policy  IMF  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  underinvestment  NHS  grammar  schools  free  Philip  Hammond  JAM  social  mobility  inequality  poverty  trap  Theresa  May  income  attainment  gap  child  childhood  children  taxation  Generationengerechtigkeit  Triple  Lock  Pension  Privatisation  Academy  PISA  tax  evasion  avoidance  welfare  state  downward 
march 2017 by asterisk2a
Head teachers take school funding anxieties to Twitter - BBC News
Head teachers and their staff have taken to Twitter to highlight what may have to be axed in schools in England because of budget cuts.
There have been more than 27,000 tweets using the hashtag #whatwouldyoucut since the campaign against the cuts started on Sunday.
The government insists school investment is at a record £40bn.
But the Association of School and College Leaders said this was only because pupil numbers are rising.
It argued that head teachers are having to make tough decisions about which services to cut.
The tweets included photographs of science experiments, school trips, sporting activities and performing arts events.
UK  Austerity  IMF  skills  gap  productivity  output  education  policy  Tories  nasty  party  Conservative  PISA  technological  unemployment  underemployed  underinvestment  underemployment  social  mobility  income  gini  Coefficient  poverty  trap  working  poor  child  taxcredit  tax  credit  neoliberalism  crony  capitalism  bank  bailout  taxation  Theresa  May  JAM  inequality  BAME  discrimination  competitiveness  competitive  Philip  Hammond 
march 2017 by asterisk2a
STEVE KEEN on Private Debt - YouTube
the trick is up for tory austerity soon, when the private debt/household debt bubble bursts. and or the uk economy comes to a standstill. /// London has driven out the real wealth creators - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dyk1t4wEDAE - democracy by houses, bc renters have no rights, &! Money , banks, debt seems not to matter in status quo economics - Prof Steve Keen on Parasitic Banking Sector London School of Economics - https://youtu.be/Kh99jEE18KY GFC recovery is not recovery it is Japanese style stagnation! ex imigration¬!
UK  London  Margaret  Thatcher  private  debt  Consumer  household  mortgage  GFC  recovery  Brexit  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  reflate  reflation  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Austerity  service  sector  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  leverage  economic  history  living  standard  wage  growth  mobility  social  inequality  Gini  Coefficient  tax  evasion  avoidance  HMRC  payday  loan  trickle-down  Tories  nasty  party  Conservative  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  JAM  Theresa  May  Philip  Hammond  IMF  OECD  neoliberalism  crony  capitalism  Exploitation  corporatism  Consumerism  materialism  GDP  underinvestment  ROI  BOE  Mark  Carney  Steve  Keen  book 
march 2017 by asterisk2a
Tory spending pledges on police, education and childcare 'at risk' | Politics | The Guardian
[ after 7 years of austerity, no end in sight, debt keeps climbing, no to little investment, ... now you have to break promises from 2010 that there are protected budgets, ... to meet your fucking debt reduction promise ] Conservative promises to protect spending on police, sixth form education and childcare are at risk as Philip Hammond demands £3.5bn in new cuts from his cabinet colleagues, according to an analysis by the IPPR thinktank. The IPPR believes the government will not be able to hit its savings target, even allowing for proposed budget cuts, at the same time as meeting spending promises made by George Osborne when he was chancellor. [...] when the Treasury announced a new new drive for “efficiency savings” earlier this week, the only spending commitments that were reaffirmed were Conservative manifesto pledges to protect the core schools budgets and the NHS; and a subsequent promise to meet the Nato target of spending 2% of GDP on defence. [...] “the police budget could now face a further £250 to £500m in cuts that the public were not aware of”. [ LOTS OF UNINTENDED CONSQUENCES ABOUND, YOU SAVED HERE, BUT COSTS CREATED THERE, KNOCK ON EFFECTS! SHORT AND LONG-TERM! ie skills and social mobility, meaning less taxable income in the future bc stagnant wages & living standards, then you still try meet you debt reduction targets and you start cutting off fingers, hands, foot, ... ]
Brexit  Austerity  UK  George  Osborne  Philip  Hammond  David  Cameron  Theresa  May  IMF  underinvestment  Productivity  economic  history  GFC  bank  bailout  recovery  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  NHS  education  policy  NATO  Police  Council  elderly  care  adult  social  Prison  homelessness  homeless  poverty  drug  abuse  self-medication  coping  mechanism 
march 2017 by asterisk2a
IFS: Growth in UK living standards worst in 60 years | Business | The Guardian
The Institute for Financial Studies is predicting that households will be almost 20% worse off by 2021 - IFS calculations show that average household incomes will be 18% lower in 2021-22 than could have been reasonably expected before the financial crisis in 2007-08 - “One of the biggest drivers of the rise in child poverty is policy choices, which is why it is essential that the prime minister and chancellor use the upcoming budget to put in place measures to stop this happening. An excellent start would be to ensure families can keep more of their earnings under the universal credit.”
IMF  UK  Austerity  OECD  living  standard  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Philip  Hammond  Theresa  May  GFC  recovery  Tories  nasty  party  bank  bailout  Labour  Ed  Miliband  Jeremy  Corbyn  Conservative  secular  stagnation  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  household  debt  credit  card  mortgage  private  Consumer  Consumerism  wage  growth  inflation  mobility  inequality  gini  Coefficient  poverty  trap  working  poor  gig  economy  zero  hour  contract  Self-Employment  part-time  Precariat  squeezed  middle  class  technological  unemployment  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  trickle-down  neoliberalism  crony  Capitalism  corporatism  tax  evasion  avoidance  GDP  Corporate  profit  maximisation  globalisation  globalization  welfare  underinvestment  child  taxation  taxcredit  UC  DWP  JSA  social  fuel  Brexit  neoconservatism  neoconservatives  JAM 
march 2017 by asterisk2a
Austerity was a bigger disaster than we thought - The Washington Post
That, at least, is what economists Christopher House and Linda Tesar of the University of Michigan and Christïan Proebsting of the École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne found when they looked at Europe's budget-cutting experience the last eight years. It turns out that cutting spending right after the worst crisis in 80 years only led to a lower gross domestic product and, in the most extreme cases, higher debt-to-GDP ratios. That's right: trying to reduce debt levels sometimes increased debt burdens. [...] In short, austerity hurt what it was supposed to help, and helped hurt the economy even more than a once-in-three-generations crisis already had.
Austerity  IMF  OECD  UK  USA  Germany  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  NHS  Council  DWP  economic  history  GFC  recovery  bank  bailout  neoliberalism  crony  capitalism  corporatism  ECB  BOE  Fed  monetary  policy  reflate  reflation  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  WallStreet  10%  1%  Super  Rich  Plutocracy  Oligarchy 
february 2017 by asterisk2a
Mario Draghi in der Kritik: "Die Geldpolitik macht den Kapitalismus kaputt" - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Danach kamen die Übertreibungen am US-Immobilienmarkt, im Süden der Eurozone und auf den Rohstoffmärkten. Wir haben es mit einer Kette wandernder Blasen zu tun, die von der Geldpolitik getrieben werden. Die neue Blase bildet sich nie dort, wo zuvor die alte geplatzt ist. Die Regierungen reagieren auf einen Crash mit schärferen Regeln, aber die Spekulation ist ihnen immer einen Schritt voraus.
GFC  recovery  economic  history  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  ECB  BOE  Fed  USA  UK  Europe  European  Union  PIGS  secular  stagnation  household  debt  consumer  car  loan  student  credit  card  private  Austerity  IMF  OECD  Dodd-Frank  self-regulation  Regulation  regulators  FSA  BaFin  speculation  speculative  ROI  productivity  output  gap  inflation  targeting  monetary  policy  fiscal  Schuldenbremse  Pact  inequality  capital  assets  gini  Coefficient  Super  Rich  1%  10%  Plutocracy  Oligarchy  bank  bailout  zombie  NPL 
february 2017 by asterisk2a
Universities minister announces sale of student loan book | Education | The Guardian
[ corporatists/banks will neg lower price than actual/current value. Bc (1) inflation (2) no-repayments/delayed repayment/default (3) lower repayment rates in future than expected bc of econ. et al. Tories selling gov assets at firesale prices because of its fetish w the deficit caused by the bank bailout. ] But Hillman raised concerns about whether the sale would result in taxpayers getting value for money, saying: “We saw in Gordon Brown’s sale of the government’s gold and also in Vince Cable’s sale of Royal Mail how hard that is to achieve and how controversial it can be if the price paid comes to seem too low.

“Ministers will say the underlying legislation only allows sales that are good value for money, but it takes time to know if that has happened in practice.”
deficit  UK  government  debt  Privatisation  profit  maximisation  financial  services  consumer  student  loan  Tories  budget  Conservative  Party  nasty  George  Osborne  Austerity  underinvestment  asset  David  Cameron  Theresa  May  IMF  economic  history  recovery  Brexit 
february 2017 by asterisk2a
IMF's own watchdog criticises its handling of eurozone crisis
Fund was over-optimistic, failed to spot scale of problem and gave impression it was treating Europe differently, says report
Troika  PIGS  Greece  Grexit  Yanis  Varoufakis  IMF  austerity  economic  history  Germany  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  liberal  economic  reform  ChristineLagarde  zombie  bank  zombie  banks  contagion  bank  bailout  sovereign  debt  crisis  European  Union 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Blanchard: In Short-Run, U.K. Is Going to Suffer - YouTube
>> relaxing fiscal consolidation aka austerity. //&! IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde discusses global nationalism and isolation trends. - https://youtu.be/GG1lQIcm_so
Brexit  recession  UK  Philip  Hammond  Theresa  May  IMF  OECD 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Here's Why All Pension Funds Are Doomed, Doomed, Doomed
Given that both The Economist and The Wall Street Journal have covered the impossibility of pension funds achieving their expected returns, this reality cannot be a surprise to anyone in a leadership role. [...] Here's problem #1 in a nutshell: the average public pension fund still expects to earn an average annual return of 7.69%, year after year, decade after decade.

This is roughly triple the nominal (not adjusted for inflation) yield on a 30-year Treasury bond (about 2.65%). The only way any fund manager can earn 7.7% or more in a low-yield environment is to make extremely high risk bets that consistently pay off. //&! Millennials are first gen to have earned less in their 20's than previous gens. - bit.ly/2a9M98K
ZIRP  NIRP  QE  unintended  consequences  pension  obligation  triple-lock  pension  babyboomers  Baby  Boomers  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  hunt  for  yield  life  insurance  insurance  industry  monetary  policy  Helicopter  Money  monetary  theory  bond  bubble  Richard  Koo  liquidity  trap  economic  history  recovery  Fed  BOE  ECB  Abenomics  western  world  Japan  BOJ  pension  fund  Beton  Gold  Betongold  property  bubble  asset  allocation  funds  allocation  asset  bubble  Pensioner  pension  scheme  secular  stagnation  austerity  deflation  deflationary  Confidence  Fairy  IMF  OECD  credit  boom  credit  bubble  New  Normal  Great  Moderation  economic  harm  economic  damage  reflate  reflation  equity  bubble  distortion 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Up to 70% of people in developed countries 'have seen incomes stagnate' | Business | The Guardian
Research by the McKinsey Global Institute found that between 65% and 70% of people in 25 advanced countries saw no increase in their earnings between 2005 and 2014. The report found there had been a dramatic increase in the number of households affected by flat or falling incomes and that today’s younger generation was at risk of ending up poorer than their parents. Only 2% of households, 10 million people, lived through the period from 1993 to 2005 – a time of strong growth and falling unemployment – without seeing their incomes rise.
western  world  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  Precariat  wage  growth  income  growth  income  distribution  inequality  Gini  coefficient  poverty  child  poverty  developed  world  recovery  GFC  austerity  secular  stagnation  wage  stagnation  wage  deflation  minimum  wage  minimumwage  mindestlohn  capitalism  capitalism  in  crisis  technological  unemployment  economic  history  OECD  IMF  Brexit  AfD  far  right  right-wing  far-right  income  inequality  income  mobility  social  mobility  income  redistribution  tax  avoidance  tax  evasion  neoliberal  neoliberalism  aggregate  demand  short-fall  aggregate  demand  Front  National  triple-lock  pension  UK  Germany  USA  France  shareholder  capitalism  winner  take  all  globalisation  globalization  profit  maximisation  profit  maximization  dividends  CEO  pay  career  ladder  Politicians  career  politician  No  Representation  Protest  Vote 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
George Osborne puts corporation tax cut at heart of Brexit recovery plan
bbc.in/29bWICC // an effort to woo business deterred from investing in a post-Brexit Britain as part of his new five-point plan to galvanise economy. [ Osborne's dream of a Singapore! Or attempt at leverage in Brexit-negotiations?! Or sees the writing on the wall that negotiations to access Single Market wo freedom of movement puts UK into WTO basket case. Or give businesses thinking of leaving a lollipop? (enticing to stay) ] //&! reut.rs/29hcUnW - already exceptions like "no tax on earnings from tax haven subsidiaries" [...] Some on the right of the ruling Conservative party – in the ascendency following the surprise referendum vote – have campaigned for eliminating corporate income tax altogether in the hope it will boost investment and jobs. //&! UK’s tax cut goal: calm business, scare Brussels - reut.rs/29hBfOD [from 28% in 2010] //&! ind.pn/29eEroI &! bit.ly/29hC0qM &! bbc.in/295suRG
austerity  Brexit  George  Osborne  tax  avoidance  tax  evasion  corporate  tax  rate  tax  loopholes  tax  loopoles  tax  haven  lobby  Lobbying  lobbyist  1%  10%  20%  Tories  Conservative  Party  right-wing  OECD  IMF 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Geographies of Austerity: Mark Blyth
EU bank bailout (incl Britain) = 40% of EU GDP (incl Britain) = 5 trillion Euros. AUSTERITY FOR WHOM?! // secular stagnation - ZIRP, NIRP, QE, austerity, liquidity trap, aggregate demand short-fall = creditors paradise. their debt will not be inflated away. deflation - deflationary environment. for the next 2-3 decades. = NO DRIVE TO INVEST IN PRODUCTIVE ASSETS! = productivity gap. [...] rentier paradise. [...] = interest formation (those who have, call the shots, status quo). [...] deflationary spiral (PIGS & Germany) exporting deflation ... getting more competitive [EU has 2015 a current account surplus, bought my USA] = Dr Wolfgang Schaeuble. [...] Fall of Centrists, rise of the SNP & UKIP (reactionary) ... Trump. [...] as investment rate (ie SME/SMB lending) stays same, does not grow = DEAD. Eurobonds/Investment Fund(UK, 5bn 5 years). [...] min 55 - deflationary politics (policy for 1-10-20% of society) is one way train. DEATH. especially w austerity and low wages/secular stagnation.
austerity  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  general  election  2010  general  election  2015  George  Osborne  Iain  Duncan  Smith  David  Cameron  Ed  Miliband  economic  history  Mark  Blyth  book  Richard  Koo  welfare  state  welfare  reform  bank  bailout  GFC  recovery  secular  stagnation  IMF  ChristineLagarde  Salami  Tactics  aggregate  demand  aggregate  demand  short-fall  liquidity  trap  fiscal  policy  Confidence  Fairy  monetary  policy  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Tony  Blair  Gordon  Brown  European  Union  Euro  ECB  BOJ  PIGS  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  Career  Politicians  politician  zombie  bank  zombie  banks  banking  systemic  risk  OMT  LTRO  MarioDraghi  trichet  BOE  deflation  deflationary  productivity  productivity  gap  productive  investment  underinvestment  infrastructure  investment  infrastructure  rentier  rent-seeking  Mark  Carney  Donald  Trump  business  consumer  TLTRO  non-performing  loan  NPL  Jens  Weidmann 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Mark Blyth explains the U.K.'s decision to leave the E.U. - YouTube
Yanis Varoufakis & Mark Blyth - https://youtu.be/iMk6aVsl8Rs - Scotland (joining the EU) will not have a welfare state as long as Wolfgang Schaeuble is at the helm), Secular Stagnation = feels like permanent recession. especially w austerity. squeezed middle class, working poor, Precariat. [...] the only thing that is keeping things alive and somewhat steady is monetary policy (ZIRP, NIRP, QE) & triple-lock pensions (ie in UK). [...] Status Quo is extend and pretend (ie in EU) [...] Centrists lost the plot, all under 50% of vote share. some places just 25% (ie Tories 2015). [...] [min 20 #Brexit] [...] EU and ASIA running trade surplus against the world. "be more competitive" = exporting deflation. is not same as productivity. [...] Q&A session: you can not reform a country (structural reforms) under dark cloud of debt deflation. no shared dream of prosperity. //&! youtu.be/md6_WfF9Ky0?t=22m
Nigel  Farage  Brexit  deflation  deflationary  IMF  Richard  Koo  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  secular  stagnation  Donald  Trump  western  world  ECB  Yanis  Varoufakis  democracy  Mark  Blyth  Brexit  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  politician  1%  10%  GFC  austerity  bank  bailout  corporate  welfare  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  Westminster  Whitehall  nasty  party  Centrist  Tony  Blair  Gordon  Brown  Jeremy  Corbyn  Tories  Conservative  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  European  Union  PIGS  economic  history  globalisation  globalization  AI  Robotics  Robots  autonomous  car  autonomous  cars  self-driving  cars  augmented  intelligence  automation  Precariat  populism  Polarisation  demagogue  demagogy  Nigel  Farage  Front  National  AfD  Fear  mongering  immigration  Nationalism  Nationalismus  Privatisation  UK  Germany  France  far-right  right-wing  UKIP  recovery  Refugee  Crisis 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Why Brexit Is Good For Working People In Clear, Simple Terms - YouTube
Mark Blyth // + centrists lost the plot (leaders from 95 to today in western world - tony blair, clinton, cameron, schroeder, merkel, sarkozy, hollande, gordon brown ... IMF and OECD! and the central bankers. christine lagarde) // global trumpism // trickle down never worked! // Mark Blyth: The Why of Brexit - MR LIVE - 6/28/16 - https://youtu.be/arT40qHKuHQ?t=13m //&! Bhaskar Sunkara: A Marxist Perspective on Current Crises - MR Live - 6/27/16 - https://youtu.be/DcxN5n22OiE?t=14m30s
Mark  Blyth  Brexit  neoliberal  neoliberalism  trickle-down  economics  inequality  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  Tony  Blair  David  Cameron  Angela  Merkel  Gerhard  Schroeder  Gerhard  Schröder  austerity  GFC  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  recovery  Precariat  working  poor  immigration  poverty  child  poverty  student  debt  Donald  Trump  far-right  right-wing  TPP  TTIP  CETA  free  trade  Protest  Vote  10%  1%  Super  Rich  Establishment  Toff  Privileged  No  Representation  Westminster  Whitehall  Career  Politicians  politician  George  Osborne  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  economic  history  squeezed  middle  class  PIGS  Greece  technocrat  Yanis  Varoufakis  Nigel  Farage  AfD  UKIP  Greed  profit  maximisation  profit  maximization  economic  insecurity  structural  unemployment  youth  unemployment  long-term  unemployment  Elite  elitism  England  UK  USA  European  Union  Germany  policy  monetary  policy  Centrist  IMF  OECD 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
The economics of Brexit – Politics Weekly podcast
Leave Campaign, so far, has failed to assure voters that we get through the quiet possible tubulences and uncertainty unharmed severely after 1-2 years. [ economic forecasts/predictions are Wall Streets cottage industry ] Brexit for sure would throw Osbornes plan for a surplus in 2020. ... brexit is about less regulation free trade low tariffs, 'get off the back of our City [London bank regulation]' [low tax, higher pay] George Osborne ... // banks have not voiced their voice loudly because that would be seen by people who bailed them out to tune of doubling the deficit, and still own bank shares ie loyds. it could be seen disingenuous, outrageous, as we are still in doldrums, paying off their debt, and suffering through austerity where the most vulnerable are cut away from society.
Brexit  George  Osborne  economic  damage  economic  growth  economic  security  economic  slack  economic  slowdown  economic  harm  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  trade  agreement  free  trade  regulation  David  Cameron  Whitehall  Westminster  economic  forecast  Wall  Street  European  Union  Career  Politicians  EEA  free  movement  of  people  immigration  migration  austerity  general  election  2020  general  election  2015  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  neoclassical  economics  neoliberal  neoliberalism  Chicago  School  trickle-down  economics  self-regulation  deregulation  regulators  MervynKing  Mark  Carney  BOE  IMF  retail  banking  investment  banking  City  of  London  bank  bailout  GFC 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Chris Grayling dimisses concerns over economic impact of a Brexit
Yvette Cooper: Brexit won't prevent EU free movement to the UK - LIKE NORWAY CASE! - youtu.be/qa--kXGNhiE //&! IMF downgrade UK over Brexit fears - youtu.be/gfmVP3_TXNk - calling for fiscal stimulus!
Brexit  Chris  Grayling  Yvette  Cooper  liquidity  trap  secular  stagnation  fiscal  stimulus  IMF  OECD  austerity  2016  global  economy  China  credit  bubble  monetary  stimulus  aggregate  demand  aggregate  demand  short-fall  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  British  Pound  Sterling  Pact  Schuldenbremse  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  economic  history  recovery  sovereign  debt  crisis  PIGS  ChristineLagarde  George  Osborne  monetary  policy  Mark  Carney  BOE  ECB  MarioDraghi 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Osborne defends the Treasury Brexit report on The Agenda
BOE - Mark Carney, IMF, and now Treasury - "don't pretend the economy will not suffer." // £4300 per household worse off and have to increase income tax by 8% - est is over ~14 years, till 2030 // vs £1000 worse off over 14 years ok because we have less Polish people ruining our British community! // PEOPLE WANT FACTS. THEN THEY GET FACTS, _BUT_ THEY ARE ECONOMIC FORECASTS. AKA PREDICTING THE FUTURE. but you could also argue the variance of unknown risk is greater, than staying (have to deal with fucking polish people - forever). stay means certainty to some degree. how risk averse are people vs how much more polish people in their country can they stand. LEAVE HAS HUGE VARIANCE OF OUTCOME. and short term downside, vs long-term opportunity (if you think there is one by leaving).
BOE  Mark  Carney  George  Osborne  Brexit  IMF 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
IMF urges more spending to boost growth
Fund’s steering committee calls for more forceful stimulus and warns monetary policy alone is not enough //&! http://www.theguardian.com/business/imf //&! bit.ly/1V9pfhD - IMF chief: regulators long 'alarmed' over Panama's handling of taxation. Christine Lagarde responds to Panama Papers revelations, noting that authorities were concerned but did not take ‘expected’ action.
secular  stagnation  Panama  Papers  tax  evasion  tax  amnesty  tax  avoidance  corporate  tax  rate  labour  market  job  market  Service  Sector  Jobs  income  tax  receipts  budget2016  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  general  election  2015  general  election  2020  election  campaign  promises  Party  Funding  Richard  Koo  Confidence  Fairy  austerity  underinvestment  Generationengerechtigkeit  triple-lock  pension  fairness  Generation  Rent  Housing  Crisis  property  bubble  USA  UK  reflation  reflate  fiscal  policy  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  GFC  sovereign  debt  banking  bank  bailout  job  creation  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  IMF  OECD  credit  bubble  China  BRIC  recovery  Germany  economic  history  2016  Niall  Ferguson  budget  deficit  offshore  banking  investment  banking  TBTF  self-regulation  Greed  crony  capitalism  shareholder  capitalism  globalisation  globalization  global  economy  Oil  price  commodity  prices  ChristineLagarde  inequality  Gini  coefficient  income  mobility  social  mobility  low  pay  low  income  tax  credit  child  poverty  food  poverty  health  care  cost  health  care  demand  western  world  European  Union  Brussels  Brexit  Grexit  sick  population  health  economic  Union  Union  investment  policy  fiscal  me 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
A tax inspector calls
That's why the unsnappily-titled Joint International Tax Shelter Information and Collaboration network (JITSIC) is gathered in Paris, under the umbrella of the (cumbersomely-monickered) Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD).
This so-called 'rich countries club' has been given the task of pursuing the erosion of countries tax bases by multi-national corporations. That much has been agreed by the G7 developed nations group, and the wider G20.
And in researching this, the OECD has come up with some fairly startling findings about the extent to which multi-nationals game the system. [...] As I noted before, they reckon that between $100bn and $240bn of corporate tax goes unpaid because of these accounting practices
Panama  Papers  HMRC  tax  amnesty  tax  avoidance  tax  evasion  IMF  OECD  multinational  conglomerate  offshore  banking  budget  deficit  shareholder  capitalism  crony  capitalism  capitalism  in  crisis  capitalism  austerity  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  G8  G20 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Future of Steel - Ken Clarke & Paul Mason - BBC Newsnight
[TORIES CRISIS: bedroom tax, JSA sanctions killing people, Food Banks, redefining child poverty and fuel poverty, Independent Living Fund closed, Housing Crisis, tax cut defeat in Lords, mental health, NHS strikes, Hinkley Point C, energy prices, London Airport expansion/3rd runway, ESA cut, PIP cut and resignation of IDS, Brexit splitting the Party, shit world economy, can't touch triple-lock pensions, Academy plans, Panama Papers (British Territory: Bahamas, Cayman & Co).] Now - Tories are victims to their own policy of underinvestment since 2010 of a future-proof economy "long-term predictability" [BREXIT & austerity not predictable]. Energy prices too high, not competitive. Manufacturing never recovered. Monetary policy has run its course (sedative + Chinas credit bubble). policy folly now wholly exposed! AND now they tinker with the idea of picking winners! LOL! nationalising or part-nationalising through guarantees or subsidies on energy price. & youtu.be/QJw24Z-cEoQ
underinvestment  austerity  Smart  Grid  energy  policy  energy  price  competitive  advantage  competitive  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  budget2010  budget2015  Budget2016  Manufacturing  current  account  deficit  budget  deficit  trade  deficit  TPP  AIIB  World  Bank  China  BRIC  commodity  prices  heavy  industry  microeconomic  policy  macroeconomic  policy  macroprudential  policy  Mark  Carney  education  policy  skills  gap  skill  gap  skill  investment  apprenticeship  further  education  immigration  migration  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  NIRP  ZIRP  QE  recovery  output  gap  productivity  productivity  gap  Service  Sector  Jobs  job  creation  labour  market  job  market  DWP  Iain  Duncan  Smith  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  Manifesto  corporate  restructuring  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  corporate  subsidies  Privatisation  Nationalization  Nationalisation  constituency  Party  Funding  general  election  2020  IMF  OECD  policy  folly  policy  error  global  economy  credit  bubble  Germany  Hinkley  Point  C  renewable  energy  energy  storage  job  creation  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Mark  Carney  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  property  bubble  rent-seeking  rentier  liquidity-trap  liquidity  trap  Housing  Crisis  Help  to  Save  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Right  to  Buy  Buy-to-Let 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Yanis Varoufakis: »MONEY AND POWER«, Public Lecture 2015-11-04
3rd bailout loan $0 went to Greece. All to pay off banks. extend & pretend. 1st: ~90% went to the banks. [...] ESM does not exist [...] banking union plan not progressing at all. //&! Yanis Varoufakis @Oxford Union - youtu.be/zWB6lY2GBjQ - ACADEMIA LACKS ANTI-ESTABLISHMENT ATTITUDE! Because going against the grain has become anti-reputation. [...] it's all about expectations, predictions about where S&P500 will be in 12 months. [...] regression between theory and reality. economists have never been humble. [ see Wall Street cottage factory of analysis and prediction shops ] [...] if you torture the data and model enough it will confess. [< EU monetary union based on theory ] [...] [34:00] Brussels is technically incompetent and will not reform itself. I am a libertarian marxist. Schumpeter. true creative destruction. great wealth currently created - all going to 1%. = not humanitarian. not democratic. [...] 41:00 Q&A, <48:50> gov budget not same as household budget; George Osborne.
bank  crisis  banking  crisis  European  Election  2014  sovereign  debt  crisis  austerity  Grexit  Yanis  Varoufakis  Tsipras  Syriza  Brussels  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  GFC  Great  Depression  credit  crisis  credit  creation  Super  Cycle  debt  overhang  liquidity  trap  ECB  Troika  MarioDraghi  economic  history  Richard  Koo  leverage  recovery  deflation  deflationary  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Germany  underinvestment  Super  Rich  reflate  reflation  Generationengerechtigkeit  1%  oligarchy  plutocracy  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  balance  sheet  recession  Euro  Gold  Standard  ESM  IMF  OECD  banking  union  EEA  Economics  Academia  Academics  Economists  Scholars  Soziale  Marktwirtschaft  income  distribution  inequality  Gini  coefficient  Gesellschaft  society  Yanis  Varoufakis  financial  crisis  economic  model  econometrics  social  theory  monetary  union  Chicago  School  poverty  economic  history  austerity  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  UK  nasty  party  Richard  Koo  macroeconomics  macroeconomic  policy  macroprudential  policy  aggregate  demand  Capital  Expenditure  income  tax  receipts  deflation  deflationary  Universal  Basic  class  warfare 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Yanis Varoufakis Candid Interview - Shocking Disfunction and The Power Of Oligarchs
Europe will not survive next crisis. [...] end of interview - China looked after the rest of the world and especially Germany after 2009 (credit bubble) as USA looked after Germany in the 50's - Wirtschaftswunder. Now China is trying its best not to implode and fall below 5% of growth per annum. And now USA is trying to contest Asia (excluding China) economically and militarily through TPP and military increase in that region. //&! Yanis Varoufakis - Guardian Live - youtu.be/md6_WfF9Ky0
Grexit  Troika  IMF  oligarchy  plutocracy  Greece  corruption  bribery  Yanis  Varoufakis  Tsipras  referendum  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  Brussels  European  Union  Gold  Standard  economic  history  liberal  economic  reform  antitrust  cartel  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Schwarzgeld  Schwarze  Kassen  Schwarzkasse  ChristineLagarde  Panama  Papers  revolving  door  lobby  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  trust  far-right  right-wing  sovereign  debt  crisis  ECB  MarioDraghi  banking  crisis  bank  bailout  GFC  democracy  neoliberal  neoliberalism  shareholder  capitalism  crony  capitalism  Chicago  School  China  credit  bubble  BRIC  USA  Hegemony  TTIP  TPP  geopolitics 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
PanamaPapers: Eine Quelle - 400 Journalisten | NDR
// eng version - PanamaPapers: One Source, 400 Journalists - https://youtu.be/edIjDRghH0A ... min 10 ... this is also about terrorism, war crimes, arms dealers, money laundering, drug lords money, ... ... Greed has no concience. a paralell world. ... >> !!! min 24: many names ie in Germany can't be named because they are not public people and or that there is no evidence of criminal activity (used legal loophole to "avoide" tax). << Same every other country. That is why these papers won't be published raw searchable like Wikileaks. << !!! //&! Panama Papers - die Doku - April.2016 #panamapapers - Steueroasen Briefkastenfirmen mossack fonseca - youtu.be/_2IASABeghc //&! bbc.co.uk/programmes/b076vwwy
Panama  Papers  tax  amnesty  tax  avoidance  tax  evasion  investigative  journalism  journalism  journalismus  War  on  Drugs  arms  trade  money  laundering  War  on  Terror  NSA  CIA  FBI  white-collar  crime  Bahamas  CaymanIslands  Cayman  Islands  Luxembourg  Whistleblower  corruption  bribery  G20  G8  IMF  OECD  economic  damage 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Tyler Cowen: "The Great Stagnation", Michael Vassar & Cowen Debate at Singularity Summit 2011
gains are harder to come by! low hanging fruit gone. [...] VISION IS NEEDED TO GET THE JOB DONE.
secular  stagnation  western  world  underinvestment  R&D  R&D  innovation  Innovators  Dilemma  rentier  rent-seeking  oligopol  oligopoly  winner  take  all  babyboomers  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  austerity  triple-lock  pension  pension  obligation  recovery  Super  Rich  1%  plutocracy  oligarchy  No  Representation  lobby  Career  Politicians  OAP  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  sick  population  health  crisis  economic  damage  climate  crisis  climate  change  global  warming  productivity  gap  output  gap  GDP  measurement  GNP  nominal  GDP  targeting  inflation  targeting  BRIC  creative  destruction  Mobile  Debt  Super  Cycle  servitude  servicing  service  income  tax  receipts  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Moore's  Law  COP21  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  OECD  IMF  crony  capitalism  Privileged  Establishment  shareholder  capitalism  profit  maximisation  profit  maximization  shareholder  value  revolving  door  Wall  Street  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  disposable  income  trickle-down  economics  neoliberal  neoliberalism  discretionary  spending  renewable  energy  infrastructure  investment  Smart  Grid  AI  artificial  intelligence  augmented  intelligence  Autonomous  Cars  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  New  stagnation 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Tory party’s civil war | FT Comment
[ we are all in this together ] Lionel Barber, FT editor, and Janan Ganesh, political commentator, discuss the turmoil within the UK’s Conservative party, including the resignation of a cabinet minister following the government’s Budget. //&! Cameron’s Panama profits - https://youtu.be/jOm-24n16ik - skill full worded statements, No 10 was under lock-down.
George  Osborne  Budget2016  David  Cameron  PIP  Brexit  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  fairness  Panama  Papers  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  tax  cut  corporate  tax  rate  austerity  Generationengerechtigkeit  babyboomers  triple-lock  pension  Generation  Rent  secular  stagnation  Richard  Koo  Niall  Ferguson  IMF  OECD  European  Union  Brussels  No  Representation  Career  Politicians  Toff  Privileged  Establishment  Super  Rich  1%  plutocracy  oligarchy  offshore  banking  PR  spin  doctor  Positioning 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
IMF concerned UK referendum will interfere with Greek bailout – WikiLeaks
The IMF officials say that a threat of an imminent financial catastrophe was needed to force other players into accepting its measures such as cutting Greek pensions and working conditions, but that the UK referendum on 23 June will paralyse EU decision-making at a critical moment, according to the records.

The UK referendum was said to add a complication that needed to be negotiated around – delaying a possible “moment of truth” until after the June vote.

Greek finance minister Euclid Tsakalotos has accused the IMF of imposing draconian measures, including on pension reform.
Brexit  IMF  European  Union  Greece  sovereign  debt  crisis  austerity  PIGS  Troika 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Discussing the IMF’s research on inequality - an interview with Andrew Berg
Inequality and Unsustainable Growth (2011) - imf.org/external/pubs/ft/sdn/2011/sdn1108.pdf - what are the determinants of sustained growth (answer a middle class). phases of growth. institutional governance (tax evasion and tax avoidance). lobby, revolving door, no representation, career politicians. [...] redistribution should have win-win effect. //&! Richard Wilkinson: How economic inequality harms societies - youtu.be/cZ7LzE3u7Bw - national income per head (average) is not reflective (correlates) for health and child well-being measures, social capital (volunteering, Tories Big Society), mental health, prison population, social mobility. that is why Tories redefined fuel poverty & child poverty! That is why nominal GDP targeting is double edge sword (tax evasion and average national income per head, and being dependent on a industry for GDP (ie Brazil and resources, or south UK and banking - 80% of 2015 growth was consumtion). Leads to status anxiety & materialism/
inequality  Robert  Reich  Joseph  Stiglitz  Paul  Krugman  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  CEO  pay  shareholder  capitalism  IMF  western  world  Super  Rich  1%  plutocracy  oligarchy  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  Generation  Rent  poverty  poverty  trap  meritocracy  meritocratic  income  distribution  American  Dream  child  poverty  Thomas  Piketty  income  growth  income  inequality  income  mobility  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  redistribution  Universal  Basic  tax  credit  tax  free  income  tax  evasion  tax  amnesty  tax  avoidance  HMRC  Political  Governance  Career  Politicians  revolving  door  Lobbying  lobby  lobbyist  No  Representation  Niall  Ferguson  secular  stagnation  Elizabeth  Warren  Precariat  job  insecurity  welfare  state  social  safety  net  nominal  GDP  targeting  WHO  consumerism  materialism  status  anxiety  values  social  status  self-esteem  mental  health  well  being  GNP 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
The Privatising Industry in Europe
Do you wonder why the 'Troika' persists in its privatisation agenda despite the evidence of its failures and the growing economic and social costs?
The report “The Privatising Industry in Europe”, written by Sol Trumbo Vila and Matthijs Peters for the Transnational Institute, TNI, suggests two possible motives and shows who the ‪#‎BigWinners‬ of those privatisations are. - https://www.tni.org/en/publication/the-privatising-industry-in-europe - The rationale put forward by advocates of privatisation does not stand up to the evidence. Privatisation has failed to provide promised revenue as only profitable firms are being sold and consistently at undervalued prices. Meanwhile the latest research by the IMF and by European universities show that there is no evidence that the privatised firms are more efficient than state-owned firms. [...] Privatisation in Europe has encouraged a growth in corruption,
Privatisation  austerity  Troika  neoliberal  neoliberalism  trickle-down  economics  oligarchy  plutocracy  1%  Super  Rich  shareholder  capitalism  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  profit  maximization  Wall  Street  Main  Street  budget  deficit  Richard  Koo  exploitation  revolving  door  Career  Politicians  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  Yanis  Varoufakis  IMF  World  Bank  economic  history  dogma  ideology  Royal  Mail  white-collar  crime  white-collar  fraud  corruption  bribery  nepotism  Schwarze  Kassen  Schwarzkasse  Chicago  School  free  market  self-regulation 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
David Graeber on a Fair Future Economy - YouTube
13:30 - BOE paper, austerity claims are bogus. the confidence fairy et al //&! The truth is out: money is just an IOU, and the banks are rolling in it David Graeber. The Bank of England's dose of honesty throws the theoretical basis for austerity out the window - bit.ly/1fWKC0s - What this means is that the real limit on the amount of money in circulation is not how much the central bank is willing to lend, but how much government, firms, and ordinary citizens, are willing to borrow. Government spending is the main driver in all this (and the paper does admit, if you read it carefully, that the central bank does fund the government after all). So there's no question of public spending "crowding out" private investment. It's exactly the opposite.
austerity  BOE  David  Graeber  George  Osborne  economic  history  Schuldenbremse  IMF  OECD  G20  recovery  aggregate  demand  IOU  Mark  Carney  underinvestment  productivity  output  gap  job  creation  monetary  theory  monetary  policy  monetary  system  Fiscal  Pact  Wolfgang  Schäuble  NIRP  ZIRP  QE  policy  book  Richard  Koo  secular  stagnation 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Central bankers on the defensive as weird policy becomes even weirder | Business | The Guardian
Growth is tepid, productivity is poor, and inflation is too low: all is not going according to policymakers’ masterplans [...] As far as the OECD is concerned, monetary policy is being forced to take too much of the strain. Its chief economist Catherine Mann made the point that lasting recovery required three things: stimulative monetary policy; activist fiscal policy; and structural reform. The OECD wants the second of these ingredients to be added to the recipe in the form of increased spending on public infrastructure, something it says would more than pay for itself at a time when governments can borrow so cheaply.
monetary  policy  G20  fiscal  policy  monetary  stimulus  monetary  system  monetary  transmission  mechanism  liquidity  trap  UK  western  world  USA  Japan  Abenomics  George  Osborne  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Pact  Schuldenbremse  economic  history  recovery  secular  stagnation  productivity  underinvestment  MarioDraghi  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  ECB  BOE  Fed  Taper  deflationary  deflation  nominal  GDP  targeting  inflation  targeting  zombie  banks  MervynKing  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  Richard  Koo  Gini  coefficient  inequality  squeezed  middle  class  wage  stagnation  discretionary  spending  distortion  property  bubble  disposable  income  productive  investment  austerity  business  confidence  foreign  direct  investment  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  student  loan  debt  student  loan  policy  folly  policy  error  short-termism  Career  Politicians  neoliberalism  neoliberal  trickle-down  economics  self-regulation  City  of  London  investment  banking  retail  banking  OECD  IMF  KennethRogoff  hot-money  hunt  for  yield  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  reflate  reflation  financial  repression  New  Normal  trust 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Mervyn King: new financial crisis is 'certain' without reform of banks | Business | The Guardian
The former Bank of England governor says in his new book that imbalances in the global economy makes a crash inevitable [...] GFC was the fault of the financial system, not individual greedy bankers, in his new book, The End Of Alchemy: Money, Banking And The Future Of The Global Economy [...] “Without reform of the financial system, another crisis is certain, and the failure ... to tackle the disequilibrium in the world economy makes it likely that it will come sooner rather than later,” Lord King wrote. [...] global central banks were caught in a “prisoner’s dilemma” - unable to raise interest rates for fear of stifling the economic recovery, the newspaper reported. [... blame] broken financial system. [...] failure of a system, and the ideas that underpinned it, [...] “Only a fundamental rethink of how we, as a society, organise our system of money and banking will prevent a repetition //&! dailym.ai/21tPG5y
bank  crisis  banking  crisis  investment  banking  self-regulation  retail  banking  Greed  financial  product  regulation  regulators  City  of  London  George  Osborne  Mark  Carney  macroprudential  policy  property  bubble  austerity  liquidity  trap  secular  stagnation  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  economic  history  GFC  neoliberalism  neoliberal  trickle-down  economics  free  market  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  faultlines  hot-money  hunt  for  yield  distortion  financial  repression  emerging  middle  class  emerging  market  Frontier  Markets  BRIC  China  Brazil  credit  bubble  2016  reflate  reflation  junk  bond  revolving  debt  household  debt  mortgage  market  consumer  debt  UK  IMF  OECD  credit  card  debt  car  loan  BOE  MervynKing  ECB  Fed  Europe  deflationary  deflation  Gini  coefficient  inequality  MarioDraghi  Taper  QT  bonuses  bonus  global  imbalances  structural  imbalance  Career  Politicians  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  revolving  door  New  Normal  speculative  bubbles  Richard  Koo  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
George Osborne warns of further spending cuts in Budget - BBC News
[ LOL! ] But recent figures showing the UK economy was smaller than expected meant savings must be found in his Budget statement on 17 March, he said. [...] Mr Osborne said he would rather look for extra cuts now than risk breaking his own manifesto commitment to achieve a surplus in the budget by the end of this Parliament. The chancellor did not completely rule out raising taxes in the event of a further slowdown in growth, but said that now was not the time for "significant" tax hikes. [...] I'm absolutely clear we've got to root our country in the principle that we live within our means and that we have economic security." [...] "whole purpose of our economic plan was to have a budget surplus. [...] we got big challenges at home to make the economy more productive even as more people get work. [ because having part of your budget in the property bubble is so productive ] [...] I will do what is required to keep our country safe and secure." [ NOT CHANGING PLANS ie U-TURN ]
UK  secular  stagnation  austerity  Richard  Koo  Japan  economic  history  dogma  ideology  IMF  OECD  ChristineLagarde  economists  Paul  Krugman  Joseph  Stiglitz  Robert  Reich  David  Cameron  Tories  nasty  party  recovery  aggregate  demand  Conservative  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Mark  Carney  BOE  City  of  London  HMRC  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  self-employment  corporate  tax  rate  Service  Sector  Jobs  working  poor  multiplier  precarious  work  Precariat  low  pay  low  income  tax  credit  housing  benefit  income-based  JSA  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  wage  stagnation  stagnation  DWP  Iain  Duncan  Smith  skills  gap  STEM  productivity  output  gap  Manufacturing  industrial  policy  neoliberalism  neoliberal  trickle-down  economics  Chicago  School  JohnMaynardKeynes  keynes  Keynesianism  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  European  Union  property  bubble  apprenticeships  value  creation  added  value  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  competitiveness  marginal  cost  energy  price  energy  policy  Hinkley  Point  C  nuclear  power  nuclear  waste  subsidies  subsidizing  corporate  welfare  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbyin 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Brexit referendum could destabilise UK recovery, says IMF | Business | The Guardian
[ putting investment decisions and plans on hold! ] Christine Lagarde warns that uncertainty over outcome ‘will be bad in and of itself’ in months leading up to vote [...] But the IMF’s annual health check said “the relatively positive outlook is subject to risks and uncertainties”, including a global slowdown, sluggish productivity growth, a large trade deficit, still-high levels of household debt, and the forthcoming referendum on EU membership. It said any sign of weakness in growth should be met with higher spending by the Treasury. The UK authorities should explore “both revenue and expenditure measures, while protecting spending in priority areas, including healthcare, education, and infrastructure”. The report emphasised that “flexibility in the fiscal framework should be used to modify the pace of adjustment in the event of weaker demand growth”. [ moderates and politicians, wisely worded! no instructions. no direct criticism. ]
Brexit  austerity  household  debt  consumer  debt  property  bubble  credit  card  debt  car  loan  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  IMF  OECD  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  trade  deficit  UK  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  fiscal  policy  industrial  policy  labour  market  underinvestment  education  policy  NHS  child  poverty  Gini  coefficient  inequality  social  mobility  income  mobility  recovery  2016  general  election  2015  budget  deficit  election  campaign  promises  Manifesto  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  labour  economics  Zero  Hour  Contract  part-time  minimum  wage  tax  credit  Contractor  self-employment  low  pay  Precariat  working  poor  low  income  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  debt  servitude  monetary  policy  fiscal  stimulus  Pact  Schuldenbremse  general  election  2020 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
China's vice fin min: Fiscal policy should play a role globally
China's Vice Finance Minister Zhu Guangyao. China recognizes risks facing global economy. China to try to coordinate with G20 on global economy. Fiscal policy should play a role, not just monetary policy.
G20  fiscal  policy  austerity  monetary  policy  economic  history  IMF  OECD  Richard  Koo  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  recovery  credit  bubble  USA  UK  European  Union  Pact  Schuldenbremse  secular  stagnation  western  world 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Interview With Mohamed El-Erian: Masters in Business (Audio) by Bloomberg View
7:50 New Normal is secular stagnation and decades-long NIRP, ZIRP, QE distortion. structural, secular. no cyclical recovery. but long secular challenges; prolonged period of low growth. // also inequality! // currently policy makers subsidise debtors, subsidise creditors - financial repression. promote risk taking. // richard koo would not agree with el-erian's notion that gov balance sheets are same as household balance sheets. // 12:10 demographic issue! political. and economic elements in it of secular stagnation. [...] borrowing growth // rise of far-right! // corps sitting on cash // inequality! // bc of lived in artificial world of borrowed growth, created massive divergence. // min 15:30 richard koo would not agree that central banks are the only game in town. central banks have complained abt austerity gov. // min 20 - Feds intellectually inflexible. comfort zone. self-regulation & great moderation. // reflation didnt work bc no fixed fundamentals // perfect storm! lost trust.
New  Normal  financial  repression  NIRP  ZIRP  QE  economic  history  secular  stagnation  GFC  credit  bubble  book  western  world  emerging  middle  class  debtoverhang  Richard  Koo  deleveraging  debt  servitude  Super  Cycle  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  KennethRogoff  carmenreinhart  sovereign  debt  crisis  austerity  Paul  Krugman  Gini  coefficient  inequality  Joseph  Stiglitz  distortion  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  monetary  transmission  mechanism  liquidity  trap  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  theory  monetary  system  retirement  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  far-right  Rechtsextremismus  Rechtsruck  zombie  consumer  zombie  corporations  zombie  banks  Pact  Schuldenbremse  tax  avoidance  tax  evasion  inflation  targeting  inflation  expectation  nominal  GDP  targeting  GDP  reflate  reflation  trust  trustagent  distrust  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  public  sentiment  public  perception  bank  bailout  Japan  Abenomics  AIIB  IMF  China  BRIC  self-regulation  Great  Moderation 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
'Panic situation': Asian stocks tumble amid fears of new global recession | Business | The Guardian
central banks have few avenues left to explore to encourage investment and boost growth. Talk of an impending recession in the US, however, is creating speculation among investors that the federal reserve will put on hold its attempts to normalise rates. “The ‘fear factor’ in markets has morphed from being about an emerging market hard-landing and collapsing oil prices to being about the extent of the slowdown in the developed world and the ability of central banks to reflate asset values yet again,” said analysts at Citi in a note. //&! Yield on Japan's 10-year bonds falls below zero - bit.ly/1Leu3JC - Germany, France and the Netherlands are among the countries to see their bonds soar in value, though Switzerland (not in the G7) is the only other country to see demand outstrip supply to such an extent that the yield has dropped below zero. Bonds worth about $7tn (£4.8tn) now have a negative yield rate. //&! BOE Taper expectations go out the window till 2020 - bit.ly/1SdxUhN
global  economy  2016  secular  stagnation  austerity  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  Taper  ZIRP  QE  NIRP  liquidity  trap  western  world  credit  bubble  China  BRIC  Oil  price  emerging  middle  class  squeezed  middle  class  household  debt  consumer  debt  debtoverhang  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  Richard  Koo  USA  UK  Europe  economic  history  credit  card  debt  car  loan  debt  servitude  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  credit  reflate  reflation  VIX  volatility  speculative  bubbles  property  bubble  distortion  asset  allocation  equity  bubble  hunt  for  yield  IMF  OECD  Frontier  Markets  emerging  market  bond  bubble  Fed  BOE  ECB  Abenomics  BOJ 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Christine Lagarde: Housing is key issue for security of UK economy - BBC News
The UK's recent growth, employment progress and deficit reduction have been "strong", the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has said. Underlying economic vulnerabilities, including the supply and demand for housing, have been addressed and steady growth looks set to continue, it said. The IMF's Christine Lagarde said there were still some risks.
UK  Housing  Crisis  property  bubble  generation  rent  speculative  bubbles  Buy  to  macroprudential  policy  fiscal  policy  planning  law  monetary  policy  mortgage  market  austerity  budget  deficit  neoliberalism  IMF  OECD  neoliberal  trickle-down  economics  economic  history  ChristineLagarde  Privatisation  affordable  social  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  secular  stagnation  wage  stagnation  squeezed  middle  class  Precariat  working  poor  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  low  pay  minimum  wage  low  income  Zero  Hour  Contract  part-time  Contractor  recovery  productivity  output  gap  credit  bubble  debt  servitude  debtoverhang  liquidity  trap  Richard  Koo 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Adam Posen: What Japan and the UK Demonstrate about Macroeconomic Stimulus - YouTube
Confidence Fairy - Paul Krugman. (sov debt crisis) only applicable if you don't have a central bank. like Greece. that can do QE as much as you need to stabilise monetary system. ie stop deleveraging, only serving debt. meaning deflation. // different QE, diversity. shift risk appetite to more riskier debt. ... // fiscal activism can't overcome austerity ... // UK has it work because it doesn't have the manufacturing base. but its population is growing, not shrinking. but job creation - multiplier to economy is 1 or lower because of mostly service sector job creation which lot need to access welfare state through tax credits. // min 11. Gordon Brown and Alistair Darling did lots right! GPB depreciation. budget deficit growth. But imports stayed high!!! current account deficit and trade deficit. Austerity undermines growth and BOE policy! cut you future and investment (4-1 ration). UK got no credibility bonus from bond vigilantes, no FDI inflows.
Abenomics  economic  history  secular  stagnation  UK  austerity  Japan  BOE  BOJ  Mark  Carney  deflationary  deflation  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  migration  immigration  Sozialpolitik  Integrationspolitik  Paul  Krugman  JGB  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  liquidity  trap  balance  sheet  recession  Richard  Koo  deleveraging  ECB  TLTRO  LTRO  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  monetary  policy  monetary  transmission  mechanism  monetary  stimulus  monetary  theory  unconventional  monetary  policy  monetary  system  financial  repression  distortion  speculative  bubbles  creditrating  creditrisk  junk  bond  NPL  credit  bubble  recovery  George  Osborne  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Super  Cycle  sovereign  debt  crisis  debtoverhang  currency-war  currency  debasement  currency  war  current  account  deficit  trade  deficit  IMF  OBR  foreign  direct  investment  Conservative  Party  nasty  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  policy  folly  policy  error 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Jubiläum ǀ Gegen den Mainstream — der Freitag
Alternativen und Politik. Der Freitag stellt sich bewusst außerhalb dieses Mainstreams. Darin liegt seine Existenzberechtigung aber auch seine Ohnmacht. Das ist das Paradox linker Gegenöffentlichkeit. Wir können den Strom in seinem Lauf nicht ändern. Aber wir haben einen anderen Blick. Wir nehmen für uns in Anspruch, Denkort der Alternativen zu sein. Damit arbeiten wir an der Rückeroberung des politischen Raumes. Denn der Satz von den Alternativen, die es angeblich nicht gibt, ist das Ende von Politik. Den Vorwurf des Populismus muss man sich dann hin und wieder gefallen lassen. Der Philosoph Ernesto Laclau hat geschrieben, Populismus sei „die Stimme derer, die aus dem System exkludiert sind“. Ein gefährlicher Satz, wenn man nach Dresden blickt,
Alternativlos  TINA  austerity  bank  bailout  social  democracy  The  Guardian  NewStatesman  lefty  populism  neoliberalism  neoliberal  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  Precariat  precarious  work  low  income  job  creation  western  world  secular  stagnation  Service  Sector  Jobs  UK  USA  Europe  economic  history  Gini  coefficient  inequality  Super  Rich  1%  No  Representation  plutocracy  oligarchy  IMF  OECD  mainstream  media  Lügenpresse  fearmongering  Fear  uncertainty  job  security  structural  unemployment  youth  unemployment 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
BBC iPlayer - Britain's Trillion Pound Island - Inside Cayman
20bn£/year go through tax avoidance (legal through loopholes). = 20bn austerity for next 4-5 years this parliament from 2015. and was around the same from 2010 as Tories came to power forming coalition with lib dems. // who can pay for the lawyer and lobbyist - to implement loopholes. // its the gov that lets make the rules, by lobbyists. // (New Labour) Gordon Brown cut corp tax in his time by 5% and Osborne will have it cut by further 10% points in his two parliament sittings as chancellor. "You can't compete with Zero." << Cayman Islands (no infrastructure and no educated people) - vs. - UK (with infrastructure and educated people, social safety net, pensions). // ultimately, tax laws have to be changed in the local country, not cayman islands.
UK  offshore  banking  tax  avoidance  austerity  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  budget  deficit  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  HMRC  revolving  door  No  Representation  democracy  social  democracy  bank  bailout  GFC  crony  capitalism  capitalism  Greed  budget2015  budget2010  non-dom  Super  Rich  1%  oligarchy  plutocracy  City  of  London  poverty  income  distribution  income  redistribution  inequality  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  Policy  Makers  Career  Politicians  Westminster  Council  Public  Services  Services  constituency  babyboomers  globalization  globalisation  neoliberalism  neoliberal  tax  evasion  loopholes  welfare  state  social  safety  net  corporate  tax  rate  trickle-down  economics  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  GordonBrown  Labour  Party  borderless  accounting  scandal  white-collar  crime  corporate  scandal  corporate  crime  IMF  OECD 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Why The Crash of 2016 Will Happen... - YouTube
China's Credit Bubble popped. &! Could China Trigger the Crash of 2016? - youtu.be/JRw8JgP-L0A //&! IMF: "Age of America" Will End 2016: Steve Forbes on China - youtu.be/YxCxHM5Ax_k //&! Has The Crash of 2016 Now Begun? What Can & Should Be Done? - youtu.be/JwEDvXYVE_g - Richard Wolff, austerity failed what has been promised "business confidence." Smart money unloading started in 2015. "Silly China-bashing." China has capacity (over capacity) but western world has reached its credit limit! << youtu.be/L4J_n9pTdJQ codependent. //&! youtu.be/ORRPNO2XPDA - still too much debt, austerity flaws, no income growth to serve debt and not cut back on spending (private households), China exporting deflation.
book  Super  Rich  1%  plutocracy  corporate  state  corporate  media  Wall  Street  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  vested  interest  interest  groups  revolving  door  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  social  democracy  democracy  Wertegesellschaft  Wegwerfgesellschaft  squeezed  middle  class  neoliberalism  2016  neoliberal  working  poor  Precariat  wage  stagnation  secular  stagnation  western  world  corporate  scandal  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  corruption  bribery  Greed  GFC  bank  bailout  austerity  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  tax  code  Rechtsruck  far-right  Rechtsextremismus  refugee  crisis  symptom  Xenophobia  Islamophobia  Gini  coefficient  inequality  income  mobility  social  mobility  poverty  trap  welfare  state  social  safety  net  USA  Hegemony  China  UK  Debt  Super  Cycle  post-racial  America  crony  capitalism  capitalism  shared  economic  interest  economic  damage  Europe  PIGS  sovereign  crisis  consumer  household  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  IMF  financial  repression  speculative  bubbles  property  bubble  New  Normal  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  globalization  globalisation  flat  world  borderless  free  trade  debtoverhang  credit  card  car  loan  mortgage  market  oligarchy 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
Börsenabsturz in China: Der Kontrollverlust - Kommentar - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Der Börsen-Crash in China ist Symptom eines fundamentalen Wandels: Um den Wohlstand zu erhalten, muss die Regierung immer mehr Kontrolle abgeben. Die Allmacht der kommunistischen Partei gerät ins Wanken.
China  economic  history  SRD  Yuan  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  corruption  bribery  regulation  regulators  liberal  economic  reform  economic  refugee  inequality  IMF  AIIB  World  Bank  Hegemony  PBOC  Gini  coefficient  social  safety  net  Services  Public  Services  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  pension  scheme  pension  pension  fund  asset  allocation  capital  allocation  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  credit  bubble  QT  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  shadow  banking  NPL  2015  2016  shadow  economy  demographic  bubble 
january 2016 by asterisk2a
IMF: UK's economic performance 'very strong', but risks remain - BBC News
[ UK more like USA than Europe, let alone Germany ] Underlying economic vulnerabilities have been addressed, and steady growth looks set to continue, it said. But high household debt, a "strikingly large" trade deficit and high government debt are still risks to the economy. It also warned about uncertainty over whether the UK would stay in the EU. [...] But although UK house price growth has eased, the household debt-to-income ratio is still high, and could leave some households vulnerable to shock interest rate rises. The large trade deficit could affect cash flows into the UK, adversely affecting growth, the report says. In addition, high government debt, and a continuing deficit, could tie the government's hands in dealing with any future recession, and productivity growth might fail to materialise. Chancellor George Osborne said the IMF report "could hardly be more positive" about the UK economy, but that it "rightly" identified challenges.
UK  economic  history  trade  deficit  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  credit  card  zombie  consumer  recovery  GFC  squeezed  middle  class  austerity  industrial  policy  George  Osborne  short-termism  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  constituency  babyboomers  David  Cameron  IMF  OECD  crony  capitalism  capitalism  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  ChristineLagarde  fairness  Generationengerechtigkeit  climate  change  climate  crisis  global  warming  energy  policy  competitive  competitiveness  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  policy  folly  policy  error  Super  Rich  1%  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  self-regulation  profit  maximisation  debt  servitude  Super  Cycle  sovereign  debt  crisis  student  loan  debt  student  loan  Bubble  student  debt 
december 2015 by asterisk2a
TPP - The Death Sentence Clause - YouTube
TPP, TTIP, TISA excludes BRIC! this is a protectionism move from USA/Wall Street in new world that is emerging infront of our eyes that undermines USA/Wall Street monopoly, global power - financial, corporate, political, foreign affairs. Its shaping peoples everyday lifes. Much more potent than military intervention //&! https://youtu.be/ysm2Ksb7Yeg - TPP - Here’s What Happens Under SHAFTA --- race to the bottom. its not a free trade deal. its a managed deal written by and for multinational conglomerates. literally continuing the further the race to the bottom, competing with countries like Vietnam for jobs!
TPP  generic  pharmaceutical  industry  pharma  big  pharma  generic  medicine  copyright  Patent  patents  crony  capitalism  capitalism  Wall  Street  interest  groups  vested  interest  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  TTIP  TISA  oversight  self-regulation  regulation  deregulation  regulators  transparency  democracy  Career  Politicians  monopoly  conglomerate  monopsony  Commanding  Heights  accountability  globalisation  globalization  presidency  barackobama  flat  world  G  Zero  AIIB  BRIC  Bank  IMF  OECD  emerging  market  Frontier  Markets  intellectual  property  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  revolving  door  political  theory  political  economy  social  contract  No  Representation  UK  USA  neoliberalism  neoliberal  liberal  economic  reform  global  trade  trade  agreement  free  trade  exploitation  neoconservatism  neoconservatives  China  Russia  India  Brazil  foreign  affairs  foreign  policy  foreign  relations  corruption  bribery 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
Perhaps austerity didn't choke off UK recovery - BBC News
But, as I mentioned, the disclosure that we were a bit richer in the last parliament than we thought is not all fabulous news for the chancellor. He and his Treasury colleagues should probably be anxious that the faster growth did not translate into higher tax revenues. In case you need reminding, George Osborne singularly failed to hit the deficit reduction targets he set himself. But the explanation can no longer be that the economy flatlined, because that's not what happened. So if the higher-than-thought growth in the last parliament left the gap between government revenues and expenditures tens of billions of pounds greater than George Osborne hoped, it also suggests that his aspiration of eliminating the deficit in this parliament may prove equally elusive. //&! Despite strong employment growth, wage growth remained historically weak - the usual link between falling unemployment and rising wages seemed to have been broken. - bbc.in/1OEffcS
trickle-down  economics  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  self-employment  employment  working  poor  precarious  work  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  Niedriglohnsektor  George  Osborne  austerity  economic  history  recovery  budget  deficit  fiscal  policy  property  bubble  credit  bubble  mortgage  market  excess  reserves  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  Richard  Koo  academics  academia  IMF  Paul  Krugman  Gini  coefficient  inequality  underinvestment  Joseph  Stiglitz  private  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  credit  card  debt  servitude  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  income  growth  low  income  income  distribution  squeezed  middle  class  Sozialer  Abstieg  productivity  output  gap  Niall  Ferguson  secular  stagnation  underemployed  structural  unemployment  structural  imbalance  faultlines  Impediments  skills  gap 
october 2015 by asterisk2a
IMF warns of new financial crisis if interest rates rise | Business | The Guardian
Fund says governments in emerging markets should prepare now for a new credit crunch because of a 10-year corporate borrowing binge [...] “Shocks to the corporate sector could quickly spill over to the financial sector and generate a vicious cycle as banks curtail lending. Decreased loan supply would then lower aggregate demand and collateral values, further reducing access to finance and thereby economic activity, and in turn, increasing losses to the financial sector,” the IMF warns. [...] “Emerging markets must prepare for the adverse domestic stability implications of global financial tightening,” the IMF says.
credit  bubble  2015  Taper  centralbanks  IMF  OECD  Frontier  Markets  Developing  World  Richard  Koo  Debt  Super  Cycle  BRIC  AIIB  World  Bank  recovery  global  economy  global  trade  globalization  globalisation  flat  borderless  currency-war  currency  debasement  currency  war  BOE  BOJ  Abenomics  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  FOMO  asset  allocation  capital  allocation  malinvestment  speculative  bubbles  property  bubble  China  Brazil  commodity  prices  Oil  price  OPEC  reflate  reflation  equity  bubble  emerging  middle  class  demographic  bubble  secular  stagnation  western  UK  USA  Europe  Germany  austerity  divergence  faultlines  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  Niall  Ferguson  Fed  mandate  monetary  policy  unconventional  monetary  policy  zombie  consumer  zombie  banks  bailout  banking  crisis  crisis  fiscal  policy  fiscal  stimulus  economic  history  trickle-down  economics  tax  avoidance  tax  evasion  inequality  Gini  coefficient  NPL  shadow  banking  zombie  corporations  junk  bond  creditrating  distortion  financial  financial  crisis  GFC 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Britain's fading greenery - BBC News
[ after the collaps of energy prices, commoditiy prices and freed up labour from oil and gas industry ... instead of tripling investment in renewable energy, they cut it. increasing long-term competitiveness with domestic cheaper energy prices. stupid. instead they cut corporate tax rate, as if tax evasion and avoidance wasn't helping them already ... no further development of 6 killer apps. policy for vested interest. subsidies for oil. tax breaks. etc etc. ] The energy team at business consultancy EY can't expect to get many contracts out of Whitehall - not after a thorough trashing of UK policy. //&! Al Gore chimes in - bit.ly/1V88zmb //&! bbc.in/1NIzAMl //&! bv.ms/1Vgb4Iy - Stop Propping Up Fossil Fuels. Subsidies, as a rule, distort financial incentives and leave the economy less efficient. Subsidies on fossil fuels are doubly foolish: They also divert investment and consumption away from cleaner energy, and cost taxpayers a bundle.
UK  industrial  policy  renewable  energy  Principle  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  budget2015  austerity  underinvestment  business  confidence  corporate  tax  rate  Makers  constituency  commodity  prices  Oil  price  2015  general  election  2015  election  campaign  promises  policy  error  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  globalisation  globalization  Niall  Ferguson  climate  change  global  warming  energy  price  energy  security  energy  policy  Smart  Grid  babyboomers  Millennials  secular  stagnation  western  world  competitive  competitiveness  differentiate  differentiation  subsidies  subsidizing  long-term  view  long-term  thinking  short-term  thinking  short-term  view  OECD  IMF  STEM  Manufacturing  R&D  Research  education  policy  vocational  education  professional  education 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Weltwirtschaft: BIZ warnt vor Krediten in Schwellenländern - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Die Bank für Internationalen Zahlungsausgleich sieht Alarmzeichen für Banken in vielen Schwellenländern. Die Kreditvergabe in China, Brasilien oder der Türkei habe ein bedrohliches Verhältnis angenommen, warnt die Notenbank. // &! Die Welt steuert auf den Bankrott zu (QE trap): Eine vorläufige Antwort: Das tieferliegende Problem besteht darin, dass sich die Weltwirtschaft insgesamt auf den Bankrott zubewegt - und das wird umso schneller gehen, je höher die Zinsen sind und je niedriger die Preissteigerungsraten.
BIS  credit  bubble  2015  China  BRIC  NPL  shadow  banking  junk  bond  creditrating  banking  crisis  excess  reserves  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  hot-money  currency-war  currency  debasement  currency  war  centralbanks  economic  history  hunt  for  yield  FOMO  speculative  bubbles  FX  reserves  Turkey  Brazil  Developing  World  Fed  distortion  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  Raghuram  Rajan  BOE  BOJ  Abenomics  PBOC  ECB  emerging  market  emerging  middle  class  AIIB  Asia  South  Africa  Latin  America  deflationary  deflation  secular  stagnation  western  Niall  Ferguson  globalization  globalisation  wage  stagnation  disposable  income  income  distribution  income  inequality  income  growth  income  mobility  income  gap  wage  growth  GFC  recovery  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  austerity  Pact  European  Union  UK  USA  Richard  Koo  Joseph  Stiglitz  Paul  Krugman  dogma  ideology  Fed  mandate  inflation  targeting  New  Normal  bond  bubble  QE  trap  liquidity  trap  reflate  reflation  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  property  bubble  capital  allocation  QT  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  trickle-down  economics  marginal  cost  economics  of  abundance  digital  economy  Software  Is  Eating  The  World  World  Bank  IMF  savings  glut  faultlines  structural  imbalance  Impediments  Super  Cycle  debt  ser 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Group of 20 Financial Leaders Agree to Act to Bolster Growth - The New York Times
Ms. Lagarde was even more explicit, making it clear that governments had for too long relied on the supply of cheap cash from central banks that have been running ultra-loose monetary policy. “Monetary policy alone will not cut it,” she said. “It is necessary, it is recommended from our perspective, particularly in Europe and in Japan still, but it will not cut it on its own. “Clearly in the fiscal sphere as well as in the structural reforms sphere, more needs to be done, and it needs to accompany and eventually take the baton from the central bank governors.”
Europe  IMF  UK  USA  western  world  Richard  Koo  recovery  fiscal  policy  fiscal  stimulus  long-term  view  long-term  thinking  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  industrial  policy  STEM  R&D  austerity  George  Osborne  ChristineLagarde  OECD  GFC  economic  history  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  liberal  economic  reform  Research  competitiveness  differentiate  differentiation  value  creation  added  value  Manufacturing  job  creation  Niedriglohnsektor  Service  Sector  Jobs  Future  of  Work  Smart  Grid  renewable  energy  business  investment  consumer  debt  household  debt  debtoverhang  monetary  policy  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  Germany  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  inequality  Gini  coefficient  education  policy  David  Cameron  dogma  ideology  academia  academics  Mark  Blyth  Joseph  Stiglitz  Robert  Reich  Paul  Krugman  wage  growth  income  growth  G20  wage  stagnation  secular  stagnation  globalisation  globalization  flat  world  borderless  competitive  competition  currency  war  currency-war  currency  debasement  Exportweltmeister  BRIC  credit  bubble  global  economy  global  trade  global  imbalances  faultlines  structural  imbalance  Impediments  American  Dream  economy  energy  energy  policy 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
China's impossible trinity - BBC News
At the heart of China's problem is the "impossible trinity" of international macroeconomics. The impossible trinity - or trilemma - is the idea that it is impossible for a country to have three things at the same time: a stable currency, the free movement of capital (i.e. the absence of capital controls) and independent monetary policy. A country can instead choose just two of the options from this policy suite. The UK, in common with most developed economies, has free capital movement and an independent monetary policy - but not a controlled exchange rate. The Bank of England sets interest rates at a level it thinks is right for the UK economy and - as capital can flow into and out of the UK at will - the exchange rate is determined by the market. [...] But the bigger criticism is usually over the nature of the post-2009 stimulus package [...] But, for all the criticism, the counterfactual is rarely stated. What would global growth have looked like without it? [//+ deflation factors]
China  liberal  economic  reform  2015  credit  bubble  devaluation  currency  debasement  Yuan  RMB  PBOC  IMF  SDR  macroeconomics  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  QE  recovery  GFC  economic  history  banking  crisis  shadow  banking  NPL  debtoverhang  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  property  bubble  hot-money  BRIC  western  world  global  trade  global  economy  deflationary  deflation  reflate  reflation  equity  bubble  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  distortion  unknown  unkown  unintended  consequences  Fed  BOE  BOJ  Abenomics  currency  war  currency-war  aggregate  demand  short-fall  aggregate  demand  Richard  Koo  consumer  debt  household  debt  student  loan  debt  debt  servitude  sovereign  debt  crisis  debt  bubble  Super  Cycle  student  debt  public  debt  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  private  debt  globalisation  globalization  technological  progress  flat  world  wage  growth  wage  stagnation  secular  stagnation  borderless  global  imbalances  faultlines  structural  imbalance  savings  glut  Impediments  inequality  squeezed  middle  class  Europe  UK  OECD  marginal  propensity  to  consume  Sozialer  Abstieg  working  poor  precarious  work  income  growth  deregulation  self-regulation  Workers  Union  wage  pressure  disposable  income  income  distribution  income  redistribution  low  income  income  inequality  American  Dream  USA  Gini  Super  coe 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Soziale Gerechtigkeit und Wachstum: Deutschland mittelmäßig - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Wie gut gelingt es Staaten, eine nachhaltige Wirtschaftspolitik mit sozialer Gerechtigkeit zu vereinen? Deutschland landet in einer Studie des Weltwirtschaftsforums nur im Mittelfeld. Vor allem das Steuersystem schneidet schlecht ab. // &! bit.ly/1K7qKCb - Erbschaft!
Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  austerity  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  downward  mobility  inequality  gender  inequality  economic  growth  tax  free  income  kalte  Progression  coldprogression  Universal  Basic  Super  Rich  1%  Public  Services  Services  welfare  state  social  safety  net  OECD  IMF  Robert  Reich  Joseph  Stiglitz  Thomas  Piketty  tax  avoidance  tax  evasion  capital  gains  tax  income  tax  infrastructure  infrastructure  investment  commuting  chronic  stress  child  poverty  poverty  trap  food  poverty  well  being  happiness  index  neoliberalism  neoliberal  Workers  Union  precarious  work  Precariat  working  poor  minimum  wage  tax  credit  education  policy  underbanked  poverty  Sozialer  Abstieg  squeezed  middle  class  corporate  tax  rate  Privatisation  underinvestment  productive  investment  investment  Public  Good  Career  Politicians  short-term  long-term  competitiveness  globalisation  globalization  borderless  flat  world  job  security  Zeitarbeit  Leiharbeit  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  tax  code  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  shared  economic  interest  Wall  Street  profit  maximisation  shareholder  value  Mittelstand  SME  SMB  Germany  society  culture  Gesellschaft  babyboomers  Millennials  generationy  bank  social  bail 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
The "Great Accumulation" Is Over: The Biggest Risk Facing The World's Central Banks Has Arrived | Zero Hedge
PBoC’s rapid liquidation of USTs over the past two weeks has added fuel to the fire and effectively boxed the Fed in. On Tuesday, Deutsche Bank is out extending their "quantitative tightening" (QT) analysis with a look at whats ahead now that the so-called "Great Accumulation" is over.  "Following two decades of unremitting growth, we expect global central bank reserves to at best stabilize but more likely to continue to decline in coming years," [...] Less reserve accumulation should put secular upward pressure on both global fixed income yields & USD. [If the shadow actor in Belgium doesnt buy it up @rate everyone else is selling (divesting) ] [...] The current secular shift in reserve manager behaviour represents the equivalent to Quantitative Tightening, or QT. This force is likely to be a persistent headwind towards developed market central banks’ exit from unconventional policy in coming years, representing an additional source of uncertainty in the global economy. ...
bond  bubble  treasuries  Treasury  Market  liquidity  trap  liquidity  squeeze  China  FX  reserves  centralbanks  reserves  USD  Dollar  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  petrodollar  2015  Yuan  RMB  devaluation  global  trade  global  economy  global  imbalances  global  growth  faultlines  OPEC  Oil  price  Asia  emerging  PBOC  Russia  shale  gas  fracking  tarsand  Canada  USA  Taper  Fed  credit  bubble  reflate  reflation  GFC  recovery  monetary  system  financial  monetary  theory  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  unconventional  monetary  policy  Saudi  Arabia  UAE  Iran  commodity  prices  Quantitative  Tightening  QT  2016  New  Normal  uncertainty  BOE  IMF  SDR  reserve  currency 
september 2015 by asterisk2a
Why It Really All Comes Down To The Death Of The Petrodollar | Zero Hedge
What might not be as clear (on the surface anyway) is how recent events in developing economy FX markets following the devaluation of the yuan stem from a seismic shift we began discussing late last year - namely, the death of the petrodollar system which has served to underwrite decades of dollar dominance and was, until recently, a fixture of the post-war global economic order. In short, the world seems to have underestimated how structurally important collapsing crude prices are to global finance. For years, producers funnelled their dollar proceeds into USD assets providing a perpetual source of liquidity, boosting the financial strength of the reserve currency, leading to even higher asset prices and even more USD-denominated purchases, and so forth, in a virtuous loop. [...] For the first time in decades, exported petrodollar capital turned negative. [...] the world is now beginning to feel the impact of the petrodollar's quiet demise. // &! Follow-on! bit.ly/1IGh4O3
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september 2015 by asterisk2a
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