asterisk2a + boe   340

(10204) Are We Destined for a Slow Growth Future? - YouTube
- shortage on the demand side. but demand can't be more leveraged and borrowed. ALL economic indicators point against a thriving of the UK bottom up (from household finances, are stretched thinly) //&! Gross wages lower than 10 years ago! Lost decade of earnings. In real terms people are NOT better off.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0anqgXLvwko
secular  stagnation  Brexit  household  debt  consumer  UK  USA  loan  GFC  recovery  Productivity  output  gap  economic  history  leverage  underinvestment  banking  property  bubble  housing  demographic  immigration  working  poor  poverty  Austerity  Trickle-down  Gesellschaft  DonaldTrump  Donald  Trump  inequality  social  mobility  income  Society  inflation  deflation  deflationary  debtoverhang  debt-servicing  OECD  IMF  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  BOE  Fed  globalisation  globalization  trap  credit  card  creditcard  creditcrunch  student  auto 
july 2018 by asterisk2a
(112) Renegade Inc. & What to expect in 2018 - YouTube
UK BOE QE trap - the road to normalisation - without counter engagement (productive investment), and further Austerity, tax evasion, inequality, income gap, secular stagnarion, less money to spend for the average joe === very bumpy uncertain ride. ... and add Brexit even more uncertainty. OUCH. real growth for real people not gonna happen. // see also RAWerden Richard Andreas Werner for bank reform (local non-profit et al) // also consumers will hold back. especially w trickle down of bad news. job losses here and there retail inflation wage growth etc. creating a impression of a malaise especially for the 50% who voted remain. and 30% who didnt go vote. // see also news 8or7 out of 10 workers broke/permanently skinned - and consumer debt at 2008 high //
BOE  QE  trap  Richard  Koo  UK  Austerity  productive  investment  underinvestment  productivity  Brexit  Steve  Keen  book  RAWerner  debt  bubble  asset  alternative  WallStreet  GDP  output  gap  uncertainty  2018  business  consumer  confidence  fiscal  policy  NHS  monetary  Carillion  PFI  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  credit  malaise  secular  stagnation  stagflation 
february 2018 by asterisk2a
Budget 2017: Stagnant earnings forecast 'astonishing' - BBC News
real wages in aggregate to continue to stagnate fall eaten up by inflation. Does NOT help serving current debt levels. // The prediction that average UK earnings in 2022 could still be less than in 2008 is "astonishing", according to an independent economic think tank. // 'Adair Turner: neoliberalism not raising all boats'
secular  stagnation  productivity  inflation  Brexit  budget2017  paysqueeze  IFS  ONS  OBR  Philip  Hammond  skill  gap  output  wage  income  growth  disposable  discretionary  spending  debt  BOE  Mark  Carney  underinvestment  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  education  policy  college  GDP  Capitalism  GFC  recovery  neoliberal  neoliberalism  globalisation  globalization 
november 2017 by asterisk2a
(4081) Warum wir alle ärmer werden – Top-Ökonom erklärt die Gründe! // Mission Money - YouTube
houses are unproductive / schuldeninfusion erhaelt am leben, zombie u.a. / wer bezahlt fuer EU schuldenschnitt? / German econ illusion / banken in eu immernoch sanierungsbeduerftig /
Productivity  output  gap  secular  stagnation  economic  history  book  Robotics  AI  augmented  artificial  intelligence  GFC  recovery  debt  overhang  Austerity  household  wage  growth  inflation  deflationary  deflation  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Japan  BOE  Fed  BOJ  ECB  income  zombie  Richard  Koo  disposable  discretionary  spending  bank  bailout  NPL 
october 2017 by asterisk2a
Back to the future on inflation
[ no rising demand = no inflation ] Globalisation and the march of technology have strengthened the hand of employers and weakened that of workers. So it is no surprise that though unemployment has relentlessly fallen, wage growth remains in the doldrums.

Then there is the war between generations. As the baby boomers approached retirement, they sought to safeguard their wealth. Inflation-targeting central banks, the dismantling of the welfare state and fiscal austerity were the natural results. The modern macroeconomic constitution has disenfranchised the inflationary constituency of the young. &! https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/tax-cuts-for-the-rich-solve-nothing-by-joseph-e--stiglitz-2017-07
USA  UK  European  Union  inflation  targeting  GDP  demand  economic  history  babyboomers  Generationy  Generation  Generationengerechtigkeit  Millennials  Austerity  secular  stagnation  working  poor  Precariat  poverty  trap  social  income  mobility  inequality  1%  10%  Super  Rich  Plutocracy  Oligarchy  Taxation  trickle-down  ECB  Fed  BOE  BOJ  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  pension  scheme  obligation  Brexit  bank  bailout  recovery  GFC 
july 2017 by asterisk2a
(2195) Mark Blyth Telling The US Senate That Austerity Policy Is Wrong - YouTube
Mark Blyth & Makers v Takers & Erbschaft & asset & capital tax // wolfgang schäuble George Osborne David Cameron // >> Growth cures debt, cuts / austerity causes debt!!!
Mark  Blyth  UK  USA  Austerity  taxation  corporate  corporatism  welfare  state  NHS  income  tax  GFC  asset  capital  recovery  underinvestment  secular  stagnation  bond  bubble  economic  history  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  BOE  productivity  budget  Super  Rich  Plutocracy  trickle-down  Oligarchy  1%  10%  profit  maximisation  shareholder  immigration  gini  Coefficient  FX  Forex  confidence  fairy  globalisation  evasion  avoidance  HMRC  bank  bailout  badbank  bad  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  David  Cameron  George  Osborne  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  PIGS  Policy  IMF  BIS  ECB  Fed 
july 2017 by asterisk2a
(1928) Keiser Report: Financialized Economy (E1088) - YouTube
All the Plenary’s Men // tbtf is a protection racket!!! (FSB, SFO, systemic relevant banks) & laws - immunity from protection - protects people from prosecution. ... tbtf "global banking cartel" - they can to no wrong. more powerful than the gov. sovereign power.
HSBC  money  laundering  London  GFC  compliance  oversight  self-regulation  regulation  regulators  George  Osborne  benbernanke  FSB  BIS  BOE  centralbanks  SFO  fraud  UK  USA  ECB  systemic  White-collar  crime  banking  TBTF  toobigtofail  bank  bailout  Transparency  accountability  Russia  War  on  Drugs  corruption  lobby  tax  evasion  avoidance  terrorism  terror  ethics  governance  abuse  Military–industrial  complex 
june 2017 by asterisk2a
Brexit critic joins Bank of England interest rate-setting committee | Business | The Guardian
Silvana Tenreyro was one of 280 economists who signed a public letter ahead of the referendum last year stating it would be a “major mistake” for Britain to leave the EU. She will replace the US economist Kristin Forbes who leaves the monetary policy committee (MPC) this month.
Brexit  BOE 
june 2017 by asterisk2a
First fall in consumer spending for almost 4 years
Consumer spending has fallen on an annual basis for the first time in almost four years [...] Adjusting for inflation, real consumer spending by British consumers on Visa debit, credit and prepaid cards in May was 0.8 per cent lower than in the same month last year. Visa said that seasonally adjusted spending was 1.8 per cent lower in May compared to April. The figures are unofficial, but suggest that sluggish economic growth continued in the second quarter, after a first quarter in which the UK grew at the slowest rate in the G7. [...] household consumption, which accounts for more than 60 per cent of the economy. [ 80 Services and Consumption 20 manufacturing ] /&! http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2017/06/11/new-economic-woes-put-theresa-may-fresh-pressure/ - The crucial services sector stands on the brink of a contraction
UK  Brexit  GE2017  Consumer  Confidence  creditcard  credit  card  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  inflation  living  standard  wage  growth  recession  Economy  2017  secular  stagnation  deflation  deflationary  BOE  ZIRP  QE  NIRP  Austerity  Services  materialism  Shopping  Consumerism  consumerist  household  debt  mortgage  Manufacturing 
june 2017 by asterisk2a
The Biggest Real Estate Bubble Of All Time Just Did The Impossible | Zero Hedge
There are two things at work here. The natural resource distortion to the real economy. And the Super Rich and Criminals and Asia/China who are desperate to divest and park their riches in democracies and rule of law and hard "assets"
Canada  bubble  property  Super  Rich  1%  money  laundering  Asia  China  Russia  Brazil  corruption  G20  speculation  speculative  London  CAD  immigration  Student  Plutocracy  Oligarchy  tax  evasion  avoidance  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  unintended  consequences  Fed  BOE  ECB  organised  crime  war  on  drugs  natural  resources 
june 2017 by asterisk2a
Distortion of financial economy (speculation), underinvestment in real things.
7:33 QE and ZIRP and banks business model, the financialisation of the western economies, is causing underinvestment now for a too long time, in the real economy (companies, R&D, infrastructure, edu, productivity). - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZL31ORGxZPk - TBTF central banks w QE blance sheet unable to unwind it! Loss of faith in politics and the system. (2) credit bubble from consumers that made the recovery w the help of ZIRP QE - zombie consumer zombie companies zombie banks - kept just about alive w QE and ZIRP. america uk worth more on paper due to credit and forex USD £ than their real economy realer wirtschaftswert (3) Argentina example.
ZIRP  NIRP  QE  housing  mortgage  bubble  real  estate  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  poverty  trap  social  income  mobility  recovery  GFC  central  banks  ECB  BOE  Fed  BOJ  austerity  Schuldenbremse  trickle-down  underinvestment  economic  history  TBTF 
may 2017 by asterisk2a
Car finance deals soar to new record - BBC News
The Bank of England and the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) have raised concerns about such deals.
The Bank's worry is in relation to levels of consumer borrowing.
However Adrian Dally, head of motor finance at the FLA, said lenders were behaving responsibly.
"We do not share their concerns," he told the BBC. "Lending is responsible. This is a sustainable model going forwards." [...] That is largely because motorists can hand their cars back if they can no longer afford payments.
Ultimately it is the car manufacturers who carry the risk on such deals, as they guarantee second-hand values.
UK  consumer  debt  household  borrowing  creditcard  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  Brexit  confidence  credit  card  auto  loan  car  lease  protection  BOE  wage  growth  inflation  economy  FCA  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  Precariat  bubble  automotive  industry  insolvency 
may 2017 by asterisk2a
The ten graphs which show how Britain became a wholly owned subsidiary of the City of London (and what we can do about it) – New thinking for the British economy
[ uk banks overinvested enabled by political policy into houses and high streets. underinvested in productive capital like R&D companies in general etc ] >> But it doesn’t increase the productive capacity of the economy one iota: a more expensive house doesn’t produce more intelligent children, and a higher share price doesn’t boost a company’s productivity (though it can indirectly boost its capacity to raise funds for investment). [...] Debt-financed asset purchases are thus fundamentally a Ponzi activity: // not just tight housing supply is increasing prices, but also easy credit/debt/mortgage market! // [...] ultimately, there is a limit to just how much debt individuals and corporations can take on – even with low interest rates
UK  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  housing  market  mortgage  household  consumer  debt  disposable  income  servitude  GFC  recovery  wage  growth  Ponzi  asset  capital  Kapital  BOE  credit  card  affordable  social  servicing  default  rate  insolvency  speculation  unintended  consequences  economic  history  consumption  secular  stagnation  Brexit  policy  fiscal  monetary  Mark  Carney  underinvestment  productivity  R&D  Career  Politicians  Margaret  Thatcher 
may 2017 by asterisk2a
Bank of England orders financial firms to draft Brexit contingency plans | Business | The Guardian
uk may have to pay for, to keep, passporting rights, while euro clearing has to move to mainland.
Brexit  BOE  Mark  Carney  City  of  London  banking  insurance  finance  service  law  passporting  tax  evasion  avoidance  HMRC  money  laundering 
april 2017 by asterisk2a
Rethink rates now or face retail disaster, shops tell chancellor | Business | The Guardian
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/mar/07/food-inflation-doubles-uk-shoppers-feel-pinch [ are there sensible consumers out there, and wait out the next 2 years?!!! reality of Brexit should be by now, has to be digested by consumer, as always the lag indicator of most. FDI and business investement is first, and was first to scale back! ] A report from the British Retail Consortium and KPMG found that the spurt in consumer spending seen in the run-up to Christmas had come to an abrupt halt, with the result that non-food sales are falling for the first time since the economy was flirting with a double-dip recession in November 2011.

Further evidence that consumers are becoming more cautious was provided by the the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders, which released figures on Monday showing a drop of more than 4% in private car sales last month.
inflation  Brexit  household  debt  Consumerism  Consumer  credit  card  creditcard  private  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  uncertainty  UK  underinvestment  Austerity  Tories  nasty  party  Conservative  BOE  Mark  Carney  Theresa  May  Philip  Hammond 
march 2017 by asterisk2a
STEVE KEEN on Private Debt - YouTube
the trick is up for tory austerity soon, when the private debt/household debt bubble bursts. and or the uk economy comes to a standstill. /// London has driven out the real wealth creators - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dyk1t4wEDAE - democracy by houses, bc renters have no rights, &! Money , banks, debt seems not to matter in status quo economics - Prof Steve Keen on Parasitic Banking Sector London School of Economics - https://youtu.be/Kh99jEE18KY GFC recovery is not recovery it is Japanese style stagnation! ex imigration¬!
UK  London  Margaret  Thatcher  private  debt  Consumer  household  mortgage  GFC  recovery  Brexit  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  reflate  reflation  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Austerity  service  sector  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  leverage  economic  history  living  standard  wage  growth  mobility  social  inequality  Gini  Coefficient  tax  evasion  avoidance  HMRC  payday  loan  trickle-down  Tories  nasty  party  Conservative  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  JAM  Theresa  May  Philip  Hammond  IMF  OECD  neoliberalism  crony  capitalism  Exploitation  corporatism  Consumerism  materialism  GDP  underinvestment  ROI  BOE  Mark  Carney  Steve  Keen  book 
march 2017 by asterisk2a
The Bank of England is in denial. Brexit shows people don't act rationally | Robert Skidelsky | Business | The Guardian
Our models of quantifiable risk fail when faced with radical uncertainty. // retail spending binge post brexit and in run-up. // The challenge is to develop macroeconomic models that can work in stormy conditions: models that incorporate radical uncertainty and therefore a high degree of unpredictability in human behaviour. [...] Keynes, for his part, didn’t think this way at all. He wanted an economics that would give full scope for judgment, enriched not only by mathematics and statistics, but also by ethics, philosophy, politics, and history – subjects dropped from contemporary economists’ training, leaving a mathematical and computational skeleton. To offer meaningful descriptions of the world, economists, he often said, must be well educated.
Brexit  UK  consumer  debt  household  credit  card  mortgage  BOE  Austerity  Consumerism  materialism  behaviour  Economics  Economy  rational  book  irrational  living  standard  savings  wage  growth  income  mobility  macroeconomic  forecast  Keynes  history 
february 2017 by asterisk2a
Austerity was a bigger disaster than we thought - The Washington Post
That, at least, is what economists Christopher House and Linda Tesar of the University of Michigan and Christïan Proebsting of the École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne found when they looked at Europe's budget-cutting experience the last eight years. It turns out that cutting spending right after the worst crisis in 80 years only led to a lower gross domestic product and, in the most extreme cases, higher debt-to-GDP ratios. That's right: trying to reduce debt levels sometimes increased debt burdens. [...] In short, austerity hurt what it was supposed to help, and helped hurt the economy even more than a once-in-three-generations crisis already had.
Austerity  IMF  OECD  UK  USA  Germany  Schuldenbremse  Fiscal  Pact  NHS  Council  DWP  economic  history  GFC  recovery  bank  bailout  neoliberalism  crony  capitalism  corporatism  ECB  BOE  Fed  monetary  policy  reflate  reflation  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  WallStreet  10%  1%  Super  Rich  Plutocracy  Oligarchy 
february 2017 by asterisk2a
Harald Lesch Die Ursache allen Übels Das Geldsystem unbedingt anschauen - YouTube
kein downward trend! Wissenschaftlich wissen wir was passiert und was sache ist, aber Gier und Elite macht nichts. Renewables ist mindestmass, Landwirtschaft die grosse aufgabe!
climatechange  globalwarming  global  warming  climate  change  Landwirtschaft  economic  damage  long-term  Greed  Gier  food  security  national  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  underinvestment  BOE  ECB  Fed  renewable  Carnism  Omnivore  Vegan  monetary  policy  agriculture  Military–industrial  Complex  profit  maximisation  antibiotic  antibiotics  shareholder  value 
february 2017 by asterisk2a
Mario Draghi in der Kritik: "Die Geldpolitik macht den Kapitalismus kaputt" - SPIEGEL ONLINE
Danach kamen die Übertreibungen am US-Immobilienmarkt, im Süden der Eurozone und auf den Rohstoffmärkten. Wir haben es mit einer Kette wandernder Blasen zu tun, die von der Geldpolitik getrieben werden. Die neue Blase bildet sich nie dort, wo zuvor die alte geplatzt ist. Die Regierungen reagieren auf einen Crash mit schärferen Regeln, aber die Spekulation ist ihnen immer einen Schritt voraus.
GFC  recovery  economic  history  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  ECB  BOE  Fed  USA  UK  Europe  European  Union  PIGS  secular  stagnation  household  debt  consumer  car  loan  student  credit  card  private  Austerity  IMF  OECD  Dodd-Frank  self-regulation  Regulation  regulators  FSA  BaFin  speculation  speculative  ROI  productivity  output  gap  inflation  targeting  monetary  policy  fiscal  Schuldenbremse  Pact  inequality  capital  assets  gini  Coefficient  Super  Rich  1%  10%  Plutocracy  Oligarchy  bank  bailout  zombie  NPL 
february 2017 by asterisk2a
Brex and the City – Brexit podcast | Politics | The Guardian
BREXIT SENDS SIGNAL YOU ARE NOT WELCOME. // Financial Services 70bn for Treasury (Philip Hammond), not including the english law services, (international) consulting, and all the contractors, shops, consumption coming from good salaries. London is biggest exporter, if ther would be no London, trade deficit £ would be twice as big. // http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/pra/Pages/authorisations/passporting/default.aspx
Brexit  London  Philip  Hammond  current  account  deficit  trade  banking  financial  services  passporting  rights  BOE  FSA  regulation  self-regulation  GFC  economic  history  FDI  underinvestment  regulators  bank  bailout 
february 2017 by asterisk2a
UK inflation: now it's the pound in your pocket being devalued | Business | The Guardian
According to the National Institute for Economic & Social Research inflation is heading towards 4% as the effect of Brexit uncertainty keeps the pound low and imports expensive. [...] The government has pledged to double down on austerity from April, with cuts to tax credits and other benefits as well as the savings made over the last five years.

Such a sharp spike in prices will strain household finances, especially when wages growth is expected to remain at around 2.5%.

Bank of England policymaker Michael Saunders said last week that developments in the labour market such as zero-hour contracts and agency working meant wages were unlikely to take off any time soon. [...] [ rise in unsecured credit 2008 levels, and personal bankruptcies not easier (online) to do and 2016 personal bankruptcies were up ~16% ]
UK  Brexit  living  standard  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  wage  growth  GDP  recovery  GFC  inflation  £  British  Pound  Precariat  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  technological  unemployment  Productivity  output  gap  part-time  zero  hour  contract  Contractor  Self-Employment  gig  economy  1099  economic  history  Austerity  tax  credit  consumer  debt  household  Card  BOE  bankruptcies  bankruptcy  underinvestment 
january 2017 by asterisk2a
Brexit has allowed the banks to get off Britain's naughty step | Business | The Guardian
The even better news for the banks is that they are no longer hated. Far from it. Much of the concern about how the UK will survive outside the EU has centred on the future of the City. For years, the banks have been trying to find a way of getting themselves off the public’s naughty step. Brexit has provided them with an opportunity that has been seized with relish. The City has played the post-referendum game masterfully. [...] The recession that the banks caused and the austerity that resulted created the sense of “them and us” – the notion of an unbalanced and unequal Britain – that led to Brexit. [...] constant demands that the government secures passporting rights to allow UK authorised institutions to operate freely across the EU27.
Brexit  banking  London  The  City  GFC  bank  bailout  corporatism  crony  neoliberalism  profit  maximisation  self-regulation  Regulation  regulators  BOE  FSA  trade  deal  UK  USA  Austerity  Finance  Services  economic  history  recovery  HMRC  tax  evasion  avoidance  capitalism  Lobby 
january 2017 by asterisk2a
UK credit binge approaching levels not seen since 2008 crash | Business | The Guardian
//&! http://bit.ly/2j5VMET - Shoppers are still pulling out the plastic, but borrowing may become less choice and more necessity as budgets are squeezed //&! http://bit.ly/2hW63rg - BOE unable to put "irrational behavior" into models, ie credit binge. //&! wrong for BOE to compare levels to GDP! http://bit.ly/2iR2fGY - AUSTERITY UK KEPT AFLOAT BY CONSUMER CREDIT BINGE! - 2015 economy growth was 80% consumer! &! Carney Warning Jan 2017 - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-38644963
credit  card  car  loan  consumer  debt  household  mortgage  Property  bubble  UK  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  wage  growth  inflation  BOE  payday  auto  recovery  GFC  economic  history  Consumerism  materialism  Brexit  irrational  behavior  debtoverhang  austerity  ZIRP  NIRP  QE 
january 2017 by asterisk2a
Lord King says Brexit brings 'real opportunities' - BBC News
economic reform // He said there were "real opportunities" for economic reform and new trade deals which meant Brexit could be a success. // problem is that after the GFC one opportunity was left at at bus stop. now we get 2nd w May/Tories/Brexit ? // like meat tax?
Brexit  liberal  economic  reform  technological  unemployment  working  poor  squeezed  middle  class  Austerity  MervynKing  BOE  markcarney  carney  social  mobility  income  poverty  tax  evasion  avoidance  HMRC  taxation  theresa  may  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty 
december 2016 by asterisk2a
Mark Carney has had the last laugh at amateurish Theresa May | Nils Pratley | Business | The Guardian
Her speech to the Tory conference opened governor up to criticism, but she ended up begging him to stay on at Bank of England. You want me to stay for an extra three years? I’ll do one more and then I’m off. Mark Carney’s decision to leave the Bank of England in 2019 looks to be a straightforward snub to Theresa May.
Brexit  Theresa  May  Nasty  Party  Conservative  Tories  Mark  Carney  BOE 
november 2016 by asterisk2a
"Keiser Report" Episode 985 - YouTube
property prices have to come down. but that would put ppl in neg equity. gov keeping bubble alive. NOW gov buying up non-sold property w 2bn fund! - https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/oct/06/government-could-buy-developers-unsold-homes-under-2bn-fund - A £2bn fund to boost housebuilding could be used by the government to offer guarantees to developers that it will step in to take on properties that they are unable to sell. - THIS IS A SMALL SCALE BAILOUT FOR FIRMS BUILDING -- SHITTY & OVERPRICED FLATS AND HOUSES!
Help  To  Save  Buy  Right  Whitehall  Westminster  property  bubble  UK  Brexit  housing  crisis  social  affordable  Theresa  May  David  Cameron  George  Osborne  Philip  Hammond  distortion  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  rentier  bailout  mortgage  BOE  subsidies  subsidizing  Corporate  welfare  crony  capitalism 
october 2016 by asterisk2a
Sterling: A political animal | FT Markets - YouTube
fx vigilante. bond figilante. collective market doesnt like brexit. thus sells off. NO BUYING INTEREST! now £ is a political currency!!! // fall of £ is a painful solution to possible adjustment towards healthier economy. // E/£ parity by end of next year as we get concrete about exit with negotiations. this is uk prob not eu prob, brexit.
Brexit  foreign  exchange  FX  British  Pound  Sterling  FDI  direct  investment  current  account  deficit  currency  war  devaluation  budget  BOE  Mark  Carney  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  inflation  RPI  CPI  property  bubble  fiscal  monetary  policy  austerity  GDP 
october 2016 by asterisk2a
Philip Hammond ditches Osborne's help-to-buy homes scheme | Money | The Guardian
Philip Hammond has confirmed that the government’s help-to-buy mortgage guarantee scheme will be closed by the end of the year, another of former chancellor George Osborne’s flagships now abandoned by the Treasury.

In a letter to Bank of England governor Mark Carney, the chancellor said the scheme had a “specific purpose that has now been successfully achieved”.

Launched in late 2013, the scheme meant buyers only needed to raise 5% of the property value for a deposit, with a government guarantee on a further 15% to give mortgage lenders the incentive to loan larger amounts.
Help  To  Buy  property  bubble  UK  affordable  housing  social  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Philip  Hammond  Theresa  May  BOE  Mark  Carney  subsidies  subsidizing  privilege  Privileged 
september 2016 by asterisk2a
RBS to charge major financial institutions for holding their cash | Business | The Guardian
Royal Bank of Scotland is to start charging major financial institutions for any cash it holds on their behalf for trading purposes, in the latest illustration of the impact of Mark Carney’s post-Brexit vote stimulus package.
ZIRP  NIRP  QE  UK  USA  Germany  unintended  consequences  unknown  economic  history  BOE  FED  ECB  BOJ  monetary  policy  distortion 
august 2016 by asterisk2a
(Live Ticker) Bank of England cuts rates - BBC News
The post-Brexit economic problems are down to consumer and business uncertainty and will not be solved by introducing monetary stimulus. By lowering interest rates, the Bank of England will distort the economy and potentially reduce growth. Philip Booth. Research director, Institute of Economic Affairs //&! More corp bond buying - bit.ly/2b6sHX3 //&! bit.ly/2aPQJYV &! bbc.in/2axiVxx &! Osborne at it w calling for lower business rate - bit.ly/2aGUYTN &! Noreena Hartz on it - bit.ly/2ayoT5g &! bbc.in/2aWLXY6
BOE  Brexit  Mark  Carney  fiscal  stimulus  Austerity  monetary  policy  bond  bubble  distortion  aggregate  demand  short-fall  Uncertainty  business  confidence 
august 2016 by asterisk2a
Central Banking and Inequality – Taking Off the Blinders
"Despite studies that suggest that the post-crisis unconventional monetary policies tend to exacerbate inequalities, the standard line of central banks is that these “unintended consequences” fall outside their mandate."
BIS  central  banks  BOE  ECB  Fed  inequality  Gini  coefficient  reflate  reflation  bank  bailout  bailout  1%  20%  10%  triple-lock  pension  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  unintended  consequences  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  Pact  austerity  Schuldenbremse  secular  stagnation  squeezed  middle  class  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  income  growth  income  distribution  Precariat  GFC  recovery  Helicopter  Money 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Here's Why All Pension Funds Are Doomed, Doomed, Doomed
Given that both The Economist and The Wall Street Journal have covered the impossibility of pension funds achieving their expected returns, this reality cannot be a surprise to anyone in a leadership role. [...] Here's problem #1 in a nutshell: the average public pension fund still expects to earn an average annual return of 7.69%, year after year, decade after decade.

This is roughly triple the nominal (not adjusted for inflation) yield on a 30-year Treasury bond (about 2.65%). The only way any fund manager can earn 7.7% or more in a low-yield environment is to make extremely high risk bets that consistently pay off. //&! Millennials are first gen to have earned less in their 20's than previous gens. - bit.ly/2a9M98K
ZIRP  NIRP  QE  unintended  consequences  pension  obligation  triple-lock  pension  babyboomers  Baby  Boomers  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  hunt  for  yield  life  insurance  insurance  industry  monetary  policy  Helicopter  Money  monetary  theory  bond  bubble  Richard  Koo  liquidity  trap  economic  history  recovery  Fed  BOE  ECB  Abenomics  western  world  Japan  BOJ  pension  fund  Beton  Gold  Betongold  property  bubble  asset  allocation  funds  allocation  asset  bubble  Pensioner  pension  scheme  secular  stagnation  austerity  deflation  deflationary  Confidence  Fairy  IMF  OECD  credit  boom  credit  bubble  New  Normal  Great  Moderation  economic  harm  economic  damage  reflate  reflation  equity  bubble  distortion 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Keiser Report: Gold & World’s Debt Problems (Summer Solutions series E940) - YouTube
deflationary trap/liquidity trap - orthodox monetary policy w austerity = stagnation. & west is exporting deflation. // if it is good for consumers ... break up banks. // hedging is BS ... you double the system you double the risk. [...] banks are now bigger! ... ban most derivatives, and reintroduce glass stegall // Black-Schoeles - there is no such think as risk free rate and no such thing as the past reflect the future. risk is not equally distributed. [...] VAR is flawed. //
deflation  deflationary  NIRP  currency  war  currency  debasement  ZIRP  QE  Helicopter  Money  secular  stagnation  western  world  Abenomics  BOE  BOJ  Fed  ECB  economic  history  Richard  Koo  liquidity  trap  debt  overhang  balance  sheet  recession  consumer  debt  household  debt  mortgage  mortgage  market  mortgage  rates  distortion  hunt  for  yield  credit  boom  credit  bubble  PBOC  China  reflate  reflation  squeezed  middle  class  wage  growth  income  growth  income  distribution  income  disparity  working  poor  Precariat  Brexit  GFC  too  big  to  jail  productive  investment  underinvestment  austerity  history  productivity  gap  financial  instruments  investment  banking  global  economy  globalisation  globalization  derivatives  output  gap  productivity  recovery  neoliberal  neoliberalism  Chicago  School  neoclassical  economics  deregulation  Wall  Street  speculative  bubble  property  bubble  Beton  Gold  Betongold  stagnation  aggregate  demand  aggregate  demand  short-fall  too  big  to  bail  too  big  to  fail  TBTF  complexity  systemic  risk  systemrelevant  systemicrisk  systemrelevanz  zombie  bank  zombie  banks  non-performing  loan  leverage  hedge  Glass-Steagall  Black-Scholes  Equation 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Deutsche Bank Loves Helicopter Money: Why "Big Inflation Is Coming... But Will First Require A Crisis"
[NEED FOR CHANGE OF WIND - deflationary pressures ] Europe is another story. Germany must let their southern neighbors cheat on deficits and bank recapitalizations. “Spanish election showed if you let them cheat and growth surprises positively then extremists don’t do so well. Europe can only survive as an inflation zone. Will it be formally tolerated? Probably not. Will governments cheat anyway with ECB support?” Probably.
Deutsche  Bank  Italy  PIGS  sovereign  debt  crisis  austerity  Germany  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  ECB  MarioDraghi  BuBa  Jens  Weidmann  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  zombie  zombie  banks  Richard  Koo  Helicopter  Money  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  policy  monetary  theory  deflation  deflationary  Brexit  European  Bank  Supervision  BaFin  BOE  BOJ  Abenomics  right-wing  far  right  far-right  Front  National  AfD  UKIP  Centrist  recovery  income  distribution  income  inequality  Gini  coefficient  squeezed  middle  class  Precariat  working  poor  globalisation  globalization  Paul  Mason  crony  capitalism  capitalism  in  crisis  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  poverty  poverty  trap  social  mobility  income  mobility  wage  stagnation  wage  growth  wage  pressure  income  growth  GFC  economic  history  liquidity  trap  balance  sheet  recession  debt  overhang  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  credit  card  debt  western  world  secular  stagnation  non-performing  loan  bail-in  bailout  recapitalization  recapitalisation  UK  Japan 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Behind the Bond-Stock Divide Is a Big and Risky Bet on Central Banks - WSJ
The idea is that if stocks are rising, bond yields should be climbing too. Here's how to reconcile it. The answer is central banks. If rates are going to stay lower for longer; if more rounds of quantitative easing are coming; if new ways of easing are coming -- the rates should be going down and stocks moving higher. [...] It's about dividends paying more than bonds. 90% of the bond market universe is near 2% or lower. //&! http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-12/germany-about-sell-zero-coupon-10-year-bonds-first-time-ever //&! http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-13/we-just-found-out-who-has-been-buying-all-these-record-low-yielding-bonds - When your nation's bonds are trading with a record low 28bps negative yield (10Y JGBs), everything else in the world (aside from Swiss 10Y) is a relative 'value'...
bond  bubble  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  equity  bubble  hunt  for  yield  central  banks  BIS  Fed  BOE  ECB  BOJ  PBOC  secular  stagnation  wage  growth  output  gap  productivity  gap  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  Precariat  inequality  Gini  coefficient  western  world  rising  middleclass  Asia  BRIC  income  distribution  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  crony  capitalism  capitalism  in  crisis  capitalism  neoliberal  neoliberalism  globalisation  global  economy  globalization  free  trade  dividends  underinvestment  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  student  debt  consumer  debt  car  loan  property  bubble  speculative  bubble  speculative  bubbles  distortion  asset  allocation  austerity  AI  Robotics  automation  augmented  intelligence  Structural  Impediments  imbalance  unemployment  long-term  unemployment  skills  gap  skill-biased  technological  change  skills  shortage  economic  history  Brexit  technological  history  underemployed  underemployment  part-time  deflation  deflationary  JGB 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Geographies of Austerity: Mark Blyth
EU bank bailout (incl Britain) = 40% of EU GDP (incl Britain) = 5 trillion Euros. AUSTERITY FOR WHOM?! // secular stagnation - ZIRP, NIRP, QE, austerity, liquidity trap, aggregate demand short-fall = creditors paradise. their debt will not be inflated away. deflation - deflationary environment. for the next 2-3 decades. = NO DRIVE TO INVEST IN PRODUCTIVE ASSETS! = productivity gap. [...] rentier paradise. [...] = interest formation (those who have, call the shots, status quo). [...] deflationary spiral (PIGS & Germany) exporting deflation ... getting more competitive [EU has 2015 a current account surplus, bought my USA] = Dr Wolfgang Schaeuble. [...] Fall of Centrists, rise of the SNP & UKIP (reactionary) ... Trump. [...] as investment rate (ie SME/SMB lending) stays same, does not grow = DEAD. Eurobonds/Investment Fund(UK, 5bn 5 years). [...] min 55 - deflationary politics (policy for 1-10-20% of society) is one way train. DEATH. especially w austerity and low wages/secular stagnation.
austerity  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  general  election  2010  general  election  2015  George  Osborne  Iain  Duncan  Smith  David  Cameron  Ed  Miliband  economic  history  Mark  Blyth  book  Richard  Koo  welfare  state  welfare  reform  bank  bailout  GFC  recovery  secular  stagnation  IMF  ChristineLagarde  Salami  Tactics  aggregate  demand  aggregate  demand  short-fall  liquidity  trap  fiscal  policy  Confidence  Fairy  monetary  policy  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Tony  Blair  Gordon  Brown  European  Union  Euro  ECB  BOJ  PIGS  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  Career  Politicians  politician  zombie  bank  zombie  banks  banking  systemic  risk  OMT  LTRO  MarioDraghi  trichet  BOE  deflation  deflationary  productivity  productivity  gap  productive  investment  underinvestment  infrastructure  investment  infrastructure  rentier  rent-seeking  Mark  Carney  Donald  Trump  business  consumer  TLTRO  non-performing  loan  NPL  Jens  Weidmann 
july 2016 by asterisk2a
Alan Greenspan on Brexit, U.S. Economy, and Inflation (Full Interview) - YouTube
UK out of Euro Currency but part of free trade single market was best option on table. // lack of leadership for political union and fiscal union aka ever closer union. not just currency and trade union (free trade). // GET AT THE ROOT ISSUE; productivity, ageing population (entitlement crisis), stagnant wages, secular stagnation = desperate population // European banks some still burdened by sov debt crisis/NPL (= zombie banks) & NIRP & QE & lack of uptake in business & consumer loans. // no back-up to the ECB (balance sheet) yet. what happens if the EURO stops being a hard currency? get Greece out, is a liability. // EU can not go on in Status Quo indefinitely. ie funding southern states. States have to get on course of economic harmony! everyone has to give up something! // Precariat/Squeezed Middle Class/Social Mobility = creates desperate people. // Entitlements are a legal issues. Productivity and Growth Rates can't fund entitlements. = There will be a crisis. // Career Politicians won't touch it. // History (look at M2) this environment ends up in inflation. not time or data.
European  Union  Brexit  fiscal  Political  Union  ECB  Alan  Greenspan  Fed  Yanis  Varoufakis  Janet  Yellen  PIGS  sovereign  debt  crisis  secular  stagnation  productivity  gap  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  ageing  population  current  account  deficit  budget  deficit  GFC  entitlement  spending  Abenomics  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  pension  obligation  babyboomers  Baby  Boomers  immigration  NIRP  ZIRP  QE  economic  history  Germany  Angela  Merkel  BOE  Mark  Carney  rising  middleclass  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  Precariat  populism  demagogue  demagogy  Donald  Trump  western  world  savings  rate  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  triple-lock  pension  pension  fund  pension  scheme  democracy  Career  Politicians  politician  output  gap  M2  inflation  targeting  M3  commodity  prices  global  economy 
june 2016 by asterisk2a
Keiser Report: Your Special Brexit Coctail (E932) - YouTube
// housebuilding shares hammered. property funds close redemption possibility bc of too much redemption - bank run - funds have to sell some investments at a loss to repay investors. // what is weighting UK economy is too much debt to gdp (bank bailout), consumer credit (boe sounded alarm bells before brexit vote) and too much leverage. //&! Planet Ponzi Paperback (2012) by Mitch Feierstein //&! UK better out w problems of PIGS, Italy, and banking problem.
Brexit  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  asset  allocation  property  bubble  speculative  bubble  speculative  bubbles  mortgage  market  City  of  London  RBS  BOE  Mark  Carney  Help  to  Save  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Funding  for  Lending  Scheme  Right  to  Buy  distortion  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Centrist  austerity  Housing  Crisis  Conservative  Party  book 
june 2016 by asterisk2a
Firms plan to quit UK as City braces for more post-Brexit losses | Business | The Guardian
The IoD said a quarter of the members polled in a survey were putting hiring plans on hold, while 5% said they were set to make workers redundant. Nearly two-thirds of those polled said the outcome of the referendum was negative for their business. One in five respondents, out of a poll of more than 1,000 business leaders, were considering moving some of their operations outside of the UK. //&! The chief executive of Deutsche Bank – which employs 11,000 in the City – has played down the long-term impact. John Cryan, who is British, told Handelsblatt: “The financial centre won’t die but it will get weaker.” - bit.ly/28WkoMZ
Brexit  recession  City  of  London  European  Union  FDI  foreign  direct  investment  GBP  current  account  deficit  budget  deficit  fiscal  deficit  austerity  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  BOE  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  distortion  inflation  targeting  inflation  expectation  business  confidence  consumer  confidence  British  Pound  uncertainty 
june 2016 by asterisk2a
Pound falls further in Asian trading on Monday
Traders will be watching the UK's financial position closely over the coming months. "The funding position of the UK, with its twin current account and fiscal deficits, are the next pressures to weigh," Mr Cook said. The UK's current account deficit measures the balance of trade, investment income and money transfers. That deficit means that the UK must borrow to pay its way in the world. The fiscal deficit refers to the gap between government expenditure and income that has to be financed by borrowing.
Those indicators of the UK's financial health will also affect how much the UK government has to pay to borrow. On Friday there was demand for UK government debt, which drove down the yield - an early indication that the UK should be able to continue to borrow cheaply. //&! George Osborne will issue a statement early on Monday morning in a bid to calm markets after the surprise Brexit vote triggered turmoil on Friday. - bbc.co.uk/news/business-36636762
Brexit  fiscal  deficit  fiscal  policy  current  account  deficit  foreign  direct  investment  FDI  austerity  George  Osborne  BOE  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  Mark  Carney  secular  stagnation  recession 
june 2016 by asterisk2a
Brexit is a risk to UK growth, says Carney
The Bank of England governor tells the Lords that ‘extended uncertainty’ and an economic slowdown could follow a vote to leave the EU
Mark  Carney  BOE  economic  forecast  George  Osborne  Brexit 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
The economics of Brexit – Politics Weekly podcast
Leave Campaign, so far, has failed to assure voters that we get through the quiet possible tubulences and uncertainty unharmed severely after 1-2 years. [ economic forecasts/predictions are Wall Streets cottage industry ] Brexit for sure would throw Osbornes plan for a surplus in 2020. ... brexit is about less regulation free trade low tariffs, 'get off the back of our City [London bank regulation]' [low tax, higher pay] George Osborne ... // banks have not voiced their voice loudly because that would be seen by people who bailed them out to tune of doubling the deficit, and still own bank shares ie loyds. it could be seen disingenuous, outrageous, as we are still in doldrums, paying off their debt, and suffering through austerity where the most vulnerable are cut away from society.
Brexit  George  Osborne  economic  damage  economic  growth  economic  security  economic  slack  economic  slowdown  economic  harm  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  trade  agreement  free  trade  regulation  David  Cameron  Whitehall  Westminster  economic  forecast  Wall  Street  European  Union  Career  Politicians  EEA  free  movement  of  people  immigration  migration  austerity  general  election  2020  general  election  2015  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  neoclassical  economics  neoliberal  neoliberalism  Chicago  School  trickle-down  economics  self-regulation  deregulation  regulators  MervynKing  Mark  Carney  BOE  IMF  retail  banking  investment  banking  City  of  London  bank  bailout  GFC 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Chris Grayling dimisses concerns over economic impact of a Brexit
Yvette Cooper: Brexit won't prevent EU free movement to the UK - LIKE NORWAY CASE! - youtu.be/qa--kXGNhiE //&! IMF downgrade UK over Brexit fears - youtu.be/gfmVP3_TXNk - calling for fiscal stimulus!
Brexit  Chris  Grayling  Yvette  Cooper  liquidity  trap  secular  stagnation  fiscal  stimulus  IMF  OECD  austerity  2016  global  economy  China  credit  bubble  monetary  stimulus  aggregate  demand  aggregate  demand  short-fall  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  British  Pound  Sterling  Pact  Schuldenbremse  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  economic  history  recovery  sovereign  debt  crisis  PIGS  ChristineLagarde  George  Osborne  monetary  policy  Mark  Carney  BOE  ECB  MarioDraghi 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
Osborne defends the Treasury Brexit report on The Agenda
BOE - Mark Carney, IMF, and now Treasury - "don't pretend the economy will not suffer." // £4300 per household worse off and have to increase income tax by 8% - est is over ~14 years, till 2030 // vs £1000 worse off over 14 years ok because we have less Polish people ruining our British community! // PEOPLE WANT FACTS. THEN THEY GET FACTS, _BUT_ THEY ARE ECONOMIC FORECASTS. AKA PREDICTING THE FUTURE. but you could also argue the variance of unknown risk is greater, than staying (have to deal with fucking polish people - forever). stay means certainty to some degree. how risk averse are people vs how much more polish people in their country can they stand. LEAVE HAS HUGE VARIANCE OF OUTCOME. and short term downside, vs long-term opportunity (if you think there is one by leaving).
BOE  Mark  Carney  George  Osborne  Brexit  IMF 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
EU referendum: Leaving EU could lead to 'less growth', says Carney – live
Mark Carney [Brexit] could lead to lower growth. In evidence to the Lords economic affairs committee, he also defended the Treasury’s report about the long-term implications of Brexit, saying it made “broad sense”, and said the City could lose its status as a a pre-eminent financial centre if the UK left the EU. Carney is still giving evidence, but is now discussing other issues. My colleague Nick Fletcher will be keeping an eye on it in the business live blog. [...] "There is a range of plausible scenarios including ones where the combined effects of the exchange rate move and its drivers on aggregate demand, aggregate supply and exchange rate pass through lead to a lower path for growth and a higher path for inflation." [...] Carney says City 'less likely' to maintain its pre-eminent position if UK leaves the EU [...] Carney says uncertainty created by referendum seems to have had negative effect already &! bit.ly/22Mlfmy
Brexit  Mark  Carney  BOE  City  of  London 
april 2016 by asterisk2a
George Osborne: A profile of the man behind the Budget - BBC Newsnight
// 70% of UK economy growth (GDP), 2015, was consumption. // and trade deficit/current account deficit for 2015, biggest ever on record ---- The UK's current account deficit widened to a record high in the final quarter of last year.
The deficit in the three months to December was £32.7bn, the equivalent of 7% of GDP, said the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
For all of 2015, it came to £96.2bn or 5.2% of GDP. Both figures were the highest since records began in 1948.
A current account deficit means the value of imports of goods, services and investment income exceeds exports.[...] "An obvious potential trigger for the markets losing confidence in the UK economy could be a vote to leave the EU in the 23 June referendum." [ harder to finance w weak Sterling and higher interest rates, rating agencies hinted at the case of a downgrade of UK's credit worthieness ] - bbc.in/1ZMEvAg
Budget2016  George  Osborne  Career  Politicians  austerity  economic  history  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  David  Cameron  Brexit  HS2  minimum  wage  living  wage  budget  deficit  trade  deficit  secular  stagnation  recovery  Toff  No  Representation  Privileged  Establishment  demographic  bubble  bank  bailout  Positioning  dogma  ideology  neoliberal  neoliberalism  spin  doctor  PR  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  wage  stagnation  squeezed  middle  class  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  Student  Loan  Generation  Rent  underinvestment  Richard  Koo  Japan  nominal  GDP  targeting  GDP  growth  of  income  shareholder  capitalism  crony  capitalism  current  account  deficit  GBP  Sterling  business  confidence  global  economy  fault  lines  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  BOE  Mark  Carney 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Budget 2016 shows Osborne's failure on debt, surplus, GDP
// higher in-work poverty
budget2015  budget2016  budget2010  general  election  2010  general  election  2015  PR  spin  doctor  economic  history  Positioning  Richard  Koo  austerity  underinvestment  dogma  ideology  policy  folly  policy  error  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  nasty  party  Iain  Duncan  Smith  corporate  tax  rate  corporate  welfare  corporate  subsidies  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  Google  Inc.  shareholder  capitalism  bank  bailout  budget  deficit  Tories  Conservative  secular  stagnation  aggregate  demand  babyboomers  ageing  population  Northern  Powerhouse  triple-lock  pension  pension  obligation  Generationengerechtigkeit  fairness  Generation  Rent  property  bubble  Service  Sector  Jobs  job  creation  squeezed  middle  class  working  poor  precarious  work  tax  credit  wage  stagnation  productivity  output  gap  Gini  coefficient  income  tax  receipts  tax  code  Zero  Hour  Contract  part-time  underemployment  underemployed  low  pay  low  income  BOE  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  election  campaign  promises  car  loan  student  debt  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  child  poverty  Food  poverty  tax  credit  Privatisation  Council  Public  Services  Social  Services  bed  blocking  education  policy  skills  gap  Academy  underinvestment  NHS 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Bank of England blames falling pound on Brexit fears
The BoE said disappointing business investment and the weaker outlook for global trade would offset the impact of a cheaper pound and keep inflation in check in the short term before a rise to its 2% target within the next two years.

The Bank’s nine-strong monetary policy committee (MPC) also unanimously voted to keep its quantitative easing asset purchase scheme on hold at £375bn in response to a mixed bag of indicators that it said would keep GDP growth on an upward, though subdued path. [...] [ BREXIT EFFECT, sterling down] It may also delay some spending decisions and depress growth in aggregate demand in the near term. Overall, however, the committee judges that the outlook for domestic activity to be little changed from the time of the February inflation report,” the MPC said. [...] [ CARNEY ALSO SUPPORTS FISCAL STIMULUS! ]
ZIRP  NIRP  QE  BOE  Mark  Carney  budget2016  UK  wage  growth  nominal  GDP  targeting  inflation  targeting  austerity  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  George  Osborne  recovery  secular  stagnation  underinvestment  business  confidence  business  cycle  liquidity  trap  Richard  Koo  zombie  consumer  zombie  banks  Brexit  aggregate  demand  economic  history  fiscal  stimulus  Pact  Schuldenbremse 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Bank of England Governor calls Brexit the 'biggest domestic risk' to the economy | Daily Mail Online
Bank loans will be available to ease instability in the markets around vote [...] Mr Carney insisted he was choosing all of his words carefully and said the Bank was neutral on the referendum question. [...] The crucial moment came in the final minutes of the treasury select committee hearing when chairman Andrew Tyrie pressed Mr Carney on whether Brexit would amount to a 'profound economic shock' to Britain, as claimed by Chancellor George Osborne. Mr Carney said: 'The issue is the biggest domestic risk to financial stability.' The Governor said Brexit was a 'known risk' to the markets and was not of the same magnitude as global risks such as a Chinese slowdown. He warned: 'It has some potential to amplify pre-existing risks to financial stability.'
BOE  Mark  Carney  Brexit 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Ex-MPC member says rates will stay low until 2021 - BBC News
Blanchflower: Global economy "feels a little bit like 2008" Interest rates will likely fall further in Britain and remain at near record low levels until 2021, [...] Blanchflower described the backdrop to the committee's decision in March 2009 to cut rates to 0.5% as catastrophic. He said the MPC at the time had wished to avoid a death spiral. Britain was plunged into its deepest-ever recession in 2008 as confidence in banks collapsed and investment dried up. "We cut rates in November 2008 by 150 basis points (1.5%). It was clear that we should have cut by more but didn't because of the panic that it might have caused," he said. "It was absolutely clear that this (the financial crisis) was something we had not seen in a generation. We learned that the scale of the shock was enormous." [...] mortgage rates are 31% lower than before the crisis, while savers may have lost £106bn due to record low rates. //&! bbc.in/1YeqV87 &! bbc.in/1LGOxAf - central banks understated deflation pressure!
ZIRP  NIRP  QE  BOE  UK  global  economy  recovery  aggregate  demand  property  bubble  underinvestment  austerity  George  Osborne  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  mortgage  market  macroprudential  policy  Mark  Carney  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Help  to  Save  Right  to  Buy  Buy-to-Let  subprime  car  loan  credit  card  debt  zombie  consumer  zombie  corporations  zombie  banks  Richard  Koo  liquidity  trap  secular  stagnation  economic  history  GFC  household  debt  private  debt  consumer  debt  David  Blanchflower  Danny  Blanchflower  financial  repression  hunt  for  yield  asset  allocation  distortion  Super  Cycle  junk  bond  Gini  coefficient  deflationary  deflation  Taper  QT  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  Pact  Schuldenbremse  BIS  ECB  Fed  BOJ  credit  bubble  PBOC  hot-money 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Keiser Report: Sovietization of capitalism (E723) - YouTube
BIS 100% of private debt and finance sector larger than 3.9% of economy bad ... and siphoning off talent from more productive fields of work. And finance favours lending to property and land (low productivity). [...] financial products (derivatives) do not help economy. is just a financial product, fee collection. rentier! rent-seeking behaviour! fees fees fees. (JP Morgan, 89% of profits, see interview) [...] QE reflated asset prices/share prices! // In the second half, Max interviews David Graeber about his new book, The Utopia of Rules: On Technology, Stupidity and the Secret Joys of Bureaucracy.
private  debt  consumer  debt  household  debt  BIS  Wall  Street  recovery  zombie  banks  car  loan  credit  card  debt  student  loan  debt  student  loan  Bubble  student  debt  economic  history  GFC  secular  stagnation  UK  City  of  London  USA  investment  banking  retail  banking  BOE  Fed  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  property  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  productivity  output  gap  austerity  George  Osborne  dogma  ideology  constituency  Party  Funding  vested  interest  interest  groups  mortgage  market  Housing  Crisis  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Help  to  Save  Funding  for  Lending  Scheme  Right  to  Buy  Buy-to-Let  subsidies  subsidizing  derivatives  financial  product  rent-seeking  rentier  QE  ZIRP  NIRP  reflate  reflation  Mark  Carney  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Richard  Koo  book  David  Graeber  MervynKing 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
David Graeber on a Fair Future Economy - YouTube
13:30 - BOE paper, austerity claims are bogus. the confidence fairy et al //&! The truth is out: money is just an IOU, and the banks are rolling in it David Graeber. The Bank of England's dose of honesty throws the theoretical basis for austerity out the window - bit.ly/1fWKC0s - What this means is that the real limit on the amount of money in circulation is not how much the central bank is willing to lend, but how much government, firms, and ordinary citizens, are willing to borrow. Government spending is the main driver in all this (and the paper does admit, if you read it carefully, that the central bank does fund the government after all). So there's no question of public spending "crowding out" private investment. It's exactly the opposite.
austerity  BOE  David  Graeber  George  Osborne  economic  history  Schuldenbremse  IMF  OECD  G20  recovery  aggregate  demand  IOU  Mark  Carney  underinvestment  productivity  output  gap  job  creation  monetary  theory  monetary  policy  monetary  system  Fiscal  Pact  Wolfgang  Schäuble  NIRP  ZIRP  QE  policy  book  Richard  Koo  secular  stagnation 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Central bankers on the defensive as weird policy becomes even weirder | Business | The Guardian
Growth is tepid, productivity is poor, and inflation is too low: all is not going according to policymakers’ masterplans [...] As far as the OECD is concerned, monetary policy is being forced to take too much of the strain. Its chief economist Catherine Mann made the point that lasting recovery required three things: stimulative monetary policy; activist fiscal policy; and structural reform. The OECD wants the second of these ingredients to be added to the recipe in the form of increased spending on public infrastructure, something it says would more than pay for itself at a time when governments can borrow so cheaply.
monetary  policy  G20  fiscal  policy  monetary  stimulus  monetary  system  monetary  transmission  mechanism  liquidity  trap  UK  western  world  USA  Japan  Abenomics  George  Osborne  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Pact  Schuldenbremse  economic  history  recovery  secular  stagnation  productivity  underinvestment  MarioDraghi  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  ECB  BOE  Fed  Taper  deflationary  deflation  nominal  GDP  targeting  inflation  targeting  zombie  banks  MervynKing  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  Richard  Koo  Gini  coefficient  inequality  squeezed  middle  class  wage  stagnation  discretionary  spending  distortion  property  bubble  disposable  income  productive  investment  austerity  business  confidence  foreign  direct  investment  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  student  loan  debt  student  loan  policy  folly  policy  error  short-termism  Career  Politicians  neoliberalism  neoliberal  trickle-down  economics  self-regulation  City  of  London  investment  banking  retail  banking  OECD  IMF  KennethRogoff  hot-money  hunt  for  yield  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  speculative  bubbles  speculative  speculation  reflate  reflation  financial  repression  New  Normal  trust 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Energy price slump sends eurozone into deflation - BBC News
Energy drove the decline, with prices down 8% in February compared to a 5.4% slide in January. The dismal figures have dashed hopes that ECB efforts to boost prices were working. That raises the chance of the bank announcing further stimulus measures next month. It has already announced a cut to its bank deposit rate, which remains in negative territory. ECB chief Mario Draghi insisted earlier this month the policies were working. [...] The Group of 20 (G20) finance ministers and central bankers agreed on Saturday to use "all policy tools, monetary, fiscal and structural - individually and collectively" to renew growth. //&! Eurozone economy grows 1.5% in 2015 - 12 February 2016 &! Eurozone growth forecast cut to 1.7% - 4 February 2016
Europe  European  Union  deflationary  deflation  Fiscal  Pact  zombie  banks  liquidity  trap  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  ECB  MarioDraghi  monetary  policy  Richard  Koo  Angela  Merkel  Wolfgang  Schäuble  monetary  transmission  mechanism  Schuldenbremse  austerity  2016  economic  history  recovery  secular  stagnation  demographic  bubble  ageing  population  babyboomers  Germany  policy  OMT  TLTRO  LTRO  George  Osborne  G20  UK  sovereign  debt  crisis  PIGS  Japan  Abenomics  BOJ  BOE  Mark  Carney 
march 2016 by asterisk2a
Mervyn King: new financial crisis is 'certain' without reform of banks | Business | The Guardian
The former Bank of England governor says in his new book that imbalances in the global economy makes a crash inevitable [...] GFC was the fault of the financial system, not individual greedy bankers, in his new book, The End Of Alchemy: Money, Banking And The Future Of The Global Economy [...] “Without reform of the financial system, another crisis is certain, and the failure ... to tackle the disequilibrium in the world economy makes it likely that it will come sooner rather than later,” Lord King wrote. [...] global central banks were caught in a “prisoner’s dilemma” - unable to raise interest rates for fear of stifling the economic recovery, the newspaper reported. [... blame] broken financial system. [...] failure of a system, and the ideas that underpinned it, [...] “Only a fundamental rethink of how we, as a society, organise our system of money and banking will prevent a repetition //&! dailym.ai/21tPG5y
bank  crisis  banking  crisis  investment  banking  self-regulation  retail  banking  Greed  financial  product  regulation  regulators  City  of  London  George  Osborne  Mark  Carney  macroprudential  policy  property  bubble  austerity  liquidity  trap  secular  stagnation  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  economic  history  GFC  neoliberalism  neoliberal  trickle-down  economics  free  market  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  faultlines  hot-money  hunt  for  yield  distortion  financial  repression  emerging  middle  class  emerging  market  Frontier  Markets  BRIC  China  Brazil  credit  bubble  2016  reflate  reflation  junk  bond  revolving  debt  household  debt  mortgage  market  consumer  debt  UK  IMF  OECD  credit  card  debt  car  loan  BOE  MervynKing  ECB  Fed  Europe  deflationary  deflation  Gini  coefficient  inequality  MarioDraghi  Taper  QT  bonuses  bonus  global  imbalances  structural  imbalance  Career  Politicians  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  revolving  door  New  Normal  speculative  bubbles  Richard  Koo  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
George Osborne warns of further spending cuts in Budget - BBC News
[ LOL! ] But recent figures showing the UK economy was smaller than expected meant savings must be found in his Budget statement on 17 March, he said. [...] Mr Osborne said he would rather look for extra cuts now than risk breaking his own manifesto commitment to achieve a surplus in the budget by the end of this Parliament. The chancellor did not completely rule out raising taxes in the event of a further slowdown in growth, but said that now was not the time for "significant" tax hikes. [...] I'm absolutely clear we've got to root our country in the principle that we live within our means and that we have economic security." [...] "whole purpose of our economic plan was to have a budget surplus. [...] we got big challenges at home to make the economy more productive even as more people get work. [ because having part of your budget in the property bubble is so productive ] [...] I will do what is required to keep our country safe and secure." [ NOT CHANGING PLANS ie U-TURN ]
UK  secular  stagnation  austerity  Richard  Koo  Japan  economic  history  dogma  ideology  IMF  OECD  ChristineLagarde  economists  Paul  Krugman  Joseph  Stiglitz  Robert  Reich  David  Cameron  Tories  nasty  party  recovery  aggregate  demand  Conservative  macroeconomic  policy  microeconomic  policy  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  Mark  Carney  BOE  City  of  London  HMRC  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  self-employment  corporate  tax  rate  Service  Sector  Jobs  working  poor  multiplier  precarious  work  Precariat  low  pay  low  income  tax  credit  housing  benefit  income-based  JSA  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  wage  stagnation  stagnation  DWP  Iain  Duncan  Smith  skills  gap  STEM  productivity  output  gap  Manufacturing  industrial  policy  neoliberalism  neoliberal  trickle-down  economics  Chicago  School  JohnMaynardKeynes  keynes  Keynesianism  Pact  Schuldenbremse  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  European  Union  property  bubble  apprenticeships  value  creation  added  value  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  competitiveness  marginal  cost  energy  price  energy  policy  Hinkley  Point  C  nuclear  power  nuclear  waste  subsidies  subsidizing  corporate  welfare  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbyin 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Tasting menu: Audio highlights from the February 20th 2016 edition by The Economist
"liberal centrist politicians are not up to the job" always claiming the confidence fairy will show up if they stop what they are doing! "faith in monetary policy is wavering" ... emerging market debt bubble (through hunt for yield, QE, ZIRP, NIRP, credit bubble originating from China) is unwinding and threatening global system stability.
aggregate  demand  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  China  ECB  BOJ  Abenomics  Taper  QT  Fed  distortion  hot-money  austerity  Richard  Koo  Fiscal  Pact  Schuldenbremse  George  Osborne  secular  stagnation  western  world  Wolfgang  Schäuble  Angela  Merkel  European  Union  Mark  Carney  BOE  property  bubble  policy  monetary  policy  economic  history  Gini  coefficient  inequality  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  underinvestment  productivity  output  gap  lost  decade  lost  generation  Generationengerechtigkeit  bank  bailout  fairness  recovery  unintended  consequences 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Five issues that will shape the Northern Powerhouse - BBC News
[ white elephant! lol & the double standard of Google paying 2% tax vs small businesses full 18%+ and not getting investment, R&D loans ] Will Hull thrive or suffer if transport is radically improved to the eastern fringe of the Powerhouse? There's no way of telling. Some people think investment in skills, education and training would be a more certain way of improving productivity - and business leaders are keen to ensure that these key elements are not forgotten in the rush for steel and tarmac. I asked former CBI director-general John Cridland, who is now head of Transport for the North, if there was any certainty that spending billions on infrastructure would improve productivity. He agreed there was no proof, but urged people to take a leap of faith - like the Victorian engineers.
STEM  skills  gap  practical  skills  apprenticeships  underinvestment  productive  investment  Northern  Powerhouse  UK  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  productivity  output  gap  recovery  carbon  tax  renewable  energy  competitiveness  competitive  industrial  policy  Germany  corporate  tax  rate  tax  evasion  tax  avoidance  conglomerate  multinational  HMRC  budget  deficit  dogma  ideology  austerity  squeezed  middle  class  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  added  value  value  creation  economic  history  property  bubble  distortion  HS2  Hinkley  Point  C  HS3  infrastructure  investment  infrastructure  macroeconomic  policy  macroprudential  policy  zombie  banks  BOE  Funding  for  Lending  Scheme  Mark  Carney 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
This Letting Agent Admits The Housing Shortage Is Good News For Landlords - BuzzFeed News
[ Lord Adair Turner book & Richard Koo; banks tend 2 lend 2 property & land rather than productivity/businesses. risk averse, if the family cant pay the mortgage any more, than at least u have not lost all the money! less risky! Its also partly rentier behaviour of banks. // also BOE has to be concerned about future disposable income; rent & utilities eating up 50%-75% of income thus less for consumption! ] “Landlords’ balance sheets are looking healthier than at any point since 2014, and property investors are looking at an excellent rate of return from their portfolios.” Gill warned that changes to stamp duty announced in chancellor George Osborne’s Autumn Statement and due to take effect on 1 April – people selling buy-to-let investments will pay an extra 3% – were bad news for landlords. But overall, the “consistent and developing lack of housing for across all tenures, for a spiralling population” meant the level of demand for rental properties would not reduce, he said.
property  bubble  speculative  bubbles  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  macroprudential  policy  Generationengerechtigkeit  generation  rent  Housing  Crisis  social  affordable  distortion  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  aggregate  demand  Right  to  Buy  Buy-to-Let  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Help  to  Save  policy  folly  policy  error  consumer  debt  household  debt  budget  deficit  recovery  mortgage  market  credit  bubble  GFC  bank  bailout  BOE  zombie  banks  rentier  rent-seeking  Richard  Koo  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  zombie  consumer  industrial  policy  economic  history  Mark  Carney  financial  repression  behavioral  finance  behavioral  economics  herding  herd  hunt  for  yield  leverage  margin  trading  equity  bubble  Gini  coefficient  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  VAR  CDO  CDS  risk  aversion  squeezed  middle  class  secular  stagnation  inequality  UK  generational  contract  lost  generation  constituency  Tories  Conservative  Party  nasty  David  Cameron  George  Osborne  general  election  2015  general  election  2020  fiscal  policy  austerity  monetary  policy  liquidity  trap 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
What Really Caused the Crisis and What to Do About It - YouTube
"There are not perfect markets, and there is no perfect planner. [...] we will never arrive at perfect solutions. [...] market will never allocate perfectly ... [...] market will always tend to lend to property and land, and less into productive means (businesses = risk of 100 loss, land or property ... you have a loss when you sell it. << China, UK ) [...] not all credit is good credit. [...] need for macroprudential policy to dampen bubbles bc rate hikes could dampen normal non-speculative area of economy. ie loan to value limits [...] interest rate setting is blunt hammer that people though is the magic wand along the line of self-regulation, free market, neoliberalism and trickle-down [...] GFC can be traced back to the 60-70's - macroecon + micro with absurd assumptions (ie rational expectations, equilibriums, no bubbles) & math & pure theoretical base (no empirical analysis ie of what banks really do ie greed) = makes job of economist as policy advisor real easy.
bank  crisis  JohnMaynardKeynes  keynes  Keynesianism  book  Richard  Koo  aggregate  demand  austerity  liquidity  trap  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  debtoverhang  GFC  recovery  secular  stagnation  western  world  dogma  ideology  underinvestment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  monetary  policy  monetary  theory  trickle-down  economics  neoliberalism  neoliberal  budget  deficit  economic  history  credit  bubble  output  gap  productivity  inflation  targeting  nominal  GDP  targeting  asset  allocation  economics  investment  banking  zombie  banks  retail  banking  financial  product  CDS  CDO  hunt  for  yield  VAR  risk  aversion  deflationary  deflation  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  debt  monetisation  debt  monetization  Glass-Steagall  self-regulation  regulators  regulation  leverage  margin  trading  property  bubble  arbitrage  speculative  bubbles  asset  bubble  UK  USA  Europe  ECB  Fed  BOE  zombie  consumer  squeezed  middle  class  zombie  corporations  NPL  junk  bond  realestate  macroprudential  policy  mortgage  market  equilibrium  disequilibrium  Economist  economists  Adair  Turner  hayek 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Help-to-buy loan scheme nets Treasury £213m in paper profit | Money | The Guardian
[ gov is not co-owner of private property! Make away with Nurse Bursaries and other gov support for education. But support the property price! by keeping supply always lower than demand. and use policy to increase demand w subsidies! where to put their savings! & subsidy for builders ] Rising house prices across much of England mean a government scheme to help buyers of newbuild property may have made more than £200m for the Treasury in its first two-and-a-half years. The help-to-buy equity loan scheme gives buyers an interest-free loan for five years in return for a percentage stake in their property. When the home is sold, the buyer returns the same percentage of the sale price, meaning that any fall or rise in house prices affects the return. Analysis by property firm Hometrack and shared with the Guardian suggests that a surge in house prices in some areas means the total value of homes bought through the scheme since its launch in April 2013 has increased by more than £1bn.
property  bubble  UK  speculative  bubbles  Housing  Crisis  affordable  social  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Right  to  Buy  Buy-to-Let  Help  to  Save  budget  deficit  austerity  constituency  Party  Funding  babyboomers  BOE  macroprudential  policy  mortgage  market  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  hunt  for  yield  distortion  financial  repression  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  Generationengerechtigkeit  generation  rent  fairness  asset  bubble  asset  allocation  NPL  subprime  Payday  Loans  car  loan  student  debt  student  loan  debt  student  loan  Tories  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  policy  error  policy  folly  Conservative  Party  nasty  short-termism  voter  turnout  disenfranchise  disenfranchised  David  Cameron  George  Osborne  underinvestment  infrastructure  investment  productive  investment  recovery  Richard  Koo  balance  sheet  recession  deleveraging  debtoverhang  zombie  consumer  zombie  banks  zombie  corporations  secular  stagnation  Privatisation  trickle-down  economics  dogma  ideology  GFC  bank  bailout  subsidies  subsidizing  corporate  welfare 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
Vickers warns over weaker bank safety buffers - BBC News
[ no skin in the game ] The man charged with leading an inquiry into the future safety of Britain's banks has said Bank of England plans are not strong enough. Sir John Vickers, who led the Independent Commission on Banking (ICB) said: "The Bank of England proposal is less strong than what the ICB recommended." In a BBC interview, he added "I don't think the ICB overdid it." The Bank of England declined to comment. Specifically, it is the plans to make sure that banks have enough capital that Sir John has questioned. Capital is considered vital to a bank's safety, as it serves to protect it from sudden losses. It comes in many forms, but the most common is funding from shareholders, who expect a hefty return on the risk they are taking. The backdrop to this news is the current slump in bank share prices across Europe. Since the start of the year, European banking stocks have lost a quarter of their value. //&! bit.ly/1Xs0Bac
zombie  banks  retail  banking  investment  banking  toobigtofail  too  big  to  jail  TBTF  too  big  to  bail  economic  history  lobbyist  lobby  Lobbying  GFC  speculation  CDS  CDO  derivatives  Interestrateswap  financial  product  VAR  risk-management  risk  management  Greed  bonuses  bonus  financial  crisis  blackswan  Black  Swan  Career  Politicians  No  Representation  democracy  Super  Rich  1%  plutocracy  oligarchy  Wall  Street  shareholder  value  profit  maximisation  short-termism  self-regulation  regulation  deregulation  regulators  Glass-Steagall  BOE  ECB  Bundesbank  sovereign  debt  crisis  Fed 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
From Ticker - S&P: QE is driving inequality between the generations
Quantitative easing (QE) stabilized the economy but also exacerbated wealth disparity between rich and poor, mainly by boosting financial asset prices and house prices. //&! [ LOW PAY MINIMUM WAGE JOB CREATION ] During the U.K.’s recent “jobs-rich, pay-poor” economic recovery, strong employment gains were accompanied by a further rise of already high wage dispersion and an ever-growing share of part-time employment in lower income groups. //&! In the context of the tight housing market, low interest rates and QE are among the drivers behind the widening wealth and income gap between younger and older generations and between those on the housing ladder and those not on it. //&! Inequality is damaging! // bit.ly/1QtauyZ - Bank of England's recovery policies have increased inequality, finds S&P [...] spending too much on rent, not able to save for deposit! //&! bit.ly/1PPyEYl &! ti.me/1sbBtrz
QE  inequality  reflate  reflation  distortion  recovery  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  UK  USA  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  monetary  stimulus  unconventional  monetary  policy  Fed  BOE  bank  bailout  zombie  banks  zombie  consumer  zombie  corporations  ZIRP  NIRP  TARP  TLTRO  LTRO  ECB  equity  bubble  asset  bubble  property  bubble  Housing  Crisis  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  Help  to  Save  Right  to  Buy  income  inequality  Gini  coefficient  social  mobility  income  mobility  budget  deficit  austerity  George  Osborne  income  distribution  poverty  trap  tax  credit  low  pay  low  income  squeezed  middle  class  Precariat  Zero  Hour  Contract  Contractor  part-time  Tories  nasty  party  homeless  homelessness  social  affordable  Conservative  Toff  Privileged  Establishment  Funding  discretionary  spending  disposable  income  household  debt  consumer  debt  credit  card  debt  student  loan  debt  student  loan  student  debt  debt  servitude  economic  history 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
If we want to solve the housing crisis, we must answer these three questions | Paul Mason | Opinion | The Guardian
[ prices have to stay afloat by any means, or conservatives are out for the next decade or two as they have done nothing to balance two sides. they continued to inflate the bubble further. proclaiming uk as home owning nation. ] If you then dramatically slash the supply of social housing, through right-to-buy and reduced council building, you create a permanent imbalance that turns home ownership into a form of asset investment. What you get then is boom and bust. And the only way to cure the bust is for the government to greet every collapse in market prices with effective state subsidies for home ownership. This, in turn, induces a speculative frenzy of one way bets – on development, on buy to let, on off-plan investment buying from abroad.
Housing  Crisis  social  affordable  property  bubble  Starter  Home  speculative  bubbles  distortion  macroprudential  policy  BOE  Buy  to  Rent  Help  to  Buy  Scheme  policy  error  policy  folly  subsidies  subsidizing  short-termism  opportunist  Opportunism  Career  Politicians  George  Osborne  David  Cameron  Mark  Carney  mortgage  market 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
UK trade deficit widens further as exports suffer | Business | The Guardian
Nevertheless, the UK’s goods trade gap with the rest of the world widened by £1.9bn to a record high of £125bn in 2015. Howard Archer, chief UK economist at IHS Global Insight, said: “UK exports have clearly struggled in recent months, as they have been hampered by sterling’s overall strength in 2015, particularly against the euro, and moderate global demand. [...] Recent declines in the value of sterling are expected to support exports sales, though the deteriorating global situation could mitigate against an improved exchange rate. [...] “Nonetheless, any progress in reducing the trade deficit is likely to be extremely slow in the near term, leaving the recovery reliant on domestic demand.” [...] [ you can lower your corp tax, but if your country is shitty in business environment ie infrastructure and employee qualifications and immigration ... nobody wants to do business ]
UK  trade  deficit  current  account  deficit  budget  deficit  tax  reciepts  2015  2016  recovery  secular  stagnation  underinvestment  business  investment  austerity  economic  history  global  economy  emerging  market  Frontier  Markets  BRIC  foreign  direct  investment  productive  investment  infrastructure  investment  Richard  Koo  consumer  debt  household  debt  credit  card  debt  car  loan  Student  Bubble  debt  servitude  discretionary  spending  government  spending  disposable  income  generation  rent  ZIRP  NIRP  QE  liquidity  trap  zombie  corporations  zombie  consumer  distortion  financial  repression  speculative  bubbles  hunt  for  yield  fiscal  policy  monetary  policy  BOE  property  Housing  Crisis  George  Osborne  competitiveness  productivity  output  gap  job  creation  Service  Sector  Jobs  corporate  tax  rate  corporate  welfare  subsidies  subsidizing  immigration  migration  Super  Cycle 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
'Panic situation': Asian stocks tumble amid fears of new global recession | Business | The Guardian
central banks have few avenues left to explore to encourage investment and boost growth. Talk of an impending recession in the US, however, is creating speculation among investors that the federal reserve will put on hold its attempts to normalise rates. “The ‘fear factor’ in markets has morphed from being about an emerging market hard-landing and collapsing oil prices to being about the extent of the slowdown in the developed world and the ability of central banks to reflate asset values yet again,” said analysts at Citi in a note. //&! Yield on Japan's 10-year bonds falls below zero - bit.ly/1Leu3JC - Germany, France and the Netherlands are among the countries to see their bonds soar in value, though Switzerland (not in the G7) is the only other country to see demand outstrip supply to such an extent that the yield has dropped below zero. Bonds worth about $7tn (£4.8tn) now have a negative yield rate. //&! BOE Taper expectations go out the window till 2020 - bit.ly/1SdxUhN
global  economy  2016  secular  stagnation  austerity  monetary  policy  fiscal  policy  Taper  ZIRP  QE  NIRP  liquidity  trap  western  world  credit  bubble  China  BRIC  Oil  price  emerging  middle  class  squeezed  middle  class  household  debt  consumer  debt  debtoverhang  deleveraging  balance  sheet  recession  Richard  Koo  USA  UK  Europe  economic  history  credit  card  debt  car  loan  debt  servitude  disposable  income  discretionary  spending  credit  reflate  reflation  VIX  volatility  speculative  bubbles  property  bubble  distortion  asset  allocation  equity  bubble  hunt  for  yield  IMF  OECD  Frontier  Markets  emerging  market  bond  bubble  Fed  BOE  ECB  Abenomics  BOJ 
february 2016 by asterisk2a
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